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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
[X] Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2003 or
[ ] Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the transition period from to__________________
Commission File Number 0-26340
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware 13-3782232
(State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization) Identification No.)
Demeter Management Corporation
825 Third Avenue, 9th Floor
New York, NY 10022
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
Registrant?s telephone number, including area code (212) 310-6444
(Former name, former address, and former fiscal year, if changed
since last report)
Indicate by check-mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all
reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or
for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file
such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing
requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes X No___________
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
INDEX TO QUARTERLY REPORT ON FORM 10-Q
June 30, 2003
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
Statements of Financial Condition as of June 30, 2003
(Unaudited) and December 31, 2002 2
Statements of Operations for the Quarters Ended
June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited) 3
Statements of Operations for the Six Months
Ended June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited) 4
Statements of Changes in Partners? Capital for the
Six Months Ended June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited) 5
Statements of Cash Flows for the Six Months Ended
June 30, 2003 and 2002 (Unaudited) 6
Notes to Financial Statements (Unaudited) 7-11
Item 2. Management?s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations 12-20
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about
Market Risk 21-33
Item 4. Controls and Procedures 33-34
Part II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings......................................35
Item 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds...........35-37
Item 5. Other Information......................................37
Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K....................37-39
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
June 30, December 31,
2003 2002
$ $
(Unaudited)
ASSETS
Equity in futures interests trading accounts:
Cash 51,862,188 49,330,482
Net unrealized loss on open contracts (MSIL) (152,586) (12,849)
Net unrealized gain (loss) on open contracts (MS&Co.) (196,563) 758,782
Total net unrealized gain (loss) on open contracts (349,149) 745,933
Net option premiums - 712,573
Total Trading Equity 51,513,039 50,788,988
Subscriptions receivable 872,792 716,792
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) 46,919 53,458
Total Assets 52,432,750 51,559,238
LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS? CAPITAL
Liabilities
Redemptions payable 926,231 896,775
Accrued brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 197,061 202,109
Accrued management fees 53,549 54,922
Total Liabilities 1,176,841 1,153,806
Partners? Capital
Limited Partners (3,240,996.212 and
3,419,596.378 Units, respectively) 50,674,824 49,814,229
General Partner (37,164.331 and
40,584.304 Units, respectively) 581,085 591,203
Total Partners? Capital 51,255,909 50,405,432
Total Liabilities and Partners? Capital 52,432,750 51,559,238
NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT 15.64 14.57
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
For the Quarters Ended June 30,
2003 2002
$ $
REVENUES
Trading profit (loss):
Realized 3,897,813 (2,347,157)
Net change in unrealized 60,178 2,355,520
Total Trading Results 3,957,991 8,363
Interest income (Morgan Stanley DW) 142,739 239,384
Total 4,100,730 247,747
EXPENSES
Brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 572,665 636,726
Management fees 155,617 173,025
Total 728,282 809,751
NET INCOME (LOSS) 3,372,448 (562,004)
NET INCOME (LOSS) ALLOCATION
Limited Partners 3,334,658 (555,588)
General Partner 37,790 (6,416)
NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT
Limited Partners 1.02 (0.16)
General Partner 1.02 (0.16)
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
For the Six Months Ended June 30,
2003 2002
$ $
REVENUES
Trading profit (loss):
Realized 5,853,581 (2,760,194)
Net change in unrealized (1,095,082) 1,830,891
Total Trading Results 4,758,499 (929,303)
Interest income (Morgan Stanley DW) 289,190 486,548
Total 5,047,689 (442,755)
EXPENSES
Brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) 1,151,574 1,294,220
Management fees 312,931 351,693
Total 1,464,505 1,645,913
NET INCOME (LOSS) 3,583,184 (2,088,668)
NET INCOME (LOSS) ALLOCATION
Limited Partners 3,543,302 (2,064,927)
General Partner 39,882 (23,741)
NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT
Limited Partners 1.07 (0.59)
General Partner 1.07 (0.59)
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS? CAPITAL
For the Six Months Ended June 30, 2003 and 2002
(Unaudited)
Units of
Partnership Limited General
Interest Partners Partner Total
$ $ $
Partners? Capital,
December 31, 2001 3,565,247.829 57,127,967 657,793 57,785,760
Offering of Units 290,788.617 4,566,249 ? 4,566,249
Net Loss ? (2,064,927) (23,741) (2,088,668)
Redemptions (294,167.959) (4,616,007) ? (4,616,007)
Partners? Capital,
June 30, 2002 3,561,868.487 55,013,282 634,052 55,647,334
Partners? Capital,
December 31, 2002 3,460,180.682 49,814,229 591,203 50,405,432
Offering of Units 284,338.334 4,283,636 ? 4,283,636
Net Income ?- 3,543,302 39,882 3,583,184
Redemptions (466,358.473) (6,966,343) (50,000) (7,016,343)
Partners? Capital,
June 30, 2003 3,278,160.543 50,674,824 581,085 51,255,909
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited)
For the Six Months Ended June 30,
2003 2002
$ $
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net income (loss) 3,583,184 (2,088,668)
Noncash item included in net income (loss):
Net change in unrealized 1,095,082 (1,830,891)
Decrease in operating assets:
Net option premiums 712,573 79,692
Interest receivable (Morgan Stanley DW) 6,539 15,947
Decrease in operating liabilities:
Accrued brokerage fees (Morgan Stanley DW) (5,048) (9,175)
Accrued management fees (1,373) (2,493)
Net cash provided by (used for) operating activities 5,390,957 (3,835,588)
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Offering of Units 4,283,636 4,566,249
(Increase) decrease in subscriptions receivable (156,000) 74,813
Increase (decrease) in redemptions payable 29,456 (136,961)
Redemptions of Units (7,016,343) (4,616,007)
Net cash used for financing activities (2,859,251) (111,906)
Net increase (decrease) in cash 2,531,706 (3,947,494)
Balance at beginning of period 49,330,482 57,396,091
Balance at end of period 51,862,188 53,448,597
The accompanying notes are an integral part
of these financial statements.
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
June 30, 2003
(Unaudited)
The unaudited financial statements contained herein include, in
the opinion of management, all adjustments necessary for a fair
presentation of the results of operations and financial condition
of Morgan Stanley Spectrum Global Balanced L.P. (the
?Partnership?). The financial statements and condensed notes
herein should be read in conjunction with the Partnership?s
December 31, 2002 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
1. Organization
Morgan Stanley Spectrum Global Balanced L.P. is a Delaware limited
partnership organized to engage primarily in the speculative
trading of futures contracts, options on futures contracts, and
forward contracts on physical commodities and other commodity
interests, including, but not limited to, foreign currencies,
financial instruments, metals, energy and agricultural products.
The Partnership is one of the Morgan Stanley Spectrum series of
funds, comprised of the Partnership, Morgan Stanley Spectrum
Currency L.P., Morgan Stanley Spectrum Select L.P., Morgan Stanley
Spectrum Strategic L.P., and Morgan Stanley Spectrum Technical
L.P.
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
The Partnership?s general partner is Demeter Management
Corporation (?Demeter?). The non-clearing commodity broker is
Morgan Stanley DW Inc. (?Morgan Stanley DW?). The clearing
commodity brokers are Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated (?MS &
Co.?) and Morgan Stanley & Co. International Limited (?MSIL?).
Demeter, Morgan Stanley DW, MS & Co. and MSIL are wholly-owned
subsidiaries of Morgan Stanley. SSARIS Advisors, LLC (the
?Trading Advisor?) is the trading advisor to the Partnership.
2. Related Party Transactions
The Partnership?s cash is on deposit with Morgan Stanley DW, MS &
Co. and MSIL in futures, forwards, and options trading accounts to
meet margin requirements as needed. Morgan Stanley DW pays
interest on these funds based on a prevailing rate on U.S.
Treasury bills. The Partnership pays brokerage fees to Morgan
Stanley DW.
3. Financial Instruments
The Partnership trades futures contracts, options on futures
contracts, and forward contracts on physical commodities and
other commodity interests, including, but not limited to, foreign
currencies, financial instruments, metals, energy and
agricultural products. Futures and forwards represent contracts
for delayed delivery of an instrument at a specified date and
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
price. Risk arises from changes in the value of these contracts
and the potential inability of counterparties to perform under the
terms of the contracts. There are numerous factors which may
significantly influence the market value of these contracts,
including interest rate volatility.
The market value of contracts is based on closing prices quoted
by the exchange, bank or clearing firm through which the
contracts are traded.
The Partnership?s contracts are accounted for on a trade-date
basis and marked to market on a daily basis. The Partnership
accounts for its derivative investments in accordance with the
provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No.
133, ?Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging
Activities? (?SFAS No. 133?). SFAS No. 133 defines a derivative
as a financial instrument or other contract that has all three of
the following characteristics:
1) One or more underlying notional amounts or payment
provisions;
2) Requires no initial net investment or a smaller initial net
investment than would be required relative to changes in
market factors;
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
3) Terms require or permit net settlement.
Generally, derivatives include futures, forward, swaps or options
contracts, and other financial instruments with similar
characteristics such as caps, floors and collars.
The net unrealized gains (losses) on open contracts, reported as a
component of ?Equity in futures interests trading accounts? on the
statements of financial condition, and their longest contract
maturities were as follows:
Net Unrealized Gains (Losses)
on Open Contracts Longest Maturities
Exchange- Off-Exchange- Exchange- Off-Exchange-
Date Traded Traded Total Traded Traded
$ $ $
Jun. 30, 2003 (304,794) (44,355) (349,149) Dec. 2003 Sep. 2003
Dec. 31, 2002 717,293 28,640 745,933 Mar. 2003 Mar. 2003
The Partnership has credit risk associated with counterparty non-
performance. The credit risk associated with the instruments in
which the Partnership is involved is limited to the amounts
reflected in the Partnership?s statements of financial condition.
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)
The Partnership also has credit risk because Morgan Stanley DW, MS
& Co., and MSIL act as the futures commission merchants or the
counterparties with respect to most of the Partnership?s assets.
Exchange-traded futures and futures-styled options contracts are
marked to market on a daily basis, with variations in value
settled on a daily basis. Each of Morgan Stanley DW, MS & Co. and
MSIL, as a futures commission merchant for the Partnership?s
exchange-traded futures and futures-styled options contracts, are
required, pursuant to regulations of the Commodity Futures Trading
Commission (?CFTC?), to segregate from their own assets, and for
the sole benefit of their commodity customers, all funds held by
them with respect to exchange-traded futures and futures-styled
options contracts, including an amount equal to the net unrealized
gains (losses) on all open futures and futures-styled options
contracts, which funds, in the aggregate, totaled $51,557,394 and
$50,047,775 at June 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002, respectively.
With respect to the Partnership?s off-exchange-traded forward
currency contracts, there are no daily settlements of variations
in value nor is there any requirement that an amount equal to the
net unrealized gains (losses) on open forward contracts be
segregated. With respect to those off-exchange-traded forward
currency contracts, the Partnership is at risk to the ability of
MS & Co., the sole counterparty on all of such contracts, to
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONCLUDED)
perform. The Partnership has a netting agreement with MS & Co.
This agreement, which seeks to reduce both the Partnership?s and
MS & Co.?s exposure on off-exchange-traded forward currency
contracts, should materially decrease the Partnership?s credit
risk in the event of MS & Co.?s bankruptcy or insolvency.
Item 2. MANAGEMENT?S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL
CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Liquidity. The Partnership deposits its assets with Morgan
Stanley DW as non-clearing broker, and MS & Co. and MSIL as
clearing brokers in separate futures, forwards, and options
trading accounts established for the Trading Advisor, which assets
are used as margin to engage in trading. The assets are held in
either non-interest bearing bank accounts or in securities and
instruments permitted by the CFTC for investment of customer
segregated or secured funds. The Partnership?s assets held by the
commodity brokers may be used as margin solely for the
Partnership?s trading. Since the Partnership?s sole purpose is to
trade in futures, forwards, and options, it is expected that the
Partnership will continue to own such liquid assets for margin
purposes.
The Partnership?s investment in futures, forwards, and options
may, from time to time, be illiquid. Most U.S. futures exchanges
limit fluctuations in prices during a single day by regulations
referred to as ?daily price fluctuations limits? or ?daily
limits?. Trades may not be executed at prices beyond the daily
limit. If the price for a particular futures or options contract
has increased or decreased by an amount equal to the daily limit,
positions in that futures or options contract can neither be taken
nor liquidated unless traders are willing to effect trades at or
within the limit. Futures prices have occasionally moved the daily
limit for several consecutive days with little or no
trading. These market conditions could prevent the Partnership
from promptly liquidating its futures or options contracts and
result in restrictions on redemptions.
There is no limitation on daily price moves in trading forward
contracts on foreign currencies. The markets for some world
currencies have low trading volume and are illiquid, which may
prevent the Partnership from trading in potentially profitable
markets or prevent the Partnership from promptly liquidating
unfavorable positions in such markets, subjecting it to
substantial losses. Either of these market conditions could
result in restrictions on redemptions.
The Partnership has never had illiquidity affect a material
portion of its assets. Furthermore, there are no material trends,
demands, commitments, events or uncertainties known at the present
time that will result in, or that are reasonably likely to result
in, the Partnership?s liquidity increasing or decreasing in any
material way.
Capital Resources. The Partnership does not have, nor expect to
have, any capital assets. Redemptions, exchanges, and sales of
additional units of limited partnership interest (?Unit(s)?) in
the future will affect the amount of funds available for
investment in futures, forwards, and options in subsequent
periods. It is not possible to estimate the amount, and
therefore the impact, of future redemptions of Units.
There are no known material trends, favorable or unfavorable, that
would affect, nor any expected material changes to, the
Partnership?s capital resource arrangements at the present time.
The Partnership has no off-balance sheet arrangements, nor
contractual obligations or commercial commitments to make future
payments that would affect the Partnership?s liquidity or capital
resources. The contracts traded by the Partnership are accounted
for on a trade-date basis and marked to market on a daily basis.
The value of futures contracts is the settlement price on the
exchange on which that futures contract is traded on a particular
day and the value of foreign currency forward contracts is based
on the spot rate as of the close of business, New York City time,
on a given day.
Results of Operations
General. The Partnership?s results depend on the Trading Advisor
and the ability of the Trading Advisor?s trading programs to take
advantage of price movements or other profit opportunities in the
futures, forwards, and options markets. The following presents a
summary of the Partnership?s operations for the three and six
month periods ended June 30, 2003 and 2002 and a general
discussion of its trading activities during each period. It is
important to note, however, that the Trading Advisor trades in
various markets at different times and that prior activity
in a particular market does not mean that such market will be
actively traded by the Trading Advisor or will be profitable in
the future. Consequently, the results of operations of the
Partnership are difficult to discuss other than in the context of
the Trading Advisor?s trading activities on behalf of the
Partnership and how the Partnership has performed in the past.
The Partnership?s results of operations set forth in the
financial statements on pages 2 through 11 of this report were
prepared in accordance with accounting principals generally
accepted in the United States of America, which require the use
of certain accounting policies that affect the amounts reported
in these financial statements, including the following: The
contracts the Partnership trades are accounted for on a trade-
date basis and marked to market on a daily basis. The difference
between their cost and market value is recorded on the Statements
of Operations as ?Net change in unrealized profit/loss? for open
(unrealized) contracts, and recorded as ?Realized profit/loss?
when open positions are closed out, and the sum of these amounts
constitutes the Partnership?s trading revenues. Interest income
revenue, as well as management fees, incentive fees and brokerage
fees expenses of the Partnership are recorded on an accrual
basis.
Demeter believes that, based on the nature of the
operations of the Partnership, no assumptions relating to the
application of critical accounting policies other than those
presently used could reasonably affect reported amounts.
For the Quarter and Six Months Ended June 30, 2003
For the quarter ended June 30, 2003, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $4,100,730
and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant gains of approximately 4.9% were recorded in the
global stock index markets from long positions in European stock
index futures during April, May, and June as equity prices
rallied in response to positive earnings announcements, the
conclusion of the war in Iraq, and the prospect of lower interest
rates in the U.S. Long positions in U.S. stock index futures
recorded gains during May as equity prices rallied in response to
the prospect of lower interest rates. During June, long
positions in Japanese stock index futures also provided gains as
Japanese equity prices increased amid strength in U.S. stocks and
foreign demand for Japanese high-technology, automaker, export,
and defensive stocks. Additional gains of approximately 3.0%
were provided in the global interest rate markets from long
positions in U.S. and European interest rate futures as prices
continued to trend higher during May amid speculation of an
interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve and lingering
doubts concerning a global economic recovery. A portion of the
Partnership?s overall gains for the quarter was offset by
losses of approximately 0.3% in the metals markets from long
positions in nickel futures as prices declined during June amid
easing supply concerns. Total expenses for the three months
ended June 30, 2003 were $728,282, resulting in net income of
$3,372,448. The net asset value of a Unit increased from $14.62
at March 31, 2003 to $15.64 at June 30, 2003.
For the six months ended June 30, 2003, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $5,047,689
and posted an increase in net asset value per Unit. The most
significant gains of approximately 5.8% were recorded in the
global interest rate markets, during February and May, from long
positions in European and U.S. interest rate futures as prices
continued to trend higher amid speculation of an interest rate
cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, lingering doubts concerning a
global economic recovery, and investors preference for fixed
income investments. Additional gains of approximately 1.7% were
recorded during the second quarter in the global stock index
markets from long positions in European and U.S. stock index
futures as global equity prices rallied in response to positive
earnings announcements, the conclusion of the war in Iraq, and
the prospect of lower interest rates. Gains of approximately
1.4% in the energy markets were recorded, primarily during
February, from long positions in crude oil futures, as prices
continued to trend higher amid the increasing likelihood of
military action against Iraq, and long positions in natural gas
futures, as prices jumped sharply higher amid fears that
extremely cold weather in the U.S. northeast and midwest could
further deplete already diminished supplies. In the currency
markets, gains of approximately 1.4 were provided, primarily
during April, from long positions in the Australian dollar versus
the Japanese yen as the yen?s value declined amid SARS-related
fears. Long positions in the euro versus the U.S. dollar during
May also provided gains amid uncertainty regarding the Bush
Administration?s economic policy, renewed fears of potential
terrorist attacks against American interests, and investor
preference for non-U.S. dollar denominated assets. A portion of
the Partnership?s overall gains for the first half of the year
was offset by small losses of approximately 0.5% in the
agricultural markets from short corn futures positions during
January as the price of corn moved higher, elevated by strong
prices in wheat futures. In April, long positions in corn futures
experienced additional losses as prices reversed lower amid news
of increased supply. Smaller losses of approximately 0.2% in the
metals markets were experienced primarily during June from long
positions in copper futures as prices moved lower. Total
expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2003 were $1,464,505,
resulting in net income of $3,583,184. The net asset value of a
Unit increased from $14.57 at December 31, 2002 to $15.64 at June
30, 2003.
For the Quarter and Six Months Ended June 30, 2002
For the quarter ended June 30, 2002, the Partnership recorded
total trading revenues, including interest income, of $247,747
and, after expenses, posted a decrease in net asset value per
Unit. The most significant losses of approximately 3.9% were
recorded in global stock index futures primarily from long
positions in U.S. and European stock index futures as equity
prices decreased on geopolitical concerns and uncertainty
surrounding a global economic recovery. Additional losses of
approximately 0.6% were recorded in the energy markets primarily
from previously established long positions in crude oil as prices
moved lower on supply and demand concerns. A portion of the
Partnership?s overall losses for the quarter was offset by gains
of approximately 3.2% in the currency markets primarily during
May and June from previously established long positions in the
euro and Swiss franc relative to the U.S. dollar, as the value of
these currencies strengthened against the U.S. dollar amid
falling equity prices, concerns regarding corporate accounting
integrity and weak economic data. Additional gains of
approximately 1.8% were recorded in the global interest rate
futures markets from long positions in U.S. and European interest
rate futures as prices climbed higher, drawing strength from
declining equity prices. Total expenses for the three months
ended June 30, 2002 were $809,751, resulting in the a net loss of
$562,004. The net asset value of a Unit decreased from $15.78 at
March 31, 2002 to $15.62 at June 30, 2002.
For the six months ended June 30, 2002, the Partnership
recorded total trading losses, net of interest income, of
$442,755 and posted a decrease in net asset value per Unit. The
most significant losses of approximately 3.9% were recorded in
the global stock index futures primarily from long positions in
U.S. and European stock index futures as equity prices decreased
throughout the year on geopolitical concerns and uncertainty
surrounding a global economic recovery. Additional losses of
approximately 0.6% were recorded in the agricultural markets from
short positions in sugar and soybean oil as prices trended higher
on supply concerns and speculative buying. A portion of the
Partnership?s overall losses was offset by gains of approximately
1.9% in the currency markets primarily during May and June from
previously established long positions in the euro and Swiss franc
relative to the U.S. dollar as the value of these currencies
strengthened against the U.S. dollar amid falling equity prices,
concerns regarding corporate accounting integrity and weak
economic data. Additional gains of approximately 1.1% were
recorded in the global interest rate futures markets primarily
during June from long positions in U.S. and Japanese interest
rate futures as prices trended higher following weakness in
equity markets, geopolitical concerns and uncertainty surrounding
a global economic recovery. Total expenses for the six months
ended June 30, 2002, were $1,645,913, resulting in a net loss of
$2,088,668. The net asset value of a Unit decreased from $16.21
at December 31, 2001 to $15.62 at June 30, 2002.
Item 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT
MARKET RISK
Introduction
The Partnership is a commodity pool engaged primarily in the
speculative trading of futures, forwards, and options. The
market-sensitive instruments held by the Partnership are acquired
for speculative trading purposes only and, as a result, all or
substantially all of the Partnership?s assets are at risk of
trading loss. Unlike an operating company, the risk of market-
sensitive instruments is central, not incidental, to the
Partnership?s main business activities.
The futures, forwards, and options traded by the Partnership
involve varying degrees of related market risk. Market risk is
often dependent upon changes in the level or volatility of
interest rates, exchange rates, and prices of financial
instruments and commodities. Fluctuations in market risk based
upon these factors result in frequent changes in the fair value
of the Partnership?s open positions, and consequently in its
earnings and cash flow.
The Partnership?s total market risk is influenced by a wide
variety of factors, including the diversification among the
Partnership?s open positions, the volatility present within the
markets, and the liquidity of the markets. At different times,
each of these factors may act to increase or decrease the
market risk associated with the Partnership.
The Partnership?s past performance is not necessarily indicative
of its future results. Any attempt to numerically quantify the
Partnership?s market risk is limited by the uncertainty of its
speculative trading. The Partnership?s speculative trading may
cause future losses and volatility (i.e., ?risk of ruin?) that
far exceed the Partnership?s experience to date or any reasonable
expectations based upon historical changes in market value.
Quantifying the Partnership?s Trading Value at Risk
The following quantitative disclosures regarding the Partnership?s
market risk exposures contain ?forward-looking statements? within
the meaning of the safe harbor from civil liability provided for
such statements by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995 (set forth in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and
Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934). All
quantitative disclosures in this section are deemed to be forward-
looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor, except for
statements of historical fact.
The Partnership accounts for open positions on the basis of mark-
to-market accounting principles. Any loss in the market value of
the Partnership?s open positions is directly reflected in the
Partnership?s earnings, whether realized or unrealized, and its
cash flow. Profits and losses on open positions of
exchange-traded futures, forwards, and options are settled daily
through variation margin.
The Partnership?s risk exposure in the market sectors traded by
the Trading Advisor is estimated below in terms of Value at Risk
(?VaR?). The VaR model used by the Partnership includes many
variables that could change the market value of the Partnership?s
trading portfolio. The Partnership estimates VaR using a model
based upon historical simulation with a confidence level of 99%.
Historical simulation involves constructing a distribution of
hypothetical daily changes in the value of a trading portfolio.
The VaR model takes into account linear exposures to price and
interest rate risk. Market risks that are incorporated in the
VaR model include equity and commodity prices, interest rates,
foreign exchange rates, and correlation among these variables.
The hypothetical changes in portfolio value are based on daily
percentage changes observed in key market indices or other market
factors (?market risk factors?) to which the portfolio is
sensitive. The historical observation period of the
Partnership?s VaR is approximately four years. The one-day 99%
confidence level of the Partnership?s VaR corresponds to the
negative change in portfolio value that, based on observed market
risk factors, would have been exceeded once in 100 trading days.
In other words, one-day VaR for a portfolio is a number such that
losses in this portfolio are estimated to exceed the VaR only one
day in 100. VaR typically does not represent the worst case
outcome.
VaR is calculated using historical simulation. Demeter uses
approximately four years of daily market data (1,000
observations) and revalues its portfolio (using delta-gamma
approximations) for each of the historical market moves that
occurred over this time period. This generates a probability
distribution of daily ?simulated profit and loss? outcomes. The
VaR is the appropriate percentile of this distribution. For
example, the 99% one-day VaR would represent the 10th worst
outcome from Demeter?s simulated profit and loss series.
The Partnership?s VaR computations are based on the risk
representation of the underlying benchmark for each instrument or
contract and do not distinguish between exchange and non-
exchange-traded instruments and are also not based on exchange
and/or dealer-based margin requirements.
VaR models, including the Partnership?s, are continuously
evolving as trading portfolios become more diverse and modeling
techniques and systems capabilities improve. Please note that
the VaR model is used to numerically quantify market risk for
historic reporting purposes only and is not utilized by either
Demeter or the Trading Advisor in their daily risk management
activities. Please further note that VaR as described
above may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by
other entities.
The Partnership?s Value at Risk in Different Market Sectors
The following table indicates the VaR associated with the
Partnership?s open positions as a percentage of total net assets
by primary market risk category at June 30, 2003 and 2002. At
June 30, 2003 and 2002, the Partnership?s total capitalization
was approximately $51 million and $56 million, respectively.
Primary Market June 30, 2003 June 30, 2002
Risk Category Value at Risk Value at Risk
Equity (0.76)% (0.94)%
Interest Rate (0.68) (1.02)
Currency (0.36) (0.60)
Commodity (0.15) (0.32)
Aggregate Value at Risk (0.89)% (1.33)%
The VaR for a market category represents the one-day downside
risk for the aggregate exposures associated with this market
category. The Aggregate Value at Risk above represents the VaR
of the Partnership?s open positions across all the market
categories, and is less than the sum of the VaRs for all such
market categories due to the diversification benefit across asset
classes.
The table above represents the VaR of the Partnership?s
open positions at June 30, 2003 and 2002 only and is not
necessarily representative of either the historic or future risk
of an investment in the Partnership. Because the Partnership?s
only business is the speculative trading of futures, forwards,
and options, the composition of its trading portfolio can change
significantly over any given time period, or even within a single
trading day. Any changes in open positions could positively or
negatively materially impact market risk as measured by VaR.
The table below supplements the quarter-end VaR by presenting the
Partnership?s high, low and average VaR, as a percentage of total
net assets for the four quarterly reporting periods from July 1,
2002 through June 30, 2003.
Primary Market Risk Category High Low Average
Equity (1.33)% (0.59)% (0.87)%
Interest Rate (0.91) (0.37) (0.71)
Currency (0.71) (0.19) (0.48)
Commodity (0.34) (0.10) (0.22)
Aggregate Value at Risk (1.57)% (0.76)% (1.15)%
Limitations on Value at Risk as an Assessment of Market Risk
The face value of the market sector instruments held by the
Partnership is typically many times the applicable margin
requirements. Margin requirements generally range between 2% and
15% of contract face value. Additionally, the use of
leverage causes the face value of the market sector instruments
held by the Partnership to typically be many times the total
capitalization of the Partnership. The value of the Partnership?s
open positions thus creates a ?risk of ruin? not typically found
in other investments. The relative size of the positions held may
cause the Partnership to incur losses greatly in excess of VaR
within a short period of time, given the effects of the leverage
employed and market volatility. The VaR tables above, as well as
the past performance of the Partnership, give no indication of
such ?risk of ruin?. In addition, VaR risk measures should be
viewed in light of the methodology?s limitations, which include
the following:
* past changes in market risk factors will not always result in
accurate predictions of the distributions and correlations of
future market movements;
* changes in portfolio value caused by market movements may
differ from those of the VaR model;
* VaR results reflect past trading positions while future risk
depends on future positions;
* VaR using a one-day time horizon does not fully capture the
market risk of positions that cannot be liquidated or hedged
within one day; and
* the historical market risk factor data used for VaR estimation
may provide only limited insight into losses that could be
incurred under certain unusual market movements.
The VaR tables above present the results of the Partnership?s VaR
for each of the Partnership?s market risk exposures and on an
aggregate basis at June 30, 2003 and 2002, and for the end of the
four quarterly reporting periods from July 1, 2002 through June
30, 2003. Since VaR is based on historical data, VaR should not
be viewed as predictive of the Partnership?s future financial
performance or its ability to manage or monitor risk. There can
be no assurance that the Partnership?s actual losses on a
particular day will not exceed the VaR amounts indicated above or
that such losses will not occur more than once in 100 trading
days.
Non-Trading Risk
The Partnership has non-trading market risk on its foreign cash
balances not needed for margin. These balances and any market
risk they may represent are immaterial.
At June 30, 2003, the Partnership?s cash balance at Morgan Stanley
DW was approximately 97% of its total net asset value. A decline
in short-term interest rates will result in a decline in the
Partnership?s cash management income. This cash flow risk is not
considered to be material.
Materiality, as used throughout this section, is based on an
assessment of reasonably possible market movements and any
associated potential losses, taking into account the
leverage, optionality and multiplier features of the Partnership?s
market-sensitive instruments, in relation to the Partnership?s net
assets.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Primary Trading Risk Exposures
The following qualitative disclosures regarding the Partnership?s
market risk exposures ? except for (A) those disclosures that are
statements of historical fact and (B) the descriptions of how the
Partnership manages its primary market risk exposures ? constitute
forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of
the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act.
The Partnership?s primary market risk exposures as well as the
strategies used and to be used by Demeter and the Trading Advisor
for managing such exposures are subject to numerous uncertainties,
contingencies and risks, any one of which could cause the actual
results of the Partnership?s risk controls to differ materially
from the objectives of such strategies. Government interventions,
defaults and expropriations, illiquid markets, the emergence of
dominant fundamental factors, political upheavals, changes in
historical price relationships, an influx of new market
participants, increased regulation and many other factors could
result in material losses as well as in material changes to the
risk exposures and the risk management strategies of the
Partnership. Investors must be prepared to lose all or
substantially all of their investment in the Partnership.
The following were the primary trading risk exposures of the
Partnership at June 30, 2003, by market sector. It may be
anticipated, however, that these market exposures will vary
materially over time.
Equity. The largest market exposure of the Partnership at June
30, 2003 was to the global stock index sector, primarily equity
price risk in the G-7 countries. The G-7 countries consist of
France, the U.S., Britain, Germany, Japan, Italy, and Canada.
The stock index futures traded by the Partnership are by law
limited to futures on broadly-based indices. At June 30, 2003,
the Partnership?s primary exposures were to the DAX (Germany),
Nikkei (Japan), S&P 500 (U.S.) and FTSE (Britain) stock indices.
The Partnership is primarily exposed to the risk of adverse price
trends or static markets in the U.S., European and Japanese stock
indices. Static markets would not cause major market changes but
would make it difficult for the Partnership to avoid being
?whipsawed? into numerous small losses.
Interest Rate. The second largest market exposure at June 30,
2003 was to the global interest rate complex. Exposure was
primarily spread across the U.S. and European interest rate
sectors. Interest rate movements directly affect the price of
the sovereign bond futures positions held by the Partnership and
indirectly affect the value of its stock index and currency
positions. Interest rate movements in one country, as well as
relative interest rate movements between countries,
materially impact the Partnership?s profitability. The
Partnership?s interest rate exposure is generally to interest
rate fluctuations in the U.S. and the other G-7 countries.
Demeter anticipates that the G-7 countries interest rates will
remain the primary interest rate exposure of the Partnership for
the foreseeable future. The speculative futures positions held
by the Partnership may range from short to long-term instruments.
Consequently, changes in short, medium or long-term interest
rates may have an effect on the Partnership.
Currency. The Partnership?s currency exposure at June 30, 2003
was to exchange rate fluctuations, primarily fluctuations which
disrupt the historical pricing relationships between different
currencies and currency pairs. Interest rate changes as well as
political and general economic conditions influence these
fluctuations. The Partnership trades a large number of
currencies, including cross-rates - i.e., positions between two
currencies other than the U.S. dollar. At June 30, 2003, the
Partnership?s major exposures were to the euro, Canadian dollar,
Australian dollar and Japanese yen currency crosses, as well as
outright U.S. dollar positions. Outright positions consist of
the U.S. dollar vs. other currencies. These other currencies
include major and minor currencies. Demeter does not anticipate
that the risk profile of the Partnership?s currency sector will
change significantly in the future. The currency trading VaR
figure includes foreign margin amounts converted into U.S.
dollars with an incremental adjustment to reflect the exchange
rate risk inherent to the U.S.-based Partnership in expressing
VaR in a functional currency other than U.S. dollars.
Commodity.
Energy. At June 30, 2003, the Partnership?s energy exposure
was shared primarily by futures contracts in crude oil and
natural gas. Price movements in the these markets result
from political developments in the Middle East, weather
patterns and other economic fundamentals. Significant
profits and losses, which have been experienced in the past,
are expected to continue to be experienced in the future.
Natural gas has exhibited volatility in prices resulting
from weather patterns and supply and demand factors, and
will likely continue in this choppy pattern.
Soft Commodities and Agriculturals. At June 30, 2003, the
Partnership had exposure to the markets that comprise these
sectors. Most of the exposure was to the cotton market.
Supply and demand inequalities, severe weather disruptions
and market expectations affect price movements in these
markets.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Non-Trading Risk Exposure
The following was the only non-trading risk exposure of
the Partnership at June 30, 2003:
Foreign Currency Balances. The Partnership?s primary
foreign currency balances at June 30, 2003 were in euros,
Japanese yen and British pounds. The Partnership controls
the non-trading risk of foreign currency balances by
regularly converting them back into U.S. dollars upon
liquidation of their respective positions.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Means of Managing Risk Exposure
The Partnership and the Trading Advisor, separately, attempt to
manage the risk of the Partnership?s open positions in
essentially the same manner in all market categories traded.
Demeter attempts to manage market exposure by diversifying the
Partnership?s assets among different market sectors and trading
approaches, and monitoring the performance of the Trading Advisor
daily. In addition, the Trading Advisor establishes
diversification guidelines, often set in terms of the maximum
margin to be committed to positions in any one market sector or
market-sensitive instrument.
Demeter monitors and controls the risk of the Partnership?s non-
trading instrument, cash. Cash is the only Partnership investment
directed by Demeter, rather than the Trading Advisor.
Item 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
(a) As of the end of the period covered by this quarterly
report, the President and Chief Financial Officer of the
general partner, Demeter, have evaluated the
effectiveness of the Partnership?s disclosure controls
and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-
15(e) of the Exchange Act), and have judged such controls
and procedures to be effective.
(b) There have been no significant changes in the
Partnership?s internal controls or in other factors that
could significantly affect these controls subsequent to
the date of their evaluation.
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
None.
Item 2. CHANGES IN SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS
The Partnership, Morgan Stanley Spectrum Strategic L.P.
(?Spectrum Strategic?) and Morgan Stanley Spectrum Technical L.P.
(?Spectrum Technical?), collectively registered 10,000,000 Units
pursuant to a Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became
effective on September 15, 1994 (SEC File Number 33-80146).
While such Units were not allocated among the Partnership,
Spectrum Strategic and Spectrum Technical at that time, they were
subsequently allocated for convenience purposes as follows: the
Partnership 2,000,000, Spectrum Strategic 4,000,000, and Spectrum
Technical 4,000,000.
The Partnership, Spectrum Strategic and Spectrum Technical
collectively registered an additional 20,000,000 Units pursuant
to a new Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became
effective on January 31, 1996 (SEC File Number 333-00494); such
Units were allocated as follows: the Partnership 5,000,000,
Spectrum Strategic 6,000,000, Spectrum Technical 9,000,000.
The Partnership, Spectrum Strategic and Spectrum Technical
collectively registered an additional 8,500,000 Units pursuant to
another Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became
effective on April 30, 1996 (SEC File Number 333-3222);
such Units were allocated as follows: the Partnership 1,000,000,
Spectrum Strategic 2,500,000, Spectrum Technical 5,000,000.
The Partnership registered an additional 3,000,000 Units pursuant
to another Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became
effective on February 28, 2000 (SEC File Number 333-90475).
The Partnership registered an additional 5,500,000 Units pursuant
to another Registration Statement on Form S-1, which became
effective on April 28, 2003 (SEC File Number 333-104002).
The managing underwriter for the Partnership is Morgan Stanley
DW.
Units are continuously sold at monthly closings at a purchase
price equal to 100% of the net asset value per Unit as of the
close of business on the last day of each month.
Through June 30, 2003, 6,645,249.695 Units were sold, leaving
9,854,750.350 Units unsold. The aggregate price of the Units
sold through June 30, 2003 was $93,051,338.
Since no expenses are chargeable against proceeds, 100% of the
proceeds of the offering have been applied to the working capital
of the Partnership for use in accordance with the ?Use of
Proceeds? section of the prospectus included as part of
the above referenced Registration Statements.
Item 5. OTHER INFORMATION
Changes in Management. The following changes have been made to
the Board of Directors and Officers of Demeter:
Mr. Robert E. Murray resigned the position of Chairman of the
Board of Directors of Demeter.
Mr. Jeffrey A. Rothman, President and Director of Demeter, was
named Chairman of the Board of Directors of Demeter.
Item 6. EXHIBITS AND REPORTS ON FORM 8-K
(A) Exhibits
3.01 Form of Amended and Restated Limited Partnership
Agreement of the Partnership, is incorporated by
reference to Exhibit A of the Partnership?s prospectus,
dated April 28, 2003, filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission pursuant to Rule 424(b)(3) under the
Securities Act of 1933 on May 7, 2003.
3.02 Certificate of Limited Partnership, dated April 18, 1994,
is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.02 of the
Partnership?s Registration Statement on Form S-1 (File
No. 33-80146) filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on June 10, 1994.
3.03 Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Limited
Partnership, dated April 17, 1998, is incorporated by
reference to Exhibit 3.03 of the Partnership?s Form 10-K
(File No. 0-26340) for the fiscal year ended December 31,
1998 filed June 30, 1999.
3.04 Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Limited
Partnership, dated November 1, 2001, (changing its name
from Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Spectrum Global Balanced
L.P.) is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.01 of the
Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-26340) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on November 1, 2001.
10.01 Management Agreement, dated as of November 1, 1994, among
the Partnership, Demeter, and RXR, Inc., is incorporated
by reference to Exhibit 10.01 of the Partnership?s Form
10-K (File No.0-26340) for fiscal year ended December 31,
1998 filed on June 30, 1999.
10.11 Form of Subscription and Exchange Agreement and Power of
Attorney to be executed by each purchaser of Units is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit B of the
Partnership?s prospectus, dated April 28, 2003, as filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to
Rule 424(b)(3) under the Securities Act of 1933 on May 7,
2003.
10.13 Amended and Restated Escrow Agreement, dated as of March
10, 2000, among the Partnership, Morgan Stanley Spectrum
Select L.P., Morgan Stanley Spectrum Technical L.P.,
Morgan Stanley Spectrum Strategic L.P., Morgan Stanley
Spectrum Currency L.P., Morgan Stanley Spectrum Commodity
L.P., Morgan Stanley DW and The Chase Manhattan Bank, the
escrow agent, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit
10.13 of the Partnership?s Registration Statement on Form
S-1 (File No. 333-90475) filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on November 2, 2001.
10.14 Form of Subscription Agreement Update Form to be executed
by purchasers of Units is incorporated by reference to
Exhibit C of the Partnership?s prospectus, dated April
28, 2003, filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission pursuant to Rule 424(b)(3) under the
Securities Act of 1933 on May 7, 2003.
10.15 Amended and Restated Customer Agreement between the
Partnership and Morgan Stanley DW, dated as of October
16, 2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.01
of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-26340) filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November
1, 2001.
10.16 Commodity Futures Customer Agreement between MS & Co. and
the Partnership, and acknowledged and agreed to by Morgan
Stanley DW, dated as of June 6, 2000, is incorporated by
reference to Exhibit 10.02 of the Partnership?s Form 8-K
(File No. 0-26340) filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on November 1, 2001.
10.17 Customer Agreement between the Partnership and MSIL,
dated as of May 1, 2000, is incorporated by reference to
Exhibit 10.04 of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-
26340) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission
on November 1, 2001.
10.18 Foreign Exchange and Options Master Agreement between MS
& Co. and the Partnership, dated as of April 30, 2000, is
incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.05 of the
Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-26340) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on November 1, 2001.
10.19 Securities Account Control Agreement among the
Partnership, MS & Co., and Morgan Stanley DW, dated as of
May 1, 2000, is incorporated by reference to Exhibit
10.03 of the Partnership?s Form 8-K (File No. 0-26340)
filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on
November 1, 2001.
31.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management
Corporation, the general partner of the Partnership,
pursuant to rules 13(a)-15(e) and 15d-15(e), as adopted
pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002.
31.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership, pursuant to rules 13(a)-15(e) and 15d-15(e),
as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
32.01 Certification of President of Demeter Management
Corporation, the general partner of the Partnership,
pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant
to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.02 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Demeter
Management Corporation, the general partner of the
Partnership, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as
adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
of 2002.
(B) Reports on Form 8-K. ? None.
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,
the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its
behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
Morgan Stanley Spectrum
Global Balanced L.P. (Registrant)
By: Demeter Management Corporation
(General Partner)
August 14, 2003 By: /s/Jeffrey D. Hahn
Jeffrey D. Hahn
Director and Chief Financial Officer
The General Partner which signed the above is the only party
authorized to act for the Registrant. The Registrant has no
principal executive officer, principal financial officer,
controller, or principal accounting officer and has no Board of
Directors.
MORGAN STANLEY SPECTRUM GLOBAL BALANCED L.P.
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONCLUDED)