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EX-23.1 - EX-23.1 - National Interstate CORPl39030exv23w1.htm
EX-21.1 - EX-21.1 - National Interstate CORPl39030exv21w1.htm
EX-24.1 - EX-24.1 - National Interstate CORPl39030exv24w1.htm
EX-32.1 - EX-32.1 - National Interstate CORPl39030exv32w1.htm
EX-31.1 - EX-31.1 - National Interstate CORPl39030exv31w1.htm
EX-32.2 - EX-32.2 - National Interstate CORPl39030exv32w2.htm
EX-31.2 - EX-31.2 - National Interstate CORPl39030exv31w2.htm
Table of Contents

 
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 
 
 
 
Form 10-K
Annual Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2009
 
Commission File No. 000-51130
 
 
 
 
National Interstate Corporation
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
 
     
 
Ohio   34-1607394
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
 
 
 
 
3250 Interstate Drive
Richfield, Ohio 44286-9000
(330) 659-8900
(Address and telephone number of principal executive offices)
 
 
 
 
Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
 
     
    Name of Exchange on
Title of each class
 
Which registered
 
Common Shares, $0.01 par value   Nasdaq Global Select Market
 
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:
None
 
Other securities for which reports are submitted pursuant to Section (d) of the Act:
None
 
 
 
 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.  Yes o     No þ
 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.  Yes o     No þ
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.  Yes þ     No o
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).  Yes o     No o
 
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.  o
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
 
             
Large accelerated filer o
  Accelerated filer þ   Non-accelerated filer o   Smaller reporting company o
        (Do not check if a smaller reporting company)    
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).  Yes o     No þ
 
State the aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting common equity held by non-affiliates computed by reference to the price at which the common equity was last sold, or the average bid and asked price of such common equity, as of the last business day of the registrant’s most recently completed second fiscal quarter: $100.2 million (based upon non-affiliate holdings of 6,600,144 shares and a market price of $15.18 at June 30, 2009).
 
As of March 1, 2010 there were 19,422,916 shares of the Registrant’s Common Shares ($0.01 par value) outstanding.
 
 
 
 
Documents Incorporated by Reference:
 
Proxy Statement for 2010 Annual Meeting of Shareholders (portions of which are incorporated by reference into Part III hereof).
 


 

 
National Interstate Corporation
 
Index to Annual Report on Form 10-K
 
                 
            Page
 
    Business:     4  
        Introduction     4  
        Property and Casualty Insurance Operations     4  
        Investments     12  
        Competition     14  
        Ratings     15  
        Regulation     15  
        Employees     17  
    Risk Factors     18  
    Unresolved Staff Comments     26  
    Properties     26  
    Legal Proceedings     26  
    [Reserved]     26  
 
PART II
    Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities     27  
    Selected Financial Data     29  
    Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations     31  
    Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk     53  
    Financial Statements and Supplementary Data     54  
    Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure     85  
    Controls and Procedures     85  
    Other Information     85  
 
PART III
    Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance     85  
    Executive Compensation     85  
    Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters     86  
    Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence     86  
    Principal Accountant Fees and Services     86  
 
PART IV
    Exhibits and Financial Statement Schedules     86  
Signatures     93  
 EX-21.1
 EX-23.1
 EX-24.1
 EX-31.1
 EX-31.2
 EX-32.1
 EX-32.2


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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
 
This document, including information incorporated by reference, contains “forward-looking statements” (within the meaning of Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995). All statements, trend analyses and other information contained in this Form 10-K relative to markets for our products and trends in our operations or financial results, as well as other statements including words such as “may,” “target,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “plan,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “project,” and other similar expressions, constitute forward-looking statements. We made these statements based on our plans and current analyses of our business and the insurance industry as a whole. We caution that these statements may and often do vary from actual results and the differences between these statements and actual results can be material. Factors that could contribute to these differences include, among other things:
 
  •  general economic conditions, weakness of the financial markets and other factors, including prevailing interest rate levels and stock and credit market performance, which may affect or continue to affect (among other things) our ability to sell our products and to collect amounts due to us, our ability to access capital resources and the costs associated with such access to capital and the market value of our investments;
 
  •  our ability to manage our growth strategy;
 
  •  customer response to new products and marketing initiatives;
 
  •  tax law changes;
 
  •  increasing competition in the sale of our insurance products and services and the retention of existing customers;
 
  •  changes in legal environment;
 
  •  regulatory changes or actions, including those relating to regulation of the sale, underwriting and pricing of insurance products and services and capital requirements;
 
  •  levels of natural catastrophes, terrorist events, incidents of war and other major losses;
 
  •  adequacy of insurance reserves; and
 
  •  availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations.
 
The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this report. We assume no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.


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PART I
 
 
ITEM 1   Business
 
Please refer to “Forward-Looking Statements” following the Index in the front of this Form 10-K.
 
Introduction
 
National Interstate Corporation (the “Company”, “we”, “our”) and its subsidiaries operate as an insurance holding company group that underwrites and sells traditional and alternative property and casualty insurance products primarily to the passenger transportation industry and the trucking industry, general commercial insurance to small businesses in Hawaii and Alaska and personal insurance to owners of recreational vehicles and commercial vehicles throughout the United States. We were organized in Ohio in January 1989. In December 1989, Great American Insurance Company (“Great American”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of American Financial Group, Inc., became our majority shareholder. Our principal executive offices are located at 3250 Interstate Drive, Richfield, Ohio, 44286 and our telephone number is (330) 659-8900. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) filings, news releases, our Code of Ethics and Conduct and other information may be accessed free of charge through our website at www.NationalInterstate.com. Information on the website is not part of this Form 10-K.
 
For both years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008, Great American owned 52.6% of our outstanding shares. Our common shares trade on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol NATL.
 
We have four property and casualty insurance subsidiaries: National Interstate Insurance Company (“NIIC”), National Interstate Insurance Company of Hawaii, Inc. (“NIIC-HI”), Triumphe Casualty Company (“TCC”), Hudson Indemnity, Ltd. (“HIL”) and six other agency and service subsidiaries. We write our insurance policies on a direct basis through NIIC, NIIC-HI and TCC. NIIC is licensed in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. NIIC-HI is licensed in Ohio, Hawaii, Michigan and New Jersey. TCC, a Pennsylvania domiciled company, holds licenses for multiple lines of authority, including auto-related lines, in 24 states and the District of Columbia. HIL is domiciled in the Cayman Islands and provides reinsurance for NIIC, NIIC-HI and TCC primarily for the alternative risk transfer product. Insurance products are marketed through multiple distribution channels, including independent agents and brokers, program administrators, affiliated agencies and agent internet initiatives. We use our six agency and service subsidiaries to sell and service our insurance business.
 
Property and Casualty Insurance Operations
 
We are a specialty property and casualty insurance company with a niche orientation and a focus on the transportation industry. Founded in 1989, we have had an uninterrupted record of profitability in every year since 1990, our first full year of operation. We have also reported an underwriting profit in 19 of the 21 years we have been in business. For the year ended December 31, 2009, we had gross premiums written (direct and assumed) of $344.9 million and net income of $46.4 million.
 
We believe, based upon an informal survey of brokers specializing in transportation insurance, that we are the largest writer of insurance for the passenger transportation industry in the United States. We focus on niche insurance markets where we offer insurance products designed to meet the unique needs of targeted insurance buyers that we believe are underserved by the insurance industry. We believe these niche markets typically are too small, too remote or too difficult to attract or sustain most competitors. Examples of products that we write for these markets include captive programs primarily for transportation companies that we also refer to as alternative risk transfer (55.9% of 2009 gross premiums written), traditional property and casualty insurance for transportation companies (19.3%), specialty personal lines, consisting primarily of recreational and commercial vehicle coverage (17.8%) and transportation and general commercial insurance in Hawaii and Alaska (5.5%).
 
While many companies write property and casualty insurance for transportation companies, we believe, based on financial responsibility filings with the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration, that few write passenger transportation coverage nationwide. We know of only one or two other insurance companies that have offered high limits coverage to motor coach, school bus and limousine operators in all states or nearly all states for more than a few years. We believe that we have been one of the only two insurance companies to consistently provide passenger


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transportation insurance across all passenger transportation classes and all regions of the country for at least the past ten years. In addition to being one of only two national passenger transportation underwriters, we also believe, based on our discussions with brokers and customers in the passenger transportation insurance market, that we are the only insurance company offering homogeneous (i.e., to insureds in the same industry) group captive insurance programs to this industry.
 
Product Management Organization.  We believe we have a competitive advantage in our major lines of business, in part, as a result of our product management focus. Each of our product lines is headed by a manager solely responsible for achieving that product line’s planned results. We believe that the use of a product management organization provides the focus required to successfully offer and manage a diverse set of product lines. For example, we are willing to design custom insurance programs, such as unique billing plans and deductibles, for our large transportation customers based on their needs. Our claims, accounting, information technology and other support functions are organized to align their resources with specific product line initiatives and needs. We know of only one other insurance company that uses this type of hybrid product management organization. We believe that most insurance companies rely upon organization structures aligned around functional specialties such as underwriting, actuarial, operations, marketing and claims. Under the traditional functional organization, the managers of each of these functions typically provide service and support to multiple insurance products. Our product managers are responsible for the underwriting, pricing and marketing and they are held accountable for underwriting profitability of a specific insurance product. Other required services and support are provided across product lines by functional managers.
 
Our Products
 
We offer over 35 product lines in the specialty property and casualty insurance market, which we group into four general business components (transportation, alternative risk transfer, specialty personal lines and Hawaii and Alaska) based on the class of business, insureds’ risk participation or geographic location.
 
The following table sets forth an analysis of gross premiums written by business component during the years indicated:
 
                                                 
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007  
          Percent of
          Percent of
          Percent of
 
    Amount     Total     Amount     Total     Amount     Total  
                (Dollars in thousands)              
 
Alternative Risk Transfer
  $ 192,953       55.9 %   $ 206,342       54.3 %   $ 167,717       48.5 %
Transportation
    66,537       19.3 %     87,246       22.9 %     90,984       26.3 %
Specialty Personal Lines
    61,523       17.8 %     59,065       15.5 %     55,169       15.9 %
Hawaii and Alaska
    18,576       5.5 %     22,489       5.9 %     25,126       7.3 %
Other
    5,288       1.5 %     5,154       1.4 %     7,010       2.0 %
                                                 
Gross premiums written
  $ 344,877       100.0 %   $ 380,296       100.0 %   $ 346,006       100.0 %
                                                 
 
For 2009, the range of premiums for our business components and their annual premium averages were as follows:
 
             
    Premium Range   Annual Premium Average  
 
Alternative Risk Transfer
  $5,800-$2,652,000     $69,300  
Transportation
  $24,200-$55,300     $35,500  
Specialty Personal Lines
  $900-$2,700     $1,100  
Hawaii and Alaska
  $2,000-$29,000     $3,700  
 
Alternative Risk Transfer.  We underwrite, market and distribute primarily truck and passenger transportation alternative risk insurance products, also known as captives, as well as workers’ compensation coverage. Captives are insurance or reinsurance companies that are owned or “rented” by the participants in the captive insurance program. Program participants share in the underwriting profits or losses and the investment results associated with


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the risks of being insured by the captive insurance program. Participants in these programs typically are interested in the improved risk control, increased participation in the claims settlement process and asset investment features associated with a captive insurance program.
 
We support two forms of captive programs — member-owned and rented. In a member-owned captive, the participants form, capitalize and manage their own reinsurance company. In a rental captive, the reinsurance company is formed, capitalized and managed by someone other than the participants. The participants in a rental captive program pay a fee to the reinsurance company owner to use the reinsurance facility in their captive program; in other words, the participants “rent” it. In both member-owned and rented captives, we typically underwrite and price the risk, issue the policies and adjust the claims. A portion of the risk and premium is ceded to the captive insurance program. That captive insurance program serves the same purpose for the captive participants regardless of whether they own the reinsurance company or rent it.
 
The revenue we earn, our profit margins and the risks we assume are substantially consistent in member-owned captives and rented captives. The primary differences to us are the expenses associated with these programs and who ultimately bears those expenses. In a member-owned captive, the participants own and manage their own reinsurance company. Managing an off-shore insurance company includes general management responsibilities, financial statement preparation, actuarial analysis, investment management, corporate governance, regulatory management and legal affairs. If the actual expenses associated with managing a member-owned captive exceed the funded projections, the participants pay for these added expenses outside the insurance transaction. Included in the premium we charge participants in our rental captive programs is a charge to fund our expenses related to the managing of our Cayman Island reinsurer used for this purpose. Investment management expenses also are included in the premium and we cap the participant’s expense contribution regardless of whether or not we collect adequate funds to operate the off-shore reinsurance company.
 
All other loss, expense and profit margin components are substantially the same for our member-owned or rental captive insurance programs. The advantage of a member-owned captive program to the participants is the ability to change policy issuing companies and service providers without changing the makeup of their group. Rental captive participants are not obligated to capitalize their own reinsurer. They generally enjoy a slightly lower expense structure and their captive program expenses are fixed for the policy year regardless of the amount of expenses actually incurred to operate the reinsurer and facilitate participant meetings.
 
The premiums generated by each of the captive insurance programs offered by us are developed in a similar manner. The most important component of the premium charged is the development of the participants’ loss fund. The loss fund represents the amount of premium needed to cover the participants’ expected losses in the layer of risk being ceded to the captive reinsurer. Participants may share in the losses on a quota share or excess of loss basis. For a quota share program, the participation percentage ranges from 5% to 60% of losses up to $1 million. For excess of loss programs, the loss fund typically involves the first loss layer which, depending on the captive program, currently ranges from the first $50,000 to the first $350,000 of loss per occurrence. Once the participants’ loss fund is established, all other expenses related to the coverages and services being provided are derived by a formula agreed to in advance by the captive participants and the service providers. We are the primary or only service provider to every rental captive program we support. The service providers issue policies, adjust claims, provide loss control consulting services, assume the risk for losses exceeding the captive program retention and either manage the member-owned reinsurance company needed to facilitate the transfer of risk to the participants or provide a rental reinsurance facility that serves the same purpose. These items, which are included in premiums charged to the insured, range from approximately 30.0% to 70.0% of a $1 million policy premium depending on the program structure and the loss layer ceded to the captive.
 
We entered the alternative risk transfer market in 1995 through an arrangement with an established captive insurance consultant. Together, we created what we believe, based on our discussions with brokers and customers in the passenger transportation insurance market, was the first homogeneous, member-owned captive insurance program, TRAX U.S. Captive Insurance Programsm, for passenger transportation operators. Since 1996, we have established additional group captives for passenger and commercial transportation, including but not limited to, rental cars, taxi cabs, liquefied petroleum gas distributors, buses, crane and rigging operators, railroads and trucks. We expect to introduce additional transportation captives in 2010. As of December 31, 2009, we insured more than


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380 transportation companies in captive insurance programs. No one customer in our alternative risk transfer business accounted for 10.0% or more of the revenues of this component of our business during 2009. We also have partnered with insureds and agents in captive programs, whereby the insured or agent shares in underwriting results and investment income with our Cayman Islands-based reinsurance subsidiary.
 
Transportation.  We believe that we are the largest writer of insurance for the passenger transportation industry in the United States. In our transportation component, we underwrite commercial auto liability, general liability, physical damage and motor truck cargo coverages for truck and passenger operators. Passenger transportation operators include charter and tour bus companies, municipal transit systems, school transportation contractors, limousine companies, inter-city bus services and community service and paratransit operations. No one customer in our transportation component accounted for 10.0% or more of the revenues of this component during 2009. We also assume a majority of the net risk related to policies for transportation risks underwritten by us and issued by Great American, which accounted for approximately 1.0% of our gross premiums written for the year ended December 31, 2009. We do not have similar arrangements with any other companies.
 
Specialty Personal Lines.  We believe our specialty recreational vehicle, or RV insurance program, differs from those offered by traditional personal auto insurers because we offer coverages written specifically for RV owners, including those who live in their RV full-time. We offer coverage for campsite liability, vehicle replacement coverage and coverage for trailers, golf carts and campsite storage facilities. In addition to our RV product, we also offer companion personal auto coverage to RV policyholders. This product covers the automobiles owned by our insured RV policyholders. One feature of our companion auto product that we believe is not generally available from other insurers is the application of a single deductible when an insured RV and the insured companion auto being towed are both damaged in an accident. We also assume all of the net risk related to policies for recreational vehicle risks underwritten by us and issued by Great American, our majority shareholder. Also included in the specialty personal lines component is the commercial vehicle product, which we began offering in 2006 in one state. This product, offered in three states as of December 31, 2009, provides coverage for companies with vehicles used by contractors, artisans and other small businesses. We currently insure vehicles ranging from private passenger autos to customized vans and dump trucks. Although this product is not material to our overall operations, it experienced strong premium growth in 2009, increasing $7.2 million over 2008. We expect to continue introducing this product in additional states, while leveraging current technology advances to enhance our existing distribution channels.
 
Hawaii and Alaska.  We entered the Hawaiian transportation insurance market in 1995. The major insurance product managed by the Hawaii office was general commercial insurance sold to Hawaiian small business owners, which remains an important part of our business. Since 1996, we have expanded our product offerings in Hawaii by adding our transportation insurance and believe that we have now become the leading writer of transportation insurance in that state. Through our office in Hawaii, we entered the Alaskan insurance market in 2005, offering similar products to those we offer in Hawaii.


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Geographic Concentration
 
The following table sets forth the geographic distribution of our direct premiums written for the years indicated:
 
                                 
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008  
          Percent of
          Percent of
 
    Volume     Total     Volume     Total  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
California
  $ 40,693       12.0 %   $ 57,564       15.5 %
Texas
    39,156       11.6 %     33,676       9.1 %
New York
    18,554       5.5 %     20,340       5.4 %
Hawaii
    18,452       5.5 %     22,574       6.1 %
Florida
    16,441       4.9 %     24,849       6.7 %
North Carolina
    15,267       4.5 %     18,015       4.9 %
Massachusetts
    15,119       4.5 %     10,697       2.9 %
Pennsylvania
    14,848       4.4 %     12,971       3.5 %
All other states
    159,442       47.1 %     170,557       45.9 %
                                 
Direct premiums written
  $ 337,972       100.0 %   $ 371,243       100.0 %
                                 
 
Concentration by Statutory Line of Business
 
The following table sets forth our direct premiums written by statutory line of business for the years indicated:
 
                                 
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008  
          Percent of
          Percent of
 
    Volume     Total     Volume     Total  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Auto and other liability
  $ 197,766       58.5 %   $ 228,119       61.4 %
Auto physical damage
    72,375       21.4 %     74,886       20.2 %
Workers’ compensation
    57,143       16.9 %     49,634       13.4 %
All other lines
    10,688       3.2 %     18,604       5.0 %
                                 
Direct premiums written
  $ 337,972       100.0 %   $ 371,243       100.0 %
                                 
 
Underwriting
 
We employ a pricing segmentation approach that makes extensive use of proprietary data and pricing methodologies. Our pricing strategy enables our product managers to manage rate structures by evaluating detailed policyholder information, such as loss experience based on driver characteristics, financial responsibility scores (where legally permissible) and the make/model of vehicles. This pricing segmentation approach differs by product line and requires extensive involvement of product managers, who are responsible for the underwriting profitability of a specific product line with direct oversight of product design and rate level structure by our most senior managers. Individual product managers work closely with our pricing and database managers to generate rate level indications and other relevant data. We use this data, coupled with the actuarial loss costs obtained from the Insurance Services Office, an insurance industry advisory service organization, as a benchmark in the formulation of pricing for our products. We believe the quality of our proprietary data, combined with our rigorous approach, has permitted us to respond more quickly than our competitors to adverse trends such as the continuing increase in auto liability loss severity and to obtain accurate pricing and risk selection for each individual account.
 
Risk selection and pricing decisions are discussed regularly by product line underwriters and product managers. We believe this groups input and deliberation on pricing and risk selection reaffirms our philosophy and underwriting culture and aids in avoiding unknown exposures. Underwriting files at both our regional and


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corporate offices are audited by senior management on a regular basis for compliance with our price and risk selection criteria. Product managers are responsible for the underwriting profitability resulting from these risk selection and pricing decisions and the incentive-based portion of their compensation is based, in part, on that profitability.
 
Marketing and Distribution
 
We offer our products through multiple distribution channels including independent agents and brokers, program administrators, affiliated agencies and agent internet initiatives. During the year ended December 31, 2009, approximately 89% of our gross premiums written were generated by independent agents and brokers and approximately 11% were generated by our affiliated agencies. Together, our top two independent agents/brokers accounted for less than 12% of our gross premiums written during 2009.
 
Reinsurance
 
We are involved in both the cession and assumption of reinsurance. We reinsure a portion of our business to other insurance companies. Ceding reinsurance permits diversification of our risks and limits our maximum loss arising from large or unusually hazardous risks or catastrophic events. We are subject to credit risk with respect to our reinsurers, because the ceding of risk to a reinsurer generally does not relieve us of liability to our insureds until claims are fully settled. To mitigate this credit risk, we cede business only to reinsurers if they meet our credit ratings criteria of an A.M. Best rating of “A−” or better. If a reinsurer is not rated by A.M. Best or their rating falls below “A−”, our contract with them generally requires that they secure outstanding obligations with cash, a trust or a letter of credit that we deem acceptable.
 
We are party to agreements with Great American pursuant to which we assume a majority of the premiums written by Great American for transportation and RV risks. We then pay Great American a service fee based on these premiums. Great American also participates in several of our commercial transportation reinsurance programs. Ceded premiums written with Great American were $3.1 million, $3.5 million and $4.0 million for the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007, respectively. We also provide administrative services to Great American in connection with the public transportation risks that we underwrite on their policies.
 
Claims Management and Administration
 
We believe that effective claims management is critical to our success and that our process is cost efficient, delivers the appropriate level of claims service and produces superior claims results. We are focused on controlling claims from their inception with thorough investigation, accelerated communication to insureds and claimants and compressing the cycle time of claim resolution to control both loss cost and claim handling cost.
 
Claims arising under our insurance policies are reviewed, supervised and handled by our internal claims department. As of December 31, 2009, our claims organization employed 85 people (24% of our employee group) and operated out of two regional offices. All of our claims employees have been trained to handle claims according to our customer-focused claims management processes and procedures and are subject to periodic audit. We systematically conduct continuing education for our claims staff in the areas of best practices, fraud awareness, legislative changes and litigation management. We do not delegate liability settlement authority to third party administrators. All large claim reserves are reviewed on a monthly basis by executive claims management and adjusters frequently participate in audits and large loss reviews with participating reinsurers. We also employ a formal large loss review methodology that involves senior company management, executive claims management and adjusting staff in a quarterly review of all large loss exposures.
 
We provide 24-hour, 7 days per week, toll-free service for our policyholders to report claims. In 2009, adjusters were able to initiate contact with approximately 94% of policyholder claimants within 8 hours of first notice of a loss and approximately 84% of third-party claimants. When we receive the first notice of loss, our claims personnel open a file and establish appropriate reserving to maximum probable exposure (based on our historical claim settlement experience) as soon as practicable and continually revise case reserves as new information develops. We maintain and implement a fraud awareness program designed to educate our claims employees and others


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throughout the organization of fraud indicators. Potentially fraudulent claims are referred for special investigation and fraudulent claims are contested.
 
Our physical damage claims processes involve the utilization and coordination of internal staff, vendor resources and property specialists. We pay close attention to the vehicle repair process, which we believe reduces the amount we pay for repairs, storage costs and auto rental costs. During 2009, our physical damage settlements in the continental United States averaged savings of approximately 11% and savings of 14% in Hawaii for the same period when compared to claimed damages.
 
Our captive programs have dedicated claims personnel and claims services tailored to each captive program. Each captive program has a dedicated claims manager, receives extra communications pertaining to reserve changes and/or payments and has dedicated staff resources. In the captive programs, 100% of customers completing our survey in 2009 rated us as timely in our claims handling and 98% for the same period rated their claims as thoroughly investigated.
 
We employ highly qualified and experienced liability adjusters who are responsible for overseeing all injury-related losses including those in litigation. We identify and retain specialized outside defense counsel to litigate such matters. We negotiate fee arrangements with retained defense counsel and attempt to limit our litigation costs. The liability focused adjusters manage these claims by placing a priority on detailed file documentation and emphasizing investigation, evaluation and negotiation of liability claims.
 
Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses (“LAE”)
 
We estimate liabilities for the costs of losses and LAE for both reported and unreported claims based on historical trends adjusted for changes in loss costs, underwriting standards, policy provisions, product mix and other factors. Estimating the liability for unpaid losses and LAE is inherently judgmental and is influenced by factors that are subject to significant variation. We monitor items such as the effect of inflation on medical, hospitalization, material repair and replacement costs, general economic trends and the legal environment. While the ultimate liability may be greater than recorded loss reserves, the reserve tail for transportation coverage is generally shorter than that associated with many other casualty coverages and, therefore, generally can be established with less uncertainty than coverages having longer reserve tails.
 
We review loss reserve adequacy and claims adjustment effectiveness quarterly. We focus significant management attention on claims reserved above $100,000. Further, our reserves are certified by accredited actuaries from Great American to state regulators annually. Reserves are routinely adjusted as additional information becomes known. These adjustments are reflected in current year operations.
 
The following tables present the development of our loss reserves, net of reinsurance, on a U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) basis for the calendar years 1999 through 2009. The top line of each table shows the estimated liability for unpaid losses and LAE recorded at the balance sheet date for the indicated year. The next line, “As re-estimated at December 31, 2009,” shows the re-estimated liability as of December 31, 2009. The remainder of the table presents intervening development from the initially estimated liability. This development results from additional information and experience in subsequent years. The middle line shows a net


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cumulative (deficiency) redundancy which represents the aggregate percentage (increase) decrease in the liability initially estimated. The lower portion of the table indicates the cumulative amounts paid as of successive periods.
 
                                                                                         
Net Liability for Unpaid
                                           
Losses And LAE:
  1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
    (Dollars in thousands)
 
As originally estimated
  $ 26,566     $ 30,292     $ 48,456     $ 67,162     $ 86,740     $ 111,644     $ 151,444     $ 181,851     $ 210,302     $ 262,440     $ 276,419  
As re-estimated at December 31, 2009
    25,735       32,105       48,243       62,437       79,163       99,362       138,108       169,879       207,281       261,154          
Liability re-estimated as of:
                                                                                       
One year later
    24,923       32,751       48,494       63,462       84,485       106,409       143,991       176,179       209,448       261,154          
Two years later
    26,252       33,473       47,479       64,687       83,862       103,416       142,929       173,860       207,281                  
Three years later
    26,380       31,884       47,250       63,037       81,991       99,768       139,994       169,879                          
Four years later
    25,531       31,488       46,400       62,564       79,673       99,487       138,108                                  
Five years later
    25,138       31,590       46,961       60,551       79,084       99,362                                          
Six years later
    24,989       31,757       46,880       61,268       79,163                                                  
Seven years later
    25,364       31,410       47,361       62,437                                                          
Eight years later
    25,372       31,505       48,243                                                                  
Nine years later
    25,471       32,105                                                                          
Ten years later
    25,735                                                                                  
Net cumulative (deficiency) redundancy
    831       (1,813 )     213       4,725       7,577       12,282       13,336       11,972       3,021       1,286          
Net cumulative (deficiency) redundancy — %
    3.1 %     (6.0 %)     0.4 %     7.0%       8.7 %     11.0 %     8.8 %     6.6 %     1.4 %     0.5 %        
Cumulative paid of:
                                                                                       
One year later
    10,307       14,924       18,048       22,792       29,616       37,049       51,901       63,314       67,673       91,615          
Two years later
    17,637       20,077       28,510       36,927       48,672       59,038       85,193       95,752       111,841                  
Three years later
    20,157       24,313       35,718       48,660       61,001       76,617       101,340       119,984                          
Four years later
    22,383       26,869       40,615       53,531       68,594       84,070       112,474                                  
Five years later
    23,413       28,591       43,474       57,697       71,904       89,821                                          
Six years later
    24,033       30,180       45,365       59,035       74,938                                                  
Seven years later
    24,594       30,813       45,828       61,179                                                          
Eight years later
    24,926       30,863       47,396                                                                  
Nine years later
    25,008       31,549                                                                          
Ten years later
    25,397                                                                                  
 
     The following is a reconciliation of our net liability to the gross liability for unpaid losses and LAE:
                                                                                         
                                                                                         
    1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
    (Dollars in thousands)
 
As originally estimated:
                                                                                       
Net liability shown above
  $ 26,566     $ 30,292     $ 48,456     $ 67,162     $ 86,740     $ 111,644     $ 151,444     $ 181,851     $ 210,302     $ 262,440     $ 276,419  
Add reinsurance recoverables
    11,396       12,416       22,395       35,048       41,986       59,387       71,763       84,115       91,786       137,561       140,841  
                                                                                         
Gross liability
  $ 37,962     $ 42,708     $ 70,851     $ 102,210     $ 128,726     $ 171,031     $ 223,207     $ 265,966     $ 302,088     $ 400,001     $ 417,260  
                                                                                         
As re-estimated at December 31, 2009
                                                                                       
Net liability shown above
  $ 25,735     $ 32,105     $ 48,243     $ 62,437     $ 79,163     $ 99,362     $ 138,108     $ 169,879     $ 207,281     $ 261,154       N/A  
Add reinsurance recoverables reestimated
    6,927       13,039       34,029       47,314       50,303       57,385       63,625       70,572       69,191       122,981       N/A  
                                                                                         
Gross liability
  $ 32,662     $ 45,144     $ 82,272     $ 109,751     $ 129,466     $ 156,747     $ 201,733     $ 240,451     $ 276,472     $ 384,135       N/A  
                                                                                         
Gross cumulative (deficiency) redundancy
  $ 5,300     $ (2,436 )   $ (11,421 )   $ (7,541 )   $ (740 )   $ 14,284     $ 21,474     $ 25,515     $ 25,616     $ 15,866       N/A  
                                                                                         
Gross cumulative (deficiency) redundancy — %
    14.0 %     (5.7 %)     (16.1 %)     (7.4% )     (0.6 %)     8.4 %     9.6 %     9.6 %     8.5 %     4.0 %     N/A  
                                                                                         


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These tables do not present accident or policy year development data. Furthermore, in evaluating the re-estimated liability and cumulative (deficiency) redundancy, it should be noted that each amount includes the effects of changes in amounts for prior periods. Conditions and trends that have affected development of the liability in the past may not necessarily exist in the future. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based on this table.
 
The preceding table shows our calendar year development for each of the last ten years resulting from reevaluating the original estimate of the loss and LAE liability on both a net and gross basis. Gross reserves are liabilities for direct and assumed losses and LAE before a reduction for amounts ceded. At December 31, 2009, our liability on a gross basis was $417.3 million and our asset for ceded reserves was $140.8 million. The difference between gross development and net development is ceded loss and LAE reserve development. The range of dollar limits ceded by us is much greater and therefore more volatile than the range of dollar limits we retain, which could cause more volatility in estimates for ceded losses. Therefore, ceded reserves are more susceptible to development than net reserves. Net calendar year reserve development affects our income for the year while ceded reserve development or savings affects the income of reinsurers.
 
Investments
 
General
 
We approach investment and capital management with the intention of supporting insurance operations by providing a stable source of income to supplement underwriting income. The goals in our investment policy are to protect capital while optimizing investment income and capital appreciation and maintaining appropriate liquidity. Our Board of Directors has established investment guidelines and reviews the portfolio performance at least quarterly for compliance with its established guidelines.
 
The following tables present the percentage distribution and yields of our investment portfolio for the dates given:
 
                 
    At December 31,  
    2009     2008  
 
Short term investments
    0.1 %     0.0 %
Fixed maturities:
               
US Government and government agencies
    35.6 %     41.6 %
State and local government obligations
    26.0 %     25.7 %
Residential mortgage-backed securities
    19.6 %     16.2 %
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
    0.7 %     0.0 %
Corporate obligations
    11.3 %     8.6 %
Redeemable preferred stock
    1.9 %     2.3 %
                 
Total fixed maturities
    95.1 %     94.4 %
                 
Equity securities:
               
Perpetual preferred stocks
    0.2 %     1.2 %
Common stocks
    4.6 %     4.4 %
                 
Total equity securities
    4.8 %     5.6 %
                 
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %
                 
 
During the second quarter of 2009, we terminated our securities lending program and transferred fixed maturities with a fair market value of $35.8 million, primarily residential mortgage-backed securities and corporate obligations, into our fixed maturities portfolio. At December 31, 2008, the distribution of holdings within the securities lending program was as follows: 50.0% in cash and cash equivalents, 22.0% in mortgage backed securities and 28.0% in corporate obligations.


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The following table presents the yields of our investment portfolio for the dates given:
 
                         
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007  
 
Yield on short term investments:
                       
Excluding realized gains and losses
    1.0 %     5.5 %     4.9 %
Including realized gains and losses
    1.0 %     5.5 %     4.9 %
Yield on fixed maturities:
                       
Excluding realized gains and losses
    3.7 %     4.5 %     4.8 %
Including realized gains and losses
    3.5 %     3.4 %     4.7 %
Yield on equity securities:
                       
Excluding realized gains and losses
    2.3 %     3.5 %     4.6 %
Including realized gains and losses
    16.5 %     (42.8 %)     3.4 %
Yield on all investments:
                       
Excluding realized gains and losses
    3.7 %     4.4 %     4.8 %
Including realized gains and losses
    4.1 %     (0.3 %)     4.6 %
 
The table below compares total returns on our fixed maturities and equity securities to comparable public indices. We benchmark our fixed maturity portfolio to the Barclays Intermediate Aggregate Index because we believe it best matches our investment strategy and the resulting composition of our portfolio. For similar reasons we benchmark our preferred stock portfolio against the Merrill Lynch Preferred Stock Index and all other equity investments against the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. Both our performance and the indices include investment income, realized gains and losses and changes in unrealized gains and losses.
 
                         
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007  
 
Fixed maturities:
                       
National Interstate Total Return on Fixed Maturities
    7.1 %     3.9 %     6.9 %
Barclays Intermediate Aggregate Index
    6.5 %     4.9 %     7.0 %
Equity securities:
                       
National Interstate Total Return on Preferred Stock
    33.8 %     (27.2 %)     (13.9 %)
Merrill Lynch Preferred Stock Index
    26.6 %     (37.9 %)     (11.7 %)
National Interstate Total Return on all other Equity
    30.8 %     (29.6 %)     4.3 %
Standard & Poor’s 500 Index
    26.5 %     (37.0 %)     5.5 %


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Fixed Maturity Investments
 
Our fixed maturity portfolio is primarily invested in investment grade securities. The following table shows our fixed maturity securities by Standard & Poor’s (“S&P”) Corporation or comparable rating as of December 31, 2009:
 
                         
    Fixed Maturities  
S&P or Comparable Rating
  Amortized Cost     Fair Value     % of Total  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
AAA, AA, A
  $ 494,950     $ 501,578       88.5 %
BBB
    35,592       34,805       6.1 %
                         
Total Investment Grade
    530,542       536,383       94.6 %
BB
    15,008       13,785       2.4 %
B
    6,973       7,050       1.3 %
CCC
    8,392       4,371       0.8 %
CC, C, D
    4,838       5,312       0.9 %
                         
Total Non-Investment Grade
    35,211       30,518       5.4 %
                         
Total
  $ 565,753     $ 566,901       100.0 %
                         
 
The maturity distribution of fixed maturity investments held as of December 31, 2009 is as follows (actual maturities may differ from scheduled maturities due to the borrower having the right to call or prepay certain obligations):
 
                 
    December 31, 2009  
    Fair Value     % of Total  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
One year or less
  $ 29,578       5.2 %
More than one year to five years
    209,201       36.9 %
More than five years to ten years
    165,780       29.2 %
More than ten years
    41,694       7.4 %
                 
      446,253       78.7 %
Mortgage-backed securities
    120,648       21.3 %
                 
Total fixed maturities
  $ 566,901       100.0 %
                 
 
The fixed income investment funds are generally invested in securities with short-term and intermediate-term maturities with an objective of optimizing total return while allowing flexibility to react to changes in market conditions and maintaining sufficient liquidity to meet policyholder obligations. At December 31, 2009, the weighted average modified duration (unadjusted for call provision) was approximately 4.1 years, the weighted average effective duration (adjusted for call provisions) was 3.3 years and the weighted average maturity was 4.8 years. The concept of weighted average effective duration takes into consideration the probability of the exercise of the various call features associated with many of the fixed income securities we hold. Fixed income securities are frequently issued with call provisions that provide the issuer the option of accelerating the maturity of the security.
 
Competition
 
The commercial transportation insurance industry is highly competitive and, except for regulatory considerations, there are relatively few barriers to entry. We compete with numerous insurance companies and reinsurers, including large national underwriters and smaller niche insurance companies. In particular, in the specialty insurance market we compete against, among others, Lancer Insurance Company, RLI Corporation, American Alternative Insurance Corporation, Progressive Corporation, Island Insurance Company, Great West Casualty Company (a subsidiary of Old Republic International Corporation), Northland Insurance Company (a subsidiary of the Travelers Companies, Inc.), Century Insurance Group and American Modern Home Insurance Company (a


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subsidiary of Munich Re Group). We compete in the property and casualty insurance marketplace with other insurers on the basis of price, coverages offered, product and program design, claims handling, customer service quality, agent commissions where applicable, geographic coverage, reputation and financial strength ratings by independent rating agencies. We compete by developing product lines to satisfy specific market needs and by maintaining relationships with our independent agents and customers who rely on our expertise. This expertise, along with our reputation for offering specialty underwriting products, is our principal means of distinguishing ourselves from our competitors.
 
We believe we have a competitive advantage in our major lines of business as a result of the extensive experience of our management, our superior service and products, our willingness to design custom insurance programs for our large transportation customers and the extensive use of current technology with respect to our insureds and independent agent force. However, we are not “top-line” oriented and will readily sacrifice premium volume during periods that we believe exhibit unrealistic rate competition. Accordingly, should competitors determine to “buy” market share with unprofitable rates, our insurance subsidiaries could experience limited growth or a decline in business until market pricing returns to, what we view as, profitable levels.
 
Ratings
 
A.M. Best assigned our current group rating of “A” (Excellent) to our domestic insurance companies. According to A.M. Best, “A” ratings are assigned to insurers that have, on balance, excellent balance sheet strength, operating performance and business profile when compared to the standards established by A.M. Best and, in A.M. Best’s opinion, have a strong ability to meet their ongoing obligations to policyholders. The objective of A.M. Best’s rating system is to provide potential policyholders and other interested parties an opinion of an insurer’s financial strength and ability to meet ongoing obligations, including paying claims. This rating reflects A.M. Best’s analysis of our balance sheet, financial position, capitalization and management. This rating is subject to periodic review and may be revised downward, upward or revoked at the sole discretion of A.M. Best. Any changes in our rating category could affect our competitive position.
 
Regulation
 
State Regulation
 
General
 
Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to regulation in all fifty states, Washington D.C. and the Cayman Islands. The extent of regulation varies, but generally derives from statutes that delegate regulatory, supervisory and administrative authority to a department of insurance in each state in which the companies transact insurance business. These statutes and regulations generally require each of our insurance subsidiaries to register with the state insurance department where the company is domiciled and to furnish annually financial and other information about the operations of the company. Certain transactions and other activities by our insurance companies must be approved by Ohio, Pennsylvania or Cayman Islands regulatory authorities before the transaction takes place.
 
The regulation, supervision and administration also relate to statutory capital and reserve requirements and standards of solvency that must be met and maintained, the payment of dividends, changes of control of insurance companies, the licensing of insurers and their agents, the types of insurance that may be written, the regulation of market conduct, including underwriting and claims practices, provisions for unearned premiums, losses, LAE and other obligations, the ability to enter and exit certain insurance markets, the nature of and limitations on investments, premium rates or restrictions on the size of risks that may be insured under a single policy, privacy practices, deposits of securities for the benefit of policyholders, payment of sales compensation to third parties and the approval of policy forms and guaranty funds.
 
State insurance departments also conduct periodic examinations of the business affairs of our insurance companies and require us to file annual financial and other reports, prepared under statutory accounting principles, relating to the financial condition of companies and other matters. These insurance departments conduct periodic examinations of the books and records, financial reporting, policy filings and market conduct of our insurance companies doing business in their states, generally once every three to five years, although target financial, market


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conduct and other examinations may take place at any time. These examinations are generally carried out in cooperation with the insurance departments of other states in which our insurance companies transact insurance business under guidelines promulgated by the NAIC. Our last financial examination for our domestic insurance subsidiaries was completed by the Ohio Department of Insurance, which coordinated the exam for Ohio, Pennsylvania and Hawaii, for the period ending December 31, 2005. No significant issues surfaced. In addition to financial examinations, we may be subject to market conduct examinations of our claims and underwriting practices. We are currently in various stages of market conduct examinations by the Departments of Insurance from California and Delaware. During 2009, we concluded a market conduct examination of our underwriting practices by the North Carolina Department of Insurance and in January of 2010, we concluded an examination of our claims handling practices by the Nevada Department of Insurance. Additionally, during 2009, we received notice that the Missouri Department of Insurance intends to conduct a market conduct examination. The findings of the North Carolina and Nevada insurance departments did not result in fines or penalties against us, but any adverse findings by other insurance departments could result in significant fines and penalties, negatively affecting our profitability.
 
Generally, all material transactions among affiliated companies in our holding company system to which any of our insurance subsidiaries is a party, including sales, loans, reinsurance agreements, management agreements and service agreements must be fair and reasonable. In addition, if the transaction is material or of a specified category, prior notice and approval (or absence of disapproval within a specified time limit) by the insurance department where the subsidiary is domiciled is required.
 
Statutory Accounting Principle (“SAP”)
 
SAP is a basis of accounting developed to assist insurance regulators in monitoring and regulating the solvency of insurance companies. One of the primary goals is to measure an insurer’s statutory surplus. Accordingly, statutory accounting focuses on valuing assets and liabilities of our insurance subsidiaries at financial reporting dates in accordance with appropriate insurance law and regulatory provisions applicable in each insurer’s domiciliary state. Insurance departments utilize SAP to help determine whether our insurance companies will have sufficient funds to timely pay all the claims of our policyholders and creditors. GAAP gives more consideration to matching of revenue and expenses than SAP. As a result, assets and liabilities will differ in financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP as compared to SAP.
 
SAP, as established by the NAIC and adopted, for the most part, by the various state insurance regulators determine, among other things, the amount of statutory surplus and net income of our insurance subsidiaries and thus determine, in part, the amount of funds they have available to pay as dividends to us.
 
Restrictions on Paying Dividends
 
State insurance law restricts the ability of our insurance subsidiaries to declare shareholder dividends and requires our insurance companies to maintain specified levels of statutory capital and surplus. The amount of an insurer’s surplus following payment of any dividends must be reasonable in relation to the insurer’s outstanding liabilities and adequate to meet its financial needs. Limitations on dividends are generally based on net income or statutory capital and surplus.
 
The maximum amount of dividends that our insurance companies can pay to us in 2010 without seeking regulatory approval is $33.1 million. NIIC paid no dividends in 2009 or 2008.
 
Assessments and Fees Payable
 
Virtually all states require insurers licensed to do business in their state to bear a portion of the loss suffered by insureds as a result of the insolvency of other insurers. Significant assessments could limit the ability of our insurance subsidiaries to recover such assessments through tax credits or other means. We paid assessments of $1.7 million, $2.4 million and $2.3 million in the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007, respectively. Our estimated liability for anticipated assessments was $3.2 million and $3.6 million the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008, respectively.


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Risk-Based Capital (“RBC”) Requirements
 
In order to enhance the regulation of insurer solvency, the NAIC has adopted formulas and model laws to determine minimum capital requirements and to raise the level of protection that statutory surplus provides for policyholder obligations. The model law provides for increasing levels of regulatory intervention as the ratio of an insurer’s total adjusted capital and surplus decreases relative to its RBC, culminating with mandatory control of the operations of the insurer by the domiciliary insurance department at the so-called “mandatory control level.” At December 31, 2009, the capital and surplus of all of our insurance companies substantially exceeded the RBC requirements.
 
Restrictions on Cancellation, Non-Renewal or Withdrawal
 
Many states in which we conduct business have laws and regulations that limit the ability of our insurance companies licensed in that state to exit a market, cancel policies or not renew policies. Some states prohibit us from withdrawing one or more lines of business from the state, except pursuant to a plan approved by the state insurance regulator, which may disapprove a plan that may lead to market disruption.
 
Federal Regulation
 
General
 
The federal government generally does not directly regulate the insurance business. However, federal legislation and administrative policies in several areas, including age and sex discrimination, consumer privacy, terrorism and federal taxation and motor-carrier safety, do affect our insurance business. While we cannot predict whether the federal government will become significantly involved in insurance regulation in 2010 or later, if at all, we expect that the federal government’s reaction to the recent economic events that have transpired in the United States in the last two years, may include some type of federal oversight of the insurance industry, including possibly establishing a federal insurance charter and a Federal Insurance Office. We will continue to monitor all significant federal insurance legislation.
 
The Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (the “Act”)
 
The Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2007 extended the temporary federal program that provides for a transparent system of shared public and private compensation for insured losses resulting from acts of terrorism. The Act requires commercial insurers to make terrorism coverage available for commercial property/casualty losses, including workers’ compensation. Commercial auto, burglary/theft, surety, professional liability and farmowners multiple-peril are not included in the program. The “event trigger” under the Act provides that in the case of a certified act of terrorism occurring after March 31, 2006, no federal compensation shall be paid by the Secretary of Treasury unless aggregate industry losses exceed $100 billion. The federal government will pay 85% of covered terrorism losses in 2010 in excess of the event trigger.
 
We are continuing to take the steps necessary to comply with the Act, as well as the state regulations in implementing its provisions, by providing required notices to commercial policyholders describing coverage provided for certified acts of terrorism (as defined by the Act). We do not anticipate terrorism losses to have a material impact on our results of operations.
 
To our knowledge and based on our internal review and control process for compliance, we believe we have been in compliance in all material respects with the laws, rules and regulations described above.
 
Employees
 
At December 31, 2009, we employed 351 people.  None of our employees are covered by collective bargaining arrangements.


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ITEM 1A   Risk Factors
 
Please refer to “Forward-Looking Statements” following the Index in the front of this Form 10-K.
 
All material risks and uncertainties currently known regarding our business operations are included in this section. If any of the following risks, or other risks and uncertainties that we have not yet identified or that we currently consider not to be material, actually occur, our business, prospects, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows could be materially and adversely affected.
 
Market fluctuations, changes in interest rates or a need to generate liquidity can have significant and negative effects on our investment portfolio.
 
Our results of operations depend in part on the performance of our invested assets. As of December 31, 2009, 95.1% of our investment portfolio (excluding cash and cash equivalents) was invested in fixed maturities, 4.8% was invested in equity securities and 0.1% was invested in short-term investments. As of December 31, 2009, approximately 37.5% of our fixed maturity portfolio was invested in U.S. Government and government agency fixed income securities and approximately 94.6% of the fixed maturities were invested in fixed maturities rated “investment grade” (credit rating of AAA to BBB-) by Standard & Poor’s Corporation.
 
Investment returns are an important part of our overall profitability. We cannot predict which industry sectors in which we maintain investments may suffer losses as a result of potential declines in commercial and economic activity, or how any such decline might impact the ability of companies within the affected industry sectors to pay interest or principal on their securities and we cannot predict how or to what extent the value of any underlying collateral might be affected. Accordingly, adverse fluctuations in the fixed income or equity markets could adversely impact our profitability, financial condition or cash flows.
 
Markets in the United States and around the world have been experiencing volatility since mid-2007. Initiatives taken by the U.S. and foreign governments have helped to stabilize the financial markets and restore liquidity to the banking system and credit markets. However, the financial system has not completely stabilized and market volatility could continue in the future if there is a prolonged recession or a worsening in key economic indicators. If market conditions deteriorate, our investment portfolio could be adversely impacted.
 
Historically, we have not had the need to sell our investments to generate liquidity. If we were forced to sell portfolio securities that have unrealized losses for liquidity purposes rather than holding them to maturity or recovery, we would recognize investment losses on those securities when that determination was made.
 
We may not have access to capital in the future due to an economic downturn.
 
We may need new or additional financing in the future to conduct our operations, expand our business or refinance existing indebtedness. Any sustained weakness in the general economic conditions and/or financial markets in the United States or globally could affect adversely our ability to raise capital on favorable terms or at all. From time to time we have relied, and may also rely in the future, on access to financial markets as a source of liquidity for operations, acquisitions and general corporate purposes. Our access to funds under our $50 million unsecured Credit Agreement (“Credit Agreement”) is dependent on the ability of the financial institutions that are parties to the facility to meet their funding commitments. Those financial institutions may not be able to meet their funding commitments if they experience shortages of capital and liquidity or if they experience excessive volumes of borrowing requests within a short period of time. Financial markets in the U.S. experienced extreme volatility during the latter part of 2008 and early 2009, which was characterized by the bankruptcy, failure, collapse or sale of various financial institutions and an unprecedented level of intervention from the United States federal government. Longer term volatility and continued disruptions in the capital and credit markets could adversely affect our access to the liquidity needed for our operations in the longer term. Such disruptions could require us to take measures to conserve cash until the markets stabilize or until alternative credit arrangements or other funding for our business needs can be arranged. Further economic disruptions and any resulting limitations on future funding, including any restrictions on access to funds under our Credit Agreement, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.


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Our ability to recognize future tax benefits on realized and unrealized investment losses is limited.
 
At December 31, 2009, we had gross deferred tax assets of $6.4 million related to investment securities. This gross deferred tax asset has been reduced by a valuation allowance on unrealized losses, primarily impairments on investments of $0.8 million. Future realization of the remaining deferred tax asset, as well as the ability to record tax benefits on future realized and unrealized capital losses, will depend on management’s assessment of available tax planning strategies such as realizing any appreciation in certain investment assets. If management believes realization of a deferred tax asset is not likely, an additional valuation allowance would be established by increasing income tax expense, or in the case of additional future unrealized losses, reducing accumulated other comprehensive income.
 
If we expand our operations too rapidly and do not manage that expansion effectively, our financial performance and stock price could be adversely affected.
 
We intend to grow by developing new products, expanding into new product lines and expanding our insurance distribution network. Continued growth could impose significant demands on our management, including the need to identify, recruit, maintain and integrate additional employees. Our historical growth rates may not accurately reflect our future growth rates or our growth potential. We may experience higher than anticipated indemnity losses arising from new and expanded insurance products. In addition, our systems, procedures and internal controls may not be adequate to support our operations as they expand.
 
In addition to these organic growth strategies, we regularly explore opportunities to acquire other companies or selected books of business. Upon the announcement of an acquisition, our stock price may fall depending on the size of the acquisition, the purchase price and the potential dilution to existing shareholders. It is also possible that an acquisition could dilute earnings per share.
 
If we grow through acquisitions, we could have difficulty in integrating an acquired company, which may cause us not to realize expected revenue increases, cost savings, increases in geographic or product presence, and other projected benefits from the acquisition. The integration could result in the loss of key employees, disruption of our business or the business of the acquired company, or otherwise harm our ability to retain customers and employees or achieve the anticipated benefits of the acquisition. Time and resources spent on integration may also impair our ability to grow our existing businesses. Also, the negative effect of any financial commitments required by regulatory authorities or rating agencies in acquisitions or business combinations may be greater than expected.
 
Any failure by us to manage our growth effectively could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations.
 
Our growth strategy includes expanding into product lines in which we have limited experience.
 
We are continually evaluating new lines of business to add to our product mix. In some instances, we have limited experience with marketing and managing these new product lines and insuring the types of risks involved. Our failure to effectively analyze new underwriting risks, set adequate premium rates and establish reserves for these new products or efficiently adjust claims arising from these new products could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations. During the start up period for new products, we generally set more conservative loss reserves in recognition of the inherent risk. This could adversely affect our statutory capital, net income and ability to pay dividends.
 
Because we are primarily a transportation insurer, conditions in that industry could adversely affect our business.
 
Approximately 75.2% of our gross premiums written for the year ended December 31, 2009 and 77.2% for the year ended December 31, 2008 were generated from transportation insurance policies, including captive programs for transportation companies. Adverse developments in the market for transportation insurance, including those which could result from potential declines in commercial and economic activity, could cause our results of operations to suffer. The transportation insurance industry is cyclical. Historically, the industry has been characterized by periods of price competition and excess capacity followed by periods of high premium rates and


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shortages of underwriting capacity. These fluctuations in the business cycle have and could continue to negatively impact our revenues.
 
Additionally, our results may be affected by risks that impact the transportation industry related to severe weather conditions, such as rainstorms, snowstorms, hail and ice storms, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes and tsunamis, as well as explosions, terrorist attacks and riots. Our transportation insurance business also may be affected by cost trends that negatively impact profitability, such as a continuing economic downturn, inflation in vehicle repair costs, vehicle replacement parts costs, used vehicle prices, fuel costs and medical care costs. Increased costs related to the handling and litigation of claims may also negatively impact our profitability.
 
We face competition from companies with greater financial resources, broader product lines, higher ratings and stronger financial performance than us, which may impair our ability to retain existing customers, attract new customers and maintain our profitability and financial strength.
 
The commercial transportation insurance business is highly competitive and, except for regulatory considerations, there are relatively few barriers to entry. Many of our competitors are substantially larger and may enjoy better name recognition, substantially greater financial resources, higher ratings by rating agencies, broader and more diversified product lines and more widespread agency relationships than we do. We compete with large national underwriters and smaller niche insurance companies. In particular, in the specialty insurance market we compete against, among others, Lancer Insurance Company, RLI Corporation, American Alternative Insurance Corporation, Progressive Corporation, Island Insurance Company, Great West Casualty Company (a subsidiary of Old Republic International Corporation), Northland Insurance Company (a subsidiary of the Travelers Companies, Inc.), Century Insurance Group and American Modern Home Insurance Company (a subsidiary of Munich Re Group). Our underwriting profits could be adversely impacted if new entrants or existing competitors try to compete with our products, services and programs or offer similar or better products at or below our prices.
 
We have continued to develop alternative risk transfer programs, attracting new customers as well as transitioning existing traditional customers into these programs. Our alternative risk transfer component constituted approximately 55.9% of our gross premiums written for the year ended December 31, 2009 and 54.3% of our gross written premiums for the same period in 2008. We are subject to ongoing competition for both the individual customers and entire programs. The departure of an entire captive program due to competition could adversely affect our results.
 
If we are not able to attract and retain independent agents and brokers, our revenues could be negatively affected.
 
We compete with other insurance carriers to attract and retain business from independent agents and brokers. Some of our competitors offer a larger variety of products, lower prices for insurance coverage or higher commissions than we offer. Our top ten independent agents/brokers accounted for an aggregate of 32.5% of our gross premiums written during the year ended December 31, 2009 and our top two independent agents/brokers accounted for an aggregate of 12.0% of our gross premiums written during the year ended December 31, 2009. If we are unable to attract and retain independent agents/brokers to sell our products, our ability to compete and attract new customers and our revenues would suffer.
 
We are subject to comprehensive regulation and our ability to earn profits may be restricted by these regulations.
 
We are subject to comprehensive regulation by government agencies in the states and foreign jurisdictions where our insurance company subsidiaries are domiciled (Ohio, Pennsylvania and the Cayman Islands) and, to a lesser degree, where these subsidiaries issue policies and handle claims. Failure by one of our insurance company subsidiaries to meet regulatory requirements could subject us to regulatory action. The regulations and associated examinations may have the effect of limiting our liquidity and may adversely affect results of operations.
 
In addition, state insurance department examiners perform periodic financial, market conduct and other examinations of insurance companies. Compliance with applicable laws and regulations is time consuming and personnel-intensive. The last financial examination of our domestic insurance subsidiaries was completed by the


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Ohio Department of Insurance in 2006 for the period ending December 31, 2005, which the Ohio Department of Insurance coordinated with the Departments of Insurance from Pennsylvania and Hawaii. No significant issues surfaced. In addition to financial examinations, we may be subject to market conduct examinations of our claims and underwriting practices. We are currently in various stages of market conduct examinations by the Departments of Insurance from California and Delaware. During 2009, we concluded a market conduct examination of our underwriting practices by the North Carolina Department of Insurance and in January of 2010, we concluded an examination of our claims handling practices by the Nevada Department of Insurance. Additionally, during 2009, we received notice that the Missouri Department of Insurance intends to conduct a market conduct examination. The findings of the North Carolina and Nevada insurance departments did not result in fines or penalties against us, but any adverse findings by other insurance departments could result in significant fines and penalties, negatively affecting our profitability.
 
In addition, insurance-related laws and regulations may become more restrictive in the future. New or more restrictive regulation, including changes in current tax or other regulatory interpretations affecting the alternative risk transfer insurance model, could make it more expensive for us to conduct our business, restrict the premiums we are able to charge or otherwise change the way we do business. In addition, the economic and financial market turmoil may result in some type of federal oversight of the insurance industry. For a further discussion of the regulatory framework in which we operate, see the subsection of “Business” entitled “Regulation.”
 
We cannot predict the impact that changing climate conditions, including legal, regulatory and social responses thereto, may have on our business.
 
Various scientists, environmentalists, international organization, regulators and other commentators believe that global climate change has added, and will continue to add, to the unpredictability, frequency and severity of natural disasters (including, but not limited to, hurricanes, tornadoes, freezes, other storms and fires) in certain parts of the world. In response, a number of legal and regulatory measures and social initiatives have been introduced in an effort to reduce greenhouse gas and other carbon emissions that may be chief contributors to global climate change.
 
We cannot predict the impact that changing climate conditions, if any, will have on us or our customers. However, it is possible that the legal, regulatory and social responses to climate change could have a negative effect on our results of operations or our financial condition.
 
As a holding company, we are dependent on the results of operations of our insurance company subsidiaries to meet our obligations and pay future dividends.
 
We are a holding company and a legal entity separate and distinct from our insurance company subsidiaries. As a holding company without significant operations of our own, one of our sources of funds are dividends and other distributions from our insurance company subsidiaries. As discussed under the subsection of “Business” entitled “Regulation,” statutory and regulatory restrictions limit the aggregate amount of dividends or other distributions that our insurance subsidiaries may declare or pay within any twelve-month period without advance regulatory approval and require insurance companies to maintain specified levels of statutory capital and surplus. Insurance regulators have broad powers to prevent reduction of statutory capital and surplus to inadequate levels and could refuse to permit the payment of dividends calculated under any applicable formula. As a result, we may not be able to receive dividends from our insurance subsidiaries at times and in amounts necessary to meet our operating needs, to pay dividends to our shareholders or to pay corporate expenses.
 
We are currently rated “A” (Excellent) by A.M. Best, their third highest rating out of 16 rating categories. A decline in our rating below “A-” could adversely affect our position in the insurance market, make it more difficult to market our insurance products and cause our premiums and earnings to decrease.
 
Financial ratings are an important factor influencing the competitive position of insurance companies. A.M. Best ratings, which are commonly used in the insurance industry, currently range from “A++” (Superior) to “F” (In Liquidation), with a total of 16 separate ratings categories. A.M. Best currently assigns us a financial strength rating of “A” (Excellent). The objective of A.M. Best’s rating system is to provide potential policyholders and other interested parties an opinion of an insurer’s financial strength and ability to meet ongoing obligations,


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including paying claims. This rating reflects A.M. Best’s analysis of our balance sheet, financial position, capitalization and management. It is not an evaluation of an investment in our common shares, nor is it directed to investors in our common shares and is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold our common shares. This rating is subject to periodic review and may be revised downward, upward or revoked at the sole discretion of A.M. Best.
 
If our rating is reduced by A.M. Best below an “A−”, we believe that our competitive position in the insurance industry could suffer and it could be more difficult for us to market our insurance products. A downgrade could result in a significant reduction in the number of insurance contracts we write and in a substantial loss of business to other competitors with higher ratings, causing premiums and earnings to decrease.
 
New claim and coverage issues are continually emerging in the insurance industry and these new issues could negatively impact our revenues, our business operations or our reputation.
 
As insurance industry practices and regulatory, judicial and industry conditions change, unexpected and unintended issues related to pricing, claims, coverage and business practices may emerge. Plaintiffs often target property and casualty insurers in purported class action litigation relating to claims handling and insurance sales practices. The resolution and implications of new underwriting, claims and coverage issues could have a negative effect on our insurance business by extending coverage beyond our underwriting intent, increasing the size of claims or otherwise requiring us to change our business practices. The effects of unforeseen emerging claim and coverage issues could negatively impact our revenues, results of operations and our reputation.
 
If our claims payments and related expenses exceed our reserves, our financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.
 
Our success depends upon our ability to accurately assess and price the risks covered by the insurance policies that we write. We establish reserves to cover our estimated liability for the payment of all losses and LAE incurred with respect to premiums earned on the insurance policies that we write. Reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability. Rather, reserves are estimates of our expectations regarding the ultimate cost of resolution and administration of claims under the insurance policies that we write. These estimates are based upon actuarial and statistical projections, assessments of currently available data, historical claims information, as well as estimates and assumptions regarding future trends in claims severity and frequency, judicial theories of liability and other factors. We continually refine our reserve estimates in an ongoing process as experience develops and claims are reported and settled. Each year, our reserves are certified by an accredited actuary from Great American.
 
Establishing an appropriate level of reserves is an inherently uncertain process. The following factors may have a substantial impact on our future actual losses and LAE experience:
 
  •  the amount of claims payments;
 
  •  the expenses that we incur in resolving claims;
 
  •  legislative and judicial developments; and
 
  •  changes in economic conditions, including the effect of inflation.
 
Unfavorable development in any of these factors could cause our level of reserves to be inadequate. To the extent that actual losses and LAE exceed expectations and the reserves reflected on our financial statements, we will be required to immediately reflect those changes by increasing reserves. When we increase reserves, the pre-tax income for the period in which we do so will decrease by a corresponding amount. In addition to having a negative effect on pre-tax income, increasing or “strengthening” reserves cause a reduction in our insurance companies’ surplus and could cause a downgrading of the rating of our insurance company subsidiaries. Such a downgrade could, in turn, adversely affect our ability to sell insurance policies.
 
We may not be successful in reducing our risk and increasing our underwriting capacity through reinsurance arrangements, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
 
In order to reduce our underwriting risk and increase our underwriting capacity, we transfer portions of our insurance risk to other insurers through reinsurance contracts. Ceded premiums written amounted to 20.2% and


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21.6%, respectively, of our gross premiums written for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008. The availability, cost and structure of reinsurance protection are subject to prevailing market conditions that are outside of our control and which may affect our level of business and profitability. We continually assess and continue to increase our participation in the risk retention for certain products in part because we believe the current price increases in the reinsurance market are excessive for the reinsurance exposure assumed. In order for these contracts to qualify for reinsurance accounting and to provide the additional underwriting capacity that we desire, the reinsurer generally must assume significant risk and have a reasonable possibility of a significant loss. Our reinsurance facilities are generally subject to annual renewal. We may be unable to maintain our current reinsurance facilities or obtain other reinsurance facilities in adequate amounts and at favorable rates. If we are unable to renew our expiring facilities or obtain new reinsurance facilities, either our net exposure to risk would increase or, if we are unwilling to bear an increase in net risk exposures, we would have to reduce the amount of risk we underwrite which could adversely impact our results of operations.
 
We are subject to credit risk with respect to the obligations of our reinsurers and certain of our insureds. The inability of our risk sharing partners to meet their obligations could adversely affect our profitability.
 
Although the reinsurer is liable to us to the extent of risk ceded by us, we remain ultimately liable to the policyholder on all risks, even those reinsured. As a result, ceded reinsurance arrangements do not limit our ultimate obligations to policyholders to pay claims. We are subject to credit risks with respect to the financial strength of our reinsurers. We are also subject to the risk that our reinsurers may dispute their obligations to pay our claims. As a result, we may not recover sufficient amounts for claims that we submit to our reinsurers in a timely manner, if at all. As of December 31, 2009, we had a total of $140.2 million of unsecured reinsurance recoverables. In addition, our reinsurance agreements are subject to specified limits and we would not have reinsurance coverage to the extent that we exceed those limits.
 
With respect to our insurance programs, we are subject to credit risk with respect to the payment of claims and on the portion of risk exposure either ceded to the captives or retained by our clients. The credit worthiness of prospective risk sharing partners is a factor we consider when entering into or renewing these alternative risk transfer programs. We typically collateralize balances due through funds withheld, letters of credit or trust agreements. To date, we have not, in the aggregate, experienced material difficulties in collecting balances from our risk sharing partners. No assurance can be given, however, regarding the future ability of these entities to meet their obligations. The inability of our risk sharing partners to meet their obligations could adversely affect our profitability.
 
Our inability to retain our senior executives and other key personnel could adversely affect our business.
 
Our success depends, in part, upon the ability of our executive management and other key personnel to implement our business strategy and on our ability to attract and retain qualified employees. Although historically we had not entered into employment agreements with our executive management, in 2007 we entered into multi-year employment agreements with both our chairman, Mr. Spachman, and our president and chief executive officer, Mr. Michelson. Mr. Michelson is also party to an employee retention agreement with us. The employment agreements represented an important step in our succession planning process that began in 2005 and were designed to provide stability to our organization during that critical time. Since our formation in 1989, we had been highly dependent on Mr. Spachman, our founder and chairman. Mr. Spachman transitioned out of his role as chief executive officer during 2007, and worked with Mr. Michelson, other members of senior management and our Board of Directors (“The Board”) to ensure an orderly transition of leadership over the last two years. Mr. Spachman’s employment agreement terminated on December 31, 2009, but he remains our Chairman of the Board. A failure of Mr. Michelson’s employment and employee retention agreements to achieve their desired result, our loss of other senior executives or our failure to attract and develop talented new executives and managers could adversely affect our business and the market price for our common shares.
 
In addition, we must forecast volume and other factors in changing business environments with reasonable accuracy and adjust our hiring and employment levels accordingly. Our failure to recognize the need for such adjustments, or our failure or inability to react appropriately on a timely basis, could lead either to over-staffing (which would adversely affect our cost structure) or under-staffing (impairing our ability to service our current product lines and new lines of business). In either event, our financial results and customer relationships could be adversely affected.


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Your interests as a holder of our common shares may be different than the interests of our majority shareholder, Great American Insurance Company.
 
As of December 31, 2009, American Financial Group, Inc., through its wholly-owned subsidiary Great American, owns 52.6% of our outstanding common shares. The interests of American Financial Group, Inc. may differ from the interests of our other shareholders. American Financial Group, Inc.’s representatives hold four out of nine seats of the Board. As a result, American Financial Group, Inc. has the ability to exert significant influence over our policies and affairs including the power to affect the election of our Directors, appointment of our management and the approval of any action requiring a shareholder vote, such as amendments to our Articles of Incorporation or Code of Regulations, transactions with affiliates, mergers or asset sales.
 
Subject to the terms of our right of first refusal to purchase its shares in certain circumstances, American Financial Group, Inc. may be able to prevent or cause a change of control of the Company by either voting its shares against or for a change of control or selling its shares and causing a change of control. The ability of our majority shareholder to prevent or cause a change of control could delay or prevent a change of control or cause a change of control to occur at a time when it is not favored by other shareholders. As a result, the trading price of our common shares could be adversely affected.
 
We may have conflicts of interest with our majority shareholder, Great American Insurance Company, which we would be unable to resolve in our favor.
 
From time to time, Great American and its affiliated companies engage in underwriting activities and enter into transactions or agreements with us or in competition with us, which may give rise to conflicts of interest. We do not have any agreement or understanding with any of these parties regarding the resolution of potential conflicts of interest. In addition, we may not be in a position to influence any party’s decision not to engage in activities that would give rise to a conflict of interest. These parties may take actions that are not in the best interests of our other shareholders.
 
We rely on Great American to provide certain services to us including actuarial and consultative services for legal, accounting and internal audit issues and other support services. If Great American no longer controlled a majority of our shares, it is possible that many of these services would cease or, alternatively, be provided at an increased cost to us. This could impact our personnel resources, require us to hire additional professional staff and generally increase our operating expenses.
 
Provisions in our organizational documents, Ohio corporate law and the insurance laws of Ohio and Pennsylvania could impede an attempt to replace or remove our management or Directors or prevent or delay a merger or sale, which could diminish the value of our common shares.
 
Our Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation and Code of Regulations, the corporate laws of Ohio and the insurance laws of various states contain provisions that could impede an attempt to replace or remove our management or Directors or prevent the sale of our Company that shareholders might consider to be in their best interests. These provisions include, among others:
 
  •  a classified Board of Directors consisting of nine Directors divided into two classes;
 
  •  the inability of our shareholders to remove a Director from the Board without “cause;”
 
  •  requiring a vote of holders of 50% of the common shares to call a special meeting of the shareholders;
 
  •  requiring a two-thirds vote to amend the shareholder protection provisions of our Code of Regulations and to amend the Articles of Incorporation;
 
  •  requiring the affirmative vote of a majority of the voting power of our shares represented at a special meeting of shareholders;
 
  •  excluding the voting power of interested shares to approve a “control share acquisition” under Ohio law; and
 
  •  prohibiting a merger, consolidation, combination or majority share acquisition between us and an interested shareholder or an affiliate of an interested shareholder for a period of three years from the date on which the shareholder first became an interested shareholder, unless previously approved by our Board.


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These provisions may prevent shareholders from receiving the benefit of any premium over the market price of our common shares offered by a bidder in a potential takeover. In addition, the existence of these provisions may adversely affect the prevailing market price of our common shares if they are viewed as discouraging takeover attempts.
 
The insurance laws of most states require prior notice or regulatory approval of changes in control of an insurance company or its holding company. The insurance laws of the States of Ohio and Pennsylvania, where our U.S. insurance companies are domiciled, provide that no corporation or other person may acquire control of a domestic insurance or reinsurance company unless it has given notice to such insurance or reinsurance company and obtained prior written approval of the relevant insurance regulatory authorities. Any purchaser of 10% or more of our aggregate outstanding voting power could become subject to these regulations and could be required to file notices and reports with the applicable regulatory authorities prior to such acquisition. In addition, the existence of these provisions may adversely affect the prevailing market price of our common shares if they are viewed as discouraging takeover attempts. For further discussion of insurance laws, see the subsection of “Business” entitled “Regulation.”
 
Future sales of our common shares may affect the trading price of our common shares.
 
We cannot predict what effect, if any, future sales of our common shares or the availability of common shares for future sale will have on the trading price of our common shares. Sales of substantial amounts of our common shares in the public market by Great American or our other shareholders, or the possibility or perception that such sales could occur, could adversely affect prevailing market prices for our common shares. If such sales reduce the market price of our common shares, our ability to raise additional capital in the equity markets may be adversely affected.
 
In 2006, we registered all of the common shares owned by Great American and Mr. Spachman, our chairman, pursuant to a registration statement on Form S-3. The original registration statement became effective in 2006 and was set to expire in April 2009. On March 31, 2009, we filed a new registration statement on Form S-3 to maintain the registration of these shares. As of December 31, 2009, Great American and Mr. Spachman own 10,200,000 and 1,894,000, respectively, of our issued and outstanding shares. This concentration of ownership could affect the number of shares available for purchase or sale on a daily basis. This factor could result in price volatility and serve to depress the liquidity and market prices of our common shares.
 
In addition, in 2005, we filed a registration statement on Form S-8 under the Securities Act to register 1,338,800 common shares issued or reserved for issuance for awards granted under our Long Term Incentive Plan. Shares registered under the registration statement on Form S-8 also could be sold into the public markets, subject to applicable vesting provisions and any volume limitations and other restrictions applicable to our officers and Directors selling shares under Rule 144. The sale of the shares under these registration statements in the public market, or the possibility or perception that such sales could occur, could adversely affect prevailing market prices for our common shares.
 
We face ongoing challenges as a result of being a public company and our financial results could be adversely affected.
 
As a public company, we incur significant legal, accounting and other expenses that result from corporate governance requirements, including requirements under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, as well as rules implemented by the SEC and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. We expect these rules and regulations to increase our legal and finance compliance costs and to make some activities more time-consuming and costly. We continue to evaluate and monitor developments with respect to compliance with public company requirements and we cannot predict or estimate the amount or timing of additional costs we may incur.
 
As a public company, we are required to comply with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act relating to internal controls over financial reporting. We have committed, and will continue to expend, a significant amount of resources to monitor and address any internal control issues, which may occur in our business. Any failure to do so could adversely impact our operating results.


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ITEM 1B   Unresolved Staff Comments
 
None.
 
ITEM 2   Properties
 
We own two adjacent buildings that house our corporate headquarters and the surrounding real estate located in Richfield, Ohio. The buildings consist of approximately 177,000 square feet of office space on 17.5 acres. We occupy approximately 142,000 square feet and lease the remainder to unaffiliated tenants.
 
We lease office space in Honolulu, Hawaii; Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania; and St. Thomas in the United States Virgin Islands. These leases account for approximately 15,300 square feet of office space. These leases expire within forty-three months. The monthly rents, exclusive of operating expenses, to lease these facilities currently total approximately $25,000. We believe that these leases could be renewed or replaced at commercially reasonable rates without material disruption to our business.
 
ITEM 3   Legal Proceedings
 
Please refer to “Forward-Looking Statements” following the Index in front of this Form 10-K.
 
We are subject at times to various claims, lawsuits and legal proceedings arising in the ordinary course of business. All legal actions relating to claims made under insurance policies are considered in the establishment of our loss and LAE reserves. In addition, regulatory bodies, such as state insurance departments, the SEC, the Department of Labor and other regulatory bodies may make inquiries and conduct examinations or investigations concerning our compliance with insurance laws, securities laws, labor laws and the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974, as amended.
 
Our insurance companies also have lawsuits pending in which the plaintiff seeks extra-contractual damages from us in addition to damages claimed or in excess of the available limits under an insurance policy. These lawsuits, which are in various stages, generally mirror similar lawsuits filed against other carriers in the industry. Although we are vigorously defending these lawsuits, the outcomes of these cases cannot be determined at this time. We have established loss and LAE reserves for lawsuits as to which we have determined that a loss is both probable and estimable. In addition to these case reserves, we also establish reserves for claims incurred but not reported to cover unknown exposures and adverse development on known exposures. Based on currently available information, we believe that our reserves for these lawsuits are reasonable and that the amounts reserved did not have a material effect on our financial condition or results of operations. However, if any one or more of these cases results in a judgment against or settlement by us for an amount that is significantly greater than the amount so reserved, the resulting liability could have a material effect on our financial condition, cash flows and results of operations.
 
On August 3, 2007, we were informed that the jury in a case pending in the Superior Court of the State of California for the County of Los Angeles (the “Superior Court”), had issued, on August 2, 2007, a special verdict adverse to our interests in a pending lawsuit against one of our insurance companies. The Superior Court entered a formal judgment on October 25, 2007 and we received notice of that formal judgment on November 5, 2007. This matter, which approximated a net exposure of $7.2 million, was vigorously pursued on appeal and on December 30, 2009, California’s Second Appellate District, Division Eight, reversed the Superior Court’s judgment and remanded the case to that lower court with instructions to enter judgment in our favor. This matter was resolved in a manner that did not have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial position, results of operations or cash flows.
 
ITEM 4   [Reserved]


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PART II
 
ITEM 5   Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
 
Please refer to “Forward-Looking Statements” following the Index in front of this Form 10-K.
 
Market Information
 
Our common shares are listed and traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol NATL. The information presented in the table below represents the high and low sales prices per share reported on the NASDAQ for the periods indicated.
 
                                 
    2009   2008
    High   Low   High   Low
 
First Quarter
  $ 19.89     $ 12.95     $ 33.24     $ 21.00  
Second Quarter
    18.19       13.03       25.59       18.26  
Third Quarter
    21.20       14.51       24.98       16.13  
Fourth Quarter
    21.72       16.06       23.90       13.57  
 
There were approximately 51 shareholders of record of our common shares at March 1, 2010.
 
Dividend Policy
 
The Board has instituted a policy authorizing us to pay quarterly dividends on our common shares in an amount to be determined at each quarterly Board of Directors meeting. The Board recently announced its intention to increase the quarterly dividend to $0.08 per share for 2010. The Board intends to continue to review our dividend policy annually during each regularly scheduled first quarter meeting, with the anticipation of considering annual dividend increases. We declared and paid quarterly dividends of $0.07 and $0.06 per common share in 2009 and 2008, respectively.
 
The declaration and payment of dividends remains subject to the discretion of the Board, and will depend on, among other things, our financial condition, results of operations, capital and cash requirements, future prospects, regulatory and contractual restrictions on the payment of dividends by insurance company subsidiaries and other factors deemed relevant by the Board. In addition, our ability to pay dividends would be restricted in the event of a default on our unsecured Credit Agreement, our failure to make payment obligations with respect to such agreement or our election to defer interest payments on the agreement.
 
We are a holding company without significant operations of our own. Our principal sources of funds are dividends and other distributions from our subsidiaries including our insurance company subsidiaries. Our ability to receive dividends from our insurance company subsidiaries is also subject to limits under applicable state insurance laws.
 
Equity Compensation Plan Information
 
The table below shows information regarding awards outstanding and common shares available for issuance (as of December 31, 2009) under the National Interstate Corporation Long Term Incentive Plan, as amended.
 
                         
            Number of Securities
            Available for
            Future Issuance
    Number of Securities
      Under Equity
    to be Issued upon
  Weighted-Average
  Compensation Plans
    Exercise of
  Exercise Price of
  (Excluding Securities
Equity Compensation Plans
  Outstanding Options   Outstanding Options   Reflected in Column (a))
    (a)   (b)   (c)
 
Approved by shareholders
    647,050     $ 18.08       825,139  
Not approved by shareholders
    none       N/A       none  


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Performance Graph
 
The following graph shows the percentage change in cumulative total shareholder return on our common shares since the initial public offering measured by dividing (i) the sum of (A) the cumulative amount of dividends, assuming dividend reinvestment during the periods presented and (B) the difference between our share price at the end and the beginning of the periods presented by (ii) the share price at the beginning of the periods presented. The graph demonstrates our cumulative total returns compared to those of the Center for Research in Security Prices (“CSRP”) Total Return Index for NASDAQ and the CSRP Total Return Index for NASDAQ Insurance Stocks from the date of our initial public offering January 28, 2005 ($13.50) through December 31, 2009 ($16.96.)
 
(PERFORMANCE GRAPH)
 
Cumulative Total Return as of December 31, 2009
(Assumes a $100 investment at the close of trading on January 27, 2005)
 
                                                                                         
Company/ Index
  1/28/05   6/30/05   12/31/05   6/30/06   12/31/06   6/30/07   12/31/07   6/30/08   12/31/08   6/30/09   12/31/09
 
NATL Common Stock
  $ 100     $ 147     $ 142     $ 202     $ 182     $ 196     $ 249     $ 139     $ 136     $ 117     $ 132  
Nasdaq Insurance Stocks
    100       108       117       121       132       138       132       113       123       105       128  
Nasdaq Index
    100       101       109       107       119       128       129       112       62       72       90  


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ITEM 6   Selected Financial Data
 
The following table sets forth selected consolidated financial information for the periods ended and as of the dates indicated. These historical results are not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected from any future period. You should read this selected consolidated financial data together with our consolidated financial statements and the related notes and the section of the Form 10-K entitled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.”
 
                                         
    At and for the Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007     2006     2005  
    (Dollars in thousands, except per share data)  
 
Operating Data:
                                       
Gross premiums written(1)
  $ 344,877     $ 380,296     $ 346,006     $ 305,504     $ 270,036  
                                         
Net premiums written(2)
  $ 275,046     $ 298,081     $ 272,142     $ 241,916     $ 211,106  
                                         
Premiums earned
  $ 279,079     $ 290,741     $ 257,561     $ 217,319     $ 194,397  
Net investment income
    19,324       22,501       22,141       17,579       12,527  
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
    2,561       (22,394 )     (653 )     1,193       278  
Other income
    3,488       2,868       4,137       2,387       1,974  
                                         
Total revenues
    304,452       293,716       283,186       238,478       209,176  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    169,755       188,131       149,501       129,491       117,449  
Commissions and other underwriting expense
    57,245       62,130       50,922       42,671       35,741  
Other operating and general expenses
    13,076       12,605       12,140       9,472       8,436  
Expense on amounts withheld(3)
    3,535       4,299       3,708       2,147       992  
Interest expense
    717       833       1,550       1,522       1,421  
                                         
Total expenses
    244,328       267,998       217,821       185,303       164,039  
                                         
Income before income taxes
    60,124       25,718       65,365       53,175       45,137  
Provision for income taxes
    13,675       15,058       21,763       17,475       14,857  
                                         
Net income
  $ 46,449     $ 10,660     $ 43,602     $ 35,700     $ 30,280  
                                         
Selected GAAP Ratios:
                                       
Losses and loss adjustment expense ratio(4)
    60.8 %     64.7 %     58.0 %     59.6 %     60.4 %
Underwriting expense ratio(5)
    24.0 %     24.7 %     22.9 %     22.9 %     21.7 %
                                         
Combined ratio(6)
    84.8 %     89.4 %     80.9 %     82.5 %     82.1 %
                                         
Return on equity(7)
    19.1 %     5.0 %     22.6 %     22.8 %     28.5 %
Per Share Data:
                                       
Earnings per common share, basic
  $ 2.41     $ 0.55     $ 2.27     $ 1.87     $ 1.62  
Earnings per common share, assuming dilution
    2.40       0.55       2.25       1.85       1.60  
Book value per common share, basic (at year end)(8)
  $ 14.06     $ 11.20     $ 11.08     $ 9.07     $ 7.32  
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding, basic
    19,301       19,285       19,193       19,136       18,737  
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding, diluted
    19,366       19,366       19,348       19,302       18,975  
Common shares outstanding (at year end)
    19,302       19,295       19,312       19,159       19,055  
Cash dividends per common share
  $ 0.28     $ 0.24     $ 0.20     $ 0.16     $ 0.08  
 


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    At December 31,
    2009   2008   2007   2006   2005
 
Balance Sheet Data:
                                       
Cash and investments
  $ 614,974     $ 563,714     $ 492,916     $ 406,454     $ 320,220  
Securities lending collateral
          84,670       139,305       158,928        
Reinsurance recoverables
    149,949       150,791       98,091       90,070       77,834  
Total assets
    955,753       990,812       898,634       806,248       523,003  
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
    417,260       400,001       302,088       265,966       223,207  
Long-term debt
    15,000       15,000       15,464       15,464       16,297  
Total shareholders’ equity
    271,317       216,074       212,806       173,763       139,533  
 
                                         
    At and for the Year Ended December 31,
    2009   2008   2007   2006   2005
 
Selected Statutory Data(9):
                                       
Policyholder surplus(10)
  $ 238,390     $ 190,134     $ 182,302     $ 148,266     $ 122,825  
Combined ratio(11)
    85.8 %     89.0 %     78.3 %     82.4 %     77.1 %
 
 
(1) The sum of premiums written on insurance policies issued by us and premiums assumed by us on policies written by other insurance companies.
 
(2) Gross premiums written less premiums ceded to reinsurance companies.
 
(3) We invest funds in the participant loss layer for several of the alternative risk transfer programs. We receive investment income and incur an equal expense on the amounts owed to alternative risk transfer participants. “Expense on amounts withheld” represents investment income that we remit back to alternative risk transfer participants. The related investment income is included in our “Net investment income” line on our Consolidated Statements of Income.
 
(4) The ratio of losses and LAE to premiums earned.
 
(5) The ratio of the net of the sum of commissions and other underwriting expenses, other operating and general expenses less other income to premiums earned.
 
(6) The sum of the loss and LAE ratio and the underwriting expense ratio.
 
(7) The ratio of net income to the average of the shareholders’ equity at the beginning and end of the year.
 
(8) Book value per common share is computed using only unrestricted outstanding common shares. As of December 31, 2009 and 2008 total unrestricted common shares were 19,302,000 and 19,295,000, respectively. There were no unvested restricted shares prior to 2007.
 
(9) While financial data is reported in accordance with GAAP for shareholder and other investment purposes, it is reported on a statutory basis for insurance regulatory purposes. Certain statutory expenses differ from amounts reported under GAAP. Specifically, under GAAP, premium taxes and other variable costs incurred in connection with writing new and renewal business are capitalized and amortized on a pro rata basis over the period in which the related premiums are earned. On a statutory basis, these items are expensed as incurred. In addition, certain other expenses, such as those related to the expensing or amortization of computer software, are accounted for differently for statutory purposes than the treatment accorded under GAAP.
 
(10) The statutory policyholder surplus of NIIC, which includes the statutory policyholder surplus of its subsidiaries, NIIC-HI and TCC.
 
(11) Statutory combined ratio of NIIC represents the sum of the following ratios: (1) losses and LAE incurred as a percentage of net earned premium and (2) underwriting expenses incurred as a percentage of net written premiums.

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ITEM 7   Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
 
Please refer to “Forward-Looking Statements” following the Index in front of this Form 10-K.
 
The following discussion and analysis of our historical consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with our audited consolidated financial statements and the related notes included elsewhere in this Form 10-K.
 
Overview
 
We are a holding company with operations being conducted by our subsidiaries.
 
Our specialty property and casualty insurance companies are licensed in all 50 states, the District of Columbia and the Cayman Islands. We generate underwriting profits by providing what we view as specialized insurance products, services and programs not generally available in the marketplace. While many companies write property and casualty insurance for transportation companies, we believe that few write passenger transportation coverage nationwide and very few write coverage for several of the classes of passenger transportation insurance written by us and our subsidiaries. We focus on niche insurance markets where we offer insurance products designed to meet the unique needs of targeted insurance buyers that we believe are underserved by the insurance industry. These niche markets typically possess what we view as barriers to entry, such as being too small, too remote or too difficult to attract or sustain most competitors. Examples of products that we write for these markets include captive programs for transportation companies that we refer to as our alternative risk transfer programs (55.9% of 2009 gross premiums written), property and casualty insurance for transportation companies (19.3%), specialty personal lines, primarily recreational vehicle and commercial vehicle coverage (17.8%) and transportation and general commercial insurance in Hawaii and Alaska (5.5%). We strive to become a market leader in the specialty markets that we choose and serve by offering what we believe are specialized products, excellent customer service and superior claims response.
 
We write commercial insurance for various sizes of transportation fleets. Because of the amount of smaller fleets nationwide, we have more opportunities to write smaller risks than larger ones. When general economic conditions improve, entrepreneurs are encouraged to start new transportation companies, which typically commence operations as a smaller risk and a potential traditional insurance customer for us. During periods of economic downturn, smaller risks are more prone to failure due to a decrease in leisure travel and consolidation in the industry. An increase in the number of larger risks results in more prospective captive insurance customers. We typically do not believe that smaller fleets that generate annual premiums of less than $100,000 are large enough to retain the risks associated with participation in one of the captive programs we currently offer.
 
By offering insurance products to all sizes of risks, we believe we have hedged against the possibility that there will be a reduction in demand for the products we offer. We believe that we will continue to have opportunities to grow and profit with both traditional and alternative risk transfer customers based on our assumptions regarding future economic and competitive conditions. We generally incur low start-up costs for new businesses, typically less than $500,000 incurred over several quarters. We believe our flexible processes and scalable systems, along with controlled increase of businesses, allow us to manage costs and match them with the revenue flow.
 
The factors that impact our growth rate are consistent across all products. However, the trends impacting each of these factors may vary from time to time for individual products. Those factors are as follows:
 
Submissions
 
  •  The increase or decrease in the number of new applications we receive. This is influenced by the effectiveness of our marketing activities compared to the marketing activities of our competitors in each market.
 
  •  The change in the number of current policyholders that are available for a renewal quote. The number of policyholders available for renewal changes based upon the economic conditions impacting our customer groups and the extent of consolidation that may be taking place within the industries we support.


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Quotes
 
  •  The change in the percentage of the new applications received that do not receive a quote from us. We do not quote risks that do not meet our risk selection criteria or for which we have not been provided complete application data. We refer to this ratio as the “declination ratio” and an increasing declination ratio usually results in reduced opportunities to write new business.
 
Sales
 
  •  The change in percentage of the quotes we issue that are actually sold. We refer to this ratio as the “hit ratio.” Hit ratios are affected by the number of competitors, the prices quoted by these competitors and the degree of difference between the competitors’ pricing, terms and conditions and ours.
 
Rates
 
  •  The change in our rate structure from period to period. The rates we file and quote are impacted by several factors including: the cost and extent of the reinsurance we purchase; our operating efficiencies; our average loss costs, which reflect the effectiveness of our underwriting; our underwriting profit expectations; and our claims adjusting processes. The difference between our rates and the rates of our competitors is the primary factor impacting the revenue growth of our established product lines.
 
Product Offerings and Distribution
 
  •  We operate in multiple markets with multiple distribution approaches to attempt to reduce the probability that an adverse competitive response in any single market will have a significant impact on our overall business. We also attempt to maintain several new products, product line extensions or product distribution approaches in active development status so we are able to take advantage of market opportunities. We select from potential new product ideas based on our stated new business criteria and the anticipated competitive response.
 
Industry and Trends
 
The property/casualty (“P/C”) insurance industry is cyclical, with periods of rising premium rates and shortages of underwriting capacity (“hard market”) followed by periods of substantial price competition and excess capacity (“soft market”). The P/C insurance industry experienced a continued soft market in 2009, resulting in an anticipated industry wide decrease in premiums written for the third consecutive year, which would mark the first time in A.M. Best’s recorded history that this has occurred. Despite the decline in premiums written, the industry’s underwriting results benefited from a quiet 2009 hurricane season and significant favorable development on prior-year loss reserves according to available industry data compiled by A.M Best through the first nine months of 2009. The industry faces several unfavorable trends in the coming year such as, but not limited to, prolonged recession-driven pricing instability, uncertainty in the federal and state regulatory environments and expense control.
 
Despite relatively flat pricing since 2004, improved risk selection and an overall improvement in the risk quality of our book of business have contributed to us attaining combined ratios better than our corporate objective of 96.0% or lower. Since our inception in 1989 we have placed a consistent emphasis on underwriting profit. Though our combined ratio may fluctuate from year to year, over the past five years we have exceeded our underwriting profit objective by achieving an average GAAP combined ratio of 83.9%. We believe the following factors contribute to our performance which is consistently above industry standards:
 
  •  Our business model and bottom line orientation have resulted in disciplined and consistent risk assessment and pricing adequacy.
 
  •  Our ability to attract and retain some of the best transportation companies in the industries we serve and insure them directly or through our captive programs.
 
  •  Our stable operating expenses which have historically been at or below the revenue growth rate.


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During 2009, like most of the P/C insurance industry, we benefited from stabilization in the investment markets as we recorded net realized gains from investments, which included write-downs required by the other-than-temporary impairment accounting guidelines. We have historically maintained a high quality investment portfolio, focusing primarily on investment grade fixed income investments. Our 2009 purchases have been concentrated in U.S. Government and government agencies, state and local government obligations (“muni bonds”), agency backed collateralized mortgage obligations and corporate obligations. Although we cannot provide any assurances, at December 31, 2009, with over 90% of our investment portfolio comprised of investment grade fixed income, investment grade preferred stock and cash and cash equivalents, we believe we remain properly positioned as we head into 2010.
 
As noted above, the P/C insurance industry experienced few significant weather-related losses in 2009. For weather-related events such as hurricanes, tornados and hailstorms, we conduct an analysis at least annually pursuant to which we input our in-force exposures (vehicle values in all states and property limits in Hawaii) into an independent catastrophe model that predicts our probable maximum loss at various statistical confidence levels. Our estimated probable maximum loss is impacted by changes in our in-force exposures as well as changes to the assumptions inherent in the catastrophe model. Hurricane and other weather-related events have not had a material negative impact on our past results.
 
Our transportation insurance business in particular is also affected by cost trends that negatively impact profitability such as inflation in vehicle repair costs, vehicle replacement parts costs, used vehicle prices, fuel costs and medical care costs. We routinely obtain independent data for vehicle repair inflation, vehicle replacement parts costs, used vehicle prices, fuel costs and medical care costs and adjust our pricing routines to attempt to more accurately project the future costs associated with insurance claims. Historically, these increased costs have not had a material adverse impact on our results. Of course, we would expect a negative impact on our future results if we fail to properly account for and project for these inflationary trends. Increased litigation of claims may also negatively impact our profitability.
 
As described below, the average revenue dollar per personal lines policy is significantly lower than typical commercial policies. Profitability in the specialty personal lines component is dependent on proper pricing and the efficiency of underwriting and policy administration. We have continued to monitor rate levels and have adjusted them throughout 2009, as warranted. We continuously strive to improve our underwriting and policy issuance functions to keep this cost element as low as possible by utilizing current technology advances.
 
To succeed as a transportation underwriter and personal lines underwriter, we must understand and be able to quantify the different risk characteristics of the risks we consider quoting. Certain coverages are more stable and predictable than others and we must recognize the various components of the risks we assume when we write any specific class of insurance business. Examples of trends that can change and, therefore, impact our profitability are loss frequency, loss severity, geographic loss cost differentials, societal and legal factors impacting loss costs (such as tort reform, punitive damage inflation and increasing jury awards) and changes in regulation impacting the insurance relationship. Any changes in these factors that are not recognized and priced for accordingly will affect our future profitability. We believe our product management organization provides the focus on a specific risk class needed to stay current with the trends affecting each specific class of business we write.
 
Revenues
 
We derive our revenues primarily from premiums from our insurance policies and income from our investment portfolio. Our underwriting approach is to price our products to achieve an underwriting profit even if it requires us to forego volume. As with all P/C companies, the impact of price changes is reflected in our financial results over time. Price changes on our in-force policies occur as they are renewed, which generally takes twelve months for our entire book of business and up to an additional twelve months to earn a full year of premium at the renewal rate. Insurance rates charged on renewing policies have decreased slightly in 2009 compared to 2008.
 
There are distinct differences in the timing of premiums written in traditional transportation insurance compared to the majority of our alternative risk transfer (captive) insurance component. We write traditional transportation insurance policies throughout all twelve months of the year and commence new annual policies at the expiration of the old policy. Under most captive programs, all members of the group share a common renewal date.


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These common renewal dates are scheduled throughout the calendar year. Any new captive program participant that joins after the common date will be written for other than a full annual term so its next renewal date coincides with the common expiration date of the captive program it has joined. Historically, most of our group captives had common renewal dates in the first six months of the year, but with the growth from new captive programs, we are now experiencing renewal dates throughout the calendar year. The alternative risk transfer component of our business grew to 55.9% of total gross premiums written during 2009 as compared to 54.3% in 2008.
 
The projected profitability from the traditional transportation and transportation captive businesses are substantially comparable. Increased investment income opportunities generally are available with traditional insurance but the lower acquisition expenses and persistence of the captive programs generally provide for lower operating expenses from these programs. The lower expenses associated with our captives generally offset the projected reductions in investment income potential. From a projected profitability perspective, we are ambivalent as to whether a transportation operator elects to purchase traditional insurance or one of our captive program options.
 
All of our transportation products, traditional or alternative risk transfer, are priced to achieve targeted underwriting margins. Because traditional insurance tends to have a higher operating expense structure, the portion of the premiums available to pay losses tends to be lower for a traditional insurance quote versus an alternative risk transfer insurance quote. We use a cost plus pricing approach that projects future losses based upon the insured’s historic losses and other factors. Operating expenses, premium taxes and a profit margin are then added to the projected loss component to achieve the total premium to be quoted. The lower the projected losses, expenses and taxes, the lower the total quoted premiums regardless of whether it is a traditional or alternative risk transfer program quotation. Quoted premiums are computed in accordance with our approved insurance department filings in each state.
 
Our specialty personal lines products are also priced to achieve targeted underwriting margins. The average premium per policy for this business component is significantly less than transportation lines.
 
We approach investment and capital management with the intention of supporting insurance operations by providing a stable source of income to supplement underwriting income. The goals of our investment policy are to protect capital while optimizing investment income and capital appreciation and maintaining appropriate liquidity. We follow a formal investment policy and the Board reviews the portfolio performance at least quarterly for compliance with the established guidelines. In 2009, our investment portfolio was positioned to benefit from stabilization in the investment markets. In 2009, we recorded a $2.6 million pre-tax net realized gain on investments as compared to the $22.4 million pre-tax net realized loss recorded in 2008. Included in the 2008 pre-tax net realized losses are impairment adjustments of $20.2 million.
 
Expenses
 
Losses and LAE are a function of the amount and type of insurance contracts we write and of the loss experience of the underlying risks. We record losses and LAE based on an actuarial analysis of the estimated losses we expect to be reported on contracts written. We seek to establish case reserves at the maximum probable exposure based on our historical claims experience. Our ability to estimate losses and LAE accurately at the time of pricing our contracts is a critical factor in determining our profitability. The amount reported under losses and LAE in any period includes payments in the period net of the change in the value of the reserves for unpaid losses and LAE between the beginning and the end of the period.
 
Commissions and other underwriting expenses consist principally of brokerage and agent commissions and to a lesser extent premium taxes. The brokerage and agent commissions are reduced by ceding commissions received from assuming reinsurers that represent a percentage of the premiums on insurance policies and reinsurance contracts written and vary depending upon the amount and types of contracts written.
 
Other operating and general expenses consist primarily of personnel expenses (including salaries, benefits and certain costs associated with awards under our equity compensation plans, such as stock compensation expense) and other general operating expenses. Our personnel expenses are primarily fixed in nature and do not vary with the amount of premiums written. Interest expenses associated with outstanding debt and “Expense on amounts


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withheld” are disclosed separately from operating and general expenses. We invest funds in the participant loss layer for several of our alternative risk programs. We receive investment income and incur an equal expense on the amounts owed to alternative risk transfer participants. “Expense on amounts withheld” represents investment income that we remit back to alternative risk transfer participants. The related investment income is included in the “Net investment income” line on our Consolidated Statements of Income.
 
Results of Operations
 
Overview
 
Our December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007 net earnings from operations, net realized gains (losses) from investments and net income are as follows:
 
                                                 
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007  
    Amount     Per Share     Amount     Per Share     Amount     Per Share  
    (Dollars in thousands, except per share data)  
 
Net income from operations
  $ 38,050     $  1.96     $ 32,761     $ 1.69     $ 44,027     $ 2.27  
Change in valuation allowance related to net capital losses
    6,735       0.35       (7,545 )     (0.39 )            
After-tax net realized gains (losses) from investments
    1,664       0.09       (14,556 )     (0.75 )     (425 )     (0.02 )
                                                 
Net income
  $ 46,449     $ 2.40     $ 10,660     $ 0.55     $ 43,602     $ 2.25  
                                                 
 
Our net earnings from operations for 2009 were $38.1 million ($1.96 per share diluted) compared to $32.8 million ($1.69 per share diluted) in 2008, primarily driven by a lower loss and LAE ratio of 60.8%, as compared to 64.7% in 2008. During 2008, we experienced an unusual number of large claims, whereas in 2009, we experienced more favorable large claims activity levels. This improvement in our underwriting results is largely attributable to the risk selection and pricing adequacy initiatives that began during the third quarter of 2008 and continued into 2009. In addition to lower losses, we also maintained a relatively constant expense ratio of 24.0% for the year ended December 31, 2009 as compared to 24.7% for the year ended December 31, 2008.
 
In 2008, we established a valuation allowance on deferred tax assets related to net realized losses, primarily impairment charges, which increased income tax expense by $7.5 million. In 2009, income tax expense was positively impacted by a $6.7 million reduction in the deferred tax valuation allowance due to both available tax strategies and the future realizability of previously impaired securities.
 
We had after-tax net realized gains from investments of $1.7 million ($0.09 per share diluted) in 2009 compared to after-tax net realized losses from investments of $14.6 million ($0.75 per share diluted) in 2008. Included in the 2009 after-tax net realized gains are $2.7 million in net realized gains or losses associated with an equity partnership investment and $2.6 million related to sales of securities. Also included in the after-tax net realized gains are other-than-temporary impairment adjustments of $2.5 million and $13.1 million for the years ended December 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively.


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Gross Premiums Written
 
We operate our business as one segment, property and casualty insurance. We manage this segment through a product management structure. The following table sets forth an analysis of gross premiums written by business component during the periods indicated:
 
                                                 
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007  
    Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Alternative Risk Transfer
  $ 192,953       55.9 %   $ 206,342       54.3 %   $ 167,717       48.5 %
Transportation
    66,537       19.3 %     87,246       22.9 %     90,984       26.3 %
Specialty Personal Lines
    61,523       17.8 %     59,065       15.5 %     55,169       15.9 %
Hawaii and Alaska
    18,576       5.5 %     22,489       5.9 %     25,126       7.3 %
Other
    5,288       1.5 %     5,154       1.4 %     7,010       2.0 %
                                                 
Gross premiums written
  $ 344,877       100.0 %   $ 380,296       100.0 %   $ 346,006       100.0 %
                                                 
 
Gross premiums written includes both direct premium and assumed premium. During 2009, our gross premiums written decreased $35.4 million, or 9.3%, compared to 2008. This decrease is primarily attributable to our transportation, alternative risk transfer and Hawaii and Alaska components, which decreased by $20.7 million, $13.4 million and $3.9 million, respectively. The decrease in gross premiums written in these components is due to several factors, including the impact that the current economic environment has had on our commercial customers, particularly through reductions in vehicle counts and mileage-based exposures, the effects of risk selection and pricing adequacy initiatives specific to a few of our products that we put in place in 2008 and the first half of 2009 and the continued overly aggressive pricing from competition in the insurance marketplace. In spite of the obstacles posed by the current economic environment, we have renewed nearly 100% of our captive members at the common renewal dates, maintained our disciplined underwriting approach and have continued to generate new business leads and add new programs and accounts to our existing book of business. This was demonstrated in our alternative risk transfer component, where we added seven new captive programs during 2009, contributing approximately $25.3 million in gross premiums written.
 
The captive programs, which focus on specialty or niche businesses, provide various services and coverages tailored to meet specific requirements of defined client groups and their members. These services include risk management consulting, claims administration and handling, loss control and prevention and reinsurance placement, along with providing various types of property and casualty insurance coverage. Insurance coverage is provided primarily to companies with similar risk profiles and to specified classes of business of our agent partners.
 
As part of our captive programs, we have analyzed, on a quarterly basis, captive members’ loss performance on a policy year basis to determine if there would be a premium assessment to participants or if there would be a return of premium to participants as a result of less than expected losses. Assessment premium and return of premium are recorded as adjustments to written premium (assessments increase written premium; returns of premium reduce written premium). For the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007, we recorded return of premium of $4.5 million, $5.7 million and $1.9 million, respectively.
 
Our specialty personal lines component increased $2.5 million, or 4.2%, in 2009 compared to 2008, primarily due to additional policies in force in our commercial vehicle product from expanded marketing initiatives and product enhancements. The growth in our commercial vehicle product was offset by a decrease in our recreational vehicle product, as the economic downturn has created a decline in the demand for recreational vehicles.


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Premiums Earned
 
2009 compared to 2008.  The following table shows premiums earned for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 summarized by the broader business component description, which were determined based primarily on similar economic characteristics, products and services:
 
                                 
    Year Ended December 31,     Change  
    2009     2008     Amount     Percent  
          (Dollars in thousands)        
 
Premiums earned:
                               
Alternative Risk Transfer
  $ 141,525     $ 137,298     $ 4,227       3.1 %
Transportation
    60,344       75,495       (15,151 )     (20.1 %)
Specialty Personal Lines
    56,385       54,862       1,523       2.8 %
Hawaii and Alaska
    15,272       17,591       (2,319 )     (13.2 %)
Other
    5,553       5,495       58       1.1 %
                                 
Total premiums earned
  $ 279,079     $ 290,741     $ (11,662 )     (4.0 %)
                                 
 
Our premiums earned decreased $11.6 million, or 4.0%, to $279.1 million during the year ended December 31, 2009 compared to $290.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2008. This decrease is primarily attributable to the transportation and Hawaii and Alaska components, which decreased 20.1% and 13.2%, respectively, during 2009 compared to the same period in 2008, due to reductions in gross premiums written in these components during 2009. These reductions related to the effect that the current economic environment has had on our customers and the effects of risk selection and pricing adequacy initiatives undertaken in 2008. Partially offsetting these decreases were increases in our alternative risk transfer and specialty personal lines components. Our alternative risk transfer component increased 3.1% in 2009 compared to 2008, mainly due to new captive programs introduced throughout 2009. Our specialty personal lines component increased 2.8% during 2009 compared to the same period in 2008, due to continued gross premiums written growth in our commercial vehicle product.
 
2008 compared to 2007.  The following table shows premiums earned for the years ended December 31, 2008 and 2007 summarized by the broader business component description, which were determined based primarily on similar economic characteristics, products and services:
 
                                 
    Year Ended December 31,     Change  
    2008     2007     Amount     Percent  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Premiums earned:
                               
Alternative Risk Transfer
  $ 137,298     $ 107,303     $ 29,995       28.0 %
Transportation
    75,495       74,112       1,383       1.9 %
Specialty Personal Lines
    54,862       51,852       3,010       5.8 %
Hawaii and Alaska
    17,591       17,625       (34 )     (0.2 %)
Other
    5,495       6,669       (1,174 )     (17.6 %)
                                 
Total premiums earned
  $ 290,741     $ 257,561     $ 33,180       12.9 %
                                 
 
Our premiums earned increased $33.2 million, or 12.9%, to $290.7 million during the year ended December 31, 2008 compared to $257.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2007. Our alternative risk transfer component increased 28.0% during 2008 compared to the same period in 2007, primarily due to expanded insurance offerings in one of our larger captives, new participants in existing captive programs and the addition of new truck captive programs in 2008. Our specialty personal lines component increased 5.8% in 2008 compared to 2007, due to growth in our commercial vehicle product. The transportation component remained relatively constant in 2008 compared to 2007, as we experienced a slight decline in renewal rate increases due to the soft market. Our Other component, which is comprised primarily of premium from assigned risk plans from the states in which our insurance company subsidiaries operate and over which we have no control, decreased $1.2 million, or 17.6%, to $5.5 million in 2008.


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Underwriting and Loss Ratio Analysis
 
Underwriting profitability, as opposed to overall profitability or net earnings, is measured by the combined ratio. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss and LAE ratio and the underwriting expense ratio. A combined ratio under 100% is indicative of an underwriting profit.
 
Our underwriting approach is to price our products to achieve an underwriting profit even if we forego volume as a result. From 2000 through 2006, our insurance subsidiaries increased their premium rates to offset rising losses and reinsurance costs. In 2009, 2008 and 2007, we experienced a slight decline in rate levels on renewal business due to the continued softening market.
 
The table below presents our premiums earned and combined ratios for the periods indicated:
 
                         
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Gross premiums written
  $ 344,877     $ 380,296     $ 346,006  
Ceded reinsurance
    (69,831 )     (82,215 )     (73,864 )
                         
Net premiums written
    275,046       298,081       272,142  
Change in unearned premiums, net of ceded
    4,033       (7,340 )     (14,581 )
                         
Net premiums earned
  $ 279,079     $ 290,741     $ 257,561  
                         
Combined Ratios:
                       
Loss and LAE ratio(1)
    60.8 %     64.7 %     58.0 %
Underwriting expense ratio(2)
    24.0 %     24.7 %     22.9 %
                         
Combined ratio
    84.8 %     89.4 %     80.9 %
                         
 
 
(1) The ratio of losses and LAE to premiums earned.
 
(2) The ratio of the sum of commissions and other underwriting expenses, other operating expenses less other income to premiums earned.
 
2009 compared to 2008.  Losses and LAE decreased $18.4 million, or 9.8%, for 2009 compared to 2008. The loss and LAE ratio for the year ended December 31, 2009 was 60.8% compared to 64.7% for the year ended December 31, 2008. The decrease in the loss and LAE ratio in 2009 of 3.9 percentage points is primarily due to the greater loss severity experienced in 2008, partially offset by higher claims frequency in 2009. During the first three quarters of 2008, we experienced an unusual number of severe claims, primarily concentrated in our charter passenger transportation products. These claims contributed approximately 5.8 percentage points to the loss and LAE ratio during 2008, whereas we experienced significantly lower large claim activity throughout 2009, which reduced our loss and LAE ratio by 1.4 percentage points. The large claims levels experienced during 2009 are not considered to be unusual and are in line with our historical results. We attribute this improvement to the review of our underwriting standards that we began in the third quarter of 2008 and continued into 2009, as well as other risk selection and pricing adequacy initiatives and lower vehicle usage by our customers in 2009. Partially offsetting the decrease in severity was an increase in claim frequency related to higher vehicle usage particularly within our specialty personal lines component, primarily commercial vehicle, during 2009.
 
For the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008, we had favorable development from prior years’ loss reserves of $1.3 million and $0.9 million, respectively. The favorable development for both years was primarily related to settlements below the established case reserves and revisions to our estimated future settlements on an individual case by case basis. This development represents only 0.5% and 0.4% for 2009 and 2008, respectively, of the prior year reserves.
 
Commissions and other underwriting expenses consist principally of brokerage and agent commissions reduced by ceding commissions received from assuming reinsurers, and vary depending upon the amount and types of contracts written and, to a lesser extent, premium taxes. The underwriting expense ratio was 24.0% and 24.7% for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008, respectively. The 0.7 percentage point decrease to our 2009 expense


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ratio is primarily due to a change in our overall mix of business, as many of the new captive programs written in 2009 have lower commission rates compared to the programs where we had high premium growth in 2008.
 
2008 compared to 2007.  Losses and LAE increased $38.6 million, or 25.8%, for 2008 compared to 2007. The loss and LAE ratio for the year ended December 31, 2008 was 64.7% compared to 58.0% for the year ended December 31, 2007. The increase in the loss and LAE ratio in 2008 of 6.7 percentage points is primarily due to an increase in large loss severity in our charter passenger transportation products that we experienced during the first three quarters of 2008. These large losses contributed approximately 5.8 percentage points to our 2008 loss and LAE ratio. During the third quarter of 2008, we began the process of reviewing most of our large fleet charter transportation book and our entire in-force small fleet book of charter transportation business to ensure that our high underwriting standards were in place and identified specific accounts that required action. We also implemented other initiatives, centered on risk selection and pricing adequacy relative to the entire charter transportation product.
 
For the years ended December 31, 2008 and 2007, we had favorable development from prior years’ loss reserves of $0.9 million and $5.7 million, respectively. The favorable development for both years was primarily related to settlements below the established case reserves and revisions to our estimated future settlements on an individual case by case basis. This development represents 0.4% and 3.1% for 2008 and 2007, respectively, of the prior year reserves. The increase in the loss and LAE ratio from 2007 to 2008 also reflects the impact of modestly lower renewal rates that we experienced from the softening market.
 
The underwriting expense ratio was 24.7% and 22.9% for the years ended December 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively. The 1.8 percentage point increase to our 2008 expense ratio is primarily due to a change in our overall mix of business, including high premium growth in products that tend to have higher commission rates.
 
Net Investment Income
 
2009 compared to 2008.  Net investment income decreased $3.2 million, or 14.1%, to $19.3 million in 2009 compared to 2008, reflecting lower yields on our cash, short-term and fixed income portfolios due to a prolonged low interest rate environment and a focus on high quality investments during the financial crisis, as well as a high allocation to tax exempt state and local government investments. The decrease in yields, which we initially experienced in 2008, continued in 2009 and remained at lower levels, offsetting the portfolio growth that occurred during the year.
 
2008 compared to 2007.  Net investment income remained relatively constant at $22.5 million for 2008 compared to $22.1 million in 2007, reflecting portfolio growth that was offset by lower yields. Yields declined throughout 2008 for most investment categories in which we are active.
 
Net Realized Gains (Losses) on Investments
 
2009 compared to 2008.  In 2009, we had pre-tax net realized gains of $2.6 million compared to pre-tax net realized losses of $22.4 million for 2008. The pre-tax net realized gains for the year ended December 31, 2009 were primarily generated from net realized gains associated with an equity partnership investment of $4.2 million and realized gains associated with the sales of securities of $4.0 million. Offsetting these gains were other-than-temporary impairment charges recognized in earnings of $3.9 million and realized losses of $1.7 million on disposals, including a $1.0 million realized loss on the conversion of a perpetual preferred stock to common stock on a financial institution holding. The two largest components of the $3.9 million impairment charge were $1.8 million on three corporate notes and credit only impairments of $1.9 million related to four mortgage-backed securities. In 2008, turmoil in the investment markets resulted in market declines in our portfolio, particularly in our financial and real estate related holdings. This had an adverse impact on our investment portfolio in 2008, as we recognized other-than-temporary impairment charges on investments of $20.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2008. The two largest components of the $20.2 million impairment charge were write-offs of $7.0 million related to securities issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and $8.7 million related to exchange traded funds.
 
2008 compared to 2007.  In 2008, we had pre-tax net realized losses of $22.4 million compared to $0.7 million for 2007. The turmoil in investment markets caused market declines in our investment portfolio


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during 2008, as we recognized other-than-temporary impairment charges on investments of $20.2 million. We recorded $1.0 million of impairment adjustments during 2007.
 
Other Income
 
2009 compared to 2008.  Other income increased $0.6 million, or 21.6%, to $3.5 million for 2009 compared to $2.9 million in 2008. This increase is primarily attributable to growth in the policy-based fee income generated by our personal lines component throughout 2009.
 
2008 compared to 2007.  Other income decreased $1.2 million, or 30.7%, to $2.9 million for 2008 compared to $4.1 million in 2007. This decrease is primarily attributable to a decline in rental income directly resulting from a lease termination agreement executed with a former tenant in the third quarter of 2007.
 
Commissions and Other Underwriting Expenses
 
2009 compared to 2008.  Commissions and other underwriting expenses for the year ended December 31, 2009 decreased $4.9 million, or 7.9%, to $57.2 million from $62.1 million in the comparable period in 2008. The decrease relates to a decline in net commission expense due to a change in our overall mix of business. Our various products have different commission rates; therefore, commission expense can vary based on the product mix written during the period. Additionally, our 2008 commissions and other underwriting expenses included an approximate $1.3 million charge for a one-time state guaranty fund.
 
2008 compared to 2007.  Commissions and other underwriting expenses for the year ended December 31, 2008 increased $11.2 million, or 22.0%, to $62.1 million from $50.9 million in the comparable period in 2007. The increases relate to an increase in net commission expense due to growth and a change in our business mix as well as a decrease in ceding commission. Our various products have different commission rates; therefore, commission expense can vary based on the product mix written during the period. During 2008, our premium growth was typically in products with higher commission rates. In addition to a change in our overall mix of business, we recorded an approximate $1.3 million charge for a one-time state guarantee fund in the third quarter of 2008, which was also a contributing factor to the increase in our commissions and other underwriting expenses.
 
Other Operating and General Expenses
 
2009 compared to 2008.  Other operating and general expenses increased $0.5 million, or 3.7%, to $13.1 million during the year ended December 31, 2009 compared to $12.6 million for the same period in 2008. The increase was primarily due to an increase in our employee wages over prior year.
 
2008 compared to 2007.  Other operating and general expenses increased $0.5 million, or 3.8%, to $12.6 million during the year ended December 31, 2008 compared to $12.1 million for the same period in 2007. This increase was primarily due to an increase in employee headcount that increased our employee wages over prior year.
 
Expense on Amounts Withheld
 
2009 compared to 2008.  We invest funds in the participant loss layer for several of the alternative risk transfer programs. We receive investment income and incur an equal expense on the amounts owed to alternative risk transfer participants. “Expense on amounts withheld” represents investment income that we remit back to alternative risk transfer participants. The related investment income is included in our “Net investment income” line on our Consolidated Statements of Income. For the year ended December 31, 2009, the expense on amounts withheld decreased $0.8 million over the same period in 2008. The decrease is primarily attributable to lower interest rate yields experienced during 2009 compared to 2008.
 
2008 compared to 2007.  For the year ended December 31, 2008, the expense on amounts withheld increased $0.6 million over the same period in 2007. The increase is directly attributable to the growth in our alternative risk transfer component.


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Income Taxes
 
2009 compared to 2008.  The 2009 effective tax rate was 22.7%, decreasing 35.9% from a rate of 58.6% in 2008. The decrease in our 2009 effective tax rate was favorably impacted by a decrease in our valuation allowance related to net realized losses. In 2008, the provision for income taxes was negatively impacted by the recording of a $7.5 million valuation allowance related to our realized losses, primarily impairment charges, which increased the 2008 effective tax rate by 29.3 percentage points. In 2009, income tax expense was positively impacted by a $6.7 million reduction in the deferred tax valuation allowance due to both available tax strategies and the future realizability of previously impaired securities, thereby decreasing our effective tax rate by 11.2 percentage points.
 
2008 compared to 2007.  The 2008 effective tax rate was 58.6%, increasing 25.3% from a rate of 33.3% in 2007. The change in the effective tax rate was primarily due to a valuation allowance of $7.5 million that was recorded on our realized losses, primarily impairment charges which increased the 2008 effective tax rate 29.3 percentage points.
 
At December 31, 2008, we had gross deferred tax assets of $13.6 million related to investment securities. This gross deferred tax asset was reduced by a valuation allowance related to unrealized losses on equity investments of $0.1 million and a valuation allowance related to realized losses on investments of $7.5 million.
 
Financial Condition
 
Investments and Securities Lending Collateral
 
During the second quarter of 2009, we terminated our securities lending program and transferred fixed maturities with a fair market value of $35.8 million, primarily residential mortgage-backed securities and corporate obligations, into our fixed maturities portfolio.
 
At December 31, 2009, our investment portfolio contained $566.9 million in fixed maturity securities and $28.7 million in equity securities, all carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses reported as a separate component of shareholders’ equity on an after-tax basis. At December 31, 2009, we had pretax net unrealized gains of $1.1 million on fixed maturities and $2.5 million on equity securities. Our investment portfolio allocation is based on diversification among primarily high quality fixed maturity investments and guidelines in our investment policy.
 
Fixed maturity investments are focused on securities with short and intermediate-term maturities. At December 31, 2009, the weighted average maturity of our fixed maturity investments was approximately 4.8 years. At December 31, 2009, 94.6% of the fixed maturities in our portfolio were rated “investment grade” (credit rating of AAA to BBB-) by Standard & Poor’s Corporation. Investment grade securities generally bear lower yields and lower degrees of risk than those that are unrated or non-investment grade. Although we cannot provide any assurances, we believe that, in normal market conditions, our high quality investment portfolio should generate a stable and predictable investment return.
 
Included in the fixed maturities at December 31, 2009 were $116.7 million of residential mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”). We do not have a significant exposure to the subprime lending sector as 93.1% of our residential MBS are backed by US government agencies. MBS are subject to prepayment risk due to the fact that, in periods of declining interest rates, mortgages may be prepaid more rapidly than scheduled as buyers refinance higher rate mortgages to take advantage of declining interest rates. Also included in fixed maturities at December 31, 2009 were $155.0 million of state and local government obligations (“muni bonds”). Approximately 93.0% of our muni bonds are rated “A−” or better giving no effect to credit enhancement.


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Summary information for securities with unrealized gains or losses at December 31, 2009 is shown in the following table. Approximately $0.2 million of fixed maturities and $13.5 million of equity securities had no unrealized gains or losses at December 31, 2009.
 
                 
    Securities with
  Securities with
    Unrealized
  Unrealized
    Gains   Losses
    (Dollars in thousands)
 
Fixed Maturities:
               
Fair value of securities
  $ 368,831     $ 197,850  
Amortized cost of securities
    357,881       207,652  
Gross unrealized gain or (loss)
  $ 10,950     $ (9,802 )
Fair value as a % of amortized cost
    103.1 %     95.3 %
Number of security positions held
    369       168  
Number individually exceeding $50,000 gain or (loss)
    75       30  
Concentration of gains or losses by type or industry:
               
US Government and government agencies
  $ 1,736     $ (349 )
State, municipalities and political subdivisions
    5,436       (1,612 )
Residential mortgage-backed securities
    2,224       (4,478 )
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
          (547 )
Banks, insurance and brokers
    891       (2,429 )
Industrial and other
    663       (387 )
Percentage rated investment grade(1)
    97.3 %     89.7 %
Equity Securities:
               
Fair value of securities
  $ 15,037     $ 94  
Cost of securities
    12,558       103  
Gross unrealized gain or (loss)
  $ 2,479     $ (9 )
Fair value as a % of cost
    119.7 %     91.3 %
Number individually exceeding $50,000 gain or (loss)
    7        
 
 
(1) Investment grade of AAA to BBB- by Standard & Poor’s Corporation.
 
The table below sets forth the scheduled maturities of available for sale fixed maturity securities at December 31, 2009, based on their fair values. Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because certain securities may be called or prepaid by the issuers.
 
                 
    Securities with
    Securities with
 
    Unrealized
    Unrealized
 
    Gains     Losses  
 
Maturity:
               
One year or less
    5.3 %     5.0 %
After one year through five years
    39.4 %     32.2 %
After five years through ten years
    29.7 %     28.5 %
After ten years
    5.8 %     10.2 %
                 
      80.2 %     75.9 %
Mortgage-backed securities
    19.8 %     24.1 %
                 
      100.0 %     100.0 %
                 


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The table below summarizes the unrealized gains and losses on fixed maturities and equity securities by dollar amount:
 
                         
    At December 31, 2009  
    Aggregate
    Aggregate
    Fair Value
 
    Fair
    Unrealized
    as % of
 
    Value     Gain (Loss)     Cost Basis  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Fixed Maturities:
                       
Securities with unrealized gains:
                       
Exceeding $50,000 and for:
                       
Less than one year (56 issues)
  $ 84,043     $ 4,375       105.5 %
More than one year (19 issues)
    25,108       1,627       106.9 %
Less than $50,000 (294 issues)
    259,680       4,948       101.9 %
                         
    $ 368,831     $ 10,950          
                         
Securities with unrealized losses:
                       
Exceeding $50,000 and for:
                       
Less than one year (3 issues)
  $ 9,749     $ (316 )     96.9 %
More than one year (27 issues)
    30,016       (8,373 )     78.2 %
Less than $50,000 (138 issues)
    158,085       (1,113 )     99.3 %
                         
    $ 197,850     $ (9,802 )        
                         
Equity Securities:
                       
Securities with unrealized gains:
                       
Exceeding $50,000 and for:
                       
Less than one year (7 issues)
  $ 13,130     $ 2,283       121.0 %
More than one year (0 issues)
                0.0 %
Less than $50,000 (18 issues)
    1,907       196       111.5 %
                         
    $ 15,037     $ 2,479          
                         
Securities with unrealized losses:
                       
Exceeding $50,000 and for:
                       
Less than one year (0 issues)
  $     $       0.0 %
More than one year (0 issues)
                0.0 %
Less than $50,000 (1 issue)
    94       (9 )     91.3 %
                         
    $ 94     $ (9 )        
                         
 
When a decline in the value of a specific investment is considered to be “other-than-temporary,” a provision for impairment is charged to earnings (accounted for as a realized loss) and the cost basis of that investment is reduced. The determination of whether unrealized losses are “other-than-temporary” requires judgment based on subjective as well as objective factors. Factors considered and resources used by management include those discussed in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Other-Than-Temporary Impairment.”


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Net realized gains (losses) on securities sold and charges for “other-than-temporary” impairment on securities held were as follows:
 
                         
    Net Realized
      Net Realized
    Gains (Losses)
  Charges for
  Gains (Losses)
    on Sales   Impairment   on Investments
    (Dollars in thousands)
 
Year ended:
                       
2009
  $ 6,449     $ (3,888 )   $ 2,561  
2008
    (2,230 )     (20,164 )     (22,394 )
2007
    321       (974 )     (653 )
 
Fair Value Measurements
 
Under fair value accounting, we must determine the appropriate level in the fair value hierarchy for each applicable measurement. The fair value hierarchy prioritizes the inputs, which refer broadly to assumptions market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability, into three levels. It gives the highest priority to quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets or liabilities and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs. The level in the fair value hierarchy within which a fair value measurement in its entirety falls is determined based on the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement in its entirety. Fair values for our investment portfolio are reviewed by company personnel using data from nationally recognized pricing services as well as non-binding broker quotes.
 
The pricing services use a variety of observable inputs to estimate the fair value of fixed maturities that do not trade on a daily basis. These inputs include, but are not limited to, recent reported trades, benchmark yields, issuer spreads, bids or offers, reference data and measures of volatility. Included in the pricing of mortgage-backed securities are estimates of the rate of future prepayments and defaults of principal over the remaining life of the underlying collateral. Valuation techniques utilized by pricing services and prices obtained from independent financial institutions are reviewed by company personnel who are familiar with the securities being priced and the markets in which they trade to ensure that the fair value determination is representative of an exit price, as defined by fair value accounting.
 
Effective April 1, 2009, we adopted revised accounting guidance on estimating the fair value of an asset or liability when there is no active market and on identifying transactions that are not orderly. This did not change the objective of fair value measurements. Adoption of this change in the accounting guidance did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial position or results of operations.
 
Level 1 inputs are quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical securities that the reporting entity has the ability to access at the measurement date. Level 2 inputs are inputs other than quoted prices within Level 1 that are observable for the security, either directly or indirectly. Level 2 inputs include quoted prices for similar securities in active markets, quoted prices for identical or similar securities that are not active and observable inputs other than quoted prices, such as interest rate and yield curves. Level 3 inputs are unobservable inputs for the asset or liability.
 
Level 1 consists of publicly traded equity securities whose fair value is based on quoted prices that are readily and regularly available in an active market. Level 2 primarily consists of financial instruments whose fair value is based on quoted prices in markets that are not active and include U.S. government and government agency securities, fixed maturity investments, perpetual preferred stock and certain publicly traded common stocks that are not actively traded. Included in Level 2 are $6.6 million of securities, which are valued based upon a non-binding broker quote and validated by management by observable market data. Level 3 consists of financial instruments that are not traded in an active market, whose fair value is estimated by management based on inputs from independent financial institutions, which include non-binding broker quotes, for which we believe reflects fair value, but are unable to verify inputs to the valuation methodology. We obtained one quote or price per instrument from its brokers and pricing services and did not adjust any quotes or prices that it obtained. Management reviews these broker quotes using information such as the market prices of similar investments.


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Liquidity and Capital Resources
 
Capital Ratios.  The NAIC’s model law for RBC provides formulas to determine the amount of capital and surplus that an insurance company needs to ensure that it has an acceptable expectation of not becoming financially impaired. At December 31, 2009 and 2008, the capital and surplus of all our insurance companies substantially exceeded the RBC requirements.
 
Sources of Funds.  The liquidity requirements of our insurance subsidiaries relate primarily to the liabilities associated with their products as well as operating costs and payments of dividends and taxes to us from insurance subsidiaries. Historically, cash flows from premiums and investment income have provided sufficient funds to meet these requirements, without requiring significant liquidation of investments. If our cash flows change dramatically from historical patterns, for example as a result of a decrease in premiums or an increase in claims paid or operating expenses, we may be required to sell securities before their maturity and possibly at a loss. Our insurance subsidiaries generally hold a significant amount of highly liquid, short-term investments or cash and cash equivalents to meet their liquidity needs. Our historic pattern of using receipts from current premium writings for the payment of liabilities incurred in prior periods has enabled us to extend slightly the maturities of our investment portfolio beyond the estimated settlement date of our loss reserves. Funds received in excess of cash requirements are generally invested in additional marketable securities.
 
We believe that our insurance subsidiaries maintain sufficient liquidity to pay claims and operating expenses, as well as meet commitments in the event of unforeseen events such as reserve deficiencies, inadequate premium rates or reinsurer insolvencies. Our principal sources of liquidity are our existing cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $19.4 million at December 31, 2009, a $57.8 million decrease from December 31, 2008. For 2009, 2008 and 2007, we generated consolidated cash flow from operations of $51.3 million, $101.3 million and $93.2 million, respectively. The decrease of $50.0 million in cash flow from operations in 2009 from 2008 is primarily attributable to a large amount of claims payments made during 2009. Cash flow from operations increased $8.1 million in 2008 from 2007 due to an increase in our loss and LAE reserves stemming from an increase in large claim severity that we experienced during the first three quarters of 2008.
 
Net cash used in investing activities was $57.9 million, $63.3 million and $69.1 million for the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007, respectively. This $5.4 million decrease in cash used in investing activities in 2009, as compared to 2008, was primarily related to a $65.3 million increase in the proceeds from the sale of fixed maturity securities and an $11.2 million decrease in the purchase of fixed maturity investments in 2009, which were offset by a $68.6 million decrease in the proceeds from maturities and redemptions of investments. The decrease in both purchases and redemptions of fixed maturity investments in 2009, compared to the prior period was primarily due to a shift in asset allocation from callable U.S. government agency bonds into longer duration state and local government bonds, residential collateralized mortgage-backed securities and corporate obligations. The increase in proceeds from the sale of fixed maturity securities was the result of taking advantage of improving market conditions to realize gains on portions of our fixed maturity portfolio. The $5.8 million decrease in cash used in investing activities in 2008 compared to 2007 was primarily related to a $176.4 million increase in the proceeds from sales and maturities of investments and a decline of $42.1 million in the purchase of equity securities, which was partially offset by a $212.4 million increase in the purchase of fixed maturity investments in 2008. The increase in both purchases and redemptions of fixed maturities during 2008, compared to the prior period was directly influenced by market conditions. As interest rates declined throughout 2008, many of our high yielding U.S. government agency bonds were called and replaced with purchases of lower yielding agency bonds. Additionally, the decrease in the purchases of equity securities is directly related to the market turmoil experienced during 2008.
 
Net cash used in financing activities of $52.0 million, $3.9 million and $3.2 million, respectively, for the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007. The $48.1 million increase in net cash used in financing activities was primarily driven by the termination of our securities lending program in June 2009. During 2009 and prior to the program’s termination, approximately $22.1 million of investments within our securities lending collateral matured and were used to pay down a corresponding amount of our securities lending obligation. Upon the program’s termination, cash on hand and securities lending collateral were used to pay off the remaining $73.7 million securities lending obligation. Securities lending collateral that had an original cost of $46.5 million at the


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termination date were retained by us and are included in our fixed maturities portfolio through a non-cash transaction. The increase in cash used from financing activities in 2008 from 2007 of $0.7 million is primarily attributable to a $0.8 million increase in dividends paid to shareholders.
 
We will have continuing cash needs for administrative expenses, the payment of principal and interest on borrowings, shareholder dividends and taxes. Funds to meet these obligations will come primarily from parent company cash, dividends and other payments from our insurance company subsidiaries and from our line of credit. Under the state insurance laws, dividends and capital distributions from our insurance companies are subject to restrictions relating to statutory surplus and earnings. The maximum amount of dividends that our insurance companies could pay to us without seeking regulatory approval in 2009 is $33.1 million. Our insurance subsidiaries paid no dividends in 2009 or 2008.
 
Under tax allocation and cost sharing agreements among the Company and its subsidiaries, taxes and expenses are allocated among the entities. The federal income tax provision of our individual subsidiaries is computed as if the subsidiary filed a separate tax return. The resulting provision (or credit) is currently payable to (or receivable from) us.
 
We have a $50 million unsecured Credit Agreement (the “Credit Agreement”) that terminates in December 2012, which includes a sublimit of $10 million for letters of credit. At December 31, 2009 there was $15 million drawn on this credit facility. We have the ability to increase the line of credit to $75 million subject to the Credit Agreement’s accordion feature. Amounts borrowed bear interest at either (1) a rate per annum equal to the greater of the administrative agent’s prime rate or 0.5% in excess of the federal funds effective rate or (2) rates ranging from 0.45% to 0.90% over LIBOR based on our A.M. Best insurance group rating, or 0.65% at December 31, 2009. Commitment fees on the average daily unused portion of the Credit Agreement also vary with our A.M. Best insurance group rating and range from 0.090% to 0.175%, or 0.125% at December 31, 2009.
 
In 2008, we drew $15 million from its Credit Agreement to redeem in full its outstanding junior subordinated debentures, replacing higher variable rate debt of LIBOR plus 420 basis points with lower variable rate debt. As of December 31, 2009, the interest rate on this debt is equal to the six-month LIBOR (0.5% at November 27, 2009) plus 65 basis points, with interest payments due quarterly.
 
The Credit Agreement requires us to maintain specified financial covenants measured on a quarterly basis, including consolidated net worth, fixed charge coverage ratio and debt-to-capital ratio. In addition, the Credit Agreement contains certain affirmative and negative covenants, including negative covenants that limit or restrict our ability to, among other things, incur additional indebtedness, effect mergers or consolidations, make investments, enter into asset sales, create liens, enter into transactions with affiliates and other restrictions customarily contained in such agreements. As of December 31, 2009, we were in compliance with all financial covenants.
 
We believe that funds generated from operations, including dividends from insurance subsidiaries, parent company cash and funds available under our Credit Agreement will provide sufficient resources to meet our liquidity requirements for at least the next 12 months. However, if these funds are insufficient to meet fixed charges in any period, we would be required to generate cash through additional borrowings, sale of assets, sale of portfolio securities or similar transactions. If we were required to sell portfolio securities early for liquidity purposes rather than holding them to maturity, we would recognize gains or losses on those securities earlier than anticipated. Our ongoing corporate initiatives include actively evaluating potential acquisitions. At such time that we would execute an agreement to enter into an acquisition, such a transaction, depending upon the structure and size, could have an impact on our liquidity. If we were forced to borrow additional funds in order to meet liquidity needs, we would incur additional interest expense, which could have a negative impact on our earnings. Since our ability to meet our obligations in the long term (beyond a 12-month period) is dependent upon factors such as market changes, insurance regulatory changes and economic conditions, no assurance can be given that the available net cash flow will be sufficient to meet our operating needs.
 
Off-Balance Sheet Items.  We do not have any off-balance sheet arrangements as such term is defined in applicable SEC rules.


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We do not currently have any relationships with unconsolidated entities of financial partnerships, such as entities often referred to as structured finance or special purpose entities, which would have been established for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements or other contractually narrow or limited purposes.
 
Contractual Obligations.  The following table summarizes our long-term contractual obligations as of December 31, 2009:
 
                                         
    Payment Due by Period  
          Within 1
                More than
 
    Total     Year     2-3 Years     4-5 Years     5 Years  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Gross unpaid losses and LAE(1)
  $ 417,260     $ 170,404     $ 155,344     $ 59,066     $ 32,446  
Long term debt obligations
    15,000             15,000              
Operating lease obligations
    822       307       412       103        
                                         
Total
  $ 433,082     $ 170,711     $ 170,756     $ 59,169     $ 32,446  
                                         
 
 
(1) Dollar amounts and time periods are estimates based on historical net payment patterns applied to the gross reserves and do not represent actual contractual obligations. Actual payments and their timing could differ significantly from these estimates, and the estimates provided do not reflect potential recoveries under reinsurance treaties.
 
Critical Accounting Policies
 
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the financial statements. As more information becomes known, these estimates and assumptions could change and impact amounts reported in the future. Management believes that the establishment of loss and LAE reserves and the determination of “other-than-temporary” impairment on investments are two areas where by the degree of judgment required to determine amounts recorded in the financial statements make the accounting policies critical. We discuss these two policies below. Our other significant accounting policies are described in Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements.
 
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses Reserves
 
Significant periods of time can elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting of that loss to us and our final payment of that loss and its related LAE. To recognize liabilities for unpaid losses, we establish reserves as balance sheet liabilities. At December 31, 2009 and 2008, we had $417.3 million and $400.0 million, respectively, of gross loss and LAE reserves, representing management’s best estimate of the ultimate loss. Management records, on a monthly and quarterly basis, its best estimate of loss reserves. For purposes of computing the recorded reserves, management utilizes various data inputs, including analysis that is derived from a review of prior quarter results performed by actuaries employed by Great American. In addition, on an annual basis, actuaries from Great American review the recorded reserves for NIIC, NIIC-HI and TCC utilizing current period data and provide a Statement of Actuarial Opinion, required annually in accordance with state insurance regulations, on the statutory reserves recorded by these U.S. insurance subsidiaries. The actuarial analysis of NIIC’s, NIIC-HI’s and TCC’s net reserves as of December 31, 2009 and 2008 reflected point estimates that were within 2% of management’s recorded net reserves as of such dates. Using this actuarial data along with its other data inputs, management concluded that the recorded reserves appropriately reflect management’s best estimates of the liability as of each year end.
 
The quarterly reviews of unpaid loss and LAE reserves by Great American actuaries are prepared using standard actuarial techniques. These may include (but may not be limited to):
 
  •  the Case Incurred Development Method;
 
  •  the Paid Development Method;
 
  •  the Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method; and
 
  •  the Incremental Paid LAE to Paid Loss Methods.


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The period of time from the occurrence of a loss through the settlement of the liability is referred to as the “tail.” Generally, the same actuarial methods are considered for both short-tail and long-tail lines of business because most of them work properly for both. The methods are designed to incorporate the effects of the differing length of time to settle particular claims. For short-tail lines, management tends to give more weight to the Case Incurred and Paid Development methods, although the various methods tend to produce similar results. For long-tail lines, more judgment is involved and more weight may be given to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method. Liability claims for long-tail lines are more susceptible to litigation and can be significantly affected by changing contract interpretation and the legal environment. Therefore, the estimation of loss reserves for these classes is more complex and subject to a higher degree of variability.
 
Supplementary statistical information is reviewed to determine which methods are most appropriate and whether adjustments are needed to particular methods. This information includes:
 
  •  open and closed claim counts;
 
  •  average case reserves and average incurred on open claims;
 
  •  closure rates and statistics related to closed and open claim percentages;
 
  •  average closed claim severity;
 
  •  ultimate claim severity;
 
  •  reported loss ratios;
 
  •  projected ultimate loss ratios; and
 
  •  loss payment patterns.
 
Following is a discussion of certain critical variables affecting the estimation of loss reserves in our more significant lines of business. Many other variables may also impact ultimate claim costs. An important assumption underlying reserve estimates is that the cost trends implicitly built into development patterns will continue into the future. An unexpected change in cost trends could arise from a variety of sources including a general increase in economic inflation, inflation from social programs, new medical technologies or other factors such as those listed below in connection with our largest lines of business. It is not possible to isolate and measure the potential impact of just one of these variables and future cost trends could be partially impacted by several such variables. However, it is reasonable to address the sensitivity of the reserves to a potential impact from changes in these variables by measuring the effect of a possible overall 1% change in future cost trends that may be caused by one or more variables. The sensitivity of recorded reserves to a potential change of 1% in the future cost trends is shown below. Utilizing the effect of a 1% change in overall cost trends enables changes greater than 1% to be estimated by extrapolation. The estimated cumulative unfavorable impact that this 1% change would have on our 2009 net income is shown below:
 
         
    Cumulative
Line of Business
  Impact
 
Commercial Auto Liability
  $ 2.0 million  
Workers’ Compensation
  $ 0.6 million  
 
The judgments and uncertainties surrounding management’s reserve estimation process and the potential for reasonably possible variability in management’s most recent reserve estimates may also be viewed by looking at how recent historical estimates of reserves for all lines of business have developed. If our December 31, 2009, reserves (net of reinsurance) developed at the same rate as the average development of the most recent five years, the effect on net earnings would be an increase of $4.9 million.
 
                     
5-yr. Average
  Net Reserves
  Effect on Net
Development (*)
  December 31, 2009   Earnings
 
  (1.8 )%   $ 276.4 million     $ 4.9 million  
 
 
(*) Net of tax effect.


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The following discussion describes key assumptions and important variables that materially affect the estimate of the reserve for loss and LAE of our two most significant lines of business, which represent 88.4% of our total reserves and explains what caused them to change from assumptions used in the preceding period. Management has not made changes in key assumptions used in calculating current year reserves based on historical changes or current trends observed.
 
Commercial Auto Liability.  In this line of business, we provide coverage protecting buses, limousines, other public transportation vehicles and trucks for accidents causing property damage or personal injury to others. Property damage liability and medical payments exposures are typically short-tail lines of business with relatively quick reporting and settlement of claims. Bodily injury exposure is long-tail because although the claim reporting of this line of business is relatively quick, the final settlement can take longer to achieve.
 
Some of the important variables affecting our estimation of loss reserves for commercial auto liability include:
 
  •  litigious climate;
 
  •  unpredictability of judicial decisions regarding coverage issues;
 
  •  magnitude of jury awards;
 
  •  outside counsel costs; and
 
  •  frequency and timing of claims reporting.
 
We recorded favorable development of $0.7 million in 2009 for this line of business as actual claim severity, driven by favorable negotiated settlements and jury awards, was lower than previously anticipated. We recorded unfavorable development of $1.3 million in 2008 as actual claim severity was significantly higher than previously anticipated and favorable development of $1.4 million in 2007 as actual claim severity was significantly lower than previously anticipated. We continually monitor development trends in each line of business as a component of estimating future ultimate loss and related LAE liabilities. Management has not made any changes to the key assumptions used in calculating current year reserves in the commercial auto liability line of business.
 
Workers’ Compensation.  In this long-tail line of business, we provide coverage for employees who may be injured in the course of employment. Some of the important variables affecting our estimation of loss reserves for workers’ compensation include:
 
  •  legislative actions and regulatory interpretations;
 
  •  future medical cost inflation; and
 
  •  timing of claims reporting.
 
A significant portion of our workers’ compensation business is written in California. Significant reforms passed by the California state legislature in 2003 and in 2004 reduced employer premiums and set treatment standards for injured workers. However, recent judicial decisions are moderating the benefits of these reforms. We recorded unfavorable prior year loss development of $2.3 million in 2009. We recorded favorable prior year loss development of $0.5 million in 2008 and $3.0 million in 2007 due primarily to the impact of the legislation on medical claim costs being more favorable than previously anticipated.
 
Future costs depend on the implementation and interpretation of the reforms and judicial decisions throughout the workers’ compensation system over the next several years. Due to the long-tail nature of this business and the uncertainty surrounding recent judicial decisions, it is difficult to predict ultimate liabilities until a higher percentage of claims have been paid and the ultimate impact of these decisions can be estimated with more precision.
 
Within each line, Great American actuaries review the results of individual tests, supplementary statistical information and input from management to select their point estimate of the ultimate liability. This estimate may be one test, a weighted average of several tests or a judgmental selection as the actuaries determine is appropriate. The actuarial review is performed each quarter as a test of the reasonableness of management’s point estimate and to


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provide management with a consulting opinion regarding the advisability of modifying its reserve setting assumptions for future periods. The Great American actuaries do not develop ranges of losses.
 
The level of detail at which data is analyzed varies among the different lines of business. We generally analyze data by major product or coverage, using countrywide data. We determine the appropriate segmentation of the data based on data volume, data credibility, mix of business and other actuarial considerations. Point estimates are selected based on test indications and judgment.
 
Claims we view as potentially significant are subject to a rigorous review process involving the adjuster, claims management and executive management. We seek to establish reserves at the maximum probable exposure based on our historic claims experience. Incurred but not yet reported (“IBNR”) reserves are determined separate from the case reserving process and include estimates for potential adverse development of the recorded case reserves. We monitor IBNR reserves monthly with financial management and quarterly with an actuary from Great American. IBNR reserves are adjusted monthly based on historic patterns and current trends and exposures. When a claim is reported, claims personnel establish a “case reserve” for the estimated amount of ultimate payment. The amount of the reserve is based upon an evaluation of the type of claim involved, the circumstances surrounding each claim and the policy provisions relating to the loss. The estimate reflects informed judgment of our claims personnel based on general insurance reserving practices and on the experience and knowledge of the claims personnel. During the loss adjustment period, these estimates are revised as deemed necessary by our claims department based on developments and periodic reviews of the cases. Individual case reserves are reviewed for adequacy at least quarterly by senior claims management.
 
When establishing and reviewing reserves, we analyze historic data and estimate the impact of various loss development factors, such as our historic loss experience and that of the industry, trends in claims frequency and severity, our mix of business, our claims processing procedures, legislative enactments, judicial decisions, legal developments in imposition of damages and changes and trends in general economic conditions, including the effects of inflation. As of December 31, 2009, management has not made any key assumptions that are inconsistent with historical loss reserve development patterns. A change in any of these aforementioned factors from the assumptions implicit in our estimate can cause our actual loss experience to be better or worse than our reserves and the difference can be material. There is no precise method, however, for evaluating the impact of any specific factor on the adequacy of reserves. Currently established reserves may not prove adequate in light of subsequent actual occurrences. To the extent that reserves are inadequate and are increased or “strengthened,” the amount of such increase is treated as a charge to income in the period that the deficiency is recognized. To the extent that reserves are redundant and are released, the amount of the release is a benefit to income in the period that redundancy is recognized.
 
The changes we have recorded in our reserves in the past three years illustrate the potential for revisions inherent in estimating reserves. In 2009, we experienced favorable development of $1.3 million (0.5% of total net reserves) from claims incurred prior to 2008. In 2008, we experienced favorable development of $0.9 million (0.4% of total net reserves) from claims incurred prior to 2008. In 2007, we experienced favorable development of $5.7 million (3.1% of total net reserves) from claims incurred prior to 2007. We did not significantly change our reserving methodology or our claims settlement process in any of these years. The development reflected settlements that differed from the established case reserves, changes in the case reserves based on new information for that specific claim or the differences in the timing of actual settlements compared to the payout patterns assumed in our accident year IBNR reductions. The types of coverages we offer and risk levels we retain have a direct influence on the development of claims. Specifically, short duration claims and lower risk retention levels generally are more predictable and normally have less development. Future favorable or unfavorable development of reserves from this past development experience should not be assumed or estimated. The reserves reported in the financial statements are our best estimate.


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The following table shows the breakdown of our gross loss reserves between case reserves (estimated amounts required to settle claims that have already been reported), IBNR reserves (estimated amounts that will be needed to settle claims that have already occurred but have not yet been reported to us, as well as reserves for possible development on known claims) and LAE reserves (estimated amounts required to adjust, record and settle claims, other than the claim payments themselves):
 
                                 
    At December 31, 2009  
Statutory Lines of Business:
  Case     IBNR     LAE     Total  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Commercial auto liability
  $ 99,975     $ 142,699     $ 40,547     $ 283,221  
Workers’ compensation
    22,973       52,505       10,300       85,778  
Auto physical damage
    7,341       9,619       2,301       19,261  
General liability
    3,831       8,005       3,687       15,523  
Inland marine
    1,089       5,148       636       6,873  
Private passenger
    2,389       1,407       971       4,767  
Commercial multiple peril
    783       291       247       1,321  
Other lines
    76       376       64       516  
                                 
    $ 138,457     $ 220,050     $ 58,753     $ 417,260  
                                 
 
Reinsurance Recoverables.  We are also subject to credit risks with respect to our third party reinsurers. Although reinsurers are liable to us to the extent we cede risks to them, we are ultimately liable to our policyholders on all these risks. As a result, reinsurance does not limit our ultimate obligation to pay claims to policyholders and we may not be able to recover claims made to our reinsurers. We manage this credit risk by selecting what we believe to be quality reinsurers, closely monitoring their financial condition, timely billing and collecting amounts due and obtaining sufficient collateral when necessary.
 
Other-Than-Temporary Impairment
 
Our investments are exposed to at least one of three primary sources of investment risk: credit, interest rate and market valuation risks. The financial statement risks are those associated with the recognition of impairments and income, as well as the determination of fair values. We evaluate whether impairments have occurred on a case-by-case basis. Management considers a wide range of factors about the security issuer and uses its best judgment in evaluating the cause and amount of decline in the estimated fair value of the security and in assessing the prospects for near-term recovery. Inherent in management’s evaluation of the security are assumptions and estimates about the operations of the issuer and its future earnings potential. Considerations we use in the impairment evaluation process include, but are not limited to:
 
  •  the length of time and the extent to which the market value has been below amortized cost;
 
  •  whether the issuer is experiencing significant financial difficulties;
 
  •  economic stability of an entire industry sector or subsection;
 
  •  whether the issuer, series of issuers or industry has a catastrophic type of loss;
 
  •  the extent to which the unrealized loss is credit-driven or a result of changes in market interest rates;
 
  •  historical operating, balance sheet and cash flow data;
 
  •  internally and externally generated financial models and forecasts;
 
  •  our ability and intent to hold the investment for a period of time sufficient to allow for any anticipated recovery in market value; and
 
  •  other subjective factors, including concentrations and information obtained from regulators and rating agencies.


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In April 2009, we adopted new accounting guidance relating to the recognition and presentation of other-than-temporary impairments. Under the guidance, if management can assert that it does not intend to sell an impaired fixed maturity security and it is not more likely than not that it will have to sell the security before recovery of its amortized cost basis, then an entity may separate the other-than-temporary impairments into two components: 1) the amount related to credit losses (recorded in earnings) and 2) the amount related to all other factors (recorded in other comprehensive income (loss)). The credit related portion of an other-than-temporary impairment is measured by comparing a security’s amortized cost to the present value of its current expected cash flows discounted at its effective yield prior to the impairment charge. Both components are required to be shown in the Consolidated Statements of Income. If management intends to sell an impaired security, or it is more likely than not that it will be required to sell the security before recovery, an impairment charge is required to reduce the amortized cost of that security to fair value. Additional disclosures required by this guidance are contained in Note 5 — “Investments.”
 
We closely monitor each investment that has a market value that is below its amortized cost and make a determination each quarter for other-than-temporary impairment for each of those investments. During the year ended December 31, 2009, we recorded $7.0 million in total losses on securities with impairment charges, which consisted of $3.9 million in credit other-than-temporary impairments recognized in earnings and $3.1 million of non-credit impairments recognized in other comprehensive income. The other-than-temporary charges primarily consist of four residential mortgage-backed securities with total impairment charges of $5.0 million, consisting of $1.9 million in credit impairments recognized in earnings and $3.1 million in non-credit impairments. The impairment on these mortgage-backed securities was recorded as the full principal is not expected to be collected and these securities were written down to the present value of the expected cash flows. In addition, we recorded $1.8 million in other-than-temporary impairment on three corporate notes that had experienced credit issues that, in our estimation, made recovery of the cost of our investments unlikely. During the year ended December 31, 2008, we recorded $20.2 million in other-than-temporary impairments. Of the $20.2 million of other-than-temporary impairments taken during 2008, $7.0 million related to securities issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and $8.7 million related to exchange traded funds. The other-than-temporary impairment charge on the exchange traded funds was based on the length of time and the extent to which the market value was below cost and the uncertainty in the equity markets related to any anticipated recovery period, which is unpredictable. The remaining other-than-temporary impairment charge of $4.5 million is related to investments that had experienced credit issues that in our estimation made recovery of the cost of our investments unlikely. We recorded a $1.0 million impairment for the year ended December 31, 2007. In all instances of calculating an other-than-temporary impairment loss we adjusted the cost or amortized cost of the investment down to its fair market value. While it is not possible to accurately predict if or when a specific security will become impaired, given the inherent uncertainty in the market, charges for other-than-temporary impairment could be material to net income in subsequent quarters. Management believes it is not likely that future impairment charges will have a significant effect on our liquidity. See “Management’s Discussions and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Investments.”


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ITEM 7A   Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
 
Market risk represents the potential economic loss arising from adverse changes in the fair value of financial instruments. Our exposures to market risk relate primarily to our investment portfolio, which is also exposed to interest rate risk and credit risk. We have not entered and do not plan to enter, into any derivative financial instruments for trading or speculative purposes.
 
During 2009, the financial markets began to stabilize from the significant disruptions and market declines that were experienced in 2008. As liquidity moved back into the financial markets, investors returned to more diversified credit holdings and the equity markets experienced a rally during the year from their March 2009 lows. As a result of these effects, we had a pre-tax unrealized gain of $1.1 million in our fixed maturities portfolio at December 31, 2009, which is inclusive of investments remaining from the securities lending program, which terminated in June 2009, compared to a pre-tax unrealized loss of $13.3 million at December 31, 2008. Our equity securities had a pre-tax unrealized gain of $2.5 million at December 31, 2009 compared to a pre-tax unrealized loss of $2.9 million at December 31, 2008.
 
The fair value of our fixed maturities portfolio is directly impacted by changes in interest rates, in addition to credit risk. Our fixed maturities portfolio is comprised of primarily fixed rate investments with primarily short-term and intermediate-term maturities. We believe this practice allows us to be flexible in reacting to fluctuations of interest rates. We manage the portfolios of our insurance companies to attempt to achieve an adequate risk-adjusted return while maintaining sufficient liquidity to meet policyholder obligations. We invest in a diverse allocation of fixed income securities to capture what we believe are adequate risk-adjusted returns in an evolving investment environment.
 
The following table provides information about our “available for sale” fixed maturity investments that are sensitive to interest rate risk. The table shows expected principal cash flows and related weighted average interest rates by expected maturity date for each of the five subsequent years and collectively for all years thereafter. We include callable bonds and notes based on call date or maturity date depending upon which date produces the most conservative yield. MBS are included based on maturity year adjusted for expected payment patterns. Actual cash flows may differ from those expected.
 
                                 
    December 31, 2009     December 31, 2008  
    Principal
          Principal
       
    Cash Flows     Rate     Cash Flows     Rate  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Subsequent calendar year
  $ 149,602       3.8 %   $ 194,172       4.7 %
2nd Subsequent calendar year
    52,332       4.3 %     64,532       5.0 %
3rd Subsequent calendar year
    48,983       4.4 %     27,441       5.0 %
4th Subsequent calendar year
    49,124       4.4 %     20,948       5.1 %
5th Subsequent calendar year
    77,296       4.2 %     26,804       5.1 %
Thereafter
    183,325       4.3 %     121,973       5.2 %
                                 
Total
  $ 560,662       4.2 %   $ 455,870       4.9 %
                                 
Fair value
  $ 566,901             $ 459,237          
                                 
 
Equity Risk.  Equity risk is potential economic losses due to adverse changes in equity security prices. As of December 31, 2009, approximately 4.8% of the fair value of our investment portfolio (excluding cash and cash equivalents) was invested in equity securities. We manage equity price risk primarily through industry and issuer diversification and asset allocation techniques such as investing in exchange traded funds.


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ITEM 8   Financial Statements and Supplementary Data
 
         
    Page
 
Index to Financial Statements
       
    55  
    56  
       
December 31, 2009 and 2008
    58  
       
Years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007
    59  
       
Years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007
    60  
       
Years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007
    61  
    62  
 
“Selected Quarterly Financial Data” has been included in Note 18 to the consolidated financial statements.


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MANAGEMENT’S REPORT ON INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING
 
We, as management of National Interstate Corporation and its subsidiaries (the “Company”), are responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting. Pursuant to the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission, internal control over financial reporting is a process designed by, or under the supervision of, the Company’s principal executive and principal financial officers or persons performing similar functions and effected by the Company’s board of directors, management and other personnel, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and includes those policies and procedures that:
 
  •  Pertain to the maintenance of records that in reasonable detail accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the Company;
 
  •  Provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and that receipts and expenditures of the Company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the Company; and
 
  •  Provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use or disposition of the Company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements.
 
Management has evaluated the effectiveness of the Company’s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2009, based on the control criteria established in a report entitled Internal Control — Integrated Framework, issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. Based on such evaluation, we have concluded that the Company’s internal control over financial reporting is effective as of December 31, 2009.
 
The independent registered public accounting firm of Ernst & Young LLP, as auditors of the Company’s consolidated financial statements, has issued an attestation report on the effectiveness of the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.
 
     
     
     
     
/s/  David W. Michelson
David W. Michelson
 
/s/  Julie A. McGraw
Julie A. McGraw
President and Chief Executive Officer
  Vice President and Chief Financial Officer


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REPORT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM
ON INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING
 
The Board of Directors and Shareholders of
National Interstate Corporation
 
We have audited National Interstate Corporation and subsidiaries internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2009, based on criteria established in Internal Control — Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (the COSO criteria). National Interstate Corporation subsidiaries management is responsible for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting, and for its assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting included in the accompanying Management’s Report on Internal Control over Financial Reporting. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on the Company’s internal control over financial reporting based on our audit.
 
We conducted our audit in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether effective internal control over financial reporting was maintained in all material respects. Our audit included obtaining an understanding of internal control over financial reporting, assessing the risk, that a material weakness exists, testing and evaluating the design and operating effectiveness of internal control based on the assessed risk and performing such other procedures as we considered necessary in the circumstances. We believe that our audit provides a reasonable basis for our opinion.
 
A company’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. A company’s internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (1) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the company; (2) provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles and that receipts and expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and (3) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use or disposition of the company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements.
 
Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
 
In our opinion, National Interstate Corporation and subsidiaries maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2009, based on the COSO criteria.
 
We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), the consolidated balance sheets of National Interstate Corporation and subsidiaries as of December 31, 2009 and 2008 and the related consolidated statements of income, shareholders’ equity and cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2009 of National Interstate Corporation and subsidiaries and our report dated March 8, 2010 expressed an unqualified opinion thereon.
 
/s/  Ernst & Young LLP
 
Cleveland, Ohio
March 8, 2010


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REPORT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM
 
The Board of Directors and Shareholders of
National Interstate Corporation
 
We have audited the accompanying consolidated balance sheets of National Interstate Corporation and subsidiaries as of December 31, 2009 and 2008, and the related consolidated statements of income, shareholders’ equity and cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2009. Our audits also included the financial statement schedules listed in the Index at Item 15(a). These financial statements and schedules are the responsibility of the Company’s management. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements and schedules based on our audits.
 
We conducted our audits in accordance with standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement. An audit includes examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements. An audit also includes assessing the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, as well as evaluating the overall financial statement presentation. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinion.
 
In our opinion, the financial statements referred to above present fairly, in all material respects, the consolidated financial position of National Interstate Corporation and subsidiaries at December 31, 2009 and 2008, and the consolidated results of their operations and their cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2009, in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Also, in our opinion, the related financial statement schedules, when considered in relation to the basic financial statements taken as a whole, present fairly in all material respects the information set forth therein.
 
As discussed in Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements, in 2009 the Company changed its method of accounting for recognizing other-than-temporary impairment charges for its debt securities in connection with the adoption of the revised Financial Accounting Standards Board’s other-than-temporary impairment model.
 
We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), National Interstate Corporation’s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2009, based on criteria established in Internal Control — Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission and our report dated March 8, 2010 expressed an unqualified opinion thereon.
 
/s/  Ernst & Young LLP
 
Cleveland, Ohio
March 8, 2010


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NATIONAL INTERSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
 
                 
    December 31,  
    2009     2008  
    (In thousands, except per share data)  
 
ASSETS
Investments:
               
Fixed maturities available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost — $565,753 and $462,562, respectively)
  $ 566,901     $ 459,237  
Equity securities available-for-sale, at fair value (cost — $26,203 and $30,143, respectively)
    28,673       27,233  
Short-term investments, at cost which approximates fair value
    811       85  
                 
Total investments
    596,385       486,555  
Cash and cash equivalents
    18,589       77,159  
Securities lending collateral (cost — $0 and $94,655, respectively)
          84,670  
Accrued investment income
    4,926       5,161  
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts of $963 and $587, respectively
    98,679       95,610  
Reinsurance recoverables on paid and unpaid losses
    149,949       150,791  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    25,163       28,404  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    17,833       19,245  
Deferred federal income taxes
    18,178       18,324  
Property and equipment, net
    21,747       20,406  
Funds held by reinsurer
    3,441       3,073  
Prepaid expenses and other assets
    863       1,414  
                 
Total assets
  $ 955,753     $ 990,812  
                 
 
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Liabilities:
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 417,260     $ 400,001  
Unearned premiums and service fees
    149,509       156,598  
Long-term debt
    15,000       15,000  
Amounts withheld or retained for account of others
    51,359       48,357  
Reinsurance balances payable
    10,540       10,267  
Securities lending obligation
          95,828  
Accounts payable and other liabilities
    29,371       35,813  
Commissions payable
    8,164       9,274  
Assessments and fees payable
    3,233       3,600  
                 
Total liabilities
    684,436       774,738  
Shareholders’ equity:
               
Preferred shares — no par value
               
Authorized — 10,000 shares
               
Issued — 0 shares
           
Common shares — $0.01 par value
               
Authorized — 50,000 shares
               
Issued — 23,350 shares, including 4,048 and 4,055 shares, respectively, in treasury
    234       234  
Additional paid-in capital
    49,264       48,004  
Retained earnings
    225,195       184,187  
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
    2,353       (10,613 )
Treasury shares
    (5,729 )     (5,738 )
                 
Total shareholders’ equity
    271,317       216,074  
                 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 955,753     $ 990,812  
                 
 
See notes to consolidated financial statements.


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NATIONAL INTERSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
 
                         
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007  
    (In thousands, except per share data)  
 
Revenues:
                       
Premiums earned
  $ 279,079     $ 290,741     $ 257,561  
Net investment income
    19,324       22,501       22,141  
Net realized gains (losses) on investments(*)
    2,561       (22,394 )     (653 )
Other
    3,488       2,868       4,137  
                         
Total revenues
    304,452       293,716       283,186  
Expenses:
                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    169,755       188,131       149,501  
Commissions and other underwriting expenses
    57,245       62,130       50,922  
Other operating and general expenses
    13,076       12,605       12,140  
Expense on amounts withheld
    3,535       4,299       3,708  
Interest expense
    717       833       1,550  
                         
Total expenses
    244,328       267,998       217,821  
                         
Income before income taxes
    60,124       25,718       65,365  
Provision for income taxes
    13,675       15,058       21,763  
                         
Net income
  $ 46,449     $ 10,660     $ 43,602  
                         
                         
Net income per common share — basic
  $ 2.41     $ 0.55     $ 2.27  
                         
Net income per common share — diluted
  $ 2.40     $ 0.55     $ 2.25  
                         
                         
Weighted average of common shares outstanding — basic
    19,301       19,285       19,193  
                         
Weighted average of common shares outstanding — diluted
    19,366       19,366       19,348  
                         
                         
Cash dividends per common share
  $ 0.28     $ 0.24     $ 0.20  
                         
                         
                       
(*) Consists of the following:
                       
                         
Realized gains (losses) before impairment losses
  $ 6,448     $ (2,230 )   $ 321  
                         
Total losses on securities with impairment charges
    (6,955 )     (20,164 )     (974 )
Non-credit portion in other comprehensive income
    3,068              
                         
Net impairment charges recognized in earnings
    (3,887 )     (20,164 )     (974 )
                         
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  $ 2,561     $ (22,394 )   $ (653 )
                         
 
See notes to consolidated financial statements.


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NATIONAL INTERSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
 
                                                 
                      Accumulated
             
                      Other
             
          Additional
          Comprehensive
             
    Common
    Paid-In
    Retained
    Income
    Treasury
       
    Stock     Capital     Earnings     (Loss)     Stock     Total  
          (Dollars in thousands)              
 
Balance at January 1, 2007
  $ 234     $ 43,921     $ 138,450     $ (2,915 )   $ (5,927 )   $ 173,763  
Net income
                    43,602                       43,602  
Unrealized depreciation of investment securities, no related tax benefit
                            (2,406 )             (2,406 )
                                                 
Comprehensive income
                                            41,196  
Dividends on common stock
                    (3,862 )                     (3,862 )
Issuance of 46,009 treasury shares upon exercise of options and stock award grants
            392                       64       456  
Tax benefit realized from exercise of stock options
            218                               218  
Stock compensation expense
            1,035                               1,035  
                                                 
Balance at December 31, 2007
    234       45,566       178,190       (5,321 )     (5,863 )     212,806  
Net income
                    10,660                       10,660  
Unrealized depreciation of investment securities, net of tax benefit of $4.0 million
                            (5,292 )             (5,292 )
                                                 
Comprehensive income
                                            5,368  
Dividends on common stock
                    (4,663 )                     (4,663 )
Issuance of 90,035 treasury shares upon exercise of options and restricted stock issued, net of forfeitures
            713                       125       838  
Tax benefit realized from exercise of stock options
            396                               396  
Stock compensation expense
            1,329                               1,329  
                                                 
Balance at December 31, 2008
    234       48,004       184,187       (10,613 )     (5,738 )     216,074  
Net income
                    46,449                       46,449  
Unrealized appreciation of investment securities, net of tax expense of $6.9 million
                            12,966               12,966  
                                                 
Comprehensive income
                                            59,415  
Dividends on common stock
                    (5,441 )                     (5,441 )
Issuance of 6,517 treasury shares from restricted stock issued, net of forfeitures
            (49 )                     9       (40 )
Stock compensation expense
            1,309                               1,309  
                                                 
Balance at December 31, 2009
  $ 234     $ 49,264     $ 225,195     $ 2,353     $ (5,729 )   $ 271,317  
                                                 
 
See notes to consolidated financial statements.


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NATIONAL INTERSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
 
                         
    Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Operating activities
                       
Net income
  $ 46,449     $ 10,660     $ 43,602  
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
                       
Net amortization of bond premiums and discounts
    2,713       1,673       382  
Provision for depreciation and amortization
    1,841       1,470       1,266  
Net realized (gains) losses on investment securities
    (2,561 )     22,394       653  
Deferred federal income taxes
    (6,727 )     (2,294 )     (1,262 )
Stock compensation expense
    1,309       1,329       1,035  
Decrease (increase) in deferred policy acquisition costs, net
    1,412       (1,667 )     (2,543 )
Increase in reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses
    17,259       97,913       36,122  
Increase in premiums receivable
    (3,069 )     (10,902 )     (7,632 )
(Decrease) increase in unearned premiums and service fees
    (7,089 )     11,302       17,573  
Decrease (increase) in interest receivable and other assets
    418       539       (2,210 )
Decrease (increase) in prepaid reinsurance premiums
    3,241       (4,079 )     (3,053 )
(Decrease) increase in accounts payable, commissions and other liabilities and assessments and fees payable
    (7,919 )     13,358       5,966  
Increase in amounts withheld or retained for account of others
    3,002       9,618       10,854  
Decrease (increase) in reinsurance recoverable
    842       (52,700 )     (8,021 )
Increase in reinsurance balances payable
    273       2,671       440  
Other
    (45 )     23       (3 )
                         
Net cash provided by operating activities
    51,349       101,308       93,169  
                         
Investing activities
                       
Purchases of fixed maturities
    (401,140 )     (412,313 )     (199,918 )
Purchases of equity securities
    (4,772 )     (3,386 )     (45,460 )
Proceeds from sale of fixed maturities
    67,558       2,234        
Proceeds from sale of equity securities
    11,653       11,948       21,921  
Proceeds from maturities and redemptions of investments
    271,914       340,561       156,466  
Capital expenditures
    (3,137 )     (2,369 )     (2,087 )
                         
Net cash used in investing activities
    (57,924 )     (63,325 )     (69,078 )
                         
Financing activities
                       
Decrease in securities lending collateral
    49,314       45,488       17,612  
Decrease in securities lending obligation
    (95,828 )     (45,488 )     (17,612 )
Additional long-term borrowings
          15,000        
Reductions of long-term debt
          (15,464 )      
Tax benefit realized from exercise of stock options
          396       218  
Issuance of common shares from treasury upon exercise of stock options or stock award grants
    (40 )     838       456  
Cash dividends paid on common shares
    (5,441 )     (4,663 )     (3,862 )
                         
Net cash used in financing activities
    (51,995 )     (3,893 )     (3,188 )
                         
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents
    (58,570 )     34,090       20,903  
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year
    77,159       43,069       22,166  
                         
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year
  $ 18,589     $ 77,159     $ 43,069  
                         
 
See notes to consolidated financial statements.


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NATIONAL INTERSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
 
1.   Background, Basis of Presentation and Principals of Consolidation
 
National Interstate Corporation (the “Company”) and its subsidiaries operate as an insurance holding company group that underwrites and sells traditional and alternative risk transfer property and casualty insurance products primarily to the passenger transportation industry and the trucking industry, general commercial insurance to small businesses in Hawaii and Alaska and personal insurance to owners of recreational vehicles and commercial vehicles throughout the United States.
 
The Company is a 52.6% owned subsidiary of Great American Insurance Company (“Great American”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of American Financial Group, Inc.
 
The Company has four property and casualty insurance subsidiaries, National Interstate Insurance Company (“NIIC”), National Interstate Insurance Company of Hawaii, Inc. (“NIIC-HI”), Triumphe Casualty Company (“TCC”), Hudson Indemnity, Ltd. (“HIL”) and six other agency and service subsidiaries. The Company writes its insurance policies on a direct basis through NIIC, NIIC-HI and TCC. NIIC is licensed in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. NIIC-HI is licensed in Ohio, Hawaii, Michigan and New Jersey. TCC, a Pennsylvania domiciled company, holds licenses for multiple lines of authority, including auto-related lines, in 24 states and the District of Columbia. HIL is domiciled in the Cayman Islands and provides reinsurance for NIIC, NIIC-HI and TCC primarily for the Company’s alternative risk transfer product. Insurance products are marketed through multiple distribution channels including, independent agents and brokers, program administrators, affiliated agencies and agent internet initiatives. The Company uses its six agency and service subsidiaries to sell and service the Company’s insurance business. Approximately 12.0% of the Company’s premiums are written in the state of California, and an additional 40.9%, collectively, in the states of Texas, New York, Hawaii, Florida, North Carolina, Massachusetts and Pennsylvania.
 
A summary of the significant accounting policies applied in the preparation of the consolidated financial statements follows.
 
Basis of Presentation
 
The accompanying consolidated financial statements of the Company and its subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), which differ in some respects from statutory accounting principles (“SAP”) permitted by state regulatory agencies (see Note 15).
 
Certain reclassifications have been made to financial information presented for prior years to conform to the current year’s presentation.
 
Principles of Consolidation
 
The consolidated financial statements include the accounts of the Company and its subsidiaries, NIIC, NIIC-HI, HIL, TCC, Hudson Management Group, National Interstate Insurance Agency, Inc. (“NIIA”), American Highways Insurance Agency, Inc., Safety, Claims, and Litigation Services, Inc., Explorer RV Insurance Agency, Inc. and Safety, Claims, Litigation Services, LLC. Significant intercompany transactions have been eliminated.
 
Use of Estimates
 
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the financial statements and accompanying notes. Actual results could differ from the estimates and assumptions used.


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NATIONAL INTERSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)
 
 
2.   Significant Accounting Policies
 
Cash Equivalents
 
The Company considers all highly liquid investments with a maturity date of three months or less at the date of acquisition to be cash equivalents.
 
Premium, Commissions and Service Fee Recognition
 
Insurance premiums, commissions and service fees generally are recognized over the terms of the policies on a daily pro rata basis. Unearned premiums, commissions and service fees are related to the unexpired terms of the policies in force.
 
Investments
 
The Company classifies all investment securities as available for sale, which are recorded at fair value, with unrealized gains and losses (net of tax) on such securities reported as a separate component of shareholders’ equity as accumulated other comprehensive income (loss).
 
Net investment income is adjusted for amortization of premiums to the earliest of the call date or maturity date and accretion of discounts to maturity. Realized gains and losses credited or charged to income are determined by the specific identification method. Estimated fair values for investments are determined based on published market quotations or where not available, based on other observable market data, broker quotations or other independent sources. When a decline in fair market value is deemed to be other-than-temporary, a provision for impairment is charged to earnings (included in realized gains (losses)) and the cost basis of that investment is reduced. Interest income is recognized when earned and dividend income is recognized when declared.
 
In April 2009, the Company adopted new accounting guidance relating to the recognition and presentation of other-than-temporary impairments. Under the guidance, if management can assert that it does not intend to sell an impaired fixed maturity security and it is not more likely than not that it will have to sell the security before recovery of its amortized cost basis, then an entity may separate the other-than-temporary impairments into two components: 1) the amount related to credit losses (recorded in earnings) and 2) the amount related to all other factors (recorded in other comprehensive income (loss)). The credit related portion of an other-than-temporary impairment is measured by comparing a security’s amortized cost to the present value of its current expected cash flows discounted at its effective yield prior to the impairment charge. Both components are required to be shown in the Consolidated Statements of Income. If management intends to sell an impaired security, or it is more likely than not that it will be required to sell the security before recovery, an impairment charge is required to reduce the amortized cost of that security to fair value. Additional disclosures required by this guidance are contained in Note 5 — “Investments.”
 
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
 
The costs of acquiring new business, principally commissions and premium taxes and certain underwriting expenses directly related to the production of new business, are deferred and amortized over the period in which the related premiums are earned. Policy acquisition costs are limited based upon recoverability without any consideration for anticipated investment income and are charged to operations ratably over the terms of the related policies. The Company accelerates the amortization of these costs for premium deficiencies. The amount of deferred policy acquisition costs amortized during the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007 were $49.1 million, $54.3 million and $44.6 million, respectively. There were no premium deficiencies for the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007.


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NATIONAL INTERSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)
 
Property and Equipment
 
Property and equipment are reported at cost less accumulated depreciation and amortization. Property and equipment are depreciated or amortized over the estimated useful lives on a straight-line basis. The useful lives range from 3 to 5 years for computer equipment, 20 to 40 years for buildings and improvements and 5 to 7 years for all other property and equipment. Property and equipment include capitalized software developed or acquired for internal use. Upon sale or retirement, the cost of the asset and related accumulated depreciation are eliminated from their respective accounts and the resulting gain or loss is included in operations. Repairs and maintenance are charged to operations when incurred. The Company recorded depreciation expense of $1.9 million, $1.5 million and $1.2 million for the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007, respectively.
 
Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses (“LAE”)
 
The liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE are determined on the basis of estimates of policy claims reported and estimates of unreported claims based on historical and industry data. The estimates of policy claim amounts are continuously reviewed and any resulting adjustments are reflected in operations currently. Although considerable variability is inherent in such estimates, management believes that the liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE are adequate. These liabilities are reported net of amounts recoverable from salvage and subrogation.
 
Assessments
 
The Company has provided for estimated assessments anticipated for reported insolvencies of other insurers and other charges from regulatory organizations. Management accrues for these liabilities as assessments are imposed or the probability of such assessments being imposed has been determined, the event obligating the Company to pay an imposed or probable assessment has occurred and the amount of the assessment can be reasonably estimated.
 
Premiums Receivable
 
Premiums receivable are carried at cost, which approximate fair value. Management provides an allowance for doubtful accounts in the period that collectability is deemed impaired.
 
Reinsurance
 
Reinsurance premiums, commissions, expense reimbursements and reserves related to reinsured business are accounted for on a basis consistent with those used in accounting for the original policies issued and the terms of the reinsurance contracts. A significant portion of the reinsurance is related to excess of loss reinsurance contracts. Premiums ceded are reported as a reduction of premiums earned.
 
Segment Information
 
The Company offers a range of products and services, but operates as one reportable property and casualty insurance segment.
 
Federal Income Taxes
 
Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using enacted tax rates expected to apply to taxable income in the periods in which those temporary differences are expected to be recovered or settled. A valuation allowance is provided if it is more likely than not that some or all of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. Management evaluates the realizability of the deferred tax assets and assesses the need for additional valuation allowance quarterly.


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NATIONAL INTERSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)
 
Comprehensive Income
 
Comprehensive income includes the Company’s net income plus the changes in the unrealized gains or losses (net of income taxes) on the Company’s available-for-sale securities. The details of the comprehensive income are reported in the Consolidated Statements of Shareholders’ Equity.
 
Earnings Per Common Share
 
Basic earnings per common share have been computed based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period. Diluted earnings per share are based on the weighted average number of common shares and dilutive potential common shares outstanding during the period using the treasury stock method.
 
Stock-Based Compensation
 
The Company grants stock options to officers under the Long Term Incentive Plan (“LTIP”). The LTIP and stock-based compensation are more fully described in Note 8, “Shareholders’ Equity and Stock-Based Compensation.” The Company uses the Black-Scholes pricing model to measure the fair value of employee stock options. Awards issued prior to the initial public offering were valued for disclosure purposes using the minimum value method. No compensation cost will be recognized for future vesting of these awards.
 
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
 
In January 2010, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued Accounting Standards Update No. 2010-06, Improving Disclosures about Fair Value Measurements (ASU 2010-06). The ASU amends Accounting Standard Codification (“ASC”) 820, Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures. ASU 2010-06 requires expanded disclosures around significant transfers between levels of the fair value hierarchy and valuation techniques and inputs used in estimates. ASU 2010-06 is effective for interim and annual reporting periods beginning after December 15, 2009. The Company will adopt the expanded disclosure required by ASU 2010-06 for the quarter ended March 31, 2010.
 
In June 2009, the FASB updated ASC 810, Consolidation, that amended the guidance for determining whether an enterprise is the primary beneficiary of a variable interest entity (VIE) by requiring a qualitative analysis to determine if an enterprise’s variable interest results in a controlling financial interest. ASC 810 is effective for annual reporting periods beginning after November 15, 2009 and interim and annual periods thereafter. The Company will adopt ASC 810 on January 1, 2010 and such adoption will not have a material impact on financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.