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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
[X] Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2005 or
[ ] Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the transition period from to__________________
Commission File Number 0-25603
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware 13-4018068
(State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization) Identification No.)
Demeter Management Corporation
330 Madison Avenue, 8th Floor
New York, NY 10017
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
Registrant?s telephone number, including area code (212) 905-2700
(Former name, former address, and former fiscal year, if changed
since last report)
Indicate by check-mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all
reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or
for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file
such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing
requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes X No___________
Indicate by check-mark whether the registrant is an accelerated
filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
Yes No X
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
INDEX TO QUARTERLY REPORT ON FORM 10-Q
March 31, 2005
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
Statements of Financial Condition as of March 31, 2005
(Unaudited) and December 31, 2004..........................2
Statements of Operations for the Quarters
Ended March 31, 2005 and 2004 (Unaudited) .................3
Statements of Changes in Partners? Capital for the
Quarters Ended March 31, 2005 and 2004 (Unaudited) ........4
Statements of Cash Flows for the Quarters Ended
March 31, 2005 and 2004 (Unaudited) .......................5
Notes to Financial Statements (Unaudited)...............6-11
Item 2. Management?s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations.......12-20
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about
Market Risk.........................................21-34
Item 4. Controls and Procedures.............................34-35
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and
Use of Proceeds....................................... 36
Item 5. Other Information......................................37
Item 6. Exhibits............................................37-39
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
March 31, December 31,
2005 2004
$ $
(Unaudited)
ASSETS
Equity in futures interests trading accounts:
Cash 452,190,640 469,228,886
Net unrealized gain (loss) on open contracts (MSIL) 5,320,965 (132,550)
Net unrealized gain (loss) on open contracts (MS&Co.) (14,403,176) 372,464
Total net unrealized gain (loss) gain on open contracts (9,082,211) 239,914
Total Trading Equity 443,108,429 469,468,800
Subscriptions receivable 14,796,364 15,265,122
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) 1,019,215 778,963
Total Assets 458,924,008 485,512,885
LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS? CAPITAL
Liabilities
Redemptions payable 5,489,333 5,991,320
Accrued brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 2,342,162 2,336,127
Accrued management fees 749,493 747,560
Total Liabilities 8,580,988 9,075,007
Partners? Capital
Limited Partners (23,064,132.162 and
21,265,535.495 Units, respectively) 445,386,645 471,290,914
General Partner (256,663.501 and
232,240.705 Units, respectively) 4,956,375 5,146,964
Total Partners? Capital 450,343,020 476,437,878
Total Liabilities and Partners? Capital 458,924,008 485,512,885
NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT 19.31 22.16
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
For the Quarters Ended March 31,
2005 2004
$ $
INVESTMENT INCOME
Interest income (Morgan Stanley DW) 2,556,515 680,737
EXPENSES
Brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 7,134,378 4,691,150
Management fees 2,283,001 1,501,167
Incentive fee ? 5,135,381
Total Expenses 9,417,379 11,327,698
NET INVESTMENT LOSS (6,860,864) (10,646,961)
TRADING RESULTS
Trading profit (loss):
Realized (45,838,272) 31,946,984
Net change in unrealized (9,322,125) 3,305,969
Total Trading Results (55,160,397) 35,252,953
NET INCOME (LOSS) (62,021,261) 24,605,992
NET INCOME (LOSS) ALLOCATION
Limited Partners (61,350,672) 24,336,518
General Partner (670,589) 269,474
NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT
Limited Partners (2.85) 1.89
General Partner (2.85) 1.89
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS? CAPITAL
For the Quarters Ended March 31, 2005 and 2004
(Unaudited)
Units of
Partnership Limited General
Interest Partners Partner Total
$ $ $
Partners? Capital,
December 31, 2003 12,370,561.267 267,851,230 2,858,562 270,709,792
Offering of Units 3,034,334.565 69,929,228 860,000 70,789,228
Net Income ? 24,336,518 269,474 24,605,992
Redemptions (164,185.675) (3,823,114) ? (3,823,114)
Partners? Capital,
March 31, 2004 15,240,710.157 358,293,862 3,988,036 362,281,898
Partners? Capital,
December 31, 2004 21,497,776.200 471,290,914 5,146,964 476,437,878
Offering of Units 2,377,457.482 46,293,339 480,000 46,773,339
Net Loss ? (61,350,672) (670,589) (62,021,261)
Redemptions (554,438.019) (10,846,936) ? (10,846,936)
Partners? Capital,
March 31, 2005 23,320,795.663 445,386,645 4,956,375 450,343,020
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited)
For the Quarters Ended March 31,
2005 2004
$ $
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net income (loss) (62,021,261) 24,605,992
Noncash item included in net income (loss):
Net change in unrealized 9,322,125 (3,305,969)
Increase in operating assets:
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) (240,252) (71,702)
Increase in operating liabilities:
Accrued brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 6,035 487,037
Accrued management fees 1,933 155,851
Net cash provided by (used for) operating activities (52,931,420) 21,871,209
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Cash received from offering of Units 47,242,097 56,335,929
Cash paid from redemptions of Units (11,348,923) (5,872,889)
Net cash provided by financing activities 35,893,174 50,463,040
Net increase (decrease) in cash (17,038,246) 72,334,249
Balance at beginning of period 469,228,886 245,088,422
Balance at end of period 452,190,640 317,422,671
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
March 31, 2005
(Unaudited)
The unaudited financial statements contained herein include, in
the opinion of management, all adjustments necessary for a fair
presentation of the results of operations and financial condition
of Morgan Stanley Charter Graham L.P. (the ?Partnership?). The
financial statements and condensed notes herein should be read in
conjunction with the Partnership?s December 31, 2004 Annual Report
on Form 10-K. Certain reclassifications have been made to the
prior year?s financial statements to conform to the current year
presentation. Such reclassifications have no impact on the
Partnership?s reported net income (loss).
1. Organization
Morgan Stanley Charter Graham L.P. is a Delaware limited
partnership organized in 1998 to engage primarily in the
speculative trading of futures contracts, options on futures
contracts, and forward contracts on physical commodities and other
commodity interests, including, but not limited to, foreign
currencies, financial instruments, metals, energy, and
agricultural products. The Partnership is one of the Morgan
Stanley Charter Series of funds, comprised of the Partnership,
Morgan Stanley Charter Campbell L.P., Morgan Stanley Charter
Millburn L.P., and Morgan Stanley Charter MSFCM L.P.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
The Partnership?s general partner is Demeter Management
Corporation (?Demeter?). The non-clearing commodity broker is
Morgan Stanley DW Inc. (?Morgan Stanley DW?). The clearing
commodity brokers are Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated (?MS &
Co.?) and Morgan Stanley & Co. International Limited (?MSIL?).
Demeter, Morgan Stanley DW, MS & Co., and MSIL are wholly-owned
subsidiaries of Morgan Stanley. Graham Capital Management, L.P.
(the ?Trading Advisor?) is the trading advisor to the Partnership.
2. Related Party Transactions
The Partnership?s cash is on deposit with Morgan Stanley DW, MS &
Co., and MSIL in futures, forwards, and options trading accounts
to meet margin requirements as needed. Monthly, Morgan Stanley DW
pays the Partnership interest income equal to 100% of its average
daily funds held at Morgan Stanley DW at a rate equal to that
earned by Morgan Stanley DW on its U.S. Treasury bill investments.
In addition, Morgan Stanley DW pays interest received from MS &
Co. and MSIL with respect to such Partnership?s assets deposited
as margin. The Partnership pays brokerage fees to Morgan Stanley
DW.
3. Financial Instruments
The Partnership trades futures contracts, options on futures
contracts, and forward contracts on physical commodities and other
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
commodity interests, including, but not limited to, foreign
currencies, financial instruments, metals, energy, and
agricultural products. Futures and forwards represent contracts
for delayed delivery of an instrument at a specified date and
price. Risk arises from changes in the value of these contracts
and the potential inability of counterparties to perform under the
terms of the contracts. There are numerous factors which may
significantly influence the market value of these contracts,
including interest rate volatility.
The market value of exchange-traded contracts is based on the
settlement price quoted by the exchange on the day with respect
to which market value is being determined. If an exchange-traded
contract could not have been liquidated on such day due to the
operation of daily limits or other rules of the exchange, the
settlement price shall be the settlement price on the first
subsequent day on which the contract could be liquidated. The
market value of off-exchange-traded contracts is based on the
fair market value quoted by the counterparty.
The Partnership?s contracts are accounted for on a trade-date
basis and marked to market on a daily basis. The Partnership
accounts for its derivative investments in accordance with the
provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133,
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
?Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities?
(?SFAS No. 133?). SFAS No. 133 defines a derivative as a
financial instrument or other contract that has all three of the
following characteristics:
1) One or more underlying notional amounts or payment
provisions;
2) Requires no initial net investment or a smaller initial net
investment than would be required relative to changes in
market factors;
3) Terms require or permit net settlement.
Generally, derivatives include futures, forward, swaps or options
contracts, and other financial instruments with similar
characteristics such as caps, floors, and collars.
The net unrealized gains (losses) on open contracts, reported as a
component of ?Equity in futures interests trading accounts? on the
Statements of Financial Condition, and their longest contract
maturities were as follows:
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
Net Unrealized Gains/(Losses)
on Open Contracts Longest Maturities
Exchange- Off-Exchange- Exchange- Off-Exchange-
Date Traded Traded Total Traded Traded
$ $ $
Mar. 31, 2005 (4,618,336) (4,463,875) (9,082,211) Sep. 2006 Jun. 2005
Dec. 31, 2004 7,966,178 (7,726,264) 239,914 Jun. 2006 Mar. 2005
The Partnership has credit risk associated with counterparty non-
performance. The credit risk associated with the instruments in
which the Partnership trades is limited to the amounts reflected
in the Partnership?s Statements of Financial Condition.
The Partnership also has credit risk because Morgan Stanley DW,
MS & Co., and MSIL act as the futures commission merchants or the
counterparties, with respect to most of the Partnership?s assets.
Exchange-traded futures, forward, and futures-styled options
contracts are marked to market on a daily basis, with variations
in value settled on a daily basis. Morgan Stanley DW, MS & Co.,
and MSIL, each as a futures commission merchant for the
Partnership?s exchange-traded futures, forward, and futures-
styled options contracts, are required, pursuant to regulations
of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (?CFTC?), to
segregate from their own assets, and for the sole benefit of
their commodity customers, all funds held by them with respect to
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONCLUDED)
exchange-traded futures, forward, and futures-styled options
contracts, including an amount equal to the net unrealized gains
(losses) on all open futures, forward, and futures-styled options
contracts, which funds, in the aggregate, totaled $447,572,304
and $477,195,064 at March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004,
respectively. With respect to the Partnership?s off-exchange-
traded forward currency contracts, there are no daily exchange-
required settlements of variation in value, nor is there any
requirement that an amount equal to the net unrealized gains
(losses) on open forward contracts be segregated. However, the
Partnership is required to meet margin requirements equal to the
net unrealized loss on open contracts in the Partnership accounts
with the counterparty, which is accomplished by daily maintenance
of the cash balance in a custody account held at Morgan Stanley
DW for the benefit of MS & Co. With respect to those off-
exchange-traded forward currency contracts, the Partnership is at
risk to the ability of MS & Co., the sole counterparty on all
such contracts, to perform. The Partnership has a netting
agreement with MS & Co. This agreement, which seeks to reduce
both the Partnership?s and MS & Co.?s exposure on off-exchange-
traded forward currency contracts, should materially decrease the
Partnership?s credit risk in the event of MS & Co.?s bankruptcy
or insolvency.
Item 2. MANAGEMENT?S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL
CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Liquidity. The Partnership deposits its assets with Morgan
Stanley DW as non-clearing broker, and MS & Co. and MSIL as
clearing brokers in separate futures, forwards, and options
trading accounts established for the Trading Advisor. Such assets
are used as margin to engage in trading and may be used as margin
solely for the Partnership?s trading. The assets are held in
either non-interest bearing bank accounts or in securities and
instruments permitted by the CFTC for investment of customer
segregated or secured funds. Since the Partnership?s sole purpose
is to trade in futures, forwards, and options, it is expected that
the Partnership will continue to own such liquid assets for margin
purposes.
The Partnership?s investment in futures, forwards, and options
may, from time to time, be illiquid. Most U.S. futures exchanges
limit fluctuations in prices during a single day by regulations
referred to as ?daily price fluctuations limits? or ?daily
limits?. Trades may not be executed at prices beyond the daily
limit. If the price for a particular futures or options contract
has increased or decreased by an amount equal to the daily limit,
positions in that futures or options contract can neither be taken
nor liquidated unless traders are willing to effect trades at or
within the limit. Futures prices have occasionally moved the
daily limit for several consecutive days with little or no
trading. These market conditions could prevent the Partnership
from promptly liquidating its futures or options contracts and
result in restrictions on redemptions.
There is no limitation on daily price moves in trading forward
contracts on foreign currencies. The markets for some world
currencies have low trading volume and are illiquid, which may
prevent the Partnership from trading in potentially profitable
markets or prevent the Partnership from promptly liquidating
unfavorable positions in such markets, subjecting it to
substantial losses. Either of these market conditions could
result in restrictions on redemptions. For the periods covered by
this report, illiquidity has not materially affected the
Partnership?s assets.
There are no known material trends, demands, commitments, events,
or uncertainties at the present time that are reasonably likely to
result in the Partnership?s liquidity increasing or decreasing in
any material way.
Capital Resources. The Partnership does not have, nor expects to
have, any capital assets. Redemptions, exchanges, and sales of
units of limited partnership interest (?Unit(s)?) in the future
will affect the amount of funds available for investments in
futures, forwards, and options in subsequent periods. It is not
possible to estimate the amount, and therefore the impact,
of future inflows and outflows of Units.
There are no known material trends, favorable or unfavorable, that
would affect, nor any expected material changes to, the
Partnership?s capital resource arrangements at the present time.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements and Contractual Obligations. The
Partnership does not have any off-balance sheet arrangements, nor
does it have contractual obligations or commercial commitments to
make future payments that would affect its liquidity or capital
resources.
Results of Operations
General. The Partnership?s results depend on the Trading Advisor
and the ability of the Trading Advisor?s trading programs to take
advantage of price movements in the futures, forwards, and options
markets. The following presents a summary of the Partnership?s
operations for the three month periods ended March 31, 2005 and
2004 and a general discussion of its trading activities during
each period. It is important to note, however, that the Trading
Advisor trades in various markets at different times and that
prior activity in a particular market does not mean that such
market will be actively traded by the Trading Advisor or will be
profitable in the future. Consequently, the results of operations
of the Partnership are difficult to discuss other than in the
context of the Trading Advisor?s trading activities on
behalf of the Partnership during the period in question. Past
performance is no guarantee of future results.
The Partnership?s results of operations set forth in the
financial statements on pages 2 through 11 of this report are
prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally
accepted in the United States of America, which require the use
of certain accounting policies that affect the amounts reported
in these financial statements, including the following: The
contracts the Partnership trades are accounted for on a trade-
date basis and marked to market on a daily basis. The difference
between their cost and market value is recorded on the Statements
of Operations as ?Net change in unrealized trading profit (loss)?
for open (unrealized) contracts, and recorded as ?Realized
trading profit (loss)? when open positions are closed out. The
sum of these amounts constitutes the Partnership?s trading
results. The market value of a futures contract is the
settlement price on the exchange on which that futures contract
is traded on a particular day. The value of foreign currency
forward contracts is based on the spot rate as of the close of
business. Interest income, as well as management fees, incentive
fees, and brokerage fees expenses of the Partnership are recorded
on an accrual basis.
Demeter believes that, based on the nature of the
operations of the Partnership, no assumptions relating to the
application of critical accounting policies other than those
presently used could reasonably affect reported amounts.
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2005
The Partnership recorded total trading results including interest
income totaling $(52,603,882) and expenses totaling $9,417,379,
resulting in a net loss of $62,021,261 for the quarter ended
March 31, 2005. The Partnership?s net asset value per Unit
decreased from $22.16 at December 31, 2004 to $19.31 at March 31,
2005.
The most significant trading losses of approximately 6.8% were
recorded in the currency markets, primarily during January, from
long positions in the euro relative to the Japanese yen, U.S.
dollar, and Canadian dollar as the value of the euro reversed
sharply lower in what many analysts described as a ?corrective?
move after its strong upward trend during the fourth quarter of
2004. This decline in the value of the euro was attributed to
weak economic data out of the European Union and a rebound in the
value of its main rival, the U.S. dollar. Additional losses were
experienced from short U.S. dollar positions against the South
African rand and Swiss franc as the value of the U.S. dollar
reversed sharply higher on data released by the U.S. Treasury
Department which showed November's investment inflows to the U.S.
were ample to cover that month?s record trade deficit.
Speculation that U.S. interest rates were likely to continue to
rise and fears that the re-evaluation of the Chinese yuan was
farther away than expected also boosted the U.S. dollar.
Additional losses of approximately 2.9% were recorded in the
global interest rate futures markets during February from long
positions in long-term European and U.S. interest rate futures as
prices declined in response to strong global economic data and
congressional testimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Alan
Greenspan, which supported Wall Street expectations for
additional interest rate hikes. Losses continued in March from
long positions in long-term U.S. interest rate futures as prices
moved lower early in the month leading up to the U.S. Federal
Reserve?s decision to increase interest rates. Additional losses
were incurred from newly established short positions in long-term
U.S. interest rates as prices reversed higher at the end of the
month on strength in the U.S. dollar and in oil prices. Smaller
losses were experienced during March from short positions in
British interest rate futures as prices moved higher amid weak
economic data out of the United Kingdom. Within the global stock
index futures markets, losses of approximately 2.0% were recorded
in January from long positions in U.S. equity index futures as
prices finished the month lower amid weak consumer confidence
data, concerns regarding U.S. interest rate policy and the
potential for corporate profit growth to slow down. Further
losses were experienced during March from long positions in U.S.
equity index futures after prices moved lower early in the
month amid concerns about the growing U.S. trade deficit, a
weaker U.S. dollar, inflation fears, and a surge in crude oil
prices. Smaller losses of approximately 0.6 % were recorded in
the agricultural markets during February from short positions in
soybean meal as prices reversed higher on news of extremely cold
weather in the growing regions of the United States and rumors of
a reduction in world output during 2005. Additional losses in
the agricultural markets were experienced during February from
long positions in lean hogs futures as prices weakened on news of
a reduction in demand. Elsewhere in the agricultural complex,
losses were incurred during March from long positions in sugar
and wheat futures as prices reversed lower on technically-based
selling. Smaller losses of approximately 0.4% were recorded in
the energy markets, primarily during January, from short
positions in unleaded gasoline, gas oil, and crude oil futures as
prices moved higher amid speculation that OPEC would move to cut
production later in the month and forecasts for cold winter
weather in the Northeastern U.S. Further loses resulted from
short positions in natural gas as prices increased in tandem with
the petroleum complex. A portion of the Partnership?s overall
losses for the quarter was offset by gains of approximately 0.6%
in the metals markets during February from long positions in
copper and zinc as prices moved higher due to the weaker U.S.
dollar and news of strong demand from China. Long positions in
copper futures experienced additional gains during March as
prices continued to trend higher on news of consistent
demand from the developing economies of Asia.
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2004
The Partnership recorded total trading results including interest
income totaling $35,933,690 and expenses totaling $11,327,698,
resulting in net income of $24,605,992 for the quarter ended
March 31, 2004. The Partnership?s net asset value per Unit
increased from $21.88 at December 31, 2003 to $23.77 at March 31,
2004.
The most significant trading gains of approximately 8.1% were
generated in the global interest rate markets from long positions
in European and U.S. interest rate futures during February and
March. During February, global bond prices rallied after central
banks, such as the European Central Bank and U.S. Federal
Reserve, reported no need to raise interest rates due to a lack
of inflation. During March, prices trended higher due to
uncertainty in the global equity markets, disappointing U.S.
economic data and safe haven buying following the terrorist
attack in Madrid. Additional gains of approximately 2.0% were
experienced in the energy markets, primarily during February,
from long futures positions in crude oil as low market supply,
falling inventory levels and production cut announcements from
OPEC caused prices to increase. In the metals markets, gains of
approximately 1.8% were recorded throughout the quarter from long
futures positions in copper as industrial metals prices
trended higher in response to greater demand from Asia driven by
a declining U.S. dollar. Within the global stock index sector,
gains of approximately 1.6% were experienced, primarily during
March, from long positions in Japanese stock index futures as
equity prices rallied higher in response to positive economic
data that reflected the steady pace of Japan?s economic recovery.
Smaller gains of approximately 1.1% were recorded in the
agricultural markets from long futures positions in corn as
growing U.S. exports and heightened demand from Asia pushed
prices higher during the quarter. A portion of the Partnership?s
overall gains for the quarter was offset by losses of
approximately 2.4% in the currency sector from long positions in
the Japanese yen against the U.S. dollar during February as the
value of the yen reversed sharply lower after the elevation of
Japan?s national security alert and market intervention by the
Bank of Japan, which performed U.S. dollar buybacks after the
release of economic data demonstrating Japan?s improving Gross
Domestic Product. Elsewhere in the currency markets, losses were
recorded, primarily during February and March, from positions in
the euro against the Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, and Canadian
dollar as the euro experienced significant short-term price
volatility. Smaller losses were incurred during February from
short positions in the South African rand relative to the U.S.
dollar as the value of the rand reversed higher after the release
of positive economic data in South Africa.
Item 3.QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT
MARKET RISK
Introduction
The Partnership is a commodity pool engaged primarily in the
speculative trading of futures, forwards, and options. The
market-sensitive instruments held by the Partnership are acquired
for speculative trading purposes only and, as a result, all or
substantially all of the Partnership?s assets are at risk of
trading loss. Unlike an operating company, the risk of market-
sensitive instruments is inherent to the primary business
activity of the Partnership.
The futures, forwards, and options traded by the Partnership
involve varying degrees of related market risk. Market risk is
often dependent upon changes in the level or volatility of
interest rates, exchange rates, and prices of financial
instruments and commodities, factors that result in frequent
changes in the fair value of the Partnership?s open positions,
and consequently in its earnings, whether realized or unrealized,
and cash flow. Gains and losses on open positions of exchange-
traded futures, forwards, and options are settled daily through
variation margin. Gains and losses on off-exchange-traded forward
currency contracts are settled upon termination of the contract,
however, the Partnership is required to meet margin requirements
equal to the net unrealized loss on open contracts in the
Partnership accounts with the counterparty, which is accomplished
by daily maintenance of the cash balance in a custody
account held at Morgan Stanley DW for the benefit of MS & Co.
The Partnership?s total market risk may increase or decrease as
it is influenced by a wide variety of factors, including, but not
limited to, the diversification among the Partnership?s open
positions, the volatility present within the markets, and the
liquidity of the markets.
The face value of the market sector instruments held by the
Partnership is typically many times the applicable margin
requirements. Margin requirements generally range between 2% and
15% of contract face value. Additionally, the use of leverage
causes the face value of the market sector instruments held by
the Partnership to typically be many times the total
capitalization of the Partnership.
The Partnership?s past performance is no guarantee of its future
results. Any attempt to numerically quantify the Partnership?s
market risk is limited by the uncertainty of its speculative
trading. The Partnership?s speculative trading and use of
leverage may cause future losses and volatility (i.e., ?risk of
ruin?) that far exceed the Partnership?s experience to date under
the ?Partnership?s Value at Risk in Different Market Sectors?
section and significantly exceed the Value at Risk (?VaR?) tables
disclosed.
Limited partners will not be liable for losses exceeding
the current net asset value of their investment.
Quantifying the Partnership?s Trading Value at Risk
The following quantitative disclosures regarding the Partnership?s
market risk exposures contain ?forward-looking statements? within
the meaning of the safe harbor from civil liability provided for
such statements by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995 (set forth in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and
Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934). All
quantitative disclosures in this section are deemed to be forward-
looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor, except for
statements of historical fact.
The Partnership accounts for open positions on the basis of mark
to market accounting principles. Any loss in the market value of
the Partnership?s open positions is directly reflected in the
Partnership?s earnings and cash flow.
The Partnership?s risk exposure in the market sectors traded by
the Trading Advisor is estimated below in terms of VaR. The
Partnership estimates VaR using a model based upon historical
simulation (with a confidence level of 99%) which involves
constructing a distribution of hypothetical daily changes in the
value of a trading portfolio. The VaR model takes into account
linear exposures to risks including equity and commodity prices,
interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and correlation
among these variables. The hypothetical changes in portfolio
value are based on daily percentage changes observed in key
market indices or other market factors (?market risk factors?) to
which the portfolio is sensitive. The one-day 99% confidence
level of the Partnership?s VaR corresponds to the negative change
in portfolio value that, based on observed market risk factors,
would have been exceeded once in 100 trading days, or one day in
100. VaR typically does not represent the worst case outcome.
Demeter uses approximately four years of daily market data (1,000
observations) and revalues its portfolio (using delta-gamma
approximations) for each of the historical market moves that
occurred over this time period. This generates a probability
distribution of daily ?simulated profit and loss? outcomes. The
VaR is the appropriate percentile of this distribution. For
example, the 99% one-day VaR would represent the 10th worst
outcome from Demeter?s simulated profit and loss series.
The Partnership?s VaR computations are based on the risk
representation of the underlying benchmark for each instrument or
contract and do not distinguish between exchange and non-exchange
dealer-based instruments. They are also not based on exchange
and/or dealer-based maintenance margin requirements.
VaR models, including the Partnership?s, are continually
evolving as trading portfolios become more diverse and modeling
techniques and systems capabilities improve. Please note that
the VaR model is used to numerically quantify market risk for
historic reporting purposes only and is not utilized by either
Demeter or the Trading Advisor in their daily risk management
activities. Please further note that VaR as described above may
not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other
entities.
The Partnership?s Value at Risk in Different Market Sectors
The following table indicates the VaR associated with the
Partnership?s open positions as a percentage of total net assets
by primary market risk category at March 31, 2005 and 2004. At
March 31, 2005 and 2004, the Partnership?s total capitalization
was approximately $450 million and $362 million, respectively.
Primary Market March 31, 2005 March 31, 2004
Risk Category Value at Risk Value at Risk
Equity (4.27)% (1.14)%
Interest Rate (1.12) (2.88)
Currency (0.45) (0.23)
Commodity (1.38) (0.75)
Aggregate Value at Risk (5.36)% (2.94)%
The VaR for a market category represents the one-day downside risk
for the aggregate exposures associated with this market category.
The Aggregate Value at Risk listed above represents the VaR
of the Partnership?s open positions across all the market
categories, and is less than the sum of the VaRs for all such
market categories due to the diversification benefit across asset
classes.
Because the business of the Partnership is the speculative
trading of futures, forwards, and options, the composition of its
trading portfolio can change significantly over any given time
period, or even within a single trading day, which could
positively or negatively materially impact market risk as
measured by VaR.
The table below supplements the quarter-end VaR set forth above
by presenting the Partnership?s high, low, and average VaR, as a
percentage of total net assets for the four quarter-end reporting
periods from April 1, 2004 through March 31, 2005.
Primary Market Risk Category High Low Average
Equity (5.24)% (0.58)% (2.68)%
Interest Rate (5.72) (1.12) (2.55)
Currency (1.91) (0.45) (0.96)
Commodity (1.38) (0.34) (0.85)
Aggregate Value at Risk (5.80)% (1.92)% (4.50)%
Limitations on Value at Risk as an Assessment of Market Risk
VaR models permit estimation of a portfolio?s aggregate
market risk exposure, incorporating a range of varied market
risks; reflect risk reduction due to portfolio diversification or
hedging activities; and can cover a wide range of portfolio
assets. However, VaR risk measures should be viewed in light of
the methodology?s limitations, which include, but may not be
limited to the following:
* past changes in market risk factors will not always result in
accurate predictions of the distributions and correlations of
future market movements;
* changes in portfolio value caused by market movements may
differ from those of the VaR model;
* VaR results reflect past market fluctuations applied to current
trading positions while future risk depends on future
positions;
* VaR using a one-day time horizon does not fully capture the
market risk of positions that cannot be liquidated or hedged
within one day; and
* the historical market risk factor data used for VaR estimation
may provide only limited insight into losses that could be
incurred under certain unusual market movements.
In addition, the VaR tables above, as well as the past performance
of the Partnership, give no indication of the Partnership?s
potential ?risk of ruin?.
The VaR tables provided present the results of the
Partnership?s VaR for each of the Partnership?s market risk
exposures and on an aggregate basis at March 31, 2005, and for the
four quarter-end reporting periods from April 1, 2004 through
March 31, 2005. VaR is not necessarily representative of the
Partnership?s historic risk, nor should it be used to predict the
Partnership?s future financial performance or its ability to
manage or monitor risk. There can be no assurance that the
Partnership?s actual losses on a particular day will not exceed
the VaR amounts indicated above or that such losses will not occur
more than once in 100 trading days.
Non-Trading Risk
The Partnership has non-trading market risk on its foreign cash
balances. These balances and any market risk they may represent
are immaterial.
The Partnership also maintains a substantial portion
(approximately 92% as of March 31, 2005) of its available assets
in cash at Morgan Stanley DW. A decline in short-term interest
rates would result in a decline in the Partnership?s cash
management income. This cash flow risk is not considered to be
material.
Materiality, as used throughout this section, is based on an
assessment of reasonably possible market movements and any
associated potential losses, taking into account the
leverage, optionality and multiplier features of the Partnership?s
market-sensitive instruments, in relation to the Partnership?s net
assets.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Primary Trading Risk Exposures
The following qualitative disclosures regarding the Partnership?s
market risk exposures - except for (A) those disclosures that are
statements of historical fact and (B) the descriptions of how the
Partnership manages its primary market risk exposures - constitute
forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of
the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act.
The Partnership?s primary market risk exposures, as well as the
strategies used and to be used by Demeter and the Trading Advisor
for managing such exposures, are subject to numerous
uncertainties, contingencies and risks, any one of which could
cause the actual results of the Partnership?s risk controls to
differ materially from the objectives of such strategies.
Government interventions, defaults and expropriations, illiquid
markets, the emergence of dominant fundamental factors, political
upheavals, changes in historical price relationships, an influx of
new market participants, increased regulation, and many other
factors could result in material losses, as well as in material
changes to the risk exposures and the risk management strategies
of the Partnership. Investors must be prepared to lose all or
substantially all of their investment in the Partnership.
The following were the primary trading risk exposures of the
Partnership at March 31, 2005, by market sector. It may be
anticipated, however, that these market exposures will vary
materially over time.
Equity. The primary market exposure of the Partnership at March
31, 2005 was to the global stock index sector, primarily to
equity price risk in the G-7 countries. The G-7 countries
consist of France, the U.S., Britain, Germany, Japan, Italy, and
Canada. The stock index futures traded by the Partnership are by
law limited to futures on broadly-based indices. The
Partnership?s primary market exposures were to the DAX (Germany),
TOPIX (Japan), CAC 40 (France), Nikkei 225 (Japan), IBEX 35
(Spain), FTSE 100 (United Kingdom), and Euro Stoxx 50 (Europe)
stock indices. The Partnership is exposed to the risk of adverse
price trends or static markets in the Japanese and European stock
indices. Static markets would not cause major market changes, but
would make it difficult for the Partnership to avoid trendless
price movements, resulting in numerous small losses.
Interest Rate. The second largest market exposure of the
Partnership at March 31, 2005 was to the global interest rate
sector. Exposure was primarily spread across the U.S., European,
Japanese, and Australian interest rate sectors. Interest rate
movements directly affect the price of the sovereign bond futures
positions held by the Partnership and indirectly affect
the value of its stock index and currency positions. Interest
rate movements in one country, as well as relative interest rate
movements between countries, materially impact the Partnership?s
profitability. The Partnership?s interest rate exposure is
generally to interest rate fluctuations in the U.S. and the other
G-7 countries. However, the Partnership also takes futures
positions in the government debt of smaller nations - e.g.,
Australia. Demeter anticipates that the G-7 countries and
Australian interest rates will remain the primary interest rate
exposure of the Partnership for the foreseeable future. The
speculative futures positions held by the Partnership may range
from short to long-term instruments. Consequently, changes in
short, medium, or long-term interest rates may have an effect on
the Partnership.
Currency. At March 31, 2005, the Partnership had market exposure
to the currency sector. The Partnership?s currency exposure is
to exchange rate fluctuations, primarily fluctuations which
disrupt the historical pricing relationships between different
currencies and currency pairs. Interest rate changes, as well as
political and general economic conditions influence these
fluctuations. The Partnership trades a number of currencies,
including cross-rates - i.e., positions between two currencies
other than the U.S. dollar. At March 31, 2005, the Partnership?s
major exposures were to the euro, Canadian dollar, Australian
dollar, and Japanese yen currency crosses, as well as to
outright U.S. dollar positions. Outright positions consist of
the U.S. dollar vs. other currencies. These other currencies
include major and minor currencies. Demeter does not anticipate
that the risk associated with the Partnership?s currency trades
will change significantly in the future.
Commodity.
Energy. The third largest market exposure of the
Partnership at March 31, 2005 was to the energy sector. The
Partnership?s energy exposure was primarily to futures
contracts in crude oil and its related products, and natural
gas. Price movements in these markets result from
geopolitical developments, particularly in the Middle East,
as well as weather patterns and other economic fundamentals.
Significant profits and losses, which have been experienced
in the past, are expected to continue to be experienced in
the future. Natural gas has exhibited volatility in prices
resulting from weather patterns and supply and demand
factors and will likely continue in this choppy pattern.
Metals. At March 31, 2005, the Partnership had market
exposure in the metals sector. The Partnership?s metals
exposure was to fluctuations in the price of base metals,
such as copper, aluminum, zinc, and nickel, and precious
metals, such as gold. Economic forces, supply and demand
inequalities, geopolitical factors, and market
expectations influence price movements in these markets.
The Trading Advisor utilizes the trading system(s) to take
positions when market opportunities develop, and Demeter
anticipates that the Partnership will continue to do so.
Soft Commodities and Agriculturals. At March 31, 2005, the
Partnership had market exposure to the markets that comprise
these sectors. Most of the exposure was to the wheat,
cotton, and coffee markets. Supply and demand inequalities,
severe weather disruptions, and market expectations affect
price movements in these markets.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Non-Trading Risk Exposure
The following was the only non-trading risk exposure of the
Partnership at March 31, 2005:
Foreign Currency Balances. The Partnership?s primary foreign
currency balances at March 31, 2005 were in euros, Japanese
yen, Australian dollars, Canadian dollars, Hong Kong
dollars, British pounds, and Swiss francs. The Partnership
controls the non-trading risk of foreign currency balances
by regularly converting them back into U.S. dollars upon
liquidation of their respective positions.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Means of Managing Risk Exposure
The Partnership and the Trading Advisor, separately, attempt to
manage the risk of the Partnership?s open positions in essentially
the same manner in all market categories traded. Demeter attempts
to manage market exposure by diversifying the Partnership?s assets
among different market sectors and trading approaches, and by
monitoring the performance of the Trading Advisor daily. In
addition, the Trading Advisor establishes diversification
guidelines, often set in terms of the maximum margin to be
committed to positions in any one market sector or market-
sensitive instrument.
Demeter monitors and controls the risk of the Partnership?s non-
trading instrument, cash. Cash is the only Partnership
investment directed by Demeter, rather than the Trading Advisor.
Item 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
(a) As of the end of the period covered by this quarterly
report, the President and Chief Financial Officer of
Demeter, the general partner of the Partnership, have
evaluated the effectiveness of the Partnership?s disclosure
controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a?15(e) and
15d?15(e) of the Exchange Act), and have judged such
controls and procedures to be effective.
(b) There have been no material changes during the period
covered by this quarterly report in the Partnership?s
internal controls or in other factors that could
significantly affect these controls subsequent to the date
of their evaluation.
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 2. UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF
PROCEEDS
SEC
Registration Statement on Form S-1 Units Registered Effective Date
File Number
Initial Registration 3,000,000.000 November 6, 1998 333-60115
Additional Registration 6,000,000.000 March 27, 2000 333-91563
Additional Registration 2,000,000.000 July 29, 2002 333-85076
Additional Registration 9,000,000.000 February 26, 2003 333-103166
Additional Registration 30,000,000.000 April 28, 2004 333-113876
Total Units Registered 50,000,000.000
Units sold through 3/31/05 27,312,150.319
Units unsold through 3/31/05 22,687,849.681
The managing underwriter for the Partnership is Morgan Stanley DW.
Units are continuously sold at monthly closings at a purchase
price equal to 100% of the net asset value per Unit as of the
close of business on the last day of each month.
The aggregate price of the Units sold through March 31, 2005 was
$509,293,817.
Since no expenses are chargeable against the proceeds, 100% of the
proceeds of the offering have been applied to the working capital
of the Partnership for use in accordance with the ?Use of
Proceeds? section of the prospectus included as part of the above
referenced Registration Statements.
Item 5. OTHER INFORMATION
Departure of Directors or Principal Officers; Election of
Directors; Appointment of Principal Officers.
At a meeting of the Board of Directors of Demeter held on March
30, 2005, the following Directors of Demeter resigned, and the
Board of Directors accepted such resignations effective May 1,
2005: Ms. Louise M. Wasso-Jonikas and Messrs. Raymond A. Harris,
Todd Taylor, and William D. Seugling.
At that March 30, 2005 meeting of the Board of Directors of
Demeter, the Board of Directors elected two new Directors
effective May 1, 2005, subject to approval by and registration
with the National Futures Association: Ms. Shelley Hanan and Mr.
Harry Handler.
Item 6. EXHIBITS
3.01 Form of Amended and Restated Limited Partnership
Agreement of the Partnership, is incorporated by
reference to Exhibit A of the Partnership?s Prospectus,
dated April 25, 2005, filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission pursuant to Rule 424(b)(3) under the
Securities Act of 1933, as amended, on April 29, 2005.
3.02 Certificate of Limited Partnership, dated July 15, 1998,
is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.02 of the
Partnership?s Registration Statement on Form S-1 (File
No. 333-60115) filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on July 29, 1998.
3.03 Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Limited
Partnership, dated November 1, 2001 (changing its name
from Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Charter Graham L.P.), is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.01 of the
Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.01 Management Agreement, dated as of November 6, 1998, among
the Partnership, Demeter and Graham Capital Management,
L.P. is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.01 of the
Partnership?s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (File No. 0-
25603) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission
on May 17, 1999.
10.02 Form of Subscription and Exchange Agreement and Power of
Attorney to be executed by each purchaser of Units is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit B of the
Partnership?s Prospectus, dated April 25, 2005, filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to
Rule 424(b)(3) under the Securities Act of 1933, as
amended, on April 29, 2005.
10.03 Amended and Restated Escrow Agreement, dated as of August
31, 2002, among the Partnership, Morgan Stanley Charter
Millburn L.P., Morgan Stanley Charter Welton L.P., Morgan
Stanley Charter MSFCM L.P., Morgan Stanley DW, and JP
Morgan Chase Bank is incorporated by reference to Exhibit
10.04 of the Partnership?s Registration Statement on Form
S?1 (File No. 333-103166) filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on February 13, 2003.
10.04 Amended and Restated Customer Agreement between the
Partnership and Morgan Stanley DW, dated as of November
13, 2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.01
of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November
6, 2001.
10.05 Commodity Futures Customer Agreement between MS & Co. and
the Partnership, and acknowledged and agreed to by Morgan
Stanley DW, dated as of November 6, 2000, is incorporated
by reference to Exhibit 10.02 of the Partnership?s Form
8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.06 Customer Agreement between the Partnership and MSIL,
dated as of November 6, 2000, is incorporated by
reference to Exhibit 10.04 of the Partnership?s Form 8-K
(File No. 0-25603) filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.07 Foreign Exchange and Options Master Agreement between MS
& Co. and the Partnership, dated as of August 30, 1999,
is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.05 of the
Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.08 Form of Subscription Agreement Update Form is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit C of the
Partnership?s Prospectus, dated April 25, 2005, filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to
Rule 424(b)(3) under the Securities Act of 1933, as
amended, on April 29, 2005.
10.09 Securities Account Control Agreement among the
Partnership, MS & Co., and Morgan Stanley DW, dated as of
May 1, 2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit
10.03 of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603)
filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on
November 6, 2001.
31.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management
Corporation, the general partner of the Partnership
pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
31.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
32.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management
Corporation, the general partner of the Partnership,
pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant
to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as
adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
of 2002.
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on
its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
Morgan Stanley Charter Graham L.P.
(Registrant)
By: Demeter Management Corporation
(General Partner)
May 16, 2005 By: /s/ Kevin Perry
Kevin Perry
Chief Financial Officer
The General Partner which signed the above is the only party
authorized to act for the Registrant. The Registrant has no
principal executive officer, principal financial officer,
controller, or principal accounting officer and has no Board of
Directors.