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8-K - 8-K - EMC INSURANCE GROUP INCearnings8k2014331.htm
EXHIBIT 99


EMC Insurance Group Inc. Reports 2014     
First Quarter Results and Revises 2014
Operating Income Guidance

First Quarter Ended March 31, 2014
Operating Income Per Share - $0.73
Net Income Per Share - $0.79
Net Realized Investment Gains Per Share - $0.06
Catastrophe and Storm Losses Per Share - $0.36
Large Losses Per Share - $0.20
GAAP Combined Ratio - 98.2 percent

2014 Operating Income Guidance - $2.65 to $2.90 per share

DES MOINES, Iowa (May 8, 2014) - EMC Insurance Group Inc. (Nasdaq OMX/GS:EMCI) today reported operating income of $9,775,000 ($0.73 per share) for the first quarter ended March 31, 2014, compared to $12,538,000 ($0.97 per share) for the first quarter of 20131.

Net income, including realized investment gains and losses, totaled $10,595,000 ($0.79 per share) for the first quarter of 2014, compared to $14,273,000 ($1.10 per share) for the first quarter of 2013.

“The severe winter weather and unusually cold temperatures that persisted across much of the country during January and February caused an increase in losses in the property and casualty insurance segment stemming from frozen pipes, roof collapses, auto accidents, fires, and slip and fall incidents,” stated President and Chief Executive Officer Bruce G. Kelley. “However, the improved premium rate adequacy achieved over the past several years helped soften the impact of severe winter weather losses on first quarter results,” continued Kelley.

Kelley went on to say, “We are pleased with the growth in our net written premiums, which has been driven by above-industry-average rate level increases in our property and casualty insurance segment, and growth in pro rata business in our reinsurance segment. While first quarter operating results are less than our initial projections, we are encouraged by our outlook for the remainder of the year,” continued Kelley.

The Company’s GAAP combined ratio was 98.2 percent in the first quarter of 2014, compared to 93.8 percent in the first quarter of 2013.

Premiums earned increased 10.4 percent to $133,080,000 for the first quarter of 2014, from $120,497,000 in the first quarter of 2013. In the property and casualty insurance segment, premiums earned increased 9.2 percent, with the majority of the increase attributable to rate level increases on renewal business, growth in insured exposures and an increase in retained policies. In the reinsurance segment, premiums earned increased 14.5 percent in the first quarter, reflecting a large increase in a pro rata casualty account that was first written in 2013 and an increase in pro rata property business due to an upward revision of total expected ultimate premiums from all accounts, as well as the addition of some new business.

Catastrophe and storm losses totaled $7,412,000 ($0.36 per share after tax) in the first quarter of 2014, compared to $5,397,000 ($0.27 per share after tax) in the first quarter of 2013. First quarter 2014



catastrophe and storm losses accounted for 5.6 percentage points of the combined ratio, which is consistent with the Company’s most recent 10-year average of 5.5 percentage points for this period, but above the 4.5 percentage points experienced in the first quarter of 2013. On a segment basis, catastrophe and storm losses amounted to $6,972,000 ($0.34 per share after tax) in the property and casualty insurance segment, which includes $3,985,000 ($0.19 per share after tax) of losses attributed to the polar vortex that impacted the eastern United States in early January. Catastrophe and storm losses amounted to $440,000 ($0.02 per share after tax) in the reinsurance segment.

The Company reported $2,588,000 ($0.13 per share after tax) of favorable development on prior years’ reserves during the first quarter of 2014, compared to $4,256,000 ($0.21 per share after tax) of favorable development in the first quarter of 2013. The majority of the decline in favorable development occurred in the property and casualty insurance segment, and is attributed to an increase in adverse development on open claims that exceeded the increase in favorable development on claims that closed. Development amounts can vary significantly from quarter to quarter and year to year depending on a number of factors, including the number of claims settled and the settlement terms, and should therefore not be considered a reliable factor in assessing the adequacy of the Company’s carried reserves. The most recent actuarial analysis of the Company’s carried reserves indicates that carried reserves remain within the top quartile of the range of reasonable reserves.

Large losses (which the Company defines as losses greater than $500,000 for the EMC Insurance Companies pool, excluding catastrophe and storm losses) increased to $4,196,000 ($0.20 per share after tax) in the first quarter of 2014 from $2,935,000 ($0.15 per share after tax) in the first quarter of 2013.

Results for the first quarter of 2014 reflect a significant reduction in the amount of net periodic pension and postretirement benefit costs allocated to the Company. Net periodic pension benefit cost declined to $144,000 in the first quarter of 2014 from $782,000 in the same period in 2013. This decline reflects an increase in the expected return on plan assets and a decline in the amount of net actuarial loss amortized into expense. Net periodic postretirement benefit cost changed significantly as a result of the plan amendment that was announced in the fourth quarter of 2013. The Company recognized net periodic postretirement benefit income of $771,000 in the first quarter of 2014, compared to net periodic postretirement benefit expense of $728,000 in the same period in 2013. The plan amendment created a large prior service credit that is being amortized into expense over 10 years. In addition, the service cost and interest cost components of the revised plan’s net periodic benefit cost are significantly lower than those of the prior plan.

Net investment income increased 13.5 percent to $11,855,000 for the first quarter of 2014 from $10,443,000 in the first quarter of 2013. This increase is primarily attributed to a higher average invested balance in fixed maturity securities and an increase in dividend income; however, approximately $442,000 (4.2 percentage points) of the increase resulted from the early payoff of a commercial mortgage-backed security that was purchased at a significant discount to par value, which accelerated the accretion of the discount to par value and therefore increased investment income.

Net realized investment gains totaled $820,000 ($0.06 per share) in the first quarter of 2014, compared to $1,735,000 ($0.13 per share) in the first quarter of 2013. During the first quarter of 2014, the Company invested in a limited partnership that is designed to help protect the Company from a sudden and significant decline in the value of its equity portfolio. Because of the nature of this investment, which was made solely to implement the equity tail-risk hedging strategy, changes in the carrying value of the limited partnership are recorded as realized investment gains/losses, rather than as a component of investment income. Included in the net realized investment gains reported for the first quarter of 2014 is $239,000 of net realized investment losses attributed to the decline in the carrying value of this limited partnership.
 
At March 31, 2014, consolidated assets totaled $1.4 billion, including $1.3 billion in the investment



portfolio, and stockholders’ equity totaled $476.6 million, an increase of 4.7 percent from December 31, 2013. Book value of the Company’s stock increased 3.5 percent to $35.42 per share, from $34.21 per share at December 31, 2013. Book value excluding accumulated other comprehensive income increased to $30.34 per share from $29.78 per share at December 31, 2013.

Based on results for the first quarter of 2014 and management’s expectations for the remainder of the year, management has revised its 2014 operating income guidance from the previous range of $3.00 to $3.25 per share to a range of $2.65 to $2.90 per share. The revised guidance is based on a projected GAAP combined ratio of 98.3 percent for the year, with nominal changes to the other assumptions utilized in the projection.

The Company will hold an earnings teleconference call at noon Eastern Time on May 8, 2014 to allow securities analysts, stockholders and other interested parties the opportunity to hear management discuss the Company’s results for the first quarter, as well as its expectations for the rest of 2014. Dial-in information for the call is toll-free 1-877-407-9205 (International: 1-201-689-8054). The event will be archived and available for digital replay through August 8, 2014. The replay access information is toll-free 1-877-660-6853 (International: 1-201-612-7415); conference ID number 13580184.

Members of the news media, investors and the general public are invited to access a live webcast of the conference call via the Company’s investor relations page at www.emcins.com/ir. The webcast will be archived and available for replay until August 8, 2014. A transcript of the teleconference will also be available on the Company’s website shortly after the completion of the teleconference.

About EMCI:
EMC Insurance Group Inc. is a publicly held insurance holding company with operations in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, which was formed in 1974 and became publicly held in 1982. The Company’s common stock trades on the Global Select Market tier of the NASDAQ OMX Stock Market under the symbol EMCI. Additional information regarding EMC Insurance Group Inc. may be found at www.emcins.com/ir. EMCI’s parent company is Employers Mutual Casualty Company (EMCC). EMCI and EMCC, together with their subsidiary and affiliated companies, conduct operations under the trade name EMC Insurance Companies.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides issuers the opportunity to make cautionary statements regarding forward-looking statements. Accordingly, any forward-looking statement contained in this report is based on management’s current beliefs, assumptions and expectations of the Company’s future performance, taking into account all information currently available to management. These beliefs, assumptions and expectations can change as the result of many possible events or factors, not all of which are known to management. If a change occurs, the Company’s business, financial condition, liquidity, results of operations, plans and objectives may vary materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements.

The risks and uncertainties that may affect the actual results of the Company include, but are not limited to, the following:

catastrophic events and the occurrence of significant severe weather conditions;
the adequacy of loss and settlement expense reserves;
state and federal legislation and regulations;
changes in the property and casualty insurance industry, interest rates or the performance of financial markets and the general economy;
rating agency actions;
“other-than-temporary” investment impairment losses; and
other risks and uncertainties inherent to the Company’s business, including those discussed under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K.




Management intends to identify forward-looking statements when using the words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “project,” or similar expressions. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements. The Company disclaims any obligation to update such statements or to announce publicly the results of any revisions that it may make to any forward-looking statements to reflect the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events or circumstances after the date of such statements.

¹The Company prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the Unites States of America (GAAP). Operating income is a non-GAAP financial measure, calculated by excluding net realized investment gains from net income. The Company’s calculation of operating income may differ from similar measures used by other companies, so investors should exercise caution when comparing the Company’s measure of operating income to the measure of other companies. Management’s projected operating income guidance is also considered a non-GAAP financial measure.

Management believes operating income is useful to investors because it illustrates the performance of our normal, ongoing operations, which is important in understanding and evaluating our financial condition and results of operations. While this measure is consistent with measures utilized by investors to evaluate performance, it is not a substitute for the GAAP financial measure of net income. Therefore, the Company has provided the following reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure of operating income to the GAAP financial measure of net income. Management also uses non-GAAP financial measures for goal setting, determining employee and senior management awards and compensation, and evaluating performance.

The reconciliation of operating income to net income is as follows:

 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
 
2014
 
2013
($ in thousands)
 
 
 
 
Operating income
 
$
9,775

 
$
12,538

Net realized investment gains
 
820

 
1,735

Net income
 
$
10,595

 
$
14,273






CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME - UNAUDITED
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quarter Ended March 31, 2014
 
Property and Casualty Insurance
 
Reinsurance
 
Parent Company
 
Consolidated
Revenues:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Premiums earned
 
$
101,247

 
$
31,833

 
$

 
$
133,080

Investment income, net
 
8,616

 
3,243

 
(4
)
 
11,855

Other income
 
201

 

 

 
201

 
 
110,064

 
35,076

 
(4
)
 
145,136

Losses and expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
67,726

 
21,243

 

 
88,969

Dividends to policyholders
 
1,716

 

 

 
1,716

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
 
17,741

 
6,874

 

 
24,615

Other underwriting expenses
 
14,539

 
891

 

 
15,430

Interest expense
 
84

 

 

 
84

Other expenses
 
174

 
167

 
354

 
695

 
 
101,980

 
29,175

 
354

 
131,509

Operating income (loss) before income taxes
 
8,084

 
5,901

 
(358
)
 
13,627

Realized investment gains
 
1,011

 
251

 

 
1,262

Income (loss) before income taxes
 
9,095

 
6,152

 
(358
)
 
14,889

Income tax expense (benefit):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current
 
2,217

 
2,010

 
(125
)
 
4,102

Deferred
 
326

 
(134
)
 

 
192

 
 
2,543

 
1,876

 
(125
)
 
4,294

Net income (loss)
 
$
6,552

 
$
4,276

 
$
(233
)
 
$
10,595

Average shares outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
13,348,730

Per Share Data:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss) per share - basic and diluted
 
$
0.49

 
$
0.32

 
$
(0.02
)
 
$
0.79

Catastrophe and storm losses (after tax)
 
$
(0.34
)
 
$
(0.02
)
 
$

 
$
(0.36
)
Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves (after tax)
 
$
0.05

 
$
0.08

 
$

 
$
0.13

Dividends per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
0.23

Book value per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
35.42

Effective tax rate
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
28.8
%
Annualized net income as a percent of beg. SH equity
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9.3
%
Other Information of Interest:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net written premiums
 
$
102,513

 
$
32,892

 
$

 
$
135,405

Catastrophe and storm losses
 
$
6,972

 
$
440

 
$

 
$
7,412

Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves
 
$
(939
)
 
$
(1,649
)
 
$

 
$
(2,588
)
GAAP Combined Ratio:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
 
66.9
%
 
66.7
%
 

 
66.9
%
Acquisition expense ratio
 
33.6
%
 
24.4
%
 

 
31.3
%
 
 
100.5
%
 
91.1
%
 

 
98.2
%




CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME - UNAUDITED
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quarter Ended March 31, 2013
 
Property and Casualty Insurance
 
Reinsurance
 
Parent Company
 
Consolidated
Revenues:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Premiums earned
 
$
92,705

 
$
27,792

 
$

 
$
120,497

Investment income, net
 
7,649

 
2,797

 
(3
)
 
10,443

Other income
 
235

 

 

 
235

 
 
100,589

 
30,589

 
(3
)
 
131,175

Losses and expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
55,968

 
16,606

 

 
72,574

Dividends to policyholders
 
2,194

 

 

 
2,194

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
 
16,717

 
5,550

 

 
22,267

Other underwriting expenses
 
15,210

 
811

 

 
16,021

Interest expense
 
131

 

 

 
131

Other expenses
 
205

 
(441
)
 
383

 
147

 
 
90,425

 
22,526

 
383

 
113,334

Operating income (loss) before income taxes
 
10,164

 
8,063

 
(386
)
 
17,841

Realized investment gains
 
1,957

 
711

 

 
2,668

Income (loss) before income taxes
 
12,121

 
8,774

 
(386
)
 
20,509

Income tax expense (benefit):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current
 
2,960

 
2,672

 
(136
)
 
5,496

Deferred
 
618

 
122

 

 
740

 
 
3,578

 
2,794

 
(136
)
 
6,236

Net income (loss)
 
$
8,543

 
$
5,980

 
$
(250
)
 
$
14,273

Average shares outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
12,946,287

Per Share Data:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss) per share - basic and diluted
 
$
0.66

 
$
0.46

 
$
(0.02
)
 
$
1.10

Catastrophe and storm losses (after tax)
 
$
(0.24
)
 
$
(0.03
)
 
$

 
$
(0.27
)
Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves (after tax)
 
$
0.12

 
$
0.09

 
$

 
$
0.21

Dividends per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
0.21

Book value per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
32.35

Effective tax rate
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
30.4
%
Annualized net income as a percent of beg. SH equity
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
14.2
%
Other Information of Interest:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net written premiums
 
$
94,781

 
$
27,349

 
$

 
$
122,130

Catastrophe and storm losses
 
$
4,865

 
$
532

 
$

 
$
5,397

Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves
 
$
(2,538
)
 
$
(1,718
)
 
$

 
$
(4,256
)
GAAP Combined Ratio:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
 
60.4
%
 
59.7
%
 

 
60.2
%
Acquisition expense ratio
 
36.8
%
 
22.9
%
 

 
33.6
%
 
 
97.2
%
 
82.6
%
 

 
93.8
%





CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
 
 
 
 
 
 
March 31, 
 2014
 
December 31, 
 2013
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
(Unaudited)
 
(As Audited)
ASSETS
 
 
 
 
Investments:
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost $998,651 and $1,009,572)
 
$
1,030,001

 
$
1,027,984

Equity securities available-for-sale, at fair value (cost $117,469 and $113,835)
 
175,674

 
169,848

Other long-term investments
 
6,529

 
2,392

Short-term investments
 
60,317

 
56,166

Total investments
 
1,272,521

 
1,256,390

 
 
 
 
 
Cash
 
568

 
239

Reinsurance receivables due from affiliate
 
31,024

 
34,760

Prepaid reinsurance premiums due from affiliate
 
9,066

 
9,717

Deferred policy acquisition costs (affiliated $38,087 and $37,414)
 
38,518

 
37,792

Amounts due from affiliate to settle inter-company transaction balances
 
7,392

 

Prepaid pension and postretirement benefits due from affiliate
 
23,106

 
23,121

Accrued investment income
 
10,562

 
9,984

Accounts receivable
 
1,810

 
1,080

Goodwill
 
942

 
942

Other assets (affiliated $5,677 and $4,780)
 
5,794

 
4,908

Total assets
 
$
1,401,303

 
$
1,378,933

 
 
 
 
 
LIABILITIES
 
 
 
 
Losses and settlement expenses (affiliated $617,755 and $600,313)
 
$
627,349

 
$
610,181

Unearned premiums (affiliated $220,660 and $218,788)
 
222,613

 
220,627

Other policyholders' funds (all affiliated)
 
8,471

 
8,491

Surplus notes payable to affiliate
 
25,000

 
25,000

Amounts due affiliate to settle inter-company transaction balances
 

 
13,522

Pension and postretirement benefits payable to affiliate
 
3,268

 
3,401

Income taxes payable
 
4,004

 
1,530

Deferred income taxes
 
18,067

 
12,822

Other liabilities (affiliated $15,622 and $25,161)
 
15,936

 
28,149

Total liabilities
 
924,708

 
923,723

 
 
 
 
 
STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
 
 
 
 
Common stock, $1 par value, authorized 20,000,000 shares; issued and outstanding, 13,456,227 shares in 2014 and 13,306,027 shares in 2013
 
13,456

 
13,306

Additional paid-in capital
 
103,627

 
99,309

Accumulated other comprehensive income
 
68,396

 
59,010

Retained earnings
 
291,116

 
283,585

Total stockholders' equity
 
476,595

 
455,210

Total liabilities and stockholders' equity
 
$
1,401,303

 
$
1,378,933










INVESTMENTS
The Company had total cash and invested assets with a carrying value of $1.3 billion as of March 31, 2014, and December 31, 2013, respectively. The following table summarizes the Company's cash and invested assets as of the dates indicated:
 
 
March 31, 2014
($ in thousands)
 
Amortized Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Percent of Total Fair Value
 
Carrying Value
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
 
$
998,651

 
$
1,030,001

 
81.0
%
 
$
1,030,001

Equity securities available-for-sale
 
117,469

 
175,674

 
13.8

 
175,674

Cash
 
568

 
568

 

 
568

Short-term investments
 
60,317

 
60,317

 
4.7

 
60,317

Other long-term investments
 
6,529

 
6,529

 
0.5

 
6,529

 
 
$
1,183,534

 
$
1,273,089

 
100.0
%
 
$
1,273,089

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2013
($ in thousands)
 
Amortized Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Percent of Total Fair Value
 
Carrying Value
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
 
$
1,009,572

 
$
1,027,984

 
81.8
%
 
$
1,027,984

Equity securities available-for-sale
 
113,835

 
169,848

 
13.5

 
169,848

Cash
 
239

 
239

 

 
239

Short-term investments
 
56,166

 
56,166

 
4.5

 
56,166

Other long-term investments
 
2,392

 
2,392

 
0.2

 
2,392

 
 
$
1,182,204

 
$
1,256,629

 
100.0
%
 
$
1,256,629




NET WRITTEN PREMIUMS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31, 2014
 
 
Percent of Net Written Premiums
 
Percent of Increase/(Decrease) in Net Written Premiums
Property and Casualty Insurance
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial Lines:
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
18.4
%
13.2

%
Liability
 
16.4
%
13.3

%
Property
 
17.2
%
12.7

%
Workers' compensation
 
14.9
%
4.5

%
Other
 
1.0
%
(15.0
)
%
Total commercial lines
 
67.9
%
10.5

%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Personal Lines:
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
4.5
%
(8.5
)
%
Property
 
3.2
%
(9.9
)
%
Liability
 
0.1
%
13.3

%
Total personal lines
 
7.8
%
(8.7
)
%
Total property and casualty insurance
 
75.7
%
8.2

%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
Pro rata (1)
 
10.4
%
57.7

%
Excess of loss (1)
 
13.9
%
2.2

%
Total reinsurance
 
24.3
%
20.3

%
Total
 
100.0
%
10.9

%
(1) Includes $532,146 negative portfolio adjustment related to the January 1, 2013 decreased participation in the MRB pool.