Novelis Inc. - FORM 8-K - EX-99.2 - EXHIBIT 99.2 EARNINGS SLIDES

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EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 EARNINGS RELEASE - Novelis Inc.	novelisq3fy18results.htm
8-K - 8-K EARNINGS - Novelis Inc.	nvl-form8xkq3fy18.htm

© 2018 Novelis NOVELIS Q3 FISCAL 2018 EARNINGS CONFERENCE CALL February 1, 2018 Steve Fisher President and Chief Executive Officer Devinder Ahuja Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Exhibit 99.2

© 2018 Novelis SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT Forward-looking statements Statements made in this presentation which describe Novelis' intentions, expectations, beliefs or predictions may be forward- looking statements within the meaning of securities laws. Forward-looking statements include statements preceded by, followed by, or including the words "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "plans," "estimates," "projects," "forecasts," or similar expressions. Examples of forward-looking statements in this presentation including statements concerning the ranges for Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow we expect to achieve this fiscal year. Novelis cautions that, by their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty and that Novelis' actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. We do not intend, and we disclaim, any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Factors that could cause actual results or outcomes to differ from the results expressed or implied by forward-looking statements include, among other things: changes in the prices and availability of aluminum (or premiums associated with such prices) or other materials and raw materials we use; the capacity and effectiveness of our hedging activities; relationships with, and financial and operating conditions of, our customers, suppliers and other stakeholders; fluctuations in the supply of, and prices for, energy in the areas in which we maintain production facilities; our ability to access financing for future capital requirements; changes in the relative values of various currencies and the effectiveness of our currency hedging activities; factors affecting our operations, such as litigation, environmental remediation and clean-up costs, labor relations and negotiations, breakdown of equipment and other events; the impact of restructuring efforts in the future; economic, regulatory and political factors within the countries in which we operate or sell our products, including changes in duties or tariffs; competition from other aluminum rolled products producers as well as from substitute materials such as steel, glass, plastic and composite materials; changes in general economic conditions including deterioration in the global economy, particularly sectors in which our customers operate; cyclical demand and pricing within the principal markets for our products as well as seasonality in certain of our customers’ industries; changes in government regulations, particularly those affecting taxes, environmental, health or safety compliance; changes in interest rates that have the effect of increasing the amounts we pay under our credit facilities and other financing agreements; the effect of taxes and changes in tax rates; and our ability to generate cash. The above list of factors is not exhaustive. Other important risk factors included under the caption "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2017 are specifically incorporated by reference into this presentation. 2

© 2018 Novelis HIGHLIGHTS Financial & Operational Highlights Achieved 20% YoY increase in Q3 Adjusted EBITDA to record $305 million Q3 shipments increased 6% YoY Positive product mix shift towards auto Operating efficiencies TTM Adjusted EBITDA $1,188 million 3 Strategically investing to grow with our customers Strategic Activities Strengthening our product portfolio Expanding & securing global automotive capabilities with investments in North America and Europe Exiting European litho business Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA ($M) 238 255 305 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325

© 2018 Novelis Q3 FISCAL 2018 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Net income attributable to our common shareholder $121 million Excluding tax-effected special items*, net income more than doubled from $67 million to $138 million FY18 includes non-cash income tax benefit $34 million attributable to common shareholder related to US tax reform Adjusted EBITDA up 20% from $255 million to record $305 million Total FRP Shipments up 6% to 796 kilotonnes Adjusted EBITDA per ton increased $43 Net sales up 33% to $3.1 billion Very strong liquidity of $1.7 billion Reduced net leverage ratio by 1.1 turns 5 Q3FY18 vs Q3FY17 *Tax-effected special items may include restructuring & impairment, metal price lag, gain/loss on assets held for sale, loss on extinguishment of debt, loss/gain on sale of business Net Leverage ratio Net debt/TTM Adjusted EBITDA 3.2 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 Adjusted EBITDA/ton ($) 383 300 325 350 375 400

© 2018 Novelis Q3 ADJUSTED EBITDA BRIDGE 6 $ Millions 255 46 1 15 3 (15) 305 Q3FY17 Volume Price/Mix Operating Cost FX SG&A and Other Q3FY18 Strategy to drive volume, mix and cost efficiencies delivers record results

© 2018 Novelis FREE CASH FLOW 7 YTD FY18 YTD FY17 Adjusted EBITDA 896 794 Capital expenditures (136) (138) Interest paid (197) (236) Taxes paid (107) (70) Working capital & other (353) (321) Free cash flow $103 $29 Strong YTD free cash flow despite sharply rising aluminum prices $74 million YoY improvement in YTD FCF Higher adjusted EBITDA Lower interest related to refinancing actions in FY17 Higher taxes on higher EBITDA Working capital outflow related to higher metal prices, strategic inventory increase to meet sales demand, and timing of customer payments $ Millions Free cash flow excludes the gain from Ulsan Aluminum JV transaction; see definition of Free Cash Flow in Appendix On track to deliver record FCF in FY18, on low-end of $400-$450M guidance

© 2018 Novelis KEY PROVISIONS OF US TAX REFORM US corporate tax rate reduction to 21% effective January 1, 2018 In Q3FY18, recorded non-cash income tax benefit attributable to common shareholder of $34 million for the remeasurement of deferred tax assets and liabilities No cash impact from rate change expected before FY20 FY18 cash taxes ~$165 million Additional considerations going forward Treatment of capital expenditure acceleration – neutral to positive Interest deduction limitation – slight negative 8 Overall, US tax reform a net positive for Novelis

© 2018 Novelis ALUMINUM AUTOMOTIVE OUTLOOK 10 Source: Ducker Worldwide 84 120 139 165 212 258 306 340 397 466 520 565 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2028 North American Light Vehicle Aluminum Content Net pounds per vehicle Lightweight aluminum empowers automakers to meet ever-increasing fuel efficiency and emission standards while also delivering vital safety, performance and design solutions Novelis aluminum is featured in more than 200 vehicle models Novelis is the world’s largest supplier of aluminum sheet to the automotive industry Growth in Body-in-White and closure applications such as: Hoods Trunks Lift gates Doors Fenders 50 75 100 125 150 175 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Novelis Quarterly Global Automotive Shipments (kilotonnes) FY15 FY17FY16 FY18

© 2018 Novelis INVESTING IN US AUTOMOTIVE CAPABILITIES 11 Strategically located greenfield site will house pre-treatment and heat- treatment lines to be used in vehicle production Will receive rolled coils for finishing from nearby Logan plant; investment includes additional furnace capabilities at Logan Groundbreaking early 2018, opening in 2020 Solidifying our global leadership position in automotive aluminum sheet Southeastern United States Guthrie Logan Novelis Kentucky Auto Facilities ~$300 million investment in Guthrie, Kentucky for 200kt nameplate capacity

© 2018 Novelis INVESTING IN EUROPEAN AUTOMOTIVE CAPABILITIES 12 Agreed to acquire operating facilities and manufacturing assets in Sierre, Switzerland, for €200 million to provide security, stability and strategic flexibility Expanding and securing our global automotive capabilities Novelis Global Automotive Footprint

© 2018 Novelis SUMMARY & OUTLOOK Strong operating performance drove record Q3 Adjusted EBITDA On track to deliver a record year FY18 Adjusted EBITDA on high end of previously guided $1,150-$1,200 million range Free cash flow on low end of previously guided $400-$450 million range Demand for automotive aluminum sheet remains high Strategically investing in automotive assets to grow with our customers and advance the continued penetration of aluminum sheet in the automotive market 13 TTM Adjusted EBITDA ($M) $1,188 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 TTM shipment trend (kt) 3,172 3,000 3,050 3,100 3,150 3,200

© 2018 Novelis (in $ m) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY17 Q1FY18 Q2 FY18 Q3 FY18 Net income (loss) attributable to our common shareholder 24 (89) 63 47 45 101 307 121 - Noncontrolling interests - - 1 - 1 - - (16) - Interest, net 80 79 65 59 283 62 66 62 - Income tax provision 36 27 47 41 151 43 116 20 - Depreciation and amortization 89 90 88 93 360 90 91 86 EBITDA 229 107 264 240 840 296 576 273 - Unrealized loss (gain) on derivatives 7 (4) (21) 13 (5) (16) 18 (15) - Realized gain (loss) on derivative instruments not included in segment income (1) - (1) (3) (5) (1) - 1 - Proportional consolidation 8 8 4 8 28 8 8 17 - Loss on extinguishment of debt - 112 - 22 134 - - - - Restructuring and impairment, net 2 1 1 6 10 1 7 25 - Loss (gain) on sale of business - 27 - - 27 - (318) - - Loss (gain) on sale of fixed assets 4 2 (2) 2 6 1 1 2 - Gain on assets held for sale, net (1) (1) - - (2) - - - - Metal price lag (A) 13 14 4 - 31 1 5 (1) - Others costs (income), net 7 4 6 4 21 (1) 5 3 Adjusted EBITDA $268 $270 $255 $292 $1,085 $289 $302 $305 INCOME STATEMENT RECONCILIATION TO ADJUSTED EBITDA 16 (A) Effective in the first quarter of fiscal 2018, management removed the impact of metal price lag from Adjusted EBITDA (Segment Income) in order to enhance the visibility of the underlying operating performance of the Company. On certain sales contracts, we experience timing differences on the pass through of changing aluminum prices from our suppliers to our customers. Additional timing differences occur in the flow of metal costs through moving average inventory cost values and cost of goods sold. This timing difference is referred to as metal price lag. The impact of metal price lag is now reported as a separate line item in this reconciliation. Segment income for all prior periods presented has been updated to reflect this change.

© 2018 Novelis FREE CASH FLOW AND LIQUIDITY 17 (in $ m) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY17 Q1FY18 Q2 FY18 Q3 FY18 Cash (used in) provided by operating activities (107) 80 178 424 575 (45) 139 143 Cash used in investing activities (39) (48) (35) (90) (212) (31) 273 (72) Less: outflows (proceeds) from sale of assets, net of transaction fees, cash income taxes and hedging (A) - 12 (12) (2) (2) (1) (311) 8 Free cash flow $(146) $44 $131 $332 $361 $(77) $101 $79 Capital expenditures 44 46 48 86 224 39 43 54 (in $ m) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY17 Q1FY18 Q2 FY18 Q3 FY18 Cash and cash equivalents 457 473 505 594 594 565 949 757 Availability under committed credit facilities 633 573 534 701 701 671 700 967 Liquidity $1,090 $1,046 $1,039 $1,295 $1,295 $1,236 $1,649 $1,724 (A) Effective in the second quarter of fiscal 2018, management clarified the definition of “Free cash flow” (a non-GAAP measure) to reduce "Proceeds on the sale of assets, net of transaction fees and hedging" by cash income taxes to further enable users of the financial statements to understand cash generated internally by the Company. This change does not impact the condensed consolidated financial statements or significantly impact prior periods. In addition, this line item includes the proceeds from the sale of shares in Ulsan Aluminum Ltd., to Kobe Steel Ltd. during the three months ended December 31, 2017 in the amount of $314 million. This line item also includes "Outflows from the sale of a business, net of transaction fees," which is comprised of cash of $13 million held by ALCOM, which was a consolidated entity sold during the nine months ended September 30, 2016. We expect additional cash taxes and transaction fees related to Ulsan Aluminum Ltd. of approximately $41 million and $2 million, respectively, to be paid during the remainder of fiscal 2018.

Novelis Inc. - FORM 8-K - EX-99.2 - EXHIBIT 99.2 EARNINGS SLIDES - February 1, 2018

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