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Exhibit 10.8

 

 

 

 

Great East Energy Inc.



DISCLOSURE OF OIL AND GAS OPERATIONS

for

 

Lysychansko-Toshkivskay Project

 

 

Located in

the Donetsk Basin

SOUTHEASTERN UKRAINE 

 

 

EFFECTIVE JANUARY 1, 2014

 

 

PREPARED OCTOBER 20, 2014

 

REVISED DECEMBER 31, 2014

 

 

by B.L. Whelan, P. Geo.

 

 

 

 

 
 

 

Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, NI51-101, 2014

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS
 

 

1.0 AUTHORIZATION 7
2.0 PURPOSE 7
3.0 DEFINITIONS 7
4.0 PRODUCT PRICES 8
5.0 SUBSOIL FEE (ROYALTY) 8
6.0 CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND OPERATING COSTS 8
7.0 ABANDONMENT AND RESTORATION 8
8.0 ABBREVIATIONS AND CONVERSIONS 8
9.0 INTRODUCTION 12
10.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 13
11.0 NATURAL GAS RESOURCES AND NET PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE NET REVENUE 21
11.1 CLASSIFICATION OF RESOURCES 21
11.2 TOTAL FUTURE NET REVENUE (UNDISCOUNTED) BASED ON FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS WITH COST RECOVERY 22
12.0 PRICING ASSUMPTIONS 22
12.1 PRICING ASSUMPTIONS – FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS 22
13.0 RECONCILIATION OF COMPANY NET RESERVES BY PRINCIPAL PRODUCT TYPE BASED ON FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS 23
14.0 UNDEVELOPED RESOURCES 23
14.1 RISK AND UNCERTAINTY 23
14.2 PROSPECT ANALYSIS 23
15.0 RECONCILIATION OF CHANGES IN NET PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE RESERVES DISCOUNTED AT 10%, FORECAST PRICES ($000) 23
16.0 SIGNIFICANT FACTORS OR UNCERTAINTIES AFFECTING RESOURCES  DATA 23
17.0 OIL AND GAS PROPERTIES 24
17.1 GENERAL 24
17.2 GEOLOGY 24
17.2.1 DONBASS DEVELOPMENT AREA 25
17.2.2 LYSYCHANSKO-TOSHKIVSKAY 25
17.3 PRODUCTION 29
17.4 RESERVOIR CHARACTERISTICS 29
18.0 COSTS TO BE INCURRED 29
18.1 LEASE COSTS 29
19.0 EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES 29
19.1 EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT COSTS 29
19.2 CAPITAL COSTS 30
19.3 OPERATING COSTS 30
20.0 FORWARD CONTRACTS 30
21.0 ABANDONMENT AND RECLAMATION COSTS 30
22.0 TAX HORIZON 30
23.0 PRODUCTION ESTIMATES 30
24.0 PRODUCTION HISTORY 30

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, NI51-101, 2014

 

24.1 AVERAGE DAILY PRODUCTION 31
24.2 PRICES RECEIVED, ROYALTIES PAID, PRODUCTION COSTS AND NETBACKS 31
25.0 PRODUCTION VOLUME BY FIELD 31
26.0 RECOMMENDATIONS 31
27.0 REFERENCES 32
28.0 CERTIFICATE OF QUALIFICATIONS 33

 

  FIGURES
     
  FIGURE 1, RESOURCES CLASSIFICATION FRAMEWORK (SPE-PRMS, FIGURE 1.1)
  FIGURE 2, LOCATION MAP
  FIGURE 3, LOCATION MAP
  FIGURE 4, PERMIT OUTLINE WITH DOMAL STRUCTURES
  FIGURE 5, STRUCTURE ON THE TOMASHEVSKAY DOMES
  FIGURE 6, CROSS-SECTION I-I’, TOMASHEVSKAY NORTH DOME
  FIGURE 7, CROSS-SECTION II-II’, TOMASHEVSKAY SOUTH DOME
  FIGURE 8, TYPE SECTION
  FIGURE 9, CHRONO- AND LITHOSTRIGRAPHY OF THE DONBAS FOLD
    BELT SHOWING THE DISTRIBUTION OF SOURCE ROCKS,
POTENTIAL RESERVOIRS, SEALING BEDS AND ERODED
FORMATIONS IN THE STUDY AREA. MAJOR MAGMATIC AND
TECTONIC EVENTS ARE ALSO SHOWN
     
  TABLES  
     
  TABLE 1, PRODUCT PRICES
  TABLE 2, TOMASHEVSKOYA SOUTH DOME INPUT PARAMETERS
  TABLE 3, VOLUMETRIC ESTIMATES LYSYCHANSK-TOSHKIVSKAY LICENSE
  TABLE 4, SUMMARY OF RESERVES
  TABLE 5, ACREAGE AND WELLS
  TABLE 6, UKRAINE LICENSE
  TABLE 7, LICENSE COORDINATES
  TABLE 8, DOMAL STRUCTURES
  TABLE 9, PRESENT VALUES OF CURRENT PRODUCTION, CONSTANT PRICE
  TABLE 10, PRESENT VALUE CASES FOR SINGLE NEW WELL
  TABLE 11, PRESENT VALUES CASES FOR DEVELOPMENT/EXPLORATION  PROGRAM (AFTER TAXES)
  TABLE 12, TOTAL FUTURE NET REVENUE (UNDISCOUNTED) BASED ON FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS WITH COST RECOVERY, SINGLE WELL
  TABLE 13, FUTURE NET REVENUE BY PRODUCTION GROUP BASED ON
FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS WITH COST RECOVERY,
DEVELOPMENT/EXPLORATION PROGRAM

 

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  TABLE 14, SALES PRICES
  TABLE 15, GENERAL INFORMATION, TOSHKIVSKAY MINE
  TABLE 16, COAL METHANE LIBERATED AT DECONTAMINATION, TOSHKIVSKAY MINE
  TABLE 17, SCHEDULE OF EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT
  TABLE 18, PRODUCTION HISTORY
   
  APPENDIX
     
  CHART 1, ANNUAL PRODUCTION
  TABLE 19, FORECAST CASH FLOW, SINGLE WELL, 250 Mcfd
  TABLE 20, FORECAST CASH FLOW, CURRENT PRODUCTION A3555a
  TABLE 21, FORECAST CASH FLOW, CURRENT PRODUCTION 11K
  TABLE 22, FORECAST CASH FLOW, COMBINED CURRENT PRODUCTION
  TABLE 23, FORECAST CASH FLOW, CONSTANT PRICE, SEQUENTIAL DRILL PROGRAM, COST RECOVERY
  TABLE 24, FORECAST CASH FLOW, CONSTANT PRICE, NO COST RECOVERY
  TABLE 25, FORECAST CASH FLOW, ESCALATED PRICE, STAGGERED DRILL PROGRAM, COST RECOVERY
  TABLE 26, FORECAST CASH FLOW, ESCALATED PRICE, NO COST RECOVERY
  GAMMA RAY ELECTRIC LOG, A3335

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Barry l. Whelan, P. GEO.

Suite 1290, 625 Howe Street, Vancouver, B.C. V6C 2T6
Phone: (604)-259-2525: Fax: 604-674-5113

e-mail: blwhelan@gmail.com

 

October 20, 2014

 

Great East Energy Inc.
173 Keith St., Suite 300
Warrenton, VA 20186
USA

 

Attention:

 


Dear Sir:

 

Re: Evaluation of Resources Great East Energy Inc.
Lysychansko-Toshkivskay Project, Ukraine,

 

In accordance with your authorization, we have performed an evaluation of the resources on the Lysychansk-Toshkivskay project in the Ukraine for Great East Energy Inc. (the “Company”), in order to determine the feasibility of the Company’s geological investigations and potential industrial development of resources within the area under the terms proposed and the value of the resources after consideration of risk. This evaluation has been conducted utilizing forecast prices and costs.

 

Our analysis has included a review of the available technical data including the geological and geophysical interpretation presented by the Company, the proposed financial terms under which the Company shall operate, information from wells within the area, and the proposed program for any prospects and the expenditures anticipated. We have reviewed this material with respect to the estimated resources and productivity that would be expected from a successful program, the anticipated capital costs, the average operating costs in the area and the expected product prices. We have considered the availability of product markets and pipelines within the area.

 

In forming our opinion of the prospects we have relied to considerable extent on the information provided by the Company, which together with our independent analysis and judgment was sufficient for us to establish the nature of the prospects and risks involved.

 

An economic analysis has been performed for the Company’s interest position. This analysis has been utilized for formulating and supporting our recommendation on the project and the values do not necessarily infer “fair market value” of these resources. All monetary units in this report are US dollars.

 

Based on our analysis, after consideration of risk, we have concluded that the potential of the prospects is of sufficient merit to justify the work program being proposed, and we therefore recommend and support the Company’s planned activities.

 

All data gathered and calculations created in support of this report are stored in our files and can be made available or presented upon request. We reserve the right to make revisions to this report in light of additional information made available or which becomes known subsequent to the preparation this report. Due to the risks involved in oil and gas exploration, our assessment of the project cannot be considered a guarantee that any wells drilled will be successful.

 

Prior to public disclosure of any information contained in the report, or our name as author, our written consent must be obtained, as to the information being disclosed and the manner in which it is presented. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or made available for use by any other party without out written consent and may not be reproduced for distribution at any time without the complete report, unless otherwise reviewed and approved by us.

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

We consent to the submission of this report, in its entirety, to securities regulatory agencies and stock exchanges, by the Company.

 

Very truly yours,

 

 

Barry L. Whelan, P. Geo.

 

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  Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

SCOPE OF REPORT

 

1.0 AUTHORIZATION

 

This report has been authorized by Mr. Timur Khromaev on behalf of Great East Energy Inc. The technical analysis of this project has been performed during the months of August and November 2013 and a revision was performed in October, 2014 to bring the report current to January 1, 2014.

 

2.0 PURPOSE

 

The purpose of this report was to independently determine the economic feasibility of the Company undertaking the exploration and industrial development of the resources in the Lysychansko-Toshkivskay area of Ukraine, determine the magnitude of the resources and their economic value.

 

3.0 DEFINITIONS

 

The following definitions are derived from of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission Rule 4-10 of Regulation S-X Part 210.

 

RESERVES are estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substances anticipated to be economically, as of a given date, by application of development projects to known accumulations. In addition, there must exist, or there must be a reasonable expectation that there will exist, the legal right to produce or a revenue interest in the production, installed means of delivering oil and gas or related substances to market, and all permits and financing required to implement the project. Reserves are further classified according to the level of certainty associated with the estimates and may be sub classified based on development and production status.

 

PROVED RESERVES. Proved oil and gas reserves are those quantities of oil or gas, which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible – from a given date forward, from known reservoirs, and under existing economic condition, operating methods, and government regulations – prior to the time at which contracts providing the right to operate expire, unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably certain, regardless of whether deterministic or probabilistic methods were used for the estimation. The project to extract the hydrocarbons must have commenced or the operator must be reasonably certain that it will commence the project within a reasonable time.

 

PRODUCTION is the cumulative quantity of petroleum that has been recovered at a given date.

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4.0 PRODUCT PRICES

 

The product prices were derived from the current (December 2013) sales price for gas within Ukraine and escalated the price at 1.5% per year in subsequent years.

 

Table 1, Product Prices

 

Year
Forecast
Natural Gas,
($US/Mcf)
  Constant Price Forecast Price
1 $10.97 $10.97
2 $10.97 $11.19
3 $10.97 $11.41
4 $10.97 $11.64
5 $10.97 $11.87
6 $10.97 $12.11
7 $10.97 $12.35
8 $10.97 $12.60
9 $10.97 $12.85
10 $10.97 $13.11
  Thereafter
escalated at 2%
per year

 

5.0 SUBSOIL FEE (ROYALTY)

 

Production is subject to a subsoil fee (royalty) of 25%.

 

6.0 CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND OPERATING COSTS

 

Capital expenditures have been based on the proposed exploration and development program (Table 17). Operating costs for gas wells are estimated at $500/month/well.

 

7.0 ABANDONMENT AND RESTORATION

 

Abandonment and restoration costs have not been taken into account in the cash flows as there is no history upon which to base the costs.

 

8.0 ABBREVIATIONS AND CONVERSIONS

 

In this document, the abbreviations set forth below have the following meanings:

 

Oil, Natural Gas Liquids and Natural Gas
atm atmospheres Co/100m degrees Celsius per 100 meters
m3/tonne cubic meters per tonne mD MilliDarcy 10-3 Darcy
MPa MegaPascal 106 Pascal CBM Coalbed methane
Bcf billion cubic feet Gt gigatonnes (tonnes x 109)
Bm3 billion cubic meters Mcf thousand cubic feet
bbl barrel MMcf million cubic feet
bbls barrels Mcfd thousand cubic feet per day
Mbbls thousands of barrels MMcfd million cubic feet per day
MMbbls million barrels MMt million tonnes
Mstb 1,000 stock tank barrels bopd barrels of oil per day
Bcf billion cubic feet stb stock tank barrels
GJ gigajoule GIIP Gas Initially In Place
PPIP Petroleum Initially In Place $000s thousands of dollars
m3 cubic meters Mm3 thousand cubic meters
    MMm3 million cubic meters

 

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 Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Calculations of Discovered Petroleum-Initially-In-Place (PIIP) for the Tomashevskay structure is listed below in Tables 2 and 3. Two examples of the PIIP in the Tomashevskoya South dome are illustrated. Table 2 is based on a specific well, A3335a, analyzed by a third party. Table 3 is based on the average of a wide range of parameters from several wells drilled on the structure.

 

Table 2, Tomashevskay South Dome Input parameters

 

       
Zone h6+ 500
all
G3 600SS 600LS 700
Area, km2 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9
Net Pay, m 24 6 14 13 7 12
Porosity, % 10 10 8 9 4 7
Hydrocarbon Saturation, % 54 59 39 43 20 32
Gas Recovery Efficiency, % 57 85 41 77 73 75
Gas Expansion Factor 48 50 55 56 57 67
PIIP, MMm3 543 150 218 246 28 164
PIIP, Bft3 19 5 8 9 1 6
Recoverable GIP, MMm3 309 127 89 189 21 123
Recoverable GIP, Bft3 11 4 3 7 1 4
Total PIIP, MMm3 1348          
Total PIIP, Bcf 48          
Total Recoverable PIIP, MMm3 859          
Total Recoverable PIIP, Bft3 30          

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 3 Volumetric estimates Lysychansko-Toshkivskay License

 

    max                        
    TD,     P,   CH4, Porosity, PIIP, PIIP, Recovery      
  Structure m km2 T, m Atm Temp.oR % % MMm3 Bcf % MMm3 Bcf Rank
                            Proven
1 Tomashevskay South 450 8 38 40 538.8 90 9 951 34 0.75 713 25 producing
2 Tomashevskay North 400 9 25 61.4 537 74 9 891 32 0.7 624 22 undeveloped

 

Table 4, Summary of Reserves

 

  Estimated Reserves Average
  Gross Net to Company Per Location (160 acres)
  MMm3 Bcf MMm3 Bcf MMm3 Bcf
Category            
Proved 713 25 535 19 43 6
             
Undeveloped 624 22 468 17 34 5

 

Table 5, Acreage and Wells

  

Structure Size, acre Gross acres Net Acres Producing wells Non-
producing
well(s)
Gross/Net
wells*
Developed            
Tomashevskay North 2,100 2,100 2,100 0 3 3
Tomashevskay South 1,977 1,977 1,977 2 5 7
Total 4,077 4,077 4,077      
Undeveloped 99,954 99,954 99,954 0   0
Total 104,031 104,031 104,031 2 8 10

 

* Company has 100% interest in property, thus net=gross ownership.

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

  Map No. 3773 Rev. 5 UNITED NATIONS Department of Field Support September 2008 Cartographic Section

Figure 2, Location Map

 

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9.0 INTRODUCTION

 

The statement of resource data and other oil and gas information set out below has an effective date of January 1, 2014 and a preparation date of October 2014. The resource data set forth below follows the format found in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (COGEH) and the reserves definitions are those defined by the SEC which vary from those contained in NI 51-101 and the COGEH.

 

Information required to be disclosed is listed below. A more detailed discussion regarding the project is presented in the Executive Summary and subsequent sections.

 

(a)The subject resources are categorized as Discovered Petroleum Initially In Place (PIIP) Reserves .
(b)The expected product is natural gas.
 (c)

The subject property is located in the southeastern area of Ukraine within the Donetsk Basin.

(d)The risk on the property is the possibility of encountering a gas reservoir which is not capable of delivering at economic rates.
(e)There is some political risk because of the influence of the Russian Federation in the region.

 

The standards of NI 51-101 differ from the standards of the SEC. The SEC generally permits U.S. reporting oil and gas companies in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved and probable reserves, net of royalties and interests of others.

 

The geologic risk of recovering these resources has not been incorporated in the future net revenue forecast.

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 Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

The Resource Data summarizes the natural gas resources from the property on which Great East Energy Inc. (the “Company” or “Great East”) has permission to operate within the area outlined and the net present values of future net revenue for these resources discovered or developed using constant prices and costs and forecast prices and costs. Additional information not required by the SEC has been supplied to provide additional information which is relevant to the readers of this information.

 

It should not be assumed that the estimates of future net revenues presented in the tables below represent the fair market value of the Company’s resources. There is no assurance that the constant prices and cost assumptions and forecast prices and cost assumptions will be attained and variances could be material. The recovery and resource estimates of oil and natural gas provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated resources will be recovered. Actual recovery of natural gas may be greater or less than the estimates provided herein (see Section 20.0 Notes and Definitions).

 

10.0 Executive Summary

 

Great East has received special permission to conduct geological investigations and experimental industrial development in the Lysychansko-Toshkivskay area in the Donetsk Basin in Ukraine (Figures 2, 3, Tables 6, 7).

 

Table 6, Ukraine license

 

name km2 Gross
acres
Net
acres
depth m approx. geog. coordinates
latitude/longitude
Lysychansko-
Toshkivskay
421 104,030 104,030 unlimited 48°50’30"N/38°12’30”E

 

Table 7, license coordinates

 

  Point Latitude Longitude  
  1 49001'50.00"N 380 07'17.00"E  
  2 480 05'05.00"N 380 08'03.00"E  
  3 480 01'04.00"N 380 09'47.00"E  
  4 480 02'15.00"N 380 04'33.00"E  
  5 48008'53.00"N 38000'60.00"E  
  6 480 08'45.00"N 380 02'50.00"E  
  7 480 01'18.00"N 380 05'18.00"E  
  8 480 03'36.00"N 380 01'39.00"E  
  9 480 06'10.00"N 38031'10.00"E  
  10 480 02'07.00"N 380 09'10.00"E  
  11 480 01'33.00"N 380 07'20.00"E  
  12 480 02'43.00"N 380 04'28.00"E  
  13 480 08'30.00"N 380 08'40.00"E  
  14 49000'55.00"N 380 05'15.00"E  

  

In 1999, Ukraine coal mines generated approximately 2,060 million cubic meters (73 Bcf) of methane of which 1,981 million cubic meters (70 Bcf) were lost to the atmosphere. In 1999, the government of Ukraine drafted a  national energy program with the stated objective of achieving, among other objectives, production of methane sufficient to satisfy local needs. The Lysychansko-Toshkivskay project is a result of that policy. As a consequence of this policy there is a tax exemption in effect until January 2020 for mining activities and coal gas deposits. Thus, in the cash flow statement, no after tax figures are created.

  

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

The resources for the project are classified as Reserves, Proven and Probable. The hydrocarbon in place will be gas.

 

The economic cases (Tables 19 through 26) in the Appendix of the report are the best estimate of potential revenue, production and recovery and utilize forecast prices as of December 2014, for a single well. The most likely case is based upon production records from two producing wells on the property. The revenue stream is with the cost of the well included in the capital costs and cost recovery is performed in the analysis.

 

Coal fields within the Donetsk basin are well documented and data is available for determining the resource base. The basin provides approximately 95.4% of the Ukraine’s coal production. Values have been attributed to sands which occur within the section, and other areas within the basin have been noted as being charged with gas (see Section 17.1). Coal metamorphism in the Donetsk Basin has led to the formation of a significant methane resource, which by estimates provided by Ukraine and Western CBM professionals, could be as high as 117 trillion cubic meters (U.S. EPA, 2001). Sand bodies adjacent to the coal beds and at deeper horizons are gas charged targets.

 

The production history over the last ten years of the two wells drilled on the license (Table 15) has been used to estimate flow rates and decline rates for the cash flow statements. Several (5) other wells have been drilled on the license but have not been put into production.

 

The license encompasses seven domal structures as follows:

Tomashevskay South containing wells # A3335, A3335a, A3335b, A33455, A3364 (11K) 6K.

Tomashevskay North containing wells #7K, 8K, 9K

Lysychanskay

Vovcheyarskay

Toshkivskay

Petrograd-Donetskay

Zolotarivskay

 

The Tomashevskay structure was the basis for the calculation of reserves as it has a history of production.

The area of the dome was determined by one of the productive horizons, usually the bottom-most horizon and a specific contour line.

 

Table 8, Domal structures

 

Domes Size,km2 Size, acre
Tomashevskay North 8.5 2,100
Tomashevskay South 8 1,977
Toshkivskay 15 3,706
Lysychanskay 8 1,977
Vovcheyarskay 6 1,482
Zolotarivskay within GEEI area
10/ total 16
within GEEI area
2,470/ total 3,954
Petrograd-Donetskay 7 1,730

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

To summarize for the following information is included:

 

  a) Pursuant to the Agreement, the Company has a Special Permit to carry out geological investigation and experimental industrial development within 421 km2 in the Lysychansko-Toshkivskay area in the Donetsk Basin.

b)All resources are in Ukraine.
c)All future production is anticipated to be gas.
d)The area is located is highly developed with respect to infrastructure.
e)The license overlies an area in which extensive coal mining has been and is still being carried out.
f)The risks are the undefined production potential, confirmation of economic hydrocarbon production in the license area, the license life and product prices.
g)The current license has a term of five years. Subsequent to this term an application must be made for a production license.

 

It is recommended that the Company carry out an exploratory/development drilling/seismic program to determine the content and deliverability gas from gas bearing units within the license. For an expanded discussion of the program, see Section 19.1.

 

The report was prepared by a “Qualified Reserves Evaluator” who is independent of the Company.

 

This report has been prepared for the Company at the request of Mr. Timur Khromaev, Director, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of the Great East Energy Inc.

 

Table 9, Present Value of Current Production, Constant Prices

 

   Combined A3335a and 11K 
   BT($000s)   tax($000s)   AT($000s) 
Net present Value @ 0%  $431   $12   $419 
Net present Value @ 5%  $373   $9   $365 
Net Present Value @ 10%  $328   $6   $321 
Net Present Value @ 15%  $291   $5   $287 
Net Present Value @ 20%  $262   $3   $259 

  

Table 10, Present Values Cases for single new well

 

  Initial Flow  Rate 250  Mcfd   Initial Flow  Rate 250  Mcfd 
   Constant  price   Escalated  price 
Net cash flow with cost recovery    Before tax  ($000s)    Before tax  ($000s) 
Net present Value @ 0%  $1,488   $1,583 
Net present Value @ 5%  $1,097   $1,162 
Net Present Value @ 10%  $817   $864 
Net Present Value @ 15%  $611   $645 
Net Present Value @ 20%  $454   $481 

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 11, Present Value Cases for Development/Exploration Program (after taxes)

 

constant price      escalated prices 
 recover costs    no cost recovery       recover costs    no cost recovery 
$000s  $000s     $000s  $000s
$85,354   $171,878   net present value @ 0%  $132,289   $218,740 
$41,426   $111,677   net present value @ 5%  $62,534   $133,578 
$19,500   $77,808   met present value @ 10%  $33,068   $88,526 
$7,970   $57,295   net present value @ 15%  $16,293   $62,766 
$1,673   $44,091   net present value @ 20%  $7,179   $46,999 

 

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 Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

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 Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

11.0 NATURAL GAS RESOURCES AND NET PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE NET REVENUE

 

Following the guidelines of National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities, and the SEC/SPE standards for reserves, the author B.L. Whelan, P. Geo., prepared a report (the “Report”) dated October, 2014, subsequently revised December 31, 2014. The Report evaluated as of January 1, 2014, the Lysychansk-Toshkivskay license, in which the Company can acquire an interest, with respect to potential natural gas resources and the net present value of future net revenue attributable to such resources as evaluated in the Report based on constant and forecast price and cost assumptions. The tables summarize the data contained in the Report and as result may contain slightly different numbers than such report due to rounding. The net present value of future net revenue attributable to the Company’s resources is stated without provision for interest cost and general and administrative costs, but after providing for the estimated royalties, production costs, development costs, and abandonment costs for only those wells assigned resources by the author.

 

The Report is based on data supplied by the Company, public documents and the author’s opinion of reasonable practices in the industry. The extent and character of ownership and of all factual data pertaining to the Company’s properties were supplied by the Company and accepted without further investigation. The author accepted this data as presented and did not conduct title searches or field inspections.

 

The undiscounted or discounted net present value of future net revenue attributable to the Company’s resources estimated by the author may not represent the fair market value of those resources. Other assumptions and qualifications relating to costs, prices for future production and other matters are summarized within the Report. The recovery and resource estimates of the Company’s natural gas resources provided within the Report are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated resources will be recovered. Actual resources may be greater or less than the estimates provided in the Report.

 

All amounts are in United States dollars unless otherwise noted. The following tables are derived from the most likely case scenario. The cash flows generated are for single wells, current production and for the development/exploration proposed program utilizing constant and escalated product prices.

 

11.1 CLASSIFICATION OF RESOURCES

 

The resources stated in the report are Petroleum Initially In Place (PIIP) and the stated recoverable portion is considered Reserves and Prospective Resources.

 

The classification of the various structures is based upon the following criteria:

 

1 Tomashevskay South, Proven Reserves, is based on the history of production from the A335a and 11K wells (Table 18) and the occurrence of gas zones within several other wells on the structure.

 

2 Tomashevskay North, Probable Reserves, is based on the history of production from the 7K and 8K wells which has water influx but the structure has recognized gas zones within several other wells on the structure.

 

3 The remaining domal structures, Prospective Resources, based on the presence throughout the license of underlying coal beds, gas seeps, ventilated gas, but no wells for definition of zones. Prospective Resources are not reserves

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11.2 TOTAL FUTURE NET REVENUE (UNDISCOUNTED) BASED ON FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS WITH COST RECOVERY

 

Table 12, Total future net revenue (undiscounted) based on forecast prices and costs with cost recovery,

single well

 

Revenue Royalties Operating Costs Well
Costs
Workover
Future Net Revenue Before Income Taxes Future
Net
Revenue
After
Income
Taxes
($000s) ($000s) ($000s) ($000s) ($000s) ($000s)
Potential production 250 Mcfd      
$3,464 $866 $116 $800 $1,683 $1,407

 

Table 13 Total future net revenue (undiscounted) based on forecast prices and costs with cost recovery, development/exploration program

  

Revenue Royalties Operating Costs Well
Costs
Future
Net
Revenue
After
Income
Taxes
($000s) ($000s) ($000s) ($000s) ($000s)
         
$361,074 $90,269 $4,050 $102,350 $132,289

 

12.0 PRICING ASSUMPTIONS

 

12.1 PRICING ASSUMPTIONS FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS

 

The author employed the local price of $10.97 as of December, 2014, held constant and escalated at 2%/year in estimating the Company’s resources data.

 

Table 14, Sales prices

 

Year
Forecast
Natural Gas,
($US/Mcf)
  Constant Price Forecast Price
1 $10.97 $10.97
2 $10.97 $11.19
3 $10.97 $11.41
4 $10.97 $11.64
5 $10.97 $11.87
6 $10.97 $12.11
7 $10.97 $12.35
8 $10.97 $12.60
9 $10.97 $12.85
10 $10.97 $13.11
  Thereafter
escalated at 2%

 

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13.0 RECONCILIATION OF COMPANY NET RESERVES BY PRINCIPAL PRODUCT TYPE BASED ON FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS

 

No reconciliation has been performed as no reserves were previously determined.

 

14.0 UNDEVELOPED RESOURCES

 

The following discussion generally describes the basis upon which the Company attributes Prospective Resources for undrilled structures on the license and its plan for developing those Prospective Resources (Section 19).

 

The assignment of Prospective Resources was made on the basis of:

 

1.The presence of coal bed methane being vented over an indeterminate number of years but more than 20 years.
2.The presence of gas in all wells drilled to date on the license.
3.The presence of two wells that have produced from the license on the Tomashevskay structure as test wells for gas production.
4.The history of gas being ventilated from the various coal operations in the region.

 

14.1 RISK AND UNCERTAINTY

 

In the present case there is evidence that the named formations, i.e. the sands and limestones, have hydrocarbons in place and that they have been, in one instance, economically produced. The risk involved is whether the members as a whole contains sufficient recoverable hydrocarbons to justify the resource assigned to it. This risk is mitigated by the record of vented gases from the various properties and the production history from the A3335 well (Table 18).

 

14.2 PROSPECT ANALYSIS 

 

Risk components   % 
Source   100 
Reservoir   100 
Trap, seal   90 
Timing, migration   100 
      
Geological success   90 
Commerciality   70 
      
Commercial success   63 

 

15.0 RECONCILIATION OF CHANGES IN NET PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE RESERVES DISCOUNTED AT 10%, FORECAST PRICES ($000) 

 


No reserves have been previously determined, thus there is no reconciliation. 

 

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16.0 SIGNIFICANT FACTORS OR UNCERTAINTIES AFFECTING RESOURCES DATA

 

The estimation of resources requires judgment and decisions based upon available geological, geophysical, engineering and economic data. These estimates can change substantially as additional information from ongoing development activities and production performance becomes available and as economic and political conditions impact gas prices and costs change. The Company’s estimates are based on current production forecasts, prices and economic conditions. All of the Company’s resources are evaluated by an independent person, the author, an independent consulting geologist.

 

As circumstances change and additional data becomes available, resource estimates change. Based on new information, resource estimates are reviewed and revised, either upward or downward, as warranted. Although reasonable efforts have been made by the Company to ensure resource estimates are accurate, revisions arise as new information becomes available. As new geological, production and economic information is incorporated into the process of estimating the accuracy of the resource estimates improves. Such revisions can be either positive or negative.

 

17.0 OIL AND GAS PROPERTIES

 

Pursuant to an agreement the Company has a license to operate geological investigations and experimental industrial development in the Lysychansko-Toshkivskay Project, Ukraine.

 

17.1 GENERAL

 

The Donetsk Basin is one of the major coal fields in the world with over 95% of Ukraine’s coal production from the basin. The basin is estimated to contain proven coal reserves of 52 Gt with an additional resource base of 42 Gt (Privalov V.A. et al, 2003). The basin contains more than 300 coal seams of which 130 seams have a thickness of greater than 0.45m. The basin is 150 km wide and extends approximately 500 km from eastern Ukraine into the Rostov region of Russia. Almost all of the coal fields in the basin are characterized by high CBM content with most of the methane sorbed onto microporous surfaces of the coal beds and dispersed coaly matter in the encompassing host rock. Data obtained from the Toshkivskay Mine was used as the model for calculations of Petroleum-Initially-In-Place (PIIP) as the Toshkivskay Mine has considerable published data.

 

Multiple sandstone beds, separated by shales, coals, and carbonates are present in the Carboniferous section (Figure 5). The thickness of reservoir beds ranges from several meters to 75m. Reservoir properties of sandstones vary significantly, depending on the facies, composition and diagenetic changes (Ulmishek, G., 2001). As these sandstones are the principal reservoir for oil and gas in other areas of the basin, the potential of the sands is the objective during the proposed drilling program. “In addition, for both CMM and CBM recovery projects, the methane contained within non-coal interbeds can represent a significant source of additional methane. Therefore, it is important to consider these sources when assessing resource potential as well as in the development of the extraction programs”. (EPA, Triplett, J. eta al.).

 

17.2 GEOLOGY

 

In general, the Donetsk Basin is bounded on the north and southwest by outcrops of the bottom coal seams. The eastern boundary is represented by a general pinch-out of the coal seams, and the southern boundary by crystalline rocks of the Ukrainian shield. To the northwest of the basin, a general depression of the coal beds can be found that reaches the depth of 1,800m (EPA, 2001).

 

Search http://www.epa.gov/cmop/docs/ukraine_handbook.pdf for a complete description of the basin. Extracts from various reports which deal with the properties of interest are included below.

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

The basin is principally a Late Devonian rift that is overlain by Carboniferous to Early Permian postrift sag (Ulmishek, G.F., USGS, 2007). The sedimentary succession of the basin consists of four tectono-stratigraphic sequences (Figure 8):

 

1.The prerift platform sequence includes Middle Devonian to lower Frasnian, mainly clastic rocks that were deposited in an extensive intercratonic basin.
2.The Upper Devonian sequence is composed of marine carbonate, clastic and volcanic rocks and two salt formations of Frasnian and Famennian age that are deformed into salt domes and plugs.
3.The postrift sag sequence consists of Carboniferous and Lower Permian clastic marine and alluvial deltaic rocks. The basin was affected by strong compression in Early Permian time when the southeastern basin area was uplifted and deeply eroded and the Donetsk fold belt was formed.
4.The postrift platform sequence includes Triassic through Tertiary rocks that were deposited in a shallow platform depression that extended far beyond the Dnieper-Donetsk basin boundaries.

 

17.2.1 DONBASS DEVELOPMENT AREA

 

The Donbas area contains the Lysychansko-Toshkivskay area and includes 5 operating mines and 11 closed mines. The relevant area is located in the Lugansk region. The lease area has a SE-NW orientation and the largest nearby town is Lysychanskaya. Ninety percent of the area is used for agricultural purposes or is not cultivated, and is owned by individuals, farmers or municipal bodies. The large (700mm diameter) Donetsk – Mariupol pipeline runs to the east of the lease.

 

17.2.2 Lysychansko-Toshkivskay

 

The Lysychansko-Toshkivskay license is located 165 km north-northeast of Donetsk. The data utilized to generate the regional resource figures was partially derived from the information published on the Toshkivskay mine (Table 15, 16) which lies within the license and has similar geological properties and well information. The stratigraphic sequence is monotonous throughout the license and has been delineated by multiple drill holes which were drilled to evaluate the coal seams throughout the area. No electric logs were rum on the holes as they were slim-hole drill holes drilled as stratigraphic tests. The information derived was used to map the sedimentary sequence which, as stated, was constantly regular and disturbed only by faulting.

 

Table 15 General Information, Toshkivskay Mine

 

Total mineable reserves, thousand tonnes   45,639 
Mineable reserves, active mine levels, thousand tonnes   30,153 
Total mining area, km2   15 
Depth of shafts, m   486 
Mining capacity, tonnes/day   181 
Coal seam gas content, m3/tonne   8.0 
Pressure gradient, MPa/1000m   No data 
Porosity, sandstone   12.8-0.8 
Permeability, sandstone, mD   13.33 
Total methane resources, million m3   400 
Methane liberated by mine ventilation, million m3/year   0.658 

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Table 16, Coal methane liberated at decontamination, Toshkivskay Mine

 

Year Methane liberated
at ventilation
Mm3/year
Coal  production  
thousand  tonnes
/year
2003 142 18.9
2004 32 37.1
2005 509 60.0
2006 559 61.5
2007 334 61.6
2008 605 61.9
2009 2,210 172.5
2010 1,740 139.5
2011 742 66.2
2012 462 42.1

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

 

 

Figure 9, Chrono- and lithostratigraphy of the Donbass fold belt showing the distribution of source rocks, potential reservoirs, sealing beds and eroded formations in the study area. Major magmatic and tectonic events are also shown (Alsaab, D., et al, 2008).

 

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17.3 PRODUCTION

 

Two wells have been placed on production to test for natural gas in the sands present (see Section 24.0). There are numerous vents for degasification of the mines from which volumes have been recorded.

 

17.4 RESERVOIR CHARACTERISTICS

 

See Table 3, Section 8.

 

18.0 COSTS TO BE INCURRED

 

18.1 LEASE COSTS

 


Pursuant to the Agreement, the buy-in costs for the Company on the license is less than $1,000 (U.S.).

 

19.0 EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES

 

19.1 EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT COSTS

 

Table 17, Schedule of exploration and development

 

Year 1 2 3 4

Total costs,

$000

type Rework/
Prod'n
Prod’n Prod'n Expl'n/ Prod'n Expl'n/
Prod'n
Expl'n/
Prod'n
Expl'n Expl'n/
Prod'n
 
wells 2** 3 2* 4 2* 1 2* 2  
depth, m 500m 800m 2500m 1500m 2500m 2500m 2500m 2500m  
location Tomash Tomash Zolot Tomash Zolot Toshk Toshk PD  
output, Mm3/d   8 2 20 4 20 20 20  
output, Mcf/d   280 70 705 140 705 705 705  
decline, %   20 10 15 10 15 15 15  
cost, $000 $700 $2,150 $5,400 $7,900 $5,400 $2,700 $5,300 $5,300 $34,850
seismic, $000     $500     $500     $1,000
facilities, $000   $1,200 $1,200     $1,200   $1,200 $4,800
cost in year, $000 $700 $3,350 $7,100 $7,900 $5,400 $4,400 $5,300 $6,500 $40,650
PD - Petrograd-Donetsk dome, Tomash - Tomashevskay domes, Toshk - Toshkivskay dome, Zolot - Zolotarivskay dome
* depending on result of previous well
**In year 1, deepen well 7K, cost $400k for exploration purposes, then plug back to produce from upper horizon at cost of $150k; rework of well 1G

 

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19.2 CAPITAL COSTS 

  

No capital costs were incurred by the Company during 2013.

 

19.3 OPERATING COSTS

 

For future cash flow purposes operating costs were estimated to be $500 per month per well once the new well is underway. No transportation costs were assigned as the Company owns the pipeline.

 

20.0 FORWARD CONTRACTS

 

None. Present production is sold to local end users.

 

21.0 ABANDONMENT AND RECLAMATION COSTS

 

The estimated abandonment costs are estimated to be $10,000 but were not included in the cash flow because of the indeterminate well life and lack of data on abandonment costs.

 

22.0 TAX HORIZON

 

A tax of 18% is levied on profits..

 

23.0 PRODUCTION ESTIMATES

 

Production rates for CBM vary significantly depending upon the basin in which they are exploited. As examples, the following basins within North America have production rates per well as follows:

 

Powder River basin 319 - 266 Mcfd
Alberta 75 Mcfd
Black Warrior Basin 20 – 1,000 Mcfd
Raton Basin 300 Mcfd

 

The rates used for the economic analysis in this Report were selected based on a general average from various basins and the production history of the A3335a well on the Tomashevskay South dome. The producing well, 11K on the Tomashevskay North dome has a poor history of production because of a rapid draw down resulting in formation damage and water entry. The estimates of future production is 250 Mcf/day/well initially, declining 25% in year 1, and 10% in subsequent years.

 

24.0 PRODUCTION HISTORY

 

Two wells have been placed on production for natural gas. The production history is tabulated in Table 18 and Chart 1 (Appendix). Venting from coal mining operations has been carried out for an indeterminate but substantial period (Table 16).

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 17, Production history

 

Annual Production MMcf
Well 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
A3335a 61.1 168.7 90.7 68.6 59.8 56.6 53.9 42.7 29.8 26.8 24.6 20.1
11K 0 1.75 14.8 11.4 8.8 6.3 5.22 4.46 3.99 4.24 3.89 3.8
Daily Gas Flow, Mcf/d
A3335a 531 441.4 287 205 171 152 138 120 101 87.9 70.3 57.5
11K 0 56.5 35.3 30 23.8 18.4 14.1 12.7 13.1` 12.7 11.8 10.8

 

Future discounted cash flows for the two currently producing wells see Tables 20, 21, 22.

 

24.1 AVERAGE DAILY PRODUCTION

 

See Table 17 above.

 

24.2 PRICES RECEIVED, ROYALTIES PAID, PRODUCTION COSTS AND NETBACKS

 

The sales prices used in the economic runs are those for gas sales within the Donetsk Basin. An estimate of netbacks follows:

 

Price received/Mcf  $10.97 
Royalty (25%)  $2.74 
Production costs ($500/m)  $0.13 
Netback  $8.10 

 

25.0 PRODUCTION VOLUME BY FIELD

 

To date there are only two wells which have produced as a result of development. Total production to the end of 2014 was 779 MMcf.

 

26.0 RECOMMENDATIONS

 

It is recommended that the drilling and testing program be carried out over the Lysychansko-Toshkivskay license to a minimum depth of 800 m and a maximum depth of 2500m in order to:

1.determine the potential for deliverability of natural gas from the sand intervals.
2.obtain petrophysical data to determine the reservoir characteristics and contents of the sandstone formations which are prevalent in the section of the Lysychansko-Toshkivskay license,
3.obtain drawdown parameters,
4.determine the spacing pattern for future development of the Lysychansko-Toshkivskay license,
5.penetrate below the major fault underlying the Tomashevskay structure, and
6.determine the optimum depth to drill wells.
7.add compressors to existing wells

 

It is recommended that several test wells be drilled on the Lysychansko-Toshkivskay license for a total expenditure of $8.15 million (see Table 17). This will satisfy the objectives set out above and the requirements of the Agreement. Upon confirmation that the potential for reasonable production is present, it is recommended that a continuous drill program be carried out to efficiently produce the resource.

 

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27.0 REFERENCES

 

Alsaab, D, Elie, M., Izart, A, Sachsenhofer, R. F. Predicting methane accumulations generated from humic carboniferous coals in the Donbas fold belt (Ukraine), 2007 AAPG Bulletin, August 2008, v. 92; no. 8; p. 10-29 – 1053.

 

Coal Mine Methane and Coalbed Methane Development in the Donetsk Region, Ukraine, by Advanced Resources International, Inc., May 2008, for Donetsk Regional Administration and U.S. Trade and Development Agency.

 

Coal Mine Methane in Ukraine: Opportunities for Production and Investment in the Donetsk Coal Basin, by Partnership for Energy and Environmental Reform for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Triplett, J., Filippov, A., Pisarenko A., 2001.

 

Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook, (COGEH), Volume 1, Reserves Definitions and Evaluation Practices and Procedures, Second Edition, September 1, 2007, Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers (Calgary Chapter) and Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy & Petroleum (Petroleum Society).

 

Marathon Oil, Power Point, 2006, Donbass, Ukraine: Estimation of Tomashevskiy and Lysychansko-Toshkivskiy licensed blocks


Mavor, Matt, and Nelson, C.R., 1997, Coalbed Reservoir Gas-In-Place Analysis, Gas Research Institute Report No. GRI-97/0263; Chicago, Illinois.

 

Privalov, V.A., Zhykalyak, M.V., Panova, E.A., 2003 Geologic Controls on Coalbed Occurrence in the Donets Basin (Ukraine), www.coalinfo.net.cn/coalbed/meeting/2203/papers/coal-mining/cm054.pdf.

 

Swindell, Gary S., Powder River Basin Coalbed Methane Wells, Reserves and Rates, SPE.

 

Ulmishek, Gregory F., 2001, Petroleum Geology and Resources of the Dnieper-Donets Basin, Ukraine and Russia, USGS Bulletin 2201-E.

 

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28.0 CERTIFICATE OF QUALIFICATIONS

 

I, Barry l. Whelan, of the city of Vancouver, Province of British Columbia, do hereby certify:

1.That I did prepare a review of the properties held by Great East Energy Inc.
  
2.That I am a Professional Geoscientist in the Province of British Columbia and that I have in excess of forty years experience as a Geologist, fifteen years with Gulf Oil Corporation and twenty five years as a Consulting Geologist.
  
3.That I have experience in exploration and development geology in North America, South America, Asia, Africa and Europe.
  
4.That I have performed evaluations of a similar type to this evaluation continuously starting in 1970 with Gulf Oil Corporation and subsequently as a consultant to individuals and companies since 1980.
  
5.That I have conducted the evaluation in accordance with generally accepted industry standards.
  
6.That I have no interest, direct or indirect, nor do I expect to receive any direct or indirect interest in the property evaluated in this report or in Great East Energy Inc.
  
7.That a personal field inspection of the properties was made from October 15th to the 23rd, 2013. The report was generated by material from Great East Energy Inc., conversations with the technical staff of Great East Energy Inc. and public records.
  
8.That Great East Energy Inc. provided ownership data and the terms of the Agreement.

 

Dated at Vancouver, British Columbia on the 30th of December, 2014

     

BARRY L. WHELAN”, P. GEO

   

 

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APPENDIX

 

 

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Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 19, Forecast cash flow, single well, 250 Mcfd

 

  Great East              
  Constant Prices              
  Ukraine         SUMMARY      
  Initial flow rate 250 Mcfd     RESERVES AND ECONOMICS      
  100% W.I.,75% N.R.I.       As of December 2014      
  All amounts in $US       CONSTANT PRICES      
                         
    Gross Gas Net Gas                  
  Year Prod to Company Price revenue Royalty Gas Op Costs Future BT Taxes Future Atax Cumulative
    Mcf Mcf $/Mcf $000s $000s Transm.   Cash Flow 20% Cash Flow Total
    (100% WI) (75% NRI.)   (100% WI) (25%) 000$ 000$ $000s $000s $000s $000s
                         
2015 1 80,938 60,703 $10.97 $888 $222 $81 $6.00 $666 $0 $666 $666
2016 2 68,797 51,598 $10.97 $755 $189 $69 $6.09 $566 $0 $566 $1,232
2017 3 58,477 43,858 $10.97 $641 $160 $58 $6.18 $481 $0 $481 $1,713
2018 4 49,706 37,279 $10.97 $545 $136 $50 $6.27 $409 $0 $409 $2,122
2019 5 42,250 31,687 $10.97 $463 $116 $42 $6.37 $348 $0 $348 $2,470
2020 6 35,912 26,934 $10.97 $394 $98 $36 $6.46 $295 $59 $236 $2,706
2021 7 30,526 22,894 $10.97 $335 $84 $31 $6.56 $251 $50 $201 $2,907
2022 8 25,947 19,460 $10.97 $285 $71 $26 $6.66 $213 $43 $171 $3,078
2023 9 22,055 16,541 $10.97 $242 $60 $22 $6.76 $181 $36 $145 $3,223
2024 10 18,746 14,060 $10.97 $206 $51 $19 $6.86 $154 $31 $123 $3,346
2025 11 15,935 11,951 $10.97 $175 $44 $16 $6.96 $131 $26 $105 $3,451
2026 12 13,544 10,158 $10.97 $149 $37 $14 $7.07 $111 $22 $89 $3,540
2027 13 11,513 8,635 $10.97 $126 $32 $12 $7.17 $95 $19 $76 $3,616
2028 14 9,786 7,339 $10.97 $107 $27 $10 $7.28 $81 $16 $64 $3,680
2029 15 8,318 6,238 $10.97 $91 $23 $8 $7.39 $68 $14 $55 $3,735
    492,448 369,336   $5,402 $1,351 $492 $100.09 $4,052 $316 $3,735  
                         
                         
          BT($000s) Tax ($000s) AT ($000s)          
    Net present Value @ 0%   $4,052 $316 $3,735          
    Net present Value @ 5%   $3,190 $204 $2,986          
    Net Present Value @ 10%   $2,608 $136 $2,472          
    Net Present Value @ 15%   $2,196 $93 $2,103          
    Net Present Value @ 20% $1,887 $65 $1,823          

  

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Table 20, Forecast cash flow, current production A3555a

 

  Great East     Well # A3335a            
  Constant Prices     SUMMARY            
  Ukraine     RESERVES AND ECONOMICS            
  Initial flow rate 75 Mcfd   As of December, 2014            
  100% W.I.,75% N.R.I.   CONSTANT PRICES            
  All amounts in $US                    
                           
    Gross Gas Net Gas to company                    
  Year Prod Price Revenue Royalty Net Cumulative Op Costs Future
Btax
Taxes Future Atax Cumulative
    Mcf Mcf $/Mcf $000s $000s Revenue Total   Cash Flow 0.2 Cash Flow Cash Flow
    (100% WI) (75% NRI.)   (100% WI) (25%) $000s $000s 000$ 000$ 000$ $000s $000s
                           
2015 1 24,281 18,211 $10.97 $266 $67 $200 $200 $6 $194 $0 $194 $194
2016 2 20,639 15,479 $10.97 $226 $57 $170 $370 $6 $164 $0 $164 $358
2017 3 15,479 15,479 $10.97 $170 $42 $127 $497 $6 $121 $0 $121 $479
2018 4 11,609 11,609 $10.97 $127 $32 $96 $592 $6 $90 $0 $90 $568
2019 5 8,707 8,707 $10.97 $96 $24 $72 $664 $6 $66 $0 $66 $634
2020 6 6,530 6,530 $10.97 $72 $18 $54 $718 $6 $48 $10 $38 $672
2021 7 4,898 4,898 $10.97 $54 $13 $40 $758 $6 $34 $7 $27 $700
2022 8 3,673 3,673 $10.97 $40 $10 $30 $788 $6 $24 $5 $19 $719
2023 9 2,755 2,755 $10.97 $30 $8 $23 $811 $6 $17 $3 $13 $732
2024 10 2,066 2,066 $10.97 $23 $6 $17 $828 $6 $11 $2 $9 $741
2025 11 1,550 1,550 $10.97 $17 $4 $13 $841 $6 $7 $1 $5 $747
2026 12 1,162 1,162 $10.97 $13 $3 $10 $850 $6 $4 $1 $3 $749
    103,351 92,121   $1,134 $283 $850   $72 $778 $29 $749  
                           
          BT($000s) tax($000s) AT($000s)            
    Net present Value @ 0% $778 $23 $749            
    Net present Value @ 5% $663 $20 $643            
    Net Present Value @ 10% $575 $14 $561            
    Net Present Value @ 15% $507 $10 $497            
    Net Present Value @ 20% $453 $8 $445            

  

37
 

Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 21, Forecast cash flow, current production 11K

 

  Great Eastern                      
  Constant Prices     Well 11K            
  Ukraine     SUMMARY            
  Initial flow rate 12 Mcfd   RESERVES AND ECONOMICS            
  100% W.I.,75% N.R.I.   As of December, 2014            
  All amounts in $US   CONSTANT PRICES            
                           
    Gross Gas Net Gas to company                    
  Year Prod Price Revenue Royalty Net Cumulative Op Costs Future Btax Taxes Future Atax Cumulative
    Mcf Mcf $/Mcf $000s $000s Revenue Total   Cash Flow 0.2 Cash Flow Cash Flow
    (100% WI) (75% NRI.)   (100% WI) (25%) $000s $000s 000$ 000$ 000$ $000s $000s
                           
2015 1 15,313 11,484 $10.97 $168 $42 $126 $126 $6 $120 $0 $120 $120
2016 2 11,484 8,613 $10.97 $126 $25 $101 $227 $6 $95 $0 $95 $215
2017 3 8,613 6,460 $10.97 $94 $19 $76 $302 $6 $69 $0 $69 $284
2018 4 6,460 4,845 $10.97 $71 $14 $57 $359 $6 $50 $0 $50 $335
2019 5 4,845 3,634 $10.97 $53 $11 $43 $402 $6 $36 $0 $36 $371
2020 6 3,634 2,725 $10.97 $40 $8 $32 $433 $6 $25 $5 $20 $391
2021 7 2,725 2,044 $10.97 $30 $6 $24 $457 $7 $17 $3 $14 $405
2022 8 2,044 1,533 $10.97 $22 $4 $18 $475 $7 $11 $2 $9 $414
2023 9 1,533 1,150 $10.97 $17 $3 $13 $489 $7 $7 $1 $5 $419
    56,651 42,488   $621 $133 $489   $57 $431 $12 $419  
      Combined A3335a and 11K              
          BT($000s) tax($000s) AT($000s)            
    Net present Value @ 0% $431 $12 $419            
    Net present Value @ 5% $373 $9 $365            
    Net Present Value @ 10% $328 $6 $321            
    Net Present Value @ 15% $291 $5 $287            
    Net Present Value @ 20% $262 $3 $259            

 

38
 

Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 22, Forecast cash flow, combined current production

 

  Great East     Combined A3335a and 11K            
  Constant Prices     SUMMARY            
  Ukraine     RESERVES AND ECONOMICS            
  Initial flow rate 87 Mcfd   As of December, 2014            
  100% W.I.,75% N.R.I.   CONSTANT PRICES            
  All amounts in $US                    
                           
    Gross Gas Net Gas to company                    
  Year Prod Price Revenue Royalty Net Cumulative Op Costs Future Btax Taxes Future Atax Cumulative
    Mcf Mcf $/Mcf $000s $000s Revenue Total   Cash Flow 0.2 Cash Flow Cash Flow
    (100% WI) (75% NRI.)   (100% WI) (25%) $000s $000s 000$ 000$ 000$ $000s $000s
                           
2015 1 39,594 29,695 $10.97 $434 $109 $326 $326 $6 $320 $0 $320 $320
2016 2 33,655 25,241 $10.97 $369 $92 $277 $603 $6 $271 $0 $271 $591
2017 3 25,241 25,241 $10.97 $277 $69 $208 $810 $6 $202 $0 $202 $792
2018 4 18,931 18,931 $10.97 $208 $52 $156 $966 $6 $150 $0 $150 $942
2019 5 14,198 14,198 $10.97 $156 $39 $117 $1,083 $6 $111 $0 $111 $1,053
2020 6 10,649 10,649 $10.97 $117 $29 $88 $1,171 $6 $82 $16 $65 $1,118
2021 7 7,986 7,986 $10.97 $88 $22 $66 $1,236 $6 $60 $12 $48 $1,166
2022 8 5,990 5,990 $10.97 $66 $16 $49 $1,285 $6 $43 $9 $35 $1,201
2023 9 4,492 4,492 $10.97 $49 $12 $37 $1,322 $6 $31 $6 $25 $1,225
2024 10 3,369 3,369 $10.97 $37 $9 $28 $1,350 $6 $22 $4 $17 $1,243
2025 11 2,527 2,527 $10.97 $28 $7 $21 $1,371 $6 $15 $3 $12 $1,255
2026 12 1,895 1,895 $10.97 $21 $5 $16 $1,387 $6 $10 $2 $8 $1,262
    168,527 150,215   $1,849 $462 $1,387   $72 $1,315 $52 $1,262  
                           
          BT($000s) tax($000s) AT($000s)            
    Net present Value @ 0% $1,315 $52 $1,262            
    Net present Value @ 5% $1,114 $36 $1,078            
    Net Present Value @ 10% $964 $25 $938            
    Net Present Value @ 15% $847 $18 $829            
    Net Present Value @ 20% $755 $13 $741            

  

39
 

Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 23, Forecast Cash Flow, Constant Price, Sequential Drill Program, Cost Recovery

 

Great East                 BT($000s)  
Constant Prices       SUMMARY     Net present Value @ 0% $85,354  
Ukraine       RESERVES AND ECONOMICS     Net present Value @ 5% $41,426  
Initial flow rate 250 Mcfd/w ell   As of December, 2014     Net Present Value @ 10% $19,500  
100% W.I.,75% N.R.I.     CONSTANT PRICES     Net Present Value @ 15% $7,970  
All amounts in $US     with cost recovery     Net Present Value @ 20% $1,673  
decline 25% year 1, 10% thereafter                    
      Gross Gas                    
Year new total Prod Price revenue Royalty Net Op Costs* Capital Future Btax Taxes Future Atax Cumulative
  wells # of wells Mcf   $000s $000s Revenue   Expense Cash Flow 18% Cash Flow Cash Flow
      (100% WI) $/Mcf (100% WI) (25%) $000s $000s $000s $000s $000s $000s $000s
2014 0 2 23,942 $10.97 $263 $66 $197 $36 $0 $161 $29 $132 $132
2015 7 9 689,063 $10.97 $7,559 $1,890 $5,669 $54 $11,150 -$5,535 $0 -$5,535 -$5,403
2016 7 16 1,156,094 $10.97 $12,682 $3,171 $9,512 $96 $17,700 -$8,284 $0 -$8,284 -$13,687
2017 4 20 1,346,734 $10.97 $14,774 $3,693 $11,080 $120 $11,800 -$840 $0 -$840 -$14,527
2018 4 24 1,518,311 $10.97 $16,656 $4,164 $12,492 $144 $11,800 $548 $99 $449 -$14,077
2019 4 28 1,672,730 $10.97 $18,350 $4,587 $13,762 $168 $11,800 $1,794 $323 $1,471 -$12,606
2020 4 32 1,811,707 $10.97 $19,874 $4,969 $14,906 $192 $11,800 $2,914 $524 $2,389 -$10,217
2021 4 36 1,936,786 $10.97 $21,247 $5,312 $15,935 $216 $11,800 $3,919 $705 $3,214 -$7,003
2022 4 40 2,049,358 $10.97 $22,481 $5,620 $16,861 $240 $11,800 $4,821 $868 $3,953 -$3,050
2023 1 41 1,920,984 $10.97 $21,073 $5,268 $15,805 $246 $2,650 $12,909 $2,324 $10,585 $7,535
2024   41 1,728,886 $10.97 $18,966 $4,741 $14,224 $246   $13,978 $2,516 $11,462 $18,998
2025   41 1,555,997 $10.97 $17,069 $4,267 $12,802 $246   $12,556 $2,260 $10,296 $29,294
2026   41 1,400,398 $10.97 $15,362 $3,841 $11,522 $246   $11,276 $2,030 $9,246 $38,540
2027   41 1,260,358 $10.97 $13,826 $3,457 $10,370 $246   $10,124 $1,822 $8,301 $46,841
2028   41 1,134,322 $10.97 $12,444 $3,111 $9,333 $246   $9,087 $1,636 $7,451 $54,292
2029   41 1,020,890 $10.97 $11,199 $2,800 $8,399 $246   $8,153 $1,468 $6,686 $60,978
2030   41 918,801 $10.97 $10,079 $2,520 $7,559 $246   $7,313 $1,316 $5,997 $66,975
2031   41 826,921 $10.97 $9,071 $2,268 $6,803 $246   $6,557 $1,180 $5,377 $72,352
2032   41 744,229 $10.97 $8,164 $2,041 $6,123 $246   $5,877 $1,058 $4,819 $77,171
2033   41 669,806 $10.97 $7,348 $1,837 $5,511 $246   $5,265 $948 $4,317 $81,488
2034   41 602,825 $10.97 $6,613 $1,653 $4,960 $246   $4,714 $848 $3,865 $85,354
      25,989,140   285,101 71,275 213,826 4,218 102,300 107,308 21,954 85,354  

 

40
 

Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 24, Forecast Cash Flow, Constant Price, No Cost Recovery

 

Great East               BT($000s)  
Constant Prices       SUMMARY     Net present Value @ 0% $171,878  
Ukraine       RESERVES AND ECONOMICS   Net present Value @ 5% $111,677  
Initial flow rate 250 Mcfd/w ell   As of December, 2014   Net Present Value @ 10% $77,808  
100% W.I.,75% N.R.I.     CONSTANT PRICES   Net Present Value @ 15% $57,295  
All amounts in $US     no cost recovery   Net Present Value @ 20% $44,091  
decline 25% year 1, 10% thereafter                  
      Gross Gas                  
Year new total Prod Price revenue Royalty Net Op Costs Future Btax Taxes Future Atax Cumulative
  wells # of wells Mcf   $000s $000s Revenue   Cash Flow 18% Cash Flow Cash Flow
      (100% WI) $/Mcf* (100% WI) (25%) $000s $000s $000s $000s $000s $000s
2014 0 2 23,942 $10.97 $263 $66 $197 $36 $161 $29 $132 $132
2015 7 9 689,063 $10.97 $7,559 $1,890 $5,669 $54 $5,615 $1,011 $4,605 $4,737
2016 7 16 1,156,094 $10.97 $12,682 $3,171 $9,512 $96 $9,416 $1,695 $7,721 $12,457
2017 4 20 1,346,734 $10.97 $14,774 $3,693 $11,080 $120 $10,960 $1,973 $8,987 $21,445
2018 4 24 1,518,311 $10.97 $16,656 $4,164 $12,492 $144 $12,348 $2,223 $10,125 $31,570
2019 4 28 1,672,730 $10.97 $18,350 $4,587 $13,762 $168 $13,594 $2,447 $11,147 $42,718
2020 4 32 1,811,707 $10.97 $19,874 $4,969 $14,906 $192 $14,714 $2,648 $12,065 $54,783
2021 4 36 1,936,786 $10.97 $21,247 $5,312 $15,935 $216 $15,719 $2,829 $12,890 $67,672
2022 4 40 2,049,358 $10.97 $22,481 $5,620 $16,861 $240 $16,621 $2,992 $13,629 $81,302
2023 1 41 1,920,984 $10.97 $21,073 $5,268 $15,805 $246 $15,559 $2,801 $12,758 $94,060
2024   41 1,728,886 $10.97 $18,966 $4,741 $14,224 $246 $13,978 $2,516 $11,462 $105,522
2025   41 1,555,997 $10.97 $17,069 $4,267 $12,802 $246 $12,556 $2,260 $10,296 $115,818
2026   41 1,400,398 $10.97 $15,362 $3,841 $11,522 $246 $11,276 $2,030 $9,246 $125,064
2027   41 1,260,358 $10.97 $13,826 $3,457 $10,370 $246 $10,124 $1,822 $8,301 $133,366
2028   41 1,134,322 $10.97 $12,444 $3,111 $9,333 $246 $9,087 $1,636 $7,451 $140,817
2029   41 1,020,890 $10.97 $11,199 $2,800 $8,399 $246 $8,153 $1,468 $6,686 $147,502
2030   41 918,801 $10.97 $10,079 $2,520 $7,559 $246 $7,313 $1,316 $5,997 $153,499
2031   41 826,921 $10.97 $9,071 $2,268 $6,803 $246 $6,557 $1,180 $5,377 $158,877
2032   41 744,229 $10.97 $8,164 $2,041 $6,123 $246 $5,877 $1,058 $4,819 $163,696
2033   41 669,806 $10.97 $7,348 $1,837 $5,511 $246 $5,265 $948 $4,317 $168,013
2034   41 602,825 $10.97 $6,613 $1,653 $4,960 $246 $4,714 $848 $3,865 $171,878
      25,989,140   285,101 71,275 213,826 $4,218 209,608 37,729 171,878  

  

41
 

Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 25, Forecast Cash Flow, Escalated Price, Staggered Drill Program, Cost Recovery

 

Great East                 BT($000s)  
Escalated Prices       SUMMARY     Net present Value @ 0% $132,289  
Ukraine       RESERVES AND ECONOMICS     Net present Value @ 5% $62,534  
Initial flow rate 250 Mcfd/w ell   As of December, 2014     Net Present Value @ 10% $33,068  
100% W.I.,75% N.R.I.     ESCALATED PRICES     Net Present Value @ 15% $16,293  
All amounts in $US     with cost recovery     Net Present Value @ 20% $7,179  
decline 25% year 1, 10% thereafter                    
      Gross Gas                    
Year new total Prod Price revenue Royalty Net Op Cost Capital Future Btax Taxes Future Atax Cumulative
  wells # of wells Mcf   $000s $000s Revenue   Expense Cash Flow 18% Cash Flow Cash Flow
      (100% WI) $/Mcf* (100% WI) (25%) $000s 000$ 000$ 000$ 000$ $000s $000s
2014 0 2 23,942 $10.97 $263 $66 $197 $36 $0 $161 $29 $132 $132
2015 7 9 689,063 $10.97 $7,559 $1,890 $5,669 $54 $11,150 -$5,535 $0 -$5,535 -$5,403
2016 7 16 1,156,094 $11.19 $12,936 $3,234 $9,702 $96 $17,700 -$8,094 $0 -$8,094 -$13,497
2017 4 20 1,346,734 $11.41 $15,371 $3,843 $11,528 $120 $11,800 -$392 $0 -$392 -$13,889
2018 4 24 1,457,061 $11.64 $16,962 $4,241 $12,722 $144 $11,800 $778 $140 $638 -$13,251
2019 4 28 1,617,605 $11.87 $19,208 $4,802 $14,406 $168 $11,800 $2,438 $439 $1,999 -$11,252
2020   28 1,455,844 $12.11 $17,633 $4,408 $13,225 $168   $13,057 $2,350 $10,706 -$546
2021 4 32 1,616,510 $12.35 $19,970 $4,993 $14,978 $192 $11,800 $2,986 $537 $2,448 $1,903
2022   32 1,454,859 $12.60 $18,333 $4,583 $13,750 $192   $13,558 $2,440 $11,117 $13,020
2023 4 36 1,615,623 $12.85 $20,766 $5,191 $15,574 $216 $11,800 $3,558 $640 $2,918 $15,938
2024   36 1,454,061 $13.11 $19,063 $4,766 $14,297 $216   $14,081 $2,535 $11,547 $27,484
2025 4 40 1,921,155 $13.37 $25,690 $6,423 $19,268 $240 $11,800 $7,228 $1,301 $5,927 $33,411
2026   40 1,729,039 $13.64 $23,584 $5,896 $17,688 $240   $17,448 $3,141 $14,307 $47,718
2027 1 41 1,709,260 $13.91 $23,780 $5,945 $17,835 $246 $2,700 $14,889 $2,680 $12,209 $59,928
2028   41 1,538,334 $14.19 $21,830 $5,458 $16,373 $246   $16,127 $2,903 $13,224 $73,152
2029   41 1,384,501 $14.47 $20,040 $5,010 $15,030 $246   $14,784 $2,661 $12,123 $85,275
2030   41 1,246,051 $14.76 $18,397 $4,599 $13,798 $246   $13,552 $2,439 $11,112 $96,387
2031   41 1,121,446 $15.06 $16,888 $4,222 $12,666 $246   $12,420 $2,236 $10,185 $106,572
2032   41 1,009,301 $15.36 $15,504 $3,876 $11,628 $246   $11,382 $2,049 $9,333 $115,904
2033   41 908,371 $15.67 $14,232 $3,558 $10,674 $246   $10,428 $1,877 $8,551 $124,456
2034   41 817,534 $15.98 $13,065 $3,266 $9,799 $246   $9,553 $1,720 $7,833 $132,289
      27,272,387   361,074 90,269 270,806 4,050 102,350 164,406 32,117 132,289  

 

42
 

Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

Table 26, Forecast Cash Flow, Escalated Price, Staggered Drill Program, No Cost Recove

 

Great East               BT($000s)  
Escalated Prices       SUMMARY     Net present Value @ 0% $218,740  
Ukraine       RESERVES AND ECONOMICS   Net present Value @ 5% $133,578  
Initial flow rate 250 Mcfd/w ell   As of December, 2014   Net Present Value @ 10% $88,526  
100% W.I.,75% N.R.I.     ESCALATED PRICES   Net Present Value @ 15% $62,766  
All amounts in $US     no cost recovery   Net Present Value @ 20% $46,999  
decline 25% year 1, 10% thereafter                  
      Gross Gas                  
Year new total Prod Price revenue Royalty Net Op Costs Future Btax Taxes Future Atax Cumulative
  wells # of wells Mcf 2% escalation $000s $000s Revenue   Cash Flow 18% Cash Flow Cash Flow
      (100% WI) $/Mcf (100% WI) (25%) $000s 000$ 000$ 000$ $000s $000s
2014 0 2 23,942 $10.97 $263 $66 $197 $36 $161 $29 $132 $132
2015 7 9 689,063 $10.97 $7,559 $1,890 $5,669 $54 $5,615 $1,011 $4,605 $4,737
2016 7 16 1,156,094 $11.19 $12,936 $3,234 $9,702 $96 $9,606 $1,729 $7,877 $12,613
2017 4 20 1,346,734 $11.41 $15,371 $3,843 $11,528 $120 $11,408 $2,053 $9,354 $21,968
2018 4 24 1,457,061 $11.64 $16,962 $4,241 $12,722 $144 $12,578 $2,264 $10,314 $32,282
2019 4 28 1,617,605 $11.87 $19,208 $4,802 $14,406 $168 $14,238 $2,563 $11,675 $43,957
2020   28 1,455,844 $12.11 $17,633 $4,408 $13,225 $168 $13,057 $2,350 $10,706 $54,663
2021 4 32 1,616,510 $12.35 $19,970 $4,993 $14,978 $192 $14,786 $2,661 $12,124 $66,788
2022   32 1,454,859 $12.60 $18,333 $4,583 $13,750 $192 $13,558 $2,440 $11,117 $77,905
2023 4 36 1,615,623 $12.85 $20,766 $5,191 $15,574 $216 $15,358 $2,764 $12,594 $90,499
2024   36 1,454,061 $13.11 $19,063 $4,766 $14,297 $216 $14,081 $2,535 $11,547 $102,045
2025 4 40 1,921,155 $13.37 $25,690 $6,423 $19,268 $240 $19,028 $3,425 $15,603 $117,648
2026   40 1,729,039 $13.64 $23,584 $5,896 $17,688 $240 $17,448 $3,141 $14,307 $131,955
2027 1 41 1,709,260 $13.91 $23,780 $5,945 $17,835 $246 $17,589 $3,166 $14,423 $146,378
2028   41 1,538,334 $14.19 $21,830 $5,458 $16,373 $246 $16,127 $2,903 $13,224 $159,602
2029   41 1,384,501 $14.47 $20,040 $5,010 $15,030 $246 $14,784 $2,661 $12,123 $171,725
2030   41 1,246,051 $14.76 $18,397 $4,599 $13,798 $246 $13,552 $2,439 $11,112 $182,838
2031   41 1,121,446 $15.06 $16,888 $4,222 $12,666 $246 $12,420 $2,236 $10,185 $193,022
2032   41 1,009,301 $15.36 $15,504 $3,876 $11,628 $246 $11,382 $2,049 $9,333 $202,355
2033   41 908,371 $15.67 $14,232 $3,558 $10,674 $246 $10,428 $1,877 $8,551 $210,906
2034   41 817,534 $15.98 $13,065 $3,266 $9,799 $246 $9,553 $1,720 $7,833 $218,740
      27,272,387   361,074 90,269 270,806 $4,050 266,756 48,016 218,740  

 

43
 

Great East, Lysychansko-Toshkivskay, Ukraine, N151-101, 2014

 

 

 

44