Attached files
| file | filename |
|---|---|
| 8-K - FORM 8-K - PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC | d765207d8k.htm |
| EX-99 - EX-99 - PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC | d765207dex99.htm |
 Public Service Enterprise Group
PSEG Earnings Conference Call
2
nd
Quarter 2014
July 30, 2014
EXHIBIT 99.1 |
 1
Forward-Looking Statement
Certain of the matters discussed in this report about our and our subsidiaries'
future performance, including, without limitation, future revenues, earnings, strategies, prospects, consequences
and all other statements that are not purely historical constitute
“forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking
statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual
results to differ materially from those anticipated. Such statements are based on management's beliefs as well as
assumptions made by and information currently available to management. When
used herein, the words “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “believe,” “expect,” “plan,” “should,” “hypothetical,”
“potential,” “forecast,” “project,” variations of
such words and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to differ are often
presented with the forward-looking statements themselves. Other factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in any forward-looking statements made by
us herein are discussed in filings we make with the United States Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports on Form 10-Q
and Form 8-K and available on our website: http://www.pseg.com. These
factors include, but are not limited to: •
adverse changes in the demand for or the price of the capacity and energy that
we sell into wholesale electricity markets, •
adverse changes in energy industry law, policies and regulation, including
market structures and a potential shift away from competitive markets toward subsidized market
mechanisms, transmission planning and cost allocation rules, including rules
regarding how transmission is planned and who is permitted to build transmission in the future, and
reliability standards,
•
any inability of our transmission and distribution businesses to obtain
adequate and timely rate relief and regulatory approvals from federal and state regulators,
•
changes in federal and state environmental regulations and enforcement that
could increase our costs or limit our operations, •
changes in nuclear regulation and/or general developments in the nuclear power
industry, including various impacts from any accidents or incidents experienced at our facilities or
by others in the industry, that could limit operations of our nuclear
generating units, •
actions or activities at one of our nuclear units located on a multi-unit
site that might adversely affect our ability to continue to operate that unit or other units located at the same site,
•
any inability to manage our energy obligations, available supply and risks,
adverse outcomes of any legal, regulatory or other proceeding,
settlement, investigation or claim applicable to us and/or the energy industry,
•
any deterioration in our credit quality or the credit quality of our
counterparties, •
availability of capital and credit at commercially reasonable terms and
conditions and our ability to meet cash needs, •
changes in the cost of, or interruption in the supply of, fuel and other
commodities necessary to the operation of our generating units, •
delays in receipt of necessary permits and approvals for our
construction and development activities, •
delays or unforeseen cost escalations in our construction and development
activities, •
any inability to achieve, or continue to sustain, our expected levels of
operating performance, •
any equipment failures, accidents, severe weather events or other incidents
that impact our ability to provide safe and reliable service to our customers, and any inability to obtain
sufficient insurance coverage or recover proceeds of insurance with respect to
such events, •
acts of terrorism, cybersecurity attacks or intrusions that could adversely
impact our businesses, •
increases in competition in energy supply markets as well as competition for
certain transmission projects, •
any inability to realize anticipated tax benefits or retain tax credits,
•
challenges associated with recruitment and/or retention of a qualified
workforce, •
adverse performance of our decommissioning and defined benefit plan trust fund
investments and changes in funding requirements, •
changes in technology, such as distributed generation and micro grids, and
greater reliance on these technologies, and •
changes in customer behaviors, including increases in energy efficiency,
net-metering and demand response. All of the forward-looking
statements made in this report are qualified by these cautionary statements and we cannot assure you that the results or developments anticipated by management
will be realized or even if realized, will have the expected consequences to,
or effects on, us or our business prospects, financial condition or results of operations. Readers are cautioned not
to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements in making any
investment decision. Forward-looking statements made in this report apply only as of the date of this report. While
we may elect to update forward-looking statements from time to time, we
specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, even if internal estimates change, unless otherwise required by applicable
securities laws.
The forward-looking statements contained in this report are intended to
qualify for the safe harbor provisions of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. |
 2
GAAP Disclaimer
PSEG presents Operating Earnings in addition to its Net Income reported in
accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United
States (GAAP). Operating Earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that
differs from Net Income because it excludes gains or losses associated with
Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT), Mark-to-Market (MTM)
accounting, and other material one-time items. PSEG presents
Operating Earnings because management believes that it is appropriate for
investors to
consider results excluding these items in addition to the results reported in
accordance with GAAP. PSEG believes that the non-GAAP financial
measure of Operating Earnings provides a consistent and comparable
measure of performance of its businesses to help shareholders understand
performance trends. This information is not
intended to be viewed as an
alternative to GAAP information. The last slide in this presentation includes
a list of items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings,
with a reference to that slide included on each of the slides where the
non- GAAP information appears.
These
materials
and
other
financial
releases
can
be
found
on
the
pseg.com
website
under the investor tab, or at http://investor.pseg.com/
|
 PSEG
2014 Q2 Review
Ralph Izzo
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer |
 4
Q2 Earnings Summary
$ millions (except EPS)
2014
2013
Operating Earnings
$ 245
$ 243
Reconciling Items, Net of Tax
(33)
90
Net Income
$ 212
$ 333
EPS from Operating Earnings*
$ 0.49
$ 0.48
Quarter ended June 30
* See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings.
|
 5
First Half 2014 Earnings Summary
Six months ended June
30 $
millions (except EPS) Operating Earnings
Reconciling Items, Net of Tax
Net Income
EPS from Operating Earnings*
2014
2013
$ 760
(162)
$ 598
$ 1.50
$ 676
(23)
$ 653
$ 1.33
* See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. |
 6
PSEG
–
Q2
2014
Highlights
Earnings on Track
Operating earnings of $0.49 vs. $0.48 per share in Q2 2013
Increased earnings contribution from PSE&G’s investment in
Transmission Expect 2014 Operating Earnings to be at the upper end of
the $2.55
to
$2.75
per
share
guidance
range
–
assuming
normal
weather
and
plant
operations
for the balance of the year
Operating Review
PSEG Power output down 5% vs. Q2 2013 from Linden and Salem 2 outages,
partially offset by improvement in coal generation
PSE&G placed the 230 kV North Central Reliability transmission project in
service Power’s fleet fully restored from storm outages
PSEG Disciplined Capital Investment
BPU approved $1.22 billion investment in PSE&G’s Energy Strong
infrastructure program PJM
deferred
a
final
decision
on
its
recommended
solution,
to
be
built
by
PSE&G,
for
the
Artificial Island project via FERC 1000 competitive bidding process
Market Developments
Recent EPA actions on 316(b) and GHGs |
 7
$2.55 -
$2.75E
PSEG –
2014 Earnings Guidance at the Upper End of Range
$2.44
$2.58
2014 guidance reflects increased level of investment,
pension savings and assumes normal weather and unit operations for rest of
year 2012 Operating Earnings*
2013 Operating Earnings*
2014 Operating Earnings Guidance
* See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. E =
Estimate. |
 PSEG
2014 Q2 Operating Company Review
Caroline Dorsa
EVP and Chief Financial Officer |
 9
Q2 Operating Earnings by Subsidiary
Operating Earnings
Earnings per Share
$ millions (except EPS)
2014
2013
2014
2013
PSE&G
$ 151
$ 121
$ 0.30
$ 0.24
PSEG Power
87
120
0.17
0.24
PSEG Enterprise/Other
7
2
0.02
-
Operating Earnings*
$ 245
$ 243
$ 0.49
$ 0.48
Quarter ended June 30
* See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. |
 10
$0.48
0.06
0.02
$0.49
(0.07)
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
PSEG EPS Reconciliation –
Q2 2014 versus Q2 2013
Q2 2014
Operating
Earnings*
Q2 2013
Operating
Earnings*
PSEG Power
PSE&G
Enterprise/
Other
Capacity 0.04
Re-Contracting & Market
Pricing (0.04)
Lower Volume (0.03)
O&M (0.04)
D&A (0.01)
Taxes & Other 0.01
Transmission
Net Earnings 0.03
Gas Volume &
Other Revenue 0.01
Weather (0.01)
O&M 0.02
Lower Interest
Expense 0.01
PSEG
Long Island
and Other
* See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. |
 11
First Half Operating Earnings by Subsidiary
Operating Earnings
Earnings per Share
$ millions (except EPS)
2014
2013
2014
2013
PSE&G
$ 365
$ 300
$ 0.72
$ 0.59
PSEG Power
380
374
0.75
0.74
PSEG Enterprise/Other
15
2
0.03
-
Operating Earnings*
$ 760
$ 676
$ 1.50
$ 1.33
Six months ended June 30
•See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating
Earnings. |
 12
$1.50
0.03
0.01
0.13
$1.33
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
1.75
PSEG EPS Reconciliation –
First Half 2014 versus First Half 2013
YTD 2014
Operating
Earnings*
YTD 2013
Operating
Earnings*
Capacity 0.15
Re-Contracting
& Market Pricing
(0.04)
Lower Volume (0.01)
O&M (0.08)
D&A (0.01)
PSEG Power
Transmission
Net Earnings 0.06
Gas Volume,
Demand & Other
Revenue 0.03
Distribution
O&M 0.02
Lower Interest
Expense 0.01
Taxes & Other 0.01
PSE&G
Enterprise/
Other
PSEG Long
Island and
Other
* See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings.
|
 PSE&G
2014 Q2 Review |
 14
PSE&G –
Q2 EPS Summary
$ millions (except EPS)
Q2 2014
Q2 2013
Variance
Operating Revenues
$ 1,435
$ 1,423
$ 12
Operating Expenses
565
580
(15)
362
369
(7)
217
207
10
-
14
(14)
Total Operating Expenses
1,144
1,170
(26)
Operating Earnings/Net Income
$ 151
$ 121
$ 30
EPS from Operating Earnings/Net Income
$ 0.30
$ 0.24
$ 0.06
Energy Costs
Operation & Maintenance
Depreciation & Amortization
Taxes Other than Income Taxes |
 15
PSE&G EPS Reconciliation –
Q2 2014
versus Q2 2013
Q2 2013
Operating
Earnings*
Q2 2014
Operating
Earnings*
* Operating Earnings is equal to Net Income.
$0.24
0.03
0.03
$0.30
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
Transmission
Net Earnings 0.03
Gas Volume &
Other Revenue 0.01
Weather (0.01)
O&M 0.02
Lower Interest
Expense 0.01 |
 16
PSE&G –
Monthly Summer Weather Data
84
579
2,771
83
1,242
3,330
170
794
3,054
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2,400
2,800
3,200
3,600
4,000
April
May
June
2014
2013
Normal
2014 vs. 2013 vs. Normal
PSE&G Monthly Temperature Humidity Index (THI)
-26% Q2 2014 vs. Q2 2013
-15% Q2 2014 vs. Normal |
 17
PSE&G –
Q2 2014 Operating Highlights
Operations
PSE&G received final NJBPU approval to invest $1.22 billion in the Energy
Strong program PJM
deferred
a
final
decision
on
its
recommended
solution,
to
be
built
by
PSE&G,
for
the
Artificial Island project via FERC 1000 competitive bidding process
Construction
of
major
transmission
lines
progressing
on
schedule
and
on
budget
PSE&G residential gas customers to benefit from a proposed rate reduction this
October, estimated to save the average customer $100 per year
PSE&G plans to invest over $2.2 billion in its T&D system in 2014
PSE&G’s 2014-2018 Capital Spending increased to $11.3 billion
with recently approved Energy Strong PSE&G earned its authorized return
in the quarter PSE&G issued $250 million, 1.8% secured medium-term
notes due June 2019 and $250 million, 4% secured medium-term notes due
June 2044 S&P revised PSE&G’s credit rating outlook from Stable
to Positive Financial
Q2 2014 weather was milder than Q2 2013: Heating degree days were 3% below
normal, and cooling load was 15% below normal
Economy slowly improving, weather normalized electric sales up 1.6% YTD;
residential demand up 0.5% and commercial sector up 1.3% in Q2
Gas deliveries (weather normal), up 7.5% in Q2 and up 4.4% for the YTD, continue to
benefit from decline in supply costs
Regulatory and Market
Environment |
 PSEG
Power 2014 Q2 Review |
 19
PSEG Power –
Q2 EPS Summary
$ millions (except EPS)
Q2 2014
Q2 2013
Variance
Operating Revenues
$ 986
$ 1,193
$ (207)
Operating Earnings
87
120
(33)
Reconciling Items, Net of Tax**
(33)
90
(123)
Net Income
$ 54
$ 210
$ (156)
EPS from Operating Earnings*
$ 0.17
$ 0.24
$ (0.07)
* See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings.
** Includes the financial impact from Mark-to-Market positions with forward delivery
months. |
 20
$0.24
0.01
$0.17
(0.03)
(0.05)
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
Capacity 0.04
Lower Volume (0.03)
Re-Contracting &
Market Pricing
(0.04)
PSEG Power EPS Reconciliation –
Q2 2014 versus Q2 2013
Q2 2014
Operating
Earnings*
Q2 2013
Operating
Earnings*
O&M (0.04)
D&A (0.01)
Taxes
and
Other
* See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings.
|
 21
PSEG Power –
Q2 2014 Generation Measures
7,147
6,538
4,187
3,788
1,724
1,384
0
7,000
14,000
2013
2014
Quarter ended June 30
Total Nuclear
Total Coal*
Oil & Natural Gas
Generation by Fuel (GWh)**
12,050
Quarter ended June 30
2013
2014
Combined
Cycle
PJM and NY
57%
49%
Coal*
NJ (Coal/Gas)
8%
14%
PA
70%
80%
CT
3%
4%
Nuclear
88%
81%
12,718
Fleet Capacity Factors (%)
54%
of
Output
31%
of
Output
* Includes figures for Pumped Storage; also includes Natural Gas fuel switching
intervals. ** Excludes Solar and Kalaeloa. |
 22
PSEG Power –
YTD 2014 Generation Measures
15,284
14,588
7,764
3,590
4,266
8,001
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
2013
2014
Six Months ended June 30
Total Nuclear
Total Coal*
Oil & Natural Gas
26,875
26,618
Six Months ended June 30
2013
2014
Combined Cycle
PJM and NY
55%
48%
Coal*
NJ (Coal/Gas)
13%
17%
PA
78%
81%
CT
19%
38%
Nuclear
94%
90%
29%
of
Output
55%
of
Output
Generation by Fuel (GWh)**
Fleet Capacity Factors (%)
* Includes figures for Pumped Storage; also includes Natural Gas fuel switching
intervals. ** Excludes Solar and Kalaeloa. |
 23
PSEG Power –
Fuel Costs
Quarter ended June 30
($ millions)
2013
2014
Coal
$30
$40
Oil & Gas
160
119
Total Fossil
190
159
Nuclear
52
47
Total Fuel Cost
$242
$206
Total Generation
(GWh)
12,718
12,050
$ / MWh
19.03
17.10
PSEG Power –
Fuel Costs
YTD June 30
($ millions)
2013
2014
Coal
$96
$127
Oil & Gas
338
484
Total Fossil
434
611
Nuclear
110
109
Total Fuel Cost
$544
$720
Total Generation
(GWh)
26,875
26,618
$ / MWh
20.24
27.05 |
 24
PSEG Power –
Gross Margin Performance
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
2012
2013
2014
$42
$43
Quarter ended June 30
Weather-driven volatility pushed natural gas and power prices to multi-year
highs; Q2 spot prices in PJM peaked in April
Decline in average hedge prices
Capacity prices reset on June 1 to ~$166/MW-day and remain stable for the next
three capacity years Fuel
flexibility
and
access
to
lower
cost
Marcellus
gas
continue
to
benefit
margin
Q2 2014 Regional Performance
Region
Gross
Margin ($M)
2014 Performance
PJM
$468
Higher capacity pricing for most of
the quarter offset lower hedge prices.
Output hurt by outages at Linden
and Salem 2.
New
England
$18
Higher volume offset lower priced
hedges.
New York
$18
Higher volume offset lower pricing.
PSEG Power Gross Margin ($/MWh)
$43 |
 25
Hedging Update…
Contracted Energy*
* Hedge
percentages
and
prices
as
of
June
30,
2014.
Revenues
of
full
requirement
load
deals
based
on
contract
price,
including
renewable
energy
credits,
ancillary,
and
transmission
components
but
excluding
capacity.
Hedges
include
positions
with
MTM
accounting
treatment
and
options.
Jul-Dec
2014
2015
2016
Volume TWh
17
36
36
Base Load
% Hedged
100%
100%
45-50%
(Nuclear and Base Load Coal)
Price $/MWh
$50
$50
$51
Volume TWh
13
21
19
Intermediate Coal, Combined
% Hedged
35-40%
5-10%
0%
Cycle, Peaking
Price $/MWh
$50
$50
$51
Volume TWh
30
55-57
55-57
Total
% Hedged
70-75%
65-70%
30-35%
Price $/MWh
$50
$50
$51 |
 26
PSEG Power –
Q2 2014 Operating Highlights
Q2 output down 5% due to Linden and Salem 2 outages
Advance gas path uprates (~63MW) completed at Linden
Output of NJ coal units was 10% coal, 90% gas fueled in Q2; 45% coal, 55% gas for
the YTD Operations
Financial
Regulatory and Market
Environment
Capacity pricing for the 2014/2015 capacity year reset to $166 MW/day on June
1 Access to Marcellus gas benefited off-system sales and reduced the
fleet’s cost of gas FERC and PJM reviewing implications of circuit
court ruling on use of DR in capacity auctions Power recorded a charge of $25
million in Q1 2014 related to potential liability associated with the
discovery of bidding errors in the PJM energy market. Power identified additional
errors in Q2 2014, as well as differences between the quantity of energy
offered into the market and the amount for which it was compensated
in
the
capacity
market.
Power
has
corrected
these
errors.
This
matter
remains
under
review
with the FERC,
PJM and its Independent Market Monitor. We are unable to estimate the
ultimate impact or predict any resulting penalties or other costs associated
with the matter at this time. Power’s total debt as a percentage of
capital at June 30 was 32% S&P revised PSEG Power’s credit rating
outlook from Stable to Positive |
 PSEG |
 28
PSEG Financial Highlights
Maintaining
2014
operating
earnings
guidance
of
$2.55
-
$2.75
per
share,
expecting results at upper end of the range
Focused on maintaining operating efficiency and customer reliability
PSE&G expected to grow at double-digit rate in 2014 and provide over 50% of
operating earnings PSE&G expanded capital program of $11.3 billion over
2014-2018 is expected to further support double digit rate base
growth PSEG capital program now projected at $13.1 billion over the
2014-2018 period PSE&G has begun construction of Energy Strong
infrastructure projects and continues to build out its Transmission plan
on-time and on-budget Financial position remains strong
Positive cash from Power and increasing cash flow from PSE&G supports
sustainable dividend growth and funds capital spending program without the
need to issue equity PSEG’s debt as a percentage of capital was 42% at
June 30 Standard & Poor’s revised the credit rating outlooks of
PSEG, PSE&G and PSEG Power from Stable to Positive in May
Long history of returning cash to the shareholder through the common dividend,
with opportunity for consistent and sustainable dividend growth
|
 29
PSEG 2014 Operating Earnings Guidance -
By Subsidiary
$ millions (except EPS)
2014E
2013
2012
PSE&G
$705 –
$745
$612
$528
PSEG Power
$550 –
$610
$710
$663
PSEG Enterprise/Other
$35 –
$40
$(13)
$45
Operating Earnings*
$1,290 –
$1,395
$1,309
$1,236
Earnings per Share
$2.55 –
$2.75
$2.58
$2.44
* See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. E =
Estimate. |
 Expiration
Total
Available
Company
Facility
Date
Facility
Usage
Liquidity
($Millions)
PSE&G
5-year Credit Facility
Mar-18
$600
1
$13
$587
5-Year Credit Facility (Power)
Apr-19
$1,600
$114
$1,486
5-Year Credit Facility (Power)
Mar-18
$1,000
2
$0
$1,000
5-Year Bilateral (Power)
Sep-15
$100
$100
$0
5-year Credit Facility (PSEG)
Apr-19
$500
$8
$492
5-year Credit Facility (PSEG)
Mar-18
$500
3
$0
$500
Total
$4,300
$4,065
1 PSE&G Facility to be reduced by $29M on April 15, 2016
$278
2 Power Facility to be reduced by $48M on April 15, 2016
PSE&G ST Investment
$224
3 PSEG Facility to be reduced by $23M on April 15, 2016
Total Liquidity Available
$4,567
Total Parent / Power Liquidity
$3,756
PSEG /
Power
PSEG Money Pool ST Investment
PSEG Liquidity as of June 30, 2014
30
$235 |
 A
Items Excluded from Net Income to Reconcile to Operating Earnings
Please see Slide 2 for an explanation of PSEG’s use of Operating Earnings as a
non-GAAP financial measure and how it differs from Net Income.
2014
2013
2014
2013
2013
2012
Earnings Impact ($ Millions)
Operating Earnings
245
$
243
$
760
$
676
$
1,309
$
1,236
$
Gain (Loss) on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT)
Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power)
14
8
23
17
40
52
Gain (Loss) on Mark-to-Market (MTM)
(a)
(PSEG Power)
(42)
80
(174)
(25)
(74)
(10)
Lease Related Activity (PSEG Enterprise/Other)
-
-
-
-
-
36
Storm O&M, net of insurance recoveries (PSEG Power)
(5)
2
(11)
(15)
(32)
(39)
Net Income
212
$
333
$
598
$
653
$
1,243
$
1,275
$
Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in Millions)
508
507
508
507
508
507
Per Share Impact (Diluted)
Operating Earnings
0.49
$
0.48
$
1.50
$
1.33
$
2.58
$
2.44
$
Gain (Loss) on NDT Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power)
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.04
0.08
0.10
Gain (Loss) on MTM
(a)
(PSEG Power)
(0.08)
0.16
(0.34)
(0.05)
(0.14)
(0.02)
Lease Related Activity (PSEG Enterprise/Other)
-
-
-
-
-
0.07
Storm O&M, net of insurance recoveries (PSEG Power)
(0.01)
-
(0.02)
(0.03)
(0.07)
(0.08)
Net Income
0.42
$
0.66
$
1.18
$
1.29
$
2.45
$
2.51
$
(a) Includes the financial impact from positions with forward delivery
months. June 30,
June 30,
December 31,
(Unaudited)
PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED
Reconciling Items, net of tax
Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
Year Ended |