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8-K - 8-K - Hostess Brands, Inc. | hostessbrands_8kx20170220d.htm |
®
HOSTESS BRANDS
Consumer Analyst Group of New York Conference
February 2017
®
DISCLAIMER
Forward Looking Statements
This investor presentation contains statements reflecting our views about our future performance that constitute “forward-looking statements” that involve substantial risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking
statements are generally identified through the inclusion of words such as “believes,” “expects,” “intends,” “estimates,” “projects,” “anticipates,” “will,” “plan,” “may,” “should,” or similar language. Statements
addressing our future operating performance and statements addressing events and developments that we expect or anticipate will occur are also considered as forward-looking statements. All forward looking
statements included herein are made only as of the date hereof. Hostess undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
These statements inherently involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are
not limited to, maintaining, extending and expanding our reputation and brand image; protecting our intellectual property rights; leveraging our brand value to compete against lower-priced alternative brands; correctly
predicting, identifying and interpreting changes in consumer preferences and demand and offering new products to meet those changes; operating in a highly competitive industry; our continued ability to produce and
successfully market products with extended shelf life; our ability to drive revenue growth in our key products or add products that are faster-growing and more profitable; volatility in commodity, energy, and other
input prices; our dependence on our major customers; our geographic focus could make us particularly vulnerable to economic and other events and trends in North America; increased costs in order to comply with
governmental regulation; general political, social and economic conditions; a portion of our workforce belongs to unions and strikes or work stoppages could cause our business to suffer; product liability claims,
product recalls, or regulatory enforcement actions; unanticipated business disruptions; dependence on third parties for significant services; our insurance may not provide adequate levels of coverage against claims;
failures, unavailability, or disruptions of our information technology systems; our ability to achieve expected synergies and benefits and performance from our strategic acquisitions; dependence on key personnel or a
highly skilled and diverse workforce; and our ability to finance our indebtedness on terms favorable to us; and other risks as set forth from time to time in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings.
Industry and Market Data
In this Investor Presentation, Hostess relies on and refers to information and statistics regarding market shares in the sectors in which it competes and other industry data. Hostess obtained this information and
statistics from third-party sources, including reports by market research firms, such as Nielsen. Hostess has supplemented this information where necessary with information from discussions with Hostess customers
and its own internal estimates, taking into account publicly available information about other industry participants and Hostess’ management’s best view as to information that is not publicly available.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This Investor Presentation includes non-GAAP financial measures, including earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“Adjusted EBITDA”), Adjusted EBITDA Margin and Free Cash Flow.
In this Investor Presentation, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin exclude certain add-backs. Adjusted EBITDA Margin represents Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues. Free Cash Flow conversion
is defined as Adjusted EBITDA minus capital expenditures divided by Adjusted EBITDA. You can find the reconciliation of these measures to the nearest comparable GAAP measures in the Appendix.
Hostess believes that these non-GAAP measures of financial results provide useful information to management and investors regarding certain financial and business trends relating to Hostess’ financial condition
and results of operations. Hostess’ management uses these non-GAAP measures to compare Hostess’ performance to that of prior periods for trend analyses, for purposes of determining management incentive
compensation, and for budgeting and planning purposes. These measures are used in monthly financial reports prepared for management and Hostess’ board of directors.
Hostess believes that the use of these non-GAAP financial measures provides an additional tool for investors to use in evaluating ongoing operating results and trends. Management of Hostess does not consider
these non-GAAP measures in isolation or as an alternative to financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP.
Other companies may calculate Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Free Cash Flow and other non-GAAP measures differently, and therefore Hostess’ Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin,
Free Cash Flow and other non-GAAP measures may not be directly comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies
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DEAN METROPOULOS
Executive Chairman
Founder and Executive Chairman of Metropoulos & Co.
More than 30 years of successful experience revamping iconic brands
throughout the consumer space
Strong track record of growing revenues, reducing costs and
enhancing capital efficiency of portfolio companies
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BILL TOLER
President & CEO
Former CEO and President of AdvancePierre Foods and
former President of Pinnacle Foods
More than 30 years of executive experience in the food and consumer sector
Proven track record for brand growth, strategic planning and operations
BUSINESS
OVERVIEW
1 2 3 4
LEADER OF
CATEGORY
GROWTH
GROWTH
DRIVERS
FINANCIAL
OVERVIEW
®
BUSINESS
OVERVIEW
1
®
Iconic Brands
With Nearly
100-year History
Snacking Trends
Create Tailwinds
for Growth
Strong Market Share
Momentum &
Brand Innovation
Best-in-class
Financial Position
KEY BUSINESS THEMES
®
®
BUSINESS TRANSFORMATION
Hostess Brands
Warehouse
Model
Shelf-life
Technology
ICONIC BRAND
Delivering Classic Sweet Treats
EMOTIONAL BRAND CONNECTION
U.S. consumers share a special emotional relationship with the
96 year old Hostess, a brand that defines the rapidly growing
“Indulgent Snacking” trend
96
Year history
90%+
Brand awareness
Notes:. Harmon Atchison, Awareness, Use and Status Perception Study, 12/8/14
®
SIGNIFICANT GROWTH SINCE RE-LAUNCH
WITH MEANINGFUL UPSIDE POTENTIAL
Notes: Superior Cake Products, Inc. figures are unaudited based upon actual/estimated results and do not contain any adjustments as a result of applying
purchase accounting. Some figures may not add up exactly due to rounding. See Appendix for an explanation of all non-GAAP measures and a reconciliation
to the most comparable GAAP measures.
Net Revenue
($ in millions)
$555
$621
$679
$27
$33
$39
$582
$654
$718
2014A 2015A LTM 9/30/16A
Total increase $136M
10%
Hostess Standalone Superior Standalone
12%
SINCE THE RELAUNCH, HOSTESS HAS…
Established a best-in-class financial position
Strong and sustainable
top-line growth
Industry-leading
EBITDA margins
of ~29%(1)
Significant Adjusted
EBITDA to Free Cash
Flow Conversion(2)
Clean balance sheet —
No legacy issues
(1) See Appendix for an explanation of all non-GAAP measures and a reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures.
(2) Defined as (Adj. EBITDA – Capex) / Adj. EBITDA. Capex includes maintenance capex and expansion capex.
®
SINCE THE RELAUNCH, HOSTESS HAS…
Created a compelling growth story
Powerful Hostess
brand
Aggressive
capital
investment
Competitively
advantaged
business model
Compelling growth
story
®
=
LEADER OF
CATEGORY
GROWTH
2
®
®
$2.63
$3.39
$4.39 $4.42
$4.75
SELLING AT A PREMIUM PRICE POINT
Notes: Hostess data does not include Superior. The Company has transitioned to a new Nielsen database for Market Share and Industry Data,
all prior periods have been restated utilizing the updated database.
Source: Nielsen U.S. total universe, 52 weeks ending 12/31/2016.
($ / lb.)
Total increase $136M
10%
81% premium
SBG
Avg.
$3.64
Private label
®
®
LEADING CATEGORY GROWTH
Notes: Hostess data does not include Superior. The Company has transitioned to a new Nielsen database for Market Share and Industry Data, all prior periods have
been restated utilizing the updated database.
(1) Nielsen U.S. total universe, 12 weeks ending 10/13/2012 compared to 12 weeks ending 1/26/2013.
(2) Nielsen U.S. total universe, 52 weeks ending 12/31/2016 compared to 52 weeks ending 7/6/2013.
(3) Nielsen U.S. 52 weeks ending 12/31/2016.
Market share based on retail sales dollars.
Total increase $136M
10%
Category Growth
Hostess Contribution to Category
Growth(3)
Recent 52 weeks (8%)
14%
Hostess hiatus (1) Category growth
(2)
since relaunch
100.5%
(0.5%)
Hostess All Other
®
STRONG MARKET POSITION IN KEY SEGMENTS
Source: Nielsen U.S. total universe, 52 weeks ending 12/31/16
Note: Hostess data does not include Superior. The Company has transitioned to a new Nielsen database for Market Share and Industry Data, all prior periods have been
restated utilizing the updated database.
Note: Sweet Baked Goods category includes items determined to be ‘Commercial Sweet Baked Goods’ (items wrapped for individual sale); All Fresh Bakery products are
excluded from the scope; Sunbelt Granola Bars are the only Granola Bars included – because they are a part of McKee’s total SBG business and targeted for sale with SBG
items. Only SBG Cookies or non-traditional aisle-cookies are included (e.g., Nutty Fudge Bars, Oatmeal Cream Sandwiches, Whoopie Pies)
SBG – $6.5 billion
of retail sales in 2016,
14% increase
since relaunch
Donuts
$1.5B
Snack Cakes
$1.7B
Pies, Bars
& Other
$439M
$306M
Blondies,
Brownies
Breakfast pastries,
Danish $1.3B
$479M
Muffins
$814M
SBG
Cookies
Danish, Honey Buns,
Sweet Rolls
Mini and
Jumbo
Muffins
Donettes
Twinkies®, Zingers®,
CupCakes, Ding Dongs®,
Ho Hos®
Fruit Pie
Sub-category where
Hostess does not
currently participate
32%
= Hostess Percent
of Dollar Share
23%
7%
9%
11% 10%
®
11.1%
13.7%
15.6%
16.7%
22.8%
2H13 2014 2015 2016 OldCo
STRONG GROWTH MOMENTUM(1)
Notes: Hostess data does not include Superior.
(1)Hostess market share, Total Nielsen Universe. Nielsen U.S. 24 weeks ending 10/13/2012, 52 weeks ending 1/4/2014, 52 weeks ending 1/3/2015, 1/2/2016, and 52 weeks
ending 12/31/2016.
Market share based on retail sales dollars. The Company transitioned to a new Nielsen database for Market Share and Industry Data; all prior periods have been restated
utilizing the updated database.
Despite two years of rapid gains,
Hostess still has room to grow
Market Share (Nielsen Total Universe)
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Bottom Content Margin
Date/Footer/Page Number Baseline
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GROWTH
DRIVERS
3
®
COMPETITIVELY ADVANTAGED
BUSINESS MODEL
Warehouse
model
Close
partnerships
with third party
distributors
Enhanced
in-store
merchandizing
capabilities
Compelling
retailer
economics
Expanded
distribution reach
®
BROAD CHANNEL OPPORTUNITY
Source: Hostess market share, Total Nielsen Universe. Nielsen U.S. 12 weeks ending 10/31/2012 compared to 52-weeks ending 12/31/2016. Market share based
on retail sales dollars.
The Company has transitioned to a new Nielsen database for Market Share and Industry Data, all prior periods have been restated utilizing the updated database
Small Format $ Share Comparison
$94M $2.3B
2016 Old Co Total Category Size
$319M
26.3
0.9
33.2
49.0
19.5 21.2
Total US Drug Total US Dollar Total US Convenience
®
BROAD CHANNEL OPPORTUNITY
Source: Hostess market share, Total Nielsen Universe. Nielsen U.S. 12 weeks ending 10/31/2012 compared to 52-weeks ending 12/31/2016. Market share based
on retail sales dollars.
Club does not include Costco, only Sam’s and BJ’s.
The Company has transitioned to a new Nielsen database for Market Share and Industry Data, all prior periods have been restated utilizing the updated database
Large Format $ Share Comparison
2016 Old Co Total Category Size
1.7
19.3 19.1
1.8
16.8
12.2
Total US Club (excludes Costco) Total US Mass Total US Food
$267M $2.3B $1.3B
®
OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE FUTURE
Rebuild Core
Business
Innovation & Line
Extensions
White Space
®
REBUILD CORE PRODUCTS
More items in
more stores
Continue to build
distribution
Drive penetration
in channels
unlocked by our
warehouse model
®
2016 INNOVATION &
LINE EXTENSIONS
Drive penetration in channels
unlocked by our warehouse model
The Return of Suzy Q Brownie Innovation Twinkies Innovation
New & Improved Whole Grain
Mini Muffins
Premium Seasonal E-Commerce
Notes: M&M’s is a registered trademarks of Mars, Incorporated. Ghostbusters is a registered trademark of Columbia Pictures Industries, Inc.
®
2017 INNOVATION &
LINE EXTENSIONS
Drive penetration in channels
unlocked by our warehouse model
Cinnamon Sugar Crunch Donettes White Fudge Twinkies Innovation
Peanut Butter Apple Streusel Cupcake Expansion
®
WHITE SPACE …IN-STORE BAKERY IS
A COMPELLING OPPORTUNITY
Source: Nielsen Perishable Group, In Store Bakery, 52 Weeks ending 12/31/16.
Total In Store Bakery $11.6 Billion for 52wks ending 12/31/16.
ISB - $ Share
In-store bakery (sweets)
is a $8.2 billion category
Breakfast Bakery
30%
Desserts and
Sweet Snacks
70%
®
WHITE SPACE …IN-STORE BAKERY
IS A COMPELLING OPPORTUNITY
®
WHITE SPACE
Drive penetration in channels
unlocked by our warehouse model
Frozen Aisle Schools Club Channel
Licensing Canada Foodservice
DIFFERENTIATED BUSINESS MODEL
DRIVES CONTINUED GROWTH
Hostess is well positioned for future growth…
Warehouse distribution
unique in SBG category
Supports strength of
innovation pipeline and
speed-to-market
Compelling opportunity for
continued market share
and volume gains across
distribution channels
®
FINANCIAL
OVERVIEW
4
®
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TOM PETERSON
EVP & CFO
Served as Hostess Corporate Controller since relaunch and
promoted to CFO in March 2016
Formerly a Managing Director at FTI Consulting and on the restructuring
team of Legacy Hostess
More than 20 years of accounting and finance expertise in a broad range
of industries
®
SIGNIFICANT GROWTH SINCE RE-LAUNCH
WITH MEANINGFUL UPSIDE POTENTIAL
Notes: Superior Cake Products, Inc. figures are unaudited based upon actual/estimated results and do not contain any adjustments as a result of applying
purchase accounting. Some figures may not add up exactly due to rounding. See Appendix for an explanation of all non-GAAP measures and a reconciliation
to the most comparable GAAP measures.
Net Revenue
($ in millions)
$555
$621
$679
$27
$33
$39
$582
$654
$718
2014A 2015A LTM 9/30/16A
Total increase $136M
10%
Hostess Standalone Superior Standalone
12%
®
SIGNIFICANT GROWTH SINCE RE-LAUNCH
WITH MEANINGFUL UPSIDE POTENTIAL
Notes: Superior Cake Products, Inc. figures are unaudited based upon actual/estimated results and do not contain any adjustments as a result of applying purchase accounting. Some figures
may not add up exactly due to rounding. See Appendix for an explanation of all non-GAAP measures and a reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures.
(1) Gross profit figures exclude special employee incentive compensation in 2015A of $2.6 million
Gross Profit (1)
($ in millions)
Hostess Standalone Superior Standalone
$234
$265
$296 $5
$7
$10
$239
$272
$306
2014A 2015A LTM 9/30/16A
% Margin 41% 42% 43%
STRONG MARGIN PROFILE
Established margin structure driven by…
The health of the
SBG category
Hostess is a leading brand
sold at a premium price
Highly efficient
operating model
®
®
$145
$178
$202 $2
$4
$6
$147
$182
$208
2014A 2015A LTM 9/30/16A
Notes: Superior Cake Products, Inc. figures are unaudited based upon actual/estimated results and do not contain any adjustments as a result of applying purchase
accounting. Some figures may not add up exactly due to rounding. See Appendix for an explanation of all non-GAAP measures and a reconciliation to the most
comparable GAAP measures.
Adjusted EBITDA
($ in millions)
Hostess Standalone Superior Standalone
% Margin 25% 28% 29%
SIGNIFICANT GROWTH SINCE RE-LAUNCH
WITH MEANINGFUL UPSIDE POTENTIAL
®
AGGRESSIVE CAPITAL INVESTMENT
Distribution center (third-party) Headquarters Baking facility
Kansas City, MO
~$150 million of capital invested in operations and systems
®
SUSTAINABILITY OF MARGINS
Pricing Manufacturing SG&A and
Distribution
ATTRACTIVE MARGINS RELATIVE TO PEERS
Best-in-class financial position
Approximately 29% LTM 9/30/16 Adjusted EBITDA Margins
85.8% LTM 9/30/16 Free Cash Flow Conversion (1)
®
Notes: LTM as of 9/30/2016.
(1) FCF conversion defined as (Adj. EBITDA-Capex) / Adj. EBITDA.
Represents LTM 9/30/2016 Hostess FCF Conversion; Adj. EBITDA - $207.4 million, Capex $29.4 million; Hostess
LTM 9/30/16 FCF Conversion of 85.8%
Hostess’ competitively advantaged business model contributes to its best in class margins
APPENDIX
5
®
®
HOSTESS NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
(UNAUDITED)
Twelve Months
Ended
30-Sep-16
Nine Months
Ended
30-Sep-16
Three Months
Ended
30-Sep-16
Twelve Months
Ended
31-Dec-15
Nine Months
Ended
30-Sep-15
Three Months
Ended
30-Sep-15
Twelve Months
Ended
31-Dec-14
Net income (loss) $98.7 $81.5 $33.5 $88.8 $71.6 ($4.1) $81.5
Plus non-GAAP adjustments:
Interest expense, net 71.9 53.8 18.0 50.0 31.8 32.3 37.4
Loss on debt extinguishment(1) – – – 25.9 25.9 – –
Depreciation and amortization 11.7 9.1 3.4 9.8 7.2 2.6 7.1
Unit-based compensation 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.4
Other (income) expense(2) 9.4 9.4 0.2 (8.7) (4.8) 7.3 0.6
Impairment of property and equipment 11.2 7.5 0.2 2.7 1.9 1.5 13.2
Loss on sale/abandonment of property and equipment and bakery
shutdown costs(3)
0.4 0.3
–
4.2 1.0 0.2 5.2
Special employee incentive compensation(4) – – – 3.9 – – –
Distributions for Cash taxes and tax sharing and income tax provision 0.3 0.3 – – – – –
Adjusted EBITDA(5) $204.5 $162.4 $55.6 $177.9 $135.9 $40.7 $145.3
Superior Adjusted EBITDA(6)(7) 3.0 2.0 – 4.2 3.3 0.9 2.1
Adjusted EBITDA (incl. Superior) $207.4 $164.5 $55.6 $182.2 $139.2 $41.6 $147.5
Revenue (incl. Superior) $717.9 $562.5 $196.2 $653.7 $498.3 $166.2 $582.2
EBITDA Margin (Adjusted EBITDA divided by Revenue) 28.9% 29.2% 28.4% 27.9% 27.9% 25.1% 25.3%
Capital Expenditures (incl. Superior) $29.4 $26.0 $11.0 $27.7 $24.3 $6.9 $55.1
FCF Conversion (Adjusted EBITDA incl. Superior – Capital Expenditures divided
by Adjusted EBITDA incl. Superior)
85.8% 84.2% 80.2% 84.8% 82.5% 83.3% 62.6%
Footnotes on next page
®
HOSTESS NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
(UNAUDITED)
(1) For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, Hostess Holdings recorded a loss on a partial extinguishment of Hostess Holdings’ original Term Loan of $25.9 million, which consisted of prepayment penalties of $9.9 million and write-off of
deferred financing costs of $16.0 million. For the year ended December 31, 2015, Hostess Holdings recorded a loss on extinguishment related to Hostess Holdings’ original Term Loan of $25.9 million, which consisted of prepayment penalties of
$9.9 million and write-off of deferred financing costs of $16.0 million.
(2) For the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and the year ended September 30, 2016, other expense of $9.4 million primarily consisted of legal and professional fees related to Hostess Holdings’ business combination agreement with Gores
Holdings, Inc., transaction costs attributable to the acquisition of Superior, and the pursuit of a potential acquisition that has since been abandoned. Other income for the nine months ended September 30, 2015, primarily consisted of $12.0 million
of proceeds from the sale of foreign trademark rights and perpetual irrevocable licenses to certain “know how” in certain countries in the Middle East. For the year ended December 31, 2015, other income consisted of $12.0 million of proceeds
from the sale of foreign trademark rights and perpetual irrevocable licenses to certain “know how” in certain countries in the Middle East, partially offset by $3.3 million for professional service fees related to Hostess Holdings’ pursuit of a potentia l
sale of Hostess. For the three months ended September 30, 2016, the three months ended September 30, 2015, and the year ended December 31, 2014 other expense was $0.3 million, $7.3 million and $0.6 million, respectively.
(3) For the nine months ended September 30, 2016, Hostess Holdings incurred a loss on sale/abandonment of property and equipment and bakery shutdown costs of $0.4 million, primarily due to utilities, insurance, taxes and maintenance expenses
related to the Schiller Park, Illinois bakery. For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, Hostess Holdings incurred bakery shutdown costs of $1.0 million associated with the closure and relocation of assets. For the years ended December 31,
2015 and December 31, 2014, Hostess Holdings incurred bakery shutdown costs associated with the closure and relocation of assets of $1.2 million and $1.4 million, respectively. Also, for the year ended December 31, 2014, Hostess Holdings
incurred bakery shutdown costs associated with employee severance and Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification (WARN) Act payments of $2.9 million. Hostess Holdings recorded a loss on sale and abandonment of property and
equipment of $3.0 million and $0.8 million for the years ended December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014, respectively.
(4) For the year ended December 31, 2015, a one-time special bonus payment of $2.6 million and $1.3 million was paid to employees at Hostess Holdings’ bakery facilities and corporate employees, respectively, as compensation for their efforts in the
successful recapitalization of Hostess.
(5) Adjusted EBITDA does not addback related party expenses, which consists of expenses associated with the employment agreement with Mr. Metropoulos as the Chief Executive Officer/Executive Chairman. Upon consummation of the transaction
with Gores Holdings, Inc., Mr. Metropoulos’s employment agreement was terminated and a new employment agreement was entered into with cash payments for
Footnotes from prior page
®
GLOSSARY
Term Definition
ACV All-commodity volume (%)
BFY Better-for-you
C-store Convenience store
ISB In-store bakery
LTO Limited time offer
PHO Partially hydrogenated oils
SBG Sweet baked goods
SKU Stock keeping unit