Attached files
| file | filename |
|---|---|
| EX-99.1 - EX-99.1 - Philip Morris International Inc. | a2021-09x08xbarclays_relea.htm |
| 8-K - 8-K - Philip Morris International Inc. | pm-20210908.htm |
Delivering a Smoke-Free Future Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference September 8, 2021 Emmanuel Babeau Chief Financial Officer Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements • This presentation and related discussion contains projections of future results and other forward-looking statements. Achievement of future results is subject to risks, uncertainties and inaccurate assumptions. In the event that risks or uncertainties materialize, or underlying assumptions prove inaccurate, actual results could vary materially from those contained in such forward-looking statements. Pursuant to the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, PMI is identifying important factors that, individually or in the aggregate, could cause actual results and outcomes to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements made by PMI • PMI's business risks include: excise tax increases and discriminatory tax structures; increasing marketing and regulatory restrictions that could reduce our competitiveness, eliminate our ability to communicate with adult consumers, or ban certain of our products; health concerns relating to the use of tobacco and other nicotine containing products and exposure to environmental tobacco smoke; litigation related to tobacco use and intellectual property; intense competition; the effects of global and individual country economic, regulatory and political developments, natural disasters and conflicts; changes in adult smoker behavior; lost revenues as a result of counterfeiting, contraband and cross-border purchases; governmental investigations; unfavorable currency exchange rates and currency devaluations, and limitations on the ability to repatriate funds; adverse changes in applicable corporate tax laws; adverse changes in the cost, availability, and quality of tobacco and other agricultural products and raw materials, as well as components and materials for our electronic devices; and the integrity of its information systems and effectiveness of its data privacy policies. PMI's future profitability may also be adversely affected should it be unsuccessful in its attempts to produce and commercialize reduced risk products or if regulation or taxation do not differentiate between such products and cigarettes; if it is unable to successfully introduce new products, promote brand equity, enter new markets or improve its margins through increased prices and productivity gains; if it is unable to expand its brand portfolio internally or through acquisitions and the development of strategic business relationships; or if it is unable to attract and retain the best global talent. Future results are also subject to the lower predictability of our reduced-risk product category's performance • In addition, PMI’s business risks also include risks and uncertainties related to PMI’s potential acquisitions of Fertin Pharma A/S (“Fertin”) and Vectura Group plc (“Vectura”), including, amongst other things: (1) the inability to consummate these acquisitions in a timely manner; (2) the inability to complete these acquisitions due to the failure to satisfy certain conditions to complete the acquisitions, including any required regulatory approvals, as applicable; (3) the failure of these acquisitions to close for any other reason; (4) the possibility that the integration of the operations of Fertin and Vectura with those of PMI may be more difficult and/or take longer than anticipated, and may not accelerate PMI’s desired entry into additional smoke-free and beyond nicotine platforms as quickly as anticipated; (5) the possibility that the respective integrations of Fertin and Vectura into PMI may be more costly than anticipated and may have unanticipated adverse results relating to Fertin, Vectura or PMI’s existing businesses; (6) the inability to gain access to differentiated proprietary technology and pharmaceutical development expertise as anticipated by these acquisitions; (7) risks associated with third-party contracts containing consent and/or other provisions that may be triggered by the proposed acquisitions; (8) negative effects of the announcement or the consummation of the acquisitions on the market price of PMI’s common stock; and (9) the ability of PMI to retain and hire key personnel of Fertin and Vectura • PMI is further subject to other risks detailed from time to time in its publicly filed documents, including the Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2021. PMI cautions that the foregoing list of important factors is not a complete discussion of all potential risks and uncertainties. PMI does not undertake to update any forward-looking statement that we may make from time to time, except in the normal course of its public disclosure obligations 2 Exhibit 99.2
Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements (COVID-19) • The COVID-19 pandemic has created significant societal and economic disruption, and resulted in closures of stores, factories and offices, and restrictions on manufacturing, distribution and travel, all of which will adversely impact our business, results of operations, cash flows and financial position during the continuation of the pandemic. Our business continuity plans and other safeguards may not be effective to mitigate the impact of the pandemic • Currently, significant risks include our diminished ability to convert adult smokers to our RRPs, significant volume declines in our duty-free business and certain other key markets, disruptions or delays in our manufacturing and supply chain, increased currency volatility, and delays in certain cost saving, transformation and restructuring initiatives. Our business could also be adversely impacted if key personnel or a significant number of employees or business partners become unavailable due to the COVID-19 outbreak. The significant adverse impact of COVID-19 on the economic or political conditions in markets in which we operate could result in changes to the preferences of our adult consumers and lower demand for our products, particularly for our mid-price or premium-price brands. Continuation of the pandemic could disrupt our access to the credit markets or increase our borrowing costs. Governments may temporarily be unable to focus on the development of science-based regulatory frameworks for the development and commercialization of RRPs or on the enforcement or implementation of regulations that are significant to our business. In addition, messaging about the potential negative impacts of the use of our products on COVID-19 risks may lead to increasingly restrictive regulatory measures on the sale and use of our products, negatively impact demand for our products, the willingness of adult consumers to switch to our RRPs and our efforts to advocate for the development of science-based regulatory frameworks for the development and commercialization of RRPs • The impact of these risks also depends on factors beyond our knowledge or control, including the duration and severity of the pandemic, its recurrence in our key markets, actions taken to contain its spread and to mitigate its public health effects, and the ultimate economic consequences thereof 3 On Track for Very Strong Q3 and FY Performance • Strong outlook confirmed: ‒ Continue to expect total volume growth for the year ‒ Positive early results from ILUMA launch in Japan, surpassing prior launches at the same stage ‒ Continued IQOS momentum; robust HTU growth in all key regions ‒ Combustible volume trends better than expected • Now expect to be toward upper end of forecast 2021 guidance range of $5.97-$6.07 in adjusted diluted EPS, including Q3 assumption of $1.50-$1.55 • Strong demand and ongoing global semiconductor shortage leading to tighter IQOS device supply: ‒ Some impact of reduced assortment & availability on user acquisition in certain markets, such as Russia ‒ H2 ILUMA launches; Japan live, most further H2 launches now planned for 2022 as we prioritize user acquisition ‒ 2021 HTU shipments could be toward lower end of 95-100bn range if shortages persist • Fertin, Vectura & Otitopic acquisitions: complementary capabilities to support long-term growth ambitions beyond nicotine • Launch of Business Transformation-linked Financing Framework 4 Source: PMI Financials or estimates
Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference Questions & Answers iOS Download Android DownloadHave you downloaded the new PMI Investor Relations App yet? The free IR App is available to download at the Apple App Store for iOS devices and at Google Play for Android mobile devices Or go to: www.pmi.com/irapp Delivering a Smoke-Free Future 6 Glossary of Key Terms and Definitions, and Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures
Glossary: General Terms • "PMI" refers to Philip Morris International Inc. and its subsidiaries. Trademarks and service marks that are the registered property of, or licensed by, the subsidiaries of PMI, are italicized • Until March 28, 2008, PMI was a wholly owned subsidiary of Altria Group, Inc. ("Altria"). Since that time the company has been independent and is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (ticker symbol "PM") • Comparisons are made to the same prior-year period unless otherwise stated • Unless otherwise stated, references to total industry, total market, PMI shipment volume and PMI market share performance reflect cigarettes and heated tobacco units • References to total international market, defined as worldwide cigarette and heated tobacco unit volume excluding the U.S., total industry, total market and market shares are PMI estimates for tax-paid products based on the latest available data from a number of internal and external sources and may, in defined instances, exclude the People's Republic of China and/or PMI's duty free business • 2020 and 2021 estimates for total industry volume and market share in certain geographies reflect limitations on the availability and accuracy of industry data during pandemic-related restrictions • "OTP" is defined as "other tobacco products," primarily roll-your-own and make-your-own cigarettes, pipe tobacco, cigars and cigarillos, and does not include reduced-risk products • "Combustible products" is the term PMI uses to refer to cigarettes and OTP, combined • In-market sales, or "IMS," is defined as sales to the retail channel, depending on the market and distribution model • "Total shipment volume" is defined as the combined total of cigarette shipment volume and heated tobacco unit shipment volume • "RBH" refers to PMI’s Canadian subsidiary, Rothmans, Benson & Hedges Inc. • The Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act (CCAA) is a Canadian federal law that permits a Canadian business to restructure its affairs while carrying on its business in the ordinary course 7 Glossary: General Terms (cont.) • "EU" is defined as the European Union Region • "EE" is defined as the Eastern Europe Region • "ME&A" is defined as the Middle East & Africa Region and includes PMI's duty free business • "S&SA" is defined as the South & Southeast Asia Region • "EA&A" is defined as the East Asia & Australia Region • "LA&C" is defined as the Latin America & Canada Region. In July 2021, the Latin America & Canada operating segment was renamed as the Americas operating segment • Following the deconsolidation of PMI's Canadian subsidiary, Rothmans, Benson & Hedges, Inc. (RBH), PMI will continue to report the volume of brands sold by RBH for which other PMI subsidiaries are the trademark owner. These include HEETS, Next, Philip Morris and Rooftop • From time to time, PMI’s shipment volumes are subject to the impact of distributor inventory movements, and estimated total industry/market volumes are subject to the impact of inventory movements in various trade channels that include estimated trade inventory movements of PMI’s competitors arising from market-specific factors that significantly distort reported volume disclosures. Such factors may include changes to the manufacturing supply chain, shipment methods, consumer demand, timing of excise tax increases or other influences that may affect the timing of sales to customers. In such instances, in addition to reviewing PMI shipment volumes and certain estimated total industry/market volumes on a reported basis, management reviews these measures on an adjusted basis that excludes the impact of distributor and/or estimated trade inventory movements. Management also believes that disclosing PMI shipment volumes and estimated total industry/market volumes in such circumstances on a basis that excludes the impact of distributor and/or estimated trade inventory movements, such as on an IMS basis, improves the comparability of performance and trends for these measures over different reporting periods • "ESG" stands for environmental, social, and governance • "Illicit trade" refers to domestic non-tax paid products • "OECD" is defined as Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development • "SoM" stands for share of market 8
Glossary: Financial Terms • Net revenues related to combustible products refer to the operating revenues generated from the sale of these products, including shipping and handling charges billed to customers, net of sales and promotion incentives, and excise taxes. PMI recognizes revenue when control is transferred to the customer, typically either upon shipment or delivery of goods • Net revenues related to RRPs represent the sale of heated tobacco units, heat-not-burn devices and related accessories, and other nicotine- containing products, primarily e-vapor products, including shipping and handling charges billed to customers, net of sales and promotion incentives, and excise taxes. PMI recognizes revenue when control is transferred to the customer, typically either upon shipment or delivery of goods • Adjusted net revenues exclude the impact related to the Saudi Arabia customs assessments • "SG&A" stands for selling, general & administrative • "Adjusted Operating Income (OI) Margin" is calculated as adjusted OI, divided by adjusted net revenues • "Net debt" is defined as total debt, less cash and cash equivalents • Growth rates presented on an organic basis for consolidated financial results reflect currency-neutral underlying results • Management reviews net revenues, OI, OI margins, operating cash flow and earnings per share, or "EPS," on an adjusted basis, which may exclude the impact of currency and other items such as acquisitions, asset impairment and exit costs, tax items and other special items. Organic growth rates reflect the way management views underlying performance for these measures. PMI believes that such measures, including pro forma measures, will provide useful insight into underlying business trends and results. • "Fair value adjustment for equity security investments" reflects the adjustment resulting from share price movements in passive investments for publicly traded entities that are not controlled or influenced by PMI. Under U.S. GAAP, such adjustments are required, since January 1, 2018, to be reflected directly in the income statement 9 Glossary: Reduced-Risk Products • "Reduced-risk products," or "RRPs," is the term PMI uses to refer to products that present, are likely to present, or have the potential to present less risk of harm to smokers who switch to these products versus continuing smoking. PMI has a range of RRPs in various stages of development, scientific assessment and commercialization. PMI RRPs are smoke-free products that produce an aerosol that contains far lower quantities of harmful and potentially harmful constituents than found in cigarette smoke • "Aerosol" refers to a gaseous suspension of fine solid particles and/or liquid droplets • "Combustion" is the process of burning a substance in oxygen, producing heat and often light • "Smoke" is a visible suspension of solid particles, liquid droplets and gases in air, emitted when a material burns • "Heated tobacco units," or "HTUs," is the term PMI uses to refer to heated tobacco consumables, which for PMI include the company's HEETS, HEETS Creations, HEETS Dimensions, HEETS Marlboro and HEETS FROM MARLBORO (defined collectively as HEETS), Marlboro Dimensions, Marlboro HeatSticks and Parliament HeatSticks, as well as the KT&G-licensed brand, Fiit and Miix (outside of Korea) • The IQOS heat-not-burn device is a precisely controlled heating device into which a specially designed and proprietary tobacco unit is inserted and heated to generate an aerosol • "PMI heat-not-burn products" include licensed KT&G heat-not-burn products • "PMI HTUs" include licensed KT&G HTUs • HTU "offtake volume" represents the estimated retail offtake of HTUs based on a selection of sales channels that vary by market, but notably include retail points of sale and e-commerce platforms • HTU "offtake share" represents the estimated retail offtake volume of HTUs divided by the sum of estimated total offtake volume for cigarettes and HTUs • Market share for HTUs is defined as the total sales volume for HTUs as a percentage of the total estimated sales volume for cigarettes and HTUs • "Total IQOS users" is defined as the estimated number of Legal Age (minimum 18 years) users of PMI heat-not-burn products for which PMI HTUs represented at least 5% of their daily tobacco consumption over the past seven days. Note: as of December 2020, PMI heat- not-burn products and HTUs include licensed KT&G heat-not-burn products and HTUs, respectively 10
Glossary: Reduced-Risk Products (cont.) • The estimated number of adults who have "switched to IQOS and stopped smoking" reflects:⎼ for markets where there are no heat-not-burn products other than PMI heat-not-burn products: daily individual consumption of PMI HTUs represents the totality of their daily tobacco consumption in the past seven days⎼ for markets where PMI heat-not-burn products are among other heat-not-burn products: daily individual consumption of HTUs represents the totality of their daily tobacco consumption in the past seven days, of which at least 70% is PMI HTUs Note: as of December 2020, PMI heat-not-burn products and HTUs include licensed KT&G heat-not-burn products and HTUs, respectively • "FDA" stands for the U.S. Food & Drug Administration • "MRTP" stands for Modified Risk Tobacco Product, the term used by the U.S. FDA to refer to RRPs • "MRTP application" stands for Modified Risk Tobacco Product application under section 911 of the FD&C Act • "PMTA" stands for Premarket Tobacco Application under section 910 of the FD&C Act • "Acquisition" refers to our efforts to switch LAS from smoking cigarettes to RRPs or to switch LAU from competing smoke-free products to PMI’s RRPs • "Retention" refers to our efforts to deter LAU from going back to smoking cigarettes or from choosing a competing smoke-free product instead of a PMI RRP 11 Glossary: IQOS in the United States • On April 30, 2019, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announced that the marketing of a version of PMI's Platform 1 product, namely, IQOS 2.4, together with its heated tobacco units (the term PMI uses to refer to heated tobacco consumables), is appropriate for the protection of public health and authorized it for sale in the U.S. The FDA’s decision followed its comprehensive assessment of PMI’s premarket tobacco product applications (PMTAs) submitted to the Agency in 2017 • In the third quarter of 2019, PMI brought IQOS 2.4 and three variants of its heated tobacco units to the U.S. through its license with Altria Group, Inc., whose subsidiary, Philip Morris USA Inc., is responsible for marketing the product and complying with the provisions set forth in the FDA's marketing orders • On July 7, 2020, the FDA authorized the marketing of a version of PMI's Platform 1 product, namely, IQOS 2.4, together with its heated tobacco units, as a Modified Risk Tobacco Product (MRTP). In doing so, the agency found that an IQOS exposure modification order is appropriate to promote the public health. The decision followed a review of the extensive scientific evidence package PMI submitted to the FDA in December 2016 to support its MRTP applications • On December 7, 2020, the FDA confirmed that the marketing of a version of PMI's Platform 1 product, namely, IQOS 3, is appropriate for the protection of public health and authorized it for sale in the U.S. The FDA’s decision followed an assessment of a PMI's PMTA filed with the agency in March 2020 • Shipment volume of heated tobacco units to the U.S. is included in the heated tobacco unit shipment volume of the Latin America & Canada segment. Revenues from shipments of Platform 1 devices, heated tobacco units and accessories to Altria Group, Inc. for sale under license in the U.S. are included in Net Revenues of the Latin America & Canada segment 12
Source: PMI Financials or estimates 2021: EPS Guidance ($/share) 13 Full-Year ≥ 2021 Forecast 2020 Organic Growth Reported Diluted EPS $5.76 – $5.86 $5.16 - Saudi Arabia customs assessments 0.14 – - Asset impairment and exit costs 0.07 0.08 - Fair value adjustment for equity security investments 0.04 - Tax items (0.06) - Brazil indirect tax credit (0.05) Adjusted Diluted EPS $5.97 – $6.07 $5.17 - Currency (0.18) Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding currency $5.79 – $5.89 $5.17 12% – 14% Delivering a Smoke-Free Future September 8, 2021 Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference