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FORM 10-Q

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

QUARTERLY REPORT UNDER SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF
THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarter ended March 31, 2005

Commission file number 0-24000

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY


(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

     
PENNSYLVANIA   25-0466020
     
(State or other jurisdiction of   (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization)   Identification No.)
     
100 Erie Insurance Place, Erie, Pennsylvania   16530
     
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

(814) 870-2000


Registrant’s telephone number, including area code

Not applicable


Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter periods that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).

     Yes þ No o

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practical date.

Class A Common Stock, no par value, with a stated value of $.0292 per share—62,690,756 shares as of April 18, 2005.

Class B Common Stock, no par value, with a stated value of $70 per share—2,843 shares as of April 18, 2005.

The common stock is the only class of stock the Registrant is presently authorized to issue.

 
 

1


 

INDEX

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

             
        PAGE  
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION        
 
           
  Financial Statements (Unaudited)     3  
 
           
 
  Consolidated Statements of Financial Position—March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004     3  
 
           
 
  Consolidated Statements of Operations—Three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004     5  
 
           
 
  Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income—Three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004     6  
 
           
 
  Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows—Three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004     7  
 
           
 
  Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements—March 31, 2005     8  
 
           
  Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations     23  
 
           
  Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk     43  
 
           
  Controls and Procedures     44  
 
           
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION        
 
           
  Changes in Securities, and Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities     45  
  Exhibits     46  
 
           
SIGNATURES     47  
 
           
Exhibit 10.83
        48  
Exhibit 31.1
        49  
Exhibit 31.2
        50  
Exhibit 32
        51  

2


 

PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

                 
    (Dollars in thousands)  
    March 31     December 31  
    2005     2004  
    (Unaudited)          
ASSETS
               
 
               
INVESTMENTS
               
Fixed maturities at fair value (amortized cost of $963,341 and $939,280, respectively)
  $ 981,572     $ 974,512  
Equity securities at fair value (cost of $192,310 and $175,860, respectively)
    209,330       202,694  
Limited partnerships (cost of $117,338 and $116,097, respectively)
    132,723       130,464  
Real estate mortgage loans
    4,997       5,044  
 
           
 
               
Total investments
    1,328,622       1,312,714  
 
               
Cash and cash equivalents
    53,307       50,061  
Accrued investment income
    14,131       12,480  
Premiums receivable from policyholders
    272,870       275,721  
Federal income taxes recoverable
    0       3,331  
Reinsurance recoverable from Erie Insurance Exchange on unpaid losses
    762,272       765,563  
Ceded unearned premiums to Erie Insurance Exchange
    131,315       128,187  
Notes receivable from Erie Family Life Insurance Company
    40,000       40,000  
Other receivables from Erie Insurance Exchange and affiliates
    190,313       211,488  
Reinsurance recoverable from non-affiliates
    305       351  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    16,904       17,112  
Property and equipment
    13,209       13,581  
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance Company
    56,010       58,728  
Prepaid pension
    47,835       50,860  
Other assets
    49,512       39,567  
 
           
 
               
Total assets
  $ 2,976,605     $ 2,979,744  
 
           

See Accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

3


 

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION (Continued)

                 
    (Dollars in thousands)  
    March 31     December 31  
    2005     2004  
    (Unaudited)          
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
 
               
LIABILITIES
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 942,586     $ 943,034  
Unearned premiums
    464,154       472,553  
Commissions payable and accrued
    148,126       179,284  
Securities lending collateral
    10,128       0  
Accounts payable and accrued expenses
    61,346       49,025  
Federal income taxes payable
    19,669       0  
Deferred income taxes
    15,223       24,122  
Dividends payable
    20,529       20,612  
Employee benefit obligations
    25,654       24,233  
 
           
 
               
Total liabilities
    1,707,415       1,712,863  
 
           
 
               
SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Capital Stock
               
Class A common, stated value $.0292 per share; authorized 74,996,930 shares; 67,574,400 and 67,540,800 shares issued, respectively; 62,741,013 and 62,992,841 shares outstanding, respectively
    1,971       1,970  
Class B common, convertible at a rate of 2,400 Class A shares for one Class B share, stated value $70 per share; 2,844 and 2,858 shares authorized, issued and outstanding, respectively
    199       200  
Additional paid-in capital
    7,830       7,830  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    38,295       58,611  
Retained earnings
    1,391,422       1,354,181  
 
           
 
               
Total contributed capital and retained earnings
    1,439,717       1,422,792  
 
               
Treasury stock, at cost, 4,833,387 and 4,547,959 shares, respectively
  ( 170,527 )   ( 155,911 )
 
           
 
               
Total shareholders’ equity
    1,269,190       1,266,881  
 
           
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 2,976,605     $ 2,979,744  
 
           

See Accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

4


 

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (UNAUDITED)

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
    2005     2004  
    (Dollars in thousands, except per share data)  
OPERATING REVENUE
               
 
               
Management fee revenue - net
  $ 217,736     $ 209,664  
Premiums earned
    53,648       50,649  
Service agreement revenue
    4,787       5,598  
 
           
 
               
Total operating revenue
    276,171       265,911  
 
           
 
               
OPERATING EXPENSES
               
 
               
Cost of management operations
    167,940       161,821  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    32,677       38,037  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    11,844       11,318  
 
           
 
               
Total operating expenses
    212,461       211,176  
 
           
 
               
INVESTMENT INCOME - UNAFFILIATED
               
 
               
Investment income, net of expenses
    14,468       14,686  
Net realized gains on investments
    5,497       2,853  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    2,111       418  
 
           
 
               
Total investment income - unaffiliated
    22,076       17,957  
 
           
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
    85,786       72,692  
 
               
Provision for income taxes
    28,729       24,435  
 
               
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company, net of tax
    714       1,315  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 57,771     $ 49,572  
 
           
 
               
Net income per share – basic
               
Class A common stock
  $ .91     $ .77  
 
           
Class B common stock
    138.84       117.87  
 
           
Net income per share – diluted
    .83       .70  
 
           
 
Weighted average shares outstanding
               
Basic:
               
Class A common stock
    62,926,683       63,950,847  
 
           
Class B common stock
    2,851       2,878  
 
           
Diluted Shares
    69,845,958       70,926,223  
 
           
 
               
Dividends declared per share:
               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.325     $ 0.215  
 
           
Class B common stock
    48.75       32.25  
 
           

See Accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

5


 

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (UNAUDITED)

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
    2005     2004  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
Net income
  $ 57,771     $ 49,572  
 
           
Unrealized gains on securities:
               
Unrealized holding (losses) gains arising during period
  ( 25,759 )     22,942  
Less: Gains included in net income
  ( 5,497 )   ( 2,853 )
 
           
Net unrealized holding (losses) gains arising during period
  ( 31,256 )     20,089  
Income tax benefit (expense) related to unrealized (losses) gains
    10,940     ( 7,031 )
 
           
 
               
Change in other comprehensive income, net of tax
  ( 20,316 )     13,058  
 
           
 
               
Comprehensive income
  $ 37,455     $ 62,630  
 
           

See Accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

6


 

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (UNAUDITED)

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
    2005     2004  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
               
Management fee received
  $ 231,991     $ 200,016  
Service agreement fee received
    4,553       5,598  
Premiums collected
    51,307       49,348  
Net investment income received
    14,030       13,916  
Dividends received from Erie Family Life
    450       429  
Salaries and wages paid
  ( 24,853 )   ( 20,217 )
Pension funding and employee benefits paid
  ( 1,724 )   ( 10,892 )
Commissions paid to agents
  ( 110,959 )   ( 108,220 )
Agent bonuses paid
  ( 46,399 )   ( 23,753 )
General operating expenses paid
  ( 17,574 )   ( 17,114 )
Losses and loss adjustment expenses paid
  ( 29,790 )   ( 35,097 )
Other underwriting and acquisition costs paid
  ( 2,506 )   ( 4,612 )
Income taxes paid
  ( 6,057 )   ( 4,811 )
 
           
Net cash provided by operating activities
    62,469       44,591  
 
           
 
               
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
               
Purchase of investments:
               
Fixed maturities
  ( 97,260 )   ( 107,003 )
Equity securities
  ( 50,791 )   ( 5,151 )
Limited partnerships
  ( 13,583 )   ( 4,974 )
Sales/maturities of investments:
               
Fixed maturity sales
    48,657       40,286  
Fixed maturity calls/maturities
    22,969       31,535  
Equity securities
    40,917       4,959  
Limited partnership sales/distributions
    14,344       4,707  
Increase in collateral from securities lending
    10,128       4,852  
Purchase of property and equipment
  ( 301 )   ( 264 )
Net collections on agent loans
    925       376  
 
           
Net cash used in investing activities
  ( 23,995 )   ( 30,677 )
 
           
 
               
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
               
Dividends paid to shareholders
  ( 20,612 )   ( 13,872 )
Purchase of treasury stock
  ( 14,616 )   ( 6,343 )
 
           
Cash used in financing activities
  ( 35,228 )   ( 20,215 )
 
           
 
               
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
    3,246     ( 6,301 )
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
    50,061       87,192  
 
           
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
  $ 53,307     $ 80,891  
 
           

See Accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

7


 

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 1 – BASIS OF PRESENTATION

The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements, which include the accounts of Erie Indemnity Company and its wholly owned property/casualty insurance subsidiaries, Erie Insurance Company (EIC), Erie Insurance Company of New York (EINY) and Erie Insurance Property & Casualty Company (EIPC), have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America for interim financial information and the instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and footnotes required by generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) for complete financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring accruals) considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. Operating results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2005 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2005. For further information, refer to the consolidated financial statements and footnotes thereto included in the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 24, 2005.

NOTE 2 – RECLASSIFICATONS

Certain amounts previously reported in the 2004 financial statements have been reclassified to conform to the current period’s presentation. Such reclassifications did not impact earnings.

NOTE 3 – EARNINGS PER SHARE

Basic earnings per share is calculated under the two-class method which allocates earnings to each class of stock based on its dividend rights. Weighted average shares used in the Class A basic earnings per share calculation were 62.9 million in the first quarter of 2005 and 64.0 million in the first quarter of 2004. Weighted average Class B shares used in the basic earnings per share calculation were 2,851 shares and 2,878 shares in 2005 and 2004, respectively. The computation of diluted earnings per share reflects the conversion of Class B shares and the effect of potentially dilutive outstanding employee stock-based awards under the long-term incentive plan. In January 2005, four shares of Class B voting stock, and in March 2005, 10 shares of Class B voting stock, were converted to 9,600 and 24,000 non-voting shares of Class A stock, respectively. The total weighted average number of Class A equivalent shares outstanding (including conversion of Class B shares) was 69.8 million and 70.9 million for the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively.

8


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 3 – EARNINGS PER SHARE (Continued)

The following table displays the basic and diluted per-share computations.

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
    (net income amounts in thousands)  
    2005     2004  
Basic:
               
Allocated net income – Class A
  $ 57,376     $ 49,233  
Class A shares of common stock
    62,926,683       63,950,847  
 
           
Class A earnings per share – basic
  $ .91     $ .77  
 
           
 
               
Allocated net income – Class B
  $ 395     $ 339  
Class B shares of common stock
    2,851       2,878  
 
           
Class B earnings per share – basic
  $ 138.84     $ 117.87  
 
           
 
               
Diluted:
               
Net income
  $ 57,771     $ 49,572  
Class A shares of common stock
    62,926,683       63,950,847  
Assumed conversion of Class B common stock and restricted stock awards
    6,919,275       6,975,376  
 
           
Class A shares of common and equivalent shares
    69,845,958       70,926,223  
 
           
Earnings per share – diluted
  $ .83     $ .70  
 
           

Included in the restricted stock awards not yet vested are awards of 75,399 and 68,176 for the first quarter of 2005 and 2004, respectively, related to the long-term incentive plan for executive and senior management. Awards not yet vested related to the outside directors stock compensation plan were 1,476 and 2,174 for the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively.

NOTE 4 – INVESTMENTS

Fixed maturities and marketable equity securities are classified as “available-for-sale.” Equity securities consist primarily of common and nonredeemable preferred stocks while fixed maturities consist of bonds, notes and redeemable preferred stock. Available-for-sale securities are stated at fair value, with the unrealized gains and losses, net of deferred tax, reflected in shareholders’ equity in accumulated other comprehensive income. When a decline in the value of an investment is considered to be other-than-temporary by management, the investment is written down to net estimated realizable value. Investment impairments are evaluated on an individual security position basis. Adjustments to the carrying value of marketable equity securities and fixed maturities that are considered impaired are recorded as realized losses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. Adjustments to the carrying value of limited partnerships that are considered impaired are recorded as a component of equity in losses or earnings of limited partnerships in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.

The Company had loaned securities, included as part of its invested assets, with a market value of $9.8 million at March 31, 2005. There were no loaned securities at December 31, 2004. Securities lending collateral is recorded by the Company as a liability. The proceeds from the collateral are invested in cash and short-term investments and are reported on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position as cash and cash equivalents. The Company shares a portion of the interest on these short-term investments with the lending agent. The Company has incurred no losses on the loan program since the program’s inception.

9


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 4 – INVESTMENTS (Continued)

The following is a summary of fixed maturities and equity securities:

                                 
(in thousands)           Gross     Gross     Estimated  
    Amortized     Unrealized     Unrealized     Fair  
March 31, 2005   Cost     Gains     Losses     Value  
Fixed maturities
                               
U.S. treasuries & government agencies
  $ 9,979     $ 333     $ 62     $ 10,250  
States & political subdivisions
    106,542       1,678       689       107,531  
Special revenue
    136,066       2,008       900       137,174  
Public utilities
    68,218       3,791       274       71,735  
U.S. industrial & miscellaneous
    417,446       9,480       4,608       422,318  
Mortgage-backed securities
    44,823       409       535       44,697  
Asset-backed securities
    20,033       60       441       19,652  
Foreign
    125,580       7,157       771       131,966  
 
                       
 
                               
Total bonds
    928,687       24,916       8,280       945,323  
 
                               
Redeemable preferred stock
    34,654       1,737       142       36,249  
 
                       
 
                               
Total fixed maturities
    963,341       26,653       8,422       981,572  
 
                       
 
                               
Equity securities
                               
Common stock:
                               
Public utilities
    1,100       32       23       1,109  
U.S. banks, trusts & insurance companies
    7,453       1,371       438       8,386  
U.S. industrial & miscellaneous
    41,370       8,800       1,976       48,194  
Foreign
    2,887       72       108       2,851  
Nonredeemable preferred stock:
                               
Public utilities
    24,645       1,748       208       26,185  
U.S. banks, trusts & insurance companies
    46,615       2,359       51       48,923  
U.S. industrial & miscellaneous
    56,008       4,451       431       60,028  
Foreign
    12,232       1,461       39       13,654  
 
                       
 
                               
Total equity securities
    192,310       20,294       3,274       209,330  
 
                       
 
                               
Total fixed maturities and equity securities
  $ 1,155,651     $ 46,947     $ 11,696     $ 1,190,902  
 
                       

10


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 4 – INVESTMENTS (Continued)

                                 
(in thousands)           Gross     Gross     Estimated  
    Amortized     Unrealized     Unrealized     Fair  
December 31, 2004   Cost     Gains     Losses     Value  
Fixed Maturities
                               
U.S. treasuries & government agencies
  $ 11,850     $ 412     $ 69     $ 12,193  
States & political subdivisions
    80,508       2,515       164       82,859  
Special revenue
    125,083       3,407       137       128,353  
Public utilities
    66,927       4,708       52       71,583  
U. S. industrial & miscellaneous
    429,793       14,953       1,669       443,077  
Mortgage-backed securities
    48,504       772       390       48,886  
Asset-backed securities
    21,596       76       286       21,386  
Foreign
    125,590       9,628       312       134,906  
 
                       
 
                               
Total bonds
    909,851       36,471       3,079       943,243  
 
                               
Redeemable preferred stock
    29,429       1,949       109       31,269  
 
                       
 
                               
Total fixed maturities
    939,280       38,420       3,188       974,512  
 
                       
 
                               
Equity Securities
                               
Common stock:
                               
Public utilities
    992       11       0       1,003  
U. S. banks, trusts & insurance companies
    6,197       2,334       50       8,481  
U. S. industrial & miscellaneous
    34,120       13,136       171       47,085  
Foreign
    2,245       57       28       2,274  
Nonredeemable preferred stock:
                               
Public utilities
    21,373       1,939       59       23,253  
U. S. banks, trusts & insurance companies
    43,605       3,401       2       47,004  
U. S. industrial & miscellaneous
    55,096       4,667       88       59,675  
Foreign
    12,232       1,730       43       13,919  
 
                       
 
                               
Total equity securities
    175,860       27,275       441       202,694  
 
                       
 
                               
Total fixed maturities and equity securities
  $ 1,115,140     $ 65,695     $ 3,629     $ 1,177,206  
 
                       

11


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 4 – INVESTMENTS (Continued)

Fixed maturities and equity securities in a gross unrealized loss position at March 31 2005 are as follows. Data is provided by length of time securities were in a gross unrealized loss position:

                                                 
    Less than 12 months     12 months or longer     Total  
    Fair     Unrealized     Fair     Unrealized     Fair     Unrealized  
(in thousands)   Value     Losses     Value     Losses     Value     Losses  
Fixed maturities
                                               
U.S. treasuries and government agencies
  $ 3,767     $ 49     $ 262     $ 13     $ 4,029     $ 62  
States and Political Subdivisions
    46,406       483       5,034       206       51,440       689  
Special Revenue
    55,298       757       4,233       144       59,531       901  
Public Utilities
    19,443       274       0       0       19,443       274  
U.S. Industrial & miscellaneous
    157,698       3,093       44,091       1,514       201,789       4,607  
Mortgage backed securities
    13,072       170       12,123       365       25,195       535  
Asset backed securities
    0       0       17,055       442       17,055       442  
Foreign
    35,076       637       4,864       133       39,940       770  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Total bonds
    330,760       5,463       87,662       2,817       418,422       8,280  
 
                                               
Redeemable preferred stock
    0       0       3,018       142       3,018       142  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Total fixed maturities
  $ 330,760     $ 5,463     $ 90,680     $ 2,959     $ 421,440     $ 8,422  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Equity securities
                                               
Common stock
    25,631       2,545       0       0       25,631       2,545  
Non redeemable preferred stock
    27,177       690       1,357       39       28,534       729  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Total equity securities
    52,808       3,235       1,357       39       54,165       3,274  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Total fixed maturities and equity securities
  $ 383,568     $ 8,698     $ 92,037     $ 2,998     $ 475,605     $ 11,696  
 
                                   

No investments in an unrealized loss position at March 31, 2005, had experienced a decline in market value that was considered by management to be significant and other-than-temporary, based on Company policy. There were no market conditions, industry characteristics or fundamental operating results of a specific issuer that suggested other-than-temporary impairment of any of these investments held at March 31, 2005.

The components of net realized gains on investments as reported in the Consolidated Statements of Operations are included below. There were impairment charges of $1.4 million on fixed maturities and $.1 million on equity securities in the first quarter of 2005. There were no impairment charges on fixed maturities or equity securities in the first quarter of 2004.

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
     (in thousands)   2005     2004  
Fixed maturities:
               
Gross realized gains
  $ 1,090     $ 2,438  
Gross realized losses
  ( 2,104 )   ( 23 )
 
           
Net realized (losses) gains
  ( 1,014 )     2,415  
 
           
 
               
Equity securities:
               
Gross realized gains
    7,129       714  
Gross realized losses
  ( 618 )   ( 276 )
 
           
Net realized gains
    6,511       438  
 
           
 
               
Net realized gains on investments
  $ 5,497     $ 2,853  
 
           

12


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 4 – INVESTMENTS (Continued)

Limited partnerships include U.S. and foreign private equity, real estate and mezzanine debt investments. The private equity limited partnerships invest in small- to medium-sized companies. Limited partnerships are recorded using the equity method. Unrealized gains and losses on limited partnerships are reflected in shareholders’ equity in accumulated other comprehensive income, net of deferred taxes. The Company has not guaranteed any of the partnership liabilities.

There were impairment charges of $.6 million and $.1 million on private equity limited partnerships in the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively. The components of equity in earnings of limited partnerships as reported in the Consolidated Statements of Operations are as follows:

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
     (in thousands)   2005     2004  
Private equity
  $ 991     ($ 126 )
Real estate
    978       299  
Mezzanine debt
    142       245  
 
           
 
               
Total equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  $ 2,111     $ 418  
 
           

NOTE 5 – SUMMARIZED FINANCIAL STATEMENT INFORMATION OF AFFILIATE

The Company owns 21.6% of Erie Family Life Insurance Company’s (EFL) outstanding common shares and accounts for this investment using the equity method of accounting. EFL is a Pennsylvania-domiciled life insurance company operating in 10 states and the District of Columbia.

The following represents unaudited condensed financial statement information for EFL on a GAAP basis:

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
(in thousands)   2005     2004  
Revenues
  $ 34,142     $ 36,772  
Benefits and expenses
    28,682       26,316  
 
           
Income before income taxes
    5,460       10,456  
Income taxes
    1,911       3,940  
 
           
Net income
    3,549       6,516  
 
           
Comprehensive (loss) income
( $ 10,486 )   $ 21,482  
 
           
Dividends paid to shareholders
  $ 2,079     $ 1,985  
 
           
                 
    As of  
    March 31     December 31  
(in thousands)   2005     2004  
Investments
  $ 1,458,942     $ 1,466,579  
Total assets
    1,665,006       1,661,440  
Liabilities
    1,406,043       1,389,912  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    25,217       39,252  
Total shareholders’ equity
    258,963       271,528  

13


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 6 – RETIREMENT BENEFIT PLANS

The Company’s pension plans consist of: (1) a noncontributory-defined benefit pension plan covering substantially all employees of the Company, (2) an unfunded supplemental employee retirement plan for its executive management and division officers and (3) an unfunded pension plan (discontinued as of April 1997) for certain of its outside directors. All liabilities for the plans described in this note are presented in total for all employees of the Erie Insurance Group, before allocations to related entities.

Components of Net Periodic Benefit Cost

                                 
    Pension Benefits     Postretirement Benefits  
    Three months ended     Three months ended  
    March 31     March 31  
(in thousands)   2005     2004     2005     2004  
Service cost
  $ 3,641     $ 3,309     $ 315     $ 242  
Interest cost
    3,644       3,237       242       177  
Expected return on plan assets
  ( 4,346 )   ( 4,248 )     0       0  
Amortization of prior service cost
    175       225     ( 27 )   ( 13 )
Amortization of net loss
    904       801       81       38  
 
                       
Net periodic benefit cost
  $ 4,018     $ 3,324     $ 611     $ 444  
 
                       

A portion of the net periodic benefit cost is borne by the Erie Insurance Exchange (Exchange) and Erie Family Life Insurance Company (EFL). The Company was reimbursed approximately 54% and 53% from the Exchange and EFL during the first three months of 2005 and 2004, respectively.

NOTE 7 – NOTES RECEIVABLE FROM ERIE FAMILY LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY

The Company is due $40 million from EFL in the form of two surplus notes. The notes may be repaid only out of unassigned surplus of EFL and repayment is subject to prior approval by the Pennsylvania Insurance Commissioner. The first note, in the amount of $15 million, bears an annual interest rate of 6.45% and will be payable on demand on or after December 31, 2005. It is probable that the Company will allow EFL to repay this note through issuance of a new note with a later maturity date. Interest is scheduled to be paid semi-annually. EFL accrued interest of $.2 million in the first quarters of 2005 and 2004 which is payable to the Company.

The second note, in the amount of $25 million, bears an annual interest rate of 6.70%. This note was issued to further strengthen the surplus of EFL and to support its continued sales growth. The note will be payable on demand on or after December 31, 2018. Interest is scheduled to be paid semi-annually. EFL accrued interest of $.4 million payable to the Company.

NOTE 8 – STATUTORY INFORMATION

Cash and securities with carrying values of $3.6 million and $3.4 million were deposited by the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries with regulatory authorities under statutory requirements at both March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004, respectively.

14


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 9 – SUPPLEMENTARY DATA ON CASH FLOWS

A reconciliation of net income to net cash provided by operating activities as presented in the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows is as follows:

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
    2005     2004  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
               
 
Net income
  $ 57,771     $ 49,572  
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization
    9,316       9,318  
Deferred income tax (benefit) expense
  ( 273 )     1,831  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  ( 2,111 )   ( 418 )
Net realized gains on investments
  ( 5,497 )   ( 2,853 )
Net amortization of bond premium
    540       356  
Undistributed earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  ( 318 )   ( 984 )
Deferred compensation
  ( 323 )     111  
Decrease (increase) in receivables and reinsurance recoverable from the Exchange
    24,234     ( 34,790 )
Increase in prepaid expenses and other assets
  ( 14,598 )   ( 20,171 )
Increase in accounts payable and accrued expenses
    2,575       16,401  
(Decrease) increase in loss reserves
  ( 448 )     22,166  
(Decrease) increase in unearned premiums
  ( 8,399 )     4,052  
 
           
Net cash provided by operating activities
  $ 62,469     $ 44,591  
 
           

NOTE 10 – COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES

The Company has contractual commitments to invest up to $129.1 million additional funds in limited partnership investments at March 31, 2005. These commitments will be funded as required by the partnerships’ agreements through 2012. At March 31, 2005, the total commitment to fund limited partnerships that invest in private equity securities is $61.3 million, real estate activities is $51.2 million and fixed income securities is $16.6 million. The Company expects to have sufficient cash flows from operations and positive flows from existing limited partnership investments to meet these partnership commitments.

The Company is involved in litigation arising in the ordinary course of business. In the opinion of management, the effects, if any, of such litigation are not expected to be material to the Company’s consolidated financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.

15


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 11 – VARIABLE INTEREST ENTITY

The Erie Insurance Exchange (Exchange) is a reciprocal insurance company domiciled in Pennsylvania for which the Company serves as attorney-in-fact. The Company has a significant interest in the financial condition of the Exchange because net management fee revenues are based on the direct written premiums of the Exchange and the other members of the Property and Casualty Group.

The selected financial data below is derived from the Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principals (SAP) required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, as modified to include prescribed or permitted practices of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. In the opinion of management, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation, have been included. The condensed financial data set forth below represents the Exchange’s share of underwriting results after accounting for intercompany pool transactions.

     Selected financial data of the Exchange

Condensed Statutory Statements of Operations (Unaudited)

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
(in thousands)   2005     2004  
Premiums earned
  $ 932,794     $ 890,243  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    553,994       656,772  
Insurance underwriting and other expenses*
    242,721       239,324  
Dividends to policyholders
    7,368       2,747  
Other expense
    3,538       2,901  
 
           
Net underwriting gain (loss)
    125,173     ( 11,501 )
 
           
 
               
Net investment income
    79,635       62,729  
Net realized gains
    76,599       17,156  
 
           
Total investment income
    156,234       79,885  
 
               
Net income before federal income tax
    281,407       68,384  
 
               
Federal income tax expense
    88,198       18,020  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 193,209     $ 50,364  
 
           


*   Includes management fees and service fees paid or accrued as payable to the Company.

16


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 11 – VARIABLE INTEREST ENTITY (Continued)

Condensed Statutory Statements of Financial Position

                 
    As of  
    March 31     December 31  
(in thousands)   2005     2004  
    (Unaudited)          
Assets
               
Equity securities:
               
Common stock
  $ 1,389,822     $ 1,508,664  
Preferred stock
    609,858       550,090  
Fixed maturities
    4,499,701       4,399,458  
Limited partnerships
    563,598       567,089  
Real estate mortgage loans
    10,779       10,859  
Properties occupied by the Exchange
    35,933       36,305  
Cash and cash equivalents
    161,957       125,933  
Other assets
    58,082       1,049  
 
           
Total invested assets
    7,329,730       7,199,447  
Premium receivable
    1,016,037       1,002,818  
Other assets
    67,855       67,497  
 
           
Total assets
  $ 8,413,622     $ 8,269,762  
 
           
 
               
Liabilities
               
Loss and LAE reserves
  $ 3,422,294     $ 3,436,246  
Unearned premium reserves
    1,527,461       1,536,890  
Accrued liabilities
    503,667       400,375  
Deferred income taxes
    50,801       92,193  
 
           
Total liabilities
    5,504,223       5,465,704  
 
           
Total policyholders’ surplus
    2,909,399       2,804,058  
 
           
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 8,413,622     $ 8,269,762  
 
           

The Exchange’s Policyholders’ surplus increased 3.8% during 2005 primarily as a result of improved underwriting results and realized gains from investments.

Common equity securities represent a significant portion of the Exchange’s investment portfolio and surplus and are exposed to price risk, volatility of the capital markets and general economic conditions. Common stock investments made up approximately 47.8% of the Exchange’s statutory surplus at March 31, 2005 and 53.8% at December 31, 2004.

The Exchange had realized and unrealized capital losses on its common stock portfolio of $48.4 million in the first quarter of 2005 and capital gains of $8.9 million in the first quarter of 2004. Net proceeds from the sale of common stock investments were $197.7 million in the first quarter of 2005, which included $83.6 million in realized capital gains compared to proceeds of $31.7 million in the first quarter of 2004, which included $3.2 million in realized capital gains. The weighted average current price to trailing 12-months earnings ratio of the Exchange’s common stock portfolio was 19.37 and 27.51 at March 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively. The Standard & Poors composite price to trailing 12-months earnings ratio was 18.32 and 24.55 at March 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively.

Other assets include securities lending of $57.8 million at March 31, 2005 compared to $1.4 million at December 31, 2004.

17


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 11 – VARIABLE INTEREST ENTITY (Continued)

If the surplus of the Exchange were to decline significantly from its current level, the Property and Casualty Group could find it more difficult to retain its existing business and attract new business. A decline in the business of the Property and Casualty Group would have an adverse effect on the amount of the management fees the Company receives and the underwriting results of the Property and Casualty Group in which the Company has a 5.5% participation. In addition, a decline in the surplus of the Exchange from its current level would make it more likely that the management fee rate received by the Company would be reduced.

Condensed Statutory Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)

                 
    Three Months Ended March 31  
(in thousands)   2005     2004  
Cash flows from operating activities
               
Premiums collected net of reinsurance
  $ 914,075     $ 887,990  
Net investment income received
    80,612       62,109  
Miscellaneous expense
  ( 3,538 )   ( 2,901 )
Losses and loss adjustment expenses paid
  ( 490,296 )   ( 531,654 )
Management fee and expenses paid
  ( 346,634 )   ( 341,582 )
Dividends to policyholders
  ( 6,189 )   ( 4,379 )
Income taxes paid
  ( 32,013 )   ( 153,001 )
 
           
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities
    116,017     ( 83,418 )
 
           
 
               
Cash flows from investing activities
               
Proceeds from investment sales and maturities
    712,868       496,985  
Purchases of investments
  ( 818,492 )   ( 722,628 )
 
           
Net cash used in investing activities
  ( 105,624 )   ( 225,643 )
 
           
 
               
Net cash provided by financing activities
    25,631       59,855  
 
           
 
               
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
    36,024     ( 249,206 )
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year
    125,933       612,971  
 
           
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year
    161,957       363,765  
 
           

18


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 12 – SEGMENT INFORMATION

The Company operates its business as three reportable segments - management operations, insurance underwriting operations and investment operations. Accounting policies for segments are the same as those described in the summary of significant accounting policies Note 3 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 24, 2005, with the exception of the management fee revenues received from the property/casualty insurance subsidiaries. These revenues are not eliminated in the segment detail that follows as management bases its decisions on the segment presentation. Assets are not allocated to the segments and are reviewed in total by management for purposes of decision making. The Company receives management fees from the Exchange, which accounted for 73% of total management fee revenue; however, no single customer or agent provides 10% or more of revenues for the Property and Casualty Group. The Property and Casualty Group includes the Exchange and its property and casualty insurance subsidiary, Flagship City Insurance Company, and the Company’s three property and casualty insurance subsidiaries, EIC, EINY and EIPC.

The Company’s principal operations consist of serving as attorney-in-fact for the Exchange, which constitute its management operations. The Company operates in this capacity solely for the Exchange. The Company’s insurance underwriting operations arise through direct business of its property/casualty insurance subsidiaries and by virtue of the pooling agreement between its subsidiaries and the Exchange, which includes assumed reinsurance from non-affiliated domestic and foreign sources. (The Exchange exited the voluntary assumed reinsurance business effective December 31, 2003.) Insurance underwriting operations reflect the results of reinsurance ceded under an excess-of-loss agreement with the Exchange.

Insurance underwriting operations consist of personal and commercial lines of business sold exclusively by independent agents. Commercial lines are predominately marketed to small and medium-sized businesses. The performance of the personal and commercial lines is evaluated based upon the underwriting results as determined under statutory accounting practices (SAP) for the total pooled business of the Property and Casualty Group.

Company management evaluates profitability of its management operations segment principally on the gross margin from management operations, while profitability of the insurance underwriting operations segment is evaluated principally based on the combined ratio. Investment operations performance is evaluated by Company management based on appreciation of assets, rate of return and overall return. These items are analyzed in the Management’s Discussion and Analysis that follows.

19


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 12 – SEGMENT INFORMATION (Continued)

Summarized financial information for the Company’s operating segments is presented below:

                 
    Three Months Ended     Three Months Ended  
(in thousands)   March 31, 2005     March 31, 2004  
Management Operations
               
Operating revenue
               
Management fee revenue
  $ 230,409     $ 221,867  
Service agreement revenue
    4,787       5,598  
 
           
Total operating revenue
    235,196       227,465  
 
Cost of management operations
    177,714       171,239  
 
           
Income before income taxes
  $ 57,482     $ 56,226  
 
           
Net income from management operations
  $ 38,232     $ 37,326  
 
           
 
               
Insurance Underwriting Operations
               
Operating revenue
               
Premiums earned:
               
Personal lines
  $ 38,214     $ 35,438  
Commercial lines
    16,557       15,300  
Reinsurance – nonaffiliates
  ( 279 )     753  
Reinsurance – affiliates
  ( 844 )   ( 842 )
 
           
Total premiums earned
    53,648       50,649  
 
           
 
               
Operating expenses
               
Losses and expenses:
               
Personal lines
    33,541       35,710  
Commercial lines
    12,966       14,864  
Reinsurance – nonaffiliates
    572       1,566  
Reinsurance – affiliates
    340       0  
 
           
Total losses and expenses
    47,419       52,140  
 
           
Income (loss) before income taxes
  $ 6,229     ($ 1,491 )
 
           
Net income (loss) from insurance underwriting operations
  $ 4,143     ($ 990 )
 
           
 
               
Investment Operations
               
Investment income, net of expenses
  $ 14,468     $ 14,686  
Net realized gains on investments
    5,497       2,853  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    2,111       418  
 
           
Total investment income-unaffiliated
  $ 22,076     $ 17,957  
 
           
Net income from investment operations
  $ 14,682     $ 11,921  
 
           
Equity in earnings of EFL, net of tax
  $ 714     $ 1,315  
 
           

20


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 12 – SEGMENT INFORMATION (Continued)

Reconciliation of reportable segment revenues and operating expenses to the Consolidated Statements of Operations:

                 
    Three months ended March 31  
(in thousands)   2005     2004  
Segment revenues
  $ 288,843     $ 278,115  
Elimination of intersegment management fee revenue
  ( 12,672 )   ( 12,204 )
 
           
Total operating revenue
  $ 276,171     $ 265,911  
 
           
 
               
Segment operating expenses
  $ 225,133     $ 223,380  
Elimination of intersegment management fee revenue
  ( 12,672 )   ( 12,204 )
 
           
Total operating expenses
  $ 212,461     $ 211,176  
 
           

The intersegment revenues and expenses that are eliminated in the Consolidated Statements of Operations relate to the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries 5.5% share of the intersegment management fees paid to the Company.

The following table presents the management fee revenue by line of business before elimination of the intersegment management fee revenue.

                         
    Three Months Ended        
    March 31     %  
(dollars in thousands)   2005     2004   Change  
Private passenger auto
  $ 112,858     $ 113,010     ( .1 )%
Commercial auto
    20,510       19,962       2.7  
Homeowner
    36,097       34,337       5.1  
Commercial multi-peril
    27,624       26,554       4.0  
Workers’ compensation
    23,994       22,586       6.2  
All other lines of business
    9,726       9,318       4.4  
 
                 
Total
    230,809       225,767       2.2 %
 
                       
Allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
  ( 400 )   ( 3,900 )        
 
                   
 
                       
Management fee net of allowance
  $ 230,409     $ 221,867       3.9 %
 
                 
 
                       
Management fee rate
    23.75 %     23.5 %     1.1 %
 
                 

21


 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 12 – SEGMENT INFORMATION (Continued)

The growth rate of policies in force and policy retention trends (the percentage of policyholders eligible for renewals who have renewed their policies measured on a twelve-month rolling basis) directly impact the Company’s management operations and property and casualty insurance operating segments. Below is a summary of each by line of business for the Property and Casualty Group’s insurance business.

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations:

                                                                 
    Private     12-mth.             12-mth.     All other     12-mth.     Total     12-mth.  
    passenger     growth             growth     personal lines     growth     Personal     growth  
       Date   auto     rate     Homeowners     rate     of business     rate     Lines     rate  
12/31/2003
    1,672,621       5.1 %     1,327,842       7.9 %     272,547       9.2 %     3,273,010       6.6 %
03/31/2004
    1,678,496       3.4 %     1,335,763       5.8 %     275,970       7.2 %     3,290,229       4.7 %
06/30/2004
    1,686,524       2.2 %     1,347,409       4.2 %     278,547       5.3 %     3,312,480       3.3 %
09/30/2004
    1,682,561       1.0 %     1,350,899       2.6 %     278,707       3.4 %     3,312,167       1.9 %
12/31/2004
    1,670,804     (0.1 )%     1,347,671       1.5 %     278,974       2.4 %     3,297,449       0.8 %
03/31/2005
    1,661,955       (1.0 )%     1,343,803       0.6 %     279,927       1.4 %     3,285,685       (0.1 )%
                                                                                 
            12-mth.             12-mth.             12-mth.     All other     12-mth.     Total     12-mth.  
    CML*     growth     CML*     growth     Workers’     growth     CML* lines     growth     CML*     growth  
      Date   auto     rate     multi-peril     rate     comp.     rate     of business     rate     Lines     rate  
12/31/2003
    115,171       6.6 %     206,533       8.3 %     62,282       5.7 %     86,409       8.3 %     470,395       7.5 %
03/31/2004
    115,760       5.3 %     206,937       6.2 %     61,378       2.1 %     86,344       6.1 %     470,419       5.4 %
06/30/2004
    117,060       3.7 %     209,795       4.1 %     60,735       (1.9 )%     87,172       4.0 %     474,762       3.1 %
09/30/2004
    117,090       2.4 %     210,012       2.4 %     59,863       (4.1 )%     87,921       2.5 %     474,886       1.5 %
12/31/2004
    117,287       1.8 %     209,623       1.5 %     58,931       (5.4 )%     87,815       1.6 %     473,656       0.7 %
03/31/2005
    117,382       1.4 %     209,619       1.3 %     57,949       (5.6 )%     87,877       1.8 %     472,827       0.5 %
                 
            12-mth.  
    Total     growth  
      Date   All Lines     rate  
12/31/2003
    3,743,405       6.7 %
03/31/2004
    3,760,648       4.7 %
06/30/2004
    3,787,242       3.2 %
09/30/2004
    3,787,053       1.8 %
12/31/2004
    3,771,105       0.7 %
03/31/2005
    3,758,512       (0.1 )%

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations:

                                                         
    Private                                     All other        
    passenger     CML*             CML*     Workers’     lines of        
       Date   auto     auto     Homeowners     multi-peril     comp.     business     Total  
12/31/2003
    91.6 %     89.8 %     89.5 %     87.5 %     88.1 %     88.2 %     90.2 %
03/31/2004
    91.2       89.7       89.0       87.6       88.1       87.5       89.8  
06/30/2004
    90.7       89.0       88.4       86.7       86.7       86.8       89.2  
09/30/2004
    90.3       88.5       87.9       86.0       86.2       86.0       88.7  
12/31/2004
    90.0       88.3       87.6       85.3       85.8       85.8       88.4  
03/31/2005
    89.9       88.2       87.6       85.5       85.9       85.5       88.3  


*CML = Commercial

22


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following information should be read in conjunction with the historical financial information and the notes thereto included in Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contained in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 24, 2005. Preceding the discussion of financial results is an introduction discussing the relationships between the member companies of the Erie Insurance Group. The following discussion of financial results focuses heavily on the Erie Indemnity Company’s (the Company) three primary segments: management operations, insurance underwriting operations and investment operations consistent with the presentation in Note 12 in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. That presentation, which management uses internally to monitor and evaluate results, is an alternative presentation of the Company’s Consolidated Statements of Operations.

NATURE OF ORGANIZATION

The following organizational chart depicts the organization of the various entities of the Erie Insurance Group:

(ORGANIZATIONAL CHART)

23


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Erie Indemnity Company (the Company) has served since 1925 as the attorney-in-fact for the policyholders of the Erie Insurance Exchange (Exchange). The Company is a public registrant that operates predominantly as a provider of certain management services to the Exchange. The Company also owns subsidiaries that are property and casualty insurers. Each applicant for insurance to a reciprocal insurance exchange signs a subscriber’s agreement, which contains a power-of-attorney appointing an attorney-in-fact. Under the Company’s attorney-in-fact arrangement with subscribers to the Exchange, the Company is required to perform services relating to the sales, underwriting and issuance of policies on behalf of the Exchange.

The Exchange and its property/casualty subsidiary, Flagship City Insurance Company, and the Company’s three property/casualty subsidiaries, Erie Insurance Company (EIC), Erie Insurance Company of New York (EINY) and Erie Insurance Property & Casualty Company (EIPC), (collectively, the Property and Casualty Group) write personal and commercial lines property and casualty coverage exclusively through more than 1,700 independent agencies comprising over 7,600 licensed independent agents and pool their underwriting results. The financial position or results of operations of the Exchange are not consolidated with those of the Company. The Company, together with the Property and Casualty Group and EFL, operate collectively as the Erie Insurance Group.

The financial information presented herein reflects the Company’s management operations from serving as attorney-in-fact for the Exchange, its insurance underwriting results from its wholly-owned subsidiaries (EIC, EINY and EIPC) and the Company’s investment operations.

Results of Operations

                 
    Three months ended March 31  
(dollars in thousands, except per share data)   2005     2004  
    (Unaudited)  
Income from management operations
  $ 57,482     $ 56,226  
Underwriting income (loss)
    6,229     ( 1,491 )
Net revenue from investment operations
    22,843       19,371  
 
           
Income before income taxes
    86,554       74,106  
Provision for income taxes
    28,783       24,534  
 
           
Net income
  $ 57,771     $ 49,572  
 
           
Net income per share – diluted
  $ 0.83     $ 0.70  
 
           

Consolidated net income for the first quarter of 2005 increased 16.5% to $57.8 million compared to $49.6 million during the same period in 2004. The increase in income from management operations was the result of a higher management fee rate in 2005 and a 1.2% increase in the direct written premiums of the Property and Casualty Group. Management fee revenue was reduced by $.4 million and $3.9 million in the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively, due to an increase in the allowance on mid-term policy cancellations. The methodology used to estimate the mid-term policy cancellations has been based on a refined analysis of the adequacy of the allowance since the second quarter of 2004. The refined methodology decreased the second quarter 2004 allowance and increased the second quarter 2004 management fee revenue by $2.8 million.

Insurance underwriting operations improved as a result of the Property and Casualty Group’s continued efforts to focus on underwriting profitability. The Property and Casualty Group experienced favorable development on losses of prior accident years and seasonally low underwriting losses in the first quarter of 2005.

24


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Revenue from investment operations increased 17.9% in the first quarter of 2005 compared to the same period in 2004. This increase is due to realized gains on sales of investments and improved results in its limited partnership earnings.

OVERVIEW OF OPERATING SEGMENTS

Management Operations

                 
    Three months ended March 31  
(dollars in thousands)   2005     2004  
    (Unaudited)  
Management fee revenue
  $ 230,409     $ 221,867  
Service agreement revenue
    4,787       5,598  
 
           
Total revenue from management operations
    235,196       227,465  
Cost of management operations
    177,714       171,239  
 
           
Income from management operations
  $ 57,482     $ 56,226  
 
           
Gross margin percentage
    24.4 %     24.7 %
 
           
Management fee rate
    23.75 %     23.5 %
 
           

Management fee revenue

Management fee revenue rose 3.9% for the quarter ended March 31, 2005 compared to the quarter ended March 31, 2004. Management fees from the Exchange represented 73.0% and 73.9% of the Company’s total revenues for the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively. Management fee revenue is based on the management fee rate, established by the Board of Directors, and the direct written premiums of the Property and Casualty Group. The higher management fee rate in 2005 of 23.75% resulted in $2.4 million more in management fee revenue for the quarter ended March 31, 2005, or an increase in net income per share-diluted of $.02 per share. Direct written premiums of the Property and Casualty Group grew 1.2% in the first quarter of 2005 to $971.8 million. Increases in average premium per policy, which included the impact of certain rate increases in various lines of business that were initially effective in 2004, contributed to the growth of direct written premiums.

Management fees are returned to the Exchange when policies are cancelled mid-term and unearned premiums are refunded. The Company records an estimated allowance for management fees returned on mid-term policy cancellation. First quarter 2005 and 2004 revenues were reduced by $.4 million and $3.9 million, respectively, due to changes in the allowance. The 2005 allowance adjustment reflects a leveling off of cancellations evidenced by policy retention ratios of 88.3% and 88.4% at March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004, respectively. The 2004 allowance adjustment was reflective of increased policy cancellations due to initiatives implemented to focus on underwriting profitability. The policy retention ratio declined to 89.8% at March 31, 2004 from 90.2% at December 31, 2003. The methodology used to estimate the premium cancellation allowance was evaluated and refined in the second quarter of 2004. The second quarter 2004 allowance was reduced by $2.8 million as the prior estimate exceeded actual mid-term policy cancellations.

25


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

An emphasis on underwriting discipline during 2004 resulted in a tapering off in policy production and reduced policy retention ratios, as anticipated. The rate increases that were attained in 2003 and 2004 helped to offset these reductions. In 2005, the Property and Casualty Group increased emphasis on managing exposure growth and improving risk selection. (See Insurance Underwriting Operations section.)

Policy production and retention ratios

Total new business declined 13.3% to $83.8 million in the first quarter of 2005 from $96.7 million in the first quarter of 2004. Personal lines new business premium written declined 22.5% to $53.1 million from $68.5 million for the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively. Commercial lines new business premiums increased 8.6% to $30.5 million in the first quarter of 2005 from $28.1 million in the first quarter of 2004. (see Note 12, “Segment Information” which contains policies in force and policy retention trends by line of business).

Premium rates and rate change impacts

The average premium per policy increased 6.4% to $1,066 for the twelve months ended March 31, 2005 from $1,002 for the twelve months ended March 31, 2004. The average premium per personal lines policy increased 6.4% while commercial lines average premiums increased 6.2% for the twelve months ended March 31, 2005. The private passenger auto average premium per policy increased 4.3% to $1,192 for the twelve months ended March 31, 2005 from $1,143 for the twelve months ended March 31, 2004.

In 2004 and 2003 substantial rate increases were filed by the Property and Casualty Group for certain lines of business in various states to offset growing loss costs. The Property and Casualty Group writes one-year policies. Rate increases take 24 months to be reflected fully in earned premiums. It takes 12 months to implement a rate increase to all policyholders and another 12 months to earn the increased premiums in full. Because of the time span for full recognition of premium rate increases, certain rate increases approved in 2004 are earned in 2005.

Given the improved underwriting results and the change in general market conditions, rate actions will not continue to follow trends experienced in recent years. Management continuously evaluates pricing actions and estimates that those approved, filed and contemplated for filing through March 31, 2005 will result in a net decrease in direct written premiums of $4.8 million in 2005. The improved experience will allow the Property and Casualty Group to be more price competitive for potential new policyholders and improve retention of existing policyholders.

26


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

2005 Activity

Beginning in August 2004, the Property and Casualty Group implemented insurance scoring for underwriting purposes for its private passenger auto and homeowners lines of business in all operating states, except Maryland, in response to changing competitive market conditions. The Property and Casualty Group has developed a price segmentation model that incorporates insurance scoring, among other risk characteristics, into a rating plan with multiple pricing tiers. This segmented pricing will enable the Property and Casualty Group to offer competitive rates to more customers with the best loss characteristics, providing greater flexibility in pricing policies with varying degrees of risk. In March 2005, use of the rating plan was implemented on all new business. Application of the rating plan to renewal business is expected for policies renewing effective April 2005.

To support the independent agents’ policy growth efforts, management is also considering additional marketing initiatives to attract preferred business.

Service agreement revenue

Service agreement revenue decreased to $4.8 million for the first quarter of 2005, from $5.6 million for the same period in 2004. Included in service agreement revenue are service charges the Company collects from policyholders for providing multiple payment plans on policies written by the Property and Casualty Group. Service charge income was $4.8 million and $4.9 million in the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively.

Also included in service agreement revenue is service income received from the Exchange as compensation for the management and administration of voluntary assumed reinsurance from non-affiliated insurers. As the Exchange exited the assumed reinsurance business as of December 31, 2003, a modest amount of reinsurance premium was recorded generating $.7 million in service agreement revenue in the first quarter of 2004 as remaining treaties expired. In the first quarter of 2005, the remaining activity generated minimal service income for the Company. The service agreement between the Company and Exchange was terminated effective March 31, 2005.

Cost of management operations

The cost of management operations increased 3.8% for the first quarter of 2005 to $177.7 million from $171.2 million during the first quarter of 2004, primarily due to an increase in commission and personnel costs.

Commissions to independent agents, which are the largest component of the cost of management Operations, include scheduled commissions earned by independent agents on premiums written, accelerated commissions and agent bonuses.

27


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

                         
    Three months ended March 31        
                    Percent  
(dollars in thousands)   2005     2004     Change  
Scheduled rate commissions
  $ 110,046     $ 111,100     ( 0.9 )%
Accelerated rate commissions
    3,042       6,323     ( 51.9 )
Agent bonuses
    12,899       7,503       71.9  
Allowance for mid-term policy cancellations
    200     ( 2,000 )     110.0  
 
                 
Total commissions
  $ 126,187     $ 122,926       2.7 %
 
                 

Scheduled rate commissions decreased to $110.0 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2005. Scheduled rate commissions were impacted by a 1.2% increase in the direct written premiums of the Property and Casualty Group in the first quarter of 2005 and a reduction in certain commercial commission rates. Commercial commission rate reductions became effective on premiums collected after December 31, 2004 and resulted in a $5.3 million reduction in scheduled rate commissions in the first quarter of 2005. Accelerated rate commissions are offered to newly recruited agents and include their normal commission schedules. Accelerated commissions were lower in the first three months of 2005 as there were fewer new agency appointments in 2004 and existing accelerated commission contracts expired. New agency appointments are expected to increase in 2005 and accelerated commissions are expected to increase accordingly.

The agent bonus program awards are based on the agency’s property/casualty underwriting profitability and also includes a component for growth in agency property/casualty premiums, if agencies are profitable. The estimate for the bonus is modeled on a monthly basis using the two prior years actual underwriting data by agency combined with the current year-to-date actual data. Company estimates use projected underwriting data for the remainder of the current year in order to model the 36-month underwriting results by agency. The increase in agent bonuses in the first quarter of 2005 reflects the impact of the improved underwriting profitability in 2004, as the bonus program considers the current and two prior years’ actual underwriting data. The agent bonus award is estimated at $50 million for 2005. The reward estimate at the first quarter of 2004 was lower given the actual underwriting results of 2003 and 2002.

The cost of management operations excluding commission costs, increased 6.7% for the three months ended March 31, 2005 to $51.5 million from $48.3 million recorded in the first quarter of 2004. Personnel related costs are the second largest component in cost of management operations. The Company’s personnel costs totaled $31.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2005, compared to $29.8 million for the same period in 2004, an increase of 6.9%. Contributing to this increase was a 6.8% increase in salaries and wages due to a (1) 5% increase in staffing levels, (2) 4% increase in normal merit pay rates and (3) an offsetting increased reimbursement from affiliated companies. Total employee benefit costs increased 8.2% in the first quarter of 2005 compared to the first quarter of 2004. Retirement plan benefit costs increased 12.2% to $2.7 million in the first quarter of 2005 compared to $2.4 million in the first quarter of 2004. The Company’s consulting actuarial firm completed an experience study in the first quarter of 2005 that evaluated actual participant experience from the past five years. The results of the study, which were factored into the development of the 2005 retirement plan benefit cost estimates, reflected lower turnover assumptions in the postretirement benefit plan, which will increase the Company’s projected annual costs by $.5 million. The net impact on projected benefit costs related to the employee pension plan as a result of changes in various assumptions is not significant.

28


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Insurance Underwriting Operations

                 
    Three months ended March 31  
(dollars in thousands)   2005     2004  
    (Unaudited)  
Premiums earned
  $ 53,648     $ 50,649  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    32,677       38,037  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    14,742       14,103  
 
           
Total losses and expenses
    47,419       52,140  
 
           
Underwriting income (loss)
  $ 6,229     ($ 1,491 )
 
           

The following table reconciles the underwriting results of the Property and Casualty Group on a statutory accounting basis (SAP) to the underwriting results of the Company on a GAAP basis. The detail of the Property and Casualty Group provides financial data for the direct business and the reinsurance business separately.

Reconciliation of Property and Casualty Group Underwriting Results to the Company Underwriting Results

                 
    Three months ended March 31  
(dollars in thousands)   2005     2004  
    (Unaudited)  
Property and Casualty Group Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP Basis)
               
Direct underwriting results:
               
Direct written premium
  $ 971,825     $ 960,710  
 
           
Premium earned
    991,283       927,495  
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    574,052       667,638  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    270,613       258,691  
 
           
Total losses and expenses
    844,665       926,329  
 
           
Direct underwriting income
    146,618       1,166  
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results—net
  ( 15,256 )   ( 14,409 )
 
           
Net underwriting gain (loss) (SAP Basis)
    131,362     ( 13,243 )
 
           
 
               
Erie Indemnity Company Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP to GAAP Basis)
               
Percent of pool assumed by Company
    5.5 %     5.5 %
 
           
Company preliminary underwriting income (loss):
               
Direct
    8,064       64  
Nonaffiliated reinsurance
  ( 839 )   ( 792 )
 
           
Net underwriting gain (loss) (SAP Basis)
    7,225     ( 728 )
 
               
Excess-of-loss premiums ceded to the Exchange
  ( 844 )   ( 842 )
Reinsurance charges under excess-of-loss agreement
  ( 340 )     0  
SAP to GAAP adjustments
    188       79  
 
           
Company underwriting income (loss) (GAAP Basis)
  $ 6,229     $ (1,491 )
 
           

29


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

The GAAP combined ratio represents the ratio of losses, loss adjustment, acquisition and other underwriting expenses incurred to premiums earned. The GAAP combined ratios of the Company are different than the results of the Property and Casualty Group due to certain GAAP adjustments and the effects of the excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement between the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries and the Exchange. The statutory combined ratio as reported, and the statutory combined ratio after being adjusted for the profit component paid to the Company, are also presented below for the Property and Casualty Group:

                 
    Three months ended March 31  
    2005     2004  
Company GAAP combined ratio
    88.4 %     102.9 %
Statutory combined ratio
    86.8       100.2  
Statutory combined ratio, excluding catastrophes
    86.3       99.4  
Adjusted statutory combined ratio
    81.4       95.0  
Adjusted statutory combined ratio, excluding catastrophes
    80.9       94.2  

Direct

The Company’s insurance subsidiaries’ share of the Property and Casualty Group’s direct business generated underwriting income of $8.1 million and $.1 million on a statutory basis in the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively. The Property and Casualty Group’s reported statutory combined ratio, calculated on direct business only, was 85.6 and 99.5 for the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively. The improvement in 2005 underwriting results on direct business reflects the impact of the underwriting profitability initiatives implemented in 2003 and 2004 to help offset severity increases and manage exposure growth. During the first quarter of 2004, seasonal fluctuations were not recognized. Prior to the third quarter 2004, reserve estimates were reviewed quarterly but seasonal fluctuations in loss reserves were previously recognized over the balance of the year. Since then, seasonal fluctuation in the Property and Casualty Group’s underwriting results are recognized in the quarterly results in which they occurred. The first quarter of the fiscal year typically has the lowest non-catastrophe claim volume of the year. Catastrophe losses incurred by the Property and Casualty Group were not significant and therefore the lower claim volume, coupled with improving underwriting, resulted in seasonally low losses at March 31, 2005. Underwriting losses are seasonally higher in the second and fourth quarters and as a consequence, the Company’s property/casualty combined ratio generally increases as the year progresses.

Underwriting profitability initiatives

The Property and Casualty Group continues to maintain its focus on enhancing quality growth while maintaining underwriting profitability. Recent underwriting practices have strengthened the Property and Casualty Group’s financial position to compete for profitable business. Underwriting practices affect the number of new policyholders eligible for coverage with the Property and Casualty Group as well as the number eligible to renew and the terms of renewal. The acceptability of risks written by the Property and Casualty Group is an important element of underwriting profitability.

In 2004, the Property and Casualty Group began utilizing insurance scoring for underwriting purposes to aid in risk selection. Insurance scoring is an objective tool that insurers use, along with other applicant information, to better predict the likelihood of policyholder losses. By more precisely predicting the likelihood of future losses, the tool can help insurers manage their risk, enabling them to more accurately price insurance coverage. Underwriting profitability is also affected by loss

30


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

cost inflation and changes in the average loss per claim. The Property and Casualty Group is currently implementing the use of insurance scoring for pricing purposes. The cost of obtaining insurance scores on applications during the first quarter of 2005 was $.5 million.

Insurance scoring has been incorporated into a rating plan with multiple pricing tiers, which was applied to new business in March 2005. The rating plan is expected to be used to begin evaluating renewal business beginning in April 2005. This segmented pricing will enable the Company to offer competitive rates to more customers, providing greater flexibility in pricing policies with varying degrees of risk. To also stimulate growth, the Company planned to continue its agent appointment efforts in 2005. Through the first quarter of 2005, six new agents have been appointed in existing territories.

Catastrophe losses

Catastrophes are an inherent risk of the property/casualty insurance business and can have a material impact on the Company’s insurance underwriting results. In addressing this risk, the Company employs what it believes are reasonable underwriting standards and monitors its exposure by geographic region. The Property and Casualty Group maintains catastrophe reinsurance coverage from unaffiliated insurers. The 2005 agreement is a property catastrophe reinsurance treaty that provides coverage of up to 95.0% of a loss of $400 million in excess of the Property and Casualty Group’s loss retention of $200 million per occurrence. No loss recoverables were recorded under this treaty at March 31, 2005. Additionally, the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries’ all-lines excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement with the Exchange should substantially mitigate the effect of catastrophe losses on the Company’s financial position. During the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, the Company’s share of catastrophe losses, as defined by the Property and Casualty Group, amounted to $.3 million and $.4 million, respectively and contributed .5 points and .8 points to the GAAP combined ratio respectively.

Reinsurance

The Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries’ nonaffiliated reinsurance business includes its share of the Property and Casualty Group’s voluntary and involuntary assumed reinsurance business and unaffiliated ceded business. The Exchange exited the voluntary assumed reinsurance business as of December 31, 2003 to allow the Property and Casualty Group to focus on its core business and lessen its underwriting exposure. The effects of the excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement between the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries and the Exchange is also reflected in the reinsurance business when looking at the Company’s results on a segment basis. The excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement is not subject to the intercompany pooling agreement and is presented after the effects of the pool in the previous reconciliation table.

The Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries’ all lines excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement with the Exchange limits their retained share of ultimate net losses in any applicable accident year. EIC’s and EINY’s aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement with the Exchange provides that once EIC and EINY have sustained ultimate net losses, excluding losses from terrorism, nuclear, biological and chemical events, in any applicable accident year that exceed an amount equal to 72.5% of EIC’s and EINY’s net premiums earned in that period, the Exchange will be liable for 95% of the amount of such excess, up to but not exceeding, an amount equal to 95% of 15% of EIC’s and EINY’s net premium earned. Losses equal to 5% of the ultimate net loss in excess of the retention under the contract are retained by EIC and EINY. The contract only permits loss recoverables when claims are paid. The

31


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

contract also requires that any unpaid loss recoverables will be commuted 60 months after an annual period expires. The premium for this coverage decreased to 1.5% of EIC’s and EINY’s net premium earned in 2005 from 1.7% in 2004 to reflect current market conditions. The premium paid to the Exchange for this agreement in each of the first quarters of 2005 and 2004 was $1.7 million, of which $.8 million was recorded as incurred expense during the first quarter of 2005.

In the first quarter of 2005, the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries recorded net charges under the excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement with the Exchange of $.3 million. Included in the net charges of $.3 million are recoveries for the first quarter of 2005 of $.1 million offset by the commutation of the 1999 accident year. In accordance with this agreement, commutation of an accident year occurs five years after the accident year expires. The 1999 accident year met the commutation criteria and the unpaid loss recoverable of $3.4 million was settled in March 2005. The present value of the estimated losses from the 1999 accident year, or $3.0 million, was settled with the Exchange by the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries resulting in a charge to the Company of $.4 million. The $.1 million first quarter 2005 recovery related to the 2000 and 2001 accident years.

During the first quarter of 2004, no charges or recoveries under the excess-of-loss agreement were recorded by the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries. As reimbursement occurs only when claims are paid, no cash payments have been made between the companies in 2005 or 2004 for recoveries. An increase in the recoverable in any given year reduces the Company’s losses and loss adjustment expenses on the Consolidated Statements of Operations while a decrease in the recoverable results in an increase in the Company’s losses and loss adjustments expenses.

Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses

Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses of the Property and Casualty Group include the management fee due to the Company of $230.8 million and $225.8 million for the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively. The amount presented on the Company’s Statements of Operations as management fee revenue reflects the elimination of intercompany management fee revenue between the EIC, EINY and the Company, and the allowance for mid-term policy cancellations. Dividends paid to workers’ compensation policyholders increased $1.9 million in the first quarter of 2005 to $6.5 million as average loss ratios of these policyholders improved.

32


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Investment Operations

                 
    Three months ended March 31  
(dollars in thousands)   2005     2004  
    (Unaudited)  
Net investment income
  $ 14,468     $ 14,686  
Net realized gains on investments
    5,497       2,853  
Equity in earnings of EFL
    767       1,414  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    2,111       418  
 
           
Net revenue from investment operations
  $ 22,843     $ 19,371  
 
           

The increase in net revenue from investment operations in 2005 is due in part to equity in earnings of limited partnerships of $2.1 million in the first quarter of 2005, compared to $.4 million in the first quarter of 2004. In addition, sales of common equity securities in the first quarter of 2005 drove a $2.6 million increase in net realized gains on investments. There were impairment charges of $1.5 million included in net realized gains or losses on fixed maturity and equity investments in the first quarter of 2005 related to the automotive and technology industries. There were no impairment charges on these securities in the first quarter of 2004.

The Company’s performance of its fixed maturities and preferred stock portfolios compared to selected market indices is presented below.

         
    Pre-tax annualized total returns  
    Two year period ended  
    March 31, 2005 (1)  
Erie Indemnity Company Indices:
       
Fixed maturities – corporate
    5.52 %
Fixed maturities – municipal
    3.08 (2)
Preferred stock
    7.90 (2)
Common stock
    17.67 (3)
 
       
Market indices:
       
 
       
Lehman Brothers U.S. Aggregate
    3.25 %
S&P 500 Composite Index
    20.02  


(1)   Includes investment income, realized and unrealized gains and losses.
 
(2)   Returns on municipal fixed maturities and preferred stocks have tax-equivalent yields of 5.62% and 9.79%, respectively.
 
(3)   Return is gross of fees to external managers.

Private equity and mezzanine debt limited partnerships generated earnings of $1.1 million and $.1 million for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively. There were impairment charges of $.6 million and $.1 million on limited partnerships in the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively, related to private equity limited partnerships.

FINANCIAL CONDITION

Investments

The Company’s investment strategy takes a long-term perspective emphasizing investment quality, diversification and superior investment returns. Investments are managed on a total return approach that focuses on current income and capital appreciation. The Company’s investment strategy also provides for liquidity to meet the short- and long-term commitments of the Company. At March 31,

33


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

2005, the Company’s investment portfolio of investment-grade bonds and preferred stock, common stock and cash and cash equivalents represents $1.2 billion, or 40.0%, of total assets. These investments provide the liquidity the Company requires to meet the demands on its funds.

The Company continually reviews the investment portfolio to evaluate positions that might incur other-than-temporary declines in value. For all investment holdings, general economic conditions and/or conditions specifically affecting the underlying issuer or its industry, including downgrades by the major rating agencies, are considered in evaluating impairment in value. In addition to specific factors, other factors considered in the Company’s review of investment valuation are the length of time the market value is below cost and the amount the market value is below cost.

There is a presumption of impairment for common equity securities and equity limited partnerships when the decline is, in management’s opinion significant and of an extended duration. The Company considers market conditions, industry characteristics and the fundamental operating results of the issuer to determine if sufficient objective evidence exists to refute the presumption of impairment. When the presumption of impairment is confirmed, the Company will recognize an impairment charge to operations. Common stock impairments are included in realized losses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. For limited partnerships, the impairment charge is included as a component of equity in losses or earnings of limited partnerships in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.

For fixed maturity and preferred stock investments, the Company individually analyzes all positions with emphasis on those that have, in management’s opinion, declined significantly below cost. The Company considers market conditions, industry characteristics and the fundamental operating results of the issuer to determine if the decline is due to changes in interest rates, changes relating to a decline in credit quality, or other issues affecting the investment. A charge is recorded in the Consolidated Statements of Operations for positions that have experienced other-than-temporary impairments due to credit quality or other factors, or for which it is not the intent or ability of the Company to hold the position until recovery has occurred. (See “Analysis of Investment Operations” section).

If the Company’s policy for determining the recognition of impaired positions were different, the Company’s Consolidated Results of Operations could be significantly impacted. Management believes its investment valuation philosophy and accounting practices result in appropriate and timely measurement of value and recognition of impairment.

The Company’s investments are subject to certain risks, including interest rate and price risk. The Company’s exposure to interest rates is concentrated in the fixed maturities portfolio. The fixed maturities portfolio comprises 73.9% and 74.2% of invested assets at March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004, respectively. The Company calculates the duration and convexity of fixed maturities portfolio each month to measure the price sensitivity of the portfolio to interest rate changes. Duration measures the relative sensitivity of the fair value of an investment to changes in interest rates. Convexity measures the rate of change of duration with respect to changes in interest rates. These factors are analyzed monthly to ensure that both the duration and convexity remain in the targeted ranges established by management.

34


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

The Company’s portfolio of marketable equity securities, which is carried on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position at estimated fair value, has exposure to price risk, the risk of potential loss in estimated fair value resulting from an adverse change in prices. The Company does not hedge its exposure to equity price risk inherent in its equity investments. The Company’s objective is to earn competitive relative returns by investing in a diverse portfolio of high-quality, liquid securities. Portfolio holdings are diversified across industries and among exchange traded mid- to large-cap stocks. The Company measures risk by comparing the performance of the marketable equity portfolio to benchmark returns such as the S&P 500.

The Company’s portfolio of limited partnership investments has exposure to market risks, primarily relating to the financial performance of the various entities in which they invested. The limited partnership portfolio comprises 10.0% and 9.9% of invested assets at March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004, respectively. These investments consist primarily of equity investments in small and medium-sized companies and in real estate. The Company achieves diversification within the limited partnership portfolio by investing in approximately 75 partnerships that have approximately 1,475 distinct investments. The Company reviews at least quarterly the limited partnership investments by sector, geography and vintage year. These limited partnership investments are diversified to avoid concentration in a particular industry. The Company performs extensive research prior to investment in these partnerships.

Property/casualty loss reserves

Loss reserves are established to account for the estimated ultimate costs of loss and loss adjustment expenses for claims that have been reported but not yet settled and claims that have been incurred but not reported.

Multiple actuarial methods are used in estimating unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities. Each methodology utilizes unique assumptions and variables. A range of reasonable estimates is developed utilizing these methods for each product line or product coverage analyzed. The presence or absence and magnitude of underlying variables, their interaction, and their recognition in estimation methods will cause the width of the range to vary for different product segments and over time for the same product segment. The final estimate recorded by management is a function of detailed analyses of historical trends adjusted as new emerging data indicates.

The factors which may potentially cause the greatest variation between current reserve estimates and the actual future paid amounts are: unforeseen changes in statutory or case law altering the amounts to be paid on existing claim obligations, new medical procedures and/or drugs whose cost is significantly different from that seen in the past, and claims patterns on current business that differ significantly from historical claims patterns.

35


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are presented on the Company’s Statements of Financial Position on a gross basis for EIC, ENY, and EPC, the property/casualty insurance subsidiaries of the Company that wrote about 17% of the direct property/casualty premiums of the Property and Casualty Group. Under the terms of the Property and Casualty Group’s quota share and intercompany pooling arrangement, a significant portion of these reserve liabilities are recoverable. Recoverable amounts are reflected as an asset on the Company’s Statements of Financial Position. The direct and assumed loss and loss adjustment expense reserves by major line of business and the related amount recoverable under the intercompany pooling arrangement and excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement are presented below:

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserve:

                 
    As of  
    March 31,     December 31,  
(in thousands)   2005     2004  
Gross reserve liability
               
Personal:
               
Private passenger auto
  $ 396,653     $ 400,609  
Catastrophic injury
    85,252       86,239  
Homeowners
    23,030       22,798  
Other personal
    6,771       6,322  
Commercial:
               
Workers’ compensation
    216,396       216,808  
Commercial auto
    80,521       78,646  
Commercial multi-peril
    63,396       63,118  
Catastrophic injury
    419       454  
Other commercial
    16,252       15,288  
Reinsurance
    53,896       52,752  
 
           
Gross reserves
    942,586       943,034  
Reinsurance recoverables
    762,272       765,563  
 
           
Net reserve liability
  $ 180,314     $ 177,471  
 
           

As discussed previously, loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are developed using multiple estimation methods that result in a range of estimates for each product coverage group. The estimate recorded is a function of detailed analysis of historical trends and management expectations of future events and trends. The product coverage that has the greatest potential for variation is the automobile catastrophic injury liability reserve. The range of reasonable estimates, on a net basis, for the automobile catastrophic injury liability reserve, for both personal and commercial is from $143 million to $344 million for the Property and Casualty Group. The reserve carried by the Property and Casualty Group at March 31, 2005 was $202 million, which is management’s best estimate of liability. The Company’s property/casualty subsidiaries share of the net automobile catastrophic injury liability reserve is $11 million at March 31, 2005.

The potential variability in these reserves can be primarily attributed to automobile no-fault claims incurred prior to 1986. The automobile no-fault law in Pennsylvania at that time provided for unlimited medical benefits. There are currently 392 claimants requiring lifetime medical care of which 79 involve catastrophic injuries. The estimation of ultimate liabilities for these claims is subject to significant judgment due to assumptions that must be made for mortality rates, medical inflation costs, changes in medical technologies and variations in claimant health over time.

36


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

It is anticipated that these automobile no-fault claims will require payments over approximately the next 40 years. The impact of medical cost inflation in future years is a significant variable in estimating this liability over 40 years. A 100-basis point change in the medical cost inflation assumption would result in a change in net liability for the Company of $2 million. Claimants’ future life expectancy is another significant variable. The life expectancy assumption underlying the estimate reflects experience to date. Actual experience, different than that assumed, could have a significant impact on the reserve estimate.

At March 31, 2005, the Property and Casualty Group’s estimated total loss exposure related to the events of September 11th remained at $150 million. At March 31, 2005, paid claims and case reserves on reported claims total $79.2 million, with an additional exposure to adverse development of $70.8 million if every claim ultimately develops into the full layer limit loss. The estimate of assumed loss and loss adjustment expense reserves was derived from thoroughly reviewing all outstanding reinsurance contracts for potential exposure. However, estimation of ultimate liabilities for these claims is difficult due to uncertainties regarding delays in claim investigation, lengthy emergence periods for claims such as respiratory disorders, and coverage disputes with respect to the number of events. The most critical factor in the estimation of these losses is whether the destruction of the World Trade Center Towers will be considered a single event or two separate events. The Company believes the current reserves should be sufficient to absorb the potential development that may occur should the destruction of the World Trade Center Towers be considered two separate events. No losses were recognized by the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries in 2005 or 2004 related to the World Trade Center attack.

Financial Ratings

Insurance companies are rated by rating agencies to provide insurance consumers and investors with meaningful information on the rated companies. Higher ratings generally indicate financial stability and a stronger ability to pay claims. The ratings are generally based upon factors relevant to policyholders and are not directed toward return to investors.

Each member of the Property and Casualty Group has a rating from A.M. Best of A+ (“Superior”, the second highest A.M. Best rating). The A+ rating places the members of the Property and Casualty Group in the top 10% of approximately 3,000 property/casualty insurers rated and represents a superior ability to meet ongoing obligations to policyholders. Each member of the Property and Casualty Group also has a rating of Api (“strong”) from Standard & Poors. A rating of “A” means that the insurer has strong financial security characteristics. The subscript “pi” means the rating was based on publicly available information.

Members of the Property and Casualty Group are also rated by Weiss Ratings, Inc., which is a consumer-oriented rating company that issues ratings designed to provide an independent opinion of an insurance company’s financial strength. During the first quarter 2005, the Erie Insurance Exchange was upgraded to a B (Good) rating based upon the Company’s third quarter 2004 financial results and the remaining members of the Property and Casualty Group maintain B (Good) ratings. Management believes that financial ratings are among many important factors in marketing the Property and Casualty Group’s products to its agents and customers.

37


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Liquidity is a measure of an entity’s ability to secure enough cash to meet its contractual obligations and operating needs. The Company’s major sources of funds from operations are the net cash flow generated from the Company’s management operations, the net cash flow from EIC’s and EINY’s 5.5% participation in the underwriting results of the reinsurance pool with the Exchange, and investment income from affiliated and non-affiliated investments. With respect to the management fee, funds are generally received from the Exchange on a premiums collected basis. The Company has a receivable from the Exchange and affiliates related to the management fee receivable from premiums written, but not yet collected, as well as the management fee receivable on premiums collected in the current month. The Company pays nearly all general and administrative expenses on behalf of the Exchange and other affiliated companies. The Exchange generally reimburses the Company for these expenses on a paid basis each month.

Management fee and other cash settlements due from the Exchange were $185.6 million at March 31, 2005, and $207.2 million at December 31, 2004. A receivable from EFL for cash settlements totaled $4.7 million at March 31, 2005, compared to $4.3 million at December 31, 2004. The receivable due from the Exchange for reinsurance recoverable from unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses and unearned premium balances ceded to the intercompany reinsurance pool decreased less than 1% to $893.6 million at March 31, 2005 from $893.8 million at December 31, 2004. The changes are the result of corresponding changes in direct loss reserves, loss adjustment expense reserves and unearned premium reserves of the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries that are ceded to the Exchange under the intercompany pooling agreement. The change in the property/casualty insurance subsidiaries reserves ceded to the Exchange is a result of a corresponding increase or decrease in direct premium written by the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries. Direct written premium of the property/casualty insurance subsidiaries decreased 1.0% in the first quarter of 2005 compared to a 4.9% increase in the first quarter of 2004.

Cash outflows are variable because settlement dates for claim payments vary and cannot be predicted with absolute certainty. While volatility in claims payments could be significant for the Property and Casualty Group, the effect on the Company of this volatility is mitigated by the intercompany reinsurance pooling arrangement. The exposure for large loss payments is also mitigated by the Company’s excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement with the Exchange. The cash flow requirements for claims have not historically been significant to the Company’s liquidity. Historically, about 50% of losses and loss adjustment expenses included in the reserve are paid out in the subsequent 12-month period and approximately 89% is paid out within a five year period. Such payments are reduced by recoveries under the intercompany reinsurance pooling agreement.

The Company has historically generated sufficient net positive cash flow from its operations to fund its commitments and build the investment portfolio. The Company also maintains a high degree of liquidity in its investment portfolio in the form of readily marketable fixed maturities, equity securities and short-term investments. Net cash flows provided by operating activities were $62.5 million and $44.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively.

Cash paid in the first quarter of 2005 for agent bonuses was $46.4 million. As $46.0 million was accrued for agent bonuses in 2004, the Company’s income reflected the $.4 million change in the first quarter of 2005. There were no contributions to the employee pension plan in the first quarter of 2005 compared to a $7.6 million contribution in the first quarter of 2004. The Company has met its minimum pension funding requirements and does not intend on making a contribution to its employee pension plan in 2005.

38


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Proceeds from the sales of equity securities totaled $40.9 million and $5.0 million in the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively. The Company has liquidated certain of its internally managed equity securities to allow the external investment managers to manage the portfolio. Purchases of equity securities were $50.8 million and $5.2 million in the first quarters of 2005 and 2004, respectively. The first quarter 2005 activity represents the external investment managers building the equity securities portfolio.

Dividends paid to shareholders for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004, totaled $20.6 million and $13.9 million, respectively. As part of its capital management activities in 2004, the Company increased its quarterly shareholder dividends for 2005 by 51% on both its Class A and Class B common stock. The annualized dividends will increase the Company’s 2005 payout by approximately $28 million from the prior dividend level. There are no regulatory restrictions on the payment of dividends to the Company’s shareholders, although there are state law restrictions on the payment of dividends from the Company’s insurance subsidiaries to the Company.

During the first quarter of 2005, the Company repurchased 285,428 shares of its outstanding Class A common stock in conjunction with the stock repurchase plan that was authorized in December 2003. The shares were purchased at a total cost of $14.6 million, or an average price per share of $51.21. (See table at Part II. Item 2., Issuer Repurchases of Equity Securities.) The plan allows the Company to repurchase up to $250 million of its outstanding Class A common stock through December 31, 2006.

FACTORS THAT MAY AFFECT FUTURE RESULTS

Financial Condition of the Exchange

The Company has a direct interest in the financial condition of the Exchange because management fee revenues are based on the direct written premiums of the Exchange and the other members of the Property and Casualty Group. Additionally, the Company participates in the underwriting results of the Exchange through the pooling arrangement in which the Company’s insurance subsidiaries have 5.5% participation. The Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries have in effect an all-lines aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement with the Exchange to reduce potential exposure to catastrophe losses and variations in underwriting results. Additionally, a concentration of credit risk exists related to the unsecured receivables due from the Exchange for certain fees, costs and reimbursements.

To the extent that the Exchange incurs underwriting losses or investment losses resulting from declines in the value of its marketable securities, the Exchange’s policyholders’ surplus would be adversely affected. If the surplus of the Exchange were to decline significantly from its current level, the Property and Casualty Group could find it more difficult to retain its existing business and attract new business. A decline in the business of the Property and Casualty Group would have an adverse effect on the amount of the management fees the Company receives and the underwriting results of the Property and Casualty Group in which the Company has 5.5% participation. In addition, a decline in the surplus of the Exchange from its current level would make it more likely that the management fee rate would be reduced. Additional information, including condensed statutory financial statements of the Exchange, are presented in Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

39


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Insurance Premium Rate Increases

The premium growth attributable to rate increases of the Property and Casualty Group directly affects underwriting profitability of the Property and Casualty Group and the Exchange. In recent years, prices for commercial and personal lines insurance have increased considerably in the industry. The property/casualty insurers of the Property and Casualty Group also increased prices considerably during 2003 and into 2004. Pricing actions contemplated or taken by the Property and Casualty Group are subject to various regulatory requirements of the states in which these insurers operate. The pricing actions already implemented, or to be implemented through 2005, will also have an effect on the market competitiveness of the Property and Casualty Group’s insurance products. Such pricing actions, and those of our competitors, could affect the ability of our agents to sell and/or renew business.

Rate increases filed by the Property and Casualty Group for certain lines of business in various states were sought to offset growing loss costs in those lines in 2003 and 2004. While these levels of rate increases are not expected to increase, the first three months of 2005 included some of the impact of these rate changes becoming effective. The rate increases accounted for approximately $26 million in increased written premiums. The total impact in 2005 of pricing actions approved, filed, awaiting approval or contemplated through March 31, 2005, is anticipated to result in a net decrease in written premiums of $4.8 million. The majority of the rate decreases stem from the private passenger auto and the homeowners lines of business in Pennsylvania. Pricing actions anticipated in 2005 are a result of the recent improvements in underwriting results. A return to more stable rates should allow the Property and Casualty Group to be more competitive with other insurers and is anticipated to increase the Property and Casualty Group’s ability to attract new policyholders and to retain existing policyholders.

Insurance Scoring

The Property and Casualty Group continues developing its comprehensive rating plan for private passenger auto and homeowners lines of business. The rating plan includes significantly more rating tiers, providing the Company greater flexibility in pricing policies with varying degrees of risk. Insurance scoring is among the most significant risk factors the Company has recently incorporated into the rating plan. Expanded pricing segmentation, incorporating insurance scoring, should enable the Company to provide more competitive rates to policyholders with varying risk characteristics as risks can be more accurately priced.

Implementing and refining insurance scoring could impact retention of existing policyholders and could affect the Property and Casualty Group's ability to attract new policyholders. Introduction of variables such as credit worthiness could potentially disrupt the relationships with policyholders insured by the Property and Casualty Group. The extent of this impact cannot be determined.

Catastrophe Losses

The Property and Casualty Group conducts business in 11 states and the District of Columbia, primarily in the mid-Atlantic, midwestern and southeastern portions of the United States. A substantial portion of the business is private passenger and commercial automobile, homeowners and workers’ compensation insurance in Ohio, Maryland, Virginia and particularly, Pennsylvania. As a result, a single catastrophe occurrence or destructive weather pattern could materially adversely affect the results of operations and surplus position of the members of the Property and Casualty Group. Common catastrophe events include hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, wind and hail storms, winter freeze, fires and explosions. The Property and Casualty Group maintains catastrophe occurrence reinsurance coverage to mitigate the future potential catastrophe loss exposure.

40


 

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Information Technology Costs

In 2001, the Erie Insurance Group began a comprehensive program of eCommerce initiatives in support of the Erie Insurance Group’s agency force and back office policy underwriting, issuance and administration. The first major component of the eCommerce program (network and desktop hardware deployment) was completed during 2002.

The Erie Insurance Group has spent $180.4 million on the eCommerce program through March 2005. Target delivery dates established in 2002 have generally not been met as management has devoted increased effort to quality assurance efforts to ensure that the rollout creates only minimal business disruption.

While functional as a personal lines rating and policy administration system, ErieConnection agency interface has generally not met the Company’s or agent’s expectations for ease of use. The Company has postponed further deployment of the system until such usability issues are resolved. Estimates of the costs to improve the agency interface for ease of use needed to facilitate future deployment and the timetable for deployment are currently being developed.

Investment Risk

The Company is exposed to interest rate risk through its fixed maturities portfolio. As interest rates rise, impairment charges could be recognized in future period. Additionally, the emerging authoritative guidance on the determination of when an investment is impaired and whether the impairment is other than temporary, could result in significant impairments being recognized in future periods.

Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002—Section 404 Internal Control Reporting

The Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 established numerous compliance requirements for public companies which include an annual evaluation of internal controls (Section 404). Management completed its Section 404 evaluation of internal controls as of December 31, 2004 and reported that there were no material weaknesses in internal controls over financial reporting within the Company. While certain deficiencies were identified during management’s evaluation, remediation plans were developed, implemented and completed by the end of 2004. The Company continues to make process improvements in areas where enhancements identified during the evaluation would be beneficial to the business and internal control processes.

The Sarbanes-Oxley Act will continue to require the Company to dedicate substantial resources to complete its 2005 and future evaluations including internal personnel and external auditing and consulting fees.

Management makes judgments in its evaluation of internal controls. These judgments could change over time and/or control processes within the Company will evolve in response to system development and business needs. Management’s current opinion of internal control is not an assurance of control effectiveness in future periods.

Terrorism

On November 26, 2002, President Bush signed the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 (“Act”), establishing a program for commercial property/casualty losses, including workers’ compensation, resulting from foreign acts of terrorism. The Act required commercial insurers to make terrorism coverage available immediately through at least December 31, 2004, and provided limited federal protection above individual company retention levels, based upon a percentage of direct earned premium, and above aggregate industry retention levels that range from $10 billion in the second year to $15 billion in the third year of the program. The federal government will pay 90% of covered terrorism losses that exceed retention levels. On June 18, 2004, the Department of Treasury announced its decision to require insurers to continue to make terrorism coverage available under the Act in program year three. The Act is scheduled to expire on December 31, 2005. Personal lines are not included under

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

the protection of the Act, and state regulators have not approved exclusions for acts of terrorism on personal lines policies. The Property and Casualty Group is exposed to terrorism losses for personal and commercial lines and workers’ compensation, although commercial lines and workers’ compensation are afforded a backstop above certain retention levels for foreign acts of terrorism under the federal program until December 31, 2005. If the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act is not extended or reauthorized, the Property and Casualty Group will be exposed to terrorism losses for commercial lines and workers’ compensation without the benefit of the federal backstop. The Property and Casualty Group could incur large losses if future terrorist attacks occur.

The Erie Insurance Group has taken the steps necessary to comply with the Act by providing notices to all commercial policyholders disclosing the premium, if any, attributable to coverage for acts of terrorism, as defined in the Act, and disclosing federal participation in payment of terrorism losses. The Act pre-empted any exclusion or provision in place prior to November 26, 2002, that excluded or limited coverage for losses from foreign acts of terrorism. Insurers may exclude coverage for foreign acts of terrorism under the Act if the policyholder accepts an exclusion and rejects coverage or fails to pay additional premium charges after notice is given. Exclusions are not allowed under workers’ compensation policies and rates for terrorism coverage are applied in accordance with state laws.

The Erie Insurance Group continues to evaluate procedures that have been established to comply with the Act. Terrorism coverage is not excluded under the majority of the Property and Casualty Group commercial property/casualty policies. Other than workers’ compensation, which incur charges consistent with state law, premium charges for terrorism coverage are currently applied only for a small number of new and renewal commercial policies where deemed appropriate based upon individual risk factors and characteristics. Appropriate disclosure notices are provided in accordance with the Act.

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ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

The Company’s exposure to market risk is primarily related to fluctuations in prices and interest rates. Quantitative and qualitative disclosures about market risk resulting from changes in prices and interest rates are included in Item 7A. in the Company’s 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K. There have been no material changes in such risks or the Company’s periodic reviews of asset and liability positions during the three months ended March 31, 2005. The information contained in the investments section of Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is incorporated herein by reference.

The Company’s objective is to earn competitive returns by investing in a diversified portfolio of securities. The Company is exposed to credit risk through its portfolios of fixed maturity securities, nonredeemable preferred stock, mortgage loans and to a lesser extent short-term investments. This risk is defined as the potential loss in market value resulting from adverse changes in the borrower’s ability to repay the debt. The Company manages this risk by performing up front underwriting analysis and ongoing reviews of credit quality by position and for the fixed maturity portfolio in total. The Company does not hedge credit risk inherent in its fixed maturity investments.

The Company has significant receivables from the Exchange, which are subject to credit risk. Company results are directly related to the financial strength of the Exchange. Credit risks related to the receivables from the Exchange are evaluated periodically by Company management. Since the Company’s inception, it has collected all amounts due from the Exchange in a timely manner (generally within 120 days).

“Safe Harbor” Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Certain forward-looking statements contained herein involve risks and uncertainties. These statements include certain discussions relating to management fee revenue, cost of management operations, underwriting, premium and investment income volume, business strategies, profitability and business relationships and the Company’s other business activities during 2005 and beyond. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “would,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “potential” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements reflect the Company’s current views about future events, are based on assumptions and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause results to differ materially from those anticipated in those statements. Many of the factors that will determine future events or achievements are beyond our ability to control or predict.

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ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

As of March 31, 2005, the Company carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of the Company’s management, including its Chief Executive Officer and its Chief Financial Officer, of the design and operation of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures. Based on this evaluation, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are effective for gathering, analyzing and disclosing the information the Company is required to disclose in the reports it files under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms. There have been no significant changes in the Company’s internal controls or in other factors that could significantly affect internal controls subsequent to the date of this evaluation.

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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

ITEM 2. CHANGES IN SECURITIES, AND USE OF PROCEEDS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES

Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

                                 
                            Approximate  
                            Dollar Value  
                    Total Number of     of Shares that  
    Total Number     Average     Shares Purchased     May Yet Be  
    of Shares     Price Paid     as Part of Publicly     Purchased Under  
             Period   Purchased     Per share     Announced Plan     the Plan  
January 1 - 31, 2005
    50,224     $ 52.41       48,426          
 
                               
February 1 - 29, 2005
    1,126       53.04       1,126          
 
                               
March 1 - 31, 2005     235,876       50.96       235,876          
                             
 
                               
Total
    287,226       51.22       285,428     $ 180,000,000  
 
                         

The month of January 2005 includes 1,798 shares that vested under the stock compensation plan for the Company’s outside directors. Included in this amount are the vesting of 1,744 of awards previously granted and 54 dividend equivalent shares that vest as they are granted (as dividends are declared by the Company).

In March 2005, the Company purchased, in a privately negotiated block trade, 200,000 shares of its Class A common stock for $10,143,800 from Samuel P. Black III, former director of the Company. These shares were beneficially owned by Mr. Black through the Black Interests Limited Partnership.

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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION (Continued)

ITEM 6. EXHIBITS

     
Exhibit    
Number   Description of Exhibit
10.83
  Addendum to Aggregate Excess of Loss Reinsurance Contract effective January 1, 2005 between Erie Insurance Exchange, by and through its Attorney-in-Fact, Erie Indemnity Company and Erie Insurance Company and its wholly-owned subsidiary Erie Insurance Company of New York
 
   
31.1
  Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
   
31.2
  Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
   
32
  Certification pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

     
  Erie Indemnity Company
   
  (Registrant)
 
   
Date: April 25, 2005
  /s/ Jeffrey A. Ludrof
   
  Jeffrey A. Ludrof, President & CEO
 
   
  /s/ Philip A. Garcia
   
  Philip A. Garcia, Executive Vice President & CFO

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