UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM 10 - Q
x | QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2004
OR
¨ | TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
Commission file number 1-13664
THE PMI GROUP, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware | 94-3199675 | |
(State of Incorporation) | (IRS Employer Identification No.) | |
3003 Oak Road, Walnut Creek, California |
94597 | |
(Address of principal executive offices) | (Zip Code) |
(925) 658-7878
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x No ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes x No ¨
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuers classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.
Class of Stock |
Par Value |
Date |
Number of Shares | |||
Common Stock |
$0.01 | July 31, 2004 | 96,065,364 |
ITEM 1. INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
THE PMI GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, | |||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 | |||||||||
(Dollars in thousands, except per share data) | ||||||||||||
REVENUES |
||||||||||||
Premiums earned |
$ | 187,663 | $ | 168,213 | $ | 372,965 | $ | 344,183 | ||||
Net investment income |
43,622 | 34,126 | 83,663 | 67,180 | ||||||||
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries |
23,585 | 5,687 | 42,683 | 14,502 | ||||||||
Net realized investment gains |
68 | 2,066 | 1,343 | 3,356 | ||||||||
Other income |
9,798 | 14,351 | 18,649 | 25,070 | ||||||||
Total revenues |
264,736 | 224,443 | 519,303 | 454,291 | ||||||||
LOSSES AND EXPENSES |
||||||||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
56,532 | 56,179 | 116,352 | 102,971 | ||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
21,244 | 22,043 | 44,339 | 43,888 | ||||||||
Other underwriting and operating expenses |
49,618 | 47,325 | 99,938 | 83,597 | ||||||||
Interest expense and distributions on mandatorily redeemable preferred securities |
8,822 | 5,653 | 17,337 | 10,688 | ||||||||
Total losses and expenses |
136,216 | 131,200 | 277,966 | 241,144 | ||||||||
Income from continuing operations before income taxes |
128,520 | 93,243 | 241,337 | 213,147 | ||||||||
Income taxes from continuing operations |
31,845 | 26,910 | 59,099 | 60,198 | ||||||||
Income from continuing operations after income taxes |
96,675 | 66,333 | 182,238 | 152,949 | ||||||||
Income from discontinued operations before income taxes (Note 12) |
| 4,770 | 5,756 | 9,322 | ||||||||
Income taxes from discontinued operations |
| 1,646 | 1,958 | 3,206 | ||||||||
Income from discontinued operations after income taxes |
| 3,124 | 3,798 | 6,116 | ||||||||
Gain on sale of discontinued operations, net of income taxes of $17,131 |
| | 30,108 | | ||||||||
NET INCOME |
$ | 96,675 | $ | 69,457 | $ | 216,144 | $ | 159,065 | ||||
PER SHARE DATA |
||||||||||||
Basic: |
||||||||||||
Continuing operations |
$ | 1.01 | $ | 0.75 | $ | 1.91 | $ | 1.72 | ||||
Discontinued operations |
| 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | ||||||||
Gain on sale of discontinued operations |
| | 0.31 | | ||||||||
Basic net income |
$ | 1.01 | $ | 0.78 | $ | 2.26 | $ | 1.79 | ||||
Diluted: |
||||||||||||
Continuing operations |
$ | 0.99 | $ | 0.74 | $ | 1.87 | $ | 1.70 | ||||
Discontinued operations |
| 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | ||||||||
Gain on sale of discontinued operations, net |
| | 0.31 | | ||||||||
Diluted net income |
$ | 0.99 | $ | 0.77 | $ | 2.22 | $ | 1.77 |
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
1
THE PMI GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
June 30, 2004 |
December 31, 2003 |
|||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
(Dollars in thousands, except per share data) |
||||||||
ASSETS |
||||||||
Investmentsavailable-for-sale at fair value: |
||||||||
Fixed income securities |
$ | 2,750,847 | $ | 2,554,184 | ||||
Equity securities: |
||||||||
Common |
117,672 | 116,728 | ||||||
Preferred |
109,725 | 111,070 | ||||||
Short-term investments |
112,198 | 23,803 | ||||||
Total investments |
3,090,442 | 2,805,785 | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
275,522 | 397,096 | ||||||
Investments in unconsolidated subsidiaries |
955,577 | 937,846 | ||||||
Accrued investment income |
44,969 | 39,187 | ||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
91,816 | 102,074 | ||||||
Premiums receivable |
56,055 | 62,082 | ||||||
Reinsurance receivable and prepaid premiums |
42,006 | 53,524 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
3,737 | 3,275 | ||||||
Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization |
176,047 | 172,218 | ||||||
Related party receivables |
47,831 | 27,840 | ||||||
Other assets |
70,576 | 75,500 | ||||||
Assetsdiscontinued operations |
| 117,862 | ||||||
Total assets |
$ | 4,854,578 | $ | 4,794,289 | ||||
LIABILITIES |
||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses |
$ | 357,028 | $ | 346,939 | ||||
Unearned premiums |
460,998 | 469,001 | ||||||
Long-term debt |
819,543 | 819,543 | ||||||
Reinsurance payable |
55,693 | 57,960 | ||||||
Deferred income taxes |
82,850 | 94,079 | ||||||
Other liabilities and accrued expenses |
172,118 | 178,521 | ||||||
Liabilitiesdiscontinued operations |
| 44,217 | ||||||
Total liabilities |
1,948,230 | 2,010,260 | ||||||
Commitments and contingencies (Notes 8 and 9) |
||||||||
SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
||||||||
Preferred stock$.01 par value; 5,000,000 shares authorized; none issued or outstanding |
| | ||||||
Common stock$.01 par value; 250,000,000 shares authorized; 111,336,954 shares issued; 95,986,511 and 95,161,721 shares outstanding |
1,114 | 1,114 | ||||||
Additional paid-in capital |
449,719 | 441,508 | ||||||
Treasury stock, at cost (15,350,443 and 16,175,233 shares) |
(330,359 | ) | (344,195 | ) | ||||
Retained earnings |
2,641,713 | 2,437,576 | ||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of deferred taxes |
144,161 | 248,026 | ||||||
Total shareholders equity |
2,906,348 | 2,784,029 | ||||||
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
$ | 4,854,578 | $ | 4,794,289 | ||||
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
2
THE PMI GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited)
Six Months Ended June 30, |
||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES |
||||||||
Net income |
$ | 216,144 | $ | 159,065 | ||||
Income from discontinued operations, net of income taxes |
(3,798 | ) | (6,116 | ) | ||||
Gain on sale of discontinued operations, net of income taxes |
(30,108 | ) | | |||||
Income from continuing operations |
182,238 | 152,949 | ||||||
Adjustments to reconcile net income from continuing operations to net cash provided by operating activities: |
||||||||
Net realized investment gains |
(1,343 | ) | (3,356 | ) | ||||
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries |
(42,683 | ) | (14,502 | ) | ||||
Depreciation and amortization |
15,360 | 12,755 | ||||||
Deferred income taxes |
(22,190 | ) | 17,198 | |||||
Changes in: |
||||||||
Accrued investment income |
(5,782 | ) | (374 | ) | ||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
10,258 | (6,363 | ) | |||||
Premiums receivable |
6,027 | (1,500 | ) | |||||
Reinsurance receivable, net of payable |
9,251 | 5,957 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
(462 | ) | (175 | ) | ||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses |
10,089 | 6,964 | ||||||
Unearned premiums |
(8,003 | ) | 34,729 | |||||
Income taxes payable |
21,107 | 1,741 | ||||||
Other |
12,268 | (28,433 | ) | |||||
Net cash provided by operating activities |
186,135 | 177,590 | ||||||
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES |
||||||||
Proceeds from sales and maturities of fixed income securities |
343,202 | 403,530 | ||||||
Proceeds from sales of equity securities |
41,695 | 30,615 | ||||||
Proceeds from investment in affiliates |
| 4,429 | ||||||
Proceeds from sale of APTIC |
115,063 | | ||||||
Investment purchases: |
||||||||
Fixed income securities |
(609,928 | ) | (401,776 | ) | ||||
Equity securities |
(41,804 | ) | (35,482 | ) | ||||
Net increase in short-term investments |
(90,378 | ) | (61,252 | ) | ||||
Investments in unconsolidated subsidiaries, net of distributions |
(1,023 | ) | (27,526 | ) | ||||
Change in related party receivables |
(19,991 | ) | (25,836 | ) | ||||
Capital expenditures and capitalized software, net of dispositions |
(16,328 | ) | (17,595 | ) | ||||
Net cash used in continuing operations |
(279,492 | ) | (130,893 | ) | ||||
Net cash used in discontinued operations |
(7,512 | ) | (1,554 | ) | ||||
Net cash used in investing activities |
(287,004 | ) | (132,447 | ) | ||||
CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES |
||||||||
Purchase of treasury stock |
| (19,719 | ) | |||||
Proceeds from issuance of treasury stock |
13,775 | 4,714 | ||||||
Proceeds from repurchase transactions |
| 249,030 | ||||||
Repayment of repurchase transactions |
| (249,030 | ) | |||||
Tax benefit on stock options |
8,272 | | ||||||
Dividends paid to shareholders |
(7,199 | ) | (4,430 | ) | ||||
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities |
14,848 | (19,435 | ) | |||||
Effect of the change in foreign currency translations on cash |
(35,553 | ) | 63,542 | |||||
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents |
(121,574 | ) | 89,250 | |||||
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period |
397,096 | 203,470 | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
$ | 275,522 | $ | 292,720 | ||||
SUPPLEMENTAL CASH FLOW DISCLOSURES |
||||||||
Cash paid during the period for: |
||||||||
Interest and preferred securities distributions |
$ | 15,824 | $ | 10,340 | ||||
Income taxes, net of refunds |
$ | 14,866 | $ | 18,741 | ||||
Non-cash investing and financing activities: |
||||||||
Capital lease obligations incurred for equipment |
$ | 711 | $ | 595 |
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
3
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
NOTE 1. BASIS OF PRESENTATION
The accompanying consolidated financial statements include the accounts of The PMI Group, Inc. (The PMI Group), a Delaware corporation; its direct and indirect wholly-owned subsidiaries, PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. (PMI), an Arizona corporation; American Pioneer Title Insurance Company (APTIC), a Florida corporation reported as discontinued operations in the consolidated financial statements and sold by The PMI Group on March 19, 2004; PMI Mortgage Insurance Ltd and PMI Indemnity Limited, the Australian mortgage insurance companies, and their holding company, PMI Mortgage Insurance Australia (Holdings) Pty Limited (collectively, PMI Australia); PMI Mortgage Insurance Company Limited and its holding company TPG Reinsurance Co. Ltd, the Irish insurance corporations (collectively, PMI Europe); and other insurance, reinsurance and non-insurance subsidiaries. The PMI Group and its subsidiaries are collectively referred to as the Company. All material intercompany transactions and balances have been eliminated in the consolidated financial statements.
On December 18, 2003, the Company completed its acquisition of a 42% ownership interest in FGIC Corporation, the holding company of Financial Guaranty Insurance Company (FGIC), from General Electric Capital Corporation. The Company also has an equity ownership interest in SPS Holding Corp. (SPS), whose subsidiary, Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. (Select Servicing), is a servicer of single-family residential mortgages. Prior to June 30, 2004, SPS was known as Fairbanks Capital Holding Corp. and Select Servicing was known as Fairbanks Capital Corp. The Company also has equity ownership interests in CMG Mortgage Insurance Company (CMG), which conducts residential mortgage insurance business for credit unions; and through the holding companies, RAM Holdings Ltd. and RAM Holdings II Ltd., RAM Reinsurance Company, Ltd. (RAM Re), a financial guaranty reinsurance company based in Bermuda. In addition, the Company has various ownership interests in limited partnerships.
The Companys unaudited consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP) and disclosure requirements for interim financial information and the requirements of Form 10-Q and Articles 7 and 10 of Regulation S-X. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and footnotes required by GAAP for complete consolidated financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring adjustments, considered necessary for a fair presentation, have been included. Interim results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2004. The consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and footnotes included in The PMI Group, Inc.s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003.
NOTE 2. SUMMARY OF CERTAIN SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, as well as the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from these estimates.
InvestmentsThe Company has designated its entire portfolio of fixed income and equity securities as available-for-sale. These securities are recorded at fair value based on quoted market prices with unrealized gains and losses, net of deferred income taxes, accounted for as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income in consolidated shareholders equity. The Company evaluates its investments regularly to determine whether there are declines in value and whether such declines meet the definition of other-than-temporary impairment in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities. The fair value of a security below cost or amortized cost for
4
consecutive quarters is a potential indicator of an other-than-temporary impairment. When the Company determines that a security has suffered an other-than-temporary impairment, the impairment loss is recognized, to the extent of the decline, as a realized investment loss in the current periods consolidated net income.
The Companys short-term investments have maturities of greater than three and less than 12 months when purchased and are carried at fair value. Realized gains and losses on sales of investments are determined on a specific-identification basis. Investment income consists primarily of interest and dividends. Interest income and preferred stock dividends are recognized on an accrual basis. Dividend income on common stock is recognized on the date of declaration. Net investment income represents interest and dividend income, net of expenses.
Cash and Cash EquivalentsThe Company considers all highly liquid investments purchased with an original maturity of three months or less to be cash equivalents.
Investments in Unconsolidated SubsidiariesInvestments in the Companys unconsolidated subsidiaries include both equity investees and SPS, an unconsolidated majority-owned subsidiary. Investments in equity investees with ownership interests of 20-50% are generally accounted for on the equity method of accounting, and investments of less than 20% ownership interest are generally accounted for on the cost method of accounting if the Company does not have significant influence over the entity. Limited partnerships with ownership interests greater than 3% but less than 50% are generally accounted for using the equity method of accounting. The Company reports the equity earnings of FGIC Corporation, SPS and CMG on a current month basis and of RAM Re and the Companys interests in limited partnerships on a one-quarter lag basis. The reported value of the investments in the Companys unconsolidated subsidiaries includes the Companys share of net unrealized gains and losses in the unconsolidated subsidiaries investment portfolios.
Although the Companys ownership percentage of SPS exceeds 50%, the Company reports its investment in SPS using the equity method of accounting due to an agreement among the shareholders of SPS limiting the Companys ability to control the operations of SPS. This treatment is in accordance with guidance provided by Emerging Issues Task Force Issue (EITF) No. 96-16, Investors Accounting for an Investee When the Investor Has a Majority of the Voting Interest but the Minority Shareholder or Shareholders Have Certain Approval or Veto Rights.
Periodically, or as events dictate, the Company evaluates potential impairment of its investments in unconsolidated subsidiaries. Accounting Principles Board (APB) Opinion No. 18, The Equity Method of Accounting for Investments in Common Stock, provides criteria for determining potential impairment. In the event a loss in value of an investment is determined to be an other-than-temporary decline, an impairment charge would be recognized in the consolidated statements of operations. Evidence of a loss in value that could indicate impairment might include, but would not necessarily be limited to, the absence of an ability to recover the carrying amount of the investment or the inability of the investee to sustain an earnings capacity which would justify the carrying amount of the investment. Realized gains or losses resulting from the sale of the Companys ownership interests in unconsolidated subsidiaries are recognized in net realized investment gains or losses in the consolidated statement of operations.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires public registrants to disclose condensed financial statement information in the consolidated footnotes for significant equity investees and unconsolidated majority-owned subsidiaries, individually or in the aggregate, if (i) the Companys investments in and advances to the unconsolidated subsidiaries are in excess of 10% of the total consolidated assets of the Company, (ii) the Companys proportionate share of unconsolidated subsidiaries total assets is in excess of 10% of total consolidated assets of the Company, or (iii) income from continuing operations before income taxes, extraordinary items and the cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle of the unconsolidated subsidiaries is in excess of 10% of such income of the Company. Furthermore, if certain of the above tests exceed 20% with respect to any unconsolidated subsidiary, separate financial statements of that unconsolidated subsidiary are required to be included in the registrants SEC filings. Equity investees are not subject to the 20% threshold for the proportionate share of unconsolidated subsidiaries total asset test, and accordingly, separate
5
financial statements of FGIC Corporation are not included in this Form 10-Q. As of June 30, 2004, the Companys equity investees and unconsolidated majority-owned subsidiary exceeded, on an aggregate basis, certain of the 10% tests described above and, accordingly, condensed financial statements on a combined basis are provided in Note 14.
Deferred Policy Acquisition CostsThe Company defers certain costs in its mortgage insurance operations relating to the acquisition of new insurance and amortizes these costs against related premium revenue in order to match costs and revenues. These costs are primarily associated with the acquisition, underwriting and processing of new business, including contract underwriting and sales related activities. To the extent the Company is compensated by customers for contract underwriting, those underwriting costs are not deferred. Costs related to the issuance of mortgage insurance are initially deferred and reported as deferred policy acquisition costs. SFAS No. 60, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises, specifically excludes mortgage guaranty insurance from its guidance relating to the amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs. Consistent with industry accounting practice, amortization of these costs for each underwriting year portfolio of business is charged against revenue in proportion to estimated gross profits. Estimated gross profits are composed of earned premiums, interest income and losses and loss adjustment expenses. The estimates for each underwriting year are monitored regularly to reflect actual experience and any changes to persistency or loss development. Deferred policy acquisition costs are reviewed periodically to determine that they do not exceed recoverable amounts, after considering investment income.
Property, Equipment and SoftwareProperty and equipment, including software, are carried at cost and are depreciated using the straight-line method over the estimated useful lives of the assets, ranging from three to 39 years. Leasehold improvements are recorded at cost and amortized over the lesser of the useful life of the assets or the remaining term of the related lease. The Companys accumulated depreciation and amortization was $105.4 million and $92.9 million as of June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively.
Under the provisions of Statement of Position (SOP) No. 98-1, Accounting for the Cost of Computer Software Developed or Obtained for Internal Use, the Company capitalizes costs incurred during the application development stage related to software developed for internal-use purposes and for which it has no substantive plan to market externally. Capitalized costs are amortized on a straight-line basis over the estimated useful life of the asset at such time as the software is ready for its intended use, which is generally three to seven years. The Company capitalized costs associated with software developed for internal use of $15.4 million and $10.4 million for the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively.
Related Party ReceivablesRelated party receivables include non-trade receivables from unconsolidated subsidiaries, of which $45.7 million relates to SPS. The largest component of this balance as of June 30, 2004 was approximately $23 million of subordinated participation interests in SPS debt. The participation was part of a debt restructuring completed in the second quarter of 2003 and bears interest at LIBOR plus an applicable margin and is payable monthly. All interest payments related to this receivable are current. The principal balance is due and payable in September 2004. No principal payments on the participation interest have been made to date. During the second quarter of 2004, the Company provided to SPS $19.7 million of a $40.0 million redress fund established pursuant to SPSs settlement with the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). In exchange for providing SPS with a portion of the amounts due to the FTC and HUD under the redress fund, the Company received from SPS a note in the amount of $19.7 million. The note accrues interest at 15% per annum and is due upon maturity on December 31, 2004. In addition, as of June 30, 2004, the Company had approximately $3 million of advances to SPS represented by a promissory note related to other matters.
DerivativesCurrently, the Company enters into credit default swap contracts as well as certain foreign currency put options, both of which are considered derivatives under SFAS No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities. The Company has not designated either the credit default swaps or foreign currency options as SFAS No. 133 hedges.
6
In April 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued SFAS No. 149, Amendment of SFAS No. 133 on Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities. SFAS No. 149 requires certain credit default swaps entered into by PMI Europe beginning on July 1, 2003 to be accounted for as derivatives and reported on the consolidated balance sheet at fair value, and subsequent changes in fair value are recorded in consolidated net income. In addition, as required by EITF No. 02-3, Issues Involved in Accounting for Derivative Contracts Held for Trading Purposes and Contracts Involved in Energy Trading and Risk Management Activities, for certain derivative contracts entered into by PMI Europe where the fair value cannot be determined by reference to quoted market prices, current market transactions for similar contracts, or based on a valuation technique incorporating observable market data or inputs, initial fair value related to the derivative contracts are deferred and recognized in consolidated net income in proportion to the expiration of the associated insured risk. Gains or losses are recognized in consolidated net income at inception for all other derivative contracts where the fair value can be determined in such a manner.
As of June 30, 2004, PMI Europe had entered into four transactions that were classified as derivatives in accordance with SFAS No. 149. However, initial fair value gains were deferred in accordance with EITF No. 02-3. As of June 30, 2004, $6.6 million of deferred gains related to the initial fair value of these derivative contracts was included in other liabilities and $0.6 million (pre-tax) of accretion from the deferred gains was reported in other income for the first six months of 2004. Changes in the fair value, exclusive of accretion, of derivative contracts resulted in a $2.1 million gain (pre-tax) in the first six months of 2004, which was also included in other income.
In the second quarter, the Company purchased foreign currency put options designed to mitigate the negative financial impact of a strengthening U.S. dollar relative to both the Australian dollar and the Euro. These Australian dollar and Euro put options expire ratably over the remainder of calendar year 2004 and have a combined cost of $1.1 million. The fair value of the unexpired options at June 30, 2004 was $1.8 million. During the second quarter of 2004, the Company recorded in other income $0.9 million (pre-tax) of gains related to these options. Net income from our International Operations segment would potentially be negatively impacted from a strengthening U.S. dollar to the extent net income in the respective functional currencies were to exceed the notional balances of the options purchased. To the extent the U.S. dollar weakens against either the Australian dollar or the Euro, the total negative impact to consolidated net income in 2004 will be limited to the cost of the options purchased.
Revenue RecognitionMortgage guarantee insurance policies are contracts that are generally non-cancelable by the insurer, are renewable at a fixed price, and provide payment of premiums on a monthly, annual or single basis. Upon renewal, the Company is not able to re-underwrite or re-price its policies. SFAS No. 60 specifically excludes mortgage guarantee insurance from its guidance relating to the earning of insurance premiums. Premiums written on a monthly basis are earned as coverage is provided. Monthly premiums accounted for approximately 71% of gross premiums written from the Companys mortgage insurance operations in the second quarter of 2004 and 69% for the six months ended 2004 compared with 70% and 71% for the corresponding periods of 2003. Premiums written on an annual basis are amortized on a monthly pro rata basis over the year of coverage. Primary mortgage insurance premiums written on policies covering more than one year are referred to as single premiums. A portion of revenue on single premiums is recognized in premiums earned in the current period, and the remaining portion is deferred as unearned premiums and earned over the expected life of the policy, a range of seven to 15 years. Unearned premiums represent the portion of premiums written that is applicable to the estimated unexpired risk of insured loans. Rates used to determine the earnings of single premiums are estimates based on actuarial analysis of the expiration of risk. The earning pattern calculation is an estimation process and, accordingly, we review our premium earning cycle regularly and any adjustments to the estimates are reflected in the current periods consolidated operating results.
Losses and Loss Adjustment ExpensesThe reserves for mortgage insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses (LAE) are the estimated claim settlement costs on notices of default that have been received by the Company, as well as loan defaults that have been incurred but have not been reported by the lenders. SFAS No. 60 specifically excludes mortgage guaranty insurance relating to reserves for losses. Consistent with industry
7
accounting practices, the Company does not establish loss reserves for future claims on insured loans that are not currently in default. The Company establishes loss reserves on a case-by-case basis when insured loans are identified as currently in default using estimated claim rates and average claim amounts for each report year, net of salvage recoverable. The Company also establishes loss reserves for defaults that have been incurred but have not been reported to the Company prior to the close of an accounting period, using estimated claim rates and claim amounts applied to the estimated number of defaults not reported. The reserve levels as of the balance sheet date represent managements best estimate of existing losses and LAE incurred. The estimates are continually reviewed and adjusted as necessary as experience develops or new information becomes known. Such adjustments, to the extent of increasing or decreasing loss reserves, are recognized in current period results of operations.
Income TaxesThe Company accounts for income taxes using the liability method in accordance with SFAS No. 109, Accounting for Income Taxes. The liability method measures the expected future tax effects of temporary differences at the enacted tax rates applicable for the period in which the deferred asset or liability is expected to be realized or settle. Temporary differences are differences between the tax basis of an asset or liability and its reported amount in the financial statements that will result in future increases or decreases in taxes owed on a cash basis compared to amounts already recognized as tax expense in the consolidated statement of operations. The Companys effective tax rate was approximately 24.8% in the second quarter of 2004 compared to the federal statutory rate of 35.0%, due to the proportion of income derived from PMI Australia and equity in earnings from FGIC Corporation, which have lower effective tax rates, combined with our municipal bond investment income.
Benefit PlansThe Company provides pension benefits to all employees under The PMI Group, Inc. Retirement Plan, and to certain employees of the Company under The PMI Group, Inc. Supplemental Employee Retirement Plan. In addition, the Company provides certain health care and life insurance benefits for retired employees under another post-employment benefit plan.
Comprehensive IncomeComprehensive income includes net income, foreign currency translation gains or losses, changes in unrealized gains and losses in investments net of deferred taxes, and the reclassification of realized gains and losses previously reported in comprehensive income. For the purposes of interim reporting, the Company reports the components of comprehensive income in the notes to the consolidated financial statements.
Business SegmentsDuring the fourth quarter of 2003, the Company changed its reportable segments to reflect the change in managements views on operating segments primarily as a result of the investment in FGIC Corporation and the then-pending sale of APTIC, which has been accounted for as discontinued operations. The Companys reportable operating segments are U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations, International Operations, Financial Guaranty and Other. U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations includes the results of PMI Mortgage Insurance Co., affiliated U.S. reinsurance companies and equity in earnings of CMG. International Operations includes the results of PMI Australia, PMI Europe and the results of operations for Hong Kong. Financial Guaranty includes the equity in earnings of FGIC Corporation and RAM Re. Other includes the income and expenses of the holding company, equity in earnings or losses of SPS and limited partnerships, contract underwriting operations and dormant insurance companies. Segment information for the prior corresponding period has been reclassified to the current year presentation.
Stock-Based CompensationThe Company accounts for stock-based compensation to employees and directors using the intrinsic value method prescribed in APB Opinion No. 25, Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees, and its related interpretations. Under APB Opinion No. 25, compensation cost for stock-based awards is measured as the excess, if any, of the market price of the underlying stock on the grant date over the employees exercise price for the stock options. As all options have been granted with an exercise price equal to the fair value at the date of the grants, no compensation expense has been recognized for the Companys stock option program.
The fair value of stock-based compensation to employees is calculated using an option pricing model developed to estimate the fair value of freely tradable and fully transferable options without vesting restrictions,
8
which differ from the Companys stock option program. The model also requires considerable judgment, including assumptions regarding future stock price volatility and expected time to exercise, which greatly affect the calculated value.
The fair value of each stock option grant is estimated on the date of the grant using the Black-Scholes option pricing model with the following weighted-average assumptions:
Six Months Ended June 30, |
||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||
Dividend yield |
0.39 | % | 0.42 | % | ||
Expected volatility |
33.47 | % | 38.66 | % | ||
Risk-free interest rate |
4.27 | % | 4.03 | % | ||
Expected life (years from grant date) |
6.0 | 6.0 |
SFAS No. 123 requires pro forma disclosure of net income and earnings per share using the fair value method. If the computed fair values of the awards had been amortized to expense over the vesting period of the awards, the Companys consolidated net income, basic net income per share and diluted net income per share would have been reduced to the pro forma amounts indicated below:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts) | ||||||||||||||||
Net income: |
||||||||||||||||
As reported |
$ | 96,675 | $ | 69,457 | $ | 216,144 | $ | 159,065 | ||||||||
Less: stock based employee compensation expense determined under fair value based method for all awards, net of related tax effects |
(3,264 | ) | (2,593 | ) | (6,477 | ) | (5,415 | ) | ||||||||
Pro forma |
$ | 93,411 | $ | 66,864 | $ | 209,667 | $ | 153,650 | ||||||||
Basic earnings per share: |
||||||||||||||||
As reported |
$ | 1.01 | $ | 0.78 | $ | 2.26 | $ | 1.79 | ||||||||
Pro forma |
$ | 0.98 | $ | 0.75 | $ | 2.19 | $ | 1.73 | ||||||||
Diluted earnings per share: |
||||||||||||||||
As reported |
$ | 0.99 | $ | 0.77 | $ | 2.22 | $ | 1.77 | ||||||||
Pro forma |
$ | 0.96 | $ | 0.75 | $ | 2.16 | $ | 1.71 |
Earnings Per Share and DividendsBasic earnings per share (EPS) excludes dilution and is based on consolidated net income available to common stockholders and the actual weighted-average of the common stock shares that are outstanding during the period. Diluted EPS is based on consolidated net income available to common stockholders and the weighted-average of dilutive common stock shares outstanding during the period. The weighted-average dilutive common stock shares reflect the potential increase of common stock shares if outstanding securities were converted into common stock, or if contracts to issue common stock, including stock options issued by the Company that have a dilutive impact, were exercised. Consolidated net income available to common stockholders is the same for computing basic and diluted EPS. The convertible debt and equity units outstanding have not been included in the calculation of diluted shares outstanding as they are presently anti-dilutive or not convertible due to conversion triggers that were not met for the periods presented.
9
The following is a reconciliation of the weighted-average of the common stock shares used to calculate basic EPS to the weighted-average common stock shares used to calculate diluted EPS for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, | |||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 | |||||
(Shares in thousands) | ||||||||
Weighted-average of common stock shares for basic EPS |
95,754 | 88,843 | 95,571 | 88,922 | ||||
Weighted-average of stock options and other dilutive components |
1,692 | 865 | 1,580 | 913 | ||||
Weighted-average of common stock shares for diluted EPS |
97,446 | 89,708 | 97,151 | 89,835 | ||||
The Company declared dividends to common stockholders of record on June 30, 2004 of $3.6 million or $0.0375 per share. These dividends were accrued as of June 30, 2004.
ReclassificationsCertain items in the prior corresponding periods consolidated financial statements have been reclassified to conform to the current periods presentation.
NOTE 3. NEW ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
In February 2004, FASB issued EITF No. 03-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments. The issue relates to determining the meaning of other-than-temporary impairment and its application to investments classified as available-for-sale or held-to-maturity under SFAS No. 115, and investments accounted for under the cost method. At its March 2004 meeting, the EITF concluded that equity method investments will not be within the scope of this issue. This issue is effective for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2003. The EITF requires disclosures of quantitative information related to cost method investments, aging of unrealized losses for investments as well as qualitative discussion regarding considerations in reaching conclusions that impairments are not other-than-temporary. These disclosures have been presented in the footnotes and critical accounting policies. In March 2004, the remaining issues related to the application of the other-than-temporary impairment model were finalized by the EITF and are effective for the quarter ending June 30, 2004. Disclosures relating to cost method investments are required for annual reporting periods after June 15, 2004. It is not expected to significantly impact the Companys consolidated results of operations or financial position.
In May 2004, FASB revised FASB Staff Position (FSP) 106-1, Accounting and Disclosure Requirements Related to the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003 and issued FSP 106-2, Accounting and Disclosure Requirements Related to the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003, which provides guidance on accounting for the effects of the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003 (the Act) that was signed into law in December 2003. The Act introduced a Medicare prescription drug benefit and federal subsidy to sponsors of retiree health care plans that provide a benefit that is actuarially equivalent to Medicare Part D and qualify for the subsidy provided by the Act. This FSP is effective for the first interim or annual period beginning after June 15, 2004. The Company has determined that the effect of the new law is not a significant event under FSP 106-2 and the effect will be incorporated in the next measurement date following the effective date. Adoption of FSP 106-2 is not expected to have a material impact on the Companys accumulated post-retirement benefit obligation and the consolidated results of operations.
At its meeting on July 1, 2004, the EITF reached a tentative consensus, EITF Issue 04-8, that the dilutive effect of contingent convertible debt instruments (CoCos) must be included in dilutive earnings per share regardless of whether the triggering contingency has been satisfied. This change in accounting principle would be applied on a retroactive basis and would require restatement of prior period dilutive earnings per share. This Issue is tentative to allow time for public comment. If approved in its current form, it will be effective for all periods after December 15, 2004. The proposed EITF would result in additional dilution to the Companys diluted earnings
10
per share by affecting the Companys $360.0 million 2.5% senior convertible debentures, which are CoCos. At June 30, 2004, for purposes of determining dilutive earnings per share, the interest expense net of tax effect would be added back to net income and an additional 8.15 million common shares would be added to diluted shares outstanding for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004. Inclusion of the CoCos in diluted shares outstanding for the second quarter 2004 would result in a decrease to diluted earnings per share of approximately $0.06 for the quarter.
NOTE 4. INVESTMENTS
Fair Values and Gross Unrealized Gains and Losses on InvestmentsThe cost or amortized cost, estimated fair value, and gross unrealized gains and losses on investments are shown in the table below.
Cost or Amortized Cost |
Gross Unrealized |
Fair Value | |||||||||||
Gains |
(Losses) |
||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||
June 30, 2004: |
|||||||||||||
Fixed income securities |
$ | 2,679,407 | $ | 92,667 | $ | (21,227 | ) | $ | 2,750,847 | ||||
Equity securities: |
|||||||||||||
Common stocks |
95,322 | 22,691 | (341 | ) | 117,672 | ||||||||
Preferred stocks |
105,794 | 4,123 | (192 | ) | 109,725 | ||||||||
Total equity securities |
201,116 | 26,814 | (533 | ) | 227,397 | ||||||||
Short-term investments |
114,193 | | (1,995 | ) | 112,198 | ||||||||
Total investments |
$ | 2,994,716 | $ | 119,481 | $ | (23,755 | ) | $ | 3,090,442 | ||||
Cost or Amortized Cost |
Gross Unrealized |
Fair Value | |||||||||||
Gains |
(Losses) |
||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||
December 31, 2003: |
|||||||||||||
Fixed income securities |
$ | 2,419,456 | $ | 138,778 | $ | (4,050 | ) | $ | 2,554,184 | ||||
Equity securities: |
|||||||||||||
Common stocks |
92,640 | 24,401 | (313 | ) | 116,728 | ||||||||
Preferred stocks |
105,795 | 5,292 | (17 | ) | 111,070 | ||||||||
Total equity securities |
198,435 | 29,693 | (330 | ) | 227,798 | ||||||||
Short-term investments |
20,603 | 3,200 | | 23,803 | |||||||||
Total investments |
$ | 2,638,494 | $ | 171,671 | $ | (4,380 | ) | $ | 2,805,785 | ||||
11
Unrealized Investment LossesThe following table shows the gross unrealized losses and fair value of the Companys investments, aggregated by investment category and length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position as of June 30, 2004.
Less than 12 months |
12 months or more |
Total |
|||||||||||||||||||
Fair Value |
Unrealized Losses |
Fair Value |
Unrealized Losses |
Fair Value |
Unrealized Losses |
||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed income securities: |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Municipal bonds |
$ | 456,852 | $ | (11,502 | ) | $ | | $ | | $ | 456,852 | $ | (11,502 | ) | |||||||
Foreign governments |
261,977 | (2,460 | ) | 32,748 | (1,296 | ) | 294,725 | (3,756 | ) | ||||||||||||
Corporate bonds |
234,214 | (5,056 | ) | 20,576 | (904 | ) | 254,790 | (5,960 | ) | ||||||||||||
U.S. government and agencies |
218 | (9 | ) | | | 218 | (9 | ) | |||||||||||||
Total fixed income securities |
953,261 | (19,027 | ) | 53,324 | (2,200 | ) | 1,006,585 | (21,227 | ) | ||||||||||||
Equity securities: |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Common stocks |
6,331 | (311 | ) | 950 | (30 | ) | 7,281 | (341 | ) | ||||||||||||
Preferred stocks |
7,185 | (192 | ) | | | 7,185 | (192 | ) | |||||||||||||
Total equity securities |
13,516 | (503 | ) | 950 | (30 | ) | 14,466 | (533 | ) | ||||||||||||
Short-term investments |
102,422 | (1,995 | ) | | | 102,422 | (1,995 | ) | |||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,069,199 | $ | (21,525 | ) | $ | 54,274 | $ | (2,230 | ) | $ | 1,123,473 | $ | (23,755 | ) | ||||||
Unrealized losses were primarily due to an increase in interest rates during the first half of 2004 and are not considered to be other-than-temporarily impaired as the Company has the intent and ability to hold until recovery or maturity. The remaining unrealized losses do not meet the criteria established in the Companys policy for determining other-than-temporary impairment and as such are not considered impaired. During the first half of 2003, the Company recognized an impairment loss of $0.1 million.
Net Investment IncomeNet investment income consists of the following for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and June 30, 2003:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Fixed income securities |
$ | 38,869 | $ | 30,499 | $ | 74,435 | $ | 60,642 | ||||||||
Equity securities |
2,289 | 1,990 | 4,643 | 3,719 | ||||||||||||
Short-term investments |
3,222 | 1,739 | 5,975 | 2,874 | ||||||||||||
Investment income before expenses |
44,380 | 34,228 | 85,053 | 67,235 | ||||||||||||
Investment expenses |
(758 | ) | (102 | ) | (1,390 | ) | (55 | ) | ||||||||
Net investment income |
$ | 43,622 | $ | 34,126 | $ | 83,663 | $ | 67,180 | ||||||||
12
NOTE 5. RESTRICTED CASH
In 2002, the Company entered into an agreement with a customer to provide mortgage insurance coverage for a three-year period on a pool of loans. The Company received funds to cover future claim payments on these loans. The transaction does not transfer insurance risk. Accordingly, the contract is being accounted for under the guidelines of SOP No. 98-7, Deposit Accounting: Accounting for Insurance and Reinsurance Contracts That Do Not Transfer Risk. As of June 30, 2004, $5.7 million of deposits received under this agreement were included in cash and cash equivalents and can only be utilized to pay claims related to the agreement.
NOTE 6. INVESTMENTS IN UNCONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES
Investments in unconsolidated subsidiaries consist of the following as of June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003.
June 30, 2004 |
Ownership Percentage |
December 31, 2003 |
Ownership Percentage |
|||||||||
(Dollars in thousands except percentages) | ||||||||||||
FGIC |
$ | 637,746 | 42.1 | % | $ | 625,154 | 42.1 | % | ||||
SPS |
110,525 | 56.8 | % | 115,803 | 56.8 | % | ||||||
CMG |
102,346 | 50.0 | % | 97,389 | 50.0 | % | ||||||
RAM Re |
79,112 | 24.9 | % | 75,675 | 24.9 | % | ||||||
Other |
25,848 | various | 23,825 | various | ||||||||
Total |
$ | 955,577 | $ | 937,846 | ||||||||
Equity in earnings (losses) from unconsolidated subsidiaries consisted of the following for the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003.
Three Months Ended |
Six Months Ended |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
June 30, 2004 |
Ownership Percentage |
June 30, 2003 |
Ownership Percentage |
June 30, 2004 |
Ownership Percentage |
June 30, 2003 |
Ownership Percentage |
|||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands except percentages) | (Dollars in thousands except percentages) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
FGIC |
$ | 17,886 | 42.1 | % | $ | | | $ | 31,499 | 42.1 | % | $ | | | ||||||||||||
SPS |
57 | 56.8 | % | (429 | ) | 56.8 | % | 402 | 56.8 | % | 6,715 | 56.8 | % | |||||||||||||
CMG |
3,676 | 50.0 | % | 3,846 | 50.0 | % | 7,004 | 50.0 | % | 6,710 | 50.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
RAM Re |
1,813 | 24.9 | % | 1,162 | 24.9 | % | 3,128 | 24.9 | % | 1,423 | 24.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
Truman Capital |
| | 1,099 | 19.6 | % | | | 2,200 | 19.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other |
153 | various | 9 | various | 650 | various | (2,546 | ) | various | |||||||||||||||||
Net income |
$ | 23,585 | $ | 5,687 | $ | 42,683 | $ | 14,502 | ||||||||||||||||||
On December 18, 2003, the Company completed its investment in FGIC Corporation by acquiring approximately a 42% ownership interest in that entity. The Company is the strategic investor in a group of investors and funded approximately $611 million in cash of the $1.6 billion total purchase price for the investment in FGIC Corporation. Our investment in FGIC Corporation, as of June 30, 2004, was $637.7 million, which included $611 million cash, with the balance representing equity in earnings and capitalized acquisition costs related to the transaction, partially offset by the Companys proportionate share of unrealized losses in FGIC Corporations investment portfolio.
As of June 30, 2004, the Companys carrying value of SPS, including cumulative equity in earnings, was $110.5 million. In addition, the Company holds receivables of $45.7 million from SPS which are included in related party receivables. Included in the carrying value of SPS is a component of goodwill of approximately $36 million. The Company evaluated its total investment in SPS, including related party receivables as of June 30, 2004, and determined that there was no other-than-temporary decline in the carrying value. Accordingly, the Company has not recognized an impairment charge with respect to its total investment in SPS. The Company will continue to evaluate this investment for potential impairment.
13
In September 2003, the Company sold its ownership interest in Truman Capital Founders, LLC and Truman Capital Advisors, LLC. A loss in Other expense in the first six months ended 2003 was due to the $2.6 million loss from certain private equity limited partnership investments occurring in the first quarter of 2003.
NOTE 7. DEFERRED POLICY ACQUISITION COSTS
The following table summarizes deferred policy acquisition cost activity as of and for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and June 30, 2003:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Beginning balance |
$ | 97,368 | $ | 87,855 | $ | 102,074 | $ | 85,210 | ||||||||
Policy acquisition costs incurred and deferred |
15,692 | 25,761 | 34,081 | 50,251 | ||||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
(21,244 | ) | (22,043 | ) | (44,339 | ) | (43,888 | ) | ||||||||
Ending balance |
$ | 91,816 | $ | 91,573 | $ | 91,816 | $ | 91,573 | ||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs are affected by qualifying costs that are deferred in the period and amortization of previously deferred costs in such period. In periods where there is significant growth in new business, the asset will generally increase because the amount of acquisition costs being deferred exceeds the amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs. Conversely, in periods where new business activity is declining, the asset will generally decrease because the amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs exceeds the amount of acquisition costs being deferred.
NOTE 8. RESERVE FOR LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES
The Company establishes reserves for losses and LAE to recognize the estimated liability for potential losses and related loss expenses in connection with borrower default on their mortgage payments. The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires significant judgment by management. The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending consolidated reserves for losses and LAE for the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003:
Six Months Ended June 30, |
||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||
Balance at January 1, |
$ | 346,939 | $ | 333,569 | ||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
(3,275 | ) | (4,424 | ) | ||||
Net beginning balance |
343,664 | 329,145 | ||||||
Losses and LAE incurred (principally with respect to defaults occurring in) |
||||||||
Current year |
127,335 | 121,498 | ||||||
Prior years |
(10,983 | ) | (18,527 | ) | ||||
Total incurred |
116,352 | 102,971 | ||||||
Losses and LAE payments (principally with respect to defaults occurring in) |
||||||||
Current year |
(488 | ) | (174 | ) | ||||
Prior years |
(104,989 | ) | (98,516 | ) | ||||
Total payments |
(105,477 | ) | (98,690 | ) | ||||
Foreign currency translation |
(1,248 | ) | 3,087 | |||||
Net ending balance |
353,291 | 336,513 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
3,737 | 3,612 | ||||||
Balance at June 30, |
$ | 357,028 | $ | 340,125 |
14
The increase in loss reserves at June 30, 2004 over June 30, 2003 was due primarily to increases in the loss reserve balances in U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations and PMI Europes acquisition of the U.K. lenders mortgage insurance portfolio from Royal & Sun Alliance (R&SA). The loss reserve increase in U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations was primarily the result of expected higher proportions of delinquencies developing into claims as well as higher mortgage insurance coverage levels on pending delinquencies. U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations primary insurance default inventory was 35,232 at June 30, 2004 compared to 34,361 at June 30, 2003. The default rate was 4.36% at June 30, 2004 compared to 4.12% at June 30, 2003. Generally, it takes approximately 12 to 36 months from the receipt of a default notice to result in a claim payment. Accordingly, most losses paid relate to default notices received in prior years.
The $11.0 million and $18.5 million reductions in total losses and LAE incurred in prior years related to the six months ended 2004 and 2003, respectively, were due to re-estimations of ultimate loss rates from those established at the original notice of default, updated through the period presented. These re-estimations of ultimate loss rates are the result of managements periodic review of estimated claim amounts in light of actual claim amounts, loss development data or ultimate claim rates. The $11.0 million and $18.5 million decreases were primarily due to re-estimates of ultimate claim rates of defaults occurring in prior years in our Australian operations. These reductions in loss rates were primarily attributable to the strong economy and housing market in Australia and New Zealand.
NOTE 9. COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES
Income TaxesDuring 2002 and 2003, the Company received notices of assessment from the California Franchise Tax Board (FTB) for 1997 through 2000 in amounts totaling $13.9 million. Such amounts do not include the federal tax benefits from the payment of such assessment or interest that might be included on amounts, if any, ultimately paid to the FTB. The assessments are the result of a memorandum issued by the FTB in April 2002. The memorandum, which is based partly on the California Court of Appeals decision in Ceridian v. Franchise Tax Board, provides for the disallowance of the deduction for dividends received by holding companies from their insurance company subsidiaries, in determining California taxable income of the holding company for tax years ending on or after December 1, 1997. While the Company is protesting this assessment, there can be no assurance as to the ultimate outcome of these protests.
Various other legal actions and regulatory reviews are currently pending that involve the Company and specific aspects of its conduct of business. In the opinion of management, the ultimate liability in one or more of these actions is not expected to have a material effect on the consolidated financial condition, results of operations or cash flows of the Company.
NOTE 10. COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
The components of comprehensive income for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 are shown in the table below.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Net income |
$ | 96,675 | $ | 69,457 | $ | 216,144 | $ | 159,065 | ||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax: |
||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains (losses) on investments: |
||||||||||||||||
Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during period |
(90,521 | ) | 33,617 | (67,439 | ) | 35,270 | ||||||||||
Reclassification of realized (gains) included in net income, net of tax |
(44 | ) | (1,362 | ) | (873 | ) | (2,212 | ) | ||||||||
Net unrealized holding gains (losses) |
(90,565 | ) | 32,255 | (68,312 | ) | 33,058 | ||||||||||
Change in foreign currency translation gains (losses) |
(40,941 | ) | 39,192 | (35,553 | ) | 63,543 | ||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax |
(131,506 | ) | 71,447 | (103,865 | ) | 96,601 | ||||||||||
Comprehensive income (loss) |
$ | (34,831 | ) | $ | 140,904 | $ | 112,279 | $ | 255,666 | |||||||
15
The increases in unrealized holding losses in the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003 were primarily due to increases in fixed income security interest rates causing market value declines relative to the consolidated fixed income portfolio as well as the Companys share of unrealized holding losses in our unconsolidated subsidiaries investment portfolios. The increases were also affected by the strengthening U.S. dollar relative to the Australian dollar, which decreased the value of the Companys international portfolio for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004. In addition, the stronger U.S. dollar relative to the Australian dollar primarily caused the increase in changes in foreign currency translation losses for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004.
NOTE 11. BUSINESS SEGMENTS
Transactions between segments are not deemed significant. The following tables present information for reported segment income or loss and segment assets as of and for the periods indicated:
Three Months Ended June 30, 2004 |
|||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Mortgage Insurance |
International Operations |
Financial Guaranty |
Other |
Consolidated Total |
|||||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||
Revenues: |
|||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned |
$ | 154,392 | $ | 33,255 | $ | | $ | 16 | $ | 187,663 | |||||||||
Net investment income |
27,944 | 10,646 | | 5,032 | 43,622 | ||||||||||||||
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries |
3,676 | | 19,699 | 210 | 23,585 | ||||||||||||||
Net realized investment gains and other income |
(191 | ) | 2,776 | | 7,281 | 9,866 | |||||||||||||
Total revenues |
185,821 | 46,677 | 19,699 | 12,539 | 264,736 | ||||||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses |
(55,755 | ) | (777 | ) | | | (56,532 | ) | |||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
(18,109 | ) | (3,135 | ) | | | (21,244 | ) | |||||||||||
Other underwriting and operating expenses |
(24,888 | ) | (6,940 | ) | | (17,790 | ) | (49,618 | ) | ||||||||||
Interest expense |
(17 | ) | (60 | ) | | (8,745 | ) | (8,822 | ) | ||||||||||
Income (loss) before income taxes |
87,052 | 35,765 | 19,699 | (13,996 | ) | 128,520 | |||||||||||||
Income tax (benefit) |
23,790 | 10,799 | 2,220 | (4,964 | ) | 31,845 | |||||||||||||
Net income (loss) |
$ | 63,262 | $ | 24,966 | $ | 17,479 | $ | (9,032 | ) | $ | 96,675 | ||||||||
Total assets |
$ | 2,521,067 | $ | 918,479 | $ | 716,858 | $ | 698,174 | $ | 4,854,578 | |||||||||
16
Three Months Ended June 30, 2003 |
|||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Mortgage Insurance |
International Operations |
Financial Guaranty |
Other |
Consolidated Total |
|||||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||
Revenues: |
|||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned |
144,955 | 23,237 | | 21 | 168,213 | ||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
22,323 | 7,316 | | 4,487 | 34,126 | ||||||||||||||
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries |
3,846 | | 1,162 | 679 | 5,687 | ||||||||||||||
Net realized investment gains and other income |
2,021 | 219 | | 14,177 | 16,417 | ||||||||||||||
Total revenues |
173,145 | 30,772 | 1,162 | 19,364 | 224,443 | ||||||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses |
(55,653 | ) | (526 | ) | | | (56,179 | ) | |||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
(19,536 | ) | (2,507 | ) | | | (22,043 | ) | |||||||||||
Other underwriting and operating expenses |
(18,931 | ) | (4,529 | ) | | (23,865 | ) | (47,325 | ) | ||||||||||
Interest expense |
(49 | ) | | | (5,604 | ) | (5,653 | ) | |||||||||||
Income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes |
78,976 | 23,210 | 1,162 | (10,105 | ) | 93,243 | |||||||||||||
Income tax (benefit) from continuing operations |
23,118 | 6,648 | 407 | (3,263 | ) | 26,910 | |||||||||||||
Income (loss) from continuing operations after income taxes |
55,858 | 16,562 | 755 | (6,842 | ) | 66,333 | |||||||||||||
Income from discontinued operations before income taxes |
| | | 4,770 | 4,770 | ||||||||||||||
Income taxes from discontinued operations |
| | | 1,646 | 1,646 | ||||||||||||||
Income from discontinued operations after income taxes |
| | | 3,124 | 3,124 | ||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) |
$ | 55,858 | $ | 16,562 | $ | 755 | $ | (3,718 | ) | $ | 69,457 | ||||||||
Total assets |
$ | 2,251,494 | $ | 689,746 | $ | 73,092 | $ | 814,028 | $ | 3,828,360 | |||||||||
17
Six Months Ended June 30, 2004 |
|||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Mortgage Insurance |
International Operations |
Financial Guaranty |
Other |
Consolidated Total |
|||||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||
Revenues: |
|||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned |
303,415 | 69,514 | | 36 | 372,965 | ||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
52,402 | 22,453 | | 8,808 | 83,663 | ||||||||||||||
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries |
7,004 | | 34,627 | 1,052 | 42,683 | ||||||||||||||
Net realized investment gains and other income |
978 | 4,603 | | 14,411 | 19,992 | ||||||||||||||
Total revenues |
363,799 | 96,570 | 34,627 | 24,307 | 519,303 | ||||||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses |
(114,710 | ) | (1,642 | ) | | | (116,352 | ) | |||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
(37,542 | ) | (6,797 | ) | | | (44,339 | ) | |||||||||||
Other underwriting and operating expenses |
(51,028 | ) | (13,807 | ) | | (35,103 | ) | (99,938 | ) | ||||||||||
Interest expense |
(37 | ) | (61 | ) | | (17,239 | ) | (17,337 | ) | ||||||||||
Income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes |
160,482 | 74,263 | 34,627 | (28,035 | ) | 241,337 | |||||||||||||
Income tax (benefit) from continuing operations |
43,612 | 22,269 | 3,633 | (10,415 | ) | 59,099 | |||||||||||||
Income (loss) from continuing operations after income taxes |
116,870 | 51,994 | 30,994 | (17,620 | ) | 182,238 | |||||||||||||
Income from discontinued operations before income taxes |
| | | 5,756 | 5,756 | ||||||||||||||
Income taxes from discontinued operations |
| | | 1,958 | 1,958 | ||||||||||||||
Income from discontinued operations after income taxes |
| | | 3,798 | 3,798 | ||||||||||||||
Gain on sale of discontinued operations, net of income taxes of $17,131 |
| | | 30,108 | 30,108 | ||||||||||||||
Net income |
$ | 116,870 | $ | 51,994 | $ | 30,994 | $ | 16,286 | $ | 216,144 | |||||||||
Total assets |
$ | 2,521,067 | $ | 918,479 | $ | 716,858 | $ | 698,174 | $ | 4,854,578 | |||||||||
18
Six Months Ended June 30, 2003 |
|||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Mortgage Insurance |
International Operations |
Financial Guaranty |
Other |
Consolidated Total |
|||||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||
Revenues: |
|||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned |
301,537 | 42,603 | | 43 | 344,183 | ||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
45,474 | 13,179 | | 8,527 | 67,180 | ||||||||||||||
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries |
6,710 | | 1,423 | 6,369 | 14,502 | ||||||||||||||
Net realized investment gains and other income |
1,711 | 560 | | 26,155 | 28,426 | ||||||||||||||
Total revenues |
355,432 | 56,342 | 1,423 | 41,094 | 454,291 | ||||||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses |
(103,106 | ) | 135 | | | (102,971 | ) | ||||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
(39,011 | ) | (4,877 | ) | | | (43,888 | ) | |||||||||||
Other underwriting and operating expenses |
(33,716 | ) | (8,533 | ) | | (41,348 | ) | (83,597 | ) | ||||||||||
Interest expense |
(74 | ) | | | (10,614 | ) | (10,688 | ) | |||||||||||
Income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes |
179,525 | 43,067 | 1,423 | (10,868 | ) | 213,147 | |||||||||||||
Income tax (benefit) from continuing operations |
51,758 | 12,320 | 498 | (4,378 | ) | 60,198 | |||||||||||||
Income (loss) from continuing operations after income taxes |
127,767 | 30,747 | 925 | (6,490 | ) | 152,949 | |||||||||||||
Income from discontinued operations before income taxes |
| | | 9,322 | 9,322 | ||||||||||||||
Income taxes from discontinued operations |
| | | 3,206 | 3,206 | ||||||||||||||
Income from discontinued operations after income taxes |
| | | 6,116 | 6,116 | ||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) |
$ | 127,767 | $ | 30,747 | $ | 925 | $ | (374 | ) | $ | 159,065 | ||||||||
Total assets |
$ | 2,251,494 | $ | 689,746 | $ | 73,092 | $ | 814,028 | $ | 3,828,360 | |||||||||
NOTE 12. DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS
In October 2003, the Company announced that it had reached a definitive agreement to sell APTIC for $115.1 million in cash. In accordance with SFAS No. 144, Accounting for the Impairment or Disposal of Long-Lived Assets, the results of operations for APTIC were classified as discontinued operations beginning in the fourth quarter of 2003 with prior periods presented for comparability. The Company recognized an after-tax gain of $30.1 million upon completion of the sale of APTIC on March 19, 2004. Accordingly, no results related to APTIC have been recorded in the consolidated statement of operations for the second quarter of 2004. Post-closing adjustments on the sale have been finalized, and we do not anticipate adjusting our recorded gain on the sale.
19
The results of operations of APTIC for the period ended March 19, 2004 and the six months ended June 30, 2003 are as follows:
2004 |
2003 | |||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||
Total revenues |
$ | 54,456 | $ | 139,199 | ||
Losses and expenses |
48,700 | 129,877 | ||||
Income from discontinued operations before income taxes |
5,756 | 9,322 | ||||
Income taxes from discontinued operations |
1,958 | 3,206 | ||||
Income from discontinued operations after income taxes |
3,798 | 6,116 | ||||
Gain on sale of discontinued operations, net of income taxes of $17,131 |
30,108 | | ||||
Total income from discontinued operations |
$ | 33,906 | $ | 6,116 |
The assets and liabilities of APTIC as of December 31, 2003 are as follows:
December 31, 2003 | |||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||
Assets |
|||
Cash and investments |
$ | 101,577 | |
Accounts receivable and other assets |
16,285 | ||
Total assets |
$ | 117,862 | |
Liabilities |
|||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses |
$ | 29,145 | |
Accounts payable and other liabilities |
15,072 | ||
Total liabilities |
$ | 44,217 |
NOTE | 13. BENEFIT PLANS |
The following table provides the components of net periodic benefit cost for the pension and other post-retirement benefit plans:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Pension Benefits |
||||||||||||||||
Service cost |
$ | 2,252 | $ | 2,411 | $ | 4,684 | $ | 4,824 | ||||||||
Interest cost |
1,267 | 1,280 | 2,521 | 2,560 | ||||||||||||
Expected return on assets |
(1,193 | ) | (794 | ) | (2,330 | ) | (1,588 | ) | ||||||||
Prior service cost amortization |
12 | 26 | 48 | 51 | ||||||||||||
Net loss/(gain) amortization |
170 | 341 | 380 | 683 | ||||||||||||
Net periodic benefit cost |
2,508 | 3,264 | 5,303 | 6,530 | ||||||||||||
Additional cost |
1,380 | | 1,380 | | ||||||||||||
Net periodic benefit cost |
$ | 3,888 | $ | 3,264 | $ | 6,683 | $ | 6,530 | ||||||||
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Other Post-Retirement Benefits |
||||||||||||||||
Service cost |
$ | 582 | $ | 483 | $ | 993 | $ | 955 | ||||||||
Interest cost |
338 | 305 | 576 | 602 | ||||||||||||
Prior service cost amortization |
5 | 6 | 9 | 12 | ||||||||||||
Actuarial loss recognized |
97 | 60 | 164 | 120 | ||||||||||||
Net periodic post-retirement benefit cost |
$ | 1,022 | $ | 854 | $ | 1,742 | $ | 1,689 |
20
During the first half of 2004, the Company contributed approximately $10 million to its pension plan as of June 30, 2004. The maximum deductible under IRS rules is approximately $16 million. The Company is currently evaluating potential future contributions in the remaining six months of 2004.
NOTE 14. CONDENSED COMBINED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS OF SIGNIFICANT UNCONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES AND EQUITY INVESTEES
The following condensed financial statement information represents the Companys proportionate share in, and has been presented on a combined basis for, all equity investees and SPS, an unconsolidated majority-owned subsidiary accounted for under the equity method of accounting, as of June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, and for the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003.
Equity Investees |
Unconsolidated Majority- Owned Subsidiary |
||||||||||||
As of |
As of |
||||||||||||
June 30, 2004 |
December 31, 2003 |
June 30, 2004 |
December 31, 2003 |
||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||
Condensed Combined Balance Sheet |
|||||||||||||
Assets: |
|||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ | 66,621 | $ | 37,008 | $ | 6,815 | $ | 24,808 | |||||
Investments |
1,447,504 | 1,398,834 | | | |||||||||
Accrued investment income |
15,975 | 15,971 | | | |||||||||
Servicing assets |
| | 48,787 | 69,538 | |||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
24,986 | 17,251 | | | |||||||||
Accounts receivable and other assets |
65,638 | 73,630 | 189,413 | 213,274 | |||||||||
Total assets |
$ | 1,620,724 | $ | 1,542,694 | $ | 245,015 | $ | 307,620 | |||||
Liabilities: |
|||||||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses |
$ | 23,246 | $ | 23,726 | $ | | $ | | |||||
Unearned premiums |
456,498 | 422,454 | | | |||||||||
Notes payable |
162,441 | 144,148 | 136,649 | 159,199 | |||||||||
Accounts payable and other liabilities |
32,911 | 29,929 | 33,396 | 68,155 | |||||||||
Total liabilities |
675,096 | 620,257 | 170,045 | 227,354 | |||||||||
Shareholders equity |
945,628 | 922,437 | 74,970 | 80,266 | |||||||||
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
$ | 1,620,724 | $ | 1,542,694 | $ | 245,015 | $ | 307,620 | |||||
Equity Investees |
Unconsolidated Majority- Owned Subsidiary |
||||||||||||
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Three Months Ended June 30, |
||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||
Condensed Combined Statement of Operations |
|||||||||||||
Total revenues |
$ | 45,262 | $ | 10,167 | $ | 25,030 | $ | 42,617 | |||||
Total expenses |
12,668 | 2,499 | 24,663 | 43,304 | |||||||||
Income (loss) before income taxes |
32,594 | 7,668 | 367 | (687 | ) | ||||||||
Income tax (benefit) |
7,366 | 1,552 | 310 | (258 | ) | ||||||||
Net Income |
25,228 | 6,116 | 57 | (429 | ) | ||||||||
Preferred stock dividend |
1,701 | | | | |||||||||
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders |
$ | 23,527 | $ | 6,116 | $ | 57 | $ | (429 | ) | ||||
21
Equity Investees |
Unconsolidated Majority- Owned Subsidiary | |||||||||||
Six Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, | |||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 | |||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||
Condensed Combined Statement of Operations |
||||||||||||
Total revenues |
$ | 78,512 | $ | 17,594 | $ | 56,102 | $ | 89,788 | ||||
Total expenses |
20,758 | 6,946 | 55,180 | 79,290 | ||||||||
Income before income taxes |
57,754 | 10,648 | 922 | 10,498 | ||||||||
Income tax |
12,071 | 2,861 | 521 | 3,783 | ||||||||
Net Income |
45,683 | 7,787 | 401 | 6,715 | ||||||||
Preferred stock dividend |
3,401 | | | | ||||||||
Net income available to common stockholders |
$ | 42,282 | $ | 7,787 | $ | 401 | $ | 6,715 |
As of June 30, 2004, included in the Companys retained earnings were $87.1 million of undistributed equity earnings of existing equity investees, all of which have ownership interests of 50% or less.
22
ITEM 2. | MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS |
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
Statements made or incorporated by reference from time to time in this document, other documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, press releases, conferences or otherwise that are not historical facts, or are preceded by, followed by or that include the words believes, expects, anticipates, estimates or similar expressions, and that relate to future plans, events or performance are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements in this document include: (i) our belief that PMIs persistency rate will improve if mortgage interest rates increase; (ii) our belief that we have sufficient cash to meet all of our short- and medium-term obligations, and that we maintain excess liquidity to support our operations; and (iii) our belief that the amount recorded for losses and loss adjustment expenses as of June 30, 2004 represents the most likely outcome within the actuarial range.
When a forward-looking statement is based on an underlying assumption, we caution that, while we believe the assumption to be reasonable and make it in good faith, assumed facts almost always vary from actual results, and the difference between assumed facts and actual results can be material. Where, in any forward-looking statement, we express an expectation or belief as to future results, there can be no assurance that the expectation or belief will result. Our actual results may differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement made by us. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks of uncertainties including, but not limited to, the risks described under the heading Risk Factors. All forward-looking statements are qualified by and should be read in conjunction with those risk factors and our consolidated financial statements, related notes and other financial information. Except as may be required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Overview of Our Business
We are an international provider of credit enhancement as well as other products that promote homeownership and facilitate mortgage transactions in the capital markets. We divide our business into four segments:
| U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations. We offer mortgage insurance products in the U.S. that enable borrowers to buy homes with low down-payment mortgages. Net income from U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations was $63.3 million for the second quarter of 2004 and $116.9 million for the six months ended June 30, 2004, and was primarily derived from our subsidiary, PMI Mortgage Insurance Co., and its affiliated U.S. mortgage insurance and reinsurance companies (collectively referred to as PMI). |
| International Operations. We offer mortgage insurance and other credit enhancement products in Australia, New Zealand, Europe and Hong Kong. Net income from our International Operations segment was $25.0 million for the second quarter of 2004 and $52.0 million for the six months ended June 30, 2004. |
| Financial Guaranty. We are the lead investor in FGIC Corporation, whose subsidiary, Financial Guaranty Insurance Company, or FGIC, provides primary financial guaranty insurance. We also have a significant interest in RAM Reinsurance Company, Ltd., or RAM Re, a financial guaranty reinsurance company based in Bermuda. Net income from our Financial Guaranty segment was $17.5 million for the second quarter of 2004 and $31.0 million for the six months ended June 30, 2004. |
| Other. Our Other segment consists of our holding company and contract underwriting revenues and expenses, equity in earnings primarily from our unconsolidated strategic investment, SPS Holding Corp. (formerly, Fairbanks Capital Holding Corp.), or SPS, and the discontinued operations of our former title insurance subsidiary, American Pioneer Title Insurance Company, or APTIC. On March 19, 2004, we completed the sale of APTIC which generated $115.1 million in cash proceeds and an after tax gain of |
23
$30.1 million. Post-closing adjustments on the sale have been finalized, and we do not anticipate adjusting our recorded gain on the sale. Accordingly, there were no results of operations related to APTIC in the second quarter of 2004. Our Other segment generated a net loss of $9.0 million in the second quarter of 2004 and net income of $16.2 million in the six months ended June 30, 2004. |
Conditions and Trends Affecting our Business
Overview of Financial Results for the Quarter and Six Months ended June 30, 2004
Our consolidated net income for the second quarter of 2004 was $96.7 million and $216.1 million for the six months ended June 30, 2004, compared to $69.5 million and $159.1 million for the corresponding periods in 2003. Our consolidated income from continuing operations after income taxes increased 46% in the second quarter of 2004 and 19% in the first half of 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003. These increases in our consolidated income from continuing operations after income taxes were primarily due to increases in our equity in earnings from FGIC Corporation, and increases in premiums earned and net investment income, particularly from our International Operations. The increases were partially offset by higher other underwriting and operating expenses and losses and loss adjustment expenses, or LAE, primarily from U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations, a decrease in our equity in earnings from SPS, and an increase in our interest expense as a result of our issuance of long-term debt in the fourth quarter of 2003.
Trends and Conditions Affecting Financial Performance
U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations. Factors affecting the financial performance of our U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations segment include:
| Policy Cancellations and Persistency. Low interest rates in 2002, 2003 and the six months ended June 30, 2004 have resulted in heavy mortgage refinance activity and high policy cancellations, which in turn have negatively affected PMIs insurance in force. PMIs persistency rate, the percentage of insurance policies at the beginning of a 12-month period that remain in force at the end of that period, was 52.8% at June 30, 2004, 44.6% at December 31, 2003 and 46.3% at June 30, 2003. The improvement in PMIs persistency rate at June 30, 2004 compared to December 31, 2003 resulted from increases in mortgage interest rates and a corresponding decline in refinance activity in the second quarter of 2004. If mortgage interest rates increase, we believe that PMIs persistency rate will continue to improve. |
| New Insurance Written (NIW). PMIs NIW in the second quarter of 2004 decreased by 27% and by 28% in the first half of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003. These decreases were primarily caused by lower levels of residential mortgage origination and refinance activities, which generally resulted from higher interest rates. PMIs ability to write new mortgage insurance is directly affected by, among other factors, the sizes of the U.S. mortgage origination, purchase money mortgage and private mortgage insurance markets. Increased use of alternatives to private mortgage insurance, such as 80/10/10 loans, negatively affects the size of the private mortgage insurance market and PMIs NIW. |
| PMIs Loss Experience. PMIs claims paid increased in the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003 primarily as a result of the aging of PMIs insurance portfolio and economic conditions. We expect PMIs losses associated with claims paid to increase in 2004 compared to 2003 as a result of these factors. Changes in economic conditions may not necessarily be reflected in PMIs loss development in the quarter or year in which they occur. |
| Captive Reinsurance. Captive reinsurance is a reinsurance product in which PMI shares portions of its risk written on loans originated by certain lenders. In return, a portion of PMIs gross premiums written is ceded to the captive reinsurers. At June 30, 2004, approximately 52% of PMIs primary insurance in force was subject to captive reinsurance agreements compared to approximately 47% as of June 30, 2003. This increase has and will continue to negatively impact PMIs net premiums written and |
24
net premiums earned in 2004. The increase was driven by refinance activity resulting in heavy cancellations of policies not subject to captive reinsurance and a higher percentage of NIW being generated by customers with captive reinsurance agreements. |
International Operations. Factors affecting the financial performance of our International Operations segment include:
| PMI Australia. PMI Australias NIW and insurance in force increased in the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003, positively affecting premiums earned and net investment income. The increases in NIW and insurance in force were driven by favorable economic conditions in the Australian and New Zealand economies in 2003 and the first six months of 2004. PMI Australias net income also continued to be positively impacted by favorable claims experience. |
| PMI Europe. PMI Europes net income, premiums earned and risk in force increased in the second quarter and first half of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 largely as a result of its acquisition of a portion of the U.K. lenders mortgage insurance portfolio of Royal & Sun Alliance, or R&SA. |
| Foreign Currency Exchange Fluctuations. The performance of our International Operations is subject to fluctuations in exchange rates between the U.S. dollar, the Australian dollar, and the Euro. The change in the average foreign currency exchange rates from the second quarter and first six months of 2003 to the corresponding periods in 2004 favorably impacted our International Operations net income by $2.3 million and $7.7 million, respectively, primarily due to appreciation in the Australian dollar. This foreign currency translation impact is calculated using the change in the average monthly exchange rates to the current period ending net income in the local currencies. In the second quarter of 2004, we purchased foreign currency put options at a cost of $1.1 million to mitigate the effects of a potential strengthening U.S. dollar relative to either the Australian dollar or the Euro in 2004. |
Financial Guaranty. In the second quarter and first six months of 2004, the significant portion of our net income derived from our Financial Guaranty segment was generated by equity earnings in FGIC Corporation. We do not control the operations of FGIC Corporation. Factors affecting FGIC Corporations financial performance include the maintenance of FGICs ratings, interest rate movements, the level of public financings and FGICs ability to expand into new markets.
Other. Factors affecting the financial performance of our Other segment include:
| SPS (formerly Fairbanks Capital Holding Corp.). In 2003, the servicer ratings of SPSs subsidiary, Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. (formerly Fairbanks Capital Corp.), or Select Servicing, were downgraded by rating agencies. As an indirect result of the rating agency downgrades, SPSs servicing portfolio declined to approximately $27 billion as of June 30, 2004 from approximately $51 billion as of June 30, 2003. This decline contributed to reductions in SPSs gross revenues by 39.5% in the second quarter of 2004 and 35.4% in the first six months of 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003. Consistent with these decreases, SPSs total expenses declined by 45.3% in the second quarter of 2004 and 31.3% in the first half of 2004 compared to the same periods in 2003. |
| Contract Underwriting Services. Due to a decline in refinancing activity and mortgage originations in 2004, revenue from contract underwriting decreased to $7.4 million in the second quarter of 2004 and $14.6 million in the first six months of 2004 from $14.2 million and $24.8 million in the corresponding periods in 2003, and contract underwriting expenses allocated to our Other segment decreased to $7.6 million and $14.5 million in the second quarter and first six months of 2004 from $15.0 million and $27.1 million in the corresponding periods in 2003. |
| Other. Our Other segment also includes net investment income, net income from discontinued operations, expenses related to corporate overhead, including salaries and bonuses, and interest expense and distributions on our mandatorily redeemable preferred securities and, in the first quarter of 2004, the gain on sale of APTIC. |
25
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Consolidated Results
The following table presents our consolidated financial results for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||
(In millions, except per share data) |
(In millions, except per share data) |
|||||||||||||||||
REVENUES |
||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned |
$ | 187.7 | $ | 168.2 | 12 | % | $ | 373.0 | $ | 344.2 | 8 | % | ||||||
Net investment income |
43.6 | 34.1 | 28 | % | 83.7 | 67.2 | 25 | % | ||||||||||
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated strategic investments |
23.6 | 5.7 | 314 | % | 42.7 | 14.5 | 194 | % | ||||||||||
Net realized investment gains |
| 2.1 | | 1.3 | 3.4 | (62 | %) | |||||||||||
Other income |
9.8 | 14.3 | (31 | %) | 18.6 | 25.0 | (26 | %) | ||||||||||
Total revenues |
264.7 | 224.4 | 18 | % | 519.3 | 454.3 | 14 | % | ||||||||||
LOSSES AND EXPENSES |
||||||||||||||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
56.5 | 56.2 | 1 | % | 116.4 | 103.0 | 13 | % | ||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
21.2 | 22.0 | (4 | %) | 44.3 | 43.9 | 1 | % | ||||||||||
Other underwriting and operating expenses |
49.7 | 47.3 | 5 | % | 100.0 | 83.6 | 20 | % | ||||||||||
Interest expense and distributions on mandatorily redeemable preferred securities |
8.8 | 5.7 | 54 | % | 17.3 | 10.6 | 63 | % | ||||||||||
Total losses and expenses |
136.2 | 131.2 | 4 | % | 278.0 | 241.1 | 15 | % | ||||||||||
Income from continuing operations before income taxes |
128.5 | 93.2 | 38 | % | 241.3 | 213.2 | 13 | % | ||||||||||
Income taxes from continuing operations |
31.8 | 26.9 | 18 | % | 59.1 | 60.2 | (2 | %) | ||||||||||
Income from continuing operations after income taxes |
96.7 | 66.3 | 46 | % | 182.2 | 153.0 | 19 | % | ||||||||||
Income from discontinued operations before income taxes |
| 4.8 | | 5.8 | 9.3 | (38 | %) | |||||||||||
Income taxes for discontinued operations |
| 1.6 | | 2.0 | 3.2 | (38 | %) | |||||||||||
Income from discontinued operations after income taxes |
| 3.2 | | 3.8 | 6.1 | (38 | %) | |||||||||||
Gain on sale of discontinued operations, net of income taxes of $17,131 |
| | | 30.1 | | | ||||||||||||
Net income |
$ | 96.7 | $ | 69.5 | 39 | % | $ | 216.1 | $ | 159.1 | 36 | % | ||||||
Diluted earnings per share |
$ | 0.99 | $ | 0.77 | 29 | % | $ | 2.22 | $ | 1.77 | 25 | % | ||||||
The 39% increase in consolidated net income in the second quarter of 2004 compared to the second quarter of 2003 was due primarily to higher premiums earned in our International Operations, equity earnings from FGIC Corporation and higher investment portfolio balances in our U.S. Mortgage Insurance and International Operations segments. The 36% increase in consolidated net income in the first six months of 2004 compared to the first six months of 2003 was due primarily to our $30.1 million after-tax gain on the sale of APTIC in March 2004 and, to a lesser extent, revenue growth due to our investment in FGIC Corporation and our International Operations.
26
Premiums earned represent the amount of premiums recognized as revenue for accounting purposes. The increases in premiums earned during the second quarter and first half of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were attributable primarily to increases in premiums earned by PMI Australia and PMI Europe. PMI Australias premiums earned increased as a result of significant growth in its business and the continued weakening of the U.S. dollar relative to the Australian dollar. PMI Europes premiums earned increased in 2004 primarily as a result of its acquisition of the R&SA portfolio in the fourth quarter of 2003.
The increases in net investment income in the second quarter and first half of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were due primarily to growth in our investment portfolio and municipal bond refundings, partially offset by a decrease in our book yield related to our U.S. portfolio. Our investment portfolio grew primarily as a result of excess cash flows from operations and our common stock and equity units offerings in the fourth quarter of 2003. As of June 30, 2004, our consolidated pre-tax book yield was 5.0% compared to 5.2% as of June 30, 2003. This decline reflects the reinvestment of maturing, higher yielding securities into lower yielding securities in our U.S. investment portfolio, partially offset by investments of excess cash from operations.
We account for our unconsolidated strategic investments and limited partnerships using the equity method of accounting. The increases in equity earnings from our unconsolidated strategic investments in the second quarter and first half of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were due primarily to our investment in FGIC Corporation in December 2003 and our resulting equity in earnings of FGIC Corporation of $17.9 million and $31.5 million in the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004, respectively. These increases were partially offset by a decrease of $6.3 million of equity in earnings from SPS in the first six months of 2004 compared to the first six months of 2003.
The decreases in other income in the second quarter and first half of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were largely due to lower fees generated by our contract underwriting services. Contract underwriting activity decreased in the first half of 2004 due to a decline in the refinance market. The results of our contract underwriting operations are included in our Other segment.
Our losses and LAE increased in the first half of 2004 compared to the corresponding period in 2003. This increase was primarily the result of an increase in incurred losses in our U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations in the first quarter of 2004 due to a number of factors, including the seasoning of our primary insurance portfolio and higher claim rates associated with the portion of PMIs portfolio that contains non-traditional and less-than-A quality mortgage loans. See Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates and Losses and LAE in U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations, below.
The increase in other underwriting and operating expenses in the first half of 2004 over the corresponding period in 2003 was due primarily to higher operating expenses in our U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations, including compensation and related expenses paid in the first half of 2004, expenses related to PMIs field operations restructuring, recognition of expenses previously deferred as acquisition costs, and increases in LAE adjustments. Increases in PMI Australias payroll and payroll-related expenses, primarily due to increased employee head-count, and profit commissions related to PMI Australias captive reinsurance arrangements also contributed to the increase in our consolidated other underwriting and operating expenses in the first half of 2004 compared to the first half of 2003.
The increases in interest expense in the second quarter and the first half of 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003 were primarily due to the issuance of our equity units offered in November 2003. See Liquidity and Capital Resources, Debt and Equity Financing, below.
Our income tax expense from continuing operations in the second quarter of 2004 increased by 18% compared to the corresponding period in 2003 as a result of an increase in pre-tax income from continuing operations, offset by a decrease in the effective tax rate from 28.2% to 24.8%. The decrease in our effective tax rate for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004 was due to an increase in the proportion of income we derived from PMI Australia, equity in earnings from FGIC Corporation and tax preference investment income.
27
Segment Results
The following table presents consolidated net income and net income for each of our segments for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
||||||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | (In millions) | ||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations |
$ | 63.3 | $ | 55.9 | 13.2 | % | $ | 116.9 | $ | 127.8 | (8.5 | )% | |||||||||
International Operations |
25.0 | 16.6 | 50.6 | % | 52.0 | 30.7 | 69.4 | % | |||||||||||||
Financial Guaranty |
17.5 | 0.8 | | 31.0 | 0.9 | | |||||||||||||||
Other |
(9.1 | ) | (3.8 | ) | 139.5 | % | 16.2 | (0.3 | ) | | |||||||||||
Consolidated Net Income |
$ | 96.7 | $ | 69.5 | 39.1 | % | $ | 216.1 | $ | 159.1 | 35.8 | % | |||||||||
U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations
The results of our U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations include the operating results of PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. and affiliated U.S. mortgage insurance and reinsurance companies (collectively referred to as PMI). CMG Mortgage Insurance Company, or CMG, is accounted for under the equity method of accounting and its results are recorded as equity in earnings from unconsolidated strategic investments. U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations results are summarized in the table below.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||
(In millions) | (In millions) | |||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned |
$ | 154.4 | $ | 145.0 | 6.5 | % | $ | 303.4 | $ | 301.5 | 0.6 | % | ||||||
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated strategic investments |
$ | 3.7 | $ | 3.8 | (2.6 | )% | $ | 7.0 | $ | 6.7 | 4.5 | % | ||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
$ | 55.8 | $ | 55.7 | 0.2 | % | $ | 114.7 | $ | 103.1 | 11.3 | % | ||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses |
$ | 43.0 | $ | 38.5 | 11.7 | % | $ | 88.6 | $ | 72.8 | 21.7 | % | ||||||
Net income |
$ | 63.3 | $ | 55.9 | 13.2 | % | $ | 116.9 | $ | 127.8 | (8.5 | )% |
Premiums written and earnedPMIs net premiums written refers to the amount of premiums recorded based on effective coverage during a given period, net of refunds and premiums ceded primarily, but not exclusively, under captive reinsurance agreements. Under captive reinsurance agreements, PMI transfers portions of its risk written on loans originated by certain lender-customers to captive reinsurance companies affiliated with such lender-customers. In return, a proportionate amount of PMIs gross premiums written is ceded to these captive reinsurance companies. PMIs premiums earned refers to the amount of premiums recognized as earned, net of changes in unearned premiums. The components of PMIs net premiums written and premiums earned are as follows:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | (In millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross premiums written |
$ | 188.7 | $ | 178.9 | 5.5 | % | $ | 381.6 | $ | 366.1 | 4.2 | % | ||||||||||
Ceded premiums |
(37.8 | ) | (30.9 | ) | 22.3 | % | (74.0 | ) | (61.7 | ) | 19.9 | % | ||||||||||
Refunded premiums |
(3.5 | ) | (5.7 | ) | (38.6 | )% | (7.1 | ) | (10.4 | ) | (31.7 | )% | ||||||||||
Net premiums written |
$ | 147.4 | $ | 142.3 | 3.6 | % | $ | 300.5 | $ | 294.0 | 2.2 | % | ||||||||||
Premiums earned |
$ | 154.4 | $ | 145.0 | 6.5 | % | $ | 303.4 | $ | 301.5 | 0.6 | % | ||||||||||
The increases in gross and net premiums written in the second quarter and first half of 2004 over corresponding periods in 2003 were due primarily to an increase in PMIs average premium rate. PMIs average
28
premium rate increased as a result of a higher percentage of policies with deeper coverage, adjustable rate mortgages and higher loan-to-value ratios in 2004 than in 2003. The decreases in refunded premiums in the second quarter and first half of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were due primarily to lower levels of policy cancellations in 2004.
The increases in ceded premiums in the second quarter and first six months of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were driven by the increasing percentage of primary insurance in force subject to captive reinsurance agreements and a higher average premium rate. Primary insurance in force refers to the current principal balance of all insured mortgage loans as of a given date. Heavy refinance volume, particularly in 2002 and 2003, resulted in an increasing penetration of loans subject to captive reinsurance agreements in PMIs portfolio. As of June 30, 2004, 52% and 54% of primary insurance in force and primary risk in force, respectively, were subject to captive reinsurance agreements, compared to 47% and 49% as of June 30, 2003. Primary risk in force is the aggregate dollar amount of each insured mortgage loans current principal balance multiplied by the insurance coverage percentage specified in the policy. We anticipate that higher levels of captive reinsurance cessions will continue to reduce PMIs net premiums written and earned, and that the percentage of PMIs primary risk in force subject to captive reinsurance agreements will continue to increase as a percentage of total risk in force.
The increases in premiums earned in the second quarter and first six months of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were due primarily to higher levels of insurance in force and risk in force, increases in PMIs average premium rate, and earned premiums associated with a $114 million single premium policy issued in the fourth quarter 2003. During the first quarter of 2003, we completed a review of PMIs unearned premiums and loss reserves for its pool insurance business and reduced unearned premiums to match actual loss experience. This change in estimate resulted in $7.1 million of additional premiums earned in the first quarter of 2003.
Losses and LAEPMIs total losses and LAE represent claims paid, certain expenses related to default notification and claim processing, and changes in loss reserves during the applicable period. Claims paid including LAE includes amounts paid on primary insurance claims, pool insurance claims and LAE. PMIs total losses and LAE and related claims data are shown in the following table.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||
(In millions, except percentages, number of primary claims paid and as otherwise noted) |
||||||||||||||||||
Claims paid including LAE |
$ | 55.2 | $ | 54.4 | 1.5 | % | $ | 104.7 | $ | 97.0 | 7.9 | % | ||||||
Change in net loss reserves |
0.6 | 1.3 | (53.8 | )% | 10.0 | 6.1 | 63.9 | % | ||||||||||
Total losses and LAE |
$ | 55.8 | $ | 55.7 | 0.2 | % | $ | 114.7 | $ | 103.1 | 11.3 | % | ||||||
Number of primary claims paid |
2,189 | 1,885 | 16.1 | % | 4,029 | 3,510 | 14.8 | % | ||||||||||
Average primary claim size (in thousands) |
$ | 23.3 | $ | 24.1 | (3.3 | )% | $ | 23.6 | $ | 23.5 | 0.4 | % |
Total losses and LAE incurred in the second quarter of 2004 remained flat compared to the second quarter of 2003, primarily as a result of an offsetting increase in the number of claims and decrease in the average primary claim size, combined with higher real estate owned carrying costs in the second quarter of 2003 than in the second quarter of 2004. We believe that the decrease in the average primary claim size in the second quarter of 2004 compared to the second quarter of 2003 was primarily the result of improved economic conditions, continued home price appreciation and PMIs loss mitigation efforts.
The increases in claims paid and total losses and LAE in the first half of 2004 compared to the first half of 2003 were due primarily to increases in primary insurance claims paid in 2004. (The increase in total losses and LAE was also caused by changes in net loss reserves; for a discussion of changes in net loss reserves, see Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates, Reserves for Losses and LAE, below.) Primary claims paid increased to
29
$95.1 million in the first six months of 2004 from $82.3 million in the first six months of 2003 as a result of increases in PMIs number of primary claims paid. Increases in PMIs number of primary claims paid were driven by the continued seasoning of PMIs primary insurance portfolio and general economic conditions. As of June 30, 2004, approximately 94% of PMIs primary risk in force was written after December 31, 1998 and 80% was written after December 31, 2001. Pool insurance claims paid totaled $8.2 million in the first six months of 2004, compared to $8.0 million in the first six months of 2003.
PMIs primary default data is presented in the table below.
As of June 30, |
Percent Change/ Variance |
||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
||||||||
(In millions, except percentages) |
|||||||||
Primary loans in default |
35,232 | 34,361 | 2.5 | % | |||||
Primary default rate |
4.36 | % | 4.12 | % | 0.24 | pps | |||
Primary default rate for bulk transactions |
9.01 | % | 8.77 | % | 0.24 | pps | |||
Primary default rate excluding bulk transactions |
3.79 | % | 3.54 | % | 0.25 | pps |
The increase in PMIs primary default rate was due primarily to a decline in the number of primary insurance policies in force and the increase in default inventory. The default rates for bulk channel transactions at June 30, 2004 and 2003 remained higher than the overall primary default rates due primarily to the higher concentration of less-than-A quality and non-traditional loans (see Credit characteristics below) in PMIs bulk portfolio.
As of June 30, 2004, PMIs modified pool insurance (see Modified pool insurance below) default rate was 5.26% with 10,636 modified pool loans in default, compared to a default rate of 5.58% with 8,978 modified pool loans in default as of June 30, 2003. The decrease in the default rate was primarily driven by an increase in modified pool policies in force. PMI believes that its modified pool insurance products risk reduction features, including a stated stop loss limit, exposure limits on each individual loan in the pool, and deductibles, in some instances, reduce PMIs ultimate loss exposure on loans insured by these products. PMIs default rate for GSE Pool (see Traditional pool insurance below) as of June 30, 2004 was 4.12% with 3,884 GSE Pool loans in default, compared to 2.47% with 4,302 loans in default as of June 30, 2003. The increase in the default rate and the decrease in loans in default were due primarily to a decline in the number of loans insured under GSE pool policies.
Total underwriting and operating expensesPMIs total underwriting and operating expenses are as follows:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||
(In millions, except percentages) |
(In millions, except percentages) |
|||||||||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
$ | 18.1 | $ | 19.5 | (7.2 | )% | $ | 37.5 | $ | 39.0 | (3.8 | )% | ||||||
Other underwriting and operating expenses |
24.9 | 19.0 | 31.1 | % | 51.1 | 33.8 | 51.2 | % | ||||||||||
Total underwriting and operating expenses |
$ | 43.0 | $ | 38.5 | 11.7 | % | $ | 88.6 | $ | 72.8 | 21.7 | % | ||||||
Policy acquisition costs incurred and deferred |
$ | 14.3 | $ | 20.2 | (29.2 | )% | $ | 27.8 | $ | 40.7 | (31.7 | )% | ||||||
Policy acquisition costs consist of direct costs related to PMIs acquisition, underwriting and processing of new insurance, including contract underwriting and sales-related activities. These costs are initially recorded as assets and amortized against related premium revenue for each policy year book of business. Policy acquisition costs incurred and deferred are variable and fluctuate with the volume of new insurance applications processed and NIW, and are offset by increased efficiency from the use of PMIs electronic origination and delivery
30
methods. Electronic delivery accounted for approximately 85% of PMIs insurance commitments from its primary flow channel during the second quarter of 2004, compared to approximately 81% during the corresponding period in 2003.
The decreases in policy acquisition costs incurred and deferred in the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to corresponding 2003 periods were primarily the result of declines in NIW over the same periods. From December 31, 2003 to June 30, 2004, PMIs deferred policy acquisition cost asset decreased by $9.8 million due primarily to the decline in NIW compared to prior periods. Continued declines in the deferred policy acquisition cost asset would reduce future amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs.
Other underwriting and operating expenses generally consist of all other costs that are not attributable to the acquisition of new business and are recorded as expenses when incurred. The increase in other underwriting and operating expenses for the second quarter of 2004 compared to the corresponding period in 2003 was attributable primarily to the recognition of expenses previously deferred as acquisition costs, field operations restructuring expenses, and depreciation.
The increase in other underwriting and operating expenses in the first six months of 2004 compared to the corresponding period in 2003 was due primarily to: increases in various operating expenses; expenses related to a portion of 2003 annual incentive bonuses and 401(k) contributions paid in the first quarter of 2004; various 2002 expense accruals that were reversed in the first quarter of 2003; recognition of expenses previously deferred as acquisition costs; and field operations restructuring expenses recognized in the first and second quarters of 2004.
PMI incurs underwriting expenses related to contract underwriting services for mortgage loans without mortgage insurance coverage. These costs are not deferrable and are allocated to PMI Mortgage Services Co., or MSC, which is reported in our Other segment, thereby reducing PMIs underwriting and operating expenses. Contract underwriting expenses allocated to MSC were $7.6 million in the second quarter of 2004 and $14.5 million in the first six months of 2004, compared to $15.0 million and $27.1 million in the corresponding periods in 2003. The decrease in allocations reflected lower contract underwriting activity, which decreased primarily as a result of a decrease in refinancing activity and mortgage originations.
RatiosPMIs loss, expense and combined ratios are shown below.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Variance |
2004 |
2003 |
Variance |
|||||||||||||
Loss ratio |
36.1 | % | 38.4 | % | (2.3) | pps | 37.8 | % | 34.2 | % | 3.6 | pps | ||||||
Expense ratio |
29.2 | % | 27.1 | % | 2.1 | pps | 29.5 | % | 24.8 | % | 4.7 | pps | ||||||
Combined ratio |
65.3 | % | 65.5 | % | (0.2) | pps | 67.3 | % | 59.0 | % | 8.3 | pps | ||||||
PMIs loss ratio is the ratio of total losses and LAE to premiums earned. The decrease in the loss ratio between the second quarter of 2004 and 2003 was primarily driven by an increase in premiums earned. The increase in the loss ratio between the first six months of 2004 and 2003 was due primarily to an increase in total losses and LAE. PMIs expense ratio is the ratio of total underwriting and operating expenses to net premiums written. The increase in total underwriting and operating expenses, which is discussed above, primarily drove the increase in PMIs expense ratio. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
Primary NIWThe components of PMIs primary NIW are as follows:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||
(In millions) | (In millions) | |||||||||||||||||
Primary new insurance written : |
||||||||||||||||||
Primary new insurance writtenflow channel |
$ | 10,409 | $ | 12,522 | (16.9 | )% | $ | 18,863 | $ | 23,983 | (21.3 | )% | ||||||
Primary new insurance writtenbulk channel |
998 | 3,152 | (68.3 | )% | 1,342 | 3,933 | (65.9 | )% | ||||||||||
Total primary new insurance written |
$ | 11,407 | $ | 15,674 | (27.2 | )% | $ | 20,205 | $ | 27,916 | (27.6 | )% | ||||||
31
The decreases in PMIs primary NIW in the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were driven primarily by the lower volume of residential mortgage originations and, to a lesser extent, to reduced opportunities for bulk insurance writings. As estimated by Mortgage Bankers Association of America, total U.S. residential mortgage originations during the first six months of 2004 decreased to $1.5 trillion from $2.0 trillion in the corresponding period in 2003.
Traditional pool insurancePrior to 2002, PMI offered certain pool insurance products to lenders and the GSEs, or GSE Pool, and to the capital markets, or Old Pool. GSE Pool and Old Pool products insure all losses on individual loans held within a pool of insured loans up to the stop loss limit for the entire pool. GSE Pool risk in force was $127.1 million at June 30, 2004 and $490.9 million at June 30, 2003. Old Pool risk in force was $599.3 million at June 30, 2004 and $731.4 million at June 30, 2003.
Modified pool insurancePMI currently offers modified pool insurance products that may be attractive to investors and lenders seeking capital relief, or a reduction of default risk beyond the protection provided by existing primary insurance, or with respect to loans that do not require primary insurance. During the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004, PMI wrote $59.5 million and $129.8 million of modified pool risk, respectively, compared to $66.2 million and $139.8 million in the corresponding periods of 2003. Modified pool risk in force was $1.5 billion at June 30, 2004 and $1.3 billion at June 30, 2003.
Insurance and risk in forcePMIs primary insurance in force and primary and pool risk in force are shown in the table below.
As of June 30, |
Percentage Change |
||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
||||||||||
(In millions) | |||||||||||
Primary insurance in force |
$ | 104,206 | $ | 103,506 | 0.7 | % | |||||
Primary risk in force |
$ | 24,802 | $ | 24,089 | 3.0 | % | |||||
Pool risk in force |
2,535 | 2,830 | (10.4 | )% | |||||||
Policy persistency ratePrimary |
52.8 | % | 46.3 | % | 6.5 | pps |
The increases in primary insurance in force and risk in force at June 30, 2004 compared to June 30, 2003 were driven by higher persistency. Rising mortgage interest rates and a corresponding decline in refinance activity caused policy cancellations to decrease by 35% and 34% to $11.5 billion and $21.2 billion in the second quarter and first six months of 2004, respectively, compared to $17.7 billion and $32.0 billion in the corresponding periods in 2003. PMIs persistency rate increased from 46.3% as of June 30, 2003 to 52.8% as of June 30, 2004.
Credit characteristicsPMI insures less-than-A quality loans and non-traditional loans through all of its acquisition channels. PMI defines less-than-A quality loans to include loans with FICO scores generally less than 620. PMI considers a loan non-traditional if it does not conform to GSE requirements, including loan size limits, or if it includes certain characteristics such as reduced documentation verifying the borrowers income, deposit information and/or employment. A small number of loans insured by PMI include both less-than-A quality and non-traditional characteristics. Generally, less-than-A quality and non-traditional loans exhibit higher default and delinquency rates and faster prepayment speeds than PMIs A quality and traditional loans. However, in 2003 and 2004, a period of heavy refinancing activity, the prepayment speed of PMIs A quality and traditional loans exceeded the prepayment speed of PMIs less-than-A quality and non-traditional loans.
32
The following table presents PMIs less-than-A quality loans and non-traditional loans as percentages of its flow channel and bulk channel primary NIW and modified pool insurance written.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | (In millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Less-than-A quality loan amounts and as a percentage of : |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Primary NIWflow channel |
$ | 729 | 7 | % | $ | 879 | 7 | % | $ | 1,353 | 7 | % | $ | 1,757 | 7 | % | ||||||||
Primary NIWbulk channel |
291 | 29 | % | 1,424 | 45 | % | 354 | 26 | % | 1,585 | 40 | % | ||||||||||||
Total primary NIW |
1,020 | 9 | % | 2,303 | 15 | % | 1,707 | 8 | % | 3,342 | 12 | % | ||||||||||||
All modified pool insurance written |
55 | 2 | % | 18 | 1 | % | 200 | 3 | % | 163 | 4 | % | ||||||||||||
Total primary and modified pool insurance written |
$ | 1,075 | 8 | % | $ | 2,321 | 13 | % | $ | 1,907 | 7 | % | $ | 3,505 | 11 | % | ||||||||
Non-traditional loan amounts and as a percentage of : |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Primary NIWflow channel |
$ | 2,661 | 26 | % | $ | 1,676 | 13 | % | $ | 4,627 | 25 | % | $ | 3,184 | 13 | % | ||||||||
Primary NIWbulk channel |
432 | 43 | % | 832 | 26 | % | 482 | 36 | % | 994 | 25 | % | ||||||||||||
Total primary NIW |
3,093 | 27 | % | 2,508 | 16 | % | 5,109 | 25 | % | 4,178 | 15 | % | ||||||||||||
All modified pool insurance written |
1,940 | 76 | % | 1,496 | 75 | % | 5,389 | 84 | % | 2,027 | 49 | % | ||||||||||||
Total primary and modified pool insurance written |
$ | 5,033 | 36 | % | $ | 4,004 | 23 | % | $ | 10,498 | 39 | % | $ | 6,205 | 19 | % | ||||||||
Nearly all of the modified pool insurance written classified as non-traditional received such classification as a result of the reduced documentation for the underlying loans and not as a result of any particular credit characteristic. The following table presents PMIs less-than-A quality loans, non-traditional loans or both as percentages of primary risk in force.
As of June 30, |
||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||
As a percentage of primary risk in force: |
||||||
Less-than-A quality loans |
11 | % | 12 | % | ||
Less-than-A quality loans with FICO scores below 575 * |
3 | % | 3 | % | ||
Non-traditional loans |
16 | % | 13 | % | ||
Less-than-A quality or non-traditional or both |
26 | % | 24 | % |
* | Less-than-A with FICO scores below 575 is a subset of PMIs of less-than-A quality loan portfolio |
The percentage of PMIs primary risk in force comprised of loans with LTVs above 97% has increased from 5% as of June 30, 2003 to 10% as of June 30, 2004. LTV is the ratio of the original loan amount to the value of the property. This increase is due, in part, to changes in a number of state statutes and regulations to permit the issuance of mortgage insurance on such loans, and to the expansion of underwriting guidelines by lenders and PMI as a result of market outreach efforts. We believe that loans with LTVs greater than 97% have higher risk characteristics than loans below 97% LTV.
International Operations
International Operations include the results of our Australian holding company, PMI Mortgage Insurance Australia (Holdings) Pty Limited, and operating subsidiaries, PMI Mortgage Insurance Ltd and PMI Indemnity Limited, collectively referred to as PMI Australia; our Irish subsidiaries, PMI Mortgage Insurance Company Limited and TPG Reinsurance Company Limited, collectively referred to as PMI Europe; and PMIs Hong Kong
33
reinsurance revenues. Reporting of financial and statistical information for International Operations is subject to foreign currency rate fluctuations in translation to U.S. dollar reporting. International Operations results are summarized as follows:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||
(USD in millions) | (USD in millions) | |||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned |
$ | 33.3 | $ | 23.2 | 44 | % | $ | 69.5 | $ | 42.6 | 63 | % | ||||||
Losses, expenses and interest |
$ | 10.9 | $ | 7.6 | 43 | % | $ | 22.3 | $ | 13.3 | 68 | % | ||||||
Net income |
$ | 25.0 | $ | 16.6 | 51 | % | $ | 52.0 | $ | 30.7 | 69 | % |
The change in the average foreign currency exchange rates from the second quarter and first six months of 2003 to the corresponding periods in 2004 favorably impacted our International Operations net income by $2.3 million and $7.7 million, respectively, primarily due to the appreciation in the Australian dollar. This foreign currency translation impact is calculated using the change in the average monthly exchange rates to the current period ending net income in the local currencies.
In the second quarter of 2004, we purchased foreign currency put options designed to mitigate the negative financial impact of a potential strengthening of the U.S. dollar relative to both the Australian dollar and the Euro in 2004. In particular, we purchased Australian dollar put options and Euro put options, which expire ratably over the remainder of calendar year 2004, for a combined cost of $1.1 million. Net income from our International segment could be negatively impacted in the second half of 2004 by a strengthening of the U.S. dollar in the event that net income in either of the respective functional currencies exceeds the notional balances of the options purchased. To the extent the U.S. dollar weakens against either the Australian dollar or the Euro, the total negative impact to consolidated net income in 2004 will be limited to the cost of the options purchased.
PMI Australia
The table below sets forth the results of PMI Australia for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change/ Variance |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change/ Variance |
|||||||||||||||||
(USD in millions) | (USD in millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written |
$ | 38.4 | $ | 28.4 | 35 | % | $ | 74.2 | $ | 49.6 | 50 | % | ||||||||||
Premiums earned |
$ | 26.7 | $ | 19.8 | 35 | % | $ | 55.6 | $ | 37.1 | 50 | % | ||||||||||
Net investment income and other |
9.0 | 6.1 | 48 | % | 18.3 | 11.1 | 65 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other income |
1.1 | 0.3 | 267 | % | 1.3 | 0.3 | 333 | % | ||||||||||||||
Losses and LAE |
(0.2 | ) | 0.5 | 140 | % | (0.4 | ) | 1.4 | 129 | % | ||||||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses |
(8.9 | ) | (6.5 | ) | 37 | % | (17.9 | ) | (12.2 | ) | 47 | % | ||||||||||
Income taxes |
(8.5 | ) | (6.5 | ) | 31 | % | (17.4 | ) | (11.9 | ) | 46 | % | ||||||||||
Net income |
$ | 19.2 | $ | 13.7 | 40 | % | $ | 39.5 | $ | 25.8 | 53 | % | ||||||||||
Loss ratio |
0.7 | % | (2.5 | )% | 3.2pps | 0.7 | % | (3.8 | )% | 4.5pps | ||||||||||||
Expense ratio |
23.2 | % | 22.9 | % | 0.3pps | 24.1 | % | 24.6 | % | (0.5)pps |
The increases in PMI Australias net income in the second quarter and first six months of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were due primarily to increases in premiums written and earned. The reported results of PMI Australia were favorably affected by the appreciation of the Australian dollar in 2004. The average AUD/USD currency exchange rate was 0.7149 and 0.7400 for the second quarter and first half of 2004 compared to 0.6409 and 0.6171 for the corresponding periods in 2003. The change in the average AUD/USD currency exchange rates from the second quarter of 2003 to the second quarter of 2004 and the first half of 2003
34
to the first half of 2004 favorably impacted PMI Australias net income by $2.0 million and $6.5 million, respectively. This foreign currency translation impact is calculated using the change in the average monthly exchange rate to the current period ending net income in the local currency.
In April 2004, PMI Australia purchased foreign currency put options for the purpose of hedging 2004 net income against a strengthening U.S. dollar relative to the Australian dollar. These options, with a total pre-tax cost of $1.0 million, will expire at the end of 2004. The year to date reduction to net income resulting from the change in the spot exchange rate from December 31, 2003 was $0.6 million. The year to date net gains recognized to income related to these purchased options was $0.9 million.
Premiums written and earnedIn addition to foreign currency exchange rate appreciation, the increases in PMI Australias net premiums written and premiums earned for the second quarter and first half of 2004 over the corresponding periods in 2003 were due to increases in NIW and insurance in force. These increases were attributable primarily to the strong mortgage origination market in Australia and New Zealand, as well as a reduction in the number of market participants underwriting mortgage insurance.
Net investment incomeIn addition to foreign currency exchange rate appreciation, the increases in net investment income in the second quarter and first half of 2004 over corresponding periods in 2003 were due to the growth of PMI Australias investment portfolio and a higher book yield. PMI Australias investment portfolio, including cash and cash equivalents, was $646.1 million at June 30, 2004 compared to $523.8 million at June 30, 2003. The growth was driven by positive cash flows from operations. The pre-tax book yield was 5.84% and 5.18% for the second quarter and first half of 2004, respectively.
Losses and LAEThe increases in losses and LAE in the second quarter and first six months of 2004 over the corresponding periods in 2003 was largely due to a reduction in loss reserves in the first half of 2003. See Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates, below. PMI Australia has continued to experience low levels of claim payments and default rates attributable primarily to the current low interest rate environment, low unemployment levels and home value appreciation in Australia and New Zealand. PMI Australias default rate at June 30, 2004 was 0.15% compared with 0.22% at June 30, 2003.
Underwriting and operating expensesThe increases in underwriting and operating expenses in the second quarter and first half of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were due to increases in payroll and payroll related expenses, primarily due to increased employee head-count, and profit commissions related to captive reinsurance agreements. Underwriting and operating expenses were also negatively affected by foreign currency exchange rate appreciation.
Primary NIW and risk in forcePMI Australias primary NIW includes flow channel insurance and insurance on residential mortgage-backed securities, or RMBS. In Australia, an active securitization market exists due in part to the relative absence of government sponsorship of the mortgage market. RMBS transactions include insurance on seasoned portfolios comprised of prime credit quality loans that have LTVs often below 80%. The following table presents the components of PMI Australias primary NIW, insurance in force and risk in force for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||
(USD in millions) | (USD in millions) | |||||||||||||||||
Flow insurance written |
$ | 4,992 | $ | 3,472 | 44 | % | $ | 10,268 | $ | 6,386 | 61 | % | ||||||
RMBS insurance written |
3,660 | 1,635 | 124 | % | 6,648 | 2,845 | 134 | % | ||||||||||
Total primary new insurance written |
$ | 8,652 | $ | 5,107 | 69 | % | $ | 16,916 | $ | 9,231 | 83 | % | ||||||
As of June 30, |
||||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||||||
Primary insurance in force |
$ | 91,467 | $ | 68,954 | 33 | % | ||||||||||||
Primary risk in force |
$ | 82,764 | $ | 62,913 | 32 | % |
35
The increases in primary NIW in the second quarter and first half of 2004 over corresponding periods in 2003 were driven by strong mortgage origination activity in Australia. The increases in primary insurance in force and risk in force in the second quarter of 2004 over the second quarter of 2003 were attributable to the increased volume of NIW during the past 12 months. The significant increase in RMBS insurance written in the first half of 2004 over the corresponding period in 2003 reflects increased securitization activity in the Australian market and the fact that there are limited market participants providing mortgage insurance for RMBS in the Australian market.
PMI Europe
The following table sets forth the results of PMI Europe for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003.
Three Month Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||||||
(USD in millions) |
(USD in millions) |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned |
$ | 5.0 | $ | 2.2 | 127 | % | $ | 10.4 | $ | 3.0 | 246 | % | ||||||||||
Other income |
1.3 | | | 2.7 | | | ||||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
2.0 | 1.1 | 82 | % | 4.7 | 2.3 | 104 | % | ||||||||||||||
Losses and LAE |
(0.6 | ) | (1.0 | ) | (40 | )% | (1.3 | ) | (1.3 | ) | | |||||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses |
(1.1 | ) | (0.6 | ) | 83 | % | (2.7 | ) | (1.2 | ) | 125 | % | ||||||||||
Income taxes |
(2.3 | ) | (0.2 | ) | | (4.8 | ) | (0.4 | ) | | ||||||||||||
Net income |
$ | 4.3 | $ | 1.5 | 187 | % | $ | 9.0 | $ | 2.4 | 275 | % | ||||||||||
The reported results of PMI Europe were favorably affected by the appreciation of the Euro in 2004. The average Euro/USD currency exchange rate was 1.2056 for the second quarter of 2004 and 1.2275 for the first half of 2004 compared to 1.1371 and 1.1057 for the corresponding periods in 2003. The change in the average Euro/USD currency exchange rates from the second quarter and six months ended 2003 to the second quarter and six months ended 2004 favorably impacted PMI Europes net income by $0.3 million and $1.2 million, respectively. This foreign currency translation impact is calculated using the change in the average monthly exchange rate to the current period ending net income in the local currency.
In June 2004, PMI purchased foreign currency put options for the purpose of hedging 2004 net income against a strengthening U.S. dollar relative to the Euro. These options, with a total cost of $0.1 million, will expire at the end of 2004. The year to date reduction to net income resulting from the change in the spot exchange rate from December 31, 2003 was $0.3 million. The year to date net effect recognized to net income related to the purchased options was nominal.
In addition to foreign currency exchange rate appreciation, the increases in net income in the second quarter and first half of 2004 over corresponding periods in 2003 were primarily attributable to increases in premiums earned. The increases in premiums earned were due to the continued growth of PMI Europes portfolio and particularly the acquisition of a portion of the U.K. lenders mortgage insurance portfolio of R&SA. At the time of acquisition, the portfolio covered approximately $15 billion of original insured principal balance and $2.3 billion of remaining exposure. R&SA transferred all loss reserves and unearned premium reserves associated with the portfolio to PMI Europe totaling $55 million, of which $47 million were unearned premium reserves. R&SA has also agreed to provide excess-of-loss reinsurance to PMI Europe with respect to the portfolio under certain conditions. Under the terms of the agreement, R&SA and PMI Europe share certain economic benefits if loss performance is better than expected.
PMI Europes net investment income includes interest and dividend income from its investment portfolio, gains and losses on foreign currency re-measurement, realized investment gains and losses from investment activity, and foreign currency exchange gains and losses when investments are sold. Interest and dividend income increased to $1.7 million in the second quarter of 2004 from $1.1 million in the corresponding period in 2003, due to the growth of the investment portfolio. PMI Europes investment portfolio, including cash and cash
36
equivalents, as of June 30, 2004 was $196.6 million compared to $108.4 million as of June 30, 2003. The growth of the investment portfolio from the previous year was primarily driven by cash received in connection with the R&SA portfolio acquisition, positive cash flows from operations and the appreciation of the Euro relative to the U.S. dollar. The pre-tax book yield was 4.45% as of June 30, 2004 and 4.85% as of June 30, 2003. PMI Europe incurred net realized investment gains of $0.3 million in the second quarter of 2004.
PMI Europe entered into one credit default swap transaction during the second quarter of 2004. PMI Europe is currently a party to four transactions that were classified as derivatives in accordance with SFAS No. 149, Amendment of SFAS No. 133 on Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities. However, initial fair value gains were deferred in accordance with Emerging Issues Task Force (EITF) No. 02-3, Issues Involved in Accounting for Derivative Contracts Held for Trading Purposes and Contracts Involved in Energy Trading and Risk Management Activities. As of June 30, 2004, $6.6 million of deferred gains related to initial fair value was included in other liabilities and $0.3 million and $0.6 million of accretion from deferred gains were included in other income in the second quarter and first six months of 2004, respectively. Subsequent changes in the value, exclusive of accretion, of derivative contracts resulted in a $1.0 million and $2.1 million gain in the second quarter and first six months of 2004, respectively, which were also included in PMI Europes other income.
Losses and LAE performance in the second quarter and first half of 2004 continued to be favorable. PMI Europe increased its loss reserves in the second quarter of 2004 primarily as a result of additional reserves posted for non-derivative accounted credit default swap transactions. Claims paid totaled $0.2 million, including claim payments under credit default swaps, in the second quarter of 2004; no claims were paid in the second quarter of 2003.
The increases in underwriting and operating expenses in the second quarter and first half of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003 were due primarily to increases in staff and costs associated with expansion efforts.
As of June 30, 2004, PMI Europe had assumed $2.9 billion of risk on $24.4 billion of mortgages on properties in the United Kingdom and $0.3 billion of risk on $8.9 billion of mortgages on properties in Germany and the Netherlands. As of June 30, 2004, PMI Europe had assumed first loss default risk (including the R&SA acquired portfolio) of $2.4 billion in the United Kingdom and Germany.
Hong Kong
The following table sets forth the results of PMIs Hong Kong reinsurance revenues for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||
(USD in millions) | (USD in millions) | |||||||||||||||||
Gross reinsurance premiums written |
$ | 2.6 | $ | 2.0 | 30 | % | $ | 4.4 | $ | 2.9 | 52 | % | ||||||
Reinsurance premiums earned |
$ | 1.5 | $ | 1.3 | 15 | % | $ | 3.5 | $ | 2.5 | 40 | % |
PMIs Hong Kong branch reinsures mortgage risk primarily for the Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation. The increases in gross reinsurance premiums written and reinsurance premiums earned in the second quarter and first half of 2004 over corresponding periods in 2003 were due primarily to an increase in mortgage origination activity in Hong Kong.
37
Financial Guaranty
The following table sets forth the results of PMIs financial guaranty segment for the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, | |||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 | |||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | ||||||||||||
Equity in earnings from: |
||||||||||||
FGIC |
$ | 17.9 | $ | | $ | 31.5 | $ | | ||||
RAM Re |
1.8 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 1.4 | ||||||||
Total equity earnings |
19.7 | 1.2 | 34.6 | 1.4 | ||||||||
Income taxes |
2.2 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 0.5 | ||||||||
Net income |
$ | 17.5 | $ | 0.8 | $ | 31.0 | $ | 0.9 | ||||
We completed our acquisition of a 42% ownership interest in FGIC Corporation in December 2003; therefore, no equity in earnings from FGIC Corporation is presented for the second quarter or first six months of 2003. The increase in equity in earnings from RAM Re was largely due to an increase in premiums earned, a decrease in its provisions for losses, and an increase in investment income.
Other
The results of our Other segment include: other income and related operating expenses of MSC; investment income, interest expense and corporate overhead of The PMI Group; the results of our dormant U.S. insurance companies; equity in earnings from SPS; and the results from discontinued operations of APTIC. Our Other segment results are summarized as follows:
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
2004 |
2003 |
Percentage Change |
|||||||||||||||||
(In millions) | (In millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
$ | 5.0 | $ | 4.5 | 11 | % | $ | 8.8 | $ | 8.5 | 4 | % | ||||||||||
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated strategic investments |
$ | 0.2 | $ | 0.7 | (71 | )% | $ | 1.1 | $ | 6.4 | (83 | )% | ||||||||||
Other income |
$ | 7.4 | $ | 14.0 | (47 | )% | $ | 14.6 | $ | 24.6 | (41 | )% | ||||||||||
Other operating expenses |
$ | (26.5 | ) | $ | (29.5 | ) | (10 | )% | $ | (52.3 | ) | $ | (52.0 | ) | 1 | % | ||||||
Income from discontinued operations APTIC |
$ | | $ | 3.1 | (100 | )% | $ | 3.8 | $ | 6.1 | (38 | )% | ||||||||||
Gain on sale of discontinued operations, net of income taxes |
$ | | $ | | | $ | 30.1 | $ | | | ||||||||||||
Net income (loss) |
$ | (9.1 | ) | $ | (3.8 | ) | 139 | % | $ | 16.2 | $ | (0.3 | ) | |
Our Other segments net loss increased in the second quarter of 2004 compared to the second quarter of 2003 primarily as a result of the lack of income from APTIC in the second quarter of 2004 and increased interest expense associated with the $345.0 million of new debt raised in the fourth quarter of 2003. In addition, the increase to the net loss was offset by a slight increase in net investment income due primarily to purchases of higher yielding investments during 2004 and interest from our related party receivables.
The increase in net income in the first six months of 2004 over the corresponding period in 2003 was primarily due to the gain from our sale of APTIC, which closed in March 2004, offset by reductions in fee income from contract underwriting and reductions in earnings from SPS, as well as only one quarter of income from APTIC.
The decrease in equity earnings of unconsolidated strategic investments in the first six months of 2004 compared to the first six months of 2003 was due primarily to a decrease in equity in earnings of SPS. Equity in
38
earnings of SPS was $0.4 million in the first six months of 2004 compared to $6.7 million in the corresponding period in 2003. This decrease was primarily due to the decline in SPSs servicing portfolio resulting from rating actions described below.
As a result of rating agency downgrades in 2003, Select Servicing lost its qualification to be named as a primary servicer on residential mortgage-backed securities, or RMBS, transactions rated by Moodys Investors Service, or Moodys and Standard & Poors Rating Service, or S&P. On April 28, 2004, Moodys raised Select Servicings servicer ratings from SQ4 (below average) to SQ3 (average). On May 7, 2004, S&P raised Select Servicings servicer ratings from below average to average. As a result, Select Servicing is now qualified to be named as primary servicer on future RMBS transactions rated by S&P and/or Moodys. We regularly evaluate our investment balance in SPS for other-than-temporary impairment in accordance with GAAP. (See Critical Accounting Policies and EstimatesImpairment Analysis of Investments in Unconsolidated Subsidiaries.)
Select Servicings servicing practices have been the subject of investigations by the Federal Trade Commission, or FTC, the Department of Housing and Urban Development, or HUD, and the Department of Justice, as well as putative state and national class actions. In October 2003, the United States District Court for the District of Massachusetts approved a settlement that resolves the investigations by the FTC and HUD. In May 2004, the District Court approved a nationwide settlement that resolves claims raised in approximately 40 putative class action lawsuits. The FTC and HUD settlement provides for the implementation of a $40.0 million redress fund and certain changes to Select Servicings servicing practices. In the second quarter of 2004, in exchange for a promissory note from SPS, and pursuant to our guarantee of approximately two-thirds of Select Servicings obligations under a $30.7 million letter of credit, we provided to Select Servicing $19.7 million of the $40.0 million redress fund established pursuant to the FTC and HUD settlement, resulting in a corresponding increase to our related party receivable balance. (See Part IIOther Information, Item 1. Legal Proceedings.)
Regulatory agencies in two states in which Select Servicing does a significant amount of business have indicated that, notwithstanding the settlement by SPS with the FTC and HUD, they intend to require Select Servicing to refund to consumers in their respective states amounts that they allege Select Servicing had improperly collected and to enter into consent decrees regulating various aspects of Select Servicings business. In addition, SPS has entered into consent orders with the States of Florida and Maryland under which it has agreed to change certain of its practices and refund certain amounts to borrowers in those states. Other states could also seek to require such refunds or consent orders.
Other income, which was generated by MSC, decreased in the second quarter and first half of 2004 over the corresponding periods of 2003, primarily driven by a decline in contract underwriting activity related to lower mortgage origination and refinance volume.
Other operating expenses, which were incurred by MSC and The PMI Group, were generally flat in the second quarter and first six months of 2004 compared to corresponding periods in 2003, primarily as a result of a decrease in contract underwriting expense allocation offset by an increase in interest expense relating to monthly interest on our equity units issued in November 2003.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Sources of Funds
The PMI Groups principal sources of funds are (i) dividends from certain of its insurance subsidiaries, (ii) investment income from its investment portfolio and (iii) funds that may be raised in the capital markets. The PMI Groups ability to access these sources depends on, among other things, the financial performance of The PMI Groups subsidiaries, regulatory restrictions on the ability of The PMI Groups insurance subsidiaries to pay
39
dividends, The PMI Groups and its subsidiaries ratings by the rating agencies and restrictions and agreements to which The PMI Group or its subsidiaries are subject that restrict their ability to pay dividends, incur debt or issue equity securities.
Dividends
PMIs ability to pay dividends to The PMI Group is affected by state insurance laws, credit agreements, credit rating agencies and the discretion of insurance regulatory authorities. The laws of Arizona, PMIs state of domicile for insurance regulatory purposes, provide that PMI may pay dividends out of any available surplus account, without prior approval of the Director of the Arizona Department of Insurance, during any 12-month period in an amount not to exceed the lesser of 10% of policyholders surplus as of the preceding year end or the prior calendar years net investment income. A dividend that exceeds the foregoing threshold is deemed an extraordinary dividend and requires the prior approval of the Director of the Arizona Department of Insurance. On June 23, 2004, the Director of the Arizona Department of Insurance approved PMIs extraordinary dividend request of $150 million, and this dividend was paid to The PMI Group in July 2004. No further dividends may be paid prior to July 2005 without the prior approval of the Director of the Arizona Department of Insurance.
Other states may also limit or restrict PMIs ability to pay shareholder dividends. For example, California and New York prohibit mortgage insurers from declaring dividends except from the surplus of undivided profits over the aggregate of their paid-in capital, paid-in surplus and contingency reserves.
In August 2004, our Board of Directors approved a $0.03 per share annual dividend increase beginning in the third quarter of 2004 and the establishment of a dividend reinvestment plan by year end 2004.
In addition to its consolidated subsidiaries, The PMI Group may in the future derive funds from its unconsolidated equity investments, including its investment in FGIC Corporation, which is the parent corporation of FGIC. FGICs ability to pay dividends is subject to restrictions contained in applicable state insurance laws and regulations, FGIC Corporations certificate of incorporation, a stockholders agreement between the PMI Group and other investors in FGIC Corporation, and its 6.0% senior notes. Under New York insurance law, FGIC may pay dividends out of statutory earned surplus, provided that statutory surplus after any dividend may not be less than the minimum required paid-in capital and provided that together with all dividends declared or distributed by FGIC during the preceding 12 months, the dividends do not exceed the lesser of (i) 10% of policyholders surplus as of its last statement filed with the New York superintendent or (ii) adjusted net investment income during this period. In addition, in accordance with the normal practice of the New York Insurance Department in connection with change in control applications, FGIC Corporation is subject to commitments to the department that it will prevent FGIC from paying any dividends for a period of two years from the date of the acquisition, or December 18, 2005, without the prior written consent of the New York Insurance Department.
Consolidated Investment Portfolio
Our consolidated investment portfolio holds primarily investment grade readily marketable fixed income and equity securities. At June 30, 2004, the fair value of these securities in our consolidated investment portfolio increased to $3.1 billion from $2.8 billion at December 31, 2003. The increase was primarily the result of investment activity due to positive cash flows from consolidated operations, our common stock and equity units offerings in the fourth quarter of 2003, and the proceeds from the sale of APTIC in the first quarter of 2004, partially offset by a decrease in unrealized gains in our portfolio. As interest rates, market and other economic conditions change, we expect the market value of the securities in our investment portfolio to be affected.
Our consolidated investment portfolio consists primarily of publicly traded municipal bonds, U.S. and foreign government bonds and corporate bonds. In accordance with SFAS No. 115, our entire investment portfolio is designated as available-for-sale and reported at fair value, and the change in fair value is recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income.
40
The following table summarizes our consolidated investment portfolio as of June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003:
Cost or Amortized Cost |
Gross Unrealized |
Fair Value | |||||||||||
Gains |
(Losses) |
||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||
June 30, 2004 |
|||||||||||||
Fixed income securities |
$ | 2,679,407 | $ | 92,667 | $ | (21,227 | ) | $ | 2,750,847 | ||||
Equity securities: |
|||||||||||||
Common stock |
95,322 | 22,691 | (341 | ) | 117,672 | ||||||||
Preferred stock |
105,794 | 4,123 | (192 | ) | 109,725 | ||||||||
Total equity investments |
201,116 | 26,814 | (533 | ) | 227,397 | ||||||||
Short-term investments |
114,193 | | (1,995 | ) | 112,198 | ||||||||
Total investments |
$ | 2,994,716 | $ | 119,481 | $ | (23,755 | ) | $ | 3,090,442 | ||||
December 31, 2003 |
|||||||||||||
Fixed income securities |
$ | 2,419,456 | $ | 138,778 | $ | (4,050 | ) | $ | 2,554,184 | ||||
Equity securities: |
|||||||||||||
Common stock |
92,640 | 24,401 | (313 | ) | 116,728 | ||||||||
Preferred stock |
105,795 | 5,292 | (17 | ) | 111,070 | ||||||||
Total equity investments |
198,435 | 29,693 | (330 | ) | 227,798 | ||||||||
Short-term investments |
20,603 | 3,200 | | 23,803 | |||||||||
Total investments |
$ | 2,638,494 | $ | 171,671 | $ | (4,380 | ) | $ | 2,805,785 |
The decreases in unrealized holding gains in the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003 were primarily due to increases in fixed income security interest rates causing market value declines relative to the consolidated fixed income portfolio. The decreases were also affected by the strengthening U.S. dollar relative to the Australian dollar which decreased the value of our international portfolio for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004. In addition, the stronger U.S. dollar relative to the Australian dollar primarily caused the increase in changes in foreign currency translation losses for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2004.
Net Investment Income
The components of net investment income are presented in the following table.
Three Months Ended June 30, |
Six Months Ended June 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Fixed income securities |
$ | 38,869 | $ | 30,499 | $ | 74,435 | $ | 60,642 | ||||||||
Equity securities |
2,289 | 1,990 | 4,643 | 3,719 | ||||||||||||
Short-term investments |
3,222 | 1,739 | 5,975 | 2,874 | ||||||||||||
Investment income before expenses |
44,380 | 34,228 | 85,053 | 67,235 | ||||||||||||
Investment expenses |
(758 | ) | (102 | ) | (1,390 | ) | (55 | ) | ||||||||
Net investment income |
$ | 43,622 | $ | 34,126 | $ | 83,663 | $ | 67,180 | ||||||||
Net investment income increased in the second quarter and first six months ended 2004 over the corresponding periods in 2003 primarily due to growth in our investment portfolio and municipal bond refundings of $1.7 million for the quarter and $1.9 million year to date. Our pre-tax book yield was 5.0% at June 30, 2004, down from 5.4% at December 31, 2003. The decline reflects the reinvestment of maturing, higher yielding investments into lower yielding investments in our U.S. investment portfolio, partially offset by investments of excess cash from operations.
41
Debt and Equity Financing
We are currently negotiating a credit facility of approximately $150 million to be available for general corporate purposes.
We manage our capital resources based on our cash flows, total capital and rating agency requirements. As of June 30, 2004, our consolidated shareholders equity was $2.9 billion. Our long-term debt outstanding at June 30, 2004 was $819.5 million and consisted of the following:
| $360.0 million in principal amount of 2.50% Senior Convertible Debentures due July 15, 2021 issued by The PMI Group; |
| $62.9 million in principal amount of 6.75% Notes due November 15, 2006 issued by The PMI Group; |
| $51.6 million in principal amount of 8.309% Subordinated Debentures due February 1, 2027 issued to an unconsolidated subsidiary trust of The PMI Group; and |
| $345.0 million in principal amount of Senior Notes, maturing on November 15, 2008, with a coupon of 3.0% per annum, issued by The PMI Group. |
The Senior Notes described above relate to our issuance in November 2003 of 13.8 million 5.875% equity units with a stated value of $25 per unit. The units include the senior notes and stock purchase contracts to purchase, no later than November 15, 2006, up to 9,032,100 shares of common stock for an aggregate purchase price of $345.0 million. Contract adjustment payments will be made on the stated value of the equity units at a rate of 2.875% per annum. Also in November 2003, we issued 5,750,000 shares of our common stock for an aggregate purchase price of approximately $220 million. As a result of the Senior Notes offering, our ability to issue significant amounts of additional indebtedness, while maintaining The PMI Groups senior debt ratings and outlook as well as PMIs financial strength ratings and outlook, could be limited.
The terms of the 2.50% Senior Convertible Debentures due July 15, 2021 provide that the holders of the debentures may require The PMI Group to repurchase outstanding debentures on July 15, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2011 and 2016 at a purchase price equal to the principal amount of the debentures to be repurchased plus accrued and unpaid interest. Instead of paying the purchase price in cash, we may pay all or a portion of the purchase price in common stock, valued at 97.5% of the average sale price of the common stock over a specified period, provided that the shares of common stock to be issued are registered under the Securities Act, if required. On July 15, 2004, certain debenture holders required us to repurchase a nominal amount of the debentures.
Uses of Funds
The PMI Groups principal uses of funds are payments of dividends to shareholders, common stock repurchases, investments and acquisitions, and interest payments. The PMI Groups available funds, consisting of cash and cash equivalents and investments, were $385.2 million at June 30, 2004, compared to $307.9 million at December 31, 2003. In the normal course of business, we evaluate The PMI Groups capital and liquidity needs in light of its debt-related costs, holding company expenses, its dividend policy, and rating agency considerations. It is our present intention to maintain at least $100 million of liquidity at our holding company for rating agency purposes. We believe that we have sufficient cash to meet all of our short- and medium-term obligations, and that we maintain excess liquidity to support our operations.
If we wish to make further investments, pursue other strategic opportunities or provide additional capital to our existing operations, we may need to raise additional funds. Our ability to do so will be dependent on our access to the debt or equity markets and/or the availability of dividends from our insurance subsidiaries, which are subject to rating agency and insurance regulatory considerations and risk-to-capital limitations.
42
Cash Flows
On a consolidated basis, our principal sources of funds are cash flows generated by our insurance subsidiaries, investment income derived from our investment portfolios and debt and equity financings by The PMI Group as described above. We believe that we have sufficient cash to meet our short- and medium-term obligations.
Consolidated cash flows generated by operating activities, including premiums, investment income, underwriting and operating expenses and losses, was $186.1 million in the first six months of 2004 compared to $177.6 million in the first six months of 2003. This increase is primarily related to the increase in net income from continuing operations, the decline of policy acquisition costs and the timing of the payment of the tax liability generated by the gain on the sale of APTIC.
Consolidated cash flows used in investing activities, including purchases and sales of investments, investments in unconsolidated subsidiaries, and capital expenditures, was $287.0 million in the first six months of 2004 and $132.5 million in the first six months of 2003. This increase was due primarily to the purchase of additional investments, partially funded by proceeds from the sale of APTIC.
Consolidated cash flows generated by financing activities, including proceeds from the issuance of equity relating to our benefit plans and proceeds from issuance of stock net of dividends paid to shareholders, was $14.8 million in the six months ended 2004 compared to $(19.4) million net cash used in the six months ended 2003. The variance was due primarily to our repurchase of common stock in the first quarter of 2003.
Commitments and Contingencies
Our contractual obligations include long-term debt, capital lease obligations, operating lease obligations and purchase obligations. Most of our capital expenditure commitments will be used for technology improvements. We have lease obligations under certain non-cancelable operating leases.
Capital Support Obligations
PMI has entered into various capital support agreements with its Australian and European subsidiaries that could require PMI to make additional capital contributions to those subsidiaries for rating agency purposes. With respect to the Australian and European subsidiaries, The PMI Group guarantees the performance of PMIs capital support obligations. In 2001, PMI executed a capital support agreement whereby it agreed to contribute funds, under specified conditions, to maintain CMGs risk-to-capital ratio at or below 18.0 to 1. PMIs obligation under the agreement is limited to an aggregate of $37.7 million, exclusive of capital contributions that PMI made prior to April 10, 2001. As of June 30, 2004, CMGs risk-to-capital ratio was 13.3 compared to 13.4 as of December 31, 2003.
Ratings
The rating agencies have assigned the following ratings to The PMI Group and certain of its wholly-owned subsidiaries:
| S&P has assigned The PMI Group counterparty credit and senior unsecured debt ratings of A and a preferred stock rating of A-; has assigned PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. counterparty credit and financial strength ratings of AA; and has assigned PMI Australia and PMI Europe financial strength ratings of AA. S&Ps outlook with respect to these ratings is stable. |
| Fitch Ratings, or Fitch, has assigned The PMI Group A+ long-term issuer and senior debt ratings; has assigned PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. a AA+ insurer financial strength rating; has assigned PMI Australia and PMI Europe insurer financial strength ratings of AA; and has assigned PMI Capital I, the issuer of the 8.309% Capital Securities, an A+ capital securities rating. Fitchs rating outlook is stable with respect to these ratings. |
43
| Moodys has assigned a A1 senior unsecured debt rating, stable outlook, with respect to The PMI Groups 2.50% Senior Convertible Debentures and the 5.875% equity units; has assigned PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. a Aa2 (stable outlook) insurance financial strength rating; has assigned PMI Australia a Aa2 (stable outlook) insurance financial strength rating; and has assigned PMI Europe a Aa3 (stable outlook) insurance financial strength rating. |
Any significant decreases in our ratings may adversely affect the ratings of FGIC Corporation and FGIC. FGICs ability to attract new business and to compete with other triple-A rated financial guarantors is largely dependent on its triple-A financial strength ratings. Also, the stockholders agreement entered into in connection with the acquisition of FGIC Corporation provides that The PMI Group will not acquire a majority of the voting stock of FGIC Corporation or cause its designees to constitute a majority of FGIC Corporations Board of Directors unless, at the time of such action, Moodys, S&P and Fitch, as applicable, reaffirm FGICs then current financial strength rating and outlook and FGIC Corporations then current senior unsecured debt rating and outlook.
Any decrease in our ratings could also negatively impact PMI Australias and PMI Europes ratings, which could place them at a competitive disadvantage.
Determinations of ratings by the rating agencies are affected by a variety of factors, including macroeconomic conditions, economic conditions affecting the mortgage insurance industry, changes in regulatory conditions that may affect demand for mortgage insurance, competition, or the need for us to make capital contributions to our subsidiaries and underwriting and investment losses. We are reviewed at least annually by the rating agencies as part of their normal review process. As a result of S&Ps annual review, on May 17, 2004, S&P downgraded the ratings of The PMI Group and PMI to A and AA, respectively, while changing its outlook with respect to these ratings from negative to stable. S&P has also designated PMI Australia and PMI Europe to be core businesses of The PMI Group, and Moodys has also designated PMI Australia as a core business of The PMI Group. A subsidiary is granted core status when its activities are closely aligned to the parent, it has similar risk profile to the parent, it is successful and its operations are closely integrated with the parent. Additionally, it allows for parity in ratings between the core subsidiaries and their parent.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operation, as well as disclosures included elsewhere in this report are based upon our consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States. The preparation of these financial statements requires us to make estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosure of contingencies. Actual results may differ significantly from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions. We believe that the following critical accounting policies involved significant judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our financial statements.
Reserves for Losses and LAE
We establish reserves for losses and LAE to recognize the liability of unpaid losses related to insured mortgages that are in default. We do not rely on a single estimate to determine our loss reserves. To ensure the reasonableness of the best estimates, we develop scenarios using generally recognized actuarial projection methodologies that result in a range of possible losses and LAE. Each scenario in the loss reserve model is assigned different weightings based upon actual claims experience in prior years to project the current liability. Our best estimate with respect to our consolidated loss and LAE reserves was approximately the midpoint of the actuarially determined range at June 30, 2004. Changes in loss reserves can materially affect our consolidated net income. The process of reserving for losses requires us to forecast interest rate and housing market environments, which are highly uncertain. Therefore, the process requires significant management judgment. In addition, different estimates could have been used in the current period, and changes in the accounting estimates are reasonably likely to occur from period to period based on the economic conditions. We review the judgments made in our prior period estimation process and adjust our current assumptions as appropriate. While our
44
assumptions are based in part upon historical data, the loss provisioning process is complex and subjective and, therefore, the ultimate liability may vary significantly from our estimates.
The following table shows the reasonable range of loss and LAE reserves, as determined by our actuaries, and recorded reserves for losses and LAE (gross of reinsurance recoverables) as of June 30, 2004 on a segment and consolidated basis:
As of June 30, 2004 | |||||||||
Low |
High |
Recorded | |||||||
(Dollars in millions) | |||||||||
U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations |
$ | 291.4 | $ | 371.6 | $ | 334.7 | |||
International Operations * |
19.7 | 22.0 | 22.3 | ||||||
Consolidated loss and LAE reserves, gross of reinsurance recoverable |
$ | 311.1 | $ | 393.6 | $ | 357.0 | |||
* | International Operations includes loss and LAE reserves for PMI Australia and $12.8 million of reserves for PMI Europe. We have not established a range of loss reserves for PMI Europe as of June 30, 2004. |
U.S. Mortgage Insurance OperationsWe establish PMIs reserves for losses and LAE based upon our estimate of unpaid losses and LAE on (i) reported mortgage loans in default and (ii) estimated defaults incurred but not reported to PMI by its customers. As of June 30, 2004, our actuaries determined that PMIs reasonable range of loss and LAE reserves was $291.4 million to $371.6 million. As of June 30, 2004, PMIs reserves for losses and LAE were $334.7 million (gross of reinsurance recoverable), which represented our best estimate and approximately the midpoint of the actuarial range of loss. We believe the amount recorded represents the most likely outcome within the actuarial range.
Our best estimate of PMIs loss and LAE reserves is derived primarily from our analysis of PMIs default and loss experience. The key assumptions used in the estimation process are expected claim rates, average claim sizes, and costs to settle claims. We evaluate our assumptions in light of PMIs historical patterns of claim payment, loss experience in past and current economic environments, the seasoning of PMIs various books of business, PMIs coverage levels, the credit quality profile of PMIs portfolios, and the geographic mix of PMIs business. Our assumptions are influenced by historical loss patterns and are adjusted to reflect recent loss trends. Our assumptions are also influenced by our assessment of current and future economic conditions, including trends in housing prices, unemployment and interest rates. Our estimation process uses generally recognized actuarial projection methodologies. As part of our estimation process, we also evaluate various scenarios representing possible losses and LAE under different economic assumptions. With respect to PMIs reserves at June 30, 2004, our recording of $334.7 million, the approximate midpoint of the actuarial range, was influenced by our belief that PMIs number of delinquencies, average claim rate and average claim size are currently less volatile relative to prior periods.
Our current recorded loss reserve balance represents an increase of $9.4 million from PMIs reserve balance of $325.3 million at December 31, 2003. Our increase to the reserve balance at June 30, 2004 was due primarily to expected higher proportions of delinquencies developing into claims partially offset by a decrease in reported delinquencies since December 31, 2003.
45
The following table provides a reconciliation of our U.S. Mortgage Insurance segments beginning and ending reserves for losses and LAE for the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003:
Six Months Ended June 30, |
||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||
Balance at January 1, |
$ | 325,262 | $ | 315,718 | ||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
(3,275 | ) | (3,846 | ) | ||||
Net beginning balance |
321,987 | 311,872 | ||||||
Loss and LAE incurred (principally with respect to defaults occurring in) |
||||||||
Current year |
118,038 | 109,004 | ||||||
Prior years |
(3,328 | ) | (5,897 | ) | ||||
Total incurred |
114,710 | 103,107 | ||||||
Losses and LAE payments (principally with respect to defaults occurring in) |
||||||||
Current year |
(430 | ) | (64 | ) | ||||
Prior years |
(104,324 | ) | (96,916 | ) | ||||
Total payments |
(104,754 | ) | (96,980 | ) | ||||
Net ending balance |
331,943 | 317,999 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
2,801 | 3,138 | ||||||
Balance at June 30, |
$ | 334,744 | $ | 321,137 |
The above loss reserve reconciliation shows the components of our loss reserve and LAE changes for the periods presented. Losses and LAE payments of $104.8 million and $97.0 million for the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, reflect actual amounts paid during the period presented and are not subject to estimation. Losses and LAE incurred, net of changes to prior years, of $114.7 million and $103.1 million for the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, are managements best estimates of ultimate losses and LAE and, therefore, are subject to estimation. Within the total losses and LAE incurred line item are reductions to losses incurred related to prior periods of $3.3 million and $5.9 million for the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively. By setting out losses and LAE incurred by accident year, the table below breaks down the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 reductions in reserves by particular accident years.
Losses and LAE Incurred |
Change in Incurred |
|||||||||||||||||||
2004 vs. |
2003 vs. |
|||||||||||||||||||
Accident Year |
June 30, 2004 |
December 31, 2003 |
June 30, 2003 |
December 31, 2002 |
||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||||
1998 and Prior |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | (0.1 | ) | $ | (1.0 | ) | ||||||
1999 |
69.2 | 69.4 | 69.6 | 70.0 | (0.2 | ) | (0.4 | ) | ||||||||||||
2000 |
102.5 | 103.6 | 104.6 | 101.4 | (1.1 | ) | 3.2 | |||||||||||||
2001 |
183.1 | 183.7 | 178.1 | 157.0 | (0.6 | ) | 21.1 | |||||||||||||
2002 |
210.9 | 204.1 | 206.2 | 235.0 | 6.8 | (28.8 | ) | |||||||||||||
2003 |
210.2 | 218.3 | | | (8.1 | ) | | |||||||||||||
2004 |
118.0 | | | | | | ||||||||||||||
$ | (3.3 | ) | $ | (5.9 | ) |
The $3.3 million and $5.9 million in reductions in losses and LAE incurred related to prior years for the six months ended June 30, 2004 and the six months ended June 30, 2003, respectively, were due to re-estimations of ultimate loss rates from those established at the original notice of default, updated through the periods presented. These re-estimations of ultimate loss rates are the result of managements periodic review of estimated claim amounts in light of actual claim amounts, loss development data or ultimate claim rates. The $5.9 million reduction in prior years reserves in the six months ended June 30, 2003 was due primarily to our reallocation of reserves predominantly between the accident years 2002 and 2001.
46
International OperationsPMI Australias reserves for losses and LAE are based upon estimated unpaid losses and LAE on reported defaults and estimated defaults incurred but not reported. The key assumptions we use to derive PMI Australias loss and LAE reserves include estimates of PMI Australias expected claim rates, average claim sizes, LAE and net expected future claim recoveries. These assumptions are evaluated in light of similar factors used by PMI. As of June 30, 2004, the actuarial range for PMI Australias reserves for losses and LAE ranged from $6.9 million to $9.2 million. As of June 30, 2004, PMI Australias reserves for losses and LAE were $9.5 million, which represented our best estimate and a decrease of $0.7 million from PMI Australias reserve balance of $10.2 million at December 31, 2003. The $0.7 million decrease in PMI Australias reserves for losses and LAE since December 31, 2003 was due primarily to foreign currency translation as a result of the weakening of the Australian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar. Our recorded reserves in Australia were slightly above the high end of the actuarial range of loss and in doing so we were influenced in part by Australian insurance regulations requiring higher confidence levels for reserve balances and our belief that the recent low loss rates experienced by PMI Australia may not be sustainable in the future as its current loans in default ultimately go to claim.
PMI Europes loss reserves at June 30, 2004 were $12.8 million compared to $12.1 million at December 31, 2003. Currently we do not determine an actuarial range of loss for PMI Europes loss reserves. As we accumulate additional loss data related to the acquired R&SA portfolio, we anticipate determining an actuarial range of loss. We establish PMI Europes loss reserves for credit default swap transactions consummated before July 1, 2003, primary insurance and excess-of-loss reinsurance. Revenue, losses and other expenses associated with credit default swaps executed on or after July 1, 2003 are recognized through a derivative accounting treatment in accordance with SFAS No. 149. PMI Europes loss reserving methodology contains three components: case reserves, IBNR reserves, and reserves on risk-remote positions. Case and IBNR reserves are based upon PMI Europes estimation of incurred loss. Reserves on risk-remote positions are based on the assumption that even in transactions where the likelihood of loss to PMI Europe is remote, a series of such transactions represent an increased likelihood that some small percentage of these transactions may experience losses. Therefore, PMI Europe has calculated reserves on risk-remote positions based upon historical bond default rates at the corresponding rating levels.
The following table provides a reconciliation of our International Operations segments beginning and ending reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003:
Six Months Ended June 30, |
||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||||
Balance at January 1, |
$ | 21,674 | $ | 17,848 | ||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
| (578 | ) | |||||
Net beginning balance |
21,674 | 17,270 | ||||||
Loss and LAE incurred (principally with respect to defaults occurring in) |
||||||||
Current year |
9,297 | 12,495 | ||||||
Prior years |
(7,655 | ) | (12,630 | ) | ||||
Total incurred |
1,642 | (135 | ) | |||||
Losses and LAE payments (principally with respect to defaults occurring in) |
||||||||
Current year |
(58 | ) | (111 | ) | ||||
Prior years |
(665 | ) | (1,600 | ) | ||||
Total payments |
(723 | ) | (1,711 | ) | ||||
Foreign currency translation |
(1,248 | ) | 3,087 | |||||
Net ending balance |
21,345 | 18,511 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
936 | 474 | ||||||
Balance at June 30, |
$ | 22,281 | $ | 18,985 |
47
The decreases of $7.7 million and $12.6 million in loss and LAE incurred relating to prior years in the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, were primarily the result of a reduction in PMI Australias loss reserves in the six months ended June 30, 2003 combined with a favorable development of actual claim amounts and adjustments to ultimate claim rates in both 2003 and 2004.
Investments
Other-Than-Temporary ImpairmentWe have a formal review process for all securities in our investment portfolio, including a review for impairment losses. Factors considered when assessing impairment include:
| a decline in the market value of a security below cost or amortized cost for a continuous period of at least six months; |
| recent credit downgrades of the applicable security or the issuer by the rating agencies; |
| the financial condition of the applicable issuer; |
| whether scheduled interest payments are past due; and |
| whether we have the ability and intent to hold the security for a sufficient period of time to allow for anticipated recoveries in fair value. |
If we believe a decline in the value of a particular investment is temporary, we record the decline as an unrealized loss on our consolidated balance sheet under accumulated other comprehensive income in shareholders equity. If we believe the decline is other-than-temporary, we write-down the carrying value of the investment and record a realized loss in our consolidated statement of operations under net realized investment gains. Our assessment of a decline in value includes managements current assessment of the factors noted above. If that assessment changes in the future, we may ultimately record a loss after having originally concluded that the decline in value was temporary. There was no other-than-temporary decline in the fair value of the investment portfolio in the second quarter or six months ended 2004, compared to no write-downs in the second quarter of 2003 and $0.1 million of write-downs for the six months ended 2003.
The following table shows our investments gross unrealized losses and fair value, aggregated by investment category and length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, at June 30, 2004:
Less than 12 months |
12 months or more |
Total |
|||||||||||||||||||
Fair Value |
Unrealized Losses |
Fair Value |
Unrealized Losses |
Fair Value |
Unrealized Losses |
||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed income securities: |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Municipal bonds |
$ | 456,852 | $ | (11,502 | ) | $ | | $ | | $ | 456,852 | $ | (11,502 | ) | |||||||
Foreign governments |
261,977 | (2,460 | ) | 32,748 | (1,296 | ) | 294,725 | (3,756 | ) | ||||||||||||
Corporate bonds |
234,214 | (5,056 | ) | 20,576 | (904 | ) | 254,790 | (5,960 | ) | ||||||||||||
U.S. government and agencies |
218 | (9 | ) | | | 218 | (9 | ) | |||||||||||||
Total fixed income securities |
953,261 | (19,027 | ) | 53,324 | (2,200 | ) | 1,006,585 | (21,227 | ) | ||||||||||||
Equity securities: |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Common stocks |
6,331 | (311 | ) | 950 | (30 | ) | 7,281 | (341 | ) | ||||||||||||
Preferred stocks |
7,185 | (192 | ) | | | 7,185 | (192 | ) | |||||||||||||
Total equity securities |
13,516 | (503 | ) | 950 | (30 | ) | 14,466 | (533 | ) | ||||||||||||
Short-term investments |
102,422 | (1,995 | ) | | | 102,422 | (1,995 | ) | |||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,069,199 | $ | (21,525 | ) | $ | 54,274 | $ | (2,230 | ) | $ | 1,123,473 | $ | (23,755 | ) | ||||||
48
We have determined that there was no other-than-temporary impairment in our consolidated investment portfolio as of June 30, 2004. Unrealized losses were primarily due to interest rate fluctuations during the period and as such do not qualify for other-than-temporary impairment as we have the intent and ability to hold until maturity.
Impairment Analysis of Investments in Unconsolidated Subsidiaries
Periodically, or as events dictate, we evaluate potential impairment of our investments in unconsolidated subsidiaries. Accounting Principles Board (APB) Opinion No. 18, The Equity Method of Accounting for Investments in Common Stock, provides criteria for determining potential impairment. In the event a loss in value of an investment is determined to be an other-than-temporary decline, an impairment charge would be recognized in the consolidated statement of operations. Evidence of a loss in value that could indicate impairment might include, but would not necessarily be limited to, the absence of an ability to recover the carrying amount of the investment or the inability of the investee to sustain an earnings capacity which would justify the carrying amount of the investment. Realized gains or losses resulting from the sale of our ownership interests of unconsolidated subsidiaries are recognized in net realized investment gains or losses in the consolidated statement of operations.
As of June 30, 2004, our total investments in SPS were $156.2 million and consisted primarily of $110.5 million book value of our equity investment and $45.7 million of related party receivables. We evaluated these investments as of June 30, 2004 and determined that there was no other-than-temporary decline in the carrying value. We have considered all factors affecting the value of our investment both positive and negative during the quarter, including the recent servicer ratings upgrades by Moodys and S&P. Accordingly, we have not recognized an impairment charge with respect to our total investment in SPS. We will continue to evaluate our investment balance in SPS for potential impairment in accordance with GAAP.
49
RISK FACTORS
Economic factors have adversely affected and may continue to adversely affect PMIs loss experience and demand for mortgage insurance.
PMIs loss experience has materially increased over the past year and could continue to increase as a result of: national or regional economic recessions; declining values of homes; higher unemployment rates; higher levels of consumer credit; deteriorating borrower credit; interest rate volatility; war or terrorist activity; or other economic factors. These factors could also materially reduce demand for housing and, consequently, demand for mortgage insurance.
Concentration of PMIs primary insurance in force could increase claims and losses and harm our financial performance.
We could be affected by economic downturns in specific regions of the United States where a large portion of PMIs business is concentrated. As of June 30, 2004, 10% of PMIs primary risk in force was located in Florida, 8% was located in California, and 7% was located in Texas. In addition, refinancing of mortgage loans can have the effect of concentrating PMIs insurance in force in economically weaker areas of the U.S. As of June 30, 2004, approximately 15% of PMIs policies in force related to loans located in Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana and Ohio. Collectively these states have experienced higher default rates in 2004 than other regions of the U.S.
If interest rates decline, home values increase or mortgage insurance cancellation requirements change, the length of time that PMIs policies remain in force and our revenues could decline.
A significant percentage of the premiums PMI earns each year is generated from insurance policies written in previous years. As a result, a decrease in the length of time that PMIs policies remain in force could cause our revenues to decline. Factors that lead to borrowers canceling their mortgage insurance include: current mortgage interest rates falling below the rates on the mortgages underlying PMIs insurance in force, which frequently results in borrowers refinancing their mortgages; and appreciation in the values of the homes underlying the mortgages PMI insures.
If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that PMI writes could decline, which could result in a decline in our future revenue.
A decline in the volume of low down payment mortgage originations could reduce the demand for private mortgage insurance and consequently, our revenues. The volume of low down payment mortgage originations is affected by, among other factors: the level of home mortgage interest rates; domestic economy and regional economic conditions; consumer confidence; housing affordability; the rate of household formation; the rate of home price appreciation, which in times of heavy refinancing affects whether refinance loans have loan-to-value ratios that require private mortgage insurance; and government housing policy.
Since PMI generally cannot cancel mortgage insurance policies or adjust renewal premiums, unanticipated claims could cause our financial performance to suffer.
PMI generally cannot cancel the mortgage insurance coverage that it provides or adjust renewal premiums during the life of a mortgage insurance policy. As a result, the impact of unanticipated claims generally cannot be offset by premium increases on policies in force or limited by non-renewal or cancellation of insurance coverage. The premiums PMI charges may not be adequate to compensate us for the risks and costs associated with the insurance coverage provided to PMIs customers. An increase in the number or size of unanticipated claims could adversely affect our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
50
The premiums PMI charges for mortgage insurance on less-than-A quality loans and non-traditional loans, and the associated investment income, may not be adequate to compensate for future losses from these products.
PMIs insurance written includes less-than-A quality loans and non-traditional loans. The credit quality, loss development and persistency on these loans can vary significantly from PMIs traditional A quality loan business. For example, PMIs primary bulk portfolio is experiencing higher delinquency and claims rates, and higher average claims paid amounts, than PMIs primary flow portfolios due, in part, to the higher concentration of less-than-A quality and non-traditional loans in the bulk portfolio. We expect that PMI will continue to experience higher default rates for less-than-A quality and non-traditional loans than for its A quality loans. We cannot be sure that the premiums that PMI charges on less-than-A quality loans and non-traditional loans will adequately offset the associated risk.
PMIs primary risk in force consists of mortgage loans with high loan-to-value ratios and adjustable rate mortgages, which generally result in more claims than mortgage loans with lower loan-to-value ratios and fixed rate mortgages.
In our experience, mortgage loans with high loan-to-value ratios have higher claims frequency rates than mortgages with lower loan-to-value ratios. At June 30, 2004, approximately 55% of PMIs primary risk in force consisted of mortgages with loan-to-value ratios greater than 90%. Risk in force is the dollar amount equal to the product of each individual insured mortgage loans current principal balance and the percentage specified in the insurance policy of the claim amount that would be payable if a claim were made.
Also as of June 30, 2004, approximately 11% of PMIs primary risk in force consisted of adjustable rate mortgages, which we refer to as ARMs. In our experience, ARMs have claims frequency rates that exceed the rates associated with PMIs book of business as a whole. We cannot be sure that the premiums that PMI charges will adequately offset the associated risk of higher loan-to-value loans and ARMs.
PMIs loss experience may increase as PMIs policies continue to age.
The majority of claims with respect to primary insurance written through PMIs flow channel have historically occurred during the third through the sixth years after issuance of the policies. PMIs primary bulk loans that result in claims generally reach claims status more quickly than primary flow loans. As of June 30, 2004, approximately 94% of PMIs primary risk in force was written after December 31, 1998 and 80% was written after December 31, 2001. Accordingly, a significant majority of PMIs primary portfolio is in, or approaching, its peak claim years. We believe PMIs loss experience may increase as PMIs policies age. If the claim frequency on PMIs risk in force significantly exceeds the claim frequency that was assumed in setting PMIs premium rates, our consolidated financial condition and results of operations would be harmed.
Our loss reserves may be insufficient to cover claims paid and loss-related expenses incurred.
We establish loss reserves to recognize the liability for unpaid losses related to insurance in force on mortgages that are in default. These loss reserves are regularly reviewed and are based upon our estimates of the claim rate and average claim amounts, as well as the estimated costs, including legal and other fees, of settling claims. Any adjustments, which may be material, resulting from these reviews are reflected in our consolidated results of operations. Our consolidated financial condition and results of operations could be harmed if our reserve estimates are insufficient to cover the actual related claims paid and loss-related expenses incurred.
PMI delegates underwriting authority to mortgage lenders which could cause PMI to insure mortgage loans outside of its underwriting guidelines, and thereby increase claims and losses.
A significant percentage of PMIs new insurance written is underwritten pursuant to a delegated underwriting program under which certain mortgage lenders may determine whether mortgage loans meet PMIs program guidelines and commit us to issue mortgage insurance. We may expand the availability of delegated
51
underwriting to additional customers. If an approved lender commits us to insure a mortgage loan, PMI generally may not refuse, except in limited circumstances, to insure, or rescind coverage on, that loan even if it reevaluates that loans risk profile and determines the risk profile to be unacceptable or the lender fails to follow PMIs delegated underwriting guidelines.
If we fail to properly underwrite mortgage loans when we provide contract underwriting services, we may be required to provide monetary and other remedies to the customer. In addition, we may not be able to recruit a sufficient number of qualified underwriting personnel.
Our subsidiary MSC provides contract underwriting services for a fee. As a part of the contract underwriting services, MSC provides monetary and other remedies to its customers in the event that it fails to properly underwrite a mortgage loan. As a result, we assume credit and interest rate risk in connection with our contract underwriting services. Generally, the scope of the remedies provided by MSC is in addition to those contained in PMIs master policies. Contract underwriting services apply to a significant percentage of PMIs insurance in force and the costs relating to the investigation and/or provision of remedies could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition and results of operations. Worsening economic conditions or other factors that could increase PMIs default rate could also cause the number and severity of remedies to increase.
The number of available and qualified underwriting personnel is limited, and there is heavy price competition among mortgage insurance companies for such personnel. MSCs inability to recruit and maintain a sufficient number of qualified underwriters at a low cost could harm our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
The risk-based capital rule issued by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight could require us to obtain a claims-paying ability rating of AAA and could cause PMIs business to suffer.
The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, or OFHEO, has issued a risk-based capital rule that treats credit enhancements issued by private mortgage insurance companies with claims-paying ability ratings of AAA more favorably than those issued by private mortgage insurance companies with AA ratings. PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. has been assigned financial strength ratings of AA by S&P, AA+ by Fitch and Aa2 by Moodys. The rule also provides capital guidelines for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, or the GSEs, in connection with their use of other types of credit protection counterparties in addition to mortgage insurers. Although it has not occurred to date, if the rule resulted in the GSEs increasing their use of either AAA-rated mortgage insurers instead of AA-rated entities or credit protection counterparties other than mortgage insurers, our consolidated financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. Legislation is pending in Congress concerning the GSEs which would empower a new regulator to issue new capital rules for the GSEs. We cannot estimate whether this legislation will be enacted, its content or its impact on our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
If mortgage lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance, such as 80/10/10 loans, the amount of insurance that PMI writes could decline, which could reduce our revenues and profits.
Mortgage lenders have been increasingly structuring mortgage originations to avoid private mortgage insurance, primarily through the use of 80/10/10 loans. In an 80/10/10 loan, mortgages are structured to include a first mortgage with an 80% loan-to-value ratio and a second mortgage with a 10% loan-to-value ratio, rather than one mortgage with a 90% loan-to-value ratio. Over the past several years, the volume of 80/10/10 loans, or variations thereof, as alternatives to loans requiring mortgage insurance has increased significantly and may continue to do so for the foreseeable future.
Other alternatives to private mortgage insurance include:
| government mortgage insurance programs, including those of the Federal Housing Administration, or FHA, and the Veterans Administration, or VA; |
52
| member institutions providing credit enhancement on loans sold to a Federal Home Loan Bank, or FHLB; |
| investors holding mortgages in their portfolios and self-insuring; |
| mortgage lenders maintaining lender recourse or participation with respect to loans sold to the GSEs; and |
| investors using credit enhancements as a partial or complete substitute to private mortgage insurance. |
These alternatives, or new alternatives to private mortgage insurance that may develop, could reduce the demand for private mortgage insurance and cause our revenues and profitability to decline.
Although the FHLBs are not required to purchase insurance for mortgage loans, they currently use mortgage insurance on substantially all mortgage loans with a loan-to-value ratio above 80%. If the FHLBs were to purchase uninsured mortgage loans or increase the loan-to-value ratio threshold above which they require mortgage insurance, the market for mortgage insurance could decrease, and we could be adversely affected.
The OFHEO risk-based capital rule (discussed above) may allow large financial entities such as banks, financial guarantors, insurance companies and brokerage firms to provide or arrange for products that may efficiently substitute for some of the capital relief provided to the GSEs by private mortgage insurance. Our consolidated financial condition and results of operations could be harmed if the GSEs were to use these products in lieu of mortgage insurance. See The implementation of new eligibility guidelines by Fannie Mae could harm our profitability and reduce our operational flexibility, below, for a discussion of Fannie Maes ability to purchase mortgage insurance from other than existing approved mortgage insurers.
Our revenues and profits could decline if PMI loses market share as a result of industry competition or if our competitive position suffers as a result of our inability to introduce and successfully market new products and programs.
The principal sources of PMIs competition include: other private mortgage insurers, some of which are wholly-owned or partially-owned subsidiaries of well-capitalized, diversified public companies with direct or indirect capital reserves that provide them with potentially greater resources than we have; and alternatives to private mortgage insurance discussed above.
If PMI is unable to compete successfully against other insurers or private mortgage insurance alternatives or if we experience delays in introducing competitive new products and programs or if these products or programs are less profitable than our existing products and programs, our business will suffer.
Legislation and regulatory changes, including changes impacting the GSEs, could significantly affect PMIs business and could reduce demand for private mortgage insurance.
Mortgage origination transactions are subject to compliance with various federal and state consumer protection laws, including the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act of 1974, or RESPA, the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, the Fair Housing Act, the Homeowners Protection Act, the Fair Credit Reporting Act, the Fair Debt Collection Practices Act and others. Among other things, these laws prohibit payments for referrals of settlement service business, require fairness and non-discrimination in granting or facilitating the granting of credit, require cancellation of insurance and refunding of unearned premiums under certain circumstances, govern the circumstances under which companies may obtain and use consumer credit information, and define the manner in which companies may pursue collection activities. Changes in these laws or regulations could adversely affect the operations and profitability of our mortgage insurance business.
Congress is currently considering proposed legislation relating to the regulatory oversight of the GSEs, as well as their affordable housing initiatives. Under the proposed legislation, regulatory oversight of the GSEs
53
would be conducted by a new federal agency with authority over the GSEs products and marketing activities, the GSEs minimum capital standards as well as their risk-based capital requirements; and the affordable housing requirements and powers of the GSEs would be greatly expanded. We do not know what form, if any, such legislation will take, if any, or, if it is enacted, its impact, if any, on our financial condition and results of operations.
In July 2002, HUD proposed a rule under RESPA that, if implemented as proposed, would have, among other things, given lenders and other packagers the option of offering a Guaranteed Mortgage Package, or GMP, or providing a good faith estimate of settlement costs subject to a 10% tolerance level. The proposed rule provided that qualifying packages were entitled to a safe harbor from litigation under RESPAs anti-kickback rules. Mortgage insurance would have been included in the package to the extent an upfront premium is charged. Inclusion in the package could have caused mortgage insurers to experience reductions in the prices of their services or products. HUD withdrew that proposed rule in March 2004. HUD recently announced that it will submit a new proposed rule under RESPA to the Office of Management and Budget for review. We do not know what form, if any, the rule will take and whether it will be approved.
In addition, increases in the maximum loan amount or other features of the FHA mortgage insurance program can reduce the demand for private mortgage insurance. Future legislative and regulatory actions could decrease the demand for private mortgage insurance, which could harm our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
Our business and financial performance could suffer if PMI were to lose the business of a major customer.
Through their various origination channels, PMIs top ten customers accounted for approximately 38% of PMIs premiums earned in the second quarter of 2004. A single customer represented 7% of PMIs earned premiums for the quarter ended June 30, 2004. Mortgage insurers, including PMI, may acquire significant percentages of their business through negotiated transactions (including bulk primary insurance, modified pool insurance and captive reinsurance) with a limited number of customers. The loss of a significant customer could reduce our revenue, and if not replaced, harm our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
PMI could lose premium revenue if the GSEs reduce the level of private mortgage insurance coverage required for low down payment mortgages or reduce their need for mortgage insurance.
The GSEs are the beneficiaries on a substantial majority of the insurance policies we issue as a result of their purchases of home loans from lenders or investors. The GSEs offer programs that require less mortgage insurance coverage on mortgages approved by their automated underwriting systems. In the past Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have indicated their intent to reduce their use or required level of mortgage insurance. If the reduction in required levels of mortgage insurance becomes widely accepted by mortgage lenders, or if the GSEs further reduce mortgage insurance coverage requirements for loans they purchase, PMIs premium revenue would decline and our consolidated financial condition and results of operations could suffer.
Products introduced by the GSEs, if widely accepted, could harm our profitability.
The GSEs have products for which they will, upon receipt from lenders of loans with primary insurance, restructure the mortgage insurance coverage by reducing the amount of primary insurance coverage and adding a second layer of insurance coverage, usually in the form of pool insurance. Under these programs, the GSEs may provide services to the mortgage insurer and the mortgage insurer may be required to pay fees to the GSEs for the benefits provided through the reduced insurance coverage or the services provided. These new products may prove to be less profitable than PMIs traditional mortgage insurance business and, if they become widely accepted, could harm our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
54
Lobbying activities by large mortgage lenders calling for expanded federal oversight and legislation relating to the role of the GSEs in the secondary mortgage market could damage PMIs relationships with those mortgage lenders and the GSEs.
The GSEs, mortgage lenders and PMI jointly develop and make available various products and programs. These arrangements involve the purchase of PMIs mortgage insurance products and frequently feature cooperative arrangements between the parties. FM Policy Focus, a lobbying organization representing financial services and housing-related trade associations, including the Mortgage Insurance Companies of America, supports increased federal oversight of the GSEs. The GSEs have criticized the activities of FM Policy Focus. FM Policy Focus, the GSEs and other groups are engaged in extensive lobbying activities with respect to the legislation pending in Congress that would change the way GSEs are regulated. These activities could polarize Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, members of FM Policy Focus, PMIs customers and us. Any such polarization could limit PMIs opportunities to do business with the GSEs as well as with some mortgage lenders. Either of these outcomes could harm our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
The implementation of new eligibility guidelines adopted by Fannie Mae could harm our profitability and reduce our operational flexibility.
Fannie Mae has revised its approval requirements for mortgage insurers, including PMI, with new guidelines for borrower-paid and lender-paid mortgage insurance. These requirements become effective for PMI on January 1, 2005. The guidelines cover substantially all areas of PMIs mortgage insurance operations, require the disclosure of certain activities and new products, give Fannie Mae the right to purchase mortgage insurance from other than existing approved mortgage insurers, including insurers that are either rated below AA or are unrated, and provide Fannie Mae with increased rights to revise the eligibility standards of insurers. We do not know how Fannie Mae will enforce the terms of the guidelines, especially in those areas in which it has retained significant discretion, such as the right to approve mortgage insurers with lesser qualifications, and to purchase mortgage insurance or other credit enhancements directly from entities not subject to the guidelines. Depending on how the guidelines are implemented, our operational flexibility as well as our profitability could suffer.
We could be adversely affected by legal actions under RESPA.
RESPA precludes PMI from providing services or products to mortgage lenders free of charge, charging fees for services that are lower than their reasonable or fair market value, and paying fees for services that others provide that are higher than their reasonable or fair market value, in exchange for the referral of settlement services. A number of lawsuits have challenged the actions of private mortgage insurers, including PMI, under RESPA, alleging that the insurers have provided products or services at improperly reduced prices in return for the referral of mortgage insurance. We and several other mortgage insurers, without admitting any wrongdoing, reached a settlement in these cases, which includes an injunction that prohibited certain specified practices and details the basis on which mortgage insurers may provide agency pool insurance, captive mortgage reinsurance, contract underwriting and other products and services and be deemed to be in compliance with RESPA. The injunction expired on December 31, 2003, and it is not clear whether the expiration of the injunction will result in new litigation against private mortgage insurers to extend the injunction or to seek damages under RESPA. Our competitors could change their pricing structure or business practices after the expiration of the injunction. U.S. federal and state officials are authorized to enforce RESPA and to seek civil and criminal penalties, and RESPA also provides for private rights of action. We cannot predict whether civil, regulatory or criminal actions might be brought against us or other mortgage insurers. Any such proceedings could have an adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
Mortgage lenders increasingly require PMI to reinsure a portion of the mortgage insurance default risk on mortgages that they originate with their captive reinsurance companies, which reduces PMIs net premiums written.
An increasing percentage of PMIs new insurance written is being generated by customers with captive reinsurance companies, and we expect that this trend will continue. If PMI does not provide its customers with
55
acceptable risk-sharing structured transactions, including potentially increasing levels of premium cessions in captive reinsurance agreements, PMIs competitive position may suffer. An increase in captive reinsurance agreements will negatively impact PMIs net premiums written, which may negatively impact the yield that we obtain on net premiums earned for customers with captive reinsurance agreements.
A downgrade of PMIs claims-paying ability could materially harm our financial performance.
PMIs claims-paying ability is currently rated AA by S&P, Aa2 by Moodys, and AA+ by Fitch. These ratings may be revised or withdrawn at any time by one or more of the rating agencies and are based on factors relevant to PMIs policyholders and are not applicable to our common stock or debt. The rating agencies could lower or withdraw our ratings at any time as a result of a number of factors, including: underwriting or investment losses; the necessity to make capital contributions to our subsidiaries pursuant to capital support agreements; other adverse developments in PMIs financial condition or results of operations; or changes in the views of rating agencies of our risk profile or of the mortgage insurance industry.
If PMIs claims-paying ability rating falls below AA- from S&P or Aa3 from Moodys, investors, including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, may not purchase mortgages insured by PMI. Such a downgrade could also negatively affect our holding company ratings or the ratings of our other licensed insurance subsidiaries or our ability to further implement our strategic diversification program. Any of these events would harm our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
An increase in PMIs risk-to-capital ratio could prevent it from writing new insurance, which would seriously harm our financial performance.
Various states limit the amount of insurance risk that PMI may write based on a variety of financial factors, primarily the ratio of net risk in force to statutory capital, or the risk-to-capital ratio. PMIs risk-to-capital ratio is also affected by capital requirements necessary to maintain PMIs claims-paying ability ratings. Generally, the methodology used by the rating agencies to assign claims-paying ability ratings permits less capital leverage than statutory requirements. A material increase in PMIs risk-to-capital ratio could limit its ability to write new business and could harm our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
Our ongoing ability to pay dividends to our shareholders and meet our obligations primarily depends upon the receipt of dividends and returns of capital from our insurance subsidiaries and our investment income.
We are a holding company and conduct all of our business operations through our subsidiaries. Our principal sources of funds are dividends from our subsidiaries, investment income and funds that may be raised from time to time in the capital markets. Factors that may affect our ability to maintain and meet our capital and liquidity needs as well as to pay dividends to our shareholders include: the level and severity of claims experienced by our insurance subsidiaries; the performance of the financial markets; standards and factors used by various credit rating agencies; financial covenants in our credit agreements; and standards imposed by state insurance regulators relating to the payment of dividends by insurance companies.
In addition, a protracted economic downturn, or other factors, could cause issuers of the fixed-income securities that we and FGIC and RAM Re own to default on principal and interest payments, which could cause our investment returns and net income to decline and reduce our ability to maintain all of our capital and liquidity needs.
If we are unable to keep pace with the technological demands of our customers or with the technology-related products and services offered by our competitors, our business and financial performance could be significantly harmed.
Participants in the mortgage lending and mortgage insurance industries rely on e-commerce and other technology to provide and expand their products and services. Our customers generally require that we provide
56
our products and services electronically via the Internet or electronic data transmission, and the percentage of our new insurance written and claims processing which is delivered electronically has increased. We expect this trend to continue, and accordingly, we believe that it is essential that we continue to invest substantial resources in maintaining electronic connectivity with our customers and, more generally, in e-commerce and technology. Our business may suffer if we do not keep pace with the technological demands of our customers and the technological capabilities of our competitors.
While we are protesting assessments we received, and intend to protest any future assessment we may receive, from the California Franchise Tax Board, we cannot provide assurance as to the ultimate outcome of these matters.
We received notices of assessment from the California Franchise Tax Board, or FTB, for 1997 through 2000 in amounts totaling $13.9 million, not including the federal tax benefits from the payment of such assessment or interest that might be included on amounts, if any, ultimately paid to the FTB. We could be subject to additional assessments relating to years after 2000. While we are protesting the assessments we have received, we cannot provide assurance as to the ultimate outcome of this matter.
An adverse outcome of litigation against PMI could harm our consolidated financial position and results of operations.
In June 2003, an action against PMI was filed in the federal district court of Orlando, Florida seeking certification of a nationwide class of consumers who allegedly were required to pay for private mortgage insurance written by PMI and whose loans allegedly were insured at less than PMIs best available rate. The action alleges violations of the federal Fair Credit Reporting Act and seeks, among other things, damages and declaratory and injunctive relief. PMI is vigorously defending the claims. However, we cannot be sure that the outcome of the litigation or any similar litigation will not materially affect our consolidated financial position or results of operations.
Our international insurance subsidiaries subject us to numerous risks associated with international operations.
We have subsidiaries in Australia and Europe. We have committed and may in the future commit additional significant resources to expand our international operations. Accordingly, in addition to the general economic and insurance business-related factors discussed above, we are subject to a number of risks associated with our international business activities. These risks include: the need for regulatory and third party approvals; challenges in attracting and retaining key foreign-based employees, customers and business partners in international markets; economic downturns in targeted foreign mortgage origination markets; interest rate volatility in a variety of countries; unexpected changes in foreign regulations and laws; the burdens of complying with a wide variety of foreign laws; potentially adverse tax consequences; restrictions on the repatriation of earnings; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; potential increases in the level of defaults and claims on policies insured by foreign-based subsidiaries; the need to successfully develop and market products appropriate to the foreign market, including the development and marketing of credit enhancement products to European lenders and for mortgage securitizations; and natural disasters and other events (e.g., floods, toxic contamination) that would damage properties and that could precipitate borrower default.
PMI Australia, our Australian and New Zealand mortgage insurance operations, is subject to many of the same risks facing PMI.
Like PMI, the financial results of our Australian and New Zealand mortgage insurance operations, or PMI Australia, are affected by domestic and regional economic conditions, including movements in interest and unemployment rates, and property value fluctuations. These economic factors could impact PMI Australias loss
57
experience or the demand for mortgage insurance in the markets PMI Australia serves. PMI Australia is also subject to significant regulation. Future legislative or regulatory changes could adversely affect PMI Australia. PMI Australias primary regulator, the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority, or APRA, is considering, and has sought comment on, a proposal to eliminate the requirement that mortgage insurance companies be mono-line insurers. If adopted, this proposal could facilitate the entry of new competitors in the Australian mortgage insurance market. APRA is also considering whether to increase the capital requirements for mortgage insurance companies. We anticipate that APRA will issue final regulations in these and other areas affecting the governance structure of PMI Australia by December 31, 2004.
PMI Australia is currently rated AA by S&P and Fitch and Aa2 by Moodys. These ratings are based in part upon a capital support agreement between PMI and PMI Australia and a guarantee of that agreement by The PMI Group. Termination or amendment of this support structure could negatively impact PMI Australias ratings. PMI Australias business is dependent on maintaining its ratings. Any negative impact on its ratings will negatively affect its financial results.
PMI Australias five largest customers provided 59% of PMI Australias year to date 2004 gross premiums written. PMI Australias loss of a significant customer, if not replaced, could harm PMI Australias and our consolidated financial condition and results of operations.
We may not be able to execute our strategy to expand our European operations.
We have devoted resources to expand our European operations, PMI Europe, and we plan to continue these efforts. The success of our efforts will depend partly upon legislative and regulatory policies in Europe that support homeownership and provide capital relief for institutions that obtain credit enhancement with respect to their mortgage loan portfolios. If European legislative and regulatory agencies do not adopt such policies, our European operations may be adversely affected.
PMI Europe is currently rated AA by S&P and Fitch and Aa3 by Moodys. These ratings are based in part upon a capital support agreement between PMI and PMI Europe and a guarantee of that agreement by The PMI Group. Termination or amendment of this support structure could negatively impact PMI Europes ratings. PMI Europes business is dependent on maintaining its ratings. Any negative impact on its ratings will negatively affect its financial results.
The performance of our unconsolidated strategic investments could harm our consolidated financial results.
We have made significant investments in the equity securities of several privately-held companies, including FGIC Corporation, the parent of FGIC, a financial guaranty insurer; SPS, the parent of Select Servicing (formerly Fairbanks Capital Corp.), a third-party servicer of single-family residential mortgages; and RAM Holdings Ltd. and RAM Holdings II Ltd., which are the holding companies for RAM Re, a financial guaranty reinsurance company based in Bermuda.
Our investments in FGIC Corporation, SPS and RAM Re are accounted for on the equity method of accounting in our consolidated financial statements. The nature of the businesses conducted by these companies differs significantly from our core business of providing residential mortgage insurance. These companies are subject to a number of significant risks that arise from the nature of their businesses. Some of the various risks affecting SPS and FGIC Corporation are discussed below. Because we do not control these companies, we are dependent upon the management of these companies to independently operate their businesses and, accordingly, we may be unable to take actions unilaterally to avoid or mitigate those risks.
Investigations by regulatory agencies into Select Servicings activities and private litigation involving Select Servicing could harm SPSs business and adversely affect our investment in SPS.
Select Servicings servicing practices have been the subject of investigations by the FTC, HUD and the Department of Justice, as well as putative state and national class action lawsuits. In October 2003, the United
58
States District Court for the District of Massachusetts approved a settlement that resolves the investigations by the FTC and HUD. In May 2004, the District Court approved a nationwide settlement that resolves the claims raised in approximately 40 putative class action lawsuits. These settlements include releases of PMI. Select Servicing and The PMI Group have been named in a number of lawsuits filed on behalf of borrowers claiming to have opted out of the class action settlement approved by the District Court.
The FTC and HUD settlement provides for the implementation of a $40.0 million redress fund and certain changes to Select Servicings servicing practices. In exchange for a promissory note from SPS, and pursuant to our guarantee of approximately two-thirds of Select Servicings obligations under a $30.7 million letter of credit, we provided to Select Servicing $19.7 million of the $40.0 million redress fund established pursuant to the FTC and HUD settlement. In addition to the $40.0 million redress fund provided for in the FTC and HUD settlement, the class action settlement provides for a reverse or reimburse program through which affected customers accounts will be credited or refunds will be issued for certain previously assessed amounts, a stipulation regarding Select Servicings future operations, and the payment by SPS of attorneys fees.
In June 2003, Fannie Mae found certain business practices at Select Servicing to be out of compliance with a servicing agreement between the parties. Select Servicing and Fannie Mae have agreed that Select Servicing will not service any new Fannie Mae-owned loans without the approval of Fannie Mae. However, since June 2003, Fannie Mae has continually renewed Select Servicings right to service new Fannie Mae-owned loans, initially on a month to month basis and, more recently, in two-month intervals.
Regulatory agencies in two states in which Select Servicing does a significant amount of business have indicated that, notwithstanding the settlement by Select Servicing with the FTC and HUD, they intend to require Select Servicing to refund to consumers in their respective states amounts that they allege SPS improperly collected and to enter into consent decrees regulating various aspects of Select Servicings business. In addition, Select Servicing has entered into a consent order with the States of Florida and Maryland under which it has agreed to change certain of its practices and refund certain amounts to borrowers in those states. Select Servicing has also agreed to refund amounts to borrowers and, as is customary, reimburse the expenses of investigations of state regulators in certain states. Other states could also seek to require such refunds or consent orders. If Select Servicing is unable to resolve the issues with the state regulatory agencies, those regulatory agencies may bring administrative or other actions against Select Servicing seeking to change its business practices, require refunds and, potentially, monetary penalties or revocation of Select Servicings license to conduct its business in such states.
Our investment in SPS, and consequently our consolidated financial results, could be negatively impacted by the ultimate resolution of the state regulatory actions and the outstanding litigation. If Select Servicing is required as a result of state regulatory proceedings or litigation to make significant payments or changes to its business practices so that it becomes materially more expensive to operate, SPSs financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. Furthermore, regulatory actions and putative class actions have generated negative publicity for Select Servicing which has caused and may continue to cause Select Servicing to suffer losses in its customer base. These losses could also harm our investment in SPS.
As of June 30, 2004, our total investment balance in SPS was $156.2 million, consisting of $110.5 million book value of equity investment and $45.7 million in subordinated participation interests and advances to SPS. Our total investment could become impaired or uncollectible as a result of the risks involving SPS, which would harm our consolidated financial condition and results of operations. We have evaluated our total investment in SPS as of June 30, 2004 and have not recognized an impairment charge with respect to our investment. Developments with respect to regulatory and litigation matters involving SPS, its ratings, its credit facilities and its business prospects generally could require us to recognize an impairment charge with respect to our investment in SPS in the future.
59
Select Servicing has undergone ratings downgrades that have adversely affected its business and any future downgrade could seriously harm SPS and the value of our investment in SPS.
As a result of ratings downgrades by S&P and Moodys in 2003, Select Servicing lost its qualification to be named as a primary servicer on residential mortgage-backed securities, or RMBS, transactions rated by Moodys or S&P. Upgrades by Moodys on April 28, 2004 and S&P on May 7, 2004 from below average to average qualify Select Servicing to be named as a primary servicer on RMBS transactions rated by S&P and/or Moodys. Future negative rating agency actions could negatively impact Select Servicing and could have a material adverse effect on Select Servicing. Select Servicing has a very limited number of customers and losses in Select Servicings customer base due to rating agency actions or otherwise could have an adverse effect on SPS and our investment in SPS.
SPS is highly leveraged and, if it were to lose access to, or default on, its debt facilities, SPS might be unable to fund its operations or pay its debts as they come due.
SPS is highly leveraged and dependent upon debt facilities with lenders to make servicing and delinquency advances in the regular course of its business, and for other business purposes. SPSs credit facilities mature on September 30, 2004. If SPS were to lose access to debt facilities for any reason, SPS would be unable to continue funding its operations or pay its debts as they become due. In addition, an event of default under one or more of SPSs significant debt facilities could accelerate SPSs obligation to repay amounts outstanding under its debt facilities and could cause SPS to lose access to funding, either of which could prevent SPS from continuing to operate. If SPS were to cease operations, the value of our investment in SPS would be seriously harmed and we might be required to write off our entire investment in SPS.
In order to complete the FGIC investment, we employed a significant portion of our borrowing capacity and increased our leverage. Accordingly, we may not be able to raise significant amounts of capital in the near term without the use of equity.
Our ability to borrow money is constrained by a number of factors, including the impact of borrowings on our ratings. In November, 2003, we offered and sold equity units which consist in part of $345.0 million aggregate principal amount of our 3.0% senior notes due November 15, 2008. As a result of the equity units offering, we have used a significant portion of our borrowing capacity and have significantly increased our leverage. As a result, among other things, we may be limited in our ability to raise significant amounts of capital, in the event that we need to do so, without the use of equity. Future issuances of our common stock may adversely affect our stock price. In addition, the degree to which we are leveraged will limit our ability to obtain financing for working capital, acquisitions or other purposes.
We expect that a significant portion of our net income will be derived from FGIC and its financial guaranty business. Accordingly, we will be subject to various risks and uncertainties associated with the financial guaranty business.
We expect that a significant portion of our net income will be derived from FGIC and its financial guaranty business. Accordingly, we are subject to all the risks and uncertainties associated with that business. In addition, FGIC has historically operated its financial guaranty business principally in one market segmentmunicipal finance. FGIC has expanded its business lines and products into other markets and asset classes that historically have experienced higher default rates than municipal finance. The risks and uncertainties to which we will be exposed as a result of the FGIC acquisition include the following, among others:
| The ability of a triple-A rated financial guarantor to compete is heavily dependent on maintaining such ratings. We cannot be sure that FGIC will be able to maintain its ratings. FGICs ability to compete with other triple-A rated financial guarantors and otherwise to engage in its business as currently conducted, and FGIC Corporations consolidated results of operations and financial condition, would be materially and adversely affected by any reduction in FGICs ratings or the announcement of a potential reduction or change in outlook. |
60
| FGIC is subject to extensive competition. We cannot be sure that FGIC will be able to continue to compete effectively in its current markets or in any markets or asset classes into which it expands. |
| The financial guaranty business is subject to extensive regulation. Future legislative, regulatory or judicial changes affecting the financial guaranty industry or municipal or asset-backed obligations or markets, including changes in tax laws, could adversely affect FGICs business. |
| FGIC establishes specific reserves for the net present value of estimated losses on particular insured obligations when, in managements opinion, the likelihood of a future loss is probable and the amount of the ultimate loss that FGIC expects to incur can be reasonably estimated. FGIC also establishes reserves to cover those impaired credits on its credit watch list. These latter reserves are designed to recognize the potential for claims on credits that have migrated to an impaired level where there is an increased probability of payment default, but that are not presently or imminently in payment default. Although FGICs loss reserves are regularly reviewed and updated, they are necessarily based on estimates and subjective judgments about the outcome of future events. We cannot be sure that losses in FGICs insured portfolio will not exceed by a material amount the loss reserves previously established by FGIC or that additional significant reserves will not need to be established. |
| Demand for financial guaranty insurance is dependent upon many factors beyond FGICs control, including interest rate fluctuations, availability of alternative structures and market acceptance of financial guaranty products. |
| Any expansion by FGIC into other markets and other asset classes will entail risks associated with engaging in new business lines, including, among others, the challenges in attracting and retaining employees with relevant experience and establishing name recognition in new markets and obtaining new experience in those markets and asset classes, as well as the risk that FGIC may not appropriately price insurance written in new business lines to compensate for the associated risk. |
| Terrorism and other hostilities may adversely impact the ratings of specific obligations insured by FGIC, and could lead to a significantly higher rate of default for those obligations. |
| FGICs insurance portfolio contains concentrations of sellers, servicers and obligors, some of which are significant. An adverse event with respect to one or more of these concentrations could result in disproportionate and significant losses to FGIC. |
| As of June 30, 2004, approximately 7% of our U.S. investment portfolio consists of FGIC-insured non-refunded bonds. As a result of our investment in FGIC, we have amended our investment policy to provide that no more than 15% of our U.S. investment portfolio consists of FGIC-insured non-refunded bonds. |
61
ITEM 3. | QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURE ABOUT MARKET RISK |
As of June 30, 2004, our investment portfolio was $3.1 billion. The fair value of investments in our portfolio is calculated from independent market quotations, and is interest rate sensitive and subject to change based on interest rate movements. As of June 30, 2004, 89% of our investments were long-term fixed income securities, including municipal bonds, U.S. and foreign government bonds and corporate bonds. As interest rates fall the fair value of fixed income securities increases, and as interest rates rise the fair value of fixed income securities decreases. The following table summarizes the estimated change in fair value net of related income taxes on our investment securities based upon specified changes in interest rates as of June 30, 2004:
Estimated Increase In Fair Value |
||||
(in thousands) | ||||
300 basis point rise |
$ | (454,717 | ) | |
200 basis point rise |
(316,596 | ) | ||
100 basis point rise |
(160,644 | ) | ||
100 basis point decline |
131,548 | |||
200 basis point decline |
236,950 | |||
300 basis point decline |
344,985 |
These hypothetical estimates of changes in fair value are primarily related to our fixed-income securities as the fair values of fixed-income securities fluctuate with increases or decreases in interest rates. The weighted average duration of our consolidated fixed-income investment portfolio was 6.0 at June 30, 2004, and we do not expect to recognize any adverse impact to our consolidated net income or cash flows based on the above projection.
As of June 30, 2004, $646.1 million of our invested assets were held by PMI Australia and were predominantly denominated in Australian dollars. The value of the Australian dollar weakened relative to the U.S. dollar to 0.6993 U.S. dollars at June 30, 2004 compared to 0.7520 at December 31, 2003. As of June 30, 2004, $196.6 million of our invested assets were held by PMI Europe and were denominated primarily in Euros and the remainder in British Pounds Sterling. The value of the Euro depreciated slightly relative to the U.S. dollar to 1.2199 U.S. dollars at June 30, 2004 compared to 1.2595 at December 31, 2003. See Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, Liquidity and Capital Resources.
ITEM 4. | CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES |
(a) Evaluation of disclosure controls and procedures. Based on the evaluation of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) required by Securities Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(b) or 15d-15(b), our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer have concluded that as of the end of the period covered by this report, our disclosure controls and procedures were effective.
(b) Changes in internal controls. There were no changes in our internal control over financial reporting that occurred during our most recent fiscal quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
62
ITEM 1. | LEGAL PROCEEDINGS |
Select Servicings servicing practices have been the subject of investigations by the FTC, HUD and the Department of Justice, as well as putative state and national class action lawsuits. In October 2003, the United States District Court for the District of Massachusetts approved a settlement that fully and finally resolves the investigations by the FTC and HUD. In May 2004, the District Court approved a nationwide settlement that resolves claims raised in approximately 40 putative class action lawsuits. (United States v. Fairbanks Capital Corp., et al, Civil Action No. 03-12219-DPW; Curry v. Fairbanks Capital Corp., et al and United States v. Fairbanks Capital Corp., et al, Civil Action No. 03-10895-DPW). These settlements include releases of PMI.
The FTC and HUD settlement provides for the implementation of a $40.0 million redress fund and certain changes to Select Servicings servicing practices. In exchange for a promissory note from SPS, and pursuant to our guarantee of approximately two-thirds of Select Servicings obligations under a $30.7 million letter of credit, we provided to Select Servicing $19.7 million of the $40.0 million redress fund established pursuant to the FTC and HUD settlement. In addition to the $40.0 million redress fund provided for in the FTC and HUD settlement, the class action settlement provides for a reverse or reimburse program through which affected customers accounts will be credited or refunds will be issued for certain previously assessed amounts, a stipulation regarding Select Servicings future operations, and the payment by SPS of attorneys fees.
ITEM 2. | CHANGES IN SECURITIES, USE OF PROCEEDS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES |
The following table contains information regarding the Companys purchases of its equity securities in the second quarter of 2004.
Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities | ||||||||||
Period |
(a) Total Number of Shares (or Units) Purchased(1) |
(b) Average Price (or Unit) |
(c) Total Number of Shares (or Units) Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs(2) |
(d) Approximate Dollar Value of that May Yet
Be | ||||||
April 1 through 30, 2004 |
| N/A | | $ | 100,000,000 | |||||
May 1 through 31, 2004 |
730 | $ | 11.33 | | $ | 100,000,000 | ||||
June 1 through 30, 2004 |
13,273 | $ | 20.94 | | $ | 100,000,000 | ||||
Total |
14,003 | $ | 20.44 | | $ | 100,000,000 |
(1) | The total number of shares purchased represents shares purchased in connection with employee tax withholding related to the exercise of stock options granted under our Equity Incentive Plan. |
(2) | On February 20, 2003, The PMI Groups Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase program in an amount not to exceed $100 million. To date, no repurchases have occurred under this authorization. This program does not have an expiration date. |
63
ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS
At The PMI Groups Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 27, 2004, the following individuals were elected to the Board of Directors, pursuant to voting results certified by the independent inspector of elections.
Votes For |
Votes Withheld | |||
Mariann Byerwalter |
88,063,073 | 1,519,362 | ||
Dr. James C. Castle |
88,646,034 | 936,401 | ||
Carmine Guerro |
88,646,034 | 936,401 | ||
W. Roger Haughton |
87,258,209 | 2,324,226 | ||
Wayne E. Hedien |
85,877,362 | 3,705,071 | ||
Louis G. Lower II |
85,902,764 | 3,679,671 | ||
Raymond L. Ocampo Jr. |
85,902,764 | 3,679,671 | ||
John D. Roach |
85,837,864 | 3,744,571 | ||
Dr. Kenneth T. Rosen |
88,692,634 | 889,801 | ||
Steven Scheid |
88,710,934 | 871,501 | ||
L. Stephen Smith |
88,710,934 | 871,501 | ||
Richard L. Thomas |
88,625,283 | 957,152 | ||
Mary Lee Widener |
85,819,564 | 3,762,871 | ||
Ronald H. Zech |
88,711,109 | 871,326 |
There were no broker non-votes.
The following proposals were approved or ratified at the Companys Annual Meeting, pursuant to voting results certified by the independent inspector of elections.
Votes For |
Votes Against |
Abstain |
Broker Non-Votes | |||||
Ratification of the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as independent auditors for the year ending December 31, 2004 |
87,538,842 | 1,954,465 | 89,128 | 0 | ||||
Approval of the amended and restated Equity Incentive Plan |
68,597,196 | 13,213,063 | 205,506 | 7,566,670 | ||||
Approval of the matching contribution feature of the Officer Deferred Compensation Plan |
74,725,424 | 7,135,199 | 155,145 | 7,566,667 | ||||
Approval of the amended and restated Bonus Incentive Plan |
78,898,577 | 2,909,590 | 207,600 | 7,566,668 |
ITEM 6. | EXHIBITS AND REPORTS ON FORM 8-K |
(a) ExhibitsThe exhibits listed in the accompanying Index to Exhibits are furnished as part of this Form 10-Q.
(b) Reports on Form 8-K:
(i) On May 5, 2004, we furnished the SEC with a report on Form 8-K under Items 7 and 12 relating to our consolidated financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2004.
(ii) On July 13, 2004, we furnished the SEC with a report on Form 8-K under Items 7 and 12 relating to our earnings guidance for 2004.
64
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
The PMI Group, Inc. | ||
August 6, 2004 |
/s/ DONALD P. LOFE, JR. | |
Donald P. Lofe, Jr. Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer | ||
August 6, 2004 |
/s/ BRIAN P. SHEA | |
Brian P. Shea Senior Vice President, Corporate Controller and Assistant Secretary Chief Accounting Officer | ||
65
Exhibit Number |
Description of Exhibit | |
10.1(a)* | The PMI Group, Inc. Bonus Incentive Plan, effective as of January 1, 2004. | |
10.2(a)* | The PMI Group, Inc. Amended and Restated Equity Incentive Plan, effective as of May 27, 2004. | |
10.21(a) | The PMI Group, Inc. Officer Deferred Compensation Plan, effective July 1, 1997. | |
31.1 | Certification of Chief Executive Officer. | |
31.2 | Certification of Chief Financial Officer. | |
32.1 | Certification of Chief Executive Officer. | |
32.2 | Certification of Chief Financial Officer. |
(a) | Incorporated by reference to the registrants proxy statement filed with the SEC on April 22, 2004 (File No. 001-13664). |
* | Compensatory or benefit plan in which certain executive officers or directors of The PMI Group, Inc. or its subsidiaries are eligible to participate. |