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8-K - 8-K - PDC ENERGY, INC.pdc8k_20100304-2.htm
NASDAQ:PETD
PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT
CORPORATION
2009 Fourth Quarter
and Year-End Teleconference
March 4, 2010
Richard W. McCullough, Chairman & CEO
Barton R. Brookman, SVP Exploration & Production
Gysle R. Shellum, Chief Financial Officer
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
The following information contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on Management’s current expectations and beliefs, as well as a number
of assumptions concerning future events.
These statements are based on certain assumptions and analyses made by Management in light of its experience and its
perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments as well as other factors it believes are
appropriate in the circumstances. However, whether actual results and developments will conform with Management’s
expectations and predictions is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, general economic, market or business
conditions; the opportunities (or lack thereof) that may be presented to and pursued by Petroleum Development Corporation;
actions by competitors; changes in laws or regulations; and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Petroleum
Development Corporation.
You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on such forward-looking statements because actual results may vary materially
from those expressed or implied, as more fully discussed in our safe harbor statements found in our SEC filings, including,
without limitation, the discussion under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s 2009 annual report on Form 10-K and in
subsequent Form 10-Qs.
All forward-looking statements are based on information available to Management on this date
and Petroleum Development Corporation assumes no obligation to, and expressly disclaims any obligation to, update
or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
The SEC permits oil and gas companies to disclose in their filings with the SEC only proved reserves, which are reserve
estimates that geological and engineering data demonstrate with reasonable certainty to be recoverable in future years from
known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions. The Company uses in this presentation the terms
“probable” and “possible” reserves. Probable reserves are unproved reserves that are more likely than not to be recoverable.
Possible reserves are unproved reserves that are less likely to be recoverable than probable reserves. Estimates of probable
and possible reserves which may potentially be recoverable through additional drilling or recovery techniques are by nature
more uncertain than estimates of proved reserves and accordingly are subject to substantially greater risk of not actually being
realized by the Company. In addition, the Company’s reserves and production forecasts and expectations for future periods are
dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates of production decline rates from existing wells and the undertaking and
outcome of future drilling activity, which may be affected by significant commodity price declines or drilling cost increases.
This material also contains certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under the Securities and Exchange Commission
rules.
Disclaimer
2
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Rick McCullough
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
3
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
(1) Appalachian Basin (Marcellus and Shallow Devonian) JV
(2) EBITDAX and Cash Flow estimates as per analyst consensus
 Petroleum Development Corporation is an
 independent oil and natural gas company
 with operations primarily in the Rocky
 Mountain region, Appalachian Basin and
 Michigan Basin
 PDC was founded in 1969 in Bridgeport, WV
 and is now headquartered in Denver, CO
Corporate Summary
Enterprise Value
Capitalization
Corporate Profile
Share Price (3/1/10)
$ 24.25
Diluted Share Outstanding (MM)
 19.2
Market Capitalization ($MM)
$ 466
Total Debt @ 12/31/09
 281
Minority Interest (1) @ 12/31/09
 48
Less: Cash @ 12/31/09
 (32)
Enterprise Value @ 12/31/09
$ 763
52-Week High ($/share)
$ 24.25
52-Week Low ($/share)
$ 9.39
Pro Forma
12/31/2009
Capitalization: ($MM)
Cash
$  32
Debt:
Credit Facility: $305MM Borrowing Base
  80
12% Senior Notes due 2018
  201
Total Debt
  281
Common Equity
  491
Minority Interest (1)
  48
Total Capitalization
$  820
Debt Ratios:
Debt/EBITDAX (LTM) (2)
  1.54x
Senior Debt/EBITDAX (LTM) (2)
  0.72x
EBITDAX/ Interest Net (LTM) (2)
  4.9x
Debt/Book Cap
 34%
4
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Fourth Quarter 2009 Highlights
5
 Strong cash flow
  Realized prices above plan - $53.8 million revenue on 10 Bcfe
 production
  Realized hedge gains added $24.6 million to total revenue
  Fourth quarter adjusted cash flow contributed 33% of annual
 adjusted cash flow
 Strong gross operating margins
  Year-over-year lease operating costs (including production
  taxes) decreased 28% per Mcfe
 
 Quarterly adjusted net loss essentially break even at $700,000
  Quarterly loss includes impact of $7.9 million in JV formation
 expense
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
2010 Presents Optimal Opportunities
 2009 - solid growth year
  Double digit production growth
  Hedges provided substantial relative price realizations
 which protected cash flow
  Reduction of operating costs by 18%
  Improved liquidity, and improved balance sheet coverage
 and leverage metrics
 
 2010 will present optimal opportunities
  Strong hedge positions exist for 2010 and beyond
  CAPEX increase 30-40%, to $150 million
  Poised for increased organic drilling (Marcellus,
 Wattenberg, Piceance), partnership repurchases, and/or
 acquisitions
6
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Bart Brookman
SVP - Exploration and Production
7
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Core Operating Regions
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
2009 Proved Reserves:
 641
Bcfe
Rocky Mountains
2009 Proved Reserves:
 
15 Bcfe
2009 Production:
 
1.4 Bcfe
Michigan Basin
2009 Proved Reserves*:
 61
Bcfe
2009 Production:
 4.1
Bcfe
2010E Production:
 3.2
Bcfe
Appalachian Basin
2009 Proved Reserves
717 Bcfe
Appalachian Basin (9%)*
2009 Production
43.3 Bcfe
Michigan
Basin (3%)
Appalachian Basin (9%)
Rocky
Mountains (87%)
*Appalachian Basin includes 100% of PDC Mountaineer, LLC Reserves at Year-End 2009
8
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Operating Highlights
2009 Drilling Activity
Gross Wells Drilled   100
Net Wells Drilled    79
Net Development   71
Net Exploratory   8
2010 Forecasted Drilling Activity
Gross Wells   252
Net Wells   204
9
 2009 Production increased
 12% to 43.3 Bcfe
 2009 Proved Reserves
 decreased 5% to 717 Bcfe
Annual Drilling Activity
2010E
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Net Production
Partnership
Buybacks
Aceite
Acquisition
Castle
Acquisition
End of
Partnership
Drilling
65%
CAPEX
Reduction
Marcellus/
Appalachia
Joint
Venture
Significant
Increase in
Drilling
Activity
Piceance
Divestiture
EXCO
Acquisition
Unioil
Acquisition
 **2004-09 CAGR of 27%**
10
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
11
Quarterly Net Production
2010 Production Guidance
 E
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Production By Area - Bcfe
12
Area
2008
2009
% Increase/
(Decrease)
2010E
% Increase/
(Decrease)
Wattenberg
15.4
16.3
6%
14.1
-13%
Piceance
12.5
15.8
26%
11.9
-25%
NECO
5.0
5.3
6%
4.7
-11%
Appalachia
3.9
4.1
5%
3.2
-17%
Other (ND, TX, WY, MI)
1.9
1.8
5%
1.6
-11%
TOTAL
38.7
43.3
12%
35.7
-18%
Bcfe = One billion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent.
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
13
YE2009 Proved Reserves
 Proved reserves declined 5% from 2008 levels
 PDP declined 6% from 2008, however, 58% of production was replaced despite a
 significant reduction in CAPEX for 2009
 New SEC valuation methodology for commodity pricing and 5-year PUD booking
 rules impacted 2009 year-end reserves
 New SEC methodology for resource bookings, cost improvements, and operational
 results provided growth in certain areas
 Conservative booking of Marcellus reserves
(1) Independent reserve engineer’s estimates.
  Summary Reserve Data  
Proved Reserves (Bcfe)(1)
  Area
2008 YE
2009 YE
  % Growth
 % Developed
% Natural Gas
Rockies
620
641
3%
35%
83%
Appalachia
113
61
(46%)
90%
100%
Michigan
20
15
(25%)
100%
98%
Total
753
717
(5%)
41%
85%
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
YE2009 Proved Reserves
By Area - Bcfe
14
PDP
PDNP
PUD
Total Proved
Area 
2008
2009
2008
2009
2008
2009
2008
2009
Wattenberg
79
89
1
1
119
140
199
230
Piceance
107
103
6
0
260
275
373
378
NECO
40
31
3
0
5
0
48
31
Appalachia
53
42
21
13
39
6
113
61
Other
20
16
0
1
0
0
20
17
TOTAL
299
281
31
15
423
421
753
717*
% Total Proved
40%
39%
4%
2%
56%
59%
100%
100%
Bcfe = One billion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent.
* Using year-end spot pricing methodology, as was used at year-end 2008, total reported reserves would have been 811 Bcfe.
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
YE2009 3P Reserves(1)
By Area - Bcfe
15
Total Proved
Proved + Probable
Proved + Probable
+ Possible
 Area
2008
2009
2008
2009
2008
2009
Wattenberg
199
230
236
305
241
332
Piceance
373
378
486
449
538
465
NECO
48
31
57
31
74
31
Appalachia
113
61
126
113
136
145
Other
20
17
20
17
20
17
TOTAL
753
717
925
915
1,009
990
Bcfe = One billion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent.
(1) 3P estimates are non-SEC.
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
2010 Proposed Net Capital Budget
16
(1) Subject to bi-annual approval by PDC Mountaineer Board of Directors. 2010 CAPEX funded by PDC Mountaineer
 partner, PDC has no capital investment obligation.
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
17
Marcellus
16 Verticals
10 Horizontals
Shallow Devonian
50 Recompletes
29 Workovers
NECO
25 New Drills
50 Workovers
Wattenberg
180 New Drills
-138 Operated New Drills
-42 Non-Op New Drills
12 Refracs/Recompletes
Piceance
21 New Drills
-11 Mesa
-10 Valley
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
PDC has over 2,200 identified
projects in Inventory
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
2010 Operations Guidance
 Production of 35.7 Bcfe
 CAPEX of $150MM
 PDC Mountaineer CAPEX of $64.5MM to be funded
 by JV partner
 252 developmental wells
 First horizontal Marcellus well to spud in early March
 Production expected to increase in Q4 to YE2009
 levels
 Financial flexibility to expand core developmental
 drilling, re-purchase partnerships, or acquire
 properties
18
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Gysle Shellum
Chief Financial Officer
19
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Summary Financial Results
($ in millions except per share data)
(1) O&G operating margin is defined as O&G revenue less O&G production and well operations costs.
(2) See appendix for GAAP reconciliation of Adjusted Cash Flow and Adjusted EBITDA, respectively.
(3) Includes non-recurring items related to the Q4 joint venture, EVP separation agreement, and corporate office relocation costs.
20
Three Months Ended
Year Ended
December 31,
December 31,
2009
2008
2009
2008
O&G Revenues
$53.8
$56.3
$179.1
$321.9
O&G Production & Well Operations Costs
$19.1
$17.2
$64.7
$79.4
O&G Operating Margin(1)
$34.7
$39.1
$114.4
$242.5
Adjusted cash flow from operations(2)
$55.5
$41.2
$170.2
$199.9
Adjusted EBITDA(2)
$38.8
$34.9
$159.7
$189.4
Adjusted cash flow from operations (per
share) (2)
$2.90
$2.79
$10.35
$13.46
DD&A
$30.2
$32.7
$131.0
$104.6
G&A(3)
$17.5
$10.6
$54.0
$37.7
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Summary Financial Results
($ in millions except per share data)
Three Months Ended
December 31,
Year Ended
December 31,
2009
2008
2009
2008
Income (loss) from operations
($13.8)
$74.7
($90.0)
$195.7
Net Income (loss) attributable to
shareholders
($16.0)
$41.1
($79.3)
$113.3
Diluted earnings (loss) per share
attributable to shareholders
($0.84)
$2.78
($4.82)
$7.63
Three Months Ended
December 31,
Year Ended
December 31,
2009
2008
2009
2008
Adjusted net income (loss) (1)
($0.7)
($4.3)
($2.9)
$39.7
Adjusted earnings (loss) per share (1)
($0.04)
($0.29)
($0.18)
$2.67
21
(1) Excludes unrealized derivative gains & losses.
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
22
Adjusted Cash Flow
From Operations
2008
2007
2009
 Adjusted cash flow from
 operations represents cash flow
 from operations before normal
 working capital changes
 Incorporates impact of hedging
 gains
 CAPEX reduced 66% in 2009
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
23
 $305 million revolver matures
  in November 2012
 
 Maturity schedule reflects:
  Mitigation of liquidity risk
 
  Diversification of funding
 sources
 
 As of December 31, 2009:
  $80 MM drawn balance
  $18.7 MM undrawn L.O.C
  $31.9 MM cash balance
  $238.2 MM available liquidity
 
 Borrowing base redetermination
 will occur in May 2010
Debt Maturity Schedule
(As of December 31, 2009)
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
$80
$203
$305
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Energy Market Exposure
Percentage of Mcfe Sold by Market
(as of December 31, 2009)
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
24
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Oil and Gas Hedges
in Place as of March 1, 2010
(1) Based on 12/31/09 PDP
(2) Based on forward curves as of 3/1/2010
(3) Blended price for forecasted production at hedged and at forward prices
25
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
2010
2011
2012
2013
Weighted Average Hedge Price (Mcfe) (1)
With Floors
$7.60
$6.87
$6.39
$6.39
With Ceilings
$8.43
$7.76
$7.97
$8.21
% of Forecasted Production(1)
89%
74%
66%
65%
Weighted Avg Forward Price(2)
$6.22
$6.78
$7.04
$7.17
Weighted Avg Price of Forecasted
Production(3)
$7.45
$6.85
$6.61
$6.66
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
26
Average Annual Costs Related to
Oil and Gas Drilling
(per Mcfe)
Three Months Ended
December 31,
Year Ended
December 31,
2009
2008
2009
2008
Average lifting costs (1)
$0.98
$1.09
$0.83
$1.07
DD&A (O&G Properties Only)
$2.82
$2.73
$2.83
$2.51
(1) Lifting costs represent natural gas and oil lease operating expenses, exclusive of production taxes, on a per unit basis.
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
A P P E N D I X
27
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
28
2009 Summary
Natural Gas Equivalent(1)
Natural Gas Equivalent(1)
Oil & Gas Production and Well
Operations Costs(2)
(Bcfe)
($/Mcfe)
($MM)
Capital Spending
Increased production by 12% and reduced L.O.E $/Mcfe by just under 30%.
Improved L.O.E $/Mcfe should be sustainable beyond 2009 and should improve incremental capital investment
 returns.
1) Average Sales Price excluding gain/loss on derivatives
2) Includes direct and indirect well expenses, production taxes, and overhead and other production expenses.
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Adjusted Net Income Reconciliation
($ in millions)
29
(1) Includes natural gas marketing activities.
Three Months Ended
Year Ended
December 31,
December 31,
2009
2008
2009
2008
Net Income (loss) attributable to
shareholders
($16.0)
$41.1
($79.3)
$113.3
Unrealized loss (gain) on derivatives, net (1)
20.9
(72.2)
116.6
(117.5)
Provision for underpayment of gas sales
0.1
-
2.7
4.0
Tax effect of above adjustment
(5.7)
26.8
(43.0)
39.9
Adjusted Net Income (loss) attributable to
shareholders
($0.7)
($4.3)
($2.9)
$39.7
Weighted average diluted shares
outstanding
19,172
14,791
16,448
14,848
Adjusted diluted earnings (loss) per share
($0.04)
($0.29)
($0.18)
$2.67
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Adjusted Cash Flow Reconciliation
($ in millions)
30
Three Months Ended
Year Ended
December 31,
December 31,
2009
2008
2009
2008
Net Cash provided by operating activities
$43.9
$35.3
$143.9
$139.1
Changes in assets and liabilities related to
operations
11.6
5.9
26.3
60.8
Adjusted cash flow from operations
$55.5
$41.2
$170.2
$199.9
Weighted average diluted shares
outstanding
19,172
14,791
16,448
14,848
Adjusted cash flow per share
$2.90
$2.79
$10.35
$13.46
 
 

 
See Slide 2 regarding Forward Looking Statements
Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation
($ in millions)
(1) Includes natural gas marketing activities.
31
Three Months Ended
Year Ended
December 31,
December 31,
2009
2008
2009
2008
Net Income (loss) attributable to
shareholders
($16.0)
$41.1
($79.3)
$113.3
Unrealized loss (gain) on derivatives, net (1)
20.9
(72.2)
116.6
(117.5)
Interest, net
10.2
8.9
37.0
27.5
Income taxes expense (benefit)
(6.5)
24.4
(45.6)
61.5
Depreciation, depletion & amortization
30.2
32.7
131.0
104.6
Adjusted EBITDA
$38.8
$34.9
$159.7
$189.4
Weighted average diluted shares
outstanding
19,172
14,791
16,448
14,848
Adjusted EBITDA per share
$2.02
$2.36
$9.71
$12.76
 
 

 
NASDAQ:PETD
PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT
CORPORATION
2009 Fourth Quarter
and Year-End Teleconference
March 4, 2010