Attached files

file filename
8-K - FORM 8-K - TPC Group Inc.d8k.htm
EX-10.1 - AGREEMENT DATED MARCH 24, 2010 - TPC Group Inc.dex101.htm
A Valuable, Unique & Stable Bridge
from Mixed C4 to Purity Products
Charles Shaver
President and Chief Executive Officer
Ruth Dreessen
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
BB&T Capital Markets Commercial & Industrial Conference
Investor Presentation
March 24, 2010
A Service-Based Intermediary
with Strong Infrastructure
& Logistics Network
Exhibit 99.1


Forward-Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements, including, in particular, statements about the plans,
strategies
and
prospects
of
TPC
Group
Inc.
(“the
Company”
or
“TPC”).
These
forward-looking
statements
are
based
on
the
Company’s
current
assumptions,
expectations
and
projections
about
future
events.
Although
the
Company
believes
that
the
expectations
reflected
in
these
forward-looking
statements
are
reasonable, the Company can give no assurance that these expectations will prove to be correct or that synergies or other
benefits anticipated in the forward-looking statements will be achieved. Important factors, some of which may be beyond the
Company’s control, that could cause results to differ materially from management’s expectations are set forth in Amendment
No. 1 to the company’s Registration Statement on Form 10 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Estimated projected financial information for the twelve months ended March 31, 2010 is based on the current
belief
of
TPC
based
on
currently
available
information
as
to
the
outcome
and
timing
of
future
events
and
assumptions
that
TPC believes are reasonable.  The assumptions underlying the estimated projected financial information are inherently
uncertain and are subject to significant business, economic, regulatory and competitive risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results to differ materially from those TPC anticipates.  If the assumptions are not realized, the actual financial
results could be substantially different than that currently expected.  When reading this information, you should keep in mind
the
risk
factors
and
other
cautionary
statements
included
in
TPC’s
filings
with
the
SEC,
including
its
registration
statement
on
Form 10 filed on January 8, 2010.  TPC does not undertake any obligation to release publicly the results of any future
revisions TPC may make to the projections or to update the projections to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this
presentation. Therefore, you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on this information.
This presentation may also contain non-GAAP financial measures. For a presentation of the most directly
comparable
GAAP
measures
and
a
reconciliation
of
the
two
as
well
as
additional
detail
regarding
selected
items
impacting
comparability, please refer to Appendix.
2
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010


Investment Highlights
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
3
Large
Valuation Gap
Attractive
Market Position in
Consolidated Industry
Substantial
and Strategic
Asset Value
Significant and
Stable Free
Cash Flow
Differentiated
Business Model
Positioned for
Margin Expansion
and Growth


Differentiated Business Model
TPC Group: a C4 processor, logistics provider & marketer
C4: four carbon hydrocarbon by-products of ethylene production
Ethylene
produced
by
cracking
“heavy”
(oil)
or
“light”
(natural
gas)
Cracking “heavy”
produces significantly more C4 than cracking “light”
“Heavy”
crackers: integrated with their own C4 processing
“Light”
crackers: non-integrated and therefore outsource to TPC
Long-standing, service-based contracts mitigate exposure to commodity prices
TPC receives processing fees from its suppliers
TPC receives service fees from its customers
Key drivers of profitability are unit margins, volume & production efficiency
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
4


Substantial & Strategic Asset Value
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
5


Business
Segments
C4
Processing
&
Performance
Products
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
6


C4 Processing –
Logistics, Credibility, Competency
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
7
Products: Butadiene, Butene-1, Raffinates
Suppliers: Dow, Formosa, Nova, CP Chem,
Others (15 different ethylene plants)
Customers: Goodyear, Firestone, Lanxess,
Invista, Dow, Motiva, Valero, Others
Market leader with 35% of overall North American C4 processing capacity
Approximately 65% market share of non-integrated C4 processing
Contractually aligned with cost-advantaged ethylene producers
Profitability model: fixed margin and index-based contracts
Best-in-class logistical system and operational reliability
Bringing diverse C4 supplies together
Integral to ethylene value chain


C4 Processing –
Logistics, Credibility, Competency
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
8
C4 markets remain tight, allowing margin increase opportunities
Raffinates
margin is a percentage of gasoline price
Service fees for use of our logistical network
Any industry movement toward heavier feeds increases Mixed C4 volumes
Light cracking may lead integrated producers to outsource C4 handling
Butene-1 demand continues to increase faster than plastic demand


Attractive Market Position in Consolidated Industry
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
9


Performance
Products
Poised
for
Growth
BB&tal
Markets Commercial & Industrial Conference –
March 24, 2010
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
10
Products: PIB, HPIB, DIB, Nonene, Tetramer
Suppliers: C4 Processing, LyondellBasell, BP, Others
Customers: Afton, SI Group, Lanxess, Others
Profitability model: index-based contracts
Only merchant producer of HR-PIB in North America
Patent protected technology (PIB)
Second largest merchant HPIB producer,
90+% market share of DIB market
Only dedicated Nonene
& Tetramer production
plant in North America
Merchant HPIB player exited market
Strong alternative value for Isobutylenes
Operating ramp-up & efficiency gains for
Nonene
plant
Second HR-PIB plant on-line in early 2009,
with market expanding
Increasing HPIB & Nonene
sales
Additional product lines from upgrading
by-products


Financials –
Past Performance
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
11


Financials –
Target
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
12
Target EBITDA levels allow the
company to earn in excess of WACC
C4 processing driven by margin
expansion from favorable
market
conditions and reliable supply
Performance products driven by
volume and margin expansion
Recent capital investments
in Polyisobutylene
and
Propylene Derivatives


Significant & Stable Free Cash Flow
A Valuable, Unique and Stable Bridge
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
13


Outlook –
Positioned for Margin Expansion & Growth
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
14
C4
Processing
Expect
long-term
volumes
to
be
stable,
with
opportunistic
upside should heavier cracking return
Performance
Products
Steady
volume
growth,
particularly
with
polyisobutylene
as we fill out sales of our new plant capacity
Differentiated business model allows for continued growth
Light cracking has tightened Mixed C4 product markets
Increased
usage
of
highly
reactive
polyisobutylene
allows
for
margin
expansion
Strong focus on operational excellence and cost management
Wide production flexibility with minimal impact on operating expense
Expect operating costs to be level, as cost reduction efforts offset inflation
Maintenance
CapEx
predictable
and
within
historical
range
of
$20–25
MM/Yr
No material impact expected from potential changes within the regulatory environment
Many organic, low-risk discretionary projects that should provide high return on
investment over next several years if we choose to execute


Why TPC Group? Why Now?
Differentiated Business Model
Service-based intermediary with strong infrastructure & logistics network
Long-standing, service-based contracts limit exposure to commodity prices
Substantial and Strategic Asset Value
TPC asset-based services are a critical component of the ethylene supply chain
High
replacement
value
is
strong
barrier
to
entry
Attractive Market Position in Consolidated Industry
#1 position in BD, B-1, DIB and HR-PIB
Contractually
aligned
with
cost-advantaged
“light”
ethylene
producers
Positioned for Margin Expansion and Growth
Market dynamics allow for increased margins
Recent capital investment projects now complete
Significant and Stable Free Cash Flow
Minimal maintenance CapEx
& cost-efficient capital structure
Strong cash generation throughout cycle (average of $3.00/share over last four years)
Large Valuation Gap
Business model stabilizes unit margins
TPC Group’s trading position at a low multiple of EBITDA
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
15


Investor Presentation –
March 2010
Appendix


Reconciliation  of Adjusted Bank EBITDA to Net Income
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
17


Reconciliation of Cash Flows
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
18
Adjusted Cash Flow from Operations to Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities


Notes to EBITDA and Cash Flow Reconciliations
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
19
Adjusted Bank EBITDA is included in this presentation to provide
investors with a view of the TPC Group’s
financial performance as adjusted to exclude certain items that might affect the comparability of results, and
to hypothetically reflect recent financial improvements in results for prior periods. Adjusted Bank EBITDA is
not reflective of actual results, and therefore should not be unduly relied upon. Adjusted Bank EBITDA is not
a measure computed in accordance with GAAP. Accordingly it does not represent cash flow from operations,
nor is it intended to be presented herein as a substitute to operating income or net income as indicators of
our operating performance. The reconciliation provided above is to Adjusted EBITDA (as reported), another non-
GAAP measure. Adjusted EBITDA is reconciled to net income, the most directly comparable GAAP financial
measure, on slide 17. Adjusted Bank EBITDA is not calculated in accordance with the definition of “Consolidated
EBITDA”
in the credit facilities.
1.Estimated projected financial information for the twelve months ended March 31, 2010 is based on the
current belief of TPC based on currently available information as to the outcome and timing of future events
and assumptions that TPC believes are reasonable. The assumptions underlying the estimated projected financial
information are inherently uncertain and are subject to significant business, economic, regulatory
and competitive risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those TPC
anticipates. If the assumptions are not realized, the actual financial results could be substantially different than that
currently expected. When reading this information, you should keep in mind the risk factors and other cautionary
statements included in TPC’s
filings with the SEC, including the Amendment No. 1 to its Registration Statement on
Form 10 filed on January 8, 2010. TPC does not undertake any obligation to release publicly the results of any
future revisions TPC may make to the projections or to update the projections to reflect events or circumstances
after the date of this presentation. Therefore, you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on this information.
2.Adjustment reflects that TPC has managed its MTBE business as a non-core business since fiscal 2005.
With the completion of the isobutylene processing unit in the first quarter of fiscal 2008, TPC idled its Houston
dehydrogenation units and stopped production of MTBE from those units. Subsequent to the dehydrogenation
units
being
idled,
MTBE
has
been
produced
only
from
TPC’s
C4
processing
activities
at
significantly
reduced
volumes, and is used either as a feedstock to the Performance Products segment or sold opportunistically
into overseas markets. From third quarter of fiscal 2008 forward, MTBE revenues and operating results are
included in the C4 Processing segment category for reporting purposes.


Notes to EBITDA and Cash Flow Reconciliations (continued)
BB&T
Capital
Markets
Commercial
&
Industrial
Conference
March
24,
2010
20
3.
Based on total net business insurance claim of $47.0 million, comprised of (a) $19.5 million deductible,
(b) $10.0 million cash recovery received in June 2009 and (c) $17.5 million cash recovery received in
December 2010. Adjustment of $37.0 million in FY2009 period reflects total net business insurance claim
of $47.0 million less $10.0 million cash recovery received in June 2009. Negative adjustment of $26.1 million in
LTM period ending 3/31/10 reflects $10.0 million cash recovery received in June 2009 plus $17.1 cash recovery
(net of fees) received in December 2010 less $1.0 million of hurricane-related repairs completed during the
period. This adjustment has been made to enhance the comparability of operating results by excluding items
that are nonrecurring or for which the timing and/or amount cannot reasonably be estimated.
4.
Adjustment
reflects
recovery
of
$4.7
million
from
restitution
of
freight
payments.
This
adjustment
has
been
made to enhance the comparability of operating results by excluding items that are nonrecurring or for which
the timing and/or amount cannot reasonably be estimated.
5.
Adjustment adds back $4.3 million of Adjusted EBITDA  (or Adjusted Cash Flow from Operations) estimated to
have resulted from reduced contracted sales volumes due to a turnaround at our Houston facility in February
2010, plus additional estimated losses of $0.2 million as a result of tolling fees for processing of feedstock due
to
the
turnaround.
This
adjustment
has
been
made
to
illustrate
what
TPC’s
operating
performance
might
have
been
had
the
turnaround
not
been
undertaken;
note,
however,
that
turnarounds
typically
occur
every
three
to
four years at TPC’s
facilities, and their exclusion from this calculation is not intended to suggest that they will
not occur again in future periods.
6.
In
January
and
February
2010,
TPC’s
average
monthly
net
service-based
fees
increased
relative
to
prior
months. This adjustment applies the higher average fees from January and February 2010 to prior months
in
the
LTM
period,
in
order
to
hypothetically
illustrate
what
TPC’s
performance
would
have
been
had
these higher average fees actually been achieved throughout the period. The adjustment is calculated as
(a) $31.1 million, reflecting the actual January and February average multiplied by nine (for the nine months
from and including April 2009 to December 2009), less (b) $12.7 million, the actual amount of service-based
fees
for
the
April
-
December
2009
period
(which
was
already
included
in
estimated
Adjusted
EBITDA).
This
adjustment
has
been
made
to
illustrate
the
effect
of
TPC’s
recently
improved
service-based
fees
on
Adjusted
EBITDA in prior periods, but it is not intended to suggest that these fees were achieved or could have been
achieved in prior periods, or will continue to be achieved in future periods. The adjustment is for illustrative
purposes only and is not reflective of actual results; accordingly, you are cautioned not to place undue
reliance upon it.