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8-K - ORC FORM 8-K 2019-0110 - Orchid Island Capital, Inc.orc8k20190110.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1

ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL ANNOUNCES
JANUARY 2019 MONTHLY DIVIDEND AND
DECEMBER 31, 2018 RMBS PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS

·
January 2019 Monthly Dividend of $0.08 Per Share
·
Estimated Book Value Per Share as of December 31, 2018 of $6.84
·
Estimated GAAP net loss of $0.52 per share for the quarter ended December 31, 2018, including an estimated $0.80 per share of net realized and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments
·
Estimated (6.3)% total return on equity for the quarter, or (25.4)% annualized
·
Estimated book value, net loss and return on equity amounts are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm
·
RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of December 31, 2018
·
Repurchased 1,743,445 shares through stock repurchase plan in December 2018
·
Next Dividend Announcement Expected February 13, 2019

Vero Beach, Fla., January 9, 2019 - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE:ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors (the “Board”) declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of January 2019. The dividend of $0.08 per share will be paid February 8, 2019 to holders of record on January 31, 2019, with an ex-dividend date of January 30, 2019. The Company plans on announcing its next dividend after the Board’s meeting on February 13, 2019.

The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its stockholders. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.

As of January 9, 2019, the Company had 48,662,448 shares outstanding. At December 31, 2018, the Company had 49,132,423 shares outstanding. At September 30, 2018, the Company had 52,039,168 shares outstanding.

Estimated December 31, 2018 Book Value Per Share

The Company’s estimated book value per share as of December 31, 2018 was $6.84.  The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders' equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. At December 31, 2018, the Company's preliminary estimated total stockholders' equity was approximately $336.1 million with 49,132,423 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.



Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses on RMBS and Derivative Instruments

The Company estimates it generated a net loss per share of $0.52, which includes $0.80 per share of net realized  and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments for the quarter ended December 31, 2018.  These amounts compare to total dividends declared during the quarter of $0.24 per share.  Net income per common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income.  The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net income. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.

Estimated Return on Equity

The Company’s estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended December 31, 2018 was (6.3)%, or (25.4)% on an annualized basis. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company’s stockholders’ equity at the beginning of the quarter.  The total return was $(0.48) per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.24 and a decrease in book value per share of $0.72 from September 30, 2018.

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Details of the RMBS portfolio as of December 31, 2018 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company’s financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended December 31, 2018, are subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.

·
RMBS Valuation Characteristics
·
RMBS Assets by Agency
·
Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test Results
·
Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty
·
RMBS Risk Measures

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests in Agency RMBS that are either traditional pass-through Agency RMBS or structured Agency RMBS. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. has elected to be taxed as a REIT for federal income tax purposes.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017.



RMBS Valuation Characteristics
                                                                       
($ in thousands)
                                                                       
                                                   
Realized
   
Realized
             
                                                   
Dec 2018
   
Oct - Dec
   
Modeled
   
Modeled
 
                           
Net
               
Weighted
   
CPR
   
2018 CPR
   
Interest
   
Interest
 
               
%
         
Weighted
               
Average
   
(1-Month)
   
(3-Month)
   
Rate
   
Rate
 
   
Current
   
Fair
   
of
   
Current
   
Average
               
Maturity
   
(Reported
   
(Reported
   
Sensitivity
   
Sensitivity
 
Type
 
Face
   
Value(1)
   
Portfolio
   
Price
   
Coupon
   
GWAC
   
Age
   
(Months)
   
in Jan)
   
in Jan)
   
(-50 BPS)(2)
   
(+50 BPS)(2)
 
ARM RMBS
                                                                       
ARM RMBS
 
$
1,347
   
$
1,437
     
0.05
%
 
$
106.73
     
4.75
%
   
5.19
%
   
170
     
190
     
0.05
%
   
0.06
%
 
$
11
   
$
(9
)
Total ARM RMBS
   
1,347
     
1,437
     
0.05
%
   
106.73
     
4.75
%
   
5.19
%
   
170
     
190
     
0.05
%
   
0.06
%
   
11
     
(9
)
Fixed Rate RMBS
                                                                                               
Fixed Rate CMO
   
717,084
     
741,927
     
24.61
%
   
103.46
     
4.27
%
   
4.61
%
   
10
     
348
     
5.80
%
   
6.66
%
   
2,740
     
(6,071
)
Fixed Rate CMO Total
   
717,084
     
741,927
     
24.61
%
   
103.46
     
4.27
%
   
4.61
%
   
10
     
348
     
5.80
%
   
6.66
%
   
2,740
     
(6,071
)
15yr 3.5
   
2,708
     
2,752
     
0.09
%
   
101.62
     
3.50
%
   
3.83
%
   
63
     
116
     
0.15
%
   
12.58
%
   
51
     
(51
)
15yr 4.0
   
745,906
     
769,042
     
25.51
%
   
103.10
     
4.00
%
   
4.55
%
   
6
     
172
     
5.42
%
   
6.21
%
   
13,278
     
(14,267
)
15yr Total
   
748,614
     
771,794
     
25.60
%
   
103.10
     
4.00
%
   
4.54
%
   
6
     
171
     
5.40
%
   
6.24
%
   
13,329
     
(14,318
)
20yr 4.0
   
91,296
     
94,163
     
3.13
%
   
103.14
     
4.00
%
   
4.48
%
   
17
     
219
     
10.13
%
   
6.37
%
   
2,064
     
(2,137
)
20yr 4.5
   
18,409
     
19,142
     
0.63
%
   
103.98
     
4.50
%
   
5.13
%
   
9
     
230
     
0.53
%
   
4.80
%
   
254
     
(314
)
20yr Total
   
109,705
     
113,305
     
3.76
%
   
103.28
     
4.08
%
   
4.59
%
   
16
     
221
     
8.52
%
   
6.10
%
   
2,318
     
(2,451
)
30yr 4.0
   
257,138
     
263,390
     
8.74
%
   
102.43
     
4.00
%
   
4.49
%
   
24
     
333
     
5.94
%
   
4.85
%
   
5,742
     
(6,792
)
30yr 4.5
   
773,337
     
805,545
     
26.72
%
   
104.16
     
4.50
%
   
4.93
%
   
11
     
348
     
6.03
%
   
7.83
%
   
10,647
     
(14,235
)
30yr 5.0
   
166,038
     
176,940
     
5.87
%
   
106.57
     
5.00
%
   
5.50
%
   
10
     
348
     
9.43
%
   
7.97
%
   
2,379
     
(2,996
)
30yr Total
   
1,196,513
     
1,245,875
     
41.33
%
   
104.13
     
4.46
%
   
4.91
%
   
14
     
345
     
6.48
%
   
7.06
%
   
18,768
     
(24,023
)
Total Fixed Rate RMBS
   
2,771,916
     
2,872,901
     
95.30
%
   
103.64
     
4.27
%
   
4.72
%
   
11
     
294
     
6.09
%
   
6.70
%
   
37,155
     
(46,863
)
Total Pass Through RMBS
   
2,773,263
     
2,874,338
     
95.35
%
   
103.64
     
4.27
%
   
4.72
%
   
11
     
294
     
6.09
%
   
6.69
%
   
37,166
     
(46,872
)
Structured RMBS
                                                                                               
Interest-Only Securities
   
772,857
     
116,415
     
3.86
%
   
15.06
     
3.74
%
   
4.33
%
   
58
     
254
     
7.69
%
   
8.32
%
   
(14,440
)
   
11,747
 
Inverse Interest-Only Securities
   
225,643
     
23,751
     
0.79
%
   
10.53
     
2.65
%
   
4.86
%
   
54
     
297
     
10.81
%
   
10.43
%
   
2,292
     
(2,918
)
Total Structured RMBS
   
998,500
     
140,166
     
4.65
%
   
14.04
     
3.49
%
   
4.45
%
   
57
     
264
     
8.39
%
   
9.02
%
   
(12,148
)
   
8,829
 
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
3,771,763
   
$
3,014,504
     
100.00
%
           
4.06
%
   
4.65
%
   
23
     
286
     
6.70
%
   
7.21
%
 
$
25,018
   
$
(38,043
)
                                                                                                 

                             
Interest
 
Interest
   
Average
 
Hedge
                   
Rate
 
Rate
   
Notional
 
Period
                   
Sensitivity
 
Sensitivity
Hedge
 
Balance
 
End
                   
(-50 BPS)(1)
 
(+50 BPS)(1)
Eurodollar Futures
$
(1,725,000)
 
Mar-2021
                 
$
(17,250)
$
17,250
Swaps
 
(1,260,000)
 
Oct-2020
                   
(12,958)
 
12,958
5-Year Treasury Future
 
(165,000)
 
May-2023(3)
                   
(3,477)
 
4,895
TBA
 
(250,000)
 
Jan-2018
                   
(6,103)
 
7,207
Swaptions
 
(700,000)
 
Jan-2028
                   
(120)
 
5,266
Hedge Total
$
(4,100,000)
                     
$
(39,908)
$
47,576
Rate Shock Grand Total
                         
$
(14,890)
$
9,533

(1)
Amounts in the tables above exclude assets with a fair value of approximately $220.3 million sold in December 2018, which settle in January 2019.
(2)
Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant LIBOR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.
(3)
Five year treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $114.69 at December 31, 2018.  The notional contract value of the short position was $189.2 million.

RMBS Assets by Agency
           
Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test
 
($ in thousands)
           
($ in thousands)
           
         
Percentage
           
Percentage
 
   
Fair
   
of
     
Fair
   
of
 
Asset Category
 
Value(1)
   
Portfolio
 
Asset Category
 
Value(1)
   
Portfolio
 
As of December 31, 2018
           
As of December 31, 2018
           
Fannie Mae
 
$
1,527,055
     
50.7
%
Non-Whole Pool Assets
 
$
1,063,874
     
35.3
%
Freddie Mac
   
1,483,406
     
49.2
%
Whole Pool Assets
   
1,950,630
     
64.7
%
Ginnie Mae
   
4,043
     
0.1
%
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
3,014,504
     
100.0
%
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
3,014,504
     
100.0
%
                 

(1)
Amounts in the tables above exclude assets with a fair value of approximately $220.3 million sold in December 2018, which settle in January 2019.




Borrowings By Counterparty
               
($ in thousands)
               
           
Weighted
Weighted
 
       
% of
 
Average
Average
 
   
Total
 
Total
 
Repo
Maturity
Longest
As of December 31, 2018
 
Borrowings(1)
 
Debt
 
Rate
in Days
Maturity
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
$
441,529
 
14.5%
 
2.62%
25
1/30/2019
Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.
 
343,137
 
11.3%
 
2.53%
41
3/7/2019
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
 
335,410
 
11.1%
 
2.58%
12
1/18/2019
ING Financial Markets LLC
 
325,585
 
10.8%
 
2.61%
20
2/12/2019
Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.
 
264,044
 
8.7%
 
2.70%
35
2/11/2019
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co
 
250,738
 
8.3%
 
2.56%
45
3/7/2019
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc
 
205,392
 
6.8%
 
2.55%
47
2/19/2019
ABN AMRO Bank N.V.
 
156,037
 
5.2%
 
2.59%
31
2/4/2019
ICBC Financial Services LLC
 
137,667
 
4.6%
 
2.68%
62
3/15/2019
Citigroup Global Markets Inc
 
112,817
 
3.7%
 
2.61%
27
2/11/2019
FHLB-Cincinnati
 
97,280
 
3.2%
 
3.92%
2
1/2/2019
South Street Securities, LLC
 
82,833
 
2.7%
 
2.57%
30
2/14/2019
Natixis, New York Branch
 
57,709
 
1.9%
 
2.80%
16
1/18/2019
Lucid Cash Fund USG LLC
 
50,814
 
1.7%
 
2.71%
17
1/17/2019
ASL Capital Markets Inc.
 
38,906
 
1.3%
 
2.55%
44
2/13/2019
Bank of Montreal
 
35,481
 
1.2%
 
2.70%
14
1/14/2019
Guggenheim Securities, LLC
 
26,395
 
0.9%
 
2.66%
60
3/1/2019
Lucid Prime Fund, LLC
 
21,424
 
0.7%
 
2.74%
17
1/17/2019
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith
 
18,061
 
0.6%
 
3.06%
28
1/28/2019
ED&F Man Capital Markets Inc
 
13,751
 
0.5%
 
2.60%
38
2/7/2019
J.V.B. Financial Group, LLC
 
10,042
 
0.3%
 
2.54%
46
2/15/2019
Total Borrowings
$
3,025,052
 
100.0%
 
2.65%
31
3/15/2019

(1)
In December 2018, the Company sold assets with a fair value of approximately $220.3 million, which settle in January 2019 that collateralize approximately $213.5 million of repurchase agreements included in the table above.


Contact:

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Robert E. Cauley
3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963
Telephone: (772) 231-1400