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EX-99.1 - PRESS RELEASE - ASSURED GUARANTY LTDagl2q14pressrelease.htm



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
June 30, 2014
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents
 
 
Page
 
Selected Financial Highlights
1
 
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income
2
 
Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
4
 
Adjusted Book Value
5
 
Claims-Paying Resources
6
 
New Business Production
7
 
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
8
 
New Business Production by Quarter
9
 
Available-for-Sale Investment Portfolio and Cash
10
 
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues
11
 
Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding
12
 
Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Expected Loss to be Expensed
13
 
Financial Guaranty Profile
14
 
Exposure to Puerto Rico
18
 
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
21
 
U.S. RMBS Profile
22
 
Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile
23
 
Below Investment Grade Exposures
24
 
Largest Exposures by Sector
29
 
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses to be Paid
33
 
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivative U.S. RMBS Representations and Warranties Benefit Development
34
 
Losses Incurred
35
 
Summary Financial and Statistical Data
36
 
Glossary
37
 
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
40

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (‘‘AGL’’ and, together with its subsidiaries, ‘‘Assured Guaranty’’ or the ‘‘Company’’) with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 and its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly periods ended March 31, 2014 and June 30, 2014.

Some amounts in this financial supplement may not add due to rounding.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements:

Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of Assured Guaranty or any of its subsidiaries and/or of transactions that Assured Guaranty’s subsidiaries have insured; (2) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty's insurance; (3) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets that adversely affect obligors’ payment rates, Assured Guaranty’s loss experience, or its exposure to refinancing risk in transactions (which could result in substantial liquidity claims on its guarantees); (4) the possibility that budget shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or impairments on obligations of state and local governments that the Company insures or reinsures; (5) the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize insurance loss recoveries or damages through loan putbacks, settlement negotiations or litigation; (6) deterioration in the financial condition of Assured Guaranty’s reinsurers, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverables actually received and the risk that reinsurers may dispute amounts owed to Assured Guaranty under its reinsurance agreements; (7) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry; (8) rating agency action on obligors, including sovereign debtors, resulting in a reduction in the value of securities in the Company’s investment portfolio and in collateral posted by and to the Company; (9) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (10) changes in the world’s credit markets, segments thereof, interest rates or general economic conditions; (11) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty’s contracts written in credit default swap form; (12) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (13) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (14) other governmental actions; (15) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (16) contract cancellations; (17) loss of key personnel; (18) adverse technological developments; (19) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (20) natural or man-made catastrophes; (21) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (22) management’s response to these factors; and (23) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty’s filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.





Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
 
 
Three Months Ended
 
Six Months Ended
 
 
June 30,
 
June 30,
 
 
2014
 
2013
 
2014
 
2013
Operating income reconciliation:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating income
 
$
101

 
$
98

 
$
233

 
$
358

Plus after-tax adjustments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Realized gains (losses) on investments
 
(2
)
 
2

 
(3
)
 
21

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives
 
47

 
28

 
(124
)
 
(406
)
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities
 
(5
)
 
(2
)
 
(10
)
 
(8
)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves
 
5

 
(3
)
 
5

 
(14
)
Effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities (FG VIEs)
 
13

 
96

 
100

 
124

Net income (loss)
 
$
159

 
$
219

 
$
201

 
$
75

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Earnings per diluted share:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating income
 
$
0.56

 
$
0.52

 
$
1.28

 
1.87

Plus after-tax adjustments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Realized gains (losses) on investments
 
(0.01
)
 
0.01

 
(0.02
)
 
0.11

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives
 
0.26

 
0.15

 
(0.68
)
 
(2.12
)
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities
 
(0.02
)
 
(0.01
)
 
(0.05
)
 
(0.04
)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves
 
0.02

 
(0.01
)
 
0.03

 
(0.07
)
Effect of consolidating FG VIEs
 
0.08

 
0.50

 
0.55

 
0.64

Net income (loss)
 
$
0.89

 
$
1.16

 
$
1.11

 
$
0.39

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average shares outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Basic shares outstanding
 
178.4

 
187.8

 
180.3

 
190.8

Diluted shares outstanding (1)
 
179.5

 
188.8

 
181.3

 
191.7

Shares outstanding at the end of period
 
174.2

 
182.9

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Effect of refundings and terminations, net
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net earned premiums from refundings and terminations
 
$
24

 
$
46

 
$
53

 
$
159

Realized gains (losses) and other settlements from CDS terminations
 
1

 
14

 
1

 
15

Operating income effect
 
16

 
41

 
36

 
105

Operating income per diluted share effect
 
0.09

 
0.22

 
0.20

 
0.55

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Effective tax rate on operating income
 
25.6
%
 
29.4
%
 
26.2
%
 
26.8
%
Effective tax rate on net income
 
27.2
%
 
33.5
%
 
26.2
%
 
36.4
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Return on equity (ROE) calculations (2):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio
 
12.9
%
 
20.4
%
 
8.2
%
 
3.4
%
Operating ROE
 
6.5
%
 
6.5
%
 
7.6
%
 
12.2
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gross par written
 
$
2,658

 
$
2,276

 
$
4,527

 
$
3,870

Present value of new business production (PVP) (3)   
 
$
27

 
$
16

 
$
58

 
$
34

 
 
 
 
 
 
As of
 
 
 
 
 
 
June 30,
 
December 31,
Other information:
 
 
 
 
 
2014
 
2013
Net debt service outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
$
662,004

 
$
690,535

Net par outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
437,576

 
459,107

Claims-paying resources (4)
 
 
 
 
 
12,235

 
12,147


1)
Non-GAAP diluted shares outstanding were the same as GAAP diluted shares.

2) Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

3) Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

4) See page 6 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding.

1



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
Three Months Ended
 
 
June 30, 2014
 
June 30, 2013
 
 
GAAP Income As Reported
 
Less: Operating Income Adjustments
 
Non-GAAP Operating Income Results
 
GAAP Income As Reported
 
Less: Operating Income Adjustments
 
Non-GAAP Operating Income Results
Revenues:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net earned premiums
 
$
136

 
$
(5
)
(1)
$
141

 
$
163

 
$
(15
)
(1)
$
178

Net investment income
 
96

 
(1
)
(1)
97

 
93

 
(1
)
(1)
94

Net realized investment gains (losses)
 
(8
)
 
(8
)
(2)
0

 
2

 
3

(2)
(1
)
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Realized gains (losses) and other settlements
 
15

 
15

 

 
(86
)
 
(86
)
 

Net unrealized gains (losses)
 
88

 
88

 

 
160

 
160

 

Credit derivative revenues
 

 
(21
)
 
21

 

 
(40
)
 
40

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives
 
103

 
82

(3)
21

 
74

 
34

(3)
40

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities
 
(6
)
 
(6
)
(4)

 
(3
)
 
(3
)
(4)

Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs
 
25

 
25

(1)

 
143

 
143

(1)

Other income (loss)
 
7

 
6

(1)(5)
1

 
(7
)
 
(5
)
(5)
(2
)
Total revenues
 
353

 
93

 
260

 
465

 
156

 
309

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss adjustment expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial guaranty insurance
 
57

 
(7
)
(1)
64

 
62

 
(22
)
(1)
84

Credit derivatives
 

 
18

(3)
(18
)
 

 
(12
)
(3)
12

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs
 
3

 

 
3

 
1

 

 
1

Interest expense
 
20

 

 
20

 
21

 

 
21

Other operating expenses
 
55

 

 
55

 
52

 

 
52

Total expenses
 
135

 
11

 
124

 
136

 
(34
)
 
170

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before income taxes
 
218

 
82

 
136

 
329

 
190

 
139

Provision (benefit) for income taxes
 
59

 
24

(6)
35

 
110

 
69

(6)
41

Net income (loss)
 
$
159

 
$
58

 
$
101

 
$
219

 
$
121

 
$
98


1)
Include adjustments related to elimination of the effects of consolidating FG VIEs.

2)
Adjustments to eliminate realized gains (losses) on available-for-sale investments.

3)
Adjustments to eliminate non-economic fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives and reclassification to revenues and loss expense.

4)
Adjustments to eliminate fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities.

5)
Include adjustments related to elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves.

6)
Tax effect of the above adjustments.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.




2



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

 
 
Six Months Ended
 
Six Months Ended
 
 
June 30, 2014
 
June 30, 2013
 
 
GAAP Income As Reported
 
Less: Operating Income Adjustments
 
Non-GAAP Operating Income Results
 
GAAP Income As Reported
 
Less: Operating Income Adjustments
 
Non-GAAP Operating Income Results
Revenues:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net earned premiums
 
$
268

 
$
(22
)
(1)
$
290

 
$
411

 
$
(33
)
(1)
$
444

Net investment income
 
199

 
3

(1)
196

 
187

 
(1
)
(1)
188

Net realized investment gains (losses)
 
(6
)
 
(8
)
(2)
2

 
30

 
32

(2)
(2
)
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Realized gains (losses) and other settlements
 
34

 
34

 

 
(68
)
 
(68
)
 

Net unrealized gains (losses)
 
(142
)
 
(142
)
 

 
(450
)
 
(450
)
 

Credit derivative revenues
 

 
(41
)
 
41

 

 
(68
)
 
68

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives
 
(108
)
 
(149
)
(3)
41

 
(518
)
 
(586
)
(3)
68

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities
 
(15
)
 
(15
)
(4)

 
(13
)
 
(13
)
(4)

Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs
 
182

 
182

(1)

 
213

 
213

(1)

Other income (loss)
 
28

 

(1)(5)
28

 
(21
)
 
(22
)
(5)
1

Total revenues
 
548

 
(9
)
 
557

 
289

 
(410
)
 
699

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss adjustment expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial guaranty insurance
 
98

 
(6
)
(1)
104

 
14

 
(15
)
(1)
29

Credit derivatives
 

 
26

(3)
(26
)
 

 
(22
)
(3)
22

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs
 
8

 

 
8

 
4

 

 
4

Interest expense
 
40

 

 
40

 
42

 

 
42

Other operating expenses
 
115

 

 
115

 
112

 

 
112

Total expenses
 
261

 
20

 
241

 
172

 
(37
)
 
209

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before income taxes
 
287

 
(29
)
 
316

 
117

 
(373
)
 
490

Provision (benefit) for income taxes
 
86

 
3

(6)
83

 
42

 
(90
)
(6)
132

Net income (loss)
 
$
201

 
$
(32
)
 
$
233

 
$
75

 
$
(283
)
 
$
358


1)
Include adjustments related to elimination of the effects of consolidating FG VIEs.

2)
Adjustments to eliminate realized gains (losses) on available-for-sale investments.

3)
Adjustments to eliminate non-economic fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives and reclassification to revenues and loss expense.

4)
Adjustments to eliminate fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities.

5)
Include adjustments related to elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves.

6)
Tax effect of the above adjustments.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.


3



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(dollars in millions)
 
 
As of:
 
 
June 30,
 
December 31,
 
 
2014
 
2013
Assets:
 
 
 
 
Investment portfolio:
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value
 
$
10,530

 
$
9,711

Short-term investments, at fair value
 
979

 
904

Other invested assets
 
126

 
170

Total investment portfolio
 
11,635

 
10,785

 
 
 
 
 
Cash
 
106

 
184

Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable
 
849

 
876

Ceded unearned premium reserve
 
440

 
452

Deferred acquisition costs
 
122

 
124

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses
 
59

 
36

Salvage and subrogation recoverable
 
273

 
174

Credit derivative assets
 
80

 
94

Deferred tax asset, net
 
571

 
688

FG VIE assets, at fair value
 
1,284

 
2,565

Other assets
 
271

 
309

Total assets
 
$
15,690

 
$
16,287

 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities and shareholders' equity:
 
 
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
Unearned premium reserve
 
$
4,391

 
$
4,595

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve
 
775

 
592

Reinsurance balances payable, net
 
178

 
148

Long-term debt
 
1,311

 
816

Credit derivative liabilities
 
1,917

 
1,787

Current income tax payable
 
12

 
44

FG VIE liabilities with recourse, at fair value
 
1,366

 
1,790

FG VIE liabilities without recourse, at fair value
 
124

 
1,081

Other liabilities
 
374

 
319

Total liabilities
 
10,448

 
11,172

 
 
 
 
 
Shareholders' equity:
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
2

 
2

Additional paid-in capital
 
2,260

 
2,466

Retained earnings
 
2,643

 
2,482

Accumulated other comprehensive income
 
332

 
160

Deferred equity compensation
 
5

 
5

Total shareholders' equity
 
5,242

 
5,115

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
 
$
15,690

 
$
16,287





4



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Adjusted Book Value
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)


 
 
As of:
 
 
June 30, 2014
 
December 31, 2013
 
 
Total
 
Per Share
 
Total
 
Per Share
Reconciliation of shareholders' equity to adjusted book value:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Shareholders' equity
 
$
5,242

 
$
30.10

 
$
5,115

 
$
28.07

Less after-tax adjustments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Effect of consolidating FG VIEs
 
(82
)
 
(0.47
)
 
(172
)
 
(0.95
)
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives
 
(1,172
)
 
(6.73
)
 
(1,052
)
 
(5.77
)
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities
 
20

 
0.12

 
30

 
0.16

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect
 
327

 
1.87

 
145

 
0.80

Operating shareholders' equity
 
6,149

 
35.31

 
6,164

 
33.83

After-tax adjustments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Less: Deferred acquisition costs
 
158

 
0.91

 
161

 
0.88

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue
 
129

 
0.74

 
146

 
0.80

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed
 
2,730

 
15.68

 
2,884

 
15.83

Adjusted book value
 
$
8,850

 
$
50.82

 
$
9,033

 
$
49.58



Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.



5



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Claims-Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
 
 
As of June 30, 2014
 
 
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
 
Assured Guaranty Corp.
 
Municipal Assurance Corp.
 
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (10)
 
Eliminations(4)
 
Consolidated
Claims-paying resources
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Policyholders' surplus
 
$
1,740

 
$
673

 
$
520

 
$
1,024

 
$
(795
)
 
$
3,162

Contingency reserve(1)
 
1,915

 
1,230

 
341

 

 
(341
)
 
3,145

Qualified statutory capital
 
3,655

 
1,903

 
861

 
1,024

 
(1,136
)
 
6,307

Unearned premium reserve(1)
 
1,849

 
688

 
634

 
919

 
(634
)
 
3,456

Loss and LAE reserves (1) (2)
 
365

 
140

 

 
302

 

 
807

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves
 
5,869

 
2,731

 
1,495

 
2,245

 
(1,770
)
 
10,570

Present value of installment premium(1)
 
377

 
249

 
5

 
189

 
(5
)
 
815

Committed Capital Securities
 
200

 
200

 

 

 

 
400

Excess of loss reinsurance facility (3)
 
450

 
450

 
450

 

 
(900
)
 
450

Total claims-paying resources (including proportionate MAC ownership for AGM and AGC)
 
6,896

 
3,630

 
1,950

 
2,434

 
(2,675
)
 
12,235

Adjustment for MAC (5)
 
950

 
550

 

 

 
(1,500
)
 

Total claims-paying resources (excluding proportionate MAC ownership for AGM and AGC)
 
$
5,946

 
$
3,080

 
$
1,950

 
$
2,434

 
$
(1,175
)
 
$
12,235

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Statutory net par outstanding (6)        
 
$
164,617

 
$
52,777

 
$
90,664

 
$
108,572

 
$
(1,803
)
 
$
414,827

Equity method adjustment (7)
 
55,033

 
35,631

 

 

 
(90,664
)
 

Adjusted statutory net par outstanding (1)
 
$
219,650

 
$
88,408

 
$
90,664

 
$
108,572

 
$
(92,467
)
 
$
414,827

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net debt service outstanding (6) 
 
$
254,113

 
$
76,444

 
$
135,839

 
$
171,904

 
$
(3,745
)
 
$
634,555

Equity method adjustment (7)
 
82,454

 
53,385

 

 

 
(135,839
)
 

Adjusted net debt service outstanding (1)
 
$
336,567

 
$
129,829

 
$
135,839

 
$
171,904

 
$
(139,584
)
 
$
634,555

Ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Adjusted net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital
 
60:1
 
46:1
 
105:1
 
106:1
 

 
66:1
Capital ratio (8)
 
92:1
 
68:1
 
158:1
 
168:1
 

 
101:1
Financial resources ratio (9)
 
49:1
 
36:1
 
70:1
 
71:1
 

 
52:1
1)
The numbers shown for Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) and Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC) have been adjusted to include (i) their 100% share of their respective U.K. insurance subsidiaries and (ii) their indirect share of Municipal Assurance Corp. (MAC). AGM and AGC own 60.7% and 39.3%, respectively, of the outstanding stock of Municipal Assurance Holdings Inc., which owns 100% of the outstanding common stock of MAC. Amounts include financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.
2)
Reserves are reduced by approximately $0.6 billion for benefit related to representation and warranty recoverables.
3)
Represents an aggregate $450 million excess-of-loss reinsurance facility for the benefit of AGC, AGM and MAC, which became effective January 1, 2014, The facility terminates on January 1, 2016, unless AGC, AGM and MAC choose to extend it.
4)
Eliminations are primarily for (i) intercompany surplus notes between AGM and AGC, and between AGM and MAC, and (ii) MAC amounts, whose proportionate share are included in AGM and AGC based on ownership percentages. Net par and net debt service outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary, and net par related to intercompany cessions from AGM and AGC to MAC.
5)
Represents adjustment for AGM's and AGC's interest and indirect ownership of MAC's total policyholders' surplus, unearned premium reserve, and loss reserves and present value of installment premium.
6)
Net par outstanding and net debt service outstanding are presented on a separate company statutory basis. Under statutory accounting, such amounts would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., an issuer has legally discharged its obligations with respect to a municipal security by satisfying conditions set forth in defeasance provisions contained in transaction documents and is no longer responsible for the payment of debt service with respect to such obligations) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., transaction documents for a municipal security do not contain defeasance provisions but the issuer establishes an escrow account with U.S. government securities in amounts sufficient to pay the refunded bonds when due; the refunded bonds are not considered paid and continue to be outstanding under the transaction documents and the issuer remains responsible to pay debt service when due to the extent monies on deposit in the escrow account are insufficient for such purpose).
7)
Equity method adjustment is an adjustment made to reflect AGM's and AGC's net exposure to MAC, as determined by their indirect equity ownership, and 100% ownership of their U.K. subsidiaries.
8)
The capital ratio is calculated by dividing adjusted net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
9)
The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing adjusted net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources (including MAC adjustment for AGM and AGC).
10)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) numbers represent the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory accounting practices prescribed or permitted by insurance regulatory authorities.


6



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
Six Months Ended
 
 
June 30,
 
June 30,
 
 
2014
 
2013
 
2014
 
2013
New business production analysis:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PVP:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Public finance - U.S.
 
$
16

 
$
15

 
$
39

 
$
31

Public finance - non-U.S.
 

 

 
7

 

Structured finance - U.S.
 
6

 
1

 
7

 
3

Structured finance - non-U.S.
 
5

 

 
5

 

Total PVP

$
27

 
$
16

 
$
58


$
34

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reconciliation of PVP to gross written premiums (GWP):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PVP of financial guaranty insurance
 
$
27


$
16

 
$
58

 
$
34

Less: financial guaranty installment premium PVP
 
11



 
21

 
1

Total: financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums
 
16

 
16

 
37

 
33

Plus: financial guaranty installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments(1)
 
1


6

 
10

 
6

Total GWP
 
$
17

 
$
22

 
$
47

 
$
39

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial guaranty gross par written:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Public finance - U.S.
 
$
2,453

 
$
2,276

 
$
4,190

 
$
3,856

Public finance - non-U.S.
 

 

 
128

 

Structured finance - U.S.
 
5

 

 
9

 
14

Structured finance - non-U.S.
 
200

 

 
200

 

Total

$
2,658

 
$
2,276

 
$
4,527


$
3,870



1)
Includes present value of new business on installment policies plus GWP adjustment on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and any cancellations of assumed reinsurance contracts and other GAAP adjustments.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.



7



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(dollars in millions)



Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
Six Months Ended
 
 
June 30, 2014
 
June 30, 2014
 
 
Gross Par Written
 
Avg. Internal Rating
 
Gross Par Written
 
Avg. Internal Rating
Sector:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. public finance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
General obligation
 
$
1,445

 
A-
 
$
2,344

 
A-
Tax backed
 
713

 
A
 
892

 
A-
Municipal utilities
 
106

 
A-
 
352

 
A-
Transportation
 
76

 
A
 
416

 
BBB
Healthcare
 

 
 
70

 
BBB
Housing
 
66

 
BBB-
 
66

 
BBB-
Higher education
 
47

 
BBB+
 
47

 
BBB+
Infrastructure finance
 

 
 
3

 
A
Total U.S. public finance
 
2,453

 
A-
 
4,190

 
A-
Non-U.S. public finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Infrastructure finance
 

 
 
128

 
BBB-
Total non-U.S. public finance
 

 
 
128

 
BBB-
Total public finance
 
$
2,453

 
A-
 
$
4,318

 
A-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. structured finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other structure finance
 
$
5

 
A-
 
$
9

 
A-
Total U.S. structured finance
 
5

 
A-
 
9

 
A-
Non-U.S. structured finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total non-U.S. structured finance
 
200

 
BBB+
 
200

 
BBB+
Total structured finance
 
$
205

 
BBB+
 
$
209

 
BBB+
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total gross par written
 
$
2,658

 
A-
 
$
4,527

 
A-


Please refer to the Glossary for a description of internal ratings and sectors.




8



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production by Quarter
(dollars in millions)


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Six Months
 
 
1Q-13
 
2Q-13
 
3Q-13
 
4Q-13
 
1Q-14
 
2Q-14
 
2013
 
2014
PVP:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Public finance - U.S.
 
$
16

 
$
15

 
$
24

 
$
61

 
$
23

 
$
16

 
$
31

 
$
39

Public finance - non-U.S.
 

 

 
13

 
5

 
7

 

 

 
7

Structured finance - U.S.
 
2

 
1

 
3

 
1

 
1

 
6

 
3

 
7

Structured finance - non-U.S.
 

 

 

 

 

 
5

 

 
5

Total PVP
 
$
18

 
$
16

 
$
40

 
$
67

 
$
31

 
$
27

 
$
34

 
$
58

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reconciliation of PVP to GWP:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total PVP of financial guarantee insurance
 
$
18

 
$
16

 
$
40

 
$
67

 
$
31

 
$
27

 
$
34

 
$
58

Less: financial guaranty installment premium PVP
 
1

 

 
18

 
7

 
10

 
11

 
1

 
21

Total: financial guaranty upfront GWP
 
17

 
16

 
22

 
60

 
21

 
16

 
33

 
37

Plus: financial guaranty installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments(1)
 

 
6

 
4

 
(2
)
 
9

 
1

 
6

 
10

Total GWP
 
$
17

 
$
22

 
$
26

 
$
58

 
$
30

 
$
17

 
$
39

 
$
47

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial guaranty gross par written:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Public finance - U.S.
 
$
1,580

 
$
2,276

 
$
2,072

 
$
2,743

 
$
1,737

 
$
2,453

 
$
3,856

 
$
4,190

Public finance - non-U.S.
 

 

 
270

 
122

 
128

 

 

 
128

Structured finance - U.S.
 
14

 

 
273

 

 
4

 
5

 
14

 
9

Structured finance - non-U.S.
 

 

 

 

 

 
200

 

 
200

Total
 
$
1,594

 
$
2,276

 
$
2,615

 
$
2,865

 
$
1,869

 
$
2,658

 
$
3,870

 
$
4,527



Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.


9



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Available-for-Sale Investment Portfolio and Cash
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)
                                           
 
 
 
Amortized Cost
 
Pre-Tax Book Yield
 
After-Tax Book Yield
 
Fair Value
 
Annualized Investment Income (1)
Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
$
4,083

 
3.90
%
 
3.67
%
 
$
4,326

 
$
159

 
Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions (2)(4)
 
1,080

 
4.92
%
 
4.56
%
 
1,174

 
53

 
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies
 
603

 
0.98
%
 
0.69
%
 
613

 
6

 
Agency obligations
 
220

 
3.99
%
 
3.29
%
 
240

 
9

 
Corporate securities
 
1,376

 
3.79
%
 
2.93
%
 
1,413

 
52

 
Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) (3):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential MBS (RMBS) (4)
 
1,247

 
5.49
%
 
4.08
%
 
1,235

 
69

 
 
Commercial MBS (CMBS)
 
691

 
3.68
%
 
3.09
%
 
712

 
25

 
Asset-backed securities
 
538

 
3.16
%
 
2.19
%
 
548

 
17

 
Foreign government securities
 
317

 
2.55
%
 
1.67
%
 
333

 
8

 
 
Total fixed maturity securities
 
10,155

 
3.92
%
 
3.35
%
 
10,594

 
398

Short-term investments
 
974

 
0.03
%
 
0.02
%
 
974

 
0

Cash (5)
 
105

 
%
 
%
 
105

 

 
 
Total
 
$
11,234

 
3.58
%
 
3.06
%
 
$
11,673

 
$
398

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Less: FG VIEs
 
72

 
12.20
%
 
7.90
%
 
59

 
9

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
 
$
11,162

 
3.52
%
 
3.03
%
 
$
11,614

 
$
389

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratings (6):
 
Fair Value
 
% of Portfolio
 
 
 

 
 
 
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies
 
$
613

 
5.8
%
 
 
 

 
 
 
Agency obligations
 
240

 
2.2
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
AAA/Aaa
 
1,621

 
15.3
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
AA/Aa
 
5,412

 
51.1
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
A/A
 
1,906

 
18.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
BBB
 
62

 
0.6
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Below investment grade (BIG) (7)
 
740

 
7.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
 
10,594

 
100.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Less: FG VIEs
 
64

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
 
$
10,530

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Duration of fixed maturity securities and short-term investments (in years):
 
 
 
4.6
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Average ratings of fixed maturity securities and short-term investments
 
 
 
AA-
 
 
 
 
 
 


1)
Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.
2)
Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services (S&P) or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. (Moody's), average A+. Includes fair value of $287 million insured by AGC and AGM.
3)
Includes fair value of $248 million in subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of BIG.
4)
Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies.
5)
Represents operating cash and is not included in yield calculations.
6)
Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications except for bonds purchased for loss mitigation (loss mitigation bonds) or risk management strategies which use internal ratings classifications.
7)
Includes below investment grade securities that were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies of $1,699 million in par with carrying value of $740 million.


10



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization(1) and Estimated Future Net Premium
and Credit Derivative Revenues
(dollars in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial Guaranty Insurance (2)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Estimated Net Debt Service Amortization (5)
 
Estimated Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding (5)
 
Expected PV Net Earned Premiums
 
Accretion of Discount
 
Future Net Premiums Earned (3)
 
Future Credit Derivative Revenues (4)
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2014 (as of June 30)
 
 
 
$
662,004

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2014 Q3
 
$
17,508

 
644,496

 
$
108

 
$
6

 
$
114

 
$
16

 
$
130

2014 Q4
 
16,236

 
628,260

 
104

 
6

 
110

 
15

 
125

2015
 
57,797

 
570,463

 
377

 
21

 
398

 
43

 
441

2016
 
45,153

 
525,310

 
348

 
20

 
368

 
33

 
401

2017
 
44,208

 
481,102

 
309

 
18

 
327

 
22

 
349

2018
 
33,170

 
447,932

 
281

 
17

 
298

 
11

 
309

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2014-2018
 
214,072

 
447,932

 
1,527

 
88

 
1,615

 
140

 
1,755

2019-2023
 
146,360

 
301,572

 
1,086

 
67

 
1,153

 
43

 
1,196

2024-2028
 
117,434

 
184,138

 
690

 
43

 
733

 
27

 
760

2029-2033
 
83,495

 
100,643

 
423

 
24

 
447

 
23

 
470

After 2033
 
100,643

 

 
390

 
18

 
408

 
24

 
432

 
Total
 
$
662,004

 
 
 
$
4,116

 
$
240

 
$
4,356

 
$
257

 
$
4,613


1)
Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of June 30, 2014. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.

2)
See page 13 for ‘‘Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Expected Loss to be Expensed.’’

3)
Includes $137 million in future net premiums earned related to FG VIEs.

4)
Excludes contracts with credit impairment.

5)
Amount is shown net of loss mitigation bonds.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service outstanding.



11



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding
(dollars in millions)
Structured Finance
 
 
 
Estimated Net Par Amortization
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. and Non-U.S. Pooled Corporate
 
U.S. RMBS
 
Financial Products
 
Other Structured Finance
 
Total
 
Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2014 (as of June 30)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
63,212

2014 Q3
 
$
3,228

 
$
584

 
$
193

 
$
222

 
$
4,227

 
58,985

2014 Q4
 
3,577

 
561

 
67

 
535

 
4,740

 
54,245

2015
 
10,904

 
2,078

 
340

 
1,281

 
14,603

 
39,642

2016
 
5,650

 
1,763

 
171

 
1,521

 
9,105

 
30,537

2017
 
7,992

 
1,597

 
70

 
1,656

 
11,315

 
19,222

2018
 
670

 
1,411

 
(22
)
 
901

 
2,960

 
16,262

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2014-2018
 
32,021

 
7,994

 
819

 
6,116

 
46,950

 
16,262

2019-2023
 
1,072

 
3,006

 
165

 
3,034

 
7,277

 
8,985

2024-2028
 
477

 
890

 
391

 
1,366

 
3,124

 
5,861

2029-2033
 
442

 
230

 
876

 
779

 
2,327

 
3,534

After 2033
 
1,650

 
460

 
334

 
1,090

 
3,534

 

 
Total structured finance
 
$
35,662

 
$
12,580

 
$
2,585

 
$
12,385

 
$
63,212

 


Public Finance
 
 
 
Estimated Net Par Amortization
 
Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
 
2014 (as of June 30)
 
 
 
$
374,364

2014 Q3
 
$
8,762

 
365,602

2014 Q4
 
6,864

 
358,738

2015
 
25,858

 
332,880

2016
 
19,808

 
313,072

2017
 
17,652

 
295,420

2018
 
15,798

 
279,622

 
 
 
 
 
 
2014-2018
 
94,742

 
279,622

2019-2023
 
78,876

 
200,746

2024-2028
 
73,250

 
127,496

2029-2033
 
56,619

 
70,877

After 2033
 
70,877

 

 
Total public finance
 
$
374,364

 



Net par outstanding (end of period)
 
 
 
1Q-13
 
2Q-13
 
3Q-13
 
4Q-13
 
1Q-14
 
2Q-14
Public finance - U.S.
 
$
378,418

 
$
371,020

 
$
361,203

 
$
352,181

 
$
346,428

 
$
338,956

Public finance - non-U.S.
 
35,067

 
33,700

 
34,912

 
33,998

 
34,826

 
35,408

Structured finance - U.S.
 
70,129

 
65,159

 
62,584

 
58,907

 
55,393

 
51,442

Structured finance - non-U.S.
 
17,092

 
15,915

 
14,671

 
14,021

 
12,978

 
11,770

 
Net par outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
500,706

 
485,794

 
473,370

 
459,107

 
449,625

 
437,576

Loss mitigation bonds
 
1,111

 
1,195

 
1,297

 
1,195

 
1,236

 
1,216

 
Net par outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
501,817

 
$
486,989

 
$
474,667

 
$
460,302

 
$
450,861

 
$
438,792


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

12



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Present Value (PV) of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Expected Loss to be Expensed
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)


 
 
 
Net Expected Loss to be Expensed (1)
 
 
 
Operating(2)
 
GAAP(2)
 
 
 
 
 
 
2014 Q3
 
$
12

 
$
10

2014 Q4
 
12

 
10

2015
 
48

 
39

2016
 
43

 
36

2017
 
37

 
30

2018
 
32

 
27

 
 
 
 
 
 
2014-2018
 
184

 
152

2019-2023
 
118

 
96

2024-2028
 
68

 
57

2029-2033
 
46

 
37

After 2033
 
36

 
28

 
Total expected PV of net expected loss to be expensed
 
452

 
370

Discount
 
478

 
435

 
Total future value
 
$
930

 
$
805



1)
The present value of net expected loss to be paid is discounted using weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0.0% to 3.78% for U.S. dollar denominated obligations.

2)
Operating income includes net expected loss to be expensed on consolidated FG VIEs. Losses on consolidated FG VIEs are eliminated for GAAP.



13



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 4)
(dollars in millions)


Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
 
 
June 30, 2014
 
December 31, 2013
 
 
 
Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
Avg. Internal Rating
 
Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
Avg. Internal Rating
U.S. public finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
General obligation
 
$
149,039

 
$

 
$
149,039

 
A
 
$
155,277

 
$

 
$
155,277

 
A+
 
Tax backed
 
64,088

 
29

 
64,059

 
A
 
66,856

 
32

 
66,824

 
A+
 
Municipal utilities
 
54,595

 

 
54,595

 
A
 
56,324

 

 
56,324

 
A
 
Transportation
 
29,896

 

 
29,896

 
A
 
30,830

 

 
30,830

 
A
 
Healthcare
 
15,623

 

 
15,623

 
A
 
16,132

 

 
16,132

 
A
 
Higher education
 
13,554

 

 
13,554

 
A
 
14,071

 

 
14,071

 
A
 
Infrastructure finance
 
4,109

 

 
4,109

 
BBB
 
4,114

 

 
4,114

 
BBB
 
Housing
 
3,229

 

 
3,229

 
A+
 
3,386

 

 
3,386

 
A+
 
Investor-owned utilities
 
980

 

 
980

 
A-
 
991

 

 
991

 
A-
 
Other public finance
 
3,872

 

 
3,872

 
A
 
4,232

 

 
4,232

 
A
 
 
Total U.S. public finance
 
338,985

 
29

 
338,956

 
A
 
352,213

 
32

 
352,181

 
A
Non-U.S. public finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Infrastructure finance
 
15,218

 

 
15,218

 
BBB
 
14,703

 

 
14,703

 
BBB
 
Regulated utilities
 
12,092

 

 
12,092

 
BBB+
 
11,205

 

 
11,205

 
BBB+
 
Pooled infrastructure
 
2,591

 

 
2,591

 
A
 
2,520

 

 
2,520

 
A
 
Other public finance
 
5,507

 

 
5,507

 
A
 
5,570

 

 
5,570

 
A
 
 
Total non-U.S. public finance
 
35,408

 

 
35,408

 
BBB+
 
33,998

 

 
33,998

 
BBB+
Total public finance
 
$
374,393

 
$
29

 
$
374,364

 
A
 
$
386,211

 
$
32

 
$
386,179

 
A
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. structured finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pooled corporate obligations
 
$
26,596

 
$

 
$
26,596

 
AAA
 
$
31,325

 
$

 
$
31,325

 
AAA
 
RMBS
 
13,442

 
862

 
12,580

 
BBB-
 
14,559

 
838

 
13,721

 
BBB-
 
Insurance securitizations
 
3,359

 
325

 
3,034

 
A-
 
3,360

 
325

 
3,035

 
A-
 
CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures
 
2,804

 

 
2,804

 
AAA
 
3,952

 

 
3,952

 
AAA
 
Financial products
 
2,585

 

 
2,585

 
AA-
 
2,709

 

 
2,709

 
AA-
 
Consumer receivables
 
2,152

 

 
2,152

 
BBB+
 
2,198

 

 
2,198

 
BBB+
 
Commercial receivables
 
682

 

 
682

 
A-
 
911

 

 
911

 
A-
 
Structured credit
 
69

 

 
69

 
BB
 
69

 

 
69

 
BB
 
Other structured finance
 
940

 

 
940

 
A-
 
987

 

 
987

 
A-
 
 
Total U.S. structured finance
 
52,629

 
1,187

 
51,442

 
AA-
 
60,070

 
1,163

 
58,907

 
AA-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pooled corporate obligations
 
9,066

 

 
9,066

 
AA+
 
11,058

 

 
11,058

 
AAA
 
Commercial receivables
 
1,162

 

 
1,162

 
BBB+
 
1,263

 

 
1,263

 
BBB+
 
RMBS
 
927

 

 
927

 
A
 
1,146

 

 
1,146

 
AA-
 
Structured credit
 
37

 

 
37

 
BBB-
 
176

 

 
176

 
BBB
 
Other structured finance
 
578

 

 
578

 
AA+
 
378

 

 
378

 
AAA
 
 
Total non-U.S. structured finance
 
11,770

 

 
11,770

 
AA
 
14,021

 

 
14,021

 
AA+
Total structured finance
 
$
64,399

 
$
1,187

 
$
63,212

 
AA-
 
$
74,091

 
$
1,163

 
$
72,928

 
AA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
 
$
438,792

 
$
1,216

 
$
437,576

 
A
 
$
460,302

 
$
1,195

 
$
459,107

 
A


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and in the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.



14



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 4)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)


Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
 
 
Public Finance - U.S.
 
Public Finance - Non-U.S.
 
Structured Finance - U.S.
 
Structured Finance - Non-U.S.
 
Total
Ratings:
 
Net Par Outstanding
%
 
Net Par Outstanding
%
 
Net Par Outstanding
%
 
Net Par Outstanding
%
 
Net Par Outstanding
%
AAA
 
$
4,239

1.3
%
 
$
1,031

2.9
%
 
$
26,709

51.9
%
 
$
7,597

64.5
%
 
$
39,576

9.0
%
AA
 
100,089

29.5
%
 
432

1.2
%
 
8,963

17.4
%
 
567

4.8
%
 
110,051

25.2
%
A
 
184,593

54.5
%
 
9,803

27.7
%
 
2,395

4.7
%
 
610

5.2
%
 
197,401

45.1
%
BBB
 
41,174

12.1
%
 
22,529

63.6
%
 
3,331

6.5
%
 
1,939

16.5
%
 
68,973

15.8
%
BIG
 
8,861

2.6
%
 
1,613

4.6
%
 
10,044

19.5
%
 
1,057

9.0
%
 
21,575

4.9
%
 
Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
338,956

100.0
%
 
$
35,408

100.0
%
 
$
51,442

100.0
%
 
$
11,770

100.0
%
 
$
437,576

100.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
29


 


 
1,187


 


 
1,216


 
Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
338,985


 
$
35,408


 
$
52,629


 
$
11,770


 
$
438,792




Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and in the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.





15



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 4)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)


Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
 
 
Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
% of Total
U.S.:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. public finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
California
 
$
52,709

 
$
29

 
$
52,680

 
12.0
%
 
Pennsylvania
 
27,625

 

 
27,625

 
6.3

 
New York
 
27,187

 

 
27,187

 
6.2

 
Texas
 
25,867

 

 
25,867

 
5.9

 
Illinois
 
23,518

 

 
23,518

 
5.4

 
Florida
 
20,748

 

 
20,748

 
4.7

 
New Jersey
 
13,866

 

 
13,866

 
3.2

 
Michigan
 
13,226

 

 
13,226

 
3.0

 
Georgia
 
8,993

 

 
8,993

 
2.1

 
Ohio
 
8,424

 

 
8,424

 
1.9

 
Other states and U.S. territories
 
116,822

 

 
116,822

 
26.7

 
 
Total public finance
 
338,985

 
29

 
338,956

 
77.4

U.S. structured finance:
 
52,629

 
1,187

 
51,442

 
11.8

 
 
Total U.S.
 
391,614

 
1,216

 
390,398

 
89.2

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Non-U.S.:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
United Kingdom
 
22,225

 

 
22,225

 
5.1

 
Australia
 
5,855

 

 
5,855

 
1.3

 
Canada
 
3,620

 

 
3,620

 
0.8

 
France
 
3,385

 

 
3,385

 
0.8

 
Italy
 
1,741

 

 
1,741

 
0.4

 
Other
 
10,352

 

 
10,352

 
2.4

 
 
Total non-U.S.
 
47,178

 

 
47,178

 
10.8

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total net par outstanding
 
$
438,792

 
$
1,216

 
$
437,576

 
100.0
%

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.



16



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (4 of 4)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)


Net Direct Economic Exposure to Selected European Countries

 
 
 
Hungary
 
Ireland
 
Italy
 
Portugal
 
Spain
 
Total
Sovereign and sub-sovereign exposure:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Non-infrastructure public finance
 
$

 
$

 
$
1,007

 
$
95

 
$
272

 
$
1,374

 
Infrastructure finance
 
369

 

 
16

 
11

 
155

 
551

 
 
Total sovereign and sub-sovereign exposure
 
369

 

 
1,023

 
106

 
427

 
1,925

Non-sovereign exposure:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Regulated utilities
 

 

 
242

 

 

 
242

 
RMBS
 
214

 
144

 
308

 

 

 
666

 
 
Total non-sovereign exposure
 
214

 
144

 
550

 

 

 
908

 
 
Total
 
$
583

 
$
144

 
$
1,573

 
$
106

 
$
427

 
$
2,833

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total BIG
 
$
583

 
$

 
$

 
$
106

 
$
427

 
$
1,116



Note: While the Company’s exposures are shown in U.S. dollars, the obligations the Company insures are in various currencies, including U.S. dollars, Euros and British pounds sterling. Included in the tables above is $144 million of reinsurance assumed on a 2004 - 2006 pool of Irish residential mortgages that is part of the Company’s remaining legacy mortgage reinsurance business. One of the residential mortgage-backed securities included in the table above includes residential mortgages in both Italy and Germany, and only the portion of the transaction equal to the portion of the original mortgage pool in Italian mortgages is shown in the table.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's net par outstanding, internal rating approach and of the various sectors.


17



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico (1 of 3)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

Gross Par and Gross Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico

 
Gross Par Outstanding
 
Gross Debt Service Outstanding
Subject to the terms of the Puerto Rico Public Corporation Debt Enforcement and Recovery Act (the "Recovery Act")
$
3,195

 
$
5,472

Not subject to the terms of the Recovery Act
3,220

 
5,000

   Total
$
6,415

 
$
10,472



Net Exposure to Puerto Rico by Risk
 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
 
 
 
AGM Consolidated
 
AGC Consolidated
 
AG Re Consolidated
 
Eliminations(1)
 
Total
 
Internal Rating
Exposures subject to the terms of the Recovery Act:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Transportation revenue)
 
$
316

 
$
400

 
$
236

 
$
(80
)
 
$
872

 
BB-
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority
 
481

 
65

 
273

 

 
819

 
B-
Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority
 

 
288

 
96

 

 
384

 
BB-
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Highway revenue)
 
216

 
28

 
58

 

 
302

 
BB
Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority
 

 
93

 
92

 

 
185

 
BB-
Total
 
1,013

 
874

 
755

 
(80
)
 
2,562

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Exposures not subject to the terms of the Recovery Act:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation Bonds
 
758

 
476

 
532

 

 
1,766

 
BB
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Authority
 
252

 
49

 
149

 

 
450

 
BB-
Puerto Rico Sales Tax Financing Corporation
 
261

 

 
7

 

 
268

 
BBB
Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority
 
32

 
46

 
46

 

 
124

 
BB
Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico
 

 
33

 

 

 
33

 
BB
Puerto Rico Infrastructure Financing Authority
 

 
10

 
8

 

 
18

 
BB-
University of Puerto Rico
 

 
1

 

 

 
1

 
BB-
Total
 
1,303

 
615

 
742

 

 
2,660

 

Total net exposure to Puerto Rico
 
$
2,316

 
$
1,489

 
$
1,497

 
$
(80
)
 
$
5,222

 


1)
Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.




18



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico (2 of 3)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

Amortization Schedule of Net Par Outstanding of Puerto Rico
 
Scheduled Net Par Amortization
 
2014 (2H)
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024 -2028
2029 -2033
2034 -2038
2039 -2043
2044 -2047
Total
 
(in millions)
Exposures subject to the terms of the Recovery Act:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Transportation revenue)
$
29

$
22

$
29

$
32

$
39

$
26

$
21

$
16

$
17

$
17

$
86

$
94

$
288

$
156

$

$
872

Puerto Rico
Electric Power Authority
46

73

19

4

4

24

40

20

20

78

347

136

8



819

Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority

14

15








109




246

384

Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Highway revenue)
8

6

31

5

5

11

12

15

6

7

20

95

81



302

Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority
10

11

11








19

50

84



185

Total
93

126

105

41

48

61

73

51

43

102

581

375

461

156

246

2,562

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Exposures not subject to the terms of the Recovery Act:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation Bonds
94

109

127

95

64

82

137

16

37

14

282

310

399



1,766

Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Authority
50

51

48

41

43

39

35

30

30

16

60

7




450

Puerto Rico Sales Tax Financing Corporation
(1
)
(1
)
(1
)
(1
)
(1
)
(1
)
(1
)
(2
)
(2
)
1

(7
)
20

10

255


268

Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority
17

12

9

31

2

7

10

12


8

9

2

5



124

Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico

33














33

Puerto Rico Infrastructure Financing Authority




2





2



1

13


18

University of Puerto Rico
0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1




1

Total
160

204

183

166

110

127

181

56

65

41

344

340

415

268


2,660

Total net par for Puerto Rico(1)
$
253

$
330

$
288

$
207

$
158

$
188

$
254

$
107

$
108

$
143

$
925

$
715

$
876

$
424

$
246

$
5,222

1)
In July 2014, various Puerto Rico issuers made payment on $215 million of par scheduled to be paid; of that amount, $46 million of par was paid by Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority.

19



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico (3 of 3)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

Amortization Schedule of Net Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico
 
Scheduled Net Debt Service Amortization
 
2014 (2H)
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024 -2028
2029 -2033
2034 -2038
2039 -2043
2044 -2047
Total
 
(in millions)
Exposures subject to the terms of the Recovery Act:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Transportation revenue)
$
51

$
65

$
72

$
72

$
78

$
63

$
57

$
51

$
50

$
50

$
240

$
217

$
355

$
167

$

$
1,588

Puerto Rico
Electric Power Authority
64

107

51

36

35

55

69

47

47

102

421

152

9



1,195

Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority
10

33

33

18

18

18

18

18

18

18

189

63

63

63

278

858

Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Highway revenue)
16

22

46

19

19

24

24

26

17

18

69

131

87



518

Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority
14

19

18

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

52

78

89



319

Total
155

246

220

152

157

167

175

149

139

195

971

641

603

230

278

4,478

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Exposures not subject to the terms of the Recovery Act:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation Bonds
137

192

205

167

132

147

195

71

91

67

504

467

439



2,814

Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Authority
61

70

65

56

55

49

43

37

35

20

69

7




567

Puerto Rico Sales Tax Financing Corporation
5

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

16

65

95

76

291


652

Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority
19

18

13

35

5

9

13

14

1

9

12

4

6



158

Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico
0

35














35

Puerto Rico Infrastructure Financing Authority
0

1

1

1

3

1

1

1

1

2

4

4

4

15


39

University of Puerto Rico
0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1




1

Total
222

329

297

272

208

219

265

136

141

114

654

578

525

306


4,266

Total net debt service for Puerto Rico (1)
$
377

$
575

$
517

$
424

$
365

$
386

$
440

$
285

$
280

$
309

$
1,625

$
1,219

$
1,128

$
536

$
278

$
8,744

1)
In July 2014, various Puerto Rico issuers made scheduled par payments of $215 million, plus interest. Of that amount $46 million of par related to Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority.

20



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings
 
 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
% of Total
 
Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement
 
Avg. Current Credit Enhancement
Ratings:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
AAA
 
$
28,277

 
80.2
%
 
28.0
%
 
30.6
%
 
AA
 
2,324

 
6.6
%
 
40.7
%
 
40.5
%
 
A
 
510

 
1.4
%
 
50.2
%
 
52.5
%
 
BBB
 
2,064

 
5.9
%
 
40.7
%
 
36.9
%
 
BIG
 
2,074

 
5.9
%
 
44.1
%
 
21.9
%
 
 
Total exposures
 
$
35,249

 
100.0
%
 
30.6
%
 
31.5
%


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class
 
 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
% of Total
 
Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement
 
Avg. Current Credit Enhancement
 
Avg. Rating
Asset class:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CBOs/CLOs
 
$
17,748

 
50.4
%
 
31.3
%
 
35.3
%
 
AAA
 
Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates
 
9,487

 
26.9
%
 
21.4
%
 
19.9
%
 
AAA
 
Market value CDOs of corporates
 
1,619

 
4.6
%
 
24.3
%
 
34.3
%
 
AAA
 
Synthetic high yield pooled corporates
 
978

 
2.8
%
 
47.0
%
 
40.6
%
 
AAA
 
Trust preferred
 
 
 


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Banks and insurance
 
2,407

 
6.8
%
 
45.4
%
 
40.4
%
 
BBB
 
 
U.S. mortgage and real estate investment trusts
 
1,500

 
4.2
%
 
49.8
%
 
36.9
%
 
BB
 
 
European mortgage and real estate investment trusts
 
817

 
2.3
%
 
36.7
%
 
31.5
%
 
BBB-
 
Other pooled corporates
 
693

 
2.0
%
 
%
 
%
 
BBB-
 
 
Total exposures
 
$
35,249

 
100.0
%
 
30.6
%
 
31.5
%
 
AAA

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of internal ratings, performance indicators and sectors.




21



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
U.S. RMBS Profile
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

                
Distribution of Consolidated U.S. RMBS by Rating and Type of Exposure
Ratings:
 
Prime First Lien
 
Closed-End Second Lien
 
HELOC
 
Alt-A First Lien
 
Option ARMs
 
Subprime First Lien
 
Total Net Par Outstanding
 
AAA
 
$
1

 
$

 
$
14

 
$
205

 
$
53

 
$
2,280

 
$
2,553

 
AA
 
91

 
91

 
83

 
526

 
182

 
1,373

 
2,346

 
A
 
7

 
0

 
8

 

 
17

 
121

 
153

 
BBB
 
30

 

 
127

 
17

 
32

 
138

 
344

 
BIG
 
381

 
140

 
1,670

 
2,621

 
548

 
1,824

 
7,185

 
 
Total exposures
 
$
509

 
$
232

 
$
1,901

 
$
3,369

 
$
833

 
$
5,736

 
$
12,580



Distribution of Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies
                                                                                                                                                      
 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Pool Factor
 
Subordination
 
Cumulative Losses
 
60+ Day Delinquencies
 
Number of Transactions
 
U.S. Prime First Lien
 
$
487

 
29.2
%
 
3.8
%
 
4.7
%
 
15.8
%
 
8

 
U.S. Closed-End Second Lien
 
222

 
10.6
%
 
%
 
69.2
%
 
5.0
%
 
9

 
U.S. HELOC
 
1,681

 
15.6
%
 
4.6
%
 
37.5
%
 
3.7
%
 
18

 
U.S. Alt-A First Lien
 
3,297

 
31.5
%
 
5.5
%
 
17.5
%
 
25.5
%
 
43

 
U.S. Option ARMs
 
801

 
32.8
%
 
4.5
%
 
22.1
%
 
26.4
%
 
19

 
U.S. Subprime First Lien
 
4,567

 
27.1
%
 
36.7
%
 
24.6
%
 
33.1
%
 
21



Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.

























22



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)


Distribution of Direct U.S. CMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies
                                                                                                                                                                                                 
U.S. CMBS
Rating:
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Pool Factor
 
Subordination
 
Cumulative Losses
 
60+ Day Delinquencies
 
Number of Transactions
 
AAA
 
$
2,306

 
63.5
%
 
41.2
%
 
3.6
%
 
7.2
%
 
131

 
AA
 

 
%
 
%
 
%
 
%
 

 
A
 
15

 
9.9
%
 
67.7
%
 
2.8
%
 
17.6
%
 
1

 
BBB
 

 
%
 
%
 
%
 
%
 

 
BIG
 

 
%
 
%
 
%
 
%
 

 
 
Total exposures
 
$
2,320

 
63.2
%
 
41.4
%
 
3.6
%
 
7.2
%
 
132


CDOs of U.S. Commercial Real Estate(1) 
 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement
 
Avg. Current Credit Enhancement
CDOs of commercial real estate
 
$
260

 
52.5
%
 
61.6
%


1)
Represents other U.S. Commercial Real Estate not included in the table above.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of net par outstanding, performance indicators and sectors.



23



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type
 
 
 
BIG Net Par Outstanding(1)
 
 
 
June 30, 2014
 
December 31, 2013
U.S. public finance:
 
 
 
 
 
General obligation
 
$
2,959

 
$
3,126

 
Tax backed
 
2,168

 
2,209

 
Infrastructure finance
 
1,737

 
1,724

 
Municipal utilities
 
1,352

 
1,360

 
Transportation
 
314

 
320

 
Healthcare
 
66

 
70

 
Higher education
 
15

 
15

 
Housing
 
2

 
17

 
Other public finance
 
248

 
253

 
 
Total U.S. public finance
 
8,861

 
9,094

Non-U.S. public finance:
 
 
 
 
 
Infrastructure finance
 
1,246

 
1,236

 
Other public finance
 
367

 
372

 
 
Total non-U.S. public finance
 
1,613

 
1,608

Total public finance
 
$
10,474

 
$
10,702

 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. structured finance:
 
 
 
 
 
RMBS
 
$
7,185

 
$
7,717

 
Pooled corporate obligations
 
1,561

 
1,722

 
Insurance securitizations
 
598

 
598

 
Consumer receivables
 
370

 
386

 
Commercial receivables
 
148

 
157

 
Structured credit
 
69

 
69

 
Other structured finance
 
113

 
115

 
 
Total U.S. structured finance
 
10,044

 
10,764

Non-U.S. structured finance:
 
 
 
 
 
Pooled corporate obligations
 
766

 
767

 
RMBS
 
215

 
224

 
Commercial receivables
 
76

 
81

 
 
Total non-U.S. structured finance
 
1,057

 
1,072

Total structured finance
 
$
11,101

 
$
11,836

Total BIG net par outstanding
 
$
21,575

 
$
22,538



1)
In accordance with the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the referenced obligations in such contracts have been delivered to the Company and therefore are included in the investment portfolio. Such amounts are still included in the financial guaranty insured portfolio (excluding loss mitigation bonds), and totaled $165 million and $195 million in gross par outstanding as of June 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, respectively.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.



24




Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 5)
(dollars in millions)


Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category(1)  
 
 
 
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives Surveillance Categories(2)
 
 
 
June 30, 2014
 
December 31, 2013
Category 1
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. public finance
 
$
7,170

 
$
8,205

 
Non-U.S. public finance
 
1,611

 
1,009

 
U.S. structured finance
 
4,034

 
4,513

 
Non-U.S. structured finance
 
1,009

 
1,024

 
 
Total Category 1
 
13,824

 
14,751

Category 2
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. public finance
 
1,269

 
440

 
Non-U.S. public finance
 
2

 
599

 
U.S. structured finance
 
2,167

 
2,862

 
Non-U.S. structured finance
 
48

 
48

 
 
Total Category 2
 
3,486

 
3,949

Category 3
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. public finance
 
422

 
449

 
Non-U.S. public finance
 

 

 
U.S. structured finance
 
3,843

 
3,389

 
Non-U.S. structured finance
 

 

 
 
Total Category 3
 
4,265

 
3,838

 
 
 
BIG Total
 
$
21,575

 
$
22,538



1)
Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. BIG Category 1: Below-investment-grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make future losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. BIG Category 2: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims which is a claim that the Company expects to be reimbursed within one year) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid.

2)
In accordance with the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the referenced obligations in such contracts have been delivered to the Company and therefore are included in the investment portfolio. Such amounts are still included in the financial guaranty insured portfolio (excluding loss mitigation bonds), and totaled $165 million and $195 million in gross par outstanding as of June 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, respectively.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.




25



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 5)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)


Public Finance BIG Exposures with Revenue Sources Greater Than $50 Million

 
 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Internal Rating
Name or description
 
 
 
 
U.S. public finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Puerto Rico General Obligation, Appropriations and Guarantees of the Commonwealth
 
$
1,941

 
BB
 
 
 
Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority
 
1,174

 
BB-
 
 
 
Skyway Concession Company LLC
 
1,162

 
BB
 
 
 
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority
 
819

 
B-
 
 
 
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency
 
450

 
BB-
 
 
 
Puerto Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Authority
 
384

 
BB-
 
 
 
Louisville Arena Authority Inc.
 
337

 
BB
 
 
 
Detroit (City of) Michigan
 
303

 
D
 
 
 
San Joaquin Hills California Transportation
 
239

 
BB-
 
 
 
GMAC Military Housing Trust XVIII (Hickam Air Force Base)
 
214

 
BB
 
 
 
Puerto Rico Hotel Occupancy Tax Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority
 
185

 
BB-
 
 
 
Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania
 
179

 
BB-
 
 
 
Woonsocket (City of), Rhode Island
 
146

 
BB
 
 
 
Guaranteed Student Loan Transaction
 
143

 
B
 
 
 
Stockton City, California
 
119

 
D
 
 
 
City of Fresno Revenue Stream
 
118

 
BB+
 
 
 
Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida
 
118

 
B+
 
 
 
Wayne County, Michigan
 
109

 
BB+
 
 
 
Xenia Rural Water District, Iowa
 
78

 
B
 
 
 
Pennsylvania Economic Development Financing Authority (Capitol Region Parking System)
 
54

 
BB
 
 
 
Bridgeview Village Illinois General Obligation
 
50

 
BB+
 
 
Total
 
$
8,322

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Non-U.S. public finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited
 
$
631

 
BB
 
 
 
M6 Duna Autopalya Koncesszios Zartkoruen Mukodo Reszvenytarsasag
 
368

 
BB-
 
 
 
Valencia Fair
 
261

 
BB-
 
 
 
Autovia de la Mancha, S.A.
 
148

 
BB-
 
 
 
Alte Liebe I Limited (Wind Farm)
 
76

 
BB
 
 
 
Metropolitano de Porto Lease and Sublease of Railroad Equipment
 
56

 
B+
 
 
Total
 
$
1,540

 
 
Total
 
$
9,862

 
 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.



26



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (4 of 5)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million
 
 
BIG Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
BIG Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
Internal Rating
 
Current Credit Enhancement
 
60+ Day Delinquencies
Name or description
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. structured finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. RMBS:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MABS 2007-NCW
 
$
473

 
$
57

 
$
416

 
CCC
 
11.8%
 
50.6%
Option One 2007-FXD2
 
325

 
3

 
322

 
CCC
 
0.0%
 
24.0%
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2
 
303

 

 
303

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
23.1%
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction
 
303

 

 
303

 
CCC
 
0.9%
 
23.9%
Countrywide HELOC 2006-I
 
282

 

 
282

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
2.4%
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3
 
272

 

 
272

 
B
 
0.0%
 
20.0%
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction
 
256

 

 
256

 
CCC
 
—%
 
27.3%
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction
 
255

 

 
255

 
B
 
11.8%
 
24.5%
MortgageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2
 
246

 

 
246

 
CCC
 
1.2%
 
17.5%
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1
 
227

 
1

 
226

 
CCC
 
0.0%
 
33.9%
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction
 
179

 

 
179

 
CCC
 
7.8%
 
24.9%
Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D
 
174

 

 
174

 
B
 
0.0%
 
2.8%
Soundview 2007-WMC1
 
173

 

 
173

 
CCC
 
—%
 
57.6%
Countrywide HELOC 2005-D
 
170

 

 
170

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
4.3%
Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J
 
166

 

 
166

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
3.6%
Countrywide HELOC 2006-F
 
215

 
64

 
151

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
5.5%
New Century 2005-A
 
141

 

 
141

 
CCC
 
11.1%
 
26.9%
Countrywide HELOC 2007-A
 
149

 
14

 
135

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
3.6%
Countrywide HELOC 2007-B
 
135

 

 
135

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
2.9%
GMACM 2004-HE3
 
132

 

 
132

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
2.9%
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2
 
125

 

 
125

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
23.1%
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction
 
114

 

 
114

 
BB
 
17.4%
 
27.3%
CSAB 2006-3
 
108

 

 
108

 
CCC
 
0.0%
 
43.7%
IndyMac 2007-H1 HELOC
 
105

 

 
105

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
3.1%
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2
 
89

 

 
89

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
23.1%
Countrywide HELOC 2005-C
 
78

 

 
78

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
5.1%
Soundview Home Loan Trust 2008-1
 
72

 
1

 
71

 
CCC
 
12.4%
 
27.8%
IMPAC CMB Trust Series 2007-A Class M-1
 
67

 

 
67

 
BB
 
9.4%
 
19.1%
AAA Trust 2007-2
 
249

 
183

 
66

 
BB
 
—%
 
32.1%
American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-4
 
64

 

 
64

 
CCC
 
0.1%
 
31.0%
MASTR Asset-Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2
 
61

 

 
61

 
CCC
 
—%
 
24.5%
CSAB 2006-2
 
67

 
10

 
57

 
CCC
 
0.0%
 
38.0%
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-16HE
 
55

 

 
55

 
CCC
 
—%
 
27.3%
Taylor Bean & Whitaker 2007-2
 
75

 
21

 
54

 
CCC
 
0.0%
 
20.2%
CSMC 2007-3
 
58

 
8

 
50

 
CCC
 
0.0%
 
32.9%
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL
 
178

 
136

 
42

 
CCC
 
—%
 
3.8%
Renaissance (DELTA) 2007-3
 
142

 
128

 
14

 
CCC
 
—%
 
28.8%
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6ALT
 
52

 
50

 
2

 
CCC
 
0.0%
 
29.3%
Total U.S. RMBS
 
$
6,335

 
$
676

 
$
5,659

 
 
 
 
 
 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.

27



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (5 of 5)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million (continued)
 
 
 
BIG Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
BIG Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
Internal Rating
 
Current Credit Enhancement
Name or description
 
 
 
 
 


 
 
 
 
U.S. structured finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Orkney Re II, Plc
 
$
423

 
$

 
$
423

 
CCC
 
N/A
 
 
Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD
 
278

 

 
278

 
BB-
 
24.7%
 
 
Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD
 
257

 

 
257

 
CCC
 
19.6%
 
 
Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, LTD.
 
224

 

 
224

 
B+
 
15.9%
 
 
Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD.
 
207

 

 
207

 
CCC
 
20.8%
 
 
Ballantyne Re Plc
 
500

 
325

 
175

 
CC
 
N/A
 
 
Alesco Preferred Funding XVII, LTD.
 
169

 

 
169

 
BB
 
28.7%
 
 
Trapeza CDO XI
 
150

 

 
150

 
BB-
 
39.3%
 
 
Taberna Preferred Funding VI, LTD
 
141

 

 
141

 
B
 
19.1%
 
 
US Capital Funding IV, LTD
 
136

 

 
136

 
CCC
 
6.6%
 
 
NRG Peaker (1)
 
102

 

 
102

 
BB
 
N/A
 
 
National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-4
 
70

 

 
70

 
CCC
 
N/A
 
 
National Collegiate Trust Series 2006-2
 
67

 

 
67

 
CCC
 
N/A
 
 
CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance
 
63

 

 
63

 
BB
 
N/A
 
 
Conseco Finance Manufactured Housing Series 2001-2
 
60

 

 
60

 
CCC
 
14.5%
 
 
Subtotal other
 
$
2,847

 
$
325

 
$
2,522

 
 
 
 
 
 
Subtotal U.S. structured finance
 
$
9,182

 
$
1,001

 
$
8,181

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gleneagles Funding LTD (1st Issue)
 
$
229

 
$

 
$
229

 
BB
 
N/A
 
 
Augusta Funding Limited 07 Perpetual Note Issue
 
81

 

 
81

 
BB
 
N/A
 
 
Private Pooled Corporate Transaction
 
80

 

 
80

 
BB
 
N/A
 
 
Augusta Funding Limited 05 Perpetual Note Issue
 
78

 

 
78

 
BB
 
N/A
 
 
Babcock & Brown Air Funding I Ltd. Series 2007-1
 
68

 

 
68

 
BB
 
N/A
 
 
Private Pooled Corporate Transaction
 
64

 

 
64

 
BB
 
N/A
 
 
Private Pooled Corporate Transaction
 
56

 

 
56

 
BB
 
N/A
 
 
Subtotal Non-U.S. structured finance
 
$
656

 
$

 
$
656

 
 
 
 
 
Total
 
$
9,838

 
$
1,001

 
$
8,837

 
 
 
 

1)
In accordance with the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the referenced obligations in such contracts have been delivered to the Company and therefore are included in the investment portfolio. Net par shown is net of $63 million of ceded par. The Company holds 100% of the bonds referenced in this transaction and reports them in the investment portfolio.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.

28



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures by Revenue Source
 
 
Credit names:
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Internal Rating
 
 
 
New Jersey (State of)
 
$
3,937

 
A
 
 
California (State of)
 
3,224

 
A-
 
 
New York (City of) New York
 
3,049

 
AA-
 
 
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)
 
2,516

 
AA
 
 
Chicago (City of) Illinois
 
2,392

 
BBB+
 
 
New York (State of)
 
2,245

 
A+
 
 
Illinois (State of)
 
2,183

 
A-
 
 
Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport
 
2,176

 
A
 
 
Los Angeles, California Unified School District
 
1,947

 
AA-
 
 
Puerto Rico General Obligation, Appropriations and Guarantees of the Commonwealth
 
1,941

 
BB
 
 
Houston, Texas Water and Sewer Authority
 
1,801

 
AA-
 
 
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey
 
1,765

 
AA-
 
 
Wisconsin (State of)
 
1,756

 
A+
 
 
Washington (State of)
 
1,684

 
AA
 
 
Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania
 
1,674

 
BBB+
 
 
New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority
 
1,633

 
A
 
 
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)
 
1,621

 
AA-
 
 
Chicago, Illinois Public Schools
 
1,606

 
A-
 
 
Chicago-O'Hare International Airport
 
1,487

 
A
 
 
New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority
 
1,453

 
AA
 
 
Miami-Dade County Florida School Board
 
1,447

 
A-
 
 
Illinois Toll Highway Authority
 
1,409

 
AA
 
 
Arizona (State of)
 
1,398

 
A+
 
 
Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System
 
1,391

 
A-
 
 
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources
 
1,304

 
AA
 
 
Georgia Board of Regents
 
1,300

 
A
 
 
Metro Washington Airport Authority
 
1,252

 
A+
 
 
Michigan (State of)
 
1,220

 
A+
 
 
Philadelphia School District, Pennsylvania
 
1,218

 
A
 
 
Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission
 
1,178

 
A-
 
 
Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority
 
1,174

 
BB-
 
 
Skyway Concession Company LLC
 
1,162

 
BB
 
 
Los Angeles, California Department of Water & Power - Electric Revenue Bonds
 
1,143

 
AA-
 
 
North Texas Tollway Authority
 
1,119

 
A
 
 
Long Island Power Authority
 
1,100

 
A-
 
 
District of Columbia
 
1,049

 
A+
 
 
Detroit Michigan Sewer
 
1,018

 
BBB
 
 
Kentucky (Commonwealth of)
 
1,002

 
A+
 
 
Louisiana (State of) Gas and Fuel Tax
 
971

 
AA
 
 
San Diego County, California Water
 
963

 
AA
 
 
California State University System Trustee
 
947

 
A+
 
 
Garden State Preservation Trust, New Jersey Open Space & Farmland
 
940

 
AA
 
 
San Diego Unified School District, California
 
912

 
AA
 
 
University of California Board of Regents
 
890

 
AA
 
 
Hartfield Atlanta International Airport
 
881

 
A+
 
 
New Jersey Turnpike Authority
 
872

 
A-
 
 
Orlando-Orange County Expressway Authority, Florida
 
861

 
A+
 
 
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority
 
819

 
B-
 
 
Miami-Dade County, Florida Water & Sewer
 
847

 
A+
 
 
New York State Thruway Authority
 
815

 
A
 
 
   Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures
 
$
74,692

 
 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.


29



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
Credit Name
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Internal Rating
 
Credit Enhancement
 
Fortress Credit Opportunities I, LP.
 
$
1,328

 
AA
 
34.8%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
1,175

 
AAA
 
13.2%
 
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO
 
978

 
AAA
 
40.6%
 
Stone Tower Credit Funding
 
789

 
AAA
 
32.7%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
767

 
AAA
 
15.3%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
763

 
AAA
 
29.5%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
753

 
AAA
 
23.4%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
745

 
AAA
 
29.0%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
655

 
AAA
 
15.9%
 
Eastland CLO, LTD
 
532

 
AAA
 
39.0%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
516

 
AAA
 
14.7%
 
Denali CLO VII, LTD.
 
506

 
AAA
 
19.6%
 
Private US Insurance Securitization
 
500

 
AA
 
N/A
 
Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities
 
484

 
A+
 
N/A
 
Churchill Financial Cayman
 
467

 
AAA
 
36.8%
 
SLM Private Credit Student Trust 2007-A
 
450

 
BBB+
 
17.8%
 
LIICA Holdings, LLC
 
428

 
AA
 
N/A
 
Orkney Re II, Plc
 
423

 
CCC
 
N/A
 
MABS 2007-NCW
 
416

 
CCC
 
11.8%
 
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction
 
400

 
AA
 
N/A
 
Phoenix CLO II
 
400

 
AAA
 
21.8%
 
SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007-6
 
392

 
AAA
 
4.2%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
384

 
AAA
 
14.7%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
380

 
AAA
 
30.2%
 
KKR Financial CLO 2007-1
 
377

 
AAA
 
51.1%
 
Grayson CLO
 
366

 
AAA
 
30.7%
 
Symphony Credit Opportunities Fund
 
364

 
AAA
 
23.4%
 
SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2006-C
 
356

 
BBB
 
18.4%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
343

 
AAA
 
16.8%
 
Option One 2007-FXD2
 
323

 
CCC
 
0.0%
 
Cent CDO 15 Limited
 
307

 
AAA
 
18.2%
 
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2
 
303

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction
 
303

 
CCC
 
0.9%
 
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction
 
300

 
A+
 
N/A
 
Muir Grove CLO
 
298

 
AAA
 
23.9%
 
Cent CDO 12 Limited
 
287

 
AAA
 
24.1%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
283

 
AAA
 
31.0%
 
Countrywide HELOC 2006-I
 
282

 
BB
 
0.0%
 
Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD
 
278

 
BB-
 
24.7%
 
Kingsland IV
 
274

 
AAA
 
22.7%
 
Centurion CDO 9
 
273

 
AAA
 
26.0%
 
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3
 
272

 
B
 
0.0%
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
270

 
AAA
 
29.1%
 
CIFC Funding 2007-II
 
268

 
AAA
 
43.2%
 
Kingsland V
 
263

 
AAA
 
26.7%
 
Stone Tower CLO V
 
261

 
AAA
 
35.1%
 
Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD
 
257

 
CCC
 
19.6%
 
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction
 
256

 
CCC
 
—%
 
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction
 
255

 
B
 
11.8%
 
Alesco Preferred Funding XIV
 
253

 
BBB-
 
37.5%
 
   Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures
 
$
22,303

 
 
 
 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.

30



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Internal Rating
 
Quebec Province
 
$
2,378

 
A+
 
Thames Water Utility Finance PLC
 
1,562

 
A-
 
Sydney Airport Finance Company
 
1,383

 
BBB
 
Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC
 
1,001

 
BBB
 
Southern Gas Networks PLC
 
987

 
BBB
 
Societe des Autoroutes du Nord et de l'Est de France S.A.
 
870

 
BBB+
 
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC
 
849

 
BBB-
 
Southern Water Services Limited
 
753

 
A-
 
Campania Region - Healthcare receivable
 
740

 
BBB-
 
International Infrastructure Pool
 
721

 
A-
 
International Infrastructure Pool
 
721

 
A-
 
International Infrastructure Pool
 
721

 
A-
 
Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited
 
631

 
BB
 
Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLC
 
594

 
BBB
 
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO
 
562

 
AAA
 
Scotland Gas Networks Plc (A2)
 
545

 
BBB
 
NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLC
 
543

 
BBB
 
Verbund - Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric equipment
 
532

 
AAA
 
The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) Limited
 
522

 
BBB
 
Integrated Accomodation Services PLC
 
517

 
BBB+
 
Envestra Limited
 
511

 
BBB
 
A28 Motorway
 
505

 
BBB
 
Octagon Healthcare Funding PLC
 
452

 
BBB
 
Dali Capital PLC-Northumbrian Water (Swap)
 
450

 
BBB+
 
Taberna Europe CDO II PLC
 
432

 
BBB-
 
 Total top 25 non-U.S. exposures
 
$
19,482

 
 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.



31



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicer Exposures
Servicer:
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC(1)
 
$
3,725

 
Bank Of America, N.A.(2)
 
2,682

 
Wells Fargo Bank N.A.
 
2,257

 
Specialized Loan Servicing, LLC
 
2,114

 
JPMorgan Chase Bank
 
551

 
Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc.
 
517

 
Carrington Mortgage Services, LLC
 
303

 
Doral Bank
 
86

 
Nationstar Mortgage LLC
 
85

 
Capital One Financial Corporation
 
68

 
   Total top 10 U.S. residential mortgage servicer exposures
 
$
12,388



10 Largest U.S. Healthcare Exposures
Credit Name:
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Internal Rating
 
State
 
MultiCare Health System
 
$
462

 
AA-
 
WA
 
Methodist Healthcare
 
424

 
A
 
TN
 
CHRISTUS Health
 
421

 
A+
 
TX
 
Children's National Medical Center
 
341

 
A-
 
DC
 
Catholic Health Initiatives
 
323

 
A+
 
CO
 
Carolina HealthCare System
 
319

 
AA-
 
NC
 
Bon Secours Health System Obligated Group
 
312

 
A-
 
MD
 
UnityPoint Health System (fka Iowa Health System)
 
307

 
A+
 
IA & WI
 
Catholic Health Partners
 
301

 
A+
 
OH
 
Palmetto Health Alliance
 
287

 
A-
 
SC
 
   Total top 10 U.S. healthcare exposures
 
$
3,497

 
 
 
 

1)
Includes Homeward Residential Inc.

2)
Includes Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach and presentation of net par outstanding.





32



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid
(dollars in millions)

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid for the Three Months Ended June 30, 2014
Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives
 
Net Expected Loss to be Paid as of March 31, 2014
 
Economic Loss Development During 2Q-14(1)
 
(Paid) Recovered Losses During 2Q-14
 
Net Expected Loss to be Paid at June 30, 2014
U.S. RMBS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prime first lien
 
$
18

 
$
(7
)
 
$

 
$
11

 
 
Alt-A first lien
 
308

 
4

 
(11
)
 
301

 
 
Option ARMs
 
(28
)
 
(24
)
 
1

 
(51
)
 
 
Subprime first lien
 
295

 
6

 
40

 
341

 
 
 
Total first lien
 
593

 
(21
)
 
30

 
602

 
Second lien:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Closed-end second lien
 
(4
)
 
(5
)
 

 
(9
)
 
 
HELOC
 
(109
)
 
(33
)
 
25

 
(117
)
 
 
 
Total second lien
 
(113
)
 
(38
)
 
25

 
(126
)
Total U.S. RMBS
 
480

 
(59
)
 
55

 
476

TruPS
 
32

 

 

 
32

Other structured finance
 
138

 
5

 
(3
)
 
140

U.S. public finance
 
281

 
82

 
(24
)
 
339

Non-U.S. public finance
 
57

 
(5
)
 

 
52

 
 
 
Subtotal
 
988

 
23

 
28

 
1,039

Other
 
(4
)
 

 

 
(4
)
Total
 
$
984

 
$
23

 
$
28

 
$
1,035


Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2014
Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives
 
Net Expected Loss to be Paid as of December 31, 2013
 
Economic Loss Development During 2014(1)
 
(Paid) Recovered Losses During 2014
 
Net Expected Loss to be Paid at June 30, 2014
U.S. RMBS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prime first lien
 
$
21

 
$
(10
)
 
$

 
$
11

 
 
Alt-A first lien
 
304

 
12

 
(15
)
 
301

 
 
Option ARMs
 
(9
)
 
(39
)
 
(3
)
 
(51
)
 
 
Subprime first lien
 
304

 
(1
)
 
38

 
341

 
 
 
Total first lien
 
620

 
(38
)
 
20

 
602

 
Second lien:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Closed-end second lien
 
(11
)
 

 
2

 
(9
)
 
 
HELOC
 
(116
)
 
(31
)
 
30

 
(117
)
 
 
 
Total second lien
 
(127
)
 
(31
)
 
32

 
(126
)
Total U.S. RMBS
 
493

 
(69
)
 
52

 
476

TruPS
 
51

 
(19
)
 

 
32

Other structured finance
 
120

 
24

 
(4
)
 
140

U.S. public finance
 
264

 
105

 
(30
)
 
339

Non-U.S. public finance
 
57

 
(5
)
 

 
52

 
 
 
Subtotal
 
985

 
36

 
18

 
1,039

Other
 
(3
)
 
(1
)
 

 
(4
)
Total
 
$
982

 
$
35

 
$
18

 
$
1,035



1)
Includes the effect of changes in the Company's estimate of future recovery on representations and warranties (R&W).


33



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivative U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development
(dollars in millions)
 
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Benefit Development for the Three Months Ended June 30, 2014
 
 
Future Net R&W Benefit at March 31, 2014
 
R&W Economic Loss Development During 2Q-14
 
R&W Recovered During 2Q-14
 
Future Net R&W Benefit at June 30, 2014
Financial guaranty insurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prime first lien
 
$
3

 
$

 
$

 
$
3

 
Alt-A first lien
 
101

 
5

 
(2
)
 
104

 
Option ARMs
 
145

 
10

 
(19
)
 
136

 
Subprime first lien
 
146

 
1

 
(48
)
 
99

 
Closed-end second lien
 
95

 

 
(2
)
 
93

 
HELOC
 
56

 
9

 
(16
)
 
49

 
 
Subtotal
 
546

 
25

 
(87
)
 
484

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Alt-A first lien
 
168

 
(7
)
 
(2
)
 
159

 
Option ARMs
 
7

 
1

 

 
8

 
 
Subtotal
 
175

 
(6
)
 
(2
)
 
167

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
 
$
721

 
$
19

 
$
(89
)
 
$
651


Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Benefit Development for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2014
 
 
Future Net R&W Benefit at December 31, 2013
 
R&W Economic Loss Development During 2014
 
R&W Recovered During 2014
 
Future Net R&W Benefit at June 30, 2014
Financial guaranty insurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prime first lien
 
$
4

 
$
(1
)
 
$

 
$
3

 
Alt-A first lien
 
100

 
7

 
(3
)
 
104

 
Option ARMs
 
167

 
18

 
(49
)
 
136

 
Subprime first lien
 
118

 
29

 
(48
)
 
99

 
Closed-end second lien
 
98

 
(3
)
 
(2
)
 
93

 
HELOC
 
45

 
21

 
(17
)
 
49

 
 
Subtotal
 
532

 
71

 
(119
)
 
484

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Alt-A first lien
 
174

 
(6
)
 
(9
)
 
159

 
Option ARMs
 
6

 
2

 

 
8

 
 
Subtotal
 
180

 
(4
)
 
(9
)
 
167

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
 
$
712

 
$
67

 
$
(128
)
 
$
651



Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Policies with R&W Benefit
 
 
Number of Risks as of
 
Debt Service as of
 
 
June 30, 2014
 
December 31, 2013
 
June 30, 2014
 
December 31, 2013
Financial guaranty insurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prime first lien
 
1

 
1

 
$
35

 
$
38

 
Alt-A first lien
 
15

 
13

 
843

 
838

 
Option ARMs
 
9

 
8

 
271

 
346

 
Subprime first lien
 
4

 
5

 
668

 
998

 
Closed-end second lien
 
4

 
4

 
149

 
158

 
HELOC
 
2

 
4

 
70

 
320

 
 
Subtotal
 
35

 
35

 
2,036

 
2,698

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Alt-A first lien
 
8

 
6

 
1,896

 
2,018

 
Option ARMs
 
1

 
1

 
282

 
295

 
 
Subtotal
 
9

 
7

 
2,178

 
2,313

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
 
44

 
42

 
$
4,214

 
$
5,011


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service outstanding and of the various sectors.

34



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Losses Incurred
As of June 30, 2014
(dollars in millions)


Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives
 
 Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions (1)
 
2Q-14 Losses Incurred
 
2014 Losses Incurred
 
Net Expected Loss to be Expensed
U.S. RMBS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prime first lien
 
$
381

 
$
(6
)
 
$
(10
)
 
$
0

 
 
Alt-A first lien
 
2,621

 
6

 
16

 
72

 
 
Option ARMs
 
548

 
(24
)
 
(32
)
 
29

 
 
Subprime first lien
 
1,824

 
10

 
5

 
88

 
 
 
Total first lien
 
5,374

 
(14
)
 
(21
)
 
189

 
Second lien:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Closed-end second lien
 
140

 
(7
)
 
(3
)
 
37

 
 
HELOC
 
1,671

 
(18
)
 
(10
)
 
102

 
 
 
Total second lien
 
1,811

 
(25
)
 
(13
)
 
139

Total U.S. RMBS
 
7,185

 
(39
)
 
(34
)
 
328

TruPS
 
1,561

 
1

 
(14
)
 
1

Other structured finance
 
2,355

 
3

 
20

 
25

U.S. public finance
 
8,861

 
83

 
109

 
81

Non-U.S. public finance
 
1,613

 
(2
)
 
(2
)
 
17

 
 
 
Subtotal
 
21,575

 
46

 
79

 
452

Other
 

 
0

 
(1
)
 

 
 
 
Subtotal
 
21,575

 
46

 
78

 
452

Effect of consolidating FG VIEs
 

 
(7
)
 
(6
)
 
(82
)
Total
 
$
21,575

 
$
39

 
$
72

 
$
370



1)
In accordance with the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the referenced obligations in such contracts have been delivered to the Company and therefore are included in the investment portfolio. Such amounts are still included in the financial guaranty insured portfolio (excluding loss mitigation bonds), and totaled $165 million and $195 million in gross par outstanding as of June 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, respectively.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.



35



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
 
 
As of and for Six Months Ended June 30, 2014
 
Year Ended December 31,
 
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2011
 
2010
GAAP Summary Income Statement Data
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net earned premiums
 
$
268

 
$
752

 
$
853

 
$
920

 
$
1,187

 
Net investment income
 
199

 
393

 
404

 
396

 
361

 
Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives
 
34

 
(42
)
 
(108
)
 
6

 
153

 
Total expenses
 
261

 
466

 
822

 
776

 
776

 
Income (loss) before income taxes
 
287

 
1,142

 
132

 
1,029

 
534

 
Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.
 
201

 
808

 
110

 
773

 
484

 
Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per diluted share
 
1.11

 
4.30

 
0.57

 
4.16

 
2.56

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total investments and cash
 
$
11,741

 
$
10,969

 
$
11,223

 
$
11,314

 
$
10,849

 
Total assets
 
15,690

 
16,287

 
17,242

 
17,709

 
19,370

 
Unearned premium reserve
 
4,391

 
4,595

 
5,207

 
5,963

 
6,973

 
Loss and LAE reserve
 
775

 
592

 
601

 
679

 
574

 
Long-term debt
 
1,311

 
816

 
836

 
1,038

 
1,053

 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.
 
5,242

 
5,115

 
4,994

 
4,652

 
3,670

 
Book value attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share
 
30.10

 
28.07

 
25.74

 
25.52

 
19.97

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating income
 
$
233

 
$
609

 
$
535

 
$
601

 
$
655

 
Operating income per diluted share
 
1.28

 
3.25

 
2.81

 
3.24

 
3.46

 
Operating shareholder's equity
 
6,149

 
6,164

 
5,830

 
5,201

 
4,691

 
Operating shareholder's equity per share
 
35.31

 
33.83

 
30.05

 
28.54

 
25.53

 
Adjusted book value
 
8,850

 
9,033

 
9,151

 
8,987

 
8,989

 
PVP
 
58

 
141

 
210

 
243

 
363

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net debt service outstanding (end of period)
 
$
662,004

 
$
690,535

 
$
780,356

 
$
844,447

 
$
926,698

 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)
 
705,266

 
737,380

 
833,098

 
934,914

 
1,029,540

 
Net par outstanding (end of period)
 
437,576

 
459,107

 
518,772

 
556,830

 
616,686

 
Gross par outstanding (end of period)
 
464,455

 
487,895

 
550,908

 
613,124

 
680,803

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)(1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net debt service outstanding (end of period)
 
$
634,555

 
$
663,797

 
$
756,044

 
$
828,327

 
$
904,686

 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)
 
676,306

 
709,000

 
807,420

 
916,501

 
1,003,651

 
Net par outstanding (end of period)
 
414,827

 
434,597

 
496,237

 
541,882

 
598,398

 
Gross par outstanding (end of period)
 
440,277

 
461,845

 
527,126

 
593,072

 
659,320

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Consolidated qualified statutory capital
 
6,307

 
6,136

 
5,943

 
5,688

 
4,915

 
Consolidated policyholders' surplus and reserves
 
10,570

 
10,454

 
10,288

 
10,626

 
10,247

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital
 
66
:1
 
71
:1
 
83:1

 
95:1

 
122:1

 
 
Capital ratio(2)
 
101
:1
 
108
:1
 
127:1

 
145:1

 
184:1

 
 
Financial resources ratio(2)
 
52
:1
 
55
:1
 
61:1

 
65:1

 
72:1

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gross debt service written:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Public finance - U.S.
 
$
6,916

 
$
15,559

 
$
25,252

 
$
26,630

 
$
48,990

 
 
Public finance - non-U.S.
 
233

 
674

 
40

 
208

 
51

 
 
Structured finance - U.S.
 
11

 
297

 
623

 
1,731

 
2,962

 
 
Structured finance - non-U.S.
 
215

 

 

 

 

 
Total gross debt service written
 
$
7,375

 
$
16,530

 
$
25,915

 
$
28,569

 
$
52,003

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net debt service written
 
$
7,375

 
$
16,497

 
$
25,915

 
$
28,569

 
$
52,003

 
Net par written
 
4,527

 
9,331

 
16,816

 
16,892

 
30,759

 
Gross par written
 
4,527

 
9,350

 
16,816

 
16,892

 
30,759

1) Statutory amounts prepared on a consolidated basis. The NAIC Annual Statements for U.S. Domiciled Insurance Subsidiaries are prepared on a stand-alone basis.
2)
See page 6 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

36



Glossary

Net Par Outstanding and Internal Ratings
Net par outstanding is insured par exposure, net of reinsurance cessions. Unless otherwise indicated, GAAP net par outstanding amounts exclude amounts related to securities the Company has purchased for loss mitigation purposes.

Internal Rating utilizes the Company’s ratings scale, which is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations; however, the ratings in the tables may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Performance Indicators
The performance information described below is obtained from third parties and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to revision as updated or additional information are obtained:

60+ Day Delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned divided by current collateral balance.

Average Credit Enhancement is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Some asset classes may not have subordinated tranches so they are excluded from the weighted averages.

Cumulative Losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original collateral balance.

Pool Factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

Subordination represents the sum of subordinate tranches and overcollateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size, and does not include any benefit from excess spread collections that may be used to absorb losses. Many of the closed-end second lien RMBS transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently undercollateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the undercollateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

Sectors
Below are brief descriptions of selected types of public and structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013.

Public Finance:
General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community-based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.


37



Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution’s revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the United Kingdom.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit‑-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other Public Finance primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal transactions, which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

Structured Finance:
Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in ‘‘tranches,’’ with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company’s financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) are obligations backed by closed-end and open-end first and second lien mortgage loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First lien mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate (ARM) and option adjustable-rate (Option ARM) mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including ‘‘prime’’, ‘‘subprime’’ and ‘‘Alt-A’’. A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Additional insured obligations within RMBS include Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs), which refers to a type of residential mortgage-backed transaction backed by second-lien loan collateral consisting of home equity lines of credit. U.S. Prime First Lien is a type of residential mortgage-backed securities transaction backed primarily by prime first-lien loan collateral plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous RMBS transactions.

CBOs/CLOs (collateralized bond obligations and collateralized loan obligations) are asset-backed securities largely backed by non-investment grade/high yield collateral.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multifamily, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Financial Products is the way in which the Company refers to the guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) portion of a line of business previously conducted by AGMH that the Company did not acquire when it purchased AGMH in 2009. That line of business, which the Company refers to as the former "Financial Products Business" of AGMH, was comprised of its guaranteed investment contracts business, its medium term notes business and the equity payment agreements associated with AGMH's leveraged lease business. When AGMH was still conducting Financial Products Business, AGM issued financial guaranty insurance policies on GICs and in respect of the GIC business; those policies cannot be revoked or canceled. Assured Guaranty is indemnified by Dexia against loss from the former Financial Products Business. The Financial Products Business is currently being run off.

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Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as student loans, automobile loans and leases, manufactured home loans and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, aircraft and aircraft engine financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories. One such type of asset is a tax benefit to be realized by an investor in one of the Federal or state programs that permit such investor to receive a credit against taxes (such as Federal corporate income tax or state insurance premium tax) for making qualified investments in specified enterprises, typically located in designated low-income areas.


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Non-GAAP Financial Measures
 
The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).
 
Management and the board of directors utilize non-GAAP financial measures in evaluating the Company’s financial performance and as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing these non-GAAP financial measures, investors, analysts and financial news reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally. In addition, Assured Guaranty’s presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.
 
The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure and describe why it is useful. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented within this financial supplement. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Operating Income: Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company’s financial guaranty business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results as compared with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1) Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company’s business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

2) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit-impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

3) Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4) Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

5) Elimination of the effects of consolidating FG VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs.

Operating Shareholders’ Equity: Management believes that operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excludes fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use operating shareholders’ equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend buying or selling Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s common shares. Many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use operating shareholders’ equity to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy. Operating shareholders’ equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1) Elimination of the effects of consolidating FG VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs.

2) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit-impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

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Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

Operating Shareholders’ Equity (continued):
3) Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange remeasurement). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore should not recognize an economic gain or loss.

Operating return on equity (Operating ROE): Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company’s return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.

Adjusted Book Value: Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders’ equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value is operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1) Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2) Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

3) Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue: Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure. This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company’s credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes for contracts without expected economic losses, and is discounted at 6%. Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

PVP or present value of new business production: Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right,  whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives (Credit Derivative Revenues) do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of financial guaranty contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6%. For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.


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Assured Guaranty Ltd.                        
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com


 



Contacts:

Equity and Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Ross Aron
Vice President, Equity Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

Glenn Alterman
Associate, Investor Relations
(212) 339-0854
galterman@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com