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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
[X] Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2003 or
[ ] Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the transition period from to
Commission File Number 0-23577
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware 13-3461507
(State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization) Identification No.)
Demeter Management Corporation
825 Third Avenue, 9th Floor
New York, NY 10022
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
Registrant?s telephone number, including area code (212) 310-6444
(Former name, former address, and former fiscal year, if changed
since last report)
Indicate by check-mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all
reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or
for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file
such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing
requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes X No___________
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
INDEX TO QUARTERLY REPORT ON FORM 10-Q
June 30, 2003
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
Statements of Financial Condition as of June 30, 2003
(Unaudited) and December 31, 2002......................... 2
Statements of Operations for the Quarters Ended
June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited)........................ 3
Statements of Operations for the Six Months Ended
June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited) ....................... 4
Statements of Changes in Partners? Capital for the Six
Months Ended June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited)........... 5
Statements of Cash Flows for the Six Months Ended
June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited) ....................... 6
Notes to Financial Statements (Unaudited).............. 7-11
Item 2. Management?s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations...... 12-21
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about
Market Risk........................................ 22-34
Item 4. Controls and Procedures.............................34-35
Part II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings..................................... 36
Item 5. Other Information................................... . 36
Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K................... 36-37
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
June 30, December 31,
2003 2002
$ $
(Unaudited)
ASSETS
Equity in futures interests trading accounts:
Cash 90,586,298 83,241,952
Net unrealized gain on open contracts (MS&Co.) 349,139 10,768,357
Net unrealized loss on open contracts (MSIL) (1,707,760) (2,180,109)
Total net unrealized gain (loss) on open contracts (1,358,621) 8,588,248
Total Trading Equity 89,227,677 91,830,200
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) 71,197 70,114
Total Assets 89,298,874 91,900,314
LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS? CAPITAL
Liabilities
Redemptions payable 362,852 692,350
Accrued management fees (MSFCM) 259,196 217,560
Administrative expenses payable 155,775 156,707
Total Liabilities 777,823 1,066,617
Partners? Capital
Limited Partners (55,237.812 and
57,734.961 Units, respectively) 87,580,451 88,266,372
General Partner (593.245 and
1,679.285 Units, respectively) 940,600 2,567,325
Total Partners? Capital 88,521,051 90,833,697
Total Liabilities and Partners? Capital 89,298,874 91,900,314
NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT 1,585.52 1,528.82
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
For the Quarters Ended June 30,
2003 2002
$ $
REVENUES
Trading profit (loss):
Realized (3,498,006) (814,222)
Net change in unrealized (1,702,476) 17,508,713
Total Trading Results (5,200,482) 16,694,491
Interest income (Morgan Stanley DW) 227,388 270,369
Total (4,973,094) 16,964,860
EXPENSES
Brokerage commissions (Morgan Stanley DW) 1,379,869 1,081,786
Management fees (MSFCM) 754,105 581,561
Transaction fees and costs 66,803 55,736
Administrative expenses 48,000 37,000
Incentive fees (MSFCM) 13,123 1,067,053
Total 2,261,900 2,823,136
NET INCOME (LOSS) (7,234,994) 14,141,724
NET INCOME (LOSS) ALLOCATION
Limited Partners (7,159,060) 13,765,771
General Partner (75,934) 375,953
NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT
Limited Partners (130.41) 223.88
General Partner (130.41) 223.88
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
For the Six Months Ended June 30,
2003 2002
$ $
REVENUES
Trading profit (loss):
Realized 19,089,540 4,116,779
Net change in unrealized (9,946,869) 14,330,425
Total Trading Results 9,142,671 18,447,204
Interest income (Morgan Stanley DW) 465,967 544,472
Total 9,608,638 18,991,676
EXPENSES
Brokerage commissions (Morgan Stanley DW) 2,722,362 2,011,968
Management fees (MSFCM) 1,515,266 1,172,691
Incentive fees (MSFCM) 1,179,242 1,068,154
Transaction fees and costs 118,707 101,264
Administrative expenses 104,000 73,000
Total 5,639,577 4,427,077
NET INCOME 3,969,061 14,564,599
NET INCOME ALLOCATION
Limited Partners 3,730,786 14,178,005
General Partner 238,275 386,594
NET INCOME PER UNIT
Limited Partners 56.70 230.21
General Partner 56.70 230.21
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS? CAPITAL
For the Six Months Ended June 30, 2003 and 2002
(Unaudited)
Units of
Partnership Limited General
Interest Partners Partner Total
$ $ $
Partners? Capital,
December 31, 2001 66,306.118 76,936,169 1,999,135 78,935,304
Net Income ? 14,178,005 386,594 14,564,599
Redemptions (3,919.434) (4,868,301) ? (4,868,301)
Partners? Capital,
June 30, 2002 62,386.684 86,245,873 2,385,729 88,631,602
Partners? Capital,
December 31, 2002 59,414.246 88,266,372 2,567,325 90,833,697
Net Income ? 3,730,786 238,275 3,969,061
Redemptions (3,583.189) (4,416,707) (1,865,000) (6,281,707)
Partners? Capital,
June 30, 2003 55,831.057 87,580,451 940,600 88,521,051
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited)
For the Six Months Ended June 30,
2003 2002
$ $
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net income 3,969,061 14,564,599
Noncash item included in net income:
Net change in unrealized 9,946,869 (14,330,425)
(Increase) decrease in operating assets:
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) (1,083) 9,552
Due from Morgan Stanley DW ? (28,313)
Increase (decrease) in operating liabilities:
Accrued management fees (MSFCM) 41,636 (5,611)
Administrative expenses payable (932) (43,539)
Accrued incentive fees (MSFCM) ? 1,067,053
Net cash provided by operating activities 13,955,551 1,233,316
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Increase (decrease) in redemptions payable (329,498) 52,527
Redemptions of Units (6,281,707) (4,868,301)
Net cash used for financing activities (6,611,205) (4,815,774)
Net increase (decrease) in cash 7,344,346 (3,582,458)
Balance at beginning of period 83,241,952 80,874,098
Balance at end of period 90,586,298 77,291,640
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
June 30, 2003
(Unaudited)
The unaudited financial statements contained herein include, in
the opinion of management, all adjustments necessary for a fair
presentation of the results of operations and financial condition
of Dean Witter Diversified Futures Fund Limited Partnership (the
?Partnership?). The financial statements and condensed notes
herein should be read in conjunction with the Partnership?s
December 31, 2002 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
1. Organization
Dean Witter Diversified Futures Fund Limited Partnership is a
Delaware limited partnership organized to engage primarily in the
speculative trading of futures contracts and forward contracts on
physical commodities, and other commodity interests, including,
but not limited to, foreign currencies, financial instruments,
metals, energy and agricultural products (collectively, ?futures
interests?).
The Partnership?s general partner is Demeter Management
Corporation (?Demeter?). The non-clearing commodity broker is
Morgan Stanley DW Inc. (?Morgan Stanley DW?). The clearing
commodity brokers are Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated (?MS &
Co.?) and Morgan Stanley & Co. International Limited (?MSIL?).
The trading manager is Morgan Stanley Futures & Currency
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
Management Inc. (?MSFCM? or the ?Trading Manager?). Demeter,
Morgan Stanley DW, MS & Co., MSIL and MSFCM are wholly-owned
subsidiaries of Morgan Stanley.
2. Related Party Transactions
The Partnership?s cash is on deposit with Morgan Stanley DW, MS &
Co. and MSIL in futures and forwards trading accounts to meet
margin requirements as needed. Morgan Stanley DW pays interest on
these funds based on a prevailing rate on U.S. Treasury bills.
The Partnership pays brokerage commissions to Morgan Stanley DW.
Management fees and incentive fees, if any, incurred by the
Partnership are paid to MSFCM.
3. Financial Instruments
The Partnership trades futures contracts and forward contracts on
physical commodities and other commodity interests, including,
but not limited to, foreign currencies, financial instruments,
metals, energy, and agricultural products. Futures and forwards
represent contracts for delayed delivery of an instrument at a
specified date and price. Risk arises from changes in the value
of these contracts and the potential inability of counterparties
to perform under the terms of the contracts. There are numerous
factors which may significantly influence the market value of
these contracts, including interest rate volatility.
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
The market value of contracts is based on closing prices quoted by
the exchange, bank or clearing firm through which the contracts
are traded.
The Partnership?s contracts are accounted for on a trade-date
basis and marked to market on a daily basis. The Partnership
accounts for its derivative investments in accordance with the
provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133,
?Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities?
(?SFAS No. 133?). SFAS No. 133 defines a derivative as a
financial instrument or other contract that has all three of the
following characteristics:
1) One or more underlying notional amounts or payment
provisions;
2) Requires no initial net investment or a smaller initial net
investment than would be required relative to changes in
market factors;
3) Terms require or permit net settlement.
Generally, derivatives include futures, forward, swaps or options
contracts and other financial instruments with similar
characteristics such as caps, floors and collars.
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
The net unrealized gains (losses) on open contracts, reported as a
component of ?Equity in futures interests trading accounts? on the
statements of financial condition, and their longest contract
maturities were as follows:
Net Unrealized Gains (Losses)
on Open Contracts Longest Maturities
Exchange- Off-Exchange- Exchange- Off-Exchange-
Date Traded Traded Total Traded Traded
$ $ $
Jun. 30, 2003 (4,185,843) 2,827,222 (1,358,621) Mar. 2005 Sep. 2003
Dec. 31, 2002 394,708 8,193,540 8,588,248 Sep. 2004 Apr. 2003
The Partnership has credit risk associated with counterparty non-
performance. The credit risk associated with the instruments in
which the Partnership is involved is limited to the amounts
reflected in the Partnership?s statements of financial condition.
The Partnership also has credit risk because Morgan Stanley DW, MS
& Co., and MSIL act as the futures commission merchants or the
counterparties with respect to most of the Partnership?s assets.
Exchange-traded futures contracts are marked to market on a daily
basis, with variations in value settled on a daily basis. Morgan
Stanley DW, MS & Co. and MSIL, each as a futures commission
merchant for the Partnership?s exchange-traded futures contracts,
are required, pursuant to regulations of the Commodity Futures
Trading Commission (?CFTC?), to segregate from their own assets,
DEAN WITTER DIVERSIFIED FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONCLUDED)
and for the sole benefit of their commodity customers, all funds
held by them with respect to exchange-traded futures contracts,
including an amount equal to the net unrealized gains (losses) on
all open futures contracts, which funds, in the aggregate, totaled
$86,400,455 and $83,636,660 at June 30, 2003 and December 31,
2002, respectively. With respect to the Partnership?s off-
exchange-traded forward currency contracts, there are no daily
settlements of variations in value nor is there any requirement
that an amount equal to the net unrealized gains (losses) on open
forward contracts be segregated. With respect to those off-
exchange-traded forward currency contracts, the Partnership is at
risk to the ability of MS & Co., the sole counterparty on all of
such contracts, to perform. The Partnership has a netting
agreement with MS & Co. This agreement, which seeks to reduce
both the Partnership?s and MS & Co.?s exposure on off-exchange-
traded forward currency contracts, should materially decrease the
Partnership?s credit risk in the event of MS & Co.?s bankruptcy or
insolvency.
Item 2. MANAGEMENT?S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL
CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Liquidity. The Partnership deposits its assets with Morgan
Stanley DW as non-clearing broker and MS & Co. and MSIL as
clearing brokers in separate futures and forwards trading accounts
established for the Trading Manager, which assets are used as
margin to engage in trading. The assets are held in either non-
interest bearing bank accounts or in securities and instruments
permitted by the CFTC for investment of customer segregated or
secured funds. The Partnership?s assets held by the commodity
brokers may be used as margin solely for the Partnership?s
trading. Since the Partnership?s sole purpose is to trade in
futures and forwards, it is expected that the Partnership will
continue to own such liquid assets for margin purposes.
The Partnership?s investment in futures and forwards may, from
time to time, be illiquid. Most U.S. futures exchanges limit
fluctuations in prices during a single day by regulations referred
to as ?daily price fluctuations limits? or ?daily limits?. Trades
may not be executed at prices beyond the daily limit. If the
price for a particular futures contract has increased or decreased
by an amount equal to the daily limit, positions in that futures
contract can neither be taken nor liquidated unless traders are
willing to effect trades at or within the limit. Futures prices
have occasionally moved the daily limit for several consecutive
days with little or no trading. These market conditions could
prevent the Partnership from promptly liquidating its
futures contracts and result in restrictions on redemptions.
There is no limitation on daily price moves in trading forward
contracts on foreign currencies. The markets for some world
currencies have low trading volume and are illiquid, which may
prevent the Partnership from trading in potentially profitable
markets or prevent the Partnership from promptly liquidating
unfavorable positions in such markets, subjecting it to
substantial losses. Either of these market conditions could
result in restrictions on redemptions.
The Partnership has never had illiquidity affect a material
portion of its assets. Furthermore, there are no material
trends, demands, commitments, events or uncertainties known at the
present time that will result in, or that are reasonably likely to
result in, the Partnership?s liquidity increasing or decreasing in
any material way.
Capital Resources. The Partnership does not have, nor expect to
have, any capital assets. Redemptions of additional units of
limited partnership interest (?Unit(s)?) in the future will affect
the amount of funds available for investment in futures and
forwards in subsequent periods. It is not possible to estimate
the amount, and therefore the impact, of future redemptions of
Units.
There are no known material trends, favorable or
unfavorable, that would affect, nor any expected material changes
to, the Partnership?s capital resource arrangements at the present
time. The Partnership has no off-balance sheet arrangements, nor
contractual obligations or commercial commitments to make future
payments that would affect the Partnership?s liquidity or capital
resources. The contracts traded by the Partnership are accounted
for on a trade-date basis and marked to market on a daily basis.
The value of futures contracts is the settlement price on the
exchange on which that futures contract is traded on a particular
day and the value of foreign currency forward contracts is based
on the spot rate as of the close of business, New York City time,
on a given day.
Results of Operations
General. The Partnership?s results depend on the Trading Manager
and the ability of the Trading Manager?s trading programs to take
advantage of price movements or other profit opportunities in the
futures and forwards markets. The following presents a summary
of the Partnership?s operations for the three and six month
periods ended June 30, 2003 and 2002 and a general discussion of
its trading activities during each period. It is important to
note, however, that the Trading Manager trades in various markets
at different times and that prior activity in a particular market
does not mean that such market will be actively traded by the
Trading Manager or will be profitable in the future.
Consequently, the results of operations of the Partnership are
difficult to discuss other than in the context of the
Trading Manager?s trading activities on behalf of the Partnership
and how the Partnership has performed in the past.
The Partnership?s results of operations set forth in the financial
statements on pages 2 through 11 of this report were prepared in
accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the
United States of America, which require the use of certain
accounting policies that affect the amounts reported in these
financial statements, including the following: The contracts the
Partnership trades are accounted for on a trade-date basis and
marked to market on a daily basis. The difference between their
cost and market value is recorded on the Statements of Operations
as ?Net change in unrealized profit/loss? for open (unrealized)
contracts, and recorded as ?Realized profit/loss? when open
positions are closed out, and the sum of these amounts constitutes
the Partnership?s trading revenues. Interest income revenue, as
well as management fees, incentive fees and brokerage commission
expenses of the Partnership are recorded on an accrual basis.
Demeter believes that, based on the nature of the operations of
the Partnership, no assumptions relating to the application of
critical accounting policies other than those presently used could
reasonably affect reported amounts.
For the Quarter and Six Months Ended June 30, 2003
For the quarter ended June 30, 2003, the Partnership recorded
total trading losses, net of interest income, of $4,973,094
and posted a decrease in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant losses of approximately 5.0% were recorded in the
metals markets during April and May from short positions in
aluminum, nickel and copper futures as prices reversed higher amid
renewed optimism concerning future growth in industrial demand and
a rebound in U.S. equity prices. During June, losses in this
sector resulted from long positions in aluminum futures as prices
declined in anticipation of an interest rate cut by the U.S.
Federal Reserve. Additional losses of approximately 1.7% were
recorded in the energy markets from long positions in natural gas
futures as prices reversed sharply lower following news of larger-
than-expected U.S. reserves. Smaller losses of approximately 1.1%
were recorded in the agricultural markets during May from short
positions in corn futures as prices moved higher amid concerns of
weather related crop damage in the U.S. midwest. A portion of the
Partnership?s overall losses was offset by gains of approximately
0.9% in the currency markets primarily during April and May from
long positions in the Australian dollar versus the U.S. dollar as
the value of the Australian currency strengthened amid significant
interest rate differentials, uncertainty regarding the Bush
Administration?s economic policy, renewed fears of potential
terrorist attacks against American interests, and investor
preference for non-U.S. dollar denominated assets. Elsewhere in
the currency markets, gains were recorded from long positions in
the euro versus the Japanese yen and the British pound as
the value of the euro continued to trend higher following the
decision by the European Central Bank to leave interest rates
unchanged. Additional gains of approximately 0.9% in the global
stock index markets were recorded during May and June from long
positions in S&P 500 Index futures as equity prices rallied in
response to renewed expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut and
the release of positive economic data. Total expenses for the
three months ended June 30, 2003 were $2,261,900, resulting in a
net loss of $7,234,994. The net asset value of a Unit decreased
from $1,715.93 at March 31, 2003 to $1,585.52 at June 30, 2003.
For the six months ended June 30, 2003, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $9,608,638
and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit. Gains of
approximately 7.0% were recorded in the energy markets, primarily
during January and February from long positions in natural gas
futures as prices trended higher in response to prolonged frigid
temperatures in the northeastern and midwestern United States.
Additional gains were recorded from long positions in crude oil
futures as prices increased amid the looming threat of military
action against Iraq and an overall decline in inventories. In the
currency markets, gains of approximately 5.5% were produced from
short positions in the British pound versus the euro as the value
of the pound decreased due to weak economic data out of the U.K
and an interest rate cut by the Bank of England. Additional gains
were recorded from long positions in the Australian dollar versus
the U.S. dollar as the value of the Australian currency
increased on the heels of higher commodity prices. During May,
gains resulted from long positions in the euro versus the Japanese
yen as the value of the euro continued to trend higher following
the European Central Bank?s decision to leave interest rates
unchanged. Gains of approximately 2.5% were established in the
global interest rate markets from long positions in European and
U.S. interest rate futures as prices continued to trend higher
amid continued uncertainty in the global equity markets, investor
demand for fixed income investments, and speculation of an
interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. In the global
stock index markets, gains of approximately 1.0% resulted from
long positions in S&P 500 Index futures as equity prices rallied
during May and June in response to the prospect of lower interest
rates, the release of positive economic data, and renewed
expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut. A portion of the
Partnership?s overall gains was offset by losses of approximately
4.9% recorded in the metals markets, primarily during May and
June, from short positions in aluminum, copper, and nickel futures
resulted in losses as prices reversed higher, buoyed by a rebound
in U.S. equity prices and hopes for increased industrial demand.
In the agricultural markets, losses of approximately 2.1% were
experienced during May from short positions in corn futures as
prices moved higher early in the month amid concerns of weather
related crop damage in the U.S. midwest. Total expenses for the
six months ended June 30, 2003 were $5,639,577, resulting in net
income of $3,969,061. The net asset value of a Unit
increased from $1,528.82 at December 31, 2002 to $1,585.52 at
June 30, 2003.
For the Quarter and Six Months ended June 30, 2002
For the quarter ended June 30, 2002, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $16,964,860
and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant gains of approximately 27.1% were recorded in the
currency markets primarily during May and June from previously
established long positions in the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, euro
and Swedish krona relative to the U.S. dollar as the value of
these currencies strengthened against the U.S. dollar amid
falling equity prices, concerns regarding corporate accounting
integrity and weak U.S. economic data. Significant currency
gains were also recorded from long positions in the euro relative
to the British pound. Additional gains of approximately 5.2%
were recorded in the global interest rate futures markets
primarily during June from long positions in Japanese and German
interest rate futures as prices trended higher following weakness
in the U.S. equity markets, geopolitical concerns and uncertainty
surrounding a global economic recovery. A portion of the
Partnership?s gains was offset by losses of approximately 7.3%
recorded in the energy markets primarily during May from
previously established long futures positions in crude oil and
its related products as prices moved lower on supply and demand
concerns. Additional losses of approximately 2.6% were recorded
in the metals market primarily during April from short
positions in aluminum futures as prices climbed higher on
sentiment that an improving U.S. economy would boost demand.
Total expenses for the three months ended June 30, 2002 were
$2,823,136, resulting in net income of $14,141,724. The net
asset value of a Unit increased from $1,196.80 at March 31, 2002
to $1,420.68 at June 30, 2002.
For the six months ended June 30, 2002, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $18,991,676
and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant gains of approximately 17.1% were recorded in the
currency markets primarily during May and June from previously
established long positions in the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, euro
and Swedish krona relative to the U.S. dollar as the value of
these currencies strengthened against the U.S. dollar amid
falling equity prices, concerns regarding corporate accounting
integrity, and weak U.S. economic data. Significant currency
gains were also recorded from long positions in the euro relative
to the British pound. Additional gains of approximately 4.7%
were recorded in the global interest rate futures markets
primarily during June from long positions in Japanese and German
interest rate futures as prices trended higher following weakness
in U.S. equity markets, geopolitical concerns and uncertainty
surrounding a global economic recovery. Gains of approximately
1.3% were recorded in the energy markets primarily during March
from previously established long positions in crude oil futures
as prices trended higher amid escalating Middle East
tensions and supply and demand factors. A portion of the
Partnership?s gains was offset by losses of approximately 3.1%
recorded in the metals markets primarily during April from short
positions in aluminum futures as prices climbed higher on
sentiment that an improving U.S. economy would boost demand.
Total expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2002 were
$4,427,077, resulting in net income of $14,564,599. The net
asset value of a Unit increased from $1,190.47 at December 31,
2001 to $1,420.68 at June 30, 2002.
Item 3.QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT
MARKET RISK
Introduction
The Partnership is a commodity pool engaged primarily in the
speculative trading of futures and forwards. The market-
sensitive instruments held by the Partnership are acquired for
speculative trading purposes only and, as a result, all or
substantially all of the Partnership?s assets are at risk of
trading loss. Unlike an operating company, the risk of market-
sensitive instruments is central, not incidental, to the
Partnership?s main business activities.
The futures and forwards traded by the Partnership involve
varying degrees of related market risk. Market risk is often
dependent upon changes in the level or volatility of interest
rates, exchange rates, and prices of financial instruments and
commodities. Fluctuations in market risk based upon these
factors result in frequent changes in the fair value of the
Partnership?s open positions, and consequently, in its earnings
and cash flow.
The Partnership?s total market risk is influenced by a wide
variety of factors, including the diversification among the
Partnership?s open positions, the volatility present within the
markets, and the liquidity of the markets. At different times,
each of these factors may act to increase or decrease the market
risk associated with the Partnership.
The Partnership?s past performance is not necessarily
indicative of its future results. Any attempt to numerically
quantify the Partnership?s market risk is limited by the
uncertainty of its speculative trading. The Partnership?s
speculative trading may cause future losses and volatility (i.e.,
?risk of ruin?) that far exceed the Partnership?s experience to
date or any reasonable expectations based upon historical changes
in market value.
Quantifying the Partnership?s Trading Value at Risk
The following quantitative disclosures regarding the Partnership?s
market risk exposures contain ?forward-looking statements? within
the meaning of the safe harbor from civil liability provided for
such statements by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995 (set forth in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and
Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934). All
quantitative disclosures in this section are deemed to be forward-
looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor, except for
statements of historical fact.
The Partnership accounts for open positions on the basis of mark-
to-market accounting principles. Any loss in the market value of
the Partnership?s open positions is directly reflected in the
Partnership?s earnings, whether realized or unrealized, and its
cash flow. Profits and losses on open positions of exchange-
traded futures and forwards are settled daily through variation
margin.
The Partnership?s risk exposure in the market sectors
traded by the Trading Manager is estimated below in terms of Value
at Risk (?VaR?). The VaR model used by the Partnership includes
many variables that could change the market value of the
Partnership?s trading portfolio. The Partnership estimates VaR
using a model based upon historical simulation with a confidence
level of 99%. Historical simulation involves constructing a
distribution of hypothetical daily changes in the value of a
trading portfolio. The VaR model takes into account linear
exposures to price and interest rate risk. Market risks that are
incorporated in the VaR model include equity and commodity prices,
interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and correlation among
these variables. The hypothetical changes in portfolio value are
based on daily percentage changes observed in key market indices
or other market factors (?market risk factors?) to which the
portfolio is sensitive. The historical observation period of the
Partnership?s VaR is approximately four years. The one-day 99%
confidence level of the Partnership?s VaR corresponds to the
negative change in portfolio value that, based on observed market
risk factors, would have been exceeded once in 100 trading days.
In other words, one-day VaR for a portfolio is a number such that
losses in this portfolio are estimated to exceed the VaR only one
day in 100. VaR typically does not represent the worst-case
outcome.
VaR is calculated using historical simulation. Demeter uses
approximately four years of daily market data (1,000 observations)
and revalues its portfolio (using delta-gamma
approximations) for each of the historical market moves that
occurred over this time period. This generates a probability
distribution of daily ?simulated profit and loss? outcomes. The
VaR is the appropriate percentile of this distribution. For
example, the 99% one-day VaR would represent the 10th worst outcome
from Demeter?s simulated profit and loss series.
The Partnership?s VaR computations are based on the risk
representation of the underlying benchmark for each instrument or
contract and do not distinguish between exchange and non-
exchange-traded instruments and are also not based on exchange
and/or dealer-based margin requirements.
VaR models, including the Partnership?s, are continuously
evolving as trading portfolios become more diverse and modeling
techniques and systems capabilities improve. Please note that
the VaR model is used to numerically quantify market risk for
historic reporting purposes only and is not utilized by either
Demeter or the Trading Manager in their daily risk management
activities. Please further note that VaR as described above may
not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other
entities.
The Partnership?s Value at Risk in Different Market Sectors
The following table indicates the VaR associated with the
Partnership?s open positions as a percentage of total net assets
by primary market risk category at June 30, 2003 and 2002.
At both June 30, 2003 and 2002, the Partnership?s total
capitalization was approximately $89 million.
Primary Market June 30, 2003 June 30, 2002
Risk Category Value at Risk Value at Risk
Interest Rate (2.07)% (3.02)%
Currency (0.81) (2.77)
Equity (0.37) (0.16)
Commodity (1.92) (0.97)
Aggregate Value at Risk (2.94)% (4.18)%
The VaR for a market category represents the one-day downside risk
for the aggregate exposures associated with this market category.
The Aggregate Value at Risk above represents the VaR of the
Partnership?s open positions across all the market categories, and
is less than the sum of the VaRs for all such market categories
due to the diversification benefit across asset classes.
The table above represents the VaR of the Partnership?s open
positions at June 30, 2003 and 2002 only and is not necessarily
representative of either the historic or future risk of an
investment in the Partnership. Because the Partnership?s only
business is the speculative trading of futures and forwards, the
composition of its trading portfolio can change significantly over
any given time period, or even within a single trading day. Any
changes in open positions could positively or negatively
materially impact market risk as measured by VaR.
The table below supplements the quarter-end VaR by
presenting the Partnership?s high, low and average VaR, as a
percentage of total net assets for the four quarterly reporting
periods from July 1, 2002 through June 30, 2003.
Primary Market Risk Category High Low Average
Interest Rate (2.52)% (1.16)% (1.78)%
Currency (3.42) (0.81) (2.01)
Equity (0.37) - (0.10)
Commodity (2.48) (1.76) (2.11)
Aggregate Value at Risk (4.78)% (2.88)% (3.52)%
Limitations on Value at Risk as an Assessment of Market Risk
The face value of the market sector instruments held by the
Partnership is typically many times the applicable margin
requirements. Margin requirements generally range between 2% and
15% of contract face value. Additionally, the use of leverage
causes the face value of the market sector instruments held by the
Partnership to typically be many times the total capitalization of
the Partnership. The value of the Partnership?s open positions
thus creates a ?risk of ruin? not typically found in other
investments. The relative size of the positions held may cause
the Partnership to incur losses greatly in excess of VaR within a
short period of time, given the effects of the leverage employed
and market volatility. The VaR tables above, as well as the past
performance of the Partnership, give no indication of such ?risk
of ruin?. In addition, VaR risk measures should be viewed
in light of the methodology?s limitations, which include the
following:
* past changes in market risk factors will not always result in
accurate predictions of the distributions and correlations of
future market movements;
* changes in portfolio value caused by market movements may
differ from those of the VaR model;
* VaR results reflect past trading positions while future risk
depends on future positions;
* VaR using a one-day time horizon does not fully capture the
market risk of positions that cannot be liquidated or hedged
within one day; and
* the historical market risk factor data used for VaR estimation
may provide only limited insight into losses that could be
incurred under certain unusual market movements.
The VaR tables above present the results of the Partnership?s VaR
for each of the Partnership?s market risk exposures and on an
aggregate basis at June 30, 2003 and 2002, and for the end of the
four quarterly reporting periods from July 1, 2002 through
June 30, 2003. Since VaR is based on historical data, VaR should
not be viewed as predictive of the Partnership?s future financial
performance or its ability to manage or monitor risk. There can
be no assurance that the Partnership?s actual losses on a
particular day will not exceed the VaR amounts indicated above or
that such losses will not occur more than once in 100
trading days.
Non-Trading Risk
The Partnership has non-trading market risk on its foreign cash
balances not needed for margin. These balances and any market
risk they may represent are immaterial.
At June 30, 2003, the Partnership?s cash balance at Morgan
Stanley DW was approximately 102% of its total net asset value.
A decline in short-term interest rates will result in a decline
in the Partnership?s cash management income. This cash flow risk
is not considered to be material.
Materiality, as used throughout this section, is based on an
assessment of reasonably possible market movements and any
associated potential losses, taking into account the leverage,
optionality and multiplier features of the Partnership?s market-
sensitive instruments, in relation to the Partnership?s net
assets.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Primary Trading Risk Exposures
The following qualitative disclosures regarding the Partnership?s
market risk exposures - except for (A) those disclosures that are
statements of historical fact and (B) the descriptions of how the
Partnership manages its primary market risk exposures -
constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of
Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act. The Partnership?s primary market risk
exposures as well as the strategies used and to be used by
Demeter and the Trading Manager for managing such exposures are
subject to numerous uncertainties, contingencies and risks, any
one of which could cause the actual results of the Partnership?s
risk controls to differ materially from the objectives of such
strategies. Government interventions, defaults and expropria-
tions, illiquid markets, the emergence of dominant fundamental
factors, political upheavals, changes in historical price
relationships, an influx of new market participants, increased
regulation and many other factors could result in material losses
as well as in material changes to the risk exposures and the risk
management strategies of the Partnership. Investors must be
prepared to lose all or substantially all of their investment in
the Partnership.
The following were the primary trading risk exposures of the
Partnership at June 30, 2003, by market sector. It may be
anticipated, however, that these market exposures will vary
materially over time.
Interest Rate. The primary market exposure at June 30, 2003 was
to the global interest rate complex. Exposure was primarily
spread across the Japanese, European and U.S. interest rate
sectors. Interest rate movements directly affect the price of the
sovereign bond futures positions held by the Partnership and
indirectly affect the value of its stock index and
currency positions. Interest rate movements in one country, as
well as relative interest rate movements between countries,
materially impact the Partnership?s profitability. The
Partnership?s primary interest rate exposure is generally to
interest rate fluctuations in the U.S. and the other G-7
countries. The G-7 countries consist of France, the U.S.,
Britain, Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada. However, the
Partnership also takes futures positions in the government debt
of smaller nations - e.g., Australia. Demeter anticipates that
G-7 countries and Australian interest rates will remain the
primary interest rate exposure of the Partnership for the
foreseeable future. The speculative futures positions held by
the Partnership may range from short to long-term instruments.
Consequently, changes in short, medium or long-term interest
rates may have an effect on the Partnership.
Currency. The second largest market exposure of the Partnership
at June 30, 2003 was to the currency sector. The Partnership?s
currency exposure is to exchange rate fluctuations, primarily
fluctuations which disrupt the historical pricing relationships
between different currencies and currency pairs. Interest rate
changes as well as political and general economic conditions
influence these fluctuations. The Partnership trades a large
number of currencies, including cross-rates - i.e., positions
between two currencies other than the U.S. dollar. At June 30,
2003, the Partnership?s major exposures were to the euro,
Japanese yen and British pound currency crosses and
outright U.S. dollar positions. Outright positions consist of
the U.S. dollar vs. other currencies. These other currencies
include major and minor currencies. Demeter does not anticipate
that the risk profile of the Partnership?s currency sector will
change significantly in the future. The currency trading VaR
figure includes foreign margin amounts converted into U.S.
dollars with an incremental adjustment to reflect the exchange
rate risk inherent to the U.S.-based Partnership in expressing
VaR in a functional currency other than U.S. dollars.
Equity. The Partnership?s primary equity exposure at June 30,
2003 was to equity price risk in the G-7 countries. The stock
index futures traded by the Partnership are by law limited to
futures on broadly-based indices. At June 30, 2003, the
Partnership?s exposure was primarily to the S&P 500 (U.S.) stock
index. The Partnership is primarily exposed to the risk of
adverse price trends or static markets in the U.S. and Japanese
stock indices. Static markets would not cause major market
changes but would make it difficult for the Partnership to avoid
being ?whipsawed? into numerous small losses.
Commodity.
Energy. At June 30, 2003, the Partnership?s energy exposure
was primarily to futures contracts in crude oil. Price
movements in this market result from political developments
in the Middle East, weather patterns and other economic
fundamentals. Significant profits and losses, which
have been experienced in the past, are expected to continue
to be experienced in the future.
Soft Commodities and Agriculturals. At June 30, 2003, the
Partnership had exposure to the markets that comprise these
sectors. Most of the exposure was to the coffee and corn
markets. Supply and demand inequalities, severe weather
disruptions and market expectations affect price movements
in these markets.
Metals. The Partnership's metals exposure at June 30, 2003
was to fluctuations in the price of base metals, such as
zinc. Economic forces, supply and demand inequalities,
geopolitical factors and market expectations influence price
movements in these markets. The Trading Manager, from time
to time, takes positions as market opportunities develop and
Demeter anticipates that the Partnership will continue to do
so.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Non-Trading Risk Exposure
The following was the only non-trading risk exposure of the
Partnership at June 30, 2003:
Foreign Currency Balances. The Partnership?s primary foreign
currency balance at June 30, 2003 was in Japanese yen. The
Partnership controls the non-trading risk of these balances
by regularly converting them back into U.S. dollars
upon liquidation of their respective positions.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Means of Managing Risk Exposure
The Partnership and the Trading Manager, separately, attempt to
manage the risk of the Partnership?s open positions in essentially
the same manner in all market categories traded. Demeter attempts
to manage market exposure by diversifying the Partnership?s assets
among different market sectors and trading approaches, and
monitoring the performance of the Trading Manager daily. In
addition, the Trading Manager establishes diversification
guidelines, often set in terms of the maximum margin to be
committed to positions in any one market sector or market-
sensitive instrument.
Demeter monitors and controls the risk of the Partnership?s non-
trading instrument, cash. Cash is the only Partnership investment
directed by Demeter, rather than the Trading Manager.
Item 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
(a) As of the end of the period covered by this quarterly
report, the President and Chief Financial Officer of the
general partner, Demeter, have evaluated the effect-
iveness of the Partnership?s disclosure controls and
procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)
of the Exchange Act), and have judged such controls and
procedures to be effective.
(b) There have been no significant changes in the
Partnership?s internal controls or in other factors that
could significantly affect these controls subsequent to
the date of their evaluation.
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
None.
Item 5. OTHER INFORMATION
Changes in Management. The following changes have been made to
the Board of Directors and Officers of Demeter:
Mr. Robert E. Murray resigned the position of Chairman of the
Board of Directors of Demeter.
Mr. Jeffrey A. Rothman, President and Director of Demeter, was
named Chairman of the Board of Directors of Demeter.
Item 6. EXHIBITS AND REPORTS ON FORM 8-K
(A) Exhibits
3.01 Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of the
Partnership, dated as of June 30, 1995, is incorporated
by reference to Exhibit 3.01 of the Partnership?s
Registration Statement on Form S-1 (File No. 33-90360).
10.01 Amended and Restated Management Agreement among the
Partnership, Demeter and MSFCM, dated as of August 31,
1995, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.02 of
the Partnership?s Registration Statement on Form S-1
(File No. 33-90360).
10.02 Amended and Restated Customer Agreement between the
Partnership and Morgan Stanley DW Inc., dated as of May
19, 2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.01
of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-23577) filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November
13, 2001.
10.03 Commodity Futures Customer Agreement between Morgan
Stanley & Co. Incorporated and the Partnership, and
acknowledged and agreed to by Morgan Stanley DW Inc.,
dated as of May 1, 2000, is incorporated by reference to
Exhibit 10.02 of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-
23577) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission
on November 13, 2001.
10.04 Customer Agreement between the Partnership and Morgan
Stanley & Co. International Limited, dated as of May 1,
2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.04 of
the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-23577) filed with
the Securities and Exchange Commission on November 13,
2001.
10.05 Foreign Exchange and Options Master Agreement between
Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated and the Partnership,
dated as of April 30, 2000, is incorporated by reference
to Exhibit 10.05 of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File
No. 0-23577) filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on November 13, 2001.
10.06 Securities Account Control Agreement among the
Partnership, Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated, and
Morgan Stanley DW Inc., dated as of May 1, 2000, is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.03 of the
Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-23577) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on November 13, 2001.
31.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management
Corporation, the general partner of the Partnership,
pursuant to rules 13(a)-15(e) and 15d-15(e), as adopted
pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
31.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership, pursuant to rules 13(a)-15(e) and 15d-15(e),
as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
32.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management
Corporation, the general partner of the Partnership,
pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant
to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as
adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
of 2002.
(B) Reports on Form 8-K ? None.
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,
the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its
behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
Dean Witter Diversified Futures
Fund Limited Partnership
(Registrant)
By: Demeter Management Corporation
(General Partner)
August 8, 2003 By:/s/Jeffrey D. Hahn
Jeffrey D. Hahn
Director and Chief Financial Officer
The General Partner which signed the above is the only party
authorized to act for the Registrant. The Registrant has no
principal executive officer, principal financial officer,
controller, or principal accounting officer and has no Board of
Directors.