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8-K - FORM 8-K - Allied World Assurance Co Holdings, AGy92064fe8vk.htm
Exhibit 99.1
(ALLIED WORLD LOGO)
ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE COMPANY HOLDINGS, AG
2010 GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES

 


 

Global Loss Development Triangle Cautionary Language
     This report is for informational purposes only and is current only as of December 31, 2010. Allied World Assurance Company Holdings, AG (“Allied World”, the “Company”, “we”, “us” or “our”) is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or revise this report, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Nothing contained in this report is or should be relied upon as a promise or representation as to the future. Although the loss development patterns disclosed in this report are an important factor in the process used to estimate loss reserve requirements, they are not the only factors considered in establishing reserves. The process for establishing reserves is subject to considerable variability and requires the use of informed estimates and judgments. Important details, such as specific loss development expectations for particular contracts, years or events, cannot be developed solely by analyzing the information provided in this report. In addition to analyzing loss development data, management incorporates additional information into the reserving process, such as pricing for insurance and reinsurance products as well as current market conditions. Readers must keep these and other qualifications more fully described in this report in mind when reviewing this information. Information presented in this report may differ materially from that reported in the Company’s financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States due to differences in foreign exchange rates, exclusions, the impact of premium adjustments and other adjustments. This report is a supplement to the Company’s financial disclosures and represents the second publishing of our Global Loss Triangles. This report should be read in conjunction with the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other documents on file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). This report shall not be incorporated by reference into any on the Company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
     Any forward-looking statements made in this report reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, the Company’s forward-looking statements could be affected by pricing and policy term trends; increased competition; the impact of acts of terrorism and acts of war; greater frequency or severity of unpredictable catastrophic events; negative rating agency actions; the adequacy of our loss reserves; the Company or its subsidiaries becoming subject to significant income taxes in the United States or elsewhere; changes in regulations or tax laws; changes in the availability, cost or quality of reinsurance or retrocessional coverage; adverse general economic conditions; and judicial, legislative, political and other governmental developments, as well as management’s response to these factors, and other factors identified in the Company’s filings with the SEC. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made. The Company is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or revise any forward-looking statement that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.

 


 

ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE COMPANY HOLDINGS, AG
2010 GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES
Table of Contents
         
    Page  
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
    1  
— Overview
    1  
— Limitations of the Reserving Processes
    3  
— Treaty Year Projections
    5  
II. RECONCILIATION OF GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES TO DECEMBER 31, 2010 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
    6  
III. GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES
    7  
— Basis of Presentation
    7  
— Description of Data Presented
    8  
— Large Losses
    8  
— GLT Class Details
    9  
— Property Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
    12  
— General Casualty Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
    13  
— Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
    14  
— Healthcare Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
    15  
— Property Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
    16  
— General Casualty Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
    17  
— Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
    18  
— Healthcare Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
    19  
— Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
    20  
— Property Other Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
    21  
— General Casualty Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
    22  
— Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
    23  
— Other Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
    24  
— Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
    25  
— Property Other Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
    26  
— General Casualty Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
    27  
— Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
    28  
— Other Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
    29  
— Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary
    30  
— Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary
    31  
— Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary
    32  
— Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary
    33  
IV. SELECTED EXCERPTS FROM ALLIED WORLD’S 2010 10-K DISCLOSURE
    34  
V. GLOSSARY
    39  

 


 

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
     Overview
     A critical component of financial reporting for insurance and reinsurance companies is to accurately estimate potential losses and associated loss expenses on risks that have been insured or reinsured. This report is Allied World’s release of its Global Loss Triangles (“GLTs”) as of December 31, 2010. For your convenience, we have included a glossary beginning on page 39 of selected insurance and reinsurance terms.
     We establish a reserve for losses and loss expenses to cover our estimated liability for the payment of all losses and loss expenses incurred with respect to earned premiums on the policies and treaties that we write. This reserve is a balance sheet liability representing estimates of losses and loss expenses we are required to pay for insured or reinsured claims that have occurred as of or before the balance sheet date.
     The process of establishing loss reserves can be complex and is subject to considerable variability as it requires the use of judgment regarding numerous items, including future litigation trends, future inflation trends, new laws and regulations, attachment points and timing of payments. Actuarial estimates of these reserves are subject to potential errors of estimation, which could be significant, as they are based upon the outcomes of future events. The estimates are even more difficult for a company such as Allied World, as many of our casualty lines of business have relatively high attachment points (often exceeding $100 million) and relatively high net limits (with $25 million being a typical maximum). Those characteristics make some of our casualty lines subject to claims that are very low in frequency (the number of actual claims), but very high in severity (the average claim size). The combination of low frequency and high severity exacerbates the difficulty in establishing loss reserves for Allied World. Loss reserves may vary considerably from prior estimates. We caution that an attempt to evaluate our loss reserves using exclusively the data presented in this report could be misleading.
     The reserve for losses and loss expenses is comprised of two main elements: outstanding loss reserves, also known as “case reserves,” and reserves for losses incurred but not reported (“IBNR”). Outstanding loss reserves relate to known claims and represent management’s best estimate of the likely loss settlement cost. Thus, there is a significant amount of estimation involved in determining the likely loss payment. IBNR reserves require judgment because they relate primarily to unreported events that, based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to have occurred and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to the Company. IBNR reserves also relate to estimated development of reported events that based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to reach our attachment point and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to the Company.
     IBNR is the estimated liability for (1) claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported as well as (2) changes in the values of claims that have been reported to us but are not yet settled. Each claim is settled individually based upon its merits and it is not unusual for a

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claim to take years after being reported to settle, especially if legal action is involved. As a result, reserves for losses and loss expenses include significant estimates for IBNR reserves.
     The reserve for IBNR is estimated by management for each line of business based on various factors, including underwriters’ expectations about loss experience, actuarial analysis, comparisons with the results of industry benchmarks and loss experience to date. The reserve for IBNR is calculated as the ultimate amount of losses and loss expenses less cumulative paid losses and loss expenses and case reserves. Our actuaries employ generally accepted actuarial methodologies to determine estimated ultimate loss reserves.
     When estimating IBNR reserves, we segregate the Company’s insurance and reinsurance loss and exposure data into over 70 classes in total. Within each class, the business is further segregated by treaty year, accident year or report year. Professional liability and healthcare lines of business are reviewed on a report year basis due to the claims-made nature of the underlying contracts. Our general casualty insurance business is a mixture of claims-made and loss-occurring contracts. Since the Company’s formation in November 2001, 57% of our gross earned premiums and 55% of our net earned premiums have been associated with occurrence policies for our general casualty insurance business.
     Generally, initial actuarial estimates of IBNR reserves not related to a single event (such as a catastrophe) are based upon the expected loss ratio method applied to each class of business. Actual paid losses and case reserves are subtracted from the expected ultimate losses to derive the IBNR reserves. The initial expected loss ratio used in the expected loss ratio method involve managerial judgments and are based upon historical information for the class of business, which includes historic loss ratios, market conditions, changes in pricing, policy terms and conditions, peer analysis, underwriting changes, changes in claims emergence and other factors that may influence expected ultimate losses. Over time, the actuarial estimates for our non-property lines of business generally become a blend of the Bornhuetter-Ferguson reported loss method (the “B-F method”) and the expected loss ratio method. The B-F method incorporates actual reported loss data and expected unreported losses, which is a function of the initial expected loss ratio and the expected loss emergence pattern, to determine an estimate of ultimate losses. The B-F method is often appropriate for lines of business where there is limited actual loss data and/or a relatively less stable pattern of loss emergence. For additional details on the B-F method, see “IV. Selected Excerpts from Allied World’s 2010 10-K Disclosure — Expected Loss Ratio Method” and “— B-F Method.”
     These actuarial methods may be inappropriate for lines of business with very low frequency and high severity and in certain specific situations, such as catastrophe losses. In such situations, specific knowledge of the open claims, the underlying exposures, ceded reinsurance, litigation trends, the types of coverages involved and the changes in the frequency or severity of the claim may be used to establish reserves.
     Multiple estimates of ultimate losses using a variety of actuarial methods are calculated for many of our classes of business for each year of loss experience. Our actuaries review each class of business and each year of loss experience and determine the most appropriate point estimate based upon the characteristics of the particular class of business and other relevant

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factors as described above. Once our actuaries make their determination of the most appropriate point estimate for each class of business and for each year of loss experience, both gross and net of reinsurance, this information is aggregated and presented to management for consideration in establishing the recorded reserves for losses and loss expenses.
     Limitations of the Reserving Processes
     Reserving actuaries, especially in personal lines and mid-market commercial lines companies, often employ standard actuarial loss development methods to project ultimate losses from triangles of paid and reported losses. These methods rely on an assumption that losses develop consistently from one year to the next, and for the expected loss ratio and B-F methods, on the assumption that an initial expected loss ratio and expected emergence pattern can be accurately selected. However, Allied World writes complex lines of business, including excess casualty insurance and reinsurance, which often do not have the consistent patterns of reported losses that personal lines and mid-market commercial lines companies do.
     Projections of ultimate losses require a significant amount of estimation and judgment based on a variety of factors. We strongly caution against any assumption that standard loss projection techniques applied mechanically can alone be used to estimate ultimate losses for our data as the outcome of such a simplistic approach would lead to misleading results and inaccurate conclusions. Reasons to avoid simplistic projections include:
    Allied World has only been in existence since November 2001 and many of our GLTs lack sufficient actuarial credibility to project ultimate losses and do not have the history to accurately estimate the development of losses beyond nine years.
 
    Allied World acquired Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc. and its subsidiaries (“Darwin”) in October 2008. The loss triangles from Darwin have been merged into Allied World’s GLTs. However, it is likely that the historical loss emergence patterns from the Darwin business are substantially different from the historical loss patterns of the business written by Allied World due to different attachment point profiles, different policy forms (nearly all Darwin policies are claims-made) and differing claims department philosophies.
 
    As many of our casualty lines can have relatively low frequency and relatively high severity losses, the absence or emergence of only a few losses can distort our paid and reported GLTs.
 
    Our U.S. direct insurance business has been generally growing faster than our international direct insurance business. The difference in the business mix between these two insurance businesses and the lower attachment point profile of the U.S. business can cause historical loss development not to be appropriate for future loss development.

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    Some of our largest reinsurance treaties have special characteristics, such as loss corridors, annual aggregate deductibles or swing-rated premiums that cannot be considered in a simplistic aggregate projection.
 
    We have had changes in our underwriting philosophy over time, exiting or paring back some classes of business and in other classes changing coverage terms and conditions.
 
    Losses develop differently for different classes of business. The aim of the GLTs contained herein is to present our loss development experience in an informative format, while protecting proprietary Company information. Accordingly, we do not show our 70+ reserving classes, but rather have aggregated them into nine classes, which represent different geographies, pricing environments, legislative climates and policy forms and which will not be as homogeneous as our actual reserving classes would be if reported individually.
 
    Paid loss development patterns are considerably longer than the corresponding reported loss development patterns and can produce for many of our classes of business extremely volatile indications, particularly within the first several years of development.
 
    For several classes of business, pricing conditions have changed in recent years. The extrapolation of losses and loss expense ratios from prior periods to current periods would not be appropriate.
     In addition to these factors, the global credit crisis and the effects of inflation (as discussed in more detail below) could adversely impact our ultimate losses and cause our projections and judgments regarding our expected loss reserves to differ materially from the ultimate losses we may incur.
     Global Credit Crisis — Worldwide financial and housing markets have experienced extreme volatility and disruption in recent years. As a result of the global credit crisis, the following reserving classes have been impacted:
    direct insurance professional liability lines (primarily the 2007 and 2008 report years), and
 
    reinsurance professional liability lines (primarily the 2006 through 2008 treaty years).
     There continue to be relatively high levels of uncertainty around the ultimate losses for the years referenced. This is mainly attributable to the higher volume of reported claims and the higher proportion of open claims for these years compared to earlier years at the same stage of development. In addition, these reported claims have caused higher reported losses and ALAE ratios for these years compared to earlier years at similar stages of development. As a result, the ultimate loss development patterns on these years may differ from prior years. The uncertainty is

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increased by the fact that we have relatively high average attachment points for many of these potential credit crisis-related claims for our direct insurance business and by the fact that we often provide D&O side A cover, for which we are required to provide coverage to directors and officer for claims alleging negligence or malfeasance if such claims are not indemnified by the insured.
     Our reserves for these lines of business are based on a detailed analysis of all open claims that considers attachment points, exposed limits, coverage provided and litigation trends as well as quarterly, in-depth discussions with members of our claims department and underwriting staff.
     Inflation — Losses and loss expense reserves can be impacted by social and judicial inflation. Higher than expected inflation can negatively impact the costs of claims as it may cause an increase in frequency (the number of actual claims) and severity (the average claim size). Though our reserving techniques factor in inflation through the use of expected loss ratios derived from our pricing models, which consider the effects of inflation, and through the use of industry loss development patterns that go back as far as 1984, losses and loss expense reserves can be impacted by unexpected changes in inflation rates. We do not explicitly account for excessive inflation in our reserves.
     Treaty Year Projections
     Data organized by treaty year assigns claims and premiums to the year in which the assumed reinsurance contract incepted. As such, a treaty year may cover claims spanning several accident years. This has two primary implications for estimating ultimate loss reserves. First, the payment and reporting patterns are generally slower to develop than for the data presented by accident year or report year. This means that it is even more critical that premium-based reserving methods, such as the expected loss ratio method or the B-F method, are used for the more recent years rather than loss development methods that can be distorted by small movements in actual paid or reported loss activity due to the application of large loss development factors. Second, treaty years for which premium is not fully earned require an adjustment to the indicated reserves to reflect only the portion of the ultimate treaty year losses that are associated with losses that have occurred prior to the evaluation date. This is typically done by developing an ultimate loss ratio estimate for the full treaty year and applying this loss ratio to the earned premiums from the treaty year.

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II. RECONCILIATION OF GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES TO DECEMBER 31, 2010 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
     The tables below provide a reconciliation of our presented GLTs to our audited financial statements as of and for the year ended December 31, 2009 and 2010, respectively.
(Expressed in U.S. dollars in thousands)
Paid Losses and Paid LAE in 2009 Calendar Year
         
Consolidated GLTs — net paid losses and ALAE1
  $ 391,719  
Paid losses and paid ALAE from excluded catastrophes
    51,281  
Paid ULAE
    14,903  
Foreign exchange and other
    318  
 
     
Paid losses and paid LAE in 2009 calendar year per 10-K
  $ 458,221  
 
     
 
       
Paid Losses and Paid LAE in 2010 Calendar Year
       
 
       
Consolidated GLTs — net paid losses and ALAE1
  $ 525,004  
Paid losses and paid ALAE from excluded catastrophes
    51,835  
Paid ULAE
    19,219  
Foreign exchange and other
    677  
 
     
Paid losses and paid LAE in 2010 calendar year per 10-K
  $ 596,734  
 
     
 
       
Incurred Losses and Incurred LAE in 2009 Calendar Year
       
 
       
Consolidated GLTs — net reported losses and ALAE1
  $ 496,443  
Reported losses and reported ALAE from excluded catastrophes
    18,614  
Reported ULAE
    14,903  
Change in IBNR
    69,886  
Foreign exchange and other
    4,214  
 
     
Incurred losses and incurred LAE in 2009 calendar year per 10-K
  $ 604,060  
 
     
 
       
Incurred Losses and Incurred LAE in 2010 Calendar Year
       
 
       
Consolidated GLTs — net reported losses and ALAE1
  $ 611,369  
Reported losses and reported ALAE from excluded catastrophes
    46,642  
Reported ULAE
    19,219  
Change in IBNR
    34,929  
Foreign exchange and other
    (4,276 )
 
     
Incurred losses and incurred LAE in 2010 calendar year per 10-K
  $ 707,883  
 
     
 
1.   Excludes losses from the following catastrophes: 2004 Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Charlie, Frances, Jeanne and Ivan; 2005 Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Katrina, Rita and Wilma; 2008 Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Gustav and Ike and 2010 Chilean Earthquake.

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III. GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES
     Basis of Presentation
     For the basis of this presentation, we have split our data into nine classes of GLTs, four for our direct insurance business and five for our reinsurance business. They are listed below:
                 
  Direct Insurance Business       Reinsurance Business
 
Property       Property Catastrophe
 
General Casualty       Property Other
 
Professional Liability Lines       General Casualty
 
Healthcare       Professional Liability Lines
 
          Other Reinsurance
    Our direct insurance general casualty business contains a mix of claims-made, occurrence-reported and occurrence policy forms.
                                 
General Casualty
Distribution of Gross Premiums Written
Underwriting           Occurrence-        
Year   Claims-Made   Reported   Occurrence   Total
2002
    20.3 %     26.1 %     53.6 %     100.0 %
2003
    16.6 %     30.0 %     53.4 %     100.0 %
2004
    20.3 %     30.7 %     49.0 %     100.0 %
2005
    14.4 %     35.2 %     50.4 %     100.0 %
2006
    16.1 %     32.3 %     51.6 %     100.0 %
2007
    16.5 %     35.5 %     48.0 %     100.0 %
2008
    16.3 %     29.8 %     54.0 %     100.0 %
2009
    11.1 %     21.6 %     67.2 %     100.0 %
2010
    8.9 %     23.8 %     67.3 %     100.0 %
Total
    16.4 %     30.3 %     53.3 %     100.0 %
    Our reinsurance business classified as “other reinsurance” includes accident and health, workers’ compensation catastrophe coverage, motor business, aviation and marine.
 
    Our reinsurance business is presented separately from our direct insurance business as we show the reinsurance classes on a treaty year basis. Many reinsurance treaties do not provide sufficient detail to split losses and loss adjustment expenses accurately by accident year or report year.

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    Our nine classes were selected to create categories which were relatively homogeneous yet were not so small as to have insufficient actuarial credibility.
 
    Our GLTs are presented in thousands of U.S. dollars, reflecting conversions from local currencies based upon the date on which the transactions were entered into the Company’s systems.
     Description of Data Presented
     For each class of business, earned premiums are presented both gross and net of external reinsurance, with intercompany reinsurance transactions not being reflected in the GLTs. For classes of business within our reinsurance segment, these premiums are presented on a treaty year basis. For all other classes of business, the net earned premiums are presented on a calendar year basis. GLTs which show cumulative paid losses and ALAE, gross and net of reinsurance, are presented for each class of business. Finally, we present GLTs of cumulative net reported losses and ALAE (paid plus case reserves) for each class of business. For the reinsurance segment’s classes of business, the GLTs are presented on a treaty year basis. For direct insurance business, property classes of business are presented on an accident year basis. Our general casualty classes of business are a blend of policies where losses can be triggered by either report date or accident date, so the paid and reported losses are a blend of report year and accident year data. The remaining casualty classes of business, including professional liability and healthcare, are presented on a report year basis. These conventions match the standard industry reserving practices for reinsurance and direct insurance, respectively.
     Case reserves for Allied World’s reinsurance classes are generally established based upon reports received from ceding companies as we generally “follow their fortunes.” Additional case reserves may be established by Allied World to reflect our estimated ultimate cost of a loss. Any such additional case reserves have been included in the presented reinsurance GLTs.
     The premiums in our reinsurance segment are often based upon estimates by the ceding companies. At the end of the treaty year, these estimates will be replaced by actual premiums. In addition, some of our reinsurance treaties may have premiums that are swing-rated subject to reinstatement premiums. The presented premium data is subject to future adjustments, either upwards or downwards, based upon these factors.
     Large Losses
     Loss development associated with the following three groups of catastrophic losses have been excluded from the GLTs for all lines except for property catastrophe: (1) 2004 hurricanes, (2) 2005 hurricanes, (3) 2008 hurricanes and (4) 2010 Chile Earthquake. These events have been excluded from the GLTs due to their magnitude in order to avoid distortions in the development factors and indicated reserve levels. Reserves for these events are not based on aggregate development statistics, but rather on ground-up, exposure-based assessments reflecting information provided by insureds and cedents on an insurance policy-by-policy and reinsurance contract-by-contract basis. Separate information is provided on these catastrophic events including gross and net paid losses, reported losses and IBNR as of December 31, 2010.

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     GLT Class Details
     Insurance Lines of Business
     Property — Our property insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 12 and 16). The vast majority of the ceded reinsurance we have purchased for our direct property class of business is written as quota share reinsurance, with a smaller portion written as facultative reinsurance. We have not removed losses associated with recoveries from any catastrophe covers as we have excluded major catastrophes already from the data. The major catastrophes removed from our property insurance GLTs, as well as from our “property other reinsurance” and our “other reinsurance” GLTs discussed below, include:
    2004 — Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Charlie, Frances, Jeanne and Ivan;
 
    2005 — Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Katrina, Rita and Wilma;
 
    2008 — Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Gustav and Ike; and
 
    2010 — Chilean Earthquake.
     It should be noted that we removed all property losses associated with these events, even after such storms may have weakened and moved inland. For our property insurance GLTs, the total amounts excluded from these storms are as follows:
                                 
    Gross   Net of Reinsurance
    Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported
    (Dollars in Millions)   (Dollars in Millions)
2004 Events
  $ 166.6     $ 169.0     $ 146.2     $ 148.3  
2005 Events
  $ 454.7     $ 458.1     $ 189.2     $ 190.8  
2008 Events
  $ 90.5     $ 99.8     $ 57.3     $ 64.7  
2010 Events
  $ 42.9     $ 65.3     $ 36.6     $ 50.9  
     Our property book of business has shifted over time. Over the last several years, we have de-emphasized energy classes of business, which included such industry classes as mining, chemical plants, pulp and paper manufacturing and refiners. In addition, our Bermuda property book of business (which is included in the property insurance GLTs) has evolved from largely being a primary insurance account based book of business to where we now write many accounts on an excess basis. Our European property business (which is also included in the property insurance GLTs) has shifted away from accounts with higher relative frequency in the past 36 months.
     General Casualty — Our general casualty insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 13 and 17). Our Bermuda and European casualty books of business are comprised largely of Fortune 1000-type accounts with generally high attachment points with medians between $80 million and $100 million. Historically, about 55% to 57% of the earned premiums have come from occurrence policies. This percentage grew to 65% to 67% in 2010 as our business mix has shifted to more occurrence business as we expanded our U.S. underwriting platform. The vast majority of the ceded reinsurance we have purchased for the

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casualty class of business has been either quota share reinsurance or surplus treaty reinsurance. The general casualty book has changed over time, with pharmaceutical and energy classes being de-emphasized in Bermuda and with the business underwritten in the United States (which generally has a lower attachment point profile) shrinking in the 2005-2007 calendar years and growing in the 2008-2010 calendar years.
     Professional Liability Lines — Our professional liability lines insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 14 and 18). Professional liability lines include directors and officers liability, errors & omissions liability, D&O side A cover, employment practices liability insurance and fiduciary liability business. Similar to our casualty lines of business, our Bermuda and European professional liability lines are comprised largely of Fortune 1000 and FTSE 1000-type accounts with generally high attachment points with medians between $80 million and $100 million. It is not uncommon for the Company to “ventilate” an account, which means the Company underwrites two excess layers with differing attachment points. Our U.S. professional liability book has a very different profile, with a portion of the business underwritten on a primary basis for smaller, non-Fortune 1000 accounts. Common classes include insurance agencies, psychologists/counselors and smaller law firms. Our professional liability lines book of business is written on claims-made and occurrence-reported basis and virtually none of this business is written on an occurrence basis (regardless of where it is written).
     Healthcare — Our healthcare insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 15 and 19). Our healthcare book of business is written on a claims-made and occurrence-reported basis and has virtually no business written on occurrence policy forms. The Bermuda healthcare group writes gross lines of up to $25 million, with average attachment points of around $45 million. This business is largely comprised of large hospitals, but does include managed care organizations and healthcare systems. The U.S. healthcare business has a much lower attachment point profile than the international book of business, with much of the U.S. business being written on a primary basis. It includes smaller hospitals and hospital systems, managed care organizations and medical facilities such as home care providers, specialized surgery and rehabilitation centers, and outpatient clinics. Our Bermuda business has also begun to write accounts on a primary basis, although typically over a large deductible.
     Reinsurance Lines of Business
     Property Catastrophe — Our property catastrophe reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 20 and 25). This business is excess-of-loss property catastrophe reinsurance. Typically, it has a relatively short tail.
     Property Other — Our property other reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 21 and 26). This line contains our entire property reinsurance book of business, excluding property catastrophe coverages, and is written as either excess-of-loss reinsurance or quota share reinsurance.
     General Casualty — Our general casualty reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 22 and 27). This business is essentially comprised of any

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business that does not fit into the other casualty classes. It is largely umbrella casualty business that contains some workers’ compensation business. This business can be written as either excess-of-loss reinsurance or quota share reinsurance.
     Professional Liability Lines — Our professional liability lines reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 23 and 28). This business is largely written on a claims-made basis. Lines of business include employment practices liability insurance, medical malpractice, directors and officers, errors and omissions and miscellaneous professional classes and transactional risk liability. Some of our larger treaties can have complex structures, including swing-rated premiums, loss corridors and annual aggregate deductibles. This business is written as either excess-of-loss reinsurance or quota share reinsurance.
     Other Reinsurance — Our other reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 24 and 29). This business is a mixture of miscellaneous lines including accident and health (which is predominantly catastrophe driven), workers’ compensation catastrophe, aviation and marine. Virtually all of the losses are associated with aviation and marine treaties. The marine treaties were impacted by various hurricanes (specifically Ivan, Katrina, Rita, Ike and Gustav) which went through the Gulf of Mexico. All of our marine and aviation treaties have been written as quota share reinsurance.
     For our other reinsurance GLTs, the total amounts excluded from the 2004, 2005, 2008 and 2010 events discussed above are as follows:
                                 
    Gross   Net of Reinsurance
    Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported
    (Dollars in Millions)   (Dollars in Millions)
2004 Events
  $ 38.2     $ 40.8     $ 38.2     $ 40.8  
2005 Events
  $ 91.5     $ 95.0     $ 84.5     $ 88.0  
2008 Events
  $ 0.7     $ 5.3     $ 0.7     $ 5.3  
2010 Events
  $ 0.1     $ 0.8     $ 0.1     $ 0.8  

- 11 -


 

(AW LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment
Excluding large losses
U.S. dollars in thousands
Property Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    2,584       29,354       46,287       51,590       56,582       56,687       56,776       56,675       56,700  
2003
    50,572       136,299       198,801       217,328       218,048       217,531       221,698       221,688          
2004
    38,251       153,141       203,006       217,517       229,272       232,078       234,064                  
2005
    91,198       228,634       308,207       354,186       366,824       365,367                          
2006
    30,040       103,621       172,546       201,132       208,659                                  
2007
    43,151       129,076       169,655       186,261                                          
2008
    75,528       155,973       198,875                                                  
2009
    24,044       64,420                                                          
2010
    44,677                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    18,005       55,432       58,559       59,169       57,437       56,848       57,987       56,707       56,700  
2003
    146,467       208,054       228,434       232,111       227,106       224,146       222,856       222,651          
2004
    132,453       223,857       246,725       247,912       245,057       240,018       238,280                  
2005
    223,945       353,412       382,622       383,966       381,922       370,203                          
2006
    157,140       225,124       235,681       222,453       219,524                                  
2007
    189,533       227,570       227,509       220,583                                          
2008
    263,049       265,851       240,547                                                  
2009
    89,871       89,436                                                          
2010
    114,273                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    9 %     28 %     30 %     30 %     29 %     29 %     30 %     29 %     29 %
2003
    30 %     43 %     47 %     48 %     47 %     46 %     46 %     46 %        
2004
    23 %     40 %     44 %     44 %     43 %     42 %     42 %                
2005
    47 %     74 %     80 %     81 %     80 %     78 %                        
2006
    36 %     51 %     53 %     50 %     50 %                                
2007
    45 %     54 %     54 %     52 %                                        
2008
    74 %     74 %     67 %                                                
2009
    33 %     33 %                                                        
2010
    49 %                                                                
                                                                 
Accident   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    195,890       56,700       56,700             0       0       56,700       28.9 %
2003
    483,719       221,688       222,651       963       240       1,203       222,891       46.1 %
2004
    565,327       234,064       238,280       4,216       1,859       6,074       240,138       42.5 %
2005
    476,481       365,367       370,203       4,836       690       5,526       370,893       77.8 %
2006
    441,138       208,659       219,524       10,865       1,779       12,644       221,303       50.2 %
2007
    423,468       186,261       220,583       34,321       9,222       43,543       229,804       54.3 %
2008
    357,588       198,875       240,547       41,671       26,618       68,290       267,165       74.7 %
2009
    272,873       64,420       89,436       25,017       33,898       58,915       123,334       45.2 %
2010
    231,398       44,677       114,273       69,596       60,704       130,300       174,977       75.6 %
 
Total
    3,447,882       1,580,711       1,772,196       191,485       135,010       326,495       1,907,206       55.3 %

12


 

(AW LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
General Casualty Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    0       0       185       464       2,848       4,691       5,591       6,574       7,802  
2003
    0       461       16,019       18,500       29,401       55,140       57,458       57,463          
2004
    0       21       90       634       5,507       8,516       19,470                  
2005
    15       26,548       31,396       63,544       65,785       118,117                          
2006
          274       2,591       34,249       84,696                                  
2007
    107       7,235       9,707       13,553                                          
2008
    1,319       8,351       26,339                                                  
2009
    309       8,308                                                          
2010
    1,046                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    1,429       617       989       552       6,299       15,616       16,506       17,369       23,360  
2003
    23       13,124       25,852       33,579       58,980       59,141       57,667       57,575          
2004
    1,007       540       816       915       7,822       24,831       25,154                  
2005
    30,852       109,619       113,339       119,923       124,573       124,781                          
2006
    165       30,097       39,318       90,005       92,725                                  
2007
    4,131       15,419       15,970       32,500                                          
2008
    8,193       26,768       52,114                                                  
2009
    1,876       35,210                                                          
2010
    70,070                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    2 %     1 %     1 %     1 %     7 %     18 %     19 %     20 %     27 %
2003
    0 %     5 %     10 %     13 %     23 %     23 %     22 %     22 %        
2004
    0 %     0 %     0 %     0 %     2 %     7 %     8 %                
2005
    10 %     37 %     38 %     40 %     42 %     42 %                        
2006
    0 %     11 %     14 %     33 %     34 %                                
2007
    2 %     6 %     6 %     12 %                                        
2008
    3 %     11 %     21 %                                                
2009
    1 %     13 %                                                        
2010
    24 %                                                                
                                                                 
Accident   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    88,051       7,802       23,360       15,559       10,972       26,530       34,332       39.0 %
2003
    257,017       57,463       57,575       112       40,996       41,108       98,571       38.4 %
2004
    332,389       19,470       25,154       5,684       64,723       70,407       89,877       27.0 %
2005
    297,511       118,117       124,781       6,664       109,598       116,262       234,379       78.8 %
2006
    275,405       84,696       92,725       8,029       137,357       145,386       230,082       83.5 %
2007
    264,680       13,553       32,500       18,947       146,457       165,404       178,957       67.6 %
2008
    243,673       26,339       52,114       25,774       166,732       192,507       218,846       89.8 %
2009
    265,068       8,308       35,210       26,902       165,754       192,656       200,964       75.8 %
2010
    290,500       1,046       70,070       69,024       193,494       262,518       263,564       90.7 %
 
Total
    2,314,293       336,794       513,490       176,697       1,036,082       1,212,778       1,549,572       67.0 %

13


 

(AW LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          10       61       5,225       13,909       45,884       59,860       59,930       59,944  
2003
    20       80       603       802       6,002       16,936       17,238       26,397          
2004
    15       683       7,406       29,477       30,403       39,004       48,452                  
2005
    95       3,328       7,370       23,528       24,320       44,267                          
2006
    296       6,850       44,815       59,330       88,030                                  
2007
    1,401       12,296       41,300       66,932                                          
2008
    2,750       22,943       46,619                                                  
2009
    6,061       31,918                                                          
2010
    9,674                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          2,010       7,062       23,775       28,000       47,706       60,648       59,930       59,944  
2003
    60       243       858       6,255       33,468       41,460       44,712       42,038          
2004
    434       1,692       8,106       32,701       55,437       55,592       61,361                  
2005
    3,931       15,625       48,363       51,426       50,281       58,062                          
2006
    41,225       52,944       92,820       120,819       133,885                                  
2007
    11,223       47,137       111,589       143,583                                          
2008
    17,483       86,164       125,901                                                  
2009
    20,787       62,090                                                          
2010
    30,916                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    0 %     3 %     12 %     40 %     47 %     80 %     102 %     101 %     101 %
2003
    0 %     0 %     0 %     3 %     14 %     17 %     19 %     18 %        
2004
    0 %     1 %     3 %     10 %     17 %     17 %     19 %                
2005
    1 %     4 %     14 %     15 %     14 %     16 %                        
2006
    10 %     13 %     23 %     31 %     34 %                                
2007
    3 %     11 %     26 %     33 %                                        
2008
    4 %     19 %     28 %                                                
2009
    4 %     12 %                                                        
2010
    7 %                                                                
                                                                 
Accident   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    59,558       59,944       59,944             4,369       4,369       64,313       108.0 %
2003
    237,656       26,397       42,038       15,641       23,662       39,302       65,700       27.6 %
2004
    321,801       48,452       61,361       12,909       35,678       48,587       97,039       30.2 %
2005
    352,174       44,267       58,062       13,794       58,613       72,408       116,675       33.1 %
2006
    395,104       88,030       133,885       45,855       144,081       189,936       277,966       70.4 %
2007
    431,009       66,932       143,583       76,651       159,035       235,687       302,618       70.2 %
2008
    457,068       46,619       125,901       79,282       191,566       270,848       317,467       69.5 %
2009
    512,438       31,918       62,090       30,172       303,869       334,041       365,959       71.4 %
2010
    475,222       9,674       30,916       21,242       302,118       323,360       333,035       70.1 %
 
Total
    3,242,029       422,233       717,780       295,547       1,222,991       1,518,538       1,940,771       59.9 %

14


 

(AW LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
Healthcare Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          835       2,158       3,209       5,533       8,008       8,020       8,023       8,026  
2003
    1       4,202       11,148       13,777       14,724       18,198       18,756       20,074          
2004
    2       852       5,892       9,738       12,694       13,229       13,379                  
2005
    277       2,861       4,941       10,255       11,122       11,692                          
2006
    381       4,009       5,864       12,839       16,034                                  
2007
    944       7,190       17,307       20,125                                          
2008
    793       9,776       18,440                                                  
2009
    6,586       16,657                                                          
2010
    2,168                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    130       1,351       5,450       8,985       8,910       8,444       8,121       8,086       8,046  
2003
    345       11,153       20,246       20,723       20,529       23,625       23,160       23,420          
2004
    1,849       6,406       12,190       14,720       14,999       16,045       15,928                  
2005
    5,566       11,649       15,497       14,435       13,384       13,710                          
2006
    5,666       11,753       13,222       17,022       19,082                                  
2007
    3,773       15,281       24,537       37,172                                          
2008
    3,801       19,115       33,200                                                  
2009
    10,999       29,590                                                          
2010
    11,846                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    0 %     3 %     14 %     23 %     22 %     21 %     20 %     20 %     20 %
2003
    0 %     15 %     27 %     27 %     27 %     31 %     30 %     31 %        
2004
    2 %     5 %     10 %     12 %     12 %     13 %     13 %                
2005
    4 %     9 %     11 %     11 %     10 %     10 %                        
2006
    4 %     8 %     9 %     11 %     13 %                                
2007
    3 %     10 %     17 %     25 %                                        
2008
    2 %     11 %     19 %                                                
2009
    6 %     15 %                                                        
2010
    5 %                                                                
                                                                 
Accident   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    39,904       8,026       8,046       20       2,856       2,876       10,902       27.3 %
2003
    76,140       20,074       23,420       3,346       7,668       11,014       31,088       40.8 %
2004
    120,800       13,379       15,928       2,549       14,222       16,771       30,150       25.0 %
2005
    136,577       11,692       13,710       2,019       18,957       20,976       32,667       23.9 %
2006
    150,401       16,034       19,082       3,048       31,388       34,436       50,470       33.6 %
2007
    147,720       20,125       37,172       17,047       38,091       55,138       75,263       50.9 %
2008
    170,600       18,440       33,200       14,760       58,217       72,977       91,417       53.6 %
2009
    197,314       16,657       29,590       12,933       80,969       93,903       110,560       56.0 %
2010
    222,171       2,168       11,846       9,678       120,889       130,567       132,735       59.7 %
 
Total
    1,261,627       126,596       191,996       65,400       373,257       438,657       565,252       44.8 %

15


 

(AW LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment
Excluding large losses
U.S. dollars in thousands
Property Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    2,572       27,085       39,606       43,638       48,955       49,063       49,154       49,054       49,066  
2003
    49,208       118,094       163,485       175,303       175,715       175,379       179,293       179,283          
2004
    25,256       94,518       131,352       141,420       148,172       149,340       150,501                  
2005
    40,373       99,880       138,713       161,057       164,990       165,256                          
2006
    12,871       46,209       76,773       87,886       93,293                                  
2007
    20,325       62,106       79,511       86,918                                          
2008
    38,751       84,955       109,698                                                  
2009
    15,993       42,846                                                          
2010
    29,325                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    15,359       48,581       50,631       50,905       49,787       49,206       50,347       49,066       49,066  
2003
    130,863       173,192       187,840       187,279       182,859       180,769       179,873       179,676          
2004
    83,824       136,495       156,321       159,307       156,919       153,804       152,437                  
2005
    99,639       152,306       173,312       173,013       172,282       167,738                          
2006
    65,486       96,268       101,170       99,127       97,845                                  
2007
    91,985       107,261       107,409       105,592                                          
2008
    153,019       152,847       136,537                                                  
2009
    59,002       61,631                                                          
2010
    70,791                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    9 %     28 %     29 %     30 %     29 %     29 %     29 %     29 %     29 %
2003
    37 %     49 %     53 %     53 %     51 %     51 %     50 %     50 %        
2004
    25 %     41 %     47 %     48 %     47 %     46 %     46 %                
2005
    44 %     67 %     76 %     76 %     76 %     74 %                        
2006
    34 %     50 %     53 %     52 %     51 %                                
2007
    51 %     59 %     60 %     59 %                                        
2008
    88 %     88 %     79 %                                                
2009
    41 %     43 %                                                        
2010
    56 %                                                                
                                                                 
Accident   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    171,696       49,066       49,066             1       1       49,066       28.6 %
2003
    356,275       179,283       179,676       393       156       549       179,832       50.5 %
2004
    333,170       150,501       152,437       1,936       307       2,242       152,743       45.8 %
2005
    226,828       165,256       167,738       2,481       332       2,813       168,069       74.1 %
2006
    190,783       93,293       97,845       4,552       2,846       7,398       100,691       52.8 %
2007
    180,460       86,918       105,592       18,673       3,715       22,389       109,307       60.6 %
2008
    173,790       109,698       136,537       26,839       15,327       42,166       151,864       87.4 %
2009
    142,872       42,846       61,631       18,785       23,910       42,695       85,541       59.9 %
2010
    127,037       29,325       70,791       41,467       37,769       79,235       108,560       85.5 %
 
Total
    1,902,910       906,186       1,021,311       115,126       84,363       199,488       1,105,674       58.1 %

16


 

(AW LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
General Casualty Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    0       0       185       464       2,848       4,691       5,591       6,574       7,802  
2003
    0       461       16,018       18,499       29,401       55,139       57,457       57,462          
2004
    0       14       77       506       5,053       7,545       16,465                  
2005
    15       26,496       31,126       60,576       62,700       93,736                          
2006
          266       2,570       29,999       56,694                                  
2007
    90       6,212       7,646       11,171                                          
2008
    1,114       5,663       18,971                                                  
2009
    308       5,890                                                          
2010
    933                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    1,429       617       989       552       6,299       15,616       16,506       17,369       23,360  
2003
    23       13,124       25,852       33,578       58,980       59,140       57,666       57,574          
2004
    1,007       533       803       668       7,208       21,354       21,803                  
2005
    30,852       85,663       89,087       95,511       100,049       100,281                          
2006
    165       27,081       35,290       61,938       63,445                                  
2007
    4,081       13,364       13,836       28,498                                          
2008
    5,543       19,509       39,067                                                  
2009
    1,875       23,913                                                          
2010
    46,243                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    2 %     1 %     1 %     1 %     7 %     18 %     19 %     20 %     27 %
2003
    0 %     6 %     11 %     14 %     25 %     25 %     25 %     25 %        
2004
    0 %     0 %     0 %     0 %     3 %     8 %     8 %                
2005
    13 %     36 %     38 %     40 %     42 %     42 %                        
2006
    0 %     13 %     16 %     29 %     30 %                                
2007
    2 %     7 %     7 %     15 %                                        
2008
    3 %     12 %     24 %                                                
2009
    1 %     14 %                                                        
2010
    24 %                                                                
                                                                 
Accident   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    88,051       7,802       23,360       15,559       10,966       26,525       34,327       39.0 %
2003
    233,589       57,462       57,574       112       37,221       37,333       94,795       40.6 %
2004
    271,160       16,465       21,803       5,338       52,765       58,103       74,568       27.5 %
2005
    236,587       93,736       100,281       6,545       88,640       95,185       188,921       79.9 %
2006
    214,376       56,694       63,445       6,751       106,224       112,975       169,669       79.1 %
2007
    192,097       11,171       28,498       17,327       104,318       121,645       132,816       69.1 %
2008
    162,750       18,971       39,067       20,096       109,313       129,409       148,380       91.2 %
2009
    172,403       5,890       23,913       18,023       107,300       125,323       131,214       76.1 %
2010
    195,238       933       46,243       45,310       127,478       172,788       173,721       89.0 %
 
Total
    1,766,252       269,124       404,185       135,061       744,226       879,287       1,148,411       65.0 %

17


 

(AW LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          10       61       5,225       13,909       45,884       59,860       59,930       59,944  
2003
    20       80       603       799       5,997       15,424       15,727       24,885          
2004
    15       681       7,403       29,464       30,384       38,983       48,431                  
2005
    95       3,328       7,272       18,291       19,043       40,954                          
2006
    266       4,296       34,123       48,611       70,853                                  
2007
    1,312       11,982       36,722       56,891                                          
2008
    2,728       20,856       38,396                                                  
2009
    5,948       30,789                                                          
2010
    9,621                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          2,010       7,062       23,775       28,000       47,706       60,648       59,930       59,944  
2003
    60       243       858       6,252       31,963       39,947       43,200       40,526          
2004
    434       1,690       8,102       32,688       55,417       55,570       61,340                  
2005
    3,931       12,613       40,988       43,748       42,802       54,727                          
2006
    41,109       40,424       77,728       97,820       112,067                                  
2007
    10,557       30,869       79,657       106,912                                          
2008
    15,136       72,016       104,593                                                  
2009
    20,453       59,145                                                          
2010
    30,712                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    0 %     3 %     12 %     40 %     47 %     80 %     102 %     101 %     101 %
2003
    0 %     0 %     0 %     3 %     14 %     17 %     19 %     17 %        
2004
    0 %     1 %     3 %     11 %     18 %     18 %     20 %                
2005
    1 %     4 %     13 %     13 %     13 %     17 %                        
2006
    12 %     12 %     23 %     28 %     33 %                                
2007
    3 %     9 %     24 %     32 %                                        
2008
    4 %     21 %     31 %                                                
2009
    5 %     15 %                                                        
2010
    9 %                                                                
                                                                 
Accident   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    59,558       59,944       59,944             4,371       4,371       64,315       108.0 %
2003
    232,141       24,885       40,526       15,641       23,140       38,781       63,666       27.4 %
2004
    304,642       48,431       61,340       12,909       34,076       46,985       95,416       31.3 %
2005
    326,766       40,954       54,727       13,773       54,847       68,619       109,573       33.5 %
2006
    343,803       70,853       112,067       41,215       132,774       173,988       244,841       71.2 %
2007
    336,895       56,891       106,912       50,021       135,090       185,111       242,002       71.8 %
2008
    342,266       38,396       104,593       66,198       142,628       208,826       247,222       72.2 %
2009
    392,169       30,789       59,145       28,357       224,673       253,029       283,818       72.4 %
2010
    356,104       9,621       30,712       21,091       220,804       241,895       251,516       70.6 %
 
Total
    2,694,343       380,764       629,967       249,203       972,403       1,221,606       1,602,370       59.5 %

18


 

(AW LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
Healthcare Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          835       2,158       3,209       5,533       8,008       8,020       8,023       8,026  
2003
    1       4,202       11,148       13,777       14,724       18,198       18,756       20,074          
2004
    2       841       5,881       9,727       12,683       13,218       13,368                  
2005
    237       2,681       4,577       9,493       10,026       10,549                          
2006
    308       2,652       4,428       8,749       11,948                                  
2007
    934       6,029       15,608       18,396                                          
2008
    789       7,893       15,820                                                  
2009
    4,581       14,166                                                          
2010
    2,164                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    130       1,351       5,450       8,985       8,910       8,444       8,121       8,086       8,046  
2003
    345       11,153       20,246       20,723       20,529       23,625       23,160       23,420          
2004
    1,846       6,395       12,054       14,584       14,863       15,909       15,917                  
2005
    5,197       10,142       13,483       12,473       11,766       12,116                          
2006
    4,267       8,926       10,239       12,740       14,827                                  
2007
    3,603       13,040       22,295       31,659                                          
2008
    3,786       16,754       29,407                                                  
2009
    8,941       26,830                                                          
2010
    11,159                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Accident   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    0 %     3 %     14 %     23 %     22 %     21 %     20 %     20 %     20 %
2003
    0 %     15 %     27 %     28 %     27 %     31 %     31 %     31 %        
2004
    2 %     6 %     10 %     13 %     13 %     14 %     14 %                
2005
    4 %     9 %     11 %     11 %     10 %     10 %                        
2006
    3 %     7 %     8 %     10 %     12 %                                
2007
    3 %     11 %     19 %     27 %                                        
2008
    3 %     13 %     22 %                                                
2009
    6 %     18 %                                                        
2010
    7 %                                                                
                                                                 
Accident   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    39,904       8,026       8,046       20       2,854       2,875       10,900       27.3 %
2003
    75,002       20,074       23,420       3,346       7,662       11,008       31,083       41.4 %
2004
    114,883       13,368       15,917       2,549       14,254       16,802       30,171       26.3 %
2005
    118,565       10,549       12,116       1,567       16,987       18,554       29,103       24.5 %
2006
    123,507       11,948       14,827       2,879       28,131       31,010       42,958       34.8 %
2007
    116,319       18,396       31,659       13,263       32,690       45,953       64,349       55.3 %
2008
    131,251       15,820       29,407       13,587       43,567       57,154       72,974       55.6 %
2009
    149,863       14,166       26,830       12,663       59,041       71,704       85,871       57.3 %
2010
    169,449       2,164       11,159       8,995       91,833       100,828       102,992       60.8 %
 
Total
    1,038,742       114,512       173,382       58,870       297,019       355,889       470,401       45.3 %

19


 

(LOGO OF ALLED WORLD)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    101       2,131       4,161       4,194       4,310       4,310       4,336       4,336       4,336  
2003
    3,977       6,251       6,882       6,831       6,843       7,235       7,237       7,237          
2004
    17,379       47,475       55,350       57,786       59,259       60,040       60,489                  
2005
    35,255       121,814       141,709       148,497       151,206       152,497                          
2006
    710       8,912       9,671       9,829       9,903                                  
2007
    3,999       12,770       12,511       12,767                                          
2008
    15,798       26,979       30,619                                                  
2009
    269       905                                                          
2010
    3,798                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    3,041       5,163       4,370       4,390       4,372       4,371       4,356       4,356       4,336  
2003
    6,172       7,561       7,009       6,920       6,939       7,235       7,237       7,237          
2004
    33,642       56,808       59,396       60,325       60,712       61,073       60,889                  
2005
    130,142       151,004       151,495       153,665       154,739       155,285                          
2006
    3,275       9,580       9,885       10,172       10,131                                  
2007
    17,051       15,664       13,584       13,412                                          
2008
    31,318       32,595       33,106                                                  
2009
    2,557       5,613                                                          
2010
    32,490                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    9 %     15 %     13 %     13 %     13 %     13 %     13 %     13 %     13 %
2003
    10 %     13 %     12 %     12 %     12 %     12 %     12 %     12 %        
2004
    51 %     86 %     90 %     91 %     92 %     92 %     92 %                
2005
    155 %     180 %     181 %     183 %     185 %     185 %                        
2006
    5 %     14 %     15 %     15 %     15 %                                
2007
    25 %     19 %     16 %     16 %                                        
2008
    64 %     50 %     49 %                                                
2009
    4 %     7 %                                                        
2010
    31 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    33,846       4,336       4,336       0             0       4,336       12.8 %
2003
    58,868       7,237       7,237       0             0       7,237       12.3 %
2004
    66,178       60,489       60,889       400       358       758       61,247       92.5 %
2005
    83,838       152,497       155,285       2,787       1,603       4,390       156,887       187.1 %
2006
    67,029       9,903       10,131       228       244       472       10,375       15.5 %
2007
    83,678       12,767       13,412       645       44       689       13,456       16.1 %
2008
    67,236       30,619       33,106       2,487       2,279       4,766       35,385       52.6 %
2009
    81,596       905       5,613       4,708       4,108       8,816       9,721       11.9 %
2010
    104,446       3,798       32,490       28,693       12,108       40,800       44,598       42.7 %
 
Total
    646,715       282,551       322,499       39,948       20,743       60,692       343,243       53.1 %

20


 

(LOGO OF ALLED WORLD)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
Excluding large losses
U.S. dollars in thousands
Property Other Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    1,994       14,146       21,254       24,533       26,202       27,034       27,241       27,550       27,573  
2003
    1,794       9,960       13,446       16,264       17,931       18,421       18,892       19,262          
2004
    949       7,461       11,995       14,439       15,598       17,294       17,210                  
2005
    5,111       23,166       29,796       31,025       42,623       46,347                          
2006
    3,793       17,679       23,689       27,465       29,525                                  
2007
    717       8,668       12,738       14,733                                          
2008
    3,920       10,738       12,479                                                  
2009
    4,664       12,112                                                          
2010
    5,835                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    3,082       17,552       26,185       27,026       27,589       27,756       27,588       27,715       27,606  
2003
    6,313       14,931       17,064       19,609       19,904       19,931       20,437       19,891          
2004
    7,729       9,571       14,654       16,236       16,650       17,180       17,493                  
2005
    6,675       33,802       43,645       45,360       45,571       46,163                          
2006
    9,307       23,794       30,449       30,525       30,085                                  
2007
    3,360       23,153       24,853       23,927                                          
2008
    9,627       15,156       15,746                                                  
2009
    11,574       20,126                                                          
2010
    13,219                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Treaty                           Months of Development            
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    16 %     28 %     41 %     42 %     43 %     43 %     43 %     43 %     43 %
2003
    18 %     22 %     24 %     28 %     29 %     30 %     31 %     30 %        
2004
    15 %     13 %     20 %     22 %     22 %     23 %     23 %                
2005
    14 %     43 %     57 %     59 %     59 %     60 %                        
2006
    19 %     35 %     45 %     45 %     44 %                                
2007
    14 %     57 %     60 %     57 %                                        
2008
    42 %     46 %     48 %                                                
2009
    51 %     58 %                                                        
2010
    38 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    64,253       27,573       27,606       33       232       265       27,838       43.3 %
2003
    66,185       19,262       19,891       630       271       901       20,163       30.5 %
2004
    75,094       17,210       17,493       283       381       664       17,874       23.8 %
2005
    76,953       46,347       46,163       (184 )     483       299       46,646       60.6 %
2006
    68,054       29,525       30,085       560       1,108       1,668       31,193       45.8 %
2007
    41,714       14,733       23,927       9,194       1,369       10,564       25,297       60.6 %
2008
    32,954       12,479       15,746       3,267       2,553       5,820       18,299       55.5 %
2009
    34,868       12,112       20,126       8,015       4,122       12,137       24,248       69.5 %
2010
    34,600       5,835       13,219       7,384       9,503       16,886       22,722       65.7 %
 
Total
    494,674       185,075       214,257       29,182       20,022       49,204       234,279       47.4 %

21


 

(LOGO OF ALLED WORLD)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
General Casualty Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development  
Year   12     24     36     48     60     72     84     96     108  
2002
    329       3,688       7,670       10,682       13,471       15,290       16,500       17,685       18,347  
2003
    705       3,063       5,962       11,466       21,916       26,087       27,838       30,357          
2004
    648       1,088       6,331       11,850       21,718       28,466       37,451                  
2005
    119       1,584       9,500       19,705       31,410       41,416                          
2006
    944       6,183       20,496       34,804       43,454                                  
2007
    3       3,135       10,113       26,839                                          
2008
    29       1,468       13,077                                                  
2009
    460       3,523                                                          
2010
    519                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    346       5,531       10,970       18,737       19,011       19,864       20,694       19,214       19,906  
2003
    1,588       8,176       11,853       21,884       28,983       29,495       32,262       33,460          
2004
    1,357       9,104       14,286       23,228       36,173       44,570       45,306                  
2005
    2,055       11,283       23,806       34,636       44,890       51,272                          
2006
    2,493       19,012       37,046       49,952       55,620                                  
2007
    1,033       9,706       34,826       47,229                                          
2008
    1,591       13,743       37,550                                                  
2009
    1,256       18,727                                                          
2010
    9,864                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    9 %     19 %     33 %     56 %     57 %     59 %     62 %     57 %     59 %
2003
    6 %     9 %     12 %     22 %     29 %     29 %     32 %     33 %        
2004
    3 %     8 %     11 %     19 %     29 %     36 %     37 %                
2005
    4 %     8 %     15 %     22 %     29 %     33 %                        
2006
    5 %     15 %     29 %     39 %     43 %                                
2007
    2 %     7 %     25 %     33 %                                        
2008
    4 %     11 %     29 %                                                
2009
    2 %     12 %                                                        
2010
    17 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    33,685       18,347       19,906       1,559       1,510       3,069       21,416       63.6 %
2003
    100,705       30,357       33,460       3,103       10,407       13,510       43,867       43.6 %
2004
    123,514       37,451       45,306       7,855       18,582       26,437       63,889       51.7 %
2005
    155,696       41,416       51,272       9,856       35,670       45,525       86,941       55.8 %
2006
    128,426       43,454       55,620       12,166       34,194       46,360       89,814       69.9 %
2007
    142,364       26,839       47,229       20,390       50,921       71,311       98,150       68.9 %
2008
    130,292       13,077       37,550       24,473       55,742       80,215       93,292       71.6 %
2009
    152,467       3,523       18,727       15,204       87,636       102,840       106,363       69.8 %
2010
    56,618       519       9,864       9,346       31,699       41,044       41,563       73.4 %
 
Total
    1,023,767       214,984       318,934       103,950       326,361       430,312       645,295       63.0 %

22


 

(LOGO OF ALLED WORLD)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty                   Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          915       1,676       4,405       10,898       12,884       14,202       15,561       16,061  
2003
    0       191       1,274       3,207       12,429       16,125       21,385       24,308          
2004
    9       345       5,373       10,445       19,634       24,920       31,103                  
2005
    8       786       6,852       22,841       35,126       43,200                          
2006
    1       711       7,112       20,428       32,865                                  
2007
    5       1,263       11,453       41,443                                          
2008
    37       2,140       9,953                                                  
2009
    17       1,675                                                          
2010
    24                                                                  
 
Reported Loss & ALAE
 
Treaty                   Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          3,594       12,221       21,012       22,717       22,060       22,297       21,292       19,469  
2003
    65       1,599       13,981       21,047       29,125       29,219       33,173       33,043          
2004
    819       7,902       20,205       33,619       36,122       35,884       42,934                  
2005
    456       6,067       22,581       46,077       50,876       55,734                          
2006
    71       8,619       26,873       50,886       64,961                                  
2007
    227       17,507       75,722       117,873                                          
2008
    2,684       15,190       38,237                                                  
2009
    295       6,314                                                          
2010
    502                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    0 %     9 %     26 %     46 %     49 %     48 %     48 %     46 %     42 %
2003
    0 %     2 %     15 %     22 %     29 %     29 %     33 %     33 %        
2004
    2 %     7 %     17 %     28 %     30 %     30 %     36 %                
2005
    1 %     3 %     11 %     22 %     25 %     27 %                        
2006
    0 %     5 %     14 %     26 %     33 %                                
2007
    0 %     9 %     36 %     55 %                                        
2008
    4 %     9 %     21 %                                                
2009
    1 %     5 %                                                        
2010
    2 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    46,264       16,061       19,469       3,408       2,598       6,006       22,066       47.7 %
2003
    99,643       24,308       33,043       8,734       9,405       18,139       42,447       42.6 %
2004
    119,205       31,103       42,934       11,831       14,562       26,393       57,496       48.2 %
2005
    207,134       43,200       55,734       12,535       60,500       73,034       116,234       56.1 %
2006
    194,471       32,865       64,961       32,095       63,043       95,139       128,004       65.8 %
2007
    214,170       41,443       117,873       76,431       45,804       122,235       163,677       76.4 %
2008
    181,875       9,953       38,237       28,284       101,261       129,545       139,498       76.7 %
2009
    122,972       1,675       6,314       4,639       81,513       86,152       87,827       71.4 %
2010
    33,193       24       502       478       23,158       23,636       23,660       71.3 %
 
Total
    1,218,927       200,632       379,067       178,435       401,843       580,278       780,910       64.1 %

23


 

(LOGO OF ALLED WORLD)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
Excluding large losses
U.S. dollars in thousands
Other Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                          
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    52       1,225       2,576       3,222       3,687       4,081       4,191       4,439       4,466  
2003
    15       886       2,373       3,294       4,452       4,656       4,602       4,660          
2004
    43       5,115       8,048       10,943       9,076       9,470       9,879                  
2005
    278       3,943       9,184       7,919       10,600       12,075                          
2006
    68       2,821       5,666       6,959       7,881                                  
2007
    279       4,098       7,242       8,936                                          
2008
    534       4,050       7,972                                                  
2009
    121       3,515                                                          
2010
    73                                                                  
 
Reported Loss & ALAE
 
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    270       3,065       4,472       4,580       4,963       4,700       4,691       4,629       4,623  
2003
    54       887       2,614       4,643       5,266       5,158       4,929       4,872          
2004
    134       8,197       9,085       11,931       10,545       9,696       9,830                  
2005
    304       11,551       11,472       10,788       11,522       12,309                          
2006
    258       7,408       9,169       10,549       10,728                                  
2007
    841       7,432       9,808       10,708                                          
2008
    1,072       9,821       12,870                                                  
2009
    326       5,150                                                          
2010
    988                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                          
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    21 %     27 %     39 %     38 %     41 %     39 %     39 %     38 %     38 %
2003
    2 %     7 %     13 %     23 %     26 %     26 %     25 %     24 %        
2004
    1 %     26 %     24 %     32 %     28 %     25 %     26 %                
2005
    2 %     33 %     29 %     27 %     28 %     30 %                        
2006
    2 %     23 %     28 %     32 %     33 %                                
2007
    4 %     19 %     25 %     27 %                                        
2008
    5 %     29 %     38 %                                                
2009
    2 %     15 %                                                        
2010
    4 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE     Ult. L&ALAE  
Year   Premium     Paid     Reported     Case O/S     IBNR     Unpaid     Ultimate     Ratio  
2002
    12,189       4,466       4,623       156       640       796       5,262       43.2 %
2003
    20,113       4,660       4,872       212       1,578       1,790       6,450       32.1 %
2004
    37,306       9,879       9,830       (50 )     6,936       6,886       16,765       44.9 %
2005
    40,475       12,075       12,309       234       12,676       12,910       24,985       61.7 %
2006
    32,888       7,881       10,728       2,846       9,442       12,289       20,170       61.3 %
2007
    39,664       8,936       10,708       1,772       7,965       9,737       18,673       47.1 %
2008
    34,279       7,972       12,870       4,899       8,420       13,319       21,291       62.1 %
2009
    33,891       3,515       5,150       1,635       11,696       13,331       16,846       49.7 %
2010
    25,347       73       988       914       6,230       7,144       7,218       28.5 %
 
Total
    276,150       59,459       72,078       12,619       65,583       78,202       137,661       49.8 %

24


 

(LOGO OF ALLED WORLD)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                           
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    101       2,131       4,161       4,194       4,310       4,310       4,336       4,336       4,336  
2003
    3,977       6,251       6,882       6,831       6,843       7,235       7,237       7,237          
2004
    17,379       47,475       55,350       57,786       58,813       59,457       59,741                  
2005
    35,255       99,502       106,468       111,778       113,039       112,992                          
2006
    710       8,912       9,671       9,829       9,903                                  
2007
    3,999       12,770       12,511       12,767                                          
2008
    15,798       26,979       30,619                                                  
2009
    269       905                                                          
2010
    3,798                                                                  
 
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    3,041       5,163       4,370       4,390       4,372       4,371       4,356       4,356       4,336  
2003
    6,172       7,561       7,009       6,920       6,939       7,235       7,237       7,237          
2004
    33,642       56,808       59,396       60,325       60,267       60,490       60,141                  
2005
    130,142       128,692       116,254       116,946       116,572       115,780                          
2006
    3,275       9,580       9,885       10,172       10,131                                  
2007
    17,051       15,664       13,584       13,412                                          
2008
    31,318       32,595       33,106                                                  
2009
    2,557       5,613                                                          
2010
    32,490                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                           
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    9 %     15 %     13 %     13 %     13 %     13 %     13 %     13 %     13 %
2003
    10 %     13 %     12 %     12 %     12 %     12 %     12 %     12 %        
2004
    58 %     98 %     102 %     104 %     104 %     104 %     103 %                
2005
    186 %     184 %     166 %     167 %     167 %     166 %                        
2006
    5 %     15 %     15 %     15 %     15 %                                
2007
    25 %     19 %     16 %     16 %                                        
2008
    64 %     50 %     49 %                                                
2009
    4 %     7 %                                                        
2010
    31 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE     Ult. L&ALAE  
Year   Premium     Paid     Reported     Case O/S     IBNR     Unpaid     Ultimate     Ratio  
2002
    33,846       4,336       4,336       0             0       4,336       12.8 %
2003
    58,868       7,237       7,237       0       0       0       7,237       12.3 %
2004
    58,128       59,741       60,141       400       509       509       60,250       103.7 %
2005
    69,898       112,992       115,780       2,787       4,926       4,926       117,918       168.7 %
2006
    65,966       9,903       10,131       228       472       472       10,375       15.7 %
2007
    83,611       12,767       13,412       645       689       689       13,456       16.1 %
2008
    67,154       30,619       33,106       2,487       2,279       4,766       35,385       52.7 %
2009
    81,516       905       5,613       4,708       4,108       8,816       9,721       11.9 %
2010
    104,429       3,798       32,490       28,693       12,108       40,800       44,598       42.7 %
 
Total
    623,417       242,298       282,246       39,948       25,091       60,979       303,276       48.6 %

25


 

(LOGO OF ALLED WORLD)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
Excluding large losses
U.S. dollars in thousands
Property Other Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                          
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    1,994       14,146       21,254       24,533       26,202       27,034       27,241       27,550       27,573  
2003
    1,794       9,960       13,446       16,264       17,931       18,421       18,892       19,262          
2004
    949       7,461       11,995       14,439       15,598       17,294       17,210                  
2005
    5,111       23,166       29,796       31,025       42,623       46,347                          
2006
    3,793       17,679       23,689       27,465       29,525                                  
2007
    717       8,668       12,738       14,733                                          
2008
    3,920       10,738       12,479                                                  
2009
    4,664       12,112                                                          
2010
    5,835                                                                  
 
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty                           Months of Development                    
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    3,082       17,552       26,185       27,026       27,589       27,756       27,588       27,715       27,606  
2003
    6,313       14,931       17,064       19,609       19,904       19,931       20,437       19,891          
2004
    7,729       9,571       14,654       16,236       16,650       17,180       17,493                  
2005
    6,675       33,802       43,645       45,360       45,571       46,163                          
2006
    9,307       23,794       30,449       30,525       30,085                                  
2007
    3,360       23,153       24,853       23,927                                          
2008
    9,627       15,156       15,746                                                  
2009
    11,574       20,126                                                          
2010
    13,219                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                          
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    16 %     28 %     41 %     42 %     43 %     43 %     43 %     43 %     43 %
2003
    18 %     22 %     24 %     28 %     29 %     30 %     31 %     30 %        
2004
    15 %     13 %     20 %     22 %     22 %     23 %     23 %                
2005
    15 %     44 %     59 %     61 %     61 %     62 %                        
2006
    20 %     35 %     45 %     45 %     44 %                                
2007
    14 %     57 %     60 %     57 %                                        
2008
    44 %     48 %     50 %                                                
2009
    51 %     58 %                                                        
2010
    38 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    64,253       27,573       27,606       33       82       115       27,688       43.1 %
2003
    66,185       19,262       19,891       630       289       919       20,180       30.5 %
2004
    75,094       17,210       17,493       283       115       398       17,608       23.4 %
2005
    74,493       46,347       46,163       (184 )     (3,958 )     (4,143 )     42,205       56.7 %
2006
    67,628       29,525       30,085       560       1,358       1,918       31,443       46.5 %
2007
    41,714       14,733       23,927       9,194       3,369       12,564       27,297       65.4 %
2008
    31,622       12,479       15,746       3,267       2,553       5,820       18,299       57.9 %
2009
    34,868       12,112       20,126       8,015       4,122       12,137       24,248       69.5 %
2010
    34,600       5,835       13,219       7,384       9,503       16,886       22,722       65.7 %
 
Total
    490,456       185,075       214,257       29,182       17,433       46,614       231,689       47.2 %

26


 

(ALLIED WORLD LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
General Casualty Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    329       3,688       7,670       10,682       13,471       15,290       16,500       17,685       18,347  
2003
    705       3,063       5,962       11,466       21,916       26,087       27,838       30,357          
2004
    648       1,088       6,331       11,850       21,718       28,466       37,451                  
2005
    119       1,584       9,500       19,705       31,410       41,416                          
2006
    944       6,183       20,496       34,804       43,454                                  
2007
    3       3,135       10,113       26,839                                          
2008
    29       1,468       13,077                                                  
2009
    460       3,523                                                          
2010
    519                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    346       5,531       10,970       18,737       19,011       19,864       20,694       19,214       19,906  
2003
    1,588       8,176       11,853       21,884       28,983       29,495       32,262       33,460          
2004
    1,357       9,104       14,286       23,228       36,173       44,570       45,306                  
2005
    2,055       11,283       23,806       34,636       44,890       51,272                          
2006
    2,493       19,012       37,046       49,952       55,620                                  
2007
    1,033       9,706       34,826       47,229                                          
2008
    1,591       13,743       37,550                                                  
2009
    1,256       18,727                                                          
2010
    9,864                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    9 %     19 %     33 %     56 %     57 %     59 %     62 %     57 %     59 %
2003
    6 %     9 %     12 %     22 %     29 %     29 %     32 %     33 %        
2004
    3 %     8 %     11 %     19 %     29 %     36 %     37 %                
2005
    4 %     8 %     15 %     22 %     29 %     33 %                        
2006
    5 %     15 %     29 %     39 %     43 %                                
2007
    2 %     7 %     25 %     33 %                                        
2008
    4 %     11 %     29 %                                                
2009
    2 %     12 %                                                        
2010
    17 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    33,685       18,347       19,906       1,559       1,510       3,069       21,416       63.6 %
2003
    100,705       30,357       33,460       3,103       10,407       13,510       43,867       43.6 %
2004
    123,514       37,451       45,306       7,855       18,582       26,437       63,889       51.7 %
2005
    155,696       41,416       51,272       9,856       35,670       45,525       86,941       55.8 %
2006
    128,426       43,454       55,620       12,166       34,194       46,360       89,814       69.9 %
2007
    142,364       26,839       47,229       20,390       50,921       71,311       98,150       68.9 %
2008
    130,292       13,077       37,550       24,473       55,742       80,215       93,292       71.6 %
2009
    152,467       3,523       18,727       15,204       87,636       102,840       106,363       69.8 %
2010
    56,618       519       9,864       9,346       31,699       41,044       41,563       73.4 %
 
Total
    1,023,767       214,984       318,934       103,950       326,361       430,312       645,295       63.0 %

27


 

(ALLIED WORLD LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
U.S. dollars in thousands
Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          915       1,676       4,405       10,898       12,884       14,202       15,561       16,061  
2003
    0       191       1,274       3,207       12,429       16,125       21,385       24,308          
2004
    9       345       5,373       10,445       19,634       24,920       31,103                  
2005
    8       786       6,852       22,841       35,126       43,200                          
2006
    1       711       7,112       20,428       32,865                                  
2007
    5       1,263       11,453       41,443                                          
2008
    37       2,140       9,953                                                  
2009
    17       1,675                                                          
2010
    24                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
          3,594       12,221       21,012       22,717       22,060       22,297       21,292       19,469  
2003
    65       1,599       13,981       21,047       29,125       29,219       33,173       33,043          
2004
    819       7,902       20,205       33,619       36,122       35,884       42,934                  
2005
    456       6,067       22,581       46,077       50,876       55,734                          
2006
    71       8,619       26,873       50,886       64,961                                  
2007
    227       17,507       75,722       117,873                                          
2008
    2,684       15,190       38,237                                                  
2009
    295       6,314                                                          
2010
    502                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                         
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    0 %     9 %     26 %     46 %     49 %     48 %     48 %     46 %     42 %
2003
    0 %     2 %     15 %     22 %     29 %     29 %     33 %     33 %        
2004
    2 %     7 %     17 %     28 %     30 %     30 %     36 %                
2005
    1 %     3 %     11 %     22 %     25 %     27 %                        
2006
    0 %     5 %     14 %     26 %     33 %                                
2007
    0 %     9 %     36 %     55 %                                        
2008
    5 %     10 %     21 %                                                
2009
    1 %     5 %                                                        
2010
    2 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    46,264       16,061       19,469       3,408       2,598       6,006       22,066       47.7 %
2003
    99,643       24,308       33,043       8,734       9,405       18,139       42,447       42.6 %
2004
    119,205       31,103       42,934       11,831       14,562       26,393       57,496       48.2 %
2005
    207,134       43,200       55,734       12,535       60,500       73,034       116,234       56.1 %
2006
    194,471       32,865       64,961       32,095       63,043       95,139       128,004       65.8 %
2007
    214,170       41,443       117,873       76,431       45,699       122,130       163,573       76.4 %
2008
    181,102       9,953       38,237       28,284       101,261       129,545       139,498       77.0 %
2009
    122,972       1,675       6,314       4,639       81,513       86,152       87,827       71.4 %
2010
    33,193       24       502       478       23,158       23,636       23,660       71.3 %
 
Total
    1,218,153       200,632       379,067       178,435       401,739       580,174       780,806       64.1 %

28


 

(ALLIED WORLD LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment
Excluding large losses
U.S. dollars in thousands
Other Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)
Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE
                                                                          
Treaty   Months of Development
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    52       1,225       2,576       3,222       3,687       4,081       4,191       4,439       4,466  
2003
    15       886       2,373       3,294       4,452       4,656       4,602       4,660          
2004
    24       4,699       6,910       9,525       7,585       7,963       8,370                  
2005
    265       3,772       8,768       7,471       10,158       11,571                          
2006
    68       2,821       5,666       6,959       7,881                                  
2007
    279       4,098       7,242       8,936                                          
2008
    534       4,050       7,972                                                  
2009
    121       3,515                                                          
2010
    73                                                                  
 
Reported Loss & ALAE
 
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    270       3,065       4,472       4,580       4,963       4,700       4,691       4,629       4,623  
2003
    54       887       2,614       4,643       5,266       5,158       4,929       4,872          
2004
    37       7,097       7,476       10,324       9,038       8,188       8,321                  
2005
    278       11,206       10,817       10,337       11,080       11,799                          
2006
    258       7,408       9,169       10,549       10,728                                  
2007
    841       7,432       9,808       10,708                                          
2008
    1,072       9,821       12,870                                                  
2009
    326       5,150                                                          
2010
    988                                                                  
Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)
                                                                          
Treaty                           Months of Development                
Year   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96   108
2002
    21 %     27 %     39 %     38 %     41 %     39 %     39 %     38 %     38 %
2003
    2 %     7 %     13 %     23 %     26 %     26 %     25 %     24 %        
2004
    0 %     29 %     24 %     33 %     29 %     26 %     27 %                
2005
    2 %     34 %     29 %     27 %     29 %     31 %                        
2006
    2 %     23 %     28 %     32 %     33 %                                
2007
    4 %     20 %     25 %     27 %                                        
2008
    5 %     29 %     38 %                                                
2009
    2 %     15 %                                                        
2010
    4 %                                                                
                                                                 
Treaty   Earned   Loss & ALAE   Ult. L&ALAE
Year   Premium   Paid   Reported   Case O/S   IBNR   Unpaid   Ultimate   Ratio
2002
    12,189       4,466       4,623       156       640       796       5,262       43.2 %
2003
    20,113       4,660       4,872       212       1,578       1,790       6,450       32.1 %
2004
    30,505       8,370       8,321       (49 )     6,924       6,874       15,244       50.0 %
2005
    37,740       11,571       11,799       228       12,681       12,908       24,480       64.9 %
2006
    32,708       7,881       10,728       2,846       9,442       12,289       20,170       61.7 %
2007
    39,391       8,936       10,708       1,772       7,965       9,737       18,673       47.4 %
2008
    33,933       7,972       12,870       4,899       8,420       13,319       21,291       62.7 %
2009
    33,561       3,515       5,150       1,635       11,696       13,331       16,846       50.2 %
2010
    24,563       73       988       914       6,230       7,144       7,218       29.4 %
 
Total
    264,702       57,446       70,059       12,613       65,576       78,189       135,635       51.2 %

29


 

(ALLIED WORLD LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment
Excluding large losses on Property
U.S. dollars in thousands
Premium — Gross of ceded reinsurance
                                                                 
Calendar   Property   General Casualty   Prof. Liab. Lines   Healthcare
Year   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned
2002
    376,526       195,890       224,544       88,051       126,768       59,558       30,372       39,904  
2003
    554,735       483,719       342,125       257,017       264,958       237,656       95,630       76,140  
2004
    547,959       565,327       386,416       332,389       323,997       321,801       142,160       120,800  
2005
    412,879       476,481       296,110       297,511       365,714       352,174       137,074       136,577  
2006
    463,900       441,138       279,698       275,405       432,242       395,104       156,698       150,401  
2007
    391,018       423,468       252,902       264,680       452,245       431,009       153,567       147,720  
2008
    327,491       357,588       235,939       243,673       498,544       457,068       184,055       170,600  
2009
    243,193       272,873       287,085       265,068       489,872       512,438       210,422       197,314  
2010
    224,453       231,398       311,987       290,500       467,128       475,222       228,810       222,171  
 
Total
    3,542,154       3,447,882       2,616,806       2,314,293       3,421,467       3,242,029       1,338,789       1,261,627  
Loss & ALAE — Gross of ceded reinsurance
                                                                 
Accident   Property   General Casualty   Prof. Liab. Lines   Healthcare
Year   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported
2002
    56,700       56,700       7,802       23,360       59,944       59,944       8,026       8,046  
2003
    221,688       222,651       57,463       57,575       26,397       42,038       20,074       23,420  
2004
    234,064       238,280       19,470       25,154       48,452       61,361       13,379       15,928  
2005
    365,367       370,203       118,117       124,781       44,267       58,062       11,692       13,710  
2006
    208,659       219,524       84,696       92,725       88,030       133,885       16,034       19,082  
2007
    186,261       220,583       13,553       32,500       66,932       143,583       20,125       37,172  
2008
    198,875       240,547       26,339       52,114       46,619       125,901       18,440       33,200  
2009
    64,420       89,436       8,308       35,210       31,918       62,090       16,657       29,590  
2010
    44,677       114,273       1,046       70,070       9,674       30,916       2,168       11,846  
 
Total
    1,580,711       1,772,196       336,794       513,490       422,233       717,780       126,596       191,996  

30


 

(ALLIED WORLD LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Insurance Segment

Excluding large losses on Property

U.S. dollars in thousands
Premium — Net of ceded reinsurance
                                                                 
Calendar   Property   General Casualty   Prof. Liab. Lines   Healthcare
Year   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned
2002
    300,021       171,696       224,544       88,051       126,768       59,558       30,372       39,904  
2003
    383,345       356,275       296,362       233,589       251,494       232,141       93,126       75,002  
2004
    308,623       333,170       317,635       271,160       296,101       304,642       126,731       114,883  
2005
    170,895       226,828       234,537       236,587       316,878       326,766       106,857       118,565  
2006
    193,652       190,783       212,697       214,376       361,179       343,803       124,109       123,507  
2007
    176,420       180,460       173,099       192,097       346,657       336,895       120,773       116,319  
2008
    169,889       173,790       150,779       162,750       386,010       342,266       149,237       131,251  
2009
    123,011       142,872       195,555       172,403       371,055       392,169       165,105       149,863  
2010
    132,548       127,037       207,783       195,238       353,719       356,104       175,057       169,449  
 
Total
    1,958,403       1,902,910       2,012,992       1,766,252       2,809,861       2,694,343       1,091,368       1,038,742  
Loss & ALAE — Net of ceded reinsurance
                                                                 
Accident   Property   General Casualty   Prof. Liab. Lines   Healthcare
Year   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported
2002
    49,066       49,066       7,802       23,360       59,944       59,944       8,026       8,046  
2003
    179,283       179,676       57,462       57,574       24,885       40,526       20,074       23,420  
2004
    150,501       152,437       16,465       21,803       48,431       61,340       13,368       15,917  
2005
    165,256       167,738       93,736       100,281       40,954       54,727       10,549       12,116  
2006
    93,293       97,845       56,694       63,445       70,853       112,067       11,948       14,827  
2007
    86,918       105,592       11,171       28,498       56,891       106,912       18,396       31,659  
2008
    109,698       136,537       18,971       39,067       38,396       104,593       15,820       29,407  
2009
    42,846       61,631       5,890       23,913       30,789       59,145       14,166       26,830  
2010
    29,325       70,791       933       46,243       9,621       30,712       2,164       11,159  
 
Total
    906,186       1,021,311       269,124       404,185       380,764       629,967       114,512       173,382  

31


 

(ALLIED WORLD LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment

Excluding large losses on Property Other and Other

U.S. dollars in thousands
Premium — Gross of ceded reinsurance
                                                                                 
Treaty   Property Catastrophe   Property Other   General Casualty   Prof. Liab. Lines   Other
Year   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned
2002
    33,846       33,846       64,253       64,253       33,685       33,685       46,264       46,264       12,189       12,189  
2003
    58,868       58,868       66,185       66,185       100,705       100,705       99,643       99,643       20,113       20,113  
2004
    66,178       66,178       75,094       75,094       123,514       123,514       119,205       119,205       37,306       37,306  
2005
    83,838       83,838       76,953       76,953       155,696       155,696       207,134       207,134       40,475       40,475  
2006
    67,029       67,029       68,054       68,054       128,426       128,426       194,471       194,471       32,888       32,888  
2007
    83,678       83,678       41,714       41,714       142,612       142,364       214,170       214,170       39,664       39,664  
2008
    67,263       67,236       32,954       32,954       130,520       130,292       181,886       181,875       34,290       34,279  
2009
    81,907       81,596       35,511       34,868       161,459       152,467       134,676       122,972       34,317       33,891  
2010
    129,997       104,446       51,790       34,600       185,054       56,618       111,234       33,193       43,881       25,347  
 
Total
    672,604       646,715       512,507       494,674       1,161,670       1,023,767       1,308,682       1,218,927       295,121       276,150  
Loss & ALAE — Gross of ceded reinsurance
                                                                                 
Treaty   Property Catastrophe   Property Other   General Casualty   Prof. Liab. Lines   Other
Year   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported
2002
    4,336       4,336       27,573       27,606       18,347       19,906       16,061       19,469       4,466       4,623  
2003
    7,237       7,237       19,262       19,891       30,357       33,460       24,308       33,043       4,660       4,872  
2004
    60,489       60,889       17,210       17,493       37,451       45,306       31,103       42,934       9,879       9,830  
2005
    152,497       155,285       46,347       46,163       41,416       51,272       43,200       55,734       12,075       12,309  
2006
    9,903       10,131       29,525       30,085       43,454       55,620       32,865       64,961       7,881       10,728  
2007
    12,767       13,412       14,733       23,927       26,839       47,229       41,443       117,873       8,936       10,708  
2008
    30,619       33,106       12,479       15,746       13,077       37,550       9,953       38,237       7,972       12,870  
2009
    905       5,613       12,112       20,126       3,523       18,727       1,675       6,314       3,515       5,150  
2010
    3,798       32,490       5,835       13,219       519       9,864       24       502       73       988  
 
Total
    282,551       322,499       185,075       214,257       214,984       318,934       200,632       379,067       59,459       72,078  

32


 

(ALLIED WORLD LOGO)
December 2010 Global Loss Triangles — Reinsurance Segment

Excluding large losses on Property Other and Other

U.S. dollars in thousands
Premium — Net of ceded reinsurance
                                                                                 
Treaty   Property Catastrophe   Property Other   General Casualty   Prof. Liab. Lines   Other
Year   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned   Written   Earned
2002
    33,846       33,846       64,253       64,253       33,685       33,685       46,264       46,264       12,189       12,189  
2003
    58,868       58,868       66,185       66,185       100,705       100,705       99,643       99,643       20,113       20,113  
2004
    58,128       58,128       75,094       75,094       123,514       123,514       119,205       119,205       30,505       30,505  
2005
    69,898       69,898       74,493       74,493       155,696       155,696       207,134       207,134       37,740       37,740  
2006
    65,966       65,966       67,628       67,628       128,426       128,426       194,471       194,471       32,708       32,708  
2007
    83,611       83,611       41,714       41,714       142,612       142,364       214,170       214,170       39,391       39,391  
2008
    67,181       67,154       31,622       31,622       130,520       130,292       181,112       181,102       33,945       33,933  
2009
    81,827       81,516       35,511       34,868       161,459       152,467       134,676       122,972       33,986       33,561  
2010
    129,980       104,429       51,790       34,600       185,054       56,618       111,234       33,193       34,028       24,563  
 
Total
    649,306       623,417       508,288       490,456       1,161,670       1,023,767       1,307,908       1,218,153       274,603       264,702  
Loss & ALAE — Net of ceded reinsurance
                                                                                 
Treaty   Property Catastrophe   Property Other   General Casualty   Prof. Liab. Lines   Other
Year   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported   Paid   Reported
2002
    4,336       4,336       27,573       27,606       18,347       19,906       16,061       19,469       4,466       4,623  
2003
    7,237       7,237       19,262       19,891       30,357       33,460       24,308       33,043       4,660       4,872  
2004
    59,741       60,141       17,210       17,493       37,451       45,306       31,103       42,934       8,370       8,321  
2005
    112,992       115,780       46,347       46,163       41,416       51,272       43,200       55,734       11,571       11,799  
2006
    9,903       10,131       29,525       30,085       43,454       55,620       32,865       64,961       7,881       10,728  
2007
    12,767       13,412       14,733       23,927       26,839       47,229       41,443       117,873       8,936       10,708  
2008
    30,619       33,106       12,479       15,746       13,077       37,550       9,953       38,237       7,972       12,870  
2009
    905       5,613       12,112       20,126       3,523       18,727       1,675       6,314       3,515       5,150  
2010
    3,798       32,490       5,835       13,219       519       9,864       24       502       73       988  
 
Total
    242,298       282,246       185,075       214,257       214,984       318,934       200,632       379,067       57,446       70,059  

33


 

IV. SELECTED EXCERPTS FROM ALLIED WORLD’S 2010 10-K DISCLOSURE
     The reserve for losses and loss expenses is comprised of two main elements: outstanding loss reserves, also known as “case reserves,” and reserves for IBNR. Outstanding loss reserves relate to known claims and represent management’s best estimate of the likely loss settlement. Thus, there is a significant amount of estimation involved in determining the likely loss payment. IBNR reserves require judgment because they relate primarily to unreported events that, based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to have occurred and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to our company. IBNR reserves also relate to estimated development of reported events that based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to reach our attachment point and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to our company.
     IBNR is the estimated liability for (1) claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported as well as (2) changes in the values of claims that have been reported to us but are not yet settled. Each claim is settled individually based upon its merits and it is not unusual for a claim to take years after being reported to settle, especially if legal action is involved. As a result, reserves for losses and loss expenses include significant estimates for IBNR reserves.
     The reserve for IBNR is estimated by management for each line of business based on various factors, including underwriters’ expectations about loss experience, actuarial analysis, comparisons with the results of industry benchmarks and loss experience to date. The reserve for IBNR is calculated as the ultimate amount of losses and loss expenses less cumulative paid losses and loss expenses and case reserves. Our actuaries employ generally accepted actuarial methodologies to determine estimated ultimate loss reserves.
     While management believes that our case reserves and IBNR are sufficient to cover losses assumed by us, there can be no assurance that losses will not deviate from our reserves, possibly by material amounts. The methodology of estimating loss reserves is periodically reviewed to ensure that the assumptions made continue to be appropriate. To the extent actual reported losses exceed estimated losses, the carried estimate of the ultimate losses will be increased (i.e., unfavorable reserve development), and to the extent actual reported losses are less than estimated losses, the carried estimate of ultimate losses will be reduced (i.e., favorable reserve development). We record any changes in our loss reserve estimates and the related reinsurance recoverables in the periods in which they are determined.
     The estimate of reserves for our property insurance and property reinsurance lines of business relies primarily on traditional loss reserving methodologies, utilizing selected paid and reported loss development factors. In the property lines of business, claims are generally reported and paid within a relatively short period of time (“shorter tail lines”) during and following the policy coverage period. This generally enables us to determine with greater certainty our estimate of ultimate losses and loss expenses.
     Our casualty insurance and casualty reinsurance lines of business include general liability risks, healthcare and professional liability risks. Claims may be reported or settled several years after the coverage period has terminated for these lines of business (“longer tail lines”), which increases uncertainties of our reserve estimates in such lines. In addition, our attachment points

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for these longer tail lines are relatively high, making reserving for these lines of business more difficult than shorter tail lines due to having to estimate whether the severity of the estimated losses will exceed our attachment point. We establish a case reserve when sufficient information is gathered to make a reasonable estimate of the liability, which often requires a significant amount of information and time. Due to the lengthy reporting pattern of these casualty lines, reliance is placed on industry benchmarks supplemented by our own experience. For expected loss ratio selections, we are giving greater consideration to our existing experience supplemented with analysis of loss trends, rate changes and experience of peer companies.
     Our reinsurance treaties are reviewed individually, based upon individual characteristics and loss experience emergence. Loss reserves on assumed reinsurance have unique features that make them more difficult to estimate than direct insurance. We establish loss reserves upon receipt of advice from a cedent that a reserve is merited. Our claims staff may establish additional loss reserves where, in their judgment, the amount reported by a cedent is potentially inadequate. The following are the most significant features that make estimating loss reserves on assumed reinsurance difficult:
    Reinsurers have to rely upon the cedents and reinsurance intermediaries to report losses in a timely fashion.
 
    Reinsurers must rely upon cedents to price the underlying business appropriately.
 
    Reinsurers have less predictable loss emergence patterns than direct insurers, particularly when writing excess-of-loss reinsurance.
     For excess-of-loss reinsurance, cedents generally are required to report losses that either exceed 50% of the retention, have a reasonable probability of exceeding the retention or meet serious injury reporting criteria. All reinsurance claims that are reserved are reviewed at least every six months. For quota share reinsurance treaties, cedents are required to give a periodic statement of account, generally monthly or quarterly. These periodic statements typically include information regarding written premiums, earned premiums, unearned premiums, ceding commissions, brokerage amounts, applicable taxes, paid losses and outstanding losses. They can be submitted 60 to 90 days after the close of the reporting period. Some quota share reinsurance treaties have specific language regarding earlier notice of serious claims.
     Reinsurance generally has a greater time lag than direct insurance in the reporting of claims. The time lag is caused by the claim first being reported to the cedent, then the intermediary (such as a broker) and finally the reinsurer. This lag can be up to six months or longer in certain cases. There is also a time lag because the insurer may not be required to report claims to the reinsurer until certain reporting criteria are met. In some instances this could be several years while a claim is being litigated. We use reporting factors based on data from the Reinsurance Association of America to adjust for time lags. We also use historical treaty-specific reporting factors when applicable. Loss and premium information are entered into our reinsurance system by our claims department and our accounting department on a timely basis.
     We record the individual case reserves sent to us by cedents through the reinsurance intermediaries. Individual claims are reviewed by our reinsurance claims department and

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adjusted as deemed appropriate. The loss data received from the intermediaries is checked for reasonableness and for known events. Details of the loss listings are reviewed during routine claim audits.
     The expected loss ratios that we assign to each treaty are based upon analysis and modeling performed by a team of actuaries. The historical data reviewed by the team of pricing actuaries is considered in setting the reserves for each cedent. The historical data in the submissions is matched against our carried reserves for our historical treaty years.
     Loss reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability. Rather, loss reserves are estimates of what we expect the ultimate resolution and administration of claims will cost. These estimates are based on actuarial and statistical projections and on our assessment of currently available data, as well as estimates of future trends in claims severity and frequency, judicial theories of liability and other factors. Loss reserve estimates are refined as experience develops and as claims are reported and resolved. In addition, the relatively long periods between when a loss occurs and when it may be reported to our claims department for our casualty insurance and casualty reinsurance lines of business increase the uncertainties of our reserve estimates in such lines.
     We utilize a variety of standard actuarial methods in our analysis. The selections from these various methods are based on the loss development characteristics of the specific line of business. For lines of business with long reporting periods such as casualty reinsurance, we may rely more on an expected loss ratio method (as described below) until losses begin to develop. For lines of business with short reporting periods such as property insurance, we may rely more on a paid loss development method (as described below) as losses are reported relatively quickly. The actuarial methods we utilize include:
     Paid Loss Development Method. We estimate ultimate losses by calculating past paid loss development factors and applying them to exposure periods with further expected paid loss development. The paid loss development method assumes that losses are paid at a consistent rate. The paid loss development method provides an objective test of reported loss projections because paid losses contain no reserve estimates. In some circumstances, paid losses for recent periods may be too varied for accurate predictions. For many coverages, especially casualty coverages, claim payments are made slowly and it may take years for claims to be fully reported and settled. These payments may be unreliable for determining future loss projections because of shifts in settlement patterns or because of large settlements in the early stages of development. Choosing an appropriate “tail factor” to determine the amount of payments from the latest development period to the ultimate development period may also require considerable judgment, especially for coverages that have long payment patterns. As we have limited payment history, we have had to supplement our paid loss development patterns with appropriate benchmarks.
     Reported Loss Development Method. We estimate ultimate losses by calculating past reported loss development factors and applying them to exposure periods with further expected reported loss development. Since reported losses include payments and case reserves, changes in both of these amounts are incorporated in this method. This approach provides a larger volume of data to estimate ultimate losses than the paid loss development method. Thus, reported loss patterns may be less varied than paid loss patterns, especially for coverages that have historically been paid out over a long period of time but for which claims are reported relatively early and

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have case loss reserve estimates established. This method assumes that reserves have been established using consistent practices over the historical period that is reviewed. Changes in claims handling procedures, large claims or significant numbers of claims of an unusual nature may cause results to be too varied for accurate forecasting. Also, choosing an appropriate “tail factor” to determine the change in reported loss from that latest development period to the ultimate development period may require considerable judgment. As we have limited reported history, we have had to supplement our reported loss development patterns with appropriate benchmarks.
     Expected Loss Ratio Method. To estimate ultimate losses under the expected loss ratio method, we multiply earned premiums by an expected loss ratio. The expected loss ratio is selected utilizing industry data, historical company data and professional judgment. This method is particularly useful for new insurance companies or new lines of business where there are no historical losses or where past loss experience is not credible.
     Bornhuetter-Ferguson Paid Loss Method. The Bornhuetter-Ferguson paid loss method is a combination of the paid loss development method and the expected loss ratio method. The amount of losses yet to be paid is based upon the expected loss ratios and the expected percentage of losses unpaid. These expected loss ratios are modified to the extent paid losses to date differ from what would have been expected to have been paid based upon the selected paid loss development pattern. This method avoids some of the distortions that could result from a large development factor being applied to a small base of paid losses to calculate ultimate losses. This method will react slowly if actual loss ratios develop differently because of major changes in rate levels, retentions or deductibles, the forms and conditions of reinsurance coverage, the types of risks covered or a variety of other changes.
     B-F Method. The B-F method is similar to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson paid loss method with the exception that it uses reported losses and reported loss development factors.
     Since 2007, we adjusted our reliance on actuarial methods utilized for certain casualty lines of business and loss years within our U.S. insurance and international insurance segments from using a blend of the B-F method and the expected loss ratio method to using only the B-F method. Also since 2008, we began adjusting our reliance on actuarial methods utilized for certain other casualty lines of business and loss years within all of our operating segments including the reinsurance segment, by placing greater reliance on the B-F method than on the expected loss ratio method. Placing greater reliance on more responsive actuarial methods for certain casualty lines of business and loss years within each of our operating segments is a natural progression as we mature as a company and gain sufficient historical experience of our own that allows us to further refine our estimate of the reserve for losses and loss expenses. We believe utilizing only the B-F method for older loss years will more accurately reflect the reported loss activity we have had thus far in our ultimate loss ratio selections, and will better reflect how the ultimate losses will develop over time. We will continue to utilize the expected loss ratio method for the most recent loss years until we have sufficient historical experience to utilize other acceptable actuarial methodologies.
     We expect that the trend of placing greater reliance on more responsive actuarial methods, for example from the expected loss ratio method to the B-F method, to continue as both (1) our loss years mature and become more statistically reliable and (2) as we build databases of

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our internal loss development patterns. The expected loss ratio remains a key assumption as the Bornhuetter-Ferguson methods rely upon an expected loss ratio selection and a loss development pattern selection.
     The key assumptions used to arrive at our best estimate of loss reserves are the expected loss ratios, rate of loss cost inflation, selection of benchmarks and reported and paid loss emergence patterns. Our reporting factors and expected loss ratios are based on a blend of our own experience and industry benchmarks for longer tailed business and primarily our own experience for shorter tail business. The benchmarks selected were those that we believe are most similar to our underwriting business.
     Our expected loss ratios for shorter tail lines change from year to year. As our losses from shorter tail lines of business are reported relatively quickly, we select our expected loss ratios for the most recent years based upon our actual loss ratios for our older years adjusted for rate changes, inflation, cost of reinsurance and average storm activity. For the shorter tail lines, we initially used benchmarks for reported and paid loss emergence patterns. As we mature as a company, we have begun supplementing those benchmark patterns with our actual patterns as appropriate. For the longer tail lines, we continue to use benchmark patterns, although we update the benchmark patterns as additional information is published regarding the benchmark data.
     For shorter tail lines, the primary assumption that changed during both 2010 as compared to 2009 and 2009 as compared to 2008 was actual paid and reported loss emergence patterns were generally less severe than estimated for each year due to lower frequency and severity of reported losses. As a result of this change, we recognized net favorable prior year reserve development in both 2010 and 2009. We believe recognition of the reserve changes in the period they were recorded was appropriate since a pattern of reported losses had not emerged and the loss years were previously too immature to deviate from the expected loss ratio method in prior periods.
     The selection of the expected loss ratios for the longer tail lines is our most significant assumption. Due to the lengthy reporting pattern of longer tail lines, we supplement our own experience with industry benchmarks of expected loss ratios and reporting patterns in addition to our own experience. For our longer tail lines, the primary assumption that changed during both 2010 as compared to 2009 and 2009 as compared to 2008 was using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson loss development method for certain casualty lines of business and loss years as discussed above. This method calculated a lower projected loss ratio based on loss emergence patterns. As a result of the change in the expected loss ratio, we recognized net favorable prior year reserve development in 2010 and 2009. We believe that recognition of the reserve changes in the period they were recorded was appropriate since a pattern of reported losses had not emerged and the loss years were previously too immature to deviate from the expected loss ratio method in prior periods.

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V. GLOSSARY
     
Accident year
  The year in which the event occurred that triggers a claim to us. All years referred to are years ending December 31.
 
   
ALAE
  Allocated loss adjustment expense, which is an estimate of the associated external expenses to be incurred in settling a claim. ALAE includes the costs of third party loss assessors and legal experts.
 
   
Assumed reinsurance
  That portion of a risk that a reinsurer accepts from an insurer in return for a stated premium.
 
   
Attachment point
  The loss point of which an insurance or reinsurance policy becomes operative and below which any losses are retained by either the insured or other insurers or reinsurers, as the case may be.
 
   
Case reserves
  Loss reserves, established with respect to specific, individual reported claims.
 
   
Casualty lines
  Insurance that is primarily concerned with losses due to injuries to persons and liability imposed on the insured for such injury or for damage to the property of others.
 
   
Cede, cedent or ceding company
  When an insurer transfers some or all of its risk to a reinsurer, it “cedes” business and is referred to as the “ceding company” or “cedent.”
 
   
Claims-made policies
  A liability policy covering all claims first advised during the term of the insurance policy, regardless of when the loss itself was sustained.
 
   
Deductible
  The amount of exposure an insured retains on any one risk or group of risks. The term may apply to an insurance policy, where the insured is an individual or business, or a reinsurance contract, where the insured is an insurance company. See “Retention.”

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D&O side A cover
  Insurance that provides liability coverage to directors and officers for non-indemnified losses arising from their negligence or malfeasance. Coverage applies only if the directors and officers are not indemnified by their company for such loss. Such coverage is provided on both an excess basis (i.e., policy attaches after all underlying policy limits are exhausted) and on a “difference-in-conditions” basis (i.e., policy drops down and attaches at a lower attachment point due to the failure or inability of the underlying policy(ies) to pay the loss).
 
   
Earned premiums
  That portion of premiums written that applies to the expired portion of the policy term. Earned premiums are recognized as revenues under both statutory accounting practice and accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America.
 
   
Employment practices liability insurance
  Insurance that primarily provides liability coverage to organizations and their employees for losses arising from acts of discrimination, harassment and retaliation against current and prospective employees of the organization.
 
   
Excess or Excess layer
  Insurance to cover losses in one or more layers above a certain amount with losses below that amount usually covered by the insured’s primary policy and its self-insured retention.
 
   
Excess-of-loss reinsurance
  Reinsurance that indemnifies the insured against all or a specified portion of losses over a specified amount or retention.
 
   
Facultative reinsurance
  The reinsurance of all or a portion of the insurance provided by a single policy. Each policy reinsured is separately negotiated.

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Fiduciary liability insurance
  Insurance that primarily provides liability coverage to fiduciaries of employee benefit and welfare plans for losses arising from the breach of any fiduciary duty owed to plan beneficiaries.
 
   
Global loss triangles
  A table of loss experience showing total losses for a certain period at regular valuation dates, reflecting the change in amounts as claims mature. Older periods in the table will have one more entry than the next youngest period, leading to the triangle shape of the data in the table.
 
   
Healthcare lines
  Insurance coverage, often referred to as medical malpractice insurance, which addresses liability risks of doctors, surgeons, nurses, other healthcare professionals and the institutions (hospitals, clinics, etc.), in which they practice.
 
   
Incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) reserves
  Reserves established by us for claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported to us as well as for changes in the values of claims that have been reported to us but are not yet settled.
 
   
LAE
  The total of ALAE and ULAE.
 
   
Loss corridor
  A mechanism contained in a reinsurance treaty that requires the cedent to be responsible for a certain amount of the ultimate net loss that is above the company’s designated retention and below the designated limit, and which would otherwise be reimbursed under the treaty. Loss corridors are employed to mitigate the volatility of reinsurance agreements.

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Loss development
  The difference between the original loss as initially reserved by an insurer or reinsurer and its subsequent evaluation at a later date or at the time of its closure. Loss development occurs because of inflation and time lags between the occurrence of claims and the time they are actually reported to an insurer or reinsurer. To account for these increases, a “loss development factor” or multiplier is usually applied to a claim or group of claims in an effort to more accurately project the ultimate amount that will be paid.
 
   
Losses and loss expense ratio
  Derived by dividing net losses and loss expenses by net earned premiums.
 
   
Losses and loss expenses
  “Losses” are an occurrence that is the basis for submission or payment of a claim. Losses may be covered, limited or excluded from coverage, depending on the terms of the insurance policy or other insurance or reinsurance contracts. “Loss expenses” are the expenses incurred by an insurance or reinsurance company in settling a loss.
 
   
Net limits
  The amount that an insurer or reinsurer will insure or reinsure for a specified risk, a portfolio of risks or on a single insured entity, less any applicable reinsurance purchased by such insurer or reinsurer. The term also refers to the maximum amount of benefit payable for a given claim or occurrence.
 
   
Occurrence policies
  A liability policy covering all claims arising from an event that takes place during the policy period, regardless of when the claim is reported to us.
 
   
Occurrence-reported policies
  A liability policy covering all claims arising from an event that takes place after a date specified in the policy and the claims must be reported to the insurer during the policy period.
 
   
Paid losses
  Claim amounts paid to insureds or ceding companies.
 
   
Primary insurance
  Insurance that absorbs the losses immediately above the insured’s retention layer. A primary insurer will pay up to a certain dollar amount of losses over the insured’s retention, at which point a higher layer excess insurer will be liable for additional losses. The coverage terms of a primary insurance layer typically assume an element of regular loss frequency.

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Professional liability
  Insurance that provides liability coverage to directors and officers, attorneys, doctors, accountants and other professionals who offer services to the general public and claim expertise in a particular area greater than the ordinary layperson for their negligence or malfeasance.
 
   
Quota share reinsurance
  A proportional reinsurance treaty in which the ceding company cedes an agreed-on percentage of every risk it insures that falls within a class or classes of business subject to the treaty.
 
   
Reinsurance
  The practice whereby one insurer, called the reinsurer, in consideration of a premium paid to that reinsurer, agrees to indemnify another insurer, called the ceding company, for part or all of the liability of the ceding company under one or more policies or contracts of insurance that it has issued.
 
   
Report year
  The year in which a claim is reported to us. All years referred to are years ending December 31.
 
   
Reserves
  Liabilities established by insurers and reinsurers to reflect the estimated cost of claims incurred that the insurer or reinsurer will ultimately be required to pay. Reserves are established for losses and for loss expenses, and consist of case reserves and IBNR reserves. As the term is used in this report, “reserves” are meant to include reserves for both losses and for loss expenses.
 
   
Retention
  The amount of exposure an insured retains on any one risk or group of risks. The term may apply to an insurance policy, where the insured is an individual or business, or a reinsurance contract, where the insured is an insurance company. See “Deductible.”

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Surplus treaty reinsurance
  Reinsurance contracts under which the ceding company agrees to cede and the reinsurer agrees to assume part of every risk that exceeds the ceding company’s predetermined retention limit. The reinsurer shares in premiums and losses in the same proportion as it shares in the total policy limits of the risk.
 
   
Swing-rated premium
  Earned premiums from a “swing-rated” reinsurance contract, which is a contract that links the ultimate amount of ceded premium to the ultimate loss ratio on the reinsured business. This type of reinsurance contract enables the cedent to retain a greater portion of premium if the ultimate loss ratio develops at a level below the initial loss threshold set by the reinsurers, but requires a higher amount of ceded premium if the ultimate loss ratio develops above the initial threshold.
 
   
Treaties
  Reinsurance contracts under which the ceding company agrees to cede and the reinsurer agrees to assume risks of a particular class or classes of business.
 
   
Treaty year
  The year in which the contract incepts. Exposure from contracts incepting during the current treaty year will potentially affect both the current accident year as well future accident years.
 
   
ULAE
  Means unallocated loss adjustment expenses, which are an assessment of the internal expenses required to settle claims.
 
   
Ultimate loss
  Total of all expected settlement amounts, whether paid or reserved together with any associated loss adjustment expenses, and is the estimated total amount of loss at the measurement date. For purposes of this report, “ultimate loss” is the sum of paid losses, case reserves and IBNR.

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