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8-K - FORM 8-K - GRANT PARK FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIPf8k_092915.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1
 
Grant Park Fund Weekly Commentary
For the Week Ended September 25, 2015

Current Month
 
Rolling Performance*
 
Rolling Risk Metrics* (October 2010 – September 2015)
Class
 
Week ROR
MTD
ROR
YTD
ROR
 
1 yr
Ann
ROR
3 yr
Ann
ROR
5 yr
Ann
ROR
10 yr
Ann
ROR
 
Annualized
ROR
Annualized Standard Deviation
Maximum
Drawdown
Sharpe
 Ratio
Sortino Ratio
A
0.1%
1.8%
-9.2%
 
-3.6%
-4.3%
-4.2%
0.5%
 
-4.2%
10.1%
-28.6%
-0.4
-0.5
B**
0.1%
1.7%
-9.7%
 
-4.2%
-4.8%
-4.8%
-0.1%
 
-4.8%
10.1%
-29.9%
-0.4
-0.6
Legacy 1***
0.1%
2.0%
-7.8%
 
-1.7%
-2.3%
-2.1%
N/A
 
-2.1%
10.0%
-23.7%
-0.2
-0.3
Legacy 2***
0.1%
1.9%
-7.9%
 
-1.9%
-2.4%
-2.4%
N/A
 
-2.4%
10.0%
-24.4%
-0.2
-0.3
Global 1***
0.1%
2.0%
-7.7%
 
-1.2%
-1.8%
-2.1%
N/A
 
-2.1%
9.7%
-21.9%
-0.2
-0.3
Global 2***
0.1%
1.9%
-7.8%
 
-1.4%
-2.0%
-2.3%
N/A
 
-2.3%
9.7%
-22.4%
-0.2
-0.3
Global 3***
0.1%
1.8%
-9.0%
 
-3.0%
-3.6%
-3.9%
N/A
 
-3.9%
9.7%
-26.2%
-0.4
-0.5
                             
S&P 500 Total Return Index****
-1.4%
-1.9%
-4.8%
 
-0.1%
12.6%
13.5%
6.9%
 
13.5%
11.5%
-16.3%
1.2
2.0
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Gov Index****
-0.3%
0.1%
-1.2%
 
7.1%
2.3%
5.9%
6.8%
 
5.9%
11.6%
-15.5%
0.5
0.9
*
Performance metrics are calculated using month-to-date performance estimates.  All performance data is subject to verification.
**
Units began trading in August 2003.
***
Units began trading in April 2009.
****
Index is unmanaged & is not available for direct investment. Please see Indices Overview (below) for more information. Weekly RORs are calculated
using data acquired through Bloomberg.
 
Portfolio Positions by Sectors and Markets (Two largest positions within each sector)
 
 
Portfolio for A, B and Legacy units
 
Portfolio for Global units
Sector
Sector
 
Market
 
 
Sector
     Market
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
  Position
 
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
Position
COMMODITIES
31%
         
31%
       
Energy
13%
Short
Crude Oil
3.3%
Short
 
13%
Short
Crude Oil
3.4%
Short
Natural Gas
3.1%
Short
 
Natural Gas
3.0%
Short
Grains/Foods
11%
Short
Cotton
1.5%
Short
 
11%
Short
Live Cattle
1.5%
Short
Live Cattle
1.5%
Short
 
Cotton
1.5%
Short
Metals
7%
Short
Copper
1.2%
Short
 
7%
Short
Gold
1.2%
Short
Gold
1.2%
Short
 
Copper
1.2%
Short
FINANCIALS
69%
         
69%
       
Currencies
19%
Long $
Canadian Dollar
1.9%
Short
 
19%
Long $
Canadian Dollar
2.0%
Short
British Pound
1.8%
Long
 
Japanese Yen
2.0%
Short
Equities
11%
Short
S&P 500
1.1%
Short
 
11%
Short
S&P 500
1.0%
Short
Russell 2000
0.9%
Short
 
Nikkei 225
0.9%
Long
Fixed Income
39%
Long
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes
5.9%
Long
 
39%
Long
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes
6.0%
Long
Bunds
4.6%
Long
 
Bunds
4.6%
Long
 
Market Commentary (Largest price movements within each sector)
 
Sector/Market
Energy
Crude oil markets finished higher due to a decline in the number of active U.S. drilling rigs and on optimism about global demand included in upbeat comments by Federal Reserve officials.  Natural gas markets declined to a five-month low after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported an increase in supplies.
 Grains/Foods
Wheat markets finished sharply higher as concerns regarding poor weather in Europe and Australia fostered supply concerns.  Soybean markets also rallied, driven higher by speculation for increased demand from China.  Sugar and coffee markets both rose in excess of 7% as heavy rainfall in key farming regions impeded production.
Metals
Base metals markets fell because of a decline in manufacturing activity.  Gold markets finished modestly higher due to increased demand for safe-haven assets fostered by declines in the global equity markets.
Currencies
The U.S. dollar strengthened on speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates sooner than its European and Asian counterparts.  The British pound fell after weak manufacturing data reinforced views economic growth in the U.K. is slowing.  The euro also declined, under pressure from speculation the European Central Bank may need to expand its recent economic stimulus initiatives to maintain regional growth.
Equities
U.S. equity markets fell nearly 2% due to uncertainty surrounding upcoming changes in U.S. monetary policy and on concerns regarding weak global economic growth.  Germany’s Dax index fell as reaction to Volkswagen emissions-cheating scandal weighed heavily on the nation’s auto manufacturers.   In Japan, the Nikkei 225 index also fell, driven lower by weaker-than-expected industrial production data and short-term strength in the yen.
Fixed Income
Domestic fixed-income markets finished a volatile week lower after Janet Yellen stated she expected an interest rate hike in 2015.

 
 
 
 
ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES.  THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE.  OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY.  INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL.  IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION.  DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.
 

 
 

 
 
Performance Chart
 
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Government Index (formerly Lehman Brothers U.S. Government Index: Long Subset): A benchmark comprised of the Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury and U.S. Agency indices.  The U.S. Long Government Index includes Treasuries (public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have remaining maturities of more than ten years) and U.S. agency debentures (publicly issued debt of U.S. Government agencies, quasi-federal corporations, and corporate or foreign debt guaranteed by the U.S. Government). The U.S. Government Index is a component of the Barclays Capital U.S. Government Index.

Compounded Annualized Rate of Return (ROR): This is the geometric 12-month mean that assumes the same rate of return for each 12-month period to arrive at the equivalent compound growth rate reflected in the actual return data.

Standard and Poor’s 500 Total Return Index (S&P 500 Index): A weighted index of the 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index, which are chosen by Standard and Poor’s based on industry representation, liquidity, and stability.  The stocks in the S&P 500 Index are not the 500 largest companies; rather the index is designed to capture the returns of many different sectors of the U.S. economy.  The total return calculation includes the price-plus-gross cash dividend return.

 
Risk Metrics Chart
 
Drawdown: A drawdown is any losing period during an investment’s performance history. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from an equity peak to an equity valley. Maximum drawdown is simply the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred during the specified time frame. Grant Park’s drawdowns are computed based on month-end equity values.

Sharpe Ratio: A return/risk measure defined as the average incremental return of an investment over the risk free rate.

Sortino Ratio: A ratio developed to differentiate between good and bad volatility. The calculation provides a risk-adjusted measure of performance without penalizing for upward price changes.

Standard Deviation: Measures the dispersal or uncertainty in a random variable (in this case, investment returns). It measures the degree of variation of returns around the mean, or average, return. The higher the volatility of the investment returns, the higher the standard deviation will be. For this reason, standard deviation is often used as a measure of investment risk.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES.  THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE.  OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY.  INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL.  IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION.  DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.