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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
[X] Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2003 or
[ ] Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the transition period from to__________________
Commission File Number 0-25603
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware 13-4018068
(State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization) Identification No.)
Demeter Management Corporation
825 Third Avenue, 9th Floor
New York, NY 10022
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
Registrant?s telephone number, including area code (212) 310-6444
(Former name, former address, and former fiscal year, if changed
since last report)
Indicate by check-mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all
reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or
for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file
such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing
requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes X No___________
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
INDEX TO QUARTERLY REPORT ON FORM 10-Q
June 30, 2003
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
Statements of Financial Condition as of June 30, 2003
(Unaudited) and December 31, 2002..........................2
Statements of Operations for the Quarters Ended
June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited).........................3
Statements of Operations for the Six Months Ended
June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited).........................4
Statements of Changes in Partners? Capital for the Six
Months Ended June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited)............5
Statements of Cash Flows for the Six Months Ended
June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited).........................6
Notes to Financial Statements (Unaudited)...............7-11
Item 2. Management?s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations.......12-21
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about
Market Risk.........................................22-35
Item 4. Controls and Procedures................................35
Part II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings......................................36
Item 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds...........36-37
Item 5. Other Information......................................37
Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K....................38-40
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
June 30, December 31,
2003 2002
$ $
(Unaudited)
ASSETS
Equity in futures interests trading accounts:
Cash 186,693,116 104,510,473
Net unrealized loss on open contracts (MSIL) (2,535,685) (1,963,300)
Net unrealized gain (loss) on open contracts (MS & Co.) (6,477,559) 9,176,225
Total net unrealized gain (loss) on open contracts (9,013,244) 7,212,925
Total Trading Equity 177,679,872 111,723,398
Subscriptions receivable 16,135,210 5,780,876
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) 159,839 113,169
Total Assets 193,974,921 117,617,443
LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS? CAPITAL
Liabilities
Redemptions payable 1,096,122 482,247
Accrued brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 1,068,968 570,067
Accrued management fees 316,731 168,909
Total Liabilities 2,481,821 1,221,223
Partners? Capital
Limited Partners (9,273,640.197 and
6,112,309.183 Units, respectively) 189,380,471 115,164,948
General Partner (103,451.882 and
65,349.049 Units, respectively) 2,112,629 1,231,272
Total Partners? Capital 191,493,100 116,396,220
Total Liabilities and Partners? Capital 193,974,921 117,617,443
NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT 20.42 18.84
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
page> MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
For the Quarters Ended June 30,
2003 2002
$ $
REVENUES
Trading profit (loss):
Realized 12,500,507 2,179,534
Net change in unrealized (6,959,089) 4,878,347
Total Trading Results 5,541,418 7,057,881
Interest income (Morgan Stanley DW) 468,216 222,624
Total 6,009,634 7,280,505
EXPENSES
Brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 2,871,122 899,844
Management fees 850,703 263,390
Total 3,721,825 1,163,234
NET INCOME 2,287,809 6,117,271
NET INCOME ALLOCATION
Limited Partners 2,269,348 6,050,667
General Partner 18,461 66,604
NET INCOME PER UNIT
Limited Partners 0.38 1.34
General Partner 0.38 1.34
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
For the Six Months Ended June 30,
2003 2002
$ $
REVENUES
Trading profit (loss):
Realized 35,058,203 288,565
Net change in unrealized (16,226,169) 5,180,857
Total Trading Results 18,832,034 5,469,422
Interest income (Morgan Stanley DW) 880,787 430,396
Total 19,712,821 5,899,818
EXPENSES
Brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 5,177,919 1,774,814
Incentive fees 4,657,891 ?
Management fees 1,534,198 513,382
Total 11,370,008 2,288,196
NET INCOME 8,342,813 3,611,622
NET INCOME ALLOCATION
Limited Partners 8,261,456 3,572,122
General Partner 81,357 39,500
NET INCOME PER UNIT
Limited Partners 1.58 0.68
General Partner 1.58 0.68
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS? CAPITAL
For the Six Months Ended June 30, 2003 and 2002
(Unaudited)
Units of
Partnership Limited General
Interest Partners Partner Total
$ $ $
Partners? Capital,
December 31, 2001 3,480,546.336 47,429,838 510,930 47,940,768
Offering of Units 1,214,862.216 15,891,081 150,000 16,041,081
Net Income ? 3,572,122 39,500 3,611,622
Redemptions (252,659.506) (3,392,235) ? (3,392,235)
Partners? Capital,
June 30, 2002 4,442,749.046 63,500,806 700,430 64,201,236
Partners? Capital,
December 31, 2002 6,177,658.232 115,164,948 1,231,272 116,396,220
Offering of Units 3,536,468.033 72,976,598 800,000 73,776,598
Net Income ? 8,261,456 81,357 8,342,813
Redemptions (337,034.186) (7,022,531) ? (7,022,531)
Partners? Capital,
June 30, 2003 9,377,092.079 189,380,471 2,112,629 191,493,100
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited)
For the Six Months Ended June 30,
2003 2002
$ $
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net income 8,342,813 3,611,622
Noncash item included in net income:
Net change in unrealized 16,226,169 (5,180,857)
Increase in operating assets:
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) (46,670) (11,068)
Increase in operating liabilities:
Accrued brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 498,901 45,988
Accrued management fees 147,822 16,430
Net cash provided by (used for) operating activities 25,169,035 (1,517,885)
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Offering of Units 73,776,598 16,041,081
(Increase) decrease in subscriptions receivable (10,354,334) 454,564
Increase in redemptions payable 613,875 412,827
Redemptions of Units (7,022,531) (3,392,235)
Net cash provided by financing activities 57,013,608 13,516,237
Net increase in cash 82,182,643 11,998,352
Balance at beginning of period 104,510,473 45,247,504
Balance at end of period 186,693,116 57,245,856
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
June 30, 2003
(Unaudited)
The unaudited financial statements contained herein include, in
the opinion of management, all adjustments necessary for a fair
presentation of the results of operations and financial condition
of Morgan Stanley Charter Graham L.P. (the ?Partnership?). The
financial statements and condensed notes herein should be read in
conjunction with the Partnership?s December 31, 2002 Annual Report
on Form 10-K.
1. Organization
Morgan Stanley Charter Graham L.P. is a Delaware limited
partnership organized to engage primarily in the speculative
trading of futures contracts, options on futures contracts, and
forward contracts on physical commodities and other commodity
interests, including, but not limited to, foreign currencies,
financial instruments, metals, energy and agricultural products.
The Partnership is one of the Morgan Stanley Charter series of
funds, comprised of the Partnership, Morgan Stanley Charter
Campbell L.P., Morgan Stanley Charter Millburn L.P., and Morgan
Stanley Charter MSFCM L.P.
The Partnership?s general partner is Demeter Management
Corporation (?Demeter?). The non-clearing commodity broker is
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
Morgan Stanley DW Inc. (?Morgan Stanley DW?). The clearing
commodity brokers are Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated (?MS &
Co.?) and Morgan Stanley & Co. International Limited (?MSIL?).
Demeter, Morgan Stanley DW, MS & Co. and MSIL are wholly-owned
subsidiaries of Morgan Stanley. Graham Capital Management, L.P.
(the ?Trading Advisor?) is the trading advisor to the Partnership.
2. Related Party Transactions
The Partnership?s cash is on deposit with Morgan Stanley DW, MS &
Co. and MSIL in futures, forwards and options trading accounts to
meet margin requirements as needed. Morgan Stanley DW pays
interest on these funds based on a rate equal to that earned by
Morgan Stanley DW on its U.S. Treasury bill investments. The
Partnership pays brokerage fees to Morgan Stanley DW.
3. Financial Instruments
The Partnership trades futures contracts, options on futures
contracts, and forward contracts on physical commodities and other
commodity interests, including, but not limited to, foreign
currencies, financial instruments, metals, energy and agricultural
products. Futures and forwards represent contracts for delayed
delivery of an instrument at a specified date and price. Risk
arises from changes in the value of these contracts and the
potential inability of counterparties to perform under the terms
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
of the contracts. There are numerous factors which may
significantly influence the market value of these contracts,
including interest rate volatility.
The market value of contracts is based on closing prices quoted by
the exchange, bank or clearing firm through which the contracts
are traded.
The Partnership?s contracts are accounted for on a trade-date
basis and marked to market on a daily basis. The Partnership
accounts for its derivative investments in accordance with the
provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133,
?Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities?
(?SFAS No. 133?). SFAS No. 133 defines a derivative as a
financial instrument or other contract that has all three of the
following characteristics:
1) One or more underlying notional amounts or payment
provisions;
2) Requires no initial net investment or a smaller initial net
investment than would be required relative to changes in
market factors;
3) Terms require or permit net settlement.
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
Generally, derivatives include futures, forward, swaps or options
contracts and other financial instruments with similar
characteristics such as caps, floors and collars.
The net unrealized gains (losses) on open contracts, reported as a
component of ?Equity in futures interests trading accounts? on the
statements of financial condition, and their longest contract
maturities were as follows:
Net Unrealized Gains (Losses)
on Open Contracts Longest Maturities
Exchange- Off-Exchange- Exchange- Off-Exchange-
Date Traded Traded Total Traded Traded
$ $ $
Jun. 30, 2003 (9,149,857) 136,613 (9,013,244) Dec. 2004 Sep. 2003
Dec. 31, 2002 7,053,639 159,286 7,212,925 Jun. 2004 Mar. 2003
The Partnership has credit risk associated with counterparty non-
performance. The credit risk associated with the instruments in
which the Partnership is involved is limited to the amounts
reflected in the Partnership?s statements of financial condition.
The Partnership also has credit risk because Morgan Stanley DW, MS
& Co. and MSIL act as the futures commission merchants or the
counterparties with respect to most of the Partnership?s assets.
Exchange-traded futures and futures-styled options contracts are
marked to market on a daily basis, with variations in value
MORGAN STANLEY CHARTER GRAHAM L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONCLUDED)
settled on a daily basis. Morgan Stanley DW, MS & Co. and MSIL,
each as a futures commission merchant for the Partnership?s
exchange-traded futures and futures-styled options contracts, are
required, pursuant to regulations of the Commodity Futures Trading
Commission (?CFTC?), to segregate from their own assets, and for
the sole benefit of their commodity customers, all funds held by
them with respect to exchange-traded futures and futures-styled
options contracts, including an amount equal to the net unrealized
gains (losses) on all open futures and futures-styled options
contracts, which funds, in the aggregate, totaled $177,543,259
and $111,564,112 at June 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002,
respectively. With respect to the Partnership?s off-exchange-
traded forward currency contracts, there are no daily settlements
of variations in value nor is there any requirement that an amount
equal to the net unrealized gains (losses) on open forward
contracts be segregated. With respect to those off-exchange-
traded forward currency contracts, the Partnership is at risk to
the ability of MS & Co., the sole counterparty on all of such
contracts, to perform. The Partnership has a netting agreement
with MS & Co. This agreement, which seeks to reduce both the
Partnership?s and MS & Co.?s exposure on off-exchange-traded
forward currency contracts, should materially decrease the
Partnership?s credit risk in the event of MS & Co.?s bankruptcy or
insolvency.
Item 2. MANAGEMENT?S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL
CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Liquidity. The Partnership deposits its assets with Morgan
Stanley DW as non-clearing broker and MS & Co. and MSIL as
clearing brokers in separate futures, forwards, and options
trading accounts established for the Trading Advisor, which assets
are used as margin to engage in trading. The assets are held in
either non-interest bearing bank accounts or in securities and
instruments permitted by the CFTC for investment of customer
segregated or secured funds. The Partnership?s assets held by the
commodity brokers may be used as margin solely for the
Partnership?s trading. Since the Partnership?s sole purpose is to
trade in futures, forwards and options, it is expected that the
Partnership will continue to own such liquid assets for margin
purposes.
The Partnership?s investment in futures, forwards, and options
may, from time to time, be illiquid. Most U.S. futures exchanges
limit fluctuations in prices during a single day by regulations
referred to as ?daily price fluctuations limits? or ?daily
limits?. Trades may not be executed at prices beyond the daily
limit. If the price for a particular futures or options contract
has increased or decreased by an amount equal to the daily limit,
positions in that futures or options contract can neither be taken
nor liquidated unless traders are willing to effect trades at or
within the limit. Futures prices have occasionally moved the
daily limit for several consecutive days with little or no
trading. These market conditions could prevent the Partnership
from promptly liquidating its futures or options contracts and
result in restrictions on redemptions.
There is no limitation on daily price moves in trading forward
contracts on foreign currencies. The markets for some world
currencies have low trading volume and are illiquid, which may
prevent the Partnership from trading in potentially profitable
markets or prevent the Partnership from promptly liquidating
unfavorable positions in such markets, subjecting it to
substantial losses. Either of these market conditions could
result in restrictions on redemptions.
The Partnership has never had illiquidity affect a material
portion of its assets. Furthermore, there are no material trends,
demands, commitments, events or uncertainties known at the present
time that will result in, or that are reasonably likely to result
in, the Partnership?s liquidity increasing or decreasing in any
material way.
Capital Resources. The Partnership does not have, nor expect to
have, any capital assets. Redemptions, exchanges and sales of
additional units of limited partnership interest (?Unit(s)?) in
the future will affect the amount of funds available for
investment in futures, forwards, and options in subsequent
periods. It is not possible to estimate the amount, and
therefore the impact, of future redemptions of Units.
There are no known material trends, favorable or unfavorable, that
would affect, nor any expected material changes to, the
Partnership?s capital resource arrangements at the present time.
The Partnership has no off-balance sheet arrangements, nor
contractual obligations or commercial commitments to make future
payments that would affect the Partnership?s liquidity or capital
resources. The contracts traded by the Partnership are accounted
for on a trade-date basis and marked to market on a daily basis.
The value of futures contracts is the settlement price on the
exchange on which that futures contract is traded on a particular
day and the value of foreign currency forward contracts is based
on the spot rate as of the close of business, New York City time,
on a given day.
Results of Operations
General. The Partnership?s results depend on the Trading Advisor
and the ability of the Trading Advisor?s trading programs to take
advantage of price movements or other profit opportunities in the
futures, forwards and options markets. The following presents a
summary of the Partnership?s operations for the three and six
month periods ended June 30, 2003 and 2002 and a general
discussion of its trading activities during each period. It is
important to note, however, that the Trading Advisor trades in
various markets at different times and that prior activity
in a particular market does not mean that such market will be
actively traded by the Trading Advisor or will be profitable in
the future. Consequently, the results of operations of the
Partnership are difficult to discuss other than in the context of
the Trading Advisor?s trading activities on behalf of the
Partnership and how the Partnership has performed in the past.
The Partnership?s results of operations set forth in the financial
statements on pages 2 through 11 of this report were prepared in
accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the
United States of America, which require the use of certain
accounting policies that affect the amounts reported in these
financial statements, including the following: The contracts the
Partnership trades are accounted for on a trade-date basis and
marked to market on a daily basis. The difference between their
cost and market value is recorded on the Statements of Operations
as ?Net change in unrealized profit/loss? for open (unrealized)
contracts, and recorded as ?Realized profit/loss? when open
positions are closed out, and the sum of these amounts constitutes
the Partnership?s trading revenues. Interest income revenue, as
well as management fees, incentive fees and brokerage fees
expenses of the Partnership are recorded on an accrual basis.
Demeter believes that, based on the nature of the operations of
the Partnership, no assumptions relating to the application of
critical accounting policies other than those presently
used could reasonably affect reported amounts.
For the Quarter and Six Months Ended June 30, 2003
For the quarter ended June 30, 2003, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $6,009,634
and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant gains of approximately 6.5% were recorded in the
currency markets, primarily during April and May, from long
positions in the euro versus the Japanese yen as the value of the
euro continued to trend higher following the decision by the
European Central Bank to leave interest rates unchanged.
Additional gains were provided from long positions in the
Australian dollar versus the U.S. dollar as the value of the
Australian currency strengthened amid significant interest rate
differentials between the two countries. Gains of approximately
5.4% were recorded in the global interest rate markets during May
from long positions in U.S. and European interest rate futures as
prices trended higher amid speculation of an interest rate cut by
the Federal Reserve and lingering doubts concerning a global
economic recovery. A portion of the Partnership?s overall gains
for the quarter was offset by losses of approximately 2.3% in the
global stock index markets from short positions in European stock
index futures as global equity prices rallied during April in
response to positive earnings announcements and the conclusion of
the war in Iraq. In the agricultural markets, losses of
approximately 2.2% resulted from short positions in wheat
and corn futures during May as prices moved higher early in the
month amid concerns of weather related crop damage in the U.S.
midwest. Smaller losses of approximately 1.7% were recorded in
the metals markets, primarily during June, from long positions in
nickel futures as prices declined amid easing supply concerns.
Total expenses for the three months ended June 30, 2003 were
$3,721,825, resulting in net income of $2,287,809. The net asset
value of a Unit increased from $20.04 at March 31, 2003 to $20.42
at June 30, 2003.
For the six months ended June 30, 2003, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $19,712,821
and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant gains of approximately 11.5% were experienced in the
currency markets from long positions in the euro versus the
Japanese yen as the value of the euro continued to trend higher
following the decision by the European Central Bank to leave
interest rates unchanged. Gains were also recorded from long
positions in the Canadian dollar, Australian dollar and South
African rand versus the U.S. dollar amid rising gold prices early
in the year, as well as interest rate differentials between the
respective countries and the U.S. Additional gains of
approximately 7.5% were established in the global interest rate
markets from long positions in U.S. and European interest rate
futures during February, as prices moved higher amid investor
demand for fixed income investments due to uncertainty in
global equity markets. Gains were also recorded in this sector
during June as prices trended higher amid speculation of an
interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve and lingering doubts
concerning a global economic recovery. Additional gains of
approximately 4.7% were recorded in the energy markets from long
positions in natural gas futures as prices trended higher during
January and February in response to prolonged frigid temperatures
in the northeastern and midwestern United States. Elsewhere in
the energy markets, gains resulted from long positions in crude
oil futures as prices rallied during the first two months of the
year amid the looming threat of military action against Iraq and
an overall decline in inventories. A portion of the Partnership?s
overall gains was offset by losses of approximately 2.8% in the
metals markets from long positions in copper, nickel, and aluminum
futures as prices fell during March amid muted industrial demand.
Additional losses of approximately 2.0% in the global stock index
markets resulted from short positions in European stock index
futures as global equity prices rallied during April in response
to positive earnings announcements and the conclusion of the war
in Iraq. Total expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2003
were $11,370,008, resulting in net income of $8,342,813. The net
asset value of a Unit increased from $18.84 at December 31, 2002
to $20.42 at June 30, 2003.
For the Quarter and Six Months ended June 30, 2002
For the quarter ended June 30, 2002, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $7,280,505
and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant gains of approximately 17.3% were recorded in the
currency markets primarily during May and June from previously
established long positions in the euro, Swiss franc and British
pound relative to the U.S. dollar as the value of these
currencies strengthened against the dollar amid falling equity
prices, concerns regarding corporate accounting integrity and
weak U.S. economic data. Significant currency gains were also
recorded during May from long positions in the Korean won,
Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar. Additional gains of
approximately 1.6% were recorded in the global stock index
futures markets primarily during June from short positions in
U.S. and German index futures as prices declined amidst global
economic uncertainty. A portion of the Partnership?s overall
gains was offset by losses of approximately 3.4% recorded in the
global interest rate futures markets primarily during April from
short positions in European and U.S. interest rate futures as
prices climbed higher following weak equity markets, geopolitical
concerns and uncertainty surrounding a global economic recovery.
Additional losses of approximately 2.5% were recorded in the
energy markets primarily during May from previously established
long futures positions in crude oil and its related products as
prices moved lower on supply and demand concerns. Total expenses
for the three months ended June 30, 2002 were $1,163,234,
resulting in net income of $6,117,271. The net asset value of a
Unit increased from $13.11 at March 31, 2002 to $14.45 at June
30, 2002.
For the six months ended June 30, 2002, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $5,899,818
and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant gains of approximately 17.3% were recorded in the
currency markets primarily during May and June from previously
established long positions in the euro, Swiss franc and British
pound relative to the U.S. dollar as the value of these
currencies strengthened against the U.S. dollar amid falling
equity prices, concerns regarding corporate accounting integrity
and weak U.S. economic data. Significant currency gains were
also recorded during May from long positions in the Korean won,
Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar. A portion of the
Partnership?s overall gains was offset by losses of approximately
4.2% recorded in the global interest rate futures markets
primarily during April from short positions in European and U.S.
interest rate futures as prices climbed higher following weak
equity markets, geopolitical concerns and uncertainty surrounding
a global economic recovery. Additional losses of approximately
2.5% were recorded in the energy markets primarily during May
from previously established long futures positions in crude oil
and its related products as prices moved lower on supply and
demand concerns. Total expenses for the six months ended
June 30, 2002 were $2,288,196, resulting in net income of
$3,611,622. The net asset value of a Unit increased from $13.77
at December 31, 2001 to $14.45 at June 30, 2002.
Item 3.QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT
MARKET RISK
Introduction
The Partnership is a commodity pool engaged primarily in the
speculative trading of futures, forwards, and options. The
market-sensitive instruments held by the Partnership are acquired
for speculative trading purposes only and, as a result, all or
substantially all of the Partnership?s assets are at risk of
trading loss. Unlike an operating company, the risk of market-
sensitive instruments is central, not incidental, to the
Partnership?s main business activities.
The futures, forwards and options traded by the Partnership
involve varying degrees of related market risk. Market risk is
often dependent upon changes in the level or volatility of
interest rates, exchange rates, and prices of financial
instruments and commodities. Fluctuations in market risk based
upon these factors result in frequent changes in the fair value
of the Partnership?s open positions, and consequently, in its
earnings and cash flow.
The Partnership?s total market risk is influenced by a wide
variety of factors, including the diversification among the
Partnership?s open positions, the volatility present within the
markets, and the liquidity of the markets. At different times,
each of these factors may act to increase or decrease the market
risk associated with the Partnership.
The Partnership?s past performance is not necessarily
indicative of its future results. Any attempt to numerically
quantify the Partnership?s market risk is limited by the
uncertainty of its speculative trading. The Partnership?s
speculative trading may cause future losses and volatility (i.e.,
?risk of ruin?) that far exceed the Partnership?s experience to
date or any reasonable expectations based upon historical changes
in market value.
Quantifying the Partnership?s Trading Value at Risk
The following quantitative disclosures regarding the Partnership?s
market risk exposures contain ?forward-looking statements? within
the meaning of the safe harbor from civil liability provided for
such statements by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995 (set forth in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and
Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934). All
quantitative disclosures in this section are deemed to be forward-
looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor, except for
statements of historical fact.
The Partnership accounts for open positions on the basis of mark-
to-market accounting principles. Any loss in the market value of
the Partnership?s open positions is directly reflected in the
Partnership?s earnings, whether realized or unrealized, and its
cash flow. Profits and losses on open positions of exchange-
traded futures, forwards and options are settled daily
through variation margin.
The Partnership?s risk exposure in the market sectors traded by
the Trading Advisor is estimated below in terms of Value at Risk
(?VaR?). The VaR model used by the Partnership includes many
variables that could change the market value of the Partnership?s
trading portfolio. The Partnership estimates VaR using a model
based upon historical simulation with a confidence level of 99%.
Historical simulation involves constructing a distribution of
hypothetical daily changes in the value of a trading portfolio.
The VaR model takes into account linear exposures to price and
interest rate risk. Market risks that are incorporated in the
VaR model include equity and commodity prices, interest rates,
foreign exchange rates, and correlation among these variables.
The hypothetical changes in portfolio value are based on daily
percentage changes observed in key market indices or other market
factors (?market risk factors?) to which the portfolio is
sensitive. The historical observation period of the Partner-
ship?s VaR is approximately four years. The one-day 99%
confidence level of the Partnership?s VaR corresponds to the
negative change in portfolio value that, based on observed market
risk factors, would have been exceeded once in 100 trading days.
In other words, one-day VaR for a portfolio is a number such that
losses in this portfolio are estimated to exceed the VaR only one
day in 100. VaR typically does not represent the worst case
outcome.
VaR is calculated using historical simulation. Demeter uses
approximately four years of daily market data (1,000 observations)
and revalues its portfolio (using delta-gamma approximations) for
each of the historical market moves that occurred over this time
period. This generates a probability distribution of daily
?simulated profit and loss? outcomes. The VaR is the appropriate
percentile of this distribution. For example, the 99% one-day VaR
would represent the 10th worst outcome from Demeter?s simulated
profit and loss series.
The Partnership?s VaR computations are based on the risk
representation of the underlying benchmark for each instrument or
contract and do not distinguish between exchange and non-
exchange-traded instruments and are also not based on exchange
and/or dealer-based margin requirements.
VaR models, including the Partnership?s, are continuously
evolving as trading portfolios become more diverse and modeling
techniques and systems capabilities improve. Please note that
the VaR model is used to numerically quantify market risk for
historic reporting purposes only and is not utilized by either
Demeter or the Trading Advisor in their daily risk management
activities. Please further note that VaR as described above may
not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other
entities.
The Partnership?s Value at Risk in Different Market Sectors
The following table indicates the VaR associated with the
Partnership?s open positions as a percentage of total net assets
by primary market risk category at June 30, 2003 and 2002. At
June 30, 2003 and 2002, the Partnership?s total capitalization
was approximately $191 million and $64 million, respectively.
Primary Market June 30, 2003 June 30, 2002
Risk Category Value at Risk Value at Risk
Interest Rate (2.74)% (3.24)%
Equity (2.50) (1.30)
Currency (1.07) (2.25)
Commodity (1.12) (0.69)
Aggregate Value at Risk (3.88)% (4.59)%
The VaR for a market category represents the one-day downside risk
for the aggregate exposures associated with this market category.
The Aggregate Value at Risk above represents the VaR of the
Partnership?s open positions across all the market categories, and
is less than the sum of the VaR(s) for all such market categories
due to the diversification benefit across asset classes.
The table above represents the VaR of the Partnership?s open
positions at June 30, 2003 and 2002 only and is not necessarily
representative of either the historic or future risk of an
investment in the Partnership. Because the Partnership?s only
business is the speculative trading of futures, forwards
and options, the composition of its trading portfolio can change
significantly over any given time period, or even within a single
trading day. Any changes in open positions could positively or
negatively materially impact market risk as measured by VaR.
The table below supplements the quarter-end VaR by presenting the
Partnership?s high, low and average VaR, as a percentage of total
net assets for the four quarterly reporting periods from July 1,
2002 through June 30, 2003.
Primary Market Risk Category High Low Average
Interest Rate (2.74)% (0.71)% (1.51)%
Equity (2.50) (0.61) (1.25)
Currency (1.91) (0.52) (1.12)
Commodity (1.62) (0.65) (1.22)
Aggregate Value at Risk (3.88)% (1.72)% (2.74)%
Limitations on Value at Risk as an Assessment of Market Risk
The face value of the market sector instruments held by the
Partnership is typically many times the applicable margin
requirements. Margin requirements generally range between 2% and
15% of contract face value. Additionally, the use of leverage
causes the face value of the market sector instruments held by the
Partnership to typically be many times the total capitalization of
the Partnership. The value of the Partnership?s open positions
thus creates a ?risk of ruin? not usually found in other
investments. The relative size of the positions held may
cause the Partnership to incur losses greatly in excess of VaR
within a short period of time, given the effects of the leverage
employed and market volatility. The VaR tables above, as well as
the past performance of the Partnership, give no indication of
such ?risk of ruin?. In addition, VaR risk measures should be
viewed in light of the methodology?s limitations, which include
the following:
* past changes in market risk factors will not always result in
accurate predictions of the distributions and correlations of
future market movements;
* changes in portfolio value caused by market movements may
differ from those of the VaR model;
* VaR results reflect past trading positions while future risk
depends on future positions;
* VaR using a one-day time horizon does not fully capture the
market risk of positions that cannot be liquidated or hedged
within one day; and
* the historical market risk factor data used for VaR estimation
may provide only limited insight into losses that could be
incurred under certain unusual market movements.
The VaR tables above present the results of the Partnership?s VaR
for each of the Partnership?s market risk exposures and on an
aggregate basis at June 30, 2003 and 2002, and for the end of the
four quarterly reporting periods from July 1, 2002 through
June 30, 2003. Since VaR is based on historical data, VaR
should not be viewed as predictive of the Partnership?s future
financial performance or its ability to manage or monitor risk.
There can be no assurance that the Partnership?s actual losses on
a particular day will not exceed the VaR amounts indicated above
or that such losses will not occur more than once in 100 trading
days.
Non-Trading Risk
The Partnership has non-trading market risk on its foreign cash
balances not needed for margin. These balances and any market
risk they may represent are immaterial.
At June 30, 2003, the Partnership?s cash balance at Morgan Stanley
DW was approximately 80% of its total net asset value. A decline
in short-term interest rates will result in a decline in the
Partnership?s cash management income. This cash flow risk is not
considered to be material.
Materiality, as used throughout this section, is based on an
assessment of reasonably possible market movements and any
associated potential losses, taking into account the leverage,
optionality and multiplier features of the Partnership?s market-
sensitive instruments, in relation to the Partnership?s net
assets.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Primary Trading Risk Exposures
The following qualitative disclosures regarding the Partnership?s
market risk exposures - except for (A) those disclosures that are
statements of historical fact and (B) the descriptions of how the
Partnership manages its primary market risk exposures - constitute
forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of
the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act.
The Partnership?s primary market risk exposures as well as the
strategies used and to be used by Demeter and the Trading Advisor
for managing such exposures are subject to numerous uncertainties,
contingencies and risks, any one of which could cause the actual
results of the Partnership?s risk controls to differ materially
from the objectives of such strategies. Government interventions,
defaults and expropriations, illiquid markets, the emergence of
dominant fundamental factors, political upheavals, changes in
historical price relationships, an influx of new market
participants, increased regulation and many other factors could
result in material losses as well as in material changes to the
risk exposures and the risk management strategies of the
Partnership. Investors must be prepared to lose all or
substantially all of their investment in the Partnership.
The following were the primary trading risk exposures of the
Partnership at June 30, 2003, by market sector. It may be
anticipated, however, that these market exposures will
vary materially over time.
Interest Rate. The primary market exposure of the Partnership at
June 30, 2003 was to the global interest rate sector. At June
30, 2003, exposure was primarily spread across the U.S., European
and Japanese interest rate sectors. Interest rate movements
directly affect the price of the sovereign bond futures positions
held by the Partnership and indirectly affect the value of its
stock index and currency positions. Interest rate movements in
one country, as well as relative interest rate movements between
countries, materially impact the Partnership?s profitability. The
Partnership?s primary interest rate exposure is generally to
interest rate fluctuations in the U.S. and the other G-7
countries. The G-7 countries consist of France, the U.S.,
Britain, Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada. However, the
Partnership also takes futures positions in the government debt
of smaller nations - e.g., Australia. Demeter anticipates that
the G-7 countries and Australian interest rates will remain the
primary interest rate exposure of the Partnership for the
foreseeable future. The speculative futures positions held by
the Partnership may range from short to long-term instruments.
Consequently, changes in short, medium, or long-term interest
rates may have an effect on the Partnership.
Equity. The second largest market exposure of the
Partnership at June 30, 2003 was to the global stock index
sector. The primary exposure was to equity price risk in the G-7
countries. The stock index futures traded by the Partnership are
by law limited to futures on broadly-based indices. At June 30,
2003, the Partnership?s primary exposures were to the TOPIX
(Japan), S&P 500 (U.S.), Nikkei (Japan), NADSAQ (U.S.) and DAX
(Germany) stock indices. The Partnership is exposed to the risk
of adverse price trends or static markets in the U.S., European,
Japanese stock indices. Static markets would not cause major
market changes but would make it difficult for the Partnership to
avoid being ?whipsawed? into numerous small losses.
Currency. The Partnership?s currency exposure is to exchange
rate fluctuations, primarily fluctuations which disrupt the
historical pricing relationships between different currencies and
currency pairs. Interest rate changes as well as political and
general economic conditions influence these fluctuations. The
Partnership trades a large number of currencies, including cross-
rates - i.e., positions between two currencies other than the
U.S. dollar. At June 30, 2003, the Partnership?s major exposures
were to the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Australian dollar,
Canadian dollar and Swiss franc currency crosses, as well as
outright U.S. dollar positions. Outright positions consist of
the U.S. dollar vs. other currencies. These other currencies
include major and minor currencies. Demeter does not anticipate
that the risk profile of the Partnership?s currency sector
will change significantly in the future. The currency trading
VaR figure includes foreign margin amounts converted into U.S.
dollars with an incremental adjustment to reflect the exchange
rate risk inherent to the U.S.-based Partnership in expressing
VaR in a functional currency other than U.S. dollars.
Commodity.
Energy. At June 30, 2003, the Partnership?s energy exposure
was primarily to futures contracts in crude oil and its
related products, and natural gas. Price movements in these
markets result from political developments in the Middle
East, weather patterns and other economic fundamentals.
Significant profits and losses, which have been experienced
in the past, are expected to continue to be experienced in
the future. Natural gas has exhibited volatility in prices
resulting from weather patterns and supply and demand
factors and will likely continue in this choppy pattern.
Metals. The Partnership?s metals exposure at June 30, 2003
was to fluctuations in the price of base metals, such as
copper, nickel and aluminum. Economic forces, supply and
demand inequalities, geopolitical factors and market
expectations influence price movements in these markets.
The Trading Advisor, from time to time, takes positions when
market opportunities develop and Demeter anticipates
that the Partnership will continue to do so.
Soft Commodities and Agriculturals. At June 30, 2003, the
Partnership had exposure to the markets that comprise these
sectors. Most of the exposure was to the sugar, corn and
live cattle markets. Supply and demand inequalities, severe
weather disruptions and market expectations affect price
movements in these markets.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Non-Trading Risk Exposure
The following was the only non-trading risk exposure of the
Partnership at June 30, 2003:
Foreign Currency Balances. The Partnership?s primary foreign
currency balances at June 30, 2003 were in British pounds
and Hong Kong dollars. The Partnership controls the non-
trading risk of foreign currency balances by regularly
converting them back into U.S. dollars upon liquidation of
their respective positions.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Means of Managing Risk Exposure
The Partnership and the Trading Advisor, separately, attempt to
manage the risk of the Partnership?s open positions in essentially
the same manner in all market categories traded. Demeter attempts
to manage market exposure by diversifying the Partnership?s assets
among different market sectors and trading approaches, and
monitoring the performance of the Trading Advisor daily. In
addition, the Trading Advisor establishes diversification
guidelines, often set in terms of the maximum margin to be
committed to positions in any one market sector or market-
sensitive instrument.
Demeter monitors and controls the risk of the Partnership?s non-
trading instrument, cash. Cash is the only Partnership
investment directed by Demeter, rather than the Trading Advisor.
Item 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
(a) As of the end of the period covered by this quarterly
report, the President and Chief Financial Officer of
the general partner, Demeter, have evaluated the
effectiveness of the Partnership?s disclosure controls
and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a?15(e) and 15d?
15(e) of the Exchange Act), and have judged such
controls and procedures to be effective.
(b) There have been no significant changes in the
Partnership?s internal controls or in other factors
that could significantly affect these controls
subsequent to the date of their evaluation.
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
None.
Item 2. CHANGES IN SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS
The Partnership initially registered 3,000,000 Units pursuant to a
Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became effective on
November 6, 1998 (SEC File Number 333-60115).
The Partnership registered an additional 6,000,000 Units pursuant
to a new Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became
effective on March 27, 2000 (SEC File Number 333-91563).
The Partnership registered an additional 2,000,000 Units pursuant
to another Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became
effective on July 29, 2002 (SEC File Number 333-85076).
The Partnership registered an additional 9,000,000 Units pursuant
to a Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became effective on
February 26, 2003 (SEC File Number 333-103166).
The managing underwriter for the Partnership is Morgan Stanley DW.
Units are continuously sold at monthly closings at a
purchase price equal to 100% of the net asset value per Unit as of
the close of business on the last day of each month.
Through June 30, 2003, 11,066,783.755 Units were sold, leaving
8,933,216.245 Units unsold. The aggregate price of the Units sold
through June 30, 2003 was $172,967,216.
Since no expenses are chargeable against the proceeds, 100% of the
proceeds of the offering have been applied to the working capital
of the Partnership for use in accordance with the ?Use of
Proceeds? section of the Prospectus included as part of the above
referenced Registration Statements.
Item 5. OTHER INFORMATION
Changes in Management. The following changes have been made to
the Board of Directors and Officers of Demeter:
Mr. Robert E. Murray resigned the position of Chairman of the
Board of Directors of Demeter.
Mr. Jeffrey A. Rothman, President and Director of Demeter, was
named Chairman of the Board of Directors of Demeter.
Item 6. EXHIBITS AND REPORTS ON FORM 8-K
(A) Exhibits
3.01 Form of Amended and Restated Limited Partnership
Agreement of the Partnership, is incorporated by
reference to Exhibit A of the Partnership?s Prospectus,
dated February 26, 2003, filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission pursuant to Rule 424(b)(3) under the
Securities Act of 1933, as amended, on March 18, 2003.
3.02 Certificate of Limited Partnership, dated July 15, 1998,
is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.02 of the
Partnership?s Registration Statement on Form S-1 (File
No. 333-60115) filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on July 29, 1998.
3.03 Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Limited
Partnership, dated November 1, 2001 (changing its name
from Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Charter Graham L.P.), is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.01 of the
Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.01 Management Agreement, dated as of November 6, 1998, among
the Partnership, Demeter and Graham Capital Management,
L.P. is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.01 of the
Partnership?s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (File No. 0-
25603) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission
on May 17, 1999.
10.02 Form of Subscription and Exchange Agreement and Power of
Attorney to be executed by each purchaser of Units is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit B of the
Partnership?s Prospectus, dated February 26, 2003, filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to
Rule 424(b)(3) under the Securities Act of 1933, as
amended, on March 18, 2003.
10.03 Amended and Restated Escrow Agreement, dated as of August
31, 2002, among the Partnership, Morgan Stanley Charter
Millburn L.P., Morgan Stanley Charter Welton L.P., Morgan
Stanley Charter MSFCM L.P., Morgan Stanley DW, and JP
Morgan Chase Bank is incorporated by reference to Exhibit
10.04 of the Partnership?s Registration Statement on Form
S?1 (File No. 333-103166) filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on February 13, 2003.
10.04 Amended and Restated Customer Agreement between the
Partnership and Morgan Stanley DW, dated as of November
13, 2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.01
of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November
6, 2001.
10.05 Commodity Futures Customer Agreement between MS & Co. and
the Partnership, and acknowledged and agreed to by Morgan
Stanley DW, dated as of November 6, 2000, is incorporated
by reference to Exhibit 10.02 of the Partnership?s Form
8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.06 Customer Agreement between the Partnership and MSIL,
dated as of November 6, 2000, is incorporated by
reference to Exhibit 10.04 of the Partnership?s Form 8-K
(File No. 0-25603) filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.07 Foreign Exchange and Options Master Agreement between MS
& Co. and the Partnership, dated as of August 30, 1999,
is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.05 of the
Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on November 6, 2001.
10.08 Form of Subscription Agreement Update Form is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit C of the
Partnership?s Prospectus, dated February 26, 2003, filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to
Rule 424(b)(3) under the Securities Act of 1933, as
amended, on March 18, 2003.
10.09 Securities Account Control Agreement among the
Partnership, MS & Co., and Morgan Stanley DW, dated as of
May 1, 2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit
10.03 of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-25603)
filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on
November 6, 2001.
31.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management
Corporation, the general partner of the Partnership,
pursuant to rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e), as adopted
pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
31.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership, pursuant to rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e),
as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management
Corporation, the general partner of the Partnership,
pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant
to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as
adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
of 2002.
(B) Reports on Form 8-K. ? None.
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on
its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
Morgan Stanley Charter Graham L.P.
(Registrant)
By: Demeter Management Corporation
(General Partner)
August 13, 2003 By: /s/ Jeffrey D. Hahn
Jeffrey D. Hahn
Director and Chief Financial Officer
The General Partner which signed the above is the only party
authorized to act for the Registrant. The Registrant has no
principal executive officer, principal financial officer,
controller, or principal accounting officer and has no Board of
Directors.
? 6 ?