Washington, D.C. 20549
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
IDS MANAGED FUTURES II, L.P.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware | 06-1207252 |
---|---|
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
233 South Wacker Drive
Suite 2300
Chicago, IL 60606
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
(312) 460-4000
(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)
Not Applicable
(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report.)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. |X| Yes |_| No
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 or the Exchange Act). |_| Yes |X| No
The number of units outstanding, as of June 30, 2004, is 8,586.56.
Following are Financial Statements for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2004 and the additional time frames as noted:
Fiscal Quarter Ended 06/30/04 |
Year to Date Ended 06/30/04 |
Fiscal Year Ended 12/31/03 |
Fiscal Quarter Ended 06/30/03 |
Year to Date Ended 06/30/03 |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Statements of Financial Condition | X | X | |||
Statements of Operations | X | X | X | X | |
Statement of Changes in Partners' Capital | X | ||||
Notes to Financial Statements | X | ||||
IDS MANAGED FUTURES II, L.P. STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 30, 2004 | Dec. 31, 2003 | ||||
(unaudited) | |||||
ASSETS | |||||
Assets: | |||||
Equity in commodity futures trading accounts: | |||||
Cash on deposit with Brokers | $ | 4,041,234 | $ | 4,770,784 | |
Unrealized (loss) gain on open contracts | (175,579) | 272,081 | |||
Investment in other commodity pools | 2,128,382 | 2,325,047 | |||
5,994,037 | 7,367,912 | ||||
Interest receivable | 3,869 | 2,827 | |||
Redemptions receivable from other commodity pools | 15,270 | 43,163 | |||
Total assets | $ | 6,013,176 | $ | 7,413,902 | |
LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS' CAPITAL | |||||
Liabilities: | |||||
Accrued commissions | $ | 11,286 | $ | 6,045 | |
Accrued exchange, clearing and NFA fees | 83 | 74 | |||
Accrued management fees | 6,409 | 8,373 | |||
Accrued incentive fees | 0 | 187 | |||
Accrued operating expenses | 25,728 | 32,000 | |||
Accrued General Partner fees | 459 | 188 | |||
Redemptions payable | 29,622 | 85,731 | |||
Total liabilities | 73,587 | 132,598 | |||
Partners' capital: | |||||
Limited
partners (8,209.99 units outstanding at June 30, 2004,
8,680.82 units outstanding at December 31, 2003) |
5,679,104 | 6,978,577 | |||
General
partners (376.57 units outstanding at
June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003) |
260,485 | 302,727 | |||
Total parters' capital | 5,939,589 | 7,281,304 | |||
Total liabilities and partners' capital | $ | 6,013,176 | $ | 7,413,902 | |
Net asset value per unit | $ | 691.73 | $ | 803.91 | |
See accompanying notes to financial statements. |
IDS MANAGED FUTURES II, L.P. STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (unaudited) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Apr. 1, 2004 through June 30, 2004 |
Jan. 1, 2004 through June 30, 2004 |
Apr. 1, 2003 through June 30, 2003 |
Jan. 1, 2003 through June 30, 2003 |
||||||||||
Revenues: | |||||||||||||
Gain (loss) on trading of: | |||||||||||||
Realized (loss) gain on closed positions | $ | (824,834) | $ | (340,654) | $ | 464,072 | $ | 1,651,659 | |||||
Change in unrealized loss on open contracts | (110,284) | (447,662) | (92,122) | (621,930) | |||||||||
Interest income | 10,531 | 19,869 | 11,184 | 22,215 | |||||||||
Income from investment in other commodity pools | (280,979) | 10,362 | 35,397 | 222,506 | |||||||||
Foreign currency transaction (loss) gain | (8,603) | (6,376) | 17,122 | 20,161 | |||||||||
Total revenues | (1,214,169) | (764,461) | 435,653 | 1,294,611 | |||||||||
Expenses: | |||||||||||||
Commissions | 60,986 | 112,616 | 69,535 | 115,063 | |||||||||
Exchange, clearing and NFA fees | 280 | 563 | 247 | 477 | |||||||||
Management fees | 20,498 | 46,313 | 26,297 | 51,906 | |||||||||
Incentive fees | 0 | 13,460 | 57,799 | 119,866 | |||||||||
Administrative fees | 1,413 | 3,102 | 1,439 | 3,465 | |||||||||
Operating expenses | 8,000 | 16,000 | 8,000 | 16,000 | |||||||||
Total expenses | 91,177 | 192,054 | 163,317 | 306,777 | |||||||||
Net (loss) income | $ | (1,305,346) | $ | (956,515) | $ | 272,336 | $ | 987,834 | |||||
(LOSS) PROFIT PER UNIT OF PARTNERSHIP INTEREST | $ | (150.47) | $ | (112.18) | $ | 28.37 | $ | 100.51 | |||||
See accompanying notes to financial statements. |
IDS MANAGED FUTURES II, L.P. STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS' CAPITAL For the period January 1, 2004 through June 30, 2004 (unaudited) |
||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Units* | Limited Partners |
General Partners |
Total | |||||||||||
Partners' capital at January 1, 2004 | 8,680.82 | $ | 6,978,577 | $ | 302,727 | $ | 7,281,304 | |||||||
Net loss | (914,272) | (42,242) | (956,514) | |||||||||||
Redemptions | (470.83) | (385,201) | 0 | (385,201) | ||||||||||
Partners' capital at June 30, 2004 | 8,209.99 | $ | 5,679,104 | $ | 260,485 | $ | 5,939,589 | |||||||
Net asset value per unit January 1, 2004 | 803.91 | 803.91 | ||||||||||||
Net loss per unit | (112.18) | (112.18) | ||||||||||||
Net asset value per unit June 30, 2004 | $ | 691.73 | $ | 691.73 | ||||||||||
* Units of limited partnership interest. | ||||||||||||||
See accompanying notes to financial statements. |
IDS Managed Futures II, L.P. (the Partnership), a limited partnership organized in April 1987 under the Delaware Revised Uniform Limited Partnership Act, was formed to engage in the speculative trading of commodity interests including futures contracts, forward contracts, physical commodities, and related options thereon pursuant to the trading instructions of independent trading advisors. The general partners are IDS Futures Corporation (IDSFC) and CIS Investments, Inc. (CISI) (collectively, the General Partners). The clearing broker is Cargill Investor Services, Inc. (Clearing Broker or CIS), the parent company of CISI. The broker for forward contracts is CIS Financial Services, Inc. (CISFS or Forwards Currency Broker), an affiliate of CISI. The Clearing Broker and the Forwards Currency Broker will collectively be referred to as the Brokers.
The Partnership shall be terminated on December 31, 2007 if none of the following occur prior to that date: (1) investors holding more than 50% of the outstanding units notify the General Partners to dissolve the Partnership as of a specific date; (2) disassociation of the General Partners with the Partnership; (3) bankruptcy of the Partnership; (4) decrease in the net asset value (NAV) to less than $1,500,000; (5) the Partnership is declared unlawful; or (6) the NAV per unit declines to less than $125 per unit and the Partners elect to terminate the Partnership.
The accounting and reporting policies of the Partnership conform to accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America and to general practices within the commodities industry. The following is a description of the more significant of those policies that the Partnership follows in preparing its financial statements.
Commodity futures contracts, forward contracts, physical commodities, and related options are recorded on the trade date. All such transactions are recorded on the identified cost basis and marked to market daily. Unrealized gain on open futures contracts reflected in the statements of financial condition represents the difference between original contract amount and market value (as determined by exchange settlement prices for futures contracts, and related options and cash dealer prices at a predetermined time for forward contracts, physical commodities and their related options) as of the last business day of the year or as of the last date of the financial statements.
The Partnership earns interest on 100% of the Partnerships average monthly cash balance on deposit with the Brokers at a rate equal to 80% of the average 91-day Treasury bill rate for U.S. Treasury bills issued during that month.
A Limited Partner may cause any or all of his or her units to be redeemed by the Partnership effective as of the last trading day of any month. Redemptions are based on the NAV per unit as of the last day of the month and require ten days written notice to the General Partners. Payment will be made within ten business days of the effective date of the redemption. The Partnerships Limited Partnership Agreement contains a full description of redemption and distribution procedures.
Brokerage commissions and National Futures Association (NFA) clearing and exchange fees are accrued on a half-turn basis on open commodity futures contracts. The Partnership pays CIS commissions on trades executed on its behalf at a rate of $29.375 per half-turn contract. The Partnership pays these commissions directly to CIS and CISFS, and CIS then reallocates the appropriate portion to American Express Financial Advisors, Inc. (AEFA).
Trading accounts in foreign currency denominations are susceptible to both movements in the underlying contract markets as well as fluctuations in currency rates. Foreign currencies are translated into U.S. dollars for closed positions at an average exchange rate for the period, while period-end balances are translated at the period-end currency rates. The impact of the translation is reflected in the statements of operations.
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates.
Management fees are accrued and paid monthly and incentive fees are accrued monthly and paid quarterly. Trading decisions for the period of these financial statements were made by John W. Henry & Company, Inc. (JWH).
Under signed agreement, JWH receives a monthly management fee of 1/12 of 2% of the month-end NAV of the Partnership under its management and an incentive fee of 20% of the Partnerships new trading profits, if any, attributable to its management. For the periods ending June 30, 2004 and 2003, JWH was managing approximately 64% of the Partnerships assets while Sunrise Capital Partners, LLC was indirectly managing 36% of the Partnerships assets.
No provision for Federal income taxes has been made in the accompanying financial statements as each partner is responsible for reporting income (loss) based on such partners pro rata share of the profits or losses of the Partnership. The Partnership is responsible for the Illinois State Partnership Information and Replacement Tax based on the operating results of the Partnership. Such tax amounted to $0 for the quarters ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 and is included in operating expenses in the statements of operations.
The Partnerships investment in other commodity pools are recorded at fair value and are subject to the market and credit risks of financial instruments and commodity contracts held or sold short by those entities. The Partnership bears the risk of loss only to the extent of the market value of its respective investments.
The Partnership engages in the speculative trading of U.S. and foreign futures contracts, options on U.S. and foreign futures contracts, and forward contracts (collectively derivatives). These derivatives include both financial and non-financial contracts held as part of a diversified trading strategy. The Partnership is exposed to both market risk, the risk arising from changes in the market value of the contracts, and credit risk, the risk of failure by another party to perform according to the terms of a contract.
The purchase and sale of futures contracts and options on futures contracts requires margin deposits with a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM). Additional deposits may be necessary for any loss on contract value. The Commodity Exchange Act (CE Act) requires a FCM to segregate all customer transactions and assets from the FCMs proprietary activities. A customers cash and other property, such as U.S. Treasury bills, deposited with a FCM are considered commingled with all other customer funds subject to the FCMs segregation requirements. In the event of a FCMs insolvency, recovery may be limited to a pro rata share of segregated funds available. It is possible that the recovered amount could be less than the total of cash and other property deposited.
The Partnership has cash on deposit with an affiliated interbank market maker in connection with its trading of forward contracts. In the event of the interbank market makers insolvency, recovery of the Partnership assets on deposit may be limited to account insurance or other protection afforded such deposits. In the normal course of business, the Partnership does not require collateral from such interbank market maker. Because forward contracts are traded in unregulated markets between principals, the Partnership also assumes a credit risk.
For derivatives, risks arise from changes in the market value of the contracts. Theoretically, the Partnership is exposed to a market risk equal to the value of futures and forward contracts purchased and unlimited liability on such contracts sold short. As both a buyer and seller of options, the Partnership pays or receives a premium at the outset and then bears the risk of unfavorable changes in the price of the contract underlying the option.
The notional amounts of open contracts at June 30, 2004, as disclosed in the Condensed Schedule of Investments, do not represent the Partnerships risk of loss due to market and credit risk, but rather represent the extent of the Partnerships involvement in derivatives at the date of the statements of financial condition.
Net trading results from derivatives for the quarter ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, are reflected in the statements of operations and equal gains (losses) from trading less brokerage commissions. Such trading results reflect the net gain arising from the Partnerships speculative trading of futures contracts, options on futures contracts, and forward contracts.
The Limited Partners bear the risk of loss only to the extent of the market value of their respective investments.
In December 2001, the Partnership invested in another commodity pool, IDS Managed Fund LLC (IDSMF). The investment is subject to the terms of the respective advisory contract and other agreements of this commodity pool.
Income (loss) is net of the Partnerships proportionate share of fees and expenses incurred or charged by IDSMF. During 2004, IDSMF charged monthly management fees of 1/12 of 2% of the NAV and a quarterly incentive fee of 20% of new trading profits and paid such amounts to Sunrise Capital Partners, LLC, the sole Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA).
Investment value in IDSMF is based on the proportionate share of units the Partnership has in IDSMF at the end of each month. The Partnerships risk of loss in its investee pool is limited to its investment. The Partnership may make additional contributions to or withdrawals from its investment in IDSMF as of the last day of any month.
Summarized information reflecting the Partnerships investment in, and the operations of, the investee pool is as shown in the following table.
Investment in IDSMF, January 1, 2004 | $ | 2,325,047 |
Results of operations of IDSMF: | ||
Revenues | 561,082 | |
Management and incentive fees | (430,024) | |
Other expenses | (79,279) |
|
Net income before allocation to limited partners | 51,779 | |
Allocation to the other limited partners | 41,417 |
|
Partnership's income from investment in IDSMF | 10,362 | |
Partnership's redemptions from IDSMF | (207,027) |
|
Net asset value of the Partnership's investment in IDSMF, June 30, 2004 | 2,128,382 |
The following table is a summary of IDSMFs net assets, at June 30, 2004.
Number of
contracts |
Principal/
notional value |
Value/open
trade equity |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long positions |
|||||||
Futures positions (-0.41%) | |||||||
Energy | 17 | $ | 776,850 | $ | (28,380) | ||
Interest rates | 33 | 2,173,224 | (3,380) | ||||
Metals | 23 | 981,523 | (33,837) | ||||
Indices | 10 | 826,415 | 27,853 | ||||
4,758,012 | (37,744) | ||||||
Forward positions (-0.23%) | |||||||
Currencies | 29 | 5,168,898 | (21,659) | ||||
Total long positions | $ | 9,926,910 | $ | (59,403) | |||
Short positions |
|||||||
Futures positions (-1.94%) | |||||||
Agriculture | 9 | $ | 231,120 | $ | 25,380 | ||
Interest Rates | 197 | 43,418,918 | (91,036) | ||||
Metals | 52 | 1,999,710 | (113,463) | ||||
45,649,748 | (179,119) | ||||||
Forward positions (-0.07%) | |||||||
Currencies | 18 | 3,042,122 | (6,349) | ||||
Total short positions | $ | 48,691,870 | $ | (185,468) | |||
Total open contracts (-2.65%) | $ | (244,871) | |||||
Cash on deposit with brokers (105.84%) | 9,793,475 | ||||||
Other assets in excess of liabilities (-3.19%) | (295,641) | ||||||
Net assets (100%) | $ | 9,252,963 | |||||
The following financial highlights show the Partnerships financial performance for the six-month period ended June 30, 2004. Total return is calculated as the change in a theoretical limited partners investment over the entire period and is not annualized. Total return is calculated based on the aggregate return of the Partnership taken as a whole.
Total Return: | ||
Total return before incentive fees | -13.82% | |
Less incentive fee allocation | 0.13% |
|
Total Return | -13.95% |
|
Ratio to average net assets: | ||
Net income | -13.81% | |
Expenses: | ||
Expenses | 2.58% | |
Incentive fees | 0.19% |
|
Total expenses | 2.77% |
The net income and expense ratios are computed based upon the weighted average net assets for the Partnership for the six-month period ended June 30, 2004 and are not annualized. Ratios do not reflect income or expenses related to investment in other commodity pools.
IDS MANAGED FUTURES II, L.P. Condensed Schedule of Investments June 30, 2004 (unaudited) |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of
contracts |
Principal
(notional) |
Value (OTE) | |||||
Long positions | |||||||
Futures positions (-0.12%) | |||||||
Interest rates | 58 | $ | 2,756,138 | $ | (4,799) | ||
Metals | 16 | 762,669 | (4,287) | ||||
Indices | 46 | 1,855,954 | 1,765 | ||||
5,374,761 | (7,321) | ||||||
Forward positions (-0.33%) | |||||||
Currencies | 15 | 8,977,612 | (19,704) | ||||
Total long positions | $ | 14,352,373 | $ | (27,025) | |||
Short positions | |||||||
Futures positions (-1.63%) | |||||||
Interest Rates | 215 | $ | 57,115,057 | $ | (64,852) | ||
Metals | 24 | 1,054,381 | (31,726) | ||||
58,169,438 | (96,578) | ||||||
Forward positions (-0.88%) | |||||||
Currencies | 14 | 6,782,515 | (51,976) | ||||
Total short positions | $ | 64,951,953 | $ | (148,554) | |||
Total open contracts (-2.96%) | $ | (175,579) | |||||
Cash on deposit with brokers (68.04%) | 4,041,234 | ||||||
Investment in other commodity pools (35.83%) | 2,128,382 | ||||||
Other assets in excess of liabilities (-0.91%) | (54,448) | ||||||
Net assets (100%) | $ | 5,939,589 | |||||
The Partnerships capital resources fluctuate based upon the redemption of units and the gains and losses of the Partnerships trading activities. For the period-ended June 30, 2004, Limited Partners redeemed a total of 470.83 units for $385,201 and for the period-ended June 30, 2003, Limited Partners redeemed a total of 466.60 units for $359,629.
The Partnerships involvement in the futures and forward markets exposes the Partnership to both market risk the risk arising from changes in the market value of the futures and forward contracts held by the Partnership and credit risk the risk that another party to a contract will fail to perform its obligations according to the terms of the contract. The Partnership is exposed to a market risk equal to the value of the futures and forward contracts purchased and theoretically unlimited risk of loss on contracts sold short. The Partnerships commodity trading advisors (Advisors) monitor the Partnerships trading activities and attempt to control the Partnerships exposure to market risk by, among other things, refining their trading strategies, adjusting position sizes of the Partnerships futures and forward contacts and re-allocating Partnership assets to different market sectors. The Partnerships primary exposure to credit risk is its exposure to the non-performance of the Forwards Currency Broker. The Forwards Currency Broker generally enters into forward contracts with large, well-capitalized institutions and then enters into a back-to-back contract with the Partnership. The Partnership also may trade on exchanges that do not have associated clearing houses whose credit supports the obligations of its members and operate as principals markets, in which case the Partnership will be exposed to the credit risk of the other party to such trades.
The Partnerships trading activities involve varying degrees of off-balance sheet risk whereby changes in the market values of the futures and forward contracts underlying the financial instruments or the Partnerships satisfaction of the obligations may exceed the amount recognized in the statement of financial condition of the Partnership.
The Partnership borrows only to a limited extent and only on a strictly short-term basis in order to finance losses on non-U.S. dollar denominated trading positions pending the conversion of the Partnerships dollar deposits. These borrowings are at a prevailing short-term rate in the relevant currency. They have been immaterial to the Partnerships operation to date and are expected to continue to be so.
During the fiscal period-ended June 30, 2004, the Partnership had no credit exposure to a counterparty which is a foreign commodities exchange which was material.
The Partnerships net assets are held in brokerage accounts with CIS and CISFS. Except in very unusual circumstances, the Partnership should be able to close out any or all of its open trading positions and liquidate any or all of its securities holdings quickly and at market prices. This should permit the Advisors to limit losses as well as reduce market exposure on short notice should their programs indicate reducing market exposure.
The Partnership earned interest on 100% of the Partnerships average monthly cash balance at a rate equal to 80% of the average yield on the 91-day U.S. Treasury bills issued during that month. For the period ended June 30, 2004, CIS had paid or accrued to pay interest of $19,869 to the Partnership and for the period ended June 30, 2003, CIS had paid or accrued to pay interest of $22,215 to the Partnership.
Most United States commodity exchanges limit the amount of fluctuation in commodity futures contract prices during a single trading day by regulations. These regulations specify what are referred to as daily price fluctuation limits or daily limits. The daily limits establish the maximum amount the price of a futures contract may vary either up or down from the previous days settlement price at the end of a trading session. Once the daily limit has been reached in a particular commodity, no trades may be made at a price beyond the limit. Positions in the commodity could then be taken or liquidated only if traders are willing to effect trades at or within the limit during the period for trading on such day. Because the daily limit rule only governs price movement for a particular trading day, it does not limit losses. In the past, futures prices have moved the daily limit for numerous consecutive trading days and thereby prevented prompt liquidation of futures positions on one side of the market, subjecting commodity futures traders holding such positions to substantial losses for those days.
It is also possible for an exchange or the CFTC to suspend trading in a particular contract, order immediate settlement of a particular contract, or direct that trading in a particular contract be for liquidation only.
The Partnerships success depends on the Advisors ability to recognize and capitalize on major price movements and other profit opportunities in different sectors of the world economy. Because of the speculative nature of their trading, operational or economic trends have little relevance to the Partnerships results, and its past performance is not necessarily indicative of its future results. The General Partners believe, however, that there are certain market conditions for example, markets with major price movements in which the Partnership has a better opportunity of being profitable than in others.
The Advisors programs do not predict price movements. No fundamental economic supply or demand analysis is used in attempting to identify mispricings in the market, and no macroeconomic assessments of the relative strengths of different national economies or economic sectors is made. Instead, the programs apply proprietary computer models to analyze past market data, and from this data alone attempt to determine whether market prices are trending. Technical traders such as the Advisors base their strategies on the theory that market prices reflect the collective judgment of numerous different traders and are, accordingly, the best and most efficient indication of market movements. However, there are frequent periods during which fundamental factors external to the market dominate prices.
If the Advisors models identify a trend, they signal positions which follow it. When these models identify the trend as having ended or reversed, these positions are either closed out or reversed. Due to their trend-following character, the Advisors programs do not predict either the commencement or the end of a price movement. Rather, their objective is to identify a trend early enough to profit from it and to detect its end or reversal in time to close out the Partnerships positions while retaining most of the profits made from following the trend.
The performance summaries set forth below outline certain major price trends which the Advisors programs have identified for the Partnership during the first and second quarters of fiscal years 2004 and 2003. The fact that certain trends were captured does not imply that others, perhaps larger and potentially more profitable trends, were not missed or that the Advisors will be able to capture similar trends in the future. Moreover, the fact that the programs were profitable in certain market sectors in the past does not mean that they will be so in the future.
The performance summaries are an outline description of how the Partnership performed in the past, not necessarily any indication of how it will perform in the future. Furthermore, the general causes to which certain trends are attributed may or may not in fact have caused such trends, as opposed to simply having occurred at about the same time. While there can be no assurance that the Advisors will be profitable even in trending markets, markets in which substantial and sustained price movements occur offer the best profit potential for the Partnership.
The Partnership recorded a loss of $1,305,346 or $(150.47) per unit for the second quarter of 2004. On June 30, 2004, JWH was managing 64% of the Partnerships assets while Sunrise was managing 36% of the Partnerships assets.
The second quarter of 2004 produced no meaningful trends. In April, the markets continued to focus on growing expectations of higher U.S. interest rates. Speculation about the timing and scope of the possible tightening contributed to high volatility and major price reversals particularly in the currencies and global equity indices.
The U.S. dollar strengthened against most major currencies in response to U.S. job creation. Consumer confidence and manufacturing activity appear to be waning in Germany, exerting downward pressure on the Euro. Expectations of rising rates also sent the prices of long-term interest rate futures to their lowest levels in several months. The Swiss franc and Euro were the best performers while the Japanese yen was the major detractor.
Indices were negative in April. More than half of the companies in the Standard & Poors 500 Index reported earnings and 78% of these surpassed analysts forecasts. Japanese equity markets were strong all month while the U.S. and some of the European stock markets faltered later in the month.
A slowing of the Chinese economy and possible decline in the global demand for commodities put downward pressure on prices. Cotton and London sugar had the best performance while wheat had the largest loss.
Metals also felt the downward pressure Precious metal investors liquidated long positions which had been a hedge against the negative real rate of return in the U.S.
Energies were profitable in April. Concerns about continued violence in the Middle East and increased global consumer demand helped to maintain prices at their current lofty levels. Natural gas was the only negative component in this sector.
In May, a number of factors created uncertainty in the financial markets and prevented strong trends from emerging. The month was dominated by developments in the oil market, U.S. interest rates and the possibility of inflation.
The exceptions to the non-definition were the energy markets. The price of oil reached record highs on continued supply concerns and increased geopolitical risk. Chinas increasing appetite for petroleum placed additional strain on available production while Saudi Arabias offer to increase production had little effect on stabilizing the price of crude oil. All components in this sector were profitable with best performance coming from London gas oil and crude oil.
Although choppy, the fixed income markets produced positive results. The U.S. economy continues to show signs of improvement with fears of rising inflation diminishing. The best results were achieved in the Euro Bund. The largest losses occurred in the Japanese Government bond and the Australian 10-year bond.
The currency sector was negative in May. The U.S. dollar was heavily influenced in the beginning of the month by the release of improving economic numbers and revised expectations for continued growth in the U.S. The best results from this sector were achieved in the British pound / Japanese yen cross and the Australian dollar. The largest detractors from performance were the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.
The major global equity markets continue to struggle. World GDP continues at a strong pace; however, concerns over rising interest rates and high energy prices have reduced enthusiasm for stocks. This sector failed to register any components in positive territory with the largest loss coming from the Nikkei.
The agricultural sector was negative for May. Coffee prices surged higher due to fears of frost and other weather delays regarding the Brazilian coffee harvest. Live cattle made large gains this month after comments by USDA Secretary Veneman indicated uncertainties surrounding the resumption of Canadian cattle imports to the U.S. New York coffee had the best performance in this sector. Corn and soybeans has the largest losses.
The metals sector was unprofitable in May. Metal prices fell lower for most of the month. Base metals came under pressure due to prospects that Chinas demand for raw materials will weaken as its economy slows. This sector failed to register any components in positive territory with the largest loss coming from aluminum.
Overall, the Partnership was negative for the month of June. Financial markets were relatively quiet during the month, waiting for a few critical events scheduled for the end of June: the long-anticipated first rate increase by the Federal Reserve, the handover of power in Iraq, U.S. employment data and the continued slowing of the Chinese economy.
While the rate increase was in line with expectations, jobless claims and manufacturing data proved to be slightly worse than expected and had a much bigger impact on the market than the rate hike alone. In Europe, German bond prices rose after a report was released showing that German business confidence had dropped unexpectedly. Japanese interest rates rose driving yields to their highest level in 4 years. The best performer was the 3-month Eurodollar contract and the largest losses were Japanese Government bond and Euro Bund.
The foreign exchange sector was negative for June. The U.S. dollar was essentially flat, ending the month with little change. The Japanese yen strengthened against most currencies on prospects of continued economic expansion. Minor currencies were mixed against the U.S. dollar. Profits were generated in Australian dollar, Swiss franc and Japanese yen options. The largest losses were from the Japanese yen and Euro/British pound cross.
Stock indices were positive for June. Major stock markets continued to climb higher after their slide in mid-May, although single-digit earnings growth in major markets, the high cost of energy and the anticipation of rising interest rates dampened enthusiasm. The best return came from Australian SPI 200 and the largest loss was in the Eurostoxx 50.
The energy sector was negative for June. These markets continue to be volatile with a bias upward. Crude oil and related prices remain robust as a result of the strong growth in the U.S. and China and continuing tensions in the Middle East. The best performer was London gas oil and the largest losses came from Nymex crude oil and natural gas.
The agricultural sector was negative for June. Decreased demand from China put downward pressure on the grains. Coffee felt the weight of increased production in Brazil. The price of cotton moved lower anticipating increased plantings in other countries. Cotton gave the best return and New York coffee and soybeans were the largest losses.
The metals sector was positive this month. The price of gold and silver fell at the beginning of the month against a strengthening U.S. dollar, with gold being buoyed again by the weakening U.S. dollar toward month end. Base metals initially moved lower anticipating decreased demand from China however low levels of global inventories pushed prices higher by month end. The best performer was silver and the largest losses came from aluminum and gold.
During the quarter, investors redeemed a total of 107.06 units. At the end of the quarter there were 8,586.56 units outstanding (including 376.57 units owned by the General Partners).
During the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2004 the Partnership had no material credit exposure to a counterparty which is a foreign commodities exchange.
The Partnership recorded a net profit of $272,336 or $28.37 per unit in the second quarter of 2003.
IDS Managed Futures II, L.P. began the quarter with gains in April and a strong May but closed lower in June. Overall, it ended the quarter in positive territory. On June 30, 2003, JWH was managing 69% of the Partnerships assets while Sunrise was indirectly managing 31% of the Partnerships assets.
The Partnership ended April in positive territory as the swift victory in Iraq impacted markets worldwide. The currency sector was primarily responsible for the Partnerships gain in April. The initial enthusiasm for the U.S. dollar in a post-Iraqi war world gave way to bleak fundamentals. The U.S. deficit continued to weigh heavily on the Dollar. Non-Dollar trading had the largest effect on trading profits, specifically, the long Euro/short Yen, long Euro/short British pound, and the long Australian dollar positions. The interest rate sector was positive largely due to a long position in the Japanese 10-year Government bond. The stock index position was down slightly. Most equity markets rallied around the world, encouraged by the quick end to major conflict in Iraq. Energies were marginally positive in April. The fewer than expected oil field fires in Iraq put considerable downward pressure on the price per barrel. Natural gas rallied most of the month on weather related issues and storage deficits. Contrary to the Partnerships position, gold rallied in early April in expectation of the next inflationary cycle. This led to negative performance in the metal sector. Agricultural products were slightly profitable for the month. In response to the conclusion of the major fighting in the Iraqi war, JWH did resume full leverage in the trading programs effective April 10. The decision to reduce exposure to all markets during the Iraqi conflict proved to be beneficial for investors. Overall, the Partnership recorded a gain of $67,997 or $7.02 per unit in April.
The Partnership also posted positive results for the month of May. Currencies were the best performing sector for May due mainly to the weakening of the U.S. dollar. Investments in the fixed income sector were positive for the month of May, as yields continued to trend lower. The biggest contributors were the Euro Bunds, U.S. 30-year Bonds, Japanese Government 10-year Bonds, and the U.S. 10-year Notes. Stock indices were negative for May due primarily to the poor performance in the Japanese Osaka Nikkei Index. The Nasdaq E-Mini 100 Index turned in the best performance for this sector. Energies posted negative results in May. All crude and crude-related products were down as a result of the markets rallying due to short supply factors. The only positive component in this sector was natural gas. Agricultural products were negative for May. The largest detractors were corn and New York coffee, while the largest positive contributor was cotton. Metals were slightly down for May. Losses occurred in copper, silver and aluminum. Only gold managed to perform in positive territory. Overall, the Partnership recorded a gain of $562,402 or $58.94 per unit in May.
Overall, the Partnership was down in June, which started out as a promising month, but turned abruptly negative during the last two weeks. Two trends that were reestablished after the Iraqi War -- a weakening Dollar and falling global interest rates -- reversed course sharply as hints of improving economic times forced the liquidation of large positions in fixed income and currency markets. Currencies suffered the largest sector loss in June, due to the late month strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Stock indices were the only sector to register positive returns for the month of June. Fixed income investments incurred the second largest sector loss for June. The largest losses were registered in the Japanese 10-year Government Bonds, Euro Bunds and the U.S. 30-year bonds. Crude oil was up for the month despite volatile trading. Prices were buoyed by a downshift in OPEC output and the concerns over Tropical Storm Bill hitting the Gulf coast. Overall, however, the energy sector was down for June. The metals sector was down in June, primarily due to the poor performance of gold. Agricultural products were down for the month. All of the other parts of this group had negligible results. The Partnership recorded a loss of $358,062 or $37.58 per unit in June.
During the quarter, investors redeemed a total of 282.06 units. At the end of the quarter there were 9,405.18 units outstanding (including 376.57 units owned by the General Partners).
During the fiscal quarter ending June 30, 2003, the Partnership had no material credit exposure to a counterparty, which is a foreign commodity exchange, or to any counterparties dealing in over the counter contracts.
The Partnership recorded a profit of $348,831 or $38.29 per unit for the first quarter of 2004. Performance throughout the quarter was strong. On March 31, 2004, JWH was managing 67% of the Partnerships assets while Sunrise Capital Partners, LLC was managing 33% of the Partnerships assets.
Although the markets were volatile, the Partnership was positive in January with many of the long-term trends remaining intact during the month. The declining U.S. dollar continued against most major currencies during the first half of the month. Following comments made both by the Federal Reserve Board regarding possible interest rate increases and the European Central Bank alluding to possible intervention in the currency markets, the U.S. dollar strengthened significantly against most currencies. The long Japanese yen and British pound positions made the greatest contribution to profits. This sector was the best performer during January.
Base metals continued to perform well as prices escalated due to the strong demand from China. Copper, aluminum and silver were profitable.
Because of an unusually high level of weather-related demand, tight U.S. inventories, and OPEC agreeing to cut production, crude oil was one of the most profitable markets in February. The fixed income sector was also a top performer. Interest rates continued to move lower in the U.S., Europe, and Asia as inflation remained low in all three regions. The most profitable positions were Euro bunds, Japanese 10-year bond, and the U.S. 10-year notes and 30-year bonds.
Despite a high level of volatility, the currency sector was also profitable for the month. The U.S. dollar began to make an upside breakout due to speculation that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates if the U.S. economy continued to improve. The best performing positions were: Euro/Pound cross, long positions in British pounds versus Japanese yen, the Euro and the Swiss franc.
The metals sector also contributed to profitability with copper leading the way followed by silver and aluminum. All were driven by strong demand, dollar weakness and declining inventories.
The supply situation was favorable for grains as well with unusually tight inventories sending corn and bean prices to new contract highs.
March was a particularly challenging month. Terrorist activities in Spain and heightened tensions in the Middle East kept those looking for investment opportunities on the sideline. The agricultural sector was the best performer for the month led by grains, whose prices rose based on a surge in export demand, followed by a drop in cotton prices based on USDA reports that sales are slowing.
In precious metals both gold and silver extended their gains as demand continued to rise and despite the U.S. dollar strengthening. Silver was the best performer overall, reaching a 17 year high of $8.30 an ounce. Base metals experienced a period of consolidation and remained within a road and volatile trading range as the market weighed information that Chinas appetite may be waning.
Geopolitical risk and OPECs production cut helped crude oil and related products retain lofty price levels. Natural gas had the highest gain for the sector followed by crude oil.
The unprofitable currency sector was dominated by the action in the Japanese yen, orchestrated by the Bank of Japan which intervened in the foreign exchange market by buying over $40 billion U.S. dollars/selling Japanese yen. Most other currencies traded in a sideways fashion in varying degrees of volatility
During the quarter, investors redeemed a total of 363.77 units. At the end of the quarter there were 8,693.62 units outstanding (including 376.57 units owned by the General Partners).
During the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2004 the Partnership had no material credit exposure to a counterparty which is a foreign commodities exchange.
The Partnership recorded a net profit of $715,498 or $72.14 per unit in the first quarter of 2003. As of March 31, the Partnership had gained 10.62% for the first quarter.
In January, the currency sector supplied most of the months gain. Non-Dollar trading had the largest effect on performance. The Partnerships long Euro, short Yen position was the most profitable position in this sector capitalizing on the very slow growth rate of Japan. Additional gains were made in the long U.S. dollar, short Yen position as well as the Swiss franc. The steady slowing of the worlds economies fueled the decline of worldwide interest rates. Positions denominated in Euro and Yen were the most profitable. Gains were also posted in the British and U.S. markets. The energy portfolio of the Partnership was positive despite a small allocation to this sector. The uncertainty of the Middle East cast a dark shadow over all markets. The remainder of the market sectors traded had little impact on performance. Overall, the Partnership recorded a gain of $728,379 or $73.78 per unit in January.
The Partnership continued its positive performance in February. The impending war with Iraq, slowing global economies, a weaker U.S. dollar and higher energy prices became a recurring theme in the quarter. The currency sector was unchanged in February. The long Euro, short British pound position had the best return of the sector. The Australian dollar and the Swiss franc also performed well. The Japanese yen and the British pound suffered the largest losses due to the sharp reversal from Januarys rally. All geographic components of the interest rate sector posted positive results as money market and bond yields worldwide continued to move lower. Notable returns were achieved in the Euro Bund, the U.S. 30-year and 10-year bonds and the Japanese Government bond. The energy sector was the second-best performing sector for the month. The highest returns came from London gas oil and NYMEX natural gas. Gold prices dropped $40 after the German Bundesbank announced that it had sold a portion of its gold reserves. This was the primary reason for negative performance from this sector. Overall, the Partnership recorded a gain of $329,539 or $33.59 per unit in February.
The Partnership closed lower in March as the war in Iraq created volatile moves in the worlds financial and commodity markets. Nearly all markets traded in the interest rate sector were negative as a whipsaw action in the U.S. dollar and interest rates led to losses. This was due to disappointing news in the progress of the war in Iraq. The nearly 35% rise in crude oil since mid-December was erased in just over one weeks time immediately before the start of the war. This caused negative performance in the energy sector. The metal and agricultural sectors had little impact on performance. The stock index sector was the only positive performer for the month. The Partnership recorded a loss of $342,420 or $35.23 per unit in March.
In early March, out of concern for heightened volatility in global markets, JWH reduced the Partnerships exposure to all markets traded but continued to follow its disciplined trading approach.
During the quarter, investors redeemed a total of 184.54 units. At the end of the quarter there were 9,687.24 units outstanding (including 376.57 units owned by the General Partners).
During the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2003, the Partnership had no material credit exposure to a counterparty which is a foreign commodities exchange.
There have been no material changes with respect to the Partnerships off-balance-sheet arrangements (as defined in Regulation S-K 303(a)(4)(ii)) or disclosures of contractual obligations as reported in the Partnerships Annual Report on Form 10-K for fiscal year 2003.
There has been no material change with respect to market risk since the Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk was made in the Form 10-K of the Partnership dated December 31, 2003.
Under the supervision and with the participation of the management of CIS Investments, Inc., a General Partner of the Partnership, including CISIs Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, the Partnership has evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of its disclosure controls and procedures as of the filing date of this quarterly report, and, based on their evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer of CISI have concluded that these disclosure controls and procedures are effective. There were no significant changes in the Partnerships internal controls over financial reporting or in other factors that could materially affect these controls subsequent to the date of their evaluation.
The Partnership and its affiliates are from time to time parties to various legal actions arising in the normal course of business. The General Partners believe that there is no proceeding threatened or pending against the Partnership or any of its affiliates which, if determined adversely, would have a material adverse effect on the financial condition or results of operations of the Partnership.
Item 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds | ||
---|---|---|
a) | None | |
b) | None | |
c) | None | |
d) | None | |
e) | The Partnership permits Limited Partners to redeem units at the end of each month at the Net Asset Value per unit on the redemption date. The redemption of units has no impact on the net asset value of the units that remain outstanding and units may not be reissued once they are redeemed. |
The following table summarizes the redemptions by partners during the second quarter of 2004:
Month | Units Redeemed | Redemption Date NAV per Unit |
---|---|---|
April | 14.95 | $ 762.81 |
May | 49.29 | $ 726.68 |
June | 42.82 | $ 691.73 |
Total | 107.06 |
None
None
a) None
b) None
a) | Exhibits | |
Exhibit Number |
Description of Document | |
3.1 | Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement. | |
10.1 | Advisory Contract dated as of July 14, 1987 between CIS Investments, Inc., IDS Futures Corporation, IDS Managed Futures II, L.P., John W. Henry & Company, Inc. and Sabre Fund Management Limited. | |
10.2 | Amended Advisory Contracts dated March 31, 1992 between CIS Investments, Inc., IDS Futures Corporation, IDS Managed Futures II, L.P. and each of John W. Henry & Company, Inc. and Sabre Fund Management Limited. | |
10.3 | Amended Advisory Contract dated April 30, 1996 between CIS Investments, Inc., IDS Futures Corporation, IDS Managed Futures II, L.P., John W. Henry & Company, Inc. and Sabre Fund Management Limited. | |
10.4 | Advisory Contract dated as of July 8, 1997 between CIS Investments, Inc., IDS Futures Corporation, IDS Managed Futures II, L.P. and Welton Investment Corporation. | |
10.5 | Amendment to Advisory Contract dated December 31, 1999 between CIS Investments, Inc., IDS Futures Corporation, IDS Managed Futures II, L.P. and John W. Henry & Company, Inc. | |
10.6 | Guarantee dated March 21, 2000 between IDS Managed Futures II, L.P. and Cargill, Incorporated. | |
10.7 | Amendment to Afvisory Contract dated September 29, 2000 between CIS Investments, Inc., IDS Futures Corporation, IDS Managed Futures II, L.P. and John W. Henry & Company, Inc. | |
31.01 | Rule 13a-14(a)/13d-14(a) Certifications of Principal Executive Officer | |
31.02 | Rule 13a-14(a)/13d-14(a) Certifications of Principal Financial Officer | |
32.01 | Section 1350 Certification | |
Note: | Exhibits 3.1 and 10.1 are incorporated by reference to Registration Statement No. 33-13938 declared effective on July 14, 1987, Post-Effective Amendment No. 1 declared effective on April 27, 1988 and Post-Effective Amendment No. 2 declared effective on May 4,1988. | |
Note: | Exhibits 10.2, 10.3 and 10.4 are incorporated by reference to Form 10-K filed by the Partnership on March 27, 1998. | |
Note: | Exhibits 10.5 and 10.6 are incorporated by reference to Form 10-K by the Partnership on March 28, 2000. | |
Note: | Exhibits 10.7 is incorporated by reference to Form 10-K by the Partnership on March 26, 2001. | |
b) | Reports on Form 8-K | |
None |
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned and thereunto duly authorized.
Date: August 13, 2004
By: | CIS Investments, Inc.,
One of its General Partners |
By: | /s/ Shaun D. O'Brien
Shaun D. O'Brien Chief Financial Officer |
(Duly authorized officer of the General Partner and the Principal Financial Officer of the General Partner)