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EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 - DTE ENERGY CO | exhibit991-12312017.htm |
8-K - 8-K - DTE ENERGY CO | a8-kearningsrelease4thquar.htm |
Year End 2017
Earnings
Conference Call
February 16, 2018
EXHIBIT 99.2
2
Safe Harbor Statement
Many factors impact forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, the following: impact of regulation by the EPA, the FERC, the
MPSC, the NRC, and for DTE Energy, the CFTC, as well as other applicable governmental proceedings and regulations, including any
associated impact on rate structures; the amount and timing of cost recovery allowed as a result of regulatory proceedings, related appeals, or
new legislation, including legislative amendments and retail access programs; economic conditions and population changes in our geographic
area resulting in changes in demand, customer conservation, and thefts of electricity and, for DTE Energy, natural gas; environmental issues,
laws, regulations, and the increasing costs of remediation and compliance, including actual and potential new federal and state requirements;
health, safety, financial, environmental, and regulatory risks associated with ownership and operation of nuclear facilities; the cost of protecting
assets against, or damage due to, cyber crime and terrorism; volatility in the short-term natural gas storage markets impacting third-party
storage revenues related to DTE Energy; impact of volatility of prices in the oil and gas markets on DTE Energy's gas storage and pipelines
operations; impact of volatility in prices in the international steel markets on DTE Energy's power and industrial projects operations; volatility in
commodity markets, deviations in weather, and related risks impacting the results of DTE Energy's energy trading operations; changes in the
cost and availability of coal and other raw materials, purchased power, and natural gas; advances in technology that produce power or reduce
power consumption; changes in the financial condition of DTE Energy's significant customers and strategic partners; the potential for losses on
investments, including nuclear decommissioning and benefit plan assets and the related increases in future expense and contributions; access
to capital markets and the results of other financing efforts which can be affected by credit agency ratings; instability in capital markets which
could impact availability of short and long-term financing; the timing and extent of changes in interest rates; the level of borrowings; the potential
for increased costs or delays in completion of significant capital projects; changes in, and application of, federal, state, and local tax laws and
their interpretations, including the Internal Revenue Code, regulations, rulings, court proceedings, and audits; the effects of weather and other
natural phenomena on operations and sales to customers, and purchases from suppliers; unplanned outages; employee relations and the
impact of collective bargaining agreements; the risk of a major safety incident at an electric distribution or generation facility and, for DTE
Energy, a gas storage, transmission, or distribution facility; the availability, cost, coverage, and terms of insurance and stability of insurance
providers; cost reduction efforts and the maximization of plant and distribution system performance; the effects of competition; changes in and
application of accounting standards and financial reporting regulations; changes in federal or state laws and their interpretation with respect to
regulation, energy policy, and other business issues; contract disputes, binding arbitration, litigation, and related appeals; and the risks
discussed in our public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. New factors emerge from time to time. We cannot predict what
factors may arise or how such factors may cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Any forward-
looking statements speak only as of the date on which such statements are made. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking
statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
This presentation should also be read in conjunction with the Forward-Looking Statements section of the joint DTE Energy and DTE Electric
2017 Form 10-K (which section is incorporated by reference herein), and in conjunction with other SEC reports filed by DTE Energy and DTE
Electric.
3
• Gerry Anderson – Chairman and CEO
• Jerry Norcia – President and COO
• Peter Oleksiak – Senior Vice President and CFO
• Barbara Tuckfield – Director, Investor Relations
Participants
4
• Overview
• Financial Update
• Long-Term Growth Update
5
Focus on employees and customers resulted in a
successful year in 2017
* J.D. Power 2017 Electric and Gas Utility Customer Satisfaction Study for Midwest utilities. Visit jdpower.com
• Employee engagement in Gallup’s top 4% worldwide
• Gallup’s Great Workplace Award for 5th consecutive year
• AGA’s Safety Achievement Award for 2nd consecutive year
Highly engaged employees
• Ranked 1st in Midwest for business (electric and gas companies)
• Ranked 2nd for residential (electric and gas companies)
Customer satisfaction*
• EEI’s Emergency Recovery Award for windstorm service restoration
• Reducing costs through productivity and efficiency to keep rates
affordable
Distinctive continuous improvement
6
Growth plans are well supported and deliver results
for DTE and Michigan
• Energy legislation implementation progressing
• Tax reform supports affordability agenda
• Rate cases progressing at both utilities
Strong political and regulatory context
• Substantial reliability investments at both utilities
• Significant progress for non-utility growth agenda
Clear growth and value creation strategy
• Ranked 1st in Midwest for corporate citizenship*
• Significant investor in Michigan economy
• Industry-leading initiative to transform energy portfolio; reducing
carbon emissions by 80%+
Force for growth in communities
* J.D. Power 2017 Electric and Gas Utility Residential Customer Satisfaction Study for Midwest utilities. Visit jdpower.com
7
Delivered strong 2017 financial results, raising 2018
operating EPS* guidance midpoint by $0.10
$5.31
$5.59
$5.68
$5.78
2017
Original
guidance
2017
Actual
2018
Early
outlook
2018
Guidance
Operating EPS
* Reconciliation of operating earnings (non-GAAP) to reported earnings included in the appendix
2017 operating EPS
• Surpassed revised guidance
• 9th consecutive year of
exceeding original guidance
• Exceeded $1 billion in operating
earnings
Tax reform increases 2018
operating EPS guidance by $0.10
to a midpoint of $5.78
• EPS accretion is $0.13 by 2022
Growing dividend 7% through
2020**
+9%
** Subject to Board approval
8
Maintaining customer affordability while investing in
our utilities
2012 20172012 2017
2012 2017
Average industrial rate
2012 2017
Average annual residential bill Average industrial rate
Average annual residential bill
DTE Gas
DTE Electric
9
Tax reform benefits customers and is operating
EPS* accretive
Good for DTE
2018 impact
− Non-utility businesses are clear winners with higher earnings
− Earnings increase drives additional $0.10 operating EPS
2019 - 2022 impact
− 5% - 7% operating EPS growth target from increased 2018
guidance
− Operating earnings at utilities increase over time
− Existing non-utility projects have de minimis exposure to lower
FERC recourse rates ($1-$2 million)
− Improvement in the economics of future non-utility projects may be
shared with customers
− Additional segment details to be provided on 1Q 2018 earnings call
Good for utility customers
− Near-term rates ~3% lower driven by changes in current tax rates
− Future rates decline from the deferred tax re-measurement
* Reconciliation of operating earnings (non-GAAP) to reported earnings included in the appendix
10
• Overview
• Financial Update
• Long-Term Growth Update
11
2016 2017 Change
DTE Electric 622$ 617$ (5)$
DTE Gas 138 149 11
Gas Storage & Pipelines 127 160 33
Power & Industrial Projects 95 124 29
Corporate & Other (59) (69) (10)
Growth segments** 923$ 981$ 58$
Growth segments operating EPS 5.14$ 5.48$ 0.34$
Energy Trading 25 20 (5)
DTE Energy 948$ 1,001$ 53$
Operating EPS 5.28$ 5.59$ 0.31$
Avg. Shares Outstanding 180 180
DTE Electric
• Cooler weather and higher storm
expenses in 2017 offset by rate
implementation
DTE Gas
• Rate implementation offset by higher
depreciation expense and property
taxes
Gas Storage & Pipelines
• Link acquisition, higher pipeline and
gathering earnings
Power & Industrial Projects
• Incremental REF sites and higher
steel related earnings
Corporate & Other
• Interest expense and one-time items
Energy Trading
• Slightly lower power/gas margins
(millions, except EPS)
Primary DriversOperating Earnings
2017 operating earnings* variance
* Reconciliation of operating earnings (non-GAAP) to reported earnings included in the appendix
** Total DTE Energy excluding Energy Trading
12
2018
Guidance
DTE Electric
DTE Gas
Gas Storage & Pipelines
Power & Industrial Projects
Corporate & Other
Growth segments**
Growth segments operating EPS
Energy Trading
DTE Energy
Operating EPS
Avg. Shares Outstanding
$648 - $662
152 - 160
185 - 195
115 - 135
(100) - (90)
$1,000 - $1,062
$5.54 - $5.88
$5 - $20
$1,005 - $1,082
$5.57 - $5.99
(millions, except EPS)
181
$648 - $662
152 - 160
155 - 165
100 - 120
(74) - (64)
$981 - $1,043
$5.45 - $5.79
$5 - $15
$986 - $1,058
$5.48 - $5.88
2018 Early
Outlook
180
Raising 2018 operating EPS* guidance midpoint by
$0.10 from early outlook, driven by tax reform benefit
* Reconciliation of operating earnings (non-GAAP) to reported earnings included in the appendix
** Growth segments exclude Energy Trading
13
Issuing $300 million of equity in 2018 while
maintaining strong cash flow and balance sheet
20%
2017 2018-2020E
51%
2017 2018-2020E
Leverage**
Funds from Operations*** / Debt**
Target
50% - 54%
Target
18% - 19%
Issue incremental equity of $300
million* 2018-2020 due to tax
reform
Issue $300 million total in 2018
using internal mechanisms
Target 18% - 19% FFO/Debt
$1.4 billion of available liquidity at
December 31, 2017
Maintain strong BBB credit rating
*** Funds from Operations (FFO) is calculated using operating earnings
** Debt excludes a portion of DTE Gas’ short-term debt and considers 50% of the junior subordinated notes and 100% of the convertible equity units as equity
* In addition to equity issuances of $500 million disclosed at EEI
14
• Overview
• Financial Update
• Long-Term Growth Update
15
Reliability investments at utilities support long-term
growth and increase customer satisfaction
DTE Electric
DTE Gas
• Accelerating the replacement of aging cast-iron and
unprotected steel pipe
• Strengthening and renewing gas infrastructure
• Progressing on new 1,100 MW natural gas power plant
• Breaking ground on new wind park in 1H 2018
• Modernizing grid to improve reliability for customers
16
Gas Storage & Pipelines continues to expand its
portfolio in the most prolific geology in the country
2017 Accomplishments
• NEXUS pipeline construction is advancing in Michigan and
on track for late 3Q in-service date
‒ Right-of-way clearing and compressor station work is
well underway
• Bluestone pipeline and gathering achieved a 1.0 Bcf/d
delivery milestone
2018 Growth
• NEXUS finalizing agreements with two new industrial
customers
• Link executed gathering and transport agreement with a
producer, doubling its capacity
• Precedent agreement signed with APV Renaissance for
lateral pipeline to connect to new power plant
• Expanding Bluestone pipeline by 0.1 Bcf/d
17
Power & Industrial Projects continues growing
industrial energy and renewables businesses
2017 Accomplishments
2018 Growth
• Incremental earnings of ~$15 million from new projects
achieves one-third of the 5-year goal
‒ Completed agreement with Ford Motor Company to
build, own, and operate large-scale central energy plant
‒ Acquired two RNG (renewable natural gas) projects
• Late stage negotiations on large scale cogeneration project
‒ Advancing discussion on five additional opportunities
• Finalizing agreement on new RNG project
‒ Four additional projects in advanced development
• Continuing strong progress toward long-term growth goal
18
• Strong 2017 results continue track record of 9th consecutive year of exceeding
original guidance
• Tax reform is good for customers, accretive for shareholders
‒ Provides lower rates for customers of ~3%
‒ Increases 2018 operating EPS* guidance midpoint by $0.10, serving as new
base for 5% - 7% growth target through 2022
• Investment in utility and non-utilities fuel future growth
• A strong BBB balance sheet remains a mainstay
• Our dividend growth target is 7% annually through 2020**
• Total shareholder return has outpaced utility indices on strong stock
performance and a growing dividend
Summary
* Reconciliation of operating earnings (non-GAAP) to reported earnings included in the appendix
** Subject to Board approval
19
DTE Energy Investor Relations
www.dteenergy.com/investors
(313) 235-8030
Contact us
20
Appendix
21
• Cooler weather
Variance to normal weather
– 2016: $59
– 2017: ($6)
• Rates supporting infrastructure
improvements to enhance
customer reliability
• Rate base growth (depreciation,
property tax and interest)
• Other is primarily reliability related
spend in 2016
$622 $617($65)
($16)
$37
Primary DriversOperating Earnings* Variance
(millions)
2016
Operating
Earnings
2017
Operating
Earnings
Weather Rate Case
Impact
Rate Base
Growth
DTE Electric variance analysis
($35)$74
Storm Other
* Reconciliation of operating earnings (non-GAAP) to reported earnings included in the appendix
22
Weather and DTE Electric Weather Normal Sales
YTD 2016 YTD 2017 % change 4Q 2016 4Q 2017 % change
Actuals 1,123 849 (24%) Actuals 2,010 2,273 13%
Normal 803 803 0% Normal 2,185 2,190 0%
Deviation from normal 40% 6% Deviation from normal (8%) 4%
YTD 2016 YTD 2017 % change
Actuals 5,812 5,834 0%
Normal 6,405 6,354 (1%)
4Q YTD Deviation from normal (9%) (8%)
$0 $59
$5 ($6)
4Q YTD
$0.00 $0.33 4Q YTD
$0.03 ($0.03) ($4) ($16)
$6 ($20)
(Includes Electric Choice) (GWh) 4Q YTD
YTD 2016 YTD 2017 % change ($0.02) ($0.09)
Residential 15,182 14,982 (1%) $0.03 ($0.11)
Commercial 20,219 19,939 (1%)
Industrial 11,886 12,027 1%
Other 264 258 (2%)
TOTAL SALES* 47,551 47,206 (1%)
2017
($ per share)
2016
2017 2016
2017
Variance from normal weather
($ per share)
2016 ($ millions, after-tax)
DTE Electric service territory DTE Gas service territory
Variance from normal weather
($ millions, after-tax)
2016
2017
Cooling degree days
* Includes choice of 4,892 YTD 2016 and 4,809 YTD 2017
Heating degree days
Earnings impact of weather – DTE Electric
Earnings impact of weather – DTE Gas
Weather Normal Electric Sales – DTE Electric Service Area
23
2016
Actual
2017
Actual
Cash From Operations $2.1 $2.1
Capital Expenditures (3.4) (2.6)
Free Cash Flow ($1.3) ($0.5)
Asset Sales & Other - -
Dividends (0.5) (0.6)
Net Cash ($1.8) ($1.1)
Debt Financing:
Issuances $2.7 $1.5
Redemptions (0.9) (0.4)
Change in Debt $1.8 $1.1
Cash Flow
(billions)
Capital Expenditures
2016
Actual
2017
Actual
DTE Electric
Base Infrastructure $805 $831
New Generation 131 69
Distribution Infrastructure 567 674
$1,503 $1,574
DTE Gas
Base Infrastructure $177 $214
NEXUS Related 94 88
Main Renewal 124 161
$395 $463
Non-Utility $1,533 $572
Total $3,431 $2,609
(millions)
2017 cash flow and capital expenditures actuals
24
2017
Actual
2018
Guidance
Cash From Operations* $2.1 $2.0
Capital Expenditures (2.6) (3.6)
Free Cash Flow ($0.5) ($1.6)
Asset Sales & Other - -
Dividends (0.6) (0.6)
Net Cash ($1.1) ($2.2)
Debt Financing:
Issuances $1.5 $2.3
Redemptions (0.4) (0.1)
Change in Debt $1.1 $2.2
(billions) (millions)
2018 cash flow and capital expenditures guidance
2017
Actual
2018
Guidance
DTE Electric
Base Infrastructure $831 $750
New Generation 69 340
Distribution Infrastructure 674 810
$1,574 $1,900
DTE Gas
Base Infrastructure $214 $257
NEXUS Related 88 13
Main Renewal 161 190
$463 $460
Non-Utility $572 $1,100-$1,300
Total $2,609 $3,460-$3,660
Cash Flow Capital Expenditures
* Includes $0 and $0.3 billion of equity issued for employee benefit programs in 2017 and 2018 respectively
25
2017 Energy Trading reconciliation of operating
earnings* to economic net income
2017
2016 2017
Operating Earnings $25 $20
Accounting Adjustments** 15 9
Economic Net Income $40 $29
• Economic net income equals economic
gross margin*** minus O&M expenses and
taxes
• DTE Energy management uses economic
net income as one of the performance
measures for external communications with
analysts and investors
• Internally, DTE Energy uses economic net
income as one of the measures to review
performance against financial targets and
budget
*** Economic gross margin is the change in net fair value of realized and unrealized purchase and sale contracts including certain non-derivative contract costs
** Consists of 1) the income statement effect of not recognizing changes in the fair market value of certain non-derivative contracts including physical inventory and capacity contracts
for transportation, transmission and storage. These contracts are not marked-to-market, instead are recognized for accounting purposes on an accrual basis; 2) operating
adjustments for unrealized marked-to-market changes of certain derivative contracts; and 3) DTE Energy Foundation contribution
* Reconciliation of operating earnings (non-GAAP) to reported earnings also included in the appendix
26
Reconciliation of 2017 reported to operating earnings
Use of Operating Earnings Information – DTE Energy management believes that operating earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing
operations and uses operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with analysts and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses operating
earnings to measure performance against budget and to report to the Board of Directors. Operating earnings are presented both with and without Energy Trading. The term “Growth
Segments” refers to DTE Energy without Energy Trading and represents the business segments that management expects to generate earnings growth going forward.
Net Income (millions)*
DTE
Electric DTE Gas
Gas
Storage &
Pipelines
Power &
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
& Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading
DTE
Energy
$606 $146 $275 $138 ($103) $1,062 $72 $1,134
10 10 10
6 3 9 9
(5) (115) (21) 34 (107) 2 (105)
7 7 7
(54) (54)
$617 $149 $160 $124 ($69) $981 $20 $1,001
After tax items:
PSCR disallowance
2017
Certain mark-to-market transactions
Reported Earnings
System implementation costs
Deferred tax remeasurement
Impairment
EPS**
DTE
Electric DTE Gas
Gas
Storage &
Pipelines
Power &
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
& Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading
DTE
Energy
$3.38 $0.81 $1.53 $0.77 ($0.57) $5.92 $0.40 $6.32
0.06 0.06 0.06
0.03 0.02 0.05 0.05
(0.03) (0.64) (0.12) 0.20 (0.59) 0.01 (0.58)
0.04 0.04 0.04
(0.30) (0.30)
$3.44 $0.83 $0.89 $0.69 ($0.37) $5.48 $0.11 $5.59
2017
Operating Earnings
After tax items:
PSCR disallowance
Certain mark-to-market transactions
Reported Earnings
System implementation costs
Deferred tax remeasurement
Impairment
Operating Earnings
* Total tax impact of adjustments to reported earnings: ($650 million)
** Total tax impact of adjustments to reported EPS: ($3.63)
27
Reconciliation of 2016 reported to operating earnings
Use of Operating Earnings Information – DTE Energy management believes that operating earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing
operations and uses operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with analysts and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses operating
earnings to measure performance against budget and to report to the Board of Directors. Operating earnings are presented both with and without Energy Trading. The term “Growth
Segments” refers to DTE Energy without Energy Trading and represents the business segments that management expects to generate earnings growth going forward.
201 Actual
DTE
Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported Earnings 622$ 138$ 119$ 95$ (61)$ 913$ (45)$ 868$
Link - - 8 - 2 10 - 10
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - 70 70
Operating Earnings 622$ 138$ 127$ 95$ (59)$ 923$ 25$ 948$
Net Income (millions)
2016 Actual
DTE
Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported Earnings 3.47$ 0.77$ 0.66$ 0.53$ (0.35)$ 5.08$ (0.25)$ 4.83$
Link 0.05 0.01 0.06 0.06
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - 0.39 0.39
Operating Earnings 3.47$ 0.77$ 0.71$ 0.53$ (0.34)$ 5.14$ 0.14$ 5.28$
EPS
After-tax items:
After-tax items:
*
**
* Total tax impact of adjustments to reported earnings: $51 million
** Total tax impact of adjustments to reported EPS: $0.29
28
Use of Operating Earnings Information – Operating earnings exclude non-recurring items, certain mark-to-
market adjustments and discontinued operations. DTE Energy management believes that operating
earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing operations
and uses operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with
analysts and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses operating earnings to measure performance against
budget and to report to the Board of Directors.
In this presentation, DTE Energy provides guidance for future period operating earnings. It is likely that
certain items that impact the company’s future period reported results will be excluded from operating
results. A reconciliation to the comparable future period reported earnings is not provided because it is not
possible to provide a reliable forecast of specific line items (i.e. future non-recurring items, certain mark-to-
market adjustments and discontinued operations). These items may fluctuate significantly from period to
period and may have a significant impact on reported earnings.
Reconciliation of reported to operating earnings
(non-GAAP)