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8-K - 8-K - GRANT PARK FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIPd174212d8k.htm

Exhibit 99.1

 

     GRANT PARK

Grant Park Fund Weekly Commentary

For the Week Ended April 1, 2016

   FUND

 

Current Month       Rolling Performance       Rolling Risk Metrics* (May 2011 – April 2016)
Class  

Week

ROR

 

MTD

ROR

 

YTD

ROR

     

1 yr

Ann

ROR

 

3 yr

Ann

ROR

 

5 yr

Ann

ROR

 

10 yr

Ann

ROR

     

Annualized

ROR

 

Annualized

Standard

Deviation

 

Maximum

Drawdown

 

Sharpe

Ratio

 

Sortino

Ratio

A

      0.72 %         -0.10 %         3.98 %                    -7.81 %         -2.50 %         -5.81 %         -0.67 %                    -5.81 %           10.27 %           -28.70 %           -0.53          -0.72   

B**

      0.71 %       -0.10 %       3.81 %           -8.36 %       -3.08 %       -6.39 %       -1.33 %           -6.39 %       10.27 %       -30.75 %       -0.59         -0.78  

Legacy 1***

      0.69 %       -0.09 %       4.51 %           -5.90 %       -0.53 %       -3.79 %       N/A             -3.79 %       10.16 %       -23.67 %       -0.33         -0.49  

Legacy 2***

      0.69 %       -0.09 %       4.46 %           -6.11 %       -0.70 %       -4.03 %       N/A             -4.03 %       10.16 %       -24.38 %       -0.35         -0.52  

Global 1***

      1.03 %       -0.05 %       4.98 %           -5.61 %       -0.06 %       -3.14 %       N/A             -3.14 %       10.11 %       -21.86 %       -0.26         -0.41  

Global 2***

      1.02 %       -0.05 %       4.99 %           -5.75 %       -0.23 %       -3.34 %       N/A             -3.34 %       10.13 %       -22.45 %       -0.29         -0.44  

Global 3***

      1.03 %       -0.06 %       4.59 %           -7.20 %       -1.79 %       -4.92 %       N/A             -4.92 %       10.15 %       -26.24 %       -0.45         -0.62  

S&P 500 Total Return Index****

      1.84 %       0.63 %       1.99 %           1.45 %       11.35 %       11.07 %       6.93 %           11.07 %       12.19 %       -16.26 %       0.92         1.53  

Barclays Capital U.S. Long Gov Index****

      0.88 %       -0.01 %       8.05 %           5.99 %       4.70 %       9.12 %       8.09 %           9.12 %       11.48 %       -15.54 %       0.82         1.48  
*

Performance metrics are calculated using month-to-date performance estimates. All performance data is subject to verification.

**

Units began trading in August 2003.

***

Units began trading in April 2009.

****

Index is unmanaged & is not available for direct investment. Please see Indices Overview (below) for more information. Weekly RORs are calculated using data acquired through Bloomberg.

Portfolio Positions by Sectors and Markets (Two largest positions within each sector)

 

    Portfolio for A, B and Legacy units       Portfolio for Global units
    Sector       Market           Sector       Market    
Sector   Exposure   Position   Contract   Exposure   Position       Exposure   Position   Contract   Exposure   Position

COMMODITIES

  23%                       24%                

Energy

  4%   Short   Natural Gas   2.1%   Short        4%   Short   Natural Gas   2.3%   Short
      Gas Oil   0.5%   Short         Gas Oil   0.5%   Short

Grains/Foods

  12%   Long   Sugar   2.5%   Long     13%   Long   Sugar   2.8%   Long
      Soybean   1.9%   Long         Soybean   2.1%   Long

Metals

  7%   Long   Gold   2.3%   Long     7%   Long   Gold   2.4%   Long
      Copper   1.1%   Long         Copper   1.1%   Long

FINANCIALS

  77%                       76%                

Currencies

  21%   Short $   Australian Dollar   3.5%   Long     20%   Short $   Australian Dollar   3.8%   Long
      British Pound   2.8%   Short         British Pound   3.0%   Short

Equities

  25%   Long   S&P 500   3.5%   Long     25%   Long   S&P 500   4.3%   Long
      Dax Index   2.9%   Long         Nasdaq   2.9%   Long

Fixed Income

  31%   Long   Bunds   4.7%   Long     31%   Long   Bunds   5.1%   Long
      U.S. Treasury
Bonds
  3.0%   Long         U.S. Treasury
Bonds
  3.3%   Long
                                           

Market Commentary (Largest price movements within each sector)

 

Sector/Market    

Energy

 

Crude oil markets fell over 6% after comments from Saudi Arabia cast doubt on whether the Kingdom would participate in any plan to stabilize global output. Natural gas prices increased over 8% as U.S. inventories declined.

Grains/Foods

 

Corn prices fell as U.S. farmers planned to expand corn crops by reducing wheat crops. Wheat prices rose in reaction to this news. Sugar markets declined on a weaker Brazilian real and on forecasts for drier weather. Cocoa prices declined as rains in West Africa, one of the top growing regions, improved supply forecasts.

Metals

 

Gold markets declined slightly as positive U.S. jobs and manufacturing data reduced demand for the safe haven asset. Copper prices fell on concerns about slowing economic growth in China.

Currencies

 

The U.S. dollar weakened against its global counterparts after the Federal Reserve indicated it would proceed cautiously in adjusting interest rates, easing expectations of an interest rate hike in April or June. The Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar strengthened in reaction to the Federal Reserve’s comments and as investor demand increased due to the widening interest-rate differentials between the U.S. and Australian and New Zealand dollars. The euro strengthened in anticipation the European Central Bank (ECB) will not use additional easing to stimulate the euro-zone economy.

Equities

 

U.S. equity markets rose slightly as expectations about an upcoming interest rate hike fell. European equity markets declined slightly as French telecom and Italian bank stocks underperformed. The Nikkei declined on a stronger yen and on disappointing Japanese economic data.

Fixed Income

 

U.S. treasury markets were slightly higher after Janet Yellen’s comments eased expectations of an interest rate hike in April or June. Bund prices rose on weaker European equity markets, falling oil prices and the start of the ECB bond-buying program. Gilt prices moved lower on falling demand from foreign investors.

ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES. THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE. OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY. INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL. IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION. DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.

 


Performance Chart

Barclays Capital U.S. Long Government Index (formerly Lehman Brothers U.S. Government Index: Long Subset):  A benchmark comprised of the Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury and U.S. Agency indices. The U.S. Long Government Index includes Treasuries (public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have remaining maturities of more than ten years) and U.S. agency debentures (publicly issued debt of U.S. Government agencies, quasi-federal corporations, and corporate or foreign debt guaranteed by the U.S. Government). The U.S. Government Index is a component of the Barclays Capital U.S. Government Index.

Compounded Annualized Rate of Return (ROR):  This is the geometric 12-month mean that assumes the same rate of return for each 12-month period to arrive at the equivalent compound growth rate reflected in the actual return data.

Standard and Poor’s 500 Total Return Index (S&P 500 Index):  A weighted index of the 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index, which are chosen by Standard and Poor’s based on industry representation, liquidity, and stability. The stocks in the S&P 500 Index are not the 500 largest companies; rather the index is designed to capture the returns of many different sectors of the U.S. economy. The total return calculation includes the price-plus-gross cash dividend return. Investors cannot directly invest in an index and unmanaged index returns do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges.

Risk Metrics Chart

Drawdown:  A drawdown is any losing period during an investment’s performance history. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from an equity peak to an equity valley. Maximum drawdown is simply the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred during the specified time frame. Grant Park’s drawdowns are computed based on month-end equity values.

Sharpe Ratio:  A return/risk measure defined as the average incremental return of an investment over the risk free rate.

Sortino Ratio:  A ratio developed to differentiate between good and bad volatility. The calculation provides a risk-adjusted measure of performance without penalizing for upward price changes.

Standard Deviation:  Measures the dispersal or uncertainty in a random variable (in this case, investment returns). It measures the degree of variation of returns around the mean, or average, return. The higher the volatility of the investment returns, the higher the standard deviation will be. For this reason, standard deviation is often used as a measure of investment risk.

ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES. THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE. OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY. INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL. IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION. DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.