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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549


Form 10-Q

         
x   QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF
THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2003
   
o   TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from                to                

Commission File Number: 000-32057
   

American Physicians Capital, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
     
Michigan   38-3543910
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  (IRS employer
identification number)

1301 North Hagadorn Road, East Lansing, Michigan 48823

(Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (517) 351-1150

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

YES  x       NO  o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act)

YES  x       NO  o

The number of shares outstanding of the registrant’s common stock, no par value per share, as of November 10 , 2003 was 8,452,228.




TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (UNAUDITED)
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (UNAUDITED)
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
SIGNATURES
EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit 4.1
Exhibit 10.1
Exhibit 10.2
Exhibit 10.3
302 Certification of Chief Executive Officer
302 Certification of Chief Financial Officer
906 Certification of CEO & CFO


Table of Contents

TABLE OF CONTENTS
           
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
       
 
Item 1. Financial Statements
       
 
         Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
    3  
 
         Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
    4  
 
         Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
    5  
 
         Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
    6  
 
         Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
    7  
 
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
    16  
 
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
    33  
 
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
    34  
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
       
 
Item 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds
    36  
 
Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K
    36  
Signatures
    37  
Exhibit Index
    38  

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PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

 
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

                     
September 30, December 31,
2003 2002


(Unaudited)
(In thousands, except share data)
Assets
               
Investments:
               
 
Fixed maturities, at fair value
  $ 686,012     $ 618,899  
 
Equity securities, at fair value
    8,764       44  
 
Other investments
    30,661       30,788  
   
   
 
   
Total investments
    725,437       649,731  
Cash and cash equivalents
    92,795       151,825  
Premiums receivable
    73,121       62,531  
Reinsurance recoverable
    110,240       98,128  
Federal income tax recoverable
    4,321       1,100  
Deferred federal income taxes
          42,542  
Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation
    15,040       14,352  
Intangible assets
    362        
Other assets
    48,059       38,709  
   
   
 
   
Total assets
  $ 1,069,375     $ 1,058,918  
   
   
 
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 678,136     $ 637,494  
Unearned premiums
    113,581       103,420  
Long term debt
    30,928        
Note payable, officer
    5,839       6,567  
Other liabilities
    36,536       31,148  
   
   
 
   
Total liabilities
    865,020       778,629  
   
   
 
Shareholders’ Equity
               
Common stock, no par value, 50,000,000 shares authorized: 8,457,408 and 8,695,492 shares outstanding at September 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002, respectively
           
Additional paid-in-capital
    85,240       92,148  
Retained earnings
    87,250       164,183  
Unearned stock compensation
    (453 )     (678 )
Accumulated other comprehensive income:
               
 
Net unrealized appreciation on investments, net of deferred federal income taxes
    32,318       24,636  
   
   
 
   
Total shareholders’ equity
    204,355       280,289  
   
   
 
   
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 1,069,375     $ 1,058,918  
   
   
 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the condensed consolidated financial statements.

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

 
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (UNAUDITED)
                                   
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,


2003 2002 2003 2002




(In thousands, except per share data)
Net premiums written
  $ 79,371     $ 74,944     $ 179,202     $ 188,323  
Change in net unearned premiums
    (22,783 )     (13,523 )     (9,682 )     (17,353 )
   
   
   
   
 
 
Net premiums earned
    56,588       61,421       169,520       170,970  
Investment income
    11,400       11,421       32,209       34,108  
Net realized gains (losses)
    143       (390 )     1,291       (678 )
Other income
    161       524       518       786  
   
   
   
   
 
 
Total revenues and other income
    68,292       72,976       203,538       205,186  
   
   
   
   
 
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    96,721       62,928       203,733       178,461  
Underwriting expenses
    11,721       11,945       36,828       35,306  
Investment expenses
    934       609       2,083       2,529  
Interest expense
    502       95       875       278  
Amortization expense
    133             272        
General and administrative expenses
    715       395       1,993       1,231  
   
   
   
   
 
 
Total expenses
    110,726       75,972       245,784       217,805  
   
   
   
   
 
 
Loss before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
    (42,434 )     (2,996 )     (42,246 )     (12,619 )
Federal income tax expense (benefit)
    34,621       (1,048 )     34,687       (4,421 )
   
   
   
   
 
 
Loss before cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
    (77,055 )     (1,948 )     (76,933 )     (8,198 )
Cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
                      (9,079 )
   
   
   
   
 
 
Net loss
  $ (77,055 )   $ (1,948 )   $ (76,933 )   $ (17,277 )
   
   
   
   
 
Loss before cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle — per common share
                               
 
Basic
  $ (9.03 )   $ (0.21 )   $ (8.97 )   $ (0.85 )
 
Diluted
  $ (9.03 )   $ (0.21 )   $ (8.97 )   $ (0.85 )
Cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle — per common share
                               
 
Basic
  $     $     $     $ (0.95 )
 
Diluted
  $     $     $     $ (0.95 )
Net loss — per common share
                               
 
Basic
  $ (9.03 )   $ (0.21 )   $ (8.97 )   $ (1.80 )
 
Diluted
  $ (9.03 )   $ (0.21 )   $ (8.97 )   $ (1.80 )

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the condensed consolidated financial statements.

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

 
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (UNAUDITED)
                                     
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,


2003 2002 2003 2002




(In thousands)
Net loss
  $ (77,055 )   $ (1,948 )   $ (76,933 )   $ (17,277 )
Other comprehensive (loss) income:
                               
 
Unrealized (depreciation) appreciation on investment securities arising during the period, net of deferred federal income tax (benefit) expense of $(536) and $3,746, respectively, in 2003 and $5,871 and $10,440, respectively, in 2002
    (996 )     10,903       6,957       19,388  
 
Less reclassification adjustment for realized losses (gains) on investment securities included in net loss, net of income tax benefit (expense) of $11 and $(391), respectively, in 2003 and $137 and $135, respectively, in 2002
    21       254       (725 )     250  
   
   
   
   
 
   
Other comprehensive (loss) income
    (1,017 )     10,649       7,682       19,138  
   
   
   
   
 
   
Comprehensive (loss) income
  $ (78,072 )   $ 8,701     $ (69,251 )   $ 1,861  
   
   
   
   
 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the condensed consolidated financial statements.

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

 
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(UNAUDITED)
                       
Nine Months Ended
September 30,

2003 2002


(In thousands)
Cash flows from operating activities
               
 
Net loss
  $ (76,933 )   $ (17,277 )
 
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash (used in) provided by operating activities:
               
   
Depreciation and amortization
    4,790       3,011  
   
Net realized (gains) losses
    (1,291 )     678  
   
Change in fair value of derivatives instruments
    (465 )      
   
Change in deferred federal income taxes
    38,285       (5,085 )
   
Loss on equity method investees
    272        
   
Goodwill impairment
          13,968  
   
Change in unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses
    40,642       31,240  
   
Change in unearned premiums
    10,161       19,454  
   
Changes in other assets and liabilities
    (24,403 )     (8,759 )
   
   
 
     
Net cash (used in) provided by operating activities
    (8,942 )     37,230  
   
   
 
Cash flows from investing activities
               
 
Purchases
               
   
Available-for-sale — fixed maturities
    (162,689 )     (84,973 )
   
Available-for-sale — equity securities
    (10,561 )      
   
Other invested assets
    (334 )     (224 )
   
Property and equipment
    (2,141 )     (1,195 )
 
Sales and maturities
               
   
Available-for-sale — fixed maturities
    100,488       37,719  
   
Available-for-sale — equity securities
    2,153        
   
   
 
     
Net cash used in investing activities
    (73,084 )     (48,673 )
   
   
 
Cash flows from financing activities
               
 
Common stock repurchased
    (7,068 )     (27,483 )
 
Principal payment on note payable
    (1,000 )     (1,000 )
 
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt
    30,928        
 
Proceeds from stock options exercised
    136       230  
   
   
 
     
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities
    22,996       (28,253 )
   
   
 
     
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents
    (59,030 )     (39,696 )
     
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period
    151,825       106,444  
   
   
 
     
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
  $ 92,795     $ 66,748  
   
   
 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the condensed consolidated financial statements.

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

1.     Basis of Presentation

      The accompanying Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements include the accounts of American Physicians Capital, Inc. (“APCapital”) and its wholly owned subsidiaries, together referred to in this report as the “Company.” All significant intercompany accounts and transactions are eliminated in consolidation.

      The Company is principally engaged in the business of providing medical professional liability and workers’ compensation insurance throughout the United States with a concentration of writings in the Midwest.

      The accompanying Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements of the Company have been prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) and with the instructions for Form 10-Q and Rule 10-01 of Regulation S-X as they apply to interim financial information. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements.

      In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring adjustments) considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The operating results for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2003 are not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for the year ending December 31, 2003. The accompanying Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements should be read with the annual consolidated financial statements and notes contained in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002.

      The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates.

      The most significant estimates that are susceptible to significant change in the near-term relate to the determination of the loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, investments, taxes, reinsurance, the reserve for extended reporting period claims. Although considerable variability is inherent in these estimates, management believes that the current estimates are reasonable in all material respects. The estimates are reviewed regularly and adjusted as necessary. Such adjustments are reflected in current operations.

      Certain 2002 amounts have been reclassified to conform with the 2003 presentation.

Stock-based Compensation

      The Company uses the intrinsic value-based method to account for all stock-based employee compensation plans and has adopted the disclosure alternative of Statement of Financial Accounting Standard (“SFAS”) No. 123 “Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation,” as amended by SFAS No. 148, “Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation — Transition and Disclosure.” In accordance with SFAS No. 123, as amended by SFAS No. 148, the Company is required to disclose the pro forma effects on operating results as if the Company had elected the fair value approach to account for its stock-based employee compensation plans.

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)

      If compensation had been determined based on the fair value at the grant date, consistent with the provisions of SFAS No. 123, our net loss and net loss per share would have been as follows for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002:

                                   
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,


2003 2002 2003 2002




(In thousands, except per share data)
Net loss, as reported
  $ (77,055 )   $ (1,948 )   $ (76,933 )   $ (17,277 )
Add: Stock-based employee compensation expense included in reported net loss, net of related tax effects
    75       75       225       227  
Deduct: Total stock-based employee compensation expense determined under fair value based method for all awards granted since 2000, net of related tax effects
    (349 )     (537 )     (1,040 )     (1,729 )
   
   
   
   
 
Pro forma net loss
  $ (77,329 )   $ (2,410 )   $ (77,748 )   $ (18,779 )
   
   
   
   
 
Basic net loss per share
                               
 
As reported
  $ (9.03 )   $ (0.21 )   $ (8.97 )   $ (1.80 )
 
Pro forma
  $ (9.06 )   $ (0.27 )   $ (9.07 )   $ (1.96 )
Diluted net loss per share(1)
                               
 
As reported
  $ (9.03 )   $ (0.21 )   $ (8.97 )   $ (1.80 )
 
Pro forma
  $ (9.06 )   $ (0.27 )   $ (9.07 )   $ (1.96 )


(1)  As the Company was in a net loss position for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, no effect of options or other stock awards was calculated as the impact would be anti-dilutive.

      Such pro forma disclosures may not be representative of future compensation costs as options may vest over several years and additional grants may be made.

      There were no options granted during the three months ended September 30, 2003. During the nine months ended September 30, 2003, there were 5,000 options granted.

Derivative Financial Instruments

      During the second quarter of 2003, the Company purchased interest-only certificates that may not allow for the recovery of substantially all of its investment. These certificates pay a variable rate of interest that is inversely related to the London Interbank Offered Rate (“LIBOR”). The Company has determined that these certificates contain an embedded derivative instrument as defined by SFAS No. 133, “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities.”

      All interest-only certificates with an inverse floating rate of interest are carried on the balance sheet at fair value as a fixed maturity security. These certificates are not linked to specific assets or liabilities on the balance sheet or to a forecasted transaction and, therefore, do not qualify for hedge accounting. In addition, the Company does not feel that it can reliably identify and separately measure the embedded derivative instrument. Any changes in the fair value of the entire interest-only certificates, based on quoted market prices, are recorded in current period earnings as investment income.

      At September 30, 2003 the Company had such certificates with a fair value of approximately $7.9 million. The fair value of these certificates increased approximately $65,000 and $465,000 during the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003.

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)

      The Company uses these certificates as a part of its overall interest rate risk-management strategy related to its investment portfolio.

2.     Effects of New Accounting Pronouncements

      In November 2002, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued FASB Interpretation No. 45. “Guarantor’s Accounting and Disclosure Requirements for Guarantees of Indebtedness of Others” (“FIN No. 45”). This interpretation clarifies disclosures required to be made by a guarantor in its interim and annual financial statements and requires a guarantor to recognize, at the inception of the guarantee, a liability for the fair value of the obligation undertaken in issuing the guarantee. The provisions of FIN No. 45 pertaining to the recording of a liability are effective for all guarantees entered into, or modified, after December 31, 2002. The disclosure requirements of FIN No. 45 are effective for financial statements of interim or annual periods ending after December 31, 2002. APCapital has issued guarantees in connection with its establishment of trusts and issuance of debentures. The amounts due under the guarantees are also recorded as liabilities in the Company’s Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements in accordance with the structure of the transaction. See Note 7 of the Notes to the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for further details on the nature of the guarantees and the transactions that gave rise to the guarantees.

      In January 2003, the FASB issued FASB Interpretation No. 46, “Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities” (“FIN No. 46”). This interpretation addresses consolidation by business enterprises of variable interest entities and is effective immediately for all variable interest entities created after January 31, 2003 and for the fiscal year or interim period beginning after June 15, 2003 for all variable interest entities in which the Company holds a variable interest that it acquired before February 1, 2003. The Company has evaluated certain investments, as required by FIN No. 46, and has determined that its investments in statutory trusts used to issue mandatorily redeemable trust preferred securities should not be consolidated. Accordingly, the Company has not consolidated the trusts in the accompanying Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

3.     Loss Per Share

      Net loss per common share is computed by dividing net loss by the weighted average number of shares of common stock and common stock equivalents (e.g., stock options and stock awards) outstanding, calculated on a daily basis. Basic weighted average shares outstanding for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 were 8,533,929 and 8,575,742, respectively, and 9,061,300 and 9,597,521, respectively, for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2002. As the Company was in a net loss position for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, no effect of options or other stock awards was calculated as the impact would have been anti-dilutive.

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)

      The following table sets forth the computation of basic and diluted loss before cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle per common share:

                                   
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,


2003 2002 2003 2002




(In thousands, except per share data)
Numerator for basic and diluted loss per common share:
                               
 
Loss before cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
  $ (77,055 )   $ (1,948 )   $ (76,933 )   $ (8,198 )
   
   
   
   
 
Denominator:
                               
 
Denominator for basic loss per common share — weighted average shares outstanding
    8,534       9,061       8,576       9,598  
 
Effect of dilutive stock options and awards(1)
                       
   
   
   
   
 
 
Denominator for diluted loss per common share — adjusted weighted average shares outstanding
    8,534       9,061       8,576       9,598  
   
   
   
   
 
Loss per share:
                               
 
Loss before cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
                               
 
Basic
  $ (9.03 )   $ (0.21 )   $ (8.97 )   $ (0.85 )
 
Diluted(1)
  $ (9.03 )   $ (0.21 )   $ (8.97 )   $ (0.85 )

(1)  As the Company was in a net loss position for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, no effect of options or other stock awards was calculated as the impact would be anti-dilutive.

4.     Segment Information

      The Company is organized and operates principally in the property and casualty insurance industry and has five reportable segments — medical professional liability, workers’ compensation, health, personal and commercial, and corporate and other. The accounting policies of the segments are described in the Notes to the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included in the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K.

      Expense allocations are based primarily on loss and loss adjustment expenses by line of business and certain other estimates for underwriting expenses. Investment income, investment expense, amortization expense and interest expense are allocated to the segments based on that segment’s “ownership” percentage of the assets or liabilities underlying the income or expense. General and administrative expenses are all attributed to the holding company and are included in corporate and other.

                     
September 30, December 31,
2003 2002


(In thousands)
Total assets:
               
 
Medical professional liability
  $ 884,45     $ 859,804  
 
Workers’ compensation
    135,709       153,612  
 
Health
    14,523       19,003  
 
Personal and commercial
    4,486       4,089  
 
Corporate and other
    247,509       284,075  
 
Intersegment eliminations
    (217,311 )     (261,665 )
   
   
 
   
Total
  $ 1,069,375     $ 1,058,918  
   
   
 

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)

                                     
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,


2003 2002 2003 2002




(In thousands)
Total revenue:
                               
 
Medical professional liability
  $ 50,939     $ 49,387     $ 147,343     $ 135,810  
 
Workers’ compensation
    11,713       17,768       38,109       52,296  
 
Health
    5,431       5,690       17,780       17,362  
 
Personal and commercial
    34       (21 )     (185 )     (946 )
 
Corporate and other
    314       295       929       1,076  
 
Intersegment eliminations
    (139 )     (143 )     (438 )     (412 )
   
   
   
   
 
   
Total
  $ 68,292     $ 72,976     $ 203,538     $ 205,186  
   
   
   
   
 
                                     
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,


2003 2002 2003 2002




(In thousands)
Income (loss) before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle:
                               
 
Medical professional liability
  $ (41,591 )   $ (4,711 )   $ (39,933 )   $ (13,294 )
 
Workers’ compensation
    160       2,816       1,395       4,951  
 
Health
    361       (482 )     (149 )     (2,029 )
 
Personal and commercial
    (371 )     (395 )     (1,381 )     (1,648 )
 
Corporate and other
    (993 )     (224 )     (2,178 )     (599 )
   
   
   
   
 
   
Total
  $ (42,434 )   $ (2,996 )   $ (42,246 )   $ (12,619 )
   
   
   
   
 

      In September 2003, management formally adopted a plan to exit the health insurance line of business. The day to day aspects of the Company’s health insurance business are administered by a third party administrator (“TPA”). The contract between the TPA and the Company requires the Company to provide a 180 day notice to the TPA of its intent to terminate the agreement. The Company plans to give notice of this termination effective December 31, 2003. The Company will continue to renew policies during this 180-day period, after which, the Company will not issue any additional health insurance policies.

      Subsequent to the end of the third quarter the Company has entered into a non-binding letter of intent for the sale of its workers’ compensation policy renewals. The sale would provide the Company with a 2.5% fee for all premiums renewed over the next three years. The Company would continue to write business in Michigan and Minnesota under a 100% reinsurance arrangement with the purchaser. This fronting arrangement would continue for approximately one year, or until the purchaser is licensed in those states. The Company would be paid a fronting fee of 5.0% under this arrangement.

      The Company has also begun the process of negotiating a loss portfolio transfer for its existing workers compensation reserves for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses. As of September 30, 2003, workers’ compensation reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses totaled $68.3 million, $62.4 million net of reinsurance.

      During the fourth quarter of 2003, the Company will finalize the terms of this transaction.

5.     Goodwill

      Effective January 1, 2002, the Company adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standard (“SFAS”) No. 142, “Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets.” At that date, the only goodwill or other

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)

intangible asset recorded by the Company was the $13.9 million associated with the purchase of Stratton-Cheeseman Management Company in 1999. Based on the results of the impairment testing, the recorded net goodwill of $13.9 million was written off as the fair value of the Company’s reporting units did not support the carrying value of previously recorded goodwill. For purposes of the impairment testing, fair value was estimated using various methods, including multiples of projected net income and market capitalization. The goodwill impairment was recorded as a cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle, net of a deferred income tax benefit of $4.9 million. In accordance with the transition guidance given in SFAS No. 142, the goodwill impairment charge, net of tax, that was determined in the fourth quarter of 2002 was recorded in the first quarter of 2002.

6.     Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

      Activity in unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002 was as follows:

                     
For the Nine Months
Ended September 30,

2003 2002


(In thousands)
Balance, January 1
  $ 637,494     $ 597,046  
 
Less, reinsurance recoverables
    (90,673 )     (91,491 )
   
   
 
Net balance, beginning of year
    546,821       505,555  
Incurred related to
               
 
Current year
    160,420       175,831  
 
Prior years
    43,313       2,630  
   
   
 
   
Total incurred
    203,733       178,461  
   
   
 
Paid related to
               
 
Current year
    21,687       25,786  
 
Prior years
    148,197       120,969  
   
   
 
   
Total paid
    169,884       146,755  
   
   
 
Net balance, September 30
    580,670       537,261  
 
Plus, reinsurance recoverables
    97,466       91,025  
   
   
 
Balance, September 30
  $ 678,136     $ 628,286  
   
   
 

      During the nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, management made adjustments to prior year’s reserves for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses, specifically, accident years 1999 through 2002. The unfavorable development totaled $43.3 million in 2003 and $2.6 million in 2002. As a percentage of net reserves as of the beginning of the year, these adjustments represented 7.9% and 0.5% in 2003 and 2002, respectively.

      Unfavorable development of $43 million was recorded in the third quarter of 2003 on the Company’s medical professional liability segment. This development was the result of increased severities in paid claims in the third quarter of 2003, which indicated a much higher trend in claims severity. As a result, actuarial projections calculated higher ultimate severities of loss on currently existing claims related to the 1999 to 2002 accident years. Due to the higher ultimate estimated severity and corresponding higher ultimate loss, management increased its estimate of incurred but not reported claims related to the 1999 through 2002 accident years.

      The unfavorable development in the third quarter of 2003 was primarily related to the Company’s Florida ($16 million), Ohio ($16.4 million) and Kentucky ($15 million) markets, partially offset by positive

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)

development in the Michigan market. The Company announced its exit of the Florida market in 2002 and discontinued writing occurrence policies in Ohio in early 2002. Primarily due to the elimination of poor risks in Kentucky, the Company’s insured physician count in that state has decreased approximately 10% from December 31, 2002.

      Management believes that the estimate of the ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses at September 30, 2003 is reasonable and reflective of anticipated ultimate experience. However, it is possible that the Company’s actual incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses will not conform to the assumptions inherent in the determination of the liability. Accordingly, it is reasonably possible that the ultimate settlement of losses and the related loss adjustment expenses may vary significantly from the estimated amounts included in the accompanying Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

7.     Long Term Debt

      In May 2003, the Company formed American Physicians Capital Statutory Trust I and APCapital Trust II (the “Trusts”) by contributing equity of $464,000 to each trust. The trusts were formed for the purpose of issuing mandatorily redeemable trust preferred securities (“TPS”). Each trust issued $15 million of TPS to another trust formed by an institutional investor. The trusts received a total of $29.1 million in net proceeds, after the deduction of a total of approximately $906,000 of commissions paid to the placement agents in the transactions. These commissions were ultimately paid by APCapital, and have been capitalized and are included in other assets on the accompanying Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet. Issuance costs will be amortized over five years as a component of amortization expense. The TPS issued by the trusts have financial terms similar to the floating rate junior subordinated deferrable interest debentures (the “Debentures”) issued by APCapital.

      The gross proceeds from the trust issuances, and the cash from the equity contribution, were used by the trusts to purchase Debentures issued by APCapital. In accordance with FIN No. 46, these trusts are not consolidated in the Company’s Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements. See Note 2 for further discussion regarding the impact of FIN No. 46.

      The Debentures issued by APCapital mature in 30 years and bear interest at an annual rate equal to the three-month LIBOR plus 4.10% for the first trust issuance, and plus 4.20% for the second trust issuance, payable quarterly beginning in August 2003. The interest rate is adjusted on a quarterly basis provided that prior to May 2008, the interest rate shall not exceed 12.50%. The weighted average interest rates of 5.32% (Trust I issuance) and 5.42% (Trust II issuance) resulted in interest expense of approximately $414,000 and $602,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003. At September 30, 2003, accrued interest payable to the trusts was approximately $182,000. The Debentures are callable by APCapital at par beginning in May 2008. APCapital has guaranteed that the payments made to the Trusts will be distributed by the Trusts to the holders of the TPS.

      The Debentures are unsecured obligations of the Company and are junior in the right of payment to all future senior indebtedness of the Company. The Company estimates that the fair value of the debentures approximates the gross proceeds of cash received at the time of issuance.

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)

8.     Income Taxes

      The provision for income taxes for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002 consists of:

                                 
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,


2003 2002 2003 2002




(In thousands)
Current (benefit) expense
  $ (12,355 )   $ 3,145     $ (13,339 )   $ (2,960 )
Deferred benefit
    (2,971 )     (4,193 )     (1,921 )     (1,461 )
Deferred tax valuation allowance
    49,947             49,947        
   
   
   
   
 
    $ 34,621     $ (1,048 )   $ 34,687     $ (4,421 )
   
   
   
   
 

      Income taxes incurred do not bear the usual relationship to income before income taxes for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2003 and 2002 due to the following:

                                                                   
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,


2003 2002 2003 2002




(In thousands)
Loss before income taxes
  $ (42,434 )           $ (2,996 )           $ (42,246 )           $ (12,619 )        
   
         
         
         
       
Tax at statutory rate
  $ (14,852 )     35.0%     $ (1,049 )     35.0%     $ (14,786 )     35.0%     $ (4,417 )     35.0%  
Tax effect of:
                                                               
 
Tax exempt interest
    (124 )     0.3%       (116 )     3.9%       (372 )     0.9%       (402 )     3.2%  
 
Other items, net
    (350 )     0.8%       117       -3.9%       (102 )     0.2%       398       -3.2%  
 
Deferred tax valuation allowance
    49,947       -117.7%               0.0%       49,947       -118.2%             0.0%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
    $ 34,621       -81.6%     $ (1,048 )     35.0%     $ 34,687       -82.1%     $ (4,421 )     35.0%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 

      Deferred federal income tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the estimated future tax consequences attributable to the differences between financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities, and their respective tax bases. The Company has reviewed its deferred federal income tax assets for recoverability based on the availability of future taxable income when the deductible temporary differences are expected to reverse, and has determined, based on its recent loss experience, that sufficient taxable income may not exist in the periods of reversal. Accordingly, the Company has recorded a deferred tax asset valuation allowance for the entire net deferred tax asset. The valuation allowance is recorded as federal income tax expense in the accompanying Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income. Once the Company has re-established a pattern of profitability, the deferred tax asset valuation allowance may be reduced upon evaluation of the availability of future taxable income.

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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS — (Continued)

      At September 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002, the components of the net deferred tax asset were as follows:

                     
September 30, December 31,
2003 2002


(In thousands)
Deferred tax assets arising from
               
 
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 29,672     $ 31,072  
 
Net operating loss carryforwards
    17,083       3,326  
 
Unearned and audit premiums
    8,191       8,140  
 
Minimum tax credits
    8,242       9,101  
 
Realized losses on investments
    3,366       2,893  
 
Goodwill
    4,899       5,485  
 
Other
    2,663       1,846  
   
   
 
   
Total deferred tax assets
    74,116       61,863  
   
   
 
Deferred tax liabilities arising from
               
 
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    (4,236 )     (3,807 )
 
Unrealized gain on securities
    (17,402 )     (13,266 )
 
Other
    (2,531 )     (2,248 )
   
   
 
   
Total deferred tax liabilities
    (24,169 )     (19,321 )
   
   
 
   
Net deferred tax asset before valuation allowance
    49,947       42,542  
   
   
 
 
Valuation allowance
    (49,947 )      
   
   
 
Net deferred tax asset
  $     $ 42,542  
   
   
 

      At September 30, 2003, the Company had approximately $9.5 million of net operating loss carryforwards that expire in 2012 and are limited to approximately $910,000 annually, and approximately $39.3 million of net operating loss carryforwards that expire in 2018 and are not limited as to their annual use. Additionally, the Company has $8.2 million of minimum tax credits which can be carried forward indefinitely.

9.     Shareholders Equity

      On September 11, 2003, APCapital’s Board of Directors authorized the Company to purchase an additional 500,000 shares of its outstanding common stock. This brings the total number of shares authorized to be repurchased under publicly announced plans to 3,615,439. During the quarter, the Company purchased 251,300 shares at a cost of $7,068,000, or an average price per share of $28.13, bringing the total number of shares purchased pursuant to these authorizations to 3,175,570, at a total cost of $59,775,000, or an average price per share of $18.82. The Company’s repurchase of any of its shares is subject to limitations that may be imposed by applicable laws and regulations and the rules of the Nasdaq Stock Market. The timing of the purchases and the number of shares to be bought at any one time depend on market conditions and the Company’s capital requirements. As of September 30, 2003, the Company has approximately 440,000 shares of its September 11, 2003 stock repurchase program remaining to be purchased.

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Item 2.     Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

      The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and the notes thereto included elsewhere in this report and the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002. The following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations contains certain forward-looking statements related to our anticipated future financial condition and operating results and our current business plans. When we use words such as “believes,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “estimates” or similar expressions, we are making forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements represent our outlook only as of the date of this report. While we believe that any forward-looking statements we have made are reasonable, actual results could differ materially since these statements are based on our current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties are detailed from time to time in reports filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). See, for example, the disclosures in “Item 1 — Business — Uncertainties Relating to Forward-Looking Statements” of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002, and in other reports filed by the Company with the SEC.

      In addition to those factors previously detailed and stated elsewhere in this report, the Company has identified the following risks and uncertainties that could cause our future actual results to differ materially from our current expectations.

  •  A deterioration in the current accident year experience could result in a portion or all of our deferred policy acquisition costs not being recoverable, which would result in a charge to income.
 
  •  The continued adverse development related to the run-off of our personal and commercial business could result in additional unanticipated losses.
 
  •  We may be unable to collect the full amount of reinsurance recoverable from Gerling Global, a significant reinsurer, if their cash flow or surplus levels are inadequate to make claim payments, which could result in a future charge to income.
 
  •  We may experience unforeseen costs in the fourth quarter of 2003 and in future periods, associated with our exit from the health insurance line of business and possible run-off of workers’ compensation claims, which could result in future charges to income.

      Other factors not currently anticipated by management may also materially and adversely affect the Company’s financial position and results of operations. The Company does not undertake, and expressly disclaims any obligation, to update or alter its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.

      We operate primarily in three insurance product segments: medical professional liability, workers’ compensation, and health. Effective December 31, 2001, the Company exited the personal and commercial lines of business. The personal and commercial insurance operating segment will continue to generate income (loss) due to the development of unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses associated with this segment.

      In September 2003, management formally adopted a plan to exit the health insurance line of business. Additionally, subsequent to the end of the third quarter of 2003, the Company has entered into a non-binding letter of intent for the sale of its workers’ compensation policy renewals.

      See Note 4 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, contained elsewhere in this report, for further information regarding the operating results of our business segments.

Non GAAP and Other Financial Measures

      In the analysis of our operating results that follows, we refer to various financial ratios and other measures that management uses to analyze and compare the underwriting results of our insurance operations. These ratios are calculated on a GAAP basis and include:

  •  Loss ratio — This ratio compares our losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred, net of reinsurance, to our net premiums earned, and indicates how much we expect to pay policyholders for claims and

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  related settlement expenses compared to the amount of premiums we earn. The lower the percentage, the more profitable our insurance business is, all other things being equal.
 
  •  Underwriting expense ratio — This ratio compares our expenses to obtain new business and renew existing business, plus normal operating expenses, to our net premiums earned. The ratio is used to measure how efficient we are at obtaining business and operating the insurance segments. The lower the percentage, the more efficient we are, all else being equal. Sometimes, however, a higher underwriting expense ratio can result in better business and improve our loss ratio, and overall profitability.
 
  •  Combined ratio — This ratio equals the sum of our loss ratio and underwriting expense ratio. The lower the percentage, the more profitable our insurance business is. This ratio excludes the effects of investment income.
 
  •  Underwriting gain (loss) — This measure equals the net premiums earned less loss and loss adjustment expenses as well as underwriting expenses. It is another measure of the underwriting performance of our various insurance segments.

      In addition to our reported GAAP loss ratios, we also report accident year loss ratios. The accident year loss ratio is computed by taking total incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses, less any development on prior year loss reserves, divided by net premiums earned. We believe this ratio is useful in evaluating our current underwriting performance, as it focuses on the relationships between current premiums earned and current losses. Considerable variability is inherent in the establishment of loss reserves related to the current accident year. While management believes that its estimate is reasonable, there can be no assurance that these loss reserves will develop as expected. Our method of calculating accident year loss ratios may differ from those used by other companies and, therefore, comparability may be limited.

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Results of Operations — Three Months and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003, Compared to Three Months and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2002

          Medical Professional Liability Insurance Operations

      The following table sets forth the operating results of our medical professional liability insurance segment for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2003 and 2002.

                                                                     
Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30,


Percentage Percentage
2003 2002 Change Change 2003 2002 Change Change








(Dollars in thousands)
Direct premiums written:
                                                               
 
Illinois
  $ 25,888     $ 15,180     $ 10,708       70.5%     $ 46,726     $ 29,207     $ 17,519       60.0%  
 
Michigan
    20,764       18,852       1,912       10.1%       36,545       35,309       1,236       3.5%  
 
Ohio
    13,000       11,502       1,498       13.0%       29,228       27,621       1,607       5.8%  
 
Kentucky
    2,686       3,116       (430 )     13.8%       12,699       13,129       (430 )     -3.3%  
 
New Mexico
    5,132       4,330       802       18.5%       12,157       8,375       3,782       45.2%  
 
Florida
    1,638       7,335       (5,697 )     -77.7%       6,014       19,233       (13,219 )     -68.7%  
 
Nevada
    1,661       1,539       122       7.9%       4,079       3,553       526       14.8%  
 
Other
    1,252       883       369       41.8%       3,245       2,285       960       42.0%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
Total
  $ 72,021     $ 62,737     $ 9,284       14.8%     $ 150,693     $ 138,712     $ 11,981       8.6%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Net premiums written
  $ 61,661     $ 54,842     $ 6,819       12.4%     $ 128,395     $ 120,412     $ 7,983       6.6%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Net premiums earned
  $ 41,043     $ 40,089     $ 954       2.4%     $ 118,903     $ 108,064     $ 10,839       10.0%  
Incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses:
                                                               
 
Current accident year losses
    40,823       44,656       (3,833 )     -8.6%       118,242       122,451       (4,209 )     -3.4%  
 
Prior year losses
    43,000       1,500       41,500       2766.7%       44,250       4,000       40,250       1006.3%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
Total
    83,823       46,156       37,667       81.6%       162,492       126,451       36,041       28.5%  
Underwriting expenses
    7,770       7,404       366       4.9%       22,662       20,471       2,191       10.7%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Underwriting loss
  $ (50,550 )   $ (13,471 )   $ (37,079 )     275.3%     $ (66,251 )   $ (38,858 )   $ (27,393 )     70.5%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Income (loss) before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
  $ (41,595 )   $ (4,711 )   $ (36,884 )     -782.9%     $ (39,937 )   $ (13,294 )   $ (26,643 )     -200.4%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Loss ratio:
                                                               
 
Accident year
    99.5%       111.4%       -11.9%               99.4%       113.3%       -13.9%          
 
Prior years
    104.7%       3.7%       101.0%               37.3%       3.7%       33.6%          
   
   
   
         
   
   
       
 
Calendar year
    204.2%       115.1%       89.1%               136.7%       117.0%       19.7%          
Underwriting expense ratio
    18.9%       18.5%       0.4%               19.1%       18.9%       0.2%          
Combined ratio
    223.1%       133.6%       89.5%               155.8%       135.9%       19.9%          

      Direct premiums written increased $9.3 million, or 14.8%, to $72.0 million for the three months ended September 30, 2003 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2002. Direct premiums written for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 increased $12.0 million, or 8.6%, to $150.7 million compared to the same period of 2002. These increases were primarily the result of rate increases in all markets, especially Illinois, Ohio and New Mexico. The increases were partially offset by a decrease in the number of policies in-force primarily due to the exit from our Florida market, the discontinuance of Ohio occurrence-based policies and the elimination of poor risks in other markets such as Kentucky.

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      We believe that the current pricing environment for medical professional liability insurance is favorable. We expect medical professional liability direct premiums written to increase moderately in the future as the Company is granted additional rate increases by regulatory authorities. However, this growth may be limited by the Company’s ability to allocate appropriate levels of statutory capital and surplus to the medical professional liability segment. The Company is continually seeking regulatory approval of additional rate increases.

      In the second quarter of 2002, the Company announced its intention to discontinue writing medical professional liability insurance in Florida. Medical professional liability direct premiums written in the state of Florida for the year ended December 31, 2002 were $23.6 million, and the Company reported net loss and loss adjustment expenses for that period of $35.2 million relating to its Florida business. The Florida Department of Insurance approved the Company’s plan to exit this market and in October 2002, the Company began mailing non-renewal notices to medical professional liability policyholders whose renewals would have been effective in December 2002. Florida law requires the Company to offer extended reporting coverage for previously insured periods, commonly referred to as “tail policies,” at the time of non-renewal. Tail policies typically have written premiums of approximately two times the last annual policy premium. The Company expects that some physicians will opt for this extended reporting coverage, which will result in additional direct premiums written in 2003 and net premiums earned in 2004.

      In March 2003, the Company invested $2.5 million, for a 49% ownership stake, in a new insurance company, Physicians Insurance Company (“PIC”), managed by the management of the Company’s third-party administrator who underwrites its Florida extended reporting coverage. This new insurance company is seeking to write as many of the tail policies as its capital and surplus levels will permit, thereby limiting the Company’s direct exposure to future losses associated with underwriting Florida medical professional liability extended reporting period coverages. During the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003, the Company, on a direct basis, wrote $1.6 million and $6.0 million, respectively, in Florida. This compares with budgeted writings of $4.8 million and $13.4 million, respectively. The decrease in actual writings compared to budget is in large part due to the greater than expected number of policies being written by PIC. The Company lent $1 million to the President of PIC to enable him to complete the acquisition of the remaining 51% of outstanding shares of PIC’s common stock. As of September 30, 2003, this loan was entirely repaid.

      In Ohio, the Company has experienced an increase in the overall severity and frequency of large losses in the Northeastern portion of the state. In response, early in 2002, the Company reduced policy limits, discontinued writing occurrence policies, and significantly restricted business writing in this area. In Kentucky, the frequency and severity of large losses has also increased. The Company has reduced policy limits, discontinued occurrence based policies and reduced the insured physician count, primarily through the non-renewal of poor risks, in this state.

      Net premiums earned for the three months ended September 30, 2003 increased $954,000, or 2.4%, to $41.0 million compared to $40.1 million for the three months ended September 30, 2002. This increase was less than the increase in direct premiums written as premiums written during the quarter were largely unearned at September 30, 2003. Net premiums earned for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 increased $10.8 million, or 10.0%, compared to the same period of 2002. The increase in net premiums earned for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 was greater than the increase in direct premiums written, as premiums written in 2002 in Florida, continue to be earned in 2003.

      The loss ratios for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 were 204.2% and 136.7% compared to 115.1% and 117.0%, respectively, for the same periods of 2002. These increases were the result of $43 million of adverse development on prior year loss and loss adjustment expense reserves in the third quarter of 2003. This development occurred primarily in reserves for the accident years 1999 through 2002, in the Company’s Florida ($16.0 million), Ohio ($16.4 million) and Kentucky ($15.0 million) markets, partially offset by favorable development in the Michigan market. This reserve increase was primarily the result of an increase in the severity of paid claims, which became apparent in the third quarter, and indicated a much higher trend of ultimate average loss severity. As a result of the higher projected ultimate average loss severity,

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and corresponding higher ultimate projected losses, management increased its estimate of incurred but not reported claims related to the 1999 through 2002 accident years.

      The loss ratio, on an accident year basis, was 99.5% for the three-month period and 99.4% for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2003 compared to 111.4% and 113.3%, respectively, for the same periods of 2002. The decreases in the accident year loss ratios were primarily the result of rate increases taken in all markets.

      Underwriting expenses for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 were $7.8 million and $22.7 million, respectively, which represent increases of $366,000 and $2.2 million, respectively, compared to the same periods of 2002. The increases in underwriting expenses were the result of commissions and premium taxes on higher premium volumes. As a percentage of net premiums earned, underwriting expenses were relatively unchanged in 2003 compared to 2002.

      Management has evaluated the Company’s deferred policy acquisition costs for recoverability and has determined that, after consideration of future investment income, all deferred policy acquisition costs carried on the balance sheet as of September 30, 2003 are recoverable. However, a deterioration in our projected accident year loss ratios may result in these deferred costs not being recoverable, which would result in additional underwriting expense in the period the costs are charged off.

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Workers’ Compensation Insurance Operations

      The following table sets forth the results of operations of our workers’ compensation insurance segment for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2003 and 2002.

                                                                     
Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30,


Percentage Percentage
2003 2002 Change Change 2003 2002 Change Change








(Dollars in thousands)
Direct premiums written:
                                                               
 
Minnesota
  $ 3,758     $ 5,344     $ (1,586 )     -29.7%     $ 12,079     $ 25,483     $ (13,404 )     -52.6%  
 
Michigan
    3,359       3,232       127       3.9%       8,515       9,663       (1,148 )     -11.9%  
 
Illinois
    2,955       3,326       (371 )     -11.2%       6,387       7,869       (1,482 )     -18.8%  
 
Indiana
    1,591       2,376       (785 )     -33.0%       3,765       5,748       (1,983 )     -34.5%  
 
Wisconsin
    631       60       571       951.7%       1,491       309       1,182       382.5%  
 
Iowa
    (1 )     151       (152 )     -100.7%       84       1,184       (1,100 )     -92.9%  
 
Kentucky
    (2 )     624       (626 )     -100.3%       (26 )     3,762       (3,788 )     -100.7%  
 
Other
    135       196       (61 )     -31.1%       299       690       (391 )     -56.7%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
Total
  $ 12,426     $ 15,309     $ (2,883 )     -18.8%     $ 32,594     $ 54,708     $ (22,114 )     -40.4%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Net premiums written
  $ 12,440     $ 14,603     $ (2,163 )     -14.8%     $ 33,788     $ 51,641     $ (17,853 )     -34.6%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Net premiums earned
  $ 10,275     $ 15,832     $ (5,557 )     -35.1%     $ 33,598     $ 46,636     $ (13,038 )     -28.0%  
Incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses:
                                                               
 
Current accident year losses
    8,442       11,808       (3,366 )     -28.5%       26,894       37,583       (10,689 )     -28.4%  
 
Prior year losses
          (500 )     500       -100.0%       (1,400 )     (2,000 )     600       -30.0%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
Total
    8,442       11,308       (2,866 )     -25.3%       25,494       35,583       (10,089 )     -28.4%  
Underwriting expenses
    2,966       3,516       (550 )     -15.6%       10,869       11,278       (409 )     -3.6%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Underwriting (loss) income
  $ (1,133 )   $ 1,008     $ (2,141 )     -212.4%     $ (2,765 )   $ (225 )   $ (2,540 )     1128.9%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Income before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
  $ 160     $ 2,816     $ (2,656 )     -94.3%     $ 1,395     $ 4,951     $ (3,556 )     -71.8%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Loss ratio:
                                                               
 
Accident year
    82.2%       74.6%       7.6%               80.0%       80.6%       -0.6%          
 
Prior years
    0.0%       -3.2%       3.2%               -4.1%       -4.3%       0.2%          
   
   
   
         
   
   
       
 
Calendar year
    82.2%       71.4%       10.8%               75.9%       76.3%       -0.4%          
Underwriting expense ratio
    28.9%       22.2%       6.7%               32.4%       24.2%       8.2%          
Combined ratio
    111.1%       93.6%       17.5%               108.3%       100.5%       7.8%          

      Beginning in June 2002, the Company filled several executive and management positions with the intent to improve the overall performance of this segment. Our plan was to upgrade management expertise, re-underwrite and restructure the book of business, and position this segment for growth. However, during 2003, the workers’ compensation market has remained very competitive and new business growth has not kept pace with expectations. As a result, management has refocused its plan for the workers’ compensation segment and there have been several departures among the senior management team of this line.

      As a result of our re-underwriting and restructuring efforts in 2002 and 2003, direct premiums written have decreased as the Company began to exit the Kentucky market, and certain other higher-risk construction policies were non-renewed in all markets. Direct premiums written decreased $2.9 million, or 18.8%, for the three months ended September 30, 2003 and $22.1 million, or 40.4%, for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 compared to the same periods of 2002.

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      Subsequent to the end of the third quarter the Company has entered into a non-binding letter of intent for the sale of workers’ compensation policy renewals. The sale would provide the Company with a 2.5% fee for all premiums renewed over the next three years. The Company would continue to write business in Michigan and Minnesota under a 100% reinsurance arrangement with the purchaser. This fronting arrangement would continue for approximately one year, or until the purchaser is licensed in those states. The Company would be paid a fronting fee of 5.0% under this arrangement.

      The Company has also begun the process of negotiating a loss portfolio transfer for its existing workers’ compensation reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. As of September 30, 2003, workers’ compensation reserves for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses totaled $68.3 million, $62.4 million net of reinsurance.

      During the fourth quarter of 2003, the Company will finalize the terms of this transaction, and determine what, if any, restructuring charges or reserve enhancements will be needed. If the Company is required to run-off existing claims, the charges related to this exit could be significant in the fourth quarter.

      Net premiums earned for the three months ended September 30, 2003 decreased $5.6 million, or 35.1%, compared to the same period of 2002 due primarily to the restructuring efforts discussed above, which began primarily in the fourth quarter of 2002. Net premiums earned for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 decreased $13.0 million, or 28.0%, compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2002. This decrease was not as great as the decrease in direct premiums written, as premiums written in 2002 on business that was non-renewed in 2003 continued to be earned during the first nine months of 2003.

      The restructuring of this book of business, described above, combined with rate increases and improved claims management, have translated into lower calendar year and accident year loss ratios, 75.9% and 80.0%, respectively, for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 compared to 76.3% and 80.6%, respectively, for the same period of 2002. The benefits of the improved claims management and rate increases, however, were partially offset by an increase in loss adjustment expenses related primarily to salaries of the executives and managers the Company hired to restructure the workers’ compensation book of business. The loss ratio for the three months ended September 30, 2003 was 82.2% compared to 71.4% for the same period of 2002. This increase was primarily attributable to loss adjustment expense costs associated with new staff, described above, that were not able to be absorbed due to the decrease in net premiums earned for the period.

      Prior year loss and loss adjustment expense reserves developed favorably by $1.4 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2003. This prior year favorable development was related primarily to the Company’s Minnesota market, and was the result of losses on prior accident years settling for less than originally anticipated. Favorable development on prior year loss and loss adjustment expense reserves was $500,000 and $2.0 million, respectively, for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2002.

      Salary and severance costs related to the management team during the first half of 2003, combined with the decreases in net premiums earned, were the primary reasons for the increases in the underwriting expense ratios to 28.9% and 32.4%, respectively, during the three and nine-month periods ending September 30, 2003 compared to 22.2% and 24.2%, respectively, for the same periods of 2002.

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     Health Insurance Operations

      The following table sets forth the results of operations of our health insurance segment for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2003 and 2002.

                                                                     
For the Three Months Ended
September 30, For the Nine Months Ended September 30,


Percentage Percentage
2003 2002 Change Change 2003 2002 Change Change








(Dollars in thousands)
Direct premiums written
  $ 5,513     $ 5,773     $ (260 )     -4.5%     $ 18,095     $ 17,118     $ 977       5.7%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Net premiums written
  $ 5,270     $ 5,500     $ (230 )     -4.2%     $ 17,258     $ 16,860     $ 398       2.4%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Net premiums earned
  $ 5,270     $ 5,500     $ (230 )     -4.2%     $ 17,258     $ 16,860     $ 398       2.4%  
Incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses:
                                                               
 
Current accident year losses
    4,076       5,140       (1,064 )     -20.7%       15,284       15,797       (513 )     -3.2%  
 
Prior year losses
                      0.0%       (468 )                 0.0%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
Total
    4,076       5,140       (1,064 )     -20.7%       14,816       15,797       (981 )     -6.2%  
Underwriting expenses
    978       1,022       (44 )     -4.3%       3,077       3,557       (480 )     -13.5%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Underwriting income (loss)
  $ 216     $ (662 )   $ 878       -132.6%     $ (635 )   $ (2,494 )   $ 1,859       -74.5%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Income (loss) before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
  $ 361     $ (482 )   $ 843       -174.9%     $ (149 )   $ (2,029 )   $ 1,880       -92.7%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Loss ratio:
                                                               
 
Accident year
    77.3%       93.5%       -16.2%               88.6%       93.7%       -5.1%          
 
Prior years
    0.0%       0.0%       0.0%               -2.7%       0.0%       -2.7%          
   
   
   
         
   
   
       
 
Calendar year
    77.3%       93.5%       -16.2%               85.9%       93.7%       -7.8%          
Underwriting expense ratio
    18.6%       18.6%       0.0%               17.8%       21.1%       -3.3%          
Combined ratio
    95.9%       112.1%       -16.2%               103.7%       114.8%       -11.1%          

      All health direct premiums written are related to our involvement with a single preferred provider organization located in western Michigan. This coverage is provided as part of our strategic relationship with the physician organization that sponsors this plan. Direct premiums written decreased $260,000, or 4.5%, to $5.5 million for the three months ended September 30, 2003, compared to the same period of 2002. Direct premiums written increased $977,000, or 5.7%, to $18.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 compared to the same period of 2002. The changes in direct premiums written were the result of a decrease in the number of covered lives during 2003 and the effect of rate increases in 2003. The number of covered lives has been decreasing as we tighten our underwriting standards. The following table shows the number of covered lives and the per-member-per-month (“PMPM”) premium at September 30, 2003, December 31, 2002, and September 30, 2002.

                   
Covered PMPM
Lives Premium


(actual dollars)
Month Ended:
               
 
September 30, 2003
    8,072     $ 221  
 
December 31, 2002
    12,898     $ 188  
 
September 30, 2002
    11,230     $ 172  
Change:
               
 
September 2003 vs. December 2002
    (4,826 )   $ 33  
 
September 2003 vs. September 2002
    (3,158 )   $ 49  

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      The increase in net premiums earned for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 compared to the same period of 2002 was less than the increase in direct premiums written for the nine months ended September 30, 2003, as a result of fewer assumed premiums due to our exit from a reinsurance pool in the second quarter of 2002.

      The decreases in loss ratio to 77.3% and 85.9%, respectively, for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 compared to 93.5% and 93.7%, respectively, for the same periods of 2002, were primarily the result of improved underwriting and premium rate increases. Prior year loss and loss adjustment expense reserves developed favorably by $468,000 during the nine months ended September 30, 2003. This favorable development was the result of re-underwriting efforts in 2002.

      Underwriting expenses and the underwriting expense ratio for the three months ended September 30, 2003 were relatively consistent with the same period of 2002. Underwriting expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 decreased $480,000 to $3.1 million compared to the same period of 2002. As a percentage of net premiums earned, underwriting expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 were 17.8% compared to 21.1% for the same period of 2002. The decrease in underwriting expenses and the underwriting expense ratio were primarily due to the reduction of certain corporate overhead expenses related to the health insurance segment as well as a reduction in fees charged by a third-party administrator who handles policy administration and premium collections on behalf of the Company.

      In September 2003, management formally adopted a plan to exit the health insurance line of business. The day to day aspects of the Company’s health insurance business are administered by a third party administrator (“TPA”). The contract between the TPA and the Company requires the Company to provide a 180 day notice to the TPA of its intent to terminate the agreement. The Company plans to give notice of this termination effective December 31, 2003. The Company will continue to renew policies during this 180-day period, after which, the Company will not issue any additional health insurance policies. Due to the one year term of most health policies, the Company will continue to have written and earned health insurance premiums throughout 2004 and into 2005. However, the Company is pursuing the possible placement of this business with another insurance carrier.

          Personal and Commercial Lines Insurance Operations

      The Company’s personal and commercial insurance product segment experienced a loss before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle of $371,000 and $1.4 million, respectively, for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003. For the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2002, the losses were $395,000 and $1.6 million, respectively. Loss before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principles is closely related to the underwriting loss of the segment, as the investment income and other expenses allocated to this segment are minimal. However, in the first nine months of 2002, this segment recorded a realized loss of $293,000 related to the write-off of software that had previously been used to administer personal and commercial insurance policies.

      The 2003 underwriting losses were the result of a ceded premium adjustment of $239,000 during the nine months ended September 30, 2003, compared to an adjustment of $590,000, during the same period of 2002. Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves continued to develop unfavorably in the amount of $380,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2003 and $931,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2003, as compared to $324,000 and $630,000 for the same periods of 2002. In addition, through September 30, 2003, the Company has paid approximately $100,000 for third-party administrative service related to one of its alternative-risk transfer programs that is in run-off, as well as guarantee fund assessments of approximately $112,000. There were no underwriting or other fees during the first nine months of 2002.

      In the second quarter of 2003, we engaged a personal and commercial claims specialist to help the Company bring the personal and commercial business to closure. We anticipate that all outstanding personal and commercial claims will settle by year end 2003. At September 30, 2003, there were less than 50 claims outstanding. This segment, however, will continue to generate income (loss) through 2003, and potentially beyond, due to the development of unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses.

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          Corporate and Other

      For this segment, loss before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle for the three months ended September 30, 2003 was $993,000 compared to $224,000 for the same period of 2002. The increase was primarily attributable to increases in general and administrative expenses and interest expense as a result of the issuance of floating rate junior subordinated deferrable interest debentures discussed in Note 7 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements. The increase in these expenses was partially offset by an increase in other income.

      The increase in the loss before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 to $2.2 million from $599,000 for the same period of 2002 is again attributable to increases in general and administrative expenses and interest expense, as well as a decrease in investment income related to this segment. In the first quarter of 2002, APCapital had a portion of its assets invested in long-term bonds that generated significantly more interest than the short-term holdings of this segment in 2003.

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Table of Contents

          Consolidated Results of Operations

      The following table sets forth our results of operations on a consolidated basis. The discussion that follows should be read in connection with the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, and Notes thereto, included elsewhere in this report.

                                                                       
For the Three Months Ended September 30, For the Nine Months Ended September 30,


Percentage Percentage
2003 2002 Change Change 2003 2002 Change Change








(Dollars in thousands)
Net premiums earned by insurance segment:
                                                               
 
Medical professional liability
  $ 41,043     $ 40,089     $ 954       2.4%     $ 118,903     $ 108,064     $ 10,839       10.0%  
 
Workers’ compensation
    10,275       15,832       (5,557 )     -35.1%       33,598       46,636       (13,038 )     -28.0%  
Health
    5,270       5,500       (230 )     -4.2%       17,258       16,860       398       2.4%  
 
Personal and commercial
                              (239 )     (590 )     351       -59.5%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
     
Total net premiums earned
    56,588       61,421       (4,833 )     -7.9%       169,520       170,970       (1,450 )     -0.8%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Investment income
    11,400       11,421       (21 )     -0.2%       32,209       34,108       (1,899 )     -5.6%  
Net realized gains (losses)
    143       (390 )     533       136.7%       1,291       (678 )     1,969       290.4%  
Other income
    161       524       (363 )     -69.3%       518       786       (268 )     -34.1%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
     
Total revenues and other income
    68,292       72,976       (4,684 )     -6.4%       203,538       205,186       (1,648 )     -0.8%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    96,721       62,928       33,793       53.7%       203,733       178,461       25,272       14.2%  
Underwriting expenses
    11,721       11,945       (224 )     -1.9%       36,828       35,306       1,522       4.3%  
Investment expenses
    934       609       325       53.4%       2,083       2,529       (446 )     -17.6%  
Interest expense
    502       95       407       428.4%       875       278       597       214.7%  
Amortization expense
    133             133               272             272          
General and administrative expenses
    715       395       320       81.0%       1,993       1,231       762       61.9%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
     
Total expenses
    110,726       75,972       34,754       45.7%       245,784       217,805       27,979       12.8%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
Income (loss) before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
    (42,434 )     (2,996 )     (39,438 )     -1316.4%       (42,246 )     (12,619 )     (29,627 )     -234.8%  
Federal income tax expense (benefit)
    34,621       (1,048 )     35,669       3403.5%       34,687       (4,421 )     39,108       884.6%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
Income (loss) before cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
    (77,055 )     (1,948 )     (75,107 )     -3855.6%       (76,933 )     (8,198 )     (68,735 )     -838.4%  
Cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle
                                    (9,079 )     9,079       100.0%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
Net income (loss)
  $ (77,055 )   $ (1,948 )   $ (75,107 )     -3855.6%     $ (76,933 )   $ (17,277 )   $ (59,656 )     -345.3%  
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
Loss ratio
    170.9%       102.5%       68.4%               120.2%       104.4%       15.8%          
Underwriting ratio
    20.7%       19.4%       1.3%               21.7%       20.7%       1.0%          
Combined ratio
    191.6%       121.9%       69.7%               141.9%       125.1%       16.8%          

      Net premiums earned for the three months ended September 30, 2003 decreased $4.8 million, or 7.9%, to $56.6 million and $1.5 million, or 0.8%, to $169.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2003, compared to the same periods of 2002. The decreases were primarily the result of the restructuring of our workers’ compensation book of business, partially offset by rate increases for workers’ compensation and medical professional liability policies.

      The decrease in investment income of $1.9 million to $32.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 was the result of the Company’s unusually large cash position during the first half of 2003

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and lower short-term interest rates compared to the same period of 2002. We delayed investing a portion of the cash flow generated during the first half of 2003 due to the very low interest rate environment and our reluctance to lock-in longer-term interest rates at prevailing levels. The average yield on the Company’s cash and cash equivalents was approximately 1% during the nine months ended September 30, 2003, which reduced the Company’s average yield on its investment portfolio to 5.54% for the nine months ended September 30, 2003, from 6.10% for the same period of 2002. Investment income for the three months ended September 30, 2003 was virtually unchanged compared to the same period of 2002 despite the decrease in interest rates. This was primarily due to the purchase of approximately $15 million of interest only mortgage-backed securities and approximately $47 million of high-yield corporate securities late in the second quarter and throughout the third quarter of 2003. The average yield on the Company’s investment portfolio was 5.89% for the three months ended September 30, 2003 compared to 6.18% for the same period of 2002.

      Included in investment income for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 is approximately $65,000 and $465,000 relating to the increase in the fair value of derivative instruments. See “Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk” and Note 1 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included elsewhere in this report for further discussion regarding derivative instruments.

      Net realized gains for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 are reduced by a $300,000 and $1.3 million charge, respectively, for an “other than temporary impairment” (“OTTI”) on enhanced equipment trust certificates issued by Delta Airlines. Net realized losses for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2002 were reduced by an OTTI charge of $390,000 for the write down of Frontier bonds.

      Loss and loss adjustment expenses increased $33.8 million to $96.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2003 and $25.3 million to $203.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 compared to the same period of 2002. The loss ratios for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 were 170.9% and 120.2%, respectively, compared to 102.5% and 104.4%, respectively, for the same periods of 2002. The increases in incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses and the loss ratios were primarily the result of $43 million of unfavorable development on prior year reserves for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses on the Company’s medical professional liability segment in the third quarter of 2003. This development was the result of increased severities in paid claims in the third quarter of 2003, which indicated a much higher trend in claims severity. As a result, actuarial projections calculated higher ultimate severities of loss on currently existing claims related to the 1999 to 2002 accident years. Due to the higher ultimate estimated severity and corresponding higher ultimate loss, management increased its estimate of incurred but not reported claims related to the 1999 through 2002 accident years. The unfavorable development in the third quarter of 2003 was primarily related to the Company’s Florida ($16 million), Ohio ($16.4 million) and Kentucky ($15 million) markets, partially offset by positive development in the Michigan market. The Company announced its exit of the Florida market in 2002 and discontinued writing occurrence policies in Ohio in early 2002. Due to a very competitive pricing environment in Kentucky, the Company’s insured physician count in that state has decreased approximately 10% from December 31, 2002.

      Underwriting expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2003 decreased $224,000 to $11.7 million compared to the same period of 2002. The decrease was primarily the result of reduced salary costs due to the departure of the workers’ compensation management team. Underwriting expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 increased $1.5 million, or 4.3%, to $36.8 million compared to $35.3 million for the same period of 2002. The increase was primarily due to salary and other employee benefit costs associated with the new workers’ compensation management team prior to their departure, severance costs associated with these departures, and an increase in commissions and premium tax expense associated with increased premium writings. The underwriting expense ratios for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 were 20.7% and 21.7%, respectively, compared to 19.4% and 20.7% for the same periods of 2002. The increase in the underwriting expense ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 was primarily the result of the items described above, compounded by the decrease in net premiums earned. The increase in the loss ratio for the three months ended September 30, 2003 compared to 2002 was primarily attributable to the decrease in net premiums earned during the period.

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      Investment expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2003 increased $325,000 to $934,000. The increase was primarily the result of expenses paid to the third-party managers of the Company’s high-yield bond portfolio, as well as other third-party administrative costs that were incurred in the third quarter of 2003. The expense for the three months ended September 30, 2003 is more representative of what management expects going forward. For the nine months ended September 30, 2003, investment expenses were $2.1 million compared to $2.5 million for the same period of 2002. The decrease in investment expenses for the nine-month period was primarily due to higher depreciation expense on several of the Company’s investment real estate properties in the first nine months of 2002.

      The increases in interest expense of $407,000 and $597,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 compared to the same periods of 2002 were the result of the issuance of $30.9 million of floating rate junior subordinated deferrable interest debentures (the “Debentures”) in May of 2003. See Note 7 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements contained elsewhere in this report for a more detailed discussion of the Debentures.

      Amortization expense in 2003 relates to a definite-lived intangible asset acquired in connection with the Company’s investment in Physicians Insurance Company, as well as capitalized debt issue costs associated with the Company’s issuance of the Debentures. The investment in Physicians Insurance Company is discussed more fully in our discussion of medical professional liability operating results contained elsewhere in this report. See Note 7 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements contained elsewhere in this report for a discussion of the Debentures.

      The increases in the Company’s general and administrative expenses of $320,000 and $762,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003, respectively, were primarily the result of a new errors and omissions liability insurance policy acquired in mid-2002 as well as increased legal, audit, and other professional fees pertaining to compliance with the new Sarbanes-Oxley legislation and related SEC rules.

      The effective tax rates were (81.6%) and (82.1%), respectively, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003 compared to 35.0% for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2002. Due to net losses reported by the Company in 2001 through 2003, the Company has determined that it may not realize some or all of the future tax benefits associated with its net deferred tax assets. Accordingly, we have established a valuation allowance on our net deferred tax assets of $49.9 million as of September 30, 2003. This valuation allowance represents 100% of the Company’s net deferred tax asset at September 30, 2003. These deferred tax assets will be reinstated to the extent the Company has taxable income in future years. See Note 8 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included elsewhere in this report for further information regarding federal income taxes, deferred tax assets and the valuation allowance.

      The cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle recorded in 2002 was the result of the write-off of goodwill. See Note 5 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included elsewhere in this report for further information regarding the write-off of goodwill.

Liquidity, Capital Resources and Financial Condition

      The primary sources of our liquidity, on both a short- and long-term basis, are funds provided by insurance premiums collected, net investment income, recoveries from reinsurance, and proceeds from the maturity or sale of invested assets. We also enter into financing transactions from time to time to acquire additional capital. The primary uses of cash, on both a short- and long-term basis, are losses, loss adjustment expenses, operating expenses, the acquisition of invested assets, reinsurance premiums, taxes, and the repurchase of the Company’s stock.

      APCapital is a holding company whose only material assets are the capital stock of APAssurance and its other subsidiaries, and cash. APCapital’s ongoing cash flow consists primarily of dividends and other permissible payments from its subsidiaries and investment earnings on funds held. The payment of dividends to APCapital by its insurance subsidiaries is subject to limitations imposed by applicable state law.

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      The Company is indebted to its President and Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) in the amount of $7.0 million (reflected on our balance sheet at its present value of $5.8 million at September 30, 2003) in connection with the purchase of Stratton-Cheeseman Management Company. The indebtedness is due in annual installments with the final installment due April 2008. See the table at the end of this section for further information regarding the timing and amounts of these payments. The amount of the annual payments will increase or decrease by $200,000 for each corresponding half-grade level increase or decrease in the Company’s A.M. Best Company, Inc. rating. Certain events, such as the termination, death or disability of the CEO, or a change in control of the Company, could accelerate these payments. Subsequent to the close of the third quarter, the Company received a half-grade down grade in its A.M. Best rating, which will decrease the annual payments in future years.

      In May 2003, the Company issued Debentures totaling $30.9 million. These Debentures bear interest at a variable rate based on LIBOR, payable quarterly, and mature in 30 years. See Note 7 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements contained elsewhere in this report for a description of the Debentures and the transactions in which they were issued. Subsequent to the close of the third quarter, the Company issued an additional $20.6 million of floating rate junior subordinated deferrable interest debentures on substantially the same terms as the Debentures.

      The Company’s net cash flow used in operations was approximately $8.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2003, compared to $37.2 million provided by operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2002. The decrease in cash provided by operations was primarily the result of an increase in paid losses of $23.1 million, an increase in premiums receivable of $10.6 million, and the decrease in net premiums written of $9.1 million.

      At September 30, 2003, the Company had $92.8 million of cash available and an investment portfolio of $725.4 million. The portfolio includes $23.8 million of bonds maturing in the next year. On a long-term basis, fixed income securities are purchased on a basis intended to provide adequate cash flows from future maturities. As of September 30, 2003, $366.6 million of bonds mature in the next one to five years and $162.6 million mature in the next six to ten years. In addition, the Company has $43.6 million of mortgage-backed securities that provide periodic principal repayments.

      Premiums receivable increased $10.6 million, or 16.9%, to $73.1 million at September 30, 2003 compared to $62.5 million at December 31, 2002. The increase in premiums receivable is a function of the timing of premiums written. July is a heavy renewal month for the Company, which is the primary reason for the increase in the premiums receivable balance at September 30, 2003.

      Reinsurance recoverable increased $12.1 million to $110.2 million at September 30, 2003, compared to $98.1 million at December 31, 2002. The increase was primarily the result of reinsurance recoverables on a few large paid losses, as well as the increase in the estimate for incurred but not reported claims above the Company’s net retention level. We have a net reinsurance recoverable from Gerling Global (“Gerling”) of approximately $15.4 million at September 30, 2003. In 2002, Gerling’s parent company put Gerling’s United States subsidiary into run off resulting in a series of A.M. Best rating downgrades for Gerling. We have discussed the possibility of a settlement with Gerling, but have not received an offer that we deem financially adequate. We continue to believe that Gerling has adequate surplus and cash flow to satisfy its obligations to us and we have not experienced any difficulties in collecting amounts due from Gerling; however, there can be no assurance that amounts currently recoverable from Gerling will ultimately be collected. Because the Company has not experienced any difficulties in collecting amounts from Gerling, and in light of Gerling’s current surplus levels and cash flows, we determined not to accept the settlement offer because we do not believe that it is in the Company’s best long-term economic interest. We will continue to monitor Gerling’s financial strength and liquidity and may pursue a settlement in the future if circumstances change.

      As the Company has incurred net losses for the last three years, management has evaluated the recoverability of the net deferred tax assets, and has determined, based on its recent loss experience, that sufficient taxable income may not exist in the years that our deductible temporary differences will reverse. Accordingly, the Company has established a deferred tax valuation allowance for 100% of its net deferred tax asset of $49.9 million. See Note 8 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

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included elsewhere in this report for further information regarding deferred tax assets and their impact on federal income tax expense.

      Reserves are reviewed for adequacy on a quarterly basis by the Company with the assistance of internal as well as independent actuaries. When reviewing reserves, the Company analyzes historical data, including per claim information, the Company’s actual loss experience and industry historical loss trends. This process assumes that past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, is an appropriate basis for predicting future events.

      The key assumptions used in management’s selection of ultimate reserves include the underlying actuarial methodologies, a review of current pricing and underwriting initiatives, an evaluation of reinsurance costs and retention levels, and an analysis of claims development. As of December 31, 2002, and subsequent quarters, the Company recorded professional liability reserves based on internal and independent actuarial best estimates.

      The payment of medical professional liability claims often is three to six years after the report of loss. As a result, the ultimate payment can be difficult to project and must be estimated using various actuarial methods. These projections are usually based on an estimated average payment (severity) times a projected total number of claims (frequency). Accordingly, the estimated ultimate severity of losses to be paid has a major impact on actuarial estimates of ultimate losses and thus recorded reserves.

      For the nine months ended September 30, 2003, the Company reported an increase in net ultimate loss estimates for accident years 2002 and prior of $43.3 million, or 7.9% of $546.8 million of net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves at December 31, 2002. The increase in net ultimate loss estimates reflected revisions in the estimated reserves as a result of actual claims activity in calendar year 2003 that differed from projected activity.

      In the third quarter of 2003, a pattern of increasing paid severity emerged on the Company’s medical professional liability losses related to the 1999 through 2002 accident years. In view of this higher than expected trend of average paid severity, the Company’s internal and independent actuaries made significant upward adjustments to their estimated ultimate severities on all claims incurred in these accident years, which had the effect of significantly increasing the projected ultimate loss on these years. Accordingly, recorded reserves on these years were adjusted to match these ultimate loss projections.

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      Activity in the liability for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses by insurance segment for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 was as follows.

                                           
Medical
Professional Workers’ All
Liability Compensation Health Other Segments





(In thousands)
Balance, December 31, 2002
  $ 546,256     $ 80,274     $ 6,850     $ 4,114     $ 637,494  
 
Less, reinsurance recoverables
    81,501       7,282       280       1,610       90,673  
   
   
   
   
   
 
Net reserves, December 31, 2002
    464,755       72,992       6,570       2,504       546,821  
Incurred related to
                                       
 
Current year
    118,242       26,894       15,284             160,420  
 
Prior years
    44,250       (1,400 )     (468 )     931       43,313  
   
   
   
   
   
 
      162,492       25,494       14,816       931       203,733  
   
   
   
   
   
 
Paid related to
                                       
 
Current year
    1,824       7,420       12,443             21,687  
 
Prior years
    113,359       28,656       4,188       1,994       148,197  
   
   
   
   
   
 
      115,183       36,076       16,631       1,994       169,884  
   
   
   
   
   
 
Net reserves, September 30, 2003
    512,064       62,410       4,755       1,441       580,670  
 
Plus, reinsurance recoverables
    88,852       5,879       170       2,565       97,466  
   
   
   
   
   
 
Balance, September 30. 2003
  $ 600,916     $ 68,289     $ 4,925     $ 4,006     $ 678,136  
   
   
   
   
   
 
Development as a % of December 31, 2002 net reserves
    9.5%       -1.9%       -7.1%       37.2%       7.9%  
   
   
   
   
   
 

      The medical professional liability insurance sector is going through a period of unprecedented increases in loss costs. According to the American Medical Association, several states, including many in which the Company operates, are in a medical malpractice crisis. Claim settlements have been increasing significantly, making the projection of ultimate losses increasingly difficult. In addition, due to the long-tail nature of this line of business, changes in the actuarially projected ultimate severity can have a significant impact on the balance of recorded reserves. Medical professional liability reserves are expected to remain volatile for the foreseeable future. Given the current environment, there can be no assurance that additional significant reserve enhancements will not be necessary in the future.

      If the Company is required to run-off its existing workers compensation claim reserves, reserve enhancements may be needed related to this segment in the future also.

      The unearned premium reserve increased $10.2 million, or 9.8%, to $113.6 million at September 30, 2003, as compared to $103.4 million at December 31, 2002. The increase was primarily attributable to the increased volume of direct written premiums in the third quarter of 2003 compared to the fourth quarter of 2002. July is a heavy renewal month for the Company’s medical professional liability segment, which has the effect of increasing the September 30 balance compared to December 31.

      The Company’s total shareholder’s equity decreased $75.9 million to $204.4 million at September 30, 2003 compared to $280.3 million at December 31, 2002. This decrease was related to the repurchase of outstanding common stock of the Company and the net loss for the year, offset by net unrealized appreciation on our investment securities. The market value of our fixed income security portfolio is inversely related to interest rates. Therefore, as interest rates have declined in 2003, the market value of the Company’s fixed income security portfolio has increased. Net unrealized appreciation, net of deferred federal income taxes, on the Company’s investments was $32.3 million at September 30, 2003, an increase of $7.7 million compared to December 31, 2002.

      On September 11, 2003, APCapital’s Board of Directors authorized the Company to purchase an additional 500,000 shares of its outstanding common stock. This brings the total number of shares authorized to be repurchased under publicly announced plans to 3,615,439. During the quarter, the Company purchased

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251,300 shares, at an average price of $28.13, bringing the total number of shares purchased pursuant to these authorizations to 3,175,570, at a total cost of $59,775,000, or an average price per share of $18.82. The Company’s repurchase of any of its shares is subject to limitations that may be imposed by applicable laws and regulations and the rules of the Nasdaq Stock Market. The timing of the purchases and the number of shares to be bought at any one time depend on market conditions and the Company’s capital requirements. As of September 30, 2003, the Company has approximately 440,000 shares of its September 11, 2003 stock repurchase program remaining to be purchased.

      Based on historical trends, market conditions and our business plans, we believe that our existing resources and sources of funds, including the funds raised from the issuance of the Debentures, will be sufficient to meet our short-term and long-term liquidity needs. However, economic, market and regulatory conditions may change, and there can be no assurance that our funds will be sufficient to meet our short-term liquidity needs.

      The Company is contractually obligated by a note payable to an officer, the Debentures, long-term operating leases and other purchase commitments relating to capital expenditures. The following table shows the nature and timing of the Company’s contractual obligations as of September 30, 2003.

                                           
Payments Due by Period

Less Than 1 - 3 3 - 5 More Than
Contractual Obligations Total 1 Year Years Years 5 Years






(In Thousands)
Note payable to officer
  $ 7,000     $ 1,000     $ 2,500     $ 3,500     $  
Operating leases
    6,088       1,367       1,805       1,129       1,787  
Long-term debt
    30,928                         30,928  
Purchase commitments
    500       500                    
   
   
   
   
   
 
 
Total
  $ 44,516     $ 2,867     $ 4,305     $ 4,629     $ 32,715  
   
   
   
   
   
 

Significant Accounting Policies

      The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the accompanying Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and related footnotes. These estimates and assumptions are evaluated on an on-going basis based on historical developments, market conditions, industry trends and other information we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. There can be no assurance that actual results will conform to our estimates and assumptions, and that reported results of operations will not be materially adversely affected by the need to make accounting adjustments to reflect changes in these estimates and assumptions from time to time.

      The policies relating to unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, investments, taxes, reinsurance and the reserve for extended reporting period claims are those we believe to be the most sensitive to estimates and judgments. They are more fully described in Item 7 of our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and in Note 1 to our consolidated financial statements contained in that report. Other than as described below, there have been no material changes to these policies during the most recent quarter.

      The estimate for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses at December 31, 2002 was adjusted to reflect an increase in the severity of paid losses in the third quarter of 2003. See Note 6 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and “Managements Discussion and Analysis of Operating Results and Financial Condition” — “Liquidity, Capital Resources, and Financial Condition” contained elsewhere in this report for further discussion regarding these revised estimates.

      The Company has invested in mortgage-backed interest-only certificates that have been determined to include an embedded derivative financial instrument as defined by SFAS No. 133, “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities.” Changes in the fair value of these derivative financial instruments are recorded as investment income. A key assumption in the determination of the fair value of these instruments is an assumption regarding pre-payment rates. A change in the pre-payment rate assumption could affect the

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pricing of these instruments, which could have a material impact on net income. The Company’s accounting policy for derivative financial instruments is described in Note 1 of the Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements contained elsewhere in this report

Effects of New Accounting Pronouncements

      In November 2002, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued FASB Interpretation No. 45. “Guarantor’s Accounting and Disclosure Requirements for Guarantees of Indebtedness of Others” (“FIN No. 45”). This interpretation clarifies disclosures required to be made by a guarantor in its interim and annual financial statements and requires a guarantor to recognize, at the inception of the guarantee, a liability for the fair value of the obligation undertaken in issuing the guarantee. The provisions of FIN No. 45 pertaining to the recording of a liability are effective for all guarantees entered into, or modified, after December 31, 2002. The disclosure requirements of FIN No. 45 are effective for financial statements of interim or annual periods ending after December 31, 2002. APCapital has issued guarantees in connection with its establishment of trusts and issuance of debentures. The amounts due under the guarantees are also recorded as liabilities in the Company’s consolidated financial statements in accordance with the structure of the transaction. See Note 7 for further details on the nature of the guarantees and the transaction that gave rise to the guarantees.

      In January 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued FASB Interpretation No. 46, “Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities” (“FIN No. 46”). This interpretation addresses consolidation by business enterprises of variable interest entities and is effective immediately for all variable interest entities created after January 31, 2003 and for the fiscal year or interim period beginning after June 15, 2003 for all variable interest entities in which the Company holds a variable interest that it acquired before February 1, 2003. The Company has evaluated certain of its investments, as required by FIN No. 46, and has determined that its investments in statutory trusts used to issue mandatorily redeemable trust preferred securities should not be consolidated. Accordingly, the Company has not consolidated the trusts in the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included elsewhere in this report.

Other

      Subsequent to the close of the third quarter, the Company has received a downgrade in its A.M. Best Company rating from “A-,” which is classified as “Excellent,” to “B++,” which is classified as “Very Good.” Both ratings are considered “secure” ratings by A.M. Best Company.

 
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

General

      Market risk is the risk of loss due to adverse changes in market rates and prices. As of September 30, 2003, the majority of our investment portfolio was invested in fixed maturity securities, which are interest-sensitive assets, and cash and cash equivalents. Accordingly, our primary market risk is exposure to changes in interest rates. The fixed maturity securities primarily consisted of U.S. government and agency bonds, high-quality corporate bonds, high-yield corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities and tax-exempt U.S. municipal bonds.

Qualitative Information About Market Risk

      Investments in our portfolio have varying degrees of risk. The primary market risk exposure to the fixed maturity portfolio is interest rate risk, which is limited somewhat by our management of duration. The distribution of maturities and sector concentrations are monitored on a regular basis.

      At September 30, 2003, approximately 92.0% of our fixed maturity portfolio (excluding approximately $24.5 million of private placement issues) was considered investment grade. Non-investment grade securities typically bear more credit risk than those of investment grade quality. Credit risk is the risk that amounts due the Company by creditors may not ultimately be collected.

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      We periodically review our investment portfolio for any potential credit quality or collection issues and for any securities with respect to which we consider any decline in market value to be other than temporary. Investments which are considered to be OTTI are written down to their estimated net realizable value as of the end of the period. We utilize both quantitative and qualitative evaluation methods to evaluate the potential for OTTI. During the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2003 we recorded an impairment charge of $300,000 and $1.3 million, respectively, on enhanced equipment trust certificates that were issued by Delta Airlines. During the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2002 we recorded an impairment charge of $390,000 related to Frontier bonds. At September 30, 2003, the Company has remaining investments in Frontier and the Delta enhanced equipment trust certificates of $325,000 and $5.4 million, respectively, included in the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet included elsewhere in this report.

      In June 2003, the Company invested approximately $20 million in mortgage-backed securities and allocated an additional $50 million for high-yield corporate bonds and $6 million for equity investments. Through September 30, 2003, approximately $47 million of the high-yield allocation and $5.5 million of the equity allocation had been invested. High-yield corporate bonds are typically not investment grade.

      Approximately $15 million of the mortgage-backed securities purchased are interest-only certificates. Unlike traditional fixed-maturity securities, the fair value of these investments is not inversely related to interest rates, but rather, moves in the same direction as interest rates as the underlying financial instruments are mortgage-backed securities. With mortgage-backed securities, as interest rates rise, prepayments will decrease, which means that the interest-only certificates will generate interest for a longer period of time than originally anticipated, which in turn will increase the market value of these investments.

      In addition, approximately $8 million of these interest-only certificates have an inverse floating rate of interest tied to LIBOR. The Company has determined that these “inverse floating interest-only” certificates contain an embedded derivative as defined by SFAS No. 133. Because the Company cannot readily segregate the fair value of the embedded derivative from the host debt instrument, the entire change in the fair value of these inverse floating interest-only certificates is reported in earnings as investment income. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003, approximately $65,000 and $465,000, respectively, was included in investment income for the change in fair value of the inverse floating interest-only certificates.

Quantitative Information About Market Risk

      At September 30, 2003, our fixed income security portfolio was valued at $686.0 million and had an average modified duration of 3.07 years, compared to a portfolio valued at $618.9 million with an average modified duration of 3.20 years at December 31, 2002. The following table shows the effects of a change in interest rates on the fair value and modified duration of our portfolio. We have assumed an immediate increase or decrease of 1% or 2% in interest rate for illustrative purposes. You should not consider this assumption, or the values shown in the table, to be a prediction of actual future results.

                                                 
September 30, 2003 December 31, 2002


Portfolio Change in Modified Portfolio Change in Modified
Change in Rates Value Value Duration Value Value Duration







(Dollars in thousands)
+2%
  $ 651,643     $ (34,369 )     3.10     $ 581,066     $ (37,833 )     2.94  
+1%
    668,780       (17,232 )     2.92       599,244       (19,655 )     2.97  
0
    686,012               3.07       618,899               3.20  
-1%
    700,695       14,683       2.90       639,729       20,830       3.26  
-2%
    720,402       34,390       2.97       661,713       42,814       3.37  

Item 4.     Controls and Procedures

      As of the end of the period covered by this report, the Company carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of the Company’s management, including its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of the Company’s disclosure

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controls and procedures pursuant to Rule 13a-15 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Based upon that evaluation, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are effective to cause the material information required to be disclosed by the Company in the reports that it files or submits under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 to be recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms. There have been no changes in the Company’s internal controls over financial reporting during the quarter ended September 30, 2003 that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect the Company’s internal controls over financial reporting.

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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
 
Item 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds

      (c) On October 29, 2003, a subsidiary trust of the Company issued $20 million of mandatorily redeemable trust preferred securities (“TPS”) to a trust formed by FTN Financial Capital Markets and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. The Company’s trust received a total of $19.4 million in net proceeds, after the deduction of a total of approximately $600,000 of commissions paid to the placement agent in the transaction. The proceeds were invested in a debenture issued by the Company, as described in “Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Liquidity, Capital Resources and Financial Condition” included elsewhere in this report.

      The Company’s trust sold the TPS in a non-public offering pursuant to Section 4(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or alternatively, in an offshore transaction pursuant to Regulation S. The Company believes these exemptions were available because the TPS was sold in a private transaction to a trust organized outside the United States by an institutional accredited investor sophisticated and experienced with investments similar to the TPS, subject to resale limitations and offering restrictions.

 
Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K

      (a) Exhibits.

         
  4.1     Indenture relating to Floating Rate Junior Subordinated Deferrable Interest Debentures Dated As Of October 29, 2003
  10.1     Amended And Restated Declaration Of Trust Dated As Of October 29, 2003 by and among U.S. Bank National Association, American Physicians Capital, Inc., William B. Cheeseman and Frank H. Freund
  10.2     Placement Agreement, dated October 16, 2003 between the Company, American Physicians Capital Statutory Trust III, FTN Financial Capital Markets and Keefe Bruyette & Woods, Inc.
  10.3     Guarantee Agreement Dated As Of October 29, 2003 by and between U.S. Bank National Association and American Physicians Capital, Inc.
  31.1     Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
  31.2     Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
  32     Certification of Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 and Rule 13a-14(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

      (b) Reports on Form 8-K.

      The Company filed reports on Form 8-K on (1) July 16, 2003, disclosing under Items 7 and 9 that it had issued a press release announcing the resignation of Raymond Jacobsen, Chief Executive Officer of the Company’s workers’ compensation business unit; (2) August 7, 2003, disclosing under Items 9 and 12 that it had issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2003 and certain other information; and (3) September 9, 2003, disclosing under Items 7 and 9 that it had issued a press release announcing its participation in a panel discussion at the Sandler O’Neill Insurance Conference. The information included in these reports was considered furnished rather than filed. No financial statements were filed with these reports.

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SIGNATURES

      Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

Date: November 14, 2003

  AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC.

  By:  /s/ WILLIAM B. CHEESEMAN
 
  William B. Cheeseman
  Its: President and Chief Executive Officer

  By:  /s/ FRANK H. FREUND
 
  Frank H. Freund
  Its: Executive Vice President, Treasurer,
  Chief Financial Officer and
  principal accounting officer

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EXHIBIT INDEX
         
Exhibit No. Exhibit Description


  4.1     Indenture relating to Floating Rate Junior Subordinated Deferrable Interest Debentures Dated As Of October 29, 2003
  10.1     Amended And Restated Declaration Of Trust Dated As Of October 29, 2003 by and among U.S. Bank National Association, American Physicians Capital, Inc., William B. Cheeseman and Frank H. Freund
  10.2     Placement Agreement, dated October 16, 2003 between the Company, American Physicians Capital Statutory Trust III, FTN Financial Capital Markets and Keefe Bruyette & Woods, Inc.
  10.3     Guarantee Agreement Dated As Of October 29, 2003 by and between U.S. Bank National Association and American Physicians Capital, Inc.
  31.1     Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
  31.2     Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
  32     Certification of Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 and Rule 13a-14(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

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