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8-K - ORC FORM 8-K 2018-01-10 - Orchid Island Capital, Inc.orcok20180110.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1

ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL ANNOUNCES
JANUARY 2018 MONTHLY DIVIDEND AND
DECEMBER 31, 2017 RMBS PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS

·
January 2018 Monthly Dividend of $0.11 Per Share
·
Estimated Book Value Per Share at December 31, 2017 of $8.71
·
Estimated GAAP net loss of $0.12 per share for the quarter ended December 31, 2017, including an estimated $0.58 per share of realized and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments
·
Estimated GAAP net income of $0.04 per share for the year ended December 31, 2017, including an estimated $1.98 per share of realized and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments
·
Estimated (0.2)% total return on equity for the quarter, or (0.9)% annualized.  Estimated total return for the year was 2.9%
·
RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of December 31, 2017

Vero Beach, Fla., January 10, 2018 - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the "Company") (NYSE:ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of January 2018. The dividend of $0.11 per share will be paid February 9, 2018 to holders of record on January 31, 2018, with an ex-dividend date of January 30, 2018.

Commenting on the change to the Company's monthly distribution rate, Robert E. Cauley, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, "The decision to reduce our monthly dividend from $0.14 to $0.11 was a difficult one but a necessary one.  The current interest rate and investment environment has put downward pressure on the earnings power of the portfolio.  In particular, continued upward movements in our borrowing costs driven by rate increases by the Federal Reserve, without a corresponding increase in yields available on the Agency RMBS assets we acquire, has depressed our net interest margin and necessitated the reduction in our monthly dividend."

The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its stockholders. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust ("REIT"), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.

As of January 10, 2018, the Company had 53,061,904 shares outstanding. At September 30, 2017, the Company had 45,308,169 shares outstanding.

Estimated December 31, 2017 Book Value Per Share

The Company's estimated book value per share as of December 31, 2017 was $8.71.  The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders' equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. At December 31, 2017, the Company's preliminary estimated total stockholders' equity was approximately $462.2 million with 53,061,904 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company's independent registered public accounting firm.



Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses on RMBS and Derivative Instruments

The Company estimates it generated a net loss per share of $0.12, which includes $0.58 per share of realized and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments for the quarter ended December 31, 2017.  These figures compare to three monthly dividends declared during the quarter of $0.14, for a total of $0.42 declared during the quarter.  Net income per common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income.  The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net income. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company's independent registered public accounting firm.

Estimated Return on Equity

The Company's estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended December 31, 2017 was (0.2)%, or (0.9)% on an annualized basis. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company's stockholders' equity at the beginning of the quarter.  The total return was $(0.02) per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.42 and a decrease in book value per share of $0.44 from September 30, 2017.

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Details of the RMBS portfolio as of December 31, 2017 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company's financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended December 31, 2017, are subject to review by the Company's independent registered public accounting firm.

·
RMBS Valuation Characteristics
·
RMBS Assets by Agency
·
Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test Results
·
Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty
·
RMBS Risk Measures

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests in Agency RMBS that are either traditional pass-through Agency RMBS or structured Agency RMBS. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. has elected to be taxed as a REIT for federal income tax purposes.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company's distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the "Risk Factors" section of the Company's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016.



RMBS Valuation Characteristics
                                   
($ in thousands)
                                   
                     
Percentage
   
Weighted
   
Realized
 
   
Current
   
Fair
   
Current
   
of
   
Average
   
Dec 2017 CPR
 
Asset Category
 
Face
   
Value
   
Price
   
Portfolio
   
Coupon
   
(Reported in Jan)
 
As of December 31, 2017
                                   
Adjustable Rate RMBS
 
$
1,660
   
$
1,754
   
$
105.67
     
0.05
%
   
3.95
%
   
0.02
%
10-1 Hybrid Rate RMBS
   
27,173
     
27,398
     
100.83
     
0.73
%
   
2.59
%
   
12.94
%
Hybrid Adjustable Rate RMBS
   
27,173
     
27,398
     
100.83
     
0.73
%
   
2.59
%
   
12.94
%
15 Year Fixed Rate RMBS
   
39,193
     
40,729
     
103.92
     
1.09
%
   
3.50
%
   
12.10
%
20 Year Fixed Rate RMBS
   
378,181
     
400,025
     
105.78
     
10.68
%
   
4.00
%
   
6.09
%
30 Year Fixed Rate RMBS
   
2,947,170
     
3,153,779
     
107.01
     
84.22
%
   
4.29
%
   
5.71
%
Total Fixed Rate RMBS
   
3,364,544
     
3,594,533
     
106.84
     
95.99
%
   
4.25
%
   
5.83
%
Total Pass-through RMBS
   
3,393,377
     
3,623,685
     
106.79
     
96.77
%
   
4.24
%
   
5.88
%
Interest-Only Securities
   
701,740
     
86,918
     
12.39
     
2.32
%
   
3.75
%
   
13.65
%
Inverse Interest-Only Securities
   
266,958
     
34,208
     
12.81
     
0.91
%
   
4.02
%
   
11.65
%
Structured RMBS
   
968,698
     
121,126
     
12.50
     
3.23
%
   
3.82
%
   
13.10
%
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
4,362,075
   
$
3,744,811
             
100.00
%
   
4.23
%
   
7.48
%

RMBS Assets by Agency
           
Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test
 
($ in thousands)
           
($ in thousands)
           
         
Percentage
           
Percentage
 
   
Fair
   
of
     
Fair
   
of
 
Asset Category
 
Value
   
Portfolio
 
Asset Category
 
Value
   
Portfolio
 
As of December 31, 2017
           
As of December 31, 2017
           
Fannie Mae
 
$
2,242,214
     
59.9
%
Whole Pool Assets
 
$
3,054,748
     
81.6
%
Freddie Mac
   
1,496,615
     
39.9
%
Non-Whole Pool Assets
   
690,063
     
18.4
%
Ginnie Mae
   
5,982
     
0.2
%
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
3,744,811
     
100.0
%
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
3,744,811
     
100.0
%
                 



Borrowings By Counterparty
                       
($ in thousands)
                       
               
Weighted
   
         
% of
   
Average
   
   
Total
   
Total
   
Maturity
 
Longest
As of December 31, 2017
 
Borrowings
   
Debt
   
in Days
 
Maturity
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
 
$
603,492
     
17.0
%
   
140
 
8/10/2018
Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.
   
308,553
     
8.7
%
   
99
 
8/10/2018
Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.
   
240,456
     
6.8
%
   
13
 
1/12/2018
Citigroup Global Markets Inc
   
230,329
     
6.5
%
   
31
 
3/13/2018
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
   
221,684
     
6.3
%
   
14
 
1/12/2018
Guggenheim Securities, LLC
   
213,970
     
6.1
%
   
48
 
3/27/2018
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co
   
206,261
     
5.8
%
   
35
 
2/16/2018
Mizuho Securities USA, Inc
   
197,751
     
5.6
%
   
19
 
1/22/2018
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc
   
187,974
     
5.3
%
   
19
 
1/22/2018
ED&F Man Capital Markets Inc
   
167,519
     
4.7
%
   
52
 
3/19/2018
Goldman, Sachs & Co
   
156,862
     
4.4
%
   
56
 
3/29/2018
ICBC Financial Services LLC
   
154,136
     
4.4
%
   
33
 
1/31/2018
Nomura Securities International, Inc.
   
140,555
     
4.0
%
   
18
 
1/29/2018
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
   
105,347
     
3.0
%
   
11
 
1/12/2018
Natixis, New York Branch
   
103,560
     
2.9
%
   
22
 
1/26/2018
FHLB-Cincinnati
   
94,794
     
2.7
%
   
4
 
1/2/2018
Daiwa Securities America Inc.
   
68,945
     
2.0
%
   
12
 
1/12/2018
KGS-Alpha Capital Markets, L.P
   
65,500
     
1.9
%
   
94
 
8/14/2018
Lucid Cash Fund USG LLC
   
25,062
     
0.7
%
   
19
 
1/17/2018
ING Financial Markets LLC
   
17,114
     
0.5
%
   
4
 
1/2/2018
J.V.B. Financial Group, LLC
   
12,915
     
0.4
%
   
74
 
3/13/2018
South Street Securities, LLC
   
11,007
     
0.3
%
   
31
 
1/29/2018
Total Borrowings
 
$
3,533,786
     
100.0
%
   
54
 
8/14/2018



RMBS Risk Measures
                                   
($ in thousands)
                                   
Mortgage Assets
                                   
         
Weighted
                         
         
Average
   
Weighted
   
Weighted
   
Modeled
   
Modeled
 
         
Months
   
Average
   
Average
   
Interest
   
Interest
 
         
To Next
   
Lifetime
   
Periodic
   
Rate
   
Rate
 
   
Fair
   
Coupon Reset
   
Cap
   
Cap Per Year
   
Sensitivity
   
Sensitivity
 
Asset Category
 
Value
   
(if applicable)
   
(if applicable)
   
(if applicable)
   
(-50 BPS)(1)
   
(+50 BPS)(1)
 
As of December 31, 2017
                                   
Adjustable Rate RMBS
 
$
1,754
     
5
     
10.05
%
   
2.00
%
 
$
13
   
$
(6
)
Hybrid Adjustable Rate RMBS
   
27,398
     
60
     
7.59
%
   
2.00
%
   
372
     
(397
)
Total Fixed Rate RMBS
   
3,594,533
     
n/a
     
n/a
     
n/a
     
48,204
     
(78,228
)
Total Pass-through RMBS
   
3,623,685
     
n/a
     
n/a
     
n/a
     
48,589
     
(78,631
)
Interest-Only Securities
   
86,918
     
n/a
     
n/a
     
n/a
     
(15,869
)
   
9,561
 
Inverse Interest-Only Securities
   
34,208
     
0
     
5.11
%
   
n/a
     
1,588
     
(3,866
)
Structured RMBS
   
121,126
     
n/a
     
n/a
     
n/a
     
(14,281
)
   
5,695
 
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
3,744,811
     
n/a
     
n/a
     
n/a
   
$
34,308
   
$
(72,936
)
                                                 
Funding Hedges
                                               
                                   
Modeled
   
Modeled
 
                                   
Interest
   
Interest
 
                   
Average
   
Hedge
   
Rate
   
Rate
 
                   
Notional
   
Period
   
Sensitivity
   
Sensitivity
 
                   
Balance(2)
   
End Date
   
(-50 BPS)(1)
   
(+50 BPS)(1)
 
Eurodollar Futures Contracts - Short Positions
   
$
1,183,333
   
Dec-2020
   
$
(15,174
)
 
$
17,750
 
Treasury Futures Contracts - Short Positions
     
140,000
   
Mar-2018
     
(4,683
)
   
5,566
 
Payer Swaps
     
1,010,000
   
Aug-2022
     
(13,296
)
   
13,296
 
Payer Swaption
     
200,000
   
Aug-2025
     
(2,512
)
   
4,316
 
TBA Short Positions
     
300,444
   
Jan-2018
     
(6,655
)
   
9,731
 
Total Hedges
                     
(42,320
)
   
50,659
 
                                   
Grand Total
                   
$
(8,012
)
 
$
(22,277
)

(1)
Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant LIBOR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.
(2)
Treasury futures contracts were valued at a price of $124.05 at December 31, 2017.  The notional contract value of the short position was $173.7 million.



Returns By Quarter
                             
($ Per Share)
                             
     
Q1
     
Q2
     
Q3
     
Q4
   
YTD
 
     
2017
     
2017
     
2017
     
2017
     
2017
 
Beginning Book Value
 
$
10.10
   
$
9.75
   
$
9.23
   
$
9.15
   
$
10.10
 
Dividends Paid
   
0.42
     
0.42
     
0.42
     
0.42
     
1.68
 
Ending Book Value
   
9.75
     
9.23
     
9.15
     
8.71
     
8.71
 
Total Return
 
$
0.07
   
$
(0.10
)
 
$
0.34
   
$
(0.02
)
 
$
0.29
 
% Return (Not Annualized)
   
0.7
%
   
(1.0
)%
   
3.7
%
   
(0.2
)%
   
2.9
%
% Return (Annualized)
   
2.8
%
   
(4.1
)%
   
14.7
%
   
(0.9
)%
   
2.9
%


Contact:

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Robert E. Cauley
3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963
Telephone: (772) 231-1400