Attached files
file | filename |
---|---|
10-K/A - OSAGE EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT, INC. | Form10KA.htm |
EX-31.1 - OSAGE EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT, INC. | ex31_1.htm |
EX-32.2 - OSAGE EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT, INC. | ex32_2.htm |
EX-31.2 - OSAGE EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT, INC. | ex31_2.htm |
EX-32.1 - OSAGE EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT, INC. | ex32_1.htm |
EX-10.24 - OSAGE EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT, INC. | ex10_24.htm |
II | Evaluation of the Guaduas Field in Middle/Upper Magdalena Valley |
The Guaduas field is located in the Dindal and Rio Seco Blocks. It covers 30,665 acres in the Middle Magdalena Valley and is approximately 62 miles northwest of the City of Bogota. The Company purchased 90.6% working interest in this property from SiPetrol S.A. on July 6, 2006 and became the operator. The remaining 9.4% working interest belongs to Cimarrona Oil & Gas. The oil and gas production are subject to a 20% royalty rate.
Geology. Discovery, and Production of the Guaduas Field
The Guaduas field is located in the Middle Magdalena Valley Basin on the west flank of the Guaduas syncline and is a hanging-wall anticlinal feature created by the movement of the Honda thrust. The Guaduas field was discovered in 1996 by GHK Company, LLC of Oklahoma from the drilling of the El Segundo-IE well and was placed on production later that year through an extended production test. Production is from the late Cretaceous Cimarrona formation, which is a sequence of alternating clastic and carbonate rocks deposited in a transitional marine environment. The Cimarrona formation in the uaduas field is composed of fractured limestone and calcareous sandstone, interbedded with calcareous shale and siltstones.
The Guaduas closure to the north, south and west is structural in nature, while the eastern closure is based on a facies change. The deposit environment is marine to transitional. In the area of the Guaduas field, wells encountered Cimarrona thickness between 230 and 350 feet. During exploration, it was discovered that hydrocarbon accumulations are controlled by the presence of fractures and limited almost exclusively to the fractures. Development focused on fracturing and evelopment of limestone and sands, drilling perpendicularly to the direction of the fractures in order to drain most of the hydrocarbons found in the fractures.
Full field development began in 2001 with production peaking in 2002 prior to declining to present day levels. In the early stages of exploration, the Cimarrona formation was identified as a clastic sequence that varied in lithology, from onglomerate sediments related to deltaic fans, canals and marine bars from coastal environments, to shallow-water limestone. Later exploration efforts resulted in the discovery that hydrocarbon accumulations in the area were controlled by the presence of fractures and limited almost exclusively to the fractures, with minimal matrix contribution. Development therefore focused on fracturing and the development of limestone and sandstone by drilling perpendicularly to the direction of the fractures in order to drain the highest percentage of hydrocarbons found in these fracture systems.
As of year-end 2010, 17 wells have been drilled with seven producing oil wells and eight non-producing oil wells, one water injection well and one gas injection well. For the purposes of this evaluation, all seven oil wells are producing and two non-producing oil wells were scheduled for workovers in 2010 but no work was done. The daily average rate for 2010 was 641 barrels of 19°API crude, 4,270 Mcf of gas and 1,076 barrels of water for the 2010 production of 234,133 barrels of oil, 1,558,595 Mcf of gas and 392,737 barrels of water. Cumulative production to December 31, 2010 was 10,990,993 barrels of oil, 22,930,983 Mcf of gas and 4,269,587 barrels of water. Wells produce through a combination of electrical submersible pumps (ESP), progressive cavity pumps (PCP) and gas lift. Produced gas is used for fuel, re-injected for pressure maintenance and gas sales. Produced water is re-injected for disposal. A review of gas-oil ratio performance indicates that gas breakthrough has occurred in a number of producing wells.
1 |
The discovery well, the El Segundo IE well, was located using the seismic database existing in 1996 that consisted only of 2-D seismic. The 2-D seismic outlining the field consists of 14 seismic profiles with separations between transversal lines of approximately three km and six km between the direction lines. The reprocessing resulted in an improvement in the frequency content, image reproduction and seismic character. There is a total of 254 km of 2-D seismic available for the area.
In view of the exploratory success with additional wells, 129 km2 of 3-D seismic was acquired. Additional reprocessing was performed on the 3-D seismic to eliminate static problems and to improve definition of seismic events of the Cimarrona Formation, to better define the faults and to visualize the reservoir's area. The 3-D seismic was used to improve mapping of the structure, defining orientation of principal faults and pin-pointing the reservoirs position, allowing for better planning of development wells. As part of an integrated reservoir study, in conjunction with the seismic reprocessing, synthetic seismograms were built relating to the area wells to improve structural interpretation of the reservoir
Reservoir Evaluation
Within the Cimarrona formation, the porosity ranges from 0 to 5% with permeability ranges from 0.01 to 1 mD. The oil is trapped in fractures. Based on petrophysical properties combined with a stratigraphic model, the Cimarrona formation is divided into the Upper Cimarrona (Flow units FU1, FU2, FU3,FU4 and FU5) and Lower Cimarrona (Flow units FU6, FU7 and FU8). The FU2 is the principal reservoir and FU4 and FU5 are considered good reservoirs
Work Program
Through infill drilling the Company plans to continue development of the field in order to maintain production decline rates as existing wells are abandoned. One highly delineated well is planned for 2010. If successful, another development well will be drilled in 2011 (see Figure II-3). Two more similar wells are planned for 2012 depending on the results of the 2010 infill drilling.
2 |
Figure II-1 Location Map of the Guaduas Field in the Middle Magdalena Valley,Colombia
3 |
Figure II-2 Stratigraphic Chart of the Middle Magdalena Valley
4 |
Figure II-3 Guaduas Field Delineated Well Development Locations
5 |
Capital Costs
The total capital expenditures for the drilling of four additional wells are as follows:
Description | Cost (in U.S. M$) | |
ES_2S workover to fix mechanical problem in 2011 | 300.0 | |
Drill and complete 1 deviated well in 2011 | 5,500.0 | |
Facility, location, tie-in and environmental study for 1 well in 2011 | 500.0 | |
Drill and complete 1 vertical well in 2012 | 3,000.0 | |
Facility, location, tie-in and environmental study for 1 well in 2012 | 500.0 | |
Drill and complete 2 deviated (1 vert. + 1 horiz.) wells in 2012 | 8,500.0 | |
Facility, location, tie-in and environmental study for 2 wells in 2012 | 1,000.0 | |
Total Costs | 19,300.0 |
The Company's share of field development costs at 90.6% working interest is equal to $17,485,800. The following is a detailed timeline for abandonment of Guaduas wells:
Well Name | Date | Well Name | Date | Well Name | Date |
TP 7W | 2011 | ES_1S | 2021 | Development Well #1 | 2019 |
TP IE | 2019 | TP_6E_ST2 | 2016 | Development Well #2 | 2016 |
ES 2S | 2018 | ES_2E_ST1 | 2015 | Development Well #3 | 2021 |
TP 6N | 2012 | ES_5N | 2021 | Development Well #4 | 2016 |
Operating Costs
The total 2010 operating expenses (excluding transportation) totaled $4,198,399 (100% working interest). The fixed cost was 95% of the total operating cost, resulting in $336,671 per month for the Guaduas oil field. The variable cost is 5% of the total operating cost and, based on 212,124 barrels of total oil production, the resulting cost was $4.09 per barrel. The transportation cost was $1.50 per barrel.
Economic Assumptions and Parameters | |
Working Interest | 90.6% |
Royalty Rate | 20% |
WTI Oil Price on December 31, 2010 | US$91.40 per barrel |
Vasconia Price on December 31, 2010 | US$90.80 per barrel |
Guaduas Oil Price 2010 | US$89.16 per barrel |
Forecast Oil Price | Escalate at NYMEX futures for WTI light crude |
Escalation factor for costs | 4% per year based on Colombia consumer index |
Contract Expiration | February 2021 |
Operating Days | estimated at 365 per year |
Abandonment, salvage, clean-up | $100,000/well |
6 |
Reserve
Proved developed producing reserves have been assigned to seven Guaduas wells based on the production performance trends of the historical data. The following table outlines the proved developed producing reserves estimates:
Estimated | Remaining to | Remaining to | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative | Ultimate | Remaining | Contract | Economic | ||||||||||||||||||||
Production | Recoverable | Recoverable | Expiry | Limit | ||||||||||||||||||||
Well Name | Category | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | ||||||||||||||||||
ES_1S | PDP | 2,655,246 | 3,555,567 | 900,321 | 603,285 | 720,996 | ||||||||||||||||||
ES_2E_ST1 | PDP | 866,099 | 1,006,020 | 139,921 | 72,542 | 72,542 | ||||||||||||||||||
ES_5N | PDP | 870,304 | 1,709,067 | 838,763 | 394,942 | 614,427 | ||||||||||||||||||
TP_1E | PDP | 1,700,124 | 1,937,036 | 236,912 | 143,338 | 143,338 | ||||||||||||||||||
TP_6E_ST2 | PUP | 424,047 | 582,847 | 158,800 | 76,025 | 76.025 | ||||||||||||||||||
TP_6N | PDP | 677,368 | 705,958 | 28,590 | 8,673 | 8,673 | ||||||||||||||||||
7P_7W | PDP | 352,019 | 361,961 | 9,942 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||
Total | 7,545,207 | 9,858,456 | 2,313,249 | 1,298,805 | 1,636,001 |
(1) Production decline analysis found in Appendix B
(2) Cumulative production to December 31, 2010.
(3) Estimate ultimate recoverable based on 5 bopd cutoff.
Based on surrounding production analogues and 3-D seismic interpretations, proved undeveloped reserve are assigned to two delineated infill wells (Development Well #1 & Development Well #2) in the Guaduas field (see Figure II-3).
Estimated | Remaining to | Remaining to | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative | Ultimate | Remaining | Contract | Economic | ||||||||||||||||||||
Production | Recoverable | Recoverable | Expiry | Limit | ||||||||||||||||||||
Well Name | Category | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | ||||||||||||||||||
Development Well #1 | PUD | — | 1,689,233 | 1,689,233 | 1,020,346 | 1,020,346 | ||||||||||||||||||
Development Well #2 | PUD | — | 262,377 | 262,377 | 149,259 | 149,259 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total | — | 1,951,610 | 1,951,610 | 1,169,605 | 1,169,605 |
(1) Analogue models found later in this section.
(2) Estimate ultimate recoverable based on 15 bopd cutoff
(3) Development Well #2 to be drilled in pressure depleted reservoir therefore lower recovery
Estimated | Remaining to | Remaining to | |||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative | Ultimate | Remaining | Contract | Economic | |||||||||||||||||||
Production | Recoverable | Recoverable | Expiry | Limit | |||||||||||||||||||
Well Name | Category | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | |||||||||||||||||
ES_IN | PDNP | 300,985 | 572,808 | 271,823 | 176,154 | 176,154 | |||||||||||||||||
ES_2S | PDNP | 175,191 | 844,631 | 669,440 | 146,791 | 146,791 | |||||||||||||||||
ES_6E_ST2 | PDNP | 103,862 | 263,642 | 159,780 | 102,713 | 102,713 | |||||||||||||||||
Total | 580,038 | 1,681,081 | 1,101,043 | 425,658 | 425,658 |
(1) The ES_2S reserve is based on the well coming back at the same rate it was shut-in August 2008 (see Production Forecast and Methods section).
7 |
Based on surrounding production analogs and 3-D seismic interpretations, probable undeveloped reserve is assigned to two delineated infill wells (Development Well #3 &Development Well #4) in the Guaduas field. These infill locations will offset the Development #1 and #2 wells depending on results.
Estimated | Remaining to | Remaining to | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative | Ultimate | Remaining | Contract | Economic | ||||||||||||||||||||
Production | Recoverable | Recoverable | Expiry | Limit | ||||||||||||||||||||
Well Name | Category | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | (bbl) | ||||||||||||||||||
Development Well #3 | Probable | — | 1,689,233 | 1,689,233 | 1,020,129 | 1,020,129 | ||||||||||||||||||
Development Well #4 | Probable | — | 262,377 | 262,377 | 256,677 | 256,677 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total | — | 1,951,610 | 1.951,610 | 1,276,806 | 1,276506 |
(1) Analogue models found later in this section.
(2) Estimate ultimate recoverable based on 15 bopd cutoff
(3) Development Well #4 to be drilled in pressure depleted reservoir therefore lower recovery
Production Forecast and Declines
The proved developed producing forecasts are based on production performance trends.
PDP Initial | |||||||
Rate in 2011 | PDP Decline Rate | ||||||
Well Name | (bopd) | (%/year) | |||||
ES_IS | 284.0 | 10.4 | |||||
ES_2E ST1 | 57.7 | 12.2 | |||||
ES_5N | 152.5 | 6.4 | |||||
TP_1E | 68.5 | 9.1 | |||||
TP_6E_ST2 | 48.2 | 9.1 | |||||
TP_6N | 27.6 | 23.4 | |||||
7P_7W | 18.1 | 37.2 |
(1) Production decline analyses are in Appendix B.
The proved developed non-producing forecast for the ES_2S workover is based on production performance trends of the ES_2S well.
PDNP Initial | PDNP Decline | ||||||
Rate | Rate | ||||||
Well Name | (bopd) | (%/year) | |||||
ES_2S | 95.2 | 14.0 |
The proved undeveloped and probable undeveloped forecasts are based on two analog well models. Analog Model #2 (see plot below) is for a location with initial reservoir pressure and Analog Model #1 (see Figure II-4 and II-5) is for a location within the pressure depleted reservoir.
Initial Rate | Decline Rate | ||||||
Well Name | (bopd) | (%/year) | |||||
Analogue Model #1 | 250.0 | 42.0 | |||||
Analogue Model #2 | 1,250.0 | 36.0 |
8 |
Table II-l - Summary of Guaduas Reserve and Net Present Values | |||||||||
Heavy Oil Reserves | Before Tax NPV | ||||||||
100% | Gross | Net | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | ||
Well | Category | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) |
ES-lS | Proved developed producing | 603 | 547 | 437 | 30,297 | 25,240 | 21.565 | 18,816 | 16,703 |
ES-2E-ST1 | Proved developed producing | 73 | 66 | 53 | 1,740 | 1,620 | 1.518 | 1,430 | 1,354 |
ES-5N | Proved developed producing | 395 | 358 | 286 | 17,993 | 14,760 | 12,439 | 10,724 | 9,422 |
TP-1E | Proved developed producing | 143 | 130 | 104 | 3,606 | 3,204 | 2.883 | 2,623 | 2,409 |
TP-6E-ST2 | Proved developed producing | 76 | 69 | 55 | 1,387 | 1,292 | 1,210 | 1,139 | 1,076 |
TP-6N* | Proved developed producing | 9 | 8 | 6 | -25 | 24 | -24 | -23 | -23 |
TP-7W* | Proved developed producing | - | - | -94 | -92 | -90 | -88 | -86 | |
Total PDP | 1,299 | 1,177 | 941 | 54,904 | 46,000 | 39,502 | 34,620 | 30,854 | |
ES-1N | Proved developed non-producing | 177 | 160 | 128 | 5,074 | 4,394 | 3,875 | 3,471 | 3,148 |
ES-2S | Proved | 147 | 133 | 106 | 4,133 | 3,731 | 3,402 | 3,129 | 2,899 |
ES-6E-ST2 | Proved developed non-producing | 103 | 93 | 74 | 2,960 | 2,725 | 2,527 | 2,359 | 2,215 |
Total PDNP | 427 | 386 | 309 | 12,166 | 10,850 | 9,805 | 8,959 | 8,263 | |
PUD-1 | Proved undeveloped | 1,020 | 924 | 740 | 50,312 | 44,909 | 40,534 | 36,937 | 33,933 |
PUD-2 | Proved undeveloped | 155 | 140 | 112 | 3,420 | 2,943 | 2,552 | 2,229 | 1,960 |
Total PUD | 1,175 | 1,064 | 852 | 53,732 | 47,851 | 43,087 | 39,167 | 35,892 | |
Total Proved | 2,900 | 2,628 | 2,102 | 120,801 | 104,701 | 92,393 | 82,746 | 75,009 | |
ES-lS | Probable Producing | 426 | 386 | 309 | 25,213 | 20,791 | 17,607 | 15,247 | 13,447 |
Total Probable Producing | 426 | 386 | 309 | 25,213 | 20,791 | 17,607 | 15,247 | 13,447 | |
PBUD-1 | Probable Undeveloped | 1.020 | 924 | 739 | 49,247 | 41,584 | 35,604 | 30,851 | 27,009 |
PB UD-2 | Probable Undeveloped | 154 | 140 | 112 | 3,100 | 2,504 | 2,030 | 1,649 | 1,339 |
Total Probable Undeveloped | 1,175 | 1,064 | 851 | 52,346 | 44,088 | 37,634 | 32,500 | 28,348 | |
Total Probable | 1,601 | 1,450 | 1,160 | 77,559 | 64,880 | 55,241 | 47,747 | 41,796 | |
Total Proved + Probable | 4,501 | 4,078 | 3,262 | 198,360 | 169,581 | 147,635 | 130,493 | 116,805 | |
* Uneconomic wells are included with abandonment costs. | |||||||||
9 |
Table II-2 Guaduas Field Total Proved Developed Producing Reserve and
Net Present Values
Working Interest = 90.6%
Royalty rate = 20%
Escalation Factor = 4% per year based on Colombian Consumer Index
Forecast Oil Price = see Forecast Oil Prices
Fixed OpEx = $446,000 per well per year fixed cost
Variable OpEx = $6.30 per barrel
Operating Days = 365 per year
Abandonment Cost = $100,000 per well
Effective Date = December 31, 2010
Heavy Oil Reserves | Revenue | |||||||||
Gas | Before | |||||||||
Gross | (Less | Tax | ||||||||
100% Gross Net | Royalty | Gas | Oil | Royalty) | CapEx | OpEx | NPV | |||
Year | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) |
2011 | 219 | 198 | 159 | 40 | 43 | 14,133 | 111 | 188 | 3,924 | 10,131 |
2012 | 186 | 168 | 135 | 34 | 36 | 12,048 | 105 | - | 3,422 | 8,731 |
2013 | 165 | 150 | 120 | 30 | 32 | 10,587 | 98 | - | 3,431 | 7,254 |
2014 | 148 | 134 | 107 | 27 | 29 | 9,455 | 90 | - | 3,460 | 6,085 |
2015 | 134 | 121 | 97 | 24 | 26 | 8,568 | 84 | 110 | 3,504 | 5,038 |
2016 | 113 | 102 | 82 | 20 | 22 | 7,269 | 73 | 115 | 2,956 | 4,271 |
2017 | 95 | 86 | 69 | 17 | 18 | 6,210 | 62 | - | 2,377 | 3,895 |
2018 | 87 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 17 | 5,844 | 58 | - | 2,417 | 3,485 |
2019 | 81 | 73 | 59 | 15 | 16 | 5,523 | 55 | 129 | 2,464 | 2,986 |
2020 | 66 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 13 | 4,558 | 46 | - | 1,802 | 2,802 |
2021 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 379 | 4 | - | 155 | 228 |
Total | 1,299 | 1,177 | 941 | 235 | 253 | 84,573 | 785 | 542 | 29,912 | 54,904 |
NPV of Future Net Revenue | ||||
Before Tax Discounted (in M$) @ | ||||
0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% |
54,904 | 46,000 | 39,502 | 34,620 | 30,854 |
10 |
Table II-3 Guaduas Field Proved Developed Non-Producing Reserve and
Net Present Values
Working Interest = 90.6%
Royalty rate = 20%
Escalation Factor = 4% per year based on Colombian Consumer Index
Forecast Oil Price = see Forecast Oil Prices
Fixed OpEx = $446,000 per well per year fixed cost
Variable OpEx = $6.30 per barrel
Operating Days = 365 per year
Abandonment Cost = $100,000 per well
Effective Date = December 31, 2010
Heavy Oil Reserves | Revenue | |||||||||
Gas | Before | |||||||||
Gross | (Less | Tax | ||||||||
100% | Gross | Net | Royally | Gas | Oil | Royalty! | Cap Ex | OpEx | NPV | |
Year | (Ml.hl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) |
2011 | 84 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 16 | 5,428 | 43 | 272 | 1.817 | 3,381 |
2012 | 71 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 14 | 4,597 | 10 | - | 1,812 | 2.824 |
2013 | 60 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 12 | 3,869 | 36 | - | 1,819 | 2,086 |
2014 | 52 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 3,321 | 32 | - | 1,839 | 1,513 |
2015 | 45 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 2,900 | 28 | - | 1.868 | 1,060 |
2016 | 40 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 8 | 2.572 | 26 | 115 | 1.906 | 577 |
2017 | 26 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 1.707 | 17 | - | 1,317 | 408 |
2018 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 1.569 | 16 | 124 | 1,350 | 110 |
2019 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 833 | 8 | - | 706 | 135 |
2020 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 786 | 8 | - | 727 | 68 |
2021 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 1 | - | 63 | 3 |
Total | 427 | 386 | 309 | 77 | 83 | 27,647 | 254 | 510 | 15,225 | 12.166 |
NPV of Future Net Revenue Before Tax Discounted (in M$) @ |
||||
0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% |
12.166 | 10.850 | 9.805 | 8,959 | 8,263 |
11 |
Table II-4 Guaduas Field Proved Undeveloped Reserve and Net Present Values
Working Interest = 90.6%
Royalty rate = 20%
Escalation Factor = 4% per year based on Colombian Consumer Index
Forecast Oil Price = see Forecast Oil Prices
Fixed OpEx = $446,000 per well per year fixed cost
Variable OpEx = $6.30 per barrel
Operating Days = 365 per year
Abandonment Cost = $100,000 per well
Effective Date = December 31, 2010
Heavy Oil Reserves | Revenue | |||||||||
Gas | Before | |||||||||
Gross | (Less | Tax | ||||||||
100% | Gross | Net | Royally | Gas | Oil | Royalty) | Cap Ex | OpEx | NPV | |
Year | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) |
2011 | 240 | 217 | 174 | 43 | 47 | 15.502 | 122 | 5,436 | 1,369 | 8,818 |
2012 | 347 | 315 | 252 | 63 | 68 | 22,526 | 196 | 3,298 | 2,990 | 16,434 |
2013 | 233 | 211 | 169 | 42 | 45 | 14,920 | 137 | 2,400 | 12,657 | |
2014 | 146 | 132 | 106 | 26 | 28 | 9,311 | 89 | - | 1,941 | 7,459 |
2015 | 92 | 83 | 67 | 17 | 18 | 5,862 | 57 | - | 1,656 | 4,263 |
2016 | 54 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 10 | 3,463 | 35 | 115 | 1,188 | 2,195 |
2017 | 31 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2,032 | 20 | - | 788 | 1,264 |
2018 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1,327 | 13 | - | 736 | 604 |
2019 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 866 | 9 | 129 | 710 | 36 |
Total | 1,175 | 1,064 | 852 | 213 | 229 | 75,809 | 678 | 8,977 | 13,778 | 53,732 |
NPV of Future Net Revenue | ||||
Before Tax Discounted (in M$) @ | ||||
0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% |
53,732 | 47,851 | 43,087 | 39,167 | 35,892 |
12 |
Table II-5 Cuaduas Field Total Proved Reserve and Net Present Values
Working Interest = 90.6%
Royalty rate = 20%
Escalation Factor = 4% per year based on Colombian Consumer Index
Forecast Oil Price = see Forecast Oil Prices
Fixed OpEx = $446,000 per well per year fixed cost
Variable OpEx = $6.30 per barrel
Operating Days = 365 per year
Abandonment Cost = $100,000 per well
Effective Date = December 31. 2010
Heavy Oil Reserves | Revenue | |||||||||
Gas | Before | |||||||||
Gross | (Less | Tax | ||||||||
100% | Gross | Net | Royalty | Gas | Oil | Royalty) | CapEx | OpEx | NPV | |
Year | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MS) | (MS) | (MS) | (MS) | (MS) |
2011 | 543 | 492 | 393 | 98 | 106 | 35,062 | 276 | 5,896 | 7,111 | 22,331 |
2012 | 604 | 547 | 438 | 109 | 118 | 39,171 | 340 | 3,298 | 8,224 | 27,989 |
2013 | 458 | 415 | 332 | 83 | 89 | 29,377 | 271 | - | 7,651 | 21,997 |
2014 | 346 | 314 | 251 | 63 | 67 | 22,086 | 211 | - | 7,240 | 15,057 |
2015 | 271 | 246 | 197 | 49 | 53 | 17,330 | 170 | 110 | 7,029 | 10,361 |
2016 | 207 | 188 | 150 | 38 | 40 | 13,304 | 133 | 344 | 6,050 | 7,043 |
2017 | 152 | 137 | 110 | 27 | 30 | 9,949 | 99 | - | 4,482 | 5,567 |
2018 | 131 | 118 | 95 | 24 | 25 | 8,739 | 87 | 124 | 4,503 | 4,199 |
2019 | 106 | 96 | 77 | 19 | 21 | 7,222 | 72 | 258 | 3,879 | 3,157 |
2020 | 77 | 70 | 56 | 14 | 15 | 5,344 | 53 | - | 2,528 | 2,869 |
2021 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 444 | 4 | - | 218 | 231 |
Total | 2,900 | 2,628 | 2,102 | 526 | 565 | 188,029 | 1,716 | 10,030 | 58,914 | 120,801 |
NPV of Future Net Revenue | ||||
Before Tax Discounted (in MS) @ | ||||
0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% |
120.801 | 104,701 | 92,393 | 82,746 | 75,009 |
13 |
Table H-6 Guaduas Field Probable Developed Reserve and Net Present Values
Working Interest = 90.6%
Royalty rate = 20%
Escalation Factor = 4% per year based on Colombian Consumer Index
Forecast Oil Price = see Forecast Oil Prices
CapEx = $5,500,000 per deviated well and $3,000,000 per vertical well drilling cost
Fixed OpEx = $446,000 per well per year fixed cost
Variable OpEx = $6.30 per barrel
Operating Days = 365 per year
Abandonment Cost = $100,000 per well
Effective Date = December 30, 2010
Heavy Oil Reserves | Revenue | |||||||||
Gas | Before | |||||||||
Gross | (Less | Tax | ||||||||
100% Gross Net | Royalty | Gas | Oil Royalty) | Capi'.x | OpEx | NPV | ||||
Year | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MS) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (MS) |
2011 | 69 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 13 | 4,432 | 35 | - | 391 | 4,076 |
2012 | 60 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 12 | 3,886 | 34 | - | 356 | 3,564 |
2013 | 53 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 3.370 | 31 | - | 324 | 3,077 |
2014 | 47 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 2,969 | 28 | - | 299 | 2.698 |
2015 | 42 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 2,653 | 26 | - | 277 | 2,401 |
2016 | 37 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 7 | 2,402 | 24 | - | 260 | 2,166 |
2017 | 34 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 2.205 | 22 | - | 243 | 1,984 |
2018 | 31 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2.041 | 20 | - | 229 | 1.832 |
2019 | 28 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 1.897 | 19 | - | 217 | 1,699 |
2020 | 26 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 1,775 | 18 | - | 207 | 1,586 |
2021 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 1 | - | 17 | 130 |
Total | 426 | 386 | 309 | 77 | 83 | 27,775 | 258 | - | 2,821 | 25,213 |
NPV of Future Net Revenue | ||||
Before Tax Discounted (in MS) @ | ||||
0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% |
25.213 | 20.791 | 17,607 | 15,247 | 13,447 |
14 |
Table II-7 Guaduas Field Probable Undeveloped Reserve and Net Present Values
Working Interest - 90.6%
Royalty rate = 20%
Escalation Factor = 4% per year based on Colombian Consumer Index
Forecast Oil Price = see Forecast Oil Prices
CapEx = $5,500,000 per deviated well and $3,000,000 per vertical well drilling cost
Fixed OpEx = $446,000 per well per year fixed cost
Variable OpEx = $6.30 per barrel
Operating Days = 365 per year
Abandonment Cost = $100,000 per well
Effective Date = December 30, 2010
Heavy Oil Reserve | Revenue | |||||||||
Gas | Before | |||||||||
Gross | (Less | Tax | ||||||||
100% | Gross | Net | Royalty | Gas | Oil | Royalty) | Cap Ex | OpEx | XPV | |
Year | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) |
2011 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
2012 | 232 | 210 | 168 | 42 | 45 | 15,049 | 131 | 8,951 | 2,305 | 3,923 |
2013 | 362 | 328 | 263 | 66 | 71 | 23,250 | 214 | - | 3,202 | 20,263 |
2014 | 228 | 207 | 165 | 41 | 44 | 14,554 | 139 | - | 2,468 | 12,224 |
2015 | 144 | 130 | 104 | 26 | 28 | 9,190 | 90 | - | 2,004 | 7,276 |
2016 | 91 | 83 | 66 | 17 | 18 | 5,854 | 58 | 115 | 1,718 | 4,081 |
2017 | 50 | 46 | 36 | 9 | 10 | 3,296 | 33 | - | 927 | 2,401 |
2018 | 32 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 2,152 | 21 | - | 829 | 1,345 |
2019 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1,405 | 14 | - | 771 | 647 |
2020 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 920 | 9 | - | 742 | 187 |
2021 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 1 | - | 62 | 0 |
Total | 1,175 | 1,064 | 851 | 213 | 229 | 75,730 | 710 | 9,066 | 15,029 | 52,346 |
NPV of Future Net Revenue | ||||
Before Tax Discounted (in M$) @ | ||||
0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% |
52,346 | 44,088 | 37,634 | 32,500 | 28,348 |
15 |
Table II-8 Guaduas Field Total Proved + Probable Reserve and Net Present Values
Working Interest = 90.6%
Royalty rate = 20%
Escalation Factor - 4% per year based on Colombian Consumer Index
Forecast Oil Price = see Forecast Oil Prices
CapEx = $5,500,000 per deviated well and $3,000,000 per vertical well drilling cost
Fixed OpEx = $446,000 per well per year fixed cost
Variable OpEx = $6.30 per barrel
Operating Days = 365 per year
Abandonment Cost = $100,000 per well
Effective Date = December 30, 2010
Heavy Oil Reserves | Revenue | |||||||||
Gas | Before | |||||||||
Gross | (Less | Tax | ||||||||
100% | Gross | Net | Royalty | Gas | Oil | Royalty) | Cap Ex | OpEx | NPV | |
Year | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) | (M$) |
2011 | 611 | 554 | 443 | 111 | 119 | 39,495 | 311 | 5,896 | 7,502 | 26,407 |
2012 | 896 | 812 | 649 | 162 | 175 | 58,105 | 504 | 12,249 | 10,885 | 35,476 |
2013 | 873 | 791 | 633 | 158 | 170 | 55,997 | 516 | 11,177 | 45,336 | |
2014 | 621 | 563 | 450 | 113 | 121 | 39,608 | 378 | 10,007 | 29,979 | |
2015 | 457 | 414 | 331 | 83 | 89 | 29,173 | 285 | 110 | 9,310 | 20,038 |
2016 | 335 | 304 | 243 | 61 | 65 | 21,560 | 215 | 459 | 8,027 | 13,290 |
2017 | 236 | 214 | 171 | 43 | 46 | 15,450 | 154 | - | 5,652 | 9,953 |
2018 | 193 | 175 | 140 | 35 | 38 | 12,931 | 129 | 124 | 5,561 | 7,376 |
2019 | 154 | 140 | 112 | 28 | 30 | 10,523 | 105 | 258 | 4,867 | 5,503 |
2020 | 116 | 105 | 84 | 21 | 23 | 8,039 | 80 | - | 3,478 | 4,642 |
2021 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 652 | 7 | - | 298 | 361 |
Total | 4,501 | 4,078 | 3,262 | 816 | 877 | 291,535 | 2,685 | 19,096 | 76,764 | 198,360 |
NPV of Future Net Revenue | ||||
Before Tax Discounted (in MS) @ | ||||
0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% |
198,360 | 169,581 | 147,635 | 130,493 | 116,805 |
16 |