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8-K - FORM 8-K - GRANT PARK FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIPf8k_112812.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1
 

Grant Park Fund Weekly Commentary
For the Week Ended November 23, 2012
 
Current Month
 
Rolling Performance*
 
Rolling Risk Metrics* (Dec 2007 – Nov 2012)
Class
Week ROR
MTD
ROR
YTD
ROR
 
1 yr
Ann
ROR
3 yr
Ann
ROR
5 yr
Ann
ROR
10 yr
Ann
ROR
 
Annualized
ROR
Annualized Standard Deviation
Maximum
Drawdown
Sharpe
 Ratio
Sortino Ratio
A
-0.8%
-1.3%
-7.2%
 
-7.3%
-6.7%
-1.6%
2.5%
 
-1.6%
11.6%
-23.4%
-0.1
-0.2
B**
-0.8%
-1.3%
-7.8%
 
-7.9%
-7.3%
-2.2%
  N/A
 
-2.2%
11.6%
-25.4%
-0.1
-0.3
Legacy 1***
-0.7%
-1.1%
-5.3%
 
-5.2%
-4.7%
   N/A
  N/A
 
-3.9%
11.1%
-18.7%
-0.3
-0.5
Legacy 2***
-0.7%
-1.2%
-5.6%
 
-5.5%
-5.1%
   N/A
  N/A
 
-4.3%
11.1%
-19.2%
-0.3
-0.5
Global 1***
-0.7%
-1.2%
-4.7%
 
-4.7%
-5.9%
   N/A
  N/A
 
-4.9%
10.6%
-18.1%
-0.4
-0.6
Global 2***
-0.7%
-1.2%
-5.0%
 
-4.9%
-6.1%
   N/A
  N/A
 
-5.2%
10.5%
-19.0%
-0.5
-0.6
Global 3***
-0.8%
-1.3%
-6.4%
 
-6.5%
-7.8%
   N/A
  N/A
 
-6.9%
10.5%
-24.0%
-0.6
-0.8
                             
S&P 500 Total Return Index****
  3.7%
  0.0%
14.3%
 
15.5%
11.0%
1.2%
6.3%
 
  1.2%
19.0%
-48.8%
 0.2
 0.1
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Gov Index****
-1.7%
  0.5%
5.0%
 
  8.2%
12.0%
9.8%
8.2%
 
  9.8%
13.1%
-12.3%
 0.8
 1.4
*
Performance metrics are calculated using month-to-date performance estimates.  All performance data is subject to verification.
**
Units began trading in August 2003.
***
Units began trading in April 2009.
****
Index is unmanaged & is not available for direct investment. Please see Indices Overview (below) for more information. Weekly RORs are calculated using data acquired through Bloomberg.

Portfolio Positions by Sectors and Markets (Two largest positions within each sector)
 
 
Portfolio for A, B and Legacy units
 
Portfolio for Global units
Sector
Sector
      Market
 
Sector
     Market
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
  Position
 
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
Position
COMMODITIES
21%
         
21%
       
Energy
8%
Long
Crude Oil
2.2%
Short
 
8%
Long
Crude Oil
2.2%
Short
Natural Gas
1.6%
Long
 
Natural Gas
1.6%
Long
Grains/Foods
7%
Short
Sugar
1.8%
Short
 
7%
Short
Sugar
1.8%
Short
Coffee
1.4%
Short
 
Coffee
1.4%
Short
Metals
6%
Long
Gold
2.7%
Long
 
6%
Long
Gold
2.8%
Long
Copper
0.7%
Short
 
Copper
0.7%
Short
FINANCIALS
79%
         
79%
       
Currencies
32%
Short $
Euro /
Japanese Yen
2.9%
Long
 
 
31%
 
Short $
Euro /
Japanese Yen
2.8%
Long
Japanese Yen
2.7%
Short
 
Japanese Yen
2.7%
Short
Equities
14%
Long
Dax Index
2.4%
Long
 
14%
Long
Dax Index
2.4%
Long
Eurostoxx Index
2.1%
Long
 
Eurostoxx Index
2.1%
Long
Fixed Income
33%
Long
Bunds
6.5%
Long
 
34%
Long
Bunds
6.5%
Long
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes
6.2%
Long
 
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes
6.4%
Long

 
Market Commentary (Largest price movements within each sector)
 
Sector/Market
Energy
Crude oil markets rallied as speculators believed violence between Israel and Hamas early in the week could threaten oil production in the region.  Data showing a decline in domestic crude oil inventories provided additional support to prices.  Natural gas prices rose to a 14-month high, propelled by weaker-than-expected supply data and cold weather in the U.S., which boosted heating fuel demand forecasts.
Grains/Foods
Grains prices generally rose due to heavy buying by speculators attempting to take advantage of low prices caused by recent selloffs.  Sugar markets finished lower because of a late-week decline caused by industry reports showing elevated global production and weakening demand. Cocoa futures rallied in excess of 4% as forecasts for upcoming dry weather in Ghana and Ivory Coast put pressure on supply forecasts.
Metals
Gold and silver markets rose in excess of 2% and 5% respectively as a selloff in the U.S. dollar boosted demand for inflation-hedging assets.  Base metals markets predominantly moved higher as bullish economic data from Europe, including stronger-than-expected French and German investor confidence data, supported industrial demand forecasts.  Data showing an improvement in Chinese industrial production also added to gains in base metals.
Currencies
The euro rallied against counterparts due to bullish economic data from the region and reports Eurozone officials were making progress in Greek-aid talks.  The Japanese yen fell sharply as improved production data from China reduced demand for safe-haven assets in Asia.  Higher-yielding currencies, including the Australian and New Zealand dollars, were among the beneficiaries of the bullish Chinese data, both rallying nearly 2% higher against the U.S. dollar for the week.
Equities
Global equity markets moved steadily higher as a myriad of bullish news and economic data supported buying across the globe.  The main drivers behind gains in the equity markets was data showing increased housing starts in the U.S., bullish Eurozone confidence, and hopes the cease-fire between Israel and Hamas would help ease tensions in the region.
Fixed Income
U.S. and European fixed-income markets fell as a strong uptrend in the global equity markets and optimism surrounding the Eurozone’s financial situation put heavy pressure on safe-haven demand.


ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES.  THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE.  OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY.  INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL.  IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION.  DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
Performance Chart
 
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Government Index (formerly Lehman Brothers U.S. Government Index:  Long Subset):  A benchmark comprised of the Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury and U.S. Agency indices.  The U.S. Long Government Index includes Treasuries (public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have remaining maturities of more than ten years) and U.S. agency debentures (publicly issued debt of U.S. Government agencies, quasi-federal corporations, and corporate or foreign debt guaranteed by the U.S. Government). The U.S. Government Index is a component of the Barclays Capital U.S. Government Index.

Compounded Annualized Rate of Return (ROR): This is the geometric 12-month mean that assumes the same rate of return for each 12-month period to arrive at the equivalent compound growth rate reflected in the actual return data.

Standard and Poor’s 500 Total Return Index (S&P 500 Index): A weighted index of the 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index, which are chosen by Standard and Poor’s based on industry representation, liquidity, and stability.  The stocks in the S&P 500 Index are not the 500 largest companies; rather the index is designed to capture the returns of many different sectors of the U.S. economy.  The total return calculation includes the price-plus-gross cash dividend return.


 
Risk Metrics Chart
 
Drawdown: A drawdown is any losing period during an investment’s performance history. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from an equity peak to an equity valley. Maximum drawdown is simply the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred during the specified time frame. Grant Park’s drawdowns are computed based on month-end equity values.

Sharpe Ratio: A return/risk measure defined as the average incremental return of an investment over the risk free rate.

Sortino Ratio: A ratio developed to differentiate between good and bad volatility. The calculation provides a risk-adjusted measure of performance without penalizing for upward price changes.

Standard Deviation: Measures the dispersal or uncertainty in a random variable (in this case, investment returns). It measures the degree of variation of returns around the mean, or average, return. The higher the volatility of the investment returns, the higher the standard deviation will be. For this reason, standard deviation is often used as a measure of investment risk.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES.  THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE.  OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY.  INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL.  IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION.  DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.