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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
[X] Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2003 or
[ ] Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the transition period from to__________________
Commission File Number 0-25603
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware 13-4018068
(State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization) Identification No.)
Demeter Management Corporation
825 Third Avenue, 9th Floor
New York, NY 10022
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
Registrant's telephone number, including area code (212) 310-6444
(Former name, former address, and former fiscal year, if changed
since last report)
Indicate by check-mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all
reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or
for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file
such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing
requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes X No___________
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
INDEX TO QUARTERLY REPORT ON FORM 10-Q
September 30, 2003
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
Statements of Financial Condition as of September 30, 2003
(Unaudited) and December 31, 2002..........................2
Statements of Operations for the Quarters Ended
September 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited)....................3
Statements of Operations for the Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited)....................4
Statements of Changes in Partners' Capital for the Nine
Months Ended September 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited).......5
Statements of Cash Flows for the Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited)....................6
Notes to Financial Statements (Unaudited)...............7-11
Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations.......12-21
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about
Market Risk.........................................22-35
Item 4. Controls and Procedures................................35
Part II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings......................................36
Item 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds...........36-37
Item 5. Other Information......................................37
Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K....................38-40
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
September 30, December 31,
2003 2002
$ $
(Unaudited)
ASSETS
Equity in futures interests trading accounts:
Cash 199,070,960 104,510,473
Net unrealized loss on open contracts (MSIL) (1,072,336) (1,963,300)
Net unrealized gain (loss) on open contracts (MS & Co.) (9,083,617) 9,176,225
Total net unrealized gain (loss) on open contracts (10,155,953) 7,212,925
Total Trading Equity 188,915,007 111,723,398
Subscriptions receivable 11,943,818 5,780,876
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) 145,475 113,169
Total Assets 201,004,300 117,617,443
LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS' CAPITAL
Liabilities
Redemptions payable 1,389,931 482,247
Accrued brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 1,099,559 570,067
Accrued management fees 351,859 168,909
Total Liabilities 2,841,349 1,221,223
Partners' Capital
Limited Partners (10,741,813.338 and
6,112,309.183 Units, respectively) 195,975,370 115,164,948
General Partner (119,905.816 and
65,349.049 Units, respectively) 2,187,581 1,231,272
Total Partners' Capital 198,162,951 116,396,220
Total Liabilities and Partners' Capital 201,004,300 117,617,443
NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT 18.24 18.84
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
For the Quarters Ended September 30,
2003 2002
$ $
REVENUES
Trading profit (loss):
Realized (17,327,578) 27,651,346
Net change in unrealized (1,142,709) (875,797)
Total Trading Results (18,470,287) 26,775,549
Interest income (Morgan Stanley DW) 427,628 345,275
Total (18,042,659) 27,120,824
EXPENSES
Brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 3,205,774 1,291,084
Management fees 1,000,315 382,545
Incentive fees - 3,660,660
Total 4,206,089 5,334,289
NET INCOME (LOSS) (22,248,748) 21,786,535
NET INCOME (LOSS) ALLOCATION
Limited Partners (22,013,700) 21,547,553
General Partner (235,048) 238,982
NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT
Limited Partners (2.18) 4.72
General Partner (2.18) 4.72
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
2003 2002
$ $
REVENUES
Trading profit (loss):
Realized 17,730,625 27,939,911
Net change in unrealized (17,368,878) 4,305,060
Total Trading Results 361,747 32,244,971
Interest income (Morgan Stanley DW) 1,308,415 775,671
Total 1,670,162 33,020,642
EXPENSES
Brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 8,383,693 3,065,898
Incentive fees 4,657,891 3,660,660
Management fees 2,534,513 895,927
Total 15,576,097 7,622,485
NET INCOME (LOSS) (13,905,935) 25,398,157
NET INCOME (LOSS) ALLOCATION
Limited Partners (13,752,244) 25,119,675
General Partner (153,691) 278,482
NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT
Limited Partners (0.60) 5.40
General Partner (0.60) 5.40
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS' CAPITAL
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003 and 2002
(Unaudited)
Units of
Partnership Limited General
Interest Partners Partner Total
$ $ $
Partners' Capital,
December 31, 2001 3,480,546.336 47,429,838 510,930 47,940,768
Offering of Units 2,089,728.419 31,556,370 310,000 31,866,370
Net Income - 25,119,675 278,482 25,398,157
Redemptions (386,761.442) (5,818,742) - (5,818,742)
Partners' Capital,
September 30, 2002 5,183,513.313 98,287,141 1,099,412 99,386,553
Partners' Capital,
December 31, 2002 6,177,658.232 115,164,948 1,231,272 116,396,220
Offering of Units 5,213,896.954 105,349,371 1,110,000 106,459,371
Net Loss - (13,752,244) (153,691) (13,905,935)
Redemptions (529,836.032) (10,786,705) - (10,786,705)
Partners' Capital,
September 30, 2003 10,861,719.154 195,975,370 2,187,581 198,162,951
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited)
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
2003 2002
$ $
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net income (loss) (13,905,935) 25,398,157
Noncash item included in net income (loss):
Net change in unrealized 17,368,878 (4,305,060)
Increase in operating assets:
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) (32,306) (55,792)
Increase in operating liabilities:
Accrued brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 529,492 229,355
Accrued management fees 182,950 70,762
Accrued incentive fees - 1,537,530
Net cash provided by operating activities 4,143,079 22,874,952
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Offering of Units 106,459,371 31,866,370
Increase in subscriptions receivable (6,162,942) (4,002,652)
Increase in redemptions payable 907,684 866,878
Redemptions of Units (10,786,705) (5,818,742)
Net cash provided by financing activities 90,417,408 22,911,854
Net increase in cash 94,560,487 45,786,806
Balance at beginning of period 104,510,473 45,247,504
Balance at end of period 199,070,960 91,034,310
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
September 30, 2003
(Unaudited)
The unaudited financial statements contained herein include, in
the opinion of management, all adjustments necessary for a fair
presentation of the results of operations and financial condition
of Morgan Stanley Charter Graham L.P. (the "Partnership"). The
financial statements and condensed notes herein should be read in
conjunction with the Partnership's December 31, 2002 Annual Report
on Form 10-K.
1. Organization
Morgan Stanley Charter Graham L.P. is a Delaware limited
partnership organized to engage primarily in the speculative
trading of futures contracts, options on futures contracts, and
forward contracts on physical commodities and other commodity
interests, including, but not limited to, foreign currencies,
financial instruments, metals, energy and agricultural products.
The Partnership is one of the Morgan Stanley Charter series of
funds, comprised of the Partnership, Morgan Stanley Charter
Campbell L.P., Morgan Stanley Charter Millburn L.P., and Morgan
Stanley Charter MSFCM L.P.
The Partnership's general partner is Demeter Management
Corporation ("Demeter"). The non-clearing commodity broker is
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
Morgan Stanley DW Inc. ("Morgan Stanley DW"). The clearing
commodity brokers are Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated ("MS &
Co.") and Morgan Stanley & Co. International Limited ("MSIL").
Demeter, Morgan Stanley DW, MS & Co. and MSIL are wholly-owned
subsidiaries of Morgan Stanley. Graham Capital Management, L.P.
(the "Trading Advisor") is the trading advisor to the Partnership.
2. Related Party Transactions
The Partnership's cash is on deposit with Morgan Stanley DW, MS &
Co. and MSIL in futures, forwards and options trading accounts to
meet margin requirements as needed. Morgan Stanley DW pays
interest on these funds based on a rate equal to that earned by
Morgan Stanley DW on its U.S. Treasury bill investments. The
Partnership pays brokerage fees to Morgan Stanley DW.
3. Financial Instruments
The Partnership trades futures contracts, options on futures
contracts, and forward contracts on physical commodities and other
commodity interests, including, but not limited to, foreign
currencies, financial instruments, metals, energy and agricultural
products. Futures and forwards represent contracts for delayed
delivery of an instrument at a specified date and price. Risk
arises from changes in the value of these contracts and the
potential inability of counterparties to perform under the terms
of the contracts. There are numerous factors which may
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
significantly influence the market value of these contracts,
including interest rate volatility.
The market value of contracts is based on closing prices quoted by
the exchange, bank or clearing firm through which the contracts
are traded.
The Partnership's contracts are accounted for on a trade-date
basis and marked to market on a daily basis. The Partnership
accounts for its derivative investments in accordance with the
provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133,
"Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities"
("SFAS No. 133"). SFAS No. 133 defines a derivative as a
financial instrument or other contract that has all three of the
following characteristics:
1) One or more underlying notional amounts or payment
provisions;
2) Requires no initial net investment or a smaller initial net
investment than would be required relative to changes in
market factors;
3) Terms require or permit net settlement.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
Generally, derivatives include futures, forward, swaps or options
contracts and other financial instruments with similar
characteristics such as caps, floors and collars.
The net unrealized gains (losses) on open contracts, reported as a
component of "Equity in futures interests trading accounts" on the
statements of financial condition, and their longest contract
maturities were as follows:
Net Unrealized Gains (Losses)
on Open Contracts Longest Maturities
Exchange- Off-Exchange- Exchange- Off-Exchange-
Date Traded Traded Total Traded Traded
$ $ $
Sep. 30, 2003 (11,779,971) 1,624,018 (10,155,953) Mar. 2005 Dec. 2003
Dec. 31, 2002 7,053,639 159,286 7,212,925 Jun. 2004 Mar. 2003
The Partnership has credit risk associated with counterparty non-
performance. The credit risk associated with the instruments in
which the Partnership is involved is limited to the amounts
reflected in the Partnership's statements of financial condition.
The Partnership also has credit risk because Morgan Stanley DW, MS
& Co. and MSIL act as the futures commission merchants or the
counterparties with respect to most of the Partnership's assets.
Exchange-traded futures and futures-styled options contracts are
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
marked to market on a daily basis, with variations in value
settled on a daily basis. Morgan Stanley DW, MS & Co. and MSIL,
each as a futures commission merchant for the Partnership's
exchange-traded futures and futures-styled options contracts, are
required, pursuant to regulations of the Commodity Futures Trading
Commission ("CFTC"), to segregate from their own assets, and for
the sole benefit of their commodity customers, all funds held by
them with respect to exchange-traded futures and futures-styled
options contracts, including an amount equal to the net unrealized
gains (losses) on all open futures and futures-styled options
contracts, which funds, in the aggregate, totaled $187,290,989
and $111,564,112 at September 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002,
respectively. With respect to the Partnership's off-exchange-
traded forward currency contracts, there are no daily settlements
of variations in value nor is there any requirement that an amount
equal to the net unrealized gains (losses) on open forward
contracts be segregated. With respect to those off-exchange-
traded forward currency contracts, the Partnership is at risk to
the ability of MS & Co., the sole counterparty on all of such
contracts, to perform. The Partnership has a netting agreement
with MS & Co. This agreement, which seeks to reduce both the
Partnership's and MS & Co.'s exposure on off-exchange-traded
forward currency contracts, should materially decrease the
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONCLUDED)
Partnership's credit risk in the event of MS & Co.'s bankruptcy or
insolvency.
Item 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL
CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Liquidity. The Partnership deposits its assets with Morgan
Stanley DW as non-clearing broker and MS & Co. and MSIL as
clearing brokers in separate futures, forwards, and options
trading accounts established for the Trading Advisor, which assets
are used as margin to engage in trading. The assets are held in
either non-interest bearing bank accounts or in securities and
instruments permitted by the CFTC for investment of customer
segregated or secured funds. The Partnership's assets held by the
commodity brokers may be used as margin solely for the
Partnership's trading. Since the Partnership's sole purpose is to
trade in futures, forwards, and options, it is expected that the
Partnership will continue to own such liquid assets for margin
purposes.
The Partnership's investment in futures, forwards, and options
may, from time to time, be illiquid. Most U.S. futures exchanges
limit fluctuations in prices during a single day by regulations
referred to as "daily price fluctuations limits" or "daily
limits". Trades may not be executed at prices beyond the daily
limit. If the price for a particular futures or options contract
has increased or decreased by an amount equal to the daily limit,
positions in that futures or options contract can neither be taken
nor liquidated unless traders are willing to effect trades at or
within the limit. Futures prices have occasionally moved the
daily limit for several consecutive days with little or no
trading. These market conditions could prevent the Partnership
from promptly liquidating its futures or options contracts and
result in restrictions on redemptions.
There is no limitation on daily price moves in trading forward
contracts on foreign currencies. The markets for some world
currencies have low trading volume and are illiquid, which may
prevent the Partnership from trading in potentially profitable
markets or prevent the Partnership from promptly liquidating
unfavorable positions in such markets, subjecting it to
substantial losses. Either of these market conditions could
result in restrictions on redemptions.
The Partnership has never had illiquidity affect a material
portion of its assets. Furthermore, there are no material trends,
demands, commitments, events or uncertainties known at the present
time that will result in, or that are reasonably likely to result
in, the Partnership's liquidity increasing or decreasing in any
material way.
Capital Resources. The Partnership does not have, nor expect to
have, any capital assets. Redemptions, exchanges and sales of
additional units of limited partnership interest ("Unit(s)") in
the future will affect the amount of funds available for
investment in futures, forwards, and options in subsequent
periods. It is not possible to estimate the amount, and therefore
the impact, of future redemptions of Units.
There are no known material trends, favorable or unfavorable, that
would affect, and no expected material changes to, the
Partnership's capital resource arrangements at the present time.
The Partnership does not have any off-balance sheet arrangements,
nor does it have contractual obligations or commercial commitments
to make future payments that would affect its liquidity or capital
resources. The contracts the Partnership trades are accounted
for on a trade-date basis and marked to market on a daily basis.
The value of futures contracts is the settlement price on the
exchange on which that futures contract is traded on a particular
day. The value of foreign currency forward contracts is based on
the spot rate as of the close of business, New York City time, on
a given day.
Results of Operations
General. The Partnership's results depend on the Trading Advisor
and the ability of the Trading Advisor's trading programs to take
advantage of price movements or other profit opportunities in the
futures, forwards and options markets. The following presents a
summary of the Partnership's operations for the three and nine
month periods ended September 30, 2003 and 2002 and a general
discussion of its trading activities during each period. It is
important to note, however, that the Trading Advisor trades in
various markets at different times and that prior activity
in a particular market does not mean that such market will be
actively traded by the Trading Advisor or will be profitable in
the future. Consequently, the results of operations of the
Partnership are difficult to discuss other than in the context of
the Trading Advisor's trading activities on behalf of the
Partnership and how the Partnership has performed in the past.
The Partnership's results of operations set forth in the financial
statements on pages 2 through 11 of this report were prepared in
accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the
United States of America, which require the use of certain
accounting policies that affect the amounts reported in these
financial statements, including the following: The contracts the
Partnership trades are accounted for on a trade-date basis and
marked to market on a daily basis. The difference between their
cost and market value is recorded on the Statements of Operations
as "Net change in unrealized profit/loss" for open (unrealized)
contracts, and recorded as "Realized profit/loss" when open
positions are closed out, and the sum of these amounts constitutes
the Partnership's trading revenues. Interest income revenue, as
well as management fees, incentive fees and brokerage fees
expenses of the Partnership are recorded on an accrual basis.
Demeter believes that, based on the nature of the operations of
the Partnership, no assumptions relating to the application of
critical accounting policies other than those presently
used could reasonably affect reported amounts.
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003
For the quarter ended September 30, 2003, the Partnership recorded
total trading losses, net of interest income, of $18,042,659 and
posted a decrease in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant losses of approximately 10.5% were recorded in the
global interest rate markets throughout the quarter from positions
in U.S. and European interest rate futures as prices first
declined during July amid rising interest rates and a rally in
global equity prices and then reversed higher during August and
September as renewed fears for an unsustainable economic recovery
resurfaced. Additional losses of approximately 4.0% in the
currency markets resulted from short positions in the euro versus
the Canadian dollar and the Japanese yen mainly during September
as the euro's value moved higher amid the possibility of lower
interest rates in Canada and the threat of currency market
intervention by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. Smaller losses
of approximately 1.0% were incurred primarily during September in
the energy markets from positions in crude oil futures as prices
first trailed lower and then unexpectedly reversed higher after
OPEC announced that it would move to reduce output by limiting
production in an effort to stem declining oil prices. A portion
of the Partnership's overall losses was offset by gains of
approximately 7.3% recorded in the global stock index markets
during July and August from long positions in Asian stock
index futures as prices trended higher in response to heavy
investor demand triggered by record low Japanese government bond
yields, robust Japanese economic data and rising prices in the
U.S. equity markets. Total expenses for the three months ended
September 30, 2003 were $4,206,089, resulting in a net loss of
$22,248,748. The net asset value of a Unit decreased from $20.42
at June 30, 2003 to $18.24 at September 30, 2003.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2003, the Partnership
recorded total trading revenues, including interest income, of
$1,670,162 and, after expenses, posted a decrease in net asset
value per Unit. The most significant losses of approximately 3.8%
were experienced in the global interest rate markets primarily
during the third quarter from positions in U.S. and European
interest rate futures as prices first declined during July amid
rising interest rates and a rally in global equities and then
reversed higher during August and September as renewed fears for
an unsustainable economic recovery resurfaced. Losses of
approximately 2.5% in the metals markets were incurred from long
positions in aluminum, copper, and zinc as prices fell during
March, June and August amid muted industrial demand, easing supply
concerns and heavy technically-based selling. Additional losses
of approximately 1.6% in the agricultural markets resulted from
short positions in wheat and corn futures during early May as
prices moved higher amid concerns of weather related crop damage
in the U.S. midwest. A portion of the Partnership's overall
losses for the first nine months was offset by gains of
approximately 7.0% in the currency markets resulting from long
positions in the Canadian dollar, South African rand and
Australian dollar versus the U.S. dollar, as the value of these
currencies increased amid rising gold prices early in the year, as
well as interest rate differentials between the respective
countries and the U.S. During May, long positions in the euro
versus the British pound provided further gains in this sector as
the value of the euro trended higher following the decision by the
European Central Bank to leave interest rates unchanged.
Additional gains of approximately 5.2% were established in the
global stock index markets during July and August from long
positions in Asian stock index futures as prices trended higher in
response to heavy investor demand triggered by record low Japanese
government bond yields, robust Japanese economic data and strength
in the U.S. equity markets. Long positions in U.S. stock index
futures provided smaller gains during July as prices were buoyed
by a rise in investor sentiment regarding a U.S. economic
recovery. Gains of approximately 3.7% in the energy markets were
experienced from long positions in natural gas futures as prices
trended higher during January and February due to prolonged frigid
temperatures in the northeastern and midwestern United States.
Additional gains resulted from long positions in crude oil futures
as prices rallied during the first two months of the year amid the
looming threat of military action against Iraq and then shot even
higher in August after signs of a global economic recovery
spurred increased demand. Total expenses for the nine months
ended September 30, 2003 were $15,576,097, resulting in a net loss
of $13,905,935. The net asset value of a Unit decreased from
$18.84 at December 31, 2002 to $18.24 at September 30, 2003.
For the Quarter and Nine Months ended September 30, 2002
For the quarter ended September 30, 2002, the Partnership
recorded total trading revenues, including interest income, of
$27,120,824 and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit.
The most significant gains of approximately 27.1% were recorded
in the global interest rate futures markets from previously
established long positions in European and U.S. interest rate
futures, as prices trended higher throughout the quarter due to
investors seeking a safe haven from falling equity prices and
increased pessimism regarding a global economic recovery. Gains
of approximately 9.1% were recorded in the global stock index
futures markets, primarily during July and September, from short
positions in U.S. and European stock index futures as prices
weakened amid suspicious regarding corporate accounting practices
and global political and economic uncertainty. In the
agricultural markets, gains of approximately 4.5% were recorded
from long positions in wheat and corn futures as prices trended
higher amid weather related concerns. Additional gains of
approximately 1.8% were recorded in the energy futures markets,
primarily during August and September, from long positions in
crude oil futures and its related products as prices
trended higher on the increasing possibility of military action
against Iraq. A portion of the Partnership's overall gains was
offset by losses of approximately 2.6% in the currency markets
from previously established long positions in the Canadian dollar
and Japanese yen relative to the U.S. dollar as these currencies
weakened against the dollar due to the emphasis on a "strong
dollar" policy by the Bush Administration during July and the
persistence of trendless price activity during August and
September. Additional losses of approximately 1.5% were recorded
in the metals markets from positions in copper and aluminum
futures as these markets exhibited erratic price behavior. Total
expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2002 were
$5,334,289, resulting in net income of $21,786,535. The net
asset value of a Unit increased from $14.45 at June 30, 2002 to
$19.17 a September 30, 2002.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2002, the Partnership
recorded total trading revenues, including interest income, of
$33,020,642 and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit.
The most significant gains of approximately 21.8% were recorded
from long positions in the global interest rate futures markets
as prices trended higher during a majority of the second and
third quarters due to uncertainty regarding a global economic
recovery. In the currency markets, gains of approximately 14.3%
were recorded, primarily during May and June, from previously
established long positions in the euro, Swiss franc, and
British pound relative to the U.S. dollar as the value of these
currencies strengthened against the dollar amid falling U.S.
equity prices and increased tensions in the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict. Gains of approximately 8.0% were recorded in the
global stock index futures markets, primarily during the third
quarter, from short positions in European and U.S. stock index
futures as prices weakened amid suspicions regarding corporate
accounting practices and global political and economic
uncertainty. Additional gains of approximately 6.0% were
recorded in the agricultural markets from long positions in wheat
and corn as prices trended higher amid weather related concerns.
A portion of the Partnership's overall gain was offset by losses
of approximately 2.3% in the metals markets from positions in
aluminum, copper, and zinc futures as trendless price activity
persisted throughout the period. Total expenses for the nine
months ended September 30, 2002 were $7,622,485, resulting in net
income of $25,398,157. The net asset value of a Unit increased
from $13.77 at December 31, 2001 to $19.17 at September 30, 2002.
Item 3.QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT
MARKET RISK
Introduction
The Partnership is a commodity pool engaged primarily in the
speculative trading of futures, forwards, and options. The
market-sensitive instruments held by the Partnership are acquired
for speculative trading purposes only and, as a result, all or
substantially all of the Partnership's assets are at risk of
trading loss. Unlike an operating company, the risk of market-
sensitive instruments is central, not incidental, to the
Partnership's main business activities.
The futures, forwards and options traded by the Partnership
involve varying degrees of related market risk. Market risk is
often dependent upon changes in the level or volatility of
interest rates, exchange rates, and prices of financial
instruments and commodities. Fluctuations in market risk based
upon these factors result in frequent changes in the fair value
of the Partnership's open positions, and consequently in its
earnings and cash flow.
The Partnership's total market risk is influenced by a wide
variety of factors, including the diversification among the
Partnership's open positions, the volatility present within the
markets, and the liquidity of the markets. At different times,
each of these factors may act to increase or decrease the
market risk associated with the Partnership.
The Partnership's past performance is not necessarily indicative
of its future results. Any attempt to numerically quantify the
Partnership's market risk is limited by the uncertainty of its
speculative trading. The Partnership's speculative trading may
cause future losses and volatility (i.e., "risk of ruin") that
far exceed the Partnership's experience to date or any reasonable
expectations based upon historical changes in market value.
Quantifying the Partnership's Trading Value at Risk
The following quantitative disclosures regarding the Partnership's
market risk exposures contain "forward-looking statements" within
the meaning of the safe harbor from civil liability provided for
such statements by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995 (set forth in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and
Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934). All
quantitative disclosures in this section are deemed to be forward-
looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor, except for
statements of historical fact.
The Partnership accounts for open positions on the basis of mark-
to-market accounting principles. Any loss in the market value of
the Partnership's open positions is directly reflected in the
Partnership's earnings, whether realized or unrealized, and its
cash flow. Profits and losses on open positions of
exchange-traded futures, forwards and options are settled daily
through variation margin.
The Partnership's risk exposure in the market sectors traded by
the Trading Advisor is estimated below in terms of Value at Risk
("VaR"). The VaR model used by the Partnership includes many
variables that could change the market value of the Partnership's
trading portfolio. The Partnership estimates VaR using a model
based upon historical simulation with a confidence level of 99%.
Historical simulation involves constructing a distribution of
hypothetical daily changes in the value of a trading portfolio.
The VaR model takes into account linear exposures to price and
interest rate risk. Market risks that are incorporated in the
VaR model include equity and commodity prices, interest rates,
foreign exchange rates, and correlation among these variables.
The hypothetical changes in portfolio value are based on daily
percentage changes observed in key market indices or other market
factors ("market risk factors") to which the portfolio is
sensitive. The historical observation period of the Partner-
ship's VaR is approximately four years. The one-day 99%
confidence level of the Partnership's VaR corresponds to the
negative change in portfolio value that, based on observed market
risk factors, would have been exceeded once in 100 trading days.
In other words, one-day VaR for a portfolio is a number such that
losses for a portfolio are estimated to exceed the VaR only one
day in 100. VaR typically does not represent the worst
case outcome.
VaR is calculated using historical simulation. Demeter uses
approximately four years of daily market data (1,000 observations)
and revalues its portfolio (using delta-gamma approximations) for
each of the historical market moves that occurred over this time
period. This generates a probability distribution of daily
"simulated profit and loss" outcomes. The VaR is the appropriate
percentile of this distribution. For example, the 99% one-day VaR
would represent the 10th worst outcome from Demeter's simulated
profit and loss series.
The Partnership's VaR computations are based on the risk
representation of the underlying benchmark for each instrument or
contract and do not distinguish between exchange and non-exchange
dealer-based instruments. They are also not based on exchange
and/or dealer-based maintenance margin requirements.
VaR models, including the Partnership's, are continually evolving
as trading portfolios become more diverse and modeling techniques
and systems capabilities improve. Please note that the VaR model
is used to numerically quantify market risk for historic
reporting purposes only and is not utilized by either Demeter or
the Trading Advisor in their daily risk management activities.
Please further note that VaR as described above may not be
comparable to similarly titled measures used by other entities.
The Partnership's Value at Risk in Different Market Sectors
The following table indicates the VaR associated with the
Partnership's open positions as a percentage of total net assets
by primary market risk category at September 30, 2003 and 2002.
At September 30, 2003 and 2002, the Partnership's total
capitalization was approximately $198 million and $99 million,
respectively.
Primary Market September 30, 2003 September 30, 2002
Risk Category Value at Risk Value at Risk
Equity (2.12)% (0.95)%
Currency (1.94) (0.52)
Interest Rate (0.33) (0.72)
Commodity (1.44) (1.50)
Aggregate Value at Risk (3.61)% (2.08)%
The VaR for a market category represents the one-day downside risk
for the aggregate exposures associated with this market category.
The Aggregate Value at Risk listed above represents the VaR of the
Partnership's open positions across all the market categories, and
is less than the sum of the VaRs for all such market categories
due to the diversification benefit across asset classes.
The table above represents the VaR of the Partnership's
open positions at September 30, 2003 and 2002 only and is not
necessarily representative of either the historic or future risk
of an investment in the Partnership. Because the only business of
the Partnership is the speculative trading of futures, forwards
and options, the composition of its trading portfolio can change
significantly over any given time period, or even within a single
trading day. Any changes in open positions could positively or
negatively materially impact market risk as measured by VaR.
The table below supplements the quarter-end VaR set forth above
by presenting the Partnership's high, low and average VaR, as a
percentage of total net assets for the four quarterly reporting
periods from October 1, 2002 through September 30, 2003.
Primary Market Risk Category High Low Average
Equity (2.50)% (0.61)% (1.55)%
Currency (1.94) (0.98) (1.48)
Interest Rate (2.74) (0.33) (1.42)
Commodity (1.62) (0.65) (1.21)
Aggregate Value at Risk (3.88)% (1.72)% (3.12)%
Limitations on Value at Risk as an Assessment of Market Risk
The face value of the market sector instruments held by the
Partnership is typically many times the applicable margin
requirements. Margin requirements generally range between 2% and
15% of contract face value. Additionally, the use of
leverage causes the face value of the market sector instruments
held by the Partnership to typically be many times the total
capitalization of the Partnership. The value of the Partnership's
open positions thus creates a "risk of ruin" not typically found
in other investments. The relative size of the positions held may
cause the Partnership to incur losses greatly in excess of VaR
within a short period of time, given the effects of the leverage
employed and market volatility. The VaR tables above, as well as
the past performance of the Partnership, give no indication of
such "risk of ruin". In addition, VaR risk measures should be
viewed in light of the methodology's limitations, which include
the following:
? past changes in market risk factors will not always result in
accurate predictions of the distributions and correlations of
future market movements;
? changes in portfolio value caused by market movements may
differ from those of the VaR model;
? VaR results reflect past trading positions while future risk
depends on future positions;
? VaR using a one-day time horizon does not fully capture the
market risk of positions that cannot be liquidated or hedged
within one day; and
? the historical market risk factor data used for VaR estimation
may provide only limited insight into losses that could be
incurred under certain unusual market movements.
The VaR tables above present the results of the Partnership's VaR
for each of the Partnership's market risk exposures and on an
aggregate basis at September 30, 2003 and 2002, and for the end of
the four quarterly reporting periods from October 1, 2002 through
September 30, 2003. Since VaR is based on historical data, VaR
should not be viewed as predictive of the Partnership's future
financial performance or its ability to manage or monitor risk.
There can be no assurance that the Partnership's actual losses on
a particular day will not exceed the VaR amounts indicated above
or that such losses will not occur more than once in 100 trading
days.
Non-Trading Risk
The Partnership has non-trading market risk on its foreign cash
balances not needed for margin. These balances and any market
risk they may represent are immaterial.
The Partnership also maintains a substantial portion
(approximately 82% as of September 30, 2003) of its available
assets in cash at Morgan Stanley DW. A decline in short-term
interest rates will result in a decline in the Partnership's cash
management income. This cash flow risk is not considered to be
material.
Materiality, as used throughout this section, is based on
an assessment of reasonably possible market movements and any
associated potential losses, taking into account the leverage,
optionality and multiplier features of the Partnership's market-
sensitive instruments, in relation to the Partnership's net
assets.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Primary Trading Risk Exposures
The following qualitative disclosures regarding the Partnership's
market risk exposures - except for (A) those disclosures that are
statements of historical fact and (B) the descriptions of how the
Partnership manages its primary market risk exposures - constitute
forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of
the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act.
The Partnership's primary market risk exposures as well as the
strategies used and to be used by Demeter and the Trading Advisor
for managing such exposures are subject to numerous uncertainties,
contingencies and risks, any one of which could cause the actual
results of the Partnership's risk controls to differ materially
from the objectives of such strategies. Government interventions,
defaults and expropriations, illiquid markets, the emergence of
dominant fundamental factors, political upheavals, changes in
historical price relationships, an influx of new market
participants, increased regulation and many other factors could
result in material losses as well as in material changes to the
risk exposures and the risk management strategies of the
Partnership. Investors must be prepared to lose all or
substantially all of their investment in the Partnership.
The following were the primary trading risk exposures of the
Partnership at September 30, 2003, by market sector. It may be
anticipated, however, that these market exposures will vary
materially over time.
Equity. The primary market exposure of the Partnership at
September 30, 2003 was to the global stock index sector,
primarily to equity price risk in the G-7 countries. The G-7
countries consist of France, the U.S., Britain, Germany, Japan,
Italy and Canada. The stock index futures traded by the
Partnership are by law limited to futures on broadly-based
indices. At September 30, 2003, the Partnership's primary
exposures were to the S&P 500 (U.S.), DAX (Germany), NASDAQ
(U.S.) and TOPIX (Japan) stock indices. The Partnership is
exposed to the risk of adverse price trends or static markets in
the U.S., European and Japanese stock indices. Static markets
would not cause major market changes but would make it difficult
for the Partnership to avoid being "whipsawed" into numerous
small losses.
Currency. The second largest market exposure of the Partnership
at September 30, 2003 was to the currency sector. The
Partnership's currency exposure is to exchange rate fluctuations,
primarily fluctuations which disrupt the historical pricing
relationships between different currencies and currency
pairs. Interest rate changes as well as political and general
economic conditions influence these fluctuations. The
Partnership trades a large number of currencies, including cross-
rates - i.e., positions between two currencies other than the
U.S. dollar. At September 30, 2003, the Partnership's major
exposures were to the euro, Japanese yen, British pound,
Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, New Zealand dollar and Swiss
franc currency crosses, as well as to outright U.S. dollar
positions. Outright positions consist of the U.S. dollar vs.
other currencies. These other currencies include major and minor
currencies. Demeter does not anticipate that the risk profile of
the Partnership's currency sector will change significantly in
the future. The currency trading VaR figure includes foreign
margin amounts converted into U.S. dollars with an incremental
adjustment to reflect the exchange rate risk inherent to the
U.S.-based Partnership in expressing VaR in a functional currency
other than U.S. dollars.
Interest Rate. The third largest market exposure of the
Partnership at September 30, 2003 was to the global interest rate
sector, primarily spread across the U.S., European and Japanese
sectors. Interest rate movements directly affect the price of
the sovereign bond futures positions held by the Partnership and
indirectly affect the value of its stock index and currency
positions. Interest rate movements in one country, as well as
relative interest rate movements between countries,
materially impact the Partnership's profitability. The
Partnership's interest rate exposure is generally to interest
rate fluctuations in the U.S. and the other G-7 countries.
However, the Partnership also takes futures positions in the
government debt of smaller nations - e.g., Australia. Demeter
anticipates that the G-7 countries and Australian interest rates
will remain the primary interest rate exposure of the Partnership
for the foreseeable future. The speculative futures positions
held by the Partnership may range from short to long-term
instruments. Consequently, changes in short, medium, or long-
term interest rates may have an effect on the Partnership.
Commodity.
Energy. At September 30, 2003, the Partnership's energy
exposure was primarily to futures contracts in crude oil and
its related products, and natural gas. Price movements in
these markets result from political developments in the
Middle East, weather patterns and other economic
fundamentals. Significant profits and losses, which have
been experienced in the past, are expected to continue to be
experienced in the future. Natural gas has exhibited
volatility in prices resulting from weather patterns and
supply and demand factors and will likely continue in this
choppy pattern.
Metals. The Partnership's metals exposure at
September 30, 2003 was to fluctuations in the price of
precious metals, such as gold and silver, and base metals,
such as copper, nickel, zinc and aluminum. Economic forces,
supply and demand inequalities, geopolitical factors and
market expectations influence price movements in these
markets. The Trading Advisor, from time to time, takes
positions when market opportunities develop and Demeter
anticipates that the Partnership will continue to do so.
Soft Commodities and Agriculturals. At September 30, 2003,
the Partnership had exposure to the markets that comprise
these sectors. Most of the exposure was to the cotton,
sugar and wheat markets. Supply and demand inequalities,
severe weather disruptions and market expectations affect
price movements in these markets.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Non-Trading Risk Exposure
The following was the only non-trading risk exposure of the
Partnership at September 30, 2003:
Foreign Currency Balances. The Partnership's primary foreign
currency balances at September 30, 2003 were in Japanese
yen, Hong Kong dollars and Canadian dollars. The
Partnership controls the non-trading risk of foreign
currency balances by regularly converting them back into
U.S. dollars upon liquidation of their respective positions.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Means of Managing Risk Exposure
The Partnership and the Trading Advisor, separately, attempt to
manage the risk of the Partnership's open positions in essentially
the same manner in all market categories traded. Demeter attempts
to manage market exposure by diversifying the Partnership's assets
among different market sectors and trading approaches, and
monitoring the performance of the Trading Advisor daily. In
addition, the Trading Advisor establishes diversification
guidelines, often set in terms of the maximum margin to be
committed to positions in any one market sector or market-
sensitive instrument.
Demeter monitors and controls the risk of the Partnership's non-
trading instrument, cash. Cash is the only Partnership
investment directed by Demeter, rather than the Trading Advisor.
Item 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
(a) As of the end of the period covered by this quarterly
report, the President and Chief Financial Officer of
the general partner, Demeter, have evaluated the
effectiveness of the Partnership's disclosure controls
and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-
15(e) of the Exchange Act), and have judged such
controls and procedures to be effective.
(b) There have been no significant changes in the
Partnership's internal controls or in other factors
that could significantly affect these controls
subsequent to the date of their evaluation.
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
None.
Item 2. CHANGES IN SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS
The Partnership initially registered 3,000,000 Units pursuant to a
Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became effective on
November 6, 1998 (SEC File Number 333-60115).
The Partnership registered an additional 6,000,000 Units pursuant
to a new Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became
effective on March 27, 2000 (SEC File Number 333-91563).
The Partnership registered an additional 2,000,000 Units pursuant
to another Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became
effective on July 29, 2002 (SEC File Number 333-85076).
The Partnership registered an additional 9,000,000 Units pursuant
to a Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became effective on
February 26, 2003 (SEC File Number 333-103166).
The managing underwriter for the Partnership is Morgan Stanley DW.
Units are continuously sold at monthly closings at a
purchase price equal to 100% of the net asset value per Unit as of
the close of business on the last day of each month.
Through September 30, 2003, 12,727,758.742 Units were sold,
leaving 7,272,241.258 Units unsold. The aggregate price of the
Units sold through September 30, 2003 was $205,339,989.
Since no expenses are chargeable against the proceeds, 100% of the
proceeds of the offering have been applied to the working capital
of the Partnership for use in accordance with the "Use of
Proceeds" section of the prospectus included as part of the above
referenced Registration Statements.
Item 5. OTHER INFORMATION
Management. The following individuals were named to the Board of
Directors of Demeter in the quarter ended March 31, 2003, subject
to their confirmation as principals by the National Futures
Association:
Mr. Douglas J. Ketterer was confirmed as a principal of Demeter
by the National Futures Association on October , 2003.
Mr. Jeffrey S. Swartz was confirmed as a principal of Demeter by
the National Futures Association on October 23, 2003.
Item 6. EXHIBITS AND REPORTS ON FORM 8-K
(A) Exhibits
3.01 Form of Amended and Restated Limited Partnership
Agreement of the Partnership, is incorporated by
reference to Exhibit A of the Partnership's Prospectus,
dated February 26, 2003, filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission pursuant to Rule 424(b)(3) under the
Securities Act of 1933, as amended, on March 18, 2003.
3.02 Certificate of Limited Partnership, dated July 15, 1998,
is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.02 of the
Partnership's Registration Statement on Form S-1 (File
No. 333-60115) filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on July 29, 1998.
3.03 Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Limited
Partnership, dated November 1, 2001 (changing its name
from Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Charter Graham L.P.), is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.01 of the
Partnership's Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.01 Management Agreement, dated as of November 6, 1998, among
the Partnership, Demeter and Graham Capital Management,
L.P. is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.01 of the
Partnership's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (File No. 0-
25603) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission
on May 17, 1999.
10.02 Form of Subscription and Exchange Agreement and Power of
Attorney to be executed by each purchaser of Units is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit B of the
Partnership's Prospectus, dated February 26, 2003, filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to
Rule 424(b)(3) under the Securities Act of 1933, as
amended, on March 18, 2003.
10.03 Amended and Restated Escrow Agreement, dated as of August
31, 2002, among the Partnership, Morgan Stanley Charter
Millburn L.P., Morgan Stanley Charter Welton L.P., Morgan
Stanley Charter MSFCM L.P., Morgan Stanley DW, and JP
Morgan Chase Bank is incorporated by reference to Exhibit
10.04 of the Partnership's Registration Statement on Form
S-1 (File No. 333-103166) filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on February 13, 2003.
10.04 Amended and Restated Customer Agreement between the
Partnership and Morgan Stanley DW, dated as of November
13, 2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.01
of the Partnership's Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November
6, 2001.
10.05 Commodity Futures Customer Agreement between MS & Co. and
the Partnership, and acknowledged and agreed to by Morgan
Stanley DW, dated as of November 6, 2000, is incorporated
by reference to Exhibit 10.02 of the Partnership's Form
8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.06 Customer Agreement between the Partnership and MSIL,
dated as of November 6, 2000, is incorporated by
reference to Exhibit 10.04 of the Partnership's Form 8-K
(File No. 0-25603) filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.07 Foreign Exchange and Options Master Agreement between MS
& Co. and the Partnership, dated as of August 30, 1999,
is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.05 of the
Partnership's Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.08 Form of Subscription Agreement Update Form is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit C of the
Partnership's Prospectus, dated February 26, 2003, filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to
Rule 424(b)(3) under the Securities Act of 1933, as
amended, on March 18, 2003.
10.09 Securities Account Control Agreement among the
Partnership, MS & Co., and Morgan Stanley DW, dated as of
May 1, 2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit
10.03 of the Partnership's Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603)
filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on
November 6, 2001.
31.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management Corporation,
the general partner of the Partnership, pursuant to rules
13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e), as adopted pursuant to Section 302
of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
31.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership, pursuant to rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e),
as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
32.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management
Corporation, the general partner of the Partnership,
pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant
to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as
adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
of 2002.
(B) Reports on Form 8-K. - None.
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on
its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
Morgan Stanley Charter Graham L.P.
(Registrant)
By: Demeter Management Corporation
(General Partner)
November 14, 2003 By: /s/ Jeffrey D. Hahn
Jeffrey D. Hahn
Director and Chief Financial Officer
The General Partner which signed the above is the only party
authorized to act for the Registrant. The Registrant has no
principal executive officer, principal financial officer,
controller, or principal accounting officer and has no Board of
Directors.
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