UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 10-Q
(Mark One)
x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2004
¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from to
Commission file number: 001-31468
Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
Bermuda | Not Applicable | |
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation or Organization) |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
Mintflower Place
8 Par-La-Ville Road
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
Registrants telephone number, including area code:
(441) 296-5550
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the Registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x No ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes x No ¨
As of April 30, 2004, the Registrant had 63,492,597 common voting shares outstanding, with a par value of 1/6 cent per share.
INDEX TO FORM 10-Q
PART I |
3 | |||
Item 1. |
3 | |||
Consolidated Balance Sheets as at March 31, 2004 (Unaudited) and December 31, 2003 (Audited) |
3 | |||
4 | ||||
5 | ||||
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 and 2003 (Unaudited) |
6 | |||
7 | ||||
Item 2. |
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
14 | ||
Item 3. |
30 | |||
Item 4. |
31 | |||
PART II |
32 | |||
Item 1. |
32 | |||
Item 4. |
32 | |||
Item 5. |
32 | |||
Item 6. |
33 | |||
36 |
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(Expressed in thousands of United States Dollars, except share amounts)
As at March 31, 2004 |
As at December 31, 2003 | |||||
(Unaudited) | (Audited) | |||||
ASSETS |
||||||
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: |
||||||
2004 $2,073,901; 2003 $1,951,875) |
$ | 2,113,046 | $ | 1,976,165 | ||
Equity investments, at fair value (cost: 2004 $32,800; 2003 $31,811) |
40,468 | 37,564 | ||||
Total investments available for sale |
2,153,514 | 2,013,729 | ||||
Other investments |
93,421 | 84,354 | ||||
Total investments |
2,246,935 | 2,098,083 | ||||
Cash and cash equivalents, at fair value |
180,532 | 139,587 | ||||
Unearned premium ceded |
32,301 | 9,910 | ||||
Reinsurance premiums receivable |
312,302 | 207,901 | ||||
Funds withheld |
4,317 | 3,724 | ||||
Deferred acquisition costs |
70,943 | 59,817 | ||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
7,088 | 7,727 | ||||
Accrued investment income |
17,215 | 20,666 | ||||
Other assets |
6,470 | 5,174 | ||||
Total Assets |
$ | 2,878,103 | $ | 2,552,589 | ||
LIABILITIES |
||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves |
276,255 | 249,791 | ||||
Unearned premium |
447,610 | 318,673 | ||||
Reinsurance balances payable |
51,577 | 24,935 | ||||
Investment trades pending |
36,725 | 376 | ||||
Debt |
248,873 | 248,843 | ||||
Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities |
23,025 | 28,224 | ||||
Dividends payable |
24,059 | 24,042 | ||||
Total Liabilities |
$ | 1,108,124 | $ | 894,884 | ||
SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
||||||
Common voting shares: 1/6 cent par value; authorized 1,200,000,000 shares; issued and outstanding at March 31, 2004; 63,442,597 shares (2003 63,392,597) |
106 | 106 | ||||
Additional paid-in capital |
1,131,744 | 1,130,305 | ||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income |
79,582 | 53,731 | ||||
Retained earnings |
558,547 | 473,563 | ||||
Total Shareholders Equity |
1,769,979 | 1,657,705 | ||||
Total Liabilities and Shareholders Equity |
$ | 2,878,103 | $ | 2,552,589 | ||
1
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
(Expressed in thousands of United States Dollars, except share amounts)
For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
REVENUES |
||||||||
Gross premiums written |
$ | 333,225 | $ | 366,563 | ||||
Reinsurance premiums ceded |
(35,855 | ) | (34,267 | ) | ||||
Net premiums written |
297,370 | 332,296 | ||||||
Change in net unearned premiums |
(106,546 | ) | (147,641 | ) | ||||
Net premiums earned |
190,824 | 184,655 | ||||||
Net investment income |
15,282 | 11,684 | ||||||
Net realized gains on investments |
1,736 | 4,681 | ||||||
Net foreign exchange gains |
1,009 | 1,359 | ||||||
Total Revenues |
208,851 | 202,379 | ||||||
EXPENSES |
||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses |
46,185 | 47,690 | ||||||
Acquisition costs |
35,704 | 40,998 | ||||||
General and administrative expenses |
13,711 | 8,884 | ||||||
Interest expense |
4,170 | 965 | ||||||
Total Expenses |
99,770 | 98,537 | ||||||
Income before taxes |
109,081 | 103,842 | ||||||
Income tax expense |
38 | 1 | ||||||
NET INCOME |
$ | 109,043 | $ | 103,841 | ||||
COMPREHENSIVE INCOME |
||||||||
Net income |
$ | 109,043 | $ | 103,841 | ||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) |
25,851 | (866 | ) | |||||
Comprehensive income |
$ | 134,894 | $ | 102,975 | ||||
Per share data |
||||||||
Weighted average number of common and common equivalent shares outstanding: |
||||||||
Basic |
63,409,264 | 63,392,597 | ||||||
Diluted |
68,769,273 | 66,479,217 | ||||||
Basic earnings per common share |
$ | 1.72 | $ | 1.64 | ||||
Diluted earnings per common share |
$ | 1.59 | $ | 1.56 | ||||
2
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 and 2003
(Expressed in thousands of United States Dollars)
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Common voting shares |
||||||||
Balance beginning and end of period |
$ | 106 | $ | 106 | ||||
Additional paid-in-capital |
||||||||
Balance beginning of period |
1,130,305 | 1,126,435 | ||||||
Issue of common shares |
833 | | ||||||
Compensation recognized under stock option plan |
606 | 1,063 | ||||||
Balance end of period |
1,131,744 | 1,127,498 | ||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income |
||||||||
Balance beginning of period |
53,731 | 35,567 | ||||||
Net change in currency translation adjustments |
15 | (6 | ) | |||||
Net change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments |
25,836 | (860 | ) | |||||
Balance end of period |
79,582 | 34,701 | ||||||
Retained earnings |
||||||||
Balance beginning of period |
473,563 | 90,427 | ||||||
Net income |
109,043 | 103,841 | ||||||
Dividends on common shares |
(24,059 | ) | | |||||
Balance end of period |
558,547 | 194,268 | ||||||
Total Shareholders Equity |
$ | 1,769,979 | $ | 1,356,573 | ||||
3
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 and 2003
(Expressed in thousands of United States Dollars)
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Cash flows provided by operating activities: |
||||||||
Net income |
$ | 109,043 | $ | 103,841 | ||||
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: |
||||||||
Accretion (amortization) of premium/(discount) on fixed maturities |
3,966 | 2,678 | ||||||
Depreciation |
466 | 206 | ||||||
Compensation recognized under stock option plan |
606 | 1,063 | ||||||
Net realized gains on investments |
(1,736 | ) | (4,681 | ) | ||||
Amortization of deferred financing costs |
| 170 | ||||||
Accretion of Senior Notes |
30 | | ||||||
Net change in currency translation adjustments |
15 | (6 | ) | |||||
Change in: |
||||||||
Unearned premium ceded |
(22,391 | ) | (27,371 | ) | ||||
Reinsurance premiums receivable |
(104,401 | ) | (130,199 | ) | ||||
Funds withheld |
(593 | ) | 18,952 | |||||
Deferred acquisition costs |
(11,126 | ) | (25,050 | ) | ||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
639 | 340 | ||||||
Accrued investment income |
3,451 | (1,241 | ) | |||||
Other assets |
683 | 445 | ||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves |
26,464 | 37,506 | ||||||
Unearned premium |
128,937 | 174,730 | ||||||
Reinsurance balances payable |
26,642 | 8,971 | ||||||
Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities |
(5,199 | ) | (395 | ) | ||||
Net cash provided by operating activities |
155,496 | 159,959 | ||||||
Cash flows used in investing activities: |
||||||||
Purchases of fixed maturities |
(544,929 | ) | (603,651 | ) | ||||
Purchases of equity investments |
(3,620 | ) | | |||||
Proceeds from sale and maturity of fixed maturities |
456,538 | 387,875 | ||||||
Proceeds from sale of equity investments |
3,118 | | ||||||
Purchases of equipment |
(2,449 | ) | (126 | ) | ||||
Net cash used in investing activities |
(91,342 | ) | (215,902 | ) | ||||
Cash flows used in financing activities: |
||||||||
Issue of common shares |
833 | | ||||||
Dividends paid |
(24,042 | ) | | |||||
Net cash used in financing activities |
(23,209 | ) | | |||||
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents |
40,945 | (55,943 | ) | |||||
Cash and cash equivalents Beginning of period |
139,587 | 162,925 | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents End of period |
$ | 180,532 | $ | 106,982 | ||||
4
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(Expressed in thousands of United States Dollars,
except share amounts or as where otherwise described)
(Unaudited)
1. Basis of Presentation and Consolidation
These interim unaudited consolidated financial statements include the accounts of Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd. (the Company) and its wholly-owned operating subsidiary Montpelier Reinsurance Ltd. (Montpelier Re). Montpelier Re has two subsidiaries: Montpelier Marketing Services (UK) Limited (MMSL) and Montpelier Holdings (Barbados) SRL (MHB). MMSL provides business introduction and other support services to Montpelier Re. MHB, a Barbados registered Society with Restricted Liability, is the registered holder of certain types of securities, including United States equity securities, purchased as part of the overall Montpelier Re investment portfolio. On December 3, 2002, Montpelier Re established a trust known as the Montpelier Re Foundation to promote or carry out charitable purposes. This trust is not consolidated into the financial statements of the Company.
The Company, through Montpelier Re, is a provider of global property and casualty reinsurance and insurance products.
The unaudited consolidated financial statements have been prepared on the basis of accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP) for interim financial information and in accordance with the instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and footnotes required by GAAP for complete consolidated financial statements. This report on Form 10-Q should be read in conjunction with the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In the opinion of management, these unaudited consolidated financial statements reflect all the normal recurring adjustments considered necessary for a fair presentation of the Companys financial position at the end of and for the periods presented. The results of operations and cash flows for any interim period will not necessarily be indicative of the results of the operations and cash flows for the full fiscal year or subsequent quarters. All significant intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated on consolidation. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates.
2. Significant Accounting Policies
Premiums and related costs
Premiums are recognized as written for the full period of the reinsurance contract as of the date that the contract is bound. The Company writes both excess of loss and pro-rata contracts.
For the majority of excess of loss contracts, written premium is based on the deposit premium as defined in the contract. Subsequent adjustments to the deposit premium are recognized in the period in which they are determined. For excess of loss and pro-rata contracts where no deposit premium is specified in the contract, written premiums are recognized based on estimates of ultimate premiums provided by the ceding companies. Initial estimates of written premium are recognized in the period in which the underlying risks incept. Subsequent adjustments, based on reports of actual premium by the ceding companies, or revisions in estimates, are recorded in the period they are determined.
Premiums are earned ratably over the term of the reinsurance contract. The portion of the premium related to the unexpired portion of the contract is reflected in unearned premium.
5
MONTPELIER RE HOLDINGS LTD.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Continued)
Premiums receivable are recorded at amounts due less any required provision for doubtful accounts.
Where contract terms require the reinstatement of coverage after a ceding companys loss, the mandatory reinstatement premiums are recorded as written premiums when the loss event occurs, and are earned ratably over the remaining contract risk period.
Acquisition costs are comprised of ceding commissions, brokerage, premium taxes, profit commission and other expenses that relate directly to the writing of reinsurance contracts. Deferred acquisition costs are amortized over the terms of the related contracts and are limited to their estimated realizable value based on the related unearned premium, anticipated claims expenses and investment income.
3. Reinsurance
During the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, the Company purchased retrocessional protection against large risk losses on the direct insurance and facultative book and against small to medium-size catastrophes on the Companys overall property writings. For certain pro-rata contracts the subject direct insurance contracts carry underlying reinsurance protection from third party reinsurers. The Company records its pro-rata share of gross premiums from the direct insurance contracts as gross written premiums and records amounts incurred by the ceding company for the underlying third party reinsurance coverage as reinsurance premiums ceded.
Reinsurance recoverable includes the Companys share of balances due from reinsurance contracts for paid losses, unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses and reserves for losses incurred but not reported. Initial estimates of reinsurance recoverable are recognized in the period in which the loss event occurs. Subsequent adjustments are recorded in the period they are determined. The earned reinsurance premiums ceded were $13.4 million and $6.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively. Total recoveries netted against loss and loss adjustment expenses was $(0.5) million and $(0.3) million for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively.
The Company remains liable in the event that it is unable to collect amounts due from its own reinsurers, and with respect to certain contracts that carry underlying reinsurance protection, the Company would be liable in the event that the ceding companies are unable to collect amounts due from the underlying third party reinsurers. The Company records provisions for uncollectible underlying reinsurance recoverable when collection becomes unlikely. There are no such provisions recorded at March 31, 2004 or 2003.
4. Debt and Financing Arrangements
Senior Notes
On August 4, 2003, the Company issued $250.0 million aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured debt (the Senior Notes) at an issue price of $99.517. The net proceeds were used to repay the amount outstanding under the term loan facility (see below) with the remainder used for general corporate purposes. The Senior Notes bear interest at a rate of 6.125%, payable semi-annually in arrears on February 15 and August 15 of each year. Unless previously redeemed, the Senior Notes will mature on August 15, 2013. The Company incurred $2.1 million in expenses related to the issuance of the Senior Notes, which were expensed during the year ended December 31, 2003. The Company may redeem the Senior Notes at any time and from time to time, in whole or in part, at a make-whole redemption price, however, the Company has no current intention of calling the notes. The Senior Notes do not contain any covenants regarding financial ratios or specified levels of net worth or liquidity to which the Company must adhere.
6
MONTPELIER RE HOLDINGS LTD.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Continued)
The Company incurred interest expense for the Senior Notes for the three months ended March 31, 2004 of $3.8 million and paid interest of $8.1 million.
Term Loan Facility and 364-Day Revolver
As part of the Companys formation and funding, the Company entered into a three-year term loan facility with Bank of America, N.A. and a syndicate of commercial banks, with an aggregate borrowing limit of $150.0 million. The Company borrowed $150.0 million under this facility at the Companys formation. On August 4, 2003, using the net proceeds from the issuance of $250.0 million in Senior Notes (see above), the Company repaid the full amount under this facility. The term loan facility required that the Company and/or certain of its subsidiaries comply with specific covenants, including a tangible net worth covenant and a maximum leverage covenant, and had a final maturity date of December 12, 2004. The facility also restricted the payment of dividends. The Company was in compliance with all covenants during the time that the facility was in place.
On December 12, 2001, the Company obtained a $50.0 million revolving loan facility from a syndicate of lenders, with the Company and its subsidiaries as borrowers and guarantors. The facility was for general corporate purposes, and required that the Company and/or certain of its subsidiaries maintained specific covenants, including a tangible net worth covenant and a maximum leverage covenant. No amounts had been drawn down under this facility which was cancelled concurrently with the repayment of the term loan facility on August 4, 2003.
The Company incurred interest expense for the term loan facility for the three months ended March 31, 2003 of $1.0 million at an average annual interest rate of 2.59% and paid interest of $1.0 million.
Letter of Credit Facilities
In the normal course of business, the Company provides security to reinsureds as required under contract provisions. Such security takes the form of a letter of credit. Letters of credit are issued by a bank at the request of the Company. In order for the Company to write Lloyds Qualifying Quota Share business, it must provide a letter of credit in favor of The Society and Council of Lloyds (Lloyds) in accordance with Lloyds rules. Effective June 20, 2003, the Company entered into a new Letter of Credit Reimbursement and Pledge Agreement with Fleet National Bank and a syndicate of lending institutions for the provision of a letter of credit facility in favor of Lloyds in an amount of up to $250.0 million, and in favor of certain U.S. ceding companies in an amount of up to $200.0 million. Simultaneously, the previously existing Pledge Agreement discussed below was superseded by the Letter of Credit Reimbursement and Pledge Agreement, and the letters of credit issued under the previous facility were then issued under the new facility agreement. Letters of credit issued under this facility at March 31, 2004 were $262.3 million and are secured by cash and investments of approximately $288.5 million.
The Company previously made arrangements with Barclays Bank PLC for the provision of an additional letter of credit facility in favor of certain U.S. ceding companies in an amount of up to $50.0 million. Letters of credit outstanding at March 31, 2003 under the Barclays facility were approximately $20.8 million and were secured by cash and investments of approximately $22.9 million. This facility was cancelled on January 31, 2004.
Previously the Company had arrangements with Fleet National Bank for the provision of a standby letter of credit in a form acceptable to Lloyds in an amount of up to $250.0 million, which was superseded by the Letter of Credit Reimbursement and Pledge Agreement discussed above. Letters of credit outstanding under this Fleet facility at March 31, 2003 were approximately $125.8 million, and were secured by investments of approximately $138.3 million.
7
MONTPELIER RE HOLDINGS LTD.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Continued)
5. Related Party Transactions
As at March 31, 2004, one of the members of the Companys Board of Directors and a member of the Companys Compensation and Nominating Committee was also a member of the Board of Directors and Chairman of the Executive Committee of White Mountains Insurance Group, which beneficially owned 19.1% and 22.9% of the Company at March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The Companys Chief Financial Officer was also a Director of White Mountains Insurance Group up until March 31, 2004 and is a director of Amlin, one of the Companys qualifying quota share cedents.
Up until March 31, 2004, four directors were employed by White Mountains Insurance Group. Effective March 31, 2004, two directors are employed by White Mountains Insurance Group.
The Company has engaged White Mountains Advisors LLC, a wholly-owned indirect subsidiary of White Mountains Insurance Group, to provide investment advisory and management services. The Company pays investment management fees based on the month-end market values held under management. The fees, which vary depending on the amount of assets under management, are included in net investment income. The Company incurred an average annualized fee of 0.12% and 0.17% for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively. For the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, the Company expensed investment management fees of approximately $362 and $692, respectively, and recorded an amount payable for these services of $1,254 and $705, respectively. The Chairman of the Companys Finance Committee is Deputy Chairman of the Board of Directors of White Mountains Insurance Group, the Principal Executive Officer of White Mountains Advisors LLC and is the general manager or investment manager of various funds which own less than 5% of the Company.
In the ordinary course of business, the Company has entered into one reinsurance agreement with OneBeacon Insurance Group, a subsidiary of White Mountains Insurance. During the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, $0.3 million and $nil was received in gross premiums related to this contract.
6. Shareholders Equity
On March 17, 2004, and April 6, 2004, different shareholders of the Company completed two secondary offerings of 4,785,540 and 4,000,000 common shares, respectively. Certain original investors sold an average of 25.0% and 31.8% of their holdings, respectively. The secondary offerings did not have any impact on common shares outstanding. The Company did not receive any proceeds from the secondary offerings but was required to pay offering expenses of approximately $0.5 million for each secondary offering, which are included in general and administrative expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2004.
The Companys Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer has adopted a written plan in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 for the purpose of selling limited amounts of the Companys shares owned by him. Pursuant to this plan, 50,000 options were exercised during the first quarter of 2004 at the exercise price of $16.67, resulting in an increase in common shares by their par amount and an increase in additional paid-in capital of $833. Subsequent to March 31, 2004, another 50,000 options were exercised at the exercise price of $16.67. The plan will cover the possible exercise of 600,000 options and share sales over a 12 month period subject to market conditions and the terms of the plan.
8
MONTPELIER RE HOLDINGS LTD.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Continued)
7. Earnings Per Share
The reconciliation of basic and diluted earnings per share is as follows:
Three Months Ended March 31, | ||||||
2004 |
2003 | |||||
Basic earnings per common share: |
||||||
Net income available to common shareholders |
$ | 109,043 | $ | 103,841 | ||
Weighted average common shares outstanding Basic |
63,409,264 | 63,392,597 | ||||
Basic earnings per common share |
$ | 1.72 | $ | 1.64 | ||
Diluted earnings per common share: |
||||||
Net income available to common shareholders |
$ | 109,043 | $ | 103,841 | ||
Weighted average common shares outstanding Basic |
63,409,264 | 63,392,597 | ||||
Dilutive effect of warrants |
4,080,029 | 2,672,006 | ||||
Dilutive effect of share options |
1,279,980 | 414,614 | ||||
Weighted average common and common equivalent shares outstanding Diluted |
68,769,273 | 66,479,217 | ||||
Diluted earnings per common and common equivalent share |
$ | 1.59 | $ | 1.56 | ||
Dividends per common share |
$ | 0.34 | $ | | ||
8. Segment Reporting
Management has determined that the Company operates in one segment only. The Company focuses on writing global specialty property and other classes of insurance and reinsurance business.
The following table sets forth a breakdown of the Companys gross premiums written by line of business and by geographic area of risks insured for the periods indicated ($ in millions):
Gross Premiums Written by Line
Three Months Ended March 31, |
||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||
Property Specialty |
$ | 88.1 | 26.5 | % | $ | 90.6 | 24.7 | % | ||||
Property Catastrophe |
174.7 | 52.4 | 150.8 | 41.1 | ||||||||
Other Specialty |
69.1 | 20.7 | 48.8 | 13.3 | ||||||||
Qualifying Quota Share (1) |
1.3 | 0.4 | 76.4 | 20.9 | ||||||||
Total |
$ | 333.2 | 100.0 | % | $ | 366.6 | 100.0 | % | ||||
(1) | Not renewed in 2004. |
9
MONTPELIER RE HOLDINGS LTD.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Continued)
Gross Premiums Written by Geographic Area of Risks Insured
Three Months Ended March 31, |
||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||
USA and Canada |
$ | 133.9 | 40.1 | % | $ | 133.0 | 36.3 | % | ||||
Worldwide (1) |
106.7 | 32.0 | 174.0 | 47.5 | ||||||||
Western Europe, excluding the United Kingdom and Ireland |
27.6 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 2.7 | ||||||||
United Kingdom and Ireland |
22.9 | 6.9 | 21.3 | 5.8 | ||||||||
Worldwide, excluding USA and Canada (2) |
17.5 | 5.3 | 12.2 | 3.3 | ||||||||
Japan |
3.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | ||||||||
Others (2.5% or less) |
21.3 | 6.4 | 14.7 | 4.0 | ||||||||
Total |
$ | 333.2 | 100.0 | % | $ | 366.6 | 100.0 | % | ||||
(1) | Worldwide comprises insurance and reinsurance contracts that insure or reinsure risks on a worldwide basis. |
(2) | Worldwide, excluding USA and Canada comprises insurance and reinsurance contracts that insure or reinsure risks on a worldwide basis but specifically exclude the USA and Canada. |
The Qualifying Quota Share contracts are worldwide in nature, with the majority of business related to North America and Europe. No such contracts have been written in 2004.
The following table sets forth a breakdown of the Companys gross premiums written by broker for the periods indicated ($ in millions):
Gross Premiums Written by Broker
Three Months Ended March 31, |
||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||
Marsh |
$ | 84.8 | 26.9 | % | $ | 75.8 | 21.9 | % | ||||
Benfield (1) |
62.5 | 19.8 | 101.6 | 29.3 | ||||||||
Aon |
57.6 | 18.2 | 42.1 | 12.1 | ||||||||
Willis Group (1) |
46.0 | 14.6 | 82.8 | 23.9 | ||||||||
Other brokers |
64.7 | 20.5 | 44.7 | 12.8 | ||||||||
Total brokers |
315.6 | 100.0 | % | 347.0 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Direct (no broker) |
17.6 | 19.6 | ||||||||||
Total |
$ | 333.2 | $ | 366.6 | ||||||||
(1) | Includes QQS gross premiums written. |
9. Commitments and Contingencies
Concentrations of Credit Risk
Financial instruments which potentially subject the Company to concentration of credit risk consist principally of investments, cash and reinsurance balances. The investment portfolio is managed following prudent standards of diversification. Specific provisions limit the allowable holdings of a single issue or issuer. The Company believes that there are no significant concentrations of credit risk associated with its investments. Concentrations of credit risk with respect to reinsurance balances are limited due to their dispersion across
10
MONTPELIER RE HOLDINGS LTD.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Continued)
various companies and geographies. The Company did not have an aggregate investment in a single entity, other than the U.S government, in excess of 10% of the Companys shareholders equity at March 31, 2004 or 2003. Concentrations of credit risk with respect to reinsurance balances are limited due to their dispersion across various companies and geographies.
The Company also underwrites a significant amount of its reinsurance and insurance business through brokers and a credit risk exists should any of these brokers be unable to fulfill their contractual obligations with respect to the payments of reinsurance and insurance balances to the Company.
Litigation
The Company, in common with the insurance and reinsurance industry in general, is subject to litigation and arbitration in the normal course of its business. The Company was not involved in any material pending litigation or arbitration proceedings at March 31, 2004 or 2003.
Premises Commitment
Montpelier Re entered into a Memorandum of Intent and Understanding (MIU) on December 17, 2003 to develop a construction project (the Project) to build a commercial building with a mixture of office, residential and retail use. Montpelier Re anticipates that it will finalize the Construction Loan Agreement and Agreement for Lease during 2004 and obtain consent to hold 20% of the shares of the company which will undertake the Project and own the building. Under the MIU, the terms of the Construction Loan will provide that Montpelier Re loans $19.0 million to the landlord for the costs of the Project during the period of construction, commencing upon finalization of all agreements. Subsequent to the Projects completion, which is estimated to be thirty months from the commencement of construction, Montpelier Re expects to enter into a 22 year long-term lease for the major portion of the Project. Montpelier Re will be required to pay rent in the amount of $300 per annum upon finalization of all agreements and thereafter during the construction period. Upon finalization of the Project and occupation of the building, Montpelier Re will be required to pay rent in the amount of $400 per annum. Although construction commenced during the first quarter of 2004, as at March 31, 2004, no amounts were due or payable by Montpelier Re.
Investment Commitment
In March 2004 the Company committed to invest an aggregate of $20.0 million as part of an investor group that will acquire the life and investments business of Safeco Corporation for $1.35 billion, subject to adjustments. The transaction is expected to fund and close during the third quarter of 2004 and is subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions.
10. Statutory Requirements
Montpelier Re is registered under The Insurance Act 1978 (Bermuda), Amendments Thereto and Related Regulations (the Act). Under the Act, Montpelier Re is required to annually prepare and file Statutory Financial Statements and a Statutory Financial Return. The Act also requires Montpelier Re to maintain a minimum share capital of $1.0 million and to meet a minimum solvency margin equal to the greater of $100.0 million, 50% of net premiums written or 15% of the loss and loss adjustment expense reserves. For the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, Montpelier Re satisfied these requirements.
The Act limits the maximum amount of annual dividends or distributions paid by Montpelier Re to the Company without the prior notification to, and in certain cases the approval of, the Bermuda Monetary Authority of such payment.
Montpelier Re is also required to maintain a minimum liquidity ratio, which was met for the periods ended March 31, 2004 and 2003.
11
Item 2. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following is a discussion and analysis of our results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003 and financial condition as at March 31, 2004. This discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the unaudited consolidated financial statements and related notes thereto included in Part I, Item I of this report and with our audited consolidated financial statements and related notes thereto contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2003.
This discussion contains forward-looking statements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs and expectations. These statements are based upon current plans, estimates and projections. Our actual results may differ materially from those projected in these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors, including those described in Part II Item 5 of this report, and therefore undue reliance should not be placed on them.
Outlook
The lack of large claims activity on short-tail lines of business in the last two and one half years has manifested itself in increased confidence in underwriting conditions for the market as a whole. Consequently, we are seeing increased competition and some reductions in rate levels. We expect these trends to continue through 2004. However, overall rates remain at healthy levels. We believe that rates will continue to remain reasonably stable for the short-tail insurance and reinsurance products we write due to: (1) changes in natural peril vendor models which are creating additional demand for catastrophe reinsurance coverage in target zones for clients using such models; (2) the continued significant reserve strengthening in other insurance and reinsurance companies mainly related to asbestos and environmental legacy issues but also now on the casualty underwriting conducted between 1997 and 2000; and (3) rating agency downgrades of competitors.
In market loss terms, 2003 was an active year for catastrophes, especially in North America where there was a significant frequency of tornado, hurricane, and brushfire events in the market loss range of $1 billion to $2.5 billion. However, since our portfolio of business generally attaches in the middle and higher layers of programmes, our largest loss from such events in 2003 was $10 million. We anticipate that we may be impacted in future periods by a higher frequency of large natural catastrophic events than those experienced in 2003 and during the first quarter of 2004. Such events could have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and results of operations.
Despite no QQS business being renewed in 2004, we anticipate that our volume of business may modestly increase in 2004 over that of 2003 based on our experience during the first quarter of 2004. We believe our gross premiums written increases in 2004 will result from the following factors:
| A continued increase in general new business and the number of programs written due to strengthening capital and ratings and increased market recognition; |
| An increase in written lines on existing business, and an improved signing percentage on many classes; |
| Planned growth in our long-tail casualty account which is expected to represent approximately 10% of gross premiums written in 2004; and |
| Changes in natural peril vendor models leading to cedants purchasing larger limits on programs. |
Long-tail casualty reinsurance business for the classes we underwrite, which include medical malpractice, errors and omissions, clash catastrophe, general liability, and casualty retrocession protection, continues to show strong improvement in rates and terms and conditions coupled with the rate increases on the underlying subject insurance business.
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Results of Operations
For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 and 2003
The $5.2 million increase in net income for the three months ended March 31, 2004 compared to the same period in 2003 was primarily the result of the following factors:
| An increase in net premiums earned; |
| An increase in net investment income as a result of our higher investment portfolio balance; |
| A reduction in acquisition costs as the proportion of QQS business earned diminishes; |
| Offset by a modestly lower loss ratio caused by continued favorable loss experience during the first quarter combined with favorable development of net losses related to prior years; |
| Partially offset by an increase in general and administrative expenses due to increased staffing costs and performance unit plan expense. |
The following table summarizes our book values per common share as at the periods indicated:
As at March 31, 2004 |
As at March 31, 2003 | |||||
Book value per share (1) |
$ | 27.90 | $ | 21.40 | ||
Fully converted book value per share (2) |
$ | 26.44 | $ | 20.81 |
(1) | Based on total shareholders equity divided by basic shares outstanding. |
(2) | Fully converted book value per share is a non-GAAP measure, based on total shareholders equity plus the assumed proceeds from the exercise of outstanding options and warrants of $167.3 million, divided by the sum of shares, options and warrants outstanding (assuming their exercise) of 73,261,757 shares at March 31, 2004 and 2003. The Company believes that fully converted book value per share more accurately reflects the value attributable to a common share. |
We ended the quarter with a fully converted book value per share (as defined above) of $26.44, an increase of $5.63 as compared to the same period ended in 2003. This increase of 27.1% resulted from premium rate levels continuing to remain at relatively stable healthy levels across the major classes that we specialize in, together with a relatively low level of catastrophes affecting our portfolio during the twelve months. On April 15, 2004 we also paid our second dividend of $0.34 per share to shareholders of record at March 31, 2004, which resulted in a total return to shareholders, (as defined below) of $1.86 or 7.5% (1) for the quarter ended March 31, 2004. We also benefited from a positive total return of approximately 1.8% on our investment portfolio for the quarter ended March 31, 2004 as compared to a total return for the quarter ended March 31, 2003 of 1.0%.
(1) Total return to shareholders is a non-GAAP measure. It is the percentage increase in fully converted book value per share (described above) plus dividends accrued. It is calculated as the March 31, 2004 fully converted book value per share of $26.44 plus the accrued dividend of $0.34, less the fully converted book value per share at December 31, 2003 of $24.92, with the result then being divided by $24.92. Management believes that this measure most accurately reflects the return made by its shareholders as it takes into account the effect of all dilutive securities and the effect of dividends.
Management believes that fully converted book value per share and total return to shareholders are measurements which are important to investors and other interested parties, and that these persons benefit from having a consistent basis for comparison with other companies within the industry. However, these measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by companies either inside or outside of the insurance industry.
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The following table summarizes our consolidated financial results for the periods indicated ($ in millions):
Three Months Ended March 31, |
||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
Net premiums earned |
$ | 190.8 | $ | 184.7 | ||||
Net investment income |
15.3 | 11.7 | ||||||
Net realized gains on investments |
1.7 | 4.7 | ||||||
Net foreign exchange gains |
1.0 | 1.3 | ||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses |
(46.2 | ) | (47.7 | ) | ||||
Acquisition costs |
(35.7 | ) | (41.0 | ) | ||||
General and administrative expenses |
(13.7 | ) | (8.9 | ) | ||||
Interest expense |
(4.2 | ) | (1.0 | ) | ||||
Net income |
$ | 109.0 | $ | 103.8 | ||||
Basic earnings per common share |
$ | 1.72 | $ | 1.64 | ||||
Diluted earnings per common share |
$ | 1.59 | $ | 1.56 | ||||
Gross Premiums Written
Details of gross premiums written by line of business are provided below ($ in millions):
Gross Premiums Written by Line
Three Months Ended March 31, |
||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||
Property Specialty |
$ | 88.1 | 26.5 | % | $ | 90.6 | 24.7 | % | ||||
Property Catastrophe |
174.7 | 52.4 | 150.8 | 41.1 | ||||||||
Other Specialty |
69.1 | 20.7 | 48.8 | 13.3 | ||||||||
Qualifying Quota Share (1) |
1.3 | 0.4 | 76.4 | 20.9 | ||||||||
Total |
$ | 333.2 | 100.0 | % | $ | 366.6 | 100.0 | % | ||||
(1) | Not renewed in 2004. |
The decrease in gross premiums written during the quarter ended March 31, 2004, as compared to the same period in 2003 was due to a combination of two factors. Firstly, as expected, we have not written QQS business in the 2004 underwriting year and as a result, the gross premium written for this category has decreased substantially as compared to the same period in 2003. The QQS premium written in 2004 relates to the 2003 underwriting year.
Secondly, gross premiums written related to the Property Specialty category have decreased marginally from the same period in 2003. Absent a $12.0 million adjustment premium recorded during the first quarter of 2004, gross premiums written would have increased by approximately 10% from the same period last year. This increase is due to improved signings on renewals as well as increased access to more original programs than in the prior year.
Partially offsetting the decreases described above, both the Property Catastrophe and Other Specialty categories have shown increased gross premiums written in 2004 as compared to the same period in 2003 due to increased market penetration resulting mainly from our ability to capitalize on market opportunities due to the developing reputation of our underwriting and risk management skills. During the quarter we have continued to experience stable healthy premium rate levels across the major classes of business in which we specialize. In addition, there continues to be increases in our written line sizes and in our average signing percentages during the first quarter of 2004.
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As expected, the proportion of Property Catastrophe gross premiums written as a percentage of total gross premiums written is substantially higher than the Property Specialty class during the first quarter of 2004 because a proportionally higher volume of Property Catastrophe business is traditionally written in the first quarter. Other lines of business, including Property Specialty, are written throughout the year, with the least amount of premiums being written during the fourth quarter. We expect that by the end of the year the Property Specialty category will account for the largest portion of gross premiums written.
Included in the Other Specialty category is a small but growing level of casualty business. As previously stated, we expect to write a larger amount of casualty reinsurance in 2004 versus 2003 due to improving terms and conditions of casualty reinsurance contracts. At March 31, 2004 and 2003, casualty accounted for approximately 6.5% and less than 1% of our gross premiums written, respectively, and we estimate that they will account for approximately 10% of our gross premiums written by the end of 2004. Our casualty portfolio includes quota share of UK Employers Liability, U.S. medical malpractice excess of loss programs, some specialized errors and omission programs, trucking excess of loss business, casualty and clash protection of general liability, and whole account casualty programs. The Other Specialty category is expected to experience the most growth during 2004, primarily from an increase in casualty writings, although this growth is expected to be less than the growth seen from 2002 to 2003.
Reinsurance Premiums Ceded
Reinsurance premiums ceded for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003 were $35.9 million and $34.3 million, respectively. In 2003 the majority of reinsurance premiums ceded related to QQS business as opposed to the three months ended March 31, 2004, where the majority of reinsurance premiums ceded related to retrocessional protection purchased on our own account and inuring reinsurance as part of our reinsurance arrangements with Aspen Reinsurance Holdings Ltd. As we have not written any QQS business in the 2004 underwriting year, we do not expect to record a material amount of QQS reinsurance premiums ceded in 2004 related to this business. In 2004 we will continue our limited reinsurance purchasing policy protecting ourselves against large risk losses on our direct and facultative book and small to medium-size catastrophes on our overall property writings. For the whole of 2004 we expect that reinsurance premiums ceded may rise modestly as compared to 2003 but are expected to be less than 10% of gross premiums written.
Net Premiums Earned
Net premiums earned for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003 were $190.8 million and $184.7 million, respectively. Approximately 65.8% and 67.8% of net premiums earned during the quarter ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively, relates to prior underwriting years and the remainder to business written in the respective underwriting year.
Gross premiums written for the majority of our lines of business has increased during the first quarter of 2004 over 2003 and is expected to continue to gradually increase during the remainder of 2004. This increase results in a gross earned premium to written premium ratio of 61.3% for the three months ended March 31, 2004, compared to 52.3% for the same period in 2003. In addition, we continue to write a minority of our business on a risks attaching basis, for which premiums are generally earned over a longer period. We expect the earned premium to written premium ratio in 2004 to continue to rise modestly from 2003 as the growth rate of gross premiums written slows.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses
The underwriting results of an insurance or reinsurance company are often measured by reference to its loss ratio and expense ratio. The loss ratio is calculated by dividing loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred (including estimates for incurred but not reported losses) by net premiums earned. The expense ratio is calculated by dividing acquisition costs combined with general and administrative expenses by net premiums earned. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
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For comparative purposes, our combined ratio and components thereof are set out below for the periods indicated:
Three Months Ended March 31, |
||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||
Loss ratio |
24.2 | % | 25.8 | % | ||
Expense ratio |
25.9 | % | 27.0 | % | ||
Combined ratio |
50.1 | % | 52.8 | % | ||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses was $46.2 million and $47.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively. Reinsurance recoveries of $(0.5) million and $(0.3) million were netted against loss and loss adjustment expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively. Based on additional information received from the QQS syndicates during the quarters indicating a lower level of ultimate loss ratio projections, we reduced our estimated recovery ratio on reinsurance purchased by the QQS syndicates for both the 2002 and 2003 underwriting years, which has resulted in the negative reinsurance recovery amount for each quarter. We paid net losses of $19.1 million and $10.1 million for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively.
The following are our net loss ratios by line of business for the periods indicated:
Net Loss Ratios Three Months Ended March 31, |
||||||
2004 (1) |
2003(2) |
|||||
Property Specialty |
24.5 | % | 33.0 | % | ||
Property Catastrophe |
5.4 | (4.0 | ) | |||
Other Specialty |
52.7 | 40.0 | ||||
Qualifying Quota Share |
50.2 | 60.0 | ||||
Overall Ratio |
24.2 | % | 25.8 | % |
(1) | The overall gross loss ratio for the three months ended March 31, 2004 was 22.4%. |
(2) | The overall gross loss ratio for the three months ended March 31, 2003 was 24.7%. |
No major catastrophic events impacted our Property Catastrophe book in the first quarter of 2004. In addition, the reported losses for the October 2003 California wildfires decreased by approximately $0.4 million during the first quarter of 2004. The combination of these factors produced a loss ratio of only 5.4% for Property Catastrophe for the first quarter 2004. The negative loss ratio for the Property Catastrophe category in the first quarter of 2003 resulted from reductions in estimates of losses incurred in 2002, combined with the fact that we were not materially affected by any catastrophes during the quarter. Low levels of reported losses during the first quarter of 2004 have also led to relatively low loss ratios for the Property Specialty and Other Specialty classes. The Property Specialty loss ratio is lower in 2004 than in 2003 due to the continued reductions in the ultimate loss estimates for the 2002 and 2003 years. The Other Specialty class continues to experience very low levels of reported losses. The 2004 loss ratio is higher than in the first quarter of 2003 primarily due to a slightly higher percentage of longer-tail casualty business included in the Other Specialty category as compared to last year. As our business continues to develop, we will continue to supplement industry information with our own actual loss experience. The Qualifying Quota Share loss ratio this quarter is lower than the loss ratio for first quarter of 2003 as the QQS syndicates have lowered their ultimate loss ratio projections for both the 2002 and the 2003 underwriting years. All of these factors have resulted in the overall net loss ratio of 24.2% for the three months ended March 31, 2004, compared to the overall net loss ratio for the three months ended March 31, 2003 of 25.8%.
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The following tables set forth a reconciliation of our gross and net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves by line of business between December 31, 2003 and March 31, 2004 ($ in millions):
Gross Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves
Gross Reserves at December 31, 2003 |
Change in Prior Year Estimate During the Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 |
Paid Losses During the Three March 31, 2004 |
Estimated Ultimate Losses |
Gross Reserves at March 31, | |||||||||||||
Property Specialty |
$ | 98.8 | $ | (15.1 | ) | $ | (8.4 | ) | $ | 30.2 | $ | 105.5 | |||||
Property Catastrophe |
40.0 | (3.6 | ) | (1.5 | ) | 7.8 | 42.7 | ||||||||||
Other Specialty |
42.9 | (4.1 | ) | (2.7 | ) | 22.2 | 58.3 | ||||||||||
Qualifying Quota Share |
68.1 | (1.0 | ) | (6.6 | ) | 9.3 | 69.8 | ||||||||||
Total |
$ | 249.8 | $ | (23.8 | ) | $ | (19.2 | ) | $ | 69.5 | $ | 276.3 | |||||
Net Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves
Net Reserves at December 31, 2003 |
Change in Prior Year Estimate During the Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 |
Paid Losses During the Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 |
Estimated Ultimate Losses for the 2004 Year |
Net Reserves at March 31, | |||||||||||||
Property Specialty |
$ | 98.8 | $ | (15.1 | ) | $ | (8.4 | ) | $ | 30.2 | $ | 105.5 | |||||
Property Catastrophe |
40.0 | (3.6 | ) | (1.5 | ) | 7.8 | 42.7 | ||||||||||
Other Specialty |
42.9 | (4.1 | ) | (2.7 | ) | 22.2 | 58.3 | ||||||||||
Qualifying Quota Share |
60.4 | (0.5 | ) | (6.5 | ) | 9.3 | 62.7 | ||||||||||
Total |
$ | 242.1 | $ | (23.3 | ) | $ | (19.1 | ) | $ | 69.5 | $ | 269.2 | |||||
The first quarter of 2004 and 2003 included approximately $23.3 million and $18.3 million, respectively, of favorable development of net losses from prior years. This favorable prior year development for the quarters ended March 31, 2004 and 2003 benefited the net loss ratio in the quarter by approximately 12.2% and 10.0%, respectively.
The favorable development during the three months ended March 31, 2004 of losses incurred during 2003 and 2002 primarily resulted from the following:
| In the Property Specialty category, our net estimated ultimate losses for prior years decreased by $15.1 million during the quarter. The majority of the decrease was due to the fact that reported losses for this category continue to be lower than expected based on our development patterns. The low reported losses for the current quarter, combined with the increasing weight placed on our actual experience as the prior years mature, has led to the reduction in ultimate losses for the quarter in this category. |
| In the Property Catastrophe category, our estimate of net losses for prior years decreased by $3.6 million during the quarter. The decrease was a result of claim development on prior events being less than expected based on our loss development patterns. |
| There continues to be very few reported claims in our Other Specialty category, and the development of the reported losses in the quarter was much less than expected. The low level of loss development, combined with the increasing weight placed on our actual experience in selecting a loss ratio resulted in a reduction in ultimate losses of $4.1 million for prior years. |
| In the QQS category, during the three months ended March 31, 2004 based on additional information provided by ceding companies, we reduced our expected gross loss ratio for prior years, which resulted |
17
in a reduction of $1.0 million in estimated gross ultimate loss and loss adjustment expenses for the quarter. The reduction was due to downward revisions in the loss ratio projections provided by the syndicates. Offsetting some of the change in gross losses however, was a reduction in our estimated recovery ratio on reinsurance purchased by the QQS syndicates. The combined effect of these adjustments was a $0.5 million decrease in net losses related to prior years. |
Other than the matters described above, we did not make any significant changes in the assumptions used in our loss reserving process during the three months ended March 31, 2004. Because of our short operating history, our loss experience is limited and reliable evidence of changes in trends of numbers of claims incurred, average settlement amounts, numbers of claims outstanding and average losses per claim will necessarily take years to develop.
At March 31, 2004 we estimated our gross and net reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses using the methodology as outlined in our Critical Accounting Policy later in this section.
Management has determined that the best estimate for gross loss and loss adjustment expense reserves at March 31, 2004 and 2003 was $276.3 million and $ 183.6 million, respectively.
Management has determined that the best estimate for net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves at March 31, 2004 and 2003 was $269.2 million and $167.3 million, respectively.
The following are managements best estimate of a range of likely outcomes around their best estimate of gross and net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves by line of business ($ in millions):
Gross loss and loss adjustment expense reserves as at March 31, 2004
Low End of the Range |
Selected |
High End of the Range | |||||||
Property Specialty |
$ | 84.4 | $ | 105.5 | $ | 126.6 | |||
Property Catastrophe |
36.3 | 42.7 | 49.1 | ||||||
Other Specialty |
46.6 | 58.3 | 70.0 | ||||||
Qualifying Quota Share |
62.8 | 69.8 | 76.8 | ||||||
Total |
$ | 276.3 | |||||||
Net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves as at March 31, 2004
Low End of the Range |
Selected |
High End of the Range | |||||||
Property Specialty |
$ | 84.4 | $ | 105.5 | $ | 126.6 | |||
Property Catastrophe |
36.3 | 42.7 | 49.1 | ||||||
Other Specialty |
46.6 | 58.3 | 70.0 | ||||||
Qualifying Quota Share |
56.4 | 62.7 | 69.0 | ||||||
Total |
$ | 269.2 | |||||||
A significant portion of our business is property catastrophe and other classes with high attachment points of coverage. Reserving for losses in such programs is inherently complicated in that losses in excess of the attachment level of our policies are characterized by high severity and low frequency. In addition, as a broker market reinsurer, we must rely on loss information reported to such brokers by primary insurers who must estimate their own losses at the policy level, often based on incomplete and changing information. It is conceivable that in view of the high attachment points of most of our business that there could be no increase in the reserve for losses already incurred at March 31, 2004, and in addition that there may be no further losses reported. Therefore, the IBNR element of the above reserve ranges could turn out to be minimal. By contrast, a minimal amount of new loss advices could cause our ultimate incurred losses to significantly exceed the high end
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of the reserve ranges. Additionally, the reporting lag associated with our proportional business, including the QQS contracts, further increases the uncertainty of our ultimate loss estimates.
Net Foreign Exchange Gains (Losses)
Net foreign exchange gains (losses) result from the effect of the fluctuation in foreign currency exchange rates on the translation of foreign currency assets and liabilities combined with realized gains (losses) resulting from the receipt of premium installments and payment of claims in foreign currencies. The foreign exchange gain in the first quarter of 2004 is primarily due to the weakening of the U.S. dollar resulting in gains on translation arising out of receipts of non-U.S. dollar premium installments. Our premiums receivable and liabilities for losses incurred in currencies other than the U.S. dollar are exposed to the risk of changes in value resulting from fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and may affect our financial results in the future.
Underwriting Expenses
Underwriting expenses consist of acquisition costs (including profit commission) and general and administrative expenses. Acquisition costs and general and administrative expenses were $49.4 million and $49.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively, representing expense ratios of 25.9% and 27.0%, respectively. General and administrative expenses are comprised of fixed expenses which include salaries and benefits, stock options and office and risk management expenses, and variable expenses which include costs related to our performance unit plan and bonuses. Acquisition costs are generally driven by contract terms and are normally a set percentage of premiums.
Profit commission expensed was $4.2 million and $5.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The accrual for profit commission has remained fairly consistent as a result of continued favorable loss experience. The expense ratio for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003 would have been 23.7% and 24.2%, respectively, excluding the effect of profit commission.
For the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, acquisition costs incurred were $35.7 million and $41.0 million, respectively, which were principally due to brokerage commissions on our insurance and reinsurance contracts of $22.2 million and $24.6 million respectively, as well as commissions paid to ceding insurers and other costs of $13.5 million and $16.4 million, respectively.
Acquisition costs, excluding reinsurance and profit commission as a percentage of premiums earned, were 15.4% and 18.8% for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The 2004 ratio is lower than the 2003 ratio as a result of the significantly lower proportion of QQS business earned which traditionally has higher acquisition costs. We anticipate that the acquisition cost ratio, excluding profit commissions, will decline slightly during the remainder of 2004 based on the estimated mix of gross premiums written and estimated loss experience.
General and administrative expenses for the periods indicated consisted of the following ($ in millions):
Three Months Ended March 31, | ||||||
2004 |
2003 | |||||
Fixed expenses, excluding stock options |
$ | 8.2 | $ | 5.9 | ||
Current and Deferred Incentive Compensation |
4.9 | 2.0 | ||||
Fair value of stock options expense |
0.6 | 1.0 | ||||
Total General and Administrative expenses |
$ | 13.7 | $ | 8.9 | ||
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The increase in general and administrative expenses between the first quarter of 2004 and the first quarter of 2003 partially relates to an increase in fixed expenses consisting of increased employment costs, premises and office expenses due to the occupation of additional office space, consistent with the increase in staff numbers. We may be required to employ additional resources and occupy additional office space as our business grows. We also incurred fixed expenses during the first quarter of 2004 related to the two secondary offerings of approximately $1.0 million.
For the three months ended March 31, 2004, the performance unit plan expense included in current and deferred incentive compensation was higher than the same period in 2003 as a result of a combination of factors. The factors that affect the calculation of the expense consist of an increase in the harvest ratio used in calculating the expense for the 2002-2004 period, as well as an increase in our share price from March 31, 2003 to March 31, 2004. In addition, the 2004 period includes an additional accrual for the 2004-2006 performance period. As our results evolve, we may need to increase or decrease our harvest ratio used in the expense calculation which could either reduce or increase the PUP expense.
Net Investment Income
Net investment income for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003 was $15.3 million and $11.7 million, respectively. Net investment income was primarily composed of interest on coupon-paying bonds and bank interest, partially offset by accretion of premium on bonds of $4.0 million and $2.7 million, respectively, and investment management and custodian fees of $0.4 million and $0.7 million, respectively, for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003. Investment management fees are paid to White Mountains Advisors LLC, a wholly-owned indirect subsidiary of White Mountains Insurance Group, one of our major shareholders. Management believes that the fees charged were consistent with those that would have been charged by a non-related party. The investment management and custodian fees have decreased as compared to the same period last year as the investment management fee structure has been revised, resulting in a lower expense for our current portfolio mix. The fees could increase during the remainder of 2004 as our mix of investments changes.
Because we provide short-tail insurance and reinsurance coverage for losses resulting mainly from natural and man-made catastrophes, it is possible that we could become liable to pay substantial claims on short notice. Accordingly, we have structured our investment portfolio to preserve capital and to provide us with a high level of liquidity, which means that the large majority of our investment portfolio contains shorter term fixed maturity investments, such as U.S. government and agency bonds, corporate debt securities and mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities.
Based on the weighted average monthly investments held, and including net unrealized gains (losses) of $25.9 million and $(0.8) million for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, respectively, the total investment return was 1.77.%, and 1.02%, respectively. Net unrealized gains at March 31, 2004 included $9.1 million related to our investment in Aspen Insurance Holdings Ltd. In 2004, as expected, our investment income has increased as a result of our larger capital base, driven by positive cash flow consistent with the low level of paid claims, offset somewhat by lower interest rates.
We did not experience any other than temporary impairment charges relating to our portfolio of investments for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003.
Interest Expense
Three Months Ended March 31, | ||||||
2004 |
2003 | |||||
Fees letter of credit facilities |
$ | 0.4 | $ | | ||
Interest Senior Notes |
3.8 | | ||||
Interest term loan and revolving facilities |
| 1.0 | ||||
Total Interest Expense |
$ | 4.2 | $ | 1.0 | ||
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Fees for the letter of credit facilities relates to the Letters of Credit that we have in place with Fleet Bank and Barclays Bank as detailed in the Capital Resources section.
We paid interest expense for the three months ended March 31, 2004 of $8.1 million which related to the Senior Notes. We paid interest expense for the three months ended March 31, 2003 of $1.0 million related to the term-loan facility and revolving loan facility only and incurred interest expense during this period at an average rate of 2.59%.
Net Realized Gains (Losses) on Investments
Net realized gains (losses) on investments for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003 were $1.7 million and $4.7 million, respectively, which were due to net gains (losses) realized from the sale of fixed maturity and equity investments.
Comprehensive Income
Comprehensive income for the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003 was $134.9 million and $103.0 million respectively, which includes the $109.0 million and $103.8 million of net income described above, and $25.9 million and $(0.8) million, respectively, of net change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments and currency translation adjustments.
Financial Condition and Liquidity
We are a holding company that conducts no operations of its own. We rely primarily on cash dividends and management fees from Montpelier Re to pay our operating expenses, interest on our debt and dividends. There are restrictions on the payment of dividends from Montpelier Re to the Company, which are described in more detail below. We have initiated a regular dividend program of $0.34 per share per quarter and declared a dividend to shareholders of record at March 31, 2004. We expect to continue the payment of dividends in future but we cannot assure you that such payments will continue. Any determination to pay any future cash dividends will be at the discretion of our Board of Directors and will be dependent upon our results of operations and cash flows, our financial position and capital requirements, general business conditions, legal, tax, regulatory and any contractual restrictions on the payment of dividends, and any other factors our Board of Directors deems relevant.
Capital Resources
Our shareholders equity at March 31, 2004 was $1,770.0 million, of which $558.5 million was retained earnings. The Companys capital base has grown since December 31, 2003 primarily as a result of an increase in net premiums earned and the low level of losses incurred. Our contractual obligations and commitments have not changed significantly since December 31, 2003.
On August 4, 2003, we issued $250.0 million aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured debt (the Senior Notes) at an issue price of $99.517. The net proceeds were used to repay a term loan facility with the remainder used for general corporate purposes. The Senior Notes bear interest at a rate of 6.125%, payable semi-annually in arrears on February 15 and August 15 of each year. Unless previously redeemed, the Senior Notes will mature on August 15, 2013. We may redeem the Senior Notes at any time and from time to time, in whole or in part, at a make-whole redemption price. The Senior Notes do not contain any covenants regarding financial ratios or specified levels of net worth or liquidity to which we must adhere.
We may issue additional debt or equity as circumstances warrant. In this regard, on February 12, 2004 we filed a universal shelf registration statement on Form S-3 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for the potential future sale of up to $500.0 million of debt, trust preferred and/or equity securities. The registration
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statement has been declared effective and should provide us with significant flexibility with respect to our access to the public capital markets. Also included in the registration statement were 31,665,460 common shares which may be offered for sale by our shareholders, and from the sale of which we will receive no proceeds. We cannot assure you that additional financing under the universal shelf registration statement or elsewhere will be available at terms acceptable to us.
Under the Form S-3 discussed above, on March 17, 2004, and April 6, 2004, different shareholders of the Company completed two secondary offerings of 4,785,540 and 4,000,000 common shares, respectively. Certain original investors sold an average of 25.0% and 31.8% of their holdings, respectively. The secondary offerings did not have any impact on common shares outstanding. The Company did not receive any proceeds from the secondary offerings but was required to pay offering expenses of approximately $0.5 million for each secondary offering, which are included in general and administrative expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2004.
Montpelier Re entered into a Memorandum of Intent and Understanding (MIU) on December 17, 2003 to develop a construction project (the Project) to build a commercial building with a mixture of office, residential and retail use. Montpelier Re anticipates that it will finalize the Construction Loan Agreement and Agreement for Lease during 2004 and obtain consent to hold 20% of the shares of the company which will undertake the Project and own the building. Under the MIU, the terms of the Construction Loan will provide that Montpelier Re loans $19.0 million to the landlord for the costs of the Project during the period of construction commencing upon finalization of all agreements. Subsequent to the Projects completion, which is estimated to be thirty months from the commencement of construction, Montpelier Re expects to enter into a 22 year long-term lease for the major portion of the Project. Montpelier Re will be required to pay rent in the amount of $300,000 per annum upon finalization of all agreements and thereafter during the construction period. Upon finalization of the Project and occupation of the building, Montpelier Re will be required to pay rent in the amount of $400,000 per annum. Although construction commenced during the first quarter of 2004, as at March 31, 2004, no amounts were due or payable by Montpelier Re.
Our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer has adopted a written plan in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 for the purpose of selling limited amounts of our common shares owned by him. Pursuant to this plan, 50,000 options were exercised during the quarter at the exercise price of $16.67, resulting in an increase in common shares by their par amount and an increase in additional paid-in capital of $833,000. The plan will cover the possible exercise of 600,000 options and share sales over a 12 month period subject to market conditions and terms of the plan.
Credit Facilities ($ in thousands)
Credit Line |
Usage |
Expiry Date |
Purpose | |||||||
Letters of Credit Facilities: |
||||||||||
2 facilities Total |
$ | 450,000 | $ | 262,285 | June 2004 | Required security for reinsureds |
In the normal course of business, the Company provides security to reinsureds as required under contract provisions. Such security takes the form of a letter of credit. Letters of credit are issued by a bank at the request of the Company. In order for Montpelier Re to write Lloyds Qualifying Quota Share business, it must provide a letter of credit in favor of The Society and Council of Lloyds (Lloyds) in accordance with Lloyds rules. Effective June 20, 2003, Montpelier Re entered into a new Letter of Credit Reimbursement and Pledge Agreement with Fleet National Bank and a syndicate of lending institutions for the provision of a letter of credit facility in favor of Lloyds in an amount of up to $250.0 million, and in favor of certain U.S. ceding companies in an amount of up to $200.0 million. Simultaneously, the previously existing Pledge Agreement discussed below was superseded by the Letter of Credit Reimbursement and Pledge Agreement, and the letters of credit issued under the previous facility were issued under the new facility agreement. Letters of credit issued under this facility at March 31, 2004 were $262.3 million and are secured by cash and investments of approximately $288.5 million. We expect to renew this facility at expiration. Upon renewal, we expect this letter of credit facility to be sufficient to support Montpelier Res estimated obligations for the next 12 months.
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The Company previously made arrangements with Barclays Bank PLC for the provision of an additional letter of credit facility in favor of certain U.S. ceding companies in an amount of up to $50.0 million. Letters of credit outstanding at March 31, 2003 under the Barclays facility were approximately $20.8 million and were secured by cash and investments of approximately $22.9 million. This facility was cancelled on January 31, 2004.
Previously Montpelier Re had arrangements with Fleet National Bank for the provision of a standby letter of credit in a form acceptable to Lloyds in an amount of up to $250.0 million which was superseded by the Letter of Credit Reimbursement and Pledge Agreement discussed above.
Montpelier Re is registered under The Insurance Act 1978 (Bermuda), Amendments Thereto and Related Regulations (the Act). Under the Act, Montpelier Re is required annually to prepare and file Statutory Financial Statements and a Statutory Financial Return. The Act also requires Montpelier Re to meet minimum solvency requirements. For the three months ended March 31, 2004 and 2003, Montpelier Re satisfied these requirements.
Bermuda law limits the maximum amount of annual dividends or distributions payable by Montpelier Re to us and in certain cases requires the prior notification to, or the approval of, the Bermuda Monetary Authority. Subject to such laws, the directors of Montpelier Re have the unilateral authority to declare or not to declare dividends to us. There is no assurance that dividends will be declared or paid in the future.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
We are not party to any transaction, agreement or other contractual arrangement to which an entity unconsolidated with us is a party that management believes is reasonably likely to have a current or future effect on our financial condition, revenues or expenses, results of operations, liquidity, capital expenditures or capital resources that is material to investors.
Investments
The table below shows the aggregate amounts of investments available for sale, other investments and cash and cash equivalents comprising our portfolio of invested assets ($ in thousands):
As at March 31, 2004 |
As at December 31, 2003 | |||||
Fixed maturities, available for sale, at fair value |
$ | 2,113,046 | $ | 1,976,165 | ||
Equity investments, available for sale, at fair value |
40,468 | 37,564 | ||||
Other investments |
93,421 | 84,354 | ||||
Cash and cash equivalents, at fair value |
180,532 | 139,587 | ||||
Total Invested Assets |
$ | 2,427,467 | $ | 2,237,670 | ||
Because a significant portion of our contracts provide short-tail reinsurance coverage for damages resulting mainly from natural and man-made catastrophes, it is possible that we could become liable for a significant amount of losses on short notice. Accordingly, we have structured our investment portfolio to preserve capital and provide us with a high level of liquidity, which means that the large majority of our investment portfolio contains shorter term fixed maturity investments, such as U.S. government and agency bonds, corporate debt securities and mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities.
The market value of our portfolio of fixed maturity investments comprises U.S. government and agency bonds (72.5%), investment grade corporate debt securities (20.9%) and mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities (6.6%). All of the fixed maturity investments currently held by us were publicly traded at March 31, 2004. Based on the weighted average monthly investments held, and including unrealized gains, our total return
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for the three months ended March 31, 2004 was 1.77%. This return was partially due to the unrealized gain on our investment in Aspen at March 31, 2004 of $9.1 million. The average duration of our invested asset portfolio was 2.1 years and the average rating of the portfolio was AA+ at March 31, 2004. If the right conditions arise in 2004, we may deploy a further limited amount of capital to strategic investments or investment classes other than fixed income.
In March 2004, we committed to invest an aggregate of $20.0 million as part of an investor group that will acquire the life and investments business of Safeco Corporation for $1.35 billion, subject to adjustments. The transaction is expected to fund and close during the third quarter of 2004 and is subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves
As described in the Summary of Critical Accounting Policies later in this section, for most insurance and reinsurance companies, the most significant judgment made by management is the estimation of the loss and loss adjustment expense reserves. Due to the short-tail nature of our business, generally we expect that the majority of our losses will be paid relatively quickly. However, this can be affected by such factors as the event causing the loss, the location of the loss, and whether our losses are from policies with insurers or reinsurers. Accordingly, it is necessary to estimate, as part of the loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, an amount for IBNR. Net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves at March 31, 2004 was $269.2 million.
Significant assumptions are required to be made when establishing loss reserves. For additional information concerning loss and loss adjustment expenses see the Summary of Critical Accounting Policies section later in this section.
Cash Flows
In the three months ended March 31, 2004, we generated an operating net cash inflow of $155.5 million, primarily relating to premiums net of acquisition costs received by Montpelier Re. We paid losses of $19.1 million during the three months ended March 31, 2004. We invested a net amount of $88.9 million during the three months ended March 31, 2004, and had a cash balance of $180.5 million at March 31, 2004. The increase in liquidity has resulted from premiums received and a low level of paid claims as this has been a quarter with a relatively low level of catastrophes combined with the net cash received.
Our liquidity depends on operating, investing and financing cash flows as described below.
Our sources of funds primarily consist of the receipt of premiums written, investment income and proceeds from sales and redemptions of investments.
Cash is used primarily to pay loss and loss adjustment expenses, brokerage commissions, excise taxes, general and administrative expenses, to purchase new investments, to pay dividends, to pay for any premiums retroceded and future authorized share repurchases. In the first quarter of 2004 we have purchased reinsurance protecting ourselves against large risk losses on our direct and facultative book and small to medium-size catastrophes on our overall property writings. For the whole of 2004 we expect that our purchase of reinsurance may rise modestly as compared to 2003 but is expected to be less than 10% of gross premiums written.
Our cash flows from operations represent the difference between premiums collected and investment earnings realized, and the loss and loss adjustment expenses paid, underwriting and other expenses paid and investment losses realized. Cash flows from operations may differ substantially, however, from net income. To date, we have invested substantially all cash flows not required for operating purposes.
We have written certain business that has loss experience generally characterized as having low frequency and high severity. This may result in volatility in both the Companys results and operational cash flows. The potential for a large claim under one of our insurance or reinsurance contracts means that substantial and unpredictable payments may need to be made within relatively short periods of time. As a result, cash flows from operating activities may fluctuate, perhaps significantly, between individual quarters and years.
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We intend to manage these risks by structuring our investments in an effort to anticipate the payout patterns of our liabilities under insurance or reinsurance policies. No assurance can be given, however, that we will successfully match the structure of Montpelier Res investments with its liabilities under insurance or reinsurance contracts. If our calculations with respect to these reinsurance liabilities are incorrect, or if we improperly structure our investments to match such liabilities, we could be forced to liquidate investments prior to maturity, potentially at a significant loss.
The estimated fair value of fixed maturity, equity, other investments and our cash and cash equivalents balance was $2,427.5 million as of March 31, 2004, compared to $2,237.7 million at December 31, 2003. The primary cause of this increase was the receipt of $166.5 million in premiums net of acquisition costs, net investment income of $15.3 million and the increase in net unrealized gains on investments of $25.9 million during the quarter.
For the period from inception until March 31, 2004, we have had sufficient cash flow from operations to meet our liquidity requirements. We have generated cash flows from operations in 2003 and 2002 significantly in excess of our operating commitments. To the extent that capital is not utilized in our reinsurance we will consider using such capital to invest in new opportunities.
Summary of Critical Accounting Policies
The Companys consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The preparation of financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect reported and disclosed amounts of assets and liabilities, as well as disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities as at the balance sheet date and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. We believe the following accounting policies are critical to our operations as their application requires management to make the most significant judgments.
Other significant accounting policies that we use to prepare our consolidated financial statements are included in Note 2 to the December 31, 2003 Consolidated Financial Statements included in the Companys filing on Form 10-K.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves. For most insurance and reinsurance companies, the most significant judgment made by management is the estimation of the loss and loss adjustment expense reserves. Due to the short-tail nature of our property business, generally we expect that the majority of these losses will be paid relatively quickly. However, this can be affected by such factors as the event causing the loss, the location of the loss, and whether our losses are from policies with insurers or reinsurers. Additionally, for our casualty business, there is the potential for long claim reporting lags and for the emergence of new classes or types or losses. Accordingly, it is necessary to estimate, as part of the loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, an amount for IBNR.
A significant portion of our business is property catastrophe and other classes with high attachment points of coverage. Reserving for losses in such programs is inherently complicated in that losses in excess of the attachment level of our policies are characterized by high severity and low frequency. This limits the volume of industry claims experience available from which to reliably predict ultimate loss levels following a loss event. In addition, there always exists a reporting lag between a loss event taking place and the reporting of the loss, which can sometimes be several years, particularly on longer-tail classes of business such as casualty. During this period, additional facts and trends will be revealed and as these factors become apparent, reserves will be adjusted. These incurred but not reported losses are inherently difficult to predict. Changes to our prior year loss reserves can impact our current underwriting results by improving our results if the prior year reserves prove to be redundant or reducing our results if the prior year reserves prove to be insufficient. Because of the variability and uncertainty associated with loss estimation, it is possible that our individual case reserves for each catastrophic event and other case reserves are incorrect, possibly materially. This volatility will affect our results
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in the period that the loss occurs because U.S. GAAP does not permit reinsurers to reserve for such catastrophic events until they occur and may give rise to a claim. As a result, no allowance for the provision of a contingency reserve to account for expected future losses can be recorded. Claims arising from future catastrophic events can be expected to require the establishment of substantial reserves from time to time. We expect that increases in the values and concentrations of insured property will increase the severity of worldwide catastrophic losses in the future.
These factors require us to make significant assumptions when establishing loss reserves. For losses which have been reported us, we estimate our ultimate loss using the following: (1) claims reports from insureds; (2) our underwriters and management experience in setting claims reserves; and (3) the use of computer models where applicable. Since we have insufficient past loss experience, management supplements this information with industry data. This industry data may not match our risk profile, which introduces a further degree of uncertainty into the process. For losses which have been incurred but not reported, the reserving process is further complicated.
We estimate IBNR using actuarial methods. We also utilize historical insurance industry loss development patterns, as well as estimates of future trends in claims severity, frequency and other factors, to aid us in establishing IBNR.
On pro-rata contracts, including QQS arrangements, we estimate ultimate losses based on loss ratio forecasts as reported quarterly by cedents, which is normally on a quarterly or six month lag. We also review historical loss ratios from prior years as provided by each cedent, as well as public reports. We base our estimate of the ultimate losses on both of these factors. Estimated losses can change, based on revised projections supplied by the underlying cedents and actuarial support of the underwriting year forecasts. The resulting changes in incurred losses are recorded in the period in which they are determined.
These complications, together with the potential for unforeseen developments, may result in loss and loss adjustment expenses significantly greater or less than the reserve provided. Reserving can prove especially difficult should a significant loss event take place near the end of an accounting period, particularly if it involves a catastrophic event.
Management has determined that the best estimate for gross loss and loss adjustment expense reserves at March 31, 2004 was $276.3 million. Managements best estimate of a range of likely outcomes around this estimate is between $230.1 million and $322.5 million.
Loss and loss adjustment reserve estimates are regularly reviewed and updated, as new information becomes known to us. Any resulting adjustments are included in income in the period in which they become known.
Premiums. Premium income is primarily earned ratably over the term of the insurance policy. Premiums derived from pro-rata reinsurance policies and policies written on a risks attaching basis are generally earned over a 24 month period. The portion of the premium related to the unexpired portion of the policy at the end of any reporting period is reflected in unearned premium.
We write both excess of loss and pro-rata contracts. For the majority of excess of loss contracts, the deposit premium is defined in the contract wording and this is the amount we record as written premium in the period the underlying risks incept, therefore no management judgment is necessary. Subsequent adjustments, based on reports of actual premium by the ceding companies, or revisions in estimates, are recorded in the period they are determined.
On pro-rata contracts and certain excess of loss contracts where the deposit premium is not specified in the contract, premiums assumed are estimated to ultimate levels based on information provided by the ceding companies. An estimate of premium is recorded in the period in which the underlying risks incept. When the actual premium is reported by the ceding company, which may be reported on a quarterly or six month lag, it
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may be significantly higher or lower than the estimate. Adjustments arising from the reporting of actual premium by the ceding companies are recorded in the period in which they are determined. Estimates of premium are based on information available, including previously reported premium and underlying economic conditions. Premiums on pro-rata contracts are earned over the risk periods of the related reinsurance contracts.
Where contract terms require the reinstatement of coverage after a ceding companys loss, the mandatory reinstatement premiums are recorded as written premiums when the loss event occurs, and are recognized as earned premium ratably over the remaining contract period. Accrual of reinstatement premiums is based on our estimate of loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, which involves management judgment as described below. Reinstatement premiums are not accrued on reserves for losses incurred but not reported.
Performance Unit Plan (the PUP). The PUP is the Companys primary executive long-term incentive scheme. Pursuant to the terms of the PUP, at the discretion of the Compensation Committee of the Board of the Directors (the Committee), performance units may be granted to executive officers and certain other key employees. Performance units entitle the recipient to receive, without payment to the Company, all, double, or a part of the value of the units granted, depending on the achievement of specific financial or operating goals. Performance units vest at the end of a three-year performance cycle, and are payable in cash, common shares or a combination thereof at the discretion of the Committee.
A total of 936,000 performance units were authorized under the PUP at March 31, 2004 (or up to 1,872,000 common shares should the maximum harvest of 200% of units apply). At March 31, 2004, 936,000 performance units were issued covering the three performance periods, 2002-2004, 2003-2005 and 2004-2006.
For the 2002-2004 cycle, the performance target for a 100% harvest of value of the units granted is an average combined ratio of 70% for the financial years 2002, 2003, and 2004. The target for a maximum harvest of 200% of the value of the units granted is a combined ratio of 50% or less. A combined ratio of 95% or more will result in a harvest of nil. Straight line interpolation is used between these points. To date we have experienced a better than 70% combined ratio for this three-year performance period. Taking into account our results to date as well as the estimated combined ratio for the remainder of the 2004 period, we have adjusted the harvest ratio for this performance period from 137.5% at December 31, 2003 to 150% at March 31, 2004. This resulted in an increase in the PUP liability and expense during the first quarter of 2004.
For the 2003-2005 and 2004-2006 cycles, the performance target for a 100% harvest of value of the units granted is a combination of the achievement of an average combined ratio of 72% as measured over the period and the achievement of an annual increase in total return to shareholders of 18% as measured over the period. Linear scale collars around the targets provide for payment on performance units to rise to 200% if performance materially exceeds target or to reduce to nil if performance is materially below target. We will reassess the harvest rate used in the calculation of the PUP liability at June 30, 2004 for the 2003-2005 cycle and at June 30, 2005 for the 2004-2006 cycle and each quarter thereafter.
Depending on our results in the remainder of 2004, the harvest ratio may either be increased or decreased for the 2002-2004 or 2003-2005 performance cycles which would affect the PUP liability and expense in 2004. Final determination of actual performance and amount of payment is at the sole discretion of the Committee.
We accrue the projected value of these units and expense the value in the income statement over the course of each three-year performance period. The accrual is based on the number of units granted, the share price at the end of the respective fiscal period end, and an assumption of a 100% harvest ratio, unless otherwise adjusted as discussed above. At the end of the sixth quarter, and every subsequent quarter, we reassess the projected results for each three year performance period and adjust the accrued PUP liability as necessary. We recalculate the liability under the PUP as our financial results evolve and the share price changes, and reflect such adjustments in the income statement in the period in which they are determined. This may result in an adjustment to the harvest rate used in the liability calculation which may increase or decrease the amount of liability and expense
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recorded during the period. Assuming the share price at March 31, 2004 remained constant, if the harvest ratio for the 2002-2004 performance period had been 125% or 175% at March 31, 2004, respectively, the PUP expense would have decreased or increased by approximately $1.8 million. Assuming the share price at March 31, 2004 remained constant, if the harvest ratio for the 2003-2005 performance period had been 75% or 125.0% at March 31, 2004, respectively, the PUP expense would have decreased or increased by approximately $1.3 million. For the 2004-2006 performance period, assuming the share price at March 31, 2004 remained constant, if the harvest ratio had been 75% or 125% at March 31, 2004, the PUP expense would have decreased or increased by approximately $0.3 million.
Currency
We write a portion of our business and receive premiums in currencies other than U.S. dollars and may maintain a small portion of our investment portfolio in investments denominated in currencies other than U.S. dollars. We may experience exchange losses to the extent our foreign currency exposure is not properly managed or otherwise hedged, which in turn would adversely affect our statement of operations and financial condition.
Effects of Inflation
The potential exists, after a catastrophe loss, for the development of inflationary pressures in a local economy. The anticipated effects on us are considered in our catastrophe loss models. The effects of inflation are also considered in pricing and in estimating reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses. The actual effects of inflation on our results cannot be accurately known until claims are ultimately settled.
We do not believe that inflation has had a material effect on our consolidated results of operations, except insofar as inflation may affect interest rates.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
We believe that we are principally exposed to three types of market risk: interest rate risk, foreign currency risk and credit risk.
The use of derivative instruments is expressly prohibited by our investment guidelines, other than the use of forward currency exchange contracts to minimize the impact of exchange rate fluctuations.
Interest Rate Risk. Our primary market risk exposure is to changes in interest rates. Our fixed maturity portfolio is exposed to interest rate risk. Fluctuations in interest rates have a direct impact on the market valuation of these investments. As interest rates rise, the market value of our fixed maturity portfolio falls, and the converse is also true. We manage interest rate risk by selecting investments with characteristics such as duration, yield, currency and liquidity tailored to the anticipated cash outflow characteristics of Montpelier Res reinsurance liabilities.
As at March 31, 2004, the impact on our portfolio from an immediate 100 basis point increase in market interest rates would have resulted in an estimated decrease in market value of about 2.0% or approximately $43 million and the impact on our portfolio from an immediate 100 basis point decrease in market interest rates would have resulted in an estimated increase in market value of 2.0% or approximately $43 million.
As at March 31, 2004, we held $139.5 million, or 6.6% of our total invested assets in mortgage-related securities. These assets are exposed to prepayment risk, which occurs when holders of individual mortgages increase the frequency with which they prepay the outstanding principal before the maturity date and refinance at a lower interest rate cost. Given the proportion that these securities comprise of the overall portfolio, and the current low interest rate environment, prepayment risk is not considered significant at this time.
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Foreign Currency Risk. A significant portion of our business is insuring or reinsuring risks in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. Accordingly, we are exposed to fluctuations in the rates of these currencies. In the event of a significant loss event which requires settlement in a currency other than the United States dollar, we may use forward foreign currency exchange contracts in an effort to hedge against movements in the value of foreign currencies relative to the United States dollar. A forward foreign currency exchange contract involves an obligation to purchase or sell a specified currency at a future date at a price set at the time of the contract. Foreign currency exchange contracts will not eliminate fluctuations in the value of our assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies but rather allow us to establish a rate of exchange for a future point in time. We do not expect to enter into such contracts with respect to a material amount of our assets. At March 31, 2004 we do not have any outstanding forward foreign currency exchange contracts.
Our functional currency is the United States dollar. The British pound is the functional currency of our wholly-owned subsidiary, Montpelier Marketing Services (UK) Limited (MMSL). Accordingly, MMSLs assets and liabilities are translated at exchange rates in effect at the balance sheet date. Revenue and expenses of MMSL are translated at average exchange rates during the period. The effect of translation adjustments at the end of the period is not included in our consolidated results of operations but is included in accumulated other comprehensive income, a separate component of shareholders equity. On a consolidated basis, MMSL does not generate material revenue and expenses and, therefore, the effects of changes in exchange rates during the period are not material.
Our premiums receivable and liabilities for losses incurred in currencies other than the U.S. dollar are exposed to the risk of changes in value resulting from fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and may affect our financial results in the future.
Credit Risk. We have exposure to credit risk primarily as a holder of fixed maturity investments. In accordance with our investment guidelines as approved by our Board of Directors, our risk management strategy and investment policy is to invest in debt instruments of high credit quality issuers and to limit the amount of credit exposure with respect to particular ratings categories and any one issuer. At March 31, 2004, all fixed maturity investments that we held were investment grade.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
The Company carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of the Companys management, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of disclosure controls and procedures pursuant to Section 13a-l5 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as of the end of the period covered by this quarterly report. Based on that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the disclosure controls and procedures are effective to provide reasonable assurance that all material information relating to the Company required to be disclosed in this quarterly report has been made known to them in a timely fashion. There have been no changes in internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the most recent fiscal quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, internal control over financial reporting.
The Companys management, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, does not expect that the Companys disclosure controls or its internal controls will prevent all errors and all fraud. Further, the design of a control system must reflect the fact that there are resource constraints, and the benefits of controls must be considered relative to their costs. As a result of the inherent limitations in all control systems, no evaluation of controls can provide absolute assurance that all control issues and instances of fraud, if any, within the Company have been detected. These inherent limitations include the realities that judgments in decision-making can be faulty, and that breakdowns can occur because of simple error or mistake. As a result of the inherent limitations in a cost-effective control system, misstatements due to error or fraud may occur and not be detected. Accordingly, the Companys disclosure controls and procedures are designed to provide reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the disclosure controls and procedures are met.
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The Company, in common with the insurance and reinsurance industry in general, is subject to litigation and arbitration in the normal course of its business. We are not currently involved in any material pending litigation or arbitration proceedings.
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
No matters were submitted to a vote of stockholders during the first quarter of the fiscal year covered by this report.
Cautionary Statement under Safe Harbor Provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
This Form 10-Q contains, and Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd. (the Company) may from time to time make, written or oral forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws. These statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All forward- looking statements rely on a number of assumptions concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the Companys control that could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. In particular, statements using words such as may, should, estimate, expect, anticipate, intend, believe, predict, potential, or words of similar import generally involve forward-looking statements.
Important events and uncertainties that could cause the actual results, future dividends or future repurchases to differ include, but are not necessarily limited to: market conditions affecting Montpeliers common share price; our short operating and trading history; our dependence on principal employees; the cyclical nature of the reinsurance business; the levels of new and renewal business achieved; opportunities to increase writings in our core property and specialty reinsurance and insurance lines of business and in specific areas of the casualty reinsurance market; the estimates reported by syndicates under existing QQS contracts; the inherent uncertainties of establishing reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses, particularly on longer-tail classes of business such as casualty; the possibility of severe or unanticipated losses from natural or man-made catastrophes; the impact of terrorist activities on the economy; competition in the reinsurance industry and rating agency policies and practices. The Companys forward-looking statements concerning market fundamentals could be affected by changes in demand, pricing and policy term trends and competition. These and other events that could cause actual results to differ are discussed in detail in Risk Factors contained in Item 1 of the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made.
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Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K
A. Exhibits
Exhibit Number |
Description of Document | |
3.1 | Memorandum of Association (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
3.2 | Amended and Restated Bye-Laws (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Companys Current Report on Form 8-K dated May 20, 2003). | |
4.1 | Specimen Ordinary Share Certificate (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.1 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
4.2 | Share Purchase Warrant, dated as of January 3, 2002, between the Registrant and Banc of America Securities LLC, as amended by Amendment, dated as of February 11, 2002, as further amended by Amendment, dated as of July 1, 2002. (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.2 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)), as further amended by Amendment 3 dated as of March 31, 2003 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.5 to the Companys Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2003). | |
4.3 | Share Purchase Warrant, dated January 3, 2002, between the Registrant and Benfield Group plc, as amended by Amendment, dated as of February 11, 2002, as further amended by Amendment, dated as of July 1, 2002 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.3 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)), as further amended by Amendment 3 dated as of March 31, 2003 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.5 to the Companys Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2003) | |
4.4 | Share Purchase Warrant, dated January 3, 2002, between the Registrant and White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd., as amended by Amendment, dated as of February 11, 2002, as further amended by Amendment, dated as of July 1, 2002 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.4 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)), as further amended by Amendment 3 dated as of March 31, 2003 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.5 to the Companys Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2003). | |
4.5 | Senior Indenture, dated as of July 15, 2003, between the Company, as Issuer, and The Bank of New York, as Trustee (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.1 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-106919)) | |
4.6 | First Supplemental Indenture to Senior Indenture, dated as of July 30, 2003, between the Company, as Issuer, and The Bank of New York, as Trustee (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.2 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-106919)) | |
10.1 | Shareholders Agreement, dated as of December 12, 2001, among the Registrant and each of the persons listed on Schedule 1 thereto, as amended by Amendment No. 1, dated December 24, 2001 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.1 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
10.2 | Service Agreement, dated as of December 12, 2001, between Anthony Taylor, the Registrant and Montpelier Reinsurance Ltd. (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.2 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
10.3 | Service Agreement, dated as of January 24, 2002, between Anthony Taylor and Montpelier Marketing Services (UK) Limited (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.3 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
10.4 | Service Agreement, dated as of January 1, 2002, between C. Russell Fletcher, III and Montpelier Reinsurance Ltd. (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.4 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). |
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Exhibit Number |
Description of Document | |
10.5 | Service Agreement, dated as of January 1, 2002, between Thomas George Story Busher and Montpelier Reinsurance Ltd. (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.5 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
10.6 | Service Agreement, dated as of January 24, 2002, between Thomas George Story Busher and Montpelier Marketing Services (UK) Limited (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.6 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
10.7 | Service Agreement, dated as of January 24, 2002, between Nicholas Newman-Young and Montpelier Marketing Services (UK) Limited (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.6 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
10.8 | Credit Agreement, dated as of December 12, 2001, among the Registrant and Various Financial Institutions, as amended by Amendment Agreement, dated as of December 26, 2001, by Second Amendment Agreement, dated as of September 17, 2002 and by Third Amendment Agreement, dated as of August 1, 2002 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.8 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)) and by Fourth Amendment Agreement, dated as of December 11, 2002 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.1 to the Companys Current Report on Form 8-K filed on April 8, 2003). | |
10.9 | Share Option Plan (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.9 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
10.10 | Performance Unit Plan (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.10 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
10.11 | Standby Letter of Credit Agreement, among Montpelier Re and Fleet National Bank, dated as of February 26, 2002 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.11 to the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002). | |
10.12 | Standby Letter of Credit Agreement, among Montpelier Re and Barclays Bank PLC, dated as of December 6, 2002 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.12 to the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002). | |
10.13 | Service Agreement, dated as of March 18, 2003, between K. Thomas Kemp and Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd. (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.13 to the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002). | |
10.14 | Letter of Credit Reimbursement and Pledge Agreement, among Montpelier Re and Fleet National Bank, dated September 20, 2003 (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.14 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1/A dated September 25, 2003 (Registration No. 333-105896)). | |
10.15 | Consent, Waiver and Amendment Agreement, among Montpelier Re and Barclays Bank PLC (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.15 to the Companys Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended September 30, 2003). | |
21.1 | Subsidiaries of the Registrant (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 21.1 to the Companys Registration Statement on Form S-1 (Registration No. 333-89408)). | |
31.1 | Officer Certification of Anthony Taylor, Chief Executive Officer of Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd., and K. Thomas Kemp, Chief Financial Officer of Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd., as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, filed with this report. | |
32.1 | Officer Certification of Anthony Taylor, Chief Executive Officer of Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd., and K. Thomas Kemp, Chief Financial Officer of Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd., pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, submitted with this report. |
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(b) Reports on Form 8-K
(1) Current Report on Form 8-K filed on February 13, 2004, under Items 7, 9 and 12 thereof, relating to the Companys financial results for the year ended December 31, 2003.
(2) Current Report on Form 8-K filed on February 27, 2004, under Items 5 and 7 thereof, relating to the appointment of Anthony Taylor as Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Company.
(3) Current Report on Form 8-K filed on March 15, 2004, under Items 5 and 7, thereof, relating to the filing of the Underwriting Agreement in connection with the public offering of 4,785,540 of its common shares.
(4) Current Report on Form 8-K filed on March 25, 2004, under Items 5 and 7, thereof, announcing changes to the Board of Directors.
(c) See (a) above
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Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
MONTPELIER RE HOLDINGS LTD. | ||||
(Registrant) | ||||
April 30, 2004 |
By: |
/s/ ANTHONY TAYLOR | ||
Date |
Name: |
Anthony Taylor | ||
Title: |
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer | |||
April 30, 2004 |
By: |
/s/ NEIL MCCONACHIE | ||
Date |
Name: |
Neil McConachie | ||
Title: |
Treasurer and Chief Accounting Officer (chief accounting officer) | |||
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