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8-K - VECTREN CORPvc_8k0302.htm
EX-99.2 - CAUTIONARY STATEMENT - VECTREN CORPvc_8k0302ex992.htm
Exhibit 99.1
 
New York & Boston
Presentations to the Financial
Community
Carl Chapman - President and CEO
Jerry Benkert - Executive Vice President and CFO
March 3-4, 2011
 
 

 
2
Forward-Looking Statements
All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements made
in good faith by the company and are intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability
established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are
based on management’s beliefs, as well as assumptions made by and information currently
available to management and include such words as “believe”, “anticipate”, ”endeavor”,
“estimate”, “expect”, “objective”, “projection”, “forecast”, “goal”, “likely”, and similar
expressions intended to identify forward-looking statements.
Vectren cautions readers that the assumptions forming the basis for forward-looking
statements include many factors that are beyond Vectren’s ability to control or estimate
precisely and actual results could differ materially from those contained in this document.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which our statement is made, and
we assume no duty to update them. More detailed information about these factors is set
forth in Vectren’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including Vectren’s
2010 annual report on Form 10-K filed on February 17, 2011.
Robert L. Goocher, Treasurer and VP - Investor Relations
rgoocher@vectren.com
812-491-4080
 
 

 
Ø NYSE Symbol: VVC
Ø 8-10% Target Annual Total
 Shareholder Return
  Annual dividends paid increased
 51st consecutive year in Dec. 2010
 to annualized rate of $1.38 per
 share
Ø Over 1.1 million utility customers
 in Indiana and Ohio
  Operate in constructive regulatory
 environments with revenue
 stabilization mechanisms
Ø Well diversified nonutility portfolio
 linked to core utility
Ø $4.8 billion in assets
Ø $2.1 billion in revenues
Ø $2.1 billion market cap
Ø S&P: A-, Moody’s: A3
 Stable outlook for both
Utility Net Income
Consolidated Net Income*
Three Year Average (’08-’10)
Utility
84%
Nonutility
16%
Electric
50%
Gas
50%
3
* Excludes the 2009 Liberty charge of $11.9 million.
Vectren Corporation Overview
 
 

 
* Jointly owned (61%) with a subsidiary of Citizens Energy Group.
Vectren
Utility
Vectren
Nonutility
Vectren North
Indiana Gas
Vectren South
SIGECO -
Electric
Vectren South
SIGECO - Gas
Vectren Ohio
VEDO
Infrastructure
Services
Energy
Services
Coal Mining
Energy
Marketing
Miller Pipeline
Energy
Systems Group
Prosperity Mine
Oaktown Mine 1
Oaktown Mine 2
(under development)
ProLiance
Energy*
Vectren
Source
4
Vectren at a Glance
 
 

 
5
Nonutility Business Operations - Offices
Vectren Energy Delivery of Indiana - North
Vectren Energy Delivery of Indiana - South
Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio
Utility Service Territories
Vectren’s Footprint
OH
IN
Indianapolis
Columbus
Louisville
Cincinnati
Birmingham
Little Rock
York
South River
Kansas City
New Smyrna
Beach
Dayton
Evansville
St. Louis
Atlanta
Johnson City
Richmond
Raleigh
Nashville
Clearwater
Ft. Worth
Mobile
Houston
Greenville
Lansing
Traverse
 City
Miller Pipeline
Energy Systems Group
Vectren Fuels
ProLiance Energy
Vectren Source
 
 

 
6
Looking Ahead - Strategies for 2011 and Beyond
Utility
Ø Execute strategies to consistently achieve annual utility earnings growth target of 3%
  Earn allowed returns in gas and electric utilities
  Implement new electric rates from pending base rate case
  Aggressively manage costs through performance management and strategic sourcing
  Seek continued support for alternative regulatory solutions that encourage customer
 conservation and also reduce the size and frequency of traditional base rate cases
  Disciplined allocation of capital to operate at cash flow neutral
  Reinvest earnings to support necessary rate base growth
  Reduce external financing requirements
Nonutility
Ø Continued growth and profitability of existing portfolio of nonutility businesses
  Increase investments in Infrastructure and Energy Services businesses to drive longer term
 earnings growth
  As demand continues to recover, open Oaktown #2 coal mine in 2012 and ramp up to full
 production
  Focus on dramatically improving ProLiance’s profitability prospects through customer growth and
 significant reductions in fixed cost structure
 
 

 
7
Generation Portfolio
Ø 5 Coal-fired base units - 1,000 MW
  100% scrubbed for SO2
  90% controlled for NOx
  Combination of pollution controls, including
 fabric filter technology, have the co-benefit
 of removing substantial levels of mercury
 and particulate matter
Ø 6 Gas-fired peak-use turbines - 295 MW
Ø Purchased capacity - 100 MW thru 2012
Ø Renewable energy ~ 5%
  Land-fill gas generation facility - 3 MW
  Wind energy - 80 MW via purchased power
Vectren North - Indiana Gas
560,000 Gas Customers
Vectren South - SIGECO
110,000 Gas Customers
Vectren Ohio - VEDO
310,000 Gas Customers
Vectren South - SIGECO
141,000 Electric Customers
Vectren Utility
Holdings, Inc.
The Utility Group
 
 

 
8
Constructive Utility Regulation - Mitigating Risk
(1)
Ø Electric base rate increase expected beginning in
 1st half of 2011
  $34 million request at 10.7% ROE
  2011 guidance includes ~$15-20 million of
 revenue, which reflects partial year
  Decoupling rate design requested
Ø Gas Utilities’ Rate Base: ~$1.2 billion
   ~$0.9 billion Indiana
   ~$0.3 billion Ohio
Ø Electric Utility Rate Base: ~$1.3 billion
   All Indiana
Ø ~10.2% Total Gas & Electric Allowed ROE
 
 

 
9
Utility Investments and Cash Flow
Ø Anticipate achieving free cash flow neutral in 2011-2013, similar to 2010
  Depreciation & amortization expense of $190 to $200 million expected through 2013
Ø Favorable regulatory support in recovering capital spend on significant utility expenditures
  Incremental margins expected in 2011 from regulatory mechanisms for current recovery of Ohio bare steel/cast
 iron (BS/CI) expenditures, and favorable BS/CI accounting treatment in IN
  Total investment of ~$90 million in high voltage electric transmission line, timely recovered at FERC-approved
 equity return of 12.38%, with completion in 2012; 2011 earnings to reflect a return on ~$75 million of the total
 investment (~$30 million in 2010)
Ø Utilize cash generated from bonus depreciation to reduce external financing requirements and
 accelerate planned funding of pension plans ($25 million)
  Estimate will generate ~$100 million of incremental cash in 2011-2013
 
 

 
Ø Utility Outlook
  2011 earnings expected to grow roughly 3% from weather-normalized 2010 earnings
  New electric base rate increase expected to increase earnings beginning in 1st half of 2011
  Industrial gas and electric sales expected to be comparable to improved 2010 levels, as
 economy in service territories continues to improve
  Aggressively manage costs with focus on improving processes and operating efficiencies
  2011 O&M includes an $8 million increase for planned maintenance on several electric generating units
10
Utility Guidance & Outlook
 
 

 
(1) Net income in 2007 and 2008 includes significant pipeline integrity work and strong pre-recession operating margins
~15% CAGR
2006-2011E
11
Nonutility Outlook
Infrastructure Services - Miller Pipeline
Ø  2011 earnings projected to increase ~25% over 2010; significant drivers for future growth include:
  New and existing customers - more projects as economy continues to rebound; availability of bonus depreciation
  Bare steel/cast iron replacement programs, along with waste water and sewer rehabilitation projects
  Increased emphasis on growing gas transmission construction business, building off successful 2010 projects
  Competing for growing number of new shale gas pipeline infrastructure projects
  Significant work expected related to gas pipeline infrastructure integrity assessments resulting from San Bruno
 and other recent incidents
  Utilization of technology and other workforce improvement measures to drive improved productivity, efficiency and
 control costs
  Infrastructure is a focused growth area for Vectren and may include strategic acquisitions in the future
 
 

 
(1) Net income in 2008 & 2009 included a significant renewables project each year
~20% CAGR
2006-2011E
12
Nonutility Outlook
Energy Services - Energy Systems Group (ESG)
Ø  2011 earnings projected to increase ~5% over 2010, even with ramp up of personnel
  Positive impacts on earnings of record backlog of $118 million at 12/31/10 ($70 million at beginning of 2010)
  Continue to expand geographic footprint, including Texas, Colorado, New Mexico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands
  On 2/8/11, selected to design, construct and operate a landfill gas-to-recycled natural gas processing facility for
 DeKalb County, Georgia
  Competing for additional renewable energy projects; including making direct investments in strategic projects
  Projected earnings decrease by $2-3 million as additional employees and supporting infrastructure are added to
 more aggressively grow the business
 
 

 
~35% CAGR
2006-2011E
13
Nonutility Outlook
Coal Mining - Vectren Fuels
Ø  2011 earnings expected to increase ~50% over 2010
  Increasing volumes of coal produced of 5.1 million tons and sales of 5.4 million tons (sales of 3.7 million tons in ’10)
  Over 90% of 2011 total expected sales is already contracted and priced
  Vectren utilities expect to purchase 1.9 million tons in 2011, including 200k tons deferred from prior years
  Approximately 40% and 15%, respectively, of 2012 and 2013 expected production already contracted and priced
  3rd and final section of continuous miners at 1st Oaktown mine expected to be in production in March 2011
  Reduced costs at Oaktown 1 due to additional volumes
  Aggressively managing mine production costs, including reconfiguration of older Prosperity mine
  As 2nd Oaktown mine comes online in 2012, production costs per ton expected to decline
  Will enable cost sharing of investments already made in wash plant, rail spur, etc., plus other operating efficiencies
  Through December 2010, $185 million in development costs already incurred of expected $205 million total for both
 Oaktown mines
 
 

 
(1) Net income in 2009 resulted from market conditions as revenues on variable priced sales contracts fell more
 slowly than unusually high natural gas costs
~40% CAGR
2007-2011E
14
Nonutility Outlook
Energy Marketing - Vectren Source
Ø  2011 earnings projected to increase ~10% over 2010
  Growing customer base
  Projected to grow to 290,000 in 2011 from 227,000 in 2010
  Successfully competed in Ohio auction to provide gas to an additional 28,000 Vectren Ohio customers
 beginning April 2011
  Considering expanding footprint to markets in additional states
  Evaluating additional products and service offerings for customer base
 
 

 
15
Nonutility Outlook
Energy Marketing - ProLiance
Ø  2011 results projected to reflect a net loss of ~$13 million
  Loss projected for 1st quarter 2011 estimated to be in the $9-13 million range
  Compares to ~$4 million of net income in the 1st quarter of 2010
  Driven by no seasonal storage value and virtually no cash to NYMEX being realized in the
 quarter
  Near breakeven results projected for remainder of 2011 based on:
  For quarters 2 - 4 the forward price curve is currently in contango offering the month-to-month
 price spreads needed for better storage optimization and cash to NYMEX opportunities
  Summer to winter seasonal spread budgeted at $0.50 - $0.55/Dth beginning in the 4th quarter;
 current spread is indicated to be ~$0.55/Dth
  Demand costs for pipeline and storage capacity are highest in the 1st quarter
  Indicated locational basis spreads are better for the remainder of the year
  For example, Panhandle Eastern Pipeline production area basis is indicated to be $0.15
 - $0.20/Dth in the 1st quarter and $0.25 - $0.30/Dth during the remainder of the year
 
 

 
16
Nonutility Outlook
Energy Marketing - ProLiance - cont’d
Ø ProLiance’s business model is being adapted to evolving market dynamics for long-term success
  Implementing new trading strategies, but within VaR limit of $2.5 million
  Initiatives underway to reduce G&A costs further; to date, reduced 15% vs. 2010 (annualized)
  Creating new margin opportunities by increasing sales to existing and new commercial and industrial (C&I) customers
 through enhanced marketing programs
  C&I customer count is up ~15% in 2010 vs. 2009
  C&I and power generation customers’ annual volumes up ~30% in 2010 vs. 2009
  Exploring various renegotiation strategies for transportation and storage contracts, including
   $25 million or one-third of contracts that expire over next 3 years and $40 million or half over next 5 years
Ø Forward price curve indicates potential for improved margins; each $0.10 change in seasonal storage
 spreads equates to $4 million of margin at the ProLiance level
Ø Although there can be no assurance, current forward price curve of basis and seasonal spreads and
 expected profitability improvement measures indicate ProLiance results may be breakeven in 2013 at the
 Vectren level
Ø Resources with optionality and highly rated marketer
  46 Bcf of natural gas storage and diverse pipeline transportation network under contract
  Ranked #2 out of 32 gas marketers in 2010 Mastio customer satisfaction survey; in top 4 each of the past 5 years
  Unanimous settlement filed in IN for ProLiance’s continued provision of gas supply services to Vectren & Citizens for
 an additional five years
 
 

 
17
Nonutility Guidance
 
 

 
Ø As ProLiance repositions itself in the marketplace, Vectren believes earnings-based multiples of a
 projected loss do not accurately capture the long-term value of the business
  Balance sheet - $209 million of members’ equity (book value) at 12/31/10, virtually no debt or corporate guarantees
  Vectren’s 61% share of members’ equity is ~$127 million, partially funded with debt
  Although there can be no assurance, current forward price curve of basis and seasonal spreads and expected
 profitability improvement measures indicate ProLiance results may be breakeven in 2013 at the Vectren level
  ProLiance has contributed significant earnings and cash dividends to Vectren over the years, though Vectren’s
 common stock dividend is not contingent upon ProLiance’s earnings
  ProLiance has saved the customers of its parent companies a combined total of nearly $200 million in gas costs
 since its inception
ProLiance Valuation Considerations
18
Vectren Valuation Considerations Excluding ProLiance
Ø 2011 EPS Guidance Midpoint without ProLiance: $1.87 per share
Ø 2011 Combination Co. Peer Median PE: ~14 to 14.5 times; Gas Co. Peer Median PE: ~16.5 to 17 times
Ø Attractive total shareholder return targeted at 8-10% annually
  Including attractive dividend, with current yield > 5%; 51 consecutive years of increasing annual dividends paid
Ø Utilities operate in constructive regulatory environments with many revenue stabilization mechanisms
  Utility results make up 80% of 2011 guidance excluding ProLiance
Ø Well diversified nonutility portfolio linked to core utility
  Upside earnings opportunity on top of solid utility earnings prospects
 
 

 
19
* Reaffirmed with no change from conference call date of February 17, 2011.
2011 EPS Guidance*
Consolidated: $1.60 to $1.85 per share
 Utility: $1.45 to $1.55 per share
 Nonutility, excl. ProLiance: $0.32 to $0.42 per share
 ProLiance: $(0.20) to $(0.10) per share
Notes on Adjustments
Ø Utility of ($0.08) - weather vs. normal
Ø Nonutility of $0.08 - charges related to legacy investments
 
 

 
20
Summary - Investment Fundamentals
Ø Attractive total shareholder return targeted at 8-10% annually
Ø Over 1.1 million utility customers in Indiana and Ohio
  Operate in constructive regulatory environments with numerous revenue stabilization mechanisms
  Utility growth driven by reinvestment of earnings in recoverable infrastructure improvements, increasing large
 customer demand and implementation of new electric base rates
  Disciplined management of cap ex and operating expenses
  Resulting in more predictable earnings growth opportunities and strong cash flow
Ø  Well diversified nonutility portfolio linked to core utility
  Upside earnings opportunity on top of solid utility earnings prospects
  Long-term growth primarily focused on significant growth in infrastructure and energy services businesses, along
 with ramp up of coal mines to full production
  Executing on strategies to grow the Source customer base and return ProLiance to profitability
Ø  Stable ‘A’ rated company (both Moody’s & S&P) with strong balance sheet, liquidity, and cash flows
Ø  Experienced management team
Ø  Attractive dividend
  51 consecutive years of increasing annual dividends paid
  Attractive dividend yield
 
 

 
21
Appendix
 
 

 
22
(This page intentionally left blank.)
 
 

 
23
Appendix
Review of 2010 Highlights
Ø Utility Group
  Solid recovery year for large customer usage
  Summer cooling weather was significantly warmer than normal and 2009
  Continued progress on high voltage transmission line - earning a timely return on the investment
  Electric rate case process complete - awaiting final Commission order
Ø Nonutility Group
  Solid year for most businesses - on plan
  Well positioned for growth in 2011 and beyond, including continued progress on Oaktown mines
  Challenging year for gas marketers, including ProLiance; loss for the year and will continue into
 2011
Ø Other Highlights
  Strengthened liquidity profile via successful debt offerings, renewed credit facilities
  Moody’s upgrade to A3 - now ‘A’ rated by both Moody’s and S&P
  51st consecutive year of dividend increases
  Carl Chapman becomes Vectren CEO as Niel Ellerbrook retires
 
 

 
24
Appendix
Consolidated 2010 Results
 
 

 
25
Infrastructure Services - Miller Pipeline
Ø Provides underground pipeline
 construction and repair services for
 natural gas, water and wastewater
 companies
  2010 revenues of $197 million
  Over 1,600 employees
  Over 50 years in construction business
  Acquired 5 small regional pipeline
 construction companies over past 4 years,
 expanding location and scope of operation
Ø Operates primarily in the Midwest, Mid-
 Atlantic and Southern regions
  Major customers include Vectren,
 NiSource, Duke, LG&E, Alagasco and
 Citizens
  Continue to expand into new areas and
 add new customers
Ø Bare steel/cast iron replacement
 programs as utilities receive regulatory
 support and increase capital spending
Ø Significant work expected related to gas
 pipeline infrastructure integrity
 assessments resulting from San Bruno
 and other recent incidents
Ø Longer-term opportunities expected from
 the development and construction of
 gathering and pipeline interconnects to
 support the development and
 transportation of shale gas
Appendix
 
 

 
Appendix
26
Nonutility Metrics - Infrastructure Services
 
 

 
27
Energy Services - Energy Systems Group (ESG)
Ø Performance contracting and renewable
 energy project group
  2010 revenues of $147 million
  More than 225 employees
Ø Operates primarily in the Midwest, Mid-
 Atlantic and Southern regions, recently
 expanding its territorial reach including Texas
 and Arkansas
  Major customers include hospitals, universities,
 governments and schools (HUGS)
Ø Provides energy-saving performance
 contracting
  Design facility improvements that pay for
 themselves from energy savings and
 operational improvements
Ø Designs, constructs, manages and owns
 renewable energy projects
  Successfully completed three landfill gas projects
  Recently selected to design, construct and
 operate a landfill gas-to-recycled natural gas
 processing facility in Georgia
Ø ESG is partnering with eight gas/electric
 utilities as conservation and renewable
 energy contractor
  Subcontractor under the federal “area
 wide” contractor mechanism to develop
 energy efficiency conservation projects to
 federal installations
Ø Energy Efficient Commercial Building
 federal income tax deductions (Revenue
 Code 179D) available through 2013
Appendix
 
 

 
Appendix
28
Nonutility Metrics - Energy Services
 
 

 
29
Coal Mining
Ø Mines and sells Indiana coal to Vectren’s
 utility operations and other third parties
  2010 revenues of $210 million
  750 contract mining jobs with completion of
 Oaktown mines
Ø Competitive location - 13 power plants
 within 50 mile radius of underground mines
Ø 2011 sales estimated at 5.4 million tons
 compared to 3.7 million in 2010
  Estimated margin of ~$7 per ton
Ø Prosperity Mine
  33 million tons of reserves
  4.0 lbs SO2 - 11,300 BTU
  Est. max annual production up to 3 million tons
Ø Prosperity Mine phase one reconfiguration
 to be completed by 1st quarter 2011
  Driving cost reductions
Ø Oaktown Mines 1 & 2
  105 million tons of reserves
  Less than 6.0 lbs SO2 - 11,200 BTU
  Oaktown #1 - shipped coal in Feb 2010
  Oaktown #2 - In service 2012
  Est. max annual production
  Oaktown #1 up to 3 million tons
  Oaktown #2 up to 2 million tons
Ø Ramp up in production dependent on
 contracts, negotiations continue
Ø Long-term Illinois Basin coal demand
 expected to continue increasing as economy
 improves, inventory levels reduced, and
 lower Appalachian production
Appendix
 
 

 
Appendix
30
Nonutility Metrics - Coal Mining
 
 

 
31
Energy Marketing - ProLiance Energy
Ø Energy marketing affiliate with Vectren
 (61%) and Citizens Energy Group (39%) -
 equity accounting
  2010 revenues of $1.5 billion
  100 employees
  Operates throughout the Midwest and
 Southeast U.S
Ø Provides bundled gas services, including
 base load, peaking sales, risk management,
 and other ancillary services
  Retail services to over 1,750 Commercial and
 industrial customers
  Wholesale services to utilities, municipals,
 power generators
Ø Storage & Transportation optimization is
 the primary earnings driver (includes
 arbitrage opportunities for price differences
 across time and location in physical and
 financial markets)
  46 Bcf of storage
  Balanced book approach - VaR capped at $2.5
 million
Ø Margins associated with optimizing the
 transportation and storage portfolio
 reduced
  General compression of natural gas prices
 and reduction of firm transportation spread
 values between the production areas and the
 Midwest market area due to:
  Lower industrial demand
  New shale gas supplies
  New pipeline infrastructure in service
  Lower relative gas prices
Ø Near-term focus to improve margin
 opportunities
  Maintain flexibility to take advantage of price
 volatility and widening seasonal spreads
  Focus on growing commercial and industrial
 customer segment
  Cost reductions
  Looking for opportunities to renegotiate
 transportation and storage contracts
  $25 million (one-third) of contracts expire
 over next 3 years and $40 million (half)
 over next 5 years
Appendix
 
 

 
Appendix
32
Nonutility Metrics - Energy Marketing
 
 

 
33
Energy Marketing - Vectren Source
Ø Source provides natural gas and other
 related products and services to retail
 customers in the Midwest and Northeast
  2010 revenues of $143 million
  Current staffing of over 50 FTE’s
  Operates in 7 LDC territories in 3 states -
 Ohio, Indiana and New York, with highest
 customer concentration in Ohio
Ø 12/31/10 customer count of 227,000, an
 increase of 38,000 year over year
Ø Focus on customer retention with a
 contract renewal rate above 90%
Ø Conservative risk management practices
  Good mix of fixed and variable price
 customers
Ø Ohio is transitioning to a fully deregulated
 market, providing growth opportunities as
 energy delivery companies exit the
 merchant function of buying natural gas for
 its customers
  Successfully bid on one tranche of Vectren
 Ohio’s customers in the regulatory approved
 auction to sell the gas commodity to specific
 customers for a 12-month period
Ø Developing a residential energy efficiency
 service with a pilot offering available in
 Cleveland under GreenStreet Solutions SM
  General contractor role in home energy audits
 and complete service to implement
 recommendations
  Positioned to take advantage of Home Star
 program if approved by Congress
  Will be expanding into Cincinnati/Dayton
 market in 2011
Appendix
 
 

 
Appendix
34
Nonutility Metrics - Energy Marketing
 
 

 
 Per share earnings contributions of the Utility Group, Nonutility Group, and Corporate and Other
 are presented herein and are non-GAAP measures.  Such per share amounts are based on the
 earnings contribution of each group included in Vectren’s consolidated results divided by
 Vectren’s basic average shares outstanding during the period.  The earnings per share of the
 groups do not represent a direct legal interest in the assets and liabilities allocated to the
 groups, but rather represent a direct equity interest in Vectren Corporation's assets and
 liabilities as a whole.  These non-GAAP measures are used by management to evaluate the
 performance of individual businesses.  In addition, other items giving rise to period over period
 variances, such as weather, are presented on an after tax and per share basis.  These amounts
 are calculated at a statutory tax rate divided by Vectren’s basic average shares outstanding
 during the period.  Accordingly, management believes these measures are useful to investors in
 understanding each business’ contribution to consolidated earnings per share and in analyzing
 consolidated period to period changes and the potential for earnings per share contributions in
 future periods. Reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures to their most closely related GAAP
 measure of consolidated earnings per share are included throughout the presentation
 presented.  The non-GAAP financial measures disclosed by the Company should not be
 considered a substitute for, or superior to, financial measures calculated in accordance with
 GAAP, and the financial results calculated in accordance with GAAP.
Appendix
Use of Non-GAAP Performance Measures and Per Share Measures