Attached files

file filename
8-K - FORM 8-K - OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/form8k-20120326.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1
 
Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Howard Weil
40th Annual Energy Conference
Stephen I. Chazen

President and Chief Executive Officer
March 27, 2012
 
 
1
 
 
 
 
2
Full Year 2011 Results - Summary
Full Year 2011 Results - Summary
 
FY 2011
FY 2010
 Core Results
$6,828
$4,664
 Core EPS (diluted)
$8.39
$5.72
 
 
 
 Net Income
$6,771
$4,530
 Reported EPS (diluted)
$8.32
$5.56
 
 
 
 Oil and Gas production volumes
 (mboe/d) +4%
733
706
 
 
 
 Capital Spending
$7,518
$3,940
 Cash Flow from Operations
$12,281
$9,566
 
 
 
 Return on Equity
19.3%
14.7%
 Return on Capital Employed
17.2%
13.2%
 
 
 
($ in millions, except EPS data)
See attached for GAAP reconciliation
 
 
2
 
 
 
 
3
Overriding Goal is to Maximize Total Shareholder Return
 We believe this can be achieved through a combination of:
 Growing our oil and gas production by 5 to 8% per year on
 average over the long term;
 Allocating and deploying capital with a focus on achieving
 well above cost-of-capital returns (ROE and ROCE);
  Return Targets*
  Domestic - 15+%
  International - 20+%
 Consistent dividend growth, that is superior to that of our
 peers.
*Assumes Moderate Product Prices
What Is Our Philosophy & Strategy?
What Is Our Philosophy & Strategy?
 
 
3
 
 
 
 
4
Oxy’s Three Main Performance Criteria -
Production Growth, Returns & Dividend Growth
 We finished a strong year in terms of the three main
 performance criteria outlined last quarter.
 Our domestic oil and gas production grew by about 12%
 for 2011 to 428 mboe/d.
  4Q11 domestic production of 449 mboe/d was the highest U.S. total
 production volume in Oxy’s history, reflecting the highest ever
 quarterly volume for liquids of 310 mb/d and the second highest
 quarterly volume for gas.
  Total company production increased about 4% for the year.
 Our chemical business delivered exceptional results
 for the year, achieving one of their highest earnings
 levels ever.
 Our ROE was 19% for the year and ROCE was 17%.
 
 
4
 
 
 
 
5
Net Income Return on Assets
U.S. 14%
International 37%
Total E&P 20%
Cash Flow* Return on Assets
U.S. 21%
International 54%
Total E&P 29%
* Net Income + DD&A
5 Year Average
5 Year Average
Return on Assets
See attached for GAAP reconciliation
(2007 - 2011)
 
 
5
 
 
 
 
6
 Our ability to pay dividends is indicated by our free cash
 flow generation.
 Free cash flow after interest, taxes and capital spending,
 but before dividends, acquisitions and debt activity for
 2011 was about $4.8 billion.
 Last month the Board of Directors increased the
 company’s dividend 17% to an annualized rate of $2.16
 per share, compared to the previous annual rate of $1.84.
 
 We have now increased our dividend every year for 10
 consecutive years, and a total of 11 times during that
 period.
 This increase brings the company’s compound annual
 dividend growth rate over the last 10 years to 15.8%.
Consistent Dividend Growth
See attached for GAAP reconciliation
 
 
6
 
 
 
 
7
Consistent Dividend Growth
Note: Dividends paid as per the Record Date
($/share)
 
 
7
 
 
 
 
8
Worldwide Oil & Gas Producing Areas
Colombia
Colombia
Libya
Libya
Oman
Oman
UAE
UAE
Yemen
Yemen
Bolivia
Bolivia
Qatar
Qatar
Iraq
Iraq
Bahrain
Bahrain
Focus Areas
United States
United States
Permian
Permian
Basin
Basin
California
California
 
 
8
 
 
 
 
9
Oil & Gas Production - 1Q12 Outlook
Oil & Gas Production - 1Q12 Outlook
 During our 4Q11 earnings conference call held in late
 January, we indicated:
  “At current prices, total 1Q12 sales volumes to be comparable
 to 4Q11 volumes of 749 mboe/d, depending on the scheduling
 of liftings.
  Our 4Q11 Colombia production was 28 mb/d, up slightly
 from 3Q11 levels, although both periods included pipeline
 interruptions caused by insurgent activity.
  In 1Q12, Colombia volumes should be about 3 mboe/d higher
 than 4Q11, although insurgent activity has picked up recently.”
 As a result of repeated pipeline interruptions caused
 by insurgent activity, we now expect our 1Q12
 Colombia production volumes to be about 23 mb/d,
 roughly 9 mb/d below capacity.
 
 
9
 
 
 
 
10
Oil & Gas Production *
Full Year 2011
(Million barrels of oil equivalent)
*Excludes Argentina
Oxy Is Primarily An Oil Company
Oxy Is Primarily An Oil Company
156
58%
193
72%
111
42%
74
28%
 
 
10
 
 
 
 
11
 About 60% of Oxy’s oil production tracks world oil prices
 and 40% is indexed to WTI.
 For example:
  In California our realized price was 109% of WTI and 94% of
 Brent in 2011.
  In Oman our average price was 104% of WTI and 89% of Brent.
 Our overall differentials for 2011, resulted in realized oil
 prices representing 103% of the average WTI and 88% of
 the average Brent price.
Realized Oil Prices & Differentials
Realized Oil Prices & Differentials
 
 
11
 
 
 
 
12
 We have ample legitimate opportunities in our domestic
 oil and gas business where we could deploy capital.
 We try to manage the program to a level that is realistic at
 current price levels, and as a result, have deferred some
 projects that otherwise would have met our hurdle rates.
 We continue to have substantial inventory of high return
 projects going forward to fulfill our growth objectives.
Capital Spending - 2012 Outlook
 
 
12
 
 
 
 
13
Capital Spending - 2012E vs. 2011 Actual
 We increased our capital program approximately 10% in 2012 to
 $8.3 billion from the $7.5 billion spent in 2011.
 About $500 million of this increase will be in the US, mainly in the
 Permian basin, and the rest in international projects including the
 Al Hosn gas project and Iraq.
 We will review our capital program around mid-year and adjust as
 conditions dictate.
 
 
13
 
 
 
 
14
 Base 5 - 8% Compounded Average Annual Growth
  Current California risked prospects
  Non-CO2 & CO2 in the Permian
  Williston Basin
  Oman
  Iraq
 Upside from Existing Holdings
  New California conventional and unconventional prospects
  Permian exploration
  Rockies
  Oman exploration
 Additional opportunities from balance sheet and cash
 generation
  Domestic properties acquisitions
  New Middle East projects
Oil & Gas Volume Growth Drivers
 
 
14
 
 
 
 
15
 US oil and gas production -
  In 1H12, we expect our domestic production to grow 3 to 4 mboe/d
 each month from the current quarterly average of 449 mboe/d,
 which would correspond to a 6 to 8 mboe/d increase per quarter.
  4Q11 was relatively free of significant operational disruptions
 resulting in better than expected domestic production. A more
 typical experience with respect to such issues could moderate the
 growth somewhat in 1Q12.
  If the production growth rate continued at a comparable pace in
 2H12, our year-over-year average domestic production growth
 would be between 8% and 10% in 2012.
US Oil & Gas Production - 1H12 Outlook
US Oil & Gas Production - 1H12 Outlook
 
 
15
 
 
 
 
16
US Oil & Gas Capital and Production
$310
389
$403
403
$640
424
$704
436
$884
449
$1,100
456
463
Note: 1Q12E and 2Q12E production based on midpoint of guidance range of 6 to 8 mboe/d of production growth.
Capital (3 quarters earlier)
Production
$259
 
 
16
 
 
 
 
17
US Oil & Gas Capital and Production
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12E
2Q12E
CapEx as % of US Capital Employed (3 quarters earlier)
Production
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
350
375
400
425
450
475
389
403
424
436
449
456
463
4.0%
Note: 1Q12E and 2Q12E production based on midpoint of guidance range of 6 to 8 mboe/d of production growth.
1.4%
1.7%
2.1%
3.0%
2.8%
3.3%
 
 
17
 
 
 
 
38
72
70
Oxy’s US Operated Rig Activity
Oxy’s US operated rigs represent approximately 6% of the total Liquids directed rigs operating in the Lower 48.
 
 
18
 
 
 
 
19
California Overview
California Overview
Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Bakersfield
Bakersfield
Oxy Acreage
 Largest acreage holder in CA
 with ~1.7 mm acres, majority of
 which are net mineral interests.
 2011 production of 138 mboe/d.
 78% interest in the Elk Hills
 Field — the largest producer of
 gas and NGLs in CA.
 Currently operating ~30 drilling
 rigs in the state.
 Drilled ~675 wells and
 performed ~500 workovers in
 2011
 Construction of first new gas
 processing plant to be brought
 on line in 2012; building a
 second plant in the next 2 yrs.
 
 
19
 
 
 
 
2012E Total Capital - $8.3 Billion
 We currently expect the rig count to
 remain at ~30 in 1H12, roughly the same
 as what we were running at YE-2011;
 We are seeing improvement with
 respect to permitting issues in the state;
 We have received approved field rules
 and new permits for both injection wells
 and drilling locations;
 The regulatory agency is responsive
 and committed to working through the
 backlog of permits;
 We expect to maintain our capital
 program at current levels for about
 1H12, which will enable us to continue
 to grow our production volumes;
 We will reassess our capital program
 when the number of permits in hand
 allows it.
 In CA, we expect to spend about
 21% of our total capital program.
*Includes both oil & gas development and midstream capital.
California Capital Program
California Capital Program
20
 
 
20
 
 
 
 
21
California Conventional Exploration
 World Class Province
  35+ Billion BOE discovered
  5 of top 12 U.S. oil fields
 Significant Remaining Potential
  Large undiscovered resources
  Multiple play and trap types
 Underexplored
 Oxy
  Major producer
  Largest acreage holder
  Successful explorer
  Multi-year prospect inventory
Sources:
California Division of Oil, Gas & Geothermal Resources
Gibson Consulting
Oxy Fee/Lease
2 Billion BOE
20 Billion BOE
3 Billion BOE
10 Billion BOE
Major Producing
Basins
Sacramento
Sacramento
San
Francisco
San
Francisco
Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Bakersfield
Bakersfield
 
 
21
 
 
 
 
22
Field Size (MMBOE)
<0.1
0.1
1
10
100
1 Billion
10 Billion
Discovery Play
Oxy Play Type and Prospect Exposure
Sources:
California Division of Oil, Gas & Geothermal Resources
Occidental Estimates
California Field Sizes
 
 
22
 
 
 
 
23
 Multi-year inventory of drill sites in
 CA, many of which are both outside
 of Elk Hills proper & the Kern County
 Discovery Area
 Expect to drill 80+ shale wells outside
 Elk Hills proper, and ~140 total shale
 wells including Elk Hills in 1H12
 30-day initial production rate for
 these wells is between 300 and 400
 BOE per day
 For the shale wells outside Elk Hills,
 ~80% of the BOE production is a
 combination of black oil and high-
 value condensate
 Cost of drilling and completing the
 wells has run ~$3.5 million per well,
 which we expect to decline over time;
 largely vertical wells
California Unconventional “Shale” Program
 
 
23
 
 
 
 
24
Permian Basin Overview
 2011 production of 198,000 boe/d
 Largest oil producer in Permian
 (~15% net share of total)
 Largest operator in Permian
 (of 1,500+ operators)
 Drilled ~409 wells on operated
 properties in 2011
 ~64% of Oxy’s Permian oil
 production is from CO2 related
 EOR projects
 Have another 2.5 BBOE of likely
 recoverable resource
 1.7 bcf/d (0.5 tcf/year) of CO2
 Ample supply of CO2 accelerates
 project implementations
 
 
24
 
 
 
 
2012E Total Capital - $8.3 Billion
 Our rig count at year-end 2011
 was 23;
 We expect our rig count to ramp up
 during the year to around 27 rigs by
 year end;
 Our CO2 flood capital should remain
 comparable to the 2011 levels;
 In our non-CO2 operations we are
 seeing additional opportunities for
 good return projects;
 This includes an extensive Wolfberry
 drilling program, as well as
 Delaware/Bone Springs sands
 and Avalon Shale;
 As a result, we have stepped up
 their development program and 2012
 capital will be about 75% higher than
 the 2011 level.
 In the Permian operations, we
 expect to spend about 20% of
 our total capital.
*Includes both oil & gas development and midstream capital.
Permian Basin Capital Program
25
 
 
25
 
 
 
 
26
 4.1 BBO have been
 produced,
 leaving 7.8 BBO net
 remaining
4.6 BBO
3P Reserves
EOR Likely
EOR Potential
0.8 BBO
1.4 BBO
1.0 BBO
Residual
7.8 BBO Net Remaining
Permian EOR Opportunities
 
 
26
 
 
 
 
2012E Total Capital - $8.3 Billion
 In the Midcontinent and Other
 operations, we plan to spend about
 14% of our total capital program.
Midcontinent and Other Capital Program
*Includes both oil & gas development and midstream capital.
27
 
 
27
 
 
 
 
2012E Total Capital - $8.3 Billion
International Development and, Exploration
Capital Program
International Development and, Exploration
Capital Program
 Total international development
 capital will be about 30% of the
 total company capital program.
*Includes both oil & gas development and midstream capital.
28
 
 
28
 
 
 
 
29
Abu Dhabi - Al Hosn Gas Project (Shah Field)
29
 Shah Gas Field one of the largest in
 the Middle East;
 Oxy holds a 40% participating
 interest under a 30-year contract;
 The project involves development of
 high-sulfur content reservoirs within
 the Shah field, located onshore
 ~180 km so. west of Abu Dhabi;
 Production start-up is scheduled in
 late 2014;
 Anticipated to produce over 500
 mmcf/d of sales gas and 50 mboe/d
 of NGLs and condensate - of which
 Oxy’s net share would be over 200
 mmcf/d of gas and over 20 mboed of
 NGLs and condensate;
 Spending for the project will rise in
 2012 as planned, making up ~7% of
 our total capital program.
 
 
29
 
 
 
 
30
 World Class Steam flood project;
 2 B bo ROIP;
 Discovered in 1975 in South
 Central Oman;
 Oxy assumed operation
 September 1, 2005 at 8,500 b/d;
 Steam flood commenced May
 2007, and had drilled 1,400+ new
 wells through 2011;
 Gross Production: ~124,000 b/d at
 year-end 2011;
 Oxy plans to steadily increase
 production through continued
 expansion of the steam flood
 project.
!
Oxy Oman - Mukhaizna Project
 
 
30
 
 
 
 
31
Oxy Oman Gross Production Growth
 
 
31
 
 
 
 
32
1. Base/Maintenance Capital
2. Dividends
3. Growth Capital
4. Acquisitions
5. Share Repurchase
Cash Flow Priorities
 
 
32
 
 
 
 
Summary - 2011 Cash Flow
Summary - 2011 Cash Flow
 Free cash flow from continuing operations after capex and dividends,
 but before acquisition and debt activity, was about $3.4 billion.
Note: See attached GAAP reconciliation.
($ in millions)
Cash Flow
From
Operations
$12,300
Shah - $500
Beginning
Cash $2,600
12/31/10
 
 
33
 
 
 
 
34
 Company’s core business is acquiring assets that can
 provide future growth through improved recovery.
  Foreign contracts
  Domestic add-ons
  Small incremental additions to production in short term
 Generate returns of at least 15% in the US and 20% overseas.
 Overall average finding & development costs of less than
 25% of selling price.
 Even with the additional capital shown, program will
 generate a significant amount of free cash flow.
 Acquisitions are measured against reinvesting in the existing
 business with the goal of enhancing company value.
 Large number of opportunities over 5-year period.
Acquisition Strategy
 
 
34
 
 
 
 
35
 5 - 8% base annual production growth over the long term
 Opportunity for additional volume growth
 Returns on invested capital significantly in excess of
 Company’s cost of capital
 Consistent, annual increases in dividends
 Significant financial flexibility for opportunities in distressed
 periods
 Conservative financial statements
 Committed to generating stock market value which is greater
 than earnings retained
 We believe this will generate top quartile returns for our
 shareholders
Oxy - Investment Attributes
 
 
35
 
 
 
 
36
Oxy’s Shareholder Equity versus Equity Market Value
3 - Year
5 - Year
10 - Year
Change in Equity
Market Value
($ in millions)
A History of Generating Shareholder Value
Creating Shareholder Value
Market Value per $ of Equity Retained
Change in
Shareholder Equity
Financial Data for period ended December 31, 2011.
$27,385
$10,303
$34,978
$18,092
$66,066
$31,994
2.7
1.9
2.1
 
 
36
 
 
 
 
Portions of this presentation contain forward-looking statements and involve risks and uncertainties that could materially affect
expected results of operations, liquidity, cash flows and business prospects. Factors that could cause results to differ
materially include, but are not limited to: global commodity pricing fluctuations; supply and demand considerations for
Occidental’s products; general domestic political and regulatory approval conditions; political events; not successfully
completing, or any material delay of, any development of new fields, expansion projects, capital expenditures, efficiency-
improvement projects, acquisitions or dispositions; potential failure to achieve expected production from existing and future oil
and gas development projects; exploration risks such as drilling unsuccessful wells; any general economic recession or
slowdown domestically or internationally; higher-than-expected costs; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or
future environmental regulations and litigation; potential liability resulting from pending or future litigation; general domestic and
international political conditions; potential disruption or interruption of Occidental’s production or manufacturing or damage to
facilities due to accidents, chemical releases, labor unrest, weather, natural disasters or insurgent activity; failure of risk
management; changes in law or regulations; or changes in tax rates.  The United States Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC) permits oil and natural gas companies, in their SEC filings, to disclose only reserves anticipated to be economically
producible, as of a given date, by application of development projects to known accumulations. We use certain terms in this
presentation, such as net-in-place, net risked reserves, de-risked, EUR (expected ultimate recovery), likely recoverable
resources, net remaining and oil in place, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from using in our SEC filings. These
terms represent our internal estimates of volumes of oil and gas that are not proved reserves but are potentially recoverable
through exploratory drilling or additional drilling or recovery techniques and are not intended to correspond to probable or
possible reserves as defined by SEC regulations. By their nature these estimates are more speculative than proved, probable
or possible reserves and subject to greater risk they will not be realized. You should not place undue reliance on these forward
-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Unless legally required, Occidental does not
undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
U.S. investors are urged to consider carefully the disclosures in our 2010 Form 10-K, available through the following toll-free
number 1-888-OXYPETE (1-888-699-7383) or on the internet at http://www.oxy.com. You also can obtain a copy form the
SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330. We post or provide links to important information on our website including investor and
analyst presentations, certain board committee charters and information that SEC requires companies and certain of its officers
and directors to file or furnish. Such information may be found in the “Investor Relations” and “Social Responsibility” portions of
the website.
Cautionary Statement
37
 
 
37
 
 
 
 
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
38
 
 
38
 
 
 
 
 
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Reconciliation to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP)
For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
($ Millions)
                           
 
 2011
 
 2010
       
Diluted
       
Diluted
       
EPS
       
EPS
Reported Income
$
6,771
 
$
5.56
   
$
4,530
 
$
5.56
 
Add: significant items affecting earnings
                         
Asset impairments
 
-    
           
275
       
Libya exploration write-off
 
35
           
-    
       
Gain on sale of Colombia pipeline interest
 
(22
)
         
-    
       
Foreign tax
 
29
           
-    
       
Premiuim on debt extinguishments
 
163
           
-    
       
Tax effect of pre-tax adjustments
 
(50
)
         
(100
)
     
State income tax charge
 
33
           
-
       
Benefit from foreign tax credit carry-forwards
 
-    
           
(80
)
     
Discontinued operations, net *
 
(131
)
         
39
       
Core Results
$
6,828
 
$
8.39
   
$
4,664
 
 $
5.72
 
                           
* Amount shown after-tax
                         
                           
Average Diluted Common Shares Outstanding
       
812.9
           
813.8
 

 
 
 
 
 
 Occidental Petroleum Corporation
 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Reconciliation to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP)
           
           
   
2010
2011
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED (%)
 
13.2
 
17.2
 
           
           
GAAP measure - net income attributable
 
4,530
 
6,771
 
to common stock
         
Interest expense
 
93
 
284
 
Tax effect of interest expense
 
(33
)
(99
)
Earnings before tax-effected interest expense
 
4,590
 
6,956
 
           
GAAP stockholders' equity
 
32,484
 
37,620
 
           
Debt
 
5,111
 
5,871
 
           
Total capital employed
 
37,595
 
43,491
 
           
ROCE
 
13.2
 
17.2
 

 
 
 
 
 
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Oil & Gas
Return on Assets
Reconciliation to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP)
($ Millions)
                       
5-Year
 
2007
 
2008
2009
2010
2011
 
Average
                           
Revenues
12,583
 
17,378
 
10,984
 
14,245
 
18,419
   
14,722
 
Production costs
2,011
 
2,428
 
2,214
 
2,622
 
3,428
   
2,541
 
Other operating expense
516
 
536
 
628
 
655
 
838
   
635
 
Depreciation, depletion and amortization
1,754
 
1,993
 
2,258
 
2,668
 
3,064
   
2,347
 
Taxes other than income
401
 
569
 
413
 
472
 
590
   
489
 
Charges for impairments
58
 
81
 
-    
 
275
 
-    
   
83
 
Exploration expenses
361
 
308
 
254
 
262
 
258
   
289
 
Pretax income
7,482
 
11,463
 
5,217
 
7,291
 
10,241
   
8,339
 
Income tax expense
3,121
 
4,426
 
1,972
 
2,845
 
3,834
   
3,240
 
Results of operations
4,361
 
7,037
 
3,245
 
4,446
 
6,407
   
5,099
 
Depreciation, depletion and amortization
1,754
 
1,993
 
2,258
 
2,668
 
3,064
   
2,347
 
Charges for impairments
58
 
81
 
-    
 
275
 
-    
   
83
 
Gross Cash
6,173
 
9,111
 
5,503
 
7,389
 
9,471
   
7,529
 
                           
Capitalized costs
                         
Current year
19,137
 
24,216
 
25,228
 
29,901
 
37,490
       
Prior year
17,375
 
19,137
 
24,216
 
25,228
 
29,901
       
Average capitalized costs
18,256
 
21,677
 
24,722
 
27,565
 
33,696
   
25,558
 
                           
                           
5-Year Average
U.S.
International
Total
             
Results of operations
2,705
 
2,394
 
5,099
 
(a)
           
Depreciation, depletion and amortization
1,307
 
1,040
 
2,347
               
Charges for impairments
67
 
16
 
83
               
Gross Cash
4,079
 
3,450
 
7,529
 
(b)
           
                           
Average capitalized costs
19,151
 
6,407
 
25,558
 
(c)
           
                           
Net income return on assets (a) / (c)
14%
37%
20%
             
                           
Cash flow return on assets (b) / (c)
21%
54%
29%
             

 
 
 
 
 
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Free Cash Flow
Reconciliation to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP)
($ Millions)
 
Twelve Months
 
2011
Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows
   
Cash flow from operating activities
12,281
 
Cash flow from investing activities
(9,903
)
Cash flow from financing activities
(1,175
)
Change in cash
1,203
 
     
     
Free Cash Flow
   
Cash flow from operating activities - continuing operations
12,306
 
Capital spending
(7,518
)
Free cash flow before dividends
4,788
 
Dividends
(1,436
)
Free cash flow after dividends
3,352