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8-K - COURTESY COPY OF CURRENT REPORT ON FORM 8-K - PEPCO HOLDINGS LLCoct30-phi8k.pdf
EX-99 - COURTESY COPY OF EEI PRESENTATION - PEPCO HOLDINGS LLCex-99.pdf
8-K - CURRENT REPORT ON FORM 8-K - PEPCO HOLDINGS LLCoct30-phi8k.htm
MANAGING TODAY’S CHALLENGES
Positioning for Tomorrow’s Growth
44th EEI Financial Conference  Hollywood, Florida  November 1 - 4, 2009
 
 

 
Some of the statements contained in today’s presentations are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and are subject to the safe harbor created by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995. These statements include all financial projections and any declarations regarding management’s intents, beliefs or current
expectations. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “expects,”
“plans,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “predicts,” “potential” or “continue” or the negative of such terms or other comparable
terminology. Any forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results could differ materially
from those indicated by the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve estimates, assumptions, known and
unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, levels of activity, performance or achievements to be
materially different from any future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-
looking statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of the particular statement, and we undertake no
obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or
otherwise. A number of factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-
looking statements contained in this presentation. These factors include, but are not limited to, prevailing governmental policies
and regulatory actions affecting the energy industry, including with respect to allowed rates of return, industry and rate structure,
acquisition and disposal of assets and facilities, operation and construction of plant facilities, recovery of purchased power
expenses, and present or prospective wholesale and retail competition; changes in and compliance with environmental and safety
laws and policies; weather conditions; population growth rates and demographic patterns; competition for retail and wholesale
customers; general economic conditions, including potential negative impacts resulting from an economic downturn; growth in
demand, sales and capacity to fulfill demand; changes in tax rates or policies or in rates of inflation; rules and changes in
accounting standards or practices; changes in project costs; unanticipated changes in operating expenses and capital
expenditures; the ability to obtain funding in the capital markets on favorable terms; restrictions imposed by Federal and/or state
regulatory commissions, PJM and other regional transmission organizations (NY ISO, ISO New England), the North American
Electric Reliability Council and other applicable electric reliability organizations; legal and administrative proceedings (whether civil
or criminal) and settlements that affect our business and profitability; pace of entry into new markets; volatility in market demand
and prices for energy, capacity and fuel; interest rate fluctuations and credit market concerns; and effects of geopolitical events,
including the threat of domestic terrorism. Readers are referred to the most recent reports filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission.
Safe Harbor Statement
 
1

 
2009 - Progress on Many Fronts
We are confident in our plan and are optimistic about longer term growth
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
Long-Term Strategic Objective
Status
Drive earnings growth
· Four rate cases filed requesting a total revenue increase of
 $146 million
· Significant T&D investments planned (65% growth in rate base
 2008 - 2013)
Maintain dividend and grow longer-term
· Commitment to the dividend
Reduce overall business risk and strengthen
investment grade ratings
· Collateral management through credit intermediation agreement
· Strategic analysis of Retail Energy Supply
Invest in core T&D business
· Two significant projects - MAPP and Blueprint underway
· 2009 capital spending tracking to plan
Implement Blueprint initiatives
· Vendors selected
· AMI deployment in DE to begin by year-end 2009
· Legislation adopted in DC approving AMI deployment
· DOE award of $168 million for Smart Grid projects
Achieve supportive regulatory outcomes
· Decoupling adopted in DC; 60% of regulated distribution revenue
 decoupled
· Pursuit of surcharges to minimize regulatory lag
Prudently manage complementary
competitive energy businesses
· Cumberland plant online - June 1, 2009; Delta plant on schedule
· Expanding energy services business
 
2

 
Transmission & Distribution
Competitive Energy / Other
2009 - 2013
Forecast
Business Mix*
70 - 75%
25 - 30%
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
 Growing regulated
 infrastructure
 Leading edge of
 industry transformation
 Complementary
 competitive energy
 businesses
 Disciplined growth
 strategy
 … together offer an
Attractive total return
Investing in PHI
* Percentages based on projected operating income.
PHI Investments
 
3

 
Recent Events
· Environmental permitting for Burches
 Hill to Chalk Point segment expected
 to be complete by early Q1 - 2010
· Cost estimates for various routes
 through Dorchester County to be
 finalized Q4 - 2009
· PSC hearings on need and
 determination for CPCN for MAPP
 tentatively scheduled for March 2010;
 existing CPCN to be used for Burches
 Hill to Chalk Point segment
· Project is in due diligence phase of
 DOE loan guarantee program
 Cost of project - $1.2 billion
 Construction activities to begin Q4 2009
 In-service date - 2014
 Total length - 150 miles (~ 30 miles on new right-of-way)
Mid-Atlantic Power Pathway (MAPP)
 
4

 
(Dollars in Millions)
 Current total estimated cost of project (2008 - 2015) is $1.2 billion
 Application filed with the Department of Energy (DOE) seeking loans or loan
 guarantees ($684 million)
  Calvert Cliffs to Indian River segment; construction expected to begin 2011
  Application passed the first two levels of DOE review
  Currently in due diligence phase; decision expected before construction begins
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.

MAPP -
Construction Cost and Timing Estimates
 
5

 
· Key vendors selected
· Delaware deployment
  Completed field acceptance testing of the AMI
 equipment and systems in Q3 - 2009
  Meter deployment to begin Q4 - 2009
  Dynamic Pricing Working Group started work
· District of Columbia approval of AMI
  Legislation adopted in June approving AMI
 deployment, subject to PSC agreeing to the
 sufficiency of federal grants
  Legislation provides for cost recovery, and a return
 on costs, by the creation of a regulatory asset
· Full deployment expected by 2014, contingent
 upon regulatory approvals
Combines Smart Grid technology with energy
efficiency programs to help customers control
their energy use and cost, while providing
distribution rate base growth for the Company
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
Blueprint for the Future
 
6

 

Blueprint for the Future -
Construction Cost and Timing Estimates
(Dollars in Millions)
 Current total estimated cost of project (2008 - 2014) is $422 million
 Department of Energy awarded $168 million in federal stimulus funds for
 Smart Grid projects in the District of Columbia, Maryland and New Jersey
 Grants will be finalized through negotiations with DOE
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
Note: Construction cost and timing estimates do not reflect the impact of federal stimulus funds.
 
7

 
Advantages of decoupling:
 Fosters energy conservation as it aligns the interests of customers and utilities
 Eliminates revenue fluctuations due to weather and changes in customer usage patterns
 Provides for more predictable utility distribution revenues
 Provides for more reliable fixed-cost recovery
82%
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
60%
Decoupling Status
 
8

 
Authorized
Return on Equity
2008
Actual
Latest Available
Delmarva Power
 Delaware-Electric
10.00%
9.3%
10.1% (2)
 Delaware-Gas
10.25%
9.4%
9.6% (3)
 Maryland
10.00%
9.8%
9.8% (4)
Pepco
 Maryland
10.00%
11.2%
9.4% (3)
 District of Columbia
 9.50% (5)
7.8%
7.8% (4)
Atlantic City Electric
New Jersey
9.75%
9.3%
8.3% (2)
(1) Unadjusted ROE represents the Return on Equity prior to any adjustments for regulatory commission
 treatment in a base rate case or any other adjustments to actual financials.
(2) March 2009
(3) June 2009
(4) December 2008
(5) Reflects 50 basis point reduction for Bill Stabilization Adjustment.
Distribution Summary (Unadjusted ROE)1
 
9

 
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
(1) Test period adjusted for known and measurable changes in all cases; NJ test period to be updated for actuals during the proceeding.
(2) Return on equity and revenue requirement as filed by the company assuming Bill Stabilization Adjustment approval. Return on equity
 recommendation has been updated in the DPL -
MD case to 10.75%. The Pepco - DC and ACE - NJ cases may have updated return on
 equity recommendations should current market conditions continue.
(3) In the filings, a three year rolling average treatment of pension, OPEB, and bad debt expense was requested. The average of these costs
 would be recovered through a surcharge (updated annually) with the difference between the average and the actual costs incurred
 deferred for future recovery.
(4) An interim rate increase of $2.5 million will be put into effect on November 17, 2009, subject to refund.

Distribution Rate Cases - Summary
 
10

 
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
(1) Administrative Law Judge to convene a prehearing conference by year end to set a procedural schedule.
(2) Opening order for the case was issued October 6, 2009, with the intervention period ending on November 6,
 2009. Procedural schedule is expected to be set following the end of the intervention period.
(3) Maryland and Delaware statutes require completion of cases within seven months or rates can be put into effect
 subject to refund; no statute in the District of Columbia, target to complete cases within nine months of filing;
 New Jersey has a nine month statute in place with BPU option to grant extensions.
Distribution Rate Cases - Timeline
 
11

 
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
* Return on equity recommendation has been updated to 10.75%.
Delmarva Power - Maryland Electric Case
 
12

 
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
Pepco - DC Electric Case
 
13

 
Vineland
Delta
«
«
2009 Capacity (4,350 MW)
(Owned and contracted)
An Eastern PJM, mid-merit focused generator
Financials (as of 9/30/09)
Property, Plant & Equipment $1,340 M
Construction Work in Process $ 269 M
Employees  424
Note: Excludes units under development
Existing sites
Conectiv Energy Generating Facilities
 
14

 
Economic recession and mild weather have
lowered demand and dampened volatility
PJM MAAC Average Load
Gas CC Hourly Spark Spread
(Jan 2008 - Jul 2009)
Jul-08
Jul-09
Year-to-date MAAC load is at the same level experienced 6 years ago
 
15

 
 All fuel prices have significantly
 decreased since last summer -
 with natural gas falling the most -
 resulting in much lower power prices
 More efficient combined cycle plants
 have displaced “expensive coal”
 plants - older sub-critical vintage or
 those with high transportation or
 environmental costs
 Mild weather, efficiency gains, and the
 economy have reduced demand -
 further reducing the marginal price to
 serve the last MW of load
This has adversely impacted
our 2009 fleet results
Low prices and decreased demand have displaced
“expensive coal” generation and compressed margins
 
16

 
MWHR
$/MWHR
Fleet Generation Volume
Average Generation Unit Margin
Lower fleet runs and narrower spreads have resulted in
generation margins that are significantly less than 2008
YTD Generation volumes are
23% less than 2008 results
YTD Generation unit margins are
58% less than 2008 results
2008
2008
2009
2009
 
17

 
Natural gas has experienced 2-3 year pricing cycles
On the positive-side, markets expect
commodity price recovery in 2010-11
 
18

 
$215
$206
$308
$265
$285
$335
$380
$435
$270
$300
$340
$410
$380
$480
$259
$255
$319
$407
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
Conectiv Energy Gross Margin Forecast -
narrowed 2010 and 2011 ranges
 
19

 
Delta Project - on time; on budget for June 2011
Commercial Operation
 545 MW dual fuel combined cycle plant
 located in Peach Bottom Township, PA
 Project Cost: $470 million
 Project Summary:
  Construction ~30% complete
  Similar design with Siemens technology as
 Hay Road and Bethlehem plants
  6-year tolling agreement with Constellation
 provides stable earnings
  Permits and infrastructure allow for
 expansion
 
20

 
Vineland Solar Project -
Largest solar facility in New Jersey
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
4 MW Solar PV project located in Vineland, NJ
Project Cost: $20 million
Project Summary
  Supports initiative to increase renewable
 energy portfolio
  25 Year PPA with City of Vineland
  Located on 28-acre site
Project Status
  Phase I: 2.3 MW September 2009
  Phase II: 1.7 MW December 2009
 
21

 
PES has shifted its strategic focus from
Energy Supply to Energy Services
PES earnings contributed
19¢/share in 2008
Energy
Services 8¢
Energy
Supply 11¢
Overview
 PES provides retail energy services to large commercial, industrial, and
 government customers
 Energy Services
  Energy Performance Contracting (energy efficiency)
  Renewable Energy and Combined Heat and Power
 Energy Supply
  Retail Electric and Natural Gas Supply
  PHI intends to conclude a strategic analysis
 of this business during the 4th quarter 2009
  Power Generation
  Slated for retirement in 2012
 
22

 
 PES continues to include a cost of
 capital component for all retail supply
 proposals to reflect credit market
 conditions
 For all successful proposals, PES
 has been using collateral-free
 hedges
  However, PES’s retention rate
 has been less than 15%
 PES expectations of gross margins
 over the long term:
  Historically we have achieved
 approximately $3.00/MWh, although
 margins have been in the
 $6.00+/MWh range in 2009
  $0.30/Dth range for natural
 gas
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
Retail electric and natural gas business
 
23

 
 PES is well positioned to grow its energy efficiency business
  Energy Performance Contracting does not require capital expenditures or
 contingent capital; it fits well with PHI’s strategic direction
  PES has installed over $750 million of energy efficiency projects since
 1995
  PES was ranked the 10th largest ESCO in North America in a recent
 2009 survey
 PES is growing its development capability to pursue federal energy
 efficiency contracts
  PES is among a select group of companies qualified to bid on energy
 efficiency projects at all federal facilities
  PES has grown its sales and engineering staff by 40% since 12/31/08
Focused on growing our energy
efficiency business
 
24

 
* Excludes special items. See appendix for reconciliation to GAAP.
Third Quarter 2009
Financial Performance - Drivers
 
25

 
Liquidity Position
PHI maintains sufficient liquidity to execute the business plan
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
Millions of Dollars
 
26

 
Millions of Dollars
(1) Midpoint of projected cash from operations range, includes tax refund from NOL carry back and
 assumes the return of cash collateral per the PES retail energy supply backlog schedule. Excludes
 any impact from the recent DOE stimulus fund awards.
(2) Reflects Pepco Holdings and Utility debt maturities; excludes debt maturities related to the Atlantic
 City Electric securitization bonds.
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
2010 Principal Sources & Uses of Cash
 
27

 
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
2009
 Renewed $400 mm PHI 364-day credit facility in October; new maturity is
 October 15, 2010
 Evaluating pre-funding a portion of the $450 mm PHI debt due May/June 2010
2010
 Evaluation of capital expenditures continues
  Delay of $400 mm announced early 2009
  Evaluating additional delay of 2010 capital expenditures
 Potential sources
  Stimulus funds
  Possible acceleration of PES collateral return
  Small equity issuance
  Utility debt issuances
  Sale of selected assets
  Capacity to fund with short-term debt
2010 financing is manageable - more specifics to be provided in Q1 - 2010
Financing and Funding
 
28

 
$1,024
$1,013
$1,120
$1,234
$1,144
Construction Expenditures - Projection
$781
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
 
29

 
Power Delivery - A Driver of Growth
Total Rate Base
Growth - 65%
Electric Distribution Rate
Base Growth - 39%
Transmission Rate
Base Growth - 158%
* Actual 2008 year end rate base, projected 2009 - 2013 year end rate bases.
$4,678
$7,712
$5,033
$5,566
$6,192
$3,383
$3,614
$3,854
$4,068
$4,455
$4,708
$231
$233
$243
$250
$259
$263
$1,064
$1,186
$1,469
$1,874
$2,462
$2,741
*
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
 
30

 
Cross-Border Energy Leases - Status
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
 Investment
  Carrying value of cross-border leases is evaluated each quarter
  Equity investment of $1.4 billion as of September 30, 2009
 Path forward
  Concluding the appeals process with IRS; expect appeals effort to end by year
 -end 2009
  Two litigation paths - pursue in Tax Court or pay the tax and sue for refund in
 District Court or Federal Court of Claims; either process could take 18 - 24 mos.
  Recent court decision
  October 21, 2009 U.S. Court of Federal Claims issued a decision in favor of the
 taxpayer regarding a lease-in lease-out cross-border lease transaction
  Transaction subject to the court ruling is similar to PHI’s cross-border energy
 lease investments
  Currently evaluating the implications of this decision
 
31

 
Potential mitigation to cash outflow would be the liquidation of the lease portfolio -
PHI could generate sufficient cash proceeds to cover the $695 million of taxes and
interest due within a 6 - 12 month period to satisfy the tax obligation
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
Cross-Border Energy Leases - Alternatives
 Cash payment to the IRS for a disallowance of tax
 benefits would only be required if one of the following
 occurs:
  Future settlement with the IRS
  Litigation is pursued in District Court or Federal Court of Claims, in which case
 a payment would be made currently to the IRS for the 2001 and 2002 tax years
 under audit (approximately $72 million plus interest); a suit for refund of the
 payment is sought through the litigation process
  Litigation is pursued in Tax Court, and PHI receives an unfavorable decision; in
 the worst case of a total disallowance of tax benefits, PHI would be obligated to
 pay approximately $595 million of additional taxes and $100 million of interest
 at the time a decision is rendered based on September 30, 2009 balances
 
  32

 
Earnings Guidance
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
 PHI will begin providing annual earnings per share
 guidance
 The announcement of guidance for 2010 is targeted
 for the March Analyst Conference
 
33

 
POM Investment Case
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
 Long-term earnings growth
 Commitment to dividend
 Investment grade credit quality
 Improved liquidity position
 Focus on lowering business risk
 
34

 
Appendix
 
35

 
Note: See Safe Harbor Statement at the beginning of today’s presentation.
Regulated T&D Electric Sales
· Although industrial sales have decreased year-to-date versus last year, the earnings impact is less
 due to smaller margins earned in this class.
· 60% of regulated distribution sales will be decoupled at 11/1/09. By mid-year 2010, 80% are expected
 to be decoupled.
· Estimated 2010 weather normalized billed sales are expected to be flat relative to 2009.
· Year-to-date 2009 customer growth is .5% compared to 2008; estimated 2010 customer growth is
 expected to be .6% relative to 2009.
 
36

 
* Excludes special items. See slide 39 in appendix for reconciliation to GAAP.
Year-to-Date 2009
Financial Performance - Drivers
 
37

 
(1) Management believes the special items are not representative of the Company’s ongoing business operations.
(2) Excludes gain from the Mirant bankruptcy settlement $0.07 and MD Income Tax Benefit $0.05.
Third Quarter 2009 Financial Performance
 
38

 
Year-to-Date 2009 Financial Performance
(1) Management believes the special items are not representative of the Company’s ongoing business operations.
(2) Excludes gains from the Mirant bankruptcy settlement $0.11 and MD Income Tax Benefit $0.05.
(3) Excludes the adjustment to the equity value of the cross-border energy leases $0.43 and the interest accrued on
 the related income tax obligations of $0.03.
39