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UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
(Mark One)
/X/ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2004
OR
/ / TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from _________________ to __________________
Commission File Number 33-22864
ML FUTURES INVESTMENTS L.P.
---------------------------
(Exact Name of Registrant as
specified in its charter)
Delaware 36-3590615
- ------------------------------- ---------------------------------
(State or other jurisdiction of (IRS Employer Identification No.)
incorporation or organization)
c/o Merrill Lynch Investment Managers LLC
222 Broadway
27th Floor
New York, NY 10038-2510
-----------------------
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)
609-282-6996
----------------------------------------------------
(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports
required to be filed by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the
registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such
filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes /X/ No / /
PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
ML FUTURES INVESTMENTS L.P.
(A DELAWARE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP)
STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
SEPTEMBER 30,
2004 DECEMBER 31,
(UNAUDITED) 2003
-------------- ---------------
ASSETS
Investment in MM LLC $ 45,630,898 $ 53,823,502
Receivable from investment in MM LLC 441,466 741,550
-------------- ---------------
TOTAL $ 46,072,364 $ 54,565,052
============== ===============
LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS' CAPITAL
Redemptions payable $ 441,466 $ 741,550
-------------- ---------------
Total liabilities 441,466 741,550
-------------- ---------------
PARTNERS' CAPITAL:
General Partner (506,504 and 506,491 Units) 519,785 550,885
Limited Partners (43,940,609 and 48,959,640 Units) 45,111,113 53,272,617
-------------- ---------------
Total partners' capital 45,630,898 53,823,502
-------------- ---------------
TOTAL $ 46,072,364 $ 54,565,052
============== ===============
NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT
(Based on 44,447,113 and 49,466,131 Units outstanding) $ 1.0266 $ 1.0881
============== ===============
See notes to financial statements.
2
ML FUTURES INVESTMENTS L.P.
(A DELAWARE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP)
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(UNAUDITED)
FOR THE THREE FOR THE THREE FOR THE NINE FOR THE NINE
MONTHS ENDED MONTHS ENDED MONTHS ENDED MONTHS ENDED
SEPTEMBER 30, SEPTEMBER 30, SEPTEMBER 30, SEPTEMBER 30,
2004 2003 2004 2003
--------------- --------------- --------------- ---------------
REVENUES:
Trading profits (loss):
Realized $ (1,810,938) $ (560,852) $ 1,426,864 $ 7,959,227
Change in unrealized 2,202,336 652,827 (1,086,199) (1,814,404)
--------------- --------------- --------------- ---------------
Total trading results 391,398 91,975 340,665 6,144,823
--------------- --------------- --------------- ---------------
Interest income 152,191 129,281 398,739 459,518
--------------- --------------- --------------- ---------------
Total revenues 543,589 221,256 739,404 6,604,341
--------------- --------------- --------------- ---------------
EXPENSES:
Brokerage commissions 993,503 1,096,563 3,124,964 3,523,737
Administrative fees 29,221 32,251 91,911 103,639
Profit shares 152,543 4,352 299,843 814,559
--------------- --------------- --------------- ---------------
Total expenses 1,175,267 1,133,166 3,516,718 4,441,935
--------------- --------------- --------------- ---------------
NET INCOME (LOSS) $ (631,678) $ (911,910) $ (2,777,314) $ 2,162,406
=============== =============== =============== ===============
NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT:
Weighted average number of General Partner
and Limited Partners Units outstanding 45,297,755 52,099,640 46,960,904 53,735,344
=============== =============== =============== ===============
Net income (loss) per weighted
average General Partner and
Limited Partner Unit $ (0.0139) $ (0.0175) $ (0.0591) $ 0.0402
=============== =============== =============== ===============
All revenues and expenses are derived from the investment in MM LLC.
See notes to financial statements.
3
ML FUTURES INVESTMENTS L.P.
(A DELAWARE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP)
STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS' CAPITAL
FOR THE NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 AND 2003
(UNAUDITED)
UNITS GENERAL PARTNER LIMITED PARTNERS TOTAL
--------------- --------------- ---------------- ---------------
PARTNERS' CAPITAL,
December 31, 2002 44,778 $ 123,877 $ 11,728,631 $ 11,852,508
Partnership combination 56,013,115 460,679 43,744,706 44,205,385
Net income - 22,310 2,140,096 2,162,406
Redemptions (4,878,533) (64) (5,087,748) (5,087,812)
--------------- --------------- ---------------- ---------------
PARTNERS' CAPITAL,
September 30, 2003 51,179,360 $ 606,802 $ 52,525,685 $ 53,132,487
=============== =============== ================ ===============
PARTNERS' CAPITAL,
December 31, 2003 49,466,131 $ 550,885 $ 53,272,617 $ 53,823,502
Net loss - (31,100) (2,746,214) (2,777,314)
Redemptions (5,019,018) - (5,415,290) (5,415,290)
--------------- --------------- ---------------- ---------------
PARTNERS' CAPITAL,
September 30, 2004 44,447,113 $ 519,785 $ 45,111,113 $ 45,630,898
=============== =============== ================ ===============
See notes to financial statements.
4
ML FUTURES INVESTMENTS L.P.
(A DELAWARE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP)
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(UNAUDITED)
1. SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES
In the opinion of management, the financial statements contain all adjustments
necessary to present fairly the financial position of ML Futures Investments
L.P. (the "Partnership") as of September 30, 2004, and the results of its
operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003.
However, the operating results for the interim periods may not be indicative of
the results for the full year.
Certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in annual
financial statements prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally
accepted in the United States of America have been omitted. It is suggested that
these financial statements be read in conjunction with the financial statements
and notes thereto included in the Partnership's Annual Report on Form 10-K filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission for the year ended December 31,
2003.
2. COMBINATION OF MULTI-ADVISOR FUNDS
After the close of business on December 31, 2002, the Partnership combined its
assets with five other similar Multi-Advisor Funds to form a new ML Futures
Investments L.P. (the "Combined Partnership") in a tax free reorganization. All
of the affected investors received new units of the Combined Partnership with an
initial Net Asset Value per Unit of $1.00 in exchange for each of their original
units. The aggregate Net Asset Value of the investor's new units is equal to the
aggregate Net Asset Value of their original Units. The ratio of the Unit
exchange by entity is listed below.
ML Futures Investments L.P. 264.694900
ML Futures Investments II L.P. 205.193438
The S.E.C.T.O.R. Strategy Fund L.P. 207.382494
The Sector Strategy Fund II L.P. 172.917074
The Sector Strategy Fund II L.P. Sector III Units 182.523103
The Sector Strategy Fund V L.P. 147.310123
The Sector Strategy Fund VI L.P. 134.331163
Conversion of the shares had no adverse economic effect on investors in any of
the Multi-Advisor Funds. Merrill Lynch Investment Managers LLC ("MLIM LLC")
contributed $1,560 to the Combined Partnership, the amount necessary due to the
effects of rounding, to insure all investors received shares equal in value to
their original holdings. The Combined Partnership will continue to invest
through ML Multi-Manager Portfolio ("MM LLC") and the combination of the
Multi-Advisor Funds did not change the operations of MM LLC. The Combined
Partnership's percentage of ownership of MM LLC was 32.32% immediately after the
combination. After the combination of the Multi-Advisor Funds, the brokerage
commission rate was reduced to 0.7083 of 1% (an 8.5% annual rate).
3. INVESTMENTS
As of September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, the Partnership had an
investment in ML Multi-Manager Portfolio of $45,630,898 and $53,823,502,
respectively. As of September 30, 2004, and December 31, 2003, the Partnership's
percentage ownership share of MM LLC was 46.51% and 38.41%, respectively.
5
Condensed statements of financial condition and statements of operations for MM
LLC are set forth as follows:
SEPTEMBER 30,
2004 DECEMBER 31,
(UNAUDITED) 2003
--------------- ---------------
Assets $ 102,069,659 $ 148,476,219
=============== ===============
Liabilities $ 3,957,634 $ 8,347,374
Members' Capital 98,112,025 140,128,845
--------------- ---------------
Total $ 102,069,659 $ 148,476,219
=============== ===============
FOR THE THREE MONTHS FOR THE THREE MONTHS FOR THE NINE MONTHS FOR THE NINE MONTHS
ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2003 ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2003
(UNAUDITED) (UNAUDITED) (UNAUDITED) (UNAUDITED)
------------------------ ------------------------ ------------------------ ------------------------
Revenues $ 972,365 $ 421,491 $ 1,289,591 $ 10,962,893
Expenses 1,665,822 1,528,145 5,052,221 6,582,622
------------------------ ------------------------ ------------------------ ------------------------
Net Income (loss) $ (693,457) $ (1,106,654) $ (3,762,630) $ 4,380,271
======================== ======================== ======================== ========================
4. FAIR VALUE AND OFF-BALANCE SHEET RISK
The Partnership invests indirectly in derivative instruments as a result of its
investment in MM LLC, but does not itself hold any derivative instrument
positions. The nature of this Partnership has certain risks, which can not be
presented in the financial statements. The following summarizes some of those
risks resulting from its investment in MM LLC.
MARKET RISK
Derivative financial instruments involve varying degrees of off-balance sheet
market risk. Changes in the level or volatility of interest rates, foreign
currency exchange rates or the market values of the underlying financial
instruments or commodities underlying such derivative instruments frequently
result in changes in the Partnership's allocation of net unrealized profit
(loss) on such derivative instruments as reflected in the Statements of
Financial Condition of MM LLC. The Partnership's exposure to market risk is
influenced by a number of factors, including the relationships among the
derivative instruments held by the Partnership and MM LLC, as well as the
volatility and liquidity of such markets in which such derivative instruments
are traded.
The General Partner, MLIM LLC, has procedures in place intended to control
market risk exposure, although there can be no assurance that they will, in
fact, succeed in doing so. These procedures focus primarily on monitoring the
trading of the Advisors selected from time to time by MM LLC, and include
calculating the Net Asset Values of the Advisors' respective Partnership
accounts and MM LLC accounts as of the close of business on each day and
reviewing outstanding positions for over-concentrations both on an
Advisor-by-Advisor and on an overall Partnership basis. While MLIM LLC does not
itself
6
intervene in the markets to hedge or diversify the Partnership's market
exposure, MLIM LLC may urge Advisors to reallocate positions, or itself
reallocate Partnership assets, through MM LLC, among Advisors (although
typically only as of the end of a month) in an attempt to avoid
over-concentrations. However, such interventions are unusual and unless it
appears that an Advisor has begun to deviate from past practice or trading
policies or to be trading erratically, MLIM LLC's basic risk control procedures
consist simply of the ongoing process of advisor monitoring and selection with
the market risk controls being applied by the Advisors themselves.
CREDIT RISK
The risks associated with exchange-traded contracts are typically perceived to
be less than those associated with over-the-counter (non-exchange-traded)
transactions, because exchanges typically (but not universally) provide
clearinghouse arrangements in which the collective credit (in some cases limited
in amount, in some cases not) of the members of the exchange is pledged to
support the financial integrity of the exchange. In over-the-counter
transactions, on the other hand, traders must rely solely on the credit of their
respective individual counterparties. Margins, which may be subject to loss in
the event of a default, are generally required in exchange trading, and
counterparties may require margin in the over-the-counter markets.
The Partnership, through MM LLC, has credit risk in respect of its
counterparties and brokers, but attempts to mitigate this risk by dealing
exclusively with Merrill Lynch entities as clearing brokers.
The Partnership, through MM LLC, in its normal course of business, enters into
various contracts with Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Inc. ("MLPF&S")
acting as its commodity broker. Pursuant to the brokerage agreement with MLPF&S
(which includes a netting arrangement), to the extent that such trading results
in receivables from and payables to MLPF&S, these receivables and payables are
offset and reported as a net receivable or payable in the financial statements
of MM LLC under Equity in commodity futures trading accounts in Net Unrealized
profit on open contracts on the Statements of Financial Condition.
Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations
MONTH-END NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT
JAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JUN. JUL. AUG. SEP.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2003 $ 1.0317 $ 1.0629 $ 1.0162 $ 1.0217 $ 1.0734 $ 1.0555 $ 1.0397 $ 1.0345 $ 1.0382
2004 $ 1.0929 $ 1.1324 $ 1.1301 $ 1.0899 $ 1.0748 $ 1.0406 $ 1.0365 $ 1.0284 $ 1.0266
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Performance Summary
All of the Partnership's assets are invested in MM LLC. The Partnership
recognizes trading profits or losses as an investor in MM LLC. The following
commentary describes the trading results of MM LLC.
JANUARY 1, 2004 TO SEPTEMBER 30, 2004
January 1, 2004 to March 31, 2004
MM LLC experienced gains in the interest rate, metals, agricultural commodities,
energy, and currency sectors and losses in stock indices. Overall, for the
quarter, MM LLC experienced gains.
The interest sector posted the largest gains for the quarter despite choppy
trading conditions early in the quarter. In January, profits were generated from
various positions at the short end of the curve in Canada
7
and Europe, while losses were posted at longer points in the curve in both the
U.S. and Europe. In February, fixed income markets resumed their slow upward
trend. In March, long exposure to most of the major global yield curves proved
to generate positive results.
The metals sector posted gains for the quarter as well. In January, both
precious and industrial metals generated positive returns from the long side.
Base metals continued to move higher with the exception of nickel. Copper rose
to its highest price in more than six years due to supply disruptions and heavy
demand from new home construction. In February, base metals continued their
upward move as the sector experienced strong demand, shrinking supply and U.S.
dollar weakness, helping to drive prices higher. Strong industrial demand for
copper and continued speculative interest pushed the market to a seven year
high. In March, industrial metals generated minor losses for MM LLC, while
precious metals contributed significantly, particularly, gold and silver.
The agricultural commodities sector posted gains early in the quarter as the
USDA cut its forecast of the crop supply for both soybeans and corn, which sent
prices surging. In February, grain markets extended their long-term rally, with
corn and soybeans being pushed to highs on strong demand and low stockpiles.
Grain markets continued to extend their long-term rally in March, with corn,
soybeans and soymeal being pushed higher on strong demand from Asia and lower
estimates of supply from South America.
The energy sector posted gains for the quarter. In crude oil and more broad
energy markets, weather and OPEC were the dominant factors behind price moves
during January. Weather was extremely cold in the Northeast and Midwest U.S.,
which caused a sharp rally in natural gas and heating oil. Crude oil had a sharp
rally in early February and gradually sold-off as the markets became complacent
about the OPEC meeting. The market continued this trend, as weather-related
demand and tight U.S. inventories continued. In March, the energy sectors posted
a small loss under extremely volatile market conditions. The crude oil market
had very choppy performance during the month, as did the heating oil market.
The currency sector posted slight gains for the quarter. The currency sector
began the quarter with gains as it continued its long trend of a weakening U.S.
dollar. However, trading was very choppy and gains generated in the early part
of January were lost. In February and March, the trend continued as currency
trading was very difficult due to the heightened volatility in the markets.
Stock indices posted losses despite gains early in the quarter. Stock indices
posted a profit for January, as long exposure to global equities from momentum
based and fundamental models performed well. In February, long exposure to
global equities produced positive performance. In March, stock indices posted a
loss that exceeded the gains from earlier in the quarter. Long Nikkei profits
were overcome by losses in long exposure to European equities, which later
flipped to short positions by month-end.
April 1, 2004 to June 30, 2004
MM LLC experienced an overall loss for the quarter. The energy sector was the
only profitable sector for MM LLC.
The energy sector posted gains for the quarter despite volatile market
conditions. Crude oil and unleaded gas were the main drivers of performance. In
May, crude oil prices continued to increase during the month, including refined
products, as did market volatility. Political uncertainties in the Middle East
added an additional risk premium to the markets. Losses were posted for the
month of June. Crude oil and heating oil were the largest contributors to losses
as markets sold-off early during the month when OPEC agreed to provide more
supply, while U.S. inventory levels showed a gradual increase. MM LLC maintained
a long bias in this sector throughout the quarter.
The agricultural sector posted a loss for the quarter despite small gains in
April and June. Early in the quarter, agricultural markets reversed their upward
trend with the fear that demand from China would
8
slow down. Long exposure to the soybean complex outweighed losses in other
markets, particularly corn. Large losses were posted in May. Soybean prices
collapsed, and sold off close to 20% from highs in April as ideal weather
conditions persisted in the Midwest and exports failed to materialize. Demand
from China and diminishing supplies had kept prices high for quite some time.
Small gains were posted in June, with cotton prices dropping allowing short
exposures to generate profits. Corn also posted a significant decline during the
month, which caused the portfolio to adjust positions from long to short. Corn
experienced a dramatic improvement in estimates of acreage and yields, due to
high prices and positive weather conditions.
The interest rate sector posted a loss for the quarter with small gains posted
in May. In April, the fixed income markets experienced heightened volatility and
then fell sharply, followed by a short bounce and then trended down for the rest
of the month. The portfolio was long on many of the global yield curves at the
start of the month and began reducing exposure and initiating shorts mid month.
In May, Eurodollars and short sterling exposure proved profitable during the
month, as strong employment figures in the U.S. confirmed a scenario whereby the
Federal Reserve will raise rates by this summer and the Bank of England
indicated it will raise rates to slow down the growth in economy. In June,
Eurodollars fell early in the month and finally gained 28 basis points from
their lows. U.S. fixed income trading was flat, while gains in trading Japanese
Government bonds were outweighed by losses in trading the European yield curve.
Stock indices posted losses throughout the quarter. In April, equities continued
to rally in the early part of the month, but the fear of rate increase based on
positive economic news sent equities falling with a steep sell-off towards the
end of the month. Equities worldwide stayed weak, on concerns of the imminent
rate increases in U.S. interest rates. The Japanese Nikkei experienced a sudden
deterioration in sentiment, which sent the market plunging around 5% in one day.
The metals sector posted losses for the quarter. In April, both industrial and
precious metals generated significant losses for the portfolio. The U.S. dollar
strengthening and the fear of higher interest rates, which would curb growth,
caused base and precious metals to sell-off. Both industrial and precious metals
generated slight losses for the portfolio in May. In June, industrial metals
detracted from performance as zinc fell by approximately 11% and copper lost 3%.
The currency sector posted the largest losses for the quarter. In April, the
U.S. dollar strengthened considerably during the month, with the Euro falling
below 120 and the British pound falling to 1.77. The Japanese yen fell sharply
after a strong rebound in March. Gains in the British pound and the Euro
overcame losses from the Japanese yen and Australian dollar positioning. In May,
the U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies except for the Australian
dollar after strengthening considerably during the prior month. Losses in the
Japanese yen, Australian dollar and the Swiss franc were mitigated by gains in
the British pound. In June, most major currencies displayed no clear direction,
but exhibited high intra day volatility. Losses were incurred from positions in
the Australian dollar, Swiss franc, British pound and other major markets.
July 1, 2004 to September 30, 2004
MM LLC experienced gains in the interest rate, energy, agricultural commodities
and metals sectors and losses in the stock indices and currency sectors.
Overall, for the quarter, MM LLC experienced gains.
The interest rate sector posted gains for MM LLC for the quarter. In July, U.S.
bond prices rallied for a second month on weaker employment data. Bond prices in
Europe advanced, while in Japan they declined. U.S. fixed income trading was
positive; gains in trading German Bunds were offset by losses in other
international yield curves. In August, U.S. bond prices rallied early in the
month following the release of lackluster payroll data. Bond prices in Europe
also advanced. Strong gains were generated in U.S. and European fixed income
trading. The interest rate sector turned around in September but gains
9
still offset those losses for the quarter. U.S. Treasury markets reacted to the
employment data with a violent sell-off at the beginning of the month, which
caused the Advisors to reduce the portfolio's long exposure or change to a net
short bias. Softer economic data eventually pushed longer-term maturities higher
by the end of the month.
The energy sector posted profits throughout the quarter. Crude oil prices
climbed as prices reached record levels. Energy markets had been driven higher
on concerns about limited spare capacity from OPEC, growing demand globally,
instability with Russian suppliers and terrorism. In August, crude oil reached a
21-year high mid-month before selling off. Short exposure to natural gas also
contributed to performance. The energy sector continued to rally, as hurricanes
in the southeastern U.S., higher demand from overseas and ongoing geopolitical
tensions create supply concerns.
The agricultural commodities sector also posted a gain for the quarter. In July,
the sector posted a gain for the month as cotton prices dropped allowing short
exposures to generate profits. Corn also posted a significant decline, which was
profitable for short positions. New crop soybeans, corn, and wheat are all
trading in what has developed to be the best growing season in years. Weather
conditions had been quite optimal, which lead many to believe that crops would
have record yields. The market priced in a near term surplus for many of these
markets. In August, the USDA gave a low crop estimate as there were forecasts of
an early freeze following a cool summer and slow crop development all surprising
the market and posting losses as the short positions were covered. In September,
many grain markets resumed their downward trend, particularly soybeans, corn and
cotton after rallying in August. This sell-off was based on fundamental data
reported.
The metals sector also posted a small gain for the quarter despite losses in
July and August. In July, industrial metals slightly detracted from performance,
as gains in long copper exposure could not offset losses in nickel and aluminum
positioning. Gold prices posted a modest gain during the month. In August, gains
in short zinc exposure could not offset losses in long base metal positioning.
Gold prices rose during the month, as weak economic data continued to drive down
expectations of future rate hikes in the U.S. The sector posted a gain in
September. Industrial metals, particularly copper added to performance, while
exposure to precious metals contributed a small gain. Copper rallied based on
increasing demand from China and tight supply conditions.
Trading in stock indices posted a loss for the quarter despite small gains
posted in August. Major global equity markets recorded sharp declines in July
with a lack of volatility. A short bias to U.S. early in the month allowed for
some positive performance, but a long bias to most international equities
detracted from performance. Exposure to Japan and European equities contributed
most of the losses. Global equity indices were largely unchanged mid quarter
after an initial sell-off and rally at the end of August. A short bias to global
equities late in the quarter allowed for some positive performance and short
positions were later covered toward the end of the quarter, as the markets
changed direction. Gains in the U.S. outweighed losses in exposure to Asian and
European equities. Global equity indices experienced a small rally during
September. European equities outperformed the U.S. and Asian markets. Losses in
the U.S. outweighed moderate gains in some of the international markets late in
the quarter.
The currency sector posted the largest losses for the quarter for MM LLC.
Currency markets remained choppy as the market continued to react to new
releases of economic data. Weaker economic data was reported, particularly the
employment report, and then went onto rally, based on a robust forecast for U.S.
economic growth by Federal Reserve Chairman, Alan Greenspan. Gains made in
trading Euro were offset by losses in the Swiss franc, British pound and
Japanese yen. The market uncertainty about the future macroeconomic environment
resulted in random price moves and a lack of any sustainable trends within the
sector. August began with the U.S. dollar weakening, on soft economic data, most
notably the payroll data and the trade deficit. In September, the positive
non-farm payroll data initially caused an appreciation of the U.S. dollar, which
later faded toward the end of the month, as the announcement of China joining
the G-8 meeting re-ignited a U.S. dollar weakening.
10
JANUARY 1, 2003 TO SEPTEMBER 30, 2003
January 1, 2003 to March 31, 2003
MM LLC experienced gains in the currency, energy, interest rate and stock index
sectors and losses in the agricultural commodity and metals sectors. Overall,
for the quarter, MM LLC experienced gains.
The currency forward and futures trading had the most significant gains for
the quarter. The weakening U.S. dollar was continuing to decline as it has
for over a year and MM LLC was well positioned to capitalize on its U.S.
dollar positions against other currencies. The largest gains versus the U.S.
dollar during January and February were with the Australian dollar and
Canadian dollar. In March, the U.S. dollar strengthened on hopes that the war
with Iraq would be short, and returned some of the profits from earlier in
the year.
Energy was a profitable sector for the quarter. With the continuation of the
strike in Venezuela, the tensions with Iraq and the cold winter, long positions
in oil and natural gas were profitable in the beginning of the year. In
February, the best performing month, natural gas prices rose nearly 40% in a
single day citing expected severely cold weather and supply shortages. MM LLC
profited from this event but such volatility caused many of the Advisors to
reduce their long positions. This helped MM LLC retain profits as prices
declined in crude oil and natural gas in March.
Interest rate futures were also profitable for the quarter. February had
significant gains offsetting losses in both January and March. U.S. and European
bonds rallied amid concerns of a global economic slowdown benefiting MM LLC's
long exposures. Selective long/short rate exposure globally was the main driver
to gains generated in the sector. The global fixed income markets continued
their upward climb until mid-March when expectations of a short conflict
triggered the liquidation of many fixed income investments, hurting long
exposures.
Trading in stock indices posted slight gains for the quarter. The market was
choppy throughout the quarter making trading difficult. MM LLC was able to
realize some gains in January on short positions as most indices recorded
three-month lows. During the rest of the quarter, choppy markets caused short
positions to be covered to protect against the risk of significant losses.
The metals sector had losses for the quarter. Gold drove profits in January as
it continued its run up. The general perception of risks in the financial
markets and the geopolitical situation unfolding was the main driver for the
gold market in January. MM LLC sustained losses in February and March as the
long bias in precious metals hurt the portfolio when gold reversed its rising
trend in February and continued to decline. Gold's appeal as a safe investment
diminished.
Trading in agricultural commodities posted losses for the quarter. MM LLC held
positions in sugar, livestock and the soybean complex. Livestock markets were
off in February as Russia imposed an import limit to help its domestic
production. Sugar was to blame for losses in March as prices reversed and hit a
two-month low.
April 1, 2003 to June 30, 2003
MM LLC was profitable in the financial futures, (currencies, interest rates and
stock index sectors), and incurred losses in the physical commodity sectors,
energy, agriculture and metals.
The currency sector was the strongest performer for MM LLC. The U.S. dollar
depreciated against most major currencies throughout most of the second quarter.
The currency markets judged the developments in the Middle East as negative for
the U.S. economy and trade, and the U.S. dollar sold off against most major
currencies. The U.S. dollar continued to weaken significantly during the month
of May when U.S. Treasury Secretary Snow indicated he was comfortable with
current declines and that a cheaper U.S.
11
dollar would increase exports. The U.S. dollar strengthened against most major
currencies late June, reversing some earlier profits.
The interest rate sector generated strong gains during the second quarter
producing significant profits in May. After a mixed start in April, the bond
market rally continued through May despite the stock market recovery. The U.S.,
European and Japanese bond markets reached new highs in June, as investors were
convinced the Federal Reserve would cut short-term rates by 50 basis points. A
stronger Consumer Price Index and a rate cut of only 25 basis points
disappointed the markets causing bond prices to reverse sharply by the end of
the month.
The stock index sector posted gains for the quarter. Gains were generated in
short-term trading in the U.S. and Europe, primarily the S&P 500 and selected
European indices. Overall exposure to the sector remained relatively light.
The energy markets posted losses for the quarter. The markets in April and May
were dominated by the developments in the Middle East, especially OPEC's
reaction to the developments in Iraq. Production was not being resumed as
initially estimated even though the destruction of the oilfields was smaller
than expected. The SARS epidemic was expected to reduce the demand for jet fuel,
which the markets extrapolated to affect crude oil prices. Natural gas was very
volatile during June.
Trading in agricultural commodities had losses for the quarter. Gains in April,
mainly from soybeans, which rallied due to revisions crop estimates and weather
overseas, were overshadowed by losses in May and June due to changes in crop
estimates and a volatile livestock market. Losses were posted in livestock, oil
seed and grains.
The metals sector generated the greatest losses for MM LLC this quarter. Short
positions in base metals and precious metals contributed to losses in the
sector. Gold generated losses in June reacting to the U.S. dollar sell off.
July 1, 2003 to September 30, 2003
For the third quarter, gains were generated in the metals, agricultural
commodities, interest rates and the stock indices sectors, while the currencies
and energy sectors posted losses.
The metals sector posted the highest gain for the third quarter. Long positions
in the metals, particularly in gold and nickel, made significant price movements
to the upside. At the closing of the third quarter, both the industrial and
metal complex sectors benefited from increases in valuation.
The agricultural commodities sector posted a gain for the third quarter. In the
beginning of the third quarter, short exposure in corn generated strong profits
as the U.S. government forecasts reporting a record crop for this year. Supply
and demand continued to drive the cattle market as prices rose sharply in the
beginning of the third quarter. In the middle of the third quarter grain markets
exhibited a large price move as soybeans and corn rallied 16% and 14%,
respectively. Weather drove prices up due to very little rain in the Midwest,
where the majority of the U.S. crops grow. Trend-followers covered their short
exposure to these markets and, by the middle of the quarter, went long, managing
to recoup some of the losses. By the end of the third quarter, supply concerns
drove the corn and soybean markets due to the fact the USDA reported a better
than expected yield on corn and low yields on soybeans. Managers that were short
corn took advantage of the decrease in price due to the high yields. Due to the
USDA announcement regarding low soybean yields and low soybean harvest results,
the price of soybean rallied by 13.8%. Most of the fundamental and systematic
managers were able to profit from these developments.
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The interest rate sector posted a small gain for the third quarter. At the
beginning of the third quarter, the U.S. bond market suffered losses after the
U.S. government announced its intentions to borrow a record amount to finance
the huge deficit. European bonds were weaker, but outperformed the U.S. Profits
were generated in the U.S. segment of the portfolio, primarily in the ten-year
Note, but negative performance from global bonds outweighed these gains. During
the middle of the third quarter interest rates posted a gain due to the massive
sell-off in bonds during July which seemed to have found a base during the month
of August. Despite a record $60 billion refunding program in the U.S., bonds
managed a timid recovery after making new lows. Japanese Government Bonds lost
five figures during this period with interest rates on hold at the short end of
the curve in Europe and in the U.S., trading was characterized by small ranges,
which generated and Japanese Government Bond exposure outweighed moderate losses
across other global fixed income markets. At the end of the third quarter short
positions in the ten year and 30 Year sector of the U.S. bond market generated
losses, as yields dropped from 4.46% to 3.94% on the ten year.
The stock index sector posted the smallest gain for the third quarter. At the
beginning of the third quarter, the equities were fairly quiet with strong gains
being generated in trading global stock indices, primarily the Nikkei 225.
During the middle of the quarter, the losses in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones
futures outweighed gains in other markets. However, the Japanese Nikkei was the
star performer as it gained over 8% on strong economic numbers.
The currency sector posted a loss for the third quarter. At the beginning of the
third quarter, the U.S. dollar appreciated relative to other currencies with
losses being experienced in most positions specifically, the Australian dollar,
the Canadian dollar and the British pound. Large reversals occurred in these
carry-trades, as markets focused attention on economic fundamentals rather than
yield differentials. During the middle of the third quarter, the U.S. dollar
appreciated relative to the European currencies. The third quarter ended with
the G-7 summit directing the market to the idea that a weak U.S. dollar is
important to global trade balance causing losses on trades with the U.S. dollar.
The energy sector posted a loss for the third quarter. OPEC maintained their
output targets, demonstrating that they are comfortable with energy prices near
the high end of the range. During the middle of the quarter, crude oil and most
of the other energy markets were almost unchanged with high volatility
throughout this period. The volatility was mainly due to the uncertainty in
supply and estimates of demand that were projected to increase. This was partly
offset by expectations of the possible resumption of oil production by Iraq.
Strong gains were generated trading unleaded gas and crude oil, only to be
reversed in September. Many of the systematic managers had difficulties trading
crude oil in the last part of the third quarter as the price dropped from a high
of $31.40 on September 3rd to a low of $26.65 on September 19th. This caused
many managers to flip from positions long to short and incurred losses.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Not applicable
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
Merrill Lynch Investment Managers LLC, the General Partner of ML Futures
Investments L.P., with the participation of the General Partner's Principal
Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the
effectiveness of the design and operation of its disclosure controls and
procedures with respect to the Partnership within 90 days of the filing date of
this quarterly report, and, based on this evaluation, has concluded that these
disclosure controls and procedures are effective. Additionally, there were no
significant changes in the Partnership's internal controls or in other factors
that could significantly affect these controls subsequent to the date of their
evaluation, including any corrective actions with regard to significant
deficiencies and material weaknesses.
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PART II - OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
There are no pending proceedings to which the Partnership, MM LLC or
MLIM LLC is a party.
Item 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds
(a) None.
(b) None.
(c) None.
(d) None.
Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities
None.
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
None.
Item 5. Other Information
None.
Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K.
(a) EXHIBITS.
There are no exhibits required to be filed with this report.
(b) REPORTS ON FORM 8-K.
There were no reports on Form 8-K filed during the first nine months
of fiscal 2004.
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the
registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the
undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
ML FUTURES INVESTMENTS L.P.
By: MERRILL LYNCH INVESTMENT
MANAGERS LLC
General Partner
Date: November 15, 2004 By /s/ VINAY MENDIRATTA
---------------------
Vinay Mendiratta
Managing Director and Chief Operating Officer
-Alternative Strategies and Quantitative
Advisers Divisions
(Principal Executive Officer)
Date: November 15, 2004 By /s/ PATRICK HAYWARD
-------------------
Patrick Hayward
Chief Financial Officer
(Principal Financial and Accounting Officer)
15