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EX-32.2 - SECTION 906 CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER - MERCURY GENERAL CORPdex322.htm
EX-15.1 - REPORT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM - MERCURY GENERAL CORPdex151.htm
EX-32.1 - SECTION 906 CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER - MERCURY GENERAL CORPdex321.htm
EX-31.1 - SECTION 302 CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER - MERCURY GENERAL CORPdex311.htm
EX-31.2 - SECTION 302 CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER - MERCURY GENERAL CORPdex312.htm
EX-15.2 - AWARENESS LETTER OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM - MERCURY GENERAL CORPdex152.htm
EXCEL - IDEA: XBRL DOCUMENT - MERCURY GENERAL CORPFinancial_Report.xls
Table of Contents

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 10-Q

 

 

QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2011

Commission File No. 001-12257

 

 

MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

California   95-2211612

(State or other jurisdiction of

incorporation or organization)

 

(I.R.S. Employer

Identification No.)

 

4484 Wilshire Boulevard, Los Angeles, California   90010
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (323) 937-1060

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the Registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes  x    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).    Yes  x    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See definition of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):

 

Large accelerated filer

 

x

  

Accelerated filer

 

¨

Non-accelerated filer

 

¨ (Do not check if a smaller reporting company)

  

Smaller reporting company

 

¨

Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is a shell company (as defined in the Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).    Yes  ¨    No  x

At April 29, 2011, the Registrant had issued and outstanding an aggregate of 54,817,677 shares of its Common Stock.

 

 

 


Table of Contents

MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION

INDEX TO FORM 10-Q

 

          Page  

PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION

  
Item 1    Financial Statements      3   
  

Consolidated Balance Sheets as of March 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010

     3   
  

Consolidated Statements of Operations for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2011 and 2010

     4   
  

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2011 and 2010

     5   
  

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2011 and 2010

     6   
  

Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

     7   
Item 2    Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations      16   
Item 3    Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risks      29   
Item 4    Controls and Procedures      31   

PART II – OTHER INFORMATION

  
Item 1    Legal Proceedings      31   
Item 1A    Risk Factors      31   
Item 2    Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds      31   
Item 3    Defaults upon Senior Securities      32   
Item 4    Removed and Reserved      32   
Item 5    Other Information      32   
Item 6    Exhibits      32   

SIGNATURES

     33   

 

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PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Financial Statements

MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(in thousands)

 

ASSETS     
     March 31, 2011     December 31, 2010  
     (unaudited)        

Investments, at fair value:

    

Fixed maturities trading (amortized cost $2,494,428; $2,617,656)

   $ 2,519,549      $ 2,652,280   

Equity securities trading (cost $341,450; $336,757)

     394,687        359,606   

Short-term investments (cost $111,618; $143,378)

     111,618        143,371   
                

Total investments

     3,025,854        3,155,257   

Cash

     334,290        181,388   

Receivables:

    

Premiums

     296,321        280,980   

Accrued investment income

     35,712        36,885   

Other

     10,669        10,076   
                

Total receivables

     342,702        327,941   

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     170,645        170,579   

Fixed assets, net

     190,325        196,505   

Current income taxes

     5,292        25,719   

Deferred income taxes

     28,619        26,499   

Goodwill

     42,850        42,850   

Other intangible assets, net

     58,486        60,124   

Other assets

     9,512        16,502   
                

Total assets

   $ 4,208,575      $ 4,203,364   
                
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY     

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 990,719      $ 1,034,205   

Unearned premiums

     853,114        833,379   

Notes payable

     265,592        267,210   

Accounts payable and accrued expenses

     98,026        106,662   

Other liabilities

     180,247        167,093   
                

Total liabilities

     2,387,698        2,408,549   
                

Commitments and contingencies

    

Shareholders’ equity:

    

Common stock without par value or stated value: Authorized 70,000 shares; issued and outstanding 54,818; 54,803

     74,822        74,188   

Additional paid-in capital

     78        78   

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

     (647     (740

Retained earnings

     1,746,624        1,721,289   
                

Total shareholders’ equity

     1,820,877        1,794,815   
                

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,208,575      $ 4,203,364   
                

See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

3


Table of Contents

MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(in thousands, except per share data)

(unaudited)

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
         2011              2010      

Revenues:

     

Net premiums earned

   $ 638,487       $ 640,614   

Net investment income

     35,096         35,886   

Net realized investment gains

     28,690         22,044   

Other

     3,270         1,293   
                 

Total revenues

     705,543         699,837   
                 

Expenses:

     

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     446,461         430,622   

Policy acquisition costs

     121,804         128,982   

Other operating expenses

     58,672         57,324   

Interest

     1,695         1,619   
                 

Total expenses

     628,632         618,547   
                 

Income before income taxes

     76,911         81,290   

Income tax expense

     18,685         20,111   
                 

Net income

   $ 58,226       $ 61,179   
                 

Net income per share:

     

Basic

   $ 1.06       $ 1.12   

Diluted

   $ 1.06       $ 1.12   

Weighted average shares outstanding:

     

Basic

     54,809         54,783   

Diluted

     54,831         54,805   

Dividends declared per share

   $ 0.60       $ 0.59   

See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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Table of Contents

MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

(in thousands)

(unaudited)

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
         2011              2010      

Net income

   $ 58,226       $ 61,179   

Other comprehensive income (loss), before tax:

     

Gains (losses) on hedging instrument

     143         (153
                 

Other comprehensive income (loss), before tax

     143         (153

Income tax expense (benefit) related to gains (losses) on hedging instrument

     50         (54
                 

Comprehensive income, net of tax

   $ 58,319       $ 61,080   
                 

See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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Table of Contents

MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

(in thousands)

(unaudited)

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
         2011             2010      

CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES

    

Net income

   $ 58,226      $ 61,179   

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:

    

Depreciation and amortization

     10,420        8,562   

Net realized investment gains

     (28,690     (22,044

Bond amortization (accretion), net

     1,277        (434

Excess tax benefit from exercise of stock options

     (20     (25

Increase in premiums receivables

     (15,341     (14,795

Decrease in current and deferred income taxes

     18,277        28,866   

(Increase) decrease in deferred policy acquisition costs

     (66     1,075   

Decrease in unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

     (43,486     (30,613

Increase in unearned premiums

     19,735        11,909   

(Decrease) increase in accounts payable and accrued expenses

     (5,411     5,119   

Share-based compensation

     116        209   

Increase (decrease) in other payables

     9,195        (24,315

Other, net

     11,344        8,188   
                

Net cash provided by operating activities

     35,576        32,881   

CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES

    

Fixed maturities available-for-sale in nature:

    

Purchases

     (57,182     (112,172

Sales

     96,707        58,457   

Calls or maturities

     82,925        73,137   

Equity securities available-for-sale in nature:

    

Purchases

     (125,551     (27,070

Sales

     125,673        38,397   

Net (decrease) increase in payable for securities

     (3,264     11,507   

Net decrease in short-term investments

     31,760        21,872   

Purchase of fixed assets

     (5,956     (7,431

Sale and write-off of fixed assets

     554        10   

Other, net

     4,033        (473
                

Net cash provided by investing activities

     149,699        56,234   

CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES

    

Dividends paid to shareholders

     (32,891     (32,323

Excess tax benefit from exercise of stock options

     20        25   

Proceeds from stock options exercised

     498        189   
                

Net cash used in financing activities

     (32,373     (32,109
                

Net increase in cash

     152,902        57,006   

Cash:

    

Beginning of the year

     181,388        185,505   
                

End of period

   $ 334,290      $ 242,511   
                

SUPPLEMENTAL CASH FLOW DISCLOSURE

    

Interest paid

   $ 2,129      $ 2,086   

Income taxes paid (received)

   $ 409      $ (8,757

Net realized gains from sale of investments

   $ 7,776      $ 3,178   

See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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Table of Contents

MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(unaudited)

1. General

Consolidation and Basis of Presentation

The condensed consolidated financial statements include the accounts of Mercury General Corporation and its subsidiaries (referred to herein collectively as the Company). For the list of the Company’s subsidiaries, see Note 1 “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010.

The condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), which differ in some respects from those filed in reports to insurance regulatory authorities. All intercompany transactions have been eliminated.

The financial data of the Company included herein has been prepared without audit. In the opinion of management, all material adjustments of a normal recurring nature necessary to present fairly the Company’s financial position at March 31, 2011 and the results of operations, comprehensive income, and cash flows for the periods presented have been made. Operating results and cash flows for the three months ended March 31, 2011 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2011.

Use of Estimates

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. These estimates require the Company to apply complex assumptions and judgments, and often the Company must make estimates about effects of matters that are inherently uncertain and will likely change in subsequent periods. The most significant assumptions in the preparation of these condensed consolidated financial statements relate to reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses. Actual results could differ from those estimates (See Note 1 “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010).

Earnings per Share

For the three month periods ended March 31, 2011 and 2010, potential common shares of 102,000 and 89,000 shares, respectively, were excluded from the computation of diluted earnings per share because their inclusion would have had an antidilutive effect.

2. Recently Issued Accounting Standards

In December 2010, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued a new standard which modifies step 1 of the goodwill impairment test for entities with a zero or negative carrying value to require entities to assess, considering qualitative factors, whether it is more likely than not that a goodwill impairment exists. If an entity concludes that it is more likely than not that goodwill impairment exists, the entity must perform step 2 of the goodwill impairment test. The new standard allows an entity to use either the equity or the enterprise valuation premise to determine the carrying amount of a reporting unit. The Company adopted the new accounting standard which became effective for impairment tests performed during the interim reporting period ended March 31, 2011. The adoption of the new standard did not have a material impact on the Company’s condensed consolidated financial statements.

In October 2010, the FASB issued a new standard to address diversity in practice regarding the interpretation of which costs relating to the acquisition of new or renewal insurance contracts qualify for deferral. The new standard defines acquisition costs as those related directly to the successful acquisition of new or renewal insurance contracts, and will be effective for fiscal years and interim periods beginning after December 15, 2011. The Company is evaluating the impact of adoption on the Company’s condensed consolidated financial statements.

 

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In January 2010, the FASB issued a new standard related to fair value measurements and disclosures, which amends the earlier FASB standard to provide the Level 3 activity of purchases, sales, issuances, and settlements on a gross basis, which became effective for the interim reporting period ended March 31, 2011. The Company adopted the new accounting standard, and the adoption of the new standard did not have a material impact on the Company’s condensed consolidated financial statements.

3. Fair Value of Financial Instruments

The financial instruments recorded in the consolidated balance sheets include investments, receivables, interest rate swap agreements, accounts payable, equity contracts, and secured and unsecured notes payable. Due to their short-term maturity, the carrying value of receivables and accounts payable approximate their fair market values. The following table presents estimated fair values of financial instruments at March 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010.

 

     March 31, 2011      December 31, 2010  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Assets

     

Investments

   $ 3,025,854       $ 3,155,257   

Interest rate swap agreements

   $ 2,610       $ 4,240   

Liabilities

     

Interest rate swap agreements

   $ 2,468       $ 3,042   

Equity contracts

   $ 3,149       $ 2,776   

Secured notes

   $ 138,205       $ 138,332   

Unsecured note

   $ 127,394       $ 128,280   

Methods and assumptions used in estimating fair values are as follows:

Investments

The Company applies the fair value option to all fixed maturity and equity securities and short-term investments as of the time the eligible item is first recognized. For additional disclosures regarding methods and assumptions used in estimating fair values of these securities, see Note 5 of Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Interest rate swap agreements

The fair value of interest rate swap agreements reflects the estimated amounts that the Company would pay or receive at March 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010 in order to terminate the contracts based on models using inputs, such as interest rate yield curves, observable for substantially the full term of the contract. For additional disclosures regarding methods and assumptions used in estimating fair values of interest rate swap agreements, see Note 5 of Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Equity contracts

The fair value of equity contracts is based on quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets. For additional disclosures regarding methods and assumptions used in estimating fair values of equity contracts, see Note 5 of Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Secured notes

The fair value of the Company’s $120 million and $18 million secured notes is estimated based on assumptions and inputs, such as reset rates, for similar termed notes that are observable in the market.

Unsecured note

The fair value of the Company’s publicly traded $125 million unsecured note is based on the unadjusted quoted price for similar notes in active markets.

 

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Table of Contents

4. Fair Value Option

Gains and losses due to changes in fair value for items measured at fair value pursuant to application of the fair value option are included in net realized investment gains in the Company’s consolidated statements of operations, while interest and dividend income on the investment holdings are recognized on an accrual basis on each measurement date and are included in net investment income in the Company’s consolidated statements of operations. The primary reasons for electing the fair value option were simplification and cost-benefit considerations as well as expansion of use of fair value measurement consistent with the long-term measurement objectives of the FASB for accounting for financial instruments.

The following table presents gains (losses) due to changes in fair value for items measured at fair value pursuant to application of the fair value option:

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
     2011     2010  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Fixed maturity securities

   $ (9,503   $ 13,267   

Equity securities

     30,388        5,725   

Short-term investments

     19        (53
                

Total

   $ 20,904      $ 18,939   
                

5. Fair Value Measurement

The Company employs a fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value. The fair value of a financial instrument is the amount that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date using the exit price. Accordingly, when market observable data is not readily available, the Company’s own assumptions are set to reflect those that market participants would be presumed to use in pricing the asset or liability at the measurement date. Assets and liabilities recorded on the consolidated balance sheets at fair value are categorized based on the level of judgment associated with inputs used to measure their fair value and the level of market price observability, as follows:

 

Level 1 Unadjusted quoted prices are available in active markets for identical assets or liabilities as of the reporting date.

 

Level 2 Pricing inputs are other than quoted prices in active markets, which are based on the following:

 

   

Quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets;

 

   

Quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in non-active markets; or

 

   

Either directly or indirectly observable inputs as of the reporting date and fair value is determined through the use of models or other valuation.

 

Level 3 Pricing inputs are unobservable and significant to the overall fair value measurement, and the determination of fair value requires significant management judgment or estimation.

In certain cases, the inputs used to measure fair value may fall into different levels of the fair value hierarchy. In such cases, the level in the fair value hierarchy within which the fair value measurement in its entirety falls has been determined based on the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement in its entirety. Thus, a Level 3 fair value measurement may include inputs that are observable (Level 1 or Level 2) and unobservable (Level 3). The Company’s assessment of the significance of a particular input to the fair value measurement in its entirety requires judgment and consideration of factors specific to the asset or liability.

The Company uses prices and inputs that are current as of the measurement date, including during periods of market disruption. In periods of market disruption, the ability to observe prices and inputs may be reduced for many instruments. This condition could cause an instrument to be reclassified from Level 1 to Level 2, or from Level 2 to Level 3. The Company recognizes transfers between levels at either the actual date of the event or a change in circumstances that caused the transfer.

Summary of Significant Valuation Techniques for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities

The Company’s fair value measurements are based on a combination of the market approach and the income approach. The market approach utilizes market transaction data for the same or similar instruments. The income approach is based on a discounted cash flow methodology, where expected cash flows are discounted to present value.

The Company obtained unadjusted fair values on approximately 98% of its portfolio from an independent pricing service. For approximately 2% of its portfolio, the Company obtained specific unadjusted broker quotes from at least one knowledgeable outside security broker to determine the fair value.

 

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Level 1 Measurements – Fair values of financial assets and financial liabilities are obtained from an independent pricing service, and are based on unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities in active markets. Additional pricing services and closing exchange values are used as a comparison to ensure realistic fair values are used in pricing the investment portfolio.

U.S. government bonds and agencies: Valued using unadjusted quoted market prices for identical assets in active markets.

Common stock: Comprised of actively traded, exchange listed U.S. and international equity securities and valued based on unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets in active markets.

Money market instruments: Valued based on unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets.

Equity contracts: Comprised of free-standing exchange listed derivatives that are actively traded and valued based on quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets.

Level 2 Measurements – Fair values of financial assets and financial liabilities are obtained from an independent pricing service or outside brokers, and are based on prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets or valuation models whose inputs are observable, directly or indirectly, for substantially the full term of the asset or liability. Additional pricing services are used as a comparison to ensure reliable fair values are used in pricing the investment portfolio.

Municipal securities: Valued based on models or matrices using inputs including quoted prices for identical or similar assets in active markets.

Mortgage-backed securities: Comprised of securities that are collateralized by residential mortgage loans and valued based on models or matrices using multiple observable inputs, such as benchmark yields, reported trades and broker/dealer quotes, for identical or similar assets in active markets. At March 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010, the Company had no holdings in commercial mortgage-backed securities.

Corporate securities/Short-term bonds: Valued based on a multi-dimensional model using multiple observable inputs, such as benchmark yields, reported trades, broker/dealer quotes and issue spreads, for identical or similar assets in active markets.

Non-redeemable preferred stock: Valued based on observable inputs, such as underlying and common stock of same issuer and appropriate spread over a comparable U.S. Treasury security, for identical or similar assets in active markets.

Interest rate swap agreements: Valued based on models using inputs, such as interest rate yield curves, observable for substantially the full term of the contract.

Level 3 Measurements – Fair values of financial assets are based on inputs that are both unobservable and significant to the overall fair value measurement, including any items in which the evaluated prices obtained elsewhere were deemed to be of a distressed trading level.

Municipal securities: Comprised of certain distressed municipal securities for which valuation is based on models that are widely accepted in the financial services industry and require projections of future cash flows that are not market observable. Included in this category are auction rate securities (“ARS”).

Collateralized debt obligations: Valued based on underlying debt instruments and the appropriate benchmark spread for similar assets in active markets; taking into consideration unobservable inputs related to liquidity assumptions.

The Company’s total financial instruments at fair value are reflected in the consolidated balance sheets on a trade-date basis. Related unrealized gains or losses are recognized in net realized investment gains in the consolidated statements of operations. Fair value measurements are not adjusted for transaction costs.

The following tables present information about the Company’s assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of March 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010, and indicate the fair value hierarchy of the valuation techniques utilized by the Company to determine such fair value:

 

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Table of Contents
     March 31, 2011  
     Level 1      Level 2      Level 3      Total  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Assets

           

Fixed maturity securities:

           

U.S. government bonds and agencies

   $ 13,125       $ 0       $ 0       $ 13,125   

Municipal securities

     0         2,312,591         0         2,312,591   

Mortgage-backed securities

     0         48,858         0         48,858   

Corporate securities

     0         86,567         0         86,567   

Collateralized debt obligations

     0         0         58,408         58,408   

Equity securities:

           

Common stock:

           

Public utilities

     25,882         0         0         25,882   

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

     19,105         0         0         19,105   

Industrial and other

     337,912         0         0         337,912   

Non-redeemable preferred stock

     0         11,788         0         11,788   

Short-term bonds

     0         13,012         0         13,012   

Money market instruments

     98,600         0         0         98,600   

Equity contracts

     6         0            6   

Interest rate swap agreements

     0         2,610         0         2,610   
                                   

Total assets at fair value

   $ 494,630       $ 2,475,426       $ 58,408       $ 3,028,464   
                                   

Liabilities

           

Equity contracts

   $ 3,149       $ 0       $ 0       $ 3,149   

Interest rate swap agreements

     0         2,468         0         2,468   
                                   

Total liabilities at fair value

   $ 3,149       $ 2,468       $ 0       $ 5,617   
                                   
     December 31, 2010  
     Level 1      Level 2      Level 3      Total  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Assets

           

Fixed maturity securities:

           

U.S. government bonds and agencies

   $ 8,805       $ 0       $ 0       $ 8,805   

Municipal securities

     0         2,433,589         1,624         2,435,213   

Mortgage-backed securities

     0         57,367         0         57,367   

Corporate securities

     0         95,203         0         95,203   

Collateralized debt obligations

     0         0         55,692         55,692   

Equity securities:

           

Common stock:

           

Public utilities

     27,214         0         0         27,214   

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

     20,521         0         0         20,521   

Industrial and other

     302,103         0         0         302,103   

Non-redeemable preferred stock

     0         9,768         0         9,768   

Short-term bonds

     0         17,043         0         17,043   

Money market instruments

     126,328         0         0         126,328   

Interest rate swap agreements

     0         4,240         0         4,240   
                                   

Total assets at fair value

   $ 484,971       $ 2,617,210       $ 57,316       $ 3,159,497   
                                   

Liabilities

           

Equity contracts

   $ 2,776       $ 0       $ 0       $ 2,776   

Interest rate swap agreements

     0         3,042         0         3,042   
                                   

Total liabilities at fair value

   $ 2,776       $ 3,042       $ 0       $ 5,818   
                                   

 

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The following tables provide a summary of changes in fair value of Level 3 financial assets and financial liabilities held at fair value at March 31, 2011 and 2010.

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
     2011      2010  
     Municipal
Securities
    Collateralized
Debt Obligations
     Municipal
Securities
    Collateralized
Debt Obligations
 
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Beginning Balance

   $ 1,624      $ 55,692       $ 3,322      $ 47,473   

Realized gains included in earnings

     39        2,716         65        7,058   

Purchase

     0        0         0        0   

Sales

     (1,663     0         (1,590     0   

Issuances

     0        0         0        0   

Settlements

     0        0         0        0   
                                 

Ending Balance

   $ 0      $ 58,408       $ 1,797      $ 54,531   
                                 

The amount of total gains for the period included in earnings attributable to assets still held at March 31

   $ 0      $ 2,716       $ 89      $ 7,058   
                                 

There were no transfers between Levels 1, 2, and 3 of the fair value hierarchy during the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010.

At March 31, 2011, the Company did not have any nonrecurring measurements of nonfinancial assets or nonfinancial liabilities.

6. Derivative Financial Instruments

The Company is exposed to certain risks relating to its ongoing business operations. The primary risks managed by derivative instruments are equity price risk and interest rate risk. Equity contracts on various equity securities are intended to manage the price risk associated with forecasted purchases or sales of such securities. Interest rate swaps are intended to manage interest rate risk associated with the Company’s loans with fixed or floating rates.

On February 6, 2009, the Company entered into an interest rate swap of its floating LIBOR rate on the $120 million credit facility, which was used for the acquisition of Auto Insurance Specialists LLC, resulting in a fixed rate of 3.18%. The purpose of the swap is to offset the variability of cash flows resulting from the variable interest rate. The swap is not designated as a hedge and changes in the fair value are adjusted through the consolidated statement of operations in the period of change.

Effective January 2, 2002, the Company entered into an interest rate swap on the $125 million senior notes for a floating rate of LIBOR plus 107 basis points. The swap agreement terminates on August 15, 2011. The swap is designated as a fair value hedge and qualifies for the shortcut method as the hedge is deemed to have no ineffectiveness. The fair market value of the interest rate swap was $2.6 million as of March 31, 2011, and has been recorded in other assets in the consolidated balance sheets with a corresponding increase in notes payable. The Company includes the gain or loss on the hedged item in the same line item, other revenue, as the offsetting loss or gain on the related interest rate swaps as follows:

 

Income Statement Classification

   Three Months Ended March 31,  
   2011      2010  
   Gain (Loss) on
Swap
    Gain (Loss) on
Loan
     Gain (Loss) on
Swap
    Gain (Loss) on
Loan
 
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Other revenue

   $ (1,630   $ 1,630       $ (493   $ 493   

On March 3, 2008, the Company entered into an interest rate swap of its floating LIBOR rate on the $18 million bank loan for a fixed rate of 4.25%. The swap agreement terminates on March 1, 2013. The swap is designated as a cash flow hedge. The fair market value of the interest rate swap was $1.0 million as of March 31, 2011, and has been reported as a component of other comprehensive income and amortized into earnings over the term of the hedged transaction. The interest rate swap was determined to be highly effective, and no amount of ineffectiveness was recorded in earnings during the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010.

 

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Fair value amounts, and gains and losses on derivative instruments

The following tables provide the location and amounts of derivative fair values in the consolidated balance sheets and derivative gains and losses in the consolidated statements of operations:

 

     Asset Derivatives      Liability Derivatives  
     March 31, 2011      December 31, 2010      March 31, 2011     December 31, 2010  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Hedging derivatives

          

Interest rate contracts—Other assets (liabilities)

   $ 2,610       $ 4,240       $ (996   $ (1,139
                                  

Non-hedging derivatives

          

Interest rate contracts—Other liabilities

   $ 0       $ 0       $ (1,472   $ (1,903

Equity contracts—Short-term investments (Other liabilities)

     6         0         (3,149     (2,776
                                  

Total non-hedging derivatives

   $ 6       $ 0       $ (4,621   $ (4,679
                                  

Total derivatives

   $ 2,616       $ 4,240       $ (5,617   $ (5,818
                                  

The Effect of Derivative Instruments on the Consolidated Statements of Operations

 

Derivatives Contracts for Fair Value Hedges

   Loss Recognized in Income  
   Three Months Ended March 31,  
   2011     2010  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Interest rate contract—Interest expense

   $ (1,768   $ (1,841
     Gain (Loss) Recognized in Other
Comprehensive Income
 
     Three Months Ended March 31,  

Derivatives Contracts for Cash Flow Hedges

   2011     2010  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Interest rate contract—Other comprehensive income

   $ 143      $ (153
     Gain (Loss) Recognized in Income  
     Three Months Ended March 31,  

Derivatives Not Designated as Hedging Instruments

   2011     2010  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Interest rate contract—Other revenue

   $ 431      $ (664

Equity contracts—Net realized investment gains

     2,472        576   
                

Total

   $ 2,903      $ (88
                

There were no gains or losses on derivative instruments designated as cash flow hedges reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income into earnings during the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010.

Most equity contracts consist of covered calls. The Company writes covered calls on underlying equity positions held as an enhanced income strategy that is permitted for the Company’s insurance subsidiaries under statutory regulations. The Company manages the risk associated with covered calls through strict capital limitations and asset diversification throughout various industries. For additional disclosures regarding equity contracts, see Note 5 of Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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7. Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets

There were no changes in the carrying amount of goodwill for the three months ended March 31, 2011. Goodwill is reviewed for impairment on an annual basis and more frequently if potential impairment indicators exist. No impairment indications were identified during any of the periods presented.

The following table presents the components of other intangible assets as of March 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010.

 

     Gross Carrying
Amount
     Accumulated
Amortization
    Net Carrying
Amount
 
     (Amounts in thousands)  

As of March 31, 2011:

       

Customer relationships

   $ 51,755       $ (10,994   $ 40,761   

Trade names

     15,400         (1,444     13,956   

Software and technology

     4,850         (1,517     3,333   

Favorable leases

     1,725         (1,289     436   
                         

Total intangible assets, net

   $ 73,730       $ (15,244   $ 58,486   
                         

As of December 31, 2010:

       

Customer relationships

   $ 51,755       $ (9,767   $ 41,988   

Trade names

     15,400         (1,283     14,117   

Software and technology

     4,850         (1,410     3,440   

Favorable leases

     1,725         (1,146     579   
                         

Total intangible assets, net

   $ 73,730       $ (13,606   $ 60,124   
                         

 

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Intangible assets are amortized on a straight-line basis over their useful lives. Intangible assets amortization expense was $1.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2011. The following table presents the estimated future amortization expense related to intangible assets as of March 31, 2011:

 

Year Ending December 31,

  

Amortization Expense

 
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Remainder of 2011

   $ 4,737   

2012

     6,160   

2013

     5,986   

2014

     5,980   

2015

     5,980   

Thereafter

     29,643   
        

Total

   $ 58,486   
        

8. Share-Based Compensation

The Company accounts for share-based compensation using the modified prospective transition method. Under this method, share-based compensation expense includes compensation expense for all share-based compensation awards granted prior to, but not yet vested as of January 1, 2006, based on the estimated grant-date fair value. Share-based compensation expense for all share-based payment awards granted or modified on or after January 1, 2006 is based on the estimated grant-date fair value. The Company recognizes these compensation costs on a straight-line basis over the requisite service period of the award, which is the option vesting term of four or five years for options granted prior to 2008 and four years for options granted subsequent to January 1, 2008, for only those shares expected to vest. The fair value of stock option awards is estimated using the Black-Scholes option pricing model with inputs for grant-date assumptions and weighted-average fair values.

Under its 2005 Equity Participation Plan (the “Plan”), the Compensation Committee of the Company’s Board of Directors granted performance vesting restricted stock units to the Company’s senior management and key employees on March 9, 2011. The restricted stock units vest at the end of a three-year performance period, and then only if, and to the extent that, the Company’s cumulative underwriting income during such three-year performance period ending December 31, 2013 achieves the 2011 defined threshold performance levels established by the Compensation Committee. The target number of shares of common stock for which the restricted stock units may vest is 80,000. However, the restricted stock units may vest for up to 120,000 shares of common stock based upon the extent to which the Company’s three-year performance exceeds the target established by the Compensation Committee. The Compensation Committee granted 55,000 restricted stocks and restricted stock units in 2010 which will vest at the end of a three-year performance period ending December 31, 2012 if, and to the extent that, the Company’s cumulative underwriting income during the three-year performance period ending December 31, 2012 achieves the 2010 defined threshold performance levels.

The fair value of the restricted share grant was determined based on the market price on the date of grant. Compensation cost has been recognized based on management’s best estimates that performance goals will be achieved. If such goals are not met as of the end of the three-year performance period, no compensation cost would be recognized and any recognized compensation cost would be reversed.

9. Income Taxes

The Company recognizes tax benefits related to positions taken, or expected to be taken, on a tax return once a “more-likely-than-not” threshold has been met. For a tax position that meets the recognition threshold, the largest amount of tax benefit that is greater than 50 percent likely of being realized upon ultimate settlement is recognized in the financial statements.

There was a $1 million net increase to the total amount of unrecognized tax benefits related to tax uncertainties during the three months ended March 31, 2011. The net increase was the result of tax positions taken in the current period based on management’s best judgment given the facts, circumstances, and information available at the reporting date. The Company does not expect any further changes in such unrecognized tax benefits to have a significant impact on its consolidated financial statements within the next 12 months.

The Company and its subsidiaries file income tax returns in the U.S. federal jurisdiction and various states. Tax years that remain subject to examination by major taxing jurisdictions are 2005 through 2009 for federal taxes and 2001 through 2009 for California state taxes. Tax years 2005 through 2009 are currently under examination by the Internal Revenue Service.

The Company has been examined by the California Franchise Tax Board (“FTB”) for tax years 2001 through 2005. The FTB has issued Notices of Proposed Assessment to the Company. Management disagrees with the assessments and believes that the resolution will not have a material impact on the condensed consolidated financial statements.

Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the estimated future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial reporting basis and the respective tax basis of the Company’s assets and liabilities, and expected benefits of utilizing net

 

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operating loss, capital loss, and tax-credit carryforwards. The Company assesses the likelihood that its deferred tax assets will be realized and, to the extent management does not believe these assets are more likely than not to be realized, a valuation allowance is established.

At March 31, 2011, the Company’s deferred income taxes were in a net asset position which included a combination of ordinary and capital deferred tax benefits. In assessing the realizability of deferred tax assets, management considers whether it is more likely than not that some portion or all of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. The ultimate realization of deferred tax assets is dependent upon generating sufficient taxable income of the appropriate nature within the carryback and carryforward periods available under the tax law. Management considers the scheduled reversal of deferred tax liabilities, projected future taxable income of an appropriate nature, and tax-planning strategies in making this assessment. The Company believes that through the use of prudent tax planning strategies and the generation of capital gains, sufficient income will be realized in order to maximize the full benefits of its deferred tax assets. Although realization is not assured, management believes it is more likely than not that the Company’s deferred tax assets will be realized.

10. Contingencies

The Company is, from time to time, named as a defendant in various lawsuits incidental to its insurance business. In most of these actions, plaintiffs assert claims for punitive damages, which are not insurable under judicial decisions. The Company has established reserves for lawsuits in which the Company is able to estimate its potential exposure and the likelihood that the court will rule against the Company is probable. Additionally, from time to time, regulators may take actions to challenge the Company’s business practices. The Company vigorously defends these actions, unless a reasonable settlement appears appropriate. An unfavorable ruling against the Company in the actions currently pending may have a material impact on the Company’s quarterly results of operations in the period of such ruling; however, none is expected to be material to the Company’s financial position. For a discussion of the Company’s pending material litigation, see the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010.

 

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Cautionary Statements

Certain statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q or in other materials the Company has filed or will file with the SEC (as well as information included in oral statements or other written statements made or to be made by the Company) contain or may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These forward-looking statements may address, among other things, the Company’s strategy for growth, business development, regulatory approvals, market position, expenditures, financial results, and reserves. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance and are subject to important factors and events that could cause the Company’s actual business, prospects, and results of operations to differ materially from the historical information contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and from those that may be expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in other reports or public statements made by the Company.

Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: the competition currently existing in the automobile insurance markets in California and other states in which the Company operates; the cyclical and general competitive nature of the property and casualty insurance industry and general uncertainties regarding loss reserve or other estimates, the accuracy and adequacy of the Company’s pricing methodologies; the Company’s success in managing its business in states outside of California; the impact of potential third party “bad-faith” legislation, changes in laws, regulations or new interpretation of existing laws and regulations, tax position challenges by the FTB, and decisions of courts, regulators and governmental bodies, particularly in California; the Company’s ability to obtain and the timing of the approval of premium rate changes for insurance policies issued in states where the Company operates; the Company’s reliance on independent agents and brokers to market and distribute its policies; the investment yields the Company is able to obtain with its investments in comparison to recent yields and the market risks associated with the Company’s investment portfolio; uncertainties related to assumptions and projections generally, inflation and changes in economic conditions; changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; court decisions, trends in litigation, and health care and auto repair costs; adverse weather conditions or natural disasters in the markets served by the Company; the stability of the Company’s information technology systems and the ability of the Company to execute on its information technology initiatives; the Company’s ability to realize current deferred tax assets or to hold certain securities with current loss positions to recovery or maturity; and other uncertainties, all of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond the Company’s control. GAAP prescribes when a Company may reserve for particular risks including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when a reserve is established for a major contingency. Reported results may therefore appear to be volatile in certain periods.

The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or future events or otherwise. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements,

 

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which speak only as of the date of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q or, in the case of any document the Company incorporates by reference, any other report filed with the SEC or any other public statement made by the Company, the date of the document, report, or statement. Investors should also understand that it is not possible to predict or identify all factors and should not consider the risks set forth above to be a complete statement of all potential risks and uncertainties. If the expectations or assumptions underlying the Company’s forward-looking statements prove inaccurate or if risks or uncertainties arise, actual results could differ materially from those predicted in any forward-looking statements. The factors identified above are believed to be some, but not all, of the important factors that could cause actual events and results to be significantly different from those that may be expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements should also be considered in light of the information provided in “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010 and in Item 1A. Risk Factors in Part II—Other Information of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

OVERVIEW

A. General

The operating results of property and casualty insurance companies are subject to significant quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year fluctuations due to the effect of competition on pricing, the frequency and severity of losses, the effect of natural disasters on losses, general economic conditions, the general regulatory environment in those states in which an insurer operates, state regulation of premium rates, changes in fair value of investments, and other factors such as changes in tax laws. The property and casualty industry has been highly cyclical, with periods of high premium rates and shortages of underwriting capacity followed by periods of severe price competition and excess capacity. These cycles can have a large impact on the Company’s ability to grow and retain business.

This section discusses some of the relevant factors that management considers in evaluating the Company’s performance, prospects, and risks. It is not all-inclusive and is meant to be read in conjunction with the entirety of management’s discussion and analysis, the Company’s condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, and all other items contained within this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

B. Business

The Company is primarily engaged in writing automobile insurance through 13 insurance subsidiaries (“Insurance Companies”). The Company also writes homeowners, mechanical breakdown, fire, umbrella, and commercial automobile and property insurance. These policies are mostly sold through independent agents and brokers who receive a commission for selling policies. The Company believes that it has a thorough underwriting process that gives the Company an advantage over its competitors. The Company views its agent relationships and underwriting process as one of its primary competitive advantages because it allows the Company to charge lower premiums yet realize better margins than many competitors.

 

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The Company operates primarily in the state of California, the only state in which it operated prior to 1990. The Company has since expanded its operations into the following states: Georgia and Illinois (1990), Oklahoma and Texas (1996), Florida (1998), Virginia and New York (2001), New Jersey (2003), and Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Nevada (2004). The direct premiums written during the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010 by state and line of business were:

Three Months Ended March 31, 2011

(Amounts in thousands)

 

     Private
Passenger Auto
    Homeowners     Commercial
Auto
    Other Lines     Total        

California

   $ 414,237      $ 52,506      $ 19,368      $ 13,404      $ 499,515        75.8

Florida

     44,469        2,069        3,622        2,396        52,556        8.0

Texas

     16,499        269        1,263        4,490        22,521        3.4

New Jersey

     22,497        385        —          87        22,969        3.5

Other states

     47,310        7,631        1,628        4,984        61,553        9.3
                                                

Total

   $ 545,012      $ 62,860      $ 25,881      $ 25,361      $ 659,114        100.0
                                                
     82.7     9.5     3.9     3.9     100.0  

Three Months Ended March 31, 2010

(Amounts in thousands)

 

     Private
Passenger Auto
    Homeowners     Commercial
Auto
    Other Lines     Total        

California

   $ 423,456      $ 48,733      $ 20,028      $ 13,889      $ 506,106        77.5

Florida

     38,622        2,528        3,248        1,453        45,851        7.0

Texas

     17,517        301        1,518        3,809        23,145        3.5

New Jersey

     21,493        92        —          81        21,666        3.3

Other states

     45,375        5,150        1,717        4,405        56,647        8.7
                                                

Total

   $ 546,463      $ 56,804      $ 26,511      $ 23,637      $ 653,415        100
                                                
     83.6     8.7     4.1     3.6     100  

C. Regulatory and Litigation Matters

The Department of Insurance (“DOI”) in each state in which the Company operates is responsible for conducting periodic financial and market conduct examinations of the Insurance Companies in their states. Market conduct examinations typically review compliance with insurance statutes and regulations with respect to rating, underwriting, claims handling, billing, and other practices. The following table presents a summary of current financial and market conduct examinations:

 

State

  

Exam Type

  

Period Under Review

  

Status

OK

   Financial    2008 to 2010    Fieldwork will begin in the second quarter of 2011.

OK

   Market Conduct    2008 to 2010    Fieldwork began on March 15, 2011.

TX

   Financial    2005 to 2009    Received final report on February 16, 2011.

FL

   Financial    2005 to 2009    Received final report on February 4, 2011.

CA

   Financial    2008 to 2010    Fieldwork began on January 31, 2011.

IL

   Market Conduct    Jul 2009 to Jun 2010    Fieldwork completed. Awaiting final report.

IL

   Financial    2005 to 2009    Fieldwork completed. Awaiting final report.

During the course of and at the conclusion of these examinations, the examining DOI generally reports findings to the Company, and none of the findings reported to date is expected to be material to the Company’s financial position.

On April 9, 2010, the California DOI issued a Notice of Non-Compliance (“2010 NNC”) to Mercury Insurance Company, Mercury Casualty Company, and California Automobile Insurance Company based on a Report of Examination of the Rating and Underwriting Practices of these companies issued by the California DOI on February 18, 2010. The 2010 NNC includes allegations of 35 instances of noncompliance with applicable California insurance law and seeks to require that each of Mercury Insurance Company, Mercury Casualty Company, and California Automobile Insurance Company change its rating and underwriting practices

 

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to rectify the alleged noncompliance and may also seek monetary penalties. On April 30, 2010, the Company submitted a Statement of Compliance and Notice of Defense to the 2010 NNC, in which it denied the allegations contained in the 2010 NNC and provided specific defenses to each allegation. The Company also requested a hearing in the event that the Statement of Compliance and Notice of Defense does not establish to the satisfaction of the California DOI that the alleged noncompliance does not exist, and the matters described in the 2010 NNC are not otherwise able to be resolved informally with the California DOI. The Company denies the allegations in the 2010 NNC and believes that it has done nothing to warrant the monetary penalties cited in the 2010 NNC.

In March 2006, the California DOI issued an Amended Notice of Non-Compliance to a Notice of Non-Compliance originally issued in February 2004 (as amended, “2004 NNC”) alleging that the Company charged rates in violation of the California Insurance Code, willfully permitted its agents to charge broker fees in violation of California law, and willfully misrepresented the actual price insurance consumers could expect to pay for insurance by the amount of a fee charged by the consumer’s insurance broker. The California DOI seeks to impose a fine for each policy in which the Company allegedly permitted an agent to charge a broker fee, which the California DOI contends is the use of an unapproved rate, rating plan or rating system. Further, the California DOI seeks to impose a penalty for each and every date on which the Company allegedly used a misleading advertisement alleged in the 2004 NNC. Finally, based upon the conduct alleged, the California DOI also contends that the Company acted fraudulently in violation of Section 704(a) of the California Insurance Code, which permits the California Commissioner of Insurance to suspend certificates of authority for a period of one year. The Company filed a Notice of Defense in response to the 2004 NNC. The Company does not believe that it has done anything to warrant a monetary penalty from the California DOI. The San Francisco Superior Court, in Robert Krumme, On Behalf Of The General Public v. Mercury Insurance Company, Mercury Casualty Company, and California Automobile Insurance Company, denied plaintiff’s requests for restitution or any other form of retrospective monetary relief based on the same facts and legal theory. While this matter has been the subject of multiple continuations since the original Notice of Non-Compliance was issued in 2004, the Company has received some favorable evidentiary related rulings that may impact the outcome of this matter, and it is anticipated that a schedule will be set in the near future that will enable the Company to file legal arguments addressing the merits of this matter.

In the 2004 and 2010 NNC matters, the Company believes that no monetary penalties are warranted and intends to defend the issues vigorously. The Company has been subject to fines and penalties by the California DOI in the past due to alleged violations of the California Insurance Code. The largest and most recent of these was settled in 2008 for $300,000. However, prior settlement amounts are not necessarily indicative of the potential results in the current Notice of Non-Compliance matters. Based upon its understanding of the facts and the California Insurance Code, the Company does not expect that the ultimate resolution of the 2004 and 2010 NNC matters will be material to the Company’s financial position. The Company has accrued a liability for the estimated cost to defend itself in the regulatory matters described above.

The Company is not able to determine the impact of any of the regulatory matters described above. It is possible that the impact of some of the changes could adversely affect the Company and its operating results, however, the ultimate outcome is not expected to be material to the Company’s financial position.

The Company is, from time to time, named as a defendant in various lawsuits incidental to its insurance business. In most of these actions, plaintiffs assert claims for punitive damages, which are not insurable under judicial decisions. The Company has established reserves for lawsuits in which the Company is able to estimate potential exposure and that the likelihood that the court will rule against the Company is probable. Additionally, from time to time, regulators may take actions to challenge the Company’s business practices. The Company vigorously defends actions, unless a reasonable settlement appears appropriate. An unfavorable ruling against the Company in the actions currently pending may have a material impact on the Company’s quarterly results of operations in the period of such ruling; however, none is expected to be material to the Company’s financial position. For a discussion of legal matters, see the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010.

D. Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

Reserves

Preparation of the Company’s condensed consolidated financial statements requires judgment and estimates. The most significant is the estimate of loss reserves. Estimating loss reserves is a difficult process as many factors can ultimately affect the final settlement of a claim and, therefore, the reserve that is required. Changes in the regulatory and legal environment, results of litigation, medical costs, the cost of repair materials, and labor rates, among other factors, can all impact ultimate claim costs. In addition, time can be a critical part of reserving determinations since the longer the span between the incidence of a loss and the payment or settlement of a claim, the more variable the ultimate settlement amount could be. Accordingly, short-tail claims, such as property damage claims, tend to be more reasonably predictable than long-tail liability claims.

 

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The Company also engages an independent actuarial consultant to review the Company’s reserves and provide the annual actuarial opinions required under state statutory accounting requirements. The Company does not rely on the actuarial consultant for GAAP reporting or periodic report disclosure purposes. The Company analyzes loss reserves quarterly primarily using the incurred loss, claim count, and average severity methods described below. The Company also uses the paid loss development method to analyze losses and loss adjustment expense reserves as part of its reserve analysis. When deciding which method to use in estimating its reserves, the Company evaluates the credibility of each method based on the maturity of the data available and the claims settlement practices for each particular line of business or coverage within a line of business. When establishing the reserve, the Company will generally analyze the results from all of the methods used rather than relying on a single method. While these methods are designed to determine the ultimate losses on claims under the Company’s policies, there is inherent uncertainty in all actuarial models since they use historical data to project outcomes. The Company believes that the techniques it uses provide a reasonable basis in estimating loss reserves.

 

   

The incurred loss development method analyzes historical incurred case loss (case reserves plus paid losses) development to estimate ultimate losses. The Company applies development factors against current case incurred losses by accident period to calculate ultimate expected losses. The Company believes that the incurred loss development method provides a reasonable basis for evaluating ultimate losses, particularly in the Company’s larger, more established lines of business which have a long operating history.

 

   

The claim count development method analyzes historical claim count development to estimate future incurred claim count development for current claims. The Company applies these development factors against current claim counts by accident period to calculate ultimate expected claim counts.

 

   

The average severity method analyzes historical loss payments and/or incurred losses divided by closed claims and/or total claims to calculate an estimated average cost per claim. From this, the expected ultimate average cost per claim can be estimated. The average severity method coupled with the claim count development method provide meaningful information regarding inflation and frequency trends that the Company believes is useful in establishing reserves.

 

   

The paid loss development method analyzes historical payment patterns to estimate the amount of losses yet to be paid. The Company uses this method for losses and loss adjustment expenses.

At March 31, 2011, the Company recorded its point estimate of approximately $990.7 million in losses and loss adjustment expenses liabilities which include approximately $310.9 million of incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) loss reserves. IBNR includes estimates, based upon past experience, of ultimate developed costs which may differ from case estimates, unreported claims which occurred on or prior to March 31, 2011 and estimated future payments for reopened claims. Management believes that the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses is adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred to date; however, since the provisions are necessarily based upon estimates, the ultimate liability may be more or less than such provision.

The Company evaluates its reserves quarterly. When management determines that the estimated ultimate claim cost requires a decrease for previously reported accident years, favorable development occurs and a reduction in losses and loss adjustment expenses is reported in the current period. If the estimated ultimate claim cost requires an increase for previously reported accident years, unfavorable development occurs and an increase in losses and loss adjustment expenses is reported in the current period. For the three months ended March 31, 2011, the Company reported unfavorable development of approximately $1 million on the 2010 and prior accident years’ losses and loss adjustment expense reserves which at December 31, 2010 totaled approximately $1.0 billion.

For a further discussion of the Company’s reserving methods, see the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010.

Premiums

The Company’s insurance premiums are recognized as income in proportion to the amount of insurance protection provided over the term of the policies. Unearned premiums are carried as a liability on the consolidated balance sheets and are computed on a monthly pro-rata basis. The Company evaluates its unearned premiums periodically for premium deficiencies by comparing the sum of expected claim costs, unamortized acquisition costs, and maintenance costs to related unearned premiums, net of investment income. To the extent that any of the Company’s lines of business become unprofitable, a premium deficiency reserve may be required. The Company does not expect this to occur on any of its significant lines of business except Florida homeowners. The Company established a premium deficiency reserve for its Florida homeowners operations at December 31, 2010. The Company is in the process of withdrawing from the Florida homeowners market and expects to complete the withdrawal by September 2012.

 

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Investments

The Company’s fixed maturity and equity investments are classified as “trading” and carried at fair value as required when applying the fair value option, with changes in fair value reflected in net realized investment gains or losses in the consolidated statements of operations. The majority of equity holdings, including non-redeemable preferred stocks, is actively traded on national exchanges or trading markets, and is valued at the last transaction price on the balance sheet date.

Fair Value of Financial Instruments

The financial instruments recorded in the consolidated balance sheets include investments, receivables, interest rate swap agreements, accounts payable, equity contracts, and secured and unsecured notes payable. The fair value of a financial instrument is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Due to their short-term maturity, the carrying values of receivables and accounts payable approximate their fair market values. All investments are carried on the consolidated balance sheets at fair value, as disclosed in Note 3 of Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

The Company’s financial instruments include securities issued by the U.S. government and its agencies, securities issued by states and municipal government and agencies, certain corporate and other debt securities, corporate equity securities, and exchange traded funds. Approximately 98% of the fair value of the financial instruments held at March 31, 2011 is based on observable market prices, observable market parameters, or is derived from such prices or parameters. The availability of observable market prices and pricing parameters can vary across different financial instruments. Observable market prices and pricing parameters in a financial instrument, or a related financial instrument, are used to derive a price without requiring significant judgment.

The Company may hold or acquire financial instruments that lack observable market prices or market parameters currently or in future periods because they are less actively traded. The fair value of such instruments is determined using techniques appropriate for each particular financial instrument. These techniques may involve some degree of judgment. The price transparency of the particular financial instrument will determine the degree of judgment involved in determining the fair value of the Company’s financial instruments. Price transparency is affected by a wide variety of factors, including, for example, the type of financial instrument, whether it is a new financial instrument and not yet established in the marketplace, and the characteristics particular to the transaction. Financial instruments for which actively quoted prices or pricing parameters are available or for which fair value is derived from actively quoted prices or pricing parameters will generally have a higher degree of price transparency. By contrast, financial instruments that are thinly traded or not quoted will generally have diminished price transparency. Even in normally active markets, the price transparency for actively quoted instruments may be reduced for periods of time during periods of market dislocation. Alternatively, in thinly quoted markets, the participation of market makers willing to purchase and sell a financial instrument provides a source of transparency for products that otherwise is not actively quoted.

Income Taxes

At March 31, 2011, the Company’s deferred income taxes were in a net asset position materially due to unearned premiums, expense accruals, loss reserve discounting, and deferred tax recognition of capital losses. The Company assesses the likelihood that its deferred tax assets will be realized and, to the extent management does not believe these assets are more likely than not to be realized, a valuation allowance is established.

Management’s recoverability assessment of its deferred tax assets which are ordinary in character takes into consideration the Company’s strong history of generating ordinary taxable income and a reasonable expectation that it will continue to generate ordinary taxable income in the future. Further, the Company has the capacity to recoup its ordinary deferred tax assets through tax loss carryback claims for taxes paid in prior years. Finally, the Company has various deferred tax liabilities which represent sources of future ordinary taxable income.

Management’s recoverability assessment with regards to its capital deferred tax assets is based on estimates of anticipated capital gains and tax-planning strategies available to generate future taxable capital gains, both of which would contribute to the realization of deferred tax benefits. The Company expects to hold certain quantities of debt securities, which are currently in loss positions, to recovery or maturity. Management believes unrealized losses related to these debt securities, which represent a significant portion of the unrealized loss positions at period end, are not subject to default risk. Thus, the principal amounts are believed to be fully realizable at maturity. The Company has a long-term horizon for holding these securities, which management believes will allow avoidance of forced sales prior to maturity. The Company also has unrealized gains in its investment portfolio which could be realized through asset dispositions, at management’s discretion. Further, the Company has the capability to generate additional realized capital gains by entering into a sale-leaseback transaction using one or more of its appreciated real estate holdings. Finally, the Company has an established history of generating capital gain premiums earned through its common stock call option program. Based on the continued existence of the options market, the substantial amount of capital committed to supporting the call option program, and the Company’s favorable track record in generating net capital gains from this program in both upward and downward markets, management believes it will be able to generate sufficient amounts of capital gains from this program, if necessary, to recover recorded capital deferred tax assets.

 

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The Company has the capability to implement tax planning strategies as it has a steady history of generating positive cash flow from operations, as well as the reasonable expectation that its cash flow needs can be met in future periods without the forced sale of its investments. This capability assists management in controlling the timing and amount of realized losses it generates during future periods. By prudent utilization of some or all of these actions, management believes that it has the ability and intent to generate capital gains, and minimize tax losses, in a manner sufficient to avoid losing the benefits of its deferred tax assets. Management will continue to assess the need for a valuation allowance on a quarterly basis. Although realization is not assured, management believes it is more likely than not that the Company’s deferred tax assets will be realized.

The effective income tax rate for the year could be different from the effective tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2011 and will be dependent on the Company’s profitability for the remainder of the year. The Company’s effective income tax rate can be affected by several factors. These generally include tax exempt investment income, other non-deductible expenses, investment gains and losses, and periodically, non-routine tax items such as adjustments to unrecognized tax benefits related to tax uncertainties. The effective tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2011 was 24.3%, compared to 24.7% for the same period in 2010. The Company’s effective tax rate for the period ended March 31, 2011 was lower than the statutory tax rate primarily as a result of tax exempt interest income earned, however, the effective tax rate for the entire year could differ from the rate for the three months.

Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets

Goodwill and other intangible assets arise as a result of business acquisitions and consist of the excess of the cost of the acquisitions over the tangible and intangible assets acquired and liabilities assumed and identifiable intangible assets acquired. The Company annually evaluates goodwill for impairment using widely accepted valuation techniques to estimate the fair value of its reporting units. The Company also reviews its goodwill and other intangible assets for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that it is more likely than not that the carrying amount of goodwill and other intangible assets may exceed its implied fair value. As of December 31, 2010, the fair value of the Company’s reporting units exceeds their carrying value. There are no triggering events indicating the carrying amount of goodwill exceeds its implied fair value as of March 31, 2011.

Contingent Liabilities

The Company has known, and may have unknown, potential liabilities which include claims, assessments, lawsuits, or regulatory fines and penalties relating to the Company’s business. The Company continually evaluates these potential liabilities and accrues for them and/or discloses them in the notes to the condensed consolidated financial statements where required. While it is not possible to know with certainty the ultimate outcome of contingent liabilities, an unfavorable result may have a material impact on the Company’s quarterly results of operations in the period of such determination; however, it is not expected to be material to the Company’s financial position.

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Three Months Ended March 31, 2011 compared to Three Months Ended March 31, 2010

Revenue

Net premiums earned and net premiums written for the three months ended March 31, 2011 decreased approximately 0.3% and increased approximately 0.9%, respectively, from the corresponding period in 2010. The increase in net premiums written is primarily due to a slight increase in the number of policies written and slightly higher average premiums per policy.

 

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Net premiums written is a non-GAAP financial measure which represents the premiums charged on policies issued during a fiscal period less any applicable reinsurance. Net premiums written is a statutory measure designed to determine production levels. Net premiums earned, the most directly comparable GAAP measure, represents the portion of net premiums written that is recognized as revenue in the financial statements for the period presented and earned on a pro-rata basis over the term of the policies. The following is a reconciliation of total net premiums written to net premiums earned:

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
     2011     2010  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Net premiums written

   $ 658,217      $ 652,462   

Change in unearned premium

     (19,730     (11,848
                

Net premiums earned

   $ 638,487      $ 640,614   
                

Expenses

Loss and expense ratios are used to interpret the underwriting experience of property and casualty insurance companies. The following table presents the Insurance Companies’ loss ratio, expense ratio, and combined ratio determined in accordance with GAAP:

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
     2011     2010  

Loss ratio

     69.9     67.2

Expense ratio

     28.3     29.1
                

Combined ratio

     98.2     96.3
                

 

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The loss ratio is calculated by dividing losses and loss adjustment expenses by net premiums earned. The loss ratio was affected by unfavorable development of approximately $1 million and favorable development of approximately $20 million on prior accident years’ losses and loss adjustment expense reserves for the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively. Excluding the effect of estimated prior periods’ loss development, the loss ratio is generally consistent at 69.8% and 70.3% for the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively.

The expense ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of policy acquisition costs plus other operating expenses by net premiums earned. The expense ratio decreased primarily due to the Company’s continuing cost reduction programs and decreased contingent commission expense.

During January 2011, the Company announced a workforce reduction of approximately 165 employees, primarily located in the California claims operations. Approximately $4 million of severance related expense was recognized during the first quarter of 2011. As a result, the Company expects annual cost savings of approximately $11 million beginning in the second quarter of 2011.

Combined ratio is the key measure of underwriting performance traditionally used in the property and casualty insurance industry. A combined ratio under 100% generally reflects profitable underwriting results; and a combined ratio over 100% generally reflects unprofitable underwriting results.

Income tax expense for the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010 were $18.7 million and $20.1 million, respectively. The decrease in tax expense resulted from the decrease in pre-tax income.

Investments

The following table presents the investment results of the Company:

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
     2011     2010  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Average invested assets at cost (1)

   $ 3,033,779      $ 3,126,280   

Net investment income:

    

Before income taxes

   $ 35,096      $ 35,886   

After income taxes

   $ 31,214      $ 32,197   

Average annual yield on investments:

    

Before income taxes

     4.6     4.6

After income taxes

     4.1     4.1

Net realized investment gains

   $ 28,690      $ 22,044   

 

(1)

Fixed maturities and short-term bonds at amortized cost; and equities and other short-term investments at cost.

Included in net income are net realized investment gains of $28.7 million and $22.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively. Net realized investment gains include gains of $20.9 million and $18.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively, due to changes in the fair value of total investments pursuant to application of the fair value accounting option. The net gains for the three months ended March 31, 2011 arose from a $30.4 million increase in the market value of the Company’s equity securities offset by a $9.5 million decline in the market value of the Company’s fixed maturity securities. The Company’s municipal bond holdings represent the majority of the fixed maturity portfolio, which was negatively affected by the overall municipal market decline. The primary cause of the gains from the Company’s equity securities was the continued improvement in the equity markets.

Net Income

Net income was $58.2 million or $1.06 per diluted share and $61.2 million or $1.12 per diluted share in the three months ended March 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively. Diluted per share results were based on a weighted average of 54.8 million shares each in the three month periods ended March 31, 2011 and 2010. Basic per share results were $1.06 and $1.12 in the three month periods ended March 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively. Included in net income per share were net realized investment gains, net of income taxes, of $0.34 and $0.26 per basic share, and $0.34 and $0.26 per diluted share in the three month periods ended March 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively.

 

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LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

A. Cash Flows

The Company has generated positive cash flow from operations for over twenty consecutive years. Because of the Company’s long track record of positive operating cash flows, it does not attempt to match the duration and timing of asset maturities with those of liabilities. Rather, the Company manages its portfolio with a view towards maximizing total return with an emphasis on after-tax income. With combined cash and short-term investments of $445.9 million at March 31, 2011, the Company believes its cash flow from operations is adequate to satisfy its liquidity requirements without the forced sale of investments. However, the Company operates in a rapidly evolving and often unpredictable business environment that may change the timing or amount of expected future cash receipts and expenditures. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that the Company’s sources of funds will be sufficient to meet its liquidity needs or that the Company will not be required to raise additional funds to meet those needs or for future business expansion, through the sale of equity or debt securities or from credit facilities with lending institutions. The Company anticipates utilizing $125 million of cash and short-term investments to repay the $125 million senior debt maturing on August 15, 2011.

Net cash provided by operating activities in the three months ended March 31, 2011 was $35.6 million, an increase of $2.7 million over the corresponding period in 2010. The Company utilized the cash provided by operating activities primarily for the payment of dividends to its shareholders and the purchase and development of information technology.

The following table presents the estimated fair value of fixed maturity securities at March 31, 2011 by contractual maturity in the next five years:

 

     Fixed Maturities  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Due in one year or less

   $ 20,965   

Due after one year through two years

     66,613   

Due after two years through three years

     143,620   

Due after three years through four years

     80,028   

Due after four years through five years

     95,783   
        
   $ 407,009   
        

B. Invested Assets

Portfolio Composition

An important component of the Company’s financial results is the return on its investment portfolio. The Company’s investment strategy emphasizes safety of principal and consistent income generation, within a total return framework. The investment strategy has historically focused on maximizing after-tax yield with a primary emphasis on maintaining a well diversified, investment grade, fixed income portfolio to support the underlying liabilities and achieve return on capital and profitable growth. The Company believes that investment yield is maximized by selecting assets that perform favorably on a long-term basis and by disposing of certain assets to enhance after-tax yield and minimize the potential effect of downgrades and defaults. The Company continues to believe that this strategy maintains the optimal investment performance necessary to sustain investment income over time. The Company’s portfolio management approach utilizes a market risk and consistent asset allocation strategy as the primary basis for the allocation of interest sensitive, liquid and credit assets as well as for determining overall below investment grade exposure and diversification requirements. Within the ranges set by the asset allocation strategy, tactical investment decisions are made in consideration of prevailing market conditions.

 

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The following table presents the composition of the total investment portfolio of the Company at March 31, 2011:

 

     Cost (1)      Fair Value  
     (Amounts in thousands)  

Fixed maturity securities:

     

U.S. government bonds and agencies

   $ 13,069       $ 13,125   

Municipal securities

     2,312,900         2,312,591   

Mortgage-backed securities

     45,264         48,858   

Corporate securities

     83,948         86,567   

Collateralized debt obligations

     39,247         58,408   
                 
     2,494,428         2,519,549   
                 

Equity securities:

     

Common stock:

     

Public utilities

     20,443         25,882   

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

     17,388         19,105   

Industrial and other

     291,801         337,912   

Non-redeemable preferred stock

     11,818         11,788   
                 
     341,450         394,687   
                 

Short-term investments

     111,618         111,618   
                 

Total investments

   $ 2,947,496       $ 3,025,854   
                 

 

(1)

Fixed maturities and short-term bonds at amortized cost; and equities and other short-term investments at cost.

At March 31, 2011, 76.2% of the Company’s total investment portfolio at fair value and 91.6% of its total fixed maturity investments at fair value were invested in tax-exempt state and municipal bonds. Equity holdings consist of non-redeemable preferred stocks and dividend-bearing common stocks on which dividend income is partially tax-sheltered by the 70% corporate dividend received deduction. At March 31, 2011, 88.3% of short-term investments consisted of highly rated short-duration securities redeemable on a daily or weekly basis. The Company does not have any direct investment in subprime lenders.

During the three months ended March 31, 2011, the Company recognized approximately $28.7 million in net realized investment gains, which primarily include $9.0 million in loss and $35.2 million in gain related to fixed maturity securities and equity securities, respectively. Included in the loss and gain were $9.5 million in loss and $30.4 million in gain due to changes in the fair value of the Company’s fixed maturity portfolio and equity security portfolio, respectively, as a result of applying the fair value option.

Fixed maturity securities

Fixed maturity securities include debt securities, which may have fixed or variable principal payment schedules, may be held for indefinite periods of time, and may be used as a part of the Company’s asset/liability strategy or sold in response to changes in interest rates, anticipated prepayments, risk/reward characteristics, liquidity needs, tax planning considerations or other economic factors. A primary exposure for the fixed maturity securities is interest rate risk. The longer the duration, the more sensitive the asset is to market interest rate fluctuations. As assets with longer maturity dates tend to produce higher current yields, the Company’s historical investment philosophy has resulted in a portfolio with a moderate duration. The nominal average maturity of the overall bond portfolio was 11.6 years (11.2 years including all short-term instruments) at March 31, 2011. The portfolio is heavily weighted in investment grade tax-exempt municipal bonds. Fixed maturity investments purchased by the Company typically have call options attached, which further reduce the duration of the asset as interest rates decline. The call-adjusted average maturity of the overall bond portfolio was 6.6 years (6.4 years including all short-term instruments) at March 31, 2011, related to holdings which are heavily weighted with high coupon issues that are expected to be called prior to maturity. The modified duration of the overall bond portfolio reflecting anticipated early calls was 4.9 years (4.7 years including all short-term instruments) at March 31, 2011, including collateralized mortgage obligations with a modified duration of 2.3 years and short-term bonds that carry no duration. Modified duration measures the length of time it takes, on average, to receive the present value of all the cash flows produced by a bond, including reinvestment of interest. As it measures four factors (maturity, coupon rate, yield and call terms), which determine sensitivity to changes in interest rates; modified duration is considered a better indicator of price volatility than simple maturity alone.

Another exposure related to the fixed maturity securities is credit risk, which is managed by maintaining a weighted-average portfolio credit quality rating of AA-, at fair value, consistent with the average rating at December 31, 2010. To calculate the

 

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weighted-average credit quality ratings as disclosed throughout this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, individual securities were weighted based on fair value and a credit quality numeric score that was assigned to each rating grade. Bond holdings are broadly diversified geographically, within the tax-exempt sector. Holdings in the taxable sector consist principally of investment grade issues. At March 31, 2011, fixed maturity holdings rated below investment grade and non-rated bonds totaled $133.7 million and $33.8 million, respectively, at fair value, and represented 5.3% and 1.3%, respectively, of total fixed maturity securities. At December 31, 2010, fixed maturity holdings rated below investment grade and non-rated bonds totaled $139.4 million and $34.9 million, respectively, at fair value, and represented 5.3% and 1.3%, respectively, of total fixed maturity securities.

The following table presents the credit quality ratings of the Company’s fixed maturity portfolio by security type at March 31, 2011 at fair value. The Company’s estimated credit quality ratings are based on the average of ratings assigned by nationally recognized securities rating organizations. Credit ratings for the Company’s fixed maturity portfolio were stable during the three months ended March 31, 2011, with 93.7% of fixed maturity securities at fair value experiencing no change in their overall rating. 2.8% of fixed maturity securities at fair value experienced downgrades during the period, and 3.5% in credit upgrades. The majority of the downgrades were due to continued downgrading of the monoline bond insurance carried on much of the municipal holdings. The majority of the downgrades was slight and still within the investment grade portfolio, although $5.1 million, at fair value, was downgraded to below investment grade during the quarter.

 

     March 31, 2011  
     (Amounts in thousands)  
     AAA     AA (1)     A (1)     BBB (1)     Non-Rated/Other     Total  

U.S. government bonds and agencies:

            

Treasuries

   $ 6,801      $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ 6,801   

Government agency

     6,324        —          —          —          —          6,324   
                                                

Total

     13,125        —          —          —          —          13,125   
                                                
     100.0             100.0

Municipal securities:

            

Insured

     7,231        562,230        587,450        159,568        44,258        1,360,737   

Uninsured

     201,890        298,347        270,969        147,353        33,295        951,854   
                                                

Total

     209,121        860,577        858,419        306,921        77,553        2,312,591   
                                                
     9.0     37.2     37.1     13.3     3.4     100.0

Mortgage-backed securities:

            

Agencies

     25,106        —          —          —          —          25,106   

Non-agencies:

            

Prime

     5,271        1,330        442        788        5,138        12,969   

Alt-A

     509        1,410        1,601        2,237        5,026        10,783   
                                                

Total

     30,886        2,740        2,043        3,025        10,164        48,858   
                                                
     63.2     5.6     4.2     6.2     20.8     100.0

Corporate securities:

            

Communications

     —          —          —          6,675        —          6,675   

Consumer—cyclical

     —          —          —          —          122        122   

Energy

     —          —          —          4,953        7,840        12,793   

Basic materials

     —          —          —          4,162        —          4,162   

Financial

     5,473        19,534        13,836        7,315        12,216        58,374   

Utilities

     —          —          —          3,332        1,109        4,441   
                                                

Total

     5,473        19,534        13,836        26,437        21,287        86,567   
                                                
     6.3     22.6     16.0     30.5     24.6     100.0

Collateralized debt obligations:

            

Corporate—hybrid

     —          —          —          —          58,408        58,408   
                                                

Total

     —          —          —          —          58,408        58,408   
                                                
             100.0     100.0

Total

   $ 258,605      $ 882,851      $ 874,298      $ 336,383      $ 167,412      $ 2,519,549   
                                                
     10.3     35.0     34.7     13.4     6.6     100.0

 

(1)

Intermediate ratings are offered at each level (e.g., AA includes AA+, AA and AA-).

 

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(1) Municipal Securities

The Company had approximately $2.3 billion at fair value and at amortized cost in municipal bonds at March 31, 2011, of which approximately $1.4 billion were insured by bond insurers. For insured municipal bonds that have underlying ratings, the average underlying rating was A+ at March 31, 2011.

At March 31, 2011, the bond insurers providing credit enhancement were Assured Guaranty Corporation and National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation, which covered approximately 14% of the insured municipal securities. The average rating of the Company’s insured municipal bonds by these bond insurers was AA-, with an underlying rating of A+. The remaining bond insurers credit ratings are non-rated or below investment grade, and the Company does not believe that they provide credit enhancement to the municipal bonds that they insure.

The Company considers the strength of the underlying credit as a buffer against potential market value declines which may result from future rating downgrades of the bond insurers. In addition, the Company has a long-term time horizon for its municipal bond holdings which generally allows it to recover the full principal amounts upon maturity, avoiding forced sales prior to maturity of bonds that have declined in market value due to the bond insurers’ rating downgrades. Based on the uncertainty surrounding the financial condition of these insurers, it is possible that there will be additional downgrades to below investment grade ratings by the rating agencies in the future, and such downgrades could impact the estimated fair value of municipal bonds.

The Company owned $1.6 million at fair value of ARS at December 31, 2010. ARS are valued based on a discounted cash flow model with certain inputs that are not observable in the market and are considered Level 3 inputs. At March 31, 2011, the Company had no holdings in ARS.

(2) Mortgage-Backed Securities

The mortgage-backed securities portfolio consists of loans to “prime” borrowers except for $10.8 million and $11.5 million ($10.3 million and $10.7 million at amortized cost) of Alt-A mortgages at March 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010, respectively. Alt-A mortgage backed securities are at fixed or variable rates and include certain securities that are collateralized by residential mortgage loans issued to borrowers with stronger credit profiles than sub-prime borrowers, but do not qualify for prime financing terms due to high loan-to-value ratios or limited supporting documentation. At March 31, 2011, the Company had no holdings in commercial mortgage-backed securities.

The weighted-average rating of the Company’s Alt-A mortgage-backed securities is BBB and the weighted-average rating of the entire mortgage-backed securities portfolio is AA- at March 31, 2011.

(3) Corporate Securities

Included in fixed maturity securities are $86.6 million of corporate securities with a weighted-average rating of BBB+ and a duration of 3.9 years at March 31, 2011.

(4) Collateralized Debt Obligations

Included in fixed maturities securities are collateralized debt obligations of $58.4 million, which represent approximately 1.9% of the total investment portfolio and have a duration of 1.8 years at March 31, 2011.

Equity securities

Equity holdings consist of non-redeemable preferred stocks and common stocks on which dividend income is partially tax-sheltered by the 70% corporate dividend received deduction. The net gain due to changes in fair value of the Company’s equity portfolio during the three months ended March 31, 2011 was $30.4 million. The primary cause of the gains in the Company’s equity portfolio was the continued improvement in the equity markets.

The Company’s common stock allocation is intended to enhance the return of and provide diversification for the total portfolio. At March 31, 2011, 13.0% of the total investment portfolio at fair value was held in equity securities, compared to 11.4% at December 31, 2010.

Short-term investments

At March 31, 2011, short-term investments include money market accounts, options, and short-term bonds which are highly rated short duration securities and redeemable within one year.

C. Debt

The Company has $125 million of senior notes, which are unsecured senior obligations with a 7.25% annual coupon payable on August 15 and February 15 each year commencing February 15, 2002. These notes mature on August 15, 2011. On December 16,

 

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2010, the California DOI notified the Company that Mercury Casualty Company was authorized to pay a $270 million extraordinary dividend to Mercury General in 2011. Mercury General intends to use a portion of the proceeds from the dividend to repay the senior notes.

The Company has a $120 million credit facility and an $18 million bank loan that contain certain financial covenants pertaining to minimum statutory surplus, debt to capital ratio, and risk based capital ratio. As of March 31, 2011, the Company was in compliance with these covenants.

The $120 million credit facility matures on January 1, 2012. The Company expects to either extend the credit facility, refinance the outstanding amount, or retire the debt using cash on hand and funds generated by operations or by selling securities in the investment portfolio.

D. Regulatory Capital Requirement

Industry and regulatory guidelines suggest that the ratio of a property and casualty insurer’s annual net premiums written to statutory policyholders’ surplus should not exceed 3.0 to 1. Based on the combined surplus of all the Insurance Companies of $1.4 billion at March 31, 2011, and net premiums written for the twelve months ended on that date of $2.6 billion, the ratio of premium writings to surplus was 1.9 to 1.

 

Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risks

The Company is subject to various market risk exposures primarily due to its investing and borrowing activities. Primary market risk exposures are changes in interest rates, equity prices, and credit risk. Adverse changes to these rates and prices may occur due to changes in the liquidity of a market, or to changes in market perceptions of creditworthiness and risk tolerance. The following disclosure reflects estimates of future performance and economic conditions. Actual results may differ.

Overview

The Company’s investment policies define the overall framework for managing market and investment risks, including accountability and controls over risk management activities, and specify the investment limits and strategies that are appropriate given the liquidity, surplus, product profile, and regulatory requirements of the subsidiaries. Executive oversight of investment activities is conducted primarily through the Company’s investment committee. The Company’s investment committee focuses on strategies to enhance after-tax yields, mitigate market risks, and optimize capital to improve profitability and returns.

The Company manages exposures to market risk through the use of asset allocation, duration, and credit ratings. Asset allocation limits place restrictions on the total funds that may be invested within an asset class. Duration limits on the fixed maturities portfolio place restrictions on the amount of interest rate risk that may be taken. Comprehensive day-to-day management of market risk within defined tolerance ranges occurs as portfolio managers buy and sell within their respective markets based upon the acceptable boundaries established by investment policies.

Credit risk

Credit risk is risk due to uncertainty in a counterparty’s ability to meet its obligations. Credit risk is managed by maintaining a high credit quality fixed maturities portfolio. As of March 31, 2011, the weighted-average credit quality rating of the fixed maturities portfolio was AA-, at fair value, consistent with the average rating at December 31, 2010. Historically, the ten-year default rate per Moody’s for AA rated municipal bonds has been less than 1%. The Company’s municipal bond holdings, which represent 91.8% of its fixed maturity portfolio at March 31, 2011, at fair value, are broadly diversified geographically. 99.8% of municipal bond holdings are tax-exempt. The following table presents municipal bond holdings by state in descending order of holdings at fair value at March 31, 2011:

 

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States

   Amounts        Average
Rating
 
     (Amounts in thousands)           

Texas

   $ 352,356           AA-   

California

     256,810           A+   

Florida

     179,793           A+   

Washington

     142,769           AA-   

Illinois

     140,834           A+   

Other states

     1,240,029           A+   
             

Total

   $ 2,312,591        
             

The portfolio is broadly diversified among the states and the largest holdings are in populous states such as Texas and California. These holdings are further diversified primarily among cities, counties, schools, public works, hospitals, and state general obligations. Credit risk is addressed by limiting exposure to any particular issuer to ensure diversification.

Taxable fixed maturity securities represent 8.4% of the Company’s fixed maturity portfolio. 18.0% of the Company’s taxable fixed maturity securities were comprised of U.S. government bonds and agencies and mortgage-backed securities (agencies), which were rated AAA at March 31, 2011. $87.9 million of the Company’s taxable fixed maturity securities, representing 3.5% of the total fixed maturity portfolio, were rated below investment grade. Below investment grade issues are considered “watch list” items by the Company, and their status is evaluated within the context of the Company’s overall portfolio and its investment policy on an aggregate risk management basis, as well as their ability to recover their investment on an individual issue basis.

Equity price risk

Equity price risk is the risk that the Company will incur losses due to adverse changes in the general levels of the equity markets.

At March 31, 2011, the Company’s primary objective for common equity investments is current income. The fair value of equity investments consists of $382.9 million in common stocks and $11.8 million in non-redeemable preferred stocks. Common stock equity assets are typically valued for future economic prospects as perceived by the market. The Company invests more in the energy and utility sector relative to the S&P 500 Index.

The common equity portfolio represents approximately 13.0% of total investments at fair value. Beta is a measure of a security’s systematic (non-diversifiable) risk, which is the percentage change in an individual security’s return for a 1% change in the return of the market. The average Beta for the Company’s common stock holdings was 1.25 at March 31, 2011. Based on a hypothetical 25% or 50% reduction in the overall value of the stock market, the fair value of the common stock portfolio would decrease by $119.7 million or $239.4 million, respectively.

Interest rate risk

Interest rate risk is the risk that the Company will incur a loss due to adverse changes in interest rates relative to the interest rate characteristics of interest bearing assets and liabilities. This risk arises from many of its primary activities, as the Company invests substantial funds in interest sensitive assets and issues interest sensitive liabilities. Interest rate risk includes risks related to changes in U.S. Treasury yields and other key benchmarks, as well as changes in interest rates resulting from the widening credit spreads and credit exposure to collateralized securities.

The value of the fixed maturity portfolio, which represents 83.3% of total investments at fair value, is subject to interest rate risk. As market interest rates decrease, the value of the portfolio increases and vice versa. A common measure of the interest sensitivity of fixed maturity assets is modified duration, a calculation that utilizes maturity, coupon rate, yield and call terms to calculate an average age of the expected cash flows. The longer the duration, the more sensitive the asset is to market interest rate fluctuations.

The Company has historically invested in fixed maturity investments with a goal towards maximizing after-tax yields and holding assets to the maturity or call date. Since assets with longer maturity dates tend to produce higher current yields, the Company’s historical investment philosophy resulted in a portfolio with a moderate duration. Bond investments made by the Company typically have call options attached, which further reduce the duration of the asset as interest rates decline. The decrease in municipal bond credit spreads in 2011 caused overall interest rates to decrease, which resulted in the decrease in the duration of the Company’s portfolio. Consequently, the modified duration of the bond portfolio reflecting anticipated early calls was 4.9 years at March 31, 2011 compared to 4.7 years at December 31, 2010. Given a hypothetical parallel increase of 100 basis or 200 basis points

 

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in interest rates, the fair value of the bond portfolio at March 31, 2011 would decrease by $124.1 million or $248.2 million, respectively.

Interest rate swaps are used to manage interest rate risk associated with the Company’s loans with fixed or floating rates. On February 6, 2009, the Company entered into an interest swap of its floating LIBOR rate on the $120 million credit facility for a fixed rate of 1.93%, resulting in a total fixed rate of 3.18%. On March 3, 2008, the Company entered into an interest rate swap of a floating LIBOR rate on an $18 million bank loan for a fixed rate of 3.75%, resulting in a total fixed rate of 4.25%. Effective January 2, 2002, the Company entered into an interest rate swap of a 7.25% fixed rate obligation on its $125 million senior notes for a floating rate of LIBOR plus 107 basis points.

 

Item 4. Controls and Procedures

Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures

The Company maintains disclosure controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in the Company’s reports filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to the Company’s management, including its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow for timely decisions regarding required disclosure. In designing and evaluating the disclosure controls and procedures, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives, and management necessarily was required to apply its judgment in evaluating the cost benefit relationship of possible controls and procedures.

As required by Securities and Exchange Commission Rule 13a-15(b), the Company carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of the Company’s management, including the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the quarter covered by this report. Based on the foregoing, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures were effective at the reasonable assurance level.

Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting

There has been no change in the Company’s internal control over financial reporting during the Company’s most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting. The Company’s process for evaluating controls and procedures is continuous and encompasses constant improvement of the design and effectiveness of established controls and procedures and the remediation of any deficiencies which may be identified during this process.

PART II–OTHER INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Legal Proceedings

The Company is, from time to time, named as a defendant in various lawsuits incidental to its insurance business. In most of these actions, plaintiffs assert claims for punitive damages, which are not insurable under judicial decisions. The Company has established reserves for lawsuits in which the Company is able to estimate potential exposure and that the likelihood that the court will rule against the Company is probable. Additionally, from time to time, regulators may take actions to challenge the Company’s business practices. The Company vigorously defends actions, unless a reasonable settlement appears appropriate. An unfavorable ruling against the Company in the actions currently pending may have a material impact on the Company’s quarterly results of operations in the period of such ruling; however, none is expected to be material to the Company’s financial position. For a discussion of legal matters, see the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010.

There are no environmental proceedings arising under federal, state, or local laws or regulations to be discussed.

 

Item 1A. Risk Factors

The Company’s business, results of operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks. These risks are described elsewhere in this report and in its other filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010. The risk factors identified in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010 have not changed in any material respect.

 

Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

None

 

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Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities

None

 

Item 4. (Removed and Reserved)

 

Item 5. Other Information

None

 

Item 6. Exhibits

 

  15.1   

Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

  15.2   

Awareness Letter of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

  31.1   

Certification of Registrant’s Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

  31.2   

Certification of Registrant’s Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

  32.1   

Certification of Registrant’s Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as created by Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. This certification is being furnished solely to accompany this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and is not being filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and is not to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company.

  32.2   

Certification of Registrant’s Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as created by Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. This certification is being furnished solely to accompany this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and is not being filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and is not to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company.

101   

The following financial information from the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2011, formatted in XBRL (Extensible Business Reporting Language) and furnished electronically herewith: (i) the Consolidated Balance Sheets; (ii) the Consolidated Statements of Operations; (iii) the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income; (iv) the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows; and (v) the Condensed Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements, tagged as blocks of text.

 

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

  MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION
Date: May 4, 2011   By:   /s/ Gabriel Tirador
    Gabriel Tirador
    President and Chief Executive Officer
Date: May 4, 2011   By:   /s/ Theodore Stalick
    Theodore Stalick
    Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

 

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