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EXCEL - IDEA: XBRL DOCUMENT - MERRILL LYNCH PREFERRED FUNDING IV LP | Financial_Report.xls |
10-Q - FORM 10-Q - MERRILL LYNCH PREFERRED FUNDING IV LP | c20541e10vq.htm |
EX-12 - EXHIBIT 12 - MERRILL LYNCH PREFERRED FUNDING IV LP | c20541exv12.htm |
EX-32.2 - EXHIBIT 32.2 - MERRILL LYNCH PREFERRED FUNDING IV LP | c20541exv32w2.htm |
EX-31.2 - EXHIBIT 31.2 - MERRILL LYNCH PREFERRED FUNDING IV LP | c20541exv31w2.htm |
EX-32.1 - EXHIBIT 32.1 - MERRILL LYNCH PREFERRED FUNDING IV LP | c20541exv32w1.htm |
EX-31.1 - EXHIBIT 31.1 - MERRILL LYNCH PREFERRED FUNDING IV LP | c20541exv31w1.htm |
Exhibit 99.1
Introductory Note: references to Merrill Lynch, we, our or us below refer to Merrill Lynch
& Co., Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries.
There are no material changes from the risk factors set forth under Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors
in Merrill Lynchs 2010 Annual Report on Form 10-K, other than the addition of the following risk
factors. Capitalized terms used in the following risk factors have the respective meanings given to
such terms in Merrill Lynchs Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended June 30, 2011.
Mortgage and Housing Related Risk
We have been, and expect to continue to be, required to repurchase mortgage loans and/or reimburse
monolines from whole loan purchasers, private-label securitization investors and private-label
securitization trustees, monolines and others for losses due to claims related to representations
and warranties made in connection with sales of RMBS and mortgage loans. We have recorded
provisions for certain of these exposures. However, the ultimate resolution of these exposures
could have a material adverse effect on our cash flows, financial condition, and results of
operations.
In connection with loans sold to investors other than the GSEs as well as to the GSEs, Merrill
Lynch and certain of its subsidiaries made various representations and warranties. Breaches of
these representations and warranties may result in a requirement that we repurchase mortgage loans,
or to otherwise make whole or provide other remedies to counterparties. Merrill Lynch, including
First Franklin, sold loans originated from 2004 to 2008 (primarily subprime and alt-A) with an
original principal balance of $132 billion through private-label securitizations or whole loan
sales that were subject to representations and warranties liabilities. Most of the loans sold in
the form of whole loans were subsequently pooled into private-label securitizations sponsored by
the third-party buyer of the whole loans. In addition, Merrill Lynch and First Franklin securitized
first-lien residential mortgage loans generally in the form of MBS guaranteed by the GSEs.
The amount of our total unresolved repurchase claims from all sources totaled approximately $657
million at June 30, 2011. The total amount of our recorded liability related to representations and
warranties exposure was $2.8 billion at June 30, 2011. As a result of the experience gained by Bank
of America and certain of its non-Merrill Lynch affiliates in the BNY Mellon Settlement, Merrill
Lynch determined that is has sufficient experience to record a $2.7 billion liability for
representations and warranties related to its repurchase exposure on private-label securitizations
in the three months ended June 30, 2011.
It is reasonably possible that future representations and warranties losses may occur in excess of
the amounts recorded for non-GSE exposures. Our estimated liability and range of possible loss with
respect to non-GSE transactions is necessarily dependent on, and limited by, our historical claims
experience with non-GSE investors and that of certain of our affiliates and may materially change
in the future based on factors beyond our control. We also consider bulk settlements by our
affiliates when determining our estimated liability for representations and warranties. Future
provisions and/or estimated ranges of possible loss associated with representations and warranties
made in non-GSE transactions may be materially impacted if actual results are different from our
assumptions in our predictive models, including without limitation, those regarding the ultimate
resolution of the BNY Mellon Settlement, estimated repurchase rates, economic conditions, home
prices, consumer and counterparty behavior, and a variety of judgemental factors. In addition, we
have not recorded any representations and warranties liability for potential monoline exposures and
certain potential whole loan exposures. After giving effect to the $2.7 billion provision for
representations and warranties in the three months ended June 30, 2011, we currently estimate that
the range of possible loss related to non-GSE representations and warranties exposure could be up
to $0.5 billion over existing accruals at June 30, 2011. This estimate of the range of possible
loss for non-GSE representations and warranties does not represent a probable loss, is based on
currently available information, significant judgment and a number of other assumptions that are
subject to change, including the assumption that the conditions to the BNY Mellon Settlement are
satisfied. Adverse developments with respect to one or more of the assumptions underlying the
liability for non-GSE representations and warranties and the corresponding range of possible loss
could result in significant increases to future provisions and/or this range of possible loss
estimate. For example, if courts were to disagree with our interpretation that the underlying
agreements require a claimant to prove that the representations and warranties breach was the cause
of the loss, it could significantly impact this estimated range of possible loss. Additionally, if
recent court rulings related to monoline litigation, including one related to an affiliate of ours,
that have allowed sampling of loan files instead of a loan-by-loan review to determine if a
representations and warranties breach has occurred are followed generally by the courts,
private-label securitization investors may view litigation as a more attractive alternative as
compared to a loan-by-loan review. If these or other developments cause our actual future
experience to differ materially from the assumptions underlying this estimated range of possible
loss, the resolution of our non-GSE representations and warranties exposure could have a material
adverse effect on our cash flows, financial condition, and results of operations.
The liability for obligations under representations and warranties with respect to GSE and non-GSE
exposures and the corresponding estimate of the range of possible loss for non-GSE representations
and warranties exposures do not include any losses related to litigation matters disclosed in Note
14 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, nor do they include any potential securities
law or fraud claims or potential indemnity or other claims against us. We are not able to
reasonably estimate the amount of any possible losses with respect to any such securities law
(except to the extent reflected in the aggregate range of possible losses for litigation and
regulatory matters disclosed in Note 14 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements), fraud
or other claims against us; however, such loss could have a material adverse effect on our cash
flows, financial condition, and results of operations.
For additional information about our representations and warranties exposure and past activities,
including the outstanding principal balance of loans originated between 2004 to 2008 at June 30,
2011, see Off-Balance Sheet Exposures Representations and Warranties and Note 14 to the
Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
Credit Risk and Market Risk
A downgrade in the U.S. Governments sovereign credit rating, or in the credit ratings of
instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities,
could result in risks to Merrill Lynch and general economic conditions that we are not able to
predict. In addition, uncertainty about the financial stability of several countries in the EU, the
increasing risk that those countries may default on their sovereign debt and related stresses on
financial markets could have a significant adverse effect on our business, results of operations
and financial condition.
On July 13, 2011, Moodys placed the U.S. Government under review for a possible credit ratings
downgrade, and on August 2, 2011 Moodys confirmed the U.S. Governments existing sovereign rating,
but stated that the rating outlook is negative. On July 14, 2011, S&P placed its sovereign credit
ratings of the U.S. Government on CreditWatch with negative implications. On August 2, 2011 Fitch
Inc. affirmed its existing sovereign rating of the U.S. Government, but stated that the rating is
under review. There continues to be perceived risk of a sovereign credit ratings downgrade of the
U.S. Government, including the ratings of U.S. Treasury Securities. It is foreseeable that the
ratings and perceived creditworthiness of instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by
institutions, agencies or instrumentalities directly linked to the U.S. Government could also be
correspondingly affected by any such downgrade. Instruments of this nature are key assets on the
balance sheets of financial institutions, including Merrill Lynch, and are widely used as
collateral by financial institutions to meet their day-to-day cash flows in the short-term debt
market. A downgrade of the sovereign credit ratings of the U.S. Government and perceived
creditworthiness of U.S. Government-related obligations could impact our ability to obtain funding
that is collateralized by affected instruments, as well as affecting the pricing of that funding
when it is available. A downgrade may also adversely affect the market value of such instruments.
We cannot predict if, when or how any changes to the credit ratings or perceived creditworthiness
of these organizations will affect economic conditions. Such ratings actions could result in a
significant adverse impact to Merrill Lynch.
A downgrade of the sovereign credit ratings of the U.S. Government or the credit ratings of related
institutions, agencies and instrumentalities would significantly exacerbate the other risks to
which Merrill Lynch is subject and any related adverse effects on our business, financial condition
and results of operations, including those described under Risk Factors Credit Risk We could
suffer losses as a result of the actions of or deterioration in the commercial soundness of our
counterparties and other financial services institutions, Risk Factors Market Risk Our
businesses and results of operations have been, and may continue to be, significantly adversely
affected by changes in the levels of market volatility and by other financial or capital market
conditions and Risk Factors Liquidity Risk Our liquidity, cash flows, financial condition and
results of operations, and competitive position could be significantly adversely affected by the
inability of ML & Co. or Bank of America to access capital markets or if there is an increase in
our borrowing costs in Merrill Lynchs 2010 Annual Report.
In 2010, a financial crisis emerged in Europe, triggered by high budget deficits and rising direct
and contingent sovereign debt in Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain, which created concerns
about the ability of these EU peripheral nations to continue to service their sovereign debt
obligations. These conditions impacted financial markets and resulted in high and volatile bond
yields on the sovereign debt of many EU nations. Certain European nations continue to experience
varying degrees of financial stress, and yields on government-issued bonds in Greece, Ireland,
Italy, Portugal and Spain have risen and remain volatile. Despite assistance packages to Greece,
Ireland and Portugal, the creation of a joint EU-IMF European Financial Stability Facility in May
2010, and a recently announced plan to expand financial assistance to Greece, uncertainty over the
outcome of the EU governments financial support programs and worries about sovereign finances
persist. Market concerns over the direct and indirect exposure of European banks and insurers to
the EU peripheral nations has resulted in a widening of credit spreads and increased costs of
funding for some European financial institutions.
Risks and ongoing concerns about the debt crisis in Europe could have a detrimental impact on the
global economic recovery, sovereign and non-sovereign debt in these countries and the financial
condition of European financial institutions. Market and economic disruptions have affected, and
may continue to affect, consumer confidence levels and spending, personal bankruptcy rates, levels
of incurrence and default on consumer debt and home prices, among other factors. There can be no
assurance that the market disruptions in Europe, including the increased cost of funding for
certain governments and financial institutions, will not spread, nor can there be any assurance
that future assistance packages will be available or, even if provided, will be sufficient to
stabilize the affected countries and markets in Europe or elsewhere. To the extent uncertainty
regarding the economic recovery continues to negatively impact consumer confidence and consumer
credit factors, our business and results of operations could be significantly and adversely
affected. For example, global economic uncertainty, regulatory initiatives and reform have
impacted, and will likely continue to impact, non-U.S. credit and trading portfolios. We will
continue to monitor and manage this risk but there can be no assurance our efforts in this respect
will be sufficient or successful.
Liquidity Risk
Adverse changes to Bank of Americas or our credit ratings from the major credit ratings agencies
could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, cash flows, competitive position, financial
condition and results of operations by significantly limiting our access to the funding or capital
markets, increasing our borrowing costs, or triggering additional collateral or funding
requirements.
Our borrowing costs and ability to obtain funding are directly impacted by our credit ratings. In
addition, credit ratings may be important to customers or counterparties when we compete in certain
markets and when we seek to engage in certain transactions, including OTC derivatives. Credit
ratings and outlooks are opinions on our creditworthiness and that of our obligations or
securities, including long-term debt, short-term borrowings and other securities.
Following the acquisition of Merrill Lynch by Bank of America, the major credit ratings agencies
have indicated that the primary drivers of Merrill Lynchs credit ratings are Bank of Americas
credit ratings. Bank of Americas credit ratings are subject to ongoing review by the ratings
agencies and thus may change from time to time based on a number of factors, including Bank of
Americas financial strength, performance, prospects and operations as well as factors not under
Bank of Americas control, such as rating agency specific criteria or frameworks for the financial
services industry or certain security types, which are subject to revision from time to time, and
conditions affecting the financial services industry generally. There can be no assurance that Bank
of America will maintain its current ratings.
On June 2, 2011, Moodys placed Bank of Americas and ML & Co.s ratings on review for possible
downgrade from negative outlook due to its view that the current level of U.S. Government support
incorporated into our ratings may no longer be appropriate. Moodys, S&P and Fitch have indicated
that, as a systemically important financial institution, our credit ratings currently reflect their
expectation that, if necessary, we would receive significant support from the U.S. Government. All
three ratings agencies have indicated they will reevaluate, and could reduce the uplift they
include in our ratings for government support, for reasons arising from financial services
regulatory reform proposals or legislation.
Currently, the long-term senior debt ratings and outlooks expressed by the ratings agencies for
both Bank of America and ML & Co. are as follows: A2 (review for possible downgrade) by Moodys; A
(negative) by S&P; and A+ (Rating Watch Negative) by Fitch. A reduction in certain of our credit
ratings would likely have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, access to credit markets, the
related cost of funds, our businesses and on certain trading revenues, particularly in those
businesses where counterparty creditworthiness is critical. If Bank of Americas or ML & Co.s
short-term credit ratings, or those of our bank or broker-dealer subsidiaries, were downgraded by
one or more levels, the potential loss of short-term funding sources such as
commercial paper or repo financing, and the effect on our incremental cost of funds would be
material. While certain potential impacts of a downgrade are contractual and quantifiable, the full
scope of consequences to a credit rating downgrade is inherently uncertain, as it depends upon
numerous dynamic, complex and inter-related factors and assumptions, including whether any
downgrade of our long-term credit ratings precipitates downgrades to our short- term credit
ratings, and assumptions about the behavior of various customers, investors and counterparties,
whose responses to a downgrade are unknown and not reasonably knowable in advance.
For additional information about our credit ratings and their potential effects to our liquidity,
see Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Funding and Liquidity and Note 6 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.