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8-K - FORM 8-K - US AIRWAYS GROUP INCc06619e8vk.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1
(U.S AIRWAYS LOGO)
INVESTOR RELATIONS UPDATE
October 5, 2010
General Comments
  2010 Capacity Guidance — For 2010, total system capacity is expected to be up slightly. Mainline is forecast to be up approximately one percent, with domestic down approximately one percent and international up approximately eight percent. Express is expected to be down approximately one percent.
  Cash — As of June 30, 2010, the Company had approximately $2.49 billion in total cash and investments, of which $0.44 billion was restricted. In addition, as of June 30, 2010, the Company’s auction rate securities had a book value of $59 million ($93 million par value). While these securities are held as investments in non-current marketable securities on our balance sheet, they are included in our unrestricted cash calculation.
 
    Pursuant to the terms of the indenture governing the Company’s 7% Senior convertible notes due 2020 and the Company’s Put Right Purchase Offer to Holders of the Securities dated September 1, 2010, on September 30, 2010, the Company accepted for purchase all outstanding securities that were validly tendered and not withdrawn as of the expiration date. Approximately $68.7 million aggregate principal amount of the notes, representing approximately 93% of the aggregate principal amount of the outstanding notes prior to the Put Option, were validly tendered and accepted for purchase in the Put Option, at a price of $1,000 per $1,000 of principal amount. After giving effect to the purchase of the tendered notes, approximately $4.8 million principal amount of the notes remain outstanding.
 
    The Company expects to end the third quarter with approximately $2.37 billion in total cash and investments, of which approximately $0.38 billion is restricted.
  Fuel — For the third quarter 2010, the Company anticipates paying between $2.15 and $2.20 per gallon of mainline jet fuel (including taxes). Forecasted volume and fuel prices are provided in the table below.
  Profit Sharing / CASM — Profit sharing equals 10% of pre-tax earnings excluding special items up to a 10% pre-tax margin and 15% above the 10% margin. Profit sharing is excluded in the CASM guidance given below.
  Cargo / Other Revenue — Cargo revenue, ticket change fees, excess / overweight baggage fees, first and second bag fees, contract services, simulator rental, airport clubs, Materials Services Company (MSC), and inflight service revenues. The Company’s a la carte revenue initiatives are expected to generate in excess of $500 million in revenue in 2010.
  Taxes / NOL — Taxes / NOL — As of December 31, 2009, net operating losses (NOL) available for use by the Company is approximately $2.1 billion, all of which is expected to be available for use in 2010. The Company’s net deferred tax asset, which includes the NOL, is subject to a full valuation allowance. As of December 31, 2009, the valuation allowances associated with Federal and state NOL are $546 million and $77 million, respectively
The Company reported income for the six months ended June 30, 2010 and utilized NOL to reduce its income tax obligation. In accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, utilization of NOL results in a corresponding decrease in the valuation allowance and offsets the Company’s tax provision dollar for dollar. As a result, income tax expense is not recognized in the Company’s statement of operations.
For the full year 2010, the Company expects to be profitable and will use NOL to reduce federal and state taxable income. The Company does not expect to be subject to AMT Liability in 2010 as a result of certain elections the Company made under the Worker, Homeownership, and Business Assistance Act of 2009.
The Company could be obligated to record and pay state income tax related to certain states where NOL may be limited or not available to be used. Current estimates of the Company’s obligations for certain state income tax are less than $1 million for the year.
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information

 


 

(U.S AIRWAYS LOGO)
MAINLINE UPDATE
October 5, 2010
Mainline Comments
  Mainline data includes US Airways operated flights and all operating expenses are for mainline operated flights only. Please refer to the following page for information pertaining to Express.
  Mainline CASM excluding fuel, special items and profit sharing changed slightly from previous guidance in the third and fourth quarter primarily due to a shift in the timing of expenses and ASMs between the third quarter and the fourth quarter. Guidance for the full year remains unchanged.
                                         
Mainline Guidance   1Q10A     2Q10A     3Q10E     4Q10E     FY10E  
Available Seat Miles (ASMs) (bil)
    16.6       18.4       ~19.1       ~17.4       ~71.5  
CASM ex fuel, special items & profit sharing (YOY % change)1
    8.88       8.08     -2% to -0 %   -1% to +1 %   -1% to +1 %
 
                                       
 
                                       
Cargo Revenues ($ mil)
    33       37       ~35       ~35       ~140  
Other Revenues
    319       331       ~335       ~315       ~1,300  
 
                                       
Fuel Price (incl hedges and taxes) ($/gal) (as of 10/01/10)
    2.17       2.23       2.15 - 2.20       2.35 - 2.40       2.21 - 2.26  
Fuel Gallons Consumed (mil)
    247       276       ~290       ~268       ~1,080  
 
                                       
Percent Hedged
                                 
Weighted Avg. Heating Oil Collar Range ($/gal)
                                 
Weighted Avg. Jet Fuel Equivalent (incl, transport, and refining margin) ($/gal)
                                 
Weighted Avg. Estimated Crude Oil Equivalent ($/bbl)
                                 
Estimated Jet Fuel Price Assumption (unhedged, incl transport) ($/gal)
                    ~2.11       ~2.30       ~2.16  
Impact of Fuel Hedges (Gains)/Losses ($/gal)
                             
 
                                       
Interest Expense ($ mil)
    82       86       ~85       ~80       ~333  
Interest Income ($ mil)
    (5 )     (3 )     ~(2 )     ~(2 )     ~(13 )
Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense ex special items ($ mil)2
    7       13       ~(5 )     ~1       ~16  
                                         
Cash Flow/Capital Update ($ mil) Inflow/(Outflow)   1Q10A     2Q10A     3Q10E     4Q10E     FY10E  
Cash Capex (non-aircraft)
    (13 )     (19 )     ~(32 )     ~(56 )     ~(120 )
Net aircraft Capex and PDP’s (A320/A330 Acquisition)
    6       (23 )     ~(29 )     ~(33 )     ~(79 )
 
                                       
Net Other Cash Flow Adjustments3
    (114 )     (43 )     ~(98 )     ~(81 )     ~(336 )
     
Notes:
 
1.   CASM ex fuel, special items & profit sharing is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document
 
2.   Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense ex special items include primarily gains and losses from foreign currency and the disposition of assets
 
3.   Includes equity issuance, debt issuance, debt principal repayment, non-cash bond discount amortization/interest deferrals (included in interest expense), and other non-cash items
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information

 


 

(U.S AIRWAYS LOGO)
EXPRESS UPDATE
October 5, 2010
Express Comments
  US Airways Express is a network of eight regional airlines (2 wholly owned) operating under code share and service agreements with US Airways. All operating expenses (including purchase agreements) associated with US Airways Express are included within the Express Non-Fuel Operating Expense line item on our income statement.
                                         
Express Guidance   1Q10A     2Q10A     3Q10E     4Q10E     FY10E  
Available Seat Miles (ASMs) (bil)
    3.28       3.63       ~3.73       ~3.58       ~14.22  
CASM ex fuel and special items (YOY % change) 1
    14.62       13.49       +4% to +6 %     +2% to +0 %     +3% to +5 %
Fuel Price (incl taxes) ($/gal)
    2.20       2.28       2.22 - 2.27       2.40 - 2.45       2.27 - 2.32  
Fuel Gallons Consumed (mil)
    77       86       ~88       ~86       ~337  
Express Carriers
     
Air Wisconsin Airlines Corporation
  Piedmont Airlines, Inc. 2
Chautauqua Airlines, Inc.
  PSA Airlines, Inc 2
Colgan Air, Inc. 4
  Republic Airways
Mesa Airlines 3
  Trans States Airlines, Inc. 4
     
Notes:
 
1.   CASM ex fuel expense and special items is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document.
 
2.   Wholly owned subsidiary of US Airways Group, Inc.
 
3.   Subsidiary of Mesa Air Group, Inc
 
4.   Pro-rate agreement
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information

 


 

(U.S AIRWAYS LOGO)
FLEET UPDATE
October 5, 2010
Fleet Comments
  During the first quarter, the Company took delivery of two A320 and two A330 aircraft. The Company expects to take delivery of an additional 24 A320 family aircraft in 2011 and 2012 (12 in the second half of 2011 and 12 in the second half of 2012). The Company has financing commitments in place for these aircraft.
                                         
Mainline Fleet Update (End of Period)   YE09A     1Q10A     2Q10A     3Q10A     4Q10E  
Mainline
                                       
EMB-190
    19       17       15       15       15  
737-300
    24       24       24       19       19  
737-400
    40       40       40       40       40  
A319
    93       93       93       93       93  
A320
    70       72       72       72       72  
A321
    51       51       51       51       51  
A330
    14       16       16       16       16  
B757
    28       24       24       23       23  
B767
    10       10       10       10       10  
 
                             
Total
    349       347       345       339       339  
 
                             
                                         
Express Fleet Update (End of Period)   YE09A     1Q10A     2Q10A     3Q10A     4Q10E  
Express
                                       
DH8
    50       50       50       50       50  
CRJ-200
    114       113       113       112       112  
CRJ-700
    14       14       14       14       14  
CRJ-900
    38       38       38       38       38  
EMB-170
    20       20       20       20       20  
ERJ-145
    9       9       9       9       9  
EMB-175
    38       38       38       38       38  
 
                             
Total
    283       282       282       281       281  
 
                             
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information

 

 


 

(U.S AIRWAYS LOGO)
SHARES OUTSTANDING
October 5, 2010
  The estimated weighted average shares outstanding for the remainder of the year are listed below. The interest addback to net income for purposes of computing diluted earnings per share is net of the related effect of profit sharing.
 
  On September 30, 2010 the Company purchased approximately $68.7 million of its 7% Senior convertible note due 2020 for cash. After the transaction, there were approximately $4.8 million of these securities outstanding. The shares outstanding in the table below have been adjusted to reflect this change.
                         
Shares Outstanding ($ and shares mil)1   Basic     Diluted     Interest Addback  
 
                       
For Q3
                       
Earnings above $177 million
    161.5       204.6     $ 8.6  
Earnings between $25 million and $177 million
    161.5       201.6     $ 5.8  
Earnings up to $25 million
    161.5       163.8        
Net Loss
    161.5       161.5        
 
                       
For Q4
                       
Earnings above $71 million
    161.5       201.9     $ 6.1  
Earnings between $26 million and $71 million
    161.5       201.7     $ 6.1  
Earnings up to $26 million
    161.5       163.8        
Net Loss
    161.5       161.5        
 
                       
For FY 2010 (Average)
                       
Earnings above $683 million
    161.4       203.4     $ 31.2  
Earnings between $100 million and $683 million
    161.4       201.0     $ 23.0  
Earnings up to $100 million
    161.4       163.3        
Net Loss
    161.4       161.4        
     
Notes:   1. Shares outstanding are based upon several estimates and assumptions, including average per share stock price, stock options, stock appreciation rights, restricted stock unit award activity, and conversion of outstanding senior convertible notes. The number of shares in the actual calculation of earnings per share will likely be different from those set forth above.
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information

 

 


 

(U.S AIRWAYS LOGO)
GAAP to Non-GAAP RECONCILIATION
October 5, 2010
Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Information
US Airways Group, Inc. (the “Company”) is providing disclosure of the reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their comparable financial measures on a GAAP basis. The Company believes that the non-GAAP financial measures provide investors the ability to measure financial performance excluding special items and profit sharing, which is more indicative of the Company’s ongoing performance and is more comparable to measures reported by other major airlines. The Company believes that the presentation of mainline CASM excluding fuel, special items & profit sharing and Express CASM excluding fuel is useful to investors as both the cost and availability of fuel are subject to many economic and political factors beyond the Company’s control.
This update contains forward-looking statements that are not limited to historical facts, but reflect the Company’s current beliefs, expectations or intentions regarding future events. All forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. For examples of such risks and uncertainties, please see the risk factors set forth in the Company’s Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2010, and its other securities filings, including any amendments thereto, which identify important matters such as the consequences of fuel costs, labor costs, competition, and industry conditions, including the demand for air travel, the airline pricing environment and industry capacity decisions, regulatory matters and the seasonal nature of the airline business. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this update.
                                                                 
    GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation ($mil except ASM and CASM data)  
    1Q10     2Q10     3Q10 Range*     4Q10 Range*     FY10 Range  
    Actual     Actual     Low     High     Low     High     Low     High  
 
Mainline
                                                               
Mainline Operating Expenses
  $ 2,011     $ 2,117     $ 2,132     $ 2,177     $ 2,104     $ 2,148     $ 8,325     $ 8,472  
Less Mainline Fuel (net of (gains)/losses from fuel hedges)
    534       616       624       638       630       643       2,403       2,431  
Less Special Items
    5       (9 )                             (4 )     (4 )
Less Profit Sharing
          18                               18       18  
 
                                               
Mainline Operating Expense excluding fuel, special items, and profit sharing
    1,472       1,492       1,509       1,539       1,475       1,504       5,907       6,027  
 
                                                               
Mainline CASM (GAAP) (cts)
    12.13       11.48       11.16       11.40       12.09       12.34       11.64       11.85  
Mainline CASM excluding fuel, special items, and profit sharing (Non-GAAP) (cts)
    8.88       8.08       7.90       8.06       8.47       8.65       8.26       8.42  
 
                                                               
Mainline ASMs (bil)
    16.6       18.4       19.1       19.1       17.4       17.4       71.5       71.5  
 
                                                               
Express
                                                               
Express Operating Expenses
  $ 650     $ 683     $ 690     $ 704     $ 686     $ 700     $ 2,710     $ 2,757  
Less Express Fuel Expense
    170       195       195       200       206       211       767       775  
Less Special Items
          (1 )                             (1 )     (1 )
 
                                               
Express Operating Expenses excluding fuel and special items
    480       489       495       505       480       489       1,945       1,981  
 
                                                               
Express CASM (GAAP) (cts)
    19.80       18.83       18.51       18.88       19.17       19.55       19.06       19.39  
Express CASM Excluding Fuel and Special Items (Non-GAAP) (cts)
    14.62       13.49       13.27       13.53       13.40       13.67       13.67       13.93  
 
                                                               
Express ASMs (bil)
    3.28       3.63       3.73       3.73       3.58       3.58       14.22       14.22  
 
                                                               
Other Non Operating (Income)/Expense
                                                               
Reported Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense
  $ (42 )   $ 9     $ (5 )   $ (5 )   $ 1     $ 1     $ (37 )   $ (37 )
Less Special Items
    (49 )     (4 )                             (53 )     (53 )
 
                                               
Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense excluding special items
    7       13       (5 )     (5 )     1       1       16       16  
     
Note:   Amounts may not recalculate due to rounding.
 
*   For 3Q10 and 4Q10, mainline operating expenses exclude profit sharing.
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information

 

 


 

(U.S AIRWAYS LOGO)
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
October 5, 2010
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain of the statements contained or referred to herein should be considered “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “plan,” “project,” “could,” “should,” and “continue” and similar terms used in connection with statements regarding, among others, the outlook, expected fuel costs, revenue and pricing environment, and expected financial performance and liquidity position of US Airways Group (the “Company”). Such statements include, but are not limited to, statements about future financial and operating results, the Company’s plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of the Company’s management and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company’s actual results and financial position to differ materially from these statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following: the impact of significant operating losses in the future; downturns in economic conditions and their impact on passenger demand and related revenues; increased costs of financing, a reduction in the availability of financing and fluctuations in interest rates; the impact of the price and availability of fuel and significant disruptions in the supply of aircraft fuel; the Company’s high level of fixed obligations and its ability to fund general corporate requirements, obtain additional financing and respond to competitive developments; any failure to comply with the liquidity covenants contained in the Company’s financing arrangements; provisions in the Company’s credit card processing and other commercial agreements that may affect its liquidity; the impact of union disputes, employee strikes and other labor-related disruptions; the Company’s inability to maintain labor costs at competitive levels; the Company’s reliance on third party regional operators or third party service providers; the Company’s reliance on automated systems and the impact of any failure or disruption of these systems; the impact of changes to the Company’s business model; competitive practices in the industry, including the impact of industry consolidation; the loss of key personnel or the Company’s ability to attract and retain qualified personnel; the impact of conflicts overseas or terrorist attacks, and the impact of ongoing security concerns; changes in government legislation and regulation; the Company’s ability to operate and grow its route network; the impact of environmental laws and regulations; costs of ongoing data security compliance requirements and the impact of any data security breach; interruptions or disruptions in service at one or more of the Company’s hub airports; the impact of any accident involving the Company’s aircraft or the aircraft of its regional operators; delays in scheduled aircraft deliveries or other loss of anticipated fleet capacity; the impact of weather conditions and seasonality of airline travel; the impact of possible future increases in insurance costs and disruptions to insurance markets; the impact of global events that affect travel behavior, such as an outbreak of a contagious disease; the impact of foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; the Company’s ability to use NOLs and certain other tax attributes; and other risks and uncertainties listed from time to time in the Company’s reports to and filings with the SEC. There may be other factors not identified above of which the Company is not currently aware that may affect matters discussed in the forward-looking statements, and may also cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update or supplement any forward-looking statement to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting such estimates other than as required by law. Additional factors that may affect the future results of the Company are set forth in the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2010 and in the Company’s other filings with the SEC, which are available at www.usairways.com.
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information