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Exhibit 99.1

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Assured Guaranty Corp. ("AGC") Financial Supplement

Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2009

Table of Contents
  Page

Selected Financial Highlights

  1

Consolidated Balance Sheets

  2

Capital and Claims Paying Resources

  3

Consolidated Income Statements

  4

Detailed Income Statements (Non-GAAP)

  5

New Business Production

  6

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer

  7

Financial Guaranty Profile

  8-10

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile

  11-13

U.S. RMBS Profile

  14-15

U.S. Direct CMBS Profile

  16

Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

  17

Consumer Receivables Profile

  18

Credit Derivative Exposure Profile

  19

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Default Swaps

  20

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

  21

50 Largest U.S Structured Finance Exposures

  22

10 Largest Healthcare and Non-U.S. Exposures

  23

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

  24

Below Investment Grade Exposures

  25-26

Surveillance Categories

  27

Loss and LAE Reserves

  28

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses

  29

Investment Portfolio

  30

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

  31

Glossary

  32

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  33

This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty" or the "Company") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, Assured Guaranty's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2009, Assured Guaranty's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended June 30, 2009 and Assured Guaranty's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended September 30, 2009.

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

 
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. The Company's forward looking statements could be affected by many events, including (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade of the Company or its affiliates and/or of transactions insured by the Company or its affiliates, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, the Company's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses affecting the adequacy of the Company's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of the Company's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) decreased demand or increased competition; (7) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (8) changes in applicable laws or regulation, including insurance and tax laws; (9) other governmental actions; (10) difficulties with the execution of the Company's business strategy; (11) contract cancellations; (12) the Company's dependence on customers; (13) loss of key personnel; (14) adverse technological developments; (15) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (16) natural or man-made catastrophes; (17) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (18) management's response to these factors; and (19) other risk factors identified in Assured's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 


Assured Guaranty Corp.

Selected Financial Highlights

(dollars in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended
September 30,
   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
3Q-08
  % Change
versus
YTD 2008
 
 
  2009   2008   2009   2008  

Operating income reconciliation:

                                     
 

Operating (loss) incomeb

  $ (121.3 ) $ 3.2     NM   $ (90.2 ) $ 27.2     NM  
 

Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

    0.4     (4.4 )   NM     4.0     (2.9 )   NM  
 

Plus: Non-credit impairments unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    36.9     (55.6 )   NM     (106.5 )   203.2     NM  
 

Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    (0.8 )   4.5     NM     (27.4 )   15.8     NM  
 

Plus: Goodwill impairment

    (85.4 )   -     NM     (85.4 )   -     NM  
                               
 

Net (loss) income

  $ (170.2 ) $ (52.2 )   226 % $ (305.5 ) $ 243.3     NM  
                               
 

Earned premiums from refundings

  $ 3.2   $ 5.7     (44 )% $ 47.4   $ 7.2     558 %
 

Operating income effect

  $ 1.3   $ 2.2     (41 )% $ 31.5   $ 2.8     NM  

Adjusted book value reconciliation:

 
09/30/09
 
  12/31/08                           
 

Book value (GAAP shareholder's equity)1

  $ 792.9   $ 1,046.0     (24 )%                  
 

Less: Unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    (321.9 )   (215.4 )   49 %                  
 

Less: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    5.8     33.2     (83 )%                  
 

Less: Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    48.4     (6.9 )   NM                    
                                   
 

Operating shareholder's equity

  $ 1,060.6   $ 1,235.1     (14 )%                  
 

Less: Deferred acquisition costs, after tax

    29.1     51.3     (43 )%                  
 

Plus: Net present value of estimated future credit derivative installment premiums, after taxe

    289.3     367.6     (21 )%                  
 

Plus: Unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss, after tax2

    636.7     326.0     95 %                  
 

Plus: Unearned premium reserve on credit derivatives, after tax3

    9.3     10.6     (12 )%                  
                                   
 

Adjusted book valued

  $ 1,966.8   $ 1,888.0     4 %                  
                                   

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations:

                                     
 

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    (81.8 )%   (17.4 )%         (45.3 )%   32.2 %      
 

Operating ROEc

    (41.6 )%   1.0 %         (10.5 )%   3.0 %      

1. The Company adopted ASC 944-20, "Financial Services - Insurance" (FAS No. 163, "Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts") effective January 1, 2009. The adoption of this accounting rule had an effect of $9.8 million on January 1, 2009 book value.

2. Unearned premium reserve (UPR) less ceded unearned premiums, after tax.

3. Unearned revenue less ceded unearned premiums on credit derivatives, after tax.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b) and operating ROE (c), adjusted book value (d), and net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (e)].

NM = Not meaningful

Page 1



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(dollars in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  September 30,
2009
  December 31,
2008
 

Assets

             
 

Fixed maturity securities, at fair value

  $ 1,746.8   $ 1,511.3  
 

Short-term investments, at cost which approximates fair value

    226.8     110.0  
           
 

Total investments

    1,973.6     1,621.3  
 

Cash

   
4.9
   
7.8
 
 

Premiums receivable, net1

    402.8     12.4  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve1

    428.1     206.5  
 

Deferred acquisition costs1

    44.9     79.0  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses1

    56.6     22.0  
 

Credit derivative assets

    229.3     139.5  
 

Goodwill

    -     85.4  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    8.9     51.1  
 

Deferred tax asset1

    150.4     110.3  
 

Salvage recoverable1

    166.0     70.9  
 

Other assets

    107.7     48.2  
           

Total assets

  $ 3,573.2   $ 2,454.5  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity

             

Liabilities

             
 

Unearned premium reserves1

  $ 1,420.2   $ 708.0  
 

Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses1

    182.2     133.7  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    905.3     481.0  
 

Funds held under reinsurance contracts

    5.5     5.5  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net1

    204.6     23.7  
 

Other liabilities

    62.5     56.5  
           

Total liabilities

    2,780.3     1,408.4  

Shareholder's equity

             
 

Common stock

    15.0     15.0  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    480.4     480.4  
 

Retained earnings1,2

    254.8     561.6  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)2

    42.7     (10.9 )
           

Total shareholder's equity

    792.9     1,046.0  
           

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

  $ 3,573.2   $ 2,454.5  
           

1. The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.

2. The Company adopted ASC 320-10-65-1, "Investments - Debt and Equity Securities" (FSP No. FAS 115-2 and FAS 124-2, "Recognition and Presentation of Other-Than-Temporary Impairments") effective April 1, 2009. The adoption of this accounting rule increased retained earnings and decreased accumulated other comprhansive income (loss) by $5.8 million.

Page 2



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Capital and Claims Paying Resources

(dollars in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  September 30,
2009
  December 31,
2008
 

Claims paying resources

             
 

Policyholders' surplus

  $ 179   $ 378  
 

Contingency reserve

    772     712  
           
   

Qualified statutory capital

    951     1,090  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    838     570  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    209     15  
           
   

Total policyholders' surplus & reserves

    1,998     1,675  
 

Present value of installment premiume,1

    639     566  
 

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200  
           
   

Total claims paying resources

  $ 2,837   $ 2,441  
           
 

Net debt service outstanding2

  $ 183,396   $ 164,283  
 

Gross debt service outstanding

    255,387     225,152  
 

Net par insured outstanding2

   
128,854
   
111,025
 
 

Gross par outstanding

    178,432     152,801  
 

Net debt service written (period ended)

   
47,528
   
53,989
 
 

Gross debt service written (period ended)

    71,074     76,128  
 

Net par written (period ended)

   
26,712
   
33,680
 
 

Gross par written (period ended)

    40,142     47,567  
 

Ratios:

             
   

Net par insured to statutory capital

    135:1     102:1  
   

Capital ratio3

    193:1     151:1  
   

Financial resources ratio4

    65:1     67:1  

1. Includes financial guaranty and credit derivatives.

2. Statutory basis.

3. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

4. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (e)].

Page 3



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated Income Statements

(dollars in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended September 30,    
  Nine Months Ended September 30,    
 
 
  % Change
versus
3Q-08
  % Change
versus
YTD 2008
 
 
  2009   2008   2009   2008  

Revenues

                                     
 

Net earned premiums1:

                                     
   

Scheduled net earned direct premiums

  $ 12.0   $ 18.8     (36 )% $ 51.8   $ 44.2     17 %
   

Scheduled net earned reinsurance premiums

    (1.8 )   3.3     (155 )%   8.6     11.4     (25 )%
   

Refundings

    3.2     5.7     (44 )%   47.4     7.2     NM  
                               
 

Total net earned premiums

    13.4     27.7     (52 )%   107.8     62.8     72 %
 

Net investment income

   
19.2
   
19.9
   
(4

)%
 
58.3
   
53.4
   
9

%
 

Realized gains on credit derivatives2

    22.4     22.4     0 %   67.4     67.3     0 %
 

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

    (141.9 )   (6.2 )   NM     (169.2 )   (10.1 )   NM  
 

Other Income

    3.5     0.2     NM     4.6     0.4     NM  
                               
 

Total revenues

    (83.4 )   64.0     NM     68.9     173.8     NM  

Expenses

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses1

    77.8     45.3     72 %   145.6     92.3     58 %
 

Profit commission expense

    -     -     NM     0.8     0.4     100 %
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs1

    0.1     5.3     (98 )%   2.9     12.1     (76 )%
 

Other operating expenses

    16.8     13.3     26 %   61.5     40.7     51 %
 

Interest and related expenses

    1.3     1.5     (13 )%   4.6     4.0     15 %
                               
 

Total expenses

    96.0     65.4     47 %   215.4     149.5     44 %
                               
 

Operating (loss) income before (benefit) provision for income taxes

    (179.4 )   (1.4 )   NM     (146.5 )   24.3     NM  
 

Total (benefit) provision for income taxes

   
(58.1

)
 
(4.6

)
 
NM
   
(56.3

)
 
(2.9

)
 
NM
 
                               
 

Operating (loss) incomeb

   
(121.3

)
 
3.2
   
NM
   
(90.2

)
 
27.2
   
NM
 
 

Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

   
0.4
   
(4.4

)
 
NM
   
4.0
   
(2.9

)
 
NM
 
 

Plus: Non-credit impairments unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    36.9     (55.6 )   NM     (106.5 )   203.2     NM  
 

Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    (0.8 )   4.5     NM     (27.4 )   15.8     NM  
 

Plus: Goodwill impairment

    (85.4 )   -     NM     (85.4 )   -     NM  
                               
 

Net (loss) income

  $ (170.2 ) $ (52.2 )   226 % $ (305.5 ) $ 243.3     NM  
                               

1. The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.

2. Includes revenue earned on credit derivatives.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b)].

NM = Not meaningful

Page 4



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Detailed Income Statement (Non-GAAP)

(dollars in millions)

 
  3Q-09   3Q-08   Nine Months
2009
  Nine Months
2008
 

Income statement:

                         

Net earned premiums1:

                         
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

                         
   

Public finance - U.S.

  $ (0.7 ) $ 10.2   $ (14.1 ) $ 23.1  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    0.8     0.8     43.6     2.4  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    9.2     10.1     28.5     27.3  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    0.9     0.9     2.4     2.8  
                   
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    10.2     22.0     60.4     55.6  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings

    3.2     5.7     47.4     7.2  
                   

Total net earned premiums

    13.4     27.7     107.8     62.8  

Realized gains on credit derivatives2:

                         
 

Net credit derivative premiums earned

    20.4     20.3     61.1     60.7  
 

Ceding commissions income (expense), net

    2.0     2.1     6.3     6.6  
                   

Total realized gains on credit derivatives2

    22.4     22.4     67.4     67.3  

Other income

    3.7     -     3.7     -  
                   

Total revenues

    39.5     50.1     178.9     130.1  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses1:

                         
 

Case

    77.8     77.8     145.6     93.0  
 

Portfolio

    -     (32.5 )   -     (0.7 )
                   
   

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses - financial guaranty

    77.8     45.3     145.6     92.3  
   

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

    141.9     6.2     169.2     10.1  
                   

Total incurred losses

    219.7     51.5     314.8     102.4  

Profit commission expense

    -     -     0.8     0.4  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs1

    0.1     5.3     2.9     12.1  

Operating expenses

    13.8     13.3     42.4     40.7  
                   
 

Total expenses

  $ 233.6   $ 70.1   $ 360.9   $ 155.6  

Underwriting (loss) gain

 
$

(194.1

)

$

(20.0

)

$

(182.0

)

$

(25.5

)
                   

Expense ratiof

   
35.2

%
 
34.4

%
 
23.6

%
 
37.7

%

1. The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.

2. Includes revenue earned on credit derivatives.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [expense ratio (f)].

Page 5



Assured Guaranty Corp.

New Business Production

(dollars in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended
September 30,
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
 
  2009   2008   2009   2008  

Consolidated new business analysis:

                         
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")a

                         
   

Public finance - U.S.

  $ 141.9   $ 67.7   $ 487.2   $ 374.3  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    -     -     1.8     9.0  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    1.9     14.5     16.6     137.7  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -     -     -     57.8  
                   
 

Total PVPa

    143.8     82.2     505.6     578.8  
   

Less: PVPa of credit derivatives

    -     30.3     2.4     143.8  
                   
 

PVPa of financial guaranty insurance

    143.8     51.9     503.2     435.0  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVPa

    (0.2 )   20.8     33.3     70.0  
                   
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront GWP

    144.0     31.1     469.9     365.0  
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP1

    (14.3 )   41.6     35.8     51.3  
                   
 

Total financial guaranty GWP

    129.7     72.7     505.7     416.3  
 

Plus: Other segment GWP

    -     -     -     0.2  
                   
 

Total GWP

  $ 129.7   $ 72.7   $ 505.7   $ 416.5  
                   

 

 
  Gross Par Written   Gross Par Written  
 
  3Q-09   3Q-08   Nine Months
2009
  Nine Months
2008
 

Sector:

                         

Public Finance

                         

United States:

                         
 

Tax backed

  $ 2,703   $ 1,557   $ 14,197   $ 7,055  
 

General obligation

    2,214     1,069     12,975     4,956  
 

Municipal utilities

    1,020     837     4,761     4,599  
 

Higher education

    266     317     2,000     1,539  
 

Healthcare

    294     62     1,371     2,986  
 

Transportation

    879     435     2,446     2,887  
 

Housing

    -     -     -     -  
 

Investor-owned utilities

    -     -     -     80  
 

Infrastructure finance

    56     547     856     547  
 

Other public finance

    -     750     247     1,309  
                   
   

Total public finance - U.S.

  $ 7,432   $ 5,574   $ 38,853   $ 25,958  

Non-U.S.:

                         
 

Infrastructure finance

    -     -     64     -  
 

Regulated utilities

    -     -     121     450  
 

Other public finance

    -     -     130     -  
                   
   

Total public finance - non-U.S.

  $ -   $ -   $ 316   $ 450  
                   

Total public finance

  $ 7,432   $ 5,574   $ 39,169   $ 26,407  
                   

Structured Finance

                         

United States:

                         

Consumer receivables

  $ 600   $ 350   $ 810   $ 1,825  

Commercial receivables

    -     320     164     693  

Pooled corporate obligations

    -     -     -     2,659  

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    -     -     -     3,034  

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    -     -     -     -  

Insurance securitizations

    -     -     -     -  

Structured credit

    -     1,250     -     1,850  

Other structured finance

    -     -     -     -  
                   
   

Total structured finance - U.S.

  $ 600   $ 1,920   $ 974   $ 10,059  

Non-U.S.:

                         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    -     -     -     618  
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    -     -     -     3,096  
 

Structured credit

    -     -     -     -  
 

Commercial receivables

    -     -     -     -  
 

Insurance securitizations

    -     -     -     -  
 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    -     -     -     -  
 

Other structured finance

    -     -     -     250  
                   
   

Total structured finance - non-U.S.

  $ -   $ -   $ -   $ 3,964  
                   

Total structured finance

  $ 600   $ 1,920   $ 974   $ 14,023  
                   

Total exposures

 
$

8,032
 
$

7,494
 
$

40,142
 
$

40,430
 
                   

1. 2009 amounts include the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments as well as the estimated term for future installments compared to the discount rate used for ASC 944-20.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a)].

NM = Not meaningful

Page 6



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer

(dollars in millions)

Reinsurer
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
 

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd.

  $ 3,237  

MBIA Insurance Corporation

    273  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

    180  

Ambac Assurance Corporation

    109  

Other

    43  
       
 

Total

  $ 3,842  
       

Page 7



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Historical Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  As of September 30,
 
  2009
 
  Net Par
Outstanding

  Avg. Rating1
 
   

Sector:

         

Public Finance

         

United States:

         
 

General obligation

  $ 23,581   A
 

Tax backed

    11,941   A
 

Municipal utilities

    9,342   A-
 

Transportation

    7,080   A
 

Healthcare

    5,486   A
 

Higher education

    3,228   A
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,073   BBB
 

Investor-owned utilities

    788   BBB+
 

Housing

    415   AA+
 

Other public finance

    1,852   A
     
   

Total public finance - U.S.

  $ 64,786   A

Non-U.S.:

         
 

Pooled infrastructure

  $ 2,511   AAA
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,354   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    1,095   BBB+
 

Other public finance

    1,017   AA-
     
   

Total public finance - non-U.S.

  $ 5,977   AA-
     

Total public finance

  $ 70,763   A
     

Structured Finance

         

United States:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 23,662   AA+
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    11,596   BBB-
 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    5,810   AAA
 

Consumer receivables

    2,763   AAA
 

Structured credit

    1,478   A
 

Commercial receivables

    1,027   BBB+
 

Insurance securitizations

    255   A
 

Other structured finance

    248   BBB-
     
   

Total structured finance - U.S.

  $ 46,839   AA-

Non-U.S.:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 6,649   AAA
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    2,483   AAA
 

Commercial receivables

    749   A-
 

Structured credit

    542   BBB
 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    375   AAA
 

Insurance securitizations

    286   D
 

Other structured finance

    168   AAA
     
   

Total structured finance - non-U.S.

  $ 11,252   AA
     

Total structured finance

  $ 58,091   AA-
     

Total exposures

  $ 128,854   A+
     

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 8


Assured Guaranty Corp.

Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  As of September 30, 2009  
 
  Public Finance - U.S.   Public Finance - non-U.S.   Structured Finance - U.S.   Structured Finance - non-U.S.   Consolidated  
 
  Net Par Outstanding
  %
  Net Par Outstanding
  %
  Net Par Outstanding
  %
  Net Par Outstanding
  %
  Net Par Outstanding
  %
 
 
     

Ratings1:

                                                             

Super senior

  $ -     -   $ 1,593     26.6 % $ 10,715     22.9 % $ 4,727     42.0 % $ 17,035     13.2 %

AAA

    665     1.0 %   918     15.4 %   15,064     32.2 %   3,696     32.9 %   20,343     15.8 %

AA

    12,758     19.7 %   846     14.2 %   4,328     9.2 %   318     2.8 %   18,250     14.2 %

A

    40,696     62.8 %   862     14.4 %   3,282     7.0 %   533     4.7 %   45,373     35.2 %

BBB

    10,041     15.5 %   1,655     27.7 %   6,978     14.9 %   1,699     15.1 %   20,373     15.8 %

Below investment grade ("BIG")

    626     1.0 %   103     1.7 %   6,472     13.8 %   279     2.5 %   7,480     5.8 %
       
 

Total exposures

  $ 64,786     100.0 % $ 5,977     100.0 % $ 46,839     100.0 % $ 11,252     100.0 % $ 128,854     100.0 %
       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 9


Assured Guaranty Corp.

Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of September 30, 2009

 
  Net Par Outstanding   % of Total  

U.S.:

             

California

  $ 7,586     5.9 %

Texas

    6,240     4.8 %

New York

    4,864     3.8 %

Florida

    4,598     3.6 %

Pennsylvania

    4,264     3.3 %

Illinois

    3,792     2.9 %

New Jersey

    2,846     2.2 %

Puerto Rico

    1,979     1.5 %

Michigan

    1,906     1.5 %

Alabama

    1,677     1.3 %

Other states

    25,034     19.4 %

Mortgage and structured (multiple states)

    46,839     36.4 %
           
 

Total U.S.

  $ 111,625     86.6 %
           

Non-U.S.:

             

United Kingdom

  $ 8,393     6.5 %

Australia

    1,370     1.1 %

Germany

    1,061     0.8 %

Other

    6,405     5.0 %
           
 

Total non-U.S.

  $ 17,229     13.4 %
           

Total net par outstanding

  $ 128,854     100.0 %
           

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 10


Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") Profile (1 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating1 and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2009

 
  Prime First
Lien
  Closed End
Seconds
  HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 

Ratings1:

                                           

Super senior

  $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ 409   $ 409  

AAA

    5     0     10     27     1     676     720  

AA

    35     39     6     196     16     867     1,159  

A

    37     1     2     779     39     769     1,628  

BBB

    75     -     20     1,193     199     1,114     2,602  

Below investment grade

    512     248     667     2,081     928     644     5,079  
                               
 

Total exposures

  $ 663   $ 289   $ 705   $ 4,275   $ 1,184   $ 4,479   $ 11,596  
                               

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2009

 
  Prime First
Lien
  Closed End
Seconds
  HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 

Year insured:

                                           

2004 and prior

  $ 57   $ 1   $ 38   $ 46   $ 48   $ 281   $ 474  

2005

    120     -     266     274     28     48     736  

2006

    -     -     -     -     39     3,349     3,388  

2007

    486     288     401     2,234     957     801     5,167  

2008

    -     -     -     1,721     112     -     1,833  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                               
 

Total exposures

  $ 663   $ 289   $ 705   $ 4,275   $ 1,184   $ 4,479   $ 11,596  
                               

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 11


Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 136   $ 51   $ 173   $ 86   $ 28   $ 474  
 

2005

    -     60     11     119     114     431     736  
 

2006

    409     513     865     654     840     107     3,388  
 

2007

    -     11     47     11     586     4,512     5,167  
 

2008

    -     -     184     671     977     -     1,833  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                                 
 

  $ 409   $ 720   $ 1,159   $ 1,628   $ 2,602   $ 5,079   $ 11,596  
                                 
 

% of total

    3.5 %   6.2 %   10.0 %   14.0 %   22.4 %   43.8 %   100.0 %

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating1 and Year Issued as of September 30, 2009

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 136   $ 51   $ 173   $ 86   $ 28   $ 474  
 

2005

    409     573     876     773     954     499     4,085  
 

2006

    -     9     184     11     223     253     681  
 

2007

    -     1     47     671     1,340     4,298     6,357  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                                 
 

  $ 409   $ 720   $ 1,159   $ 1,628   $ 2,602   $ 5,079   $ 11,596  
                                 
 

% of total

    3.5 %   6.2 %   10.0 %   14.0 %   22.4 %   43.8 %   100.0 %

Distribution of U.S. Home Equity Line of Credit ("HELOC") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 10   $ 6   $ 2   $ 20   $ 0   $ 38  
 

2005

    -     -     -     -     -     266     266  
 

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2007

    -     -     -     -     -     401     401  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                                 
 

  $ -   $ 10   $ 6   $ 2   $ 20   $ 667   $ 705  
                                 
 

% of total

    0.0 %   1.4 %   0.8 %   0.3 %   2.9 %   94.6 %   100.0 %

Distribution of U.S. Closed End Seconds ("CES") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 0   $ -   $ 1   $ -   $ -   $ 1  
 

2005

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2007

    -     -     39     -     -     248     288  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                                 
 

  $ -   $ 0   $ 39   $ 1   $ -   $ 248   $ 289  
                                 
 

% of total

    0.0 %   0.1 %   13.6 %   0.4 %   0.0 %   85.9 %   100.0 %

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 12


Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Alternative-A ("Alt-A") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 14   $ -   $ 8   $ 14   $ 11   $ 46  
 

2005

    -     12     11     100     11     140     274  
 

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2007

    -     -     -     -     303     1,930     2,234  
 

2008

    -     -     184     671     865     -     1,721  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                                 
 

  $ -   $ 27   $ 196   $ 779   $ 1,193   $ 2,081   $ 4,275  
                                 
 

% of total

    0.0 %   0.6 %   4.6 %   18.2 %   27.9 %   48.7 %   100.0 %

Distribution of U.S. Alt-A Option Adjustable rate Mortgage ("ARM") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ -   $ 9   $ 39   $ -   $ -   $ 48  
 

2005

    -     -     -     -     28     -     28  
 

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     39     39  
 

2007

    -     1     7     -     59     889     957  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     112     -     112  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                                 
 

  $ -   $ 1   $ 16   $ 39   $ 199   $ 928   $ 1,184  
                                 
 

% of total

    0.0 %   0.1 %   1.4 %   3.3 %   16.8 %   78.3 %   100.0 %

Distribution of U.S. Subprime First Lien RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 106   $ 2   $ 104   $ 51   $ 18   $ 281  
 

2005

    -     48     -     -     -     -     48  
 

2006

    409     513     865     654     840     68     3,349  
 

2007

    -     9     -     11     223     558     801  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                                 
 

  $ 409   $ 676   $ 867   $ 769   $ 1,114   $ 644   $ 4,479  
                                 
 

% of total

    9.1 %   15.1 %   19.4 %   17.2 %   24.9 %   14.4 %   100.0 %

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 13


Assured Guaranty Corp.

U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 20091

U.S. Prime First Lien

  Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor2   Subordination3   Cumulative
Losses4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 120     65.9 %   5.0 %   0.3 %   5.1 %   6  
 

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2007

    486     79.1 %   11.1 %   0.9 %   9.5 %   1  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                             
 

  $ 606     76.5 %   9.9 %   0.8 %   8.6 %   7  
                             

U.S. CES

  Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor2   Subordination3   Cumulative
Losses4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2007

  $ 288     47.6 %   13.4 %   42.5 %   15.4 %   5  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                             
 

  $ 288     47.6 %   13.4 %   42.5 %   15.4 %   5  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor2   Subordination3   Cumulative
Losses4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 266     27.2 %   0.0 %   14.9 %   15.1 %   2  
 

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2007

    401     53.3 %   0.0 %   24.8 %   9.4 %   2  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                             
 

  $ 667     42.9 %   0.0 %   20.8 %   11.6 %   4  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor2   Subordination3   Cumulative
Losses4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 274     54.6 %   11.8 %   1.6 %   13.2 %   13  
 

2006

    218     68.4 %   43.2 %   6.5 %   34.2 %   2  
 

2007

    3,736     74.8 %   22.8 %   4.0 %   32.2 %   11  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                             
 

  $ 4,229     73.2 %   23.1 %   4.0 %   31.1 %   26  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 14


Assured Guaranty Corp.

U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 20091

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor2   Subordination3   Cumulative
Losses4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 28     29.8 %   26.7 %   1.9 %   24.6 %   1  
 

2006

    39     50.4 %   17.8 %   2.6 %   30.7 %   1  
 

2007

    1,068     74.6 %   19.4 %   3.8 %   32.5 %   7  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                             
 

  $ 1,135     72.6 %   19.6 %   3.7 %   32.2 %   9  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor2   Subordination3   Cumulative
Losses4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 3,397     29.6 %   61.3 %   10.1 %   44.0 %   3  
 

2006

    424     44.3 %   30.3 %   13.2 %   49.3 %   2  
 

2007

    377     46.1 %   37.7 %   13.7 %   50.4 %   2  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                             
 

  $ 4,198     32.6 %   56.0 %   10.7 %   45.1 %   7  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 15


Assured Guaranty Guaranty Corp.

U.S. Direct CMBS Profile

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 20091

U.S. Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS")

  Year issued:
  Net Par Outstanding   Pool Factor2   Subordination3   Cumulative Losses4   60+ Day Delinquencies5   Number of Transactions  
 

2005

  $ 2,742     94.6 %   29.2 %   0.1 %   2.1 %   159  
 

2006

    1,161     97.8 %   30.9 %   0.0 %   2.7 %   58  
 

2007

    427     86.5 %   21.7 %   0.1 %   3.6 %   13  
 

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                             
 

  $ 4,330     94.7 %   28.4 %   0.1 %   2.4 %   230  
                             

U.S. Other CMBS7

   
  Net Par Outstanding   % of Total   Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement6   Avg. Current Enhancement6    
   
 
 

Commercial Real Estate

  $ 622     49.7 %   49.2 %   48.7 %            
 

CDO of CMBS8

    630     50.3 %   29.1 %   42.4 %            
                                 
 

  $ 1,252     100.0 %   39.1 %   45.6 %            
                                 

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

6. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

7. Represents U.S. other CMBS not included in the table above.

8. Relates to vintages 2003 and prior.

Page 16


Assured Guaranty Corp.

Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations as of September 30, 2009

  Ratings1:
  Net Par Outstanding   % of Total   Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement2   Avg. Current Enhancement2    
 

Super Senior

  $ 7,782     26.1 %   38.2 %   31.8 %  
 

AAA

    14,638     49.1 %   33.6 %   31.3 %  
 

AA

    2,432     8.2 %   35.0 %   32.9 %  
 

A

    537     1.8 %   46.9 %   37.7 %  
 

BBB

    3,128     10.5 %   45.2 %   37.2 %  
 

Below investment grade

    1,310     4.3 %   44.4 %   26.9 %  
                       
   

Total exposures

  $ 29,827     100.0 %   36.8 %   32.1 %  
                       

Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

  Year insured:
  Net Par Outstanding   % of Total   Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement2   Avg. Current Enhancement2    
 

2004 and prior

  $ 1,018     3.4 %   28.4 %   36.1 %  
 

2005

    5,160     17.3 %   36.7 %   29.1 %  
 

2006

    9,003     30.2 %   36.6 %   28.6 %  
 

2007

    12,510     41.9 %   38.0 %   36.0 %  
 

2008

    2,136     7.2 %   35.5 %   29.3 %  
 

2009

    -     -     -     -    
                       
 

  $ 29,827     100.0 %   36.8 %   32.1 %  
                       

Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of September 30, 2009

  Asset class:
  Net Par Outstanding   % of Total   Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement2   Avg. Current Enhancement2   Avg. Rating1
 

CLOs/CBOs3

  $ 19,401     65.0 %   34.3 %   28.2 % AAA
 

Market value CDOs4 of corporates

    3,390     11.4 %   37.9 %   42.3 % AAA
 

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

    2,833     9.5 %   46.9 %   36.6 % BBB+
 

Trust preferred - US mortgage and REITs5

    1,885     6.3 %   50.1 %   42.7 % BB+
 

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporate

    1,659     5.6 %   30.0 %   43.5 % Super Senior
 

Trust preferred - European mortgage and REITs

    659     2.2 %   37.5 %   31.9 % BBB-
                       
 

  $ 29,827     100.0 %   36.8 %   32.1 % AA+
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

3. CBOs (collateralized bond obligations) /CLOs (collateralized loan obligations) are largely non-investment grade/high yield collateral.

4. CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.

5. REITs are real estate investment trusts.

Page 17



Assured Guaranty Corp.


Consumer Receivables Profile


(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Consolidated U.S. Consumer Receivables by Year Issued as of September 30, 2009

  Year issued:
  Credit Cards   Student
Loans
  Auto   Manufactured
Housing
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

2004 and prior

  $ 35   $ 21   $ 3   $ 6   $ 65  
 

2005

    720     -     3     -     723  
 

2006

    -     320     -     -     320  
 

2007

    400     708     90     -     1,198  
 

2008

    -     -     99     -     99  
 

2009

    200     158     -     -     358  
                         
 

  $ 1,355   $ 1,207   $ 195   $ 6   $ 2,763  
                         

Distribution of Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -  
 

2005

    -     3     -     -     -     -     3  
 

2006

    -     320     -     -     -     -     320  
 

2007

    -     708     -     -     90     -     798  
 

2008

    720     -     -     99     -     -     819  
 

2009

    600     -     -     158     -     -     758  
                                 
 

  $ 1,320   $ 1,031   $ -   $ 257   $ 90   $ -   $ 2,698  
                                 
 

% of total

   
48.9

%
 
38.2

%
 
0.0

%
 
9.5

%
 
3.3

%
 
0.0

%
 
100.0

%

Distribution of Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating1 and Year Issued as of September 30, 2009

Year issued:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -  

2005

    720     3     -     -     -     -     723  

2006

    -     320     -     -     -     -     320  

2007

    400     708     -     -     90     -     1,198  

2008

    -     -     -     99     -     -     99  

2009

    200     -     -     158     -     -     358  
                               

  $ 1,320   $ 1,031   $ -   $ 257   $ 90   $ -   $ 2,698  
                               

% of total

    48.9 %   38.2 %   0.0 %   9.5 %   3.3 %   0.0 %   100.0 %

Distribution of Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables by Asset Class as of September 30, 2009

  Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Average
Rating1
  Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement2
  Avg. Current
Enhancement2
 
 

Student loans

  $ 1,186     44.0 % AAA     6.4 %   7.4 %
 

Credit cards

    1,320     48.9 % AAA     29.3 %   29.3 %
 

Auto

    192     7.1 % BBB+     20.4 %   32.6 %
                         
 

  $ 2,698     100.0 % AAA     18.6 %   19.9 %
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

Page 18



Assured Guaranty Corp.


Credit Derivative Exposure Profile


(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Credit Derivative Exposure by Rating

   
  September 30, 2009  
   
  Net Par
Outstanding

  % of Total
 
   
     
 

Ratings1:

             
 

Super senior

  $ 2,566     5.3 %
 

AAA

    3,205     6.6 %
 

AA

    18,045     37.1 %
 

A

    6,264     12.9 %
 

BBB

    4,402     9.1 %
 

Below investment grade

    14,122     29.1 %
         
   

Total exposures

  $ 48,604     100.0 %
         

Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Sector and Average Rating

   
  September 30, 2009
  Sector:
  Net Par Outstanding
  Average
Rating1

   
   
 

Public Finance

         
 

United States:

         
   

Municipal utilities

  $ 35   A+
   

Healthcare

    15   A
       
     

Total public finance - U.S.

  $ 50   A+
 

Non-U.S.:

         
   

Pooled infrastructure

  $ 2,511   AAA
   

Infrastructure finance

    509   BBB
   

Regulated utilities

    329   BBB+
   

Other public finance

    24   BBB
       
     

Total public finance - non-U.S.

  $ 3,373   AA+
       
 

Total public finance

  $ 3,423   AA+
       
 

Structured Finance

         
 

United States:

         
   

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 20,494   AA+
   

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    8,854   BBB
   

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    5,559   AAA
   

Commercial receivables

    498   BBB+
   

Consumer receivables

    462   AAA
   

Structured credit

    259   BBB-
   

Insurance securitizations

    75   BBB
   

Other structured finance

    95   BBB
       
     

Total structured finance - U.S.

  $ 36,296   AA-
       
 

Non-U.S.:

         
   

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 5,971   AAA
   

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    2,145   AAA
   

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    339   AAA
   

Structured credit

    129   BBB
   

Commercial receivables

    108   A
   

Insurance securitizations

    30   D
   

Other structured finance

    163   AAA
       
     

Total structured finance - non-U.S.

  $ 8,885   AAA
       
 

Total structured finance

  $ 45,181   AA
       
 

Total exposure

  $ 48,604   AA
       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 19


Assured Guaranty Corp.

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives as of September 30, 2009

Asset Type:
  Net Par Outstanding (in billions)   Wtd. Avg. Credit Rating   3Q-09 Unrealized Gain (Loss) (in millions)   YTD 3Q-09 Unrealized Gain (Loss) (in millions)  
 

Pooled corporates1:

                       
 

High yield corporates

  $ 16.9   AAA   $ 0.9   $ (60.3 )
 

Trust preferred

    4.7   BBB-     (25.5 )   (25.2 )
 

Market value CDOs of corporates

    3.1   AAA     (1.9 )   (8.0 )
 

Investment grade corporates

    1.7   AAA     0.6     3.5  
 

CDO of CDOs (corporate)

    -   -     5.0     4.9  
                   
   

Total pooled corporate obligations

    26.4   AA     (20.9 )   (85.1 )
 

U.S. RMBS2:

                       
 

Alt-A first lien

    4.5   BB+     (38.6 )   (239.0 )
 

Subprime lien

    4.0   A+     0.7     (2.1 )
 

Prime first lien

    2.5   A+     (19.9 )   (78.7 )
                   
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    11.0   A-     (57.8 )   (319.8 )
 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities3

   
6.1
 

AAA

   
-
   
(26.2

)
 

Other4

    5.1   AA-     (5.8 )   98.5  
                   
   

Total

  $ 48.6   AA   $ (84.5 ) $ (332.6 )
                   

1. Corporate collateralized loan obligations, market value CDOs, and trust preferred securities include all U.S. structured finance pooled corporate obligations and international pooled corporate obligations.

2. Residential mortgage-backed securities is comprised of prime and subprime U.S. mortgage-backed and home equity securities and residential international mortgage-backed and home equity securities.

3. Commercial mortgage-backed securities is comprised of commercial U.S. structured finance and commercial international mortgage backed securities.

4. Other includes all other U.S. and international asset classes, such as commercial receivables and international infrastructure and pooled infrastructure securities.

Page 20



Assured Guaranty Corp.

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1

California (State of)

  $ 941   A

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    785   BBB-

New Jersey (State of)

    750   AA-

North Texas Tollway Authority

    727   A-

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    685   A+

Miami-Dade County School Board

    642   A

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    616   BBB+

Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission

    603   A+

Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority

    520   A+

New York (State of)

    509   AA-

Denver Colorado Airport

    506   A+

Puerto Rico Highway & Transportation Authority

    504   BBB

New York (City of) New York

    504   AA-

San Francisco Airports Commission

    450   A

Piedmont Municipal Power Authority - South Carolina

    442   BBB

Michigan (State of)

    407   A+

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    365   A+

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    345   A

Chicago-O'Hare Airport

    333   A

Dormitory Authority of the State of New York - School District

    316   A

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    311   A+

Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority - Sales Tax

    308   AA

Indianapolis Indiana Waterworks Project

    304   A+

Massachusetts Educational Finance Authority 2008-H

    300   AA

Miami-Dade (County of) Florida

    298   A+

Puerto Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Authority

    288   BBB-

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    277   AA

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    276   AA-

Long Island Power Authority

    269   A-

American Municipal Power Ohio, Inc.

    269   A

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    267   D

Massachusetts Turnpike Authority

    266   A

New Jersey Higher Education Student Assistance Authority 2008-A

    262   A

Chicago Illinois Transit Authority

    256   A+

Metro Washington Airports Authority - Dulles Toll Road

    254   BBB+

Louisville Arena Authority Inc.

    245   BBB-

Dallas (City of) Texas Civic Center Convention Complex

    244   A

North Carolina Eastern Municipal Power Agency

    243   BBB

Florida (State of) Department of Environmental Protection Save Our Coast

    239   A+

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    238   AA-

Virtua Health

    221   A

Orange (County of) Florida Schools

    217   AA-

Intermountain Power Authority - Utah

    216   A+

Nassau (County of) New York

    215   A

District of Columbia Water and Sewer Authority

    209   A+

Energy Northwest

    205   AA-

North Carolina Turnpike Authority - Triangle Expressway

    202   BBB-

Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority Power

    201   A-

Iowa Health System

    199   A+

Yankee Stadium LLC (New York City Industrial Development Authority)

    198   BBB-
         
 

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

  $ 18,447    
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 21



Assured Guaranty Corp.

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1   Current Credit
Enhancement %
 

Discover Card Master Trust I Series A

  $ 720   AAA     12.5 %

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2007-2

    573   CCC     7.9 %

Fortress Credit Investments I Ltd

    529   AAA     33.6 %

Anchorage Crossover Credit Finance Ltd

    504   AAA     35.5 %

Ares Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund Ltd

    496   AAA     63.8 %

280 Funding I

    495   AAA     18.4 %

MortgageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2007-2

    486   BB     11.1 %

Private RMBS Re-Remic

    449   BBB     25.4 %

Private RMBS Re-Remic

    441   B     27.7 %

Private RMBS Re-Remic

    416   BBB-     26.9 %

Private RMBS Re-Remic

    409   A     26.2 %

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2007-3

    402   B     14.2 %

Private Structured Credit

    400   BBB+     Private  

Citibank Master Trust Series 2007-A7

    400   AAA     44.0 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-D

    381   CCC     0.0 %

Private Student Loan Transaction 2007

    375   AAA     11.0 %

Countrywide Home Loans Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    375   CCC     8.2 %

KKR Financial CLO 2007-1 Ltd

    369   AAA     24.3 %

Private RMBS Re-Remic

    359   B     21.6 %

Applebee's Enterprises LLC

    352   BBB-     33.9 %

AAA TRUST 2007-2

    340   B     40.3 %

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

    337   AA     47.5 %

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007

    333   AAA     3.2 %

Liberty CLO Ltd

    328   AAA     0.0 %

Dow Jones CDX.IG.04 7-Year Index (II)

    318   AAA     41.0 %

Dow Jones CDX.NA.IG.4 Single Tranche Transaction

    317   AAA     41.0 %

Dow Jones CDX.IG.04 7-Year Index (I)

    317   AAA     41.0 %

Symphony Credit Opportunities

    308   AAA     49.9 %

Ares Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund Ltd

    307   AAA     29.1 %

Southfork CLO Ltd. Series 2005-A1 Class A1G

    275   AAA     50.9 %

Dow Jones CDX.IG.08 5 Year

    275   AAA     41.0 %

Wasatch CLO, Ltd.

    273   AAA     26.4 %

Alesco Preferred Funding XIV

    273   BBB     21.8 %

Cent CDO XI Limited

    270   AAA     18.7 %

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2006

    267   AAA     10.5 %

Park Avenue Receivables Company LLC

    266   AAA     2.5 %

Private RMBS Re-Remic

    263   A     35.3 %

HSAM Long/Short 2007-2

    257   AAA     28.1 %

Babcock & Brown Air Funding I Ltd. Series 2007-1

    248   A-     39.0 %

Kodiak CDO II

    243   AA     39.9 %

United Commercial Mortgage Securities 2007-1

    235   A     10.0 %

Sandelman Finance 2006-2, Limited

    235   AAA     30.2 %

Newstar Credit Opportunities Funding II

    231   AA     10.5 %

Blue Mountain CLO Ltd. 2005-1

    227   AAA     26.8 %

Capitalsource Commercial Real Estate CLO 2006-1

    226   AAA     43.3 %

Baker Street CLO II

    225   AAA     22.0 %

IG Systhentic CDS

    225   AAA     41.0 %

Kingsland CLO IV

    224   AAA     47.4 %

Rait Preferred Funding II, Ltd.

    223   AAA     50.2 %

Franklin CLO V

    221   AAA     17.1 %
                 
 

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

  $ 17,018            
                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 22



Assured Guaranty Corp.

10 Largest Healthcare and Non-U.S. Exposures

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

10 Largest Healthcare Exposures

Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1   State

Virtua Health

  $ 221   A   NJ

Iowa Health System

    199   A+   IA

Integris Health, Inc.

    172   A+   OK

CHRISTUS Health

    167   A+   TX

Children's Hospital

    162   A+   AL

Fairview Health Services

    160   A   MN

Methodist Healthcare

    157   A   TN

Spartanburg Regional Medical Center

    143   A   SC

Essentia Health

    140   A-   MN

Meridian Health System

    136   A-   NJ
             
 

Total top 10 healthcare exposures

  $ 1,657        
             

10 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1

Prime European RMBS

  $ 993   AAA

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III

    670   Super senior

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

    648   Super senior

Global Senior Loan Index Fund 1 B.V.

    480   AAA

Harvest CLO III

    381   AAA

Taberna Europe CDO I Plc

    367   BBB-

RMF Euro CDO V Plc

    358   AAA

Nemus Funding No.1 Plc

    339   Super senior

Windmill CLO I Plc

    330   Super senior

Wood Street CLO V B.V.

    319   Super senior
         
 

Total top 10 non-U.S. exposures

  $ 4,885    
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 23



Assured Guaranty Corp.

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

Servicer:
  Net Par
Outstanding
 

Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP

  $ 2,815  

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.,

    1,604  

GMAC Mortgage Corporation

    1,550  

American Home Mortgage Servicing, Inc.

    1,205  

JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association

    1,040  

Wilshire Credit Corporation

    392  

OneWest Bank Group LLC

    337  

Ocwen Loan Servicing LLC

    332  

Carrington Mortgage Services

    305  

Bank of America, N.A.

    290  
       
 

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

  $ 9,870  
       

Page 24



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 2)

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

Below Investment Grade Exposures by Asset Type:
  Wtd. Avg. Remaining Life   Net Par Outstanding   Average Rating1

Public Finance

               

United States:

               
 

Municipal utilities

    25.8   $ 309   C-
 

General obligation

    8.1     108   BB+
 

Healthcare

    13.1     106   B+
 

Tax backed

    26.6     50   BB
 

Infrastructure finance

    12.7     26   C-
 

Transportation

    25.7     18   BB+
 

Investor-owned utilities

    7.3     2   BB
 

Housing

    11.1     2   CCC
 

Higher education

    10.0     1   BB-
 

Other public finance

    1.8     4   B
             
   

Total public finance - U.S.

    19.8   $ 626   CCC-

Non-U.S.:

               
 

Infrastructure finance

    6.3     103   CCC+
             
   

Total public finance - non-U.S.

    6.3   $ 103   CCC-
             

Total public finance

    17.9   $ 729   CCC-
             

Structured Finance

               

United States:

               
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    6.9   $ 5,079   B-
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    21.0     1,311   B+
 

Structured credit

    0.4     54   BB
 

Consumer receivables

    23.4     6   BB
 

Other structured finance

    25.7     22   C
             
   

Total structured finance - U.S.

    9.8   $ 6,472   B-
             

Non-U.S.:

               
 

Insurance securitizations

    24.5     279   D
             
   

Total structured finance - non-U.S.

    24.5   $ 279   D
             

Total structured finance

    10.4   $ 6,751   B-
             

Total non-investment grade exposures

    11.1   $ 7,480   B-
             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 25



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

Below Investment Grade Exposures Greater Than $50 Million as of September 30, 2009

Name or Description
  Wtd. Avg.
Remaining Life
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    28.7   $ 573   CCC     7.9 %

MORTGAGEIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    3.8     486   BB     11.1 %

Private RMBS Re-Remic

    6.5     441   B     27.7 %

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    3.5     402   B     14.2 %

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    5.6     381   CCC     0.0 %

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    1.9     375   CCC     8.2 %

Private RMBS Re-Remic

    1.7     359   B     21.6 %

AAA TRUST 2007-2

    2.0     340   B     40.3 %

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    26.7     268   D     N/A  

Taberna Preferred Funding IV Ltd.

    26.2     219   BB     13.1 %

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, Ltd

    23.6     217   B     12.1 %

Taberna Preferred Funding II, Ltd.

    26.1     185   CCC     36.9 %

Attentus CDO I Limited Class A-1

    11.2     178   BB     36.5 %

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-OA10

    2.3     149   CCC     10.3 %

Orkney Re II, PLC Floating Rate Notes

    8.8     149   D     NM  

Attentus CDO II Limited Class A-1

    13.0     147   BB     44.7 %

Taberna Preferred Funding III, Ltd.

    21.7     146   B     5.8 %

Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes

    26.6     130   D     NM  

Lehman Excess Trust 2007-16N

    3.8     115   BB     11.6 %

Taberna Preferred Funding VI, Ltd. Class A-1

    27.2     114   BB     36.6 %

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J CL 2-A

    4.6     108   N/A     0.0 %

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J CL 1-A

    4.6     107   CCC     0.0 %

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    8.1     106   BB+     N/A  

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL3

    4.9     104   CCC     19.0 %

TBW Mortgage-Backed Trust Series 2007-2

    3.5     96   B     6.5 %

Taberna Preferred Funding III, Ltd.

    21.7     70   B     36.5 %

MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2 A4

    4.2     68   B     27.2 %

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL2

    1.7     63   CCC     0.0 %

St. Barnabas Health System - New Jersey

    11.7     56   BB     N/A  

Customer Asset Protection Company (CAPCO), Excess SIPC

    0.4     54   BB     N/A  

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-1

    5.1     53   CCC     3.8 %

SACO I Trust 2005-GP1

    1.2     51   CCC     0.0 %
                       

Total

        $ 6,310            
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 26



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Surveillance Categories

(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by Surveillance Category1

 
  September 30, 2009  
Description:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Number of
Credits in
Category
 

Category 1

  $ 5,122     68.5 %   169  

Category 2

    1,139     15.2 %   123  

Category 3

    1,219     16.3 %   89  
               
 

BIG Total

  $ 7,480     100.0 %   381  
               

1. Effective January 1, 2009 Assured Guaranty adopted ASC 944-20. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: BIG transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 2: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 3: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly.

Page 27



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Loss and LAE Reserves by Segment and Type of Reserve

(dollars in millions)

Loss and LAE Reserves by Type:
  As of
September 30,
2009
  As of
December 31,
2008
 

Case1,2

  $ 181.0   $ 91.5  

IBNR and portfolio1

    1.2     42.2  
           
 

Total

  $ 182.2   $ 133.7  

Case reserves on credit derivatives

  $ 253.2   $ -  

Credit derivative portfolio reserves associated with fundamentally sound credits1

    -     15.2  

Credit derivative portfolio reserves on CMC list1

    -     22.3  
           
 

Total loss and LAE reserves on credit derivatives

  $ 253.2   $ 37.5  
           
 

Total loss and LAE reserves, including credit derivatives

  $ 435.4   $ 171.2  
           

1. The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.

2. Includes $0.8 million of case reserves in Other segment.

Page 28



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

Total Financial Guaranty:1
  Total BIG Net Par
Outstanding
  3Q-09
Incurred Losses2,4
  YTD 3Q-09
Incurred Losses2,4
  Loss and Loss
Adjustment
Expense Reserves3,4
 

Prime first lien

  $ 512   $ 1.1   $ 1.0   $ 2.2  

Closed end seconds

    248     9.8     37.7     29.0  

HELOC

    667     33.5     43.3     6.4  

Alt-A first lien

    2,081     60.9     78.5     123.4  

Alt-A option ARMs

    927     69.5     94.3     129.4  

Subprime first lien

    644     13.1     24.7     43.6  
                   
 

Total U.S. RMBS

    5,079     187.9     279.5     334.0  

Other structured finance

    1,672     13.4     1.6     58.7  

Public finance

    729     18.4     33.7     40.7  
                   
 

Total Financial Guaranty

  $ 7,480   $ 219.7   $ 314.8   $ 433.4  
                   

1. Includes financial guaranty and insured derivatives in the insured portfolio.

2. Includes loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) and incurred losses on credit derivatives, for the financial guaranty direct and reinsurance segments only.

3. Includes loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for financial guaranty and credit derivatives, for the financial guaranty direct and reinsurance segments only. Approximately $14.3 million of expected loss is included in unearned premium reserve.

4. The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.

Page 29



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Investment Portfolio

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost

  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield

  After-Tax
Book
Yield

  Fair Value
  Annualized
Investment
Income1

 
 
             

Investment portfolio, available for sale:

                               

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 320.3     2.4 %   1.6 % $ 327.3   $ 7.7  

Agency obligations

    109.6     3.2 %   2.1 %   113.0     3.5  

Foreign government securities

    80.6     3.7 %   2.4 %   84.5     3.0  

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    486.1     4.9 %   4.6 %   518.5     23.6  

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions2

    512.0     4.7 %   4.5 %   543.0     24.1  

Corporate securities

    66.9     5.7 %   3.7 %   69.9     3.8  

Mortgage-backed securities:

                               
 

Pass-throughs

    96.8     5.5 %   3.6 %   90.5     5.3  
 

PACs

    -     -     -     -        

Asset-backed securities3

    0.1     0.7 %   0.5 %   0.1     0.0  
               
   

Total fixed maturity securities

  $ 1,672.4     4.3 %   3.6 % $ 1,746.8   $ 71.1  

Short-term investments

    226.8     0.2 %   0.1 %   226.8     0.4  
                       
   

Total investment portfolio

  $ 1,899.2     3.8 %   3.2 % $ 1,973.6   $ 71.5  
                       

 

Ratings4:
  Fair Value   % of Total    
   
   
 

Treasury and government obligations

  $ 327.3     18.7 %                  

Agency obligations

    113.0     6.5 %                  

AAA/Aaa

    273.7     15.7 %                  

AA/Aa

    715.9     41.0 %                  

A/A

    284.8     16.3 %                  

BBB

    21.6     1.2 %                  

Below investment grade

    10.5     0.6 %                  
                             
 

Total fixed maturity securities

  $ 1,746.8     100.0 %                  
                             

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

         
4.2
                   
                               

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds average AA-. Includes $131.2 million insured by Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

3. Contains no CDOs of ABS.

4. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's classifications.

Page 30



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

(dollars in millions)

 
   
  Year Ended December 31,  
 
  YTD 2009
  2008
  2007
  2006
 
 
 
 
 

Statutory Data

                         
 

Net (loss) income

  $ (150.4 ) $ 27.7   $ 71.6   $ 64.3  
 

Policyholders' surplus

    179.0     378.1     399.6     286.0  
 

Contingency reserve

    772.0     712.2     582.5     630.9  
       
     

Qualified statutory capital

    951.0     1,090.3     982.0     916.8  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    838.1     570.3     302.3     238.9  
 

Loss and LAE reserves

    209.1     14.7     12.5     15.2  
                   
     

Total policyholders' surplus & reserves

    1,998.2     1,675.3     1,296.8     1,170.9  
 

Present value of installment premiume

    639.2     565.6     553.6     355.6  
 

Standby line of credit / stop loss

    200.0     200.0     280.0     455.0  
   
   

Total claims-paying resources

  $ 2,837.4   $ 2,440.9   $ 2,130.4   $ 1,981.5  
   

Statutory Financial Ratios

                         
   

Loss and LAE ratio

    235.7 %   90.3 %   (13.5 )%   4.5 %
   

Expense ratio

    10.3 %   11.5 %   49.9 %   64.8 %
                   
   

Combined ratio

    246.0 %   101.8 %   36.4 %   69.3 %
   

Other Financial Information :

                         
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

  $ 183,396   $ 164,283   $ 128,351   $ 85,522  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    128,854     111,025     94,127     68,370  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    178,432     152,801     127,743     91,858  
 

Par reinsured to other Assured Guaranty companies

    46,615     37,372     29,087     22,569  
 

Ratios:

                         
   

Net par insured to statutory capital

    135:1     102:1     75:1     75:1  
   

Capital ratio1

    193:1     151:1     93:1     93:1  
   

Financial resources ratio2

    65:1     67:1     43:1     43:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                         
   

Public finance - U.S.

  $ 69,341   $ 56,865   $ 8,142   $ 3,440  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    521     771   $ 5,202     7,402  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    1,212     13,228     35,396     26,848  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -     5,265     10,061     5,843  
                   
 

Total gross debt service written

  $ 71,074   $ 76,128   $ 58,801   $ 43,533  
                   

 

 

1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.

2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (e)]

Page 31



Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report.

Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

Pooled corporate obligations are structured financings backed by a pool of debt obligations. These financings are typically structured in multiple tranches (layers) from equity (first loss) through super senior (high excess). Losses on defaulted pool assets are allocated successively first to the equity tranche then to higher rated tranches.

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by either prime, Alt-A, or subprime first and second lien mortgages. Alt-A Option ARMs: includes transactions where 66% or more of the collateral is comprised of mortgage loans that have the potential to negatively amortize. Alt-A First Lien: includes all transactions, other than Alt-A Option ARM transactions, where more than 50% of the collateral is comprised of mortgage loans that were originated with less than full documentation.

Consumer receivables: principally includes auto loan receivables and credit card receivables.

Commercial mortgage-backed securities: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by commercial mortgage-backed securities.

Commercial receivables: includes equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings and franchise loans.

Structured credit: includes whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Whole business securitizations are obligations backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

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Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

This Financial Supplement references financial measures that are not financial measures that are in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("non-GAAP financial measures") which management uses in order to assist analysts and investors in evaluating Assured Guaranty Corp.'s financial results. These non-GAAP financial measures are defined below. In each case, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented and a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and GAAP financial measure is provided. This presentation is consistent with how Assured Guaranty Corp.'s management, analysts and investors evaluate Assured Guaranty Corp.'s financial results and is comparable to estimates published by analysts in their research reports on Assured Guaranty Corp.

(a) PVP or present value of new business:    PVP is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, on insurance and credit derivative contracts written in the current period, discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009 and 6% for December 31, 2008. Management believes that PVP is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty Corp. by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at the approximate taxable equivalent yield per year on the Company's general investment portfolio, while under ASC 944-20, "Financial Services - Insurance," these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under ASC 944-20 management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, prepayments, amortizations, refundings, contract terminations or defaults that may or may not result from changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refundings, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults or other factors that management cannot control or predict. PVP should not be viewed as a substitute for gross written premiums determined in accordance with GAAP.

(b) Operating income:    Operating income is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp. adjusted for the following:

1) Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments;

2) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which are unrealized gains (losses) other than the Company's net estimate of after-tax incurred economic credit losses for credit derivatives;

3) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and

4) Elimination of goodwill impairment.

Management believes that operating income is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating income enhances the understanding of the Company's results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of its business. Realized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities are excluded because these gains (losses) are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for net income (loss) determined in accordance with GAAP.

(c) Operating shareholder's equity ("Operating Shareholder's Equity"):    Operating shareholder's equity is a non-GAAP financial measure calculated as shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp. reported under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP), adjusted for the following fair value adjustments deemed to be unrelated to credit impairment. The specific adjustments are:

1) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives which are unrealized gains (losses) other than the present value of estimated economic credit losses;

2) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and

3) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation.

Management believes that operating shareholder's equity is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating ROE enhances the understanding of the Company's shareholder's equity excluding unrealized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities, which are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp. determined in accordance with GAAP.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE represents operating income for the specified period divided by the average of operating shareholder's equity at the beginning and the end of the specified period. Management believes that Operating ROE is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of Operating ROE enhance the understanding of the Company's return on shareholder's equity by highlighting the underlying profitability relative to shareholder's equity excluding the effect of unrealized gains and losses on the Company's investment portfolio, credit derivatives and committed capital securities for both net income and shareholder's equity. Realized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities are excluded because these gains (losses) are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as substitutes for ROE determined in accordance with GAAP.

(d) Adjusted Book Value:    Subsequent to the adoption of ASC 944-20 on January 1, 2009, adjusted book value, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is calculated as shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp. less after-tax fair value adjustments deemed to be non-economic, plus after-tax unearned premium reserves net of prepaid reinsurance and deferred acquisition costs, plus the after-tax present value of estimated future revenues on contracts written in credit derivative contract form. The specific adjustments to shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp. are:

1) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives other than the present value of estimated economic credit losses;

2) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities;

3) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation,

4) Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs,

5) Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated future revenue on credit derivatives in force, less future ceding commissions and premium taxes, discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009 and 6% for December 31, 2008;

6) Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss, net of prepaid reinsurance premiums; and

7) Addition of the after-tax value of unearned premium reserve on credit derivatives net of prepaid reinsurance.

Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure for management, equity analysts and investors because the calculation of adjusted book value permits an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and shareholder's equity. The premiums described above will be earned in future periods, but may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp. determined in accordance with GAAP.

(e) Net present value of estimated future revenue on credit derivatives in force:    Net present value of estimated installment premiums on credit derivatives in force is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as the present value of estimated future revenue from our credit derivative in-force books of business, net of reinsurance and discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009 and 6% for December 31, 2008. Management believes that net present value of estimated future revenue in force is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. Estimated future premiums may change from period to period due to changes in par outstanding, maturity, or other factors that management cannot control or predict that result from market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults, or other factors. There is no comparable GAAP financial measure.

(f) Expense Ratio:    Expense ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of ceding commissions expense (income), profit commission expense, acquisition costs and operating expenses by net earned premiums plus net credit derivative premiums earned included in realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives.

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LOGO

    Contacts:

 

 

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Ross Aron
Associate, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Assured Guaranty Corp.   Robert Tucker
31 West 52nd Street   Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
New York, NY 10019   (212) 339-0861
(212) 974-0100   rtucker@assuredguaranty.com
www.assuredguaranty.com    
    Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com



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Assured Guaranty Corp. Selected Financial Highlights (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Balance Sheets (dollars in millions)
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Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Income Statements (dollars in millions)
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Glossary