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8-K - FORM 8-K - SOUTHERN Co GASform_8-k.htm
EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 - SOUTHERN Co GASexhibit99_1.htm
Second Quarter 2012
Earnings Presentation
August 1, 2012
 
 

 
Forward-Looking Statements & Supplemental Information
2
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain expectations and projections regarding our future performance referenced in this presentation, in other reports or statements we file with the SEC or otherwise release to the public, and
on our website, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Senior officers and other employees may also make verbal statements
to analysts, investors, regulators, the media and others that are forward-looking. Forward-looking statements involve matters that are not historical facts, such as statements regarding our future
operations, prospects, strategies, financial condition, economic performance (including growth and earnings), industry conditions and demand for our products and services. Because these
statements involve anticipated events or conditions, forward-looking statements often include words such as "anticipate," "assume," "believe," "can," "could," "estimate," "expect," "forecast,"
"future," "goal," "indicate," "intend," "may," "outlook," "plan," "potential," "predict," "project," "seek," "should," "target," "would," or similar expressions. Forward-looking statements contained in
this presentation include, without limitation, statements regarding our anticipated capital expenditures, anticipated results of our storage rollout schedule, completion schedule of our storage
facilities and our expected capacity at such facilities, the benefits of our shared services model and our expected merger-related synergies in 2012, the timing and approval of our proposed
infrastructure program, the impact of forward natural gas price changes on our storage portfolio, our earnings guidance and the positive trends we anticipate through the remainder of the year
and our priorities for 2012. Our expectations are not guarantees and are based on currently available competitive, financial and economic data along with our operating plans. While we believe
our expectations are reasonable in view of the currently available information, our expectations are subject to future events, risks and uncertainties, and there are several factors - many beyond
our control - that could cause results to differ significantly from our expectations.
Such events, risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, changes in price, supply and demand for natural gas and related products; the impact of changes in state and federal
legislation and regulation including changes related to climate change; actions taken by government agencies on rates and other matters; concentration of credit risk; utility and energy industry
consolidation; the impact on cost and timeliness of construction projects by government and other approvals, development project delays, adequacy of supply of diversified vendors, unexpected
change in project costs, including the cost of funds to finance these projects; the impact of acquisitions and divestitures including the Nicor merger; limits on natural gas pipeline capacity; direct
or indirect effects on our business, financial condition or liquidity resulting from a change in our credit ratings or the credit ratings of our counterparties or competitors; interest rate fluctuations;
financial market conditions, including disruptions in the capital markets and lending environment and the current economic uncertainty; general economic conditions; uncertainties about
environmental issues and the related impact of such issues; the impact of changes in weather, including climate change, on the temperature-sensitive portions of our business; the impact of
natural disasters such as hurricanes on the supply and price of natural gas; the outcome of litigation; acts of war or terrorism; and other factors which are provided in detail in our filings with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are only as of the date they are made, and we do not undertake to update these statements to reflect subsequent changes.
Supplemental Information
Company management evaluates segment financial performance based on operating margin and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), which include the effects of corporate expense
allocations. EBIT is a non-GAAP (accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America) financial measure that includes operating income and other income and expenses.
Items that are not included in EBIT are income taxes and financing costs, including debt and interest expense, each of which the company evaluates on a consolidated basis. The company
believes EBIT is a useful measurement of its performance because it provides information that can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of its businesses from an operational perspective,
exclusive of the costs to finance those activities and exclusive of income taxes, neither of which is directly relevant to the efficiency of those operations. Operating margin is a non-GAAP
measure calculated as operating revenues minus cost of goods sold and revenue taxes, excluding operation and maintenance expense, depreciation and amortization, certain taxes other than
income taxes and gains or losses on the sale of assets, if any. These items are included in the company's calculation of operating income. The company believes operating margin is a better
indicator than operating revenues of the contribution resulting from customer growth, since cost of goods sold and revenue taxes are generally passed directly through to customers. In
addition, in this presentation, the company has presented a non-GAAP measure of both its net income and its earnings per share each adjusted to exclude expenses incurred with respect to
the Nicor merger. As the company does not routinely engage in transactions of the magnitude of the Nicor merger, and consequently does not regularly incur transaction related expenses with
correlative size, the company believes presenting net income and EPS excluding Nicor merger expenses provides investors with an additional measure of the company’s core operating
performance. The company also uses a non-GAAP measure when it presents the impact of warmer than normal weather on its diluted EPS. EBIT, operating margin, net income excluding
merger expenses (also referred to as adjusted net income), EPS excluding merger expenses (also referred to as adjusted EPS) and the impact of warmer than normal weather should not be
considered as alternatives to, or more meaningful indicators of, the company's operating performance than operating income, net income attributable to AGL Resources Inc. or EPS as
determined in accordance with GAAP. In addition, the company's EBIT, operating margin, adjusted net income and adjusted EPS may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of another
company. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures referenced in this presentation are available at the end of this presentation and on the company’s Web site at
www.aglresources.com
 
 

 
2Q12 Highlights
 2Q12 GAAP EPS of $0.28 per
 diluted share
  Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.30, excluding
 approximately $2 million in after-tax costs
 related to Nicor merger
  Distribution segment EBIT up 35% 2Q12
 vs. 2Q11, primarily due to addition of
 Nicor Gas in 1Q12
  Retail segment EBIT up $13 million vs.
 2Q11, driven by the addition of Nicor’s
 retail businesses
  Wholesale, midstream and cargo
 shipping segments remain challenged
 due to market fundamentals
 Warmer-than-normal (10-year
 average) weather at distribution
 and retail segments reduced EPS
 by approximately $0.02 in 2Q12
Note: Please review the AGL Resources 10-Q as filed with the SEC on 8/1/12 for detailed information.
Operating Margin, EBIT, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS are non-GAAP measures. Please see
the appendix to this presentation or visit the investor relations section of www.aglresources.com for a
reconciliation to GAAP.
(1) Results for Nicor’s businesses are not included in 2Q11 GAAP results.
(2) Adjusted for Cost of Goods Sold and revenue tax expenses for Nicor Gas which are passed directly
through to customers.
(3) Adjusted net income and adjusted EPS exclude Nicor-related merger costs of approximately $2
million, net of tax, for 2Q12 and $8 million, net of tax, for 2Q11.
3
 
 

 
6-Months 2012 Highlights
 6-months 2012 GAAP EPS of $1.40 per
 diluted share
  Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.47, excluding
 $8 million in after-tax costs related to Nicor
 merger
 Warmer-than-normal (10-year average)
 weather at distribution and retail
 segments reduced EPS by approximately
 $0.13 YTD
 Distribution segment EBIT up 37%
 through 6/30/12 vs. 6/30/11, primarily due
 to addition of Nicor Gas
 Retail segment EBIT up 7%
 Wholesale, midstream and cargo
 shipping segments remain challenged
 due to market fundamentals
  Wholesale rollout schedule
 strengthened from 3/31/12 to 6/30/12
  Modest improvement in seasonal
 storage spreads providing some short-
 term opportunities for midstream
  Cargo shipping experiencing higher
 volumes, offset by lower fees
Note: Please review the AGL Resources 10-Q as filed with the SEC on 8/1/12 for detailed information.
Operating Margin, EBIT, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS are non-GAAP measures. Please see the
appendix to this presentation or visit the investor relations section of www.aglresources.com for a
reconciliation to GAAP.
(1) Results for Nicor’s businesses are not included in 6-months 2011 GAAP results.
(2) Adjusted for Cost of Goods Sold and revenue tax expenses for Nicor Gas which are passed directly
through to customers.
(3) Adjusted net income and adjusted EPS exclude Nicor-related merger costs of approximately $8 million,
net of tax, for the first six-months of 2012 and $11 million, net of tax, for the first six months of 2011.
4
 
 

 
6-Months 2012 Operating EBIT Composition
5
Distribution operations contributed 77% of operating EBIT during the first half of 2012.
(1) There was no EBIT contribution from the Cargo Shipping segment through the first six months of 2012.
  Note: Operating EBIT percentages above exclude corporate eliminations.
77%
3%
1%
19%
 
 

 
 2Q12 EBIT increased 35% vs. 2Q11
 Key drivers
  Nicor Gas added EBIT of $20 million
  Warmer-than-normal conditions in
 2Q12 negatively impacted EBIT by $4
 million vs. normal ($18 million through
 6/30/12)
  EBIT at AGLR utilities (excluding Nicor
 Gas) favorable by $6 million
  Expenses increased $116 million vs.
 2Q11 due to addition of Nicor Gas
 (excluding revenue taxes)
 6-months 2012 EBIT increased 37%
 vs. 2011
 Customer count stable
  2.278 million customers in 2Q12 and
 2Q11 (avg.) for AGLR utilities
 (excluding Nicor Gas)
  2.190 million Nicor Gas customers in
 2Q12 (avg.)
Distribution Operations
NOTE: COG = Cost of Goods Sold
2Q12 Financial Performance Summary
6-months 2012 Financial Performance Summary
6
 
 

 
Retail Operations
 2Q12 EBIT up $13 million vs. 2Q11
  Addition of Nicor’s retail businesses
 resulted in a $10 million increase in EBIT
  Reduction of transportation and gas costs
 vs. 2Q11
 6-months 2012 EBIT increased 7% vs.
 2011
 Market share and customer count
  Georgia market share remains 32% at end
 of 2Q12 (equivalent to 2Q11)
  Georgia customer count (avg.): 488K at
 6/30/12 vs. 492K at 6/30/11
 Integration of retail businesses ongoing
2Q12 Financial Performance Summary
6-months 2012 Financial Performance Summary
7
 
 

 
 2Q12 EBIT down $4 million vs. 2Q11 due
 mainly to lower commercial activity
  Commercial activity lower by $6 million y/y
 primarily related to reduced optimization margin
 and lower transportation spreads in part driven
 by natural gas over-supply
  $1 million higher MTM year-over-year associated
 with storage and transportation hedge movement
 Improving seasonal storage spreads resulted
 in $47 million storage rollout schedule on 55
 Bcf of inventory at Sequent at the end of 2Q12
  At 3/30/12, Sequent had a $19 million storage
 rollout schedule on 47 Bcf of inventory
  At 6/30/11, Sequent had an $11 million rollout
 schedule on 29 Bcf of inventory
2Q12 Financial Performance Summary
Wholesale Services
3Q11
8
Wholesale Operating Margin Components
6-mos 2012 Financial Performance Summary
 
 

 
Midstream Operations
 2Q12 EBIT of $2 million, flat vs. 2Q11
  Storage values remain depressed due to high
 supply of natural gas and reduced demand
 Construction update
  Completion of Golden Triangle Storage
 Cavern 2 on target for 3Q12
 (~7.3 Bcf of working gas capacity)
  Construction at Central Valley Gas Storage
 largely complete and began serving firm
 customers in 2Q12 (~11 Bcf of working gas
 capacity)
2Q12 Financial Performance Summary
  Contracted Storage Summary (at 6/30/12)
9
(1) Subscribed capacity includes 2 Bcf at Jefferson Island and 2 Bcf at
GTS that are contracted by Sequent.
6-months 2012 Financial Performance Summary
 
 

 
Balance Sheet Highlights
 Solid balance sheet with significant
 opportunity to fund capital
 requirements
  Good access to capital markets
  Company credit metrics support
 solid, investment-grade ratings
 $4.3 billion debt outstanding
  Long-term debt $3.3 billion
  Short-term debt of $1.0 billion
  Debt to Cap Ratio: 54%
 2012 cap ex estimated at $825
 million
  Approximately $725 million of utility
 cap ex expected in 2012 vs. $604
 million in 2011 for AGLR utilities +
 Nicor Gas
  $300 million of 2012 utility cap ex is
 rider-based
  Approximately $100 million of non-
 utility cap ex expected in 2012
10
 
 

 
2Q12 and 6-months 2012 Weather Impact
11
 First half of 2012 warmest ever
 recorded in United States
 Normal (10-year average) weather at
 distribution and retail segments over
 2Q12 would have improved EPS by
 approximately $0.02, and first six-
 months 2012 EPS by approximately
 $0.13
 In aggregate, weather was 20% warmer
 -than-normal across all AGLR
 jurisdictions for the first half of 2012
 Weather normalization programs in
 New Jersey and Virginia largely
 insulated Elizabethtown Gas and
 Virginia Natural Gas from weather
 impacts year-to-date
 
 

 
12
New Jersey Infrastructure Investment Filing
 On July 23, 2012 Elizabethtown Gas filed for approval with the New Jersey Board of Public
 Utilities (NJBPU) an Accelerated Infrastructure Replacement (AIR) program
 Proposal seeks to invest up to $135 million in Elizabethtown’s natural gas infrastructure for
 a five-year period (November 2012-August 2017) to enhance the safety, reliability and
 integrity of its distribution system
 The cost recovery mechanism proposed is similar to the one already in place for the Utility
 Infrastructure Enhancement (UIE) program which is scheduled to expire on October 31,
 2012, and seeks to phase in rates over the five-year period
 The AIR program would replace nearly 150 miles of pipeline, mainly aging cast iron
 Expect the NJBPU to set a hearing and procedural schedule shortly
 Filing is in line with AGLR’s strategy of promoting infrastructure investment programs with
 accelerated cost recovery mechanisms, similar to the program in place in Georgia
 (STRIDE) and the company’s recently approved SAVE program in Virginia
 
 

 
13
Wholesale Services Storage Rollout
Storage rollout value stands at $47 million on 55 Bcf of natural gas inventory as of 6/30/12
 
 

 
14
Storage Spreads 
June 22, 2011, Jul 11 / Jan 12 spread at $0.523
June 22, 2012, Jul 12 / Jan 13 spread at $0.802
 
 

 
2012 Priorities
 Invest necessary capital to enhance and maintain the safety and reliability of our
 distribution systems, while minimizing regulatory lag
 Remain a low-cost leader within the industry
 Maintain margins in Georgia and Illinois while continuing to expand into other
 profitable retail markets
 Leverage experience across SouthStar and Nicor’s retail businesses
 Renew affiliated and non-affiliated asset management agreements and add new asset
 management, gas-fired power generation and producer services contracts
 Continually enhance risk management, credit management and overall controls
Distribution
Retail
Wholesale
Midstream
Cargo Shipping
Expense &
Balance Sheet
Discipline
 Complete construction of Golden Triangle Cavern 2 and Central Valley Gas
 Storage and execute contracts for newly available capacity
 Reduce project development costs in response to low volatility environment
 Effectively control expenses and focus on capital discipline in each of our
 business segments
 Maintain strong balance sheet and liquidity profile
 Expand market share in key service areas while providing quality total
 transportation and logistics solutions for our customers
 Prudently deploy capital investment and diligently manage operating costs
15
 
 

 
Additional Resources
Company resources
 www.aglresources.com
 Sarah Stashak
 Director, Investor Relations
 404-584-4577
 sstashak@aglresources.com
Industry resources
 www.aga.org
 www.eia.doe.gov
16
 
 

 
Rate Case History
Utility
Last
Rate
Case
Key Outcomes
Agreements
on Rate
Case Stay
outs
Nicor Gas
Mar.
2009
 $80 million rate increase
 Bad debt rider approved in February 2010 providing recovery
 from (or credit to) customers the difference of actual expense
 and $63 million benchmark
 Rate case reset heating degree days from 5,830 to 5,600
Stay out
concludes
Dec. 2014
Atlanta Gas Light
Oct.
2010
 
 $26.7 million rate increase approved
 Included ~$10 million in new customer service and safety
 programs
 Adopted new acquisition synergy sharing policy
None
Virginia Natural Gas
Dec.
2011
 
 $11 million rate increase in base rates
 Recovery of $3.1 million in costs previously recovered through
 base rates now recovered through PGA
 Approval to recover gas portion of bad debts through the PGA
None
Elizabethtown Gas
Dec.
2009
 $3 million rate increase
 New depreciation rates decreased expense $5 million
 Two-year rate freeze concluded in 2011
None
 
Florida City Gas
Feb.
2004
 $7 million rate increase
 Approval in late 2007 to include acquisition adjustment
 amortization expense in operating income and acquisition
 adjustment asset balance in rate base for regulatory surveillance
 reporting purposes
 2007 approval included a 5-year stay-out provision
Stay out
concludes
Oct. 2012
Chattanooga Gas
May
2010
 
 Instituted new rate design that encourages customer
 conservation
 First decoupled rate design for TN utility
 New depreciation rates decreased expense of $2 MM annually
None
 
17
 
 

 
Regulatory Recovery Mechanisms
Utility
Rate
Decoupling
Weather
Normalization
Bad Debt
Recovery
Conservation
Program
Recovery
Infrastructure
Replacement
Nicor Gas
 
 
P
P
 
Atlanta Gas Light
P
 
 
 
P
Virginia Natural Gas
 
P
P
 
P
Elizabethtown Gas
 
P
 
P
P
Florida City Gas
 
 
 
P
 
Chattanooga Gas
P
P
P
P
 
18
 
 

 
AGL Resources Debt Maturities
19
 
 

 
The following table sets forth a reconciliation of AGL Resources’ operating margin to operating income and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) to
earnings before income taxes, net income to net income attributable to AGL - as reported and net income attributable to AGL - as adjusted, and net income
attributable to AGL - as adjusted - to diluted EPS - as adjusted for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011.
GAAP Reconciliation
20
 
 

 
21
The following tables set forth a reconciliation of AGL Resources’ Basic and Diluted earnings per share - as reported (GAAP) to Basic and Diluted earnings
per share - as adjusted (Non-GAAP; excluding Nicor merger costs), for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011.
GAAP Reconciliation
 
 

 
The following tables set forth a reconciliation of AGL Resources’ Statement of Income to earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) by segment for the
quarter ended June 30, 2012.
22
GAAP Reconciliation
 
 

 
The following tables set forth a reconciliation of AGL Resources’ Statement of Income to earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) by segment for the
quarter ended June 30, 2011.
23
GAAP Reconciliation
 
 

 
The following tables set forth a reconciliation of AGL Resources’ Statement of Income to earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) by segment for the six-
months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011.
GAAP Reconciliation
 
 

 
Reconciliations of operating margin, EBIT by segment, net income excluding merger expenses and EPS excluding merger expenses are available in our quarterly reports
(Form 10-Q) and annual reports (Form 10-K) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and on the Investor Relations section of our website at
www.aglresources.com.
Our management evaluates segment financial performance based on operating margin and EBIT, which includes the effects of corporate expense allocations. EBIT is a
non-GAAP (accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America) financial measure. Items that are not included in EBIT are income taxes and
financing costs, including debt and interest, each of which the company evaluates on a consolidated basis. The company believes EBIT is a useful measurement of its
performance because it provides information that can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of its businesses from an operational perspective, exclusive of the costs to
finance those activities and exclusive of income taxes, neither of which is directly relevant to the efficiency of those operations.
We also use EBIT internally to measure performance against budget and in reports for management and the Board of Directors. Projections of forward-looking EBIT are
used in our internal budgeting process, and those projections are used in providing forward-looking business segment EBIT projections to investors. We are unable to
reconcile our forward-looking EBIT business segment guidance to GAAP net income, because we do not predict the future impact of unusual items and mark-to-market
gains or losses on energy contracts. The impact of these items could be material to our operating results reported in accordance with GAAP.
Operating margin is a non-GAAP measure calculated as revenues minus cost of goods sold and revenue taxes, excluding operation and maintenance expense,
depreciation and amortization, certain taxes other than income taxes and the gain or loss on the sale of assets, if any. These items are included in our calculation of
operating income. We believe operating margin is a better indicator than operating revenues of the contribution resulting from customer growth, since cost of goods sold
and revenue taxes are generally passed directly through to customers.
We present our net income and our EPS excluding expenses incurred with respect to the merger with Nicor. As we do not routinely engage in transactions of the
magnitude of the Nicor merger, and consequently do not regularly incur transaction related expenses of correlative size, we believe presenting our EPS excluding Nicor
merger expenses provides investors with an additional measure of our core operating performance.
Net income attributable to AGL Resources, as adjusted, and Basic and Diluted earnings per share, as adjusted, are non-GAAP measures and exclude transaction costs
related to the merger with Nicor. Transaction costs include O&M expenses as well as incremental debt issuance costs and interest expense related to financing the cash
portion of the purchase consideration in advance of the merger closing date. The company also uses a non-GAAP measure when it presents the impact of warmer-than-
normal weather on its diluted EPS. EBIT, operating margin, net income excluding merger expenses, EPS excluding merger expenses and the impact of warmer-than-
normal weather should not be considered as alternatives to, or more meaningful indicators of, our operating performance than operating income, net income attributable to
AGL Resources Inc. or EPS as determined in accordance with GAAP. In addition, our EBIT, operating margin, adjusted net income and adjusted EPS may not be
comparable to similarly titled measures of another company.
We believe these financial measures are useful to investors because they provide an alternative method for assessing the Company’s operating results in a manner that is
focused on the performance of the Company’s ongoing operations. The presentation of these financial measures is not meant to be a substitute for financial measures
prepared in accordance with GAAP.
25
GAAP Reconciliation
 
 

 
Q&A