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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 10-Q

ý   QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

FOR THE QUARTERLY PERIOD ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004

OR

o

 

TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Commission file number 1-11840

    

 

 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware
(State of Incorporation)
  36-3871531
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

2775 Sanders Road
Northbrook, Illinois

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

60062
(Zip Code)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code: 847/402-5000

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

Yes ý    No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).

Yes ý    No o

As of October 31, 2004, the registrant had 686,212,152 common shares, $.01 par value, outstanding.




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
INDEX TO QUARTERLY REPORT ON FORM 10-Q
September 30, 2004

 
   
  PAGE
PART I   FINANCIAL INFORMATION    

Item 1.

 

Financial Statements

 

 

 

 

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations for the Three-Month and Nine-Month Periods Ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 (unaudited)

 

1

 

 

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position as of September 30, 2004 (unaudited) and December 31, 2003

 

2

 

 

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Nine-Month Periods Ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 (unaudited)

 

3

 

 

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited)

 

4

 

 

Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

 

22

Item 2.

 

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

 

 

 

 

    Highlights

 

23
        Property-Liability Highlights   24
        Allstate Protection Segment   27
        Discontinued Lines and Coverages Segment   37
        Allstate Financial Highlights   39
        Allstate Financial Segment   40
        Investments   49
        Capital Resources and Liquidity   51
        Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors   53

Item 4.

 

Controls and Procedures

 

56

PART II

 

OTHER INFORMATION

 

 

Item 1.

 

Legal Proceedings

 

57

Item 2.

 

Changes in Securities, Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

 

57

Item 6.

 

Exhibits

 

57


PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions, except per share data)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
 
  (Unaudited)

  (Unaudited)

 
Revenues                          
  Property-liability insurance premiums earned   $ 6,551   $ 6,230     19,382   $ 18,375  
  Life and annuity premiums and contract charges     508     538     1,508     1,710  
  Net investment income     1,333     1,246     3,906     3,697  
  Realized capital gains and losses     50     113     261     105  
   
 
 
 
 
      8,442     8,127     25,057     23,887  
   
 
 
 
 
Costs and expenses                          
  Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense     5,661     4,506     13,668     13,184  
  Life and annuity contract benefits     401     424     1,174     1,380  
  Interest credited to contractholder funds     505     467     1,455     1,380  
  Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs     1,124     1,015     3,251     2,989  
  Operating costs and expenses     738     716     2,241     2,197  
  Restructuring and related charges     (1 )   19     26     56  
  Interest expense     76     70     223     204  
   
 
 
 
 
      8,504     7,217     22,038     21,390  
   
 
 
 
 
Loss on disposition of operations     (6 )   (12 )   (17 )   (9 )

(Loss) income from operations before income tax (benefit) expense, dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

(68

)

 

898

 

 

3,002

 

 

2,488

 

Income tax (benefit) expense

 

 

(124

)

 

206

 

 

788

 

 

538

 
   
 
 
 
 
Income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax     56     692     2,214     1,950  

Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust

 

 


 

 


 

 


 

 

(5

)

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 


 

 

(1

)

 

(175

)

 

(1

)
   
 
 
 
 
Net income   $ 56   $ 691     2,039   $ 1,944  
   
 
 
 
 
Earnings per share:                          

Net income per share—basic

 

$

0.10

 

$

0.98

 

$

2.92

 

$

2.76

 
   
 
 
 
 
Weighted average shares—basic     692.1     703.3     698.8     703.5  
   
 
 
 
 
Net income per share—diluted   $ 0.09   $ 0.97   $ 2.90   $ 2.75  
   
 
 
 
 
Weighted average shares—diluted     696.8     706.0     703.5     705.9  
   
 
 
 
 

See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

1



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(in millions, except par value data)
  September 30,
2004

  December 31,
2003

 
 
  (Unaudited)

 
Assets              
Investments              
  Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $89,351 and $82,607)   $ 94,544   $ 87,741  
  Equity securities, at fair value (cost $4,644 and $4,028)     5,624     5,288  
  Mortgage loans     7,695     6,539  
  Short-term     4,691     1,815  
  Other     1,741     1,698  
   
 
 
    Total investments     114,295     103,081  

Cash

 

 

370

 

 

366

 
Premium installment receivables, net     4,824     4,386  
Deferred policy acquisition costs     4,833     4,842  
Reinsurance recoverables, net     3,844     3,121  
Accrued investment income     1,069     1,068  
Property and equipment, net     1,001     1,046  
Goodwill     828     929  
Other assets     3,395     1,878  
Separate Accounts     13,313     13,425  
   
 
 
    Total assets   $ 147,772   $ 134,142  
   
 
 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense   $ 19,843   $ 17,714  
Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits     11,561     11,020  
Contractholder funds     53,478     47,071  
Unearned premiums     9,983     9,187  
Claim payments outstanding     710     698  
Other liabilities and accrued expenses     11,748     8,283  
Deferred income taxes     699     1,103  
Short-term debt     99     3  
Long-term debt     5,300     5,073  
Separate Accounts     13,313     13,425  
   
 
 
    Total liabilities     126,734     113,577  
   
 
 

Commitments and Contingent Liabilities (Notes 4 and 7)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued          
Common stock, $.01 par value, 2 billion shares authorized and 900 million issued, 689 million and 704 million shares outstanding     9     9  
Additional capital paid-in     2,686     2,614  
Retained income     23,093     21,641  
Deferred compensation expense     (166 )   (194 )
Treasury stock, at cost (211 million and 196 million shares)     (7,028 )   (6,261 )
Accumulated other comprehensive income:              
  Unrealized net capital gains and losses and net gains and losses on derivative financial instruments     2,802     3,125  
  Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments     1     (10 )
  Minimum pension liability adjustment     (359 )   (359 )
   
 
 
    Total accumulated other comprehensive income     2,444     2,756  
   
 
 
    Total shareholders' equity     21,038     20,565  
   
 
 
    Total liabilities and shareholders' equity   $ 147,772   $ 134,142  
   
 
 

See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

2



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

 
  Nine months ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
 
 
  (Unaudited)

 
Cash flows from operating activities              
  Net income   $ 2,039   $ 1,944  
  Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:              
    Depreciation, amortization and other non-cash items     8     3  
    Realized capital gains and losses     (261 )   (105 )
    Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle     175     1  
    Interest credited to contractholder funds     1,455     1,380  
    Changes in:              
      Policy benefit and other insurance reserves     2,085     1,050  
      Unearned premiums     706     635  
      Deferred policy acquisition costs     (383 )   (321 )
      Premium installment receivables, net     (451 )   (360 )
      Reinsurance recoverables, net     (575 )   (222 )
      Income taxes payable     (414 )   453  
      Other operating assets and liabilities     445     386  
   
 
 
        Net cash provided by operating activities     4,829     4,844  
   
 
 
Cash flows from investing activities              
  Proceeds from sales              
    Fixed income securities     14,648     15,100  
    Equity securities     2,565     1,916  
  Investment collections              
    Fixed income securities     4,441     4,926  
    Mortgage loans     564     552  
  Investment purchases              
    Fixed income securities     (25,724 )   (26,930 )
    Equity securities     (2,807 )   (2,520 )
    Mortgage loans     (1,731 )   (874 )
  Change in short-term investments, net     (814 )   161  
  Change in other investments, net     (106 )   (40 )
  Purchases of property and equipment, net     (127 )   (129 )
   
 
 
      Net cash used in investing activities     (9,091 )   (7,838 )
   
 
 
Cash flows from financing activities              
  Change in short-term debt, net     96     (279 )
  Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt     655     400  
  Repayment of long-term debt     (13 )   (332 )
  Contractholder fund deposits     10,080     7,845  
  Contractholder fund withdrawals     (5,197 )   (4,291 )
  Dividends paid     (562 )   (472 )
  Treasury stock purchases     (975 )   (112 )
  Other     182     20  
   
 
 
      Net cash provided by financing activities     4,266     2,779  
   
 
 
Net increase (decrease) in cash     4     (215 )
Cash at beginning of period     366     462  
   
 
 
Cash at end of period   $ 370   $ 247  
   
 
 

See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

3


THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(Unaudited)

1.     Basis of Presentation

        The accompanying condensed consolidated financial statements include the accounts of The Allstate Corporation and its wholly owned subsidiaries, primarily Allstate Insurance Company, a property-liability insurance company with various property-liability and life and investment subsidiaries, including Allstate Life Insurance Company ("ALIC") (collectively referred to as the "Company" or "Allstate").

        The condensed consolidated financial statements and notes as of September 30, 2004, and for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 are unaudited. The condensed consolidated financial statements reflect all adjustments (consisting only of normal recurring accruals), which are, in the opinion of management, necessary for the fair presentation of the financial position, results of operations and cash flows for the interim periods. These condensed consolidated financial statements and notes should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003. The results of operations for the interim periods should not be considered indicative of results to be expected for the full year.

        To conform to the 2004 presentation, certain amounts in the prior year's condensed consolidated financial statements and notes have been reclassified.

        Non-cash investment exchanges and modifications, which primarily reflect refinancings of fixed income securities and mergers completed with equity securities, totaled $86 million and $51 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively.

Adopted accounting standards

Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") Staff Position Nos. FAS 106-1 and FAS 106-2, "Accounting and Disclosure Requirements Related to the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003" ("FSP FAS 106-1" and "FSP FAS 106-2")

        In January 2004, the FASB issued FSP FAS 106-1 to address the accounting implications of the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003 ("Act"). The Act, which was signed into law on December 8, 2003, provides, among other things, a federal subsidy to plan sponsors who maintain postretirement health care plans ("plans") that provide prescription drug benefits and meet certain equivalency criteria. FSP FAS 106-1 allowed reporting entities to make a one-time election to defer recognizing the impact of the Act on their accumulated postretirement benefit obligation ("APBO") and net periodic postretirement benefit cost determined in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 106, "Employer's Accounting for Postretirement Benefits Other Than Pensions" until sufficient guidance was developed to permit a determination of both the qualification for the subsidy and how to recognize the impact of the subsidy on its APBO and net periodic postretirement benefit cost. The Company adopted FSP FAS 106-1 in the first quarter of 2004 and elected to defer recognition of the accounting impact of the Act as information was not available to determine with sufficient certainty whether the Company's plans meet the equivalency criteria, and if so, how to recognize the impact of the subsidy on its APBO and net periodic postretirement benefit cost.

        In May 2004, the FASB issued FSP FAS 106-2, which supercedes FSP FAS 106-1, to provide guidance on accounting for the effects of the Act. FSP FAS 106-2, which the Company adopted in the third quarter of 2004, requires reporting entities that elected deferral under FSP FAS 106-1 and are able to determine if their plans are actuarially equivalent to recognize the impact of the Act no later than the first interim or annual reporting period beginning after June 15, 2004. In July 2004, the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services ("CMS") issued proposed regulations for the Act, including three different proposals for the determination of actuarial equivalence. Depending on which proposal is adopted, the Company's plans may not meet the actuarial equivalence criteria. As a result, the Company is currently unable to determine if its plans are actuarially equivalent. Accordingly, the Company's measurement of its APBO and net periodic postretirement benefit cost do not reflect any amount associated with the subsidy. Once the Company is able to determine if its plans are actuarially equivalent, it will estimate the impact of the Act on its APBO and net periodic postretirement benefit cost, neither of which is expected to be material to the Company's Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations or Financial Position.

4


Statement of Position No. 03-1, "Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Nontraditional Long-Duration Contracts and for Separate Accounts" ("SOP 03-1")

        On January 1, 2004, the Company adopted SOP 03-1. The major provisions of the SOP affecting the Company require:

        The cumulative effect of the change in accounting principle from implementing SOP 03-1 was a loss of $175 million, after-tax ($269 million, pre-tax). It was comprised of an increase in benefits reserves (primarily for variable annuity contracts) of $145 million, pre-tax, and a reduction in DAC and deferred sales inducements ("DSI") of $124 million, pre-tax.

        The SOP requires consideration of a range of potential results to estimate the cost of variable annuity death benefits and income benefits, which generally necessitates the use of stochastic modeling techniques. To maintain consistency with the assumptions used in the establishment of reserves for variable annuity guarantees, the Company utilized the results of this stochastic modeling to estimate expected gross profits, which form the basis for determining the amortization of DAC and DSI. This new modeling approach resulted in a lower estimate of expected gross profits, and therefore resulted in a write-down of DAC and DSI.

        In 2004, DSI and related amortization is classified within the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position and Operations as other assets and interest credited to contractholder funds, respectively. The amounts are provided below.

        The Company reclassified $204 million of separate accounts assets and liabilities to investments and contractholder funds, respectively.

        The Company offers various guarantees to variable contractholders including a return of no less than (a) total deposits made on the contract less any customer withdrawals, (b) total deposits made on the contract less any customer withdrawals plus a minimum return or (c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date minus any customer withdrawals following the contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable in the event of death (death benefits), upon annuitization (income benefits), or at specified dates during the accumulation period (accumulation benefits). To manage the risk associated with a portion of its minimum guaranteed death and income benefits, the Company acquired reinsurance for policies issued prior to January 1, 2000. Additionally, the Company hedges death benefits for substantially all contracts issued since January 1, 2003 and accumulation benefits for all contracts issued.

        The table below presents information regarding the Company's variable contracts with guarantees. The Company's variable annuity contracts may offer more than one type of guarantee in each contract; therefore, the sum of amounts listed exceeds the total account balances of variable annuity contracts' separate accounts with guarantees.

5


($ in millions)

  September 30, 2004
In the event of death      
  Account value   $ 13,056
  Net amount at risk(1)   $ 2,398
  Average attained age of contractholders     63 years

At annuitization

 

 

 
  Account value   $ 3,626
  Net amount at risk(2)   $ 86
  Weighted average waiting period until annuitization options available     7 years

Accumulation at specified dates

 

 

 
  Account value   $ 377
  Net amount at risk(3)   $
  Weighted average waiting period until guarantee date     11 years
(1)
Defined as the current guaranteed minimum death benefit in excess of the current account balance at the balance sheet date.
(2)
Defined as the present value of the minimum guaranteed annuity payments determined in accordance with the terms of the contract in excess of the current account balance.
(3)
Defined as the present value of the guaranteed minimum accumulation balance in excess of the current account balance.

        Account balances of variable contracts' separate accounts with guarantees were invested as follows:

(in millions)
  September 30, 2004
Equity securities (including mutual funds)   $ 12,384
Cash and cash equivalents     672
   
Total variable contracts' separate account assets with guarantees   $ 13,056
   

        The following table summarizes the liabilities for guarantees:

(in millions)
  Liability for
guarantees related
to death benefits

  Liability for
guarantees related
to income benefits

  Liability for
guarantees related
to accumulation
benefits

  Total
 
Balance at January 1, 2004   $ 118   $ 41   $   $ 159  
  Less reinsurance recoverables     (12 )   (2 )       (14 )
   
 
 
 
 
Net balance at January 1, 2004     106     39         145  
Incurred guaranteed benefits     30     5     1     36  
Paid guarantee benefits     (49 )           (49 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Net change     (19 )   5     1     (13 )
Net balance at September 30, 2004     87     44     1     132  
  Plus reinsurance recoverables     10             10  
   
 
 
 
 
Balance, September 30, 2004(1)   $ 97   $ 44   $ 1   $ 142  
   
 
 
 
 
(1)
Included in the total liability balance are reserves for variable annuity death benefits of $81 million, variable annuity income benefits of $17 million, variable annuity accumulation benefits of $1 million and other guarantees of $43 million.

        The liability for death and income benefit guarantees is established equal to a benefit ratio multiplied by the cumulative contract charges earned, plus accrued interest less contract benefit payments. The benefit ratio is calculated as the estimated present value of all expected contract benefits divided by the present value of all expected contract charges. For guarantees related to death benefits, benefits represent the current guaranteed minimum death benefit payments in excess of the current account balance. For guarantees related to income benefits, benefits represent the present value of the minimum guaranteed annuity benefits in excess of the current account balance.

6


        Projected benefits and contract charges used in determining the liability for guarantees are developed using models and stochastic scenarios that are also used in the development of estimated expected gross profits. Underlying assumptions for the liability related to income benefits include assumed future annuitization elections based on factors such as the extent of benefit to the potential annuitant, eligibility conditions and the annuitant's attained age. The liability for guarantees will be re-evaluated periodically, and adjustments will be made to the liability balance through a charge or credit to life and annuity contract benefits.

        Guarantees related to accumulation benefits are considered to be derivative financial instruments; therefore, the liability for accumulation benefits is established based on its fair value.

        Costs related to sales inducements offered on sales to new customers, principally on investment contracts and primarily in the form of additional credits to the customer's account value or enhancements to interest credited for a specified period, which are beyond amounts currently being credited to existing contracts, are deferred and recorded as other assets. All other sales inducements are expensed as incurred and included in interest credited to contractholder funds on the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations. DSI is amortized to income using the same methodology and assumptions as DAC and is included in interest credited to contractholder funds. DSI is periodically reviewed for recoverability and written down when necessary.

        DSI activity for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 was as follows:

(in millions)
   
 
Balance, January 1, 2004   $ 99  
Sales inducements deferred     40  
Amortization charged to income     (26 )
Effects of unrealized gains and losses     6  
   
 
Balance, September 30, 2004   $ 119  
   
 

Emerging Issues Task Force Issue No. 03-1, "The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments" ("EITF 03-1") and FSP EITF 03-1-1, "Effective Date of Paragraphs 10-20 of EITF Issue No. 03-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments" ("FSP EITF 03-1-1")

        In March 2004, the Emerging Issues Task Force ("EITF") reached a final consensus on EITF 03-1, which was to be effective for fiscal periods beginning after June 15, 2004. EITF 03-1 requires that when the fair value of an investment security is less than its carrying value an impairment exists for which a determination must be made as to whether the impairment is temporary or other-than-temporary. An impairment loss should be recognized equal to the difference between the investment's carrying value and its fair value when an impairment is other-than-temporary. Subsequent to an other-than temporary impairment loss, a debt security should be accounted for in accordance with Statement of Position No. 03-3, "Accounting for Loans and Certain Debt Securities Acquired in a Transfer", which allows the accretion of the discount between the carrying value and expected value of a security if the amount and timing of the receipt of the expected cash flows is reasonably estimable. EITF 03-1 also indicates that although not presumptive, a pattern of selling investments prior to the forecasted recovery may call into question an investor's intent to hold the security until it recovers in value or otherwise matures.

        The EITF 03-1 impairment model applies to all investment securities accounted for under SFAS No. 115, "Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities" and to investment securities accounted for under the cost method. The final consensus on EITF 03-1 included additional disclosure requirements incremental to those adopted by the Company effective December 31, 2003 that will be effective December 31, 2004.

        In September 2004, the FASB issued FSP EITF Issue 03-1-1, which deferred the effective date of the impairment measurement and recognition provisions contained in paragraphs 10-20 of EITF 03-1 until proposed FSP EITF 03-1-a is issued. (See Pending Accounting Standard.)

7


Pending Accounting Standard

FSP EITF Issue 03-1-a, "Implementation Guidance for the Application of Paragraph 16 of EITF Issue No. 03-1, "The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments" ("FSP EITF Issue 03-1-a").

        In September 2004, the FASB issued proposed FSP EITF 03-1-a, that addresses the application of paragraph 16 of EITF Issue 03-1 to debt securities that are impaired because of increases in interest rates, and/or credit sector spread. Thereafter, in connection with its decision to defer the effective date of paragraphs 10-20 of EITF 03-1 through the issuance of FSP EITF Issue 03-1-1, the FASB requested from its constituents information about both the issues set forth in FSP EITF 03-1-a as well as the issues that arose during the FSP EITF 03-1-b, "Effective Date of Paragraph 16 of EITF Issue No. 03-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments", comment letter process.

        Due to the uncertainty as to how all of the relevant outstanding issues will be resolved, the Company is unable to determine the impact of adopting paragraphs 10-20 of EITF 03-1 until final implementation guidance is issued. Adoption of paragraphs 10-20 of EITF 03-1 may have a material impact on the Company's Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operation but is not expected to have a material impact on the Company's Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position since fluctuations in fair value are already recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income.

2.     Earnings per share

        Basic earnings per share is computed based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding. Diluted earnings per share is computed based on the weighted average number of common and dilutive potential common shares outstanding. For Allstate, dilutive potential common shares consist of the common shares underlying outstanding stock options.

8


        The computations of basic and diluted earnings per share are presented in the following table:

 
  Three months
ended
September 30,

  Nine months
ended
September 30,

 
(in millions, except per share data)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Numerator (applicable to common shareholders):                          
  Income before dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax   $ 56   $ 692   $ 2,214   $ 1,950  
  Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust                 (5 )
  Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax         (1 )   (175 )   (1 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Net income applicable to common shareholders   $ 56   $ 691   $ 2,039   $ 1,944  
   
 
 
 
 
Denominator:                          
  Weighted average common shares outstanding     692.1     703.3     698.8     703.5  
  Effect of potential dilutive securities:                          
    Stock options     4.7     2.7     4.7     2.4  
   
 
 
 
 
  Weighted average common and dilutive potential common shares outstanding     696.8     706.0     703.5     705.9  
   
 
 
 
 
Earnings per share—Basic:                          
  Income before dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax   $ 0.10   $ 0.99   $ 3.17   $ 2.77  
  Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust                  
  Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax         (0.01 )   (0.25 )   (0.01 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Net income applicable to common shareholders   $ 0.10   $ 0.98   $ 2.92   $ 2.76  
   
 
 
 
 
Earnings per share—Diluted:                          
  Income before dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax   $ 0.09   $ 0.98   $ 3.15   $ 2.76  
  Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust                  
  Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax         (0.01 )   (0.25 )   (0.01 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Net income applicable to common shareholders   $ 0.09   $ 0.97   $ 2.90   $ 2.75  
   
 
 
 
 

        Options to purchase 33.5 thousand and 8.9 million Allstate common shares, with exercise prices ranging from $47.26 to $50.72 and $37.06 to $50.72, were outstanding at September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, but were not included in the computation of diluted earnings per share for the three-month periods ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 since inclusion of these options would have an anti-dilutive effect as the options' exercise prices exceeded the average market price of Allstate common shares in the three-month period. Options to purchase 4.0 million and 11.3 million Allstate common shares, with exercise prices ranging from $45.96 to $50.72 and $35.84 to $50.72, were outstanding at September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, but were not included in the computation of diluted earnings per share for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 since inclusion of these options would have an anti-dilutive effect.

9


3.     Disposition

        In February 2004, the Company disposed of a portion of its equity investment in a consolidated investment management variable interest entity ("VIE"). This action triggered, under FASB Interpretation No. 46R, "Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities", a reconsideration of whether the Company remains the primary beneficiary of the VIE. After such reconsideration, the Company determined it was no longer the primary beneficiary of the affected investment management VIE, and accordingly, the VIE was deconsolidated as of the disposition date in the first quarter of 2004. The deconsolidation of the investment management VIE resulted in a decrease in assets of $428 million and a decrease in long-term debt of $412 million at September 30, 2004.

4.     Reserve for Property-Liability Insurance Claims and Claims Expense

        The Company establishes reserves for claims and claims expense on reported and unreported claims of insured losses. These reserve estimates are based on known facts and interpretations of circumstances and internal factors including the Company's experience with similar cases, historical trends involving claim payment patterns, loss payments, pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs and product mix. In addition, the reserve estimates are influenced by external factors including law changes, court decisions, changes to regulatory requirements, economic conditions, and public attitudes. The Company, in the normal course of business, may also supplement its claims processes by utilizing third party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe and non-catastrophe related claims. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process.

        Because reserves are estimates of losses that have occurred, including incurred but not reported ("IBNR") losses, the establishment of appropriate reserves, including reserves for catastrophes, is an inherently uncertain and complex process. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on management's best estimates. Allstate regularly updates its reserve estimates as new information becomes available and as events unfold that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in prior year reserve estimates, which may be material, are reflected in the results of operations in the period such changes are determinable.

        Losses from catastrophes in the third quarter of 2004 includes $1.64 billion, net of recoveries from the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund ("FHCF"), related to Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne. This estimate includes losses in personal lines auto and property policies and net losses on commercial policies. The estimation of these hurricane losses, within the time elapsed since these events, has been complicated by difficulties in gaining access to and estimating the amount and extent of damage for over 205,000 claims submitted to date, estimates of claims yet to be reported, and increased costs due to the effects of increased demand for services and supplies in the affected areas. Cost escalation could occur at a higher level than estimated. However, the Company also may experience favorable development from the number of reported claims and estimates of personal property losses qualifying for FHCF reimbursement. Estimates of gross qualifying personal property losses for Charley and Frances already exceed the $312 million per occurrence FHCF retention thus permitting 90% reimbursement of qualifying losses. For Ivan, the estimated gross loss is $471 million, which includes $225 million of qualifying personal property losses in Florida. For Jeanne, the estimated gross loss is $316 million, which includes $248 million of qualifying personal property losses in Florida. Any adverse development of qualifying personal property losses in Florida for Ivan and Jeanne up to $312 million per storm, or any adverse development of losses not qualifying for reimbursement by the FHCF will adversely impact reportable net income if and when determined.

        Management believes that the reserve for claims and claims expense, net of reinsurance recoverables, at September 30, 2004 is appropriately established in the aggregate and adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of reported and unreported claims arising from losses which had occurred by that date.

10


5.     Reinsurance

        Property-liability insurance premiums and life and annuity premiums and contract charges are net of the following reinsurance ceded:

 
  Three months
ended
September 30,

  Nine months
ended
September 30,

(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Property-liability insurance premiums earned   $ 109   $ 82   $ 290   $ 225
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges     181     114     464     353

        Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense and life and annuity contract benefits are net of the following reinsurance recoveries:

 
  Three months
ended
September 30,

  Nine months
ended
September 30,

(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense   $ 372   $ 229   $ 782   $ 378
Life and annuity contract benefits     125     97     347     272

        The reinsurance recoveries for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2004 reflect the estimated reimbursement of $202 million from the FHCF, which includes $172 million and $30 million for qualifying personal property losses and commercial losses, respectively.

6.     Company Restructuring

        In 2003, the Company completed the restructuring program initiated in 2001 to improve the efficiency of its claims handling and certain other back-office processes primarily through a consolidation and reconfiguration of field claim offices, customer information centers and satellite offices ("2001 program"). The 2001 program resulted in a reduction of the total number of field claim offices and an increase in the average size of individual claim offices. In addition, two customer information centers and two satellite offices were closed. As part of the 2001 program, employees working in facilities selected for closure were given the option to either relocate or collect severance benefits. As a result of the 2001 program, $96 million was accrued for certain employee termination costs and qualified exit costs. The Company realized approximately $175 million of annual pre-tax expense savings as a result of implementing the 2001 program.

        In addition, the Company undertakes various initiatives to reduce expenses and/or increase productivity ("other programs"). The other programs generally involve a reduction in staffing levels, and in certain cases, office closures.

11


        The following table illustrates the inception to date change in the restructuring liability at September 30, 2004:


(in millions)

  Employee
costs

  Exit
costs

  Total
liability

 
2001 program adjustments:                    
  Addition to liability for 2001 program   $ 17   $ 79   $ 96  
  Net adjustments to liability     5     (8 )   (3 )
  Payments applied against the liability     (22 )   (68 )   (90 )
   
 
 
 
  2001 program liability at September 30, 2004         3     3  

Other programs:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Addition to liability for other programs     22     17     39  
  Payments applied against the liability     (19 )   (8 )   (27 )
   
 
 
 
  Other programs liability at September 30, 2004     3     9     12  
   
 
 
 
Balance at September 30, 2004   $ 3   $ 12   $ 15  
   
 
 
 

        In the third quarter of 2004, the Company eliminated the remaining $10 million of an accrual established in prior years for post-exit rent expenses as a result of the Company's ability to occupy the previously vacant leased space for the remainder of the lease term.

        The payments applied against the liability for employee costs primarily reflect severance costs, and the payments for exit costs generally consist of post-exit rent expenses and contract termination penalties.

7.     Guarantees and Contingent Liabilities

Shared markets

        As a condition of maintaining its licenses to write personal property and casualty insurance in various states, the Company is required to participate in assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations that provide various types of insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers. Underwriting results related to these arrangements, which tend to be adverse, have been immaterial to the results of operations.

Guarantees

        The Company provides residual value guarantees on Company leased automobiles. If all outstanding leases were terminated effective September 30, 2004, the Company's maximum obligation pursuant to these guarantees, assuming the automobiles have no residual value, would be $20 million at September 30, 2004. The remaining term of each residual value guarantee is equal to the term of the underlying lease that range from less than one year to three years. Historically, the Company has not made any material payments pursuant to these guarantees.

        The Company owns certain fixed income securities that obligate the Company to exchange credit risk or to forfeit principal due, depending on the nature or occurrence of specified credit events for the referenced entities. In the event all such specified credit events were to occur, the Company's maximum amount at risk on these fixed income securities, as measured by the par value, was $95 million at September 30, 2004. The obligations associated with these fixed income securities expire at various times during the next seven years.

        Lincoln Benefit Life Company ("LBL"), a wholly owned subsidiary of ALIC, has issued universal life insurance contracts to third parties who finance the premium payments on the universal life insurance contracts through a commercial paper program. LBL has issued a repayment guarantee on the outstanding commercial paper balance that is fully collateralized by the cash surrender value of the universal life insurance contracts. At September 30, 2004, the amount due under the commercial paper program is $302 million and the cash surrender value of the policies is $309 million. The repayment guarantee expires April 30, 2006.

12


        In the normal course of business, the Company provides standard indemnifications to counterparties in contracts in connection with numerous transactions, including indemnifications for breaches of representations and warranties, taxes and certain other liabilities, such as third party lawsuits. The indemnification clauses are often standard contractual terms and were entered into in the normal course of business based on an assessment that the risk of loss would be remote. The terms of the indemnifications vary in duration and nature. In many cases, the maximum obligation is not explicitly stated and the contingencies triggering the obligation to indemnify have not occurred and are not expected to occur. Because the obligated amounts of the indemnifications are not explicitly stated in many cases, the maximum amount of the obligation under such indemnifications is not determinable. Historically, the Company has not made any material payments pursuant to these obligations.

        The aggregate liability balance related to all guarantees was not material as of September 30, 2004.

Regulation

        The Company is subject to changing social, economic and regulatory conditions. Recent state and federal regulatory initiatives and proceedings have included efforts to influence and restrict premium rates in a manner adverse to insurers, restrict the ability of insurers to cancel policies, limit insurers' ability to impose underwriting standards, remove barriers preventing banks from engaging in the securities and insurance businesses, change tax laws affecting the taxation of insurance companies and the tax treatment of insurance products or competing non-insurance products that may impact the relative desirability of various personal investment products and otherwise expand overall regulation of insurance products and the insurance industry. The ultimate changes and eventual effects of these initiatives on the Company's business, if any, are uncertain.

        Regulatory bodies have contacted various subsidiaries of the Company and have requested information relating to variable insurance products, including such areas as market timing and late trading and sales practices. The Company believes that these inquiries are similar to those made to many financial services companies as part of an industry-wide investigation by various regulatory agencies into the practices, policies and procedures relating to variable insurance products sales and subaccount trading practices. The various subsidiaries of the Company have and will continue to respond to these information requests and investigations. The Company at the present time is not aware of any systemic problems with respect to such matters that may have a material adverse effect on the Company's consolidated financial position.

Legal Proceedings

Background

        The Company and certain of its subsidiaries are named as defendants in a number of lawsuits and other legal proceedings arising out of various aspects of its business. As background to the "Proceedings" sub-section below, please note the following:

13


Proceedings

        There are two active nationwide class action lawsuits against Allstate regarding its specification of after-market (non-original equipment manufacturer) replacement parts in the repair of insured vehicles. One of these suits alleges that the specification of such parts constitutes breach of contract and fraud, and this suit mirrors to a large degree lawsuits filed against other carriers in the industry. These plaintiffs allege that after-market parts are not "of like kind and quality" as required by the insurance policy, and they are seeking actual and punitive damages. In the second lawsuit, plaintiffs allege that Allstate and three co-defendants have violated federal antitrust laws by conspiring to manipulate the price of auto physical damage coverages in such a way that not all savings realized by the use of aftermarket parts are passed on to the policyholders. The plaintiffs seek actual and treble damages. In November 2002, a nationwide class was certified in this case. The defendants filed a petition to appeal the certification, and the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals recently heard oral arguments. The parties are now awaiting a decision on the appeal. The Company has been vigorously defending both of these lawsuits, and their outcome is uncertain.

        There are several statewide and nationwide class action lawsuits pending against Allstate alleging that its failure to pay "inherent diminished value" to insureds under the collision, comprehensive, uninsured motorist property damage, or auto property damage liability provisions of auto policies constitutes breach of contract and fraud. Plaintiffs define "inherent diminished value" as the difference between the market value of the insured automobile before an accident and the market value after repair. Plaintiffs allege that they are entitled to the payment of inherent diminished value under the terms of the policy. To a large degree, these lawsuits mirror similar lawsuits filed against other carriers in the industry. These lawsuits are pending in various state and federal courts, and they are in various stages of development. Classes have been certified in only two cases. Both are multi-state class actions. A trial in one of these multi-state class action cases involving collision and comprehensive coverage concluded on April 29, 2004, with a jury verdict in favor of the Company. The plaintiffs made a motion for a new trial, which was denied, and have now filed an appeal from the judgment. In the other certified class action lawsuit, which involves uninsured motorist property damage coverage, the appellate court has granted the Company's petition for review of the order of certification. The Company has been vigorously defending all of these lawsuits and, since 1998, has been implementing policy language in more than 40 states reaffirming that its collision and comprehensive coverages do not include diminished value claims. The outcome of these disputes is currently uncertain.

        There are a number of state and nationwide class action lawsuits pending in various state courts challenging the legal propriety of Allstate's medical bill review processes on a number of grounds, including, among other things, the manner in which Allstate determines reasonableness and necessity. One nationwide class action has been certified. These lawsuits, which to a large degree mirror similar lawsuits filed against other carriers in the industry, allege these processes result in a breach of the insurance policy as well as fraud. Plaintiffs seek monetary damages in the form of contractual and extra-contractual damages. The Company denies these allegations and has been vigorously defending these lawsuits. The outcome of these disputes is currently uncertain.

        A number of nationwide and statewide putative class actions are pending against Allstate, which challenge Allstate's use of certain automated database vendors in valuing total loss automobiles. To a large degree, these

14


lawsuits mirror similar lawsuits filed against other carriers in the industry. Plaintiffs allege that flaws in these databases result in valuations to the detriment of insureds. The plaintiffs are seeking actual and punitive damages. The lawsuits are in various stages of development and Allstate has been vigorously defending them, but the outcome of these disputes is currently uncertain.

        One putative statewide and a number of putative nationwide class action lawsuits have been filed in various courts seeking actual and punitive damages from Allstate alleging that Allstate violated the Fair Credit Reporting Act or state law by failing to provide appropriate notices to applicants and/or policyholders when adverse action was taken as a result of information in a consumer report or by ordering consumer reports without a permissible purpose. These cases have been centralized in the federal court in Nashville, Tennessee. The Company is also defending a putative nationwide class action that alleges that the Company discriminates against non-Caucasian policyholders, through underwriting and rate-making practices including the use of credit by charging them higher premiums. The plaintiffs seek both monetary relief, in the form of actual and punitive damages, and equitable relief, in the form of injunctive and other remedies. The Company is also defending two putative statewide class actions challenging its use of credit under certain state insurance statutes. These plaintiffs seek monetary and equitable relief. The Company denies these allegations and has been vigorously defending these lawsuits. The outcome of these disputes is currently uncertain.

        Allstate is defending various lawsuits involving worker classification issues. These lawsuits include a number of putative class actions and one certified class action challenging the overtime exemption claimed by the Company under the Fair Labor Standards Act or state wage and hour laws. In the one certified class action, the trial court has found Allstate liable and the case will proceed to trial on damages. In these cases, Plaintiffs seek monetary relief, such as penalties and liquidated damages, and non-monetary relief, such as injunctive relief and an accounting. These class actions mirror similar lawsuits filed recently against other carriers in the industry and other employers. A putative nationwide class action filed by former employee agents also includes a worker classification issue; these agents are challenging certain amendments to the Agents Pension Plan and are seeking to have exclusive agent independent contractors treated as employees for benefit purposes. This matter was dismissed with prejudice in late March 2004 by the trial court but will be the subject of further proceedings on appeal. Allstate has been vigorously defending these and various other worker classification lawsuits. The outcome of these disputes is currently uncertain.

        The Company is defending certain matters relating to the Company's agency program reorganization announced in 1999. These matters include a lawsuit filed in December 2001 by the U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission ("EEOC") alleging retaliation under federal civil rights laws, a class action filed in August 2001 by former employee agents alleging retaliation and age discrimination under the Age Discrimination in Employment Act, breach of contract and ERISA violations, and a lawsuit filed in October 2004 by the EEOC alleging age discrimination with respect to a policy limiting the rehire of agents affected by the agency program reorganization. The Company is also defending another action, in which a class was certified in June 2004, filed by former employee agents who terminated their employment prior to the agency program reorganization. These plaintiffs have asserted claims under ERISA and for constructive discharge, and are seeking the benefits provided in connection with the reorganization. Allstate has asked the court to reconsider its class certification ruling. In late March 2004, in the first EEOC lawsuit and class action lawsuit, the trial court issued a memorandum and order that, among other things, certified classes of agents, including a mandatory class of agents who had signed a release, for purposes of effecting the court's declaratory judgment that the release is voidable at the option of the release signer. The court also ordered that an agent who voids the release must return to Allstate "any and all benefits received by the [agent] in exchange for signing the release." The court also "concluded that, on the undisputed facts of record, there is no basis for claims of age discrimination." The EEOC and plaintiffs have asked the court to clarify and/or reconsider its memorandum and order. The case otherwise remains pending. A putative nationwide class action has also been filed by former employee agents alleging various violations of ERISA. This matter was dismissed with prejudice in late March 2004 by the trial court but will be the subject of further proceedings on appeal. In these matters, plaintiffs seek compensatory and punitive damages, and equitable relief. Allstate has been vigorously defending these lawsuits and other matters related to its agency program reorganization. In addition, Allstate is defending certain matters relating to its life agency program reorganization announced in 2000. These matters include an investigation by the EEOC with respect to allegations of age discrimination and retaliation. Allstate is

15


cooperating fully with the agency investigation and will continue to vigorously defend these and other claims related to the life agency program reorganization. The outcome of these disputes is currently uncertain.

        The Company is defending various lawsuits and regulatory proceedings that allege that it engaged in business or sales practices inconsistent with state or federal law. In addition, the Company is defending a number of lawsuits brought by plaintiffs challenging trading restrictions the Company adopted in an effort to limit market-timing activity in its variable annuity sub-accounts. In one case, plaintiffs' motion for summary judgment on their breach of contract claims was granted and the matter will proceed to trial on damages pending the Company's request for an interlocutory appeal. In these various lawsuits, plaintiffs seek a variety of remedies including monetary and equitable relief. In regulatory proceedings, regulatory authorities may ultimately assess fines or penalties or possibly require customer refunds. The Company has been vigorously defending these matters, but their outcome is currently uncertain.

Other Matters

        The Company and its subsidiaries have received interrogatories and demands to produce information from several regulatory and enforcement authorities. These authorities are seeking information relevant to on-going investigations into the possible violation of antitrust or insurance laws by unnamed parties and, in particular, are seeking information as to whether any person engaged in activities for the purpose of price fixing, market allocation, or bid rigging. Published press reports have indicated that numerous demands of this nature have been sent to insurance companies as part of industry-wide investigations. The Company intends to cooperate fully with these and any similar requests for information.

        Various other legal and regulatory actions are currently pending that involve the Company and specific aspects of its conduct of business. Like other members of the insurance industry, the Company is the target of a number of class action lawsuits and other types of litigation, some of which involve claims for substantial or indeterminate amounts. This litigation is based on a variety of issues including insurance and claim settlement practices. The outcome of these disputes is currently unpredictable. However, at this time, based on their present status, it is the opinion of management that the ultimate liability, if any, in one or more of these other actions in excess of amounts currently reserved is not expected to have a material effect on the results of operations, liquidity or financial position of the Company.

Asbestos and environmental

        Allstate's reserves for asbestos claims were $1.5 billion and $1.08 billion, net of reinsurance recoverables of $970 million and $504 million at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively. Reserves for environmental claims were $246 million and $257 million, net of reinsurance recoverables of $53 million and $58 million at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively. Approximately 61% and 60% of the total net asbestos and environmental reserves at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively, were for incurred but not reported estimated losses.

        Management believes its net loss reserves for environmental, asbestos and other discontinued lines exposures are appropriately established based on available facts, technology, laws and regulations. However, due to the inconsistencies of court coverage decisions, unresolved legal issues regarding policy coverage, unresolved legal issues regarding the determination, availability and timing of exhaustion of policy limits, plaintiffs' evolving and expanded theories of liability, the risks inherent in major litigation, availability and collectibility of recoveries from reinsurance, retrospectively determined premiums and other contractual agreements, and estimating the extent and timing of any contractual liability, and other uncertainties, the ultimate cost of these claims may vary materially from the amounts currently recorded, resulting in an increase in loss reserves. In addition, while the Company believes that improved actuarial techniques and databases have assisted in its ability to estimate asbestos, environmental, and other discontinued lines net loss reserves, these refinements may subsequently prove to be inadequate indicators of the extent of probable losses. Due to the uncertainties and factors described above, management believes it is not practicable to develop a meaningful range for any such additional net loss reserves that may be required.

16


8.     Components of Net Periodic Pension and Postretirement Benefit Costs

        The Company's measurement of the APBO and net periodic postretirement benefit cost does not reflect any amount associated with the subsidy provided by the Act as the Company is currently unable to determine if its plans are actuarially equivalent (see Note 1). The components of net periodic cost for the Company's pension and postretirement benefit plans for the nine months ended September 30 are as follows:

 
  Pension benefits
  Postretirement
benefits

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Service cost   $ 117   $ 101   $ 21   $ 14  
Interest cost     198     191     53     53  
Expected return on plan assets     (216 )   (166 )        
Amortization of:                          
  Prior service costs     (2 )   (2 )   (1 )   (1 )
  Unrecognized transition obligation         (1 )        
  Net loss     88     69     9     6  
Settlement loss     32     45          
   
 
 
 
 
Net periodic cost   $ 217   $ 237   $ 82   $ 72  
   
 
 
 
 

        As of September 30, 2004, the Company has contributed $162 million to its pension plans and the Company now plans to contribute a total of $464 million to its pension plans in 2004.

9.     Equity Incentive Plans

        The following table illustrates the effect on net income and earnings per share as if the fair value based method, adopted prospectively by the Company on January 1, 2003, had been applied to all outstanding and unvested awards in each period.

 
  Three months
ended
September 30,

  Nine months
ended
September 30,

 
(in millions, except per share data)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Net income, as reported   $ 56   $ 691   $ 2,039   $ 1,944  
Add: Employee stock option expense included in reported net income, after-tax     2     1     11     5  
Deduct: Total employee stock option expense determined under fair value based method for all awards, after-tax     (7 )   (10 )   (27 )   (32 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Pro forma net income   $ 51   $ 682   $ 2,023   $ 1,917  
   
 
 
 
 
Earnings per share—Basic:                          
  As reported   $ 0.10   $ 0.98   $ 2.92   $ 2.76  
  Pro forma     0.08     0.97     2.89     2.72  

Earnings per share—Diluted:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  As reported   $ 0.09   $ 0.97   $ 2.90   $ 2.75  
  Pro forma     0.08     0.97     2.87     2.72  

17


10.   Business Segments

        Summarized revenue data for each of the Company's business segments are as follows:

 
  Three months ended
September 30,

  Nine months ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Revenues                          
Property-Liability                          
Property-liability insurance premiums                          
  Standard auto   $ 3,915   $ 3,691   $ 11,548   $ 10,854  
  Non-standard auto     490     551     1,515     1,709  
   
 
 
 
 
    Auto     4,405     4,242     13,063     12,563  
  Homeowners     1,483     1,366     4,360     3,990  
  Other     662     620     1,955     1,811  
   
 
 
 
 
Allstate Protection     6,550     6,228     19,378     18,364  
Discontinued Lines and Coverages     1     2     4     11  
   
 
 
 
 
    Total property-liability insurance premiums     6,551     6,230     19,382     18,375  
Net investment income     443     417     1,310     1,242  
Realized capital gains and losses     100     109     400     177  
   
 
 
 
 
    Total Property-Liability     7,094     6,756     21,092     19,794  
Allstate Financial                          
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges                          
  Traditional life     75     101     234     288  
  Immediate annuities with life contingencies     66     67     209     318  
  Accident, health and other     106     141     302     412  
   
 
 
 
 
    Total life and annuity premiums     247     309     745     1,018  
  Interest-senstive life     170     152     491     456  
  Fixed annuities     13     10     41     28  
  Variable annuities     61     52     182     149  
  Institutional products                 6  
  Accident, health and other     17     15     49     53  
   
 
 
 
 
    Total contract charges     261     229     763     692  
   
 
 
 
 
    Total life and annuity premiums and contract charges     508     538     1,508     1,710  
Net investment income     866     813     2,520     2,409  
Realized capital gains and losses     (51 )   7     (135 )   (68 )
   
 
 
 
 
    Total Allstate Financial     1,323     1,358     3,893     4,051  
Corporate and Other                          
Service fees     3     3     9     10  
Net investment income     24     16     76     46  
Realized capital gains and losses     1     (3 )   (4 )   (4 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Total Corporate and Other before reclassification of service fees     28     16     81     52  
  Reclassification of service fees(1)     (3 )   (3 )   (9 )   (10 )
   
 
 
 
 
    Total Corporate and Other     25     13     72     42  
   
 
 
 
 
      Consolidated Revenues   $ 8,442   $ 8,127   $ 25,057   $ 23,887  
   
 
 
 
 
(1)
For presentation in the Consolidated Statements of Operations, service fees of the Corporate and Other segment are reclassified to operating costs and expenses.

18


        Summarized financial performance data for each of the Company's reportable segments are as follows:

 
  Three months ended
September 30,

  Nine months ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax                          
Property-Liability                          
Underwriting (loss) income                          
  Allstate Protection   $ (370 ) $ 726   $ 1,707   $ 1,411  
  Discontinued Lines and Coverages     (315 )   (471 )   (639 )   (562 )
   
 
 
 
 
    Total underwriting (loss) income     (685 )   255     1,068     849  
  Net investment income     443     417     1,310     1,242  
  Income tax benefit (expense) on operations     167     (139 )   (605 )   (444 )
  Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     69     70     272     120  
  Gain on disposition of operations, after-tax         1         3  
   
 
 
 
 
      Property-Liability (loss) income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax     (6 )   604     2,045     1,770  
Allstate Financial                          
  Life and annuity premiums and contract charges     508     538     1,508     1,710  
  Net investment income     866     813     2,520     2,409  
  Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative financial instruments     15     10     33     15  
  Contract benefits and interest credited to contractholder funds     906     891     2,626     2,760  
  Operating costs and expenses and amortization of deferred acquisition costs     259     273     818     866  
  Restructuring and related charges     1     1     5     1  
  Income tax expense on operations     72     61     203     159  
   
 
 
 
 
    Operating income     151     135     409     348  
  Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax     (5 )   (9 )   (22 )   (9 )
  Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     (33 )   4     (90 )   (42 )
  Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge financial instruments, after-tax     (10 )   (7 )   (21 )   (10 )
  DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     (15 )   (4 )   (28 )   (20 )
   
 
 
 
 
      Allstate Financial income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax     88     119     248     267  

Corporate and Other

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Service fees(1)     3     3     9     10  
  Net investment income     24     16     76     46  
  Operating costs and expenses     82     74     241     216  
  Income tax benefit on operations     (28 )   (25 )   (79 )   (75 )
   
 
 
 
 
    Operating loss     (27 )   (30 )   (77 )   (85 )
  Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     1     (1 )   (2 )   (2 )
   
 
 
 
 
      Corporate and Other loss before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax     (26 )   (31 )   (79 )   (87 )
   
 
 
 
 
      Consolidated income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax   $ 56   $ 692   $ 2,214   $ 1,950  
   
 
 
 
 
(1)
For presentation in the Consolidated Statements of Operations, service fees of the Corporate and Other segment are reclassified to operating costs and expenses.

19


11.   Other Comprehensive Income

        The components of other comprehensive income on a pretax and after-tax basis are as follows:

 
  Three months ended
September 30,

 
 
  2004
  2003
 

(in millions)

  Pretax
  Tax
  After-
tax

  Pretax
  Tax
  After-
tax

 
Unrealized capital gains and losses                                      
Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during the period   $ 1,229   $ (430 ) $ 799   $ (613 ) $ 214   $ (399 )
Less: reclassification adjustments     51     (18 )   33     85     (30 )   55  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized net capital gains (losses)     1,178     (412 )   766     (698 )   244     (454 )
Net gains (losses) on derivative instruments arising during the period                          
Less: reclassification adjustment for derivative instruments     (1 )       (1 )            
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized net capital gains (losses) and net gains (losses) on derivative instruments     1,179     (412 )   767     (698 )   244     (454 )
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments     26     (9 )   17     15     (5 )   10  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other comprehensive income (loss)   $ 1,205   $ (421 )   784   $ (683 ) $ 239     (444 )
   
 
       
 
       
Net income                 56                 691  
               
             
 
Comprehensive income               $ 840               $ 247  
               
             
 

        The components of other comprehensive income on a pretax and after-tax basis are as follows:

 
  Nine months ended
September 30,

 
 
  2004
  2003
 

(in millions)

  Pretax
  Tax
  After-
tax

  Pretax
  Tax
  After-
tax

 
Unrealized capital gains and losses                                      
Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during the period   $ (148 ) $ 52   $ (96 ) $ 771   $ (270 ) $ 501  
Less: reclassification adjustments     352     (123 )   229     105     (37 )   68  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized net capital gains (losses)     (500 )   175     (325 )   666     (233 )   433  
Net gains (losses) on derivative instruments arising during the period                 1         1  
Less: reclassification adjustment for derivative instruments     (3 )   1     (2 )   (1 )       (1 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized net capital gains (losses) and net gains (losses) on derivative instruments     (497 )   174     (323 )   668     (233 )   435  
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments     17     (6 )   11     51     (18 )   33  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other comprehensive income (loss)   $ (480 ) $ 168     (312 ) $ 719   $ (251 )   468  
   
 
       
 
       
Net income                 2,039                 1,944  
               
             
 
Comprehensive income               $ 1,727               $ 2,412  
               
             
 

20


12.   Debt Outstanding

        In August 2004, the Company issued $650 million of 5.000% senior notes due 2014, the net proceeds of which will be used for general corporate purposes, including to facilitate the repayment of a portion of the $900 million of 7.875% senior notes due 2005 at their scheduled maturity on May 1, 2005.

21


REPORT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM

To the Board of Directors and Shareholders of
The Allstate Corporation:

        We have reviewed the accompanying condensed consolidated statement of financial position of The Allstate Corporation and subsidiaries (the "Company") as of September 30, 2004, and the related condensed consolidated statements of operations for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, and the condensed consolidated statements of cash flows for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2004 and 2003. These interim financial statements are the responsibility of the Company's management.

        We conducted our reviews in accordance with standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). A review of interim financial information consists principally of applying analytical procedures and making inquiries of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters. It is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), the objective of which is the expression of an opinion regarding the financial statements taken as a whole. Accordingly, we do not express such an opinion.

        Based on our reviews, we are not aware of any material modifications that should be made to such condensed consolidated interim financial statements for them to be in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America.

        We have previously audited, in accordance with auditing standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), the consolidated statement of financial position of The Allstate Corporation and subsidiaries as of December 31, 2003, and the related consolidated statements of operations, comprehensive income, shareholders' equity, and cash flows for the year then ended, not presented herein. In our report dated February 4, 2004, which report includes an explanatory paragraph as to changes in the Company's methods of accounting for stock-based compensation, embedded derivatives in modified coinsurance agreements and variable interest entities in 2003 and its method of accounting for goodwill and other intangible assets in 2002, we expressed an unqualified opinion on those consolidated financial statements. In our opinion, the information set forth in the accompanying condensed consolidated statement of financial position as of December 31, 2003 is fairly stated, in all material respects, in relation to the consolidated statement of financial position from which it has been derived.

/s/ Deloitte & Touche LLP

Chicago, Illinois
November 3, 2004

22


Item 2.  MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS FOR THE THREE-MONTH AND NINE-MONTH PERIODS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 AND 2003

OVERVIEW

        The following discussion highlights significant factors influencing the consolidated financial position and results of operations of The Allstate Corporation (referred to in this document as "we", "our", "us", the "Company" or "Allstate"). It should be read in conjunction with the condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto found under Part I. Item 1. contained herein, and with the discussion, analysis, consolidated financial statements and notes thereto in Part I. Item 1. and Part II. Item 7. and Item 8. of The Allstate Corporation Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2003. Analysis of our insurance segments is provided in Property-Liability Operations (which includes the Allstate Protection and the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segments) and in the Allstate Financial Segment (which represents the Allstate Financial segment) sections of Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A"). The segments are consistent with the way in which we use financial information to evaluate business performance and to determine the allocation of resources.

HIGHLIGHTS

23


CONSOLIDATED NET INCOME

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Revenues                          
Property-liability insurance premiums earned   $ 6,551   $ 6,230   $ 19,382   $ 18,375  
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges     508     538     1,508     1,710  
Net investment income     1,333     1,246     3,906     3,697  
Realized capital gains and losses     50     113     261     105  
   
 
 
 
 
Total revenues     8,442     8,127     25,057     23,887  

Costs and expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense     (5,661 )   (4,506 )   (13,668 )   (13,184 )
Life and annuity contract benefits     (401 )   (424 )   (1,174 )   (1,380 )
Interest credited to contractholder funds     (505 )   (467 )   (1,455 )   (1,380 )
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs     (1,124 )   (1,015 )   (3,251 )   (2,989 )
Operating costs and expenses     (738 )   (716 )   (2,241 )   (2,197 )
Restructuring and related charges     1     (19 )   (26 )   (56 )
Interest expense     (76 )   (70 )   (223 )   (204 )
   
 
 
 
 
Total costs and expenses     (8,504 )   (7,217 )   (22,038 )   (21,390 )

Loss on disposition of operations

 

 

(6

)

 

(12

)

 

(17

)

 

(9

)
Income tax benefit (expense)     124     (206 )   (788 )   (538 )
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust                 (5 )
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax         (1 )   (175 )   (1 )
   
 
 
 
 
Net income   $ 56   $ 691   $ 2,039   $ 1,944  
   
 
 
 
 

Property-Liability

 

$

(6

)

$

603

 

$

2,045

 

$

1,769

 
Allstate Financial     88     119     73     267  
Corporate and Other     (26 )   (31 )   (79 )   (92 )
   
 
 
 
 
Net income   $ 56   $ 691   $ 2,039   $ 1,944  
   
 
 
 
 

PROPERTY-LIABILITY HIGHLIGHTS

24


PROPERTY-LIABILITY OPERATIONS

        Our Property-Liability operations consist of two business segments: Allstate Protection and Discontinued Lines and Coverages. Allstate Protection is comprised of two lines of business, the Allstate brand and Encompass brand. The Encompass brand name was adopted in the third quarter of 2004 and replaces the line of business previous name, Ivantage. Allstate Protection is principally engaged in the sale of personal property and casualty insurance, primarily private passenger auto and homeowners insurance, to individuals in the United States and Canada. Discontinued Lines and Coverages includes results from insurance coverage that we no longer write and results for certain commercial and other businesses in run-off.

        Underwriting income, reconciled to net income on page 26, is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense ("losses"), amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs ("DAC"), operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP. This is one of the measures we use in our evaluation of results of operations to analyze the profitability of the Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results. It is also an integral component of incentive compensation. It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Underwriting income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of the business. Net income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

        The table below includes GAAP operating ratios we use to measure our profitability. We believe that they enhance an investor's understanding of our profitability. They are calculated as follows:

        We have also calculated the following impacts of specific items on the GAAP operating ratios because of the volatility of these items between fiscal periods.

25


        Summarized financial data, a reconciliation of underwriting income to net income and GAAP operating ratios for our Property-Liability operations are presented in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions, except ratios)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Premiums written   $ 6,958   $ 6,629   $ 20,032   $ 18,988  
   
 
 
 
 
Revenues                          
Premiums earned   $ 6,551   $ 6,230   $ 19,382   $ 18,375  
Net investment income     443     417     1,310     1,242  
Realized capital gains and losses     100     109     400     177  
   
 
 
 
 
Total revenues     7,094     6,756     21,092     19,794  

Costs and expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Claims and claims expense     (5,661 )   (4,506 )   (13,668 )   (13,184 )
Amortization of DAC     (985 )   (905 )   (2,858 )   (2,590 )
Operating costs and expenses     (592 )   (546 )   (1,767 )   (1,697 )
Restructuring and related charges     2     (18 )   (21 )   (55 )
   
 
 
 
 
Total costs and expenses     (7,236 )   (5,975 )   (18,314 )   (17,526 )

Gain on disposition of operations

 

 


 

 

2

 

 


 

 

5

 
Income tax benefit (expense)     136     (179 )   (733 )   (503 )
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax         (1 )       (1 )
   
 
 
 
 
Net (loss) income   $ (6 ) $ 603   $ 2,045   $ 1,769  
   
 
 
 
 

Underwriting (loss) income

 

$

(685

)

$

255

 

$

1,068

 

$

849

 
Net investment income     443     417     1,310     1,242  
Income tax benefit (expense) on operations     167     (139 )   (605 )   (444 )
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     69     70     272     120  
Gain on disposition of operations, after-tax         1         3  
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax         (1 )       (1 )
   
 
 
 
 
Net (loss) income   $ (6 ) $ 603   $ 2,045   $ 1,769  
   
 
 
 
 

Catastrophe losses

 

$

1,706

 

$

378

 

$

2,056

 

$

1,077

 
   
 
 
 
 

GAAP operating ratios

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Claims and claims expense ("loss") ratio     86.4     72.3     70.5     71.8  
Expense ratio     24.1     23.6     24.0     23.6  
   
 
 
 
 
Combined ratio     110.5     95.9     94.5     95.4  
   
 
 
 
 
Effect of catastrophe losses on loss ratio     26.0     6.1     10.6     5.9  
   
 
 
 
 
Effect of restructuring and related charges on expense ratio         0.3     0.1     0.3  
   
 
 
 
 
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio     4.9     7.6     3.3     3.1  
   
 
 
 
 

26


ALLSTATE PROTECTION SEGMENT

        As we continue to implement Strategic Risk Management ("SRM"), a multi-phase strategy that integrates tier-based pricing, underwriting and marketing decisions, in the Allstate Protection business, the distinctions between standard auto and non-standard auto may become less important in certain states, depending upon how SRM is implemented. For this reason we are shifting our managerial focus to auto, including standard auto and non-standard auto. We also believe it is useful to investors to analyze auto results that aggregate our standard and non-standard business. However, we will continue to provide results for standard and non-standard auto. Generally, standard auto customers are expected to have lower risks of loss than non-standard auto customers. Our strategy for Encompass brand focuses on improving profitability for both the Encompass and Deerbrook brands, and growing in select markets, in part by using SRM. The integration of Encompass policies onto Allstate brand systems has resulted in a different counting process for PIF. As a result, average premium and the renewal ratio are subject to distortion until the integration is completed.

Premiums written, an operating measure, is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums earned is a GAAP measure. Premiums are considered earned and are included in the financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.

        A reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned is presented in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Premiums written:                          
Allstate Protection   $ 6,957   $ 6,627   $ 20,029   $ 18,978  
Discontinued Lines and Coverages     1     2     3     10  
   
 
 
 
 
Property-Liability premiums written(1)     6,958     6,629     20,032     18,988  
Increase in unearned premiums     (450 )   (421 )   (696 )   (669 )
Other     43     22     46     56  
   
 
 
 
 
Property-Liability premiums earned(2)   $ 6,551   $ 6,230   $ 19,382   $ 18,375  
   
 
 
 
 

Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Allstate Protection   $ 6,550   $ 6,228   $ 19,378   $ 18,364  
Discontinued Lines and Coverages     1     2     4     11  
   
 
 
 
 
Property-Liability(2)   $ 6,551   $ 6,230   $ 19,382   $ 18,375  
   
 
 
 
 
(1)
For the third quarter of 2004, growth of Property-Liability premiums written was negatively impacted by 0.5% due to reinsurance transactions in the current year and reductions in assignments from the New York Assigned Risk Plan. For the nine months ended September 30, 2004, growth of Property-Liability premiums written was negatively impacted by 0.3% due to accruals for Texas rate refunds and reinsurance transactions in the current year.
(2)
For the third quarter of 2004, growth of Property-Liability premiums earned was negatively impacted by 0.5% due to reinsurance transactions in the current year and reductions in assignments from the New York Assigned Risk Plan. For the nine months ended September 30, 2004, growth of Property-Liability premiums earned was negatively impacted by 0.3% due to accruals for Texas rate refunds and reinsurance transactions in the current year.

27


        Premiums written by brand are shown in the following tables.

 
  Three Months Ended September 30,
 
  2004
  2003
(in millions)
  New
  Renewal
  Total
  New
  Renewal
  Total
Allstate brand:                                    
Standard auto   $ 350   $ 3,375   $ 3,725   $ 325   $ 3,190   $ 3,515
Non-standard auto     70     384     454     67     424     491
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Auto     420     3,759     4,179     392     3,614     4,006
Homeowners     231     1,352     1,583     209     1,258     1,467
Other personal lines     131     512     643     149     471     620
   
 
 
 
 
 
Total Allstate brand     782     5,623     6,405     750     5,343     6,093

Encompass brand:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Standard auto     64     263     327     41     274     315
Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)     12     25     37     19     23     42
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Auto     76     288     364     60     297     357
Homeowners     19     131     150     13     126     139
Other personal lines     10     28     38     10     28     38
   
 
 
 
 
 
Total Encompass brand     105     447     552     83     451     534
   
 
 
 
 
 
Total Allstate Protection premiums written   $ 887   $ 6,070   $ 6,957   $ 833   $ 5,794   $ 6,627
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
  2004
  2003
(in millions)
  New
  Renewal
  Total
  New
  Renewal
  Total
Allstate brand:                                    
Standard auto   $ 1,007   $ 9,873   $ 10,880   $ 808   $ 9,408   $ 10,216
Non-standard auto     216     1,165     1,381     216     1,304     1,520
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Auto     1,223     11,038     12,261     1,024     10,712     11,736
Homeowners     631     3,604     4,235     503     3,371     3,874
Other personal lines     441     1,510     1,951     416     1,407     1,823
   
 
 
 
 
 
Total Allstate brand     2,295     16,152     18,447     1,943     15,490     17,433

Encompass brand:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Standard auto     168     764     932     108     817     925
Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)     42     77     119     67     61     128
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Auto     210     841     1,051     175     878     1,053
Homeowners     51     365     416     31     356     387
Other personal lines     31     84     115     31     74     105
   
 
 
 
 
 
Total Encompass brand     292     1,290     1,582     237     1,308     1,545
   
 
 
 
 
 
Total Allstate Protection premiums written   $ 2,587   $ 17,442   $ 20,029   $ 2,180   $ 16,798   $ 18,978
   
 
 
 
 
 

28


        Standard auto premiums written increased 5.8% to $4.05 billion in the third quarter of 2004 from $3.83 billion in the same period of 2003 and 6.0% to $11.81 billion during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to $11.14 billion in the first nine months of 2003.

 
  Allstate brand
  Encompass brand
 
Standard Auto

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Three Months Ended September 30,                          
New business premiums ($ millions)   $ 350   $ 325   $ 64   $ 41  
New business premiums (% change)     7.7     32.7     56.1     28.1  
Renewal business premiums ($ millions)   $ 3,375   $ 3,190   $ 263   $ 274  
Renewal ratio(1)(2)     90.9     90.2     75.6     84.3  
PIF (% change)(1)(2)     5.4     (0.3 )   (6.0 )   (7.1 )
Average premium (% change)(1)(2)     0.8     5.8     20.5     11.4  

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
New business premiums ($ millions)   $ 1,007   $ 808   $ 168   $ 108  
New business premiums (% change)     24.6     12.4     55.6     14.9  
Renewal business premiums ($ millions)   $ 9,873   $ 9,408   $ 764   $ 817  
Renewal ratio(1)(2)     90.8     89.5     78.2     84.0  
PIF (% change)(1)(2)     5.4     (0.3 )   (6.0 )   (7.1 )
Average premium (% change)(1)(2)     1.4     7.4     17.7     11.1  
(1)
Allstate brand statistic excludes business written by Allstate Canada.
(2)
Revised to reflect new counting methodology for Encompass brand. Renewal ratio and average gross premium are subject to distortion due to continued integration of systems.

        The increase in Allstate brand standard auto PIF as of September 30, 2004 as compared to the prior year is the result of increases in new business and the renewal ratio related to the implementation of a broader marketing approach in most of the U.S. Although growth in new business remains above prior year, this trend has leveled off during the third quarter of 2004. Third quarter new business comparisons also reflect the July 2003 implementation of our new rating plan in the California market. The increases in the Allstate brand standard auto average premium in the third quarter of 2004 and in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods of 2003 are primarily due to higher average renewal premiums. The rate of increase in average premium has declined due to the decrease in rate activity.

        Encompass brand standard auto new business premiums written increased in the third quarter of 2004 and in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods of 2003 due to increases in new PIF and rate activity, the effect of which is declining due to the decrease in rate change activity. We expect the rate of decline in Encompass brand standard auto PIF to moderate as our profit improvement actions position us to pursue growth opportunities in this channel.

29


        The following table shows the net rate changes that were approved for standard auto during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004.

 
  Three Months Ended September 30, 2004
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004
 
  # of States
  Weighted Average
Rate Change
(%)(1)

  Annual Impact
of Rate Changes
on State Specific
Premiums
Written (%)(2)

  # of States
  Weighted Average
Rate Change
(%)(1)

  Annual Impact
of Rate Changes
on State Specific
Premiums
Written (%)(2)

Allstate brand   8   0.4   3.8   18   0.7   2.7
Encompass brand   11   1.0   7.7   24 (3) 2.4   4.5
(1)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 as a percentage of total countrywide year-end premiums written.
(2)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 as a percentage of total year-end premiums written in those states.
(3)
Includes Washington D.C.

        Non-standard auto premiums written decreased 7.9% to $491 million in the third quarter of 2004 from $533 million in the same period of 2003 and 9.0% to $1.50 billion during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to $1.65 billion in the first nine months of 2003.

 
   
   
  Encompass brand (Deerbrook)
 
 
  Allstate brand
 
Non-Standard Auto

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Three Months Ended September 30,                          
New business premiums ($ millions)   $ 70   $ 67   $ 12   $ 19  
New business premiums (% change)     4.5     (28.7 )   (36.8 )   (26.9 )
Renewal business premiums ($ millions)   $ 384   $ 424   $ 25   $ 23  
Renewal ratio(1)     78.2     72.9     60.8     57.5  
PIF (% change)(1)     (12.2 )   (17.8 )   (7.4 )   46.5  
Average premium (% change)(1)     3.4     1.1     (6.5 )   (1.8 )

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
New business premiums ($ millions)   $ 216   $ 216   $ 42   $ 67  
New business premiums (% change)         (29.4 )   (37.3 )   19.6  
Renewal business premiums ($ millions)   $ 1,165   $ 1,304   $ 77   $ 61  
Renewal ratio(1)     78.3     73.8     61.1     56.5  
PIF (% change)(1)     (12.2 )   (17.8 )   (7.4 )   46.5  
Average premium (% change)(1)     2.3     4.4     (6.3 )   0.2  
(1)
Allstate brand statistic excludes business written by Allstate Canada.

        Declines in Allstate brand non-standard auto renewal business premiums during the third quarter of 2004 and the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods of 2003 were primarily due to a decline in PIF. PIF declined primarily because new business production was insufficient to make up for an inherently low renewal ratio in this business, and to a lesser extent, a shift in writing business previously reported as non-standard as standard auto using SRM. In the first nine months of 2004, the rate of increase in average premium has declined due to the decrease in rate activity.

        Encompass brand (Deerbrook) non-standard premiums written have decreased slightly in the third quarter of 2004 because of declines in new business.

30


        The following table shows the net rate changes that were approved for non-standard auto during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004.

 
  Three Months Ended September 30, 2004
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004
 
  # of States
  Weighted Average
Rate Change
(%)(1)

  Annual Impact
of Rate Changes
on State Specific
Premiums
Written (%)(2)

  # of States
  Weighted Average
Rate Change
(%)(1)

  Annual Impact
of Rate Changes
on State Specific
Premiums
Written (%)(2)

Allstate brand         3   1.4   4.6
Encompass brand (Deerbrook)   2   (0.3 ) (3.2 ) 9   2.1   3.8
(1)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 as a percentage of total countrywide year-end premiums written.
(2)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 as a percentage of total year-end premiums written in those states.

        Auto premiums written increased 4.1% to $4.54 billion in the third quarter of 2004 from $4.36 billion in the same period of 2003 and 4.1% to $13.31 billion during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to $12.79 billion in the first nine months of 2003. We believe that focusing on our auto results, which include the standard auto and non-standard auto business, is increasingly important to investors because it allows an aggregated analysis of our results and aligns with our plan to be more focused on opportunities in the broader auto market.

 
  Allstate brand
  Encompass brand
 
Auto

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Three Months Ended September 30,                          
New business premiums ($ millions)   $ 420   $ 392   $ 76   $ 60  
New business premiums (% change)     7.1     15.6     26.7     3.4  
Renewal business premiums ($ millions)   $ 3,759   $ 3,614   $ 288   $ 297  
Renewal ratio(1)(2)     89.9     88.4     73.2     80.4  
PIF (% change)(1)(2)     3.9     (2.1 )   (6.1 )   (3.6 )
Average premium (% change)(1)(2)     0.5     3.9     16.8     9.3  

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
New business premiums ($ millions)   $ 1,223   $ 1,024   $ 210   $ 175  
New business premiums (% change)     19.4     (0.1 )   20.0     16.7  
Renewal business premiums ($ millions)   $ 11,038   $ 10,712   $ 841   $ 878  
Renewal ratio(1)(2)     89.7     87.8     75.4     80.3  
PIF (% change)(1)(2)     3.9     (2.1 )   (6.1 )   (3.6 )
Average premium (% change)(1)(2)     0.7     5.8     14.0     9.2  
(1)
Allstate brand statistic excludes business written by Allstate Canada.
(2)
Revised to reflect new counting methodology for Encompass brand. Renewal ratio and average gross premium are subject to distortion due to continued integration of systems.

31


        The following table shows the net rate changes that were approved for auto (standard and non-standard) during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004.

 
  Three Months Ended September 30, 2004
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004
 
  #of States
  Weighted Average
Rate Change
(%)(1)

  Annual Impact
of Rate Changes
on State Specific
Premiums
Written (%)(2)

  # of States
  Weighted Average
Rate Change
(%)(1)

  Annual Impact
of Rate Changes
on State Specific
Premiums
Written (%)(2)

Allstate brand   8   0.3   3.8   20   0.8   2.9
Encompass brand   13   0.8   6.5   30(3 ) 2.4   4.4
(1)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 as a percentage of total countrywide year-end premiums written.
(2)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 as a percentage of total year-end premiums written in those states.
(3)
Includes Washington D.C.

Homeowners premiums written increased 7.9% to $1.73 billion in the third quarter of 2004 from $1.61 billion in the same period of 2003 and 9.2% to $4.65 billion during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to $4.26 billion in the first nine months of 2003.

 
  Allstate brand
  Encompass brand
 
Homeowners

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Three Months Ended September 30,                          
New business premiums ($ millions)   $ 231   $ 209   $ 19   $ 13  
New business premiums (% change)     10.5     54.8     46.2     44.4  
Renewal business premiums ($ millions)   $ 1,352   $ 1,258   $ 131   $ 126  
Renewal ratio(1)(2)     88.6     87.8     87.5     88.3  
PIF (% change)(1)(2)     6.2     2.1     0.0     (5.1 )
Average premium (% change)(1)(2)     2.9     5.3     13.7     13.9  

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
New business premiums ($ millions)   $ 631   $ 503   $ 51   $ 31  
New business premiums (% change)     25.4     39.3     64.5     34.8  
Renewal business premiums ($ millions)   $ 3,604   $ 3,371   $ 365   $ 356  
Renewal ratio(1)(2)     88.3     87.5     89.6     87.3  
PIF (% change)(1)(2)     6.2     2.1     0.0     (5.1 )
Average premium (% change)(1)(2)     3.4     7.5     13.4     11.2  
(1)
Allstate brand statistic excludes business written by Allstate Canada.
(2)
Revised to reflect new counting methodology for Encompass brand. Renewal ratio and average gross premium are subject to distortion due to continued integration of systems.

        The Allstate brand homeowners PIF increases in the third quarter of 2004 and in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods of 2003 are the result of the increases in new business and the renewal ratio being driven by a broader marketing approach in most of the U.S. Due to recent hurricanes, beginning in September 2004, we have curtailed our acceptance of new business in Florida, which will continue to adversely impact our growth in new business premiums. The increases in average premium during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods of 2003 were primarily due to higher average renewal premiums in both years. Higher average renewal premiums were primarily related to increases in insured value.

        Encompass brand homeowners new business premiums written increased in the third quarter of 2004 and in the first nine months of 2004 due to increases in PIF and average premium. Increased average premium was due to rate actions taken during the current and prior year. We expect the rate of decline in Encompass brand homeowners PIF to moderate as our profit improvement actions position us to pursue growth opportunities in this channel.

32


        The following table shows the net rate changes that were approved for homeowners during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004.

 
  Three Months Ended September 30, 2004
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004
 
  #of States
  Weighted Average
Rate Change
(%)(1)

  Annual Impact
of Rate Changes
on State Specific
Premiums
Written (%)(2)

  # of States
  Weighted Average
Rate Change
(%)(1)

  Annual Impact
of Rate Changes
on State Specific
Premiums
Written (%)(2)

Allstate brand   4   0.3   5.0   9   0.3   3.2
Encompass brand   11   0.9   4.2   24(3 ) 5.1   7.2
(1)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 as a percentage of total countrywide year-end premiums written.
(2)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 as a percentage of total year-end premiums written in those states.
(3)
Includes Washington D.C.

        Premiums earned by brand are shown in the following tables.

 
  Three Months Ended September 30,
 
  Allstate brand
  Encompass brand
  Total Allstate Protection
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Standard auto   $ 3,606   $ 3,392   $ 309   $ 299   $ 3,915   $ 3,691
Non-standard auto     451     507     39     44     490     551
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Auto     4,057     3,899     348     343     4,405     4,242
Homeowners     1,347     1,242     136     124     1,483     1,366
Other     628     586     34     34     662     620
   
 
 
 
 
 
Total   $ 6,032   $ 5,727   $ 518   $ 501   $ 6,550   $ 6,228
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
  Allstate brand
  Encompass brand
  Total Allstate Protection
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Standard auto   $ 10,639   $ 9,960   $ 909   $ 894   $ 11,548   $ 10,854
Non-standard auto     1,391     1,589     124     120     1,515     1,709
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Auto     12,030     11,549     1,033     1,014     13,063     12,563
Homeowners     3,966     3,623     394     367     4,360     3,990
Other     1,851     1,721     104     90     1,955     1,811
   
 
 
 
 
 
Total   $ 17,847   $ 16,893   $ 1,531   $ 1,471   $ 19,378   $ 18,364
   
 
 
 
 
 

33


        Underwriting results are shown in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Premiums written   $ 6,957   $ 6,627   $ 20,029   $ 18,978  
   
 
 
 
 
Premiums earned   $ 6,550   $ 6,228   $ 19,378   $ 18,364  
Claims and claims expense     (5,347 )   (4,036 )   (13,032 )   (12,618 )
Amortization of DAC     (986 )   (905 )   (2,858 )   (2,590 )
Other costs and expenses     (589 )   (543 )   (1,760 )   (1,690 )
Restructuring and related charges     2     (18 )   (21 )   (55 )
   
 
 
 
 
Underwriting (loss) income   $ (370 ) $ 726   $ 1,707   $ 1,411  
   
 
 
 
 
Catastrophe losses   $ 1,706   $ 378   $ 2,056   $ 1,077  
   
 
 
 
 
Underwriting (loss) income by brand                          
Allstate brand   $ (389 ) $ 736   $ 1,634   $ 1,455  
Encompass brand     19     (10 )   73     (44 )
   
 
 
 
 
Underwriting (loss) income   $ (370 ) $ 726   $ 1,707   $ 1,411  
   
 
 
 
 

        Allstate Protection generated an underwriting loss of $370 million during the third quarter of 2004 compared to underwriting income of $726 million in the same period of 2003 due to higher catastrophes related to hurricanes, partially offset by increased premiums earned, favorable reserve reestimates related to prior years and continued favorable auto and homeowners loss frequencies, excluding catastrophes. For the nine month period ended September 30, 2004, Allstate Protection generated underwriting income of $1.71 billion compared to $1.41 billion for the same nine month period of last year due to increased premiums earned, favorable reserve reestimates related to prior years and declines in auto and homeowners claim frequency (rate of claim occurrence), excluding catastrophes, partially offset by higher catastrophes and increased current year claim severity (average cost per claim).

        Underwriting loss for the third quarter of 2004 and the nine month period ended September 30, 2004 includes catastrophe losses of $1.64 billion, net of recoveries from the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund ("FHCF"), related to hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne. This estimate includes losses in personal lines auto and property policies and net losses on commercial policies.

        The estimation of these hurricane losses, within the time elapsed since these events, has been complicated by difficulties in gaining access to and estimating the amount and extent of damage for over 205,000 claims submitted to date, estimates of claims yet to be reported, and increased costs due to the effects of increased demand for services and supplies in the affected areas. Cost escalation could occur at a higher level than estimated. However, the Company also may experience favorable development from the number of reported claims and estimates of personal property losses qualifying for FHCF reimbursement. Estimates of gross qualifying personal property losses for Charley and Frances already exceed the $312 million per occurrence FHCF retention thus permitting 90% reimbursement of qualifying losses. For Ivan, the estimated gross loss is $471 million, which includes $225 million of qualifying personal property losses in Florida. For Jeanne, the estimated gross loss is $316 million, which includes $248 million of qualifying personal property losses in Florida. Any adverse development of qualifying personal property losses in Florida for Ivan and Jeanne up to $312 million per storm, or any adverse development of losses not qualifying for reimbursement will adversely impact reportable net income if and when determined.

        Favorable reserve reestimates in the third quarter of 2004 totaling $230 million reflect lower actual claim severity trends than anticipated in previous estimates.     For the first nine months of the year favorable reserve reestimates totaling $677 million reflect lower actual claim severity and frequency trends, excluding catastrophes, than anticipated in previous estimates.

        For the first nine months of the year claim frequencies for Auto Bodily Injury, Auto Property Damage, and Homeowners excluding catastrophes were below prior year by 4.1%, 3.2% and 11.4%, respectively. For the first

34


nine months of the year paid severity increases for Auto Bodily Injury and Auto Property Damage claims of 0.2% and (0.6)%, respectively, were below expected levels. Claim severity was impacted by inflationary pressures in medical costs and auto repair and home repair costs. If future development of current year claim severity differs from the current reserve expectations by 1%, reserve reestimates would impact net income by approximately $100 million.

        Loss ratios by product, and expense and combined ratios by brand are shown in the following table. These ratios are defined on page 25.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
  Ratio
  Effect of Catastrophe Losses on the Loss Ratio
  Ratio
  Effect of Catastrophe Losses on the Loss Ratio
 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Allstate brand loss ratio:                                
Standard auto   62.6   65.7   1.1   0.9   63.3   70.4   0.8   1.8
Non-standard auto   48.8   55.0   1.6   0.8   54.6   67.7   0.9   0.9
  Auto   61.1   64.3   1.2   0.8   62.3   70.0   0.8   1.6
Homeowners   128.7   59.7   86.5   22.3   75.3   61.7   35.5   19.3
Other   123.1   71.2   68.2   5.8   82.3   70.3   24.8   5.9

Total Allstate brand loss ratio

 

82.6

 

64.0

 

27.2

 

6.0

 

67.3

 

68.3

 

11.0

 

5.9
Allstate brand expense ratio   23.8   23.2           23.5   23.1        
   
 
         
 
       
Allstate brand combined ratio   106.4   87.2           90.8   91.4        
   
 
         
 
       
Encompass brand loss ratio:                                
Standard auto   61.1   68.6   0.6   1.0   61.4   72.0   0.8   0.9
Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)   79.5   84.1   2.6     78.2   83.3   0.8  
  Auto   63.2   70.6   0.8   0.9   63.4   73.4   0.8   0.8
Homeowners   86.0   83.9   44.8   25.8   71.3   77.9   21.0   20.1
Other   73.5   73.5   2.9     85.6   61.1   2.9   3.3

Encompass brand loss ratio

 

69.9

 

74.1

 

12.6

 

7.0

 

67.0

 

73.8

 

6.2

 

5.8
Encompass brand expense ratio   26.4   27.9           28.3   29.2        
   
 
         
 
       
Encompass brand combined ratio   96.3   102.0           95.3   103.0        
   
 
         
 
       
Total Allstate Protection loss ratio   81.6   64.8   26.0   6.1   67.3   68.7   10.7   5.9
Allstate Protection expense ratio   24.0   23.5           23.9   23.6        
   
 
         
 
       
Allstate Protection combined ratio   105.6   88.3           91.2   92.3        
   
 
         
 
       

        Standard auto loss ratio for the Allstate brand declined 3.1 points in the third quarter of 2004 and 7.1 points during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to the same periods last year. Standard auto loss ratio for Encompass brand declined 7.5 points in the third quarter of 2004 and 10.6 points during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to the same periods last year. These declines were due to higher premiums earned, favorable reserve reestimates related to prior years and lower claim frequency, partially offset by higher current year claim severity. The third quarter of 2004 included lower estimates of current year Encompass brand claim severity.

        Non-standard auto loss ratio for the Allstate brand declined 6.2 points in the third quarter of 2004 and 13.1 points during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to the same periods last year. Non-standard auto loss ratio for Encompass brand (Deerbrook) declined 4.6 points in the third quarter of 2004 and 5.1 points during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to the same periods last year. These declines were due to favorable reserve reestimates related to prior years and lower claim frequency, partially offset by higher current year claim severity.

35


        Auto loss ratio for the Allstate brand declined 3.2 points in the third quarter of 2004 and 7.7 points during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to the same periods last year. Auto loss ratio for Encompass brand declined 7.4 points in the third quarter of 2004 and 10.0 points during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to the same periods last year. These declines were due to favorable reserve reestimates related to prior years, lower claim frequency and higher premiums earned, partially offset by higher current year claim severity. The third quarter of 2004 included lower estimates of current year Encompass brand claim severity.

        Homeowners loss ratio for the Allstate brand increased 69.0 points in the third quarter of 2004 and 13.6 points during the first nine months of 2004 as compared to the same periods last year due to higher catastrophes partially offset by higher premiums earned, favorable reserve reestimates related to prior years and lower claim frequency, excluding catastrophes. Homeowners loss ratio for Encompass brand increased 2.1 points in the third quarter of 2004 due to higher catastrophes in the third quarter of 2004 partially offset by higher premiums earned and lower claim frequency, excluding catastrophes. Homeowners loss ratio for Encompass brand declined 6.6 points in the first nine months of 2004 as compared to the same period last year due to higher premiums earned and lower claim frequency, excluding catastrophes, partially offset by higher catastrophes and higher current year claim severity.

        Expense ratio for Allstate Protection increased in the third quarter of 2004 and in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the same periods of 2003. The increase was due to higher amortization of DAC resulting from higher agent incentives due to higher underlying profitability and increases in premiums written and increases in marketing expense. In the third quarter of 2004, we released a prior year restructuring expense accrual of $10 million relating to post-exit rent expense as a result of our decision to occupy previously vacant leased space for the remainder of the lease term. In the third quarter of 2004, Encompass brand expense ratio decreased due to non-recurring favorable items and expenses.

        The impact of specific costs and expenses on the expense ratio are included in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
  Allstate brand
  Encompass brand
  Allstate brand
  Encompass brand
 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Amortization of DAC   14.7   14.2   19.4   18.8   14.3   13.7   19.3   18.9
Other costs and expenses   9.2   8.7   6.7   8.7   9.1   9.1   8.7   10.0
Restructuring and related charges   (0.1 ) 0.3   0.3   0.4   0.1   0.3   0.3   0.3
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total expense ratio   23.8   23.2   26.4   27.9   23.5   23.1   28.3   29.2
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

        The tables below show net reserves representing the estimated cost of outstanding claims as they were recorded at the beginning of years 2004 and 2003, and the effect of reestimates in each year.

 
  January 1
Reserves

(in millions)
  2004
  2003
Auto   $ 10,419   $ 10,378
Homeowners     1,873     1,664
Other personal lines     1,851     1,546
   
 
Total Allstate Protection   $ 14,143   $ 13,588
   
 
Allstate brand   $ 12,866   $ 12,361
Encompass brand     1,277     1,227
   
 
Total Allstate Protection   $ 14,143   $ 13,588
   
 

36


 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
 
  Reserve
Reestimate

  Impact on
Loss Ratio

  Reserve
Reestimate

  Impact on
Loss Ratio

 
(in millions, except ratios)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Auto   $ (194 ) $ (139 ) (3.0 ) (2.3 ) $ (551 ) $ (177 ) (2.8 ) (1.0 )
Homeowners     (5 )   (32 ) (0.1 ) (0.5 )   (112 )   (17 ) (0.6 ) (0.1 )
Other personal lines     (31 )   31   (0.4 ) 0.5     (14 )   52   (0.1 ) 0.3  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total Allstate Protection   $ (230 ) $ (140 ) (3.5 ) (2.3 ) $ (677 ) $ (142 ) (3.5 ) (0.8 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Allstate brand   $ (233 ) $ (138 ) (3.6 ) (2.2 ) $ (682 ) $ (164 ) (3.5 ) (0.9 )
Encompass brand     3     (2 ) 0.1   (0.1 )   5     22     0.1  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total Allstate Protection   $ (230 ) $ (140 ) (3.5 ) (2.3 ) $ (677 ) $ (142 ) (3.5 ) (0.8 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

DISCONTINUED LINES AND COVERAGES SEGMENT

        The Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment includes results from insurance coverage that we no longer write and results for certain commercial and other businesses in run-off. Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other discontinued lines claims is reported in this segment. This segment is managed by a designated group of professionals with expertise in claims handling, policy coverage interpretation and exposure identification. As part of its responsibilities, this group is also regularly engaged in policy buybacks, settlements and reinsurance assumed and ceded commutations.

        Summarized underwriting results are presented in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Premiums written   $ 1   $ 2   $ 3   $ 10  
   
 
 
 
 
Premiums earned   $ 1   $ 2   $ 4   $ 11  
Claims and claims expense     (314 )   (470 )   (636 )   (566 )
Other costs and expenses     (2 )   (3 )   (7 )   (7 )
   
 
 
 
 
Underwriting loss   $ (315 ) $ (471 ) $ (639 ) $ (562 )
   
 
 
 
 

        Underwriting loss of $315 million in the third quarter was primarily related to a $247 million reestimate of asbestos reserves and a related $61 million increase of the allowance for future uncollectible reinsurance recoverables. The underwriting loss in the first nine months of 2004 was primarily due to reestimates of asbestos reserves and the allowance for future uncollectible reinsurance recoverables. The underwriting loss in the third quarter of 2003 and first nine months of 2003 was primarily due to reestimates of asbestos reserves.

        During the third quarter, we completed our annual comprehensive "ground up" review of reserves for the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment. This review employed established industry and actuarial best practices within the context of the legal, legislative and economic environment, and it was conducted in addition to quarterly assessments in which we review reserves to determine if any intervening significant events or developments require adjustments to reserves. Reserve reestimates are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined.

37


        Our net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions by quarter are shown in the following table.

 
  September 30, 2004
  December 31, 2003
 
($ in millions)

  Number of
Active
Policyholders

  Net
Asbestos
Reserves

  % of
Asbestos
Reserves

  Number of
Active
Policyholders

  Net
Asbestos
Reserves

  % of
Asbestos
Reserves

 
Direct policyholders                              
—Primary   54   $ 24   1 % 52   $ 28   3 %
—Excess   315     297   20   286     201   19  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total direct policyholders   369     321   21 % 338     229   22 %
   
                         
Assumed reinsurance         234   16         191   17  
Incurred but not reported claims ("IBNR")         942   63         659   61  
       
 
     
 
 
Total net reserves       $ 1,497   100 %     $ 1,079   100 %
       
 
     
 
 
Reserve additions:                              
First Quarter       $           $ 34      
Second Quarter         216             38      
Third Quarter         247             442      
       
         
     
Nine months ended September 30       $ 463           $ 514      
       
         
     

Net survival ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
—Annual         22.1             14.2      
—3-Year         15.0             10.9      

Net survival ratio excluding commutations, policy buy-backs and settlement agreements

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
—Annual         28.4             24.2      
—3-Year         30.0             22.2      

        During the first nine months of 2004, 50 direct primary and excess policyholders reported new claims, and claims of 19 policyholders were closed, so the number of direct policyholders with active claims increased by 31.

        Reserve additions for asbestos in the third quarter of 2004, totaling $247 million and in the first nine months of 2004, totaling $463 million, were primarily for products-related coverage. They were essentially a result of a continuing level of increased claim activity being reported by excess insurance policyholders with existing active claims, and reestimates of liabilities for increased assumed reinsurance cessions, as ceding companies (other insurance carriers) also experienced increased claim activity. Increased claim activity over prior estimates has also resulted in an increased estimate for future claims reported. These trends are consistent with the trends of other carriers in the industry, which we believe are related to increased publicity and awareness of coverage, ongoing litigation, potential congressional activity and bankruptcy actions. IBNR now represents 63% of total net asbestos reserves, 2 points higher than at December 31, 2003. IBNR provides for estimated probable future unfavorable reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current and new direct active policyholders and ceding companies.

        Our exposure to non-products-related losses represents approximately 5% of total asbestos case reserves. We do not anticipate significant changes in this percentage as insureds' retentions associated with excess insurance programs, which are our principal direct insurance, and assumed reinsurance exposure are seldom exceeded. We did not write direct primary insurance on policyholders with the potential for significant non-products-related loss exposure.

        Our survival ratios, as updated above, are at levels we consider indicative of a strong asbestos reserve position.

        To further limit our asbestos exposure, we have significant reinsurance, primarily to reduce our exposure to loss in our direct excess insurance business. Our reinsurance recoverables are estimated to be approximately 39% of our gross estimated loss reserves.

        To allow for potential uncollectible reinsurance related to the asbestos reserve increase, the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance was also increased by $61 million in the third quarter of 2004. In the second quarter of 2004, the allowance was increased by $76 million, as we refined our bad debt allowance to provide a greater allowance for companies in run-off and/or those who have reorganized to limit or wall off their

38


liabilities. As of September 30, 2004, the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance is $229 million, or approximately 19% of total Discontinued Lines recoverables from reinsurers.

        We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on assessments of pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment.

PROPERTY-LIABILITY INVESTMENT RESULTS

        Net investment income for our property-liability operations increased 6.2% in the third quarter of 2004 and 5.5% for the first nine months of 2004 as compared to the same periods of 2003. The increases were due to higher portfolio balances resulting from positive cash flows from operations and investment activities and higher income from partnerships, partially offset by lower portfolio yields.

        Net realized capital gains and losses, after-tax were $69 million in the third quarter of 2004 compared to $70 million in the same period of 2003. Net realized capital gains and losses, after-tax were $272 million in the first nine months of 2004 compared to $120 million in the same period of 2003. The following table presents the factors driving the net realized capital gains and losses.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Investment write-downs   $ (19 ) $ (8 ) $ (34 ) $ (81 )
Dispositions     189     126     522     254  
Valuation of derivative instruments     (20 )   1     (23 )   6  
Settlements of derivative instruments     (50 )   (10 )   (65 )   (2 )
   
 
 
 
 
Realized capital gains and losses, pretax     100     109     400     177  
Income tax expense     (31 )   (39 )   (128 )   (57 )
   
 
 
 
 
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax   $ 69   $ 70   $ 272   $ 120  
   
 
 
 
 

        For a further discussion of net realized capital gains and losses, see the Investments section of the MD&A.

ALLSTATE FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

39



(in millions)
  Three Months
Ended September 30, 2004
Compared to the Same
Period in the Prior Year

  Nine Months
Ended September 30, 2004
Compared to the Same
Period in the Prior Year

 
Favorable (unfavorable):              
  Total revenues   $ (54 ) $ (171 )
  Contract benefits     34     87  
  Amortization of DAC     9     26  
  Operating costs and expenses     19     56  
  Loss on disposition of operations     7     (4 )
  Income tax expense     (5 )   2  
   
 
 
  Net income   $ 10   $ (4 )
   
 
 

ALLSTATE FINANCIAL SEGMENT

        Summarized financial data is presented in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Revenues                          
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges   $ 508   $ 538   $ 1,508   $ 1,710  
Net investment income     866     813     2,520     2,409  
Realized capital gains and losses     (51 )   7     (135 )   (68 )
   
 
 
 
 
Total revenues     1,323     1,358     3,893     4,051  

Costs and expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Contract benefits     (401 )   (424 )   (1,174 )   (1,380 )
Interest credited to contractholder funds     (505 )   (467 )   (1,455 )   (1,380 )
Amortization of DAC     (139 )   (110 )   (393 )   (399 )
Operating costs and expenses     (143 )   (169 )   (465 )   (498 )
Restructuring and related charges     (1 )   (1 )   (5 )   (1 )
   
 
 
 
 
Total costs and expenses     (1,189 )   (1,171 )   (3,492 )   (3,658 )

Loss on disposition of operations

 

 

(6

)

 

(14

)

 

(17

)

 

(14

)
Income tax expense     (40 )   (54 )   (136 )   (112 )
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax             (175 )    
   
 
 
 
 
Net income   $ 88   $ 119   $ 73   $ 267  
   
 
 
 
 
Investments   $ 70,934   $ 62,713   $ 70,934   $ 62,713  
Separate accounts assets     13,313     12,177     13,313     12,177  
   
 
 
 
 
Investments, including separate accounts assets   $ 84,247   $ 74,890   $ 84,247   $ 74,890  
   
 
 
 
 

40


Life and annuity premiums and contract charges    Premiums represent revenues generated from traditional life, immediate annuities with life contingencies and other insurance products that have significant mortality or morbidity risk. Contract charges are revenues generated from interest-sensitive life products, variable annuities, fixed annuities and other investment products for which deposits are classified as contractholder funds or separate accounts liabilities on the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. Contract charges are assessed against the contractholder account values for maintenance, administration, cost of insurance and surrender prior to contractually specified dates. As a result, changes in contractholder funds and separate accounts liabilities are considered in the evaluation of growth and as indicators of future levels of revenues.

        The following table summarizes premiums and contract charges by product.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Premiums                        
Traditional life   $ 75   $ 101   $ 234   $ 288
Immediate annuities with life contingencies     66     67     209     318
Accident, health and other     106     141     302     412
   
 
 
 
Total premiums     247     309     745     1,018

Contract charges

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Interest-sensitive life     170     152     491     456
Fixed annuities     13     10     41     28
Variable annuities     61     52     182     149
Institutional products                 6
Accident, health and other     17     15     49     53
   
 
 
 
Total contract charges     261     229     763     692
   
 
 
 
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges   $ 508   $ 538   $ 1,508   $ 1,710
   
 
 
 

        The following table summarizes premiums and contract charges by distribution channel.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Premiums                        
Allstate agencies   $ 99   $ 83   $ 284   $ 234
Specialized brokers     51     63     165     314
Independent agents     84     98     253     258
Direct response     13     65     43     212
   
 
 
 
Total premiums     247     309     745     1,018

Contract charges

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Allstate agencies     115     110     344     327
Specialized brokers     7     7     19     23
Independent agents     77     65     226     205
Financial institutions and broker/dealers     61     45     172     135
Direct response     1     2     2     2
   
 
 
 
Total contract charges     261     229     763     692
   
 
 
 
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges   $ 508   $ 538   $ 1,508   $ 1,710
   
 
 
 

        Total premiums decreased 20.1% to $247 million in the third quarter of 2004 and 26.8% to $745 million in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods of 2003. The decrease in both periods was due

41


to the disposal of the majority of our direct response distribution business, which resulted in lower accident, health and other premiums and traditional life premiums. Additionally, the nine-month period reflects lower premiums on immediate annuities with life contingencies as stricter underwriting practices reduced sales of large individual contracts in 2004.

        Contract charges increased 14.0% to $261 million in the third quarter of 2004 and 10.3% to $763 million in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods of 2003. The increase in both periods was primarily due to higher contract charges on variable annuities as a result of overall higher account values in the current periods and increased contract charges on interest-sensitive life products resulting from in force business growth. The higher variable annuity account values in the current periods were primarily attributable to favorable investment results during 2003 and net deposits, partially offset by surrenders and benefits.

        Contractholder funds represent interest-bearing liabilities arising from the sale of individual products, such as interest-sensitive life, fixed annuities and bank deposits, or institutional products, such as funding agreements. The balance of contractholder funds is equal to the cumulative deposits received and interest credited to the contractholder less cumulative contract maturities, benefits, surrenders, withdrawals and contract charges for mortality or administrative expenses.

        The following table shows the changes in contractholder funds.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Contractholder funds, beginning balance   $ 51,457   $ 43,358   $ 47,071   $ 40,751  

Impact of adoption of SOP 03-1(1)

 

 


 

 


 

 

421

 

 


 

Deposits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Fixed annuities (immediate and deferred)     2,115     1,581     4,967     4,053  
Institutional products     852     1,076     3,452     2,062  
Interest-sensitive life     348     268     1,008     755  
Variable annuity and life deposits allocated to fixed accounts     102     289     373     698  
Bank and other deposits     175     160     485     466  
   
 
 
 
 
Total deposits     3,592     3,374     10,285     8,034  

Interest credited

 

 

509

 

 

467

 

 

1,454

 

 

1,380

 

Maturities, benefits, withdrawals and other adjustments

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Maturities of institutional products     (820 )   (569 )   (1,915 )   (1,662 )
Benefits and withdrawals     (1,055 )   (823 )   (2,962 )   (2,375 )
Contract charges     (170 )   (158 )   (488 )   (463 )
Net transfers to separate accounts     (94 )   (129 )   (328 )   (271 )
Fair value hedge adjustments for institutional products     66     (27 )   (53 )   60  
Other adjustments     (7 )   29     (7 )   68  
   
 
 
 
 
Total maturities, benefits, withdrawals and other adjustments     (2,080 )   (1,677 )   (5,753 )   (4,643 )
   
 
 
 
 
Contractholder funds, ending balance   $ 53,478   $ 45,522   $ 53,478   $ 45,522  
   
 
 
 
 
(1)
The increase in contractholder funds due to the adoption of SOP 03-1 reflects the reclassification of certain products previously included as a component of separate accounts to contractholder funds, the reclassification of deferred sales inducements ("DSI") from contractholder funds to other assets and the establishment of reserves for certain liabilities that are primarily related to income and death benefit guarantees provided under variable annuity contracts.

        Contractholder deposits increased 6.5% in the third quarter and 28.0% in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods in 2003 due to increased fixed annuity deposits in both periods, with higher institutional product deposits also contributing to the increase in the first nine months. These new deposits contributed to increases in average contractholder funds, excluding the impact of adopting SOP 03-1, of

42


18.1% in the third quarter and 16.1% in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods in 2003. Fixed annuity deposits increased 33.8% and 22.6% in the third quarter and first nine months of 2004, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2003. The increases were attributable to strong consumer demand and competitive pricing. Institutional product deposits decreased 20.8% in the third quarter of 2004 and increased 67.4% in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods in 2003, largely due to our assessment of market conditions for these products. Institutional product deposits for the first nine months of 2004 include the inaugural offering during the second quarter of our Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") registered program totaling $800 million.

        Benefits and withdrawals increased 28.2% in the third quarter and 24.7% in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods in 2003. Benefits and withdrawals for the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 represent an annualized withdrawal rate of 10.6% for both periods, based on the beginning of period contractholder funds balance excluding institutional product reserves, compared to 9.6% and 10.0% for the third quarter and first nine months of 2003, respectively.

        Separate accounts liabilities represent contractholders' claims to the related legally segregated separate accounts assets. Separate accounts liabilities primarily arise from the sale of variable annuity contracts and variable life insurance policies. The following table shows the changes in separate accounts liabilities.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Separate accounts liabilities, beginning balance   $ 13,564   $ 11,823   $ 13,425   $ 11,125  

Impact of adoption of SOP 03-1(1)

 

 


 

 


 

 

(204

)

 


 

Variable annuity and life deposits

 

 

361

 

 

653

 

 

1,322

 

 

1,653

 
Variable annuity and life deposits allocated to fixed accounts     (102 )   (289 )   (373 )   (698 )
   
 
 
 
 
Net deposits     259     364     949     955  
Investment results     (152 )   296     209     1,266  
Contract charges     (64 )   (54 )   (189 )   (160 )
Net transfers from fixed accounts     94     129     328     271  
Surrenders and benefits     (388 )   (381 )   (1,205 )   (1,280 )
   
 
 
 
 
Separate accounts liabilities, ending balance   $ 13,313   $ 12,177   $ 13,313   $ 12,177  
   
 
 
 
 
(1)
The decrease in separate accounts due to the adoption of SOP 03-1 reflects the reclassification of certain products previously included as a component of separate accounts to contractholder funds.

        Separate accounts liabilities, excluding the impact of adopting SOP 03-1, decreased $251 million and increased $92 million during the third quarter and first nine months of 2004, respectively, compared to increases of $354 million and $1.05 billion during the third quarter and first nine months of 2003, respectively. The decline in the third quarter was due to unfavorable investment results and net cash outflows. In the nine-month period, the increase resulted from positive investment results and net cash inflows partially offset by contract charges. Variable annuity contractholders often allocate a significant portion of their initial variable annuity contract deposit into a fixed rate investment option. The level of this activity is reflected above in the deposits allocated to the fixed accounts, while all other transfer activity between the fixed and separate accounts investment options is reflected in net transfers from fixed accounts. The liability for the fixed portion of variable annuity contracts is reflected in contractholder funds.

Net investment income increased 6.5% in the third quarter of 2004 and 4.6% in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods in 2003. The increases in both periods were primarily the result of the effect of higher portfolio balances, partially offset by lower portfolio yields. Higher portfolio balances resulted from the investment of cash flows from operating and financing activities. Total investments as of September 30, 2004, increased 13.1% from September 30, 2003 due primarily to contractholder deposits, partially offset by

43


a decline in unrealized capital gains on fixed income securities. The lower portfolio yields were primarily due to purchases, including reinvestments, of fixed income securities with yields lower than the current portfolio average.

        Net income analysis is presented in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges   $ 508   $ 538   $ 1,508   $ 1,710  
Net investment income     866     813     2,520     2,409  
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments(1)     15     10     33     15  
Contract benefits     (401 )   (424 )   (1,174 )   (1,380 )
Interest credited to contractholder funds(2)     (501 )   (467 )   (1,430 )   (1,380 )
   
 
 
 
 
Gross margin     487     470     1,457     1,374  

Amortization of DAC and DSI

 

 

(120

)

 

(104

)

 

(375

)

 

(368

)
Operating costs and expenses     (143 )   (169 )   (465 )   (498 )
Restructuring and related charges     (1 )   (1 )   (5 )   (1 )
Income tax expense     (72 )   (61 )   (203 )   (159 )
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     (33 )   4     (90 )   (42 )
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     (15 )   (4 )   (28 )   (20 )
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non- hedge derivative instruments, after-tax     (10 )   (7 )   (21 )   (10 )
Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax     (5 )   (9 )   (22 )   (9 )
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax             (175 )    
   
 
 
 
 
Net income   $ 88   $ 119   $ 73   $ 267  
   
 
 
 
 
(1)
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments are reflected as a component of realized capital gains and losses on the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations.
(2)
Beginning in 2004, amortization of DSI is excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin. Amortization of DSI totaled $4 million in the third quarter of 2004 and $25 million in the first nine months of 2004. Prior periods have not been restated.

        Gross margin, a non-GAAP measure, represents life and annuity premiums and contract charges and net investment income, less contract benefits and interest credited to contractholder funds. We use gross margin as a component of our evaluation of the profitability of Allstate Financial's life insurance and financial product portfolio. Additionally, for many of our products, including fixed annuities, variable contracts, and interest-sensitive life insurance, the amortization of DAC and DSI is determined based on actual and expected gross margin. Gross margin is comprised of four components that are utilized to further analyze the business: investment margin, benefit margin, maintenance charges and surrender charges. We believe gross margin and its components are useful to investors because they allow for the evaluation of income components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Gross margin, investment margin and benefit margin should not be considered as a substitute for net income and do not reflect the overall profitability of the business. Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to these margins. Gross margin is reconciled to Allstate Financial's GAAP net income in the table above.

44


        The components of gross margin are reconciled to the corresponding financial statement line items in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended September 30,
 
 
  Investment
Margin

  Benefit
Margin

  Maintenance
Charges

  Surrender
Charges

  Gross
Margin

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Life and annuity premiums   $   $   $ 247   $ 309   $   $   $   $   $ 247   $ 309  
Contract charges             143     127     101     84     17     18     261     229  
Net investment income     866     813                             866     813  
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments(1)     15     10                             15     10  
Contract benefits     (135 )   (126 )   (266 )   (298 )                   (401 )   (424 )
Interest credited to contractholder funds(2)     (501 )   (467 )                           (501 )   (467 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    $ 245   $ 230   $ 124   $ 138   $ 101   $ 84   $ 17   $ 18   $ 487   $ 470  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
  Investment
Margin

  Benefit
Margin

  Maintenance
Charges

  Surrender
Charges

  Gross
Margin

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Life and annuity premiums   $   $   $ 745   $ 1,018   $   $   $   $   $ 745   $ 1,018  
Contract charges             419     388     289     249     55     55     763     692  
Net investment income     2,520     2,409                             2,520     2,409  
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments(1)     33     15                             33     15  
Contract benefits     (396 )   (380 )   (778 )   (1,000 )                   (1,174 )   (1,380 )
Interest credited to contractholder funds(2)     (1,430 )   (1,380 )                           (1,430 )   (1,380 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    $ 727   $ 664   $ 386   $ 406   $ 289   $ 249   $ 55   $ 55   $ 1,457   $ 1,374  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(1)
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments are reflected as a component of realized capital gains and losses on the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations.
(2)
Beginning in 2004, amortization of DSI is excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin. Amortization of DSI totaled $4 million in the third quarter of 2004 and $25 million in the first nine months of 2004. Prior periods have not been restated.

        Gross margin increased 3.6% in the third quarter and 6.0% in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods of 2003. The increases in both periods were due to increased maintenance charges and investment margin, partially offset by a lower benefit margin. Additionally, the amount of gross margin in any period influences the amount of DAC and DSI amortization during that period. Therefore, the increases in gross margin for these periods resulted in higher DAC and DSI amortization.

        Investment margin is a component of gross margin, both of which are non-GAAP measures. Investment margin represents the excess of net investment income over interest credited to contractholder funds and the implied interest on life-contingent immediate annuities included in the reserve for life-contingent contract benefits. We use investment margin to evaluate Allstate Financial's profitability related to the difference between investment returns on assets supporting certain products and amounts credited to customers ("spread") during a fiscal period.

45


        Investment margin by product group is shown in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Life insurance   $ 48   $ 61   $ 159   $ 174
Annuities     161     141     465     408
Institutional products     32     27     92     76
Bank and other     4     1     11     6
   
 
 
 
Total investment margin   $ 245   $ 230   $ 727   $ 664
   
 
 
 

        Investment margin increased 6.5% in the third quarter of 2004 and 9.5% in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods of 2003. The increases in both periods were primarily due to an increase in contractholder funds and, in addition, for the nine-month period, improved yields on investments supporting capital, traditional life and other products.

        The following table summarizes the annualized weighted average investment yield, interest crediting rates and investment spreads for the three months ended September 30.

 
  Weighted Average
Investment Yield

  Weighted Average
Interest Crediting Rate

  Weighted Average
Investment Spreads

 
 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Interest-sensitive life   6.4 % 6.9 % 4.7 % 5.1 % 1.7 % 1.8 %
Fixed annuities—deferred   5.8   6.3   4.1   4.5   1.7   1.8  
Fixed annuities—immediate   7.6   7.8   6.8   7.1   0.8   0.7  
Institutional   3.1   3.3   2.1   2.3   1.0   1.0  
Investments supporting capital, traditional life and other products   6.4   6.5   N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A  

        The following table summarizes the annualized weighted average investment yield, interest crediting rates and investment spreads for the nine months ended September 30.

 
  Weighted Average
Investment Yield

  Weighted Average
Interest Crediting Rate

  Weighted Average
Investment Spreads

 
 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Interest-sensitive life   6.5 % 7.0 % 4.6 % 5.0 % 1.9 % 2.0 %
Fixed annuities—deferred   5.9   6.5   4.1   4.7   1.8   1.8  
Fixed annuities—immediate   7.6   7.9   6.9   7.0   0.7   0.9  
Institutional   3.0   3.5   2.0   2.6   1.0   0.9  
Investments supporting capital, traditional life and other products   6.3   6.1   N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A  

        In the third quarter of 2004 compared to the same period in the prior year, the slightly lower yield on the capital, traditional life and other products investment portfolio resulted from lower income realized on equity investments and declining reinvestment yields more than offsetting the effect of more effective cash management. In the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same period in the prior year, the yield on the capital, traditional life and other products investment portfolio improved due to more effective cash management and higher investment income realized on investments accounted for using the equity method of accounting. This increase was partially offset by a decline in fixed annuity and interest-sensitive life investment spreads as investment yield declines were not fully offset by crediting rate reductions in the comparable period. The weighted average interest crediting rates on deferred fixed annuity and interest-sensitive life products in force, excluding market value adjusted annuities, were approximately 50 basis points more than the underlying long-term guaranteed rates on these products as of

46


September 30, 2004. The crediting rate on approximately 62% of these contracts was at the contractually guaranteed minimum rate as of September 30, 2004.

        The following table summarizes the liabilities for these contracts and policies.

 
  September 30,
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
Interest-sensitive life   $ 8,054   $ 7,239
Fixed annuities—deferred     29,682     24,910
Fixed annuities—immediate     10,427     9,770
Institutional     11,277     9,182
   
 
      59,440     51,101
Life-contingent contracts     4,094     3,727
Allstate Bank     826     714
FAS 133 market value adjustment     517     486
Ceded reserves and other     162     397
   
 
Total contractholder funds and reserve for life-contingent contract benefits   $ 65,039   $ 56,425
   
 

        Benefit margin is a component of gross margin, both of which are non-GAAP measures. Benefit margin represents life and annuity premiums and cost of insurance contract charges less contract benefits. Benefit margin excludes the implied interest on life-contingent immediate annuities, which is included in the calculation of investment margin, and mortality charges on variable annuities, which are included as a component of maintenance charges. We use the benefit margin to evaluate Allstate Financial's underwriting performance, as it reflects the profitability of our products with respect to mortality or morbidity risk during a fiscal period.

        Benefit margin by product group is shown in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Life insurance   $ 151   $ 159   $ 449   $ 494  
Annuities     (27 )   (21 )   (63 )   (88 )
   
 
 
 
 
Total benefit margin   $ 124   $ 138   $ 386   $ 406  
   
 
 
 
 

        Benefit margin decreased 10.1% and 4.9% in the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods in the prior year as a result of the disposal of the majority of our direct response distribution business and higher mortality losses on life contingent immediate annuities. These decreases were partially offset by lower expenses related to guaranteed minimum death benefits ("GMDBs") on variable annuities and lower mortality benefits on our traditional and interest-sensitive life products.

        As required by SOP 03-1, as of January 1, 2004, a reserve was established for GMDBs and guaranteed minimum income benefits ("GMIBs"). In previous periods, GMDBs were expensed as paid and no costs were recognizable for GMIBs. Under the SOP, we anticipate that the benefit margin will be less volatile in the future, as contract benefit expense pertaining to GMDBs and GMIBs will be proportionate to the related revenue rather than cash payments made during the period. Included in the benefit margin for the third quarter and first nine months of 2004 are additions to the reserve for guarantees of $16 million and $36 million, respectively, net of reinsurance. Included in the benefit margin for the third quarter and first nine months of 2003 are GMDB payments of $18 million and $66 million, respectively, net of reinsurance, hedging gains and losses and other contractual arrangements. For further explanation of the impacts of the adoption of this accounting guidance, see Note 1 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

        Amortization of DAC and DSI increased 15.4% in the third quarter of 2004 compared to the same period in the prior year as a result of higher gross margin on fixed and variable annuities. This increase was partially offset by the elimination of DAC amortization on the direct response distribution business that was sold in January of 2004. Amortization of DAC and DSI increased 1.9% in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same period in the prior year. The higher amortization is reflective of increased gross margins on fixed and variable annuities. Additionally, in the first nine months of 2003, amortization of DAC and DSI included

47


amortization acceleration (commonly referred to as "DAC unlocking") totaling $89 million and DAC amortization on the direct response distribution business sold in January of 2004.

        The adoption of SOP 03-1 required a new modeling approach for estimating expected future gross profits that are used when determining the amortization of DAC. Because of this new modeling approach, effective January 1, 2004, the variable annuity DAC and DSI assets were reduced by $124 million. This reduction was recognized as a cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle.

        Operating costs and expenses decreased 15.4% and 6.6% in the third quarter and first nine months of 2004, respectively, compared to the same periods in the prior year. The following table summarizes operating costs and expenses.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Non-deferrable acquisition costs   $ 54   $ 72   $ 192   $ 210
Other operating costs and expenses     89     97     273     288
   
 
 
 
Total operating costs and expenses   $ 143   $ 169   $ 465   $ 498
   
 
 
 

        The decrease in total operating costs and expenses in the third quarter of 2004 compared to the same period in the prior year was primarily the result of the disposal of the majority of our direct response distribution business and lower operational expenses, partially offset by higher non-deferrable commissions. For the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same period in the prior year, total operating costs and expenses decreased as the disposal of the majority of our direct response distribution business and lower operational expenses more than offset costs related to loss experience on certain credit insurance policies and higher non-deferrable commissions.

Net realized capital gains and losses are presented in the following table.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Investment write-downs   $ (27 ) $ (26 ) $ (73 ) $ (146 )
Dispositions     3     (16 )   (9 )   48  
Valuation of derivative instruments     (23 )   35     (49 )   10  
Settlements of derivative instruments     (4 )   14     (4 )   20  
   
 
 
 
 
Realized capital gains and losses, pretax     (51 )   7     (135 )   (68 )
Income tax benefit (expense)     18     (3 )   45     26  
   
 
 
 
 
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax   $ (33 ) $ 4   $ (90 ) $ (42 )
   
 
 
 
 

        For further discussion of realized capital gains and losses, see the Investments section of the MD&A.

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INVESTMENTS

        An important component of our financial results is the return on our investment portfolios. Investment portfolios are segmented between the Property-Liability, Allstate Financial and Corporate and Other operations. The investment portfolios are managed based upon the nature of each respective business and its corresponding liability structure. The composition of the investment portfolios at September 30, 2004 is presented in the table below.

 
  Property-Liability
  Allstate Financial
  Corporate and Other
  Total
 
(in millions)
   
  Percent to total
   
  Percent to total
   
  Percent to total
   
  Percent to total
 
Fixed income securities(1)   $ 33,241   80.9 % $ 59,493   83.9 % $ 1,810   78.9 % $ 94,544   82.7 %
Equity securities     5,281   12.9     290   0.4     53   2.3     5,624   4.9  
Mortgage loans     325   0.8     7,370   10.4           7,695   6.8  
Short-term     2,214   5.4     2,047   2.9     430   18.7     4,691   4.1  
Other     5       1,734   2.4     2   0.1     1,741   1.5  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Total   $ 41,066   100.0 % $ 70,934   100.0 % $ 2,295   100.0 % $ 114,295   100.0 %
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(1)
Fixed income securities are carried at fair value. Amortized cost basis for these securities was $31.67 billion, $56.00 billion and $1.68 billion for Property-Liability, Allstate Financial and Corporate and Other, respectively.

        Total investments increased to $114.30 billion at September 30, 2004 from $103.08 billion at December 31, 2003 primarily due to positive cash flows from operating and financing activities and increased funds associated with securities lending, partially offset by decreased net unrealized gains on equity securities.

        Property-Liability investments increased to $41.07 billion at September 30, 2004 from $37.86 billion at December 31, 2003, due to positive cash flows from operations, partially offset by dividends paid by Allstate Insurance Company ("AIC") to The Allstate Corporation and decreased net unrealized gains on equity and fixed income securities.

        Allstate Financial investments increased to $70.93 billion at September 30, 2004 from $62.90 billion at December 31, 2003. The increase in Allstate Financial investments was primarily due to positive cash flows from operating and financing activities and increased funds associated with securities lending.

        Corporate and Other investments decreased to $2.30 billion at September 30, 2004 from $2.33 billion at December 31, 2003. This decline is primarily related to the sale of a portion of the equity interest in a consolidated variable interest entity. This sale caused the deconsolidation of this entity, decreasing the investments of the Corporate and Other segment. For more information on this transaction, see Note 3 of the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

        Total investments at amortized cost related to collateral, primarily due to securities lending, increased to $5.76 billion at September 30, 2004, from $3.75 billion at December 31, 2003.

        At September 30, 2004, 93.6% of the consolidated fixed income securities portfolio was rated investment grade, which is defined as a security having a rating from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") of 1 or 2; a Moody's equivalent rating of Aaa, Aa, A or Baa; an S&P equivalent rating of AAA, AA, A or BBB; or a comparable internal rating when an external rating is not available.

        The unrealized net capital gains on fixed income and equity securities at September 30, 2004 were $6.17 billion, a decrease of $221 million or 3.5% since December 31, 2003. The net unrealized gain for the fixed income portfolio totaled $5.19 billion, comprised of $5.43 billion of unrealized gains and $232 million of unrealized losses at September 30, 2004. This is compared to a net unrealized gain for the fixed income portfolio totaling $5.14 billion at December 31, 2003, comprised of $5.50 billion of unrealized gains and $370 million of unrealized losses.

        Of the gross unrealized losses in the fixed income portfolio at September 30, 2004, $160 million or 69.0% were related to investment grade securities and are believed to be primarily a result of the interest rate environment. Of the remaining $72 million of losses in the fixed income portfolio, $27 million or 37.5% were concentrated in the corporate fixed income portfolio, $24 million or 33.3% were concentrated in the municipal bond portfolio, and $20 million or 27.8% were concentrated in the asset backed securities portfolio.

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Approximately $15 million of the total gross unrealized losses in the corporate fixed income portfolio and $11 million of the total gross unrealized losses in the asset-backed securities portfolio were associated with the airline industry for which values were depressed due to company specific issues and economic issues related to fuel costs. We expect eventual recovery of these securities. Every security was included in our portfolio monitoring process.

        The net unrealized gain for the equity portfolio totaled $980 million, comprised of $1.02 billion of unrealized gains and $36 million of unrealized losses at September 30, 2004. This is compared to a net unrealized gain for the equity portfolio totaling $1.26 billion at December 31, 2003, comprised of $1.28 billion of unrealized gains and $18 million of unrealized losses. Within the equity portfolio, the losses were primarily concentrated in the consumer goods and financial services sectors. The losses in these sectors were company and sector specific. We expect eventual recovery of these securities and the related sectors. Every security was included in our portfolio monitoring process.

        Our portfolio monitoring process identifies and evaluates fixed income and equity securities whose carrying value may be other than temporarily impaired. The process includes a quarterly review of all securities using a screening process to identify those securities whose fair value compared to cost for equity securities or amortized cost for fixed income securities is below established thresholds for certain time periods, or which are identified through other monitoring criteria such as ratings downgrades or payment defaults.

        We also monitor the quality of our fixed income portfolio by categorizing certain investments as "problem", "restructured" or "potential problem." Problem fixed income securities are securities in default with respect to principal or interest and/or securities issued by companies that have gone into bankruptcy subsequent to our acquisition of the security. Restructured fixed income securities have rates and terms that are not consistent with market rates or terms prevailing at the time of the restructuring. Potential problem fixed income securities are current with respect to contractual principal and/or interest, but because of other facts and circumstances, we have serious concerns regarding the borrower's ability to pay future principal and interest, which causes us to believe these securities may be classified as problem or restructured in the future.

        The following table summarizes problem, restructured and potential problem fixed income securities.

 
  September 30, 2004
  December 31, 2003
 
(in millions)
  Amortized cost
  Fair value
  Percent of total Fixed Income portfolio
  Amortized cost
  Fair value
  Percent of total Fixed Income portfolio
 
Problem   $ 201   $ 201   0.2 % $ 325   $ 322   0.4 %
Restructured     92     93   0.1     77     78   0.1  
Potential problem     285     283   0.3     397     382   0.4  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total net carrying value   $ 578   $ 577   0.6 % $ 799   $ 782   0.9 %
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative write- downs recognized   $ 390             $ 347            
   
           
           

        We have experienced a decrease in the amortized cost of fixed income securities categorized as problem and potential problem as of September 30, 2004 compared to December 31, 2003. The decrease was primarily related to the sale of holdings in these categories due to specific developments causing a change in our outlook and intent to hold those securities.

        We also evaluated each of these securities through our portfolio monitoring process and recorded write-downs when appropriate. We further concluded that any remaining unrealized losses on these securities were temporary in nature. While these balances may increase in the future, particularly if economic conditions are unfavorable, we expect that the total amount of securities in these categories will remain low relative to the total fixed income securities portfolio.

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        Net Realized Capital Gains and Losses    The following table presents the components of realized capital gains and losses and the related tax effect.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Investment write-downs   $ (46 ) $ (35 ) $ (108 ) $ (228 )
Dispositions(1)     192     108     511     299  
Valuation of derivative instruments     (43 )   36     (73 )   16  
Settlements of derivative instruments     (53 )   4     (69 )   18  
   
 
 
 
 
Realized capital gains and losses, pretax     50     113     261     105  
Income tax expense     (13 )   (40 )   (81 )   (29 )
   
 
 
 
 
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax   $ 37   $ 73   $ 180   $ 76  
   
 
 
 
 
(1)
Includes $90 million of net capital gains from a repositioning of the equity portfolio and $49 million of net capital gains from the liquidation of the Allstate Floridian Insurance Company portfolio in anticipation of liquidity needs to settle hurricane catastrophe claims.

        Dispositions in the above table include sales and other transactions such as calls and prepayments. We may sell securities during the period in which fair value has declined below amortized cost for fixed income securities or cost for equity securities. In certain situations new factors such as negative developments, subsequent credit deterioration, relative value opportunities, market liquidity concerns and portfolio reallocations can subsequently change our previous intent to continue holding a security. Included in losses from written down investments is $27 million related to airline industry holdings in the first nine months of 2004, of which $14 million or 51.9% was recognized in the third quarter of 2004.

CAPITAL RESOURCES AND LIQUIDITY

        Capital Resources consist of shareholders' equity and debt, representing funds deployed or available to be deployed to support business operations or for general corporate purposes. The following table summarizes our capital resources.

(in millions)
  September 30, 2004
  December 31, 2003
 
Common stock, retained earnings and other shareholders' equity items   $ 18,594   $ 17,809  
Accumulated other comprehensive income     2,444     2,756  
   
 
 
  Total shareholders' equity     21,038     20,565  
Debt     5,399     5,076  
   
 
 
  Total capital resources   $ 26,437   $ 25,641  
   
 
 

Ratio of debt to shareholders' equity

 

 

25.7

%

 

24.7

%

        Shareholders' equity increased in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to December 31, 2003, as net income was partially offset by share repurchases, dividends paid to shareholders and decreases in unrealized net capital gains on investments. In February 2004, we announced a $1.00 billion increase in the current share repurchase program, bringing the total to $1.50 billion. As of September 30, 2004, this program had $396 million remaining, and is expected to be completed no later than December 31, 2005. Through the end of October 2004, an additional $145 million has been purchased under the current program.

        Debt increased in the first nine months of 2004 compared to December 31, 2003 primarily due to increases in long-term borrowings outstanding. In August 2004, we issued $650 million of 5.000% Senior Notes due in 2014, utilizing the registration statement filed with the SEC in June 2000. The proceeds of this issuance will be used for general corporate purposes, including to facilitate the repayment of a portion of the $900 million of 77/8% Senior Notes due 2005 at their scheduled maturity on May 1, 2005. The increase in debt was partially offset by a decrease of $412 million related to the deconsolidation of a variable interest

51


entity ("VIE") resulting from the sale of a portion of the equity interest in the VIE. For more information on this transaction, see Note 3 of the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

        Financial Ratings and Strength    Our ratings are influenced by many factors including our operating and financial performance, asset quality, liquidity, asset/liability management, overall portfolio mix, financial leverage (i.e., debt), exposure to risks such as catastrophes and the current level of operating leverage. There have been no changes to our debt, commercial paper and insurance financial strength ratings since December 31, 2003. However, in February 2004, A.M. Best revised the outlook to stable from positive for the insurance financial strength ratings of Allstate Life Insurance Company ("ALIC") and certain rated subsidiaries and affiliates, while maintaining their positive outlook on AIC.

        We have distinct groups of subsidiaries licensed to sell property and casualty insurance in New Jersey and Florida. These groups are adequately capitalized to maintain separate group ratings and are not reinsured by other Allstate subsidiaries that are not part of these respective groups. As a result, ratings of the New Jersey and Florida groups are subject to general business risks in those subsidiaries such as catastrophes, liquidity, profitability, asset quality and operating leverage. For example, in September 2004, A.M. Best revised the rating of Allstate Floridian Insurance Company ("Allstate Floridian") and Allstate Floridian Indemnity Company from A- (Excellent) to B+ (Very Good), but this rating remains under review with negative implications as the current risk-adjusted capitalization is not supportive of the rating, as a result of a decline in capital of Allstate Floridian due to hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne.

        Liquidity Sources and Uses    The following table summarizes consolidated cash flow activities by business unit for the nine months ended September 30.

 
  Property-Liability
  Allstate Financial
  Corporate
and Other

  Consolidated
 
(in millions)
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Net cash provided by (used in):                                                  
Operating activities   $ 3,738   $ 3,114   $ 1,310   $ 1,730   $ (219 ) $   $ 4,829   $ 4,844  
Investing activities     (2,855 )   (2,358 )   (5,871 )   (5,345 )   (365 )   (135 )   (9,091 )   (7,838 )
Financing activities     100     1     4,870     3,526     (704 )   (748 )   4,266     2,779  
                                       
 
 
Net increase (decrease) in consolidated cash                                       $ 4   $ (215 )
                                       
 
 

        Property-Liability    Higher operating cash flows of the Property-Liability business in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the first nine months of 2003 were primarily due to increased underwriting income. Cash outflows resulting from catastrophes in the third quarter of 2004 are expected to primarily occur in the fourth quarter of 2004. Cash used in investing activities increased in the first nine months of 2004 as higher operating cash flows were invested in the fixed income and equity portfolios.

        Cash flows of the Property-Liability business are also impacted by dividends paid by AIC to its parent, The Allstate Corporation. These dividends totaled $1.25 billion in the first nine months of 2004 compared to $694 million in the first nine months of 2003.

        Allstate Financial    Lower operating cash flows for Allstate Financial in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the first nine months of 2003 primarily relate to declines in life and annuity premiums, partially offset by increases in investment income. Cash flows used in investing activities increased in the first nine months of 2004 as the investment of higher financing cash flow from contractholder funds was partially offset by lower operating cash flows.

        Higher cash flow from financing activities during the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the first nine months of 2003 reflects an increase in deposits received from contractholders, partially offset by maturities of institutional products and benefits and withdrawals from contractholders' accounts. For quantification of the changes in contractholder funds, see the Allstate Financial Segment section of the MD&A.

        Corporate and Other    Lower operating cash flows of the Corporate and Other segment in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the first nine months of 2003 were primarily due to the timing of intercompany settlements. Financing cash flows of the Corporate and Other segment reflect actions such as fluctuations in short-term debt, proceeds from the issuance of debt, dividends to shareholders of The Allstate

52


Corporation and share repurchases; therefore, financing cash flows are affected when we increase or decrease the level of these activities.

        We have access to additional borrowing to support liquidity as follows:

        The Company has made contributions to its pension plans during the nine months ended September 30, 2004 totaling $162 million, and will make an additional contribution totaling $302 million during October 2004. The Company updates its minimum pension liability on October 31 of each year and estimates that the minimum pension liability at December 31, 2004, after the impact of these contributions, will be approximately $377 million, after-tax, compared to $359 million at December 31, 2003. Changes in the minimum pension liability are reflected in Accumulated other comprehensive income on the Company's Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND RISK FACTORS

        This document contains "forward-looking statements" that anticipate results based on our estimates, assumptions and plans that are subject to uncertainty. These statements are made subject to the safe-harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information or future events or developments.

        These forward-looking statements do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and may be identified by their use of words like "plans," "seeks," "expects," "will," "should," "anticipates," "estimates," "intends," "believes," "likely," "targets" and other words with similar meanings. These statements may address, among other things, our strategy for growth, product development, regulatory approvals, market position, expenses, financial results, litigation and reserves. We believe that these statements are based on reasonable estimates, assumptions and plans. However, if the estimates, assumptions or plans underlying the forward-looking statements prove inaccurate or if other risks or uncertainties arise, actual results could differ materially from those communicated in these forward-looking statements. Factors which could cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by such forward-looking statements are listed below and are incorporated in this Part I, Item 2 by reference to the information set forth in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Part II, Item 7, under the caption "Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors."

Our third quarter hurricane loss estimate is subject to uncertainty.

With respect to our estimates of losses resulting from hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne, actual results may differ materially for a variety of reasons. Most significantly, the reporting and evaluation of these hurricane losses has been complicated by the fact that these storms occurred over a short period of time; that some communities were hit by more than one hurricane; and that property

53


Any decrease in our financial strength ratings may have an adverse effect on our competitive position

Financial strength ratings are important factors in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies and generally have an effect on an insurance company's business. On an ongoing basis, rating agencies review the financial performance and condition of insurers and could downgrade or change the outlook on an insurer's ratings due to, for example, a change in an insurer's statutory capital; a change in a rating agency's determination of the amount of risk-adjusted capital required to maintain a particular rating; an increase in the perceived risk of an insurer's investment portfolio; a reduced confidence in management or a host of other considerations that may or may not be under the insurer's control. The insurance financial strength ratings of both AIC and ALIC are A+, AA and Aa2 (from A.M. Best, Moody's, and Standard and Poor's, respectively). Several other affiliates have been assigned their own financial strength ratings by one or more rating agencies. Because all of these ratings are subject to continuous review, the retention of these ratings cannot be assured. A multiple level downgrade in any of these ratings could have a material adverse effect on our sales, our competitiveness, the marketability of our product offerings, and our liquidity, operating results and financial condition.

Additionally, homeowners premium growth rates and retention could be adversely impacted by the need to adjust our business structure, size and underwriting practices in Florida and other markets with significant catastrophe risk exposure.

Assessments from various state facilities could have an adverse effect on our results of operations

We are currently monitoring developments with respect to various state facilities such as guaranty funds and Citizens Property Insurance Corporation in Florida. Our results of operations could be adversely affected by these developments, particularly developments arising out of recent catastrophes. Additional

54


55


Item 4. Controls and Procedures

        With the participation of our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, we carried out an evaluation of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon this evaluation, the principal executive officer and the principal financial officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures are effective in timely alerting them to material information required to be included in our periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. However, the design of any system of controls and procedures is based in part upon assumptions about the likelihood of future events and there can be no assurance that any design will succeed in achieving its stated goals under all potential future conditions, regardless of how remote. Our disclosure controls and procedures are designed to provide reasonable assurance of achieving their objectives and are effective at the "reasonable assurance" level.

        During the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2004, there have been no changes in our internal control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

56


PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

Item 1. Legal Proceedings

        Information required for Part II, Item 1 is incorporated by reference to the discussion under the heading "Regulation" and under the heading "Legal proceedings" in Note 7 of the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements in Part I, Item 1 of this Form 10-Q.

Item 2. Changes in Securities, Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

Period

  Total
Number of
Shares
(or Units)
Purchased(1)

  Average Price
Paid per Share
(or Unit)

  Total Number
of Shares
(or Units) Purchased
as Part of Publicly
Announced Plans or
Programs(2)

  Maximum Number
(or Approximate Dollar Value)
of Shares
(or Units) that May Yet Be
Purchased Under the Plans or
Programs

July 1, 2004 - July 31, 2004   2,528,518   $ 46.5881   2,523,200   $ 666 million
August 1, 2004 - August 31, 2004   3,094,144   $ 46.9427   2,813,700   $ 534 million
September 1, 2004 - September 30, 2004   2,892,748   $ 47.7264   2,881,700   $ 396 million
Total   8,515,410   $ 47.1036   8,218,600      

(1)
July: In accordance with the terms of its equity compensation plans, Allstate acquired 5,318 shares in connection with stock option exercises by employees and/or directors. The stock was received in payment of the exercise price of the options and in satisfaction of withholding taxes due upon exercise.
(2)
On February 4, 2003, Allstate announced the approval of a repurchase program for $500 million. On February 4, 2004, Allstate announced the approval of a $1.00 billion increase to the current share repurchase program. The combined program is expected to be completed by December 31, 2005.

Item 6. Exhibits

57


SIGNATURE

        Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.


 

 

The Allstate Corporation
(Registrant)

November 3, 2004

 

By

 

/s/  
SAMUEL H. PILCH      
Samuel H. Pilch
Controller
(chief accounting officer and duly
authorized officer of Registrant)

58


Exhibit No.
  Description
4   Registrant hereby agrees to furnish the Commission, upon request, with the instruments defining the rights of holders of each issue of long-term debt of the Registrant and its consolidated subsidiaries.

15

 

Acknowledgment of awareness from Deloitte & Touche LLP, dated November 3, 2004, concerning unaudited interim financial information.

31.1

 

Rule 13a-14(a) Certification of Principal Executive Officer

31.2

 

Rule 13a-14(a) Certification of Principal Financial Officer

32

 

Section 1350 Certification

E-1