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8-K - 8-K_03/20/2012 SIDOTI WILLIAMS PRESENTATION - NORTHWESTERN CORPek_031912.htm
Sidoti & Company - 16th Annual Investor Forum
New York, NY March 20, 2012
Financial Update
 
 

 
2
Who we are
 
Financial update
 Investment opportunity outlook
 Appendix
 
- Financial statements
 - Regulatory update
 

 
Outline
 
 

 
3
Forward looking statements
During the course of this presentation, there will be forward-looking
statements within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking
statements often address our expected future business and financial
performance, and often contain words such as “expects,” “anticipates,”
“intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” or “will.” 
The information in this presentation is based upon our current
expectations as of the date hereof unless otherwise noted.  Our actual
future business and financial performance may differ materially and
adversely from our expectations expressed in any forward-looking
statements. We undertake no obligation to revise or publicly update our
forward-looking statements or this presentation for any reason. Although
our expectations and beliefs are based on reasonable assumptions, actual
results may differ materially. The factors that may affect our results are
listed in certain of our press releases and disclosed in the Company’s
public filings with the SEC.
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Who we are
ð Our Vision: Enriching lives through a safe, sustainable
 energy future
ð Our Mission: Working together to deliver safe, reliable
 and innovative energy solutions
ð Our Values:
Safety
Excellence
Respect
Value
Integrity
Community
Environment
 
 

 
5
Geographically positioned for success
ð Our service territory covers some of the
 best wind regimes in the nation
ð We have the opportunity to provide
 transmission services into two different
 markets (West and Midwest)
Great wind profile
Low unemployment rates
ð A fully-regulated utility located in states
 with relatively stable economies with
 opportunity for system investment and
 grid expansion
 
 

 
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Note: Statistics above are as of 12/31/2011
(1) Nebraska is a natural gas only jurisdiction
 
 

 
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A multi-state electric & natural gas utility
The “80 / 20” rules of NorthWestern. We are approximately 80% electric / 20% natural gas
Note: Data above reflects full year 2011 results .
 
 

 
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A diverse distribution customer base
 
 

 
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With competitive customer rates
Typical
Customer
bills
 
 

 
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Who we are
 
Financial update
 
Investment opportunity outlook
 Appendix
 
- Financial statements
 - Regulatory update

 
Outline
 
 

 
11
8.1% Cash From
 Operations
6.5% Dividend Growth
Compounded Annual
Growth Rate (CAGR)
 
 

 
12
Solid pension funding
NorthWestern Energy’s Pension Assumptions
ð Target allocation 50% equity and 50% fixed income
ð Expected long-term rate of return of 7.00%
ð Discount rate of 4.40 - 4.55%
Six remaining identified peers had not yet filed year-end 2011 financial information as of 02/27/12 and are not included above.
 These companies include AVA, BKH, EE, GXP, PNM, and UNS.
 
 

 
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A security rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. Such rating may be subject to revision or withdrawal
at any time by the credit rating agency and each rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating.
 
 

 
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A history of earnings and dividend growth
 
 

 
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Reaffirming 2012 earning guidance
Reaffirming 2012 guidance range of $2.35-$2.50 based upon, but not limited to, the following
major assumptions and expectations:
A consolidated income tax rate of approximately 18% - 20% of pre-tax income;
No significant scheduled, or unscheduled, maintenance at Colstrip Unit 4, Neal or Big Stone Plants;
No expected increase in insurance reserves or insurance recoveries in 2012;
 
 

 
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Investment opportunity outlook
ð Energy Supply
  Big Stone/Neal pollution control
  South Dakota natural gas peaking generation
  Montana Spion Kop Wind facility
  South Dakota Titan Wind facility buyout
  Other vertical integration opportunities in Montana
 including gas reserves or base load generation
ð Transmission
  Network upgrades and large generation
 interconnections
  Colstrip 500kV upgrade
  Mountain States Transmission Intertie (MSTI)
  230kV Renewable Collector System
  South Dakota transmission opportunities
ð Distribution
 
 

 
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Montana base load opportunity
Our post PPL supply
opportunity is
approximately
200 GWh / month or
about 280 MWs of
capacity
 
 

 
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Hard assets providing value
2005-07 valuation affected by pending and
ultimately terminated acquisition
 
 

 
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Growing investment in our existing system
 
 

 
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Great investment growth opportunities
 
 

 
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Investment project summary
Several opportunities exist to further increase and diversify earnings as compared to our
approximately $1.8 billion of rate base today. Additional Montana base load opportunities
are currently being evaluated and may be incorporated at the appropriate time.
Note: Color / label indicate NorthWestern Energy's current probability of execution and timing of expenditures.
Adjustments to the project summary since last presented at EEI in November 2011 include:
 - Spion Kop changed from Yellow to Green based upon MPSC pre-approval and timing delays in all 4 transmission projects
Changed to Green with MPSC pre-approval granted Feb ‘12
 
 

 
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Another way to slice the pie
(at midpoint of range)
 
 

 
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Who we are
 Financial update
 Investment opportunity outlook
 
Appendix
 
- Financial statements
 - Regulatory update
Outline
 
 

 
25
Consolidated statement of income
 
 

 
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Consolidated statement of cash flows
 
 

 
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Consolidated balance sheet
 
 

 
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Earnings reconciliation
 
 

 
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Other miscellaneous earnings items
 
 

 
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Our Commissioners
 
 

 
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Environmental compliance