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8-K - FORM 8-K - GRANT PARK FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIPf8k_100913.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1
 
Grant Park Fund Weekly Commentary
For the Week Ended October 4, 2013

Current Month
 
Rolling Performance*
 
Rolling Risk Metrics* (Nov 2008 – Oct 2013)
Class
Week ROR
MTD
ROR
YTD
ROR
 
1 yr
Ann
ROR
3 yr
Ann
ROR
5 yr
Ann
ROR
10 yr
Ann
ROR
 
Annualized
ROR
Annualized Standard Deviation
Maximum
Drawdown
Sharpe
 Ratio
Sortino Ratio
A
-0.8%
0.2%
-8.1%
 
-8.2%
-8.5%
-5.9%
-0.2%
 
-5.9%
10.2%
-28.9%
-0.5
-0.7
B**
-0.8%
0.2%
-8.5%
 
-8.7%
-9.1%
-6.5%
-0.9%
 
-6.5%
10.2%
-31.1%
-0.6
-0.8
Legacy 1***
-0.8%
0.2%
-6.5%
 
-6.2%
-6.5%
N/A
N/A
 
-4.3%
10.2%
-23.0%
-0.4
-0.6
Legacy 2***
-0.8%
0.2%
-6.6%
 
-6.4%
-6.8%
N/A
N/A
 
-4.6%
10.2%
-23.7%
-0.4
-0.6
Global 1***
-0.8%
0.2%
-6.0%
 
-5.7%
-6.5%
N/A
N/A
 
-4.9%
9.8%
-22.1%
-0.5
-0.6
Global 2***
-0.8%
0.2%
-6.2%
 
-5.9%
-6.7%
N/A
N/A
 
-5.2%
9.7%
-23.1%
-0.5
-0.7
Global 3***
-0.8%
0.2%
-7.5%
 
-7.5%
-8.3%
N/A
N/A
 
-6.9%
9.7%
-28.9%
-0.7
-0.9
                             
S&P 500 Total Return Index****
0.0%
0.6%
20.5%
 
22.3%
15.0%
14.3%
7.0%
 
14.3%
16.2%
-23.2%
0.9
1.3
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Gov Index****
-0.6%
-0.6%
-10.3%
 
-10.9%
4.5%
7.1%
6.4%
 
7.1%
13.6%
-13.4%
0.6
0.9
*
Performance metrics are calculated using month-to-date performance estimates. All performance data is subject to verification.
**
Units began trading in August 2003.
***
Units began trading in April 2009.
****
Index is unmanaged & is not available for direct investment. Please see Indices Overview (below) for more information. Weekly RORs are calculated
using data acquired through Bloomberg.
 
Portfolio Positions by Sectors and Markets (Two largest positions within each sector)
 
 
Portfolio for A, B and Legacy units
 
Portfolio for Global units
Sector
Sector
      Market
 
Sector
     Market
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
  Position
 
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
Position
COMMODITIES
23%
         
23%
       
Energy
7%
Long
Brent Crude Oil
2.7%
Long
 
7%
Long
Brent Crude Oil
2.7%
Long
Crude Oil
2.3%
Long
 
Crude Oil
2.3%
Long
Grains/Foods
12%
Long
Corn
4.6%
Short
 
12%
Long
Corn
4.7%
Short
Soybeans
1.7%
Long
 
Soybeans
1.7%
Long
Metals
4%
Short
Nickel
1.0%
Short
 
4%
Short
Nickel
1.0%
Short
Aluminum
0.8%
Short
 
Aluminum
0.7%
Short
FINANCIALS
77%
         
77%
       
Currencies
31%
Short $
Euro
7.1%
Long
 
31%
Short $
Euro
7.1%
Long
Swiss Franc
4.1%
Long
 
Swiss Franc
4.2%
Long
Equities
28%
Long
S&P 500
5.0%
Long
 
28%
Long
S&P 500
5.1%
Long
DAX Index
4.5%
Long
 
DAX Index
4.5%
Long
Fixed Income
18%
Long
Japanese Gov't Bonds
5.1%
Long
 
18%
Long
Japanese Gov't Bonds
5.2%
Long
Long Gilts
2.4%
Short
 
Long Gilts
2.4%
Short

 
Market Commentary (Largest price movements within each sector)
 
Sector/Market
Energy
Natural gas prices fell by more than 2% after the U.S. Energy Information Administration announced a larger than expected increase in natural gas inventories.  Crude oil prices appreciated as offshore oil refineries in the Gulf of Mexico shut down in anticipation of Tropical Storm Karen.
Grains/Foods
Sugar prices surged over 9%, reaching a six month high, as yield estimates out of Brazil confirmed production will be relatively low.  Corn prices suffered sharp selloffs after the USDA announced the total U.S. stockpile of corn was higher than expected.
Metals
Gold prices suffered losses as the ongoing shutdown of the U.S. government left investors without key indicators and as the U.S. dollar began to appreciate against counterparts.  Copper prices fell as slow service-sector growth lowered overall demand.
Currencies
The Australian dollar appreciated more than 1% as investors reacted to increased expectations the Reserve Bank of Australia will leave interest rates unchanged this year. The Japanese yen appreciated to one-month highs as the Bank of Japan decided against an increase of the pace of their economic stimulus program.
Equities
The Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered losses as the shutdown of the U.S. government weighed heavily on investor confidence. The Nikkei 225 shed more than 4% on the same news coupled with the appreciation of the yen.
Fixed Income
U.S. short term Treasury prices reached 10-month lows as a government shutdown in Washington D.C. paired with the debt ceiling limit created significant uncertainty regarding the ability of the U.S. government to meet its debt obligations.

 
ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES.  THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE.  OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY.  INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL.  IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION.  DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.
 
 
 
 

 

Performance Chart
 
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Government Index (formerly Lehman Brothers U.S. Government Index:  Long Subset): A benchmark comprised of the Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury and U.S. Agency indices.  The U.S. Long Government Index includes Treasuries (public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have remaining maturities of more than ten years) and U.S. agency debentures (publicly issued debt of U.S. Government agencies, quasi-federal corporations, and corporate or foreign debt guaranteed by the U.S. Government). The U.S. Government Index is a component of the Barclays Capital U.S. Government Index.

Compounded Annualized Rate of Return (ROR): This is the geometric 12-month mean that assumes the same rate of return for each 12-month period to arrive at the equivalent compound growth rate reflected in the actual return data.

Standard and Poor’s 500 Total Return Index (S&P 500 Index): A weighted index of the 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index, which are chosen by Standard and Poor’s based on industry representation, liquidity, and stability.  The stocks in the S&P 500 Index are not the 500 largest companies; rather the index is designed to capture the returns of many different sectors of the U.S. economy.  The total return calculation includes the price-plus-gross cash dividend return.


 
Risk Metrics Chart
 
Drawdown: A drawdown is any losing period during an investment’s performance history. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from an equity peak to an equity valley. Maximum drawdown is simply the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred during the specified time frame. Grant Park’s drawdowns are computed based on month-end equity values.

Sharpe Ratio: A return/risk measure defined as the average incremental return of an investment over the risk free rate.

Sortino Ratio: A ratio developed to differentiate between good and bad volatility. The calculation provides a risk-adjusted measure of performance without penalizing for upward price changes.

Standard Deviation: Measures the dispersal or uncertainty in a random variable (in this case, investment returns). It measures the degree of variation of returns around the mean, or average, return. The higher the volatility of the investment returns, the higher the standard deviation will be. For this reason, standard deviation is often used as a measure of investment risk.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES. THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE. OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY. INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL. IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION. DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.