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8-K - WEC ENERGY GROUP 8-K 08.15.2017 - WEC ENERGY GROUP, INC. | wecenergygroupform8-k08152.htm |
August 2017
1
Cautionary Statement Regarding
Forward-Looking Information
Much of the information contained in this presentation is forward-looking information based upon management’s
current expectations and projections that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking information includes, among
other things, information concerning earnings per share, rate case activity, earnings per share growth, cash flow,
dividend growth and dividend payout ratios, construction costs and capital expenditures, investment opportunities,
corporate initiatives, rate base, and environmental matters. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on this
forward-looking information. Forward-looking information is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results
may differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking information.
In addition to the assumptions and other factors referred to in connection with the forward-looking information, factors
that could cause WEC Energy Group’s actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in any forward-
looking information or otherwise affect our future results of operations and financial condition include, among others,
the following: general economic conditions, including business and competitive conditions in the company’s service
territories; timing, resolution and impact of future rate cases and other regulatory decisions; the company’s ability to
continue to successfully integrate the operations of its subsidiaries; availability of the company’s generating facilities
and/or distribution systems; unanticipated changes in fuel and purchased power costs; key personnel changes;
varying weather conditions; continued industry consolidation; cyber-security threats; the value of goodwill and its
possible impairment; construction risks; equity and bond market fluctuations; the impact of any legislative and
regulatory changes, including changes to existing and/or anticipated environmental standards and tax laws; current
and future litigation and regulatory investigations; changes in accounting standards; and other factors described under
the heading “Factors Affecting Results, Liquidity, and Capital Resources” in Management’s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations and under the headings “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-
Looking Information” and “Risk Factors” contained in WEC Energy Group’s Form 10-K for the year ended December
31, 2016 and in subsequent reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. WEC Energy Group
expressly disclaims any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking information.
2
Well Positioned for the Future
WEC Energy Group
Focused on the fundamentals:
Safety
World-class reliability
Operating efficiency
Financial discipline
Exceptional customer care
3
Well Positioned for the Future
Focused on the Fundamentals
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
Consistent EPS Growth
6 years in a row
Ranked #2 in our sector
GAAP Adjusted
4
Well Positioned for the Future
A Compelling Value Proposition
For 2017, targeting earnings per share growth of 5-7 percent
2017 earnings guidance is $3.06 - $3.12 per share, expectation of being
in the upper end of the range
Longer-term earnings per share growth is expected to be
5-7 percent compound annual growth rate off 2015 base of
$2.72 per share
More than 99 percent of earnings from regulated operations
Projecting dividend growth in line with earnings growth
5
Well Positioned for the Future
WEC Energy Group
$19.4 billion market cap (1)
1.6 million electric customers
2.8 million gas customers
60% ownership of ATC
69,000 miles electric distribution
46,000 miles gas distribution
$17.7 billion of rate base (2)
99+% of earnings from regulated
operations
Company Statistics Service Territory
(1) As of 6/30/17
(2) 2016 average rate base
We Energies
Michigan Gas Utilities Corporation
Minnesota Energy Resources Corporation
North Shore Gas Company
The Peoples Gas Light and Coke Company
Wisconsin Public Service Corporation
Upper Michigan Energy Resources Corporation
6
Well Positioned for the Future
Earnings Growth Drivers
$2.7
$5.7
2016 average rate base
($ billions)
$12.8
$2.9
$2.0
Utilities PTF Transmission
Note: Power the Future value represents investment book value
Core Investment
Rate Base: Projected rate base investment from
2017 – 2021: $9.5 – $10.0 billion
ATC – Traditional Footprint
$3.6 – $4.4 billion 10-year capital plan
WEC Ownership 60%
Power the Future: ROE of 12.7% on historical and
new investment
Plus additional growth opportunities
Outside ATC traditional footprint
Additional natural gas storage
Continued analysis of utility projects
$17.7 billion
7
Well Positioned for the Future
Our Portfolio of Regulated Businesses
Electric Generation
and Distribution
59%
Gas
Distribution
27%
Electric
Transmission
14%
Based on 2016 average rate base
70%
14%
12%
4%
WI FERC IL MI/MN
By Jurisdiction By Business
8
Well Positioned for the Future
Power the Future Investments
Port Washington Generating Station ranks 7th in nation for natural gas
combined-cycle heat rate2
Elm Road Generating Station ranks 4th in nation for coal heat rate2
Natural Gas Coal
Capacity 1,090 MW 1,030 MW
1
Investment $664 million $2 billion
1
ROE 12.7% 12.7%
Equity 53% 55%
In Service Dates Unit 1 – July 2005
Unit 2 – May 2008
Unit 1 – February 2010
Unit 2 – January 2011
Lease Terms 25 years 30 years
Cost Per Unit of Capacity $609/kW $1,950/kW
1. All capacity and investment amounts reflect WEC ownership only.
Demonstrated capacity for the coal units is 1,056 MW – value shown in table is amount guaranteed in lease agreement.
2. Source: Power Engineering
9
Balanced Regulatory Environment
Rate-Making Parameters by Company
Utility Equity Layer(1) Authorized ROE
Wisconsin Electric 48.5% - 53.5% 10.2%
Wisconsin Public Service 49.0% - 54.0% 10.0%
Wisconsin Gas 47.0% - 52.0% 10.3%
Peoples Gas 50.33% 9.05%
North Shore Gas 50.48% 9.05%
Minnesota Energy Resources 50.32% 9.11%
Michigan Gas Utilities 52% 9.9%
1. Represents equity layer in rates
10
Balanced Regulatory Environment
Rate Case Update
Wisconsin
Proposed settlement filed with PSCW on April 4, 2017
Base rate freezes for Wisconsin customers for 2018 and 2019
Expand and make permanent real-time market pricing options
Extend current earnings cap and sharing mechanism through 2019
for WE and WG
Added earnings cap and sharing mechanism to WPS for 2018 and 2019
Modified settlement approved August 10, 2017 with a final written
order anticipated in September
Illinois
No rate case filing in 2017
11
Line of Business View
Five Year Capital Projection 2017-2021
$343 $412 $317 $337 $250
$517 $502 $529 $515 $538
$1,320
$1,041 $1,052 $1,035
$1,016
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Gas Delivery
Electric Delivery
Generation
$1,804
In millions
Total capital spend over the five-year period of $9.5 - $10.0 billion
$2,180
$1,955 $1,898 $1,887
Excludes ATC projected capital expenditures both inside and outside their traditional footprint.
Includes UMERC generation and Bluewater natural gas storage acquisition.
12
State View
Five Year Capital Projection 2017-2021
$343 $412 $317 $337 $250
$1,163 $914
$944 $904
$946
$575
$525
$529 $535
$496
$99
$104
$108 $111
$112
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
MERC/MGU
Illinois
WI/MI Delivery
WI/MI Generation
In millions
Depreciation at the utilities expected to average $830 million annually
over the five-year period
$1,898
$2,180
$1,804 $1,955 $1,887
Excludes ATC projected capital expenditures both inside and outside their traditional footprint.
Includes UMERC generation and Bluewater natural gas storage acquisition.
13
$543
$489
$399
$428
$318 $327
$295
$241
$291
$191
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
ATC WEC portion 60%
Well Positioned for the Future
American Transmission Company
Key Assumptions
ATC average rate base at year end
2016: $3.3 billion
Implies average $164 million
effective annual (FERC) rate base
growth for WEC from 2017 to 2021
5-year projected WEC portion of
capital investments
Inside traditional footprint: $1.4 billion
Outside traditional footprint: $300 million
ROE currently under FERC review
Projected Capital Expenditures
(Inside Traditional Footprint)
(Millions of Dollars)
$3.6 – $4.4 billion projected investment from 2016 – 2025
14
Well Positioned for the Future
American Transmission Company –
Outside the Traditional Footprint
Joint venture between Duke Energy and ATC (DATC)
Ownership split 50/50 between Duke and ATC
WEC current ownership interest is 30%, potentially growing to 34%
Owns California’s Path 15 transmission line – potential for expansion
Zephyr Power Transmission project
ATC-only outside the footprint
WEC interest: 75%
Joint venture between Arizona Electric Power Cooperative and ATC
(ATC Southwest)
Other transmission projects throughout the U.S.
Alaska
15
Well Positioned for the Future
Sample Merger-Driven Initiatives
Category Activity
Supply Chain Achieving savings in consolidated vendor and supplier
contracts, negotiating most favorable terms
Information Technology Consolidating IT infrastructure
Implementing uniform processes and consolidating to
a single Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system
Customer Care Established consistent measurements of customer
satisfaction across all six utilities
Rolling out advanced metering functionality
Expanding mobile options for our customers
Operations Implementing improved, standard order dispatch
Upgrading work management capabilities across the
Wisconsin fleet
16
A Track Record of Performance
Industry-Leading Dividend Growth
Raised the dividend 5.1% in 2017
14.6% compound annual growth rate off 2010 base
Continuing to target dividend payout of 65-70% of earnings
Dividend expected to grow in line with earnings
*Annualized based on 4th quarter 2015 dividend of $0.4575
**Annualized based on 1st quarter 2017 dividend of $0.520
Annualized Dividends Per Share
$0.80
$1.04
$1.20
$1.445
$1.56
$1.83*
$1.98
$2.08**
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
17
Poised for Growth
Key Takeaways for WEC Energy Group
Leading electric and natural gas utility in the Midwest
The eighth largest natural gas distribution company
in the nation
Projected long-term earnings per share growth of
5-7 percent compound annual growth rate off 2015 base
Targeting dividend growth in line with growth in
earnings per share
Majority ownership of American Transmission Company
brings additional transmission investment opportunity
Positioned to deliver among the best risk-adjusted returns
in the industry
Appendix
19
Electric Distribution
Electric Transmission
60% ownership
Electric Generation
Non-Utility Energy
Infrastructure
Natural Gas Distribution
20
Strategic Rationale
Acquisition Overview
WEC Energy Group formed in 2015 when Wisconsin Energy
acquired Integrys in a transaction valued at $9 billion
Acquisition created the leading electric and natural gas
utility in the Midwest
Met or exceeded WEC’s acquisition criteria
Accretive to earnings per share starting in first full calendar year of
combined operations
Largely credit neutral
Long-term growth prospects of combined entity equal to or greater than
stand-alone company
21
Major Construction Projects
Delivering the Future
Committed to infrastructure
investment that will:
Renew and modernize our
delivery networks
Meet new environmental
standards
Reduce operating costs
for customers
22
Phase 1 – convert 1,200 miles
of overhead lines to underground
and add distribution automation
equipment on 400 miles
Project $220 million investment
Phase 2 – underground
an additional 1,000 miles
Project $210 million investment
Expect both phases to be complete
by 2021
Wisconsin Public Service
System Modernization and Reliability Project
2017-2021 planned
Green Bay
Two Rivers
Kewaunee
Sturgeon Bay
Waupaca
Oshkosh
Tomahawk
Merrill
Wausau
Antigo
Stevens Point
2014-2016 completed
Minocqua
Rhinelander
Eagle River
Wausaukee
Menominee
Wabeno
23
Major Construction Projects – Peoples Gas
Natural Gas System Modernization Program
Extensive effort to modernize
natural gas infrastructure in
City of Chicago
Ultimately replace 2,000 miles
22 percent complete
Investment recovery under
a monthly bill rider
Project $280 - $300 million average annual investment
Enabling legislation in effect from 2014 – 2023
24
Major Construction Projects – Wisconsin Utilities
Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) Program
AMI is an integrated system of smart meters,
communication networks and data management
systems that enable two-way communication between
utilities and customers
Replaces aging meter reading equipment both on our
network and customer property
Reduces manual effort for disconnects and reconnects
Enhanced outage management capabilities
Improves revenue protection and theft detection
Project to spend approximately $200 million over the
next four years
25
Well Positioned for the Future
Acquisition of Bluewater Natural Gas Holding
Underground natural gas storage facility in Michigan that
will provide one-third of the storage needs for our natural
gas distribution companies in Wisconsin
Bluewater will have long-term service agreements with
the three Wisconsin gas utilities
Total acquisition price: $230 million
Working gas capacity of 23.2 Bcf
Expected to provide a utility return on capital
The Public Service Commission of Wisconsin granted
declaratory ruling and approval on June 15, 2017
Closed acquisition on June 30, 2017
26
Major Construction Projects – Upper Michigan Energy Resources Corp. (UMERC)
Proposed New Generation in the Upper Peninsula
Provides a long-term generation solution for electric reliability in
Upper Peninsula
~180 MW of clean, natural gas-fired Reciprocating Internal
Combustion Engine (RICE) generation
Estimated $265 million ($275 million including AFUDC) investment is
made by the new Michigan utility – UMERC
Half of the investment recovered in retail rates
Half of the investment recovered by a 20-year agreement with
Cliffs Natural Resources
Commercial operation targeted for 2019
Filed for approval with the Michigan Commission on Jan. 30, 2017
Allows for the retirement of Presque Isle Power Plant
27
Well Positioned for the Future
State-of-the-Art Generation Fleet
Natural gas – 3,753 megawatts
Port Washington Generating Station among the
lowest cost combined-cycle plants in country
Coal – 5,044 megawatts
Oak Creek heat rate is top 5% in country
Renewables – 483 megawatts
Wisconsin’s two largest wind farms and biomass plant
Hydro – 169 megawatts
*Owned nameplate capacity
28
Well Positioned for the Future
Supporting a Clean Energy Future
WEC Energy Group has implemented a
multi-emission strategy to achieve greater
environmental benefit for lower cost
Retired older, less efficient coal-fired generation
Added two combined cycle natural gas units
Added state-of-the-art, coal-fired generation with
performance that ranks among the most thermally
efficient coal-fired units in the nation
Invested more than $1 billion in renewable energy –
including biomass and the state’s two largest
wind energy sites
Invested more than $1.5 billion in air quality systems
29
Reducing Emissions
Environmental Performance
P
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iss
io
n
s
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
SO2 (92% reduction)
NOx (83% reduction)
Mercury (93% reduction)
30
Reducing Emissions
Decline in Carbon Intensity
26% Reduction in Carbon Intensity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2016 Fuel Sources
Coal
Nuclear
Natural
Gas
Renewables
Other
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
3
2
0
0
4
2
0
0
5
2
0
0
6
2
0
0
7
2
0
0
8
2
0
0
9
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
2
2
0
1
3
2
0
1
4
2
0
1
5
2
0
1
6
P
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26.7% of 2016 revenues were derived from coal; down 1.5% from 2015.*
*Calculation is based on internal allocations and assumes our share of ATC gross revenues.
CO2 Rate (lb/mwh)
31
Committed to Protecting the Environment
Our Goal: Preserve fuel diversity, reduce costs and lower
carbon emissions
Implementing generation solutions to allow retirement of coal
Examples – Presque Isle (365MW) and Pulliam (200MW) power plants
Continuing evaluation of possible future retirements of other
coal-fueled units
Received research and test exemptions to evaluate co-firing of
natural gas in some of our coal units – testing began June
2016
As regulations of GHG emissions take shape, our plan is to
work with our industry partners, environmental groups, and
the State of Wisconsin with a goal of reducing CO2 emissions
by approximately 40 percent below 2005 levels by 2030
32
Increasing Fuel Diversity
Sources of Electric Energy Supply by Fuel Type
49.7%
23.9%
26.4%
2016
Coal Natural Gas Carbon Free
Aspirational
33
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
AA - A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- Below
Investment
Grade
A Track Record of Performance
Strong Financial Condition
Number of
Issuers
*Source: Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (January 31, 2017)
Utilities
Electric and Gas Utilities Credit Ratings Distribution*
Utility Rating
Wisconsin Electric A-
Wisconsin Gas A
Wisconsin Public Service A-
Peoples Gas A-
North Shore Gas A-
34
Paper 22%
Mining/Minerals 14%
Foundry (SIC 33) 11%
Other Manufacturing 8%
Food/Agriculture 8%
Metal (SIC 34,35,37) 6%
Medical 6%
Office 4%
Education 4%
Chemical 3%
Printing 3%
Other 11%
36% Large C&I by Segment
Wisconsin Retail Deliveries
Balanced Sales Mix
Large C&I
36%
Residential
plus Farm
29%
Small C&I
35%
2016 Retail Mwh Deliveries Mix*
*Wisconsin segment includes Michigan electric and retail choice customers in the Upper Peninsula
35
Important Local Events
Foxconn in Wisconsin
Foxconn announced July 26, 2017 Wisconsin’s largest economic
development project and largest corporate attraction project in U.S. history,
as measured by jobs.
Capital investment of $10 billion dollars
Goal of creating 13,000 jobs, with an average salary of $53,875, plus benefits
Expect to create at least 22,000 indirect and induced jobs throughout
Wisconsin.
Largest greenfield investments by a foreign-based company in U.S. history as
measured by jobs
One of the largest manufacturing campuses in the world
Project will support 10,000 construction jobs over the next four years and 6,000
indirect jobs from construction
Expected to have a $7 billion annual economic impact on the state
Plans to be operational in 2020
36
34.5%
16.4%
16.4%
10.7%
6.8%
1.1%
1.1%
1.7%
11.3%
Wisconsin Electric
Power the Future
Wisconsin Public Service Corporation
Peoples Gas
Wisconsin Gas
Minnesota Energy Resources
North Shore Gas
Michigan Gas Utilities
ATC
Composition of Rate Base
Total 2016 Rate Base of $17.7 billion
37
Key Rate Making Components
*Wisconsin Electric Power Company and Wisconsin Gas earnings cap applies 2016 – 2019, Wisconsin Public Service cap
applies 2018 – 2019, pending final order
Area
Illinois –
Gas
Minnesota –
Gas
Michigan–
Electric &
Gas
Wisconsin –
Gas
Wisconsin –
Electric
Gas Pipeline
Replacement Rider PGL
Bad Debt Rider X
Bad Debt Escrow
Accounting WE / WG WE
Decoupling X X
Fuel Cost Recovery 1 for 1 recovery of prudent fuel costs +/- 2% band
Manufactured Gas Plant
Site Clean Up Recovery X X X X N/A
Forward-looking test
years X X X 2 years 2 years
Earnings cap/sharing
50/50 first 50 bp above allowed
ROE, 100% to customer
beyond 50 bp*
38
Key Open Dockets
Michigan generation application: U-18224
Illinois System Modernization Program: 16-0376
Wisconsin rate settlement
We Energies – 5-UR-108
WPS – 6690-UR-125
39
Regulatory Environment
Wisconsin
Governor Scott Walker (R)
Commission
Gubernatorial appointment,
Senate confirmation
Chairman: Gubernatorial appointment
6-year staggered terms
Michigan
Governor Rick Snyder (R)
Commission
Gubernatorial appointment,
Senate confirmation
Chairman: Gubernatorial appointment
6-year staggered terms
Wisconsin Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Ellen Nowak
Chair
R 07/2011 03/2019
Mike Huebsch
R 03/2015 03/2021
Lon Roberts
R 03/2017 03/2023
Michigan Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Sally Talberg
Chair
I 07/2013 07/2021
Norm Saari R 08/2015 07/2019
Rachel Eubanks I 08/2016 07/2023
40
Regulatory Environment
Illinois
Governor Bruce Rauner (R)
Commission
Gubernatorial appointment, Senate
confirmation
Chairman: Gubernatorial appointment
5-year staggered terms
Minnesota
Governor Mark Dayton (D)
Commission
Gubernatorial appointment, Senate
confirmation
Chairman: Gubernatorial appointment
6-year staggered terms
Illinois Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Brien Sheahan
Chair
R 01/2015 01/2020
Miguel del Valle D 02/2013 01/2018
Sherina Maye I 03/2013 01/2018
John Rosales D 03/2015 01/2019
Sadzi Martha
Olivia
R 01/2017 01/2022
Minnesota Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Nancy Lange
Chair
D 02/2013 01/2019
John Tuma R 02/2015 01/2021
Dan Lipschultz D 01/2014 01/2020
Matt Schuerger R 01/2016 02/2022
Katie Sieben D 01/2017 01/2023
41
Regulatory Environment
FERC
Presidential appointment, Senate confirmation
5-year term
FERC Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Neil Chatterjee
Chairman
R 08/2017 06/2021
Cheryl LaFleur D 07/2014 06/2019
Robert Powelson R 08/2017 06/2020
Richard Glick* D
Kevin McIntyre* R
* Appointed, pending senate confirmation
42
Precedent Transactions
Announce
Date
Closing
Date
Target Acquiror 1-Day
Premium
FY1
P/E
FY2
P/E
Transaction
Value ($mm)
Equity
Value
($mm)
Price/Book Enterprise
Value/
Rate Base
07/19/2017 Pending Avista Hydro One 22% 27.3x 25.8x $5,258 $3,446 2.0x 1.71x
07/10/2017 Pending GXP WR 9% 18.1x 18.2x $9,621 $6,874 1.1x 1.46x
07/07/2017 Pending Oncor Berkshire n/a 25.1x 22.5x $17,752 $11,250 1.5x 1.70x
01/25/2017 Pending WGL AltaGas 28%(1) 25.7x 23.8x $6,316 $4,517 3.3x n/a
02/09/2016 01/01/2017 EDE AQN.CN 50%(1) 22.4x 21.1x $2,366 $1,489 1.9x 1.49x
02/09/2016 10/14/2016 ITC FTS.CN 33%(1) 21.6x 20.0x $11,269 $6,889 4.1x 1.98x
02/01/2016 09/16/2016 STR D 23% 19.1x 18.9x $5,960 $4,371 3.4x 2.29x(2)
10/26/2015 10/03/2016 PNY DUK 42% 29.8x 28.0x $6,700 $4,916 3.5x 2.5x
09/04/2015 07/01/2016 TE EMA.CN 48%(1) 23.3x 21.5x $10,361 $6,480 2.5x 1.60x(3)
08/24/2015 07/01/2016 GAS SO 38% 21.5x 20.6x $11,978 $7,926 2.0x n/a
02/25/2015 12/16/2015 UIL Iberdrola 25%(1) 21.7x 20.4x $4,674 $2,983 2.2x 1.95x
10/20/2014 04/13/2016 CNL Multiple n/a(4) 20.5x 18.7x $4,700 $3,343 2.1x 1.68x
06/23/2014 06/29/2015 TEG WEC 17% 20.0x 18.5x $9,020 $5,758 1.7x 1.55x
04/30/2014 03/26/2016 POM EXC 25%(1) 22.5x 20.8x $12,193 $6,872 1.6x 1.58x
12/11/2013 08/15/2014 UNS FTS.CN 30% 18.0x 17.9x $4,282 $2,515 2.2x 1.55x
05/29/2013 12/19/2013 NVE Berkshire 20% 18.3x 17.6x $10,465 $5,592 1.6x 1.45x
Average 29% 22.2x 20.9x 2.3x 1.75x
Median 26% 21.6x 20.5x 2.1x 1.64x
1. Based on unaffected date.
2. Historical rate base. Includes E&P investment base.
3. Based on press releases.
4. Company disclosed engagement in strategic transaction discussions prior to announcement of transactions.
43
Contact Information
M. Beth Straka
Senior Vice President – Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
Beth.Straka@wecenergygroup.com
414-221-4639
Ashley Knutson
Investor Relations Analyst
Ashley.Knutson@wecenergygroup.com
414-221-2592