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8-K - FORM 8-K FOR 4Q2011 EARNINGS - TRIAD GUARANTY INCform8k-4q2011earnings.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Press Release

Triad Guaranty Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter and Year End Results

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C., February 17, 2012 -- Triad Guaranty Inc. (OTCBB: TGIC) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended December 31, 2011 of $60.9 million compared to a net loss of $37.5 million for the third quarter of 2011 and net income of $26.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2010.  The 2011 fourth quarter diluted loss per share was $3.99 compared to a diluted loss per share of $2.46 for the 2011 third quarter and diluted income per share of $1.76 for the fourth quarter of 2010.

The net loss for the year ended December 31, 2011 was $107.8 million compared to net income of $132.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2010.  The diluted loss per share was $7.07 for the year ended December 31, 2011 compared to diluted income per share of $8.72 for the year ended December 31, 2010.

Ken Jones, President and CEO, said, “Stubbornly high unemployment, tight credit and depressed home prices have prevented any meaningful recovery in the housing market, which continues to negatively impact our financial results.  During the fourth quarter of 2011, we increased the frequency factors utilized in our reserve calculation, which added approximately $30 million to the loss for the quarter.  As necessary, we make refinements to our reserve estimate each quarter to reflect actual experience.  Risk in default continued to decline during the fourth quarter, but at a slower rate than we experienced during the previous five quarters.  Settled claims declined 14% from the third quarter while cures and newly reported defaults remained essentially flat during the 2011 fourth quarter.  Persistency, the key driver of our earned premiums, remained at elevated levels compared to historical norms as many borrowers are finding it very difficult to sell their homes.”

Mr. Jones continued, “As a company in run-off, our primary focus remains on the efficient and effective servicing of our insured portfolio, particularly with respect to loss management, in order to maximize our claims-paying ability.  Our deficit in assets remains substantial and was $703.6 million at December 31, 2011.  We believe that, absent significant positive changes in the economy and the residential real estate market, our existing assets and future premiums likely will not be sufficient to meet our current and future policyholder obligations.”

We have updated the quarterly statistical and supplemental information for the 2011 fourth quarter results on our web site at www.triadguaranty.com.  The supplemental information can be found under “Investors” and then under “Webcasts and Presentations” by the title “Supplemental Information – Fourth Quarter 2011”.

 
 

 

(Relevant Triad Guaranty Inc. financial and statistical information follows)

Triad Guaranty Inc.'s wholly owned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is a nationwide mortgage insurer pursuing a run-off of its existing in-force book of business.  For more information, please visit the Company's web site at www.triadguaranty.com.
 

Certain of the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include estimates and assumptions related to economic, competitive, regulatory, operational and legislative developments. These forward-looking statements are subject to change, uncertainty and circumstances that are, in many instances, beyond our control and they have been made based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their results could differ materially from those expected by us, depending on the outcome of a number of factors, including: the possibility that the Illinois Department of Insurance may take various actions regarding Triad if it does not operate its business in accordance with its revised financial and operating plan and the corrective orders, including seeking receivership proceedings; our ability to operate our business in run-off and maintain a solvent run-off; our ability to continue as a going concern; the possibility of general economic and business conditions that are different than anticipated; legislative, regulatory, and other similar developments; changes in interest rates, employment rates, the housing market, the mortgage industry and the stock market; legal and other proceedings regarding modifications and refinancing of mortgages and/or foreclosure proceedings; the possibility that there will not be adequate interest in our common stock on the over the counter markets to ensure efficient pricing; and various factors described under "Risk Factors" and in the “Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010 and in other reports and statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made, except as otherwise required by law.
 

 
SOURCE: Triad Guaranty Inc.
CONTACT: Bob Ogburn, Vice President and Treasurer, at 336.723.1282 ext. 1167 or bogburn@tgic.com
 

 
 

 




Triad Guaranty Inc.
 
Consolidated Statements of Operations
 
(Unaudited)
 
                         
   
Three Months Ended
   
Twelve Months Ended
 
   
December 31,
   
December 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
   
2011
   
2010
 
   
(Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)
 
Revenues:
                       
Earned premiums
  $ 39,111     $ 40,920     $ 161,352     $ 203,416  
Net investment income
    6,779       8,658       30,760       38,774  
Net realized investment gains (losses)
    11,296       (950 )     15,209       12,516  
Other income
    1       60       67       23  
  Total revenues
    57,187       48,688       207,388       254,729  
Losses and Expenses:
                               
Net settled claims
    113,936       139,435       464,974       562,007  
Decrease in reserves
    (5,885 )     (129,993 )     (187,524 )     (462,732 )
Loss adjustment (benefit) expenses
    (633 )     322       815       10,358  
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses
    107,418       9,764       278,265       109,633  
                                 
Interest expense
    4,984       3,836       18,244       11,763  
Other operating expenses
    4,583       8,319       18,648       30,878  
   Total losses and expenses
    116,985       21,919       315,157       152,274  
Income (loss) before income taxes and extraordinary item
    (59,798 )     26,769       (107,769 )     102,455  
Income tax expense
    1,134       -       -       -  
Income (loss) before extraordinary item
    (60,932 )     26,769       (107,769 )     102,455  
Extraordinary item - gain from repurchase and retirement of long-term debt
    -       -       -       29,640  
Net (loss) income
  $ (60,932 )   $ 26,769     $ (107,769 )   $ 132,095  
                                 
Per Share Information:
                               
Diluted (loss) income per share before extraordinary item
  $ (3.99 )   $ 1.76     $ (7.07 )   $ 6.76  
Diluted income per share for extraordinary item
    -       -       -       1.96  
Diluted (loss) income per share
  $ (3.99 )   $ 1.76     $ (7.07 )   $ 8.72  
                                 
Diluted weighted average common stock and common stock equivalents outstanding (in thousands of shares)
    15,258       15,204       15,250       15,151  


 
 

 

 
 


Triad Guaranty Inc.
 
Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
 (Unaudited)  
             
   
December 31,
   
December 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
 
   
(Dollars in thousands)
 
Assets:
           
Invested assets:
           
   Fixed maturities, available for sale, at market
  $ 746,238     $ 812,335  
   Short-term investments
    30,102       39,561  
      776,340       851,896  
Cash and cash equivalents
    40,590       38,762  
Reinsurance recoverable
    22,988       40,806  
Other Assets
    56,309       60,161  
     Total assets
  $ 896,227     $ 991,625  
                 
Liabilities:
               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 854,188     $ 1,060,036  
Unearned premiums
    6,871       9,057  
Deferred payment obligation
    629,700       415,657  
Other liabilities
    109,042       93,075  
    Total liabilities
    1,599,801       1,577,825  
                 
Stockholders' deficit:
               
Accumulated deficit
    (826,815 )     (719,046 )
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    8,977       18,609  
Other equity accounts
    114,264       114,237  
   Deficit in assets
    (703,574 )     (586,200 )
Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit
  $ 896,227     $ 991,625  
                 
Common shares outstanding
    15,328,128       15,258,128  



 
 

 

 
 


Triad Guaranty Inc.
 
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow
 
(Unaudited)
 
             
   
Twelve Months Ended
December 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
 
   
(Dollars in thousands)
 
             
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
           
Net (loss) income
  $ (107,769 )   $ 132,095  
Adjustments to reconcile net (loss) income to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:
               
Decrease in loss and unearned premium reserves
    (208,034 )     (480,103 )
Decrease in amounts due to/from reinsurer
    17,818       192,693  
Net realized investment gains
    (15,209 )     (12,516 )
Extraordinary gain on repurchase of long-term debt
    -       (29,640 )
Increase in deferred payment obligation
    214,043       247,271  
Collection of income tax recoverable
    11,707       -  
Other operating activities
    10,830       8,058  
Net cash (used in) provided by operating activities
    (76,614 )     57,858  
                 
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
               
Purchases of investment securities
    (277,829 )     (469,283 )
Sales and maturities of investment securities
    347,150       445,545  
Decrease (increase) in short-term investments
    9,459       (12,911 )
Other investing activities
    (338 )     620  
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities
    78,442       (36,029 )
                 
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
               
Repurchase of long-term debt
    -       (4,906 )
Net cash used in financing activities
    -       (4,906 )
                 
Net increase in cash
    1,828       16,923  
Cash at beginning of year
    38,762       21,839  
Cash at end of period
  $ 40,590     $ 38,762  


 
 

 

 
 


Triad Guaranty Inc.
 
Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
 
(unaudited)
 
                               
   
Condensed Statements of Operations For The Quarter Ended
 
(Dollars in thousands)
 
Dec. 31,
   
Sept. 30,
   
Jun. 30,
   
Mar. 31,
   
Dec. 31,
 
   
2011
   
2011
   
2011
   
2011
   
2010
 
Revenue:
                             
Earned premiums
  $ 39,111     $ 49,719     $ 35,394     $ 37,128     $ 40,920  
Net investment income
    6,779       7,364       8,126       8,491       8,658  
Net realized investment gains (losses)
    11,296       1,349       3,000       (436 )     (950 )
Other income
    1       10       29       27       60  
Total revenues
    57,187       58,442       46,549       45,210       48,688  
Losses and Expenses:
                                       
Net settled claims
    113,936       132,545       111,583       106,909       139,435  
Decrease in reserves
    (5,885 )     (44,192 )     (70,752 )     (66,694 )     (129,993 )
Loss adjustment (benefit) expenses
    (633 )     (511 )     469       1,490       322  
Net losses and LAE expense
    107,418       87,842       41,300       41,705       9,764  
Interest expense
    4,984       4,813       4,469       3,978       3,836  
Other operating expenses
    4,583       4,450       5,178       4,437       8,319  
Total losses and expenses
    116,985       97,105       50,947       50,120       21,919  
Income (loss) before taxes
    (59,798 )     (38,663 )     (4,398 )     (4,910 )     26,769  
Income tax expense (benefit)
    1,134       (1,134 )     -       -       -  
Net (loss) income
  $ (60,932 )   $ (37,529 )   $ (4,398 )   $ (4,910 )   $ 26,769  
                                         
   
Condensed Balance Sheets As Of
 
   
Dec. 31,
   
Sept. 30,
   
Jun. 30,
   
Mar. 31,
   
Dec. 31,
 
    2011     2011     2011     2011     2010  
Assets
                                       
Invested assets
  $ 776,340     $ 773,078     $ 823,018     $ 842,908     $ 851,896  
Cash and cash equivalents
    40,590       65,051       40,277       39,073       38,762  
Reinsurance recoverable
    22,988       23,719       31,230       33,499       40,806  
Other assets
    56,309       56,897       46,141       48,528       60,161  
Total assets
  $ 896,227     $ 918,745     $ 940,666     $ 964,008     $ 991,625  
                                         
Liabilities and stockholders' deficit
                                       
Liabilities:
                                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 854,188     $ 864,049     $ 910,530     $ 990,494     $ 1,060,036  
Deferred payment obligation
    629,700       576,510       517,193       464,342       415,657  
Accrued expenses and other liabilities
    115,913       109,095       106,271       102,911       102,132  
Total liabilities
    1,599,801       1,549,654       1,533,994       1,557,747       1,577,825  
Deficit in assets
    (703,574 )     (630,909 )     (593,328 )     (593,739 )     (586,200 )
Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit
  $ 896,227     $ 918,745     $ 940,666     $ 964,008     $ 991,625