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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 10-Q

 

ý

QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2004

 

 

o

TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the transition period from                                to                                     

 

Commission File No.  000 – 22207

 

GUITAR CENTER, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

 

DELAWARE

 

95-4600862

(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)

 

(I.R.S. Employer
Identification Number)

 

 

 

5795 LINDERO CANYON ROAD
WESTLAKE VILLAGE, CALIFORNIA

 

91362

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

(Zip Code)

 

 

 

 

(818) 735-8800

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

 

Yes       ý              No       o

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).

 

Yes     ý                No       o

 

As of November 5, 2004, 25,319,036 shares of our Common Stock, $.01 par value, were outstanding.

 

 



 

Guitar Center, Inc. and subsidiaries

 

INDEX

 

Part I.

Financial Information

 

 

 

 

 

Item 1. Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated Balance Sheets – September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated Statements of Income – Three months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated Statements of Income – Nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows – Nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003

 

 

 

 

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

 

 

 

 

Item 2.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

 

 

 

 

 

Item 3. 

Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

 

 

 

 

 

Item 4. 

Controls and Procedures

 

 

 

 

Part II.

Other Information

 

 

 

 

 

Item 6. 

Exhibits

 

 

2



 

Guitar Center, Inc. and subsidiaries

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(In thousands, except per share data)

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

September 30,
2004

 

December 31,
2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

Current assets:

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents

 

$

11,804

 

$

5,350

 

Accounts receivable, net

 

23,592

 

23,814

 

Merchandise inventories

 

321,943

 

288,873

 

Prepaid expenses and deposits

 

20,561

 

11,543

 

Deferred income taxes

 

5,631

 

5,631

 

Total current assets

 

383,531

 

335,211

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property and equipment, net

 

95,143

 

93,347

 

Goodwill

 

26,399

 

25,995

 

Deposits and other assets, net

 

8,259

 

6,318

 

 

 

$

513,332

 

$

460,871

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

 

Current liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

Accounts payable

 

$

50,082

 

$

47,778

 

Accrued expenses and other current liabilities

 

57,418

 

71,616

 

Merchandise advances

 

16,773

 

17,104

 

Total current liabilities

 

124,273

 

136,498

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other long-term liabilities

 

6,605

 

5,982

 

Deferred income taxes

 

4,220

 

4,220

 

Long-term debt

 

100,000

 

100,000

 

Total liabilities

 

235,098

 

246,700

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stockholders’ equity:

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock; 5,000 authorized, none issued  and outstanding

 

 

 

Common stock, $0.01 par value, authorized  55,000 shares, issued and outstanding  25,312 at September 30, 2004 and 23,998 at December 31, 2003

 

253

 

240

 

Additional paid in capital

 

303,948

 

276,233

 

Accumulated deficit

 

(25,967

)

(62,302

)

Stockholders’ equity

 

278,234

 

214,171

 

 

 

$

513,332

 

$

460,871

 

 

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

3



 

Guitar Center, Inc. and subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income

(In thousands, except per share data)

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

Three months ended September 30,

 

 

 

2004

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net sales

 

$

354,909

 

$

300,112

 

Cost of goods sold, buying and occupancy

 

256,968

 

220,261

 

Gross profit

 

97,941

 

79,851

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Selling, general and administrative expenses

 

76,628

 

66,182

 

Operating income

 

21,313

 

13,669

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest expense, net

 

1,294

 

4,335

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

 

20,019

 

9,334

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income taxes

 

7,608

 

3,553

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

12,411

 

$

5,781

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income per share

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

$

0.49

 

$

0.25

 

Diluted

 

$

0.45

 

$

0.23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

25,211

 

23,430

 

Diluted

 

29,235

 

24,944

 

 

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

4



 

Guitar Center, Inc. and subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income

(In thousands, except per share data)

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

Nine months ended September 30,

 

 

 

2004

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net sales

 

$

1,044,234

 

$

879,254

 

Cost of goods sold, buying and occupancy

 

757,397

 

649,197

 

Gross profit

 

286,837

 

230,057

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Selling, general and administrative expenses

 

224,146

 

191,846

 

Operating income

 

62,691

 

38,211

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest expense, net

 

4,082

 

10,430

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

 

58,609

 

27,781

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income taxes

 

22,274

 

10,573

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

36,335

 

$

17,208

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income per share

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

$

1.47

 

$

0.75

 

Diluted

 

$

1.38

 

$

0.71

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

24,698

 

23,075

 

Diluted

 

26,905

 

24,329

 

 

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

5



 

Guitar Center, Inc. and subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(In thousands)

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

Nine months ended September 30,

 

 

 

2004

 

2003

 

Operating activities

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

36,335

 

$

17,208

 

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by
operating activities:

 

 

 

 

 

Depreciation and amortization

 

16,640

 

15,056

 

Amortization of deferred financing fees

 

784

 

650

 

Write down of deferred financing fees

 

 

722

 

Tax benefit from exercise of stock options

 

9,686

 

 

Changes in operating assets and liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

Accounts receivable, net

 

695

 

659

 

Merchandise inventories

 

(31,263

)

1,485

 

Prepaid expenses and deposits

 

(9,018

)

(728

)

Deposits and other assets, net

 

(2,781

)

(509

)

Accounts payable

 

2,304

 

(17,882

)

Accrued expenses and other current liabilities

 

(14,198

)

(3,132

)

Merchandise advances

 

(331

)

(686

)

Other long term liabilities

 

623

 

232

 

Net cash provided by operating activities

 

9,476

 

13,075

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investing activities

 

 

 

 

 

Purchase of property and equipment

 

(18,289

)

(16,855

)

Acquisition of business

 

(2,775

)

 

Net cash used in investing activities

 

(21,064

)

(16,855

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financing activities

 

 

 

 

 

Net change in revolving line of credit

 

 

(40,345

)

Proceeds from exercise of stock options

 

17,336

 

12,416

 

Proceeds from stock issued under employee purchase plan

 

706

 

422

 

Proceeds from senior convertible note

 

 

96,875

 

Payments on senior note

 

 

(66,667

)

Payments under capital lease

 

 

(151

)

Net cash provided by financing activities

 

18,042

 

2,550

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net increase (decrease) in cash

 

6,454

 

(1,230

)

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year

 

5,350

 

5,931

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

 

$

11,804

 

$

4,701

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Non-cash activities

 

 

 

 

 

Acquisition of business:

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value of assets acquired

 

$

1,988

 

 

 

Receivables held in escrow

 

540

 

 

 

Goodwill

 

404

 

 

 

Liabilities assumed

 

(157

)

 

 

Cash paid for acquisition

 

$

2,775

 

 

 

 

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

6



 

Guitar Center, Inc. and subsidiaries

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

1.             Nature of Business and Basis of Presentation

 

Nature of Business

 

Guitar Center, Inc., and subsidiaries (“Guitar Center,” the “Company,” “we,” “us” or “our”) is the nation’s leading retailer of guitars, amplifiers, percussion instruments, keyboards and pro-audio and recording equipment based on annual revenue. As of September 30, 2004, our retail subsidiary operated 135 Guitar Center retail stores, with 112 stores in 46 major markets and 23 stores in secondary markets across the United States.  In addition, as of September 30, 2004, our American Music division operated 20 family music stores specializing in band and orchestral instruments for sale and rental, serving teachers, band directors, college professors and students. We are also the largest direct response retailer of musical instruments in the United States through our wholly-owned subsidiary, Musician’s Friend, Inc., and its catalog and web site, www.musiciansfriend.com.

 

Basis of Presentation

 

In the opinion of management, the accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements contain all adjustments necessary to present fairly the financial position of Guitar Center, Inc. and subsidiaries as of September 30, 2004 and the results of operations and cash flows for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003. The accompanying consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003.

 

The results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004, are not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for the full year.

 

2.             Acquisition

 

On July 23, 2004, our American Music division acquired one store and related assets in the Chicago area. The results of operations of the acquired store were not material to Guitar Center’s previously presented consolidated financial statements and, as such, pro-forma financial information is not presented. The results of operations are included in the Guitar Center’s consolidated financial statements from the date of the acquisition.

 

3.             Earnings Per Share

 

The following table summarizes the reconciliation of basic to diluted weighted average shares for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003:

 

 

 

Three months ended
September 30,

 

Nine months ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2004

 

2003

 

2004

 

2003

 

 

 

(in thousands, except per
share data)

 

Net income

 

$

12,411

 

$

5,781

 

$

36,335

 

$

17,208

 

Add: Interest, net of tax on 4% Senior Convertible Notes

 

733

 

 

733

 

 

Net income excluding interest expense on 4% Senior Convertible Notes

 

13,144

 

5,781

 

37,068

 

17,208

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic shares

 

25,211

 

23,430

 

24,698

 

23,075

 

Common stock equivalents - dilutive effect of options outstanding

 

1,132

 

1,514

 

1,243

 

1,254

 

Common stock equivalents - dilutive effect of conversion of 4% Senior Convertible Notes

 

2,892

 

 

964

 

 

Diluted shares

 

29,235

 

24,944

 

26,905

 

24,329

 

Diluted net income per share

 

$

0.45

 

$

0.23

 

$

1.38

 

$

0.71

 

 

7



 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2004, 381,000 options with an exercise price of $39.98 per share were outstanding but were not included in the computation of diluted earnings per share because the exercise price of these options was greater than the average market price of our common stock.  For the nine months ended September 30, 2003, 145,000 options with exercise prices ranging from $28.30 to $30.70 were outstanding but were not included in the computation of diluted earnings per share because the exercise prices of these options were greater than the average market price of our common stock.

 

The 4.0% Senior Convertible Notes due 2013 (Note 6) became convertible into common stock during the conversion period commencing July 16, 2004 and continuing through and including October 14, 2004. Since the notes were convertible during the third quarter of 2004, diluted net income per share is determined using the “if-converted” method as prescribed under Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 128. The impact on our diluted income per share from the incremental shares on the 4% Senior Convertible Notes was $0.02 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004.

 

4.             Segment Information

 

Our reportable business segments are Guitar Center stores, American Music stores and direct response (Musician’s Friend’s catalog and Internet).  Management evaluates segment performance based primarily on net sales and income (loss) before income taxes.  Accounting policies of the segments are the same as the accounting policies for the consolidated Company.  There are no differences between the measurements of profits or losses or assets of the reportable segments and those of the Company on a consolidated basis. Our operating and reportable segments under SFAS No. 131 are consistent with our reporting units under SFAS No. 142.

 

Net sales, gross margin, depreciation and amortization, selling, general and administrative expenses, income before income taxes and capital expenditures for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 and total assets as of September 30, 2004 and 2003 are summarized as follows (in thousands):

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2004

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004

 

 

 

Guitar
Center

 

American
Music

 

Direct
Response

 

Total

 

Guitar
Center

 

American
Music

 

Direct
Response

 

Total

 

Net sales

 

$

272,338

 

$

10,727

 

$

71,844

 

$

354,909

 

$

798,725

 

$

28,697

 

$

216,812

 

$

1,044,234

 

Gross profit

 

71,838

 

3,606

 

22,497

 

97,941

 

206,906

 

9,837

 

70,094

 

286,837

 

Depreciation and amortization

 

4,568

 

364

 

499

 

5,431

 

13,912

 

1,082

 

1,646

 

16,640

 

Selling, general and administrative expenses

 

56,538

 

4,896

 

15,194

 

76,628

 

164,251

 

13,583

 

46,312

 

224,146

 

Income (loss) before income taxes

 

14,516

 

(1,939

)

7,442

 

20,019

 

40,071

 

(5,682

)

24,220

 

58,609

 

Capital expenditures

 

5,996

 

242

 

1,216

 

7,454

 

15,194

 

804

 

2,291

 

18,289

 

Total assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

377,930

 

65,699

 

69,703

 

513,332

 

 

8



 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2003

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

 

 

 

Guitar
Center

 

American
Music

 

Direct
Response

 

Total

 

Guitar
Center

 

American
Music

 

Direct
Response

 

Total

 

Net sales

 

$

231,178

 

$

9,936

 

$

58,998

 

$

300,112

 

$

672,659

 

$

27,209

 

$

179,386

 

$

879,254

 

Gross profit

 

57,556

 

3,231

 

19,064

 

79,851

 

162,964

 

9,877

 

57,216

 

230,057

 

Depreciation and amortization

 

4,135

 

303

 

656

 

5,094

 

12,200

 

843

 

2,013

 

15,056

 

Selling, general and administrative expenses

 

48,412

 

5,055

 

12,715

 

66,182

 

138,923

 

13,562

 

39,361

 

191,846

 

Income (loss) before income taxes

 

5,680

 

(2,648

)

6,302

 

9,334

 

16,276

 

(6,022

)

17,527

 

27,781

 

Capital expenditures

 

4,586

 

501

 

485

 

5,572

 

13,804

 

1,716

 

1,335

 

16,855

 

Total assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

348,145

 

66,865

 

38,807

 

453,817

 

 

5.             Stock-Based Compensation

 

We adopted SFAS No. 123, “Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation,” which permits entities to recognize as expense over the vesting period the fair value of all stock-based awards on the date of grant.  Alternatively, SFAS No. 123 also allows entities to continue to apply the provisions of Accounting Principles Board (“APB”) Opinion No. 25, “Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees,” and related interpretations and provide pro forma net income and pro forma earnings per share disclosures for employee stock options as if the fair-value-based method defined in SFAS No. 123 had been applied.  We have elected to continue to apply the provisions of APB Opinion No. 25 and provide the pro forma disclosures of SFAS No. 123.  As such, compensation expense for stock options issued to employees is recorded on the date of grant only if the then-current market price of the underlying stock exceeded the exercise price.  Had we determined compensation cost based upon the fair value at the grant date for our stock options under SFAS No. 123 using the Black Scholes option pricing model, pro forma net income and pro forma net income per share, including the following weighted average assumptions used in these calculations, would have been as follows ($ in thousands, except per share amounts):

 

 

 

For the three months
ended September 30,

 

For the nine months
ended September 30,

 

 

 

2004

 

2003

 

2004

 

2003

 

Net income, as reported

 

$

12,411

 

$

5,781

 

$

36,335

 

$

17,208

 

Deduct: Total stock-based employee compensation expense determined under fair value based methods for all awards, net of related tax effects

 

870

 

2,173

 

2,873

 

4,739

 

Pro forma net income

 

$

11,541

 

$

3,608

 

$

33,462

 

$

12,469

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings per share:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic - as reported

 

0.49

 

0.25

 

1.47

 

0.75

 

Basic - pro forma

 

0.46

 

0.15

 

1.35

 

0.54

 

Diluted - as reported

 

0.45

 

0.23

 

1.38

 

0.71

 

Diluted - pro forma

 

0.42

 

0.14

 

1.27

 

0.51

 

Assumptions:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk free interest rate

 

3.8

%

3.7

%

3.8

%

3.7

%

Expected life of options

 

6.67

 

6.67

 

6.67

 

6.67

 

Expected volatility

 

60.8

%

63.1

%

60.8

%

63.1

%

Expected dividends

 

 

 

 

 

 

9



 

6.                                       Convertible Notes Offering

 

On June 16, 2003, we completed the issuance of $100 million principal amount of 4.00% Senior Convertible Notes due 2013.  The notes are convertible at an effective conversion price of $34.58 per share and the full number of shares issuable upon conversion of the notes are 2,892,000 shares. Of the net proceeds from the offering, approximately $68.2 million was used in July 2003 to retire all $66.7 million principal amount of Senior Notes outstanding and pay the related redemption premium, and the balance was used to reduce the amount outstanding under our credit agreement and pay offering expenses. Interest expense related to the redemption premium and the write-off of deferred financing costs associated with the Senior Notes redeemed was $1.9 million.

 

In July 2004, the Emerging Issues Task Force (“EITF”) reached a consensus on Issue No. 04-8, “Accounting Issues Related to Certain Features of Contingently Convertible Debt and the Effect on Diluted Earnings per share” (“EITF No. 04-8”). The Task Force reached a consensus that contingently convertible debt instruments, such as our 4.00% Senior Convertible Notes, should be included in the computation of diluted earnings per share under the if-converted method regardless of whether the market price trigger (or other contingent feature) has been met. The EITF 04-8 consensus must be applied by retroactive restatement based on the term in effect on the last day of the fiscal period in which the consensus becomes effective. This consensus requires an amendment to FASB Statement No. 128, “Earnings per Share”, and may be effective before the end of 2004.

 

Item 2.                                                           Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

 

General

 

Guitar Center is the nation’s leading retailer of guitars, amplifiers, percussion instruments, keyboards and pro-audio and recording equipment based on annual revenue. Our retail subsidiary operated 135 Guitar Center retail locations as of September 30, 2004, with 112 stores in 46 major markets and 23 stores in secondary markets across the United States. In addition, at September 30, 2004 our American Music division operated 20 family music stores specializing in band and orchestral instruments for sale and rental, serving teachers, band directors, college professors and students. We are also the largest direct response retailer of musical instruments in the United States through our wholly-owned subsidiary, Musician’s Friend, Inc., and its catalog and web site, www.musiciansfriend.com.

 

During the third quarter, we opened a large format Guitar Center store in Glen Burnie, Maryland, and four small format stores in South Bend, Indiana, Kalamazoo, Michigan, Baton Rouge, Louisiana and Peoria, Illinois. These stores added 56,400 square feet of Guitar Center retail space and brought us to a total of 2.053 million square feet of Guitar Center retail space at the end of the quarter. Also, during the quarter, our American Music division acquired one store in the Chicago market. As we enter new markets, we expect that we will initially incur higher administrative and promotional costs per store than is currently experienced in established markets.

 

From 1999 to 2003, our net sales grew at an annual compound growth rate of 19%, principally due to the comparable store sales growth of our retail stores averaging 7% per year, the opening of new stores, and a 31% per year increase in the direct response channel. We believe such volume increases are the result of the continued success of the implementation of our business strategy, continued growth in the music products industry and increasing consumer awareness of the Guitar Center, Musician’s Friend and American Music brand names. We achieved comparable store sales growth of 11%, 8% and 9% for the first three quarters of 2004 compared to 4%, 5% and 7% for the same periods in 2003. We believe this growth reflects the strength of our merchandise selection, effective advertising and promotion, and well-trained and committed personnel. Comparable store sales

 

10



 

compares net sales for the comparable periods, excluding net sales attributable to stores not open for 14 months as of the end of the latter reporting period.  All references in this report to comparable stores sales are based on this calculation methodology.

 

Executive Summary

 

Consolidated net sales for the quarter ended September 30, 2004 increased 18.3%, or $54.8 million, to $354.9 million compared to $300.1 million in the third quarter of 2003. Net income for the third quarter was $12.4 million, which is a 114.7% increase over the $5.8 million we reported in the third quarter of 2003. Earnings per diluted share increased to $0.45 compared to $0.23 in the third quarter of 2003.

 

Our Guitar Center retail division turned in a strong performance for the quarter, including 9% comparable stores sales. Our stores experienced strong traffic during the quarter which we believe reflects the heightened interest in music participation and the development of Internet vehicles to create, produce and market music as these factors also contribute to our sales. Net sales from our Guitar Center stores increased 17.8% to $272.3 million from $231.2 million in last year’s third quarter. Sales from new stores contributed $20.3 million and accounted for 49.5% of the increase.

 

Musician’s Friend, our direct response division, generated a net sales increase of 21.7% for the quarter to $71.8 million compared to $59.0 million in the third quarter of 2003. Operating income was above our expectations. For the third quarter, we achieved an initial order fill rate of 94%, up from 93% in the third quarter of 2003. Initial order fill rate reflects the percentage of items ordered by our customers that we are able to supply in the initial shipment to that customer. Inventory turn improved to 5.3 times on a trailing twelve-month basis compared to 5.1 times in the third quarter of 2003. The improvements that were made to the Musician’s Friend web site over the last year, as well as the infrastructure and systems at the direct response call center and fulfillment center, permitted us to capitalize on high demand.

 

In July 2004, we acquired the band and orchestra business of Karnes Music to continue the build out of our American Music presence in the Chicago market. Comparable American Music stores sales for the quarter were approximately flat with the prior year. American Music incurred an operating loss of $1.3 million for the third quarter on a pre-tax basis. During the quarter, we continued to focus on remerchandising, systems execution and infrastructure build out. Failure to execute on these initiatives could potentially require us to recognize an impairment related to the significant amount of goodwill recorded in the acquisitions of American Music, M&M Music and Karnes Music, which totaled $21.0 million at September 30, 2004. No such impairment has been recognized through September 30, 2004.

 

We are focused on leveraging the infrastructure investments we have made to streamline inventory management and improve operating efficiencies across the Company. Continued execution of these initiatives will be necessary to our business objectives for the remainder of 2004.

 

Discussion of Critical Accounting Policies

 

In the ordinary course of business, we have made a number of estimates and assumptions relating to the reporting of results of operations and financial condition in the preparation of our financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America.  Actual results could differ significantly from those estimates under different assumptions and conditions.  We believe that the following discussion addresses our most critical accounting policies, which are those that are most important to the portrayal of our financial condition and results and require management’s most difficult, subjective and complex judgments, often as a result of the need to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain.  Additionally, the policy described below regarding credits and other vendor allowances is unique to our industry and deserves the attention of a reader of our financial statements.

 

Valuation of Inventory

 

We value our inventories at the lower of cost using the first-in, first-out (FIFO) method or market.  Rental inventories are valued at the lower of cost or market using the specific identification method and are depreciated on a straight-line basis over the term of the associated rental agreement for rent-to-own sales, or over the estimated useful life of the rented instrument for rental only items.  We record adjustments to the value of inventory based upon obsolescence and changes in market value.  Applicable costs associated with bringing inventory through our Guitar Center retail distribution center are capitalized to inventory.  The amounts are expensed to cost of goods sold as the associated inventory is sold.  Management has evaluated the current level of

 

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inventories considering future customer demand for our products, taking into account general economic conditions, growth prospects within the marketplace, competition, market acceptance of current and upcoming products, and management initiatives.  Based on this evaluation, we record impairment adjustments to cost of goods sold for estimated decreases in net realizable value.  These judgments are made in the context of our customers’ shifting needs, product and technological trends, and changes in the demographic mix of our customers. A misinterpretation or misunderstanding of these conditions and uncertainties in the future outlook of our industry or the economy, or other failure to estimate accurately, could result in inventory valuation changes in the future.

 

Valuation of Long-Lived Assets

 

Long-lived assets such as property and equipment and identifiable intangibles are reviewed for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount of an asset may not be recoverable. Goodwill is required to be reviewed for impairment on an annual basis, or more frequently when triggering events occur. Factors we consider important, which could trigger impairment, include, among other things:

 

                  Significant underperformance relative to historical or projected operating results;

 

                  Significant changes in the manner of our use of the acquired assets or the strategy of our overall business;

 

                  Significant negative industry or economic trends; and

 

                  Significant decline in stock value for a sustained period.

 

For long-lived assets other than goodwill and intangibles that are not amortized, the determination of whether impairment has occurred is based on an estimate of undiscounted future cash flows attributable to the assets, as compared to the carrying value of the assets.  Assumptions used in these cash flows are consistent with internal forecasts and consider current and future expected sales volumes and related operating costs and any anticipated increases or declines based on expected market conditions and local business environment factors. If a potential impairment is identified, the amount of the impairment loss recognized would be determined by estimating the fair value of the assets and recording a loss if the fair value was less than the book value. Fair value will be determined based on appraisal values assessed by third parties, if deemed necessary, or a discounted future cash flows analysis. For goodwill and other intangibles that are not amortized, impairment to be recognized is measured as the amount by which the carrying amount of the assets exceeds the fair value of the related assets of the underlying segment to which the goodwill relates.

 

Our assessment regarding the existence of impairment factors is based on market conditions and the operational performance of our business. Our review of factors present and the resulting appropriate carrying value of our goodwill, intangibles and other long-lived assets are subject to judgments and estimates that management is required to make.

 

Sales Returns

 

As part of our “satisfaction guaranteed” policy, we allow Guitar Center customers to return product generally within thirty days after the date of purchase, and we allow Musician’s Friend customers to return product within forty-five days. American Music customers have ten business days from the date of purchase to return product. We regularly review and revise, when deemed necessary, our estimates of sales returns based upon historical trends. While our estimates during the past few years have approximated actual results, actual returns may differ significantly, either favorably or unfavorably, from estimates if factors such as economic conditions or the competitive environment differ from our expectations.

 

Credits and Other Vendor Allowances

 

We receive cooperative advertising allowances (i.e., an allowance from the manufacturer to subsidize qualifying advertising and similar promotional expenditures we make relating to the vendor’s products), price protection credits (i.e., credits from vendors with respect to in-stock inventory if the vendor subsequently lowers their wholesale price for such products) and vendor rebates (i.e., credits or rebates provided by vendors based on

 

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the purchase of specified products and paid at a later date). Cooperative advertising allowances are recognized as a reduction to selling, general, and administrative expense when we incur the advertising expense eligible for the credit. We recognized cooperative advertising allowances of $4.5 million and $3.6 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively.  Price protection credits and vendor rebates are accounted for as a reduction of the cost of merchandise inventory and are recorded at the time the credit or rebate is earned.  The effect of price protection credits and vendor rebates is recognized in the income statement at the time the related inventory is sold, as a reduction in cost of goods sold. None of these credits are recorded as revenue.

 

Results of Operations

 

The following table presents our consolidated statements of income, as a percentage of sales, for the periods indicated.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2004

 

2003

 

2004

 

2003

 

Net sales

 

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

Gross profit

 

27.6

 

26.6

 

27.5

 

26.2

 

Selling, general, and administrative expense

 

21.6

 

22.1

 

21.5

 

21.8

 

Operating income

 

6.0

 

4.5

 

6.0

 

4.4

 

Interest expense, net

 

0.4

 

1.4

 

0.4

 

1.2

 

Income before income tax expense

 

5.6

 

3.1

 

5.6

 

3.2

 

Income tax expense

 

2.1

 

1.2

 

2.1

 

1.2

 

Net income

 

3.5

 

1.9

 

3.5

 

2.0

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to the Three Months Ended September 30, 2003

 

Net sales for the three months ended September 30, 2004 increased 18.3% to $354.9 million, compared to $300.1 million same period last year.  Comparable store sales increased 9%. We believe that comparable store sales are a more useful indicator of store performance than the change in total net sales, since comparable store sales exclude the effects of changes in the number of stores open.

 

Net sales from Guitar Center stores for the three months ended September 30, 2004 totaled $272.3 million, a 17.8% increase from $231.2 million for the same period in 2004.  Sales from new stores contributed $20.3 million and represent 49.5% of the total increase in retail store sales.  Comparable Guitar Center store sales for the quarter increased 9%.  The increase in comparable store sales was due to good response to our advertising and marketing strategy for our Guitar Center stores. Our management is presently anticipating comparable store sales growth for the Guitar Center stores of 3% to 5% for the fourth quarter in 2004.  Please see “Forward-Looking Statements; Business Risks,” below. Net sales from American Music stores for the three months ended September 30, 2004 totaled $10.7 compared to $9.9 million in 2003. $666,000 of the increase relates to the Karnes Music acquisition. Comparable American Music stores sales for the quarter were approximately flat with the prior year. Net sales from the direct response channel totaled $71.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2004, a $12.8 million, or 21.7%, increase from 2003. This increase primarily reflects the improved performance of catalog circulation strategies.  Sales from the contact center, which represent sales placed via phone, live chat, mail and e-mail, increased 20.9% to $33.0 million from $27.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2004 compared to 2003. Internet sales from orders placed via the Musician’s Friend and Giardinelli web sites increased 22.4% to $38.8 million from $31.7 million for the same period last year.

 

Gross profit for the three months ended September 30, 2004 compared to 2003 increased 22.7% to $97.9 million from $79.9 million.  Gross profit as a percentage of net sales for the quarter ended September 30, 2004 compared to 2003 increased to 27.6% from 26.6%.  Gross profit as a percentage of net sales for Guitar Center was 26.4% compared with 24.9% in the third quarter of 2003. The increase is due to higher selling margin 1.2%, reduced freight 0.1%, and leveraged occupancy costs 0.3% due to the strong comparable store sales increase, offset by higher inventory shrink 0.1%. We define selling margin as net sales less the cost of the associated merchandise charged by the vendor plus the associated inventory costs from fulfilling inventory through our distribution center.  The cost of

 

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merchandise inventory is net of all associated vendor discounts and rebates. Freight is not included in selling margin. The gross profit margin for the American Music stores was 33.6% compared to 32.5% for the same period last year.  The increase reflects the benefit of the acquisition of Karnes Music 0.4% and reduced inventory shrink 3.8%, offset by declining selling margin due to a change in product mix 3.1%. Gross profit margin for the direct response division was 31.3% for the quarter compared to 32.3% in the third quarter of 2003. The decrease resulted primarily from reduced selling margin 0.7% and higher freight costs 0.3%.

 

Selling, general and administrative expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2004 increased 15.8% to $76.6 million from $66.2 million for the same period in 2003. Selling, general and administrative expenses were 21.6% as a percentage of sales in the three months ended September 30, 2004 compared to 22.1% in the same period last year. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the Guitar Center stores in the third quarter were 20.8% as a percentage of net sales compared to 20.9% in last year’s third quarter. The improvement is primarily due to leveraging on sales and increased operational efficiencies as indicated by reduced general insurance 0.2%, lower travel and entertainment 0.2%, offset by increased professional fees 0.2% and credit card expense 0.1%. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the American Music stores were 45.6% of sales in the third quarter compared to 50.9% in the same period last year. The decrease is primarily due to decreased advertising expense 3.2%, bad debt 1.6%, supplies 0.7%, and auto expense 0.4%, partially offset by increased salary costs 0.6%. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the direct response division were 21.1% of sales compared to 21.6% for the three month ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The improvement is primarily due to decrease in salary costs 1.0%, and a reduction in depreciation expense 0.4% due to the maturation of the direct response operating system, partially offset by an increase in advertising expense 0.7% and credit card expense 0.2%.

 

Operating income increased 55.9% to $21.3 million from $13.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2004. This increase reflects performance of the Guitar Center and Musician’s Friend businesses at or above expected levels, offset somewhat by an operating loss of approximately $1.3 million for the American Music segment for the quarter ended September 30, 2004.

 

Interest expense, net for the three months ended September 30, 2004, decreased to $1.3 million from $4.3 million in the second quarter of 2003. The reduction in interest expense is due primarily to the retirement of $67 million in 11% senior notes through a $100 million 4% convertible bond offering completed in June 2003.

 

In the three months ended September 30, 2004, a $7.6 million provision for income taxes was recorded compared to $3.6 million for the same period last year, both based on an effective tax rate of approximately 38%.

 

Net income for the three months ended September 30, 2004 increased 114.7% to $12.4 million, compared to $5.8 million in the same period last year as a result of the factors described above.

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

 

Net sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 increased 18.8% to $1.0 billion, compared to $879.3 million in the same period last year.  Comparable store sales increased 9%.  We believe that comparable store sales are a more useful indicator of store performance than the change in total net sales, since comparable store sales exclude the effects of changes in the number of stores open.

 

Net sales from Guitar Center stores for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 totaled $798.7 million, an 18.7% increase from $672.7 million for the same period in 2003.  Sales from new stores contributed $62.7 million and represent 49.8% of the total increase in retail store sales.  Comparable Guitar Center store sales increased 9%. Net sales from American Music stores for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 totaled $28.7 compared to $27.2 million in 2003.  American Music comparable stores sales was 2%. Net sales from the direct response channel totaled $216.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, a $37.4 million, or 20.9%, increase from 2003. This increase primarily reflects the improved performance of catalog circulation strategies.  Sales from the contact center, which represent sales placed via phone, live chat, mail and e-mail, increased 15.4% to $97.6 million from $84.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to 2003. Internet sales from orders placed via the Musician’s Friend and Giardinelli web sites increased 25.7% to $119.2 million from $94.8 million for the same period last year.  The growth of web-based sales reflects the continued trend of our catalog customers’ preference in using the web to place their orders, the success of web-based promotions, and that the web site includes a more complete inventory presentation than our catalogs.

 

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Gross profit for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to 2003 increased 24.7% to $286.8 million from $230.1 million.  Gross profit as a percentage of net sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to 2003 increased to 27.5% from 26.2%.  Gross profit as a percentage of net sales for Guitar Center was 25.9% compared with 24.2% for the nine months ended September 30, 2003. The increase is due to higher selling margin 1.4%, lower inventory shrink expense 0.1%, lower freight costs and leveraged occupancy costs 0.3%. The gross profit margin for the American Music stores was 34.3% compared to 36.3% for the same period last year.  The decrease is primarily due to lower selling margin due to a change in product mix 1.5% and increased occupancy costs 0.5%. Gross profit margin for the direct response division was 32.3% for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to 31.9% in the same period last year.  The increase is due to higher selling margin resulting from better buying performance and favorable product mix 0.6%, decrease in inventory shrink 0.1%, partially offset by increased freight costs 0.2%.

 

Selling, general and administrative expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 increased 16.8% to $224.1 million from $191.8 million for the same period in 2003. Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of sales, for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to 2003, decreased to 21.5% from 21.8%. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the Guitar Center stores were 20.6% as a percentage of sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to 20.7% for the same period last year. The improvement is primarily due to leveraging on sales and increased operational efficiencies as indicated by reduced general insurance 0.1%, and lower computer repairs and maintenance 0.1%, offset by increased professional fees 0.1%. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the American Music stores were 47.3% of sales for the nine months compared to 49.8% in the same period last year. The decrease is primarily due to decreased advertising expense 2.0%, bad debt expense 0.6%, medical insurance 0.5% and supplies 0.5%, partially offset by increases in depreciation and amortizations costs 0.5%, salary costs 0.4% and professional fees 0.2%. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the direct response division were 21.4% of sales compared to 21.9% for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The improvement is primarily due to leveraging on better than expected sales and increased operational efficiencies as indicated by a reduction in payroll costs 1.0%, a decrease in depreciation and amortization 0.4%, partially offset by an increase in advertising expense primarily related to programs to increase web traffic 0.5% and an increase in general insurance 0.2%.

 

Operating income increased 64.1% to $62.7 million from $38.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004. This increase reflects performance of the Guitar Center and Musician’s Friend businesses at or above expected levels, offset somewhat by an operating loss of approximately $3.7 million for the American Music segment for the nine months ended September 30, 2004.

 

Interest expense, net for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, decreased to $4.1 million from $10.4 million in the same period last year. The reduction in interest expense is due primarily to the retirement of $67 million in 11% senior notes through a $100 million 4% convertible bond offering completed in June 2003 and the use of cash flow from operations to pay off our line of credit borrowings.

 

In the nine months ended September 30, 2004, a $22.3 million provision for income taxes was recorded compared to $10.6 million for the same period last year, both based on an effective tax rate of approximately 38%.

 

Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 increased 111.2% to $36.3 million, compared to $17.2 million in the same period last year as a result of the factors described above.

 

Liquidity and Capital Resources

 

Our need for liquidity will arise primarily from the funding of capital expenditures related to infrastructure improvements and retail store expansion, working capital requirements and payments on our indebtedness, as well as possible acquisitions. We have historically financed our operations primarily through internally generated funds and borrowings under our credit facilities. As of September 30, 2004, we had no borrowings under our credit facility and had available borrowings of $110.4 million (net of $4.6 million of outstanding letters of credit).

 

In the fourth quarter of 2003, we amended our credit facility with a syndicate of banks led by Wells Fargo Retail Finance. The credit facility permits borrowings up to $125 million, subject to borrowing base limitations ($115 million at September 30, 2004).  The actual amount available is tied to our inventory and receivable base, and repayment obligations under the credit facility are secured by liens on our principal assets. Borrowing options are prime rate (4.75% at September 30, 2004) plus applicable prime margin, or London Interbank Offered Rate, or

 

15



 

LIBOR (nine month rate at September 30, 2004 was 2.35%), plus applicable LIBOR margin. The applicable prime and LIBOR margins are fixed for the first six months of the amended agreement and were 0.00% and 1.50%, respectively. After the initial six months, the applicable prime and LIBOR margins are based upon levels of excess availability and adjusted quarterly. If excess availability is greater than $20 million, the applicable prime margin is 0.00% and applicable LIBOR margin is 1.50%. If excess availability is less than or equal to $20 million and greater than $10 million, the applicable prime margin is 0.00% and the applicable LIBOR margin is 1.75%. If excess availability is less than or equal to $10 million, the applicable prime margin is 0.25% and the applicable LIBOR margin is 2.00%. An unused line fee is assessed on the unused portion of the credit facility based upon levels of excess availability. If excess availability is greater than $10 million, the unused line fee is 0.25%. If excess availability is less than or equal to $10 million, the unused line fee is 0.375%. The agreement underlying the credit facility includes significant restrictive negative covenants. Among other things, these covenants restrict our ability to incur debt and issue specified equity instruments, incur liens on our assets, make any significant change in our corporate structure or the nature of our business, dispose of assets, make guaranties, prepay debt, engage in a change in control transaction, pay dividends, make investments or acquisitions, engage in transactions with affiliates and incur capital expenditures, and also require that we satisfy a minimum availability test. The minimum availability test requires that we maintain $10 million of reserved availability under the agreement based on its borrowing base limitations.  The amount we disclose in our public reports from time to time as available to borrow under the agreement ($110.4 million at September 30, 2004) is already reduced by this required reserve and outstanding letters of credit, and thus represents a net amount available under the agreement. The agreement also includes representations and warranties which must be true each time we borrow funds under the credit facility and affirmative covenants.  The full text of the contractual requirements imposed by this financing is set forth in the Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement and related amendments which have been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  We were in compliance with such requirements as of September 30, 2004.  Subject to limited cure periods, the lenders under our credit facility may demand repayment of any borrowings prior to stated maturity upon the occurrence of specified events, including if we breach the terms of the agreement, suffer a material adverse change, engage in a change in control transaction, suffer a significant adverse legal judgment, default on other significant obligations, or in the event of specified events of insolvency.  The credit agreement matures in December 2007.

 

On June 16, 2003, we completed the issuance of $100 million principal amount of 4.00% Senior Convertible Notes due 2013.  Of the net proceeds from the offering, approximately $68.2 million was used in July 2003 to retire all outstanding Senior Notes and pay the related redemption premium, and the balance was used to reduce the amount outstanding under our credit agreement and pay offering expenses.  The Notes bear interest at the rate of 4.00% per annum, subject to the payment of contingent interest under certain circumstances, and are convertible into shares of common stock at a conversion price of $34.58 per share, subject to adjustment under specified circumstances. Under the contingent conversion feature of the Notes, subject to certain exceptions, they are not convertible into common stock unless and until the trading price of the common stock reaches at least $41.50 for a specified period or designated corporate events occur. As of September 30, 2004, Guitar Center’s common stock closed at or above $41.50 per share for twenty trading days within the thirty trading day period prior to the next conversion period.  As a result, holders of Guitar Center 4.0% Senior Convertible Notes due 2013 may, if they elect, convert the notes into common stock during the conversion period commencing July 16, 2004 and continuing through and including October 14, 2004. During the thirty trading days ending October 15, 2004, our common stock traded above $41.50, and as a result the notes will remain convertible for the next quarterly conversion period. The notes will also become convertible upon the occurrence of specified corporate transactions and other events described in the indenture. The final maturity of the Notes is July 2013, although holders may require us to repurchase the Notes at their election in July 2008, July 2010 or upon the occurrence of a change in control, in each case for a purchase price equal to the original principal amount plus accrued interest.  We may call the Notes for redemption commencing in July 2006 subject to the payment of a redemption premium of 1.6% if redeemed prior to July 2007 and 0.8% if redeemed prior to July 2008 (thereafter there is no redemption premium). The indenture governing the Notes does not limit our ability to incur indebtedness or otherwise substantively restrict the operation of our business to any significant degree.  Subject to limited cure periods, the holders of the Notes may demand repayment of these borrowings prior to the stated maturity upon the occurrence of specified events, including if we fail to pay interest or principal when due, fail to satisfy our conversion obligation, if another obligation of ours having an outstanding principal amount in excess of $15 million is accelerated prior to stated maturity and upon the occurrence of specified events of insolvency.

 

During 2002 we entered into master operating lease agreements with General Electric Capital Corporation and US Bank to lease equipment and other property primarily to support the operations of the new central distribution center for our Guitar Center retail stores. Under these agreements, we leased a total of $10.5 million in equipment and other property. The agreements call for monthly payments of $138,000 for a term of 36

 

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months through September 1, 2005 with an option to extend through September 30, 2009 and monthly payments of $48,000 for a term of 24 months through December 28, 2005.

 

The terms of our significant financing agreements, including those related to our credit facility, the Senior Convertible Notes and the equipment lease facilities described above, are not dependent on any change in our credit rating. We believe that the key company-specific factors affecting our ability to maintain our existing debt and lease financing relationships and to access such capital in the future are our present and expected levels of profitability and cash flow from operations, our working capital and fixed asset collateral bases, our expected level of capital expenditures, and the level of equity capital of the Company relative to the level of debt obligations. In addition, as noted above, our existing agreements include significant restrictions on future financings, including among others, limits on the amount of indebtedness that we may incur and whether or not such indebtedness may be secured by any of our assets.

 

As is the case with most multi-unit retailers, substantially all of the real property used in our business is leased under operating lease agreements.  Please see, Item 2. Properties, “—Disclosures About Contractual Obligations and Commercial Commitments” and Note 8 in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003.

 

Net cash provided by operating activities was $9.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to $13.1 million for the same period last year. We used cash generated from our improved operations during the nine months ended September 30, 2004 to increase inventories by $31 million and reduce accrued expenses by $14 million. The increase in merchandise inventory is required to support the continuing growth of the Company.

 

Cash used in investing activities increased to $21.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to $16.9 million for the same period last year. The current period capital expenditures consisted primarily of capital expenditures for store expansions and remodels of $11.8 million compared to $9.9 million in the prior period and computer equipment purchases of $5.3 million in the current period compared to $4.8 million in the same period last year.

 

 Cash provided by financing activities totaled $18.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to $2.6 million for the same period last year. The cash provided by financing activities for the current period primarily consist of the proceeds received from the exercise of stock options of $17.3 million compared to the prior period which principally consisted of proceeds from the Senior Convertible Notes offset by the redemption of the senior notes and the paydown of the credit facility.

 

We believe that our current operating cash flow, working capital, and cash and cash equivalents on hand will be sufficient to meet our obligations in the ordinary course of business, including capital expenditures and new store openings.

 

We intend to pursue an aggressive growth strategy by opening additional stores in new and existing markets.  During the nine months ended September 30, 2004, we opened 13 new Guitar Center stores (four large format and nine small format stores). Each new large format Guitar Center store typically has required approximately $1.6 to $1.8 million for gross inventory.  Historically, our cost of capital improvements for a large format Guitar Center store has been approximately $850,000, consisting of leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment. We incur higher costs in some geographic areas, particularly the Northeast, and when we build a larger flagship store.  We have developed smaller Guitar Center stores to build in secondary markets or sites that we do not believe will support our large format units. The first of these units was opened in late 2000 and 23 more had been opened as of September 30, 2004. Our small format stores have typically incurred approximately $560,000 in capital expenditures and require approximately $1.1 million to $1.2 million in inventory.

 

We are also anticipating additional capital and strategic requirements related to improving our fulfillment facilities, upgrading our technology and systems, and pursuing new opportunities in the e-commerce activities of our retail and direct response divisions as well as related businesses.

 

Our distribution center in the Indianapolis, Indiana area supports our Guitar Center retail store operations. We have a 10-year agreement to lease the facility and we also have numerous additional commitments necessary to support the operations of the facility. Starting in 2003, nearly all products flow through the distribution facility, with the exception of special orders which will continue, for the most part, to be drop shipped to our stores. Migration from our former “drop-ship” model to a centralized distribution model is an important

 

17



 

development in our operating strategy and has required the allocation of significant financial and managerial resources. In accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, a portion of the costs of operating this facility are absorbed into our Guitar Center merchandise inventories and recognized as an element of cost of goods sold when the related inventory is sold. This can result in a slight decrease in reported gross margin depending on our success in defraying these additional costs, although we also expect to realize efficiencies involving other costs such as selling, general and administrative expense and interest expense.

 

We also continue to make significant investments in information technology across our businesses and to incur costs and make investments designed to expand the reach of our businesses on the Internet.  The costs of these initiatives and other investments related to our businesses will continue to be significant.

 

Our expansion strategy is to continue to increase our market share in existing markets and to penetrate strategically selected new markets.  We opened a total of 14 Guitar Center stores in 2003 and 12 stores in 2002, and currently anticipate opening 14 Guitar Center stores in 2004. Approximately two-thirds of the stores opened in 2004 are smaller format units designed for secondary markets. We opened a total of eight American Music stores in 2002, five of the eight by acquisition of M&M Music, a band instrument and retail merchandise retailer. In 2003, we opened one and closed two American Music stores. As of September 30, 2004, we have 20 American Music stores, one of which was the acquisition of the former Karnes Music store completed in July 2004. For the remainder of 2004, we do not presently plan to open any American Music stores. We have slowed our planned growth of the American Music division because our infrastructure and remerchandising projects at this business have to date required more time and resources than originally anticipated. We do, however, believe there exists a number of acquisition opportunities in the relatively fragmented band instruments market that could be a good fit with our American Music platform and we continue to pursue acquisition opportunities.

 

Throughout our history, we have primarily grown organically, and we do not expect this to change. However, we also believe there may be attractive opportunities to expand by selectively acquiring existing music products retailers or other complimentary businesses, if attractive opportunities can be identified. While we cannot provide assurance that we will complete any further acquisition transactions, in the ordinary course of our business we investigate and engage in negotiations regarding such opportunities. Acquisitions will be financed with cash on hand, drawings under our existing credit facilities, expansion of our credit facilities, issuance of debt or equity securities, or a combination, depending upon transaction size and market conditions, among other things.

 

Our known capital resource and liquidity requirements for 2004 are presently expected to be primarily provided by cash on hand, net cash flow from operations and, possibly, borrowings under our credit facility. Depending upon market conditions, we may also elect or be required to raise additional capital in the form of common or preferred equity, debt or convertible securities for the purpose of providing additional capital to fund working capital needs or continued growth of our existing business, or to refinance existing obligations. Any such financing activity will be dependent upon many factors, including our liquidity needs, market conditions and prevailing market terms, and we cannot assure you that future external financing for us will be available on attractive terms or at all.

 

New Accounting Pronouncements

 

In January 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued FASB Interpretation No. 46, “Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities” (FIN 46).  This interpretation clarifies the application of Accounting Research Bulletin No. 51, “Consolidated Financial Statements” (ARB 51), and requires companies to evaluate variable interest entities for specific characteristics to determine whether additional consolidation and disclosure requirements apply.  This interpretation was immediately applicable for variable interest entities created after January 31, 2003, and applies to the first fiscal year or interim period beginning after June 15, 2003 for variable interest entities acquired prior to February 1, 2003. The adoption of this interpretation did not have any impact on our financial position or results of operations. In December 2003, the FASB revised FIN 46 to exempt certain entities from its requirements and to clarify certain issues arising during the implementation of FIN 46. The adoption of this revised interpretation in the first quarter of 2004 did not have any impact on our consolidated financial statements.

 

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In May 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued Statement No. 150, “Accounting for Certain Financial Instruments with Characteristics of both Liabilities and Equity” (SFAS No. 150).  The statement establishes standards for how an issuer classifies and measures certain financial instruments with characteristics of both liabilities and equity. It requires that an issuer classify a financial instrument that is within its scope as a liability (or an asset in some circumstances). It is effective for financial instruments entered into or modified after May 31, 2003, and otherwise is effective at the beginning of the first interim period beginning after June 15, 2003.   We adopted this standard effective July 1, 2003, and it did not have a material effect on our consolidated financial statements.

 

In July 2004, the Emerging Issues Task Force (“EITF”) reached a consensus on Issue No. 04-8, “Accounting Issues Related to Certain Features of Contingently Convertible Debt and the Effect on Diluted Earnings per share” (“EITF No. 04-8”). The Task Force reached a consensus that contingently convertible debt instruments, such as our 4.00% Senior Convertible Notes, should be included in the computation of diluted earnings per share under the if-converted method regardless of whether the market price trigger (or other contingent feature) has been met. The EITF 04-8 consensus must be applied by retroactive restatement based on the term in effect on the last day of the fiscal period in which the consensus becomes effective. This consensus requires an amendment to FASB Statement No. 128, “Earnings per Share”, and may be effective before the end of 2004.

 

Seasonality

 

Our operating results are not highly seasonal, except for the effect of the holiday selling season in November and December.  Sales in the fourth quarter are typically significantly higher on a per store basis and through the direct response unit than in any other quarter.

 

Inflation

 

We believe that the relatively moderate rates of inflation experienced in recent years have not had a significant impact on our net sales or profitability.

 

Forward-Looking Statements

 

This report contains forward-looking statements relating to, among other things, future results of operations, growth and investment plans, sales, trends in gross margin, growth in the Internet portion of our direct response business and other factors affecting growth in sales and earnings.  Specific forward-looking statements are provided regarding our management’s current views regarding comparable store sales, new store openings, and capital expenditure levels.  Statements regarding new store openings are based largely on our current expectations and are necessarily subject to associated business risks related to, among other things, the identification of suitable sites or acquisition opportunities, the timely construction, staffing and merchandising of those stores and other matters, some of which are outside of our control. Comparable store sales growth is highly dependent upon the state of the economy, the effectiveness of our sales and promotion strategies, and the effect of competition, including other national operators of music products stores attempting to implement national growth strategies. The American Music business has in the past and may in the future give rise to significant fluctuations from period to period as we reformat their store model and build-out the information technology and management structure. The American Music stores incurred significant operating losses in 2003 and for the first nine months of 2004, and are expected to incur operating losses for at least the next several quarters.

 

Sales and earnings trends are also affected by many other factors including, among others, world and national political events, general economic conditions, the effectiveness of our promotion and merchandising strategies, changes in the music products industry, retail sales trends and the emergence of new or growing specialty retailers of music products.  In light of these risks, there can be no assurance that the forward-looking statements contained in this report will in fact be realized.  The statements made by us in this report represent our views as of the date of this report, and it should not be assumed that the statements made herein remain accurate as of any future date.  We do not presently intend to update these statements and undertake no duty to any person to affect any such update under any circumstances.

 

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For further discussion of risks associated with our business, please see the discussion under the caption “Risks Related to the Business.”

 

Risks Related to the Business

 

An investment in our securities involves a high degree of risk.  Described below are some of the risks and uncertainties facing our company.  There may be additional risks that we do not presently know of or that we currently consider immaterial.  Any of these risks could adversely affect our business, results of operations, liquidity and financial position.  A shortfall in comparative sales growth in any period will likely cause a shortfall in earnings, and result in financial performance below that for which we have planned or the investment community expects.

 

We may be unable to meet our Guitar Center and American Music retail store growth strategy, which could adversely affect our results of operations.

 

Our retail store growth strategy includes opening new stores in new and existing markets and increasing sales at existing locations.  As of September 30, 2004, we operated 135 Guitar Center stores and 20 American Music stores.  We opened a total of 14 Guitar Center stores in 2003, and currently expect to open 14 additional Guitar Center stores in 2004.  Approximately two-thirds of the Guitar Center stores opened in 2004 are smaller format units designed for secondary markets. Our planned store opening schedule may be affected by any acquisitions we may transact during a given period. If we complete any such transactions, our planned organic store openings may be reduced.

 

We opened a total of eight American Music stores in 2002, five of which were acquired in connection with American Music’s acquisition of M&M Music, a band instrument retailer. In 2003, we opened one American Music store and closed two. In 2004, we acquired one additional American Music store in the Chicago area. We believe there exist a number of acquisition opportunities in the relatively fragmented band instruments market that could be a good fit with our American Music platform. However, we have slowed our planned growth of the American Music division because our infrastructure and remerchandising projects at this business have to date required more time and resources than originally anticipated.  As a result of these factors, the American Music stores incurred significant operating losses in 2003 and for the first nine months of 2004, and are expected to incur operating losses for at least the next several quarters.

 

The success of our retail store expansion plans depend on many factors, including:

 

                  identification of suitable retail sites and appropriate acquisition candidates;

 

                  negotiation of acceptable lease terms;

 

                  hiring, training and retention of skilled personnel;

 

                  availability of adequate capital;

 

                  sufficient management and financial resources to support the new locations;

 

                  vendor support; and

 

                  successful completion of our new management information system and infrastructure build-out and remerchandising initiative at American Music.

 

A number of these factors are, to a significant extent, beyond our control.  As a result, we do not know whether we will be able to continue to open and/or acquire additional Guitar Center and American Music stores at the rates currently anticipated.  If we are unable to achieve our retail store expansion goals, or the new stores underperform our expectations, our results of operations could be adversely affected.

 

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We face unique competitive and merchandising challenges in connection with our plans to open additional Guitar Center and American Music retail stores in new markets.

 

As part of our retail growth strategy, we plan to open and/or acquire additional Guitar Center and American Music stores in new markets, which could include international markets. This expansion into new markets will present unique competitive and merchandising challenges, including:

 

                  significant start-up costs, including promotion and advertising;

 

                  higher advertising and other administrative costs as a percentage of sales than is experienced in mature markets that are served by multiple stores, particularly in large urban markets where radio and other media costs are high;

 

                  management of stores in distant locations or foreign countries;

 

                  availability of desirable product lines; and

 

                  our expansion may involve acquisitions, including acquisitions in business segments in which we have limited or no experience.

 

Any of these factors may lead to a shortfall in revenues or an increase in costs with respect to the operation of these stores.  If we are not able to operate these stores profitably, our results of operations would be adversely affected.

 

Our retail store expansion strategy, including our strategy of clustering retail stores, may adversely impact our comparable store sales.

 

Historically, we have achieved significant sales growth in existing stores.  Our quarterly comparable stores sales results have fluctuated significantly in the past.  Sales growth for comparable periods, excluding net sales attributable to stores not open for 14 months, was as follows for our retail stores:

 

 

 

2004

 

2003

 

2002

 

Quarter 1

 

11

%

4

%

5

%

Quarter 2

 

8

%

5

%

8

%

Quarter 3

 

9

%

7

%

5

%

Quarter 4

 

%

10

%

7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Full Year

 

%

7

%

6

%

 

We do not know whether our new stores will achieve sales or profitability levels similar to our existing stores.  Our expansion strategy includes clustering stores in existing markets.  Clustering has in the past and may in the future result in the transfer of sales to the new store and a reduction in the profitability of an existing store.  In addition, a variety of factors affect our comparable store sales results, including:

 

                  competition;

 

                  economic conditions, including in particular, discretionary consumer spending;

 

                  consumer and music trends;

 

                  changes in our merchandise mix;

 

                  product distribution; and

 

                  timing and effectiveness of our promotional events.

 

Our management is presently anticipating comparable store sales growth of 3% to 5% for the Guitar Center stores’ fourth quarter of 2004. A shortfall in comparative sales growth in any period will likely cause a shortfall in earnings, and result in financial performance below that for which we have planned or the investment community expects.

 

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Our growth plans depend on our completion of acquisitions, and these transactions involve special risks.

 

We believe that our expansion may be accelerated by the acquisition of existing music product retailers. For example, in April 2001 we acquired the business of American Music Group, a New York-based retailer of band instruments, a business in which we were not previously engaged, and in July 2004 we acquired the assets of the band and orchestra instrument business of Karnes Music located in the Chicago area. We regularly investigate acquisition opportunities complimentary to our Guitar Center, Musician’s Friend and American Music businesses. Accordingly, in the ordinary course of our business, we regularly consider, evaluate and enter into negotiations related to potential acquisition opportunities. We may pay for these acquisitions in cash or securities, including equity securities, or a combination of both. We cannot assure you that attractive acquisition targets will be available at reasonable prices or that we will be successful in any such transaction.  Acquisitions involve a number of special risks, including:

 

                  diversion of our management’s attention;

 

                  integration of the acquired business with our business; and

 

                  unanticipated legal liabilities and other circumstances or events.

 

We depend on a relatively small number of manufacturers, suppliers and common carriers who may not be able or desire to supply our requirements.

 

Brand recognition is of significant importance in the retail music products business. As a result, we depend on a relatively small number of manufacturers and suppliers for both our existing retail stores and the direct response unit as well as our expansion goals for each of these units. We do not have any long-term contracts with our suppliers, and any failure to maintain our relationships with our key brand name vendors would have a material adverse effect on our business. A number of the manufacturers of the products we sell are limited in size and manufacturing capacity and have significant capital or other constraints. These manufacturers may not be able or willing to meet our increasing requirements for inventory, and we cannot assure you that sufficient quantities or the appropriate mix of products will be available in the future to supply our existing stores and expansion plans. These capacity constraints could lead to extended lead times and shortages of desirable products. The risk is especially prevalent in new markets where our vendors have existing agreements with other dealers and thereby may be unwilling or unable for contractual or other reasons to meet our requirements. The efficient operation of our distribution center for the Guitar Center stores is also highly dependent upon compliance by our vendors with precise requirements as to the timing, format and composition of shipments, which in many instances requires changes and upgrades to the operational procedures and logistics and supply chain management capabilities of vendors, all of which are outside of our control. Additionally, many of our vendors receive product from overseas and depend on an extensive supply chain including common carriers and port access to transport merchandise into the country. Foreign manufacturing is subject to a number of risks, including political and economic disruptions, the imposition of tariffs, quotas and other import or export controls, and changes in governmental policies. We rely on common carriers to transport product from our vendors to our central distribution center in Indiana, and from the distribution facility to our Guitar Center stores. Similarly, Musician’s Friend relies on common carriers to transport product to its fulfillment center in Kansas City, Missouri and onward to consumers. Any disruption in the services of common carriers due to employee strikes or other unforeseen events could impact our ability to maintain sufficient quantities of inventory in our retail locations or to fulfill orders by direct response customers.

 

We face products liability risk.

 

Products that we develop or sell may expose us to liability from claims by users of such products for damages including, but not limited to, bodily injury or property damage. This risk is expected to increase as we use the capabilities of our Guitar Center and Musician’s Friend distribution centers to increase the private label and other proprietary product that we offer. Much of this product is manufactured by small companies located overseas. We currently maintain product liability insurance coverage in amounts that we believe are adequate. However, there can be no assurance that we will be able to maintain such coverage or obtain additional coverage on acceptable terms in the future, or that such insurance will provide adequate coverage against all potential claims.

 

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We face significant competition, and our efforts to increase our market share may be inhibited by existing or new competitors also trying to execute national expansion strategies.

 

The retail music products industry is fragmented and highly competitive. We compete with many different types of music product retailers, including conventional retailers, as well as other catalog and e-commerce retailers, who sell many or most of the items we sell. We believe that large format music product retailers such as our company will seek to expand in part through the acquisition of small, independently owned stores or franchises, and we anticipate increased competition in our existing markets and planned new markets from these consolidating retailers. These retailers may identify target companies or execute their acquisition strategies more effectively than our company.  In addition, these retailers may have greater financial resources or other competitive advantages as compared to our company. Our expansion to new markets will be inhibited by these and other established competitors. In addition, one or more of our competitors may adopt a new, innovative store format or retail selling method. If we are not able to compete effectively, we may fail to achieve market position gains or may lose market share.

 

Recently, several large mass merchants, including Wal-Mart and Costco, have begun to sell musical instruments in categories that we compete in, including entry-level guitars, electronic keyboards and band instruments, and thus could represent a significant source of future competition for our retail and direct response businesses, particularly if these retailers expand their product lines beyond entry-level merchandise.

 

We must grow our American Music business in order to reach profitability and earn an acceptable return on that investment.

 

In April 2001, we completed our acquisition of American Music Group, a New York-based retailer of band instruments. We had not previously participated in the band instruments segment of the music products business and had no prior experience in this distribution channel. We intend to use the acquired American Music business as a platform to develop and grow a family music store concept that will emphasize band instruments and also sell selected “combo” products sold by our Guitar Center stores, such as guitars, drums and the like. Thus, we face the normal challenges of any acquisition, such as integration of personnel and systems as well as the need to learn, understand and further develop this business. We are installing a new management information system at American Music, which has proven to be a challenging project requiring more time and resources than originally anticipated. This implementation is an important project to provide a systems backbone to permit growth of this division. In addition, we have begun marketing through the American Music stores some Guitar Center products not previously carried by American Music and offering lessons. This change in merchandising strategy from the historic focus of American Music on band instruments is in process and is an important element of our family music store concept for this brand.  This remerchandising strategy is not yet proven. Further, we have slowed our planned growth of the American Music division because the challenges posed by our infrastructure and remerchandising projects.  As a result of these factors, the American Music stores incurred significant operating losses in 2003 and the first nine months of 2004, and are expected to incur operating losses for at least the next several quarters. Failure to execute on the requirements and initiatives described above could result in a poor or no return on our investment, constitute a distraction of the efforts of our management team from the core Guitar Center and Musician’s Friend brands and potentially require us to recognize an impairment in the significant amount of goodwill recorded in the acquisitions of American Music, M&M Music and Karnes Music, which totaled $21.0 million at September 30, 2004.

 

We depend on key personnel including our senior management who are important to the success of our business.

 

  Historically, we have promoted employees from within our organization to fill senior operations, sales and store management positions.  In order to achieve our growth plans, we will depend upon our ability to retain and promote existing personnel to senior management, and we must attract and retain new personnel with the skills and expertise to manage our business. If we cannot hire, retain and promote qualified personnel, our business, results of operations, financial condition and prospects could be adversely affected.

 

The implementation of our distribution center for the Guitar Center retail stores presents operational risks and represents a significant investment.

 

Our distribution center in the Indianapolis, Indiana area supports our Guitar Center retail store operations. The conveyor systems, the warehouse management system, and all other technology systems and infrastructure commenced operations in July 2002. Migration from our former “drop-ship” model to a centralized distribution model is an important development in our operating strategy. The efficient operation of the distribution center is also dependent upon the performance of third parties that we do not control, such as vendors who must comply with new operating procedures and common carriers who must deliver product on time. This

 

23



 

program involves financial and operating risks that could include the need to expend greater funds than presently budgeted or disruptions in retail store operations and the loss of sales if inventory is not timely provided in the required quantities. Further, one of the key underlying economic assumptions of our distribution center project is that this program will permit us to reduce overall inventory levels as a percentage of sales thereby resulting in significantly reduced working capital requirements. Any failure to reach our inventory reduction targets will adversely affect our future financial performance and capital needs, potentially in a material manner. Failure to execute on these requirements could result in a poor or no return on our investment, disruption of our retail store business and a distraction of the efforts of our management team.

 

Our retail operations are concentrated in California, which ties our financial performance to events in that state.

 

As of September 30, 2004, our corporate headquarters as well as 23 of our 135 Guitar Center stores were located in California, and stores located in that state generated 18.1% and 26.1% of our retail sales for the third quarter of 2004 and 2003, respectively.  Although we have opened and acquired stores in other areas of the United States, a significant percentage of our net sales and results of operations will likely remain concentrated in California for the foreseeable future.  As a result, our results of operations and financial condition are heavily dependent upon general consumer trends and other general economic conditions in California and are subject to other regional risks, including earthquakes.  We do maintain earthquake insurance, but such policies carry significant deductibles and other restrictions.

 

Economic conditions or changing consumer preferences could also adversely impact us.

 

Our business is sensitive to consumer spending patterns, which can be affected by prevailing economic conditions. A downturn in economic conditions in one or more of our markets, such as occurred after September 11, 2001, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, business and prospects.  Although we attempt to stay informed of consumer preferences for musical products and accessories typically offered for sale in our stores, any sustained failure on our part to identify and respond to trends would have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, business and prospects.

 

While we believe that our internal control over financial reporting operates at a reasonable level of effectiveness, we are still exposed to potential risks from recent legislation requiring companies to evaluate such controls under Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

We are evaluating our internal control over financial reporting in order to allow management to report on, and our independent auditors to attest to, such controls, as required by Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.  During this process, we have identified what may be deemed to be potential control deficiencies and have established a process to investigate and, as appropriate, remediate such matters.  To date, we do not believe that any of these issues constitute a material weakness.  Nonetheless, since this is the first year of implementation of Section 404 the compliance standards are not fully known and we and all other public companies are incurring additional expenses related to outside experts and a diversion of management’s time.  Although we have made this project a top priority for the Company, there can be no assurances that all potential deficiencies identified will be remediated before the end of our fiscal year.

 

We may need to change the manner in which we conduct our business if government regulation or taxation imposes additional costs and adversely affects our financial results.

 

The adoption or modification of laws or regulations, or revised interpretations of existing laws, relating to the direct response industry could adversely affect the manner in which we currently conduct our catalog and e-commerce business and the results of operations of that unit. For example, laws and enforcement practices related to the taxation of catalog, telephone and online commercial activity, including the collection of sales tax on direct response sales, remain in flux. In addition, the growth and development of the market for online commerce may lead to more stringent consumer protection laws, both in the United States and abroad, that may impose additional burdens on us. Laws and regulations directly applicable to communications or commerce over the Internet are becoming more prevalent. The law of the Internet, however, remains largely unsettled, even in areas where there has been some legislative action. It may take years to determine whether and how existing laws such as those governing intellectual property, consumer privacy, sales-based and other taxation of e-commerce transactions and the like are interpreted and enforced. Any adverse change in any of these laws or in the enforcement, interpretation or scope of existing laws could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition or prospects.

 

24



 

We face risks created by litigation, governmental proceedings, labor disputes or environmental matters.

 

We are involved in a number of litigation matters in the ordinary course of our business.  Among these cases is a putative class action brought against us for alleged violations of what is known as California’s “wage and hour” law.  The plaintiff has alleged, among other things, that we improperly failed to document and enforce break-time and lunch-time periods for employees.  This litigation has just recently been filed and no discovery has yet commenced.  We intend to defend this matter vigorously.  Current and future litigation that our Company is involved in may result in substantial costs and expenses and significantly divert the attention of our management regardless of the outcome.  In addition, current and future litigation, governmental proceedings, labor disputes or environmental matters could lead to increased costs or interruptions of our normal business operations.

 

We must manage efficiently the expansion of our Direct Response business, including the musiciansfriend.com website, our systems that process orders in our Direct Response business, and our fulfillment resources in order to service our customers properly.

 

Our direct response business, particularly our e-commerce business, will require significant investments to respond to anticipated growth and competitive pressures. If we fail to rapidly upgrade our website in order to accommodate increased traffic, we may lose customers, which would reduce our net sales. Furthermore, if we fail to expand the computer systems that we use to process and ship customer orders and process payments and the fulfillment facilities we use to manage and ship our inventory, we may not be able to successfully distribute customer orders. We experienced some delays of this sort in 2001 in connection with the consolidation of our fulfillment centers. As a result, we could incur excessive shipping costs due to the need to split delayed shipments, increased marketing costs in the form of special offers to affected customers or the loss of customers altogether. We may experience difficulty in improving and maintaining such systems if our employees or contractors that develop or maintain our key systems become unavailable to us.  We have experienced periodic service disruptions and interruptions, which we believe will continue to occur, while enhancing and expanding these systems.

 

Net sales of our e-commerce business could decrease if our online security measures fail.

 

Our relationships with our e-commerce customers may be adversely affected if the security measures that we use to protect their personal information, such as credit card numbers, are ineffective.  If, as a result, we lose customers, our net sales could decrease. We rely on security and authentication technology that we license from third parties. With this technology, we perform real-time credit card authorization and verification with our bank. We cannot predict whether events or developments will result in a compromise or breach of the technology we use to protect a customer’s personal information.  Furthermore, our servers may be vulnerable to computer viruses, physical or electronic break-ins and similar disruptions. We may need to expend significant additional capital and other resources to protect against a security breach or to alleviate problems caused by any breaches. We cannot assure that we can prevent all security breaches.

 

If we do not respond to rapid technological changes, our services could become obsolete and we could lose customers.

 

If we face material delays in introducing new services, products and enhancements, our e-commerce customers may forego the use of our services and use those of our competitors. To remain competitive, we must continue to enhance and improve the functionality and features of our online store.  The Internet and the online commerce industry are rapidly changing. If competitors introduce new products and services embodying new technologies, or if new industry standards and practices emerge, our existing website and proprietary technology and systems may become obsolete. To develop our website and other proprietary technology entails significant technical and business risks. We may use new technologies ineffectively or we may fail to adapt our website, our transaction processing systems and our computer network to meet customer requirements or emerging industry standards. In addition, the success of e-commerce may result in greater efficiency and lower prices, which could have an adverse effect on selling prices and margins in our retail store business and in our catalog business and generally constrain profitability in the specialty retail business.

 

Our hardware and software systems are vital to the efficient operation of our retail stores and Direct Response business, and damage to these systems could harm our business.

 

We rely on our computer hardware and software systems for the efficient operation of our retail stores and direct response business. Our information systems provide our management with real-time inventory, sales and cost information that is essential to the operation of our business. Due to our number of stores, geographic diversity and other factors, we would be unable to generate this information in a timely and accurate manner in

 

25



 

the event our hardware or software systems were unavailable. These systems are vulnerable to damage or interruption from a number of factors, including:

 

      earthquake, fire, flood and other natural disasters; and

 

      power loss, computer systems failure, Internet and telecommunications or data network failure.

 

A significant information systems failure could reduce the quality or quantity of operating data available to our management. If this information were unavailable for any extended period of time, our management would be unable to efficiently run our business, which would result in a reduction in our net sales.

 

To attempt to mitigate these risks we have contracted services from third parties to provide backup systems for our Guitar Center retail stores in the event of a disaster. These services are designed to permit our “mission critical” systems to be online within 48 hours following most disasters. Our direct response business does not have redundant Internet or operating systems and would be vulnerable to catastrophic events. In the event of a disaster, our direct response business would most likely experience delays in processing and shipping orders.

 

Our stock price could be volatile.

 

The market price of our common stock has been subject to significant fluctuations in response to our operating results and other factors, including announcements by our competitors, and those fluctuations will likely continue in the future. In addition, the stock market in recent years has experienced significant price and volume fluctuations that often have been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of particular companies. These fluctuations, as well as a shortfall in sales or earnings compared to public market analysts’ expectations, changes in analysts’ expectations, changes in analysts’ recommendations or projections, and general economic and market conditions, may adversely affect the market price of our common stock.

 

Our actual operating results may differ significantly from our projections.

 

From time to time, we release projections and similar guidance regarding our future performance that represent our management’s estimates as of the date of release. These projections, which are forward looking-statements, are prepared by our management and are qualified by, and subject to, the assumptions and the other information contained or referred to in the release. Our projections are not prepared with a view toward compliance with published guidelines of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, and neither our independent public accountants nor any other independent expert or outside party compiles or examines the projections and, accordingly, no such person expresses any opinion or any other form of assurance with respect thereto.

 

Projections are based upon a number of assumptions and estimates that, while presented with numerical specificity, are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond our control and are based upon specific assumptions with respect to future business decisions, some of which will change. We generally state possible outcomes as high and low ranges which are intended to provide a sensitivity analysis as variables are changed but are not intended to represent that actual results could not fall outside of the suggested ranges.  The principal reason that we release this data is to provide a basis for our management to discuss our business outlook with analysts and investors. We do not accept any responsibility for any projections or reports published by any such persons.

 

Projections are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that some or all of the assumptions of the projections furnished by us will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. Accordingly, our projections are only an estimate of what management believes is realizable as of the date of release. Actual results will vary from the projections and the variations may be material.  Investors should also recognize that the reliability of any forecasted financial data diminishes the farther in the future that the data is projected. In light of the foregoing, investors are urged to put the projections in context and not to place undue reliance on them.

 

Any failure to successfully implement our operating strategy or the occurrence of any of the events or circumstances set forth in this report could result in the actual operating results being different than the projections, and such differences may be adverse and material.

 

26



 

Item 3.                Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

 

We do not have any assets or liabilities which, in our view, impose upon us significant market risk except for our outstanding indebtedness represented by $100 million principal amount of Senior Convertible Notes due 2013 with a fixed interest rate of 4% (subject to contingent interest) and our credit facility which has a variable rate of interest generally consisting of stated premiums above LIBOR.  At September 30, 2004, we had no outstanding borrowings under our credit facility.  To the extent prevailing short-term interest rates fluctuate, the interest expense we incur on our credit facility will change with a resulting effect (positive or negative) on our financial position, results of operations and cash flows. We do not use derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio.  Historically, we have not carried significant cash balances and any cash in excess of our daily operating needs has been used to reduce our borrowings.  Excess cash is invested in short-term, high quality interest bearing investments.

 

Item 4.                Controls and Procedures

 

We maintain disclosure controls and procedures that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in our Securities Exchange Act reports is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s rules and forms and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Co-Chief Executive Officers and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow for timely decisions regarding required disclosure. In designing and evaluating the disclosure controls and procedures, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives, and management is required to apply its judgment in evaluating the cost-benefit relationship of possible controls and procedures.

 

As required by SEC Rule 13a-15(b), we carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Co-Chief Executive Officers and Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report.  Based on the foregoing, our Co-Chief Executive Officers and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were effective at the reasonable assurance level.

 

There has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting during our most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

 

We are evaluating our internal control over financial reporting in order to allow management to report on, and our independent auditors to attest to, such controls, as required by Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.  During this process, we have identified what may be deemed to be potential control deficiencies and have established a process to investigate and, as appropriate, remediate such matters.  To date, we do not believe that any of these issues constitute a material weakness.  Nonetheless, since this is the first year of implementation of Section 404 the compliance standards are not fully known and we and all other public companies are incurring additional expenses related to outside experts and a diversion of management’s time.  Although we have made this project a top priority for the Company, there can be no assurances that all potential deficiencies identified will be remediated before the end of our fiscal year.

 

 

Part II.   OTHER INFORMATION

 

Item 6.                Exhibits

 

Exhibits:

 

10.1         Form of Stock Option Agreement under the 2004 Guitar Center, Inc. Incentive Stock Award Plan (filed herewith).

 

10.2         Form of Restricted Stock Agreement under the 2004 Guitar Center, Inc. Incentive Stock Award Plan (filed herewith).

 

10.3         Form of Deferred Stock Agreement under the 2004 Guitar Center, Inc. Incentive Stock Award Plan (filed herewith).

 

31.1         Certification of the Company’s Co-Chief ExecutiveOfficer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

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31.2         Certification of the Company’s Co-Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

31.3         Certification of the Company’s Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

32.1         Certification of the Company’s Co-Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

32.2         Certification of the Company’s Co-Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

32.3         Certification of the Company’s Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized as of the 8th day of November 2004.

 

 

Guitar Center, Inc.

 

 

 

/s/ Bruce L. Ross

 

 

 

 

Bruce L. Ross, Executive Vice President,
Chief Financial Officer and Secretary

 

 

 

(Duly Authorized Officer and Principal Financial
Officer)

 

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