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EX-32.1 - CERTIFICATION OF CEO AND CFO - BERKLEY W R CORPwrb9302016ex321.htm
EX-31.2 - CERTIFICATION OF CFO - BERKLEY W R CORPwrb9302016ex312.htm
EX-31.1 - CERTIFICATION OF CEO - BERKLEY W R CORPwrb9302016ex311.htm

 
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

Form 10-Q
(Mark one)
þ
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 or 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the Quarterly Period Ended September 30, 2016
or
o
Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
For the Transition Period from                      to                     .
Commission File Number 1-15202

W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
 
22-1867895
(State or other jurisdiction of
 
(I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization)
 
Identification No.)
 
 
 
475 Steamboat Road, Greenwich, Connecticut
 
06830
(Address of principal executive offices)
 
(Zip Code)
 
(203) 629-3000
 
 
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
 
 
 
 
 
None
 
Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report.
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ     No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes þ     No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer þ
Accelerated filer o
Non-accelerated filer o
Smaller reporting company o
 
 
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes o     No þ
Number of shares of common stock, $.20 par value, outstanding as of November 2, 2016: 121,371,880
 



TABLE OF CONTENTS



Part I — FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1.
Financial Statements
W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(In thousands, except share data)
 
September 30,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
 
(Unaudited)
 
(Audited)
Assets
 
 
 
Investments:
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities
$
13,616,671

 
$
12,444,394

Investment funds
1,231,700

 
1,170,040

Real estate
1,108,482

 
936,367

Arbitrage trading account
602,965

 
376,697

Loans receivable
113,996

 
273,103

Equity securities available for sale
158,975

 
150,866

Total investments
16,832,789

 
15,351,467

Cash and cash equivalents
873,064

 
763,631

Premiums and fees receivable
1,742,210

 
1,669,186

Due from reinsurers
1,692,779

 
1,532,829

Deferred policy acquisition costs
564,663

 
513,128

Prepaid reinsurance premiums
429,850

 
394,387

Trading account receivables from brokers and clearing organizations
185,548

 
383,115

Property, furniture and equipment
348,169

 
348,224

Goodwill
134,146

 
153,291

Accrued investment income
133,720

 
123,164

Federal and foreign income taxes

 
48,952

Other assets
408,718

 
442,782

Total assets
$
23,345,656

 
$
21,724,156

 
 
 
 
Liabilities and Equity
 
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
Reserves for losses and loss expenses
$
11,097,830

 
$
10,669,150

Unearned premiums
3,408,640

 
3,137,133

Due to reinsurers
261,622

 
224,752

Trading account securities sold but not yet purchased
60,959

 
37,035

Federal and foreign income taxes
96,885

 

Other liabilities
968,019

 
837,937

Senior notes and other debt
1,762,487

 
1,844,621

Subordinated debentures
727,390

 
340,320

Total liabilities
18,383,832

 
17,090,948

Equity:
 
 
 
Preferred stock, par value $.10 per share:
 
 
 
Authorized 5,000,000 shares; issued and outstanding - none


 


Common stock, par value $.20 per share:
 
 
 
Authorized 500,000,000 shares, issued and outstanding, net of treasury shares, 121,684,506 and 123,307,837 shares, respectively
47,024

 
47,024

Additional paid-in capital
1,027,465

 
1,005,455

Retained earnings
6,519,536

 
6,178,070

Accumulated other comprehensive loss
(9,808
)
 
(66,698
)
Treasury stock, at cost,113,433,412 and 111,810,081 shares, respectively
(2,658,452
)
 
(2,563,605
)
Total stockholders’ equity
4,925,765

 
4,600,246

Noncontrolling interests
36,059

 
32,962

Total equity
4,961,824

 
4,633,208

Total liabilities and equity
$
23,345,656

 
$
21,724,156


See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

1



W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (UNAUDITED)
(In thousands, except per share data)

 
For the Three Months
 
For the Nine Months
 
Ended September 30,
 
Ended September 30,
 
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
REVENUES:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net premiums written
$
1,607,365

 
$
1,571,037

 
$
4,913,656

 
$
4,690,364

Change in net unearned premiums
(21,421
)
 
(39,479
)
 
(240,584
)
 
(193,752
)
Net premiums earned
1,585,944

 
1,531,558

 
4,673,072

 
4,496,612

Net investment income
145,668

 
133,214

 
404,850

 
385,036

Insurance service fees
32,135

 
35,192

 
109,437

 
107,652

Net realized investment gains
175,738

 
66,419

 
207,508

 
113,020

Other-than-temporary impairments

 
(12,515
)
 
(18,114
)
 
(12,515
)
Revenues from non-insurance businesses
80,242

 
107,059

 
305,787

 
305,261

Other income

 
30

 

 
335

Total revenues
2,019,727

 
1,860,957

 
5,682,540

 
5,395,401

OPERATING COSTS AND EXPENSES:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses and loss expenses
965,856

 
926,355

 
2,852,339

 
2,733,298

Other operating costs and expenses
606,348

 
573,541

 
1,770,450

 
1,698,169

Expenses from non-insurance businesses
78,865

 
100,500

 
291,127

 
288,900

Interest expense
37,043

 
31,641

 
104,019

 
99,210

Total operating costs and expenses
1,688,112

 
1,632,037

 
5,017,935

 
4,819,577

Income before income taxes
331,615

 
228,920

 
664,605

 
575,824

Income tax expense
(110,952
)
 
(76,184
)
 
(214,789
)
 
(181,595
)
Net income before noncontrolling interests
220,663

 
152,736

 
449,816

 
394,229

Noncontrolling interests
(13
)
 
(129
)
 
(689
)
 
(280
)
Net income to common stockholders
$
220,650

 
$
152,607

 
$
449,127

 
$
393,949

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NET INCOME PER SHARE:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Basic
$
1.80

 
$
1.24

 
$
3.66

 
$
3.17

Diluted
$
1.72

 
$
1.18

 
$
3.50

 
$
3.02


See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.





2


W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (UNAUDITED)
(In thousands)
 
For the Three Months
 
For the Nine Months
 
Ended September 30,
 
Ended September 30,
 
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Net income before noncontrolling interests
$
220,663

 
$
152,736

 
$
449,816

 
$
394,229

Other comprehensive income (loss):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Change in unrealized currency translation adjustments
(19,470
)
 
(62,535
)
 
(77,389
)
 
(76,713
)
Change in unrealized investment gains, net of taxes
(47,676
)
 
4,497

 
134,213

 
(78,832
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
(67,146
)
 
(58,038
)
 
56,824

 
(155,545
)
Comprehensive income
153,517

 
94,698

 
506,640

 
238,684

Noncontrolling interest
44

 
(35
)
 
(623
)
 
(174
)
Comprehensive income to common stockholders
$
153,561

 
$
94,663

 
$
506,017

 
$
238,510


See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

3


W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY (UNAUDITED)
(In thousands)
 
For the Nine Months
 
Ended September 30,
 
2016

2015
COMMON STOCK:
 
 
 
Beginning and end of period
$
47,024

 
$
47,024

ADDITIONAL PAID-IN CAPITAL:
 
 
 
Beginning of period
$
1,005,455

 
$
991,512

Restricted stock units issued including tax benefit
(3,421
)
 
(25,394
)
Restricted stock units expensed
25,431

 
23,429

End of period
$
1,027,465

 
$
989,547

RETAINED EARNINGS:
 
 
 
Beginning of period
$
6,178,070

 
$
5,732,410

Net income to common stockholders
449,127

 
393,949

Dividends
(107,661
)
 
(43,239
)
End of period
$
6,519,536

 
$
6,083,120

ACCUMULATED OTHER COMPREHENSIVE (LOSS) INCOME
 
 
 
Unrealized investment gains (losses):
 
 
 
Beginning of period
$
180,695

 
$
306,199

Unrealized gains (losses) on securities not other-than-temporarily impaired
133,866

 
(78,773
)
Unrealized gains on other-than-temporarily impaired securities
413

 
47

End of period
314,974

 
227,473

Currency translation adjustments:
 
 
 
Beginning of period
(247,393
)
 
(122,649
)
Net change in period
(77,389
)
 
(76,713
)
End of period
(324,782
)
 
(199,362
)
Total accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income
$
(9,808
)
 
$
28,111

TREASURY STOCK:
 
 
 
Beginning of period
$
(2,563,605
)
 
$
(2,364,551
)
Stock exercised/vested
5,023

 
23,667

Stock repurchased
(99,870
)
 
(223,652
)
End of period
$
(2,658,452
)
 
$
(2,564,536
)
NONCONTROLLING INTERESTS:
 
 
 
Beginning of period
$
32,962

 
$
34,189

Contributions (distributions)
2,474

 
(992
)
Net income
689

 
280

Other comprehensive loss, net of tax
(66
)
 
(106
)
End of period
$
36,059

 
$
33,371

See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

4


W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (UNAUDITED)
(In thousands)
 
For the Nine Months
 
Ended September 30,
 
2016
 
2015
CASH FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
 
 
 
Net income to common stockholders
$
449,127

 
$
393,949

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash from operating activities:
 
 
 
Net investment gains
(189,394
)
 
(100,505
)
Depreciation and amortization
69,153

 
65,384

Noncontrolling interests
689

 
280

Investment funds
(60,387
)
 
(50,838
)
Stock incentive plans
27,033

 
24,052

Change in:
 
 
 
Arbitrage trading account
(4,777
)
 
(4,157
)
Premiums and fees receivable
(92,372
)
 
(99,541
)
Reinsurance accounts
(154,939
)
 
(62,272
)
Deferred policy acquisition costs
(51,795
)
 
(40,216
)
Income taxes
89,007

 
80,587

Reserves for losses and loss expenses
440,486

 
362,854

Unearned premiums
269,287

 
198,534

Other
(64,608
)
 
(147,776
)
Net cash from operating activities
726,510

 
620,335

CASH FROM (USED IN) INVESTING ACTIVITIES:
 
 
 
Proceeds from sale of fixed maturity securities
1,074,630

 
765,764

Proceeds from sale of equity securities
123,187

 
23,778

Distributions from investment funds
5,630

 
198,489

Proceeds from maturities and prepayments of fixed maturity securities
2,189,365

 
2,727,635

Purchase of fixed maturity securities
(4,280,457
)
 
(3,387,648
)
Purchase of equity securities
(127,303
)
 
(37,754
)
Real estate purchased
(207,829
)
 
(150,940
)
Change in loans receivable
159,128

 
35,739

Net additions to property, furniture and equipment
(37,895
)
 
(40,262
)
Change in balances due to security brokers
102,981

 
43,429

Cash received in connection with business disposition
250,216

 

Payment for business purchased net of cash aquired
(53,524
)
 
(7,156
)
Net cash from (used in) investing activities
(801,871
)
 
171,074

CASH FROM (USED IN) FINANCING ACTIVITIES:
 
 
 
Repayment of senior notes and other debt
(70,567
)
 
(279,204
)
Net proceeds from issuance of debt
386,848

 
1,891

Cash dividends to common stockholders
(30,654
)
 
(43,239
)
Purchase of common treasury shares
(99,870
)
 
(223,652
)
Other, net
(1,376
)
 
(3,345
)
Net cash from (used in) financing activities
184,381

 
(547,549
)
Net impact on cash due to change in foreign exchange rates
413

 
(38,367
)
Net change in cash and cash equivalents
109,433

 
205,493

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year
763,631

 
674,441

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
$
873,064

 
$
879,934

See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

5


W. R. Berkley Corporation and Subsidiaries
NOTES TO INTERIM CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

(1) General
The unaudited consolidated financial statements, which include the accounts of W. R. Berkley Corporation and its subsidiaries (the “Company”) have been prepared on the basis of U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) for interim financial information. Accordingly, they do not include all the information and notes required by GAAP for annual financial statements. The unaudited consolidated financial statements reflect all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring items, which are necessary to present fairly the Company’s financial position and results of operations on a basis consistent with the prior audited consolidated financial statements. Operating results for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year. All significant intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the revenues and expenses reflected during the reporting period. For further information related to a description of areas of judgment and estimates and other information necessary to understand the Company’s financial position and results of operations, refer to the audited consolidated financial statements and notes included in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015. Reclassifications have been made in the 2015 financial statements as originally reported to conform to the presentation of the 2016 financial statements.
The income tax provision has been computed based on the Company’s estimated annual effective tax rate. The effective tax rate for the quarter differs from the federal income tax rate of 35% principally because of tax-exempt investment income.

(2) Per Share Data
The Company presents both basic and diluted net income per share (“EPS”) amounts. Basic EPS is calculated by dividing net income by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period. Diluted EPS is based upon the weighted average number of common and common equivalent shares outstanding during the period and is calculated using the treasury stock method for stock incentive plans. Common equivalent shares are excluded from the computation in periods in which they have an anti-dilutive effect. Stock options for which the exercise price exceeds the average market price over the period have an anti-dilutive effect on EPS and, accordingly, are excluded from the calculation.
The weighted average number of common shares used in the computation of basic and diluted earnings per share was as follows:
 
For the Three Months
 
For the Nine Months
 
Ended September 30,
 
Ended September 30,
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Basic
122,562

 
123,163

 
122,652

 
124,294

Diluted
128,556

 
128,947

 
128,501

 
130,563


(3) Recent Accounting Pronouncements

In February 2015, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued ASU 2015-02, Consolidation. ASU 2015-02 makes targeted amendments to the current consolidation accounting guidance, in response to accounting complexity concerns. The guidance simplifies consolidation accounting by reducing the number of approaches to consolidation. The Company adopted this updated guidance on January 1, 2016. This adoption did not have a material effect on the Company's financial condition or results of operations, but did result in additional disclosures.

In May 2015, the FASB issued ASU 2015-09, Disclosures about Short-Duration Contracts.   ASU 2015-09 requires companies that issue short duration insurance contracts to disclose additional information, including: (i) incurred and paid claims development tables; (ii) frequency and severity of claims; and (iii) information about material changes in judgments made in calculating the liability for unpaid claim adjustment expenses, including reasons for the change and the effects on the financial statements. ASU 2015-09 is effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2015, and interim periods within annual periods beginning after December 15, 2016. The amendments in ASU 2015-09 should be applied retrospectively by providing comparative disclosures for each period presented, except for those requirements that apply only to the current period. As the requirements are disclosure only, the adoption of this guidance will not impact our financial condition or results of operations.

In January 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-01, Financial Instruments. ASU 2016-01 which amends the accounting guidance for financial instruments to require all equity investments to be measured at fair value with changes in the fair value recognized

6


through net income (other than those accounted for under equity method of accounting or those that result in consolidation of the investee). The updated guidance is effective for public business entities for annual reporting periods beginning after December 15, 2017 and interim periods within those years. The adoption of this guidance is not expected to have a material effect on the Company’s financial condition upon adoption, but will impact results of operations after adoption of this guidance as unrealized gains and losses on equity securities will no longer be reported in accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI), but will instead be reported in net income.
 
In February 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-02, Leases, which amends the accounting and disclosure guidance for leases.  This guidance retains the two classifications of a lease, as either an operating or finance lease, both of which will require lessees to recognize a right-of-use asset and a lease liability for leases with terms of more than 12 months. The right-of-use asset and the lease liability will be determined based upon the present value of cash flows. Finance leases will reflect the financial arrangement by recognizing interest expense on the lease liability separately from the amortization expense of the right-of-use asset. Operating leases will recognize lease expense (with no separate recognition of interest expense) on a straight-line basis over the term of the lease. The accounting by lessors is not significantly changed by the updated guidance.  The updated guidance is effective for reporting periods beginning after December 15, 2018, and will require that the earliest comparative period presented include the measurement and recognition of existing leases with an adjustment to equity as if the updated guidance had always been applied. The Company is currently evaluating the impact that the adoption of this guidance will have on its results of operations, financial position and liquidity.
 
In June 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-13, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses, which amends the accounting guidance for credit losses on financial instruments. The updated guidance amends the current other-than-temporary impairment model for available-for-sale debt securities by requiring the recognition of impairments relating to credit losses through an allowance account and limits the amount of credit loss to the difference between a security’s amortized cost basis and its fair value. This guidance also applies a new current expected credit loss model for determining credit-related impairments for financial instruments measured at amortized cost.  The updated guidance is effective for reporting periods beginning after December 15, 2019. The Company will not be able to determine the impact the adoption of this guidance will have on its results of operations, financial position or liquidity until the year the guidance becomes effective.

All other recently issued but not yet effective accounting and reporting standards are either not applicable to the Company or are not expected to have a material impact on the Company.

(4) Acquisitions/Disposition

In February 2016, the Company acquired an 85% ownership interest for $42.3 million in a company engaged in the distribution of promotional merchandise. The fair value of the assets acquired and liabilities assumed have been estimated based on a preliminary valuation. The fair values of the assets and liabilities will be adjusted, as needed, following completion of the final valuation.

In July 2016, the Company acquired a specialty property and casualty insurance company for $15.5 million.

The following table summarizes the initial estimated fair value of net assets acquired and liabilities assumed for the business combinations completed in 2016:
(In thousands)
2016
 
 
Investments
$
6,764

Cash and cash equivalents
4,266

Real estate, furniture and equipment
701

Goodwill and other intangibles assets
45,782

Premiums and service fees receivable
3,845

Other assets
5,213

Total assets acquired
66,571

 
 
Other liabilities assumed
(4,931
)
Noncontrolling interest
(3,850
)
  Net assets acquired
$
57,790


In July 2016, the Company sold Aero Precision Industries, an aviation-related business, for $253.1 million. The business had a net carrying value of $118.2 million.

7


(5) Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income (Loss)

The following table presents the components of the changes in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) ("AOCI"):
(In thousands)
Unrealized Investment Gains (Losses)
 
                             Currency Translation Adjustments
 
 
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)
As of and for the nine months ended September 30, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
Changes in AOCI
 
 
 
 
 
Beginning of period
$
180,695

 
$
(247,393
)
 
 
$
(66,698
)
Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications
170,824

 
(77,389
)
 
 
93,435

Amounts reclassified from AOCI
(36,611
)
 

 
 
(36,611
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
134,213

 
(77,389
)
 
 
56,824

Unrealized investment gain related to non-controlling interest
66

 

 
 
66

End of period
$
314,974

 
$
(324,782
)
 
 
$
(9,808
)
Amounts reclassified from AOCI
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pre-tax
$
(56,325
)
(1)
$

 
 
$
(56,325
)
Tax effect
19,714

(2)

 
 
19,714

After-tax amounts reclassified
$
(36,611
)
 
$

 
 
$
(36,611
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pre-tax
$
198,808

 
$
(77,389
)
 
 
$
121,419

Tax effect
(64,595
)
 

 
 
(64,595
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
$
134,213

 
$
(77,389
)
 
 
$
56,824

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
As of and for the three months ended September 30, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
Changes in AOCI
 
 
 
 
 
Beginning of period
$
362,593

 
$
(305,312
)
 
 
$
57,281

Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications
(20,968
)
 
(19,470
)
 
 
(40,438
)
Amounts reclassified from AOCI
(26,708
)
 

 
 
(26,708
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
(47,676
)
 
(19,470
)
 
 
(67,146
)
Unrealized investment gain related to non-controlling interest
57

 

 
 
57

End of period
$
314,974

 
$
(324,782
)
 
 
$
(9,808
)
Amounts reclassified from AOCI
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pre-tax
$
(41,090
)
(1)
$

 
 
$
(41,090
)
Tax effect
14,382

(2)

 
 
14,382

After-tax amounts reclassified
$
(26,708
)
 
$

 
 
$
(26,708
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pre-tax
$
(72,188
)
 
$
(19,470
)
 
 
$
(91,658
)
Tax effect
24,512

 

 
 
24,512

Other comprehensive income (loss)
$
(47,676
)
 
$
(19,470
)
 
 
$
(67,146
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


8


(In thousands)
Unrealized Investment Gains (Losses)
 
           Currency Translation Adjustments
 
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)
As of and for the nine months ended September 30, 2015:
 
 
 
 
Changes in AOCI
 
 
 
 
Beginning of period
$
306,199

 
$
(122,649
)
 
$
183,550

Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications
(69,078
)
 
(76,713
)
 
(145,791
)
Amounts reclassified from AOCI
(9,754
)
 

 
(9,754
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
(78,832
)
 
(76,713
)
 
(155,545
)
Unrealized investment gain related to non-controlling interest
106

 

 
106

End of period
$
227,473

 
$
(199,362
)
 
$
28,111

Amounts reclassified from AOCI
 
 
 
 
 
Pre-tax
$
(15,006
)
(1)
$

 
$
(15,006
)
Tax effect
5,252

(2)

 
5,252

After-tax amounts reclassified
$
(9,754
)
 
$

 
$
(9,754
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
 
 
 
 
Pre-tax
$
(135,186
)
 
$
(76,713
)
 
$
(211,899
)
Tax effect
56,354

 

 
56,354

Other comprehensive income (loss)
$
(78,832
)
 
$
(76,713
)
 
$
(155,545
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
As of and for the three months ended September 30, 2015:
 
 
 
 
Changes in AOCI
 
 
 
 
Beginning of period
$
222,882

 
$
(136,827
)
 
$
86,055

Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications
3,943

 
(62,535
)
 
(58,592
)
Amounts reclassified from AOCI
554

 

 
554

Other comprehensive income (loss)
4,497

 
(62,535
)
 
(58,038
)
Unrealized investment gain related to non-controlling interest
94

 

 
94

End of period
$
227,473

 
$
(199,362
)
 
$
28,111

Amounts reclassified from AOCI
 
 
 
 
 
Pre-tax
$
852

(1)
$

 
$
852

Tax effect
(298
)
(2)

 
(298
)
After-tax amounts reclassified
$
554

 
$

 
$
554

Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
 
 
 
 
Pre-tax
$
(7,731
)
 
$
(62,535
)
 
$
(70,266
)
Tax effect
12,228

 

 
12,228

Other comprehensive income (loss)
$
4,497

 
$
(62,535
)
 
$
(58,038
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
_______________
(1) Net investment (gains) losses in the consolidated statements of income.
(2) Income tax expense in the consolidated statements of income.






9


(6) Statements of Cash Flow
Interest payments were $124,791,000 and $124,632,000 and income taxes paid were $99,161,000 and $96,364,000 in the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015, respectively.

(7) Investments in Fixed Maturity Securities
At September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, investments in fixed maturity securities were as follows:
 
(In thousands)
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross Unrealized
 
Fair
Value
 
Carrying
Value
Gains
 
Losses
 
September 30, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Held to maturity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
State and municipal
$
71,608

 
$
17,388

 
$

 
$
88,996

 
$
71,608

Residential mortgage-backed
16,569

 
2,232

 

 
18,801

 
16,569

Total held to maturity
88,177

 
19,620

 

 
107,797

 
88,177

Available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agency
530,541

 
25,383

 
(931
)
 
554,993

 
554,993

State and municipal:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Special revenue
2,707,492

 
124,159

 
(1,767
)
 
2,829,884

 
2,829,884

State general obligation
528,380

 
33,688

 
(560
)
 
561,508

 
561,508

Pre-refunded
366,360

 
31,900

 
(9
)
 
398,251

 
398,251

Corporate backed
374,355

 
15,424

 
(235
)
 
389,544

 
389,544

Local general obligation
350,349

 
32,193

 
(14
)
 
382,528

 
382,528

Total state and municipal
4,326,936

 
237,364

 
(2,585
)
 
4,561,715

 
4,561,715

Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential (1)
1,131,545

 
27,275

 
(4,859
)
 
1,153,961

 
1,153,961

Commercial
108,928

 
1,032

 
(916
)
 
109,044

 
109,044

Total mortgage-backed securities
1,240,473

 
28,307

 
(5,775
)
 
1,263,005

 
1,263,005

Asset-backed
2,265,206

 
15,729

 
(12,074
)
 
2,268,861

 
2,268,861

Corporate:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Industrial
2,168,312

 
111,260

 
(3,692
)
 
2,275,880

 
2,275,880

Financial
1,288,472

 
52,419

 
(5,384
)
 
1,335,507

 
1,335,507

Utilities
199,941

 
11,593

 
(785
)
 
210,749

 
210,749

Other
90,229

 
1,816

 
(13
)
 
92,032

 
92,032

Total corporate
3,746,954

 
177,088

 
(9,874
)
 
3,914,168

 
3,914,168

Foreign
909,765

 
58,477

 
(2,490
)
 
965,752

 
965,752

Total available for sale
13,019,875

 
542,348

 
(33,729
)
 
13,528,494

 
13,528,494

Total investments in fixed maturity securities
$
13,108,052

 
$
561,968

 
$
(33,729
)
 
$
13,636,291

 
$
13,616,671


10


(In thousands)
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross Unrealized
 
Fair
Value
 
Carrying
Value
Gains
 
Losses
December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Held to maturity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
State and municipal
$
77,129

 
$
16,246

 
$

 
$
93,375

 
$
77,129

Residential mortgage-backed
19,138

 
2,207

 

 
21,345

 
19,138

Total held to maturity
96,267

 
18,453

 

 
114,720

 
96,267

Available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agency
645,092

 
27,660

 
(2,333
)
 
670,419

 
670,419

State and municipal:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Special revenue
2,510,816

 
102,909

 
(3,737
)
 
2,609,988

 
2,609,988

State general obligation
583,456

 
28,068

 
(2,070
)
 
609,454

 
609,454

Pre-refunded
439,772

 
32,056

 
(31
)
 
471,797

 
471,797

Corporate backed
388,904

 
14,039

 
(402
)
 
402,541

 
402,541

Local general obligation
342,158

 
24,270

 
(29
)
 
366,399

 
366,399

Total state and municipal
4,265,106

 
201,342

 
(6,269
)
 
4,460,179

 
4,460,179

Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential (1)
1,126,382

 
18,935

 
(11,180
)
 
1,134,137

 
1,134,137

Commercial
64,975

 
875

 
(128
)
 
65,722

 
65,722

Total mortgage-backed securities
1,191,357

 
19,810

 
(11,308
)
 
1,199,859

 
1,199,859

Asset-backed
1,706,694

 
12,892

 
(14,414
)
 
1,705,172

 
1,705,172

Corporate:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Industrial
1,976,393

 
75,168

 
(30,027
)
 
2,021,534

 
2,021,534

Financial
1,153,096

 
31,744

 
(11,819
)
 
1,173,021

 
1,173,021

Utilities
192,857

 
8,321

 
(2,527
)
 
198,651

 
198,651

Other
81,607

 
245

 
(20
)
 
81,832

 
81,832

Total corporate
3,403,953

 
115,478

 
(44,393
)
 
3,475,038

 
3,475,038

Foreign
799,839

 
50,310

 
(12,689
)
 
837,460

 
837,460

Total available for sale
12,012,041

 
427,492

 
(91,406
)
 
12,348,127

 
12,348,127

Total investments in fixed maturity securities
$
12,108,308


$
445,945

 
$
(91,406
)
 
$
12,462,847

 
$
12,444,394

____________
(1)
Gross unrealized losses for residential mortgage-backed securities include $857,252 and $1,269,491 as of September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively, related to the non-credit portion of other-than-temporary impairments (“OTTI”) recognized in accumulated other comprehensive income.

The amortized cost and fair value of fixed maturity securities at September 30, 2016, by contractual maturity, are shown below. Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because certain issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations. 
(In thousands)
Amortized
Cost
 
Fair Value
Due in one year or less
$
1,032,042

 
$
1,054,113

Due after one year through five years
5,068,197

 
5,246,081

Due after five years through ten years
3,287,833

 
3,500,463

Due after ten years
2,462,938

 
2,553,828

Mortgage-backed securities
1,257,042

 
1,281,806

Total
$
13,108,052

 
$
13,636,291

At September 30, 2016 and 2015, there were no investments that exceeded 10% of common stockholders' equity, other than investments in United States government and government agency securities.








11


(8) Investments in Equity Securities Available for Sale
At September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, investments in equity securities were as follows:
 
(In thousands)
Cost
 
Gross Unrealized
 
Fair
Value
 
Carrying
Value
Gains
 
Losses
 
September 30, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stocks
$
37,897

 
$
215

 
$
(2,441
)
 
$
35,671

 
$
35,671

Preferred stocks
125,759

 
6,573

 
(9,028
)
 
123,304

 
123,304

Total
$
163,656

 
$
6,788

 
$
(11,469
)
 
$
158,975

 
$
158,975

December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stocks
$
56,462

 
$

 
$
(19,189
)
 
$
37,273

 
$
37,273

Preferred stocks
108,730

 
8,216

 
(3,353
)
 
113,593

 
113,593

Total
$
165,192

 
$
8,216

 
$
(22,542
)
 
$
150,866

 
$
150,866



(9) Arbitrage Trading Account
At September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, the fair and carrying values of the arbitrage trading account were $603 million and $377 million, respectively. The primary focus of the trading account is merger arbitrage. Merger arbitrage is the business of investing in the securities of publicly held companies which are the targets in announced tender offers and mergers. Arbitrage investing differs from other types of investing in its focus on transactions and events believed likely to bring about a change in value over a relatively short time period (usually four months or less).
The Company uses put options, call options and swap contracts in order to mitigate the impact of potential changes in market conditions on the merger arbitrage trading account. These options and contracts are reported at fair value. As of September 30, 2016, the fair value of long option contracts outstanding was $1.2 million (notional amount of $53.9 million) and the fair value of short option contracts outstanding was $0.7 million (notional amount of $103.6 million). Other than with respect to the use of these trading account securities, the Company does not make use of derivatives.


(10) Net Investment Income
Net investment income consists of the following: 
 
For the Three Months
 
For the Nine Months
 
Ended September 30,
 
Ended September 30,
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Investment income earned on:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities, including cash and cash equivalents and loans receivable
$
114,271

 
$
104,936

 
$
331,448

 
$
318,095

Investment funds
25,293

 
22,926

 
60,385

 
50,838

Arbitrage trading account
6,441

 
2,608

 
12,883

 
11,470

Equity securities available for sale
1,069

 
1,109

 
3,217

 
3,513

Real estate
585

 
4,389

 
4,552

 
9,270

Gross investment income
147,659

 
135,968

 
412,485

 
393,186

Investment expense
(1,991
)
 
(2,754
)
 
(7,635
)
 
(8,150
)
Net investment income
$
145,668

 
$
133,214

 
$
404,850

 
$
385,036



(11) Investment Funds
The Company evaluates whether it is an investor in a variable interest entity (VIE).  Such entities do not have sufficient equity at risk to finance their activities without additional subordinated financial support, or the equity investors, as a group, do not have the characteristics of a controlling financial interest (primary beneficiary).  The Company determines whether it is the primary beneficiary of an entity subject to consolidation based on a qualitative assessment of the VIE's capital structure,

12


contractual terms, nature of the VIE's operations and purpose, and the Company's relative exposure to the related risks of the VIE on the date it becomes initially involved in the VIE and on an ongoing basis.  The Company is not the primary beneficiary in any of its investment funds, and accordingly, carries its interests in investments funds under the equity method of accounting.

The Company’s maximum exposure to loss with respect to these investments is limited to the carrying amount reported on the Company’s consolidated balance sheet and any unfunded commitment.
Investment funds consist of the following:
 
Carrying Value as of
 
Income (Loss) from Investment Funds
 
September 30,
 
December 31,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Real estate
$
646,102

 
$
580,830

 
$
33,028

 
$
51,467

Energy
80,900

 
93,719

 
7,174

 
(25,124
)
Hedge equity
71,371

 
70,580

 
791

 
(3,925
)
Other funds
433,327

 
424,911

 
19,392

 
28,420

Total
$
1,231,700

 
$
1,170,040

 
$
60,385


$
50,838


The Company's share of the earnings or losses of investment funds is generally reported on a one-quarter lag in order to facilitate the timely completion of the Company's consolidated financial statements.

Other funds include private equity investments carried on the equity method of accounting, which includes a publicly traded common stock investment in HealthEquity, Inc. (HQY). Our ownership interest in HQY as of September 30, 2016 is approximately 21% with a fair value of $453 million and a carrying value of $53.1 million. In October 2016, the Company sold approximately 2.2 million shares in HQY and recognized a realized investment gain of approximately $65 million. Following the completion of the sale, the Company will report its investment in HQY at fair value.


12) Real Estate

Investment in real estate represents directly owned property held for investment, as follows:    
 
Carrying Value
 
September 30,
 
December 31,
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
Properties in operation
$
441,795

 
$
226,055

Properties under development
666,687

 
710,312

Total
$
1,108,482

 
$
936,367


In 2016, properties in operation included a long-term ground lease in Washington, D.C., a hotel in Memphis, Tennessee, an office complex in New York City and office buildings in West Palm Beach and Palm Beach, Florida. Properties in operation are net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of $13,345,000 and $9,073,000 as of September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively. Related depreciation expense was $4,117,000 and $5,991,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015, respectively. Future minimum rental income expected on operating leases relating to properties in operation is $2,982,866 in 2016, $16,900,586 in 2017, $22,572,465 in 2018, $20,707,015 in 2019, $19,471,136 in 2020, $19,649,571 in 2021 and $411,667,096 thereafter.

Properties under development include an office building in London and a mixed-use project in Washington, D.C.



13


(13) Loans Receivable
Loans receivable are as follows:
(In thousands)
September 30, 2016
 
December 31, 2015
Amortized cost (net of valuation allowance):
 
 
 
  Real estate loans
$
96,312

 
$
200,499

  Commercial loans
17,684

 
72,604

  Total
$
113,996

 
$
273,103

 
 
 
 
Fair value:
 
 
 
  Real estate loans
$
97,296

 
$
201,641

  Commercial loans
19,187

 
74,106

  Total
$
116,483

 
$
275,747

 
 
 
 
Valuation allowance:
 
 
 
  Specific
$
1,025

 
$

  General
2,197

 
2,094

  Total
$
3,222

 
$
2,094

 
 
 
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2016
 
2015
  Increase in valuation allowance
$
467

 
$
19

 
 
 
 
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2016
 
2015
  Increase (decrease) in valuation allowance
$
1,128

 
$
(81
)
Loans receivable in non-accrual status were $9.1 million and $3.1 million as of September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively.
The Company monitors the performance of its loans receivable and assesses the ability of the borrower to pay principal and interest based upon loan structure, underlying property values, cash flow and related financial and operating performance of the property and market conditions. Loans receivable with a potential for default are further assessed using discounted cash flow analysis and comparable cost and sales methodologies, if appropriate.
The real estate loans are secured by commercial real estate primarily located in North Carolina, Ohio and New York. These loans generally earn interest at floating LIBOR-based interest rates and have maturities (inclusive of extension options) through August 2025. The commercial loans are with small business owners who have secured the related financing with the assets of the business. Commercial loans generally earn interest on a fixed basis and have varying maturities not exceeding 10 years.
In evaluating the real estate loans, the Company considers their credit quality indicators, including loan to value ratios, which compare the outstanding loan amount to the estimated value of the property, the borrower’s financial condition and performance with respect to loan terms, the position in the capital structure, the overall leverage in the capital structure and other market conditions. Based on these considerations, none of the real estate loans were considered to be impaired at September 30, 2016, and accordingly, the Company determined that a specific valuation allowance was not required.


14


(14) Realized and Unrealized Investment Gains (Losses)

 Realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) are as follows:
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Realized investment gains (losses):
 
 
 
 
 

 
 

Fixed maturity securities:
 
 
 
 
 

 
 

Gains
$
33,798

 
$
1,341

 
$
66,972

 
$
8,178

Losses
(1,150
)
 
(2,171
)
 
(5,570
)
 
(2,810
)
Equity securities available for sale
8,441

 
(21
)
 
13,037

 
9,639

Investment funds
(3,788
)
 
70,648

 
(9,041
)
 
92,821

Real estate
687

 

 
5,247

 

Other (1)
137,750

 
(3,378
)
 
136,863

 
5,192

Net realized gains on investments sales
175,738

 
66,419

 
207,508

 
113,020

Other-than-temporary impairments (2)

 
(12,515
)
 
(18,114
)
 
(12,515
)
   Net investment gains
175,738

 
53,904

 
189,394

 
100,505

Income tax expense
(61,508
)
 
(18,866
)
 
(66,288
)
 
(35,177
)
    After-tax net realized investment gains
$
114,230

 
$
35,038

 
$
123,106

 
$
65,328

Change in unrealized investment gains (losses) of available for sale securities:
 
 
 
 
 

 
 

Fixed maturity securities
$
(45,388
)
 
$
2,449

 
$
169,933

 
$
(102,863
)
Previously impaired fixed maturity securities
(1,406
)
 
50

 
413

 
73

Equity securities available for sale
(28,517
)
 
(2,353
)
 
12,433

 
(15,977
)
Investment funds
3,143

 
(7,876
)
 
16,028

 
(16,417
)
Total change in unrealized investment gains (losses)
(72,168
)
 
(7,730
)
 
198,807

 
(135,184
)
Income tax benefit (expense)
24,493

 
12,229

 
(64,594
)
 
56,354

Noncontrolling interests
57

 
94

 
66

 
106

After-tax change in unrealized investment gains (losses) of available for sale securities
$
(47,618
)
 
$
4,593

 
$
134,279

 
$
(78,724
)
______________________
(1) Other includes a gain of $134.9 million from the sale of Aero Precision Industries, and certain related aviation services business, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2016.
(2) Other than temporary impairments (OTTI) for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 of $18.1 million were related to equity securities available for sale. OTTI for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 of $12.5 million were related to equity securities available for sale and fixed maturity securities of $3.5 million and $9.0 million, respectively.

           

 




15


(15) Securities in an Unrealized Loss Position
The following tables summarize all securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015 by the length of time those securities have been continuously in an unrealized loss position: 
  
Less Than 12 Months
 
12 Months or Greater
 
Total
(In thousands)
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
September 30, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agency
$
54,550

 
$
279

 
$
39,092

 
$
652

 
$
93,642

 
$
931

State and municipal
217,215

 
1,095

 
138,082

 
1,490

 
355,297

 
2,585

Mortgage-backed securities
251,969

 
1,851

 
105,927

 
3,924

 
357,896

 
5,775

Asset-backed securities
918,983

 
5,718

 
214,436

 
6,356

 
1,133,419

 
12,074

Corporate
337,940

 
2,152

 
98,162

 
7,722

 
436,102

 
9,874

Foreign
52,233

 
640

 
30,842

 
1,850

 
83,075

 
2,490

Fixed maturity securities
1,832,890

 
11,735

 
626,541

 
21,994

 
2,459,431

 
33,729

Common stocks
18,112

 
779

 
8,116

 
1,662

 
26,228

 
2,441

Preferred stocks
46,135

 
8,199

 
24,845

 
829

 
70,980

 
9,028

Equity securities available for sale
64,247

 
8,978

 
32,961

 
2,491

 
97,208

 
11,469

Total
$
1,897,137

 
$
20,713

 
$
659,502

 
$
24,485

 
$
2,556,639

 
$
45,198

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agency
$
101,660

 
$
487

 
$
64,500

 
$
1,846

 
$
166,160

 
$
2,333

State and municipal
501,952

 
4,404

 
106,681

 
1,865

 
608,633

 
6,269

Mortgage-backed securities
381,986

 
3,639

 
184,807

 
7,669

 
566,793

 
11,308

Asset-backed securities
1,091,078

 
7,703

 
190,467

 
6,711

 
1,281,545

 
14,414

Corporate
1,232,940

 
35,406

 
76,797

 
8,987

 
1,309,737

 
44,393

Foreign
169,190

 
8,822

 
19,528

 
3,867

 
188,718

 
12,689

Fixed maturity securities
3,478,806

 
60,461

 
642,780

 
30,945

 
4,121,586

 
91,406

Common stocks
18,641

 
18,005

 
7,829

 
1,184

 
26,470

 
19,189

Preferred stocks

 

 
22,320

 
3,353

 
22,320

 
3,353

Equity securities available for sale
18,641

 
18,005

 
30,149

 
4,537

 
48,790

 
22,542

Total
$
3,497,447

 
$
78,466

 
$
672,929

 
$
35,482

 
$
4,170,376

 
$
113,948


Fixed Maturity Securities – A summary of the Company’s non-investment grade fixed maturity securities that were in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2016 is presented in the table below:  
($ in thousands)
Number of
Securities
 
Aggregate
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
Corporate
10

 
$
27,531

 
$
3,045

Mortgage-backed securities
11

 
23,921

 
1,229

Foreign government
4

 
23,001

 
1,101

Asset-backed securities
5

 
8,418

 
405

State and municipal
1

 
7,007

 
25

Total
31

 
$
89,878

 
$
5,805





16



For OTTI of fixed maturity securities that management does not intend to sell or, to be required to sell, the portion of the decline in value that is considered to be due to credit factors is recognized in earnings, and the portion of the decline in value that is considered to be due to non-credit factors is recognized in other comprehensive income.
 
The Company has evaluated its fixed maturity securities in an unrealized loss position and believes the unrealized losses are due primarily to temporary market and sector-related factors rather than to issuer-specific factors. None of these securities are delinquent or in default under financial covenants. Based on its assessment of these issuers, the Company expects them to continue to meet their contractual payment obligations as they become due and does not consider any of these securities to be OTTI.
Preferred Stocks – At September 30, 2016, there were three preferred stocks in an unrealized loss position, with an aggregate fair value of $71 million and a gross unrealized loss of $9 million. Based upon management’s view of the underlying value of these securities, the Company does not consider these equity securities to be OTTI.
Common Stocks – At September 30, 2016, there were three common stocks in an unrealized loss position, with an aggregate fair value of $26 million and a gross unrealized loss of $2 million. Based on management's view of the underlying securities, the Company does not consider these equity securities to be OTTI.
Loans Receivable – The Company monitors the performance of its loans receivable, including current market conditions for each loan and the ability to collect principal and interest. For loans where the Company determines it is probable that the contractual terms will not be met, an analysis is performed and a valuation reserve is established, if necessary, with a charge to earnings. Loans receivable are reported net of a valuation reserve of $3 million and $2 million at September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively.

(16) Fair Value Measurements

The Company’s fixed maturity and equity securities classified as available for sale and its trading account securities are carried at fair value. Fair value is defined as “the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date.” The Company utilizes a fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value into three broad levels, as follows:
Level 1 - Quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets or liabilities that the Company has the ability to access at the measurement date.  
Level 2 - Quoted prices for similar assets or valuations based on inputs that are observable.
Level 3 - Estimates of fair value based on internal pricing methodologies using unobservable inputs. Unobservable inputs are only used to measure fair value to the extent that observable inputs are not available.
Substantially, all of the Company’s fixed maturity securities were priced by independent pricing services. The prices provided by the independent pricing services are estimated based on observable market data in active markets utilizing pricing models and processes, which may include benchmark yields, reported trades, broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two-sided markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers, sector groupings, matrix pricing and reference data. The pricing services may prioritize inputs differently on any given day for any security based on market conditions, and not all inputs are available for each security evaluation on any given day. The pricing services used by the Company have indicated that they will only produce an estimate of fair value if objectively verifiable information is available. The determination of whether markets are active or inactive is based upon the volume and level of activity for a particular asset class. The Company reviews the prices provided by pricing services for reasonableness and periodically performs independent price tests of a sample of securities to ensure proper valuation.
If prices from independent pricing services are not available for fixed maturity securities, the Company estimates the fair value. For Level 2 securities, the Company utilizes pricing models and processes which may include benchmark yields, sector groupings, matrix pricing, reported trades, broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two-sided markets, bids, offers and reference data. Where broker quotes are used, the Company generally requests two or more quotes and sets a price within the range of quotes received based on its assessment of the credibility of the quote and its own evaluation of the security. The Company generally does not adjust quotes received from brokers. For securities traded only in private negotiations, the Company determines fair value based primarily on the cost of such securities, which is adjusted to reflect prices of recent placements of securities of the same issuer, financial projections, credit quality and business developments of the issuer and other relevant information.
For Level 3 securities, the Company generally uses a discounted cash flow model to estimate the fair value of fixed maturity securities. The cash flow models are based upon assumptions as to prevailing credit spreads, interest rate and interest rate volatility,

17


time to maturity and subordination levels. Projected cash flows are discounted at rates that are adjusted to reflect illiquidity, where appropriate.

The following tables present the assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015 by level:
(In thousands)
Total
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
September 30, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agency
$
554,993

 
$

 
$
554,993

 
$

State and municipal
4,561,715

 

 
4,561,715

 

Mortgage-backed securities
1,263,005

 

 
1,263,005

 

Asset-backed securities
2,268,861

 

 
2,268,676

 
185

Corporate
3,914,168

 

 
3,914,168

 

Foreign government
965,752

 

 
965,752

 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale
13,528,494

 

 
13,528,309

 
185

Equity securities available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stocks
35,671

 
27,555

 

 
8,116

Preferred stocks
123,304

 

 
119,630

 
3,674

Total equity securities available for sale
158,975

 
27,555

 
119,630

 
11,790

Arbitrage trading account
602,965

 
320,280

 
282,685

 

Total
$
14,290,434

 
$
347,835

 
$
13,930,624

 
$
11,975

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trading account securities sold but not yet purchased
$
60,959

 
$
60,947

 
$
12

 
$

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agency
$
670,419

 
$

 
$
670,419

 
$

State and municipal
4,460,179

 

 
4,460,179

 

Mortgage-backed securities
1,199,859

 

 
1,199,859

 

Asset-backed securities
1,705,172

 

 
1,704,973

 
199

Corporate
3,475,038

 

 
3,474,884

 
154

Foreign government
837,460

 

 
837,460

 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale
12,348,127

 

 
12,347,774

 
353

Equity securities available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stocks
37,273

 
29,444

 

 
7,829

Preferred stocks
113,593

 

 
109,969

 
3,624

Total equity securities available for sale
150,866

 
29,444

 
109,969

 
11,453

Arbitrage trading account
376,697

 
256,914

 
119,607

 
176

Total
$
12,875,690

 
$
286,358

 
$
12,577,350

 
$
11,982

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trading account securities sold but not yet purchased
$
37,035

 
$
35,559

 
$
1,476

 
$

There were no significant transfers between Levels 1 and 2 during the nine months ended September 30, 2016 or during the year ended December 31, 2015.




18


The following tables summarize changes in Level 3 assets and liabilities for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and for the year ended December 31, 2015:
 
  
Gains (Losses) Included in:
(In thousands)
Beginning
Balance
 
Earnings (Losses)
 
Other
Comprehensive
Income (Loss)
 
Impairments
 
Purchases
 
(Sales)
 
Paydowns / Maturities
 
Transfers
 
Ending
Balance
In / (Out)
Nine months ended September 30, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturities securities available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asset-backed securities
$
199

 
$
3

 
$
13

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
(30
)
 
$

 
$
185

Corporate
154

 
177

 

 

 

 
(331
)
 

 

 

Total
353

 
180

 
13

 

 

 
(331
)
 
(30
)
 

 
185

Equity securities available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stocks
7,829

 

 
(478
)
 

 
765

 

 

 

 
8,116

Preferred stocks
3,624

 
50

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
3,674

Total
11,453

 
50

 
(478
)
 

 
765

 

 

 

 
11,790

Arbitrage trading account
176

 
(176
)
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total
$
11,982

 
$
54

 
$
(465
)
 
$

 
$
765

 
$
(331
)
 
$
(30
)
 
$

 
$
11,975

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year ended December 31, 2015:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturities securities available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asset-backed securities
$
20,611

 
$
19

 
$
191

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
(1,820
)
 
$
(18,802
)
 
$
199

Corporate
154

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
154

Total
20,765

 
19

 
191

 

 

 

 
(1,820
)
 
(18,802
)
 
353

Equity securities available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stocks
10,741

 

 
(273
)
 
(2,331
)
 

 
(308
)
 

 

 
7,829

Preferred stocks
3,713

 
(89
)
 

 

 

 

 

 

 
3,624

Total
14,454

 
(89
)
 
(273
)
 
(2,331
)
 

 
(308
)
 

 

 
11,453

Arbitrage trading account
720

 
(799
)
 

 

 
72,640

 
(71,921
)
 

 
(464
)
 
176

Total
$
35,939

 
$
(869
)
 
$
(82
)
 
$
(2,331
)
 
$
72,640

 
$
(72,229
)
 
$
(1,820
)
 
$
(19,266
)
 
$
11,982

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
During the nine months ended September 30, 2016, there were no transfers out of Level 3. During the year ended December 31, 2015, five securities were transferred out of Level 3 as an observable price became available.


19


(17) Fair Value of Financial Instruments
The following table presents the carrying amounts and estimated fair values of the Company’s financial instruments:
  
September 30, 2016
 
December 31, 2015
(In thousands)
Carrying Value
 
Fair Value
 
Carrying Value
 
Fair Value
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities
$
13,616,671

 
$
13,636,291

 
$
12,444,394

 
$
12,462,847

Equity securities available for sale
158,975

 
158,975

 
150,866

 
150,866

Arbitrage trading account
602,965

 
602,965

 
376,697

 
376,697

Loans receivable
113,996

 
116,483

 
273,103

 
275,747

Cash and cash equivalents
873,064

 
873,064

 
763,631

 
763,631

Trading account receivables from brokers and clearing organizations
185,548

 
185,548

 
383,115

 
383,115

       Due from broker

 

 
1,713

 
1,713

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Due to broker
101,405

 
101,405

 

 

Trading account securities sold but not yet purchased
60,959

 
60,959

 
37,035

 
37,035

Subordinated debentures
727,390

 
779,056

 
340,320

 
355,880

Senior notes and other debt
1,762,487

 
1,997,430

 
1,844,621

 
2,029,572

The estimated fair values of the Company’s fixed maturity securities, equity securities available for sale and arbitrage trading account securities are based on various valuation techniques that rely on fair value measurements as described in Note 16 above. The fair value of loans receivable are estimated by using current institutional purchaser yield requirements for loans with similar credit characteristics, which is considered a Level 2 input. The fair value of the senior notes and other debt and the subordinated debentures is based on spreads for similar securities, which is considered a Level 2 input.

(18) Reinsurance
The following is a summary of reinsurance financial information:
  
For the Three Months
 
For the Nine Months
 
Ended September 30,
 
Ended September 30,
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Written premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Direct
$
1,643,870

 
$
1,601,344

 
$
5,061,646

 
$
4,852,584

Assumed
224,979

 
221,237

 
702,265

 
633,200

Ceded
(261,484
)
 
(251,544
)
 
(850,255
)
 
(795,420
)
Total net premiums written
$
1,607,365

 
$
1,571,037

 
$
4,913,656

 
$
4,690,364

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Earned premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Direct
$
1,647,033

 
$
1,575,624

 
$
4,824,768

 
$
4,646,343

Assumed
216,758

 
217,668

 
635,443

 
632,362

Ceded
(277,847
)
 
(261,734
)
 
(787,139
)
 
(782,093
)
Total net premiums earned
$
1,585,944

 
$
1,531,558

 
$
4,673,072

 
$
4,496,612

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ceded losses and loss expenses incurred
$
213,065

 
$
123,765

 
$
507,258

 
$
374,084

Ceded commissions earned
$
47,315

 
$
45,946

 
$
143,809

 
$
129,766

The Company reinsures a portion of its insurance exposures in order to reduce its net liability on individual risks and catastrophe losses. The Company also cedes premiums to state assigned risk plans and captive insurance companies. Estimated amounts due from reinsurers are reported net of reserves for uncollectible reinsurance of $1 million as of September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015.


20


(19) Restricted Stock Units
Pursuant to its stock incentive plan, the Company may issue restricted stock units (RSUs) to employees of the Company and its subsidiaries. The RSUs generally vest three to five years from the award date and are subject to other vesting and forfeiture provisions contained in the award agreement. RSUs are expensed pro-ratably over the vesting period. RSU expenses were $25 million and $23 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015, respectively. A summary of RSUs issued in the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015 follows:
 
($ in thousands)
Units
 
Fair Value
Nine months ended September 30,
 
 
 
2016
990,487

 
$
57,959

2015
971,457

 
$
54,439


(20) Litigation and Contingent Liabilities
In the ordinary course of business, the Company is subject to disputes, litigation and arbitration arising from its insurance and reinsurance businesses. These matters are generally related to insurance and reinsurance claims and are considered in the establishment of loss and loss expense reserves. In addition, the Company may also become involved in legal actions which seek extra-contractual damages, punitive damages or penalties, including claims alleging bad faith in handling of insurance claims. The Company expects its ultimate liability with respect to such matters will not be material to its financial condition. However, adverse outcomes on such matters are possible, from time to time, and could be material to the Company’s results of operations in any particular financial reporting period.

(21) Business Segments
The Company’s reportable segments include the following two business segments:
Insurance - primarily commercial insurance business, including excess and surplus lines and admitted lines in the United States, United Kingdom, Continental Europe, South America, Canada, Scandinavia, Asia and Australia; and
Reinsurance - reinsurance business on a facultative and treaty basis, primarily in the United States, United Kingdom, Continental Europe, Australia, the Asia-Pacific Region, and South Africa.
Commencing with the first quarter of 2016, the Company changed the aggregation of its business segments. Insurance-Domestic operating units and Insurance-International operating units, previously reported separately, have been aggregated into the Insurance segment. The segment disclosures for prior periods have been revised to be consistent with the new reportable business segment presentation.
The accounting policies of the segments are the same as those described in the summary of significant accounting policies. Income tax expense and benefits are calculated based upon the Company's overall effective tax rate.












21


Summary financial information about the Company's reporting segments is presented in the following tables. Income (loss) before income taxes by segment includes allocated investment income. Identifiable assets by segment are those assets used in or allocated to the operation of each segment.
  
Revenues
 
 
 
 
(In thousands)
Earned
Premiums
 
Investment
Income 
 
Other
 
Total
 
Pre-Tax
Income
(Loss)
 
Net Income
(Loss) to Common Stockholders
Three months ended September 30, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Insurance
$
1,431,664

 
$
117,388

 
$
22,819

 
$
1,571,871

 
$
215,649

 
$
144,310

Reinsurance
154,280

 
21,478

 

 
175,758

 
22,171

 
15,167

Corporate, other and eliminations (1)

 
6,802

 
89,560

 
96,362

 
(81,941
)
 
(53,055
)
Net investment gains

 

 
175,736

 
175,736

 
175,736

 
114,228

 Total
$
1,585,944

 
$
145,668

 
$
288,115

 
$
2,019,727

 
$
331,615

 
$
220,650

Three months ended September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Insurance
$
1,379,501

 
$
106,989

 
$
23,021

 
$
1,509,511

 
$
204,109

 
$
139,446

Reinsurance
152,057

 
19,468

 

 
171,525

 
22,413

 
15,807

Corporate, other and eliminations (1)

 
6,757

 
119,260

 
126,017

 
(51,506
)
 
(37,684
)
Net investment gains

 

 
53,904

 
53,904

 
53,904

 
35,038

Total
$
1,531,558

 
$
133,214

 
$
196,185

 
$
1,860,957

 
$
228,920

 
$
152,607

Nine months ended September 30, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Insurance
$
4,206,887

 
322,779

 
$
77,215

 
$
4,606,881

 
$
604,825

 
$
407,346

Reinsurance
466,185

 
59,244

 

 
525,429

 
61,041

 
42,285

Corporate, other and eliminations (1)

 
22,827

 
338,009

 
360,836

 
(190,655
)
 
(123,610
)
Net investment gains

 

 
189,394

 
189,394

 
189,394

 
123,106

 Total
$
4,673,072

 
$
404,850

 
$
604,618

 
$
5,682,540

 
$
664,605

 
$
449,127

Nine months ended September 30, 2015:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Insurance
$
4,042,159

 
$
309,337

 
$
72,981

 
$
4,424,477

 
$
575,748

 
$
395,581

Reinsurance
454,453

 
54,575

 

 
509,028

 
69,797

 
49,134

Corporate, other and eliminations (1)

 
21,124

 
340,267

 
361,391

 
(170,226
)
 
(116,094
)
Net investment gains

 

 
100,505

 
100,505

 
100,505

 
65,328

Total
$
4,496,612

 
$
385,036

 
$
513,753

 
$
5,395,401

 
$
575,824

 
$
393,949

________
(1) Corporate, other and eliminations represent corporate revenues and expenses that are not allocated to business segments.

Identifiable Assets
(In thousands)
September 30, 2016
 
December 31, 2015
Insurance
$
18,972,237

 
$
18,063,730

Reinsurance
2,585,307

 
2,441,340

Corporate, other and eliminations
1,788,112

 
1,219,086

  Consolidated
$
23,345,656

 
$
21,724,156


    






22


Net premiums earned by major line of business are as follows:
 
 
For the Three Months
 
For the Nine Months
 
Ended September 30,
 
Ended September 30,
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
  Insurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other liability
$
465,068

 
$
418,133

 
$
1,331,143

 
$
1,216,411

Workers’ compensation
355,604

 
347,745

 
1,047,412

 
1,010,279

Short-tail lines (1)
317,498

 
327,357

 
977,138

 
973,606

Commercial automobile
164,540

 
170,660

 
481,249

 
506,229

Professional liability
128,954

 
115,606

 
369,945

 
335,634

Total Insurance
1,431,664

 
1,379,501

 
4,206,887

 
4,042,159

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Casualty
93,757

 
103,198

 
290,373

 
314,462

Property
60,523

 
48,859

 
175,812

 
139,991

Total Reinsurance
154,280

 
152,057

 
466,185

 
454,453

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
$
1,585,944

 
$
1,531,558

 
$
4,673,072

 
$
4,496,612

______________
(1) Short-tail lines include commercial multi-peril (non-liability), inland marine, accident and health, fidelity and surety, boiler and machinery and other lines.

23


SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT
    
This is a “Safe Harbor” Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any forward-looking statements contained herein, including statements related to our outlook for the industry and for our performance for the year 2016 and beyond, are based upon the Company’s historical performance and on current plans, estimates and expectations. The inclusion of this forward-looking information should not be regarded as a representation by us or any other person that the future plans, estimates or expectations contemplated by us will be achieved. They are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to: the cyclical nature of the property casualty industry; the impact of significant competition, including new alternative entrants to the industry; the long-tail and potentially volatile nature of the insurance and reinsurance business; product demand and pricing; claims development and the process of estimating reserves; investment risks, including those of our portfolio of fixed maturity securities and investments in equity securities, including investments in financial institutions, municipal bonds, mortgage-backed securities, loans receivable, investment funds, including real estate, merger arbitrage, energy related and private equity investments; the effects of emerging claim and coverage issues; the uncertain nature of damage theories and loss amounts; natural and man-made catastrophic losses, including as a result of terrorist activities; general economic and market activities, including inflation, interest rates, and volatility in the credit and capital markets; the impact of the conditions in the financial markets and the global economy, and the potential effect of legislative, regulatory, accounting or other initiatives taken in response, on our results and financial condition; foreign currency and political risks (including those associated with the United Kingdom's expected withdrawal from the European Union, or "Brexit") relating to our international operations; our ability to attract and retain key personnel and qualified employees; continued availability of capital and financing; the success of our new ventures or acquisitions and the availability of other opportunities; the availability of reinsurance; our retention under the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2015; the ability of our reinsurers to pay reinsurance recoverables owed to us; other legislative and regulatory developments, including those related to business practices in the insurance industry; credit risk related to our policyholders, independent agents and brokers; changes in the ratings assigned to us or our insurance company subsidiaries by rating agencies; the availability of dividends from our insurance company subsidiaries; potential difficulties with technology and/or data security; the effectiveness of our controls to ensure compliance with guidelines, policies and legal and regulatory standards; and other risks detailed from time to time in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These risks and uncertainties could cause our actual results for the year 2016 and beyond to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement we make. Any projections of growth in our revenues would not necessarily result in commensurate levels of earnings. Our future financial performance is dependent upon factors discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, elsewhere in this Form 10-Q and our other SEC filings. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. Except to the extent required by applicable laws, the Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.

24


Item 2.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Overview
W. R. Berkley Corporation is an insurance holding company that is among the largest commercial lines writers in the United States and operates in two business segments: Insurance and Reinsurance. Our decentralized structure provides us with the flexibility to respond quickly and efficiently to local or specific market conditions and to pursue specialty business niches. It also allows us to be closer to our customers in order to better understand their individual needs and risk characteristics. While providing our business units with certain operating autonomy, our structure allows us to capitalize on the benefits of economies of scale through centralized capital, investment, reinsurance, enterprise risk management, and actuarial, financial and corporate legal staff support. The Company’s primary sources of revenues and earnings are its insurance operations and its investments.
An important part of our strategy is to form new operating units to capitalize on various business opportunities. Over the years, the Company has formed numerous operating units that are focused on important parts of the economy in the U.S., including high net worth personal lines, healthcare, energy and agriculture, and on growing international markets, including Scandinavia, Australia, the Asia-Pacific region, South America and South Africa.
The profitability of the Company’s insurance business is affected primarily by the adequacy of premium rates. The ultimate adequacy of premium rates is not known with certainty at the time an insurance policy is issued because premiums are determined before claims are reported. The ultimate adequacy of premium rates is affected mainly by the severity and frequency of claims, which are influenced by many factors, including natural and other disasters, regulatory measures and court decisions that define and change the extent of coverage and the effects of economic inflation on the amount of compensation for injuries or losses. General insurance prices are also influenced by available insurance capacity, i.e., the level of statutory capital and surplus employed in the industry, and the industry’s willingness to deploy that capital.
Although insurance prices have generally increased for most lines of business since 2011, the rate of increase has declined in more recent years. Loss costs have also increased over that period of time. With the low level of interest rates available, current price levels for certain lines of business remain below the prices required for the Company to achieve its long-term return objectives. Part of the Company's strategy is to selectively reduce its business in areas where it believes returns are not adequate. Price changes are reflected in the Company’s results over time as premiums are earned.
The Company’s profitability is also affected by its investment income and investment gains. The Company’s invested assets are invested principally in fixed maturity securities. The return on fixed maturity securities is affected primarily by general interest rates, as well as the credit quality and duration of the securities. Returns available on fixed maturity investments are at historically low levels. The Company's investment income has been negatively impacted by the low fixed maturity investment returns, and will be further impacted if investment returns remain at this level.
The Company invests in equity securities, merger arbitrage securities, investment funds (including energy related funds), private equity, loans and real estate related assets. The Company's investments in investment funds and its other alternative investments have experienced, and the Company expects to continue to experience, greater fluctuations in investment income.
Given the persistently low rate environment, investing for total return including realized gains is an important part of our investment strategy. These gains cause variability in the Company's quarterly results, but have enhanced overall return. In July 2016, the Company sold a wholly-owned investment, Aero Precision Industries, and certain related aviation services businesses and recognized a realized investment gain of $134.9 million. In October 2016, the Company sold approximately 2.2 million shares in HealthEquity, Inc. (HQY) and recognized a realized investment gain of approximately $65 million. Following the completion of the sale, the Company will report its investment in HQY at fair value.
Commencing with the first quarter of 2016, the Company changed the aggregation of its business segments. Operating units in the Insurance-Domestic segment and Insurance-International segment, were combined into the Insurance segment. The segment disclosures for prior periods have been revised to be consistent with the new reportable business segment presentation.
    



    

25



Critical Accounting Estimates
The following presents a discussion of accounting policies and estimates relating to reserves for losses and loss expenses, assumed premiums and other-than-temporary impairments of investments. Management believes these policies and estimates are the most critical to its operations and require the most difficult, subjective and complex judgments.
Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses. To recognize liabilities for unpaid losses, either known or unknown, insurers establish reserves, which is a balance sheet account representing estimates of future amounts needed to pay claims and related expenses with respect to insured events which have occurred. Estimates and assumptions relating to reserves for losses and loss expenses are based on complex and subjective judgments, often including the interplay of specific uncertainties with related accounting and actuarial measurements. Such estimates are also susceptible to change as significant periods of time may elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the report of the loss to the insurer, the ultimate determination of the cost of the loss and the insurer’s payment of that loss.
In general, when a claim is reported, claims personnel establish a “case reserve” for the estimated amount of the ultimate payment based upon known information about the claim at that time. The estimate represents an informed judgment based on general reserving practices and reflects the experience and knowledge of the claims personnel regarding the nature and value of the specific type of claim. Reserves are also established on an aggregate basis to provide for losses incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) to the insurer, potential inadequacy of case reserves and the estimated expenses of settling claims, including legal and other fees and general expenses of administrating the claims adjustment process. Reserves are established based upon the then current legal interpretation of coverage provided.
In examining reserve adequacy, several factors are considered in estimating the ultimate economic value of losses. These factors include, among other things, historical data, legal developments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions, including the effects of inflation. The actuarial process relies on the basic assumption that past experience, adjusted judgmentally for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, is an appropriate basis for predicting future outcomes. Reserve amounts are based on management’s informed estimates and judgments using currently available data. As additional experience and other data become available and are reviewed, these estimates and judgments may be revised. This may result in reserve increases or decreases that would be reflected in our results in periods in which such estimates and assumptions are changed.
Reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability. Rather, reserves represent an estimate of what management expects the ultimate settlement and claim administration will cost. While the methods for establishing reserves are well tested over time, some of the major assumptions about anticipated loss emergence patterns are subject to uncertainty. These estimates, which generally involve actuarial projections, are based on management’s assessment of facts and circumstances then known, as well as estimates of trends in claims severity and frequency, judicial theories of liability and other factors, including the actions of third parties which are beyond the Company’s control. These variables are affected by external and internal events, such as inflation and economic volatility, judicial and litigation trends, reinsurance coverage, legislative changes and claim handling and reserving practices, which make it more difficult to accurately predict claim costs. The inherent uncertainties of estimating reserves are greater for certain types of liabilities where long periods of time elapse before a definitive determination of liability is made. Because setting reserves is inherently uncertain, the Company cannot provide assurance that its current reserves will prove adequate in light of subsequent events.
Loss reserves included in the Company’s financial statements represent management’s best estimates based upon an actuarially derived point estimate and other considerations. The Company uses a variety of actuarial techniques and methods to derive an actuarial point estimate for each operating unit. These methods include paid loss development, incurred loss development, paid and incurred Bornhuetter-Ferguson methods and frequency and severity methods. In circumstances where one actuarial method is considered more credible than the others, that method is used to set the point estimate. For example, the paid loss and incurred loss development methods rely on historical paid and incurred loss data. For new lines of business, where there is insufficient history of paid and incurred claims data, or in circumstances where there have been significant changes in claim practices, the paid and incurred loss development methods would be less credible than other actuarial methods. The actuarial point estimate may also be based on a judgmental weighting of estimates produced from each of the methods considered. Industry loss experience is used to supplement the Company’s own data in selecting “tail factors” and in areas where the Company’s own data is limited. The actuarial data is analyzed by line of business, coverage and accident or policy year, as appropriate, for each operating unit.
The establishment of the actuarially derived loss reserve point estimate also includes consideration of qualitative factors that may affect the ultimate losses. These qualitative considerations include, among others, the impact of re-underwriting initiatives, changes in the mix of business, changes in distribution sources and changes in policy terms and conditions. Examples of changes in terms and conditions that can have a significant impact on reserve levels are the use of aggregate policy limits, the expansion of coverage exclusions, whether or not defense costs are within policy limits, and changes in deductibles and attachment points.

26


The key assumptions used to arrive at the best estimate of loss reserves are the expected loss ratios, rate of loss cost inflation, and reported and paid loss emergence patterns. Expected loss ratios represent management’s expectation of losses at the time the business is written, before any actual claims experience has emerged. This expectation is a significant determinant of the estimate of loss reserves for recently written business where there is little paid or incurred loss data to consider. Expected loss ratios are generally derived from historical loss ratios adjusted for the impact of rate changes, loss cost trends and known changes in the type of risks underwritten. Expected loss ratios are estimated for each key line of business within each operating unit. Expected loss cost inflation is particularly important for the long-tail lines, such as excess casualty, and claims with a high medical component, such as workers’ compensation. Reported and paid loss emergence patterns are used to project current reported or paid loss amounts to their ultimate settlement value. Loss development factors are based on the historical emergence patterns of paid and incurred losses, and are derived from the Company’s own experience and industry data. The paid loss emergence pattern is also significant to excess and assumed workers’ compensation reserves because those reserves are discounted to their estimated present value based upon such estimated payout patterns. Management believes the estimates and assumptions it makes in the reserving process provide the best estimate of the ultimate cost of settling claims and related expenses with respect to insured events which have occurred; however, different assumptions and variables could lead to significantly different reserve estimates.
Loss frequency and severity are measures of loss activity that are considered in determining the key assumptions described in our discussion of loss and loss expense reserves, including expected loss ratios, rate of loss cost inflation and reported and paid loss emergence patterns. Loss frequency is a measure of the number of claims per unit of insured exposure, and loss severity is a measure of the average size of claims. Factors affecting loss frequency include the effectiveness of loss controls and safety programs and changes in economic activity or weather patterns. Factors affecting loss severity include changes in policy limits, retentions, rate of inflation and judicial interpretations.
Another factor affecting estimates of loss frequency and severity is the loss reporting lag, which is the period of time between the occurrence of a loss and the date the loss is reported to the Company. The length of the loss reporting lag affects our ability to accurately predict loss frequency (loss frequencies are more predictable for lines with short reporting lags) as well as the amount of reserves needed for incurred but not reported losses (less IBNR is required for lines with short reporting lags). As a result, loss reserves for lines with short reporting lags are likely to have less variation from initial loss estimates. For lines with short reporting lags, which include commercial automobile, primary workers’ compensation, other liability (claims-made) and property business, the key assumption is the loss emergence pattern used to project ultimate loss estimates from known losses paid or reported to date. For lines of business with long reporting lags, which include other liability (occurrence), products liability, excess workers’ compensation and liability reinsurance, the key assumption is the expected loss ratio since there is often little paid or incurred loss data to consider. Historically, the Company has experienced less variation from its initial loss estimates for lines of businesses with short reporting lags than for lines of business with long reporting lags.
The key assumptions used in calculating the most recent estimate of the loss reserves are reviewed each quarter and adjusted, to the extent necessary, to reflect the latest reported loss data, current trends and other factors observed. If the actual level of loss frequency and severity are higher or lower than expected, the ultimate losses will be different than management’s estimate. The following table reflects the impact of changes (which could be favorable or unfavorable) in frequency and severity, relative to our assumptions, on our loss estimate for claims occurring in 2015:
(In thousands)
Frequency (+/-)
Severity (+/-)
1%
 
5%
 
10%
1%
$
73,437

 
$
221,040

 
$
405,545

5%
221,040

 
374,490

 
566,302

10%
405,545

 
566,302

 
767,248

Our net reserves for losses and loss expenses of approximately $9.5 billion as of September 30, 2016 relate to multiple accident years. Therefore, the impact of changes in frequency or severity for more than one accident year could be higher or lower than the amounts reflected above. The impact of such changes would likely be manifested gradually over the course of many years, as the magnitude of the changes became evident.
Approximately $1.4 billion, or 15%, of the Company’s net loss reserves as of September 30, 2016 relate to the Reinsurance segment. There is a higher degree of uncertainty and greater variability regarding estimates of assumed loss reserves because those estimates are based, in part, upon information received from ceding companies. If information received from ceding companies is not timely or correct, the Company’s estimate of ultimate losses may not be accurate. Furthermore, due to delayed reporting of claim information by ceding companies, the claim settlement tail for assumed reinsurance is extended. Management considers the impact of delayed reporting in its selection of assumed loss development factors.

27


Information received from ceding companies is used to set initial expected loss ratios, to establish case reserves and to estimate reserves for incurred but not reported losses on assumed reinsurance business. This information, which is generally provided through reinsurance intermediaries, is gathered through the underwriting process and from periodic claim reports and other correspondence with ceding companies. The Company performs underwriting and claim audits of selected ceding companies to determine the accuracy and completeness of information provided to the Company. The information received from the ceding companies is supplemented by the Company’s own loss development experience with similar lines of business as well as industry loss trends and loss development benchmarks.
Following is a summary of the Company’s reserves for losses and loss expenses by business segment:
(In thousands)
September 30, 2016
 
December 31, 2015
Insurance
$
8,143,250

 
$
7,876,193

Reinsurance
1,403,626

 
1,368,679

Net reserves for losses and loss expenses
9,546,876

 
9,244,872

Ceded reserves for losses and loss expenses
1,550,954

 
1,424,278

Gross reserves for losses and loss expenses
$
11,097,830

 
$
10,669,150

Following is a summary of the Company’s net reserves for losses and loss expenses by major line of business:
 
(In thousands)
Reported Case
Reserves
 
Incurred But
Not Reported
 
Total
September 30, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
Other liability
$
1,187,601

 
$
2,054,841

 
$
3,242,442

Workers’ compensation (1)
1,593,772

 
1,330,303

 
2,924,075

Professional liability
256,005

 
474,940

 
730,945

Short-tail lines (2)
339,852

 
291,692

 
631,544

Commercial automobile
359,455

 
254,789

 
614,244

Total Insurance
3,736,685

 
4,406,565

 
8,143,250

Reinsurance (1)
686,218

 
717,408

 
1,403,626

Total
$
4,422,903

 
$
5,123,973

 
$
9,546,876

 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
Other liability
$
1,079,641

 
$
1,947,637

 
$
3,027,278

Workers’ compensation (1)
1,655,726

 
1,263,508

 
2,919,234

Professional liability
256,783

 
478,796

 
735,579

Short-tail lines (2)
317,375

 
282,448

 
599,823

Commercial automobile
352,208

 
242,071

 
594,279

Total Insurance
3,661,733

 
4,214,460

 
7,876,193

Reinsurance (1)
631,666

 
737,013

 
1,368,679

Total
$
4,293,399

 
$
4,951,473

 
$
9,244,872

___________
(1) Reserves for workers’ compensation and reinsurance are net of an aggregate net discount of $652 million and $699 million as of September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively.
(2) Short-tail lines include commercial multi-peril (non-liability), inland marine, accident and health, fidelity and surety, boiler and machinery and other lines.

The Company evaluates reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses on a quarterly basis. Changes in estimates of prior year losses are reported when such changes are made. The changes in prior year loss reserve estimates are generally the result of ongoing analysis of recent loss development trends. Original estimates are increased or decreased as additional information becomes known regarding individual claims and aggregate claim trends.

Certain of the Company's insurance and reinsurance contracts are retrospectively rated, whereby the Company collects more or less premiums based on the level of loss activity. For those contracts, changes in loss and loss adjustment expenses for prior years may be fully or partially offset by additional or return premiums.

28



Net prior year development (i.e. the sum of prior year reserve changes and prior year earned premiums changes) for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015 are as follows:
 
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
Net decrease in prior year loss reserves
$
23,518

 
$
39,095

Increase in prior year earned premiums
18,039

 
9,733

Net favorable prior year development
$
41,557

 
$
48,828

     
In 2016, favorable prior year development (net of additional and return premiums) of $42 million included $38 million for the Insurance segment and $4 million for the Reinsurance segment. The favorable development for the Insurance segment was primarily attributable to workers' compensation business, partially offset by adverse development for commercial auto liability and medical and other professional liability. The favorable development for workers' compensation stems from accident years 2003 through 2015, but is concentrated in accident years 2014 and 2015; it reflects claims frequency trends (i.e., number of reported claims per unit of exposure) that continue to be better than we expected. The unfavorable development for commercial auto liability was driven by higher large loss activity than expected in accident years 2014 and 2015, and the unfavorable development for medical professional liability was primarily in accident years prior to 2013 and stemmed from a class of medical professional liability business that we discontinued writing in 2013.
In 2015, favorable prior year development (net of additional and return premiums) was $49 million, and included $41 million for the Insurance segment and $8 million for the Reinsurance segment. The favorable development for the Insurance segment was primarily attributable to excess and surplus lines casualty business from accident years 2009 through 2014, partially offset by adverse development in commercial auto liability from accident years 2011 through 2014. The favorable development for excess and surplus lines reflects the continuation of favorable claim frequency trends (i.e., number of reported claims per unit of exposure), while the unfavorable development for commercial auto liability is driven by higher large loss activity.
Reserve Discount. The Company discounts its liabilities for certain workers’ compensation reserves. The amount of workers’ compensation reserves that were discounted was $1,930 million and $2,308 million at September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively. The aggregate net discount for those reserves, after reflecting the effects of ceded reinsurance, was $652 million and $699 million at September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively. At September 30, 2016, discount rates by year ranged from 1.8% to 6.5%, with a weighted average discount rate of 3.9%.

         Substantially all of the workers’ compensation discount (97% at September 30, 2016) relates to excess workers’ compensation reserves. In order to properly match loss expenses with income earned on investment securities supporting the liabilities, reserves for excess workers’ compensation business are discounted using risk-free discount rates determined by reference to the U.S. Treasury yield curve. These rates are determined annually based on the weighted average rate for the period. Once established, no adjustments are made to the discount rate for that period, and any increases or decreases in loss reserves in subsequent years are discounted at the same rate, without regard to when any such adjustments are recognized. The expected loss and loss expense payout patterns subject to discounting are derived from the Company’s loss payout experience.  

    The Company also discounts reserves for certain other long-duration workers’ compensation reserves (representing approximately 3% of total discounted reserves at September 30, 2016), including reserves for quota share reinsurance and reserves related to losses regarding occupational lung disease. These reserves are discounted at statutory rates permitted by the Department of Insurance of the State of Delaware.

    Assumed Reinsurance Premiums. The Company estimates the amount of assumed reinsurance premiums that it will receive under treaty reinsurance agreements at the inception of the contracts. These premium estimates are revised as the actual amount of assumed premiums is reported to the Company by the ceding companies. As estimates of assumed premiums are made or revised, the related amount of earned premiums, commissions and incurred losses associated with those premiums are recorded. Estimated assumed premiums receivable were approximately $68 million at September 30, 2016 and $62 million at December 31, 2015. The assumed premium estimates are based upon terms set forth in reinsurance agreements, information received from ceding companies during the underwriting and negotiation of agreements, reports received from ceding companies and discussions and correspondence with reinsurance intermediaries. The Company also considers its own view of market conditions, economic trends and experience with similar lines of business. These premium estimates represent management’s best estimate of the ultimate amount of premiums to be received under its assumed reinsurance agreements.
Other-Than-Temporary Impairments (OTTI) of Investments. The cost of securities is adjusted where appropriate to include a provision for decline in value which is considered to be other-than-temporary. An other-than-temporary decline is

29


considered to occur in investments where there has been a sustained reduction in fair value and where the Company does not expect the fair value to recover prior to the time of sale or maturity. Since equity securities do not have a contractual cash flow or maturity, the Company considers whether the price of an equity security is expected to recover within a reasonable period of time.
The Company classifies its fixed maturity securities and preferred stocks by credit rating, primarily based on ratings assigned by credit rating agencies. For purposes of classifying securities with different ratings, the Company uses the lower rating if two ratings were assigned and the middle rating if three ratings were assigned, unless the Company’s own analysis indicates that the lower rating is more appropriate. Securities that are not rated by a rating agency are evaluated and classified by the Company on a case-by-case basis.
Fixed Maturity Securities – For securities that we intend to sell or, more likely than not, would be required to sell, a decline in value below amortized cost is considered to be OTTI. The amount of OTTI is equal to the difference between amortized cost and fair value at the balance sheet date. For securities that we do not intend to sell or expect to be required to sell, a decline in value below amortized cost is considered to be an OTTI if we do not expect to recover the entire amortized cost basis of a security (i.e., the present value of cash flows expected to be collected is less than the amortized cost basis of the security).
The portion of the decline in value considered to be a credit loss (i.e., the difference between the present value of cash flows expected to be collected and the amortized cost basis of the security) is recognized in earnings. The portion of the decline in value not considered to be a credit loss (i.e., the difference in the present value of cash flows expected to be collected and the fair value of the security) is recognized in other comprehensive income.
Impairment assessments for structured securities, including mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities, collateralized debt obligations and corporate debt, are generally evaluated based on the performance of the underlying collateral under various economic and default scenarios that may involve subjective judgments and estimates by management. Modeling these securities involves various factors, such as projected default rates, the nature and realizable value of the collateral, if any, the ability of the issuer to make scheduled payments, historical performance and other relevant economic and performance factors. If an OTTI determination is made, a discounted cash flow analysis is used to ascertain the amount of the credit impairment.

The following table provides a summary of fixed maturity securities in an unrealized loss position as of September 30, 2016:
($ in thousands)
Number of
Securities
 
Aggregate
Fair Value
 
Gross Unrealized
Loss
Unrealized loss less than 20% of amortized cost
351

 
$
2,442,037

 
$
28,610

Unrealized loss of 20% or greater of amortized cost:
 
 
 
 
 
Less than twelve months
1

 
185

 
143

Twelve months and longer
4

 
17,209

 
4,976

Total
356

 
$
2,459,431

 
$
33,729

A summary of the Company’s non-investment grade fixed maturity securities that were in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2016 is presented in the table below:
($ in thousands)
Number of
Securities
 
Aggregate
Fair Value
 
Gross Unrealized
Loss
Corporate
10

 
$
27,531

 
$
3,045

Mortgage-backed securities
11

 
23,921

 
1,229

Foreign government
4

 
23,001

 
1,101

Asset-backed securities
5

 
8,418

 
405

State and municipal
1

 
7,007

 
25

Total
31

 
$
89,878

 
$
5,805

    
The Company has evaluated its fixed maturity securities in an unrealized loss position and believes the unrealized loss is due primarily to temporary market and sector-related factors rather than to issuer-specific factors. None of these securities are delinquent or in default under financial covenants. Based on its assessment of these issuers, the Company expects them to continue to meet their contractual payment obligations as they become due and does not consider any of these securities to be

30


OTTI. There were no OTTI of fixed maturity securities for the three or nine months ended September 30, 2016. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, OTTI for fixed maturity securities recognized in earnings was $9 million, all of which was considered due to credit factors.
Preferred Stocks – At September 30, 2016, there were three preferred stocks in an unrealized loss position, with an aggregate fair value of $71 million and a gross unrealized loss of $9 million. Based on management's view of the underlying value of these securities, the Company does not consider these equity securities to be OTTI. There were no OTTI of preferred stock for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015.
Common Stocks – At September 30, 2016, there were three common stocks in an unrealized loss position, with an aggregate fair value of $26 million and a gross unrealized loss of $2 million. Based upon management’s view of the underlying value of these securities, the Company does not consider these equity securities to be OTTI. For the nine months ended September 30, 2016, the Company reported OTTI for common stocks of $18.1 million. There was no OTTI of common stocks for the three months ended September 30, 2016. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, OTTI for common stocks was $3.5 million.
Loans Receivable – The Company monitors the performance of its loans receivable, including current market conditions for each loan and the ability to collect principal and interest. For loans where the Company determines it is probable that the contractual terms will not be met, an analysis is performed and a valuation reserve is established, if necessary, with a charge to earnings. Loans receivable are reported net of a valuation reserve of $3 million and $2 million at September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively.
The Company monitors the performance of its loans receivable and assesses the ability of each borrower to pay principal and interest based upon loan structure, underlying property values, cash flow and related financial and operating performance of the property and market conditions. Loans receivable with a potential for default are further assessed using discounted cash flow analysis and comparable cost and sales methodologies, if appropriate.
Fair Value Measurements. The Company’s fixed maturity and equity securities available for sale and its trading account securities are carried at fair value. Fair value is defined as “the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date.” The Company utilizes a fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value into three broad levels. Level 1 inputs are quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets or liabilities that the reporting entity has the ability to access at the measurement date. Level 2 inputs are inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for similar assets in active markets. Level 3 inputs are unobservable inputs for the asset or liability. Unobservable inputs may only be used to measure fair value to the extent that observable inputs are not available. The fair value of the vast majority of the Company’s portfolio is based on observable data (other than quoted prices) and, accordingly, is classified as Level 2.

In classifying particular financial securities in the fair value hierarchy, the Company uses its judgment to determine whether the market for a security is active and whether significant pricing inputs are observable. The Company determines the existence of an active market by assessing whether transactions occur with sufficient frequency and volume to provide reliable pricing information. The Company determines whether inputs are observable based on the use of such information by pricing services and external investment managers, the uninterrupted availability of such inputs, the need to make significant adjustments to such inputs and the volatility of such inputs over time. If the market for a security is determined to be inactive or if significant inputs used to price a security are determined to be unobservable, the security is categorized in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy.
Because many fixed maturity securities do not trade on a daily basis, the Company utilizes pricing models and processes which may include benchmark curves, benchmarking of like securities, sector groupings and matrix pricing. Market inputs used to evaluate securities include benchmark yields, reported trades, broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two-sided markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers and reference data. Quoted prices are often unavailable for recently issued securities that are infrequently traded or securities that are only traded in private transactions. For publicly traded securities for which quoted prices are unavailable, the Company determines fair value based on independent broker quotations and other observable market data. For securities traded only in private negotiations, the Company determines fair value based primarily on the cost of such securities, which is adjusted to reflect prices of recent placements of securities of the same issuer, financial data, projections and business developments of the issuer and other relevant information.

31


The following is a summary of pricing sources for the Company's fixed maturity securities available for sale as of September 30, 2016:
($ in thousands)
Carrying
Value
 
Percent
of Total
Pricing source:
 
 
 
Independent pricing services
$
13,277,130

 
98.1
%
Syndicate manager
54,247

 
0.4

Directly by the Company based on:
 
 
 
Observable data
196,932

 
1.5

Cash flow model
185

 

Total
$
13,528,494

 
100.0
%

Independent pricing services – Substantially all of the Company’s fixed maturity securities available for sale were priced by independent pricing services (generally one U.S. pricing service plus additional pricing services with respect to a limited number of foreign securities held by the Company). The prices provided by the independent pricing services are generally based on observable market data in active markets (e.g., broker quotes and prices observed for comparable securities). The determination of whether markets are active or inactive is based upon the volume and level of activity for a particular asset class. The Company reviews the prices provided by pricing services for reasonableness based upon current trading levels for similar securities. If the prices appear unusual to the Company, they are re-examined and the value is either confirmed or revised. In addition, the Company periodically performs independent price tests of a sample of securities to ensure proper valuation and to verify our understanding of how securities are priced. As of September 30, 2016, the Company did not make any adjustments to the prices provided by the pricing services. Based upon the Company’s review of the methodologies used by the independent pricing services, these securities were classified as Level 2.
Syndicate manager – The Company has a 15% participation in a Lloyd’s syndicate, and the Company’s share of the securities owned by the syndicate is priced by the syndicate’s manager. The majority of the securities are liquid, short duration fixed maturity securities. The Company reviews the syndicate manager’s pricing methodology and audited financial statements and holds discussions with the syndicate manager as necessary to confirm its understanding and agreement with security prices. Based upon the Company’s review of the methodologies used by the syndicate manager, these securities were classified as Level 2.
Observable data – If independent pricing is not available, the Company prices the securities directly. Prices are based on observable market data where available, including current trading levels for similar securities and non-binding quotations from brokers. The Company generally requests two or more quotes. If more than one quote is received, the Company sets a price within the range of quotes received based on its assessment of the credibility of the quote and its own evaluation of the security. The Company generally does not adjust quotes obtained from brokers. Since these securities were priced based on observable data, they were classified as Level 2.
Cash flow model – If the above methodologies are not available, the Company prices securities using a discounted cash flow model based upon assumptions as to prevailing credit spreads, interest rates and interest rate volatility, time to maturity and subordination levels. Discount rates are adjusted to reflect illiquidity where appropriate. These securities were classified as Level 3.



32


Results of Operations for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2016 and 2015
 
Business Segment Results
Following is a summary of gross and net premiums written, net premiums earned, loss ratios (losses and loss expenses incurred expressed as a percentage of premiums earned), expense ratios (underwriting expenses expressed as a percentage of premiums earned) and United States Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”) combined ratios (sum of loss ratio and expense ratio) for each of our business segments for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015. The GAAP combined ratio represents a measure of underwriting profitability, excluding investment income. A GAAP combined ratio in excess of 100 indicates an underwriting loss; a number below 100 indicates an underwriting profit.
($ in thousands)
2016
 
2015
Insurance:
 
 
 
Gross premiums written
$
5,212,415

 
$
5,002,603

Net premiums written
4,410,254

 
4,238,544

Net premiums earned
4,206,887

 
4,042,159

Loss ratio
61.1
%
 
61.0
%
Expense ratio
32.4
%
 
32.6
%
GAAP combined ratio
93.5
%
 
93.6
%
Reinsurance:
 
 
 
Gross premiums written
$
551,496

 
$
483,181

Net premiums written
503,402

 
451,820

Net premiums earned
466,185

 
454,453

Loss ratio
60.7
%
 
58.9
%
Expense ratio
39.0
%
 
37.8
%
GAAP combined ratio
99.7
%
 
96.7
%
Consolidated:
 
 
 
Gross premiums written
$
5,763,911

 
$
5,485,784

Net premiums written
4,913,656

 
4,690,364

Net premiums earned
4,673,072

 
4,496,612

Loss ratio
61.0
%
 
60.8
%
Expense ratio
33.1
%
 
33.2
%
GAAP combined ratio
94.1
%
 
94.0
%
Net Income to Common Stockholders. The following table presents the Company’s net income to common stockholders and net income per diluted share for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015:
(In thousands, except per share data)
2016
 
2015
Net income to common stockholders
$
449,127

 
$
393,949

Weighted average diluted shares
128,501

 
130,563

Net income per diluted share
$
3.50

 
$
3.02

The Company reported net income of $449 million in 2016 compared to $394 million in 2015. The 14% increase in net income was primarily due to an increase in after-tax net investment gains of $58 million (inclusive of OTTI), an increase in after-tax net investment income of $13 million and an increase in after-tax net foreign currency gains of $5 million, partially offset by an after-tax decrease in insurance service income of $6 million and an after-tax increase in other expenses of $11 million. The number of weighted average diluted shares decreased as a result of the Company’s repurchases of its common stock in 2016 and in 2015.
Premiums. Gross premiums written were $5,764 million in 2016, an increase of 5% from $5,486 million in 2015. The growth was largely due to an increase in new business in the Insurance segment of 11%. Approximately 77% of policies expiring in 2016 were renewed, compared with a 78% renewal retention rate for policies expiring in 2015.
Average renewal premium rates for insurance and facultative reinsurance increased 0.2% in 2016 when adjusted for change in exposures.



33


A summary of gross premiums written in 2016 compared with 2015 by line of business within each business segment follows:
Insurance - gross premiums increased 4% to $5,212 million in 2016 from $5,003 million in 2015. Gross premiums increased $182 million (13%) for other liability, $28 million (2%) for workers' compensation and $45 million (10%) for professional liability, and decreased $33 million (3%) for short-tail lines and $13 million (3%) for commercial auto.
Reinsurance - gross premiums increased 14% to $552 million in 2016 from $483 million in 2015. Gross premiums increased $68 million (42%) for property lines and $1 million (less than 1%) for casualty lines. The increase in property premiums was primarily due to growth in structured property reinsurance.
Net premiums written were $4,914 million in 2016, an increase of 5% from $4,690 million in 2015. Ceded reinsurance premiums as a percentage of gross written premiums were 14% in both 2016 and in 2015.
Premiums earned increased 4% to $4,673 million in 2016 from $4,497 million in 2015. Insurance premiums (including the impact of rate changes) are generally earned evenly over the policy term, and accordingly, recent rate increases will be earned over the upcoming quarters. Premiums earned in 2016 are related to business written during both 2016 and 2015. Audit premiums were $116 million in 2016 compared with $112 million in 2015.
Net Investment Income. Following is a summary of net investment income for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015: 
 
Amount
 
Average Annualized
Yield
($ In thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Fixed maturity securities, including cash and cash equivalents and loans receivable
$
331,448

 
$
318,095

 
3.3
%
 
3.3
%
Investment funds
60,385

 
50,838

 
6.6

 
5.6

Arbitrage trading account
12,883

 
11,470

 
4.4

 
2.7

Real estate
4,552

 
9,270

 
0.6

 
1.6

Equity securities available for sale
3,217

 
3,513

 
2.2

 
2.8

Gross investment income
412,485

 
393,186

 
3.3

 
3.3

Investment expenses
(7,635
)
 
(8,150
)
 
 
 
 
Total
$
404,850

 
$
385,036

 
3.3
%
 
3.2
%
Net investment income increased 5% to $405 million in 2016 from $385 million in 2015 due primarily to a $13 million increase in income from fixed maturity securities and a $10 million increase in investment funds, partially offset by a decrease in income from real estate of $5 million. The increase in investment income from investment funds (reported on a one-quarter lag) was primarily due to improvement in the performance for energy funds, partially offset by a decrease in real estate funds. Average invested assets, at cost (including cash and cash equivalents), were $17.0 billion in 2016 and $15.9 billion in 2015.
Insurance Service Fees. The Company earns fees from an insurance distribution business and as a servicing carrier of workers' compensation assigned risk plans for certain states. Service fees increased to $109 million in 2016 from $108 million in 2015.
Net Realized Gains on Investment Sales. The Company buys and sells securities on a regular basis in order to maximize its total return on investments. Decisions to sell securities are based on management’s view of the underlying fundamentals of specific securities as well as management’s expectations regarding interest rates, credit spreads, currency values and general economic conditions. Net realized gains on investment sales were $208 million in 2016 compared with $113 million in 2015. The increase primarily relates to the sale of Aero Precision Industries.
Other-Than-Temporary Impairments. Other-than-temporary impairments of $18.1 million in 2016 were related to common stocks. Other-than-temporary impairments of $12.5 million in 2015 were related to fixed maturity securities ($9.0 million) and common stock ($3.5 million).
Revenues from Non-Insurance Businesses. Revenues from non-insurance businesses were derived from a business engaged in the distribution of promotional merchandise and aviation-related businesses that provide services to aviation markets, including (i) the distribution, manufacturing, repair and overhaul of aircraft parts and components, (ii) the sale of new

34


and used aircraft, and (iii) avionics, fuel, maintenance, storage and charter services. Revenues from non-insurance businesses were $306 million in 2016 and $305 million in 2015.
Losses and Loss Expenses. Losses and loss expenses increased to $2,852 million in 2016 from $2,733 million in 2015. The consolidated loss ratio was 61.0% in 2016 and 60.8% in 2015. Catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance recoveries and reinstatement premiums, were $68 million in 2016 and $46 million in 2015. Favorable prior year reserve development (net of premium offsets) was $42 million in 2016 and $49 million in 2015. The loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development decreased 0.5 points to 60.4% in 2016 from 60.9% in 2015.
A summary of loss ratios in 2016 compared with 2015 by business segment follows:
Insurance - The loss ratio was 61.1% in 2016 and 61.0% in 2015. Catastrophe losses were $58 million in 2016 compared with $43 million in 2015. Favorable prior year reserve development was $38 million in 2016 and $41 million in 2015. The loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development decreased 0.3 points to 60.6% in 2016 from 60.9% in 2015.
Reinsurance - The loss ratio of 60.7% in 2016 was 1.8 points higher than the loss ratio of 58.9% in 2015. Catastrophe losses were $10 million in 2016 compared with $3 million in 2015. Favorable prior year reserve development was $4 million in 2016 compared with $8 million in 2015. The loss ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development decreased 0.6 points to 59.4% in 2016 from 60.0% in 2015.
Other Operating Costs and Expenses. Following is a summary of other operating costs and expenses:
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
Underwriting expenses
$
1,544,792

 
$
1,491,109

Service expenses
103,868

 
93,314

Net foreign currency gains
(11,547
)
 
(3,234
)
Other costs and expenses
133,337

 
116,980

Total
$
1,770,450

 
$
1,698,169

Underwriting expenses are comprised of commissions paid to agents and brokers, premium taxes and other assessments and internal underwriting costs. Underwriting expenses increased 4% compared with an increase in net premiums earned of 4%. The expense ratio (underwriting expenses expressed as a percentage of premiums earned) was 33.2% for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015.
Service expenses, which represent the costs associated with the fee-based businesses, increased to $104 million in 2016 from $93 million in 2015.
Net foreign currency gains result from transactions denominated in a currency other than a company's operating functional currency. Net foreign currency gains were $12 million in 2016 compared to $3 million in 2015.
Other costs and expenses represent general and administrative expenses of the parent company and other expenses not allocated to business segments, including the cost of certain long-term incentive plans and new business ventures. Other costs and expenses increased to $133 million in 2016 from $117 million in 2015.
Expenses from Non-Insurance Businesses. Expenses from non-insurance businesses represent costs associated with a business engaged in the distribution of promotional merchandise and aviation-related businesses that include (i) cost of goods sold related to aircraft and products sold and services provided, and (ii) general and administrative expenses. Expenses from non-insurance businesses were $291 million in 2016 compared to $289 million in 2015.
Interest Expense. Interest expense was $104 million in 2016 compared with $99 million in 2015. During 2016, the Company repaid $83 million of debt on various issuances, mainly in connection with the sale of Aero Precision Industries. The Company repaid $200 million of 5% senior notes at maturity on May 15, 2015. In February 2016, the Company issued $110 million of 5.9% subordinated debentures maturing in 2056, and in May 2016, the Company issued $290 million of 5.75% subordinated debentures maturing in 2056.
Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate was 32% in both 2016 and 2015. The effective income tax rate differs from the federal income tax rate of 35% primarily because of tax-exempt investment income.
The Company has not provided U.S. deferred income taxes on the undistributed earnings of approximately $69 million of its non-U.S. subsidiaries since these earnings are intended to be permanently reinvested in the non-U.S. subsidiaries. However,

35


in the future, if such earnings were distributed to the Company, taxes of approximately $8 million, assuming all tax credits are realized, would be payable on such undistributed earnings and would be reflected in the tax provision for the year in which these earnings are no longer intended to be permanently reinvested in the foreign subsidiary.

Results of Operations for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2016 and 2015
 
Business Segment Results
Following is a summary of gross and net premiums written, net premiums earned, loss ratios (losses and loss expenses incurred expressed as a percentage of premiums earned), expense ratios (underwriting expenses expressed as a percentage of premiums earned) and United States Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”) combined ratios (sum of loss ratio and expense ratio) for each of our business segments for the three months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015. The GAAP combined ratio represents a measure of underwriting profitability, excluding investment income. A GAAP combined ratio in excess of 100 indicates an underwriting loss; a number below 100 indicates an underwriting profit.
($ in thousands)
2016
 
2015
Insurance:
 
 
 
Gross premiums written
$
1,696,071

 
$
1,651,246

Net premiums written
1,449,767

 
1,412,327

Net premiums earned
1,431,664

 
1,379,501

Loss ratio
60.9
%
 
60.6
%
Expense ratio
32.4
%
 
32.6
%
GAAP combined ratio
93.3
%
 
93.2
%
Reinsurance:
 
 
 
Gross premiums written
$
172,778

 
$
171,335

Net premiums written
157,598

 
158,710

Net premiums earned
154,280

 
152,057

Loss ratio
61.1
%
 
59.1
%
Expense ratio
38.5
%
 
39.0
%
GAAP combined ratio
99.6
%
 
98.1
%
Consolidated:
 
 
 
Gross premiums written
$
1,868,849

 
$
1,822,581

Net premiums written
1,607,365

 
1,571,037

Net premiums earned
1,585,944

 
1,531,558

Loss ratio
60.9
%
 
60.5
%
Expense ratio
33.0
%
 
33.2
%
GAAP combined ratio
93.9
%
 
93.7
%
Net Income to Common Stockholders. The following table presents the Company’s net income to common stockholders and net income per diluted share for the three months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015:
(In thousands, except per share data)
2016
 
2015
Net income to common stockholders
$
220,650

 
$
152,607

Weighted average diluted shares
128,556

 
128,947

Net income per diluted share
$
1.72

 
$
1.18

The Company reported net income of $221 million in 2016 compared to $153 million in 2015. The 45% increase in net income was primarily due to an increase in after-tax net investment gains of $79 million and an increase in after-tax net investment income of $8 million, partially offset by a decrease in after-tax income from non-insurance businesses of $3 million, a decrease in after-tax service fee income of $4 million, an after-tax increase in interest expense of $4 million and an after-tax increase in other expenses of $8 million. The number of weighted average diluted shares decreased as a result of the Company’s repurchases of its common stock in 2016 and 2015.
Premiums. Gross premiums written were $1,869 million in 2016, an increase of 3% from $1,823 million in 2015. The growth was largely due to an increase in new business in the Insurance segment of 9%. Approximately 77% of policies expiring in 2016 were renewed, compared with a 78% renewal retention rate for policies expiring in 2015.
Average renewal premium rates for insurance and facultative reinsurance decreased 0.2% in 2016 when adjusted for change in exposures.

36


A summary of gross premiums written in 2016 compared with 2015 by line of business within each business segment follows:
Insurance - gross premiums increased 3% to $1,696 million in 2016 from $1,651 million in 2015. Gross premiums increased $61 million (12%) for other liability and $16 million (10%) for professional liability, and decreased $10 million (2%) for workers' compensation, $17 million (4%) for short tail lines, and $5 million (3%) for commercial auto.
Reinsurance - gross premiums increased 1% to $173 million in 2016 from $171 million in 2015. Gross premiums increased $14 million (24%) for property lines and decreased $12 million (11%) for casualty lines. The increase in property premiums was primarily due to growth in structured property reinsurance.
Net premiums written were $1,607 million in 2016, an increase of 2% from $1,571 million in 2015. Ceded reinsurance premiums as a percentage of gross written premiums were 14% in both 2016 and 2015.
Premiums earned increased 4% to $1,586 million in 2016 from $1,532 million in 2015. Insurance premiums (including the impact of rate changes) are generally earned evenly over the policy term. Premiums earned in 2016 are related to business written during both 2016 and 2015. Audit premiums were $35 million in 2016 compared with $39 million in 2015.
Net Investment Income. Following is a summary of net investment income for the three months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015: 
 
Amount
 
Average Annualized
Yield
($ In thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Fixed maturity securities, including cash and cash equivalents and loans receivable
$
114,271

 
$
104,936

 
3.3
%
 
3.2
%
Investment funds
25,293

 
22,926

 
8.1

 
7.9

Arbitrage trading account
6,441

 
2,608

 
5.6

 
2.1

Real estate
585

 
4,389

 
0.2

 
2.1

Equity securities available for sale
1,069

 
1,109

 
2.0

 
2.6

Gross investment income
147,659

 
135,968

 
3.5

 
3.4

Investment expenses
(1,991
)
 
(2,754
)
 
 
 
 
Total
$
145,668

 
$
133,214

 
3.4
%
 
3.3
%
Net investment income increased 9% to $146 million in 2016 from $133 million in 2015 due primarily to a $9 million increase from fixed maturity securities, a $4 million increase in income from the arbitrage trading account and a $2 million increase from investment funds, partially offset by a decrease in real estate of $4 million. Average invested assets, at cost (including cash and cash equivalents), were $17.0 billion in 2016 and $15.9 billion in 2015.
Insurance Service Fees. The Company earns fees from an insurance distribution business and as a servicing carrier of workers' compensation assigned risk plans for certain states. Service fees decreased to $32 million in 2016 from $35 million in 2015.
Net Realized Gains on Investment Sales. The Company buys and sells securities on a regular basis in order to maximize its total return on investments. Decisions to sell securities are based on management’s view of the underlying fundamentals of specific securities as well as management’s expectations regarding interest rates, credit spreads, currency values and general economic conditions. Net realized gains on investment sales were $176 million in 2016 compared with $66 million in 2015, with the increase mainly relating to the sale of Aero Precision Industries.
Other-Than-Temporary Impairments. There were no other-than-temporary impairments during the three months ended September 30, 2016. Other-than-temporary impairments of $12.5 million during the three months ended September 30, 2015 were related to fixed maturity securities ($9.0 million) and common stock ($3.5 million).
Revenues from Non-Insurance Businesses. Revenues from non-insurance businesses were derived from a business engaged in the distribution of promotional merchandise and aviation-related businesses that provide services to aviation markets, including (i) the distribution, manufacturing, repair and overhaul of aircraft parts and components, (ii) the sale of new and used aircraft, and (iii) avionics, fuel, maintenance, storage and charter services. Revenues from non-insurance businesses were $80 million in 2016 and $107 million in 2015. The decrease was primarily related to the sale of Aero Precision Industries during the quarter.

37


Losses and Loss Expenses. Losses and loss expenses increased to $966 million in 2016 from $926 million in 2015. The consolidated loss ratio was 60.9% in 2016 and 60.5% in 2015. Catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance recoveries and reinstatement premiums, were $12 million in 2016 and $7 million in 2015. Favorable prior year reserve development (net of premium offsets) was $13 million in 2016 and $15 million 2015. The loss ratio, excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development, decreased 0.1 points to 60.9% in 2016 from 61.0% in 2015.
A summary of loss ratios in 2016 compared with 2015 by business segment follows:
Insurance - The loss ratio of 60.9% in 2016 was 0.3 points higher than the loss ratio of 60.6% in 2015. Catastrophe losses were $9 million in 2016 compared with $7 million in 2015. Favorable prior year reserve development was $13 million in 2016 and $10 million in 2015. The loss ratio, excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development, increased 0.4 points to 61.2% in 2016 from 60.8% in 2015.
Reinsurance - The loss ratio of 61.1% in 2016 was 2.0 points higher than the loss ratio of 59.1% in 2015. Catastrophe losses were $3 million in 2016 compared with $1 million in 2015. Favorable prior year reserve development was $0 in 2016 compared with $5 million in 2015. The loss ratio, excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development, decreased 2.8 points to 59.0% in 2016 from 61.8% in 2015.
Other Operating Costs and Expenses. Following is a summary of other operating costs and expenses:
(In thousands)
2016
 
2015
Underwriting expenses
$
523,254

 
$
508,815

Service expenses
32,441

 
29,856

Net foreign currency gains
(2,193
)
 
(5,743
)
Other costs and expenses
52,846

 
40,613

Total
$
606,348

 
$
573,541


Underwriting expenses are comprised of commissions paid to agents and brokers, premium taxes and other assessments and internal underwriting costs. Underwriting expenses increased 3% compared with an increase in net premiums earned of 4%. The expense ratio (underwriting expenses expressed as a percentage of premiums earned) decreased to 33.0% from 33.2% in 2015.
Service expenses, which represent the costs associated with the fee-based businesses, increased to $32 million in 2016 from $30 million in 2015.
Net foreign currency gains result from transactions denominated in a currency other than a company's operating functional currency. Net foreign currency gains were $2 million in 2016 compared to $6 million in 2015.
Other costs and expenses represent general and administrative expenses of the parent company and other expenses not allocated to business segments, including the cost of certain long-term incentive plans and new business ventures. Other costs and expenses increased to $53 million in 2016 from $41 million in 2015.
Expenses from Non-Insurance Businesses. Expenses from non-insurance businesses represent costs associated with a business engaged in the distribution of promotional merchandise and aviation-related businesses that include (i) cost of goods sold related to aircraft and products sold and services provided, and (ii) general and administrative expenses. Expenses from non-insurance businesses were $79 million in 2016 compared to $101 million in 2015, with the decrease primarily related to the sale of Aero Precision Industries during the quarter.
Interest Expense. Interest expense was $37 million in 2016 compared with $32 million in 2015. During 2016, the Company repaid $83 million of debt on various issuances, mainly in connection with the sale of Aero Precision Industries. The Company repaid $200 million of 5.60% senior notes at maturity on May 15, 2015. In February 2016, the Company issued $110 million of 5.9% subordinated debentures maturing in 2056, and in May 2016, the Company issued $290 million of 5.75% subordinated debentures maturing in 2056.
Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate was 33% in both 2016 and 2015. The effective income tax rate differs from the federal income tax rate of 35% primarily because of tax-exempt investment income.
The Company has not provided U.S. deferred income taxes on the undistributed earnings of approximately $69 million of its non-U.S. subsidiaries since these earnings are intended to be permanently reinvested in the non-U.S. subsidiaries. However, in the future, if such earnings were distributed to the Company, taxes of approximately $8 million, assuming all tax credits are realized, would be payable on such undistributed earnings and would be reflected in the tax provision for the year in which these earnings are no longer intended to be permanently reinvested in the foreign subsidiary.

38


Investments
As part of its investment strategy, the Company establishes a level of cash and highly liquid short-term and intermediate-term securities that, combined with expected cash flow, it believes is adequate to meet its payment obligations. Due to the historically low fixed maturity investment returns, the Company invests in equity securities, merger arbitrage securities, investment funds, private equity, loans and real estate related assets. The Company's investments in investment funds and its other alternative investments have experienced, and the Company expects to continue to experience, greater fluctuations in investment income.
The Company also attempts to maintain an appropriate relationship between the average duration of the investment portfolio and the approximate duration of its liabilities (i.e., policy claims and debt obligations). The average duration of the fixed maturity portfolio, including cash and cash equivalents, was 3.0 years at September 30, 2016, down 0.3 from 3.3 years at December 31, 2015. The Company’s fixed maturity investment portfolio and investment-related assets as of September 30, 2016 were as follows:
($ in thousands)
Carrying
Value
 
Percent
of Total
Fixed maturity securities:
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agencies
$
554,993

 
3.1
%
State and municipal:
 
 
 
Special revenue
2,853,455

 
16.1

State general obligation
595,227

 
3.4

Pre-refunded (1)
399,021

 
2.3

Local general obligation
396,076

 
2.2

Corporate backed
389,544

 
2.2

Total state and municipal
4,633,323

 
26.2

Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
Agency
905,958

 
5.1

Residential-Prime
225,754

 
1.3

Commercial
109,044

 
0.6

Residential-Alt A
38,818

 
0.2

Total mortgage-backed securities
1,279,574

 
7.2

Asset-backed securities
2,268,861

 
12.8

Corporate:
 
 
 
Industrial
2,275,880

 
12.9

Financial
1,335,507

 
7.5

Utilities
210,749

 
1.2

Other
92,032

 
0.5

Total corporate
3,914,168

 
22.1

Foreign government and foreign government agencies
965,752

 
5.5

Total fixed maturity securities
13,616,671

 
76.9

Equity securities available for sale:
 
 
 
Preferred stocks
123,304

 
0.7

Common stocks
35,671

 
0.2

Total equity securities available for sale
158,975

 
0.9

Investment funds
1,231,700

 
7.0

Real estate
1,108,482

 
6.3

Cash and cash equivalents
873,064

 
4.9

Arbitrage trading account
602,965

 
3.4

Loans receivable
113,996

 
0.6

Total investments
$
17,705,853

 
100.0
%
________________________
(1) Pre-refunded securities are securities for which an escrow account has been established to fund the remaining payments of principal and interest through maturity. Such escrow accounts are funded almost exclusively with U.S. Treasury and U.S. government agency securities.
Fixed Maturity Securities. The Company’s investment policy with respect to fixed maturity securities is generally to purchase instruments with the expectation of holding them to their maturity. However, management of the available for sale

39


portfolio is considered necessary to maintain an approximate matching of assets and liabilities as well as to adjust the portfolio as a result of changes in financial market conditions and tax considerations.
The Company’s philosophy related to holding or selling fixed maturity securities is based on its objective of maximizing total return. The key factors that management considers in its investment decisions as to whether to hold or sell fixed maturity securities are its view of the underlying fundamentals of specific securities as well as its expectations regarding interest rates, credit spreads and currency values. In a period in which management expects interest rates to rise, the Company may sell longer duration securities in order to mitigate the impact of an interest rate rise on the fair value of the portfolio. Similarly, in a period in which management expects credit spreads to widen, the Company may sell lower quality securities, and in a period in which management expects certain foreign currencies to decline in value, the Company may sell securities denominated in those foreign currencies. The sale of fixed maturity securities in order to achieve the objective of maximizing total return may result in realized gains; however, there is no reason to expect these gains to continue in future periods.
At September 30, 2016, investments in foreign government fixed maturity securities (which are generally held by the Company's foreign operations) were as follows:
(In thousands)
Carrying Value
Argentina
$
257,991

Australia
244,658

Canada
167,794

United Kingdom
129,265

Germany
43,069

Brazil
39,459

Norway
34,369

Supranational (1)
33,061

Colombia
6,040

Uruguay
5,158

Singapore
4,888

 Total
$
965,752

________
(1) Supranational represents investments in the North American Development Bank, European Investment Bank and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
Equity Securities. Equity securities primarily represent investments in high-dividend yielding common and preferred stocks issued by large market capitalization companies.
Investment Funds. At September 30, 2016, the carrying value of investment funds was $1,232 million, including investments in real estate funds of $646 million, energy funds of $81 million, hedge equity funds of $71 million, and other funds of $434 million. Investment funds are generally reported on a one-quarter lag.
Real Estate. Real estate is directly owned property held for investment. At September 30, 2016, real estate properties in operation included a long-term ground lease in Washington D.C, a hotel in Memphis, Tennessee, an office complex in New York City and office buildings in West Palm Beach and Palm Beach, Florida. In addition, there are two properties under development: an office building in London and a mixed-use project in Washington D.C. The Company expects to fund further development costs for these projects with a combination of its own funds and external financing.
Arbitrage Trading Account. The arbitrage trading account is comprised of direct investments in arbitrage securities. Merger arbitrage is the business of investing in the securities of publicly held companies that are the targets in announced tender offers and mergers.
Loans Receivable. Loans receivable, which are carried at amortized cost, had an aggregate cost of $114 million and an aggregate fair value of $117 million at September 30, 2016. The amortized cost of loans receivable is net of a valuation allowance of $3 million as of September 30, 2016. Loans receivable include real estate loans of $96 million that are secured by commercial real estate located primarily in North Carolina, Ohio and New York. Real estate loans receivable generally earn interest at floating LIBOR-based interest rates and have maturities (inclusive of extension options) through August 2025. Loans receivable include commercial loans of $18 million that are secured by business assets and have fixed interest rates with varying maturities not exceeding 10 years.

40


Market Risk. The fair value of the Company’s investments is subject to risks of fluctuations in credit quality and interest rates. The Company uses various models and stress test scenarios to monitor and manage interest rate risk. The Company attempts to manage its interest rate risk by maintaining an appropriate relationship between the effective duration of the investment portfolio and the approximate duration of its liabilities (i.e., policy claims and debt obligations). The effective duration for the fixed maturity portfolio (including cash and cash equivalents) was 3.0 years at September 30, 2016, down 0.3 from 3.3 years at December 31, 2015.
In addition, the fair value of the Company’s international investments is subject to currency risk. The Company attempts to manage its currency risk by matching its foreign currency assets and liabilities where considered appropriate.


41


Liquidity and Capital Resources
        Cash Flow. Cash flow provided from operating activities increased to $727 million in the first nine months of 2016 from $620 million in the comparable period in 2015.
The Company's insurance subsidiaries' principal sources of cash are premiums, investment income, service fees and proceeds from sales and maturities of portfolio investments. The principal uses of cash are payments for claims, taxes, operating expenses and dividends. The Company expects its insurance subsidiaries to fund the payment of losses with cash received from premiums, investment income and fees. The Company targets an average duration for its investment portfolio that is within one year of the average duration of its liabilities so that portions of its investment portfolio mature throughout the claim cycle and are available for the payment of claims if necessary. In the event operating cash flow and proceeds from maturities and prepayments of fixed income securities are not sufficient to fund claim payments and other cash requirements, the remainder of the Company's cash and investments is available to pay claims and other obligations as they become due. The Company's investment portfolio is highly liquid, with approximately 82% invested in cash, cash equivalents and marketable fixed maturity securities as of September 30, 2016. If the sale of fixed maturity securities were to become necessary, a realized gain or loss equal to the difference between the cost and sales price of securities sold would be recognized.
Debt. At September 30, 2016, the Company had senior notes, subordinated debentures and other debt outstanding with a carrying value of $2,490 million and a face amount of $2,525 million. The maturities of the outstanding debt are $8 million in 2017, $441 million in 2019, $300 million in 2020, $427 million in 2022, $250 million in 2037, $350 million in 2044, $350 million in 2053 and $400 million in 2056.

In February 2016, the Company issued $110 million aggregate principal amount of its 5.9% subordinated debentures due 2056, and in May 2016, the Company issued $290 million aggregate principal amount of its 5.75% subordinated debentures due 2056. During 2016, the Company repaid $83 million of debt on various issuances, mainly in connection with the sale of Areo Precision Industries. In May 2015, the Company repaid $200 million of 5.60% senior notes at maturity and $71 million of mortgage loans.
Equity. At September 30, 2016, total common stockholders’ equity was $4.9 billion, common shares outstanding were approximately 122 million and stockholders’ equity per outstanding share was $40.48. During the nine months ended September 30, 2016, the Company repurchased 1,821,340 shares of its common stock for $99.3 million.
Total Capital. Total capitalization (equity, debt and subordinated debentures) was $7 billion at September 30, 2016. The percentage of the Company’s capital attributable to debt and subordinated debentures was 34% at September 30, 2016 and 32% at December 31, 2015.

Item 3.     Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk
Reference is made to the information under “Investments - Market Risk” under the caption “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in this Form 10-Q.

Item 4.     Controls and Procedures
          Disclosure Controls and Procedures. The Company’s management, including its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has conducted an evaluation of the effectiveness of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures pursuant to Securities Exchange Act Rule 13a-14 as of the end of the period covered by this quarterly report. Based on that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the Company has in place effective controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by the Company in the reports it files or submits under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the rules thereunder, is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s rules and forms.
Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting. During the quarter ended September 30, 2016, there were no changes in the Company’s internal control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.


PART II — OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
Please see Note 20 to the notes to the interim consolidated financial statements.


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Item 1A. Risk Factors
There have been no material changes from the risk factors previously disclosed in the Company’s annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015, as updated by its quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended June 30, 2016.

Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds
Set forth below is a summary of the shares repurchased by the Company during the three months ended September 30, 2016 and the number of shares remaining authorized for purchase by the Company:
 
Total number
of shares purchased
 
Average price
paid per share
 
Total number of shares purchased
as part of publicly announced plans or programs
 
Maximum number of
shares that may yet be purchased under the plans or programs
July 2016

 

 

 
8,512,923

August 2016
110,789

 
$
57.936

 
110,789

 
8,402,134

September 2016
976,496

 
$
57.376

 
976,496

 
7,425,638



Item 6. Exhibits

Number 
 
 
 
 
 
(31.1)
 
Certification of the Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/ 15d-14(a).
 
 
 
(31.2)
 
Certification of the Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/ 15d-14(a).
 
 
 
(32.1)
 
Certification of the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this Report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
 
 
W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION
 
Date:
November 7, 2016
/s/ W. Robert Berkley, Jr. 
 
 
W. Robert Berkley, Jr.
 
 
President and Chief Executive Officer 
 
 
 
Date:
November 7, 2016
/s/ Richard M. Baio 
 
 
Richard M. Baio
 
 
Senior Vice President - Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

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