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EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 - CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPexhibit9913q15.htm


Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Supplemental Financial Data
for the period ending September 30, 2015

6200 South Gilmore Road
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
cinfin.com

Investor Contact:
Media Contact:
Shareholder Contact:
Dennis E. McDaniel
Betsy E. Ertel
Molly A. Grimm
513-870-2768
513-603-5323
513-870-2697

 
A.M. Best
Fitch
Moody's
Standard &
 Poor's
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
 
 
 
 
Corporate Debt
a-
BBB+
A3
BBB+
 
 
 
 
 
The Cincinnati Insurance Companies
 
 
 
 
Insurer Financial Strength
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Property Casualty Group
 
 
 
 
      Standard Market Subsidiaries:
 
 
 
 
             The Cincinnati Insurance Company
A+
A+
A1
A+
             The Cincinnati Indemnity Company
A+
A+
A1
A+
             The Cincinnati Casualty Company
A+
A+
A1
A+
      Surplus Lines Subsidiary:
 
 
 
 
             The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company
A
 
 
 
 
 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
A
A+
A+

Ratings are as of October 26, 2015, under continuous review and subject to change and/or affirmation. For the current ratings, select Financial Strength on cinfin.com.
The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited. These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included with our periodic filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The results of operations for interim periods may not be indicative of results to be expected for the full year.

CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
1



 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
 
Supplemental Financial Data
 
for the period ending September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
Page
 
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
3
 
 
 
Consolidated
 
 
Quick Reference
4
 
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015
5
 
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation – Three Months Ended September 30, 2015
6
 
CFC Insurance Subsidiaries – Selected Balance Sheet Data
7
 
 
 
 
 
 
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
 
 
Statutory Statements of Income
8
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Losses Incurred Detail
9
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Loss Ratio Detail
10
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Loss Claim Count Detail
11
 
Direct Written Premiums by Risk State by Line of Business
12
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines
13
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines and Excess & Surplus Lines
14
 
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015
15
 
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis – Three Months Ended September 30, 2015
16
 
 
 
Reconciliation Data
 
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated
17
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines
18
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines
19
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Excess & Surplus Lines
20
 
 
 
Life Insurance Operations
 
 
Statutory Statements of Income
21



CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
2



Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas - property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management's control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company's insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management's discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
Value creation ratio: This is a measure of shareholder value creation that management believes captures the contribution of the company's insurance operations, the success of its investment strategy and the importance placed on paying cash dividends to shareholders. The value creation ratio measure is made up of two primary components: (1) rate of growth in book value per share plus (2) the ratio of dividends declared per share to beginning book value per share. Management believes this non-GAAP measure is a useful supplement to GAAP information, providing a meaningful measure of long-term progress in creating shareholder value. It is intended to be all-inclusive regarding changes in book value per share, and uses originally reported book value per share in cases where book value per share has been adjusted, such as adoption of Accounting Standards Updates with a cumulative effect of a change in accounting.
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC's Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.



CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
3



Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quick Reference
 
Third Quarter 2015
(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of September 30, 2015)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
9/30/2015
 
Year over year change %
 
 
9/30/2015
 
Year over year change %
Revenues:
 
 
 
 
Benefits and expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial lines net written premiums
$
743

 
6

 
Commercial lines loss and loss expenses
$
398

 
(7
)
Personal lines net written premiums
312

 
6

 
Personal lines loss and loss expenses
198

 
12

Excess & surplus lines net written premiums
43

 
10

 
Excess & surplus lines loss and loss expenses
17

 
0

   Property casualty net written premiums
1,098

 
6

 
Life and health contract holders' benefits incurred
57

 
(11
)
Life and accident and health net written premiums
53

 
4

 
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
348

 
9

Annuity net written premiums
9

 
5

 
Interest expenses
14

 
8

   Life, annuity and accident and health net written premiums
62

 
4

 
Other operating expenses
3

 
0

Commercial lines net earned premiums
757

 
5

 
Total benefits & expenses
1,035

 
1

Personal lines net earned premiums
277

 
5

 
Income before income taxes
243

 
(6
)
Excess & surplus lines net earned premiums
42

 
0

 
Total income tax
69

 
(9
)
Property casualty net earned premiums
1,076

 
5

 
 
 
 
 
Fee revenue
4

 
33

 
Balance Sheet:
 
 
 
Life and accident and health net earned premiums
51

 
11

 
 
 
 
 
Investment income
143

 
4

 
Fixed maturity investments
$
9,756

 
 
Realized investment gains, net
3

 
(95
)
 
Equity securities
4,526

 
 
Other revenue
1

 
(67
)
 
Other investments
144

 
 
Total revenues
1,278

 
0

 
  Total invested assets
$
14,426

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss expense reserves
$
4,700

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Life policy and investment contract reserves
2,564

 
 
Income:
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt and capital lease obligations
826

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Shareholders' equity
6,350

 
 
Operating income
$
172

 
23

 
 
 
 
 
Realized investment gains, net
2

 
(95
)
 
Key ratios:
 
 
 
Net income
174

 
(5
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio
84.0
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Personal lines GAAP combined ratio
100.9

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Excess & surplus lines GAAP combined ratio
69.9

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Property casualty GAAP combined ratio
87.8

 
 
Per share (diluted):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial lines STAT combined ratio
84.6
 %
 
 
Operating income
$
1.04

 
22

 
Personal lines STAT combined ratio
98.5

 
 
Realized investment gains, net
0.01

 
(96
)
 
Excess & surplus lines STAT combined ratio
71.3

 
 
Net income
1.05

 
(5
)
 
Property casualty STAT combined ratio
87.5

 
 
Book value
38.77

 
(1
)
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average shares outstanding
165.5

 
0

 
Value creation ratio
(0.9
)%
 
 

CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
4



Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
CFC
CONSOL P&C
CLIC
CFC-I
ELIM
Total
Revenues
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Premiums earned:
 
 
 
 
 
 
    Property casualty
$

$
3,287

$

$

$

$
3,287

    Life


200



200

    Premiums ceded

(111
)
(44
)


(155
)
      Total earned premium

3,176

156



3,332

  Investment income, net of expenses
37

273

112



422

  Realized investment gains, net
9

96

1


4

110

  Fee revenues

6

4



10

  Other revenues
11

1


4

(11
)
5

Total revenues
$
57

$
3,552

$
273

$
4

$
(7
)
$
3,879

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Benefits & expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Losses & contract holders' benefits
$

$
1,986

$
214

$

$
(1
)
$
2,199

  Reinsurance recoveries

(30
)
(39
)

1

(68
)
  Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses

983

50



1,033

  Interest expense
39



1


40

  Other operating expenses
21



1

(12
)
10

Total expenses
$
60

$
2,939

$
225

$
2

$
(12
)
$
3,214

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income before income taxes
$
(3
)
$
613

$
48

$
2

$
5

$
665

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Provision (benefit) for income taxes
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Current operating income
$
(9
)
$
154

$
(3
)
$
1

$
(2
)
$
141

  Capital gains/losses
3

34

1


1

39

  Deferred
(4
)
(10
)
19


2

7

Total provision (benefit) for income taxes
$
(10
)
$
178

$
17

$
1

$
1

$
187

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating income
$
1

$
373

$
31

$
1

$
1

$
407

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income - current year
$
7

$
435

$
31

$
1

$
4

$
478

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income - prior year
$
15

$
311

$
30

$
2

$

$
358

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.
 
 
 


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
5



Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
CFC
CONSOL P&C
CLIC
CFC-I
ELIM
Total
Revenues
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Premiums earned:
 
 
 
 
 
 
    Property casualty
$

$
1,113

$

$

$

$
1,113

    Life


67



67

    Premiums ceded

(37
)
(16
)


(53
)
      Total earned premium

1,076

51



1,127

  Investment income, net of expenses
13

92

38



143

  Realized investment gains, net

4

(1
)


3

  Fee revenues

2

2



4

  Other revenues
4



1

(4
)
1

Total revenues
$
17

$
1,174

$
90

$
1

$
(4
)
$
1,278

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Benefits & expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Losses & contract holders' benefits
$

$
620

$
70

$

$
(1
)
$
689

  Reinsurance recoveries

(7
)
(13
)

1

(19
)
  Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses

332

16



348

  Interest expense
13



1


14

  Other operating expenses
7




(4
)
3

Total expenses
$
20

$
945

$
73

$
1

$
(4
)
$
1,035

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income before income taxes
$
(3
)
$
229

$
17

$

$

$
243

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Provision (benefit) for income taxes
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Current operating income
$
(5
)
$
69

$

$

$
(1
)
$
63

  Capital gains/losses

1




1

  Deferred
1

(2
)
6



5

Total provision (benefit) for income taxes
$
(4
)
$
68

$
6

$

$
(1
)
$
69

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating income
$
1

$
158

$
12

$

$
1

$
172

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income - current year
$
1

$
161

$
11

$

$
1

$
174

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss) - prior year
$
12

$
163

$
8

$
1

$
(1
)
$
183

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.
 
 
 


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
6



Cincinnati Financial Corporation Insurance Subsidiaries
Selected Balance Sheet Data
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
 
12/31/2015
9/30/2015
6/30/2015
3/31/2015
12/31/2014
9/30/2014
6/30/2014
3/31/2014
Cincinnati Insurance Consolidated
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Fixed maturities (fair value)

$
6,472

$
6,435

$
6,325

$
6,260

$
6,344

$
6,215

$
6,111

   Equities (fair value)

2,961

3,108

3,108

3,195

3,121

3,094

3,022

   Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain

283

280

387

366

379

414

361

   Equities - pretax net unrealized gain

1,063

1,297

1,397

1,478

1,387

1,434

1,349

   Loss and loss expense reserves - STAT

4,366

4,357

4,302

4,158

4,112

4,129

4,037

   Equity - GAAP

5,397

5,485

5,593

5,594

5,480

5,481

5,384

   Surplus - STAT

4,324

4,419

4,436

4,472

4,364

4,332

4,308

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Fixed maturities (fair value)

$
3,221

$
3,176

$
3,199

$
3,126

$
3,102

$
3,091

$
2,989

   Equities (fair value)

9

8

9

9

8

8

14

   Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain

133

151

220

197

195

225

186

   Equities - pretax net unrealized gain

4

3

4

3

3

3

6

   Equity - GAAP

897

896

927

904

893

901

867

   Surplus - STAT

215

217

219

223

228

224

232

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
7



Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Statutory Statements of Income
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
(Dollars in millions)
2015
2014
Change
% Change
2015
2014
Change
% Change
Underwriting income
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net premiums written
$
1,098

$
1,037

$
61

6

$
3,306

$
3,156

$
150

5

Unearned premiums increase
22

12

10

83

130

146

(16
)
(11
)
Earned premiums
$
1,076

$
1,025

$
51

5

$
3,176

$
3,010

$
166

6

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses incurred
$
504

$
512

$
(8
)
(2
)
$
1,629

$
1,690

$
(61
)
(4
)
Allocated loss expenses incurred
53

52

1

2

152

142

10

7

Unallocated loss expenses incurred
56

58

(2
)
(3
)
175

173

2

1

Other underwriting expenses incurred
332

313

19

6

975

924

51

6

Workers compensation dividend incurred
4

4



11

12

(1
)
(8
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
     Total underwriting deductions
$
949

$
939

$
10

1

$
2,942

$
2,941

$
1


Net underwriting profit
$
127

$
86

$
41

48

$
234

$
69

$
165

239

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investment income
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gross investment income earned
$
95

$
92

$
3

3

$
282

$
276

$
6

2

Net investment income earned
93

91

2

2

277

272

5

2

Net realized capital gains
3

30

(27
)
(90
)
63

58

5

9

     Net investment gains (net of tax)
$
96

$
121

$
(25
)
(21
)
$
340

$
330

$
10

3

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
     Other income
$
2

$
2

$


$
5

$
5

$


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income before federal income taxes
$
225

$
209

$
16

8

$
579

$
404

$
175

43

Federal and foreign income taxes incurred
$
67

$
49

$
18

37

$
151

$
89

$
62

70

     Net income (statutory)
$
158

$
160

$
(2
)
(1
)
$
428

$
315

$
113

36

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.
*nm - Not meaningful
*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the
  appropriate regulatory bodies.

    

CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
8



Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Losses Incurred Detail
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Consolidated
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000

$
8

$
5

$
12

$
12

$
7

$
11

$

$
17

$
12

$
25

$
19


$
30

Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000

43

24

37

46

51

52

23

61

74

104

125


172

Large loss prior accident year reserve development

19

(4
)
15

(14
)
(6
)
17

10

11

27

30

21


7

   Total large losses incurred

$
70

$
25

$
64

$
44

$
52

$
80

$
33

$
89

$
113

$
159

$
165


$
209

Losses incurred but not reported

(31
)
38

43

112

17

(17
)
21

81

5

50

22


133

Other losses excluding catastrophe losses

441

417

418

365

432

436

427

835

863

1,276

1,295


1,660

Catastrophe losses

24

78

42

(13
)
11

112

86

120

197

144

208


197

   Total losses incurred

$
504

$
558

$
567

$
508

$
512

$
611

$
567

$
1,125

$
1,178

$
1,629

$
1,690


$
2,199

Commercial Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000

$
8

$
5

$
12

$
12

$
7

$
11

$

$
17

$
12

$
25

$
19


$
30

Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000

26

14

24

39

45

47

18

38

64

64

109


149

Large loss prior accident year reserve development

17

(4
)
15

(11
)
(7
)
15

10

11

25

28

18


7

   Total large losses incurred

$
51

$
15

$
51

$
40

$
45

$
73

$
28

$
66

$
101

$
117

$
146


$
186

Losses incurred but not reported

(17
)
17

31

95

8

(35
)
22

48

(12
)
31

(4
)

90

Other losses excluding catastrophe losses

277

274

272

240

282

292

282

546

574

823

856


1,096

Catastrophe losses

9

43

29

(10
)
7

59

58

72

116

81

123


114

   Total losses incurred

$
320

$
349

$
383

$
365

$
342

$
389

$
390

$
732

$
779

$
1,052

$
1,121


$
1,486

Personal Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

$


$

Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000

15

10

12

6

6

4

4

22

8

37

14


20

Large loss prior accident year reserve development




(3
)
2

2



2


4


1

   Total large losses incurred

$
15

$
10

$
12

$
3

$
8

$
6

$
4

$
22

$
10

$
37

$
18


$
21

Losses incurred but not reported

(12
)
14

7

12

3

9

(5
)
21

4

9

7


19

Other losses excluding catastrophe losses

155

136

134

119

144

138

138

270

276

425

420


539

Catastrophe losses

15

34

13

(4
)
4

52

27

47

79

62

83


79

   Total losses incurred

$
173

$
194

$
166

$
130

$
159

$
205

$
164

$
360

$
369

$
533

$
528


$
658

Excess & Surplus Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

$


$

Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000

2


1

1


1

1

1

2

3

2


3

Large loss prior accident year reserve development

2




(1
)




2

(1
)

(1
)
   Total large losses incurred

$
4

$

$
1

$
1

$
(1
)
$
1

$
1

$
1

$
2

$
5

$
1


$
2

Losses incurred but not reported

(2
)
7

5

5

6

9

4

12

13

10

19


24

Other losses excluding catastrophe losses

9

7

12

6

6

6

7

19

13

28

19


25

Catastrophe losses


1


1


1

1

1

2

1

2


4

   Total losses incurred

$
11

$
15

$
18

$
13

$
11

$
17

$
13

$
33

$
30

$
44

$
41


$
55

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
9



Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Loss Ratio Detail
 
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Consolidated
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000

0.7
 %
0.5
 %
1.0
%
1.0
 %
0.7
 %
1.1
 %
 %
0.8
%
0.6
 %
0.8
%
0.6
 %
 
0.7
 %
Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000

4.1

2.1

3.6

4.7

4.8

5.0

2.3

2.9

3.8

3.3

4.2

 
4.3

Large loss prior accident year reserve development

1.7

(0.3
)
1.4

(1.4
)
(0.5
)
1.7

1.1

0.5

1.4

0.9

0.7

 
0.2

   Total large loss ratio

6.5
 %
2.3
 %
6.0
%
4.3
 %
5.0
 %
7.8
 %
3.4
 %
4.2
%
5.8
 %
5.0
%
5.5
 %
 
5.2
 %
Losses incurred but not reported

(2.9
)
3.6

4.2

10.7

1.7

(1.6
)
2.2

3.9

0.2

1.6

0.8

 
3.3

Other losses excluding catastrophe losses

40.9

39.6

40.1

35.2

42.3

43.4

43.6

39.8

43.5

40.2

43.0

 
41.0

Catastrophe losses

2.3

7.3

4.1

(1.1
)
1.0

11.1

8.7

5.7

9.9

4.5

6.9

 
4.9

   Total loss ratio

46.8
 %
52.8
 %
54.4
%
49.1
 %
50.0
 %
60.7
 %
57.9
 %
53.6
%
59.4
 %
51.3
%
56.2
 %
 
54.4
 %
Commercial Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000

1.0
 %
0.7
 %
1.6
%
1.5
 %
1.0
 %
1.6
 %
 %
1.2
%
0.8
 %
1.1
%
0.9
 %
 
1.0
 %
Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000

3.7

1.7

3.3

5.6

5.9

6.5

2.6

2.6

4.6

2.9

5.1

 
5.2

Large loss prior accident year reserve development

2.3

(0.5
)
2.0

(1.5
)
(0.9
)
2.1

1.4

0.7

1.8

1.3

0.9

 
0.3

   Total large loss ratio

7.0
 %
1.9
 %
6.9
%
5.6
 %
6.0
 %
10.2
 %
4.0
 %
4.5
%
7.2
 %
5.3
%
6.9
 %
 
6.5
 %
Losses incurred but not reported

(2.4
)
2.2

4.3

12.8

1.1

(4.8
)
3.2

3.2

(0.9
)
1.3

(0.2
)
 
3.1

Other losses excluding catastrophe losses

36.3

37.0

37.1

32.6

39.6

41.0

40.6

37.0

40.8

36.8

40.2

 
38.4

Catastrophe losses

1.3

5.8

4.0

(1.1
)
0.8

8.3

8.3

4.9

8.3

3.7

5.8

 
4.0

   Total loss ratio

42.2
 %
46.9
 %
52.3
%
49.9
 %
47.5
 %
54.7
 %
56.1
 %
49.6
%
55.4
 %
47.1
%
52.7
 %
 
52.0
 %
Personal Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000

 %
 %
%
 %
 %
 %
 %
%
 %
%
 %
 
 %
Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000

5.2

3.5

4.5

2.2

2.5

1.7

1.4

4.1

1.5

4.5

1.8

 
1.9

Large loss prior accident year reserve development

(0.2
)
0.1


(1.1
)
0.8

0.6

0.3


0.5


0.7

 
0.1

   Total large loss ratio

5.0
 %
3.6
 %
4.5
%
1.1
 %
3.3
 %
2.3
 %
1.7
 %
4.1
%
2.0
 %
4.5
%
2.5
 %
 
2.0
 %
Losses incurred but not reported

(4.2
)
5.1

2.7

4.5

1.3

3.5

(2.0
)
3.9

0.8

1.1

0.9

 
1.8

Other losses excluding catastrophe losses

56.3

50.0

49.9

44.8

54.1

53.6

54.5

49.8

54.0

52.0

54.1

 
51.9

Catastrophe losses

5.4

12.5

4.9

(1.5
)
1.7

20.0

10.6

8.7

15.4

7.6

10.7

 
7.6

   Total loss ratio

62.5
 %
71.2
 %
62.0
%
48.9
 %
60.4
 %
79.4
 %
64.8
 %
66.5
%
72.2
 %
65.2
%
68.2
 %
 
63.3
 %
Excess & Surplus Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000

 %
 %
%
 %
 %
 %
 %
%
 %
%
 %
 
 %
Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000

4.8


2.5

3.3


3.1

3.2

1.2

3.1

2.5

1.9

 
2.3

Large loss prior accident year reserve development

5.0



(1.8
)
(1.3
)

(0.3
)

(0.1
)
1.7

(0.5
)
 
(0.9
)
   Total large loss ratio

9.8
 %
 %
2.5
%
1.5
 %
(1.3
)%
3.1
 %
2.9
 %
1.2
%
3.0
 %
4.2
%
1.4
 %
 
1.4
 %
Losses incurred but not reported

(4.4
)
18.3

11.8

12.4

14.6

25.7

13.1

15.1

19.6

8.4

17.7

 
16.4

Other losses excluding catastrophe losses

21.2

17.5

29.9

17.7

15.3

15.1

21.6

23.5

18.3

22.7

17.1

 
17.2

Catastrophe losses

0.3

0.4

0.8

2.9

(0.7
)
2.7

3.0

0.6

2.8

0.5

1.4

 
1.8

   Total loss ratio

26.9
 %
36.2
 %
45.0
%
34.5
 %
27.9
 %
46.6
 %
40.6
 %
40.4
%
43.7
 %
35.8
%
37.6
 %
 
36.8
 %
*Certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
10



Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Loss Claim Count Detail
 
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Consolidated
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year reported losses greater
   than $5,000,000

1

1

2

2

1

2


3

2

4

3

 
5

Current accident year reported losses
   $1,000,000 - $5,000,000

28

14

27

31

31

34

15

42

52

74

83

 
120

Prior accident year reported losses on
   large losses

6

9

15

4

13

10

8

27

18

35

26

 
32

   Non-Catastrophe reported losses on
      large losses total

35

24

44

37

45

46

23

72

72

113

112

 
157

Commercial Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year reported losses greater
than $5,000,000

1

1

2

2

1

2


3

2

4

3

 
5

Current accident year reported losses
$1,000,000 - $5,000,000

17

9

18

27

24

30

11

26

43

46

68

 
99

Prior accident year reported losses on
large losses

5

9

14

3

11

9

7

26

17

32

23

 
28

   Non-Catastrophe reported losses on
large losses total

23

19

34

32

36

41

18

55

62

82

94

 
132

Personal Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year reported losses greater
than $5,000,000












 

Current accident year reported losses
$1,000,000 - $5,000,000

9

5

8

3

6

3

3

15

7

25

13

 
18

Prior accident year reported losses on
large losses



1


2

1

1

1

1

1

3

 
3

   Non-Catastrophe reported losses on
large losses total

9

5

9

3

8

4

4

16

8

26

16

 
21

Excess & Surplus Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year reported losses greater
than $5,000,000












 

Current accident year reported losses
$1,000,000 - $5,000,000

2


1

1

1

1

1

1

2

3

2

 
3

Prior accident year reported losses on
large losses

1



1






2


 
1

   Non-Catastrophe reported losses on
large losses total

3


1

2

1

1

1

1

2

5

2

 
4

*The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
11



 Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Direct Written Premiums by Risk State by Line of Business for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015
 
Commercial Lines
 
 Personal Lines
 
E & S
 
Consolidated
Comm'l
Change
%
Personal
Change
%
E & S
Change
%
Consol
Change
%
Risk
State
Comm
Casualty
Comm
Property
Comm
Auto
Workers'
Comp
Other Comm
 
Personal
Auto
Home Owner
Other
Personal
 
All
Lines
 
2015
2014
 
 
 
Total
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 OH
$
116.7

$
98.5

$
59.4

$

$
27.4

 
$
100.6

$
86.3

$
27.3

 
$
10.6

 
$
526.8

$
519.6

3.2

(1.0
)
7.9

1.6

 IL
50.0

42.5

22.4

39.3

11.1

 
24.9

23.8

6.7

 
9.5

 
230.2

231.7

(1.7
)
(0.2
)
15.3

(0.7
)
 IN
43.0

40.9

24.3

23.6

10.0

 
26.5

28.5

6.6

 
8.6

 
212.0

206.0

3.8

(1.0
)
6.0

2.4

 PA
47.7

35.2

30.1

37.0

9.4

 
10.3

8.3

3.1

 
6.1

 
187.2

184.4

0.4

4.8

24.0

1.5

 GA
29.6

30.6

20.9

10.1

10.2

 
31.7

33.4

8.3

 
7.6

 
182.4

173.4

4.1

5.8

12.6

5.1

 MI
35.2

28.3

18.1

15.1

8.8

 
35.4

25.0

4.1

 
5.6

 
175.6

164.6

0.8

17.2

15.4

6.7

 NC
34.7

38.4

17.8

14.4

11.0

 
26.0

21.5

6.1

 
5.2

 
175.1

164.7

2.4

15.5

8.9

6.3

 TN
29.2

29.7

17.3

8.6

8.7

 
15.1

17.4

4.5

 
3.5

 
134.0

127.1

3.9

8.9

9.5

5.4

 KY
21.1

26.1

14.9

2.5

4.9

 
21.7

20.8

4.9

 
4.2

 
121.1

117.7

2.5

2.8

10.4

2.9

 AL
20.0

24.7

9.6

0.7

7.0

 
16.2

26.4

5.3

 
5.9

 
115.8

114.1

(0.4
)
3.5

6.2

1.5

 VA
26.1

22.7

16.2

14.0

8.4

 
9.2

8.1

2.6

 
4.0

 
111.3

110.7

(0.5
)
6.3

(1.8
)
0.6

 MN
24.8

19.1

9.0

9.8

4.3

 
14.3

14.8

4.4

 
3.9

 
104.4

94.7

10.7

8.0

18.2

10.1

 WI
23.7

19.6

11.3

22.6

5.5

 
7.0

7.3

2.9

 
2.4

 
102.3

104.0

(1.9
)
0.9

(10.4
)
(1.6
)
 TX
36.5

21.7

21.9

0.9

4.0

 



 
13.0

 
98.0

93.6

3.6

228.3

12.3

4.7

 MO
23.2

24.7

12.3

11.2

5.2

 
5.3

7.2

1.5

 
5.0

 
95.6

91.2

4.3

6.7

7.4

4.8

 IA
14.2

15.3

6.2

13.4

4.9

 
3.9

4.4

1.3

 
1.9

 
65.5

68.2

(5.0
)
(0.5
)
8.8

(4.0
)
 MD
16.2

9.6

12.3

9.8

3.2

 
6.1

4.8

1.4

 
1.8

 
65.2

60.9

3.1

29.8

0.8

7.2

 NY
24.6

13.0

8.9

2.3

3.0

 
3.5

1.8

0.5

 
2.0

 
59.6

55.6

4.9

39.3

2.0

7.4

 AR
8.7

15.8

5.6

1.9

4.1

 
7.4

8.3

1.9

 
2.2

 
55.9

52.1

5.1

14.8

(1.9
)
7.7

 FL
19.6

12.7

7.1

0.9

2.4

 
3.3

1.0

0.5

 
4.9

 
52.4

55.2

6.0

(55.6
)
28.1

(4.6
)
 SC
10.1

9.4

6.3

2.3

3.2

 
7.4

5.2

1.3

 
2.3

 
47.5

43.3

2.5

24.7

34.6

9.4

 UT
14.9

7.5

8.9

0.4

2.8

 
6.4

3.4

0.8

 
2.3

 
47.4

42.9

9.2

11.6

37.9

10.9

 AZ
12.8

7.6

8.9

4.3

2.3

 
4.4

3.1

1.2

 
2.2

 
46.8

45.0

(1.9
)
27.4

35.6

4.0

 KS
8.8

11.2

4.7

5.4

2.7

 
3.8

5.7

1.1

 
1.1

 
44.5

43.3

3.5

(2.3
)
53.2

2.9

 CO
13.2

7.6

8.8

0.6

1.7

 

0.3


 
4.8

 
37.0

32.8

10.4

18.4

34.6

13.1

 MT
13.6

8.0

7.2

0.1

1.3

 
2.2

2.4

0.6

 
0.7

 
36.1

31.7

14.8

6.9

16.1

13.6

 NE
8.0

8.3

4.4

8.0

1.9

 
0.6

0.9

0.2

 
1.4

 
33.7

30.5

13.0

0.4

(3.7
)
11.5

 ID
10.5

6.6

5.8

0.2

1.6

 
2.6

1.8

0.5

 
1.2

 
30.8

27.9

9.8

13.9

10.8

10.5

 OR
8.9

5.3

5.5

0.1

1.5

 
2.0

1.0

0.3

 
3.6

 
28.2

20.9

32.0

91.3

26.0

36.1

 WV
8.6

7.2

5.4

1.3

1.1

 

0.4

0.1

 
2.4

 
26.5

25.5

3.8

(9.3
)
9.2

4.0

 VT
3.6

3.9

2.2

4.4

1.7

 
1.1

1.2

0.3

 
0.7

 
19.1

19.2

(1.1
)
3.5

2.0

(0.4
)
 ND
6.2

4.7

3.2


1.2

 
0.6

0.7

0.2

 
0.3

 
17.1

17.8

(4.7
)
(1.3
)
(21.2
)
(4.7
)
 WA
6.0

3.5

3.9


1.3

 



 
1.4

 
16.1

14.6

9.1

(200.7
)
23.0

10.2

 NM
6.1

3.3

3.6

0.9

1.3

 



 
0.7

 
15.9

11.9

35.2

13.3

(6.1
)
32.7

 NH
3.1

2.7

1.6

2.3

0.7

 
1.4

1.3

0.4

 
0.5

 
14.0

13.8

2.4

(0.1
)
(0.8
)
1.7

 CT
3.3

3.1

2.2

1.0

0.6

 
1.0

0.8

0.3

 
0.6

 
12.9

8.9

24.2

400.7

75.8

44.7

 DE
4.1

2.6

2.6

2.2

0.8

 



 
0.4

 
12.7

10.4

20.9

(84.6
)
53.3

21.6

 SD
2.4

2.7

1.4

2.1

0.9

 



 
0.5

 
10.0

11.1

(10.7
)
(90.2
)
(5.6
)
(10.5
)
 WY
1.8

1.8

0.9


0.4

 



 
0.7

 
5.6

4.7

16.2

6.9

20.6

16.6

 All Other
3.6

1.8

2.9

5.2

1.7

 



 
0.8

 
16.0

16.4

0.6

132.1

43.2

(3.1
)
 Total
$
794.4

$
677.9

$
436.0

$
278.9

$
184.2

 
$
401.9

$
377.3

$
101.2

 
$
136.5

 
$
3,388.3

$
3,262.1

3.1

4.8

12.8

3.9

 Other Direct

1.6

3.2

5.3


 
8.0

0.1


 

 
18.2

18.2

(3.2
)
6.9

nm

1.0

 Total Direct
$
794.4

$
679.5

$
439.2

$
284.2

$
184.2

 
$
409.9

$
377.4

$
101.2

 
$
136.5

 
$
3,406.5

$
3,280.3

3.1

4.8

12.8

3.9

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to the nearest hundred thousand; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Percentage changes are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
*nm - Not meaningful

CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
12



Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Commercial casualty:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Written premiums

$
247

$
274

$
266

$
234

$
228

$
249

$
258

$
540

$
507

$
787

$
735


$
969

Earned premiums

257

252

244

243

237

234

224

496

458

753

695


938

Current accident year before catastrophe losses

53.6
 %
59.6
 %
59.2
 %
59.2
 %
60.2
 %
61.7
 %
56.3
 %
59.4
 %
59.1
 %
57.4
 %
59.4
 %

59.4
 %
Current accident year catastrophe losses














Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(6.2
)
(9.1
)
1.1

12.1

(3.6
)
(10.5
)
3.6

(4.1
)
(3.6
)
(4.8
)
(3.6
)

0.5

Prior accident years catastrophe losses














   Total loss and loss expense ratio

47.4
 %
50.5
 %
60.3
 %
71.3
 %
56.6
 %
51.2
 %
59.9
 %
55.3
 %
55.5
 %
52.6
 %
55.8
 %

59.9
 %
Commercial property:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Written premiums

$
218

$
218

$
206

$
192

$
194

$
197

$
193

$
424

$
390

$
642

$
584


$
776

Earned premiums

205

201

196

191

186

180

171

399

351

604

537


728

Current accident year before catastrophe losses

47.0
 %
42.1
 %
53.6
 %
45.7
 %
54.3
 %
50.8
 %
53.4
 %
47.8
 %
52.1
 %
47.5
 %
52.9
 %

51.0
 %
Current accident year catastrophe losses

5.2

19.6

16.7

0.5

5.2

25.8

27.7

18.2

26.7

13.8

19.3


14.3

Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(0.2
)
(2.0
)
(1.9
)
1.8

(3.1
)
(9.8
)
(0.6
)
(2.0
)
(5.3
)
(1.4
)
(4.6
)

(2.9
)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses

0.3

0.1

(3.8
)
(2.7
)
(1.3
)
(2.3
)
(0.9
)
(1.8
)
(1.6
)
(1.1
)
(1.5
)

(1.8
)
   Total loss and loss expense ratio

52.3
 %
59.8
 %
64.6
 %
45.3
 %
55.1
 %
64.5
 %
79.6
 %
62.2
 %
71.9
 %
58.8
 %
66.1
 %

60.6
 %
Commercial auto:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Written premiums

$
137

$
149

$
149

$
131

$
128

$
144

$
145

$
298

$
289

$
435

$
417


$
548

Earned premiums

141

139

136

137

133

132

126

275

258

416

391


528

Current accident year before catastrophe losses

71.4
 %
75.8
 %
72.3
 %
65.6
 %
69.1
 %
72.1
 %
68.0
 %
74.1
 %
70.0
 %
73.1
 %
69.8
 %

68.7
 %
Current accident year catastrophe losses


1.3


(0.1
)
(0.6
)
4.1


0.7

2.1

0.5

1.2


0.9

Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

3.2

8.3

8.6

11.2

9.3

9.0

(0.2
)
8.4

4.5

6.6

6.1


7.4

Prior accident years catastrophe losses

(0.1
)
(0.2
)
(0.1
)



(0.2
)
(0.2
)
(0.1
)
(0.1
)
(0.1
)

(0.1
)
   Total loss and loss expense ratio

74.5
 %
85.2
 %
80.8
 %
76.7
 %
77.8
 %
85.2
 %
67.6
 %
83.0
 %
76.5
 %
80.1
 %
77.0
 %

76.9
 %
Workers' compensation:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Written premiums

$
83

$
89

$
104

$
81

$
86

$
92

$
106

$
193

$
198

$
276

$
284


$
365

Earned premiums

93

90

93

90

93

95

92

183

187

276

280


370

Current accident year before catastrophe losses

71.1
 %
77.6
 %
71.5
 %
75.9
 %
75.0
 %
83.2
 %
76.8
 %
74.5
 %
80.0
 %
73.4
 %
78.4
 %

77.8
 %
Current accident year catastrophe losses














Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(26.4
)
(44.8
)
(16.1
)
(7.5
)
(16.1
)
(21.2
)
(10.3
)
(30.3
)
(15.8
)
(29.0
)
(15.9
)

(13.9
)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses














   Total loss and loss expense ratio

44.7
 %
32.8
 %
55.4
 %
68.4
 %
58.9
 %
62.0
 %
66.5
 %
44.2
 %
64.2
 %
44.4
 %
62.5
 %

63.9
 %
Other commercial:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Written premiums

$
60

$
55

$
58

$
61

$
68

$
66

$
69

$
113

$
135

$
173

$
203


$
264

Earned premiums

61

61

64

69

71

73

79

125

152

186

223


292

Current accident year before catastrophe losses

45.9
 %
42.7
 %
54.4
 %
58.5
 %
50.2
 %
59.6
 %
46.7
 %
48.6
 %
52.9
 %
47.7
 %
52.0
 %

53.4
 %
Current accident year catastrophe losses

1.2

3.4

9.7

(2.7
)
2.0

17.8

17.9

6.6

17.9

4.9

12.8


9.2

Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(9.8
)
(13.6
)
(0.2
)
(13.8
)
(5.6
)
(4.2
)
3.5

(6.7
)
(0.2
)
(7.7
)
(1.9
)

(4.8
)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses

(2.1
)
1.2

(2.6
)
(1.2
)
(0.8
)
0.8

(1.3
)
(0.7
)
(0.3
)
(1.2
)
(0.5
)

(0.7
)
   Total loss and loss expense ratio

35.2
 %
33.7
 %
61.3
 %
40.8
 %
45.8
 %
74.0
 %
66.8
 %
47.8
 %
70.3
 %
43.7
 %
62.4
 %

57.1
 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
13



Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Personal auto:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Written premiums

$
144

$
142

$
114

$
114

$
135

$
133

$
107

$
256

$
240

$
400

$
375


$
489

Earned premiums

128

125

123

122

121

117

116

248

233

376

354


476

Current accident year before catastrophe losses

74.5
 %
79.7
 %
81.6
 %
70.2
 %
73.9
 %
80.5
 %
79.5
 %
80.8
 %
80.1
 %
78.6
 %
77.9
 %

76.0
 %
Current accident year catastrophe losses

0.6

2.3

0.2

(1.2
)
1.1

4.9

0.5

1.2

2.7

1.0

2.2


1.3

Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

1.2

5.8

3.0

2.8

2.0

(1.7
)
(3.4
)
4.4

(2.6
)
3.3

(1.0
)


Prior accident years catastrophe losses

(0.1
)
(0.1
)
(0.2
)


(0.2
)
(0.4
)
(0.3
)
(0.3
)
(0.2
)
(0.2
)

(0.2
)
   Total loss and loss expense ratio

76.2
 %
87.7
 %
84.6
 %
71.8
 %
77.0
 %
83.5
 %
76.2
 %
86.1
 %
79.9
 %
82.7
 %
78.9
 %

77.1
 %
Homeowner:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Written premiums

$
132

$
132

$
98

$
107

$
123

$
128

$
98

$
230

$
226

$
362

$
349


$
456

Earned premiums

117

114

114

113

110

111

109

228

220

345

330


443

Current accident year before catastrophe losses

52.8
 %
52.9
 %
55.5
 %
44.3
 %
51.1
 %
59.5
 %
61.3
 %
54.1
 %
60.4
 %
53.7
 %
57.4
 %

54.0
 %
Current accident year catastrophe losses

12.6

25.6

12.3

(0.9
)
4.8

41.5

28.3

19.0

35.0

16.8

25.0


18.3

Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(1.0
)
(2.4
)
(5.1
)
(0.2
)
(0.7
)
3.6

(6.5
)
(3.7
)
(1.4
)
(2.8
)
(1.2
)

(0.9
)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses

(0.1
)
(0.3
)
(1.2
)
(1.2
)
(1.2
)
(0.9
)
(5.4
)
(0.7
)
(3.2
)
(0.5
)
(2.6
)

(2.2
)
   Total loss and loss expense ratio

64.3
 %
75.8
 %
61.5
 %
42.0
 %
54.0
 %
103.7
 %
77.7
 %
68.7
 %
90.8
 %
67.2
 %
78.6
 %

69.2
 %
Other personal:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Written premiums

$
36

$
35

$
29

$
28

$
36

$
33

$
26

$
64

$
59

$
100

$
95


$
123

Earned premiums

32

33

31

31

32

30

29

64

59

96

91


122

Current accident year before catastrophe losses

70.1
 %
58.2
 %
49.6
 %
44.3
 %
59.3
 %
42.3
 %
46.5
 %
53.9
 %
44.3
 %
59.4
 %
49.6
 %

48.3
 %
Current accident year catastrophe losses

1.2

8.4

2.8

0.5

0.4

7.9

7.8

5.6

7.8

4.1

5.2


4.0

Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

7.6

(4.9
)
1.1

(1.3
)
17.3

(5.4
)
(1.9
)
(1.9
)
(3.6
)
1.3

3.8


2.5

Prior accident years catastrophe losses

(0.1
)
0.0

(0.8
)
(0.1
)
(0.4
)
(0.5
)
0.2

(0.4
)
(0.1
)
(0.3
)
(0.2
)

(0.2
)
   Total loss and loss expense ratio

78.8
 %
61.7
 %
52.7
 %
43.4
 %
76.6
 %
44.3
 %
52.6
 %
57.2
 %
48.4
 %
64.5
 %
58.4
 %

54.6
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Excess & Surplus Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Excess & Surplus:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Written premiums

$
43

$
46

$
42

$
39

$
39

$
40

$
35

$
88

$
75

$
131

$
114


$
153

Earned premiums

42

42

40

39

42

34

33

82

67

124

109


148

Current accident year before catastrophe losses

56.9
 %
69.3
 %
72.1
 %
62.1
 %
57.8
 %
75.4
 %
80.6
 %
70.7
 %
77.9
 %
65.9
 %
70.2
 %

68.1
 %
Current accident year catastrophe losses

0.3

0.6

1.2

2.9

(0.7
)
2.3

3.0

0.9

2.6

0.7

1.4


1.8

Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(15.4
)
(20.2
)
(13.6
)
(16.1
)
(15.4
)
(21.3
)
(27.1
)
(17.0
)
(24.1
)
(16.4
)
(20.8
)

(19.6
)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses

0.1

(0.1
)
(0.3
)
0.1

0.1

0.6

0.1

(0.2
)
0.4

(0.1
)
0.2


0.2

   Total loss and loss expense ratio

41.9
 %
49.6
 %
59.4
 %
49.0
 %
41.8
 %
57.0
 %
56.6
 %
54.4
 %
56.8
 %
50.1
 %
51.0
 %

50.5
 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
14



Cincinnati Insurance Companies Consolidated
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Change in
 
Change in
 
Change in
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
Loss
 
 
 
Paid
 
Paid loss
 
Total
 
case
 
IBNR
 
loss expense
 
change in
 
Case
 
IBNR
 
expense
 
Total
 
losses
 
expense
 
paid
 
reserves
 
reserves
 
reserves
 
reserves
 
incurred
 
incurred
 
incurred
 
incurred
Gross loss and loss expense incurred for the nine months ended September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty
 
$
182

 
$
103

 
$
285

 
$
82

 
$
16

 
$
13

 
$
111

 
$
264

 
$
16

 
$
116

 
$
396

  Commercial property
 
317

 
27

 
344

 
22

 
2

 

 
24

 
339

 
2

 
27

 
368

  Commercial auto
 
241

 
40

 
281

 
27

 
14

 
14

 
55

 
268

 
14

 
54

 
336

  Workers' compensation
 
135

 
27

 
162

 
(16
)
 
(10
)
 
(3
)
 
(29
)
 
119

 
(10
)
 
24

 
133

  Other commercial
 
96

 
16

 
112

 
(35
)
 
2

 
1

 
(32
)
 
61

 
2

 
17

 
80

    Total commercial lines
 
971

 
213

 
1,184

 
80

 
24

 
25

 
129

 
1,051

 
24

 
238

 
1,313

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Personal auto
 
238

 
42

 
280

 
8

 
20

 
9

 
37

 
246

 
20

 
51

 
317

  Homeowners
 
204

 
19

 
223

 
18

 
(10
)
 

 
8

 
222

 
(10
)
 
19

 
231

  Other personal
 
46

 
3

 
49

 
8

 
6

 
(1
)
 
13

 
54

 
6

 
2

 
62

    Total personal lines
 
488

 
64

 
552

 
34

 
16

 
8

 
58

 
522

 
16

 
72

 
610

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty & property
 
21

 
12

 
33

 
12

 
10

 
6

 
28

 
33

 
10

 
18

 
61

    Total excess & surplus lines
 
21

 
12

 
33

 
12

 
10

 
6

 
28

 
33

 
10

 
18

 
61

      Total property casualty
 
$
1,480

 
$
289

 
$
1,769

 
$
126

 
$
50

 
$
39

 
$
215

 
$
1,606

 
$
50

 
$
328

 
$
1,984

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ceded loss and loss expense incurred for the nine months ended September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty
 
$
(1
)
 
$
1

 
$

 
$
(2
)
 
$
1

 
$

 
$
(1
)
 
$
(3
)
 
$
1

 
$
1

 
$
(1
)
  Commercial property
 
1

 

 
1

 
14

 
(1
)
 

 
13

 
15

 
(1
)
 

 
14

  Commercial auto
 

 

 

 
3

 

 

 
3

 
3

 

 

 
3

  Workers' compensation
 
8

 

 
8

 
2

 
(1
)
 

 
1

 
10

 
(1
)
 

 
9

  Other commercial
 
7

 

 
7

 
(8
)
 

 

 
(8
)
 
(1
)
 

 

 
(1
)
    Total commercial lines
 
15

 
1

 
16

 
9

 
(1
)
 

 
8

 
24

 
(1
)
 
1

 
24

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Personal auto
 
2

 

 
2

 
(1
)
 
4

 

 
3

 
1

 
4

 

 
5

  Homeowners
 
2

 

 
2

 
(2
)
 

 

 
(2
)
 

 

 

 

  Other personal
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Total personal lines
 
4

 

 
4

 
(3
)
 
4

 

 
1

 
1

 
4

 

 
5

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty & property
 
1

 

 
1

 
(1
)
 
(1
)
 

 
(2
)
 

 
(1
)
 

 
(1
)
    Total excess & surplus lines
 
1

 

 
1

 
(1
)
 
(1
)
 

 
(2
)
 

 
(1
)
 

 
(1
)
      Total property casualty
 
$
20

 
$
1

 
$
21

 
$
5

 
$
2

 
$

 
$
7

 
$
25

 
$
2

 
$
1

 
$
28

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net loss and loss expense incurred for the nine months ended September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty
 
$
183

 
$
102

 
$
285

 
$
84

 
$
15

 
$
13

 
$
112

 
$
267

 
$
15

 
$
115

 
$
397

  Commercial property
 
316

 
27

 
343

 
8

 
3

 

 
11

 
324

 
3

 
27

 
354

  Commercial auto
 
241

 
40

 
281

 
24

 
14

 
14

 
52

 
265

 
14

 
54

 
333

  Workers' compensation
 
127

 
27

 
154

 
(18
)
 
(9
)
 
(3
)
 
(30
)
 
109

 
(9
)
 
24

 
124

  Other commercial
 
89

 
16

 
105

 
(27
)
 
2

 
1

 
(24
)
 
62

 
2

 
17

 
81

    Total commercial lines
 
956

 
212

 
1,168

 
71

 
25

 
25

 
121

 
1,027

 
25

 
237

 
1,289

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Personal auto
 
236

 
42

 
278

 
9

 
16

 
9

 
34

 
245

 
16

 
51

 
312

  Homeowners
 
202

 
19

 
221

 
20

 
(10
)
 

 
10

 
222

 
(10
)
 
19

 
231

  Other personal
 
46

 
3

 
49

 
8

 
6

 
(1
)
 
13

 
54

 
6

 
2

 
62

    Total personal lines
 
484

 
64

 
548

 
37

 
12

 
8

 
57

 
521

 
12

 
72

 
605

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty & property
 
20

 
12

 
32

 
13

 
11

 
6

 
30

 
33

 
11

 
18

 
62

    Total excess & surplus lines
 
20

 
12

 
32

 
13

 
11

 
6

 
30

 
33

 
11

 
18

 
62

      Total property casualty
 
$
1,460

 
$
288

 
$
1,748

 
$
121

 
$
48

 
$
39

 
$
208

 
$
1,581

 
$
48

 
$
327

 
$
1,956

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
15



Cincinnati Insurance Companies Consolidated
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Change in
 
Change in
 
Change in
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
Loss
 
 
 
Paid
 
Paid loss
 
Total
 
case
 
IBNR
 
loss expense
 
change in
 
Case
 
IBNR
 
expense
 
Total
 
losses
 
expense
 
paid
 
reserves
 
reserves
 
reserves
 
reserves
 
incurred
 
incurred
 
incurred
 
incurred
Gross loss and loss expense incurred for the three months ended September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty
 
$
58

 
$
33

 
$
91

 
$
28

 
$
(2
)
 
$
4

 
$
30

 
$
86

 
$
(2
)
 
$
37

 
$
121

  Commercial property
 
108

 
9

 
117

 
(10
)
 
(2
)
 

 
(12
)
 
98

 
(2
)
 
9

 
105

  Commercial auto
 
87

 
13

 
100

 
20

 
(15
)
 
2

 
7

 
107

 
(15
)
 
15

 
107

  Other commercial
 
45

 
8

 
53

 
(4
)
 
(9
)
 
5

 
(8
)
 
41

 
(9
)
 
13

 
45

  Specialty packages
 
31

 
5

 
36

 
(17
)
 
3

 
(1
)
 
(15
)
 
14

 
3

 
4

 
21

    Total commercial lines
 
329

 
68

 
397

 
17

 
(25
)
 
10

 
2

 
346

 
(25
)
 
78

 
399

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Personal auto
 
83

 
13

 
96

 
5

 
(2
)
 
4

 
7

 
88

 
(2
)
 
17

 
103

  Homeowners
 
81

 
6

 
87

 
(3
)
 
(11
)
 
1

 
(13
)
 
78

 
(11
)
 
7

 
74

  Other personal
 
18

 
1

 
19

 
7

 

 
(1
)
 
6

 
25

 

 

 
25

    Total personal lines
 
182

 
20

 
202

 
9

 
(13
)
 
4

 

 
191

 
(13
)
 
24

 
202

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty & property
 
9

 
4

 
13

 
4

 
(2
)
 
2

 
4

 
13

 
(2
)
 
6

 
17

    Total excess & surplus lines
 
9

 
4

 
13

 
4

 
(2
)
 
2

 
4

 
13

 
(2
)
 
6

 
17

      Total property casualty
 
$
520

 
$
92

 
$
612

 
$
30

 
$
(40
)
 
$
16

 
$
6

 
$
550

 
$
(40
)
 
$
108

 
$
618

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ceded loss and loss expense incurred for the three months ended September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty
 
$
(3
)
 
$
(1
)
 
$
(4
)
 
$
3

 
$

 
$

 
$
3

 
$

 
$

 
$
(1
)
 
$
(1
)
  Commercial property
 
1

 

 
1

 
(2
)
 
(1
)
 

 
(3
)
 
(1
)
 
(1
)
 

 
(2
)
  Commercial auto
 

 

 

 
2

 

 

 
2

 
2

 

 

 
2

  Workers' compensation
 
3

 

 
3

 
1

 

 

 
1

 
4

 

 

 
4

  Other commercial
 
4

 

 
4

 
(4
)
 

 

 
(4
)
 

 

 

 

    Total commercial lines
 
5

 
(1
)
 
4

 

 
(1
)
 

 
(1
)
 
5

 
(1
)
 
(1
)
 
3

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Personal auto
 
1

 

 
1

 

 
4

 

 
4

 
1

 
4

 

 
5

  Homeowners
 
1

 

 
1

 
(2
)
 

 

 
(2
)
 
(1
)
 

 

 
(1
)
  Other personal
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Total personal lines
 
2

 

 
2

 
(2
)
 
4

 

 
2

 

 
4

 

 
4

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty & property
 
2

 

 
2

 
(2
)
 

 

 
(2
)
 

 

 

 

    Total excess & surplus lines
 
2

 

 
2

 
(2
)
 

 

 
(2
)
 

 

 

 

      Total property casualty
 
$
9

 
$
(1
)
 
$
8

 
$
(4
)
 
$
3

 
$

 
$
(1
)
 
$
5

 
$
3

 
$
(1
)
 
$
7

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net loss and loss expense incurred for the three months ended September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty
 
$
61

 
$
34

 
$
95

 
$
26

 
$
(2
)
 
$
4

 
$
28

 
$
87

 
$
(2
)
 
$
38

 
$
123

  Commercial property
 
107

 
9

 
116

 
(7
)
 
(1
)
 

 
(8
)
 
100

 
(1
)
 
9

 
108

  Commercial auto
 
87

 
13

 
100

 
18

 
(15
)
 
2

 
5

 
105

 
(15
)
 
15

 
105

  Workers' compensation
 
42

 
8

 
50

 
(5
)
 
(9
)
 
5

 
(9
)
 
37

 
(9
)
 
13

 
41

  Other commercial
 
27

 
5

 
32

 
(13
)
 
3

 
(1
)
 
(11
)
 
14

 
3

 
4

 
21

    Total commercial lines
 
324

 
69

 
393

 
19

 
(24
)
 
10

 
5

 
343

 
(24
)
 
79

 
398

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Personal auto
 
82

 
13

 
95

 
5

 
(6
)
 
4

 
3

 
87

 
(6
)
 
17

 
98

  Homeowners
 
80

 
6

 
86

 
(1
)
 
(11
)
 
1

 
(11
)
 
79

 
(11
)
 
7

 
75

  Other personal
 
18

 
1

 
19

 
7

 

 
(1
)
 
6

 
25

 

 

 
25

    Total personal lines
 
180

 
20

 
200

 
11

 
(17
)
 
4

 
(2
)
 
191

 
(17
)
 
24

 
198

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Commercial casualty & property
 
7

 
4

 
11

 
6

 
(2
)
 
2

 
6

 
13

 
(2
)
 
6

 
17

    Total excess & surplus lines
 
7

 
4

 
11

 
6

 
(2
)
 
2

 
6

 
13

 
(2
)
 
6

 
17

      Total property casualty
 
$
511

 
$
93

 
$
604

 
$
36

 
$
(43
)
 
$
16

 
$
9

 
$
547

 
$
(43
)
 
$
109

 
$
613

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
16



Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Premiums
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Agency renewal written premiums

$
999

$
1,018

$
983

$
906

$
958

$
974

$
956

$
2,001

$
1,930

$
3,000

$
2,888


$
3,794

   Agency new business written premiums

138

138

116

122

125

133

123

254

256

392

381


503

   Other written premiums

(39
)
(14
)
(33
)
(41
)
(46
)
(25
)
(42
)
(47
)
(67
)
(86
)
(113
)

(154
)
   Net written premiums – statutory*

$
1,098

$
1,142

$
1,066

$
987

$
1,037

$
1,082

$
1,037

$
2,208

$
2,119

$
3,306

$
3,156


$
4,143

   Unearned premium change

(22
)
(83
)
(25
)
48

(12
)
(76
)
(58
)
(108
)
(134
)
(130
)
(146
)

(98
)
   Earned premiums

$
1,076

$
1,059

$
1,041

$
1,035

$
1,025

$
1,006

$
979

$
2,100

$
1,985

$
3,176

$
3,010


$
4,045

Year over year change %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Agency renewal written premiums

4
%
5
%
3
 %
6
 %
5
 %
11
 %
13
 %
4
 %
12
 %
4
%
9
 %

9
 %
   Agency new business written premiums

10

4

(6
)
(5
)
(11
)
(4
)
(9
)
(1
)
(7
)
3

(8
)

(7
)
   Other written premiums

15

44

21

45

(84
)
26

(320
)
30

(52
)
24

(64
)

(8
)
   Net written premiums – statutory*

6

6

3

9

1

10

7

4

8

5

6


6

Paid losses and loss expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Losses paid

$
511

$
501

$
448

$
478

$
543

$
517

$
484

$
949

$
1,001

$
1,460

$
1,543


$
2,021

   Loss expenses paid

93

97

98

98

96

98

100

195

198

288

295


392

   Loss and loss expenses paid

$
604

$
598

$
546

$
576

$
639

$
615

$
584

$
1,144

$
1,199

$
1,748

$
1,838


$
2,413

Incurred losses and loss expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Loss and loss expense incurred

$
613

$
654

$
689

$
622

$
622

$
707

$
676

$
1,343

$
1,383

$
1,956

$
2,005


$
2,627

   Loss and loss expenses paid as a % of incurred

98.5
%
91.4
%
79.2
 %
92.6
 %
102.7
 %
87.0
 %
86.4
 %
85.2
 %
86.7
 %
89.4
%
91.7
 %

91.9
 %
Statutory combined ratio
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Loss ratio

46.8
%
52.7
%
54.4
 %
49.0
 %
50.0
 %
60.7
 %
57.9
 %
53.6
 %
59.4
 %
51.3
%
56.2
 %

54.4
 %
   Loss adjustment expense ratio

10.1

9.1

11.7

11.1

10.7

9.5

11.2

10.3

10.3

10.2

10.4


10.6

   Net underwriting expense ratio

30.6

28.9

30.0

31.7

30.6

29.4

29.0

29.4

29.2

29.8

29.7


30.1

   Statutory combined ratio

87.5
%
90.7
%
96.1
 %
91.8
 %
91.3
 %
99.6
 %
98.1
 %
93.3
 %
98.9
 %
91.3
%
96.3
 %

95.1
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses

2.5

7.5

4.1

(0.9
)
1.2

11.4

8.9

5.8

10.2

4.7

7.1


5.1

   Statutory combined ratio excl. catastrophe losses

85.0
%
83.2
%
92.0
 %
92.7
 %
90.1
 %
88.2
 %
89.2
 %
87.5
 %
88.7
 %
86.6
%
89.2
 %

90.0
 %
GAAP combined ratio
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   GAAP combined ratio

87.8
%
92.4
%
97.5
 %
90.4
 %
91.0
 %
100.9
 %
100.3
 %
94.9
 %
100.6
 %
92.5
%
97.3
 %

95.6
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses

2.5

7.5

4.1

(0.9
)
1.2

11.4

8.9

5.8

10.2

4.7

7.1


5.1

   GAAP combined ratio excl. catastrophe losses

85.3
%
84.9
%
93.4
 %
91.3
 %
89.8
 %
89.5
 %
91.4
 %
89.1
 %
90.4
 %
87.8
%
90.2
 %

90.5
 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not
 equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm - Not meaningful
*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
17



Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines
 
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Premiums
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Agency renewal written premiums

$
678

$
699

$
730

$
645

$
651

$
669

$
713

$
1,429

$
1,382

$
2,107

$
2,033


$
2,678

   Agency new business written premiums

96

93

79

86

89

95

90

172

185

268

274


360

   Other written premiums

(31
)
(5
)
(26
)
(32
)
(36
)
(16
)
(32
)
(31
)
(48
)
(62
)
(84
)

(116
)
   Net written premiums – statutory*

$
743

$
787

$
783

$
699

$
704

$
748

$
771

$
1,570

$
1,519

$
2,313

$
2,223


$
2,922

   Unearned premium change

14

(42
)
(50
)
31

16

(34
)
(79
)
(92
)
(113
)
(78
)
(97
)

(66
)
   Earned premiums

$
757

$
745

$
733

$
730

$
720

$
714

$
692

$
1,478

$
1,406

$
2,235

$
2,126


$
2,856

Year over year change %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Agency renewal written premiums

4
%
4
 %
2
 %
6
 %
3
 %
11
 %
13
 %
3
 %
12
 %
4
 %
9
 %

8
 %
   Agency new business written premiums

8

(2
)
(12
)
(7
)
(13
)
(4
)
(7
)
(7
)
(6
)
(2
)
(8
)

(8
)
   Other written premiums

14

69

19

49

(140
)
33

nm

35

(100
)
26

(115
)

(14
)
   Net written premiums – statutory*

6

5

2

10

(2
)
10

6

3

8

4

5


6

Paid losses and loss expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Losses paid

$
324

$
329

$
303

$
325

$
368

$
347

$
327

$
632

$
674

$
956

$
1,041


$
1,366

   Loss expenses paid

68

71

73

75

74

75

76

144

151

212

226


300

   Loss and loss expenses paid

$
392

$
400

$
376

$
400

$
442

$
422

$
403

$
776

$
825

$
1,168

$
1,267


$
1,666

Incurred losses and loss expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Loss and loss expense incurred

$
398

$
417

$
474

$
454

$
428

$
461

$
469

$
891

$
930

$
1,289

$
1,358


$
1,812

   Loss and loss expenses paid as a % of incurred

98.5
%
95.9
 %
79.3
 %
88.1
 %
103.3
 %
91.5
 %
85.9
 %
87.1
 %
88.7
 %
90.6
 %
93.3
 %

91.9
 %
Statutory combined ratio
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Loss ratio

42.2
%
46.9
 %
52.2
 %
49.9
 %
47.5
 %
54.7
 %
56.1
 %
49.6
 %
55.4
 %
47.1
 %
52.8
 %

52.0
 %
   Loss adjustment expense ratio

10.2

9.1

12.5

12.4

11.9

9.8

11.8

10.7

10.8

10.5

11.1


11.5

   Net underwriting expense ratio

32.2

29.9

29.9

32.5

32.2

30.5

28.5

29.9

29.5

30.6

30.3


30.8

   Statutory combined ratio

84.6
%
85.9
 %
94.6
 %
94.8
 %
91.6
 %
95.0
 %
96.4
 %
90.2
 %
95.7
 %
88.2
 %
94.2
 %

94.3
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses

1.4

5.9

4.0

(1.0
)
1.0

8.6

8.5

5.0

8.5

3.8

6.0


4.3

   Statutory combined ratio excl. catastrophe losses

83.2
%
80.0
 %
90.6
 %
95.8
 %
90.6
 %
86.4
 %
87.9
 %
85.2
 %
87.2
 %
84.4
 %
88.2
 %

90.0
 %
GAAP combined ratio
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   GAAP combined ratio

84.0
%
87.2
 %
96.6
 %
93.6
 %
90.7
 %
96.3
 %
99.9
 %
91.9
 %
98.1
 %
89.2
 %
95.6
 %

95.1
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses

1.4

5.9

4.0

(1.0
)
1.0

8.6

8.5

5.0

8.5

3.8

6.0


4.3

   GAAP combined ratio excl. catastrophe losses

82.6
%
81.3
 %
92.6
 %
94.6
 %
89.7
 %
87.7
 %
91.4
 %
86.9
 %
89.6
 %
85.4
 %
89.6
 %

90.8
 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not
 equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm - Not meaningful
*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
18



Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Premiums
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Agency renewal written premiums

$
288

$
285

$
223

$
233

$
278

$
276

$
218

$
508

$
494

$
796

$
772


$
1,005

   Agency new business written premiums

30

30

24

24

23

24

21

54

45

84

68


92

   Other written premiums

(6
)
(6
)
(6
)
(8
)
(7
)
(6
)
(8
)
(12
)
(14
)
(18
)
(21
)

(29
)
   Net written premiums – statutory*

$
312

$
309

$
241

$
249

$
294

$
294

$
231

$
550

$
525

$
862

$
819


$
1,068

   Unearned premium change

(35
)
(37
)
27

17

(31
)
(36
)
23

(10
)
(13
)
(45
)
(44
)

(27
)
   Earned premiums

$
277

$
272

$
268

$
266

$
263

$
258

$
254

$
540

$
512

$
817

$
775


$
1,041

Year over year change %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Agency renewal written premiums

4
%
3
%
2
%
4
 %
8
 %
10
 %
12
 %
3
%
11
 %
3
%
10
 %

8
 %
   Agency new business written premiums

30

25

14

0

(18
)
(20
)
(25
)
20

(22
)
24

(21
)

(16
)
   Other written premiums

14


25

11

13

25


14

13

14

13


12

   Net written premiums – statutory*

6

5

4

4

6

8

7

5

8

5

7


6

Paid losses and loss expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Losses paid

$
180

$
165

$
139

$
147

$
170

$
167

$
152

$
304

$
319

$
484

$
489


$
636

   Loss expenses paid

20

22

22

21

19

20

21

44

41

64

60


81

   Loss and loss expenses paid

$
200

$
187

$
161

$
168

$
189

$
187

$
173

$
348

$
360

$
548

$
549


$
717

Incurred losses and loss expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Loss and loss expense incurred

$
198

$
216

$
191

$
148

$
177

$
227

$
188

$
407

$
415

$
605

$
592


$
740

   Loss and loss expenses paid as a % of incurred

101.0
%
86.6
%
84.3
%
113.5
 %
106.8
 %
82.4
 %
92.0
 %
85.5
%
86.7
 %
90.6
%
92.7
 %

96.9
 %
Statutory combined ratio
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Loss ratio

62.5
%
71.1
%
61.9
%
48.9
 %
60.5
 %
79.4
 %
64.8
 %
66.6
%
72.2
 %
65.2
%
68.2
 %

63.3
 %
   Loss adjustment expense ratio

9.0

8.5

9.1

6.9

6.9

8.3

9.3

8.8

8.8

8.8

8.1


7.8

   Net underwriting expense ratio

27.0

26.2

30.4

29.3

26.3

26.6

30.5

28.0

28.3

27.7

27.6


28.0

   Statutory combined ratio

98.5
%
105.8
%
101.4
%
85.1
 %
93.7
 %
114.3
 %
104.6
 %
103.3
%
109.3
 %
101.7
%
103.9
 %

99.1
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses

5.6

12.6

4.9

(1.4
)
2.0

20.4

10.8

8.8

15.7

7.7

11.0


7.8

   Statutory combined ratio excl. catastrophe losses

92.9
%
93.2
%
96.5
%
86.5
 %
91.7
 %
93.9
 %
93.8
 %
94.5
%
93.6
 %
94.0
%
92.9
 %

91.3
 %
GAAP combined ratio
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   GAAP combined ratio

100.9
%
109.2
%
101.4
%
83.7
 %
95.0
 %
115.8
 %
103.0
 %
105.3
%
109.4
 %
103.8
%
104.5
 %

99.2
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses

5.6

12.6

4.9

(1.4
)
2.0

20.4

10.8

8.8

15.7

7.7

11.0


7.8

   GAAP combined ratio excl. catastrophe losses

95.3
%
96.6
%
96.5
%
85.1
 %
93.0
 %
95.4
 %
92.2
 %
96.5
%
93.7
 %
96.1
%
93.5
 %

91.4
 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not
 equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm - Not meaningful
*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
19



Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Excess & Surplus Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
Six months ended
Nine months ended
Twelve months ended
 
12/31/15
9/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
12/31/14
9/30/14
6/30/14
3/31/14
6/30/15
6/30/14
9/30/15
9/30/14
12/31/15
12/31/14
Premiums
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Agency renewal written premiums

$
33

$
34

$
30

$
28

$
29

$
29

$
25

$
64

$
54

$
97

$
83


$
111

   Agency new business written premiums

12

15

13

12

13

14

12

28

26

40

39


51

   Other written premiums

(2
)
(3
)
(1
)
(1
)
(3
)
(3
)
(2
)
(4
)
(5
)
(6
)
(8
)

(9
)
   Net written premiums – statutory*

$
43

$
46

$
42

$
39

$
39

$
40

$
35

$
88

$
75

$
131

$
114


$
153

   Unearned premium change

(1
)
(4
)
(2
)
0

3

(6
)
(2
)
(6
)
(8
)
(7
)
(5
)

(5
)
   Earned premiums

$
42

$
42

$
40

$
39

$
42

$
34

$
33

$
82

$
67

$
124

$
109


$
148

Year over year change %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Agency renewal written premiums

14
 %
17
%
20
%
17
%
16
 %
12
 %
32
%
19
%
20
 %
17
%
19
 %

18
 %
   Agency new business written premiums

(8
)
7

8

0

18

56

20

8

37

3

30


21

   Other written premiums

33


50

50

(50
)
(50
)
0

20

(25
)
25

(33
)

(13
)
   Net written premiums – statutory*

10

15

20

15

15

21

30

17

25

15

21


20

Paid losses and loss expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Losses paid

$
8

$
8

$
5

$
6

$
5

$
3

$
5

$
13

$
8

$
21

$
13


$
19

   Loss expenses paid

4

3

4

2

3

3

3

7

6

11

9


11

   Loss and loss expenses paid

$
12

$
11

$
9

$
8

$
8

$
6

$
8

$
20

$
14

$
32

$
22


$
30

Incurred losses and loss expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Loss and loss expense incurred

$
17

$
21

$
24

$
20

$
17

$
19

$
19

$
45

$
38

$
62

$
55


$
75

   Loss and loss expenses paid as a % of incurred

70.6
 %
52.4
%
37.5
%
40.0
%
47.1
 %
31.6
 %
42.1
%
44.4
%
36.8
 %
51.6
%
40.0
 %

40.0
 %
Statutory combined ratio
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Loss ratio

26.9
 %
36.1
%
44.9
%
34.4
%
27.9
 %
46.6
 %
40.6
%
40.4
%
43.7
 %
35.8
%
37.6
 %

36.8
 %
   Loss adjustment expense ratio

15.0

13.5

14.5

14.6

13.9

10.4

0.1

14.0

13.1

14.3

13.4


13.7

   Net underwriting expense ratio

29.4

29.1

29.9

31.4

34.0

29.1

30.4

29.5

29.7

29.5

31.2


31.3

   Statutory combined ratio

71.3
 %
78.7
%
89.3
%
80.4
%
75.8
 %
86.1
 %
71.1
%
83.9
%
86.5
 %
79.6
%
82.2
 %

81.8
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses

0.4

0.5

0.9

3.0

(0.6
)
2.9

3.1

0.7

3.0

0.6

1.6


2.0

   Statutory combined ratio excl. catastrophe losses

70.9
 %
78.2
%
88.4
%
77.4
%
76.4
 %
83.2
 %
68.0
%
83.2
%
83.5
 %
79.0
%
80.6
 %

79.8
 %
GAAP combined ratio
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   GAAP combined ratio

69.9
 %
76.0
%
88.3
%
77.8
%
70.2
 %
85.0
 %
86.9
%
82.1
%
85.9
 %
77.9
%
79.9
 %

79.4
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses

0.4

0.5

0.9

3.0

(0.6
)
2.9

3.1

0.7

3.0

0.6

1.6


2.0

   GAAP combined ratio excl. catastrophe losses

69.5
 %
75.5
%
87.4
%
74.8
%
70.8
 %
82.1
 %
83.8
%
81.4
%
82.9
 %
77.3
%
78.3
 %

77.4
 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not
 equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm - Not meaningful
*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
20



The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
Statutory Statements of Income
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
(Dollars in millions)
2015
2014
Change
% Change
2015
2014
Change
% Change
Net premiums written
$
61

$
59

$
2

3

$
186

$
182

$
4

2

Net investment income
38

37

1

3

114

111

3

3

Amortization of interest maintenance reserve
1

1



3

3



Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded
1

1



4

4



Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts
2

2



4

4



Total revenues
$
103

$
100

$
3

3

$
311

$
304

$
7

2

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Death benefits and matured endowments
$
23

$
25

$
(2
)
(8
)
$
69

$
73

$
(4
)
(5
)
Annuity benefits
14

17

(3
)
(18
)
44

47

(3
)
(6
)
Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts
1


1

nm

2

1

1

100

Surrender benefits and group conversions
5

6

(1
)
(17
)
13

17

(4
)
(24
)
Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds
2

3

(1
)
(33
)
8

8



Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts
40

40



124

128

(4
)
(3
)
Total benefit expenses
$
85

$
91

$
(6
)
(7
)
$
260

$
274

$
(14
)
(5
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commissions
$
9

$
10

$
(1
)
(10
)
$
28

$
28

$


General insurance expenses and taxes
10

10



31

30

1

3

Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums

(1
)
1

100

(1
)
(4
)
3

75

Net transfers from Separate Accounts

(2
)
2

100


(6
)
6

100

Total underwriting expenses
$
19

$
17

$
2

12

$
58

$
48

$
10

21

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Federal and foreign income tax benefit
(1
)
(3
)
2

67

(4
)
(6
)
2

33

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net loss from operations before realized capital gains
$

$
(5
)
$
5

100

$
(3
)
$
(12
)
$
9

75

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net realized gains net of capital gains tax
(2
)

(2
)
nm

(3
)

(3
)
nm

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net loss (statutory)
$
(2
)
$
(5
)
$
3

60

$
(6
)
$
(12
)
$
6

50

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.
*nm - Not meaningful
*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the
  appropriate regulatory bodies.


CINF Third-Quarter 2015 Supplemental Financial Data
21