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EX-31.1 - SECTION 302 CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER - HOT TOPIC INC /CA/dex311.htm
EX-32.1 - SECTION 906 CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF EXECUTIVE AND CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICERS - HOT TOPIC INC /CA/dex321.htm
EX-31.2 - SECTION 302 CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER - HOT TOPIC INC /CA/dex312.htm
Table of Contents

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, DC 20549

 

 

FORM 10-Q

 

 

(Mark One)

x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended October 31, 2009

OR

 

¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR l5(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from              to             

Commission file number: 0-28784

 

 

HOT TOPIC, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

CALIFORNIA   77-0198182
(State of incorporation)   (IRS Employer Identification No.)
18305 EAST SAN JOSE AVE., CITY OF INDUSTRY, CA   91748
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

(626) 839-4681

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the Registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes  x    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).    Yes  ¨    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer or a smaller reporting company. See definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

 

Large accelerated filer   ¨    Accelerated filer    x
Non-accelerated filer   ¨  (Do not check if a smaller reporting company)    Smaller reporting company    ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).    Yes  ¨    No  x

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date: November 18, 2009 – 44,296,093 shares of common stock, no par value.

 

 

 


Table of Contents

HOT TOPIC, INC.

INDEX TO FORM 10-Q

 

     Page No.
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Item 1. Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)

  

Consolidated Balance Sheets – October 31, 2009 and January 31, 2009

   3

Consolidated Statements of Income for the three months and nine months ended October  31, 2009 and November 1, 2008

   4

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the nine months ended October 31, 2009 and November  1, 2008

   5

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

   6

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

   17

Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

   29

Item 4. Controls and Procedures

   30
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

Item 1. Legal Proceedings

   31

Item 1A. Risk Factors

   31

Item 6. Exhibits

   44

SIGNATURES

   45

 

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Table of Contents

PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

Hot Topic, Inc. and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(In thousands, except share amounts)

 

     October 31,
2009
    January 31,
2009
 
     (Unaudited)        

Assets

    

Current assets:

    

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 86,368      $ 90,135   

Short-term investments

     5,056        7,375   

Inventory

     91,393        79,923   

Prepaid expenses and other

     14,503        13,897   

Deferred tax assets

     6,183        6,365   
                

Total current assets

     203,503        197,695   

Property and equipment, net

     145,253        155,290   

Deposits and other

     3,129        1,607   

Long-term investments

     8,184        8,402   

Deferred tax assets

     8,834        7,577   
                

Total assets

   $ 368,903      $ 370,571   
                

Liabilities and shareholders’ equity

    

Current liabilities:

    

Accounts payable

   $ 27,932      $ 19,457   

Accrued liabilities

     34,222        45,055   

Income taxes payable

     654        7,601   
                

Total current liabilities

     62,808        72,113   

Deferred rent

     33,219        36,909   

Income taxes payable

     1,850        1,850   

Deferred compensation liability

     2,924        1,273   

Commitments and contingencies

    

Shareholders’ equity:

    

Preferred shares, no par value; 10,000,000 shares authorized; no shares issued and outstanding

     —          —     

Common shares, no par value; 150,000,000 shares authorized; 44,296,093 and 43,949,726 shares issued and outstanding at October 31, 2009 and January 31, 2009, respectively

     121,644        116,740   

Retained earnings

     146,922        143,025   

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

     (464     (1,339
                

Total shareholders’ equity

     268,102        258,426   
                

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $ 368,903      $ 370,571   
                

See accompanying Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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Table of Contents

Hot Topic, Inc. and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

(Unaudited)

 

     Three Months Ended    Nine Months Ended
     October 31,
2009
   November 1,
2008
   October 31,
2009
   November 1,
2008

Net sales

   $ 189,568    $ 197,309    $ 522,485    $ 523,101

Cost of goods sold, including buying, distribution and occupancy costs

     119,674      123,128      342,803      341,727
                           

Gross margin

     69,894      74,181      179,682      181,374

Selling, general and administrative expenses

     60,260      62,422      173,622      173,457
                           

Income from operations

     9,634      11,759      6,060      7,917

Interest income, net

     93      511      446      1,299
                           

Income before provision for income taxes

     9,727      12,270      6,506      9,216

Provision for income taxes

     3,878      4,832      2,609      3,634
                           

Net income

   $ 5,849    $ 7,438    $ 3,897    $ 5,582
                           

Earnings per share:

           

Basic and diluted

   $ 0.13    $ 0.17    $ 0.09    $ 0.13
                           

Shares used in computing earnings per share:

           

Basic

     44,143      43,810      44,069      43,761

Diluted

     44,497      43,972      44,413      43,815

See accompanying Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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Table of Contents

Hot Topic, Inc. and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(In thousands)

(Unaudited)

 

     Nine Months Ended  
     October 31,
2009
    November 1,
2008
 

OPERATING ACTIVITIES

    

Net income

   $ 3,897      $ 5,582   

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:

    

Depreciation and amortization

     28,438        28,744   

Stock-based compensation

     3,061        2,985   

Loss on disposal of fixed assets

     461        361   

Impairment of long-lived assets

     663        946   

Deferred taxes

     (1,596     (1,119

Gift card breakage

     (480     (518

Changes in operating assets and liabilities:

    

Inventory

     (11,470     (14,269

Prepaid expenses and other current assets

     (606     (694

Deposits and other assets

     (1,522     (112

Accounts payable

     8,474        13,637   

Accrued liabilities

     (8,663     1,399   

Deferred rent

     (3,690     (2,730

Income taxes payable

     (6,947     1,712   
                

Net cash provided by operating activities

     10,020        35,924   

INVESTING ACTIVITIES

    

Purchases of property and equipment

     (19,518     (18,777

Proceeds from sale of short-and long-term investments

     13,760        26,472   

Purchases of short-and long-term investments

     (10,059     (7,743
                

Net cash used in investing activities

     (15,817     (48

FINANCING ACTIVITIES

    

Excess tax benefit from stock-based compensation

     573        40   

Proceeds from employee stock purchases and exercise of stock options

     1,457        396   
                

Net cash provided by financing activities

     2,030        436   
                

(Decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents

     (3,767     36,312   

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year

     90,135        16,391   
                

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

   $ 86,368      $ 52,703   
                

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

    

Cash paid during the period for interest

   $ 5      $ 69   
                

Cash paid during the period for income taxes

   $ 11,710      $ 2,801   
                

See accompanying Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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Table of Contents

HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(Unaudited)

NOTE 1. Organization and Basis of Presentation

We are a mall and web-based specialty retailer operating the Hot Topic and Torrid concepts, as well as the e-space music discovery concept, ShockHound. At Hot Topic, our business strategy is built on the foundation of pop culture and its relevance to our target teen customer. Within pop culture, we believe music plays a primary and integral role in the minds, activities and preferences of our target customers. At Hot Topic, we sell a selection of music/pop culture-licensed and music/pop culture-influenced apparel, accessories, music and gift items for young men and women principally between the ages of 12 and 22. At Torrid, we sell apparel, lingerie, shoes and accessories designed for various lifestyles for plus-size females principally between the ages of 15 and 29. At ShockHound, our genre-spanning music website, people of all ages can purchase MP3s and music merchandise, share their music interests, read the latest music news and enjoy exclusive editorial content about their favorite artists. We were incorporated in California in 1988. We opened our first Hot Topic store in 1989 and our first Torrid store in 2001. We launched ShockHound during the third quarter of fiscal 2008. At the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2009 (October 31, 2009, in the 52-week fiscal year ending January 30, 2010), we operated 680 Hot Topic stores throughout the United States and Puerto Rico, and 156 Torrid stores in 35 states. We sell merchandise on our websites www.hottopic.com and www.torrid.com, which reflect the Hot Topic and Torrid store concepts and sell merchandise similar to that sold in the respective stores. We sell music merchandise and MP3s on our website www.shockhound.com. We currently have one reportable segment given the similarities of the economic characteristics among the Hot Topic and Torrid concepts, and the very early stage of business operations of our ShockHound concept. Throughout this report, the terms “our”, “we” and “us” refer to Hot Topic, Inc. and its subsidiaries.

The information set forth in these financial statements is unaudited except for the January 31, 2009 consolidated balance sheet data. These statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America for interim financial information, the instructions to Form 10-Q, and Rule 10-01 of Regulation S-X. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and footnotes required by accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America for complete financial statements.

In the opinion of management, all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring entries, necessary for a fair presentation have been included.

NOTE 2. Stock-Based Compensation

Stock Plan Activity

Under our 1996 Equity Incentive Plan, or the 1996 Plan, we granted stock options, stock bonuses and other awards to our employees, directors and consultants as deemed appropriate by the Board of Directors, or the Board. On June 14, 2006, the 1996 Plan expired and was replaced with the 2006 Equity Incentive Plan, or the 2006 Plan. The 2006 Plan was approved by the Board on March 17, 2006 and by our shareholders on June 13, 2006. Upon expiration of the 1996 Plan, 732,456 shares out of an aggregate of 18,300,000 shares of common stock were authorized and available for grant.

 

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HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

The 2006 Plan provides for the grant of incentive stock options, non-statutory stock options, restricted stock awards, restricted stock unit awards, stock appreciation rights, performance stock awards and other forms of equity compensation to our employees, consultants and directors as deemed appropriate by the Board. Both incentive and non-statutory stock options granted by us under the 2006 Plan must carry an exercise price of at least 100% of the fair market value of our common stock on the date of grant or 110% of the fair market value of our common stock on the date of grant for persons possessing 10% or more of the total combined voting power of all classes of stock. Options granted may be subject to different vesting terms as determined by the Board and the maximum term of options granted is 10 years. In addition, the maximum number of shares of common stock available for future issuance may not exceed the sum of (a) the 732,456 shares of common stock remaining available for issuance under the 1996 Plan as of June 13, 2006, (b) an additional 2,350,000 shares and (c) the number of shares subject to stock awards as of June 13, 2006 under the 1996 Plan pursuant to the terms of the 1996 Plan. As of October 31, 2009, 820,400 shares were available for future grants under the 2006 Plan. All awards to date under the 2006 Plan have been granted to our employees and none have been granted to consultants.

In March 2009, 2008 and 2007, we granted performance stock awards under the 2006 Plan to certain members of our management. None of these awards have vested and no shares have been issued pursuant to the grants. The 2009, 2008 and 2007 awards provide for the issuance of up to 370,000, 358,000 and 84,000 shares of our common stock, respectively, net of forfeitures, with vesting and issuance contingent upon achieving performance goals for fiscal 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively, based upon our operating income for those fiscal years; and prior to vesting (or termination without vesting), the awards constitute an agreement by us to issue shares to the extent these performance goals are ultimately met. The market values of our common stock as of the 2009, 2008 and 2007 grant dates of these performance stock awards were $9.56, $4.75 and $11.31, respectively. Compensation expense for these awards is required to be recorded over the three-year terms of the awards, based on the market values as of the grant dates, with actual amounts expensed dependent upon the likelihood from period to period of vesting of these awards at the end of fiscal 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively. As of October 31, 2009, it is our best estimate that 25% of the 2009 performance stock awards, or 92,500 out of a possible 370,000 shares, will be earned and will vest at the end of the three-year term. We have accounted for the change to our previous estimate of 50% achievement for the 2009 awards by applying the change retroactively and recognizing the cumulative effect, a $37,000 offset to compensation expense, in the third quarter of fiscal 2009. In aggregate, we have recognized $184,000 as compensation expense during the nine months ended October 31, 2009 for these performance stock awards. As of October 31, 2009, it is our best estimate that none of the 2008 performance stock awards will be earned at the end of the three-year term. We have accounted for the change to our previous estimate of 37.5% achievement for the 2008 awards by applying the change retroactively and recognizing the cumulative effect, a $292,000 offset to compensation expense, in the third quarter of fiscal 2009. In aggregate, we have not recognized any compensation expense for these 2008 awards. As of October 31, 2009, it is our best estimate that none of the 2007 performance stock awards will be earned at the end of the three-year term. Thus, for the three months and nine months ended October 31, 2009, we have not recognized any compensation expense for these 2007 awards.

Under our 1996 Non-Employee Directors’ Stock Option Plan, or the 1996 NEDSOP, we may grant and have granted stock options to non-employee directors. The exercise price of options granted under the 1996 NEDSOP shall be determined by the Board at the date of grant and shall be 100% of the fair market value of our common stock on the date of grant. Unless the Board determines otherwise, options vest over four years and generally expire ten years from the date of grant. The total share reserve under the 1996 NEDSOP is 720,000 shares, of which as of October 31, 2009, 21,226 shares were available for future grants. No options under the 1996 NEDSOP have been granted to consultants.

 

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Table of Contents

HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

In June 2009 and June 2008, we granted non-employee directors an aggregate of 20,559 and 25,748 shares of restricted common stock, respectively, under the 2006 Plan. Restricted shares generally vest in one installment in the year subsequent to the grant year. All awarded common shares remain restricted (i.e., not transferable by the holders) until such time as the recipient is no longer a member of our Board. The value of these grants is expensed over the vesting period. During the three months ended October 31, 2009, $39,000 was expensed. During the three months ended November 1, 2008, $39,000 was expensed. During the nine months ended October 31, 2009, $116,000, of which $52,000 relates to the fiscal 2008 grant, was expensed. During the nine months ended November 1, 2008, $116,000, of which $52,000 related to a fiscal 2007 grant, was expensed.

The following table summarizes stock options outstanding under all of our stock option plans as of October 31, 2009, as well as activity from the beginning of the fiscal year through the third quarter then ended:

 

     Options     Weighted-
Average
Exercise
Price
   Weighted-
Average
Remaining
Contractual
Term (in
years)
   Aggregate
Intrinsic
Value (in
thousands)

Outstanding at January 31, 2009

   6,280,963      $ 12.67      

Granted

   1,116,106      $ 9.39      

Exercised

   (292,367   $ 4.39      

Forfeited or expired

   (353,945   $ 12.46      
                  

Outstanding at October 31, 2009

   6,750,757      $ 12.50    5.87    $ 3,060
                        

Exercisable at October 31, 2009

   4,549,865      $ 14.42    4.53    $ 1,223
                        

Cash proceeds, tax benefits and intrinsic values related to total stock options exercised during the three months and nine months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008 are provided in the following table (in thousands):

 

     Three Months Ended    Nine Months Ended
     October 31,
2009
   November 1,
2008
   October 31,
2009
   November 1,
2008

Proceeds from stock options exercised

   $ 840    $ 186    $ 1,282    $ 226

Tax benefit related to stock options exercised

   $ 427    $ 26    $ 573    $ 40

Intrinsic value of stock options exercised

   $ 1,068    $ 66    $ 1,415    $ 106

In June 1996, the Board adopted the Employee Stock Purchase Plan, or the Stock Purchase Plan. The Stock Purchase Plan provides for the issuance of up to 1,350,000 shares of common stock to our employees. All eligible employees are granted identical rights to purchase common stock for each Board authorized offering under the Stock Purchase Plan.

 

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HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

Rights granted pursuant to any offering under the Stock Purchase Plan terminate immediately upon cessation of an employee’s employment for any reason. In general, an employee may reduce their contribution or withdraw from participation in an offering at any time during the purchase period for such offering. Employees receive a 15% discount on shares purchased under the Stock Purchase Plan. Rights granted under the Stock Purchase Plan are not transferable and may be exercised only by the person to whom such rights are granted. The initial offering under the Stock Purchase Plan commenced October 24, 1996 and terminated December 31, 1996. Subsequent offerings have occurred every six months commencing January 1, 1997. At October 31, 2009, 931,617 shares remained available for future issuance under the Stock Purchase Plan. Compensation expense for the three months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008 was $37,000 and $27,000, respectively, related to the fair value of the rights granted to participants under the plan at the beginning of the then-current offering. Compensation expense for the nine months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008 was $111,000 and $90,000, respectively, related to the fair value of the rights granted to participants under the plan at the beginning of the then-current offering.

Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation Expense

We account for stock-based compensation expense by estimating the fair value of stock options granted using the Black-Scholes option-pricing formula and a single option award approach. This fair value is then amortized over the requisite service periods of the awards. As stock-based compensation expense is based on awards ultimately expected to vest, it has been reduced for estimated forfeitures.

The effect of recording stock-based compensation for the three months and nine months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008 was as follows (in thousands, except per share amounts):

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     October 31,
2009
    November 1,
2008
    October 31,
2009
    November 1,
2008
 

Stock-based compensation by type of award:

        

Employee stock options and awards

   $ 1,049      $ 946      $ 2,969      $ 2,799   

Restricted stock units, net of adjustments

     (329     (19     (19     96   

Employee stock purchase plan

     37        27        111        90   
                                

Total stock-based compensation expense

   $ 757      $ 954      $ 3,061      $ 2,985   

Tax effect on stock-based compensation expense

     (272     (351     (1,134     (1,087
                                

Net effect on net income

   $ 485      $ 603      $ 1,927      $ 1,898   
                                

Effect on earnings per share:

        

Basic and diluted

   $ 0.01      $ 0.01      $ 0.04      $ 0.04   
                                

For the three months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008, $133,000 and $121,000, respectively, of stock-based compensation expense was recorded as a component of cost of goods sold and the remainder, $624,000 and $833,000, respectively, was charged to selling, general and administrative expense.

For the nine months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008, $434,000 and $500,000, respectively, of stock-based compensation expense was recorded as a component of cost of goods sold and the remainder, $2,627,000 and $2,485,000, respectively, was charged to selling, general and administrative expense.

 

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Table of Contents

HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

As of October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008, we had $7.3 million and $7.6 million, respectively, of unrecognized expense related to non-vested stock option grants, which are expected to be recognized over weighted average periods of 2.65 years and 2.86 years, respectively.

As of October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008, we had $90,000 each year of unrecognized expense related to restricted stock grants, which are expected to be recognized over weighted average periods of 0.60 years and 0.61 years, respectively.

Calculation of Fair Value of Options

As stated above, we use a Black-Scholes option valuation model to determine the fair value of stock-based compensation. The Black-Scholes model incorporates various assumptions including the expected term of awards, volatility of stock price, risk-free rates of return and dividend yield. The expected term of an award is generally no less than the option vesting period and is based on our historical experience. Expected volatility is based upon the historical volatility of our stock price. The risk-free interest rate is approximated using rates available on U.S. Treasury securities with a remaining term equal to the option’s expected life. We use a dividend yield of zero in the Black-Scholes option valuation model, as we do not anticipate paying cash dividends in the foreseeable future.

The following weighted average assumptions were used for stock options granted:

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     October 31,
2009
    November 1,
2008
    October 31,
2009
    November 1,
2008
 

Risk free interest rate

   3     3     2     3

Expected life

   5 years        5 years        5 years        5 years   

Expected volatility

   57     47     56     46

Expected dividend yield

   0     0     0     0

Weighted average fair value at grant date

   n/a   $ 2.76      $ 4.53      $ 2.16   

 

* No options were granted during the three months ended October 31, 2009.

NOTE 3. Earnings Per Share

Basic earnings or loss per share is computed by dividing net income or net loss, respectively, by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding for the period. Diluted earnings per share is applicable only in periods of net income and is computed by dividing net income by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding for the period and potentially dilutive common stock equivalents outstanding for the period. Periods of net loss require the diluted computation to be the same as the basic computation. For the three months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008, options to purchase 5,561,555 and 6,264,899 shares, respectively, of potentially anti-dilutive common stock equivalents were outstanding. For the nine months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008, options to purchase 5,461,136 and 6,231,911 shares, respectively, of potentially anti-dilutive common stock equivalents were outstanding. The calculation of dilutive shares also excludes the portion of the performance stock awards

 

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HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

granted to certain members of our management in March 2009, March 2008 and March 2007 that are not expected to be earned or vest as the issuance of the underlying shares is contingent upon achieving certain performance goals in fiscal 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively.

A reconciliation of the numerator and denominator of basic and diluted earnings per share is as follows (in thousands, except per share amounts):

 

     Three Months Ended    Nine Months Ended
     October 31,
2009
   November 1,
2008
   October 31,
2009
   November 1,
2008

Basic and diluted earnings per share computation:

           

Numerator

   $ 5,849    $ 7,438    $ 3,897    $ 5,582

Denominator:

           

Weighted average common shares outstanding

     44,143      43,810      44,069      43,761

Incremental shares from assumed exercise/ issuance of options and awards

     354      162      344      54
                           

Total shares

     44,497      43,972      44,413      43,815
                           

Basic and diluted earnings per share

   $ 0.13    $ 0.17    $ 0.09    $ 0.13

NOTE 4. Investments in Marketable Securities

Our short-term investments have maturities that are less than six months and consist of interest-bearing municipal bonds. They are classified as short-term and are accounted for as available for sale. As of October 31, 2009, short-term investments were $5.1 million, and the associated unrealized gains for the three months and nine months ended October 31, 2009 of $3,000 and $126,000, respectively, have been recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income, or OCI, reflected in the shareholders’ equity section of the consolidated balance sheet.

Our long-term investments consist of certificates of deposit and auction rate securities. The certificates of deposit are guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, classified as held to maturity and have maturities of approximately 2 years. As of October 31, 2009, the fair value of our certificates of deposit was $5.0 million and there were associated unrealized losses of $11,000. We did not have any certificates of deposit as of January 31, 2009.

Our auction rate securities are AAA/Aaa/A3-rated, have maturities that range from 24 to 31 years and their interest rates are reset through an auction process, most commonly at intervals of 7, 28 and 35 days. These investments are accounted for as available for sale and backed by pools of student loans guaranteed by the U.S. Department of Education. There continues to be uncertainty in the global credit and capital markets, which has resulted in the failure of auctions representing the auction rate securities we hold as the amount of securities submitted for sale in those auctions exceed the amount of bids.

While we have continued to earn and receive interest on our auction rate securities through the date of this report, we concluded that their estimated fair value no longer approximates par value. (Refer to NOTE 7 – Fair Value Measurements for discussion on how we determined the fair value of our investment in auction rate securities). As of October 31, 2009 and January 31, 2009, the fair value of our auction rate securities was $3.2 million and $8.4 million, respectively. The $5.2 million decrease from the beginning of the fiscal year represents a $6.2 million repurchase of certain of our auction rate securities at par by the broker who holds these securities on our behalf and through whom we originally purchased them, and a $0.2 million redemption of certain auction rate securities at par, of which $50,000 was redeemed during the third quarter of fiscal 2009.

 

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HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

The decrease is offset by the recovery in fair value of $1.1 million which was previously temporarily impaired as well as an increase in fair value of the remaining auction rate securities of $0.1 million, of which $18,000 relates to the third quarter of fiscal 2009. The fair value of our remaining auction rate securities as of October 31, 2009, reflects a cumulative decline of $0.7 million from the par value. This cumulative $0.7 million decline ($0.4 million net of tax) is deemed temporary as we do not have the intent to sell these securities and it is not likely that we will be required to sell the securities before the recovery of their amortized cost basis. If uncertainties in the credit and capital markets continue, we may incur additional losses, some of which may be other-than-temporary, which could negatively affect our financial condition or results of operations. In addition, in the event that we decide to sell these securities and it becomes more likely than not that we will be required to sell the securities before the recovery of their amortized cost basis, we may be required to recognize impairment charges against income.

For the nine months ended October 31, 2009, we have recorded an unrealized gain of $1.2 million ($0.7 million net of tax) for our auction rate securities in OCI reflected in the shareholders’ equity section of the consolidated balance sheet. This $1.2 million unrealized gain represents a recovery in fair value of $1.1 million which was previously temporarily impaired as well as an increase in fair value of the remaining auction rate securities of $0.1 million.

NOTE 5. Comprehensive Income

Comprehensive income for the three months and nine months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008 is as follows (in thousands):

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     October 31,
2009
   November 1,
2008
    October 31,
2009
   November 1,
2008
 

Comprehensive income

          

Net income

   $ 5,849    $ 7,438      $ 3,897    $ 5,582   

Unrealized gain (loss) on short- and long-term investments, net

     9      (714     876      (950
                              

Total comprehensive income

   $ 5,858    $ 6,724      $ 4,773    $ 4,632   
                              

NOTE 6. Impact of Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements

In May 2009, the Financial Accounting Standards Board, or FASB, issued “Subsequent Events” guidance which establishes general standards of accounting for, and disclosure of, events that occur after the balance sheet date but before financial statements are issued. This guidance was effective for financial statements issued for interim or fiscal years ending after June 15, 2009 and our adoption of it on August 2, 2009 did not have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations. Refer to NOTE 12 – Subsequent Events for further discussion.

 

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HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

In April 2009, the FASB issued “Recognition and Presentation of Other-Than-Temporary Impairments” guidance which amends the other-than-temporary impairment guidance for debt securities to make the guidance more operational and to improve the presentation and disclosure of other-than-temporary impairments on debt and equity securities in the financial statements. It does not amend existing recognition and measurement guidance related to other-than-temporary impairments of equity securities. This guidance was effective for financial statements issued for interim or fiscal years ending after June 15, 2009 and our adoption of it on August 2, 2009 did not have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.

In April 2009, the FASB issued “Interim Disclosures about Fair Value of Financial Instruments” guidance which requires disclosures about fair value of financial instruments for interim reporting periods of publicly traded companies as well as in annual financial statements of those companies. It also requires these disclosures in summarized financial information at interim reporting periods. This guidance was effective for financial statements issued for interim or fiscal years ending after June 15, 2009 and our adoption of it on August 2, 2009 did not have any impact on our financial condition or results of operations.

In April 2009, the FASB issued “Determining Fair Value When the Volume and Level of Activity for the Asset or Liability Have Significantly Decreased and Identifying Transactions That Are Not Orderly” guidance which provides additional guidance for estimating fair value when the volume and level of activity for the asset or liability have significantly decreased. This guidance was effective for financial statements issued for interim or fiscal years ending after June 15, 2009 and our adoption of it on August 2, 2009 did not have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.

NOTE 7. Fair Value Measurements

Our financial assets and liabilities are valued at the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability (an exit price) in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We determine fair value based on assumptions that market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability. As a basis for considering such assumptions, we prioritize the inputs used in measuring fair value into a three-tier fair value hierarchy, which are as follows:

Level 1: Observable inputs such as quoted prices in active markets (the fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority to Level 1 inputs);

Level 2: Inputs, other than the quoted prices in active markets, that are observable either directly or indirectly; and

Level 3: Unobservable inputs in which there is little or no market data and require the reporting entity to develop its own assumptions (the fair value hierarchy gives the lowest priority to Level 3 inputs).

 

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HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

Financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of October 31, 2009 consisted of the following (in thousands):

 

     Balance at
October 31,
2009
   Quoted Prices
in Active
Markets for
Identical
Items
(Level 1)
   Significant
Other
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
   Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)

Assets:

           

Marketable securities (available for sale)

   $ 5,056    $ 5,056    $ —      $ —  

Certificates of deposit (non-current)

     4,977      4,977      —        —  

Auction rate securities (non-current)

     3,207      —        —        3,207
                           

Total assets

   $ 13,240    $ 10,033    $ —      $ 3,207
                           

Liabilities:

           

Deferred compensation plan (non-current)

   $ 2,924    $ 2,924    $ —      $ —  
                           

The fair value of our short-term marketable securities, certificates of deposit and deferred compensation plan liability is determined based on quoted prices of identical assets that are trading in active markets. The deferred compensation plan liability represents the amount that would be earned by participants if the funds were invested in securities traded in active markets. Due to the lack of availability of observable market quotes on our auction rate securities, the fair market value of these securities was initially determined in the first quarter of fiscal 2008 based on a valuation model prepared by the broker-dealer that held these securities on our behalf. We reviewed, and found reasonable, the valuation model and methodologies used by the broker-dealer. In addition, we have continued to update the model, most recently by using current assumptions as of the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2009. The model values the securities by estimating the present value of future principal and interest payments discounted at rates considered to reflect current market conditions. Assumptions used in the valuation include those made about the liquidity horizon, or period of time expected before the securities are successfully auctioned, coupon rates, weighted average cost of capital and holding spreads and yields. Other factors that impact our valuation include changes to credit ratings of our auction rate securities as well as to the underlying assets supporting these securities and the ongoing strength and quality of the credit markets. Our valuation is subject to uncertainties that are difficult to predict and could change significantly based on future market conditions.

The activity of our auction rate securities through the third quarter of fiscal 2009, whose fair value was measured using Level 3 inputs, is summarized below (in thousands):

 

     Non-current  

Carrying value as of January 31, 2009

   $ 8,402   

Settlements and repurchases *

     (6,450

Total gains

  

Included in earnings

     —     

Included in other comprehensive income**

     1,255   
        

Carrying value as of October 31, 2009

   $ 3,207   
        

 

* Settlements and repurchases of $6.4 million and $50,000 occurred during the second and third quarters of fiscal 2009, respectively.
** Unrealized gains of $75,000, $63,000 and $18,000 occurred during the first, second and third quarters of fiscal 2009, respectively. In addition, the recovery in fair value of $1.1 million and $10,000 which was previously temporarily impaired occurred during the second and third quarters of fiscal 2009.

 

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HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

NOTE 8. Deferred Compensation Plan

In August 2006, we adopted the Hot Topic Inc. Management Deferred Compensation Plan, or the Deferred Compensation Plan, for the purpose of providing highly compensated employees and members of our Board a program to meet their financial planning needs. The Deferred Compensation Plan provides participants with the opportunity to defer up to 80% of their base salary and up to 100% of their annual earned bonus, or, in the case of members of our Board, 100% of their earned cash fees, all of which, together with the associated investment returns, are 100% vested from the outset. The Deferred Compensation Plan, which is designed to be exempt from most provisions of the Employee Retirement Security Act of 1974, is informally funded by us in order to preserve the tax-deferred savings advantages of a non-qualified plan. As such, all deferrals and associated earnings are general unsecured obligations of Hot Topic, Inc. held within a “rabbi trust” on our consolidated balance sheet. We may at our discretion contribute certain amounts to eligible employees’ accounts. In January 2009, we began to contribute 50% of the first 4% of participants’ eligible contributions into their Deferred Compensation Plan accounts. As of October 31, 2009, assets and associated liabilities of the Deferred Compensation Plan were each $2.9 million, and are included in other non-current assets and non-current liabilities in our consolidated balance sheets. As of January 31, 2009, assets and associated liabilities of the Deferred Compensation Plan were $1.4 million and $1.3 million, respectively.

NOTE 9. Valuation of Long-Lived Assets

We assess the impairment of long-lived assets whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying value may not be recoverable. We group and evaluate long-lived assets for impairment at the individual store level, which is the lowest level at which individual cash flows can be identified. Factors we consider important that could trigger an impairment review include a significant underperformance relative to expected historical or projected future operating results, a significant change in the manner of the use of the asset or a significant negative industry or economic trend. When we determine that the carrying value of long-lived assets may not be recoverable based upon the existence of one or more of the aforementioned factors, impairment is measured based on a projected discounted cash flow method using a discount rate determined by management. These cash flows are calculated by netting future estimated store sales against associated merchandise costs and store-related expenses such as payroll and occupancy. The estimated store sales, net of the aforementioned costs and expenses, used for this nonrecurring fair value measurement is considered a Level 3 input and discussed in more detail in NOTE 7 – Fair Value Measurements.

In the event future store performance is lower than forecasted results, future cash flows may be lower than expected, which could result in future impairment charges. While we believe recently opened stores will provide sufficient cash flow so as not to trigger impairment charges, material changes in results could result in future impairment charges. For the three months and nine months ended October 31, 2009, we recorded impairment charges of $300,000 and $571,000, respectively, which are included in selling, general and administrative expenses in our consolidated statements of operations. For the three months and nine months ended November 1, 2008, we recorded impairment charges of $282,000 and $946,000, respectively, which are included in selling, general and administrative expenses in our consolidated statements of operations.

 

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HOT TOPIC, INC. and SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS—(Continued)

(Unaudited)

 

NOTE 10. Bank Credit Agreement

We maintain an unsecured bank credit agreement of $5.0 million that will expire on September 1, 2010. Letters of credit, which are primarily used for inventory purchases, are issued under the credit agreement. There were letters of credit for $324,000 outstanding at October 31, 2009.

NOTE 11. Income Taxes

As of October 31, 2009, the liability for income tax associated with unrecognized tax benefits was $2.5 million ($2.0 million net of federal benefit), of which $0.2 million ($0.1 million net of federal benefit) related to interest and $0.4 million related to penalties. Our effective tax rate will be affected by any portion of this liability we may recognize. As of January 31, 2009, the liability for income tax associated with unrecognized tax benefits was $2.9 million ($2.2 million net of federal benefit), of which $0.3 million ($0.2 million net of federal benefit) related to interest and $0.4 million related to penalties. The $0.4 million decrease in the liability for income tax associated with unrecognized tax benefits from the beginning of the fiscal year is as a result of the settlement of certain audits.

We believe that it is reasonably possible that $0.7 million ($0.6 million net of federal benefit) of our liability for unrecognized tax benefits of which $0.1 million ($0.1 million net of federal benefit) of associated interest and $0.1 million related to penalties may be recognized in the next 12 months due to the settlement of audits and the expiration of statutes of limitations. As such, we have classified this amount as a current liability.

Our continuing practice is to recognize interest and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in tax expense. Tax expense during the three months and nine months ended October 31, 2009 and November 1, 2008 related to interest and penalties was not material.

We operate stores throughout the United States and Puerto Rico, and as a result, we file income tax returns in the U.S. federal jurisdiction and various state and foreign jurisdictions. In the normal course of business, we are subject to examination by taxing authorities. With few exceptions, we are no longer subject to U.S. federal, state and local or non-U.S. income tax examinations for years before fiscal 2002. While it is often difficult to predict the final outcome or the timing or resolution of any particular uncertain tax position, we believe our reserves for income taxes represent the most probable outcome. We adjust these reserves, as well as the related interest and penalties, in light of changing facts and circumstances.

NOTE 12. Subsequent Events

We evaluated all events or transactions that occurred after October 31, 2009 up through November 19, 2009, the date we issued these condensed consolidated financial statements. We did not have any material recognizable or nonrecognizable subsequent events during this period.

 

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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD LOOKING DISCLOSURE

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains various forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Exchange Act, which are subject to the “safe harbor” created by these sections. These statements include, for example, statements regarding our expectations, beliefs, intentions or strategies regarding the future, such as the extent and timing of future revenues and expenses, economic conditions affecting consumer demand, ability to grow or maintain comparable store sales, and other expected financial results and information. All forward-looking statements included in this report are based on information available to us as of the date of this report. We will not necessarily update any forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve known or unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements, or industry results to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied. Risks, uncertainties and other factors related to us are located, among other places, in this Part I, Item 2 and in Part II, Item 1A under the caption “Risk Factors.”

OVERVIEW

We are a mall and web-based specialty retailer operating the Hot Topic and Torrid concepts, as well as the e-space music discovery concept, ShockHound. At Hot Topic, we sell a selection of music/pop culture-licensed and music/pop culture-influenced apparel, accessories, music and gift items for young men and women principally between the ages of 12 and 22. At Torrid, we sell apparel, lingerie, shoes and accessories designed for various lifestyles for plus-size females principally between the ages of 15 and 29. At ShockHound, music lovers of all ages can come together and purchase MP3s and music merchandise, share their music interests, read the latest music news and enjoy exclusive editorial content about their favorite artists. We were incorporated in California in 1988. We opened our first Hot Topic store in 1989 and our first Torrid store in 2001. We launched ShockHound during the third quarter of fiscal 2008. We sell merchandise on our websites www.hottopic.com and www.torrid.com, which reflect the Hot Topic and Torrid store concepts and sell merchandise similar to that sold in the respective stores. We sell music merchandise and MP3s on our website www.shockhound.com. We currently have one reportable segment given the similarities of the economic characteristics among the Hot Topic and Torrid concepts, and the very early stage of business operations of our ShockHound concept. Throughout this report, the terms “our”, “we” and “us” refer to Hot Topic, Inc. and its subsidiaries.

At Hot Topic, our business strategy is built on the foundation of pop culture and its relevance to our target teen customer. Within pop culture, we believe music plays a primary and integral role in the minds, activities and preferences of our target customers. Our comprehensive music strategy encompasses a high level of focus on the in-store music experience. We continue to: focus on music and music/pop culture-oriented merchandise; operate a fundamentally regular price business; emphasize superior customer service; and ramp up our efforts to host unique in-store events. In addition, we recently strengthened our management team by adding a Chief Merchandising Officer for Hot Topic in November 2009. We believe that this addition will help us to continue to deliver compelling and relevant merchandise for our customers.

Our Torrid division focuses on fashion forward apparel and accessories for plus-size women. Our target customers have a youthful attitude and desire to reflect current fashion trends in their dress. We continue to focus on current fashion trends; listen to the customer; and emphasize customer service and the in-store and online experience.

 

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During the second quarter of fiscal 2008, we rolled out our private label Torrid credit card program, divastatusSM and together with consistent marketing, the growth of our loyalty program, divastyle®, in-store operational improvements, online enhancements and focusing the assortment to reflect more of our customers’ attitudes and preferences, we believe that the recognition of our Torrid brand will continue to grow and the close relationships with our customers will continue to grow.

As part of our ongoing and evolving music strategy, we developed and launched ShockHound during the third quarter of fiscal 2008. ShockHound represents all music genres and includes a vast selection of MP3s, band merchandise, exclusive editorial and original content. We encourage our members to be part of the ShockHound experience by offering them the opportunity to join in the musical dialogue via a social networking platform. We recognize that our customers learn about and acquire music differently than they have in the past and we believe we can meet their needs by providing a more comprehensive, authentic online music discovery experience.

During the three and nine month periods ended October 31, 2009, comparable store sales were down 5.0% and 2.2%, respectively, consisting of a Hot Topic division comparable store sales decline of 5.8% and 1.7%, respectively, and a Torrid division comparable store sales decline of 1.4% and 3.9%, respectively, as compared to the same periods in fiscal 2008. For the third quarter of fiscal 2009, the comparable sales decline in the Hot Topic division resulted from a significant decrease in the women’s category, partially offset by an increase in the men’s category. During the same period, the comparable store sales decline at our Torrid division was due to a decline in apparel, particularly in tops, partially offset by an increase in accessories.

At the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2009, we operated 680 Hot Topic stores throughout the United States and Puerto Rico, and 156 Torrid stores in 35 states, compared to 683 Hot Topic stores and 158 Torrid stores at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2008. During the third quarter of fiscal 2009, we opened 1 new Hot Topic store. We also remodeled or relocated 6 Hot Topic stores during the third quarter of fiscal 2009. We currently anticipate opening approximately 3 new stores, consisting of 2 Hot Topic stores and 1 Torrid store, during fiscal 2009. We also plan to remodel or relocate approximately 15 to 20 existing Hot Topic stores and plan to close approximately 3 Hot Topic stores and 4 Torrid stores in fiscal 2009. With a mature Hot Topic store base and considering the current economic environment, we believe we can more effectively improve company profitability by managing this existing store fleet rather than continuing to open a significant number of new stores.

We operate on a 52- or 53-week fiscal year, which ends on the Saturday nearest to January 31. Fiscal 2009 (ending January 30, 2010) is a 52-week fiscal year, as were fiscal 2008 and fiscal 2007, while fiscal 2006 was a 53-week fiscal year.

We consider a store comparable after it has been open for 15 full months. If a store is closed during a period, it is included in the computation of comparable store sales for that fiscal month, quarter and year-to-date period, only for the days in which the store was operating as compared to the full month in the comparable period.

The following discussion of our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and other matters should be read in conjunction with our condensed consolidated financial statements and the Notes related thereto.

 

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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Three Months Ended October 31, 2009 Compared to the Three Months Ended November 1, 2008

The following table shows, for the periods indicated, certain selected statement of operations data expressed as a percentage of net sales. The discussion that follows should be read in conjunction with this table:

 

For the three months ended:

   October 31,
2009
    November 1,
2008
 

Net sales

   100.0   100.0

Cost of goods sold, including buying, distribution and occupancy costs

   63.1      62.4   
            

Gross margin

   36.9      37.6   

Selling, general and administrative expenses

   31.8      31.6   
            

Income from operations

   5.1      6.0   

Interest income, net

   0.0      0.3   
            

Income before provision for income taxes

   5.1      6.3   

Provision for income taxes

   2.0      2.5   
            

Net income

   3.1   3.8
            

Net sales decreased $7.7 million, or 3.9%, to $189.6 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2009 from $197.3 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2008. The components of this $7.7 million decrease in net sales are as follows:

 

Amount
(millions)

   

Description

$  (8.4   Decrease in comparable net sales from Hot Topic stores in the third quarter of fiscal 2009 compared to the corresponding period from the previous fiscal year.
  (1.4   Decrease in net sales due to the closure of five Hot Topic stores and five Torrid stores since the third quarter of the prior year.
  (0.4   Decrease in comparable net sales from Torrid stores in the third quarter of fiscal 2009 compared to the corresponding period from the previous fiscal year.
  0.1      Increase in net sales from two new Hot Topic stores opened since the third quarter of the prior year and eight Hot Topic stores not yet qualifying as comparable stores.
  0.1      Increase in net sales from sixteen expanded or relocated Hot Topic stores not yet qualifying as comparable stores.
  0.7      Increase in net sales from three new Torrid stores opened since the third quarter of the prior year and four Torrid stores not yet qualifying as comparable stores.
  1.6      Increase in Internet sales.
       
$  (7.7   Total
       

 

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At the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2009, 655 of the 680 Hot Topic stores were included in the comparable store base, compared to 643 of the 683 Hot Topic stores open at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2008. At the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2009, 151 of the 156 Torrid stores were included in the comparable store base, compared to 127 of the 158 Torrid stores open at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2008. Sales of our Hot Topic division’s apparel including tee-shirts, as a percentage of total net sales, decreased to 51% during the third quarter of fiscal 2009 from 53% for the third quarter of fiscal 2008.

Gross margin decreased $4.3 million, or 5.8%, to $69.9 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2009 from $74.2 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2008. As a percentage of net sales, gross margin decreased to 36.9% during the third quarter of fiscal 2009 from 37.6% in the third quarter of fiscal 2008. The significant components of this 0.7 percentage point decrease in gross margin as a percentage of net sales are as follows:

 

     

Description

(0.6 )%    Decrease in merchandise margin primarily as a result of higher markdowns, partially offset by higher realized markup.
(0.3   Increase in store depreciation related to higher expense for computer hardware and software and due to deleveraging on lower store sales.
0.1      Decrease in store occupancy expense primarily due to lower rents and common area maintenance costs, partially offset by deleveraging store expenses over lower store sales.
0.1      Decrease in distribution expense primarily due to lower freight.
     
(0.7 )%    Total
     

 

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Selling, general and administrative expenses decreased $2.1 million, or 3.4%, to $60.3 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2009 compared to $62.4 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2008. As a percentage of net sales, selling, general and administrative expenses increased to 31.8% in the third quarter of fiscal 2009 compared to 31.6% in the third quarter of fiscal 2008. The significant components of the 0.2 percentage point increase in selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales are as follows:

 

     

Description

0.4   Deleveraging on store payroll due to lower store sales, partially offset by lower store performance based bonuses.
0.2      Increase in other store expenses primarily due to deleveraging on lower store sales.
0.1      Increase in general and administrative expenses primarily due to deleveraging on lower store sales, increase in payroll, benefits, recruiting and travel expenses, partially offset by decrease in performance based bonuses.
(0.1   Decrease in depreciation on computer hardware and software.
(0.1   Decrease in preopening expenses as a result of fewer new stores and expenses related to launching our online music site in the third quarter of 2008.
(0.3   Decrease in marketing expenses primarily due to reduced spend related to marketing partnerships.
     
0.2   Total
     

Income from operations decreased $2.2 million to $9.6 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2009 from income of $11.8 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2008. As a percentage of net sales, income from operations was 5.1% in the third quarter of fiscal 2009 compared to income of 6.0% in the third quarter of fiscal 2008.

Net interest income decreased $0.4 million to $0.1 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2009 from $0.5 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2008. The decrease in net interest income was primarily attributable to lower interest rates during the third quarter of fiscal 2009.

Provision for income taxes was $3.9 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2009 compared to $4.8 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2008. The effective tax rate was 39.9% for the third quarter of fiscal 2009 compared to 39.4% for the third quarter of fiscal 2008. The increase in the effective tax rate was primarily due to lower non-taxable interest income.

 

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Nine Months Ended October 31, 2009 Compared to the Nine Months Ended November 1, 2008

The following table shows, for the periods indicated, certain selected statement of operations data expressed as a percentage of net sales. The discussion that follows should be read in conjunction with this table:

 

For the nine months ended:

   October 31,
2009
    November 1,
2009
 

Net sales

   100.0   100.0

Cost of goods sold, including buying, distribution and occupancy costs

   65.6      65.3   
            

Gross margin

   34.4      34.7   

Selling, general and administrative expenses

   33.2      33.2   
            

Income from operations

   1.2      1.5   

Interest income, net

   0.0      0.3   
            

Income before provision for income taxes

   1.2      1.8   

Provision for income taxes

   0.5      0.7   
            

Net income

   0.7   1.1
            

Net sales decreased $0.6 million, or 0.1%, to $522.5 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2009 from $523.1 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The components of this $0.6 million decrease in net sales are as follows:

 

Amount
(millions)

   

Description

$  (6.5   Decrease in comparable net sales from Hot Topic stores in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to the corresponding period from the previous fiscal year.
  (4.7   Decrease in net sales due to the closure of five Hot Topic stores and five Torrid stores since the third quarter of the prior year.
  (3.7   Decrease in comparable net sales from Torrid stores in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to the corresponding period from the previous fiscal year.
  0.5      Increase in net sales from sixteen expanded or relocated Hot Topic stores, not yet qualifying as comparable stores.
  1.0      Increase in net sales from two new Hot Topic stores opened since the third quarter of the prior year and eight Hot Topic stores not yet qualifying as comparable stores.
  3.0      Increase in net sales from three new Torrid stores opened since the third quarter of the prior year and four Torrid stores not yet qualifying as comparable stores.
  9.8      Increase in Internet sales.
       
$  (0.6   Total
       

Sales of our Hot Topic division’s apparel including tee-shirts, as a percentage of total net sales, decreased to 52% during the first nine months of fiscal 2009 from 55% for the first nine months of fiscal 2008.

 

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Gross margin decreased $1.7 million, or 0.9%, to $179.7 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2009 from $181.4 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2008. As a percentage of net sales, gross margin decreased to 34.4% during the first nine months of fiscal 2009 from 34.7% in the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The significant components of this 0.3 percentage point decrease in gross margin as a percentage of net sales are as follows:

 

     

Description

(0.6 )%    Decrease in merchandise margin as a result of higher markdowns, partially offset by higher realized markup.
(0.1   Increase in store depreciation primarily due to higher depreciation expense for computer hardware and software.
  0.1      Decrease in distribution expense and buying costs primarily due to a decrease in depreciation and freight expenses, partially offset by higher payroll costs.
  0.3      Decrease in store occupancy expense, primarily due to lower rents and common area maintenance costs.
     
(0.3 )%    Total
     

Selling, general and administrative expenses increased $0.1 million to $173.6 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to $173.5 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2008. As a percentage of net sales, selling, general and administrative expenses were 33.2% for the first nine months of fiscal 2009 and the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The significant differences in components of selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales are as follows:

 

     

Description

0.3   Increase in store payroll, partially offset by lower store performance based bonuses.
0.2      Increase in general and administrative payroll and benefits expense, partially offset by lower performance based bonuses.
(0.2   Decrease in preopening expenses as a result of fewer new stores and expenses related to launching our online music site in the third quarter of 2008.
(0.1   Decrease in depreciation and amortization primarily due to lower depreciation expense for computer software.
(0.2   Decrease in marketing expenses primarily due to reduced spend related to marketing partnerships.
     
0.0   Total
     

Income from operations decreased $1.8 million to $6.1 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2009 from $7.9 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2008. As a percentage of net sales, income from operations was 1.2% in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to 1.5% in the first nine months of fiscal 2008.

Net interest income decreased $0.9 million to $0.4 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 from $1.3 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The total dollar decrease in net interest income was attributable to lower interest rate yields on our invested cash.

Provision for income taxes was $2.6 million for the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to $3.6 million for the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The effective tax rate was 40.1% for the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to 39.4% for the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The increase in the effective tax rate was primarily due to lower non-taxable interest income.

 

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LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Historically and during the third quarter of fiscal 2009, our primary uses of cash have been to purchase merchandise inventories, improve our information technology infrastructure and finance store remodels, relocations and to a lesser extent recently, new store openings. In the past we have also made periodic repurchases of our common stock. During the third quarter of fiscal 2009 and consistent with recent years, we satisfied our cash requirements principally from cash flows from operations. We also maintain a $5.0 million unsecured credit agreement for issuing letters of credit for inventory purchases that will expire on September 1, 2010, after which we expect to renew it under similar terms. There were letters of credit for $324,000 outstanding at October 31, 2009. Cash, cash equivalents and short-and long-term investments held by us were $99.6 million and $105.9 million as of October 31, 2009 and January 31, 2009, respectively. We believe our current cash balances and cash generated from operations will be sufficient to fund our operations through at least the next 12 months.

Cash and cash equivalents are held primarily in diversified money market funds. Our short-term investments were $5.1 million at October 31, 2009, consist primarily of highly rated municipal bonds, have maturities that are less than six months and are accounted for as available for sale. At October 31, 2009, our long-term investments consisted of certificates of deposit and AAA/Aaa/A3-rated auction rate securities. The certificates of deposit are guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and have maturities of approximately 2 years. As of October 31, 2009, the fair value of our certificates of deposit was $5.0 million. We did not have any certificates of deposit as of January 31, 2009.

Our auction rate securities are accounted for as available for sale, are backed by pools of student loans guaranteed by the U.S. Department of Education, are debt instruments with maturities that range from 24 to 31 years and have interest rates that are reset through an auction process, most commonly at intervals of 7, 28 and 35 days. This same auction process is designed to provide a means by which these securities can be sold and historically has provided a liquid market for them. There continues to be uncertainty in the global credit and capital markets, which has resulted in the failure of auctions representing the auction rate securities we hold as the amount of securities submitted for sale in those auctions exceed the amount of bids. While we have continued to earn and receive interest on our auction rate securities through the date of this report, we concluded that their estimated fair value no longer approximates par value. Due to the lack of availability of observable market quotes on our auction rate securities, the fair market value of these securities has been determined based on a valuation model prepared by the broker-dealer that holds these securities on our behalf. We have reviewed and found reasonable the valuation model and methodologies used by the broker-dealer, and have continued to update the model using current assumptions.

As of October 31, 2009 and January 31, 2009, the fair value of our auction rate securities was $3.2 million and $8.4 million, respectively. The $5.2 million decrease from the beginning of the fiscal year represents a $6.2 million repurchase of certain of our auction rate securities at par by the broker who holds these securities on our behalf and through whom we originally purchased them, and a $0.2 million redemption of certain auction rate securities at par, of which $50,000 was redeemed during the third quarter of fiscal 2009. The decrease is offset by the recovery in fair value of $1.1 million which was previously temporarily impaired as well as an increase in fair value of the remaining auction rate securities of $0.1 million, of which $18,000 relates to the third quarter of fiscal 2009. The fair value of our remaining auction rate securities as of October 31, 2009, reflects a cumulative decline of $0.7 million from the original par value.

 

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This cumulative $0.7 million decline ($0.4 million net of tax) is deemed temporary as we do not have the intent to sell these securities and it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell the securities before the recovery of their amortized cost basis. If uncertainties in the credit and capital markets continue, we may incur additional losses, some of which may be other-than-temporary, which could negatively affect our financial condition or results of operations. In addition, in the event that we decide to sell these securities and it becomes more likely than not that we will be required to sell the securities before the recovery of their amortized cost basis, we may be required to recognize impairment charges against income.

For the nine months ended October 31, 2009, we have recorded an unrealized gain of $1.2 million ($0.7 million net of tax) for our auction rate securities in accumulated other comprehensive income, or OCI, reflected in the shareholders’ equity section of the consolidated balance sheet. This $1.2 million unrealized gain represents a recovery in fair value of $1.1 million which was previously temporarily impaired as well as an increase in fair value of the remaining auction rate securities of $0.1 million.

While the auction failures will limit our ability to liquidate these investments for some period of time, we do not believe the auction failures will materially impact our ability to fund our working capital needs, capital expenditures or other business requirements.

Net cash flows provided by operating activities were $10.0 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to $35.9 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The $25.9 million decrease in cash flows from operating activities in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to the first nine months of fiscal 2008 was primarily attributable to decreases in accrued liabilities, income tax payable and accounts payable, offset by a decrease in inventory.

Net cash flows used in investing activities were $15.8 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to $48,000 in the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The decrease in cash flows from investing activities in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to the first nine months of fiscal 2008 was attributable to a $15.0 million decrease in proceeds from the sale of short- and long-term investments, net of purchases, and a $0.7 million increase in purchases of property and equipment.

Net cash flows provided by financing activities were $2.0 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to $0.4 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The $1.6 million increase in cash flows provided by financing activities in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 compared to the first nine months of fiscal 2008 resulted from an increase in the proceeds from the exercise of stock options and employee stock purchases, as well as an increase in the excess tax benefit from stock-based compensation.

 

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The following table summarizes our contractual obligations as of October 31, 2009 and the timing and effect that such commitments are expected to have on our liquidity and capital requirements in future periods:

 

     Payments due by period (in thousands)

Contractual obligations

   Total    Less Than
1 Year
   1-3 Years    3-5 Years    More than 5
Years

Operating leases

   $ 300,745    $ 57,177    $ 104,036    $ 75,989    $ 63,543

Purchase obligations

   $ 86,545      86,545      —        —        —  

Letters of credit and other obligations

   $ 11,558      3,928      6,130      1,500      —  

Income tax audit settlements¹

   $ 495      495      —        —        —  
                                  

Total contractual obligations

   $ 399,343    $ 148,145    $ 110,166    $ 77,489    $ 63,543
                                  

 

(1) The $0.5 million of income tax audit settlements are unrecognized tax benefits for which the statutes of limitations are expected to expire in fiscal 2009; and for final settlement in fiscal 2009 of certain open audits. Due to the uncertainty regarding the timing of future cash outflows associated with other non-current unrecognized tax benefits of $1.4 million, we are unable to make a reliable estimate of the periods of cash settlement with the respective tax authorities and have not included such amount in the contractual obligations table above.

We anticipate we will spend approximately $25 to $27 million on capital expenditures in fiscal 2009. Of the $25 to $27 million, we plan to spend approximately $4 to $6 million for store construction, including the opening of two Hot Topic stores and one Torrid store and the remodel or relocation of approximately 15 to 20 existing Hot Topic stores. We plan to spend the remaining capital expenditures on various improvements in our information technology infrastructure, including technological improvements at the store level, the purchase of new computer hardware and software and the development and improvement of our Internet sites.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES

Management’s discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations are based upon our consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. The preparation of these financial statements requires us to make estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses and related disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities. On an ongoing basis, we evaluate estimates, including those related primarily to inventories, long-lived assets and contingencies. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other assumptions that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.

We believe the following critical accounting policies affect the more significant judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our condensed consolidated financial statements. For a further discussion about the application of these and other accounting policies, refer to the notes included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 31, 2009.

Inventories: Inventories are valued at the lower of average cost or market, on a weighted average cost basis, using the retail method. Under the retail method, inventory is stated at its current retail selling value and then is converted to a cost basis by applying an average cost factor that represents the average cost-to-retail ratio based on beginning inventory and the purchase activity for the month. Throughout the year, we review our inventory levels in order to identify slow-moving merchandise and use permanent markdowns to sell through selected merchandise.

 

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We record a charge to cost of goods sold for permanent markdowns. Inherent in the retail method are certain significant management judgments and estimates including initial merchandise markup, future sales, markdowns and shrinkage, which significantly impact the ending inventory valuation at cost and the resulting gross margins. To the extent our estimated markdowns at period-end prove to be insufficient, additional future markdowns will need to be recorded. Physical inventories are conducted during the year to determine actual inventory on hand and shrinkage. We accrue our estimated inventory shrinkage for the period between the last physical count and current balance sheet date. Thus, the difference between actual and estimated shrink amounts may cause fluctuations in quarterly results, but not for the fiscal year results.

Valuation of Long-Lived Assets: We assess the impairment of long-lived assets whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying value may not be recoverable. We group and evaluate long-lived assets for impairment at the individual store level, which is the lowest level at which individual cash flows can be identified. Factors we consider important that could trigger an impairment review include a significant underperformance relative to expected historical or projected future operating results, a significant change in the manner of the use of the asset or a significant negative industry or economic trend. When we determine that the carrying value of long-lived assets may not be recoverable based upon the existence of one or more of the aforementioned factors, impairment is measured based on a projected discounted cash flow method using a discount rate determined by management. These cash flows are calculated by netting future estimated store sales against associated merchandise costs and store-related expenses such as payroll and occupancy. The estimated store sales, net of the aforementioned costs and expenses, used for this nonrecurring fair value measurement is considered a Level 3 input and discussed in more detail in NOTE 7 – Fair Value Measurements contained in the accompanying financial statements. In the event future store performance is lower than forecasted results, future cash flows may be lower than expected, which could result in future impairment charges. While we believe recently opened stores will provide sufficient cash flow, material changes in results could result in future impairment charges.

Revenue Recognition: Revenue is recognized at our retail store locations at the point at which the customer receives and pays for the merchandise at the register. For online sales, revenue is recognized at the time of shipment, which we refer to as the date of purchase by the customer. Sales are recognized net of merchandise returns, which are reserved for based on historical experience. Revenue from gift cards, gift certificates and store merchandise credits is recognized at the time of redemption. Shipping and handling revenues from our websites are included as a component of net sales.

We recognize estimated gift card breakage as a component of net sales in proportion to actual gift card redemptions over the period that remaining gift card values are redeemed. Gift card breakage is income recognized due to the non-redemption of a portion of gift cards sold by us for which liability was recorded in prior periods. While customer redemption patterns result in estimated gift card breakage, which approximates 5 to 6%, changes in our customers’ behavior could impact the amount that ultimately is unused and could affect the amount recognized as a component of net sales.

Vendor Allowances: We receive certain allowances from our vendors primarily related to damaged merchandise and markdowns. Allowances received from vendors related to damaged merchandise are reflected as a reduction of inventory in the period they are received and allocated to cost of sales during the period in which the items are sold. Markdown allowances received from vendors are reflected as reductions to cost of sales in the period they are received as these allowances are received after goods have been sold or marked down.

 

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Stock-Based Payments: We estimate the fair value of stock options granted using the Black-Scholes option-pricing formula and a single option award approach. This fair value is then amortized over the requisite service periods of the awards. This option-pricing model requires the input of highly subjective assumptions, including the option’s expected life, price volatility of the underlying stock, risk free interest rate and expected dividend rate. As stock-based compensation expense is based on awards ultimately expected to vest, it has been reduced for estimated forfeitures. Forfeitures are estimated at the time of grant and revised, if necessary, in subsequent periods if actual forfeitures differ from those estimates. Forfeitures are estimated based on historical experience.

Self-Insurance: We are self-insured for certain losses related to medical and workers compensation although we maintain stop loss coverage with third party insurers to limit our total liability exposure. The estimate of our self-insurance liability involves uncertainty since we must use judgment to estimate the ultimate cost that will be incurred to settle reported claims and unreported claims for incidents incurred but not reported as of the balance sheet date. When estimating our self-insurance liability, we consider a number of factors, which include historical claim experience and valuations provided by independent third party actuaries. As claims develop, the actual ultimate losses may differ from actuarial estimates. Therefore, an analysis is performed quarterly to determine if modifications to the accrual are required.

Rent Expense: Rent expense under our operating leases typically provides for fixed non-contingent rent escalations. We recognize rent expense on a straight-line basis over the non-cancelable term of each lease, commencing when we take possession of the property. Construction allowances are recorded as a deferred rent liability, which we amortize as a reduction of rent expense over the non-cancelable term of each lease.

Income Taxes: We account for income taxes using the liability method. Under this method, deferred tax assets and liabilities are determined based on differences between financial reporting bases and tax bases of assets and liabilities and are measured using the enacted tax rates expected to apply to taxable income in the periods in which the deferred tax asset or liability is expected to be realized or settled. Deferred tax assets are reduced by valuation allowances if we believe it is more likely than not that some portion or the entire asset will not be realized.

We prescribe a recognition threshold and a measurement attribute for the financial statement recognition and measurement of tax positions taken or expected to be taken in a tax return. For those benefits to be recognized, a tax position must be more likely than not to be sustained upon examination by taxing authorities. The amount recognized is measured as the largest amount of benefit that has a greater than 50% likelihood of being realized upon ultimate settlement.

We include interest and penalties related to uncertain tax positions in income tax expense.

INFLATION

We do not believe that inflation has had a material adverse effect on our net sales or results of operations in the past. However, we cannot assure that our business will not be affected by inflation in the future.

 

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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

We are not a party to any derivative financial instruments. Our exposure to market risk primarily relates to changes in interest rates on our investments with maturities of less than three months (which are considered to be cash and cash equivalents) and short- and long-term investments with maturities in excess of three months. A 100 basis point change in interest rates over a three-month period would not have a material impact on the fair value of our investment portfolio as of October 31, 2009.

We hold long-term investments in AAA/Aaa/A3-rated auction rate securities. These auction rate securities are accounted for as available for sale and backed by pools of student loans guaranteed by the U.S. Department of Education. Our auction rate securities are debt instruments with maturities that range from 24 to 31 years and with interest rates that are reset through an auction process, most commonly at intervals of 7, 28 and 35 days. This same auction process is designed to provide a means by which these securities can be sold and historically has provided a liquid market for them. There continues to be uncertainty in the global credit and capital markets, which has resulted in the failure of auctions representing the auction rate securities we hold as the amount of securities submitted for sale in those auctions exceed the amount of bids. While we have continued to earn and receive interest on our auction rate securities through the date of this report, we concluded that their estimated fair value no longer approximates par value. Due to the lack of availability of observable market quotes on our auction rate securities, the fair market value of these securities has been determined based on a valuation model prepared by the broker-dealer that holds these securities on our behalf. We have reviewed and found reasonable the valuation model and methodologies used by the broker-dealer and have continued to update the same model using current assumptions as of October 31, 2009.

As of October 31, 2009 and January 31, 2009, the fair value of our auction rate securities was $3.2 million and $8.4 million, respectively. The $5.2 million decrease from the beginning of the fiscal year represents a $6.2 million repurchase of certain of our auction rate securities at par by the broker who holds these securities on our behalf and through whom we originally purchased them, and a $0.2 million redemption of certain auction rate securities at par, of which $50,000 was redeemed during the third quarter of fiscal 2009. The decrease is offset by the recovery in fair value of $1.1 million which was previously temporarily impaired as well as an increase in fair value of the remaining auction rate securities of $0.1 million, of which $18,000 relates to the third quarter of fiscal 2009. The fair value of our remaining auction rate securities as of October 31, 2009, reflects a cumulative decline of $0.7 million from the original par value. This cumulative $0.7 million decline ($0.4 million net of tax) is deemed temporary as we do not have the intent to sell these securities and it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell the securities before the recovery of their amortized cost basis. If uncertainties in the credit and capital markets continue, we may incur additional losses, some of which may be other-than-temporary, which could negatively affect our financial condition or results of operations. In addition, in the event that we decide to sell these securities and it becomes more likely than not that we will be required to sell the securities before the recovery of their amortized cost basis, we may be required to recognize impairment charges against income. For the nine months ended October 31, 2009, we have recorded an unrealized gain of $1.2 million ($0.7 million net of tax) for our auction rate securities in OCI reflected in the shareholders’ equity section of the consolidated balance sheet. This $1.2 million unrealized gain represents a recovery in fair value of $1.1 million which was previously temporarily impaired as well as an increase in fair value of the remaining auction rate securities of $0.1 million.

While the auction failures will limit our ability to liquidate these investments for some period of time, we do not believe the auction failures will materially impact our ability to fund our working capital needs, capital expenditures or other business requirements.

 

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Item 4. Controls and Procedures

Our management maintains disclosure controls and procedures that are designed to ensure that the information required to be disclosed in our reports under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to management, including our Chief Executive Officer, or CEO, and Chief Financial Officer, or CFO, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.

We have carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our CEO and CFO, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of our most recent fiscal quarter. Based upon that evaluation, our CEO and CFO concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Exchange Act) are effective as of the end of our most recent fiscal quarter. There has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting during the most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

 

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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Legal Proceedings

We are involved in matters of litigation that arise in the ordinary course of business. We do not currently believe that litigation in which we are currently involved will have a material adverse effect on our overall financial condition.

 

Item 1A. Risk Factors

CERTAIN RISKS RELATED TO OUR BUSINESS

Before deciding to invest in Hot Topic, Inc. or to maintain or increase an investment in Hot Topic, Inc., readers should carefully consider the risks described below, in addition to the other information contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in our other filings with the SEC, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K. The risks described below are not the only risks we face. Additional risks that are not presently known to us or that we currently deem immaterial may also affect our business. If any of these known or unknown risks actually occur, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be seriously harmed, and our stock price could decline. The risks described below include certain revisions to the risks set forth in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2009.

Economic conditions such as the recent global economic downturn could decrease consumer spending and reduce our sales.

Certain economic conditions could affect the level of consumer spending on merchandise we offer, including, among others, employment levels; salary and wage levels; interest rates; availability of consumer credit; taxation; and consumer confidence in future economic conditions. For example, the global economic downturn has significantly reduced consumer spending levels and mall customer traffic in general. An ongoing slowdown in the United States economy or an uncertain economic outlook could continue to cause lower consumer spending levels and mall customer traffic which could adversely affect our sales results and financial performance.

Our success relies on popularity with young people of music, pop culture and fashion trends, and we may not be able to react to trends in a way to prevent declining popularity and sales of our products.

Our financial performance is largely dependent upon the continued popularity of rock music, the Internet and digital music, music videos and music television networks among teenagers and college-age adults; the emergence of new artists and the success of music releases and music/pop culture-related products; the continuance of a significant level of teenage spending on music/pop culture-licensed and music/pop culture-influenced products; and our ability to anticipate and keep pace with the music, fashion and merchandise preferences of our customers. The popularity of particular types of music, artists, styles, trends and brands is subject to change. Our failure to anticipate, identify and react appropriately to changing trends could lead to, among other things, excess inventories and higher markdowns, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition and on our image with customers. There can be no assurance that our new products will be met with the same level of acceptance as in the past or that the failure of any new products will not have an adverse material effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

 

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Our comparable store sales are subject to fluctuation resulting from factors within and outside our control, and lower than expected comparable store sales could impact our business and our stock price.

A variety of factors affect our comparable store sales including, among others, the timing of new music, film and television releases, music/pop culture-related products and related promotional events; music and fashion trends; the general retail sales environment and the effect of the overall economic environment, including the global economic downturn; our ability to efficiently source and distribute products; changes in our merchandise mix; our ability to attain certain pop culture-related licenses including on an exclusive basis; competition from other retailers; calendar shifts of holiday or seasonal periods; and our ability to execute our business strategy efficiently. The following table shows our comparable store sales results for fiscal 2009 and other recent periods:

 

Fiscal Year

   2009     2008     2007     2006  

Year to Date/Total Year

   (2.2 )%    1.0   (4.4 )%    (6.6 )% 

1st Quarter

   7.1   (2.8 )%    (2.3 )%    (9.6 )% 

2nd Quarter

   (7.7 )%    (0.9 )%    (5.8 )%    (5.5 )% 

3rd Quarter

   (5.0 )%    1.0   (2.6 )%    (6.8 )% 

4th Quarter

   N/A      5.2   (6.3 )%    (5.3 )% 

Past comparable store sales results are not an indicator of future results, and our comparable store sales results may not maintain their current upward trend in the future. Changes in our comparable store sales results could cause our stock price to fluctuate substantially.

Expanding our operations to include new concepts, including ShockHound, presents risks we have faced with our existing concepts, but also new risks due to differences in concept objectives and strategies and the diversion of management’s attention from our existing concepts.

Since our inception, we have expanded our business beyond the Hot Topic concept to include our Torrid concept and more recently, our e-space music discovery concept called ShockHound. We may implement other new concepts in the future. Starting and operating new concepts presents new and challenging risks and uncertainties, including, among others, unanticipated operational problems; lack of experience; lack of customer acceptance; the inability to market a new concept effectively; new vendor relationships; competition from existing and new retailers; and diversion of management’s attention from our existing concepts. If we do not operate ShockHound or any new concept effectively, it could materially impact our business.

ShockHound is subject to the general risks for new concepts described above as well as its own particular risks and uncertainties, such as risks related to maintaining access to third party digital content, maintaining adequate information technology and data security systems, increasing customer brand awareness, differentiating product and content from that of our competitors, and marketing and driving traffic to www.shockhound.com. Our inability to partner with other high-traffic websites could limit the amount of traffic and related volume for ShockHound. ShockHound faces substantial competition from companies such as eMusic, MySpace music, Apple Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. that have significant technical, marketing, distribution and other resources, as well as established hardware, software and digital content supplier relationships. Moreover, some current and potential competitors have substantial resources and experience, and they may be able to provide music discovery content at little or no profit or even at a loss. We cannot assure you that we will be able to effectively compete with these companies. Also, this new concept requires us to contract with third party owners, providers and/or distributors to offer digital content through ShockHound. We could also be required to pay substantial fees to obtain or renew the rights to this content.

 

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Typically, licensing arrangements are short-term and do not guarantee the continuation or renewal of these arrangements on reasonable terms. Some third-party content providers currently, or may in the future, offer competing products and services and could take action to make it more difficult or impossible for us to license their content in the future. Other digital content owners, providers or distributors may lose their rights to distribute digital content, seek to limit our access to, or increase the total cost of, such content. If we were unable to offer a wide variety of music content at reasonable prices with acceptable usage rules, our financial condition and operating results could be adversely affected.

Our reliance on third-party providers and/or distributors of digital content and related merchandise may present risks that could negatively impact our future results.

We may enter into contracts with third-party providers and/or distributors to offer their digital content and related merchandise for sale on-line. We may be negatively impacted by a number of factors, including among others: the malfunction of third-party sites, hardware, software and other equipment; service outages of third-party sites; third-party claims of data privacy and security breaches and intellectual property infringements; and poor integration of our technology into their software and services. If we are unable to prevent one or more of these occurrences, our results could be negatively impacted.

The deteriorating financial condition of shopping mall operators could reduce our sales or increase our expenses.

The global economic downturn has diminished the ability of shopping mall operators to operate profitably and in some cases, forced them to declare bankruptcy or cease operations entirely. We are dependent upon the continued popularity of malls as a shopping destination and the ability of shopping mall anchor tenants and other attractions to generate customer traffic. An ongoing slowdown in the United States economy or an uncertain economic outlook could continue to curtail shopping mall development, decrease shopping mall traffic, reduce the number of hours shopping mall operators keep their shopping malls open, cause shopping mall operators to lower their operational standards or in certain circumstances, negatively impact our lease contracts, each of which could adversely affect our sales results and financial performance.

We may not be able to maintain good relationships with shopping mall operators which could hinder our ability to negotiate our leases, expand, remodel or relocate certain sites or offer certain products.

The success of our business depends on establishing and maintaining good relationships with shopping mall operators and developers, and problems with those relationships could make it more difficult for us to expand, remodel or relocate to certain sites or offer certain products. Any restrictions on our ability to expand to new store sites, remodel or relocate stores where we feel it necessary or to offer a broad assortment of merchandise could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition. If our relations with shopping mall operators or developers become strained, or we otherwise encounter difficulties in leasing store sites, we may not grow as planned and may not reach certain revenue levels and other operating targets. Risks associated with these relationships are more acute given recent consolidation in the shopping mall operation and development industry and the recent negative economic climate, and we have seen certain increases in expenses as a result of such consolidation that could continue.

Our business strategy requires improving our operations, and we may not be able to do this sufficiently to effectively prevent a negative impact on our business and financial results.

 

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In order to open, remodel and relocate stores, among other things, we will need to locate suitable store sites, negotiate acceptable lease terms, obtain or maintain adequate capital resources on acceptable terms, source sufficient levels of inventory, hire and train store managers and sales associates, integrate new or relocated stores into our existing operations and maintain adequate distribution center space and information technology and other operations systems. Achieving and maintaining operating efficiencies in multiple distribution centers is subject to numerous risks and uncertainties.

We continue to evaluate the adequacy of our management information and distribution systems. Implementing new systems and changes made to existing systems could present challenges we do not anticipate and could negatively impact our business. We cannot anticipate all of the changing demands that our expanding and changing operations will impose on our business, systems and procedures, and our failure to adapt to such changing demands could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. Our failure to timely implement initiatives necessary to support our operations could also materially impact our business.

Our strategy of remodeling, relocating or closing existing stores, and opening new stores, may not achieve its anticipated benefits and could create challenges we may not be able to adequately meet.

Prior to fiscal 2007, our net sales grew as a result of the opening of new stores. More recently, we have focused on evolving our existing business by remodeling, relocating or closing certain existing stores and to a much lesser extent in the future, continuing to open and operate new stores. We plan to open 2 new Hot Topic stores and 1 new Torrid store, and to remodel or relocate approximately 15 to 20 existing Hot Topic stores in fiscal 2009. We also plan to close approximately 3 Hot Topic and 4 Torrid stores in fiscal 2009.

Our future operating results will depend substantially upon our ability to successfully maintain our existing store base, improve the performance of our remodeled and relocated stores, and to a lesser extent in the future, open and operate new stores. Moving or expanding store locations and operating stores in new markets may present competitive and merchandising challenges that are different from those currently encountered by us in our existing stores and markets. There can be no assurance that our strategy will not adversely affect the individual financial performance of our existing stores or our overall results of operations. In the event that the number of our stores increases, we may face risks associated with market saturation of our products and concepts.

Similarly, there can be no assurance that remodeling or relocating existing stores will not adversely affect either the individual financial performance of the store prior to the change, or our overall results of operations. Further, there can be no assurance that we will successfully achieve our remodel or expansion targets or, if achieved, that planned remodel or expansion will result in profitable operations.

Our profitability could be adversely affected by volatile petroleum prices.

The profitability of our business depends to a certain degree upon the price of petroleum products, both as a component of the transportation costs for delivery of inventory from our vendors to our stores and as a raw material used in the production of our merchandise. During fiscal 2008, petroleum prices were volatile and rose to historic or near historic highs. We are unable to predict what the price of crude oil and the resulting petroleum products will be in the future. We may be unable to pass along to our customers the increased costs that would result from higher petroleum prices. Therefore, any such increase could have a material adverse impact on our business and profitability.

 

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Significant fluctuation in the value of the U.S. dollar or foreign exchange rates may increase our costs and reduce our supply of merchandise.

Historically, substantially all of our foreign purchases of merchandise have been negotiated and paid for in U.S. dollars. As a result, our sourcing operations also may be adversely affected by significant fluctuation in the value of the U.S. dollar against foreign currencies, restrictions on the transfer of funds and other trade disruptions.

Uncertainty in the global capital and credit markets may materially impair the liquidity of a portion of our cash and investment portfolio.

We hold investments in AAA/Aaa/A3-rated auction rate securities and account for them as available for sale. They are backed by pools of student loans guaranteed by the U.S. Department of Education. Our auction rate securities are debt instruments with maturities that range from 24 to 31 years and with interest rates that are reset through an auction process, most commonly at intervals of 7, 28 and 35 days. This same auction process is designed to provide a means by which these securities can be sold and historically has provided a liquid market for them. There continues to be uncertainty in the global credit and capital markets, which has resulted in the failure of auctions representing the auction rate securities we hold as the amount of securities submitted for sale in those auctions exceed the amount of bids. While we have continued to earn and receive interest on our auction rate securities through the date of this report, we concluded that their estimated fair value no longer approximates par value. Due to the lack of availability of observable market quotes on our auction rate securities, the fair market value of these securities was initially determined in the first quarter of fiscal 2008 based on a valuation model prepared by the broker-dealer that holds these securities on our behalf. We reviewed and found reasonable the valuation model and methodologies used by the broker-dealer. In addition, we have continued to update the model using current assumptions through the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2009.

As of October 31, 2009 and January 31, 2009, the fair value of our auction rate securities was $3.2 million and $8.4 million, respectively. The $5.2 million decrease from the beginning of the fiscal year represents a $6.2 million repurchase of certain of our auction rate securities at par by the broker who holds these securities on our behalf and through whom we originally purchased them, and a $0.2 million redemption of certain of our other auction rate securities at par, of which $50,000 was redeemed during the third quarter of fiscal 2009. The decrease is offset by the recovery in fair value of $1.1 million which was previously temporarily impaired as well as an increase in fair value of the remaining auction rate securities of $0.1 million, of which $18,000 relates to the third quarter of fiscal 2009. The fair value of our remaining auction rate securities as of October 31, 2009, reflects a cumulative decline of $0.7 million from the original par value. This cumulative $0.7 million decline ($0.4 million net of tax) is deemed temporary as we do not have the intent to sell these securities and it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell the securities before the recovery of their amortized cost basis. If uncertainties in the credit and capital markets continue, we may incur additional losses, some of which may be other-than-temporary, which could negatively affect our financial condition or results of operations. In addition, in the event that we decide to sell these securities and it becomes more likely than not that we will be required to sell the securities before the recovery of their amortized cost basis, we may be required to recognize impairment charges against income. For the nine months ended October 31, 2009, we have recorded an unrealized gain of $1.2 million ($0.7 million net of tax) for our auction rate securities in OCI reflected in the shareholders’ equity section of the consolidated balance sheet. This $1.2 million unrealized gain represents a recovery in fair value of $1.1 million which was previously temporarily impaired as well as an increase in fair value of the remaining auction rate securities of $0.1 million.

Cash used primarily for working capital purposes is maintained with various major financial institutions in amounts which are in excess of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, or FDIC, insurance limits. Excess cash and cash equivalents, which represent the majority of our cash and cash equivalents balance, are held primarily in diversified money market funds. We also have short-term

 

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investments which are primarily in highly rated municipal bonds. Although the money market funds and municipal bonds are highly rated and are comprised of high-quality, liquid instruments, if the financial markets trading the underlying assets experience a disruption, we may need to temporarily rely on other forms of liquidity.

Recording impairment charges for certain underperforming Hot Topic and Torrid stores may negatively impact our future financial condition or results of operations, and closing stores might not have a positive impact on our operating results.

Based on our review of certain underperforming stores, we recorded $0.6 million, $1.2 million and $1.6 million in impairment charges during the first nine months of 2009, the full year fiscal 2008 and the full year fiscal 2007, respectively. There can be no assurance that we will not incur future impairment charges for underperforming stores, which could have a significant impact on our operating results. We expect to close a total of approximately 3 Hot Topic and 4 Torrid stores in fiscal 2009. We also expect to identify and close additional underperforming stores in the future, which also could adversely affect our operating results.

Changes in laws, including employment laws and laws related to our merchandise, could make conducting our business more expensive or change the way we do business.

In addition to increased regulatory compliance requirements, recent changes in laws and any future changes could make ordinary conduct of our business more expensive or require us to change the way we do business. For example, recent changes in federal and state minimum wage laws could cause us to reexamine our entire wage structure for stores. Other laws related to treatment of employees, including laws related to employee benefits and privacy, could also negatively impact us such as by increasing benefits costs such as medical expenses. Moreover, changes in product safety or other consumer protection laws could lead to increased costs to us for certain merchandise, or additional labor costs associated with readying merchandise for sale. It is often difficult for us to plan and prepare for potential changes to applicable laws.

Government or consumer concerns about product safety could result in regulatory actions, recalls or changes to laws, which could harm our reputation, increase costs or reduce sales.

We are subject to regulation by the Consumer Product Safety Commission and similar state and international regulatory authorities, and our products could be subject to involuntary recalls and other actions by these authorities. We purchase merchandise from suppliers domestically as well as outside the United States. One or more of our suppliers might not adhere to product safety requirements or our quality control standards, and we might not identify the deficiency before merchandise ships to our stores. Any issues of product safety could result in a recall of our products. Additionally, the U.S. legislature, as well as various states and regulatory agencies, including the Consumer Product Safety Commission, have undertaken reviews of product safety, specifically for lead content in jewelry, and other consumer products, and have enacted or are considering various proposals for additional more stringent laws and regulations. In particular, the U.S. Congress has enacted the Consumer Product Safety Improvement Act of 2008, which imposes significant new requirements on the retail industry as well as enhancing the penalties for noncompliance. Some of these new mandates could result in lost sales, the rejection of our products by consumers, damage to our reputation or material increases in our costs, and may have a material adverse effect on our business. Moreover, individuals may assert claims that they have sustained injuries from products we sell, and we may be subject to lawsuits relating to these claims. There is a risk that these claims or liabilities may exceed, or fall outside of the scope of our insurance coverage. Any of the issues mentioned above could result in damage to our reputation, diversion of development and management resources, reduction of sales and an increase in costs and liabilities, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our reputation or financial performance.

 

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Timing and seasonal issues could negatively impact our financial performance for given periods.

Our quarterly results of operations may fluctuate materially depending on, among other things, the timing of store openings and related pre-opening and other startup expenses; net sales contributed by new stores; increases or decreases in comparable store sales; timing and popularity of certain licensed products; releases of new music and music/pop culture-related products; shifts in timing of certain holidays; changes in our merchandise mix; and overall economic and political conditions.

In addition, seasonal influences near quarter-end dates may cause financial results for given periods to be impacted by shifts in our fiscal year, which is on a 52- or 53-week basis. For example, the fiscal years ended January 31, 2009 and February 2, 2008 were 52-week fiscal years, and the fiscal year ended February 3, 2007 was a 53-week fiscal year. The 53rd week in fiscal 2006 caused a one-week shift in our fiscal 2007 calendar, resulting in the end of fiscal 2007 being shifted later by one week relative to the corresponding year-ending date in fiscal 2006.

Our business, particularly the Hot Topic division, is also subject to seasonal influences, with heavier concentrations of sales during the back-to-school, Halloween and holiday (defined as the week of Thanksgiving through the first few days of January) seasons and other periods when schools are not in session. The holiday season has historically been our single most important selling season. We believe that the importance of the summer vacation and back-to-school seasons (which affect operating results in the second and third quarters) and to a lesser extent, the spring break season (which affects operating results in the first quarter), as well as Halloween (which affects operating results in the third quarter), all reduce our dependence on the holiday selling season, but this may not always be the case to the same degree. As is the case with many retailers of apparel, accessories and related merchandise, we typically experience lower net sales in the first fiscal quarter relative to other quarters.

We depend on a small number of key licensed products for a portion of our earnings and lower than expected sales of those products or the inability to obtain new licensed products could adversely affect our revenues.

We license from others the rights to produce and/or sell certain products that contain a third party’s trademarks, designs and other intellectual property. If the popularity of those licensed products diminishes, consumer acceptance of and demand for those licensed products could decline. Furthermore, if we are unable to obtain new licensed products with comparable consumer demand, our sales could decline. A decrease in customer demand for any of these products could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

We have many important vendor relationships, and our ability to get merchandise could be hurt by changes in those relationships and events harmful to our vendors could impact our results of operations.

Our financial performance depends on our ability to purchase desired merchandise in sufficient quantities at competitive prices. Although we have many sources of merchandise, substantially all of our music/pop culture-licensed products are available from vendors that have exclusive license rights. In addition, small, specialized vendors, some of which create unique products primarily for us, supply certain of our products. Our smaller vendors generally have limited resources, production capacities and operating histories and some of our vendors have restricted the distribution of their merchandise in the past. We generally have no long-term purchase contracts or other contractual assurances of continued supply, pricing or access to new products. There can be no assurance that we will be able to acquire desired merchandise in sufficient quantities on acceptable terms in the future. Any inability to acquire suitable merchandise, or the loss of one or more key vendors, may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

 

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Changes in business conditions, including new legislative and regulatory requirements, may increase costs and further affect our relationship with vendors.

Changes in our vendor compliance and certification procedures may delay delivery of merchandise and increase costs. Our relationships with our vendors may be adversely affected as a result of these changes, making us more dependent on a smaller number of vendors. Some vendors may choose not to continue to do business with us to the extent that they have done in the past. In addition, we may not be able to depend upon the cooperation of our vendors to meet market demand for products in a timely manner. There can be no assurance that existing and future events will not require us to adopt additional requirements and incur additional costs, and impose those requirements and costs on our vendors, which may adversely affect our relationship with those vendors.

A disruption of imports from our foreign suppliers may increase our costs and reduce our supply of merchandise.

We do not own or operate any production or manufacturing facilities, and we depend on independent contractors and vendors to manufacture our merchandise. We receive apparel and other merchandise from foreign sources, both purchased directly in foreign markets and indirectly through domestic vendors with foreign sources. As a result of our reliance on international vendors and manufacturers, we are subject to the risks generally associated with global trade and doing business abroad, which include foreign laws and regulations, political unrest, disruptions or delays in cross-border shipments and changes in economic conditions in countries in which our merchandise is manufactured. In addition, disease outbreaks, terrorist acts and military conflict have increased the risks of doing business with foreign suppliers. We cannot predict the effect that such factors will have on our business arrangements with foreign manufacturing sources. These factors, among others, could affect our ability to have our merchandise manufactured abroad, our ability to import merchandise, and our cost of doing business.

To the extent that any of our vendors are located overseas or rely on overseas sources for a large portion of their products, any event causing a disruption of imports, including the imposition of import restrictions, could harm our, or our vendors’, ability to source product. This disruption could materially limit the merchandise that we would have available for sale and reduce our revenues and earnings. Trade restrictions in the form of tariffs or quotas, or both, that are applicable to the products that we sell also could affect the import of those products and could increase the cost and reduce the supply of products available to us. Further, changes in tariffs or quotas for merchandise imported from individual foreign countries could lead us to shift our sources of supply among various countries. Any shift we might undertake in the future could result in a disruption of our sources of supply and lead to a reduction in our revenues and earnings. Supply chain security initiatives undertaken by the United States government that impede the normal flow of product could also negatively impact our business.

Risks associated with contracting directly with manufacturers for merchandise could hinder our financial performance.

We expect to source a greater percentage of our merchandise directly from manufacturers in the future. We have limited experience in sourcing and importing merchandise directly from manufacturers. We may encounter administrative challenges and operational difficulties with our direct manufacturers that we use to source our merchandise. Operational difficulties could include reductions in the availability of production capacity, errors in complying with merchandise specifications, insufficient quality control and failures to meet production deadlines. A manufacturer’s failure to ship merchandise to us on a timely basis or to meet the required quality standards could cause supply shortages that could result in lost sales. As a result of any of these events or circumstances, delays and unexpected costs may occur, which could result in our not realizing all or any of the anticipated benefits of contracting directly with manufacturers.

 

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Failure of our vendors to use acceptable ethical business practices could negatively impact our business.

We expect our vendors to operate in compliance with applicable laws, rules and regulations regarding working conditions, employment practices, environmental compliance and trademark and copyright licensing. However, we do not control their labor and other business practices. Further, we do not inspect our manufacturers’ overseas operations and would not be immediately aware of any noncompliance by our vendors with applicable domestic or international laws, or certain of the standards set forth in our vendor manual. If one of our vendors violates labor or other laws or implements labor or other business practices that are regarded as unethical, the shipment of merchandise to us could be interrupted, orders could be canceled, relationships could be terminated and our reputation could be damaged. Any of these events could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

We could acquire merchandise without full rights to sell it, which could lead to disputes or litigation and hurt our financial performance.

We purchase licensed merchandise from vendors that hold, or represent that they hold, manufacturing and distribution rights under the terms of certain licenses. We also contract directly with licensors to obtain the manufacturing and distribution rights. We currently purchase a majority of our licensed merchandise from vendors, where we rely upon the vendors’ representations concerning manufacturing and distribution rights and do not independently verify whether these vendors legally hold adequate rights to the licensed properties they are manufacturing or distributing. If we acquire either directly, or through our vendors, licensed merchandise to which we have not legally obtained rights, we could be obligated to remove such merchandise from our stores, incur costs associated with destruction of merchandise (if the vendor is unwilling or unable to reimburse us in situations where we relied on the vendor to hold the manufacturing and distribution rights) and be subject to liability under various civil and criminal causes of action, including actions to recover unpaid royalties and other damages. As we expand our efforts to contract directly with manufacturers and licensors for licensed merchandise, we may incur difficulties securing the necessary manufacturing and distribution rights. Any of these results could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

Technology and other risks associated with our Internet sales could hinder our overall financial performance.

We sell merchandise over the Internet through our websites www.hottopic.com, www.torrid.com and www.shockhound.com. Our Internet sales encompass a portion of our total sales and are dependent on our ability to drive Internet traffic to our websites. Our Internet operations are subject to numerous risks and pose risks to our overall business, including, among other things, diversion of sales from our stores; liability for online content; computer privacy concerns; rapid technological change and the need to invest in additional computer hardware and software to support sales; hiring, retention and training of personnel to conduct the Internet operations; failure of computer hardware and software, including computer viruses, telecommunication failures, online security breaches and similar disruptions; governmental regulation; and credit card fraud. There can be no assurance that our Internet operations will achieve sales and profitability levels that justify our investment in them.

 

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System security risk issues or system failures could disrupt our internal operations or information technology services provided to customers, and any such disruption could harm our revenue, increase our expense and harm our reputation and stock price.

Experienced computer programmers and hackers may be able to penetrate our network security and misappropriate our confidential information or that of third parties, create system disruptions or cause shutdowns. As a result, we could incur significant expenses addressing problems created by security breaches of our network. Moreover, we could incur significant expenses in connection with system failures. In addition, sophisticated hardware and operating system software and applications that we procure from third parties may contain defects in design or manufacture, including “bugs” and other problems that could unexpectedly interfere with the operation of the system. The costs to us to eliminate or alleviate security problems, viruses and bugs could be significant, and the efforts to address these problems could result in interruptions, delays or cessation of service that may impede our sales, distribution or other critical functions.

In addition, our systems are not fully redundant and could be subject to failure at many different points. Moreover, our disaster recovery planning may not be sufficient and we may not have adequate insurance coverage to compensate us for any related losses. Any of these events could damage our reputation and adversely impact our financial results.

We have made and plan to continue to make significant changes to information systems and software used in the operation of our business, and we may not be able to effectively adopt changes in a way to prevent failures in our operations or a negative impact on our financial performance and reporting.

Over the past several years, we have made improvements to existing hardware and software systems, as well as implemented new systems. For example, we have enhanced the functionality of our current Escalate Retail Systems software and implemented financial and human resources systems software from Lawson Software. In addition, we implemented a warehouse management software system, an internet order management system, customer loyalty software and merchandise planning software. We expect to significantly increase our reliance on these systems throughout fiscal 2009. If these information systems and software do not work effectively, we may experience delays or failures in our operations. These delays or failures could adversely impact the promptness and accuracy of our merchandise distribution, transaction processing, financial accounting and reporting and ability to properly forecast earnings and cash requirements. To manage growth of our operations and personnel, we will need to continue to improve our operational and financial systems, transaction processing and procedures and controls, and in doing so, we could incur substantial additional expenses.

Loss of key people or an inability to hire necessary and significant personnel could hurt our business.

Our ability to achieve and maintain operating efficiency and to anticipate and effectively respond to changing trends and consumer preferences depends in part on our ability to retain and attract senior management and other key personnel in our operations, merchandising, music and other departments. Competition for these personnel is intense, and we cannot be sure that we will be able to retain or attract qualified personnel as needed. In particular, the sudden loss of the services of Elizabeth McLaughlin, our Chief Executive Officer, who has been with us since 1993, or the services of other key people could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

Decreased effectiveness of stock-based compensation and other changes in our stock-based compensation strategy could adversely affect our ability to attract and retain employees.

We have historically used stock options as a component of our total employee compensation program in order to align employees’ interests with the interests of our shareholders, encourage employee retention and provide competitive compensation and benefit packages.

 

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As a result of the decline in our stock price that took place prior to fiscal 2008, many of our employee stock options have exercise prices in excess of our current stock price, which reduces their value and could affect our ability to retain present, or attract prospective employees. There are other forms of stock-based compensation available to us, but these are similarly less attractive when a company’s stock price has declined. In addition, we began recording expenses for stock-based payments, including stock options, in the first quarter of fiscal 2006. As a result, we now incur increased compensation costs associated with our stock-based compensation programs. Moreover, difficulties relating to obtaining shareholder approval of equity compensation plans could make it harder or more expensive for us to grant stock-based payments to employees in the future. Like other companies, we review our equity compensation strategy in light of regulatory and competitive environments, as well as the number of shares available for grant, and we must reduce the total number of options granted, or the form of stock awards, to employees, and reduce the number of employees who receive stock-based payments. Due to this change in our stock-based compensation strategy, we may find it more difficult to attract, retain and motivate employees, and any such difficulty could materially adversely affect our business.

Our reliance on Federal Express, temporary employees and other mechanics of shipping of our merchandise creates distribution risks and uncertainties that could hurt our sales and business.

Our reliance on Federal Express for shipments is subject to risks associated with its ability to provide delivery services that adequately meet our shipping needs, as well as factors such as weather and transportation prices.

We are also dependent upon temporary associates to adequately staff our distribution centers, particularly during busy periods such as the holiday season and while multiple stores are opening. There can be no assurance that we will continue to receive adequate assistance from our temporary associates, or that there will continue to be sufficient sources of temporary associates.

We operate distribution centers in California and Tennessee, and as a result we face risks and uncertainties associated with achieving and maintaining operating efficiencies in two distribution centers that are located approximately 2,000 miles apart. Additionally, certain products we offer in our stores are imported and subject to delivery delays based on availability and port capacity.

We face intense competition, and an inability to adequately address it, or the success of our competitors, could limit or prevent our business growth and success.

The retail apparel and accessory industry is highly competitive. We compete with other retailers for vendors, teenage and young adult customers, suitable store locations and qualified associates and management personnel. Our Hot Topic stores currently compete with street alternative stores located primarily in metropolitan areas; with other shopping mall-based teenage-focused retailers and their subsidiaries such as Abercrombie & Fitch, Aeropostale, American Eagle Outfitters, Bebe, Inc., Charlotte Russe, Claire’s Stores, Inc., Gap, Inc., Forever 21, Pacific Sunwear of California, Inc., Spencer Gifts, Inc., H&M, The Buckle, Tweenbrands, Inc., Wet Seal, Inc., Urban Outfitters, Inc., rue21 and Zumiez, Inc. We also compete with big-box discount stores such as Target Corporation and Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.; with music stores such as Barnes & Noble, Inc., Best Buy Co., Inc. and Borders Group, Inc.; and with mail order catalogs and websites. Torrid has additional competitors, such as Alloy, Inc., Charming Shoppes, Inc., Deb Shops, Delia’s Corp. and plus-size departments in department stores and discount stores as well as numerous potential competitors who may begin or increase efforts to market and sell products competitive with Torrid products. ShockHound faces substantial competition from companies such as eMusic, MySpace music, Apple Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. Some of our competitors are larger and may have greater financial, marketing and other resources. Direct competition with these and other retailers may increase significantly in the future, which could require us, among other things, to lower our prices. Increased competition could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

 

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War, terrorism and other catastrophes could negatively impact our customers, places where we do business and our expenses, all of which could hurt our business.

The effects of war or acts of terrorism could have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and financial condition. The continued threat of terrorism and heightened security and military action in response to this threat, or any future acts of terrorism, may cause further disruptions and create further uncertainties. To the extent that such disruptions or uncertainties negatively impact shopping patterns and/or shopping mall traffic, or adversely affect consumer confidence or the economy in general, our business, operating results and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.

Our principal executive offices, a distribution center and a significant number of our stores are located in California. If we experience a sustained disruption in energy supplies, or if electricity and gas costs in California fluctuate dramatically, our results of operations could be materially and adversely affected. California is also subject to natural disasters such as earthquakes, fires and floods. A significant natural disaster or other catastrophic event affecting our facilities could have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition and operating results.

There are numerous risks that could cause our stock price to fluctuate substantially and we may be at risk of securities class action litigation due to such fluctuations.

Our common stock is quoted on the Nasdaq Stock Market, which has experienced and is likely to experience in the future, significant price and volume fluctuations, which could adversely affect our stock price without regard to our financial performance. In addition, we believe that factors such as quarterly fluctuations in our financial results and comparable store sales; announcements by other apparel, accessory, music and gift item retailers; the trading volume of our stock; changes in estimates of our performance by securities analysts; litigation; overall economic and political conditions, including the global economic downturn; the condition of the financial markets, including the credit crisis; and other events or factors outside of our control could cause our stock price to fluctuate substantially, including significant declines in our stock price. In the past, shareholders have brought securities class action litigation against a company following a decline in the market price of its securities. To date, we have not been subject to securities class action litigation. However, we may in the future be the target of such litigation, which could result in substantial costs and divert our management’s attention and resources, and could harm our business.

Our charter documents and other circumstances could prevent a takeover or cause dilution of our existing shareholders, which could be detrimental to existing shareholders and hinder business success.

Our Articles of Incorporation and Bylaws contain provisions that may have the effect of delaying, deterring or preventing a takeover of Hot Topic, Inc. For instance, our Articles of Incorporation include certain “fair price provisions” generally prohibiting business combinations with controlling or significant shareholders unless certain minimum price or procedural requirements are satisfied, and our Bylaws prohibit shareholder action by written consent. Additionally, our Board has the authority to issue, without shareholder approval, up to 10,000,000 shares of “blank check” preferred stock having such rights, preferences and privileges as designated by the Board. The issuance of these shares could have a dilutive effect on shareholders and potentially prohibit a takeover of Hot Topic, Inc. by requiring the preferred shareholders to approve such a transaction.

 

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We also have a significant number of authorized and unissued shares of our common stock available under our Articles of Incorporation. These shares provide us with the flexibility to issue our common stock for future business and financial purposes including stock splits, raising capital and providing equity incentives to employees, officers and directors. However, the issuance of these shares could result in dilution to our shareholders.

We incur costs associated with regulatory compliance, and this cost could be significant.

There are numerous regulatory requirements for public companies that we comply with or may be required to comply with in the future, including the provisions of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. With regard to the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, we have and will continue to incur significant expense as we continue to address the implications of applicable rules and our operations relative thereto, and as we work to respond to and comply with applicable requirements. Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act requires management to report on, and our independent auditors to attest to, our internal control over financial reporting. Compliance with these rules could also result in continued diversion of management’s time and attention, which could be disruptive to normal business operations.

There are other regulations and standards associated with our business operations. These regulations may include more stringent accounting standards, taxation requirements, (including changes in applicable income tax rate, new tax laws and revised tax law interpretations), trade restrictions, regulations regarding financial matters, privacy and data security, environmental regulations, advertising, safety and product liability. For example, an independent standards-setting organization working with credit card companies has developed regulations concerning payment card account security throughout the transaction process, called the Payment Card Industry (PCI) Data Security Standard. All merchants and service providers that store, process and transmit payment card data are required to comply with the regulations as a condition to accepting credit cards. The organization may levy fines on companies that are non-compliant, and though we attained full compliance during the third quarter of fiscal 2008, there is no guarantee we will not incur fines for our future inability to comply. As another example, we may in the future be required to adopt International Financial Reporting Standards, and doing so could be time-consuming and cause us to incur significant expense.

If we do not satisfactorily or timely comply with these requirements, possible consequences could include sanction or investigation by regulatory authorities such as the SEC or the Nasdaq Stock Market; fines and penalties; incomplete or late filing of our periodic reports, including our annual report on Form 10-K or quarterly reports on Form 10-Q or civil or criminal liability. Our stock price and business could also be adversely affected.

There are litigation and other claims against us from time to time, which could distract management from our business activities and could lead to adverse consequences to our business and financial condition.

We are involved from time to time with litigation and other claims against us. These matters arise primarily in the ordinary course of our business, and include employee claims, commercial disputes, intellectual property issues and product-oriented allegations. Often these cases raise complex factual and legal issues, which are subject to risks and uncertainties and which could require significant management time. Although we do not currently believe that the outcome of any current litigation and claims against us will have a material adverse effect on our overall financial condition, we have, in the past, incurred unexpected expense in connection with litigation matters. In the future, adverse settlements or resolutions may occur and negatively impact earnings, injunctions against us could have an adverse effect on our business by requiring us to do or prohibiting us from doing certain things, and other unexpected events could have a negative impact on us.

 

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Item 6. Exhibits

 

Exhibit
Number

 

Description of Document

  3.1   Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation. (1)
  3.2   Certificate of Amendment of Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation. (2)
  3.3   Amended and Restated Bylaws, as amended. (2)
  4.1   Reference is made to Exhibits 3.1, 3.2 and 3.3.
  4.2   Specimen stock certificate. (1)
31.1   Certification, dated November 19, 2009, of Registrant’s Chief Executive Officer required by Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
31.2   Certification, dated November 19, 2009, of Registrant’s Chief Financial Officer required by Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.1   Certifications, dated November 19, 2009, of Registrant’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer required by Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (18 U.S.C § 1350, as adopted).

 

(1) Filed as an exhibit to Registrant’s Registration Statement on Form SB-2 (No. 333-5054-LA) and incorporated herein by reference.
(2) Filed as an exhibit to Registrant’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 29, 2005 and incorporated herein by reference.

 

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

  Hot Topic, Inc.
  (Registrant)
Date: November 19, 2009  

/s/    ELIZABETH MCLAUGHLIN        

  Elizabeth McLaughlin
  Chief Executive Officer
  (Principal Executive Officer)
Date: November 19, 2009  

/s/    JAMES MCGINTY        

  James McGinty
  Chief Financial Officer
  (Principal Financial
  And Accounting Officer)

 

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Table of Contents

Exhibit Index

 

Exhibit
Number

 

Description of Document

  3.1   Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation. (Filed as an exhibit to Registrant’s Registration Statement on
Form SB-2 (No. 333-5054-LA) and incorporated herein by reference.)
  3.2   Certificate of Amendment of Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation. (Filed as an exhibit to Registrant’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 29, 2005 and incorporated herein by reference.)
  3.3   Amended and Restated Bylaws, as amended. (Filed as an exhibit to Registrant’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 29, 2005 and incorporated herein by reference.)
  4.1   Reference is made to Exhibits 3.1, 3.2 and 3.3.
  4.2   Specimen stock certificate. (Filed as an exhibit to Registrant’s Registration Statement on Form SB-2 (No. 333-5054-LA) and incorporated herein by reference.)
31.1   Certification, dated November 19, 2009, of Registrant’s Chief Executive Officer required by Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
31.2   Certification, dated November 19, 2009, of Registrant’s Chief Financial Officer required by Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.1   Certifications, dated November 19, 2009, of Registrant’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer required by Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (18 U.S.C § 1350, as adopted).