FORM 10-Q
[X]
|
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE | |
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 | ||
For the quarterly period ended SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 | ||
[ ]
|
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE | |
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 | ||
For the transition period from to | ||
Commission file number 1-10816 |
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
WISCONSIN (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) |
39-1486475 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
|
250 E. KILBOURN AVENUE MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN (Address of principal executive offices) |
53202 (Zip Code) |
(414) 347-6480
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
YES [X]
|
NO [ ] |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).
YES [X]
|
NO [ ] |
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuers classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.
CLASS OF STOCK |
PAR VALUE |
DATE |
NUMBER OF SHARES |
|||||||||
Common stock |
$ | 1.00 | 10/31/04 | 96,779,464 |
Page 1
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page No. |
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3 | ||||||||
4 | ||||||||
5 | ||||||||
6-12 | ||||||||
13-33 | ||||||||
33 | ||||||||
33 | ||||||||
34 | ||||||||
35 | ||||||||
35 | ||||||||
36 | ||||||||
37 | ||||||||
Amended and Restated Bylaws | ||||||||
Statement Re Computation of Net Income Per Share | ||||||||
302 Certification of CEO | ||||||||
302 Certification of CFO | ||||||||
906 Certification of CEO and CFO |
Page 2
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
September 30, | December 31, | |||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
(In thousands of dollars) | ||||||||
ASSETS |
||||||||
Investment portfolio: |
||||||||
Securities, available-for-sale, at market value: |
||||||||
Fixed maturities |
$ | 5,296,831 | $ | 5,059,147 | ||||
Equity securities |
5,399 | 8,280 | ||||||
Short-term investments |
273,137 | 137,734 | ||||||
Total investment portfolio |
5,575,367 | 5,205,161 | ||||||
Cash |
2,820 | 23,612 | ||||||
Accrued investment income |
62,075 | 59,588 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
17,379 | 18,074 | ||||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
7,173 | 7,528 | ||||||
Premiums receivable |
94,413 | 122,290 | ||||||
Home office and equipment, net |
35,742 | 36,722 | ||||||
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
29,298 | 32,613 | ||||||
Investments in joint ventures |
362,427 | 308,213 | ||||||
Other assets |
112,650 | 103,586 | ||||||
Total assets |
$ | 6,299,344 | $ | 5,917,387 | ||||
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
||||||||
Liabilities: |
||||||||
Loss reserves |
$ | 1,150,610 | $ | 1,061,788 | ||||
Unearned premiums |
139,903 | 168,137 | ||||||
Short- and long-term debt (note 2) |
599,726 | 599,680 | ||||||
Income taxes payable |
106,144 | 118,126 | ||||||
Other liabilities |
177,074 | 172,754 | ||||||
Total liabilities |
2,173,457 | 2,120,485 | ||||||
Contingencies (note 3) |
||||||||
Shareholders equity: |
||||||||
Common stock, $1 par value, shares authorized
|
||||||||
300,000,000; shares issued, 9/30/04 - 122,318,945
12/31/03 - 121,587,417;
|
||||||||
shares outstanding, 9/30/04 - 97,946,864
12/31/03 - 98,412,844 |
122,319 | 121,587 | ||||||
Paid-in capital |
267,469 | 239,485 | ||||||
Treasury stock (shares at cost, 9/30/04 - 24,372,081
12/31/03 - 23,174,573) |
(1,204,255 | ) | (1,115,969 | ) | ||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax |
125,313 | 140,651 | ||||||
Retained earnings |
4,815,041 | 4,411,148 | ||||||
Total shareholders equity |
4,125,887 | 3,796,902 | ||||||
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
$ | 6,299,344 | $ | 5,917,387 | ||||
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
Page 3
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(In thousands of dollars, except per share data) | ||||||||||||||||
Revenues: |
||||||||||||||||
Premiums written: |
||||||||||||||||
Direct |
$ | 351,424 | $ | 375,707 | $ | 1,057,855 | $ | 1,097,665 | ||||||||
Assumed |
99 | 35 | 161 | 77 | ||||||||||||
Ceded |
(30,720 | ) | (29,130 | ) | (89,025 | ) | (89,042 | ) | ||||||||
Net premiums written |
320,803 | 346,612 | 968,991 | 1,008,700 | ||||||||||||
Decrease (increase) in unearned premiums, net |
3,421 | (7 | ) | 27,877 | 7,196 | |||||||||||
Net premiums earned |
324,224 | 346,605 | 996,868 | 1,015,896 | ||||||||||||
Investment income, net of expenses |
54,187 | 50,049 | 159,642 | 151,446 | ||||||||||||
Realized investment gains (losses), net |
(228 | ) | 6,740 | 15,025 | 33,375 | |||||||||||
Other revenue |
12,851 | 23,987 | 38,087 | 67,247 | ||||||||||||
Total revenues |
391,034 | 427,381 | 1,209,622 | 1,267,964 | ||||||||||||
Losses and expenses: |
||||||||||||||||
Losses incurred, net |
169,802 | 220,726 | 514,552 | 536,057 | ||||||||||||
Underwriting and other expenses, net |
68,782 | 76,800 | 208,819 | 230,304 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense |
10,310 | 10,191 | 30,760 | 30,892 | ||||||||||||
Total losses and expenses |
248,894 | 307,717 | 754,131 | 797,253 | ||||||||||||
Income before tax and joint ventures |
142,140 | 119,664 | 455,491 | 470,711 | ||||||||||||
Provision for income tax |
37,649 | 27,504 | 124,210 | 122,948 | ||||||||||||
Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
29,578 | 12,969 | 87,385 | 42,253 | ||||||||||||
Net income |
$ | 134,069 | $ | 105,129 | $ | 418,666 | $ | 390,016 | ||||||||
Earnings per share (note 4): |
||||||||||||||||
Basic |
$ | 1.37 | $ | 1.07 | $ | 4.27 | $ | 3.94 | ||||||||
Diluted |
$ | 1.36 | $ | 1.06 | $ | 4.25 | $ | 3.94 | ||||||||
Weighted average common shares
outstanding - diluted (shares in
thousands, note 4) |
98,386 | 98,825 | 98,578 | 99,083 | ||||||||||||
Dividends per share |
$ | 0.075 | $ | 0.025 | $ | 0.150 | $ | 0.075 | ||||||||
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
Page 4
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
Nine Months Ended | ||||||||
September 30, |
||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
(In thousands of dollars) | ||||||||
Cash flows from operating activities: |
||||||||
Net income |
$ | 418,666 | $ | 390,016 | ||||
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash
provided by operating activities: |
||||||||
Amortization of deferred insurance policy
acquisition costs |
18,319 | 21,495 | ||||||
Increase in deferred insurance policy
acquisition costs |
(15,004 | ) | (23,359 | ) | ||||
Depreciation and amortization |
16,114 | 15,820 | ||||||
(Increase) decrease in accrued investment income |
(2,487 | ) | 1,456 | |||||
Decrease in reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
695 | 2,315 | ||||||
Decrease in prepaid reinsurance premiums |
355 | 723 | ||||||
Decrease (increase) in premium receivable |
27,877 | (10,037 | ) | |||||
Increase in loss reserves |
88,822 | 223,360 | ||||||
Decrease in unearned premiums |
(28,234 | ) | (7,919 | ) | ||||
Decrease in income taxes payable |
(11,982 | ) | (12,689 | ) | ||||
Equity earnings in joint ventures |
(127,391 | ) | (60,125 | ) | ||||
Distributions from joint ventures |
82,300 | 19,950 | ||||||
Other |
(2,269 | ) | (25,290 | ) | ||||
Net cash provided by operating activities |
465,781 | 535,716 | ||||||
Cash flows from investing activities: |
||||||||
Purchase of equity securities |
(127 | ) | | |||||
Purchase of fixed maturities |
(1,505,861 | ) | (2,339,236 | ) | ||||
Additional investment in joint ventures |
(8,458 | ) | (7,793 | ) | ||||
Sale of investment in joint ventures |
| 3,396 | ||||||
Sale of equity securities |
4,962 | 4,133 | ||||||
Proceeds from sale or maturity of fixed maturities |
1,238,167 | 2,078,154 | ||||||
Net cash used in investing activities |
(271,317 | ) | (261,346 | ) | ||||
Cash flows from financing activities: |
||||||||
Dividends paid to shareholders |
(14,773 | ) | (7,433 | ) | ||||
Net repayment of short-term debt |
(1,059 | ) | (73,537 | ) | ||||
Reissuance of treasury stock |
2,588 | 335 | ||||||
Repurchase of common stock |
(95,744 | ) | (89,192 | ) | ||||
Common stock issued |
29,135 | 4,802 | ||||||
Net cash used in financing activities |
(79,853 | ) | (165,025 | ) | ||||
Net increase in cash and short-term investments |
114,611 | 109,345 | ||||||
Cash and short-term investments at beginning of period |
161,346 | 113,271 | ||||||
Cash and short-term investments at end of period |
$ | 275,957 | $ | 222,616 | ||||
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
Page 5
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
Note 1 - Basis of presentation and summary of certain significant accounting policies
The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements of MGIC Investment Corporation (the Company) and its wholly-owned subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with the instructions to Form 10-Q and do not include all of the other information and disclosures required by accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. These statements should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2003 included in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for that year.
The accompanying consolidated financial statements have not been audited by independent auditors in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), but in the opinion of management such financial statements include all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring accruals, necessary to summarize fairly the Companys financial position and results of operations. The results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 may not be indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2004.
Stock-based compensation
The Company has certain stock-based compensation plans. Effective January 1, 2003, the Company adopted the fair value recognition provisions of SFAS No. 123, Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation, prospectively to all employee awards granted or modified on or after January 1, 2003. The adoption of SFAS No. 123 did not have a material effect on the Companys results of operations or its financial position. Under the fair value method, compensation cost is measured at the grant date based on the fair value of the award and is recognized over the service period which generally corresponds to the vesting period. Awards under the Companys plans generally vest over periods ranging from one to five years. The cost related to stock-based employee compensation included in the determination of net income for 2004 and 2003 is less than that which would have been recognized if the fair value based method had been applied to all awards since the original effective date of SFAS No. 123. The following table illustrates the effect on net income and earnings per share if the fair value method had been applied to all outstanding and unvested awards in each period.
Page 6
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(in thousands of dollars, except per share data) | ||||||||||||||||
Net income, as reported |
$ | 134,069 | $ | 105,129 | $ | 418,666 | $ | 390,016 | ||||||||
Add stock-based employee compensation
expense included in reported net income,
net of tax |
1,903 | 1,058 | 5,648 | 3,088 | ||||||||||||
Deduct stock-based employee compensation
expense determined under fair value method
for all awards, net of tax |
(3,021 | ) | (2,581 | ) | (8,556 | ) | (7,923 | ) | ||||||||
Pro forma net income |
$ | 132,951 | $ | 103,606 | $ | 415,758 | $ | 385,181 | ||||||||
Earnings per share: |
||||||||||||||||
Basic, as reported |
$ | 1.37 | $ | 1.07 | $ | 4.27 | $ | 3.94 | ||||||||
Basic, pro forma |
$ | 1.36 | $ | 1.05 | $ | 4.24 | $ | 3.90 | ||||||||
Diluted, as reported |
$ | 1.36 | $ | 1.06 | $ | 4.25 | $ | 3.94 | ||||||||
Diluted, pro-forma |
$ | 1.35 | $ | 1.05 | $ | 4.22 | $ | 3.89 | ||||||||
New Accounting Standards
The guidance contained in EITF 03-1 has been delayed by FSP EITF 03-1-1, Effective Date of Paragraphs 10-20 of EITF Issue No. 03-1 The meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments"'. The delay of the effective date will be superseded with the final issuance of proposed FSP EITF Issue 03-1-a, Implication Guidance for the Application of Paragraph 16 of EITF Issue No. 03-1 which was subject to comments through October 29, 2004. The disclosures continue to be effective in annual financial statements for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2003, for investments accounted for under Statements 115 and 124. The impact of FSP EITF 03-1-a on the Companys financial position or results of operations cannot be determined at this time. Under the proposed guidance, it may be more likely that a decrease in the market value of certain investments in the Companys fixed income portfolio will be required to be recognized as a realized loss in the statement of operations than under the existing accounting standard.
Note 2 - Short- and long-term debt
The Company has a $285 million commercial paper program, which is rated A-1 by Standard and Poors (S&P) and P-1 by Moodys. At September 30, 2004 and 2003, the Company had $100.0 million and $105.0 million in commercial paper outstanding with a weighted average interest rate of 1.83% and 1.15%, respectively.
Page 7
The Company had a $285 million credit facility available at September 30, 2004, expiring in 2006. Under the terms of the credit facility, the Company must maintain shareholders equity of at least $2.25 billion and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC) must maintain a risk-to-capital ratio of not more than 22:1 and maintain policyholders position (which includes MGICs statutory surplus and its contingency reserve) of not less than the amount required by Wisconsin insurance regulation. At September 30, 2004, the Company met these requirements. The facility is currently being used as a liquidity back up facility for the outstanding commercial paper. The remaining credit available under the facility after reduction for the amount necessary to support the commercial paper was $185.0 million at September 30, 2004.
The Company had $300 million, 7.5% Senior Notes due in 2005 and $200 million, 6% Senior Notes due in 2007 outstanding at September 30, 2004 and 2003. At September 30, 2004 and 2003, the market value of the outstanding debt was $626.9 million and $648.2 million, respectively.
Interest payments on all long-term and short-term debt were $28.8 million for both the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003.
In May 2002, a swap designated as a cash flow hedge was amended to coincide with the credit facility. Under the terms of the swap contract, the Company pays a fixed rate of 5.43% and receives an interest rate based on LIBOR. The swap has an expiration date coinciding with the maturity of the credit facility and is designated as a cash flow hedge. The cash flow swap outstanding at September 30, 2004 and 2003 is evaluated quarterly using regression analysis with any ineffectiveness being recorded as an expense. To date this evaluation has not resulted in any hedge ineffectiveness. Swaps are subject to credit risk to the extent the counterparty would be unable to discharge its obligations under the swap agreements.
Expense on the interest rate swaps for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 of approximately $2.7 million and $2.5 million, respectively, was included in interest expense. Gains or losses arising from the amendment or termination of previously held interest rate swaps are deferred and amortized to interest expense over the life of the hedged items.
Note 3 - Litigation and contingencies
The Company is involved in litigation in the ordinary course of business. In the opinion of management, the ultimate resolution of this pending litigation will not have a material adverse effect on the financial position or results of operations of the Company.
In addition, in March 2003 an action against MGIC was filed in Federal District Court in Orlando, Florida seeking certification of a nationwide class of consumers who were required to pay for private mortgage insurance written by MGIC and whose loans were insured at less than MGICs best available rate based on credit scores obtained by MGIC. (A portion of MGICs A minus and subprime premium rates are based in part on the credit score of the borrower.) The action alleges that the Federal Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) requires a notice to borrowers of such adverse action and that MGIC has violated FCRA by failing to give such notice. The action seeks statutory
Page 8
damages (which in the case of willful violations, in addition to punitive damages, may be awarded in an amount of $100 to $1,000 per class member) and/or actual damages of the persons in the class, and attorneys fees, as well as declaratory and injunctive relief. The action also alleges that the failure to give notice to borrowers in Florida in the circumstances alleged is a violation of Floridas Unfair and Deceptive Acts and Practices Act and seeks declaratory and injunctive relief for such violation. In December 2003, the Court denied MGICs motion seeking dismissal of the portion of the case covering damages under FCRA but dismissed the remainder of the case. In June 2004, the Court denied the plaintiffs motion to certify the class. There can be no assurance that the outcome of the litigation will not materially affect the Companys financial position or results of operations. Similar actions are pending against six other mortgage insurers.
Under its contract underwriting agreements, the Company may be required to provide certain remedies to its customers if certain standards relating to the quality of the Companys underwriting work are not met. The cost of remedies provided by the Company to customers for failing to meet these standards has not been material to the Companys financial position or results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003.
Note 4 - Earnings per share
The Companys basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been calculated in accordance with SFAS No. 128, Earnings Per Share. The Companys net income is the same for both basic and diluted EPS. Basic EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding. Diluted EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding plus common stock equivalents which include stock awards and stock options. The following is a reconciliation of the weighted average number of shares used for basic EPS and diluted EPS.
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(Shares in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Weighted average shares - Basic |
97,760 | 98,489 | 97,987 | 98,879 | ||||||||||||
Common stock equivalents |
626 | 336 | 591 | 204 | ||||||||||||
Weighted average shares - Diluted |
98,386 | 98,825 | 98,578 | 99,083 | ||||||||||||
Page 9
Note 5 - Comprehensive income
The Companys total comprehensive income, as calculated per SFAS No. 130, Reporting Comprehensive Income, was as follows:
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(In thousands of dollars) | ||||||||||||||||
Net income |
$ | 134,069 | $ | 105,129 | $ | 418,666 | 390,016 | |||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) |
86,815 | (37,449 | ) | (15,338 | ) | (9,859 | ) | |||||||||
Total comprehensive income |
$ | 220,884 | $ | 67,680 | $ | 403,328 | 380,157 | |||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) (net of tax): |
||||||||||||||||
Net derivative gains |
$ | 190 | $ | 908 | $ | 1,928 | $ | 494 | ||||||||
Amortization of deferred losses |
270 | 270 | 810 | 810 | ||||||||||||
Change in unrealized gains and losses
on investments |
86,949 | (38,627 | ) | (18,427 | ) | (11,163 | ) | |||||||||
Other |
(594 | ) | | 351 | | |||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss) |
$ | 86,815 | $ | (37,449 | ) | $ | (15,338 | ) | $ | (9,859 | ) | |||||
The difference between the Companys net income and total comprehensive income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 is due to the change in unrealized appreciation/depreciation on investments, the fair value adjustment and amortization of deferred losses relating to derivative financial instruments and the Companys share of the other comprehensive income/loss on one of its joint venture investments, all net of tax.
Page 10
Note 6 - Benefit Plans
The following table provides the components of net periodic benefit cost for the pension and other postretirement benefit plans:
Three Months Ended | ||||||||||||||||
September 30, |
||||||||||||||||
Other Postretirement | ||||||||||||||||
Pension Benefits |
Benefits |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(In thousands of dollars) | ||||||||||||||||
Service cost |
$ | 2,285 | $ | 1,991 | $ | 865 | $ | 784 | ||||||||
Interest cost |
2,185 | 1,918 | 881 | 825 | ||||||||||||
Expected return on plan assets |
(2,592 | ) | (1,699 | ) | (430 | ) | (247 | ) | ||||||||
Recognized net actuarial loss (gain) |
311 | 487 | 125 | 165 | ||||||||||||
Amortization of transition obligation |
| | 132 | 132 | ||||||||||||
Amortization of prior service cost |
175 | 153 | | | ||||||||||||
Net periodic benefit cost |
$ | 2,364 | $ | 2,850 | $ | 1,573 | $ | 1,659 | ||||||||
Nine Months Ended | ||||||||||||||||
September 30, |
||||||||||||||||
Other Postretirement | ||||||||||||||||
Pension Benefits |
Benefits |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
(In thousands of dollars) | ||||||||||||||||
Service cost |
$ | 6,855 | $ | 5,973 | $ | 2,595 | $ | 2,352 | ||||||||
Interest cost |
6,555 | 5,754 | 2,643 | 2,475 | ||||||||||||
Expected return on plan assets |
(7,776 | ) | (5,097 | ) | (1,290 | ) | (741 | ) | ||||||||
Recognized net actuarial loss (gain) |
933 | 1,461 | 375 | 495 | ||||||||||||
Amortization of transition obligation |
| | 396 | 396 | ||||||||||||
Amortization of prior service cost |
525 | 459 | | | ||||||||||||
Net periodic benefit cost |
$ | 7,092 | $ | 8,550 | $ | 4,719 | $ | 4,977 | ||||||||
Through the nine months ended September 30, 2004 the Company has contributed $10.0 million to its pension plan. The Company expects to contribute an additional $13.7 million to the plan in the fourth quarter of 2004.
On December 8, 2003 the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003 (Act) was signed into law. The Act introduces a prescription drug benefit under Medicare Part D as well as a federal subsidy to sponsors of the retiree health care benefit plans that provide a benefit that is at least actuarially equivalent to Medicare Part D. Beginning in the second quarter of 2004, the effects of the subsidy are reflected in the measurement of the net periodic postretirement benefit costs. The effect of the subsidy on the measurement of the annual net periodic postretirement benefit cost
Page 11
for the current year was a $1.4 million reduction, of which 50% ($0.7 million) was recognized in the second quarter. The components of the $1.4 million reduction include $0.5 million related to service cost, $0.5 million related to interest cost and $0.4 million related to recognized net actuarial gain/loss. The effect of the subsidy on the Accumulated Postretirement Benefit Obligation was a $7.5 million reduction.
Page 12
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Overview
Business and General Environment
The Company, through its subsidiary Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC), is the leading provider of private mortgage insurance in the United States to the home mortgage lending industry. The Companys principal products are primary mortgage insurance and pool mortgage insurance. Primary mortgage insurance may be written on a flow basis, in which loans are insured in individual, loan-by-loan transactions, or may be written on a bulk basis, in which a portfolio of loans is individually insured in a single, bulk transaction.
The Companys results of operations are affected by:
| Premiums written and earned |
Premiums written and earned in a year are influenced by:
| Cancellations, which reduce the size of the in force book of insurance that generates premiums. Cancellations due to refinancings are affected by the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates throughout the in force book. |
| New insurance written, which increases the size of the in force book of insurance. New insurance written is the aggregate principal amount of the mortgages that are insured during a period and is referred to as NIW. NIW is affected by many factors, including the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations and competition to provide credit enhancement on those mortgages, including competition from other mortgage insurers and alternatives to mortgage insurance, such as 80-10-10 loans. |
| Premium rates, which are affected by the risk characteristics of the loans insured and the percentage of coverage on the loans. |
| Premiums ceded to reinsurance subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders and risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs, which affect premiums earned. |
Premiums are generated by the insurance that is in force during all or a portion of the period. Hence, lower average insurance in force in one period compared to another is a factor that will reduce premiums written and earned, although this effect may be mitigated (or enhanced) by differences in the average premium rate between the two periods as well as by premium that is ceded. Also, cancellations and NIW during a quarter will generally have a greater effect on premiums written and earned in subsequent quarters than in the quarter in which these events occur.
Page 13
| Investment income |
The investment portfolio is comprised almost entirely of highly rated, fixed income securities. The principal factors that influence investment income are the size of the portfolio and its yield.
| Losses incurred |
Losses incurred are the expense that results from a payment delinquency on an insured loan. As explained in Critical Accounting Policies in Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003, this expense is recognized only when a loan is delinquent. Losses incurred are generally affected by:
| The state of the economy, which affects the likelihood that loans will become delinquent and whether loans that are delinquent cure their delinquency. |
| The product mix of the in force book, with loans having higher risk characteristics generally resulting in higher delinquencies and claims. |
| The average claim payment, which is affected by the size of loans insured (higher average loan amounts tend to increase losses incurred), the percentage coverage on insured loans (deeper average coverage tends to increase incurred losses), and housing values, which affect the Companys ability to mitigate its losses through sales of properties with delinquent mortgages. |
| The distribution of claims over the life of a book. Historically, the first years after a loan is originated are a period of relatively low claims, with claims increasing substantially for several years after that and then declining, although persistency and the condition of the economy can affect this pattern. |
| Underwriting and other expenses. |
The operating expenses of the Company generally vary primarily due to contract underwriting volume, which in turn generally varies with the level of mortgage origination activity. Contract underwriting generates fee income included in other revenue.
| Income from joint ventures |
Joint venture income principally consists of the aggregate results of the Companys investment in two less than majority owned joint ventures, Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC (C-BASS) and Sherman Financial Group LLC (Sherman). As used in this report and elsewhere in the Companys filings with the SEC, the term Company means the Company and its consolidated subsidiaries; the Companys joint ventures are not subsidiaries of the Company.
Page 14
2004 Third Quarter Results
The Companys results of operations in the third quarter of 2004 were principally affected by:
| Losses incurred |
Losses incurred for the third quarter of 2004 decreased compared to the same period in 2003 primarily due to a lower growth rate of the delinquency inventory, offset by increases in the estimates regarding how many delinquencies will eventually result in a claim and how much will be paid on claims.
| Premiums written and earned |
During the third quarter of 2004, the Companys written and earned premiums were lower than in the third quarter of 2003 due to a decline in the average insurance in force, as well as a decrease in NIW through the flow and bulk channels.
| Investment income |
During the third quarter of 2004, investment income was higher than in the third quarter of 2003 due to an increase in the portfolio, offset by a slight decline in the pre-tax yield.
| Underwriting and other expenses |
Underwriting and other expenses decreased in the third quarter of 2004 compared to the same period in 2003 primarily as a result of decreases in expenses related to contract underwriting activity.
| Income from joint ventures |
Income from joint ventures increased in the third quarter of 2004 compared to the same period in 2003 due to higher income from each of Sherman and C-BASS.
The discussion below should be read in conjunction with Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003.
Page 15
RESULTS OF CONSOLIDATED OPERATIONS
NIW
The amount of MGICs NIW (this term is defined in the Overview-Business and General Environment section) during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 was as follows:
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
($ billions) | ||||||||||||||||
Flow NIW |
$ | 12.0 | $ | 20.7 | $ | 36.1 | $ | 56.9 | ||||||||
Bulk NIW |
6.0 | 7.3 | 11.0 | 20.6 | ||||||||||||
Total NIW |
$ | 18.0 | $ | 28.0 | $ | 47.1 | $ | 77.5 | ||||||||
Refinance volume as a % of primary
flow NIW |
23 | % | 48 | % | 30 | % | 50 | % |
The decrease in NIW on a flow basis was primarily the result of a decrease in refinance volume. Refinance volume in turn is driven by changes in interest rates as discussed with respect to cancellations below. For a discussion of NIW written through the bulk channel, see Bulk transactions below. The Company expects total NIW for the last quarter of 2004 to be lower than for the comparable period in 2003. The Company is not undertaking any obligation to provide an update of this expectation should it subsequently change.
Page 16
Cancellations and insurance in force
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
($ billions) | ||||||||||||||||
NIW |
$ | 18.0 | $ | 28.0 | $ | 47.1 | $ | 77.5 | ||||||||
Cancellations |
(18.6 | ) | (30.6 | ) | (56.9 | ) | (83.5 | ) | ||||||||
Change in primary insurance in force |
$ | (0.6 | ) | $ | (2.6 | ) | $ | (9.8 | ) | $ | (6.0 | ) | ||||
Direct primary insurance in force was $179.8 billion at September 30, 2004 compared to $189.6 billion at December 31, 2003 and $191.0 billion at September 30, 2003.
Cancellation activity has historically been affected by the level of mortgage interest rates and the level of home price appreciation. Cancellations generally move inversely to the change in the direction of interest rates, although they generally lag a change in direction. MGICs persistency rate (percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior) of 59.4% at September 30, 2004 increased from 47.1% at December 31, 2003 and 44.9% at September 30, 2003. The Company expects modest improvement in the persistency rate in the fourth quarter of 2004, although this expectation assumes the absence of significant declines in the level of mortgage interest rates from their level in late October 2004. The Company is not undertaking any obligation to provide an update of this expectation should it subsequently change.
Page 17
Bulk transactions
The Companys writings of bulk insurance are in part sensitive to the volume of securitization transactions involving non-conforming loans. The Companys writings of bulk insurance are also sensitive to competition from other methods of providing credit enhancement in a securitization, including an execution in which the subordinate tranches in the securitization rather than mortgage insurance bear the first loss from mortgage defaults. Competition from such an execution in turn depends on, among other factors, the yield at which investors are willing to purchase tranches of the securitization that involve a higher degree of credit risk compared to the yield for tranches involving the lowest credit risk (the difference in such yields is referred to as the spread) and the amount of credit for losses that a rating agency will give to mortgage insurance, which may be affected by the agencys view of the outlook for the insurers claims-paying ability. As the spread narrows, competition from an execution in which the subordinate tranches bear the first loss increases. The competitiveness of the mortgage insurance execution in the bulk channel may also be impacted by changes in the Companys view of the risk of the business, which is affected by the historical performance of previously insured pools and the Companys expectations for regional and local real estate values. As a result of the sensitivities discussed above, bulk volume can vary materially from period to period.
NIW for bulk transactions decreased from $7.3 billion during the third quarter of 2003 to $6.0 billion in the third quarter of 2004. NIW for bulk transactions was $2.1 billion and $2.9 billion during the first and second quarters of 2004. The spread, referred to above, was narrower in the third quarter of 2004 compared to the third quarter of 2003 and, along with continued competition from other mortgage insurers, adversely affected the competitiveness of the mortgage insurance execution during the 2004 period compared to the 2003 period. The competitiveness of the Companys bulk offering was enhanced during the third quarter of 2004 by, among other things, changes in MGICs expectations for losses on certain types of loans to reflect better than expected historical performance of such loan types. As it has in past quarters, the Company priced the bulk business written in the third quarter of 2004 to generate acceptable returns; there can be no assurance, however, that the assumptions underlying the premium rates will achieve this objective.
Pool insurance
In addition to providing primary insurance coverage, the Company also insures pools of mortgage loans. New pool risk written during the three months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 was $55 million and $204 million, respectively. The Companys direct pool risk in force was $3.0 billion, $2.9 billion and $2.8 billion at September 30, 2004, December 31, 2003 and September 30, 2003, respectively. These risk amounts are contractual aggregate loss limits and for contracts without such limits, risk is calculated at the estimated amount that would credit enhance the loans in the pool to a AA level based on a rating agency model. At September 30, 2004 and 2003, there was $4.8 billion and $4.0 billion, respectively, of risk without such limits for which risk in force was calculated on this basis at $395 million and $288 million, respectively. During the three months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, new risk written calculated on this basis was $16 million and $47 million, respectively.
Page 18
New pool risk written during the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 was $153 million and $689 million, respectively. These risk amounts are contractual aggregate loss limits and for contracts without such limits, risk is calculated at the estimated amount that would credit enhance the loans in the pool to a AA level based on a rating agency model. During the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, new risk written calculated on this basis was $42 million and $127 million, respectively.
Net premiums written and earned
Net premiums written and earned during the third quarter and the first nine months of 2004 decreased due to a decline in the average insurance in force, as well as a decrease in new insurance written through the flow and bulk channels, when compared to the 2003 periods. The Company expects the average insurance in force during the fourth quarter of 2004 will be lower than during the fourth quarter of 2003. As a result, the Company anticipates that net premiums written and earned in the fourth quarter of 2004 will decline compared to the fourth quarter of 2003. The Company is not undertaking any obligation to provide an update of these expectations should they subsequently change.
Risk sharing arrangements
For the quarter ended June 30, 2004, approximately 53.2% of the Companys new insurance written on a flow basis was subject to arrangements with reinsurance subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders or risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs compared to 53.4% for the quarter ended September 30, 2003. (New insurance written through the bulk channel is not subject to such arrangements.) The percentage of new insurance written during a period covered by such arrangements normally increases after the end of the period because, among other reasons, the transfer of a loan in the secondary market can result in a mortgage insured during a period becoming part of such an arrangement in a subsequent period. Therefore, the percentage of new insurance written covered by such arrangements is not shown for the current quarter. Premiums ceded in such arrangements are reported in the period in which they are ceded regardless of when the mortgage was insured.
Investment income
Investment income for the third quarter of 2004 increased due to an increase in the amortized cost of average invested assets to $5.3 billion for the third quarter of 2004 from $4.8 billion for the third quarter of 2003, offset by a slight decrease in the average investment yield. The portfolios average pre-tax investment yield was 4.2% at September 30, 2004 and 4.3% at September 30, 2003. The portfolios average after-tax investment yield was 3.7% at September 30, 2004 and 2003. The Companys net realized losses in the third quarter of 2004 resulted primarily from other than temporary impairments of securities, compared to net realized gains in the third quarter of 2003 from the sale of fixed maturities. As discussed in Note 1 New Accounting Standards, the impact of the final issuance of proposed FSP EITF 03-1-a cannot be determined at this time. Under the proposed guidance, it may be more likely that a decrease in the market value of certain investments in the Companys fixed income portfolio will be
Page 19
required to be recognized as a realized loss in the statement of operations than under the existing accounting standard.
Investment income for the first nine months of 2004 increased due to an increase in the amortized cost of average invested assets to $5.2 billion for the first nine months of 2004 from $4.7 billion for the first nine months of 2003, offset by a decrease in the average investment yield. The Companys net realized gains for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 resulted primarily from the sale of fixed maturities.
Other revenue
The decrease in other revenue is primarily the result of decreased revenue from contract underwriting due to a lower level of mortgage origination activity during the third quarter of 2004 and the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same periods in 2003.
Losses
As discussed in Critical Accounting Policies in Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003, consistent with industry practice, loss reserves for future claims are established only for loans that are currently delinquent. (The terms delinquent and default are used interchangeably by the Company.) Loss reserves are established by managements estimating the number of loans in the Companys inventory of delinquent loans that will not cure their delinquency (historically, a substantial majority of delinquent loans have cured), which is referred to as the claim rate, and further estimating the amount that the Company will pay in claims on the loans that do not cure, which is referred to as claim severity. Estimation of losses that the Company will pay in the future is inherently judgmental. The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future state of the domestic economy and the current and future strength of local housing markets.
Net losses incurred decreased in the third quarter of 2004 compared to the same period of 2003 due to a lower growth rate of the delinquency inventory, offset by increases in the estimates regarding how many delinquencies will eventually result in a claim and how much will be paid on claims. The average primary claim paid for the three months ended September 30, 2004 was $24,606 compared to $22,450 for the same period in 2003.
Net losses incurred decreased in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same period of 2003 due to a decrease in the number of delinquencies compared to the prior period increase in delinquencies, offset by increases in the estimates regarding how many delinquencies will eventually result in a claim and how much will be paid on claims. The average primary claim paid for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 was $24,154 compared to $22,648 for the same period in 2003.
Page 20
Information about the composition of the primary insurance default inventory at September 30, 2004, December 31, 2003 and September 30, 2003 appears in the table below.
September 30, | December 31, | September 30, | ||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2003 |
||||||||||
Total loans delinquent |
83,940 | 86,372 | 85,039 | |||||||||
Percentage of loans delinquent (default rate) |
5.80 | % | 5.57 | % | 5.41 | % | ||||||
Flow loans delinquent |
43,496 | 45,259 | 44,417 | |||||||||
Percentage of flow loans delinquent (default rate) |
3.80 | % | 3.76 | % | 3.67 | % | ||||||
Bulk loans delinquent |
40,444 | 41,113 | 40,322 | |||||||||
Percentage of bulk loans delinquent (default rate) |
13.40 | % | 11.80 | % | 11.41 | % | ||||||
A-minus and subprime credit loans delinquent* |
35,135 | 34,525 | 33,583 | |||||||||
Percentage of A-minus and subprime
credit loans delinquent (default rate) |
15.75 | % | 14.14 | % | 13.73 | % |
*A portion of A-minus and subprime credit loans is included in flow loans delinquent and the remainder is included in bulk loans delinquent. Most A-minus and subprime credit loans are written through the bulk channel. A-minus loans have FICO credit scores of 575-619, as reported to MGIC at the time a commitment to insure is issued, and subprime loans have FICO credit scores of less than 575.
The pool notice inventory decreased from 28,135 at December 31, 2003 to 25,881 at September 30, 2004; the pool notice inventory was 27,792 at September 30, 2003.
Information about net losses paid in 2004 and 2003 appears in the table below.
Three months ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
Net paid claims ($ millions) |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
||||||||||||
Flow |
$ | 70 | $ | 55 | $ | 204 | $ | 139 | ||||||||
Bulk |
56 | 46 | 164 | 111 | ||||||||||||
Second mortgage |
3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | ||||||||||||
Pool and other |
15 | 15 | 46 | 38 | ||||||||||||
$ | 144 | $ | 124 | $ | 426 | $ | 310 | |||||||||
The Company has not written any new second mortgage risk for loans closing after 2001.
As of September 30, 2004, 80% of the Companys primary insurance in force was written subsequent to December 31, 2001. On the Companys flow business, the highest claim frequency years have typically been the third through fifth year after the year of loan origination. However, the pattern of claims frequency can be affected by many factors, including low persistency (which can have the effect of accelerating the period in the life of a book during which the highest claim frequency occurs) and
Page 21
deteriorating economic conditions (which can result in increasing claims following a period of declining claims). The Company expects the period of highest claims frequency on bulk loans will occur earlier than in the historical pattern on the Companys flow business.
Underwriting and other expenses
Among other items, the decrease in underwriting and other expenses for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2004 is attributable to decreases in expenses related to contract underwriting activity when compared to the same periods in 2003.
Consolidated ratios
Consolidated Insurance Operations:
Three months ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
Loss ratio |
52.4 | % | 63.7 | % | 51.6 | % | 52.7 | % | ||||||||
Expense ratio |
14.7 | % | 14.0 | % | 14.5 | % | 14.4 | % | ||||||||
Combined ratio |
67.1 | % | 77.7 | % | 66.1 | % | 67.1 | % | ||||||||
Income taxes
The effective tax rate was 26.5% in the third quarter of 2004, compared to 23.0% in the third quarter of 2003 and 27.3% in the first nine months of 2004, compared to 26.1% in the first nine months of 2003. During those periods, the effective tax rate was below the statutory rate of 35%, reflecting the benefits recognized from tax preferenced investments. Tax preferenced investments of the Company include tax-exempt municipal bonds, interests in mortgage related securities with flow through characteristics and investments in real estate ventures which generate low income housing credits. The higher effective tax rate in 2004 was principally due to less benefits being recognized from these investments.
Joint ventures
The Companys equity in the earnings from the C-BASS and Sherman joint ventures with Radian Group Inc. and certain other joint ventures and investments, accounted for in accordance with the equity method of accounting, is shown separately, net of tax, on the Companys consolidated statement of operations. The increase in income from joint ventures from the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003 to the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 is primarily the result of increased equity earnings from each of Sherman and C-BASS.
Page 22
C-BASS
Summary Balance Sheet:
September 30, | December 31, | |||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
($ millions) | ||||||||
Total Assets |
$ | 4,466 | $ | 3,182 | ||||
Total Liabilities |
3,910 | 2,711 | ||||||
Debt* |
2,284 | 2,176 | ||||||
Owners Equity |
556 | 471 |
*Most of which is scheduled to mature within one year or less.
Included in total assets and total liabilities at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003 are approximately $1,118 million and $305 million, respectively of assets and the same amount of liabilities from securitizations that did not qualify for off-balance sheet treatment. The liabilities from these securitizations are not included in Debt in the table above.
Summary Income Statement:
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
($ millions) | ||||||||||||||||
Revenues* |
$ | 105.1 | $ | 79.0 | $ | 354.2 | $ | 256.5 | ||||||||
Expenses |
65.8 | 52.3 | 196.5 | 162.1 | ||||||||||||
Income before tax |
$ | 39.3 | $ | 26.7 | $ | 157.7 | $ | 94.4 | ||||||||
Companys share of pretax income |
$ | 18.0 | $ | 12.3 | $ | 73.7 | $ | 43.3 | ||||||||
*Of which more than 50% represented servicing revenues, net interest income and money management fees.
The increased contribution from C-BASS was primarily due to an increase in gains on sales and liquidation to third parties of securities and mortgage loans, higher unrealized gains and mark to market from calls of securitizations and CBO issuance by C-BASS
Page 23
and higher net interest income. The Companys investment in C-BASS on an equity basis at September 30, 2004 was $261.5 million. The Company received $32.5 million in distributions from C-BASS during the first three quarters of 2004. The Company does not anticipate that C-BASSs income before tax in the fourth quarter of 2004 will exceed its income before tax of $39 million in the third quarter of 2004. The Company is not undertaking any obligation to provide an update of this expectation should it subsequently change.
Sherman
Summary Balance Sheet:
September 30, | December 31, | |||||||
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||
($ millions) | ||||||||
Total Assets |
$ | 444 | $ | 500 | ||||
Total Liabilities |
267 | 341 | ||||||
Debt |
169 | 277 | ||||||
Members Equity |
177 | 159 |
Summary Income Statement:
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
September 30, |
September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
|||||||||||||
($ millions) | ||||||||||||||||
Revenues, net of amortization |
$ | 129.7 | $ | 80.9 | $ | 353.3 | $ | 193.2 | ||||||||
Expenses |
67.5 | 64.4 | 217.1 | 147.3 | ||||||||||||
Income before tax |
$ | 62.2 | $ | 16.5 | $ | 136.2 | $ | 45.9 | ||||||||
Companys share of pretax income |
$ | 25.8 | $ | 6.9 | $ | 56.6 | $ | 19.1 | ||||||||
The increased contribution from Sherman was primarily due to increased net revenue from portfolios owned during the 2003 and 2004 periods attributable to continuing collections and lower amortization on those portfolios, and from higher collections due to growth in the amount of receivables portfolios owned by Sherman.
Page 24
The Companys investment in Sherman on an equity basis at September 30, 2004 was $71.2 million, up $7.5 million from December 31, 2003. The Company received $49.8 million in distributions from Sherman during the first three quarters of 2004.
The Company anticipates that Shermans income before tax in the fourth quarter of 2004 will exceed its income before tax of $25.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2003; however, the increase is not expected to be at the level of the third quarter 2004 increase over the third quarter 2003. The Company is not undertaking any obligation to provide an update of this expectation should it subsequently change.
Other Matters
Under the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversights (OFHEO) risk-based capital stress test for the GSEs, claim payments made by a private mortgage insurer on GSE loans are reduced below the amount provided by the mortgage insurance policy to reflect the risk that the insurer will fail to pay. Claim payments from an insurer whose claims-paying ability rating is AAA are subject to a 3.5% reduction over the 10-year period of the stress test, while claim payments from a AA rated insurer, such as MGIC, are subject to an 8.75% reduction. The effect of the differentiation among insurers is to require the GSEs to have additional capital for coverage on loans provided by a private mortgage insurer whose claims-paying rating is less than AAA. As a result, there is an incentive for the GSEs to use private mortgage insurance provided by a AAA rated insurer.
Financial Condition
As of September 30, 2004, 77% of the investment portfolio was invested in tax-preferenced securities. In addition, at September 30, 2004, based on book value, the Companys fixed income securities were approximately 99% invested in A rated and above, readily marketable securities, concentrated in maturities of less than 15 years.
At September 30, 2004, the Companys derivative financial instruments in its investment portfolio were immaterial. The Company places its investments in instruments that meet high credit quality standards, as specified in the Companys investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the amount of credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At September 30, 2004, the effective duration of the Companys fixed income investment portfolio was 5.5 years. This means that for an instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points there would be an approximate 5.5% change in the market value of the Companys fixed income portfolio.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
The Companys consolidated sources of funds consist primarily of premiums written and investment income. Positive cash flows are invested pending future payments of claims and other expenses. Cash-flow shortfalls, if any, could be funded through sales of short-term investments and other investment portfolio securities subject to insurance regulatory requirements regarding the payment of dividends to the extent funds were
Page 25
required by other than the seller. Substantially all of the investment portfolio securities are held by the Companys insurance subsidiaries.
The Company has a $285 million commercial paper program, which is rated A-1 by Standard & Poors Rating Services and P-1 by Moodys Investors Service. At September 30, 2004 and 2003, the Company had $100.0 million and $105.0 million in commercial paper outstanding with a weighted average interest rate of 1.83% and 1.15%, respectively.
The Company had a $285 million credit facility available at September 30, 2004 expiring in 2006. Under the terms of the credit facility, the Company must maintain shareholders equity of at least $2.25 billion and MGIC must maintain a risk-to-capital ratio of not more than 22:1 and policyholders position (which includes MGICs statutory surplus and its contingency reserve) of not less than the amount required by Wisconsin insurance regulation. At September 30, 2004, the Company met these requirements. The facility is currently being used as a liquidity back up facility for the outstanding commercial paper. The remaining credit available under the facility after reduction for the amount necessary to support the commercial paper was $185.0 million at September 30, 2004.
The Company had $300 million, 7.5% Senior Notes due in October 2005 and $200 million, 6% Senior Notes due in 2007 outstanding at September 30, 2004 and 2003. At September 30, 2004 and 2003, the market value of the outstanding debt was $626.9 million and $648.2 million, respectively.
In May 2002, a swap designated as a cash flow hedge was amended to coincide with the credit facility. Under the terms of the swap contract, the Company pays a fixed rate of 5.43% and receives an interest rate based on LIBOR. The swap has an expiration date coinciding with the maturity of the credit facility and is designated as a cash flow hedge. The cash flow swap outstanding at September 30, 2004 and 2003 is evaluated quarterly using regression analysis with any ineffectiveness being recorded as an expense. To date this evaluation has not resulted in any hedge ineffectiveness. Swaps are subject to credit risk to the extent the counterparty would be unable to discharge its obligations under the swap agreements.
Expense on the interest rate swaps for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 of approximately $2.7 million and $2.5 million, respectively, was included in interest expense. Gains or losses arising from the amendment or termination of previously held interest rate swaps are deferred and amortized to interest expense over the life of the hedged items.
The commercial paper, back-up credit facility and the Senior Notes are obligations of the Company and not of its subsidiaries. The Company is a holding company and the payment of dividends from its insurance subsidiaries is restricted by insurance regulation. MGIC is the principal source of dividend-paying capacity. For the remainder of 2004 MGIC can pay up to $44 million in dividends without the approval of the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of the State of Wisconsin.
During the nine months ended September 30, 2004, the Company repurchased 1.4 million shares of Common Stock under publicly announced programs at a cost of $95.7
Page 26
million. At September 30, 2004, the Company had authority covering the purchase of an additional 6.2 million shares under these programs. For additional information regarding stock repurchases, see Item 2(c) of Part II of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. From mid-1997 through September 30, 2004, the Company has repurchased 25.1 million shares under publicly announced programs at a cost of $1.3 billion. Funds for the shares repurchased by the Company since mid-1997 have been provided through a combination of debt, including the Senior Notes and the commercial paper, and internally generated funds.
The Companys principal exposure to loss is its obligation to pay claims under MGICs mortgage guaranty insurance policies. At September 30, 2004, MGICs direct (before any reinsurance) primary and pool risk in force (which is the unpaid principal balance of insured loans as reflected in the Companys records multiplied by the coverage percentage, and taking account of any loss limit) was approximately $53.9 billion. In addition, as part of its contract underwriting activities, the Company is responsible for the quality of its underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting agreements with customers. Through September 30, 2004, the cost of remedies provided by the Company to customers for failing to meet the standards of the contracts has not been material. However, the decreasing trend of home mortgage interest rates over the last several years may have mitigated the effect of some of these costs since the general effect of lower interest rates can be to increase the value of certain loans on which remedies are provided. There can be no assurance that contract underwriting remedies will not be material in the future.
The Companys consolidated risk-to-capital ratio was 8.2:1 at September 30, 2004 compared to 9.4:1 at December 31, 2003. The decrease was due to an increase in capital and a decrease in risk in force during the first nine months of 2004.
The risk-to-capital ratios set forth above have been computed on a statutory basis. However, the methodology used by the rating agencies to assign claims-paying ability ratings permits less leverage than under statutory requirements. As a result, the amount of capital required under statutory regulations may be lower than the capital required for rating agency purposes. In addition to capital adequacy, the rating agencies consider other factors in determining a mortgage insurers claims-paying rating, including its historical and projected operating performance, business outlook, competitive position, management and corporate strategy.
Page 27
For certain material risks of the Companys business, see Risk Factors below.
Risk Factors
The Companys revenues and losses could be affected by the risk factors discussed below, which are an integral part of Managements Discussion and Analysis. These factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements that the Company may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements which relate to matters other than historical fact. Among others, statements that include words such as the Company believes, anticipates or expects, or words of similar import, are forward looking statements. The Company is not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements it may make.
As the domestic economy deteriorates, more homeowners may default and the Companys losses may increase.
Losses result from events that reduce a borrowers ability to continue to make mortgage payments, such as unemployment, and whether the home of a borrower who defaults on his mortgage can be sold for an amount that will cover unpaid principal and interest and the expenses of the sale. Favorable economic conditions generally reduce the likelihood that borrowers will lack sufficient income to pay their mortgages and also favorably affect the value of homes, thereby reducing and in some cases even eliminating a loss from a mortgage default. A deterioration in economic conditions generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient income to pay their mortgages and can also adversely affect housing values.
The mix of business the Company writes also affects the likelihood of losses occurring. In recent years, a greater percentage of the Companys volume than in the past has included segments that the Company views as having a higher probability of claim, including loans with LTV ratios over 95%, FICO credit scores below 620 or limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation.
Approximately 8% of the Companys risk in force written through the flow channel, and more than half of the Companys risk in force written through the bulk channel, consists of ARMs. The Company believes that during a prolonged period of rising interest rates, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate loans, although the performance of ARMs has not been tested in such an environment. In addition, the Company believes the volume of interest-only loans has recently increased. Because interest-only loans are a relatively recent development, the Company has no data on their historical performance. The Company believes claim rates on certain interest-only loans will be substantially higher than on comparable loans requiring amortization. Interest-only loans may also be ARMs.
The performance of the servicing function on a mortgage loan, particularly a subprime loan, can affect the likelihood that the loan will default as well as the loss resulting from a default. The Company believes Select Portfolio Servicing (Select) f/k/a Fairbanks Capital Corp. is the servicer of approximately 1.1% of the loans insured by the Company and approximately 5.2% of the loans insured by the Company written
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through the bulk channel (a substantial number of which are subprime). In 2003, the servicer ratings assigned to Select by Moodys and S&P were downgraded to below average due in part to concerns expressed by those rating agencies about Selects regulatory compliance and operational controls. In the second quarter of 2004, these rating agencies raised Selects service ratings to average.
Competition or changes in the Companys relationships with its customers could reduce the Companys revenues or increase its losses.
Competition for private mortgage insurance premiums occurs not only among private mortgage insurers but also with mortgage lenders through reinsurance transactions. In these transactions, a lenders affiliate reinsures a portion of the insurance written by a private mortgage insurer on mortgages originated or serviced by the lender.
The level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has also increased as many large mortgage lenders have reduced the number of private mortgage insurers with whom they do business. At the same time, consolidation among mortgage lenders has increased the share of the mortgage lending market held by large lenders.
Our private mortgage insurance competitors include:
| PMI Mortgage Insurance Company |
| Genworth Financial f/k/a/ GE Capital Mortgage Insurance Corporation |
| United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company |
| Radian Guaranty Inc. |
| Republic Mortgage Insurance Company |
| Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation |
| CMG Mortgage Insurance Company |
Assured Guaranty Limited f/k/a/ AGC Holdings Limited, a financial guaranty company whose mortgage insurance business is primarily reinsurance, has announced that it intends to write investment grade mortgage guaranty insurance on a direct basis.
If interest rates decline, house prices appreciate or mortgage insurance cancellation requirements change, the length of time that the Companys policies remain in force could decline and result in declines in our revenue.
In each year, most of the Companys premiums are from insurance that has been written in prior years. As a result, the length of time insurance remains in force (which is also generally referred to as persistency) is an important determinant of revenues. The factors affecting the length of time the Companys insurance remains in force include:
| the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates on the insurance in force, which affects the vulnerability of the insurance in force to refinancings, and | |||
| mortgage insurance cancellation policies of mortgage investors along with the rate of home price appreciation experienced by the homes underlying the mortgages in the insurance in force. |
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During the 1990s, the Companys year-end persistency ranged from a high of 87.4% at December 31, 1990 to a low of 68.1% at December 31, 1998. At September 30, 2004 persistency was at 59.4%, compared to the record low of 44.9% at September 30, 2003. Over the past several years, refinancing has become easier to accomplish and less costly for many consumers. Hence, even in an interest rate environment favorable to persistency improvement, the Company does not expect persistency will approach its December 31, 1990 level.
If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that the Company writes could decline which would reduce the Companys revenues.
The factors that affect the volume of low-down-payment mortgage originations include:
| the level of home mortgage interest rates, |
| the health of the domestic economy as well as conditions in regional and local economies, housing affordability, |
| population trends, including the rate of household formation, |
| the rate of home price appreciation, which in times of heavy refinancing can affect whether refinance loans have loan-to-value ratios that require private mortgage insurance, and |
| government housing policy encouraging loans to first-time homebuyers. |
In general, the majority of the underwriting profit (premium revenue minus losses) that a book of mortgage insurance generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion of the underwriting profit realized in the first year. Subsequent years of a book generally result in modest underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results occurs because relatively few of the claims that a book will ultimately experience occur in the first few years of the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent years are affected by declining premium revenues, as persistency decreases due to loan prepayments, and higher losses.
If all other things were equal, a decline in new insurance written in a year that followed a number of years of higher volume could result in a lower contribution to the mortgage insurers overall results. This effect may occur because the older books will be experiencing declines in revenue and increases in losses with a lower amount of underwriting profit on the new book available to offset these results.
Whether such a lower contribution would in fact occur depends in part on the extent of the volume decline. Even with a substantial decline in volume, there may be offsetting factors that could increase the contribution in the current year. These offsetting factors include higher persistency and a mix of business with higher average premiums, which could have the effect of increasing revenues, and improvements in the economy, which could have the effect of reducing losses. In addition, the effect on
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the insurers overall results from such a lower contribution may be offset by decreases in the mortgage insurers expenses that are unrelated to claim or default activity, including those related to lower volume.
The amount of insurance the Company writes could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance.
These alternatives to private mortgage insurance include:
| lenders structuring mortgage originations to avoid private mortgage insurance, such as a first mortgage with an 80% loan-to-value ratio and a second mortgage with a 10%, 15% or 20% loan-to-value ratio (referred to as 80-10-10, 80-15-5 or 80-20 loans, respectively) rather than a first mortgage with a 90%, 95% or 100% loan-to-value ratio, |
| investors holding mortgages in portfolio and self-insuring, |
| investors using credit enhancements other than private mortgage insurance or using other credit enhancements in conjunction with reduced levels of private mortgage insurance coverage, and |
| lenders using government mortgage insurance programs, including those of the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans Administration. |
While no data is publicly available, the Company believes that 80-10-10 loans and related products are a significant percentage of mortgage originations in which borrowers make down payments of less than 20% and that their use, which the Company believes is primarily by borrowers with higher credit scores, continues to increase.
Changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could reduce the Companys revenues or increase its losses.
The business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac affect the entire relationship between them and mortgage insurers and include:
| the level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the limitations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Macs charters, when private mortgage insurance is used as the required credit enhancement on low down payment mortgages, |
| whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac influence the mortgage lenders selection of the mortgage insurer providing coverage and, if so, any transactions that are related to that selection, | |||
| whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac will give mortgage lenders an incentive, such as a reduced guaranty fee, to select a mortgage insurer that has a AAA claims-paying ability rating to benefit from the lower capital requirements for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac when a mortgage is insured by a company with that rating, |
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| the underwriting standards that determine what loans are eligible for purchase by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, which thereby affect the quality of the risk insured by the mortgage insurer and the availability of mortgage loans, |
| the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before reaching the cancellation thresholds established by law, and |
| the circumstances in which mortgage servicers must perform activities intended to avoid or mitigate loss on insured mortgages that are delinquent. |
The mortgage insurance industry is subject to litigation risk.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including the Companys MGIC subsidiary, have been involved in litigation alleging violations of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA. MGICs settlement of litigation against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. There can be no assurance that MGIC will not be subject to future litigation under RESPA.
In March 2003 an action against MGIC was filed in Federal District Court in Orlando, Florida seeking certification of a nationwide class of consumers who were required to pay for private mortgage insurance written by MGIC and whose loans were insured at less than MGICs best available rate based on credit scores obtained by MGIC. The action alleges that the Federal Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) requires a notice to borrowers of such adverse action and that MGIC has violated FCRA by failing to give such notice. The action seeks statutory damages (which in the case of willful violations, in addition to punitive damages, may be awarded in an amount of $100 to $1,000 per class member) and/or actual damages of the persons in the class, and attorneys fees, as well as declaratory and injunctive relief. The action also alleges that the failure to give notice to borrowers in Florida in the circumstances alleged is a violation of Floridas Unfair and Deceptive Acts and Practices Act and seeks declaratory and injunctive relief for such violation. In December 2003, the Court denied MGICs motion seeking dismissal of the portion of the case covering damages under FCRA but dismissed the remainder of the case. In June 2004, the Court denied the plaintiffs motion to certify the class. There can be no assurance that the outcome of the litigation will not materially affect the Companys financial position or results of operations. Similar actions are pending against six other mortgage insurers.
Net premiums written could be adversely affected if the Department of Housing and Urban Development reproposes and adopts a regulation under the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act that is equivalent to a proposed regulation that was recently withdrawn.
The regulations of the Department of Housing and Urban Development under the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act prohibit paying lenders for the referral of settlement services, including mortgage insurance, and prohibit lenders from receiving such payments. In July 2002, the Department of Housing and Urban Development proposed a regulation that would exclude from these anti-referral fee provisions settlement services included in a package of settlement services offered to a borrower
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at a guaranteed price. HUD withdrew this proposed regulation in March 2004. Under the proposed regulation, if mortgage insurance was required on a loan, the package must include any mortgage insurance premium paid at settlement. Although certain state insurance regulations prohibit an insurers payment of referral fees, had this regulation been adopted in this form, the Companys revenues could have been adversely affected to the extent that lenders offered such packages and received value from the Company in excess of what they could have received were the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act to apply and if such state regulations were not applied to prohibit such payments.
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
At September 30, 2004, the Companys derivative financial instruments in its investment portfolio were immaterial. The Company places its investments in instruments that meet investment grade credit quality standards, as specified in the Companys investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the amount of credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At September 30, 2004, the effective duration of the Companys fixed income investment portfolio was 5.5 years. This means that for each instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points there would be an approximate 5.5% change in the market value of the Companys fixed income investment portfolio.
The Companys borrowings under its commercial paper program are subject to interest rates that are variable. See the fifth paragraph under Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Liquidity and Capital Resources for a discussion of the Companys interest rate swaps.
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
The Companys management, with the participation of the Companys principal executive officer and principal financial officer, has evaluated the Companys disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), as of the end of the period covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Based on such evaluation, the Companys principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that such controls and procedures were effective as of the end of such period. The Companys management, with the participation of the Companys principal executive officer and principal financial officer, also evaluated whether any change in the Companys internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the quarter covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Companys internal control over financial reporting. Based on that evaluation, there has been no such change during such quarter.
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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS
(c) Repurchase of common stock:
Information about shares of Common Stock repurchased during the third quarter of 2004 appears in the table below.
(d) | ||||||||||||||||
(c) | Maximum | |||||||||||||||
Total Number of | Number of | |||||||||||||||
Shares | Shares that May | |||||||||||||||
Purchased as | Yet Be | |||||||||||||||
(a) | Part of Publicly | Purchased | ||||||||||||||
Total Number of | (b) | Announced | Under the Plans | |||||||||||||
Shares | Average Price | Plans or | or Programs | |||||||||||||
Period |
Purchased |
Paid per Share |
Programs |
(A) |
||||||||||||
July 1, 2004
through
July 31, 2004 |
122,416 | (B) | $ | 71.58 | 107,600 | 6,824,600 | ||||||||||
August 1, 2004
through August
31, 2004 |
307,700 | $ | 68.25 | 307,700 | 6,516,900 | |||||||||||
September 1,
2004 through
September 30,
2004 |
266,800 | $ | 65.34 | 266,800 | 6,250,100 | |||||||||||
Total |
696,916 | (B) | $ | 67.72 | 682,100 | 6,250,100 | ||||||||||
(A) | On October 24, 2002 the Company announced that its Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to five million shares of the Companys Common Stock in the open market or in private transactions. On May 8, 2003 the Company announced that its Board authorized the repurchase of an additional five million shares in the open market or in private transactions. | |||
(B) | 14,816 of the shares purchased in July 2004 were purchased as part of stock option exercises by Company employees. |
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ITEM 5. OTHER INFORMATION
(a) | The Companys Bylaws were amended by the Companys Board of Directors on July 29, 2004 to change the previous 60-day period in Section 8.03(a) to 120 days. The amended Bylaws are filed as Exhibit 3. |
ITEM 6. EXHIBITS
The accompanying Index to Exhibits is incorporated by reference in answer to this portion of this Item, and except as otherwise indicated in the next sentence, the Exhibits listed in such Index are filed as part of this Form 10-Q. Exhibit 32 is not filed as part of this Form 10-Q but accompanies this Form 10-Q. The Company is a party to various agreements regarding long-term debt that are not filed as exhibits pursuant to Reg. S-K Item 602 (b)(4)(iii)(A). The Company hereby agrees to furnish a copy of such agreements to the Commission upon its request.
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized, on November 9, 2004.
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION | ||
\s\ J. Michael Lauer | ||
J. Michael Lauer | ||
Executive Vice President and | ||
Chief Financial Officer | ||
\s\ Joseph J. Komanecki | ||
Joseph J. Komanecki | ||
Senior Vice President, Controller and | ||
Chief Accounting Officer |
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INDEX TO EXHIBITS
Exhibit | ||
Number |
Description of Exhibit |
|
3
|
Amended and Restated Bylaws | |
11
|
Statement Re Computation of Net Income Per Share | |
31.1
|
Certification of CEO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 | |
31.2
|
Certification of CFO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 | |
32
|
Certification of CEO and CFO under Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (as indicated in Item 6 of Part II, this Exhibit is not being filed). |