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EX-99.2 - INVESTOR PRESENTATION - EXPRESS, INC.exprq42016earningscallsu.htm
8-K - 8-K - EXPRESS, INC.a8-kq42016earningsreleasec.htm


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Investor Contacts:
Mark Rupe
Express, Inc.
Vice President Investor Relations
(614) 474-4465
            
Allison Malkin
ICR, Inc.
(203) 682-8225

Media Contact:
Robin Hoffman
Express, Inc.
Director, Communications
(614) 474-4834

EXPRESS, INC. REPORTS FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2016 RESULTS;
INTRODUCES FIRST QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2017 OUTLOOK

Fourth quarter net sales decrease by 11% to $678.8 million; full year net sales decrease 7% to $2.2 billion
Fourth quarter diluted EPS of $0.29; full year diluted EPS of $0.81
E-commerce sales increase 9% in the fourth quarter, accounting for 25% of net sales; full year e-commerce sales increase 5%, accounting for 19% of net sales
Realized $9 million in cost savings in 2016; on track to deliver $44 to $54 million in total cost savings over the next three years
Full year operating cash flow of $187 million; strong balance sheet maintained with over $200 million in cash

Columbus, Ohio - March 8, 2017 - Express, Inc. (NYSE: EXPR), a specialty retail apparel company, announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2016. These results, which cover the thirteen and fifty-two weeks ended January 28, 2017, are compared to the thirteen and fifty-two weeks ended January 30, 2016.
David Kornberg, the Company's president and chief executive officer, noted that, "Despite ongoing pressures in the retail sector, our fourth quarter earnings were in line with previously issued guidance. As expected, our store performance continued to be impacted by challenging mall traffic and a promotional retail environment. As our industry adapts to changing consumer preferences, we continue to invest in our omni-channel and marketing capabilities to ensure that we capitalize on this evolution. As a result, e-commerce sales made up 25% of fourth quarter net sales, with sales increasing 9% over the prior year period. We also remain intensely focused on managing our overall cost structure and optimizing our store footprint. Our balance sheet remains strong with more than $200 million in cash and we continue to have solid cash flow. "
Mr. Kornberg went on to note that, "We enter 2017 with confidence that the actions we have taken and the initiatives underway will translate into stronger performance as we move through the year. These initiatives include improving





the fashion clarity in our stores through reduced choice counts, launching a new brand campaign, introducing compelling new products, and improving upon key existing categories. We also expect to benefit from the relaunch of our customer loyalty program and our new IT systems, which will foster more efficient decision making and precise planning."
Fourth Quarter 2016 Operating Results:
Net sales decreased 11% to $678.8 million from $765.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2015.
Comparable sales (including e-commerce sales) decreased 13%, compared to a 4% increase in the fourth quarter of 2015.
E-commerce sales increased 9% to $170.1 million.
Merchandise margin declined by 330 basis points driven by increased promotional activity. Buying and occupancy as a percentage of net sales rose by 230 basis points. In combination, this resulted in a 560 basis point decline in gross margin, representing 28.4% of net sales compared to 34.0% in last year’s fourth quarter.
Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses were $154.0 million versus $167.4 million in last year's fourth quarter. As a percentage of net sales, SG&A expenses increased by 80 basis points to 22.7%.
Operating income was $38.8 million, or 5.7% of net sales, compared to $92.9 million, or 12.1% of net sales in the fourth quarter of 2015.
Income tax expense was $15.5 million, at an effective tax rate of 40.5%, compared to $35.1 million, at an effective tax rate of 38.5% in last year's fourth quarter.
Net income was $22.8 million, or $0.29 per diluted share. This compares to net income of $56.1 million, or $0.67 per diluted share, in the fourth quarter of 2015.
Real estate activity for the fourth quarter of 2016 is presented in Schedule 5.
Balance Sheet And Cash Flow Highlights:
Cash and cash equivalents totaled $207.4 million at the end of 2016 versus $186.9 million at the end of 2015. During the fifty-two weeks ended January 28, 2017, approximately $51.5 million was used to repurchase approximately 3.2 million shares of the Company's outstanding common stock.
Capital expenditures totaled $98.7 million for 2016 compared to $115.3 million for 2015.
Inventory was $241.4 million at the end of 2016 compared to $255.4 million at the end of 2015, a 5% decrease.
2017 Guidance:
The table below compares the Company's projected results for the thirteen week period ended April 29, 2017 to the actual results for the thirteen week period ended April 30, 2016.
 
First Quarter 2017 Guidance
 
First Quarter 2016 Actual Results
Comparable Sales
Negative high single digits
 
(3)%
Effective Tax Rate
Approximately 39%
 
38.0%
Interest Expense, Net
$1 million
 
$11.7 million(1)
Net Income
($3) to $0 million
 
$12.9 million(1)
Adjusted Net Income
N/A
 
$19.8 million(2)
Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS)
($0.04) to $0.00
 
$0.16(1)
Adjusted Diluted EPS
N/A
 
$0.25(2)
Weighted Average Diluted Shares Outstanding
78.7 million
 
79.9 million





(1) Includes approximately $11.4 million of non-core items related to an amendment to the Times Square Flagship store lease.
(2) Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Diluted EPS are non-GAAP financial measures. Refer to Schedule 4 for a reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
The table below compares the Company's projected results for the 53 week period ended February 3, 2018 to the actual results for the 52 week period ended January 28, 2017. The Company expects the 53rd week impact on Diluted EPS to be approximately $0.04.
 
Full Year 2017 Guidance
 
Full Year 2016
Actual Results
Comparable Sales
Flat to low single digits
 
(9)%
Effective Tax Rate
Approximately 39%
 
36.6%
Interest Expense, Net
$4 million
 
$13.5 million(1)
Net Income
$52 to $58 million
 
$57.4 million
Adjusted Net Income
N/A
 
$64.3 million(2)
Diluted EPS
$0.65 to $0.73
 
$0.73(1)
Adjusted Diluted EPS
N/A
 
$0.81(2)
Weighted Average Diluted Shares Outstanding
79.4 million
 
79.0 million
Capital Expenditures
$62 to $67 million
 
$98.7 million
(1) Includes approximately $11.4 million of non-core items related to an amendment to the Times Square Flagship store lease.
(2) Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Diluted EPS are non-GAAP financial measures. Refer to Schedule 4 for a reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
This guidance does not take into account any additional non-core items that may occur and excludes the impact of discrete items on the tax rate.
See Schedule 5 for a discussion of projected real estate activity.
Conference Call Information:
A conference call to discuss fourth quarter 2016 results is scheduled for Wednesday, March 8, 2017 at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time (ET). Investors and analysts interested in participating in the call are invited to dial (877) 705-6003 approximately ten minutes prior to the start of the call. The conference call will also be webcast live at: http://www.express.com/investor and remain available for 90 days. A telephone replay of this call will be available at 12:00 p.m. ET on March 8, 2017 until 11:59 p.m. ET on March 15, 2017 and can be accessed by dialing (844) 512-2921 and entering replay pin number 13654883.
An investor presentation with information regarding the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2016 results and outlook for 2017 will also be available at: http://www.express.com/investor at approximately 7:00 a.m. ET on Wednesday, March 8, 2017.







About Express, Inc.:
Express is a specialty apparel and accessories retailer of women's and men's merchandise, targeting the 20 to 30- year-old customer. Express has more than 35 years of experience offering a distinct combination of fashion and quality for multiple lifestyle occasions at an attractive value addressing fashion needs across work, casual, jeanswear, and going-out occasions. The Company currently operates more than 650 retail and factory outlet stores, located primarily in high-traffic shopping malls, lifestyle centers, and street locations across the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. Express merchandise is also available at franchise locations in Latin America. Express also markets and sells its products through its e-commerce website, www.express.com, as well as on its mobile app.
Forward-Looking Statements:
Certain statements are “forward-looking statements” made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include any statement that does not directly relate to any historical or current fact and include, but are not limited to, (1) guidance and expectations for the first quarter and full year 2017, including statements regarding expected comparable sales, effective tax rates, interest expense, net income, adjusted net income, diluted earnings per share, and capital expenditures, (2) statements regarding expected store openings, store closures, and gross square footage, and (3) statements regarding the Company's future plans and initiatives, including, but not limited to, results expected from such initiatives. Forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and assumptions, which may not prove to be accurate. These statements are not guarantees and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict, and significant contingencies, many of which are beyond the Company's control. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially and adversely from these forward-looking statements. Among these factors are (1) changes in consumer spending and general economic conditions; (2) our ability to identify and respond to new and changing fashion trends, customer preferences, and other related factors; (3) fluctuations in our sales, results of operations, and cash levels on a seasonal basis and due to a variety of other factors, including, our product offerings relative to customer demand, the mix of merchandise we sell, promotions, and inventory levels; (4) competition from other retailers; (5) customer traffic at malls, shopping centers, and at our stores and online; (6) our dependence on a strong brand image; (7) our ability to develop and maintain a relevant and reliable omni-channel experience for our customers; (8) the failure or breach of information systems upon which we rely; (9) our ability to protect customer data from fraud and theft; (10) our dependence upon third parties to manufacture all of our merchandise; (11) changes in the cost of raw materials, labor, and freight; (12) supply chain disruption; (13) our dependence upon key executive management; (14) our growth strategy, including our ability to improve the productivity of our existing stores, open new stores, and grow our e-commerce business; (15) our substantial lease obligations; (16) our reliance on third parties to provide us with certain key services for our business; (17) claims made against us resulting in litigation or changes in laws and regulations applicable to our business; (18) our inability to protect our trademarks or other intellectual property rights which may preclude the use of our trademarks or other intellectual property around the world; (19) restrictions imposed on us under the terms of our asset-based loan facility; (20) impairment charges on long-lived assets; and (21) changes in tax requirements, results of tax audits, and other factors that may cause fluctuations in our effective tax rate. Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in Express, Inc.'s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as otherwise required by law.





Schedule 1
Express, Inc.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(In thousands)
(Unaudited)

 
January 28, 2017
 
January 30, 2016
ASSETS
 
 
 
CURRENT ASSETS:
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents
$
207,373

 
$
186,903

Receivables, net
15,787

 
22,130

Inventories
241,424

 
255,350

Prepaid minimum rent
31,626

 
30,694

Other
17,923

 
18,342

Total current assets
514,133

 
513,419

 
 
 
 
PROPERTY AND EQUIPMENT
1,029,176

 
948,608

Less: accumulated depreciation
(577,890
)
 
(504,211
)
Property and equipment, net
451,286

 
444,397

 
 
 
 
TRADENAME/DOMAIN NAMES/TRADEMARKS
197,618

 
197,597

DEFERRED TAX ASSETS
7,926

 
21,227

OTHER ASSETS
14,226

 
2,004

Total assets
$
1,185,189

 
$
1,178,644

 
 
 
 
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
 
 
 
CURRENT LIABILITIES:
 
 
 
Accounts payable
$
172,668

 
$
149,884

Deferred revenue
29,428

 
30,895

Accrued expenses
80,301

 
126,624

Total current liabilities
282,397

 
307,403

 
 
 
 
DEFERRED LEASE CREDITS
146,328

 
139,236

OTHER LONG-TERM LIABILITIES
120,777

 
114,052

Total liabilities
549,502

 
560,691

 
 
 
 
COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total stockholders’ equity
635,687

 
617,953

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
$
1,185,189

 
$
1,178,644







Schedule 2
Express, Inc.
Consolidated Statements of Income
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)

 
Thirteen Weeks Ended
 
Fifty-Two Weeks Ended
 
January 28, 2017
 
January 30, 2016
 
January 28, 2017
 
January 30, 2016
NET SALES
$
678,781

 
$
765,553

 
$
2,192,547

 
$
2,350,129

COST OF GOODS SOLD, BUYING AND OCCUPANCY COSTS
485,961

 
504,999

 
1,529,343

 
1,554,852

Gross profit
192,820

 
260,554

 
663,204

 
795,277

OPERATING EXPENSES:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Selling, general, and administrative expenses
153,994

 
167,413

 
559,541

 
587,747

Other operating expense, net
34

 
249

 
62

 
292

Total operating expenses
154,028

 
167,662

 
559,603

 
588,039

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OPERATING INCOME
38,792

 
92,892

 
103,601

 
207,238

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
INTEREST EXPENSE, NET
623

 
1,131

 
13,468

 
15,882

OTHER (INCOME) EXPENSE, NET
(80
)
 
532

 
(484
)
 
672

INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES
38,249

 
91,229

 
90,617

 
190,684

INCOME TAX EXPENSE
15,475

 
35,113

 
33,200

 
74,171

NET INCOME
$
22,774

 
$
56,116

 
$
57,417

 
$
116,513

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
EARNINGS PER SHARE:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Basic
$
0.29

 
$
0.68

 
$
0.73

 
$
1.39

Diluted
$
0.29

 
$
0.67

 
$
0.73

 
$
1.38

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
WEIGHTED AVERAGE SHARES OUTSTANDING:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Basic
78,414

 
82,561

 
78,669

 
83,980

Diluted
78,741

 
83,337

 
79,049

 
84,591








Schedule 3
Express, Inc.
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(In thousands)
(Unaudited)
 
Fifty-Two Weeks Ended
 
January 28, 2017
 
January 30, 2016
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
 
 
 
Net income
$
57,417

 
$
116,513

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
 
 
 
Depreciation and amortization
82,144

 
74,904

Loss on disposal of property and equipment
942

 
1,561

Impairment charge
5,108

 
2,657

Amortization of lease financing obligation discount
11,354

 

Excess tax benefit from share-based compensation

 
(347
)
Share-based compensation
12,858

 
18,438

Non-cash loss on extinguishment of debt

 
5,314

Deferred taxes
20,065

 
(10,700
)
Landlord allowance amortization
(11,280
)
 
(12,730
)
Payment of original issue discount

 
(2,812
)
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
 
 
 
Receivables, net
6,371

 
1,097

Inventories
14,144

 
(14,625
)
Accounts payable, deferred revenue, and accrued expenses
(15,857
)
 
17,705

Other assets and liabilities
3,442

 
32,628

Net cash provided by operating activities
186,708

 
229,603

 
 
 
 
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES:
 
 
 
Capital expenditures
(98,712
)
 
(115,343
)
Purchase of intangible assets
(21
)
 
(35
)
Investment in equity interests
(10,133
)
 

Net cash used in investing activities
(108,866
)
 
(115,378
)
 
 
 
 
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES:
 
 
 
Repayment of long-term debt

 
(198,038
)
Costs incurred in connection with debt arrangements

 
(1,006
)
Payments on lease financing obligations
(1,595
)
 
(1,552
)
Repayments of financing arrangements
(3,274
)
 

Excess tax benefit from share-based compensation

 
347

Proceeds from exercise of stock options
2,735

 
1,276

Repurchase of common stock under share repurchase program
(51,538
)
 
(68,574
)
Repurchase of common stock for tax withholding obligations
(4,599
)
 
(4,450
)
Net cash used in financing activities
(58,271
)
 
(271,997
)
 
 
 
 
EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE ON CASH
899

 
(1,484
)
 
 
 
 
NET INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS
20,470

 
(159,256
)
CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS, Beginning of period
186,903

 
346,159

CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS, End of period
$
207,373

 
$
186,903






Schedule 4

Supplemental Information - Consolidated Statements of Income
Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures
(Unaudited)
The Company supplements the reporting of its financial information determined under United States generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) with certain non-GAAP financial measures: adjusted net income and adjusted diluted earnings per share. The Company believes that these non-GAAP measures provide additional useful information to assist stockholders in understanding its financial results and assessing its prospects for future performance. Management believes adjusted net income and adjusted diluted earnings per share are important indicators of the Company's business performance because they exclude items that may not be indicative of, or are unrelated to, the Company's underlying operating results, and provide a better baseline for analyzing trends in the business. In addition, adjusted diluted earnings per share is used as a performance measure in the Company's executive compensation program for purposes of determining the number of equity awards that are ultimately earned. Because non-GAAP financial measures are not standardized, it may not be possible to compare these financial measures with other companies' non-GAAP financial measures having the same or similar names. These adjusted financial measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for reported net income and reported diluted earnings per share. These non-GAAP financial measures reflect an additional way of viewing the Company's operations that, when viewed with the GAAP results and the below reconciliations to the corresponding GAAP financial measures, provide a more complete understanding of the Company's business. Management strongly encourages investors and stockholders to review the Company's financial statements and publicly-filed reports in their entirety and not to rely on any single financial measure.
 
Thirteen Weeks Ended April 30, 2016
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
Net Income
 
Diluted Earnings per Share
 
Weighted Average Diluted Shares Outstanding
Reported GAAP Measure
$
12,882

 
$
0.16

 
79,914

Interest Expense (a)
11,354

 
0.14

 
 
Income Tax Benefit (b)
(4,428
)
 
(0.06
)
 
 
Adjusted Non-GAAP Measure
$
19,808

 
$
0.25

 
 
(a)
Represents non-core items related to the amendment of the Times Square Flagship store lease.
(b)
Represents the tax impact of the interest expense adjustment at our statutory rate of approximately 39% for the thirteen weeks ended April 30, 2016.
 
Fifty-Two Weeks Ended January 28, 2017
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
Net Income
 
Diluted Earnings per Share
 
Weighted Average Diluted Shares Outstanding
Reported GAAP Measure
$
57,417

 
$
0.73

 
79,049

Interest Expense (a)
11,354

 
0.14

 
 
Income Tax Benefit (b)
(4,428
)
 
(0.06
)
 
 
Adjusted Non-GAAP Measure
$
64,343

 
$
0.81

 
 
(a)
Represents non-core items related to the amendment of the Times Square Flagship store lease.
(b)
Represents the tax impact of the interest expense adjustment at our statutory rate of approximately 39% for the thirteen weeks ended January 28, 2017.






Schedule 5
Express, Inc.
Real Estate Activity
(Unaudited)

 
 
 
 
 
Fourth Quarter 2016 - Actual
 
January 28, 2017 - Actual
Company-Operated Stores
Opened
Closed
Conversion
 
Store Count
Gross Square Footage
United States - Retail Stores
(1)
(1)
 
535
 
United States - Outlet Stores
4
1
 
104
 
Canada
 
17
 
Total
4
(1)
 
656
5.7 million
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
First Quarter 2017 - Projected
 
April 29, 2017 - Projected
Company-Operated Stores
Opened
Closed
Conversion
 
Store Count
Gross Square Footage
United States - Retail Stores
(8)
 
527
 
United States - Outlet Stores
5
 
109
 
Canada
 
17
 
Total
5
(8)
 
653
5.6 million
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Full Year 2017 - Projected
 
February 3, 2018 - Projected
Company-Operated Stores
Opened
Closed
Conversion
 
Store Count
Gross Square Footage
United States - Retail Stores
(10)
(20)
 
505
 
United States - Outlet Stores
19
20
 
143
 
Canada
 
17
 
Total
19
(10)
 
665
5.7 million