Attached files
file | filename |
---|---|
EX-23.4 - EX-23.4 - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076exv23w4.htm |
EX-23.3 - EX-23.3 - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076exv23w3.htm |
EX-99.4 - EX-99.4 - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076exv99w4.htm |
EX-99.2 - EX-99.2 - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076exv99w2.htm |
EX-23.5 - EX-23.5 - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076exv23w5.htm |
EX-23.2 - EX-23.2 - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076exv23w2.htm |
EX-99.1 - EX-99.1 - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076exv99w1.htm |
EX-99.3 - EX-99.3 - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076exv99w3.htm |
EX-23.1 - EX-23.1 - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076exv23w1.htm |
8-K - FORM 8-K - MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORP | l42076e8vk.htm |
Exhibit 99.5
NuLoch Resources Inc.
STATEMENT OF RESERVES DATA
AND OTHER OIL AND GAS INFORMATION
FORM 51-101F1
Effective December 31, 2010
STATEMENT OF RESERVES DATA
AND OTHER OIL AND GAS INFORMATION
FORM 51-101F1
Effective December 31, 2010
This Statement of Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas Information is designed to provide the
disclosures prescribed in National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas
Activities (NI 51-101). This document was prepared by the management of NuLoch Resources Inc. (the
Company) with an effective date of December 31, 2010 with information available up to February 14,
2011. Certain of the information contained herein has been derived from a report entitled Reserve
Estimation and Economic Evaluation December 31, 2010 (the AJM Report) as prepared by AJM
Petroleum Consultants (AJM) dated February 15, 2011. AJM is a Qualified Reserves Evaluator as
defined pursuant to NI 51-101.
Reserves Definitions
The crude oil, natural gas and natural gas products reserves estimates presented in the AJM
Report have been based on the definitions and guidelines prepared by the Standing Committee on
Reserves Definitions of the CIM (Petroleum Society) as presented in the Canadian Oil and Gas
Evaluators Handbook (COGE Handbook). A summary of those definitions is presented below.
Reserves Categories
Reserves are estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substances
anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, from a given date forward, based
on:
| analysis of drilling, geological, geophysical and engineering data; | ||
| the use of established technology; and | ||
| specified economic conditions, which are generally accepted as being reasonable, and shall be disclosed. |
Reserves are classified according to the degree of certainty associated with the estimates.
| Proved reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. | ||
| Probable reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. | ||
| Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the sum of the estimated proved plus probable plus possible reserves. |
Development and Production Status
Each of the reserves categories (proved, probable and possible) may be divided into developed and
undeveloped categories:
| Developed reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been installed, that would involve a low expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on production. The developed category may be subdivided into producing and non-producing. | ||
| Developed producing reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty. |
1
| Developed non-producing reserves are those reserves that either have not been on production, or have previously been on production, but are shut-in, and the date of resumption of production is unknown. | ||
| Undeveloped reserves are those reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production. They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves classification (proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned. In multi-well pools it may be appropriate to allocate total pool reserves between the developed and undeveloped categories or to subdivide the developed reserves for the pool between developed producing and developed non-producing. This allocation should be based on the estimators assessment as to the reserves that will be recovered from specific wells, facilities and completion intervals in the pool and their respective development and production status. |
Levels of Certainty for Reported Reserves
The qualitative certainty levels referred to in the definitions above are applicable to individual
reserves entities (which refers to the lowest level at which reserves calculations are performed)
and to reported reserves (which refers to the highest-level sum of individual entity estimates for
which reserves estimates are presented). Reported reserves should target the following levels of
certainty under a specific set of economic conditions:
| at least a 90 percent probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimated proved reserves; | ||
| at least a 50 percent probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves; and | ||
| at least a 10 percent probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of the estimated proved plus probable plus possible reserves. |
A quantitative measure of the certainty levels pertaining to estimates prepared for the various
reserves categories is desirable to provide a clearer understanding of the associated risks and
uncertainties. However, the majority of reserves estimates will be prepared using deterministic
methods that do not provide a mathematically derived quantitative measure of probability. In
principle, there should be no difference between estimates prepared using probabilistic or
deterministic methods.
Additional clarification of certainty levels associated with reserves estimates and the effect
of aggregation is provided in the COGE Handbook.
Net Present Value Estimates
The net present values of the crude oil, natural gas and natural gas products reserves were
obtained by employing future production and revenue analyses. The future crude oil production was
generally predicated on the anticipated performance characteristics of the individual wells and
reservoirs in question. The future natural gas production was also predicated on the anticipated
performance characteristics of the individual wells and reservoirs in question with an allowance
for any gas sales contract or gas processing facility restrictions. In those areas where shut-in
natural gas reserves exist, the commencement of production was based on the proximity to a pipeline
connection and the relevant factors relating to the future marketing of the reserves. The future
production of gas-cap reserves was assumed to occur near the end of the oil producing life.
Solution gas production was based on the forecast of the oil producing rates and current and
forecast sales gas-oil ratios. The natural gas products production forecasts were based on the
anticipated recoveries of these products from the produced natural gas.
The Companys share of future crude oil revenue was derived by employing the Companys share of
production and the indicated reference crude oil price less the historical quality and
transportation price differential for each respective field. The indicated natural gas prices with
an adjustment for the heating value of the gas were employed to calculate the Companys share of
future natural gas revenues. The indicated reference natural gas products prices with adjustments
to reflect historical price differentials realized by the Company in each respective property were
employed to calculate the Companys share of future natural gas products revenues. Royalties and
mineral taxes payable to the Crown were estimated based on the methods in effect as of December
31, 2010. Freehold and overriding royalties payable to others were estimated based on the indicated
applicable rates. In those cases where a
2
proportionate share of the natural gas gathering and processing charges were indicated to be
payable by the Crown or royalties owned by others, these charges have been deducted in determining
the net royalties payable.
In all cases, estimates of the applicable capital expenditures and operating costs were deducted in
arriving at the Companys share of future net revenues. An allowance for future well abandonment
costs was made for all of the Companys existing working interest wells, however, no allowance was
made for the reclamation of well sites or the abandonment and reclamation of any facilities. To the
extent that undeveloped reserves are assigned to undrilled locations, then both abandonment and
reclamation costs are factored into the forecast future net revenues associated with those
locations. The net present values were then obtained by employing 5,
10, 15 and 20 percent nominal
annual discount rates compounded annually.
Presentation of Reserve Information
Gross reserves are the company working interest share before deduction of royalties.
Net reserves are the company working interest share after deduction of royalties.
General and administrative expenses and overhead recoveries are not deducted in the determination
of future net
revenues.
Use of Barrels of Oil Equivalent (boe)
Disclosure provided herein in respect of boe units may be misleading, particularly if used in
isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 Mcf of natural gas to 1 bbl of crude oil is based on an
energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent
a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Significant Risk Factors and Uncertainties
Estimating reserves is forecasting the future and is inherently uncertain. The reserve and
recovery information contained in the AJM Report are only estimates and the actual production and
reserves may be different than the estimates prepared by AJM. When estimating reserves, AJM
considers a number of factors and makes assumptions including, among others:
- | historical production compared with production rates from similar properties; |
- | assumptions regarding initial production and subsequent decline rates; |
- | ultimate recovery of reserves; |
- | assumptions about future commodity prices, development and operating costs; |
- | the effect of governmental regulation, royalty and tax regimes; |
- | timing and amount of capital expenditures; and |
- | forecasts of results of future development activity. |
These factors and assumptions were based on information at the date the evaluation was prepared.
Many of these factors are subject to change and are beyond the Companys control. If these factors
and assumptions prove to be inaccurate, the actual results may vary materially from the reserve and
cash flow estimates. Results may be less than those contained in the evaluation to the extent that
forecast development activities do not achieve the level of success assumed in the evaluation.
Caution to Reader
The following tables set forth certain information relating to the oil and natural gas
reserves of the Company and the present value of the estimated future net revenue associated with
such reserves, and is derived from the AJM Report. It should not be assumed that the estimated
present worth values of net production revenue contained in the following tables represents the
fair market value of the reserves. There is no assurance that the price and cost assumptions
contained herein will be attained and variances could be material.
Certain tables may not add due to rounding.
3
Abbreviations
Certain terms and abbreviations used in this document are defined below:
bbl
|
barrel of oil or NGL; | |
bcf
|
billion cubic feet of natural gas; | |
bpd
|
barrel of oil or NGL per day; | |
boe
|
barrel of oil equivalent determined by converting a volume of
natural gas to barrels using the ratio of 6 Mcf to one barrel; |
|
boe/d
|
barrel of oil equivalent per day; | |
Company
|
NuLoch Resources Inc.; | |
Mbbl
|
thousand barrels; | |
Mboe
|
thousand barrels of oil equivalent; | |
Mcf
|
thousand cubic feet of natural gas; | |
Mcfe
|
Mcf of gas equivalent determined by converting a volume of oil or NGL to |
|
Mcf using the ratio of 0.1667 barrels to 1 Mcf; | ||
Mcf/d
|
thousand cubic feet of natural gas per day; | |
MMcf
|
million cubic feet of natural gas; | |
MMcf/d
|
million cubic feet of natural gas per day; | |
NGLs
|
natural gas liquids; | |
$US
|
United States dollar; | |
$C
|
Canadian dollar. |
Conversion
In this document measurements are given in standard Imperial or metric units only. The
following table sets forth certain standard conversions.
To Convert From | To | Multiply By | ||||
Mcf |
cubic metres | 28.174 | ||||
cubic metres |
cubic feet | 35.494 | ||||
bbls |
cubic metres | 0.159 | ||||
cubic metres |
bbls | 6.290 | ||||
feet |
metres | 0.305 | ||||
metres |
feet | 3.281 | ||||
miles |
kilometers | 1.609 | ||||
kilometers |
miles | 0.621 | ||||
acres |
hectares | 0.405 | ||||
hectares |
acres | 2.471 |
4
Summary of Oil and Natural Gas Reserves
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Costs
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Costs
Light and | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas(1) | NGLs | MBOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mbbl | MMcf | Mbbl | MBOE | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserves Category | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CANADA |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Producing |
775.3 | 624.2 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 2,574.8 | 2,093.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1,214.0 | 981.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Non-Producing |
260.0 | 242.4 | | | 429.2 | 299.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 333.8 | 293.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Undeveloped |
1,217.0 | 1,086.1 | | | 4,084.9 | 3,264.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1,898.3 | 1,630.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved |
2,252.3 | 1,952.8 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 7,088.9 | 5,657.8 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 3,446.0 | 2,905.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Probable |
1,258.1 | 1,084.6 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 4,033.4 | 3,219.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1,938.0 | 1,627.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved plus Probable |
3,510.4 | 3,037.4 | 13.8 | 12.3 | 11,122.3 | 8,877.6 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 5,384.0 | 4,532.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
UNITED STATES |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Producing |
369.5 | 299.4 | | | 35.0 | 28.9 | | | 375.4 | 304.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Non-Producing |
189.4 | 153.6 | | | | | | | 189.4 | 153.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Undeveloped |
2,282.4 | 1,817.9 | | | | | | | 2,282.4 | 1,817.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved |
2,841.3 | 2,270.9 | | | 35.0 | 28.9 | | | 2,847.4 | 2,275.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Probable |
1,767.3 | 1,411.9 | | | 27.1 | 22.3 | | | 1,771.8 | 1,415.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved plus Probable |
4,608.6 | 3,682.7 | | | 62.1 | 51.3 | | | 4,618.9 | 3,691.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Producing |
1,144.8 | 923.6 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 2,609.8 | 2,122.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1,589.4 | 1,285.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Non-Producing |
449.4 | 396.0 | | | 429.2 | 299.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 523.2 | 447.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Undeveloped |
3,499.4 | 2,904.0 | | | 4,084.9 | 3,264.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 4,180.6 | 3,448.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved |
5,093.6 | 4,223.7 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 7,123.9 | 5,686.8 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 6,293.2 | 5,181.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Probable |
3,025.4 | 2,496.4 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 4,060.5 | 3,242.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3,709.8 | 3,043.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved plus Probable |
8,119.0 | 6,720.1 | 13.8 | 12.3 | 11,184.4 | 8,928.9 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 10,003.0 | 8,224.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Note:
(1) | Natural gas volumes include associated, non-associated and solution gas. |
5
Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue
Before Income Taxes Discounted at %/Year
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Cost
Before Income Taxes Discounted at %/Year
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Cost
Unit Value | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Before | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Taxes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discounted at | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 10%/year(1) | |||||||||||||||||||
Reserves Category | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | ($/boe) | ||||||||||||||||||
CANADA |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Producing |
48,725.2 | 36,626.3 | 29,367.0 | 24,639.2 | 21,328.9 | 29.92 | ||||||||||||||||||
Developed Non-Producing |
19,005.1 | 12,076.7 | 8,600.1 | 6,547.8 | 5,193.1 | 29.30 | ||||||||||||||||||
Undeveloped |
68,016.6 | 36,487.3 | 20,528.3 | 11,371.4 | 5,626.9 | 12.59 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved |
135,746.8 | 85,190.3 | 58,495.4 | 42,558.4 | 32,148.9 | 20.13 | ||||||||||||||||||
Probable |
133,865.0 | 54,061.3 | 29,212.6 | 18,482.4 | 12,751.6 | 17.95 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved plus Probable |
269,611.8 | 139,251.6 | 87,708.0 | 61,040.8 | 44,900.5 | 19.35 | ||||||||||||||||||
UNITED STATES |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Producing |
17,813.4 | 13,587.1 | 11,018.7 | 9,352.0 | 8,188.4 | 36.22 | ||||||||||||||||||
Developed Non-Producing |
10,474.0 | 7,557.1 | 6,038.3 | 5,102.0 | 4,461.1 | 39.32 | ||||||||||||||||||
Undeveloped |
77,536.5 | 39,893.5 | 21,293.0 | 10,589.2 | 3,781.4 | 11.71 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved |
105,823.9 | 61,037.7 | 38,350.1 | 25,043.2 | 16,430.9 | 16.85 | ||||||||||||||||||
Probable |
121,932.0 | 49,362.1 | 25,717.0 | 15,212.7 | 9,554.4 | 18.17 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved plus Probable |
227,755.9 | 110,399.7 | 64,067.1 | 40,255.9 | 25,985.3 | 17.36 | ||||||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Producing |
66,538.6 | 50,213.4 | 40,385.8 | 33,991.3 | 29,517.3 | 31.41 | ||||||||||||||||||
Developed Non-Producing |
29,479.1 | 19,633.8 | 14,638.4 | 11,649.8 | 9,654.2 | 32.74 | ||||||||||||||||||
Undeveloped |
145,553.1 | 76,380.7 | 41,821.3 | 21,960.6 | 9,408.3 | 12.13 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved |
241,570.7 | 146,228.0 | 96,845.5 | 67,601.6 | 48,579.8 | 18.69 | ||||||||||||||||||
Probable |
255,797.0 | 103,423.3 | 54,929.6 | 33,695.1 | 22,305.9 | 18.05 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Proved plus Probable |
497,367.7 | 249,651.3 | 151,775.1 | 101,296.7 | 70,885.8 | 18.45 | ||||||||||||||||||
Note:
(1) | The unit values are based on net reserve values. |
6
Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue
After Income Taxes Discounted at %/Year
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Cost
After Income Taxes Discounted at %/Year
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Cost
0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | ||||||||||||||||
Reserves Category | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | |||||||||||||||
CANADA |
||||||||||||||||||||
Proved |
||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Producing |
48,725.2 | 36,626.3 | 29,367.0 | 24,639.2 | 21,328.9 | |||||||||||||||
Developed Non-Producing |
19,000.0 | 12,075.7 | 8,599.9 | 6,547.7 | 5,193.1 | |||||||||||||||
Undeveloped |
49,612.7 | 27,714.9 | 15,877.4 | 8,711.3 | 4,018.1 | |||||||||||||||
Total Proved |
117,337.9 | 76,416.9 | 53,844.3 | 39,898.2 | 30,540.1 | |||||||||||||||
Probable |
98,349.6 | 39,964.9 | 21,840.1 | 14,014.5 | 9,812.6 | |||||||||||||||
Total Proved plus Probable |
215,687.5 | 116,381.8 | 75,684.4 | 53,912.8 | 40,352.7 | |||||||||||||||
UNITED STATES |
||||||||||||||||||||
Proved |
||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Producing |
17,813.4 | 13,587.1 | 11,018.7 | 9,352.0 | 8,188.4 | |||||||||||||||
Developed Non-Producing |
10,474.0 | 7,557.1 | 6,038.3 | 5,102.0 | 4,461.1 | |||||||||||||||
Undeveloped |
77,536.5 | 39,893.5 | 21,293.0 | 10,589.2 | 3,781.4 | |||||||||||||||
Total Proved |
105,823.9 | 61,037.7 | 38,350.1 | 25,043.2 | 16,430.9 | |||||||||||||||
Probable |
121,932.0 | 49,362.1 | 25,717.0 | 15,212.7 | 9,554.4 | |||||||||||||||
Total Proved plus Probable |
227,755.9 | 110,399.7 | 64,067.1 | 40,255.9 | 25,985.3 | |||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||||||||
Proved |
||||||||||||||||||||
Developed Producing |
66,538.6 | 50,213.4 | 40,385.8 | 33,991.3 | 29,517.3 | |||||||||||||||
Developed Non-Producing |
29,474.0 | 19,632.8 | 14,638.2 | 11,649.8 | 9,654.2 | |||||||||||||||
Undeveloped |
127,149.2 | 67,608.4 | 37,170.4 | 19,300.5 | 7,799.5 | |||||||||||||||
Total Proved |
223,161.8 | 137,454.6 | 92,194.4 | 64,941.4 | 46,971.0 | |||||||||||||||
Probable |
220,281.6 | 89,327.0 | 47,557.1 | 29,227.2 | 19,367.0 | |||||||||||||||
Total Proved plus Probable |
443,443.4 | 226,781.5 | 139,751.5 | 94,168.7 | 66,338.0 | |||||||||||||||
7
Total Future Net Revenue
(Undiscounted)
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Costs
(Undiscounted)
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Costs
Future | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Future Net | Net | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Abandonment | Revenue | Revenue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
and | Before | After | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating | Development | Reclamation | Income | Income | Income | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue(1) | Royalties(1) | Costs | Costs | Costs | Taxes | Taxes | Taxes | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserves Category | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
CANADA |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Reserves |
287,253.3 | 37,965.4 | 59,946.8 | 45,714.6 | 7,879.6 | 135,746.8 | 18,408.9 | 117,337.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Plus Probable Reserves |
504,219.6 | 67,079.5 | 108,316.1 | 50,745.5 | 8,466.7 | 269,611.8 | 53,924.3 | 215,687.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
UNITED STATES |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Reserves |
230509.2 | 23,973.0 | 46,643.3 | 51,415.8 | 2,653.3 | 105,823.9 | | 105,823.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Plus Probable Reserves |
412793.8 | 42,930.6 | 76,399.2 | 62,971.3 | 2,736.9 | 227,755.9 | | 227,755.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Reserves |
517762.5 | 61,938.4 | 106,590.1 | 97,130.4 | 10,532.9 | 241,570.7 | 18,408.9 | 223,161.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Plus Probable Reserves |
917013.4 | 110,010.1 | 184,715.3 | 113,716.8 | 11,203.6 | 497,367.7 | 53,924.3 | 443,443.4 |
Note:
(1) | Revenue on United States properties is calculated on a net revenue interest and in Canada is calculated on gross company interest. |
Future Net Revenue
By Production Group
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Costs
By Production Group
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Costs
Future Net Revenue | ||||||||
Before Income Taxes | ||||||||
(Discounted at 10%/yr) | Unit Value | |||||||
(M$) | ($/boe) | |||||||
Proved Reserves |
||||||||
Light and Medium Crude Oil (including solution gas and other by-products) |
94,940.9 | 22.39 | ||||||
Heavy Oil (including solution gas and other by-products) |
175.0 | 21.87 | ||||||
Natural Gas (including by-products but excluding solution gas and by-products from oil wells) |
1,729.6 | 1.85 | ||||||
Total |
96,845.5 | 18.69 | ||||||
Proved Plus Probable Reserves |
||||||||
Light and Medium Crude Oil (including solution gas and other by-products) |
146,250.1 | 21.68 | ||||||
Heavy Oil (including solution gas and other by-products) |
281.3 | 20.49 | ||||||
Natural Gas (including by-products but excluding solution gas and by-products from oil wells) |
5,243.7 | 3.58 | ||||||
Total |
151,775.1 | 18.45 | ||||||
8
AJM employed the following pricing, exchange rate and inflation rate assumptions in
estimating the net present value of the future net revenue of the Companys reserves data using
forecast prices and costs as of December 31, 2010.
Summary of Pricing and Inflation Rate Assumptions
Crude Oil | Natural Gas | Other Factors | ||||||||||||||||||
Edmonton | ||||||||||||||||||||
WTI @ Cushing | City Gate | AECO | Exchange Rate | |||||||||||||||||
Year | $US/bbl | $CDN/bbl | $CDN/Mcf | $US/$C | Inflation % | |||||||||||||||
Historical |
||||||||||||||||||||
2006 |
66.06 | 73.34 | 6.54 | 0.88 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2007 |
72.38 | 77.09 | 6.44 | 0.92 | 2.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
2008 |
99.58 | 102.83 | 8.18 | 0.95 | 2.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
2009 |
61.78 | 66.21 | 3.96 | 0.87 | 0.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
2010 |
79.35 | 77.77 | 4.01 | 0.97 | 1.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
Forecast |
||||||||||||||||||||
2011 |
85.00 | 82.80 | 4.10 | 1.00 | 0.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2012 |
89.25 | 88.80 | 4.60 | 0.98 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2013 |
91.55 | 94.05 | 5.20 | 0.95 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2014 |
95.50 | 98.15 | 5.50 | 0.95 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2015 |
102.85 | 105.80 | 5.75 | 0.95 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2016 |
110.40 | 113.70 | 6.20 | 0.95 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2017 |
112.60 | 116.05 | 6.55 | 0.95 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2018 |
114.85 | 118.35 | 7.00 | 0.95 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2019 |
117.15 | 120.75 | 7.30 | 0.95 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2020 |
119.50 | 123.15 | 7.45 | 0.95 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
2021 |
121.90 | 125.60 | 7.60 | 0.95 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Thereafter |
2.0 | % | 2.0 | % | 2.0 | % | 0.95 | 2.0 | % |
In 2010, the Company received net weighted average selling prices of $75.04 per barrel for
oil and natural gas liquids and $4.06 per Mcf for natural gas.
9
Reconciliation of Gross Reserves by Country
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Costs
as of December 31, 2010
Forecast Prices and Costs
The following tables set forth a reconciliation of the Companys total gross proved, probable
and proved plus probable reserves as at December 31, 2010 against such reserves as at December 31,
2009 based on forecast price and cost assumptions:
Light And Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas(1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross | Gross | Gross | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Proved | Proved | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross | Gross | Plus | Gross | Gross | Plus | Gross | Gross | Plus | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Probable | Proved | Probable | Probable | Proved | Probable | Probable | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CANADA |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2009 |
455.2 | 178.5 | 633.7 | 16.0 | 6.8 | 22.8 | 8,281.7 | 4,301.6 | 12,583.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions |
| | | | | | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions |
1,923.9 | 1,083.8 | 3,007.7 | | | | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions |
25.8 | (1.5 | ) | 24.3 | (1.4 | ) | (0.9 | ) | (2.3 | ) | (465.9 | ) | (284.7 | ) | (750.6 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors |
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | | (0.1 | ) | (0.1 | ) | (136.3 | ) | 17.6 | (118.7 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions |
(6.7 | ) | (2.8 | ) | (9.5 | ) | | | | (3.0 | ) | (1.1 | ) | (4.1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Production |
(146.0 | ) | | (146.0 | ) | (6.6 | ) | | (6.6 | ) | (587.6 | ) | | (587.6 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2010 |
2,252.3 | 1,258.1 | 3,510.4 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 13.8 | 7,088.9 | 4,033.4 | 11,122.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
UNITED STATES |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2009 |
350.7 | 313.8 | 664.4 | | | | 24.7 | 20.2 | 45.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions |
17.4 | 8.8 | 26.2 | | | | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions |
2,466.8 | 1,380.1 | 3,846.9 | | | | 7.6 | 7.3 | 14.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions |
78.8 | 64.2 | 142.9 | | | | 8.6 | (0.5 | ) | 8.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors |
(0.2 | ) | 1.2 | 1.0 | | | | | | | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions |
| | | | | | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Production |
(72.2 | ) | | (72.2 | ) | | | | (5.8 | ) | | (5.8 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2010 |
2,841.3 | 1,768.0 | 4,609.3 | | | | 35.0 | 27.1 | 62.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2009 |
805.9 | 492.3 | 1,298.2 | 16.0 | 6.8 | 22.8 | 8,306.4 | 4,321.8 | 12,628.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions |
17.4 | 8.8 | 26.2 | | | | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions |
4,390.7 | 2,463.9 | 6,854.6 | | | | 7.6 | 7.3 | 14.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions |
104.5 | 62.7 | 167.2 | (1.4 | ) | (0.9 | ) | (2.3 | ) | (457.3 | ) | (285.2 | ) | (742.5 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors |
(0.1 | ) | 1.3 | 1.2 | | (0.1 | ) | (0.1 | ) | (136.3 | ) | 17.6 | (118.7 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions |
(6.7 | ) | (2.8 | ) | (9.5 | ) | | | | (3.0 | ) | (1.1 | ) | (4.1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Production |
(218.2 | ) | | (218.2 | ) | (6.6 | ) | | (6.6 | ) | (593.4 | ) | | (593.4 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2010 |
5,093.6 | 3,026.1 | 8,119.7 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 13.8 | 7,123.9 | 4,060.5 | 11,184.4 |
Note:
(1) | Natural gas volumes include associated, non-associated and solution gas. |
Additional Information Relating to Reserves Data
Significant Factors or Uncertainties
The process of estimating reserves is complex. It requires significant judgments and decisions
based on available geological, geophysical, engineering, and economic data. These estimates may
change substantially as additional data from ongoing development activities and production
performance becomes available and as economic conditions impacting oil and natural gas prices and
costs change. The reserve estimates contained herein are based on AJMs production forecasts,
prices and economic conditions at the time of preparation of the AJM Report.
As circumstances change and additional data becomes available, reserve estimates also change.
Estimates made are reviewed and revised, either upward or downward, as warranted by the new
information. Revisions are often required over time due to changes in well performance, prices,
economic conditions and governmental restrictions.
10
Although every reasonable effort is made to ensure that reserve estimates are accurate, reserve
estimation is an inferential science. As a result, the subjective decisions, new geological or
production information and a changing environment may impact these estimates. Revisions to reserve
estimates can arise from changes in year-end oil and gas prices, and reservoir performance. Such
revisions can be either positive or negative.
The Company does not anticipate any unusually high development costs or operating costs, the need
to build a major pipeline or other major facility before production of reserves can begin, or
contractual obligations to produce and sell a significant portion of production at prices
substantially below those which could be realized but for those contractual obligations.
Undeveloped Reserves
Natural Gas
Most of the proved undeveloped and probable undeveloped natural gas reserves are located in the
shallow natural gas Second White Specks (SWS) formation located at Enchant, Alberta. The Company
has 38 wells producing from this formation at Enchant. AJM has reviewed the landholdings and
geological mapping across the area and has assigned 6.25 gross sections as having proved
undeveloped and probable undeveloped reserves based on the proximity of these sections to current
producing wells. These undrilled proved and probable reserve assignments have been assigned using
statistical averages. Proved undeveloped reserves from 25 (25.0 net) locations total 3,375 MMcf
with a further 1,688 MMcf assigned as probable. In addition to these 25 undrilled SWS locations,
there are nine (8.9 net) producing SWS wells in which additional unperforated intervals have been
assigned proved undeveloped and probable undeveloped reserves totalling 710 MMcf and 355 MMcf,
respectively. The bulk of these undeveloped reserves were first assigned in 2005 and 2006.
Development of these proved and probable undeveloped reserves is estimated to occur in 2013 and
2015. The total capital required is $8,516,000 although the project can be broken into smaller
functional units.
Light and Medium Oil
In Divide County, North Dakota, AJM has reviewed the landholdings and geological mapping across the
area and has assigned proved developed reserves to 53 Bakken and Three Forks Sanish oil wells.
Generally, additional proved undeveloped reserves have been assigned to each of these 53 wells in
the form of a second well on the same section of land and in the form of a third well in acreage
that directly offsets the drilled section. In addition to these locations, probable undeveloped
reserves have been assigned to 21 locations based on their proximity to the proved locations. The
average working interest is approximately 8.8%. Proved undeveloped light and medium oil reserves of
2,104 Mbbls have been assigned to 106 proved locations. Probable assignments on those wells total
714 Mbbls. The 21 probable undeveloped locations total a further 619 Mbbls. Costs to develop the
106 proved locations total $49 million and the nine probable locations total $11 million and are
estimated to occur over the years 2011 to 2013.
In Burke County, North Dakota, AJM has reviewed the landholdings and geological mapping across the
area and has assigned proved developed reserves to four Bakken and Three Forks Sanish oil wells.
Four locations have been assigned proved undeveloped reserves. In addition to these locations,
probable undeveloped reserves have been assigned to one location based on its proximity to the
proved locations. The average working interest is approximately 18.6%. Proved undeveloped light and
medium oil reserves of 179 Mbbls have been assigned to four proved locations. Probable assignments
on those wells total 38 Mbbls and the single probable location is assigned 90 Mbbls. Costs to
develop the five undeveloped locations are $5 million and are estimated to occur in 2011 and 2012.
In Tableland Saskatchewan, AJM has reviewed the landholdings and geological mapping across the area
and has assigned proved developed reserves to 10 Three Forks Sanish oil wells. Fourteen locations
have been assigned proved undeveloped reserves. In addition to these locations, probable
undeveloped reserves have been assigned to two locations based on their proximity to the proved
locations. The average working interest is approximately 75%. Proved undeveloped light and medium
oil reserves of 1,217 Mbbls have been assigned to 14 proved locations. Probable assignments on
those wells total 518 Mbbls. The two probable undeveloped locations total a further 268 Mbbls.
Costs to develop the 14 proved locations total $32 million and the two probable locations total $5
million and are estimated to occur in 2011 and 2012.
11
The following tables present the undeveloped reserves that were first attributed in each of the
most recent three financial years and, in the aggregate, before that time.
Proved Undeveloped Reserves Gross
Light & Medium Oil | Natural Gas | Natural Gas Liquids | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mbbls | MMcf | Mbbls | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Year first | First | First | First | |||||||||||||||||||||
attributed | Attributed | Cumulative | Attributed | Cumulative | Attributed | Cumulative | ||||||||||||||||||
Prior thereto |
| | 5,033 | 5,033 | 15 | 15 | ||||||||||||||||||
2008 |
| | | 3,680 | | | ||||||||||||||||||
2009 |
174 | 174 | 405 | 4,085 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
2010 |
3,417 | 3,499 | | 4,085 | | |
Probable Undeveloped Reserves Gross
Light & Medium Oil | Natural Gas | Natural Gas Liquids | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mbbls | MMcf | Mbbls | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Year first | First | First | First | |||||||||||||||||||||
attributed | Attributed | Cumulative | Attributed | Cumulative | Attributed | Cumulative | ||||||||||||||||||
Prior thereto |
| | 2,883 | 2,883 | 10 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||
2008 |
| | | 1,840 | | | ||||||||||||||||||
2009 |
208 | 208 | 203 | 2,043 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
2010 |
2,122 | 2,275 | | 2,043 | | |
Future Development Costs
The following table sets forth the future development costs which have been deducted in determining
future net revenue attributable to the reserves categories noted below.
Canada | United States | |||||||||||||||
Forecast Prices and Costs | Forecast Prices and Costs | |||||||||||||||
Proved | ||||||||||||||||
Total | Proved Plus | Total | Plus | |||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved | Probable | |||||||||||||
Year | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | ||||||||||||
2011 |
30,693.6 | 33,003.6 | 29,435.7 | 33,648.1 | ||||||||||||
2012 |
6,505.4 | 9,029.9 | 20,538.3 | 26,002.9 | ||||||||||||
2013 |
411.5 | 411.5 | 1,441.9 | 3,320.3 | ||||||||||||
2014 |
| | | | ||||||||||||
2015 |
8,104.2 | 8,104.2 | | | ||||||||||||
Remaining |
| 196.4 | | | ||||||||||||
Total (Undiscounted) |
45,714.6 | 50,745.5 | 51,415.8 | 62,971.3 |
The Company expects to be able to fund the development costs required in the future from
internally generated funds and debt. However, certain of the properties are non-operated and the
pace of development is determined, in large measure, by the operators. There can be no assurances
that funds will be available or that the board of directors
of the Company will allocate funding to develop all of the reserves attributable in the AJM Report.
Failure to develop those reserves could have a negative impact on the Companys future cash flow.
12
OTHER OIL AND NATURAL GAS INFORMATION
Significant Properties
Alberta Enchant Second White Specks (SWS) Shallow Gas
This property consists of 16.75 sections of land on which 42 wells were drilled in 2005 at
virtually 100% working interest. Four wells (4.0 net) were subsequently abandoned in 2006 and as at
December 31, 2010, 38 wells were producing and 25 undrilled spacing units had been assigned proved
undeveloped and probable undeveloped reserves. The natural gas is collected by NuLochs gathering
system and compressed and processed through third-party facilities.
Alberta Balsam
As at December 31, 2010, NuLoch had a 63% interest in two producing Kiskatinaw oil wells at Balsam
that provided 24% of NuLochs production during 2010 on an oil-equivalent basis. The oil is
produced to tanks and trucked to market and the associated solution gas is processed in third-party
facilities.
Alberta Other
As at December 31, 2010, NuLoch had 5 (3.2 net) gas wells producing in the Enchant area of Southern
Alberta. The production is processed through third-party facilities. NuLoch also has one oil well
(1.0 net) at Enchant. These wells produce from the Mannville, Glauconite and Mississippian
formations. NuLoch has interests in other properties with 10 (3.9 net) gas wells and 1 (0.5 net)
oil wells.
Saskatchewan Tableland
As at December 31, 2010, NuLoch had 52,100 gross acres (38,700 net) of largely contiguous land that
is prospective for Bakken and Three Forks Sanish oil at Tableland. NuLoch had seven producing oil
wells (5.5 net) at Tableland at December 31, 2010 and had two wells (2.0 net) awaiting completion
and one well (0.7 net) drilling at year end. It is expected that most of the NuLochs capital
expenditure budget for Canadian properties will be directed to Tableland in 2011.
Oil production at Tableland averaged 163 bopd (NuLoch working interest) during the fourth quarter
of 2010. Oil is produced to tanks and trucked to market while associated natural gas is flared due
to a lack of proximal transportation and processing facilities. During Q1 2011, NuLoch is
constructing a central oil processing and water disposal facility to further optimize its
production operations at Tableland.
North Dakota
NuLoch acquired a 10% working interest in 240,000 largely contiguous acres in Divide County, North
Dakota on October 26, 2009. A further 39,000 gross acres (8,700 net) was acquired in Burke County
in January 2010. There are multiple operators on these blocks and since the acquisitions and up to
December 31, 2010, NuLoch has participated in the drilling of 42 wells (4.0 net). Most of the wells
target the Three Forks Sanish formation but some wells target the Bakken formation. At December 31,
2010, 11 horizontal wells (1.3 net) were awaiting completion and four wells (0.4 net) were
drilling.
Oil production in North Dakota averaged 286 bopd (NuLoch working interest) during the fourth
quarter of 2010. Oil is produced to tanks and is sold at the wellhead. Natural gas is conserved
where facilities exist but most is flared.
13
Wells
The following table presents the number and status of wells in which the Company has a working
interest at December 31, 2010. Non-producing gas wells have encountered and are capable of
producing hydrocarbons but are not producing as they are awaiting tie-in at December 31, 2010.
Well Status At December 31, 2010 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Oil Wells(1) | Natural Gas Wells | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Producing | Non-Producing | Producing | Non-Producing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Location | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alberta
|
4 | 2.8 | | | 60 | 50.5 | 1 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Saskatchewan
|
7 | 5.5 | 2 | 2.0 | | | | | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
North Dakota
|
60 | 5.5 | 11 | 1.3 | | | | | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
71 | 13.8 | 13 | 3.3 | 60 | 50.5 | 1 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Note:
(1) | All oil wells are in the light and medium oil reserve category except for 1 (1.0 net) heavy oil well |
The non-producing oil wells are awaiting fracture stimulation completion at December 31, 2010.
Properties with No Attributed Reserves
At December 31, 2010 the Company held unproved properties totalling 93,000 gross (64,000 net) acres
in Canada and 252,000 gross (29,600 net) acres in the United States. There are no costs or work
commitments in respect of the properties other than annual lease rental payments. Of the Canadian
unproved properties, approximately 32,000 gross (20,000 net) acres are set to expire in 2010. In
the United States, most of the mineral rights have been acquired with varying durations from
freehold owners. The Company estimates that 37,000 gross acres (4,100 net) will expire in North
Dakota in 2011.
Abandonment and Reclamation Costs
The Company estimates the costs associated with well abandonment and reclamation based on its
previous experience, costs, industry standards, current regulations and geographic location. The
Company expects to incur abandonment and reclamation costs on 179 (85.9 net) wells.
In the Companys annual audited financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2010, the
estimate in respect of abandonment and reclamation costs for existing surface leases, wells,
facilities and pipelines, expressed in future dollars is $4,473,000 ($1,357,000 using an 8%
discount factor and $1,171,000 using an 10% discount factor). Salvage, expressed in future dollars,
is estimated at $4,473,000 ($406,000 using a 10% discount factor). In the AJM Report, AJM estimates
the costs to abandon wells, making no provision for reclamation costs, at $6,502,000
($1,937,000 using a 10% discount factor). In addition, AJM makes a site-specific estimate of future
abandonment and reclamation for 173 (48.3 net) undrilled locations associated with proved
undeveloped reserves that totals $4,107,000 ($339,000 using a 10% discount factor).
Over the next three years, the Company expects to pay $832,000 ($755,000 at 10% discount factor) in
respect of abandonment and reclamation. Salvage recovery in the next three years is nominal.
14
Costs Incurred
The following table presents the capital costs by category in the year ended December 31, 2010
including asset retirement expenditures incurred and excluding estimates of future asset retirement
obligations and administrative assets.
Capital Costs Incurred 2010 | ||||||||||||
United | ||||||||||||
Canada | States | Total | ||||||||||
Category | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | |||||||||
Property Acquisition Unproved |
1,414 | 7,325 | 8,739 | |||||||||
Property Acquisition Proved |
| | | |||||||||
Exploration |
10,089 | 2,895 | 12,984 | |||||||||
Development |
20,950 | 15,246 | 36,196 | |||||||||
32,453 | 25,466 | 57,919 | ||||||||||
Exploration and Development Activities
Wells Drilled in 2010 Canada | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Oil | Gas | Pending(1) | Dry | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Category | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||||||||||
Exploratory
|
| | | | | | 1 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Development
|
6 | 4.5 | | | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | 0.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||
6 | 4.5 | | | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wells Drilled in 2010 United States | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Oil | Gas | Pending(1) | Dry | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Category | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||||||||||
Exploratory
|
| | | | | | 1 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Development
|
20 | 1.7 | | | 15 | 1.7 | | | ||||||||||||||||||||
20 | 1.7 | | | 15 | 1.7 | 1 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Note:
(1) | Drilled or drilling on December 31, 2010 but completion operations are still pending. |
The Company has a planned capital budget of $80 million in 2011 that is expected to be split
evenly to development activities in Saskatchewan and North Dakota. If commercial quantities of oil
are obtained, there is a significant base of land upon which follow-up drilling may be undertaken.
AJM has forecast a considerable capital program over the next two years with a view to bring proved
undeveloped reserves into production (see Undeveloped Reserves).
The Company has deferred plans to direct a portion of its capital budget to further development of
its SWS natural gas resource. There are 25 (25.0 net) locations in the AJM Report that were
undrilled at December 31, 2010. In addition, there are nine completion operations that are
considered proved undeveloped in the AJM Report. The Company has plans to drill and/or complete
these wells in an orderly fashion as strength returns to natural gas markets and Company financing
allows with the bulk of the expenditure currently forecast for 2015.
Tax Horizon
The Company was not required to pay income taxes with respect to the taxation year ended December
31, 2010. The AJM Report estimates that no income tax is payable (proved developed producing basis,
undiscounted). The
15
Company is a going concern and expects to make expenditures and generate cash flows with
respect to other, as yet undrilled or unidentified, prospects for which no reserve evaluation has
been prepared. Estimates of future corporate taxability cannot be made with a reasonable level of
certainty.
Production Estimates
The following table sets out the volumes of the Companys production estimated by AJM for the year
ended December 31, 2010, which is reflected in the estimate of future net revenue disclosed in the
forecast price tables contained above.
Light and Medium | ||||||||||||||||||||
Crude Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas | NGLs | Oil Equivalent | ||||||||||||||||
Reserves Category | (bbls/d) | (bbls/d) | (Mcf/d) | (bbls/d) | (boe/d) | |||||||||||||||
CANADA |
||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Reserves |
||||||||||||||||||||
Alberta Balsam |
161 | | 66 | | 172 | |||||||||||||||
Alberta Enchant SWS |
| | 644 | | 107 | |||||||||||||||
Alberta Other |
35 | 14 | 402 | 2 | 118 | |||||||||||||||
Saskatchewan Tableland |
603 | | | | 603 | |||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Reserves |
799 | 14 | 1,112 | 2 | 1,000 | |||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Plus Probable Reserves |
||||||||||||||||||||
Alberta Balsam |
167 | | 68 | | 178 | |||||||||||||||
Alberta Enchant SWS |
| | 666 | | 111 | |||||||||||||||
Alberta Other |
43 | 15 | 441 | 2 | 131 | |||||||||||||||
Saskatchewan Tableland |
649 | | | | 649 | |||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Plus Probable Reserves |
859 | 15 | 1,175 | 2 | 1,070 | |||||||||||||||
UNITED STATES |
||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Reserves |
||||||||||||||||||||
Burke County |
57 | | | | 57 | |||||||||||||||
Divide County |
682 | | 14 | | 684 | |||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Reserves |
739 | | 14 | | 741 | |||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Plus Probable Reserves |
||||||||||||||||||||
Burke County |
60 | | | | 57 | |||||||||||||||
Divide County |
726 | | 16 | | 729 | |||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Plus Probable Reserves |
786 | | 16 | | 786 | |||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Reserves |
1,538 | 14 | 1,126 | 2 | 1,741 | |||||||||||||||
Gross Proved Plus Probable Reserves |
1,645 | 15 | 1,191 | 2 | 1,856 |
16
Netback History
Netback History | |||||||||||||||||||||
$ per unit of production | |||||||||||||||||||||
Price | Royalties | Production | |||||||||||||||||||
Product Type | Received | Paid | Costs | Netbacks | |||||||||||||||||
CANADA |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Light & Medium Crude Oil ($/bbl) |
Q1 2010 | 82.62 | 31.48 | 7.72 | 43.42 | ||||||||||||||||
Q2 2010 | 75.81 | 23.23 | 11.99 | 40.59 | |||||||||||||||||
Q3 2010 | 75.65 | 24.12 | 15.85 | 35.68 | |||||||||||||||||
Q4 2010 | 80.55 | 24.55 | 23.66 | 32.34 | |||||||||||||||||
Heavy Oil ($/bbl) |
Q1 2010 | 83.24 | 19.26 | 19.45 | 44.53 | ||||||||||||||||
Q2 2010 | 76.16 | 14.96 | 17.77 | 43.43 | |||||||||||||||||
Q3 2010 | 71.96 | 10.32 | 17.11 | 44.53 | |||||||||||||||||
Q4 2010 | 72.77 | 11.18 | 23.78 | 37.81 | |||||||||||||||||
Natural Gas ( $/Mcf) |
Q1 2010 | 5.17 | 0.16 | 2.05 | 2.96 | ||||||||||||||||
Q2 2010 | 3.72 | 0.65 | 2.44 | 0.63 | |||||||||||||||||
Q3 2010 | 3.71 | 0.20 | 4.04 | (0.53 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Q4 2010 | 3.39 | 0.29 | 2.19 | 0.91 | |||||||||||||||||
UNITED STATES(1) |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Light & Medium Crude Oil ($/bbl) |
Q1 2010 | 73.18 | 20.61 | 9.90 | 42.67 | ||||||||||||||||
Q2 2010 | 72.57 | 17.26 | 5.57 | 49.74 | |||||||||||||||||
Q3 2010 | 70.09 | 17.32 | 7.15 | 45.62 | |||||||||||||||||
Q4 2010 | 73.47 | 24.68 | 8.24 | 40.55 | |||||||||||||||||
Notes: | ||
(1) | The Companys United States natural gas production is not material. |
The above netbacks are based on the volume of primary product produced from a well. By-product
volumes are excluded from the calculations but their associated revenues, royalties and operating
expenses are included with the revenues, royalties and operating expenses of the wells primary
product.
17
Production History
Gross Working Interest Production History Average In Period | |||||||||||||||||||||
Combined | |||||||||||||||||||||
Light & | Natural Gas | Oil | |||||||||||||||||||
Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas | Liquids | Equivalent | |||||||||||||||||
Period | (bbl/d) | (bbl/d) | (Mcf/d) | (bbl/d) | (boe/d) | ||||||||||||||||
SALES Canada |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 2010 |
341 | 22 | 2,034 | 5 | 706 | ||||||||||||||||
Q2 2010 |
462 | 19 | 1,636 | 3 | 756 | ||||||||||||||||
Q3 2010 |
409 | 18 | 1,451 | 4 | 672 | ||||||||||||||||
Q4 2010 |
388 | 14 | 1,328 | 3 | 626 | ||||||||||||||||
Year 2010 |
400 | 18 | 1,610 | 4 | 690 | ||||||||||||||||
SALES United States |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 2010 |
128 | | 14 | | 131 | ||||||||||||||||
Q2 2010 |
165 | | 23 | | 169 | ||||||||||||||||
Q3 2010 |
207 | | 19 | | 210 | ||||||||||||||||
Q4 2010 |
290 | | 8 | | 291 | ||||||||||||||||
Year 2010 |
198 | | 16 | | 201 | ||||||||||||||||
SALES Total |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 2010 |
469 | 22 | 2,047 | 5 | 837 | ||||||||||||||||
Q2 2010 |
627 | 19 | 1,659 | 3 | 925 | ||||||||||||||||
Q3 2010 |
615 | 18 | 1,470 | 4 | 882 | ||||||||||||||||
Q4 2010 |
678 | 14 | 1,336 | 3 | 917 | ||||||||||||||||
Year 2010 |
598 | 18 | 1,626 | 4 | 891 |
Gross Working Interest Production By Property Average In 2010 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Combined | ||||||||||||||||||||
Light & | Natural Gas | Oil | ||||||||||||||||||
Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas | Liquids | Equivalent | ||||||||||||||||
Field | (bbl/d) | (bbl/d) | (Mcf/d) | (bbl/d) | (boe/d) | |||||||||||||||
Alberta Shallow Gas |
| | 657 | | 110 | |||||||||||||||
Alberta Balsam |
198 | | 124 | | 218 | |||||||||||||||
Alberta Others |
34 | 18 | 828 | 4 | 194 | |||||||||||||||
Saskatchewan Tableland |
168 | | | | 168 | |||||||||||||||
North Dakota Burke |
10 | | | | 10 | |||||||||||||||
North Dakota Divide |
188 | | 16 | | 191 | |||||||||||||||
Year 2010 |
598 | 18 | 1,626 | 4 | 891 | |||||||||||||||
18
FORM 51-101 F2
REPORT ON RESERVES DATA
BY
INDEPENDENT QUALIFIED RESERVES
EVALUATOR OR AUDITOR
REPORT ON RESERVES DATA
BY
INDEPENDENT QUALIFIED RESERVES
EVALUATOR OR AUDITOR
To the Board of Directors of NuLoch Resources Inc. (the Company):
1. | We have evaluated the Companys reserves data as at December 31, 2010. The reserves data are estimates of proved reserves and probable reserves and related future net revenue as at December 31, 2010 estimated using forecast prices and costs. | |
2. | The reserves data are the responsibility of the Companys management. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on the reserves data based on our evaluation. | |
We carried out our evaluation in accordance with standards set out in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the COGE Handbook) prepared jointly by the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers (Calgary Chapter) and the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy & Petroleum (Petroleum Society). | ||
3. | Those standards require that we plan and perform an evaluation to obtain reasonable assurance as to whether the reserves data are free of material misstatement. An evaluation also includes assessing whether the reserves data are in accordance with principles and definitions presented in the COGE Handbook. | |
4. | The following table sets forth the estimated future net revenue (before deduction of income taxes) attributed to proved plus probable reserves, estimated using forecast prices and costs and calculated using a discount rate of 10 percent, included in the reserves data of the Company evaluated by us for the year end December 31, 2010 and identifies the respective portions thereof that we have evaluated and reported on to the Companys management/Board of Directors: |
Independent | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Qualified | Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserves | NuLoch Resources Inc. | Location of Reserves | ($M, before income taxes, 10% discount rate) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Evaluator or | Reserve Estimation and | (Country or Foreign | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Auditor | Economic Evaluation | Geographic Area) | Adited | Evaluatd | Reviewed | Total | ||||||||||||||||||
AJM Petroleum
Consultants |
February 15, 2011 | Canada | | $ | 87,708.0 | | $ | 87,708.0 | ||||||||||||||||
AJM Petroleum
Consultants |
February 15, 2011 | United States | | $ | 64,067.1 | | $ | 64,067.1 |
5. | In our opinion, the reserves data respectively evaluated by us have, in all material respects, been determined and or in accordance with the COGE Handbook, consistently applied. We express no opinion on the reserves data that we reviewed but did not audit or evaluate. | |
6. | We have no responsibility to update our reports referred to in paragraph 4 for events and circumstances occurring after their respective preparation dates. | |
7. | Because the reserves data are based on judgments regarding future events, actual events will vary and the variations may be material. | |
8. | Executed as to our report referred to above: |
AJM Petroleum Consultants |
||||
Fifth Avenue Place, East Tower |
||||
6th Floor, 425 1st Street S.W.
|
Original signed by: Douglas S. Ashton | |||
Calgary, Alberta
|
Douglas S. Ashton, P. Eng. | |||
T2P 3P8
|
Vice President Engineering | |||
Execution date: February 15, 2011 |
NULOCH RESOURCES INC.
FORM 51-101F3
FORM 51-101F3
REPORT OF MANAGEMENT AND DIRECTORS
ON RESERVES DATA AND OTHER INFORMATION
ON RESERVES DATA AND OTHER INFORMATION
Management of NuLoch Resources Inc. (the Company) is responsible for the preparation and
disclosure of information with respect to the Companys oil and gas activities in accordance with
securities regulatory requirements. This information includes reserves data which are estimates of
proved reserves and probable reserves and related future net revenue as at December 31, 2010,
estimated using forecast prices and costs.
An independent qualified reserves evaluator has evaluated the Companys reserves data. The report
of the independent qualified reserves evaluator will be filed with securities regulatory
authorities concurrently with this report.
The Reserves Committee of the Board of Directors of the Company has
(a) | reviewed the Companys procedures for providing information to the independent qualified reserves evaluator; | ||
(b) | met with the independent qualified reserves evaluator to determine whether any restrictions affected the ability of the independent qualified reserves evaluator to report without reservation; and | ||
(c) | reviewed the reserves data with management of the Company and the independent qualified reserves evaluator. |
The Reserves Committee of the Board of Directors has reviewed the Companys procedures for
assembling and reporting other information associated with oil and gas activities and has reviewed
that information with management of the Company. The board of directors has, on the recommendation
of the Reserves Committee, approved
(a) | the content and filing with securities regulatory authorities of Form 51-101F1 containing reserves data and other oil and gas information; | ||
(b) | the filing of Form 51-101F2 which is the report of the independent qualified reserves evaluator on the reserves data; and | ||
(c) | the content and filing of this report. |
Because the reserves data are based on judgments regarding future events, actual results will
vary and the variations may be material.
(signed) R. Glenn Dawson
|
(signed) John R. (Jack) Perraton | |
R. Glenn Dawson
|
John R. (Jack) Perraton | |
Chief Executive Officer
|
Director and Member of the Reserves Committee | |
(signed) Terry A. Schneider
|
(signed) Bruce A. Lawrence | |
Terry A. Schneider
|
Bruce A. Lawrence | |
Vice-President, Operations
|
Director and Member of the Reserves Committee | |
February 15, 2011 |