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8-K - 8-K Q2 EARNINGS 7.18.17 - HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC.a2017q28-k.htm

Exhibit 99.1



Harley-Davidson Announces Second Quarter 2017 Results

Company Delivered Strong Margins, Retail Sales Lower Than Expected

MILWAUKEE, July 18, 2017 - Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) second quarter 2017 diluted EPS decreased 4.5 percent to $1.48 compared to $1.55 in the second quarter of 2016. Second quarter net income was $258.9 million on consolidated revenue of $1.77 billion versus net income of $280.4 million on consolidated revenue of $1.86 billion for the same period in 2016.

“We are pleased with our ability to deliver strong margins in the quarter despite challenging market conditions, particularly in the U.S.,” said Matt Levatich, president and CEO, Harley-Davidson. “Given U.S. industry challenges in the second quarter and the importance of the supply and demand balance for our premium brand, we are lowering our full-year shipment and margin guidance.”

Harley-Davidson worldwide retail motorcycle sales were down 6.7 percent in the second quarter compared to the same period in 2016. Harley-Davidson retail motorcycle sales in the U.S. were down 9.3 percent compared to the year-ago quarter, with the overall U.S. industry down for the same period. Harley-Davidson's U.S. market share for the quarter was 48.5 percent in the 601cc-plus segment. Harley-Davidson’s international retail sales decreased 2.3 percent compared to the second quarter in 2016.

Through six months, Harley-Davidson’s 2017 diluted EPS was $2.53, down 13.1 percent from $2.91 in the year-ago period. For the first six months, Harley-Davidson’s 2017 net income was $445.2 million on consolidated revenue of $3.27 billion compared to six-month 2016 net income of $530.9 million on consolidated revenue of $3.61 billion. Through six months, worldwide retail motorcycle sales were down 5.7 percent from the same period in 2016.

“Our long-term strategy, focused on building the next generation of Harley-Davidson riders, is our true north. Our new product investment is one pillar of our long-term strategy to build riders globally and we are energized by the strength of our model year 2018 motorcycles coming later this summer,” said Levatich.

Harley-Davidson Retail Motorcycle Sales
In units as reported by H-D dealers
2nd Quarter
Six Months
2017
2016
Change
2017
2016
Change
U.S.
49,668
54,786
(9.3)%
82,984
90,112
(7.9)%
Canada
3,827
3,813
0.4%
6,188
6,283
(1.5)%
Latin America
2,355
2,573
(8.5)%
4,697
4,459
5.3%
EMEA
17,230
17,513
(1.6)%
27,397
27,723
(1.2)%
Asia Pacific
8,308
8,581
(3.2)%
15,171
16,147
(6.0)%
International Total
31,720
32,480
(2.3)%
53,453
54,612
(2.1)%
Worldwide Total
81,388
87,266
(6.7)%
136,437
144,724
(5.7)%
Harley-Davidson new retail motorcycle sales in the U.S. were down primarily driven by weak industry conditions. New retail sales internationally were also down but generally in-line with company expectations for the second quarter of 2017.











Motorcycles and Related Products Segment Results
$ in thousands
2nd Quarter
Six Months
2017
2016
Change
2017
2016
Change
Motorcycle Shipments (vehicles)
81,807
88,160
(7.2)%
152,638
171,196
(10.8)%
Revenue
 
 
 
 
 
 
 Motorcycles
$1,270,433
$1,330,632
(4.5)%
$2,370,135
$2,648,210
(10.5)%
 Parts & Accessories
$237,498
$258,208
(8.0)%
$406,523
$441,913
(8.0)%
 General Merchandise
$63,017
$75,757
(16.8)%
$118,853
$146,375
(18.8)%
Gross Margin
36.5%
36.4%
0.1pts
36.2%
36.9%
(0.7)pts
Operating Income
$319,647
$322,749
(1.0)%
$558,489
$655,206
(14.8)%
Operating Margin
20.3%
19.3%
1.0pts
19.2%
20.2%
(1.0)pts
Revenue from the Motorcycles and Related Products segment was down in the second quarter of 2017 versus prior year largely due to lower motorcycle shipments. Operating margin as a percent of revenue increased versus the prior year quarter primarily as a result of mix favorability driven by demand for the Milwaukee-Eight powered touring motorcycles and lower SG&A spending.

Financial Services Segment Results
$ in thousands
2nd Quarter
Six Months
2017
2016
Change
2017
2016
Change
Revenue
$188,034
$190,964
(1.5)%
$361,255
$364,322
(0.8)%
Operating Income
$81,935
$89,573
(8.5)%
$134,571
$145,944
(7.8)%
The Financial Services segment operating income was down 8.5 percent due to the full securitization gain on sale recognized during the second quarter of 2016 which did not recur in the second quarter of 2017.

Income Tax Rate
For the first half of 2017, Harley-Davidson's effective tax rate was 34.4 percent compared to 32.7 percent in the prior year period. The company continues to expect its full-year 2017 effective tax rate to be approximately 34.5 percent.
    
Other Results
Cash and marketable securities totaled $988.5 million at the end of the quarter, compared to $869.7 million in the year-ago quarter. During the first six months of 2017, Harley-Davidson generated $627.1 million of cash from operating activities compared to $456.3 million for the first half of 2016. The company paid a cash dividend of $0.365 per share for the second quarter of 2017, and a cumulative total of $0.73 for the first six months of 2017. On a discretionary basis, the company repurchased 3.0 million shares of its common stock during the second quarter of 2017 for $163.2 million. In the second quarter of 2017, there were approximately 175.3 million weighted-average diluted common shares outstanding, compared to 181.3 million shares in the same period a year ago. At the end of the period, 15.0 million shares remained on a board-approved share repurchase authorization.

Guidance
Harley-Davidson is revising its full-year guidance for motorcycle shipments and now expects to ship 241,000 to 246,000 motorcycles to dealers worldwide in 2017, which is down approximately 6 percent to 8 percent from 2016. The company had previously provided full-year shipment guidance of flat to down modestly in comparison to 2016. In the third quarter, the company expects to ship 39,000 to 44,000 motorcycles, which is down approximately 10 percent to 20 percent from 2016. The company now expects full-year 2017 operating margin to be down approximately 1 percentage point compared to 2016. The company continues to expect 2017 capital expenditures to be $200 million to $220 million.


Company Background
Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Since 1903, Harley-Davidson Motor Company has fulfilled dreams of personal freedom with custom, cruiser and touring motorcycles, riding experiences and events and a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle

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parts, accessories, general merchandise, riding gear and apparel. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale and retail financing, insurance, extended service and other protection plans and credit card programs to Harley-Davidson dealers and riders in the U.S., Canada and other select international markets. For more information, visit Harley-Davidson's Web site at www.harley-davidson.com.

Conference Call and Webcast Presentation
Harley-Davidson will discuss second quarter results on a Webcast at 8:00 a.m. CT today. The supporting slides will be posted prior to the call and can be accessed at http://investor.harley-davidson.com under the Events and Presentations section. The audio portion of today's call will also be posted approximately two hours after the call concludes.

Forward-Looking Statements
The company intends that certain matters discussed in this release are "forward-looking statements" intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because the context of the statement will include words such as the company "believes," "anticipates," "expects," "plans," or "estimates" or words of similar meaning. Similarly, statements that describe future plans, objectives, outlooks, targets, guidance or goals are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, unfavorably or favorably, from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Certain of such risks and uncertainties are described below. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors in evaluating the forward-looking statements and cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this release are only made as of the date of this release, and the company disclaims any obligation to publicly update such forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

The company's ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the company's ability to (i) execute its business strategy, (ii) drive demand by executing its marketing strategy of appealing to and growing sales to multi-generational and multi-cultural customers worldwide in an increasingly competitive marketplace, (iii) develop and introduce products, services and experiences that are successful in the marketplace, (iv) manage the impact that prices for and supply of used motorcycles may have on its business, including on retail sales of new motorcycles, (v) balance production volumes for its new motorcycles with consumer demand, including in circumstances where competitors may be supplying new motorcycles to the market in excess of demand at reduced prices, (vi) manage through changes in general economic and business conditions, including changing capital, credit and retail markets, and the changing political environment, (vii) manage risks that arise through expanding international manufacturing, operations and sales, (viii) accurately estimate and adjust to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices, (ix) manage the credit quality, the loan servicing and collection activities, and the recovery rates of HDFS' loan portfolio, (x) prevent and detect any issues with its motorcycles or any associated manufacturing processes to avoid delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, regulatory agency investigations, increased warranty costs or litigation and adverse effects on its reputation and brand strength, (xi) retain and attract talented employees, (xii) prevent a cybersecurity breach involving consumer, employee, dealer, supplier, or company data and respond to evolving regulatory requirements regarding data security, (xiii) continue to develop the capabilities of its distributors and dealers and manage the risks that its independent dealers may have difficulty obtaining capital and managing through changing economic conditions and consumer demand, (xiv) adjust to tax reform, healthcare inflation and reform and pension reform, (xv) manage through the effects inconsistent and unpredictable weather patterns may have on retail sales of motorcycles, (xvi) manage supply chain issues, including quality issues and any unexpected interruptions or price increases caused by raw material shortages or natural disasters, (xvii) implement and manage enterprise-wide information technology systems, including systems at its manufacturing facilities, (xviii) manage changes and prepare for requirements in legislative and regulatory environments for its products, services and operations, (xix) manage its exposure to product liability claims and commercial or contractual disputes, (xx) execute its flexible production strategy,  (xxi) successfully access the capital and/or credit markets on terms (including interest rates) that are acceptable to the company and within its expectations, and (xxii) continue to manage the relationships and agreements that the company has with its labor unions to help drive long-term competitiveness.


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In addition, the company could experience delays or disruptions in its operations as a result of work stoppages, strikes, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Other factors are described in risk factors that the company has disclosed in documents previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The company's ability to sell its motorcycles and related products and services and to meet its financial expectations also depends on the ability of the company's independent dealers to sell its motorcycles and related products and services to retail customers. The company depends on the capability and financial capacity of its independent dealers and distributors to develop and implement effective retail sales plans to create demand for the motorcycles and related products and services they purchase from the company. In addition, the company's independent dealers and distributors may experience difficulties in operating their businesses and selling Harley-Davidson motorcycles and related products and services as a result of weather, economic conditions or other factors.

Contact: Media, Katie Whitmore, +1-414-343-4480; Financial, Amy Giuffre, +1-414-343-8002




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Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
(Unaudited)
 
(Unaudited)
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
Three months ended
 
Six months ended
 
 
June 25,
2017
 
June 26,
2016
 
June 25,
2017
 
June 26,
2016
Motorcycles and Related Products revenue
 
$
1,577,135

 
$
1,670,113

 
$
2,905,846

 
$
3,246,723

Gross profit
 
575,623

 
607,558

 
1,053,108

 
1,197,838

Selling, administrative and engineering expense
 
255,976

 
284,809

 
494,619

 
542,632

Operating income from Motorcycles and Related Products
 
319,647

 
322,749

 
558,489

 
655,206

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial Services revenue
 
188,034

 
190,964

 
361,255

 
364,322

Financial Services expense
 
106,099

 
101,391

 
226,684

 
218,378

Operating income from Financial Services
 
81,935

 
89,573

 
134,571

 
145,944

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating income
 
401,582

 
412,322

 
693,060

 
801,150

Investment income
 
577

 
688

 
1,456

 
1,454

Interest expense
 
7,726

 
7,094

 
15,399

 
14,262

Income before provision for income taxes
 
394,433

 
405,916

 
679,117

 
788,342

Provision for income taxes
 
135,566

 
125,485

 
233,881

 
257,422

Net income
 
$
258,867

 
$
280,431

 
$
445,236

 
$
530,920

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Earnings per common share:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    Basic
 
$
1.48

 
$
1.55

 
$
2.54

 
$
2.92

    Diluted
 
$
1.48

 
$
1.55

 
$
2.53

 
$
2.91

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted-average common shares:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    Basic
 
174,409

 
180,587

 
175,178

 
181,976

    Diluted
 
175,324

 
181,339

 
176,170

 
182,740

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash dividends per common share
 
$
0.365

 
$
0.350

 
$
0.730

 
$
0.700






Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(In thousands)
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
June 25,
2017
 
December 31,
2016
 
June 26,
2016
ASSETS
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents
 
$
988,476

 
$
759,984

 
$
864,670

Marketable securities
 

 
5,519

 
5,070

Accounts receivable, net
 
330,933

 
285,106

 
311,956

Finance receivables, net
 
2,338,533

 
2,076,261

 
2,457,974

Inventories
 
372,012

 
499,917

 
371,196

Restricted cash
 
63,225

 
52,574

 
78,078

Other current assets
 
151,423

 
174,491

 
270,080

Total current assets
 
4,244,602

 
3,853,852

 
4,359,024

Finance receivables, net
 
4,994,002

 
4,759,197

 
4,824,071

Other long-term assets
 
1,249,167

 
1,277,191

 
1,165,345

 
 
$
10,487,771

 
$
9,890,240

 
$
10,348,440

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Accounts payable & accrued liabilities
 
$
860,758

 
$
721,970

 
$
759,507

Short-term debt
 
928,445

 
1,055,708

 
1,020,487

Current portion of long-term debt, net
 
1,565,558

 
1,084,884

 
732,773

Total current liabilities
 
3,354,761

 
2,862,562

 
2,512,767

Long-term debt, net
 
4,678,350

 
4,666,975

 
5,308,063

Pension and postretirement healthcare liabilities
 
217,820

 
257,709

 
318,311

Other long-term liabilities
 
190,673

 
182,836

 
188,292

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total shareholders’ equity
 
2,046,167

 
1,920,158

 
2,021,007

 
 
$
10,487,771

 
$
9,890,240

 
$
10,348,440







Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(In thousands)
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
Six months ended
 
 
June 25,
2017
 
June 26,
2016
Net cash provided by operating activities
 
$
627,068

 
$
456,290

 
 
 
 
 
Cash flows from investing activities:
 
 
 
 
Capital expenditures
 
(69,816
)
 
(107,531
)
Finance receivables, net
 
(330,040
)
 
(361,171
)
Proceeds from sale of finance receivables
 

 
312,571

  Net change in marketable securities
 
6,916

 
40,000

Other
 
115

 
166

Net cash used by investing activities
 
(392,825
)
 
(115,965
)
 
 
 
 
 
Cash flows from financing activities:
 
 
 
 
Proceeds from issuance of medium-term notes
 
893,668

 
1,193,396

Repayments of medium-term notes
 
(400,000
)
 
(450,000
)
Repayments of securitization debt
 
(275,659
)
 
(385,837
)
Borrowings of asset-backed commercial paper
 
341,625

 
33,428

Repayments of asset-backed commercial paper
 
(77,732
)
 
(34,989
)
Net decrease in credit facilities and unsecured commercial paper
 
(128,787
)
 
(181,259
)
Net change in restricted cash
 
(7,248
)
 
17,992

Dividends paid
 
(128,452
)
 
(127,800
)
Purchase of common stock for treasury
 
(243,055
)
 
(269,411
)
Excess tax benefits from share-based payments
 

 
331

Issuance of common stock under employee stock option plans
 
7,432

 
2,367

Net cash used by financing activities
 
(18,208
)
 
(201,782
)
 
 
 
 
 
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents
 
12,457

 
3,918

 
 
 
 
 
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
 
$
228,492

 
$
142,461

 
 
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents:
 
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents - beginning of period
 
759,984

 
722,209

Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
 
228,492

 
142,461

Cash and cash equivalents - end of period
 
$
988,476

 
$
864,670














Motorcycles and Related Products Revenue and
Motorcycle Shipment Data
(Unaudited)
 
 
Three months ended
 
Six months ended
 
 
June 25,
2017
 
June 26,
2016
 
June 25,
2017
 
June 26,
2016
MOTORCYCLES AND RELATED PRODUCTS REVENUE (in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Motorcycles
 
$
1,270,433

 
$
1,330,632

 
$
2,370,135

 
$
2,648,210

Parts & Accessories
 
237,498

 
258,208

 
406,523

 
441,913

General Merchandise
 
63,017

 
75,757

 
118,853

 
146,375

Other
 
6,187

 
5,516

 
10,335

 
10,225

 
 
$
1,577,135

 
$
1,670,113

 
$
2,905,846

 
$
3,246,723

MOTORCYCLE SHIPMENTS:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
United States
 
52,966

 
57,804

 
98,750

 
115,439

International
 
28,841

 
30,356

 
53,888

 
55,757

Total
 
81,807

 
88,160

 
152,638

 
171,196

MOTORCYCLE PRODUCT MIX:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Touring
 
36,650

 
27,675

 
65,718

 
66,172

Cruiser
 
25,247

 
37,655

 
50,401

 
64,584

Sportster® / Street
 
19,910

 
22,830

 
36,519

 
40,440

Total
 
81,807

 
88,160

 
152,638

 
171,196








Worldwide Retail Sales of Harley-Davidson Motorcycles(1) 
 
 
Three months ended
 
Six months ended
 
 
June 30,
2017
 
June 30,
2016
 
June 30,
2017
 
June 30,
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
United States
 
49,668

 
54,786

 
82,984

 
90,112

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Europe(2)
 
15,357

 
15,188

 
24,341

 
24,034

EMEA - Other
 
1,873

 
2,325

 
3,056

 
3,689

Total EMEA
 
17,230

 
17,513

 
27,397

 
27,723

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Japan
 
2,677

 
2,763

 
4,663

 
4,869

Asia Pacific - Other
 
5,631

 
5,818

 
10,508

 
11,278

Total Asia Pacific
 
8,308

 
8,581

 
15,171

 
16,147

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Latin America
 
2,355

 
2,573

 
4,697

 
4,459

Canada
 
3,827

 
3,813

 
6,188

 
6,283

Total International Retail Sales
 
31,720

 
32,480

 
53,453

 
54,612

Total Worldwide Retail Sales
 
81,388

 
87,266

 
136,437

 
144,724

(1) Data source for retail sales figures shown above is new sales warranty and registration information provided by Harley-Davidson dealers and compiled by the Company. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning new retail sales and the Company does not regularly verify the information that its dealers supply. This information is subject to revision. The EMEA Europe total for the six months ended June 30, 2016 includes 251 units originally reported in the EMEA - Other total.
 
(2) Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom.
Motorcycle Registration Data(1) 
 
 
Six months ended
 
 
June 30,
2017
 
June 30,
2016
United States(2)
 
165,589

 
177,447


 
 
Five months ended
 
 
May 31,
2017
 
May 31,
2016
Europe(3)
 
203,278

 
200,906



(1) Data includes on-road 601+cc models. On-road 601+cc models include dual purpose models, three-wheeled motorcycles and autocycles.

(2) United States data is derived from information provided by Motorcycle Industry Council (MIC). This third-party data is subject to revision and update.

(3) Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Industry retail motorcycle registration data includes 601+cc models derived from information provided by Association des Constructeurs Europeens de Motocycles (ACEM), an independent agency. This third-party data is subject to revision and update.